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2021-07-01

Dont understand

Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢的股市指标并不是唯一一个暗示股市即将喘息的指标</blockquote>

2021-07-01

Gg

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-01

Gg

These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote>

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Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research的策略师写道，席勒市盈率目前为38倍，已接近2000年互联网泡沫破灭前的峰值（44倍）。该比率由耶鲁大学著名教授罗伯特·希勒(Robert Shiller)创建，被认为优于传统的市盈率，因为它根据通货膨胀进行了调整。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.</p><p><blockquote>从历史上看，席勒市盈率持续超过25倍一直是市场大幅回调的前兆，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae6fa873e7da808f6a362a964ddfa0c7\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Markets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>席勒市盈率暗示，市场看起来早就应该进行调整了。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的团队很快指出，没有任何股市指标是万无一失的，也没有任何预测性的。</blockquote></p><p> \"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.</p><p><blockquote>“股市被‘高估’并不意味着投资者需要立即采取严厉行动。因为现实是，股市可能（而且事实上已经）被高估了很多年，”Sundial解释道。</blockquote></p><p> The group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"</p><p><blockquote>该组织补充道，“目前席勒市盈率的高读数并不是‘呼吁采取行动’。更多的是‘呼吁密切关注’。总有一些‘事情’需要关注，可能会扰乱苹果购物车。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要卖掉你所有的股票，把现金藏在床底下。</blockquote></p><p> That said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，如果你不太相信席勒市盈率（算上我的同事迈尔斯·乌德兰，请观看上面的视频），也许沃伦“奥马哈先知”巴菲特密切关注的衡量标准更符合你的分析观点。</blockquote></p><p> The “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街圈子里所谓的“巴菲特指标”——将威尔希尔5000指数（被视为股票市场总量）除以美国年度GDP——似乎仍在每天创下新的历史新高。在计算数据时，巴菲特指标约为204.4%，较我们2月底上次撰写该指标时的187.5%水平（也是创纪录水平）大幅上升。所有数据都来自GuruFocus，它广泛跟踪该指标。</blockquote></p><p> The existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>目前的数字仍远高于互联网泡沫前的159.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”</p><p><blockquote>GuruFocus的研究人员表示：“根据巴菲特指标，股市被严重高估。”“根据总市值与GDP的历史比率（前面提到的204.4%），从这个估值水平来看，包括股息在内，它每年可能会获得-3.3%的回报。”</blockquote></p><p> The Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.</p><p><blockquote>2001年，巴菲特和《财富》杂志长期撰稿人、巴菲特内部人士卡罗尔·卢米斯(Carol Loomis)在《财富》杂志上发表文章后，巴菲特指标一举成名。</blockquote></p><p> “The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在文章中解释说：“该比率在告诉你需要知道的事情方面有一定的局限性。尽管如此，它可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值水平的最佳单一指标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢的股市指标并不是唯一一个暗示股市即将喘息的指标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢的股市指标并不是唯一一个暗示股市即将喘息的指标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项经常被忽视的股票估值指标，股市正在进入危险区域。</blockquote></p><p> At its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) seen at the height just before the dot-com bust in 2000, write strategists atSunDial Capital Research. Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research的策略师写道，席勒市盈率目前为38倍，已接近2000年互联网泡沫破灭前的峰值（44倍）。该比率由耶鲁大学著名教授罗伯特·希勒(Robert Shiller)创建，被认为优于传统的市盈率，因为它根据通货膨胀进行了调整。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.</p><p><blockquote>从历史上看，席勒市盈率持续超过25倍一直是市场大幅回调的前兆，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae6fa873e7da808f6a362a964ddfa0c7\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Markets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>席勒市盈率暗示，市场看起来早就应该进行调整了。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的团队很快指出，没有任何股市指标是万无一失的，也没有任何预测性的。</blockquote></p><p> \"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.</p><p><blockquote>“股市被‘高估’并不意味着投资者需要立即采取严厉行动。因为现实是，股市可能（而且事实上已经）被高估了很多年，”Sundial解释道。</blockquote></p><p> The group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"</p><p><blockquote>该组织补充道，“目前席勒市盈率的高读数并不是‘呼吁采取行动’。更多的是‘呼吁密切关注’。总有一些‘事情’需要关注，可能会扰乱苹果购物车。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要卖掉你所有的股票，把现金藏在床底下。</blockquote></p><p> That said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，如果你不太相信席勒市盈率（算上我的同事迈尔斯·乌德兰，请观看上面的视频），也许沃伦“奥马哈先知”巴菲特密切关注的衡量标准更符合你的分析观点。</blockquote></p><p> The “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街圈子里所谓的“巴菲特指标”——将威尔希尔5000指数（被视为股票市场总量）除以美国年度GDP——似乎仍在每天创下新的历史新高。在计算数据时，巴菲特指标约为204.4%，较我们2月底上次撰写该指标时的187.5%水平（也是创纪录水平）大幅上升。所有数据都来自GuruFocus，它广泛跟踪该指标。</blockquote></p><p> The existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>目前的数字仍远高于互联网泡沫前的159.