Arnold.Jin的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Arnold.Jin

Arnold.Jin

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0勋章

10-12

$英伟达(NVDA)$

10-10

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 潜力这么大

09-15

$英伟达(NVDA)$

09-09

$英伟达(NVDA)$

08-14

$英伟达(NVDA)$

07-20

07-14

07-13

$英伟达(NVDA)$

07-06

07-02

$谷歌(GOOG)$ 不容易，居然涨了！

06-22

06-15

06-02

$英伟达(NVDA)$

05-25

05-18

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 快回去了

05-14

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@宏观姐夫:美国参议院以54票对45票批准沃什出任美联储主席，投资者要紧盯这5个时间点

05-12

$NVDA 20270115 200.0 CALL$

05-11

05-07

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@AaronHy:分享下现在的持仓情况[正经] 昨天$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 2w多刀买了20手 $AMD 20260508 355.0 CALL$ 赚了10w多美金还留10手看看有没有股价到450的机会 $英特尔(INTC)$ 拿着1万多股回调就陆续补仓目前还看涨没有明显降温回踩信号 $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 还有点下探空间 135put的期权卖一点拿盈利玩到行权日 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 看睡的早不早睡得早就不做做的话会实盘分享 amd后现在也没有什么特别好的标的做期权做也是几百一两千刀随便玩玩不要盲目跟好运常在

05-06

$SMCI 20270115 40.0 CALL$ 厉害👍🏻

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快回去了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb3de3193ec4ae12e426ef0a3f8050b","width":"1006","height":"1808"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/565536312950864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":564040906614776,"gmtCreate":1778739690931,"gmtModify":1778739693089,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097891478270120","authorIdStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/564040906614776","repostId":"564101877719384","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":564101877719384,"gmtCreate":1778731635517,"gmtModify":1778738153673,"author":{"id":"4240127339965010","authorId":"4240127339965010","name":"宏观姐夫","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786901ed7d73568418b065fbd21e071d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4240127339965010","authorIdStr":"4240127339965010"},"themes":[],"title":"美国参议院以54票对45票批准沃什出任美联储主席，投资者要紧盯这5个时间点","htmlText":"5月13日，美国参议院以54票对45票确认凯文·沃什出任下一任美联储主席。鲍威尔的主席任期将在5月15日结束，全球市场也将正式进入“沃什时代”。 市场真正关心的，不只是沃什会不会更快降息，而是他会不会顶住特朗普的宽松压力，会不会把通胀重新放回政策优先级，又能不能在美联储内部分歧加大的背景下，建立自己的政策权威。 所以，沃什上任后的前100天，不只是一次职位交接，更是市场重新理解美联储政策方向的过程。真正值得盯的，是下面5个时间点。 1、5月15日：正式接棒，市场开始给“沃什框架”定价 5月15日，鲍威尔的主席任期结束，沃什正式接棒。 这个节点本身未必立刻带来剧烈波动，但从这一天开始，市场看待美联储的方式会发生变化。过去大家问的是：鲍威尔会不会转鸽。接下来要问的是：沃什到底会把美联储往哪里带。 他面前的环境并不轻松。 一边是特朗普希望更低利率；另一边是美国通胀压力重新抬头，美联储内部也已经出现更偏鹰的声音。沃什此前在参议院听证会上强调，美联储需要维护货币政策独立性，同时也承认通胀是央行必须正面应对的问题。 所以，5月15日之后，市场最先交易的，可能不是“马上降息”，而是： 沃什会不会成为一个更容易被政治影响的主席，还是一个更强调通胀纪律的主席。 如果市场更相信后者，美元和短端美债收益率容易获得支撑；如果市场更担心前者，长期通胀预期和黄金的避险定价反而可能上升。 2、上任后的首次公开讲话：市场听他先讲通胀，还是先讲增长 沃什上任后，第一次公开讲话会非常重要。 时间现在还没有确定，但这个节点一定会被市场盯住。因为一位新主席的第一次发声，往往不是普通讲话，而是在主动告诉市场：未来一段时间，什么是美联储最在意的矛盾。 市场会重点听两类表述。 如果沃什一上来就强调通胀风险、价格稳定和政策克制，市场会把他理解为偏鹰的新主席。2年期美债收益率和美元可能偏强，纳指等长久期资产会承受一些压力。","listText":"5月13日，美国参议院以54票对45票确认凯文·沃什出任下一任美联储主席。鲍威尔的主席任期将在5月15日结束，全球市场也将正式进入“沃什时代”。 市场真正关心的，不只是沃什会不会更快降息，而是他会不会顶住特朗普的宽松压力，会不会把通胀重新放回政策优先级，又能不能在美联储内部分歧加大的背景下，建立自己的政策权威。 所以，沃什上任后的前100天，不只是一次职位交接，更是市场重新理解美联储政策方向的过程。真正值得盯的，是下面5个时间点。 1、5月15日：正式接棒，市场开始给“沃什框架”定价 5月15日，鲍威尔的主席任期结束，沃什正式接棒。 这个节点本身未必立刻带来剧烈波动，但从这一天开始，市场看待美联储的方式会发生变化。过去大家问的是：鲍威尔会不会转鸽。接下来要问的是：沃什到底会把美联储往哪里带。 他面前的环境并不轻松。 一边是特朗普希望更低利率；另一边是美国通胀压力重新抬头，美联储内部也已经出现更偏鹰的声音。沃什此前在参议院听证会上强调，美联储需要维护货币政策独立性，同时也承认通胀是央行必须正面应对的问题。 所以，5月15日之后，市场最先交易的，可能不是“马上降息”，而是： 沃什会不会成为一个更容易被政治影响的主席，还是一个更强调通胀纪律的主席。 如果市场更相信后者，美元和短端美债收益率容易获得支撑；如果市场更担心前者，长期通胀预期和黄金的避险定价反而可能上升。 2、上任后的首次公开讲话：市场听他先讲通胀，还是先讲增长 沃什上任后，第一次公开讲话会非常重要。 时间现在还没有确定，但这个节点一定会被市场盯住。因为一位新主席的第一次发声，往往不是普通讲话，而是在主动告诉市场：未来一段时间，什么是美联储最在意的矛盾。 市场会重点听两类表述。 如果沃什一上来就强调通胀风险、价格稳定和政策克制，市场会把他理解为偏鹰的新主席。2年期美债收益率和美元可能偏强，纳指等长久期资产会承受一些压力。","text":"5月13日，美国参议院以54票对45票确认凯文·沃什出任下一任美联储主席。鲍威尔的主席任期将在5月15日结束，全球市场也将正式进入“沃什时代”。 市场真正关心的，不只是沃什会不会更快降息，而是他会不会顶住特朗普的宽松压力，会不会把通胀重新放回政策优先级，又能不能在美联储内部分歧加大的背景下，建立自己的政策权威。 所以，沃什上任后的前100天，不只是一次职位交接，更是市场重新理解美联储政策方向的过程。真正值得盯的，是下面5个时间点。 1、5月15日：正式接棒，市场开始给“沃什框架”定价 5月15日，鲍威尔的主席任期结束，沃什正式接棒。 这个节点本身未必立刻带来剧烈波动，但从这一天开始，市场看待美联储的方式会发生变化。过去大家问的是：鲍威尔会不会转鸽。接下来要问的是：沃什到底会把美联储往哪里带。 他面前的环境并不轻松。 一边是特朗普希望更低利率；另一边是美国通胀压力重新抬头，美联储内部也已经出现更偏鹰的声音。沃什此前在参议院听证会上强调，美联储需要维护货币政策独立性，同时也承认通胀是央行必须正面应对的问题。 所以，5月15日之后，市场最先交易的，可能不是“马上降息”，而是： 沃什会不会成为一个更容易被政治影响的主席，还是一个更强调通胀纪律的主席。 如果市场更相信后者，美元和短端美债收益率容易获得支撑；如果市场更担心前者，长期通胀预期和黄金的避险定价反而可能上升。 2、上任后的首次公开讲话：市场听他先讲通胀，还是先讲增长 沃什上任后，第一次公开讲话会非常重要。 时间现在还没有确定，但这个节点一定会被市场盯住。因为一位新主席的第一次发声，往往不是普通讲话，而是在主动告诉市场：未来一段时间，什么是美联储最在意的矛盾。 市场会重点听两类表述。 