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”</p><p><blockquote>GuruFocus的研究人员表示：“根据巴菲特指标，股市被严重高估。”“根据总市值与GDP的历史比率（前面提到的204.4%），从这个估值水平来看，包括股息在内，它每年可能会获得-3.3%的回报。”</blockquote></p><p> The Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.</p><p><blockquote>2001年，巴菲特和《财富》杂志长期撰稿人、巴菲特内部人士卡罗尔·卢米斯(Carol Loomis)在《财富》杂志上发表文章后，巴菲特指标一举成名。</blockquote></p><p> “The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在文章中解释说：“该比率在告诉你需要知道的事情方面有一定的局限性。尽管如此，它可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值水平的最佳单一指标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147390885","content_text":"The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.\nAt its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) seen at the height just before the dot-com bust in 2000, write strategists atSunDial Capital Research. Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.\nHistorically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.\nMarkets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.\nThe team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.\n\"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.\nThe group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"\nIn other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.\nThat said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.\nThe “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.\nThe existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.\n“The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”\nThe Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.\n“The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158349294,"gmtCreate":1625131814218,"gmtModify":1631892694210,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585719144864945","authorIdStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158349294","repostId":"2148984489","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158340790,"gmtCreate":1625131791810,"gmtModify":1631892694216,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585719144864945","authorIdStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158340790","repostId":"1150867568","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150867568","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625119599,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150867568?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150867568","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend s","content":"<p>Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者看重稳定性，他们创造了短期方法来对连续加息记录最长的股息股票进行分类。成员<b>标普500</b>这已经提高了至少 25 年的派息，有资格成为股息贵族。那是一个专属俱乐部，今天只有大约65名会员。</blockquote></p><p> A smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该名单中较小的子集被称为股息之王，即自 1971 年或更早以来至少连续 50 年增加年度派息的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo</b>(NASDAQ:PEP),<b>Target</b>(NYSE:TGT), and&nbsp;<b>McDonald's</b>(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>百事可乐</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：PEP）<b>目标</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TGT），以及<b>麦当劳</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MCD）都极有可能获得这一地位。但还有更多理由喜欢这些高股息股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo has been growing for half a century</b></p><p><blockquote><b>百事公司已经发展了半个世纪</b></blockquote></p><p> PepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.</p><p><blockquote>百事公司面临着消费者口味的巨大变化，甚至在最近几年，消费者口味已经远离含糖饮料、健怡可乐和随身携带的饮料。然而，该公司呈现出稳定增长的景象。</blockquote></p><p> Even though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sent<b>Coca-Cola</b>'s volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情扰乱了购物者的流动性并导致<b>可口可乐</b>尽管销量较低，百事可乐 2020 年有机销售额的增长速度与 2019 年大致相同。其零食和食品投资组合，加上对能量饮料的积极押注，使其牢牢跻身成长型股票行列。</blockquote></p><p> Pepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐刚刚宣布的股息上调将使其在2021年进入股息之王俱乐部。好消息是，华尔街对短期利润下降的担忧推动该股7月份收益率升至2.8%。这几乎是拥有多元化总股票市场指数基金的利率的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target is going on fifty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>目标是五十</b></blockquote></p><p> Retailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.<b>TJX Companies</b>was on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.</p><p><blockquote>由于该行业严峻的销售条件，零售商在最高股息名单中的代表性不足。