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135put的期权卖一点 拿盈利玩到行权日 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$&nbsp;</a> 看睡的早不早 睡得早就不做 做的话会实盘分享 amd后 现在也没有什么特别好的标的做期权 做也是几百一两千刀随便玩玩 不要盲目跟 好运常在","text":"分享下现在的持仓情况[正经] 昨天$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 2w多刀买了20手 $AMD 20260508 355.0 CALL$ 赚了10w多美金 还留10手 看看有没有股价到450的机会 $英特尔(INTC)$ 拿着1万多股 回调就陆续补仓 目前还看涨 没有明显降温回踩信号 $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 还有点下探空间 135put的期权卖一点 拿盈利玩到行权日 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 看睡的早不早 睡得早就不做 做的话会实盘分享 amd后 现在也没有什么特别好的标的做期权 做也是几百一两千刀随便玩玩 不要盲目跟 好运常在","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47b676fe2f65cc90bada0b1e5ebe87eb","width":"1179","height":"2556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561539606017736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":561330035418192,"gmtCreate":1778075167330,"gmtModify":1778075179677,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097891478270120","authorIdStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SMCI 20270115 40.0 CALL\">$SMCI 20270115 40.0 CALL$ </a> 厉害👍🏻","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SMCI 20270115 40.0 CALL\">$SMCI 20270115 40.0 CALL$ </a> 厉害👍🏻","text":"$SMCI 20270115 40.0 CALL$ 厉害👍🏻","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e517f3e1369003314d23e5d7641bc29","width":"1006","height":"1808"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561330035418192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":608055382135952,"gmtCreate":1789474607719,"gmtModify":1789549171674,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68bc6dfcf3eedf3263542ab23aa1190","width":"1006","height":"1808"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608055382135952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368647937003656,"gmtCreate":1731039621492,"gmtModify":1731041951245,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$嘉楠科技(CAN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 厉害👍","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$嘉楠科技(CAN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 厉害👍","text":"$嘉楠科技(CAN)$ 厉害👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368647937003656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617441826419360,"gmtCreate":1791761834327,"gmtModify":1791761837282,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de3e0fe201f75f6a5ca7c9eb3b5eb8c","width":"1006","height":"1808"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617441826419360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":577860991044048,"gmtCreate":1782102896433,"gmtModify":1782104271197,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$谷歌(GOOG)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7fda4a21c3a09ace116cc38fafa6286","width":"1006","height":"1808"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/577860991044048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":565536312950864,"gmtCreate":1779104798824,"gmtModify":1779104810968,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 快回去了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 快回去了","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 快回去了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcb3de3193ec4ae12e426ef0a3f8050b","width":"1006","height":"1808"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/565536312950864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":451579878142456,"gmtCreate":1751275144808,"gmtModify":1751276575163,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/451579878142456","repostId":"1185096111","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1185096111","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1751274027,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185096111?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-06-30 17:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛首次覆盖Circle，直接砸盘：给出暴跌54%的看空信号！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185096111","media":"口罩哥研报60秒","summary":"首次覆盖！一盆冷水！","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>首次覆盖！一盆冷水！</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fcae9242c0bd50b53c044b4ea30b417\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"992\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>2025年6月30日，高盛首次覆盖全球第二大稳定币发行商Circle Internet Group（CRCL），给予“中性”评级，目标价83美元，较当前180.43美元市价有54%的潜在下跌空间。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛指出，Circle旗下稳定币USDC预计2024-2027年间复合年均增长率（CAGR）高达40%，但股价估值已明显过高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛认为，CRCL是当前市场上唯一的纯加密原生上市公司，其最大卖点在于业务增长不直接受加密货币波动影响，具有极强的市场独特性。<u>“CRCL is a unique asset in the public markets, as the only pure play crypto-native company that has potential upside from expansion into very large existing fiat markets”（CRCL是公开市场中独一无二的资产，作为唯一纯加密原生公司，其有潜力从向庞大的现有法币市场扩张中获得上行空间）。</u></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1e8ecaa0705bf4818a9e0e1ebce02bc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"883\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但报告同时警告，尽管USDC的市场占有率因全球稳定币监管趋严而持续上升，<u>但未来收益率可能受到美联储降息、替代品竞争（如有息代币化货币基金）及对合作平台的高额激励费用挤压，CRCL的利润率预计将从2024年的39%下降到2027年的34%左右。</u></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛明确强调，当前145倍的前瞻市盈率（NTM P/E）大幅超过同行平均的35倍，即使Circle的业绩增速远高于其他支付巨头和券商，也难以支撑目前估值。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1751274080750","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛首次覆盖Circle，直接砸盘：给出暴跌54%的看空信号！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛首次覆盖Circle，直接砸盘：给出暴跌54%的看空信号！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-06-30 17:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/eH4MJw8V-sWyo6NleoFP8A><strong>口罩哥研报60秒</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>首次覆盖！一盆冷水！2025年6月30日，高盛首次覆盖全球第二大稳定币发行商Circle Internet Group（CRCL），给予“中性”评级，目标价83美元，较当前180.43美元市价有54%的潜在下跌空间。高盛指出，Circle旗下稳定币USDC预计2024-2027年间复合年均增长率（CAGR）高达40%，但股价估值已明显过高。高盛认为，CRCL是当前市场上唯一的纯加密原生上市公司，其...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/eH4MJw8V-sWyo6NleoFP8A\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49b0fe58ba5359a9110f35b14f9829f5","relate_stocks":{"CRCL":"Circle Internet Corp."},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/eH4MJw8V-sWyo6NleoFP8A","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185096111","content_text":"首次覆盖！一盆冷水！2025年6月30日，高盛首次覆盖全球第二大稳定币发行商Circle Internet Group（CRCL），给予“中性”评级，目标价83美元，较当前180.43美元市价有54%的潜在下跌空间。高盛指出，Circle旗下稳定币USDC预计2024-2027年间复合年均增长率（CAGR）高达40%，但股价估值已明显过高。高盛认为，CRCL是当前市场上唯一的纯加密原生上市公司，其最大卖点在于业务增长不直接受加密货币波动影响，具有极强的市场独特性。“CRCL is a unique asset in the public markets, as the only pure play crypto-native company that has potential upside from expansion into very large existing fiat markets”（CRCL是公开市场中独一无二的资产，作为唯一纯加密原生公司，其有潜力从向庞大的现有法币市场扩张中获得上行空间）。但报告同时警告，尽管USDC的市场占有率因全球稳定币监管趋严而持续上升，但未来收益率可能受到美联储降息、替代品竞争（如有息代币化货币基金）及对合作平台的高额激励费用挤压，CRCL的利润率预计将从2024年的39%下降到2027年的34%左右。高盛明确强调，当前145倍的前瞻市盈率（NTM P/E）大幅超过同行平均的35倍，即使Circle的业绩增速远高于其他支付巨头和券商，也难以支撑目前估值。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRCL":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":582741721309512,"gmtCreate":1783302357046,"gmtModify":1783302369365,"author":{"id":"4097891478270120","authorId":"4097891478270120","name":"Arnold.Jin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ea1be6f7965bb9df5dfa71ef63ae92","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097891478270120","idStr":"4097891478270120"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$ 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