<b>TJX公司</b>正处于获得股息贵族地位的风口浪尖，但在 COVID-19 危机期间不得不暂停派息。即使对于蓝筹巨头来说，这样的紧急情况也并不罕见。<b>家得宝</b>在 2009 年大衰退期间暂停了加息。</blockquote></p><p> Target made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特百货在这两个时期都没有错过任何一个节拍，它的回报是今年进入股息之王俱乐部。在 2020 年盈利能力飙升后，其第 50 次加息也是一次大幅加息。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.</p><p><blockquote>9 月份的股东将获得每股 0.90 美元的现金，比上一季度付款增加 32%。即使在大流行威胁消退后，投资者对塔吉特继续实现市场强劲增长和盈利的潜力同样感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> <b>McDonald's turns forty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>麦当劳四十岁了</b></blockquote></p><p> McDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳自 1976 年以来一直在支付股息，当时一个汉堡的价格仅为 0.37 美元。在过去的40年里，它每年都提高了这一支出，包括2021年最新的3%的增长。</blockquote></p><p> The fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.</p><p><blockquote>这家快餐巨头的高特许经营、高利润的销售模式使其即使在去年销售额下降 10%、盈利萎缩 20% 的情况下仍保持了收入记录。由于成本削减和系统增加的新效率，包括精简的菜单和向送货订单的转变，该业务未来也可能会更有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> These assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>这些资产表明，随着行业领导者继续利用其独特的竞争优势，股东将看到未来许多年的股息增长，其中一些股息将使最新的 3% 的加息相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> Sure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>当然，麦当劳在连续派息方面落后于榜单上的其他股票。但几十年来，该连锁店在适应、推动和利用不断变化的消费者口味方面表现出了敏捷性。在股东等待公司在 2030 年代成为股息之王时，这种能力应该会为他们提供很好的服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者看重稳定性，他们创造了短期方法来对连续加息记录最长的股息股票进行分类。成员<b>标普500</b>这已经提高了至少 25 年的派息，有资格成为股息贵族。那是一个专属俱乐部，今天只有大约65名会员。</blockquote></p><p> A smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该名单中较小的子集被称为股息之王，即自 1971 年或更早以来至少连续 50 年增加年度派息的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo</b>(NASDAQ:PEP),<b>Target</b>(NYSE:TGT), and&nbsp;<b>McDonald's</b>(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>百事可乐</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：PEP）<b>目标</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TGT），以及<b>麦当劳</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MCD）都极有可能获得这一地位。但还有更多理由喜欢这些高股息股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo has been growing for half a century</b></p><p><blockquote><b>百事公司已经发展了半个世纪</b></blockquote></p><p> PepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.</p><p><blockquote>百事公司面临着消费者口味的巨大变化，甚至在最近几年，消费者口味已经远离含糖饮料、健怡可乐和随身携带的饮料。然而，该公司呈现出稳定增长的景象。</blockquote></p><p> Even though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sent<b>Coca-Cola</b>'s volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情扰乱了购物者的流动性并导致<b>可口可乐</b>尽管销量较低，百事可乐 2020 年有机销售额的增长速度与 2019 年大致相同。其零食和食品投资组合，加上对能量饮料的积极押注，使其牢牢跻身成长型股票行列。</blockquote></p><p> Pepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐刚刚宣布的股息上调将使其在2021年进入股息之王俱乐部。好消息是，华尔街对短期利润下降的担忧推动该股7月份收益率升至2.8%。这几乎是拥有多元化总股票市场指数基金的利率的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target is going on fifty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>目标是五十</b></blockquote></p><p> Retailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.<b>TJX Companies</b>was on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.</p><p><blockquote>由于该行业严峻的销售条件，零售商在最高股息名单中的代表性不足。<b>TJX公司</b>正处于获得股息贵族地位的风口浪尖，但在 COVID-19 危机期间不得不暂停派息。即使对于蓝筹巨头来说，这样的紧急情况也并不罕见。<b>家得宝</b>在 2009 年大衰退期间暂停了加息。</blockquote></p><p> Target made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特百货在这两个时期都没有错过任何一个节拍，它的回报是今年进入股息之王俱乐部。在 2020 年盈利能力飙升后，其第 50 次加息也是一次大幅加息。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.</p><p><blockquote>9 月份的股东将获得每股 0.90 美元的现金，比上一季度付款增加 32%。即使在大流行威胁消退后，投资者对塔吉特继续实现市场强劲增长和盈利的潜力同样感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> <b>McDonald's turns forty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>麦当劳四十岁了</b></blockquote></p><p> McDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳自 1976 年以来一直在支付股息，当时一个汉堡的价格仅为 0.37 美元。在过去的40年里，它每年都提高了这一支出，包括2021年最新的3%的增长。</blockquote></p><p> The fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.</p><p><blockquote>这家快餐巨头的高特许经营、高利润的销售模式使其即使在去年销售额下降 10%、盈利萎缩 20% 的情况下仍保持了收入记录。由于成本削减和系统增加的新效率，包括精简的菜单和向送货订单的转变，该业务未来也可能会更有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> These assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>这些资产表明，随着行业领导者继续利用其独特的竞争优势，股东将看到未来许多年的股息增长，其中一些股息将使最新的 3% 的加息相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> Sure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>当然，麦当劳在连续派息方面落后于榜单上的其他股票。但几十年来，该连锁店在适应、推动和利用不断变化的消费者口味方面表现出了敏捷性。在股东等待公司在 2030 年代成为股息之王时，这种能力应该会为他们提供很好的服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐","MCD":"麦当劳","TGT":"塔吉特"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150867568","content_text":"Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the S&P 500 that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.\nA smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.\nPepsiCo(NASDAQ:PEP),Target(NYSE:TGT), and McDonald's(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.\nPepsiCo has been growing for half a century\nPepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.\nEven though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sentCoca-Cola's volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.\nPepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.\nTarget is going on fifty\nRetailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.TJX Companieswas on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.Home Depot paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.\nTarget made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.\nShareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.\nMcDonald's turns forty\nMcDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.\nThe fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.\nThese assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.\nSure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PEP":0.9,"MCD":0.9,"TGT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":158343538,"gmtCreate":1625131896524,"gmtModify":1631892694217,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585719144864945","idStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Dont understand","listText":"Dont understand","text":"Dont understand","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158343538","repostId":"1147390885","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147390885","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625119868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147390885?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢的股市指标并不是唯一一个暗示股市即将喘息的指标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147390885","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities ","content":"<p>The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项经常被忽视的股票估值指标，股市正在进入危险区域。</blockquote></p><p> At its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) seen at the height just before the dot-com bust in 2000, write strategists atSunDial Capital Research. Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research的策略师写道，席勒市盈率目前为38倍，已接近2000年互联网泡沫破灭前的峰值（44倍）。该比率由耶鲁大学著名教授罗伯特·希勒(Robert Shiller)创建，被认为优于传统的市盈率，因为它根据通货膨胀进行了调整。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.</p><p><blockquote>从历史上看，席勒市盈率持续超过25倍一直是市场大幅回调的前兆，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae6fa873e7da808f6a362a964ddfa0c7\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Markets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>席勒市盈率暗示，市场看起来早就应该进行调整了。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的团队很快指出，没有任何股市指标是万无一失的，也没有任何预测性的。</blockquote></p><p> \"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.</p><p><blockquote>“股市被‘高估’并不意味着投资者需要立即采取严厉行动。因为现实是，股市可能（而且事实上已经）被高估了很多年，”Sundial解释道。</blockquote></p><p> The group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"</p><p><blockquote>该组织补充道，“目前席勒市盈率的高读数并不是‘呼吁采取行动’。更多的是‘呼吁密切关注’。总有一些‘事情’需要关注，可能会扰乱苹果购物车。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要卖掉你所有的股票，把现金藏在床底下。</blockquote></p><p> That said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，如果你不太相信席勒市盈率（算上我的同事迈尔斯·乌德兰，请观看上面的视频），也许沃伦“奥马哈先知”巴菲特密切关注的衡量标准更符合你的分析观点。</blockquote></p><p> The “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街圈子里所谓的“巴菲特指标”——将威尔希尔5000指数（被视为股票市场总量）除以美国年度GDP——似乎仍在每天创下新的历史新高。在计算数据时，巴菲特指标约为204.4%，较我们2月底上次撰写该指标时的187.5%水平（也是创纪录水平）大幅上升。所有数据都来自GuruFocus，它广泛跟踪该指标。</blockquote></p><p> The existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>目前的数字仍远高于互联网泡沫前的159.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”</p><p><blockquote>GuruFocus的研究人员表示：“根据巴菲特指标，股市被严重高估。”“根据总市值与GDP的历史比率（前面提到的204.4%），从这个估值水平来看，包括股息在内，它每年可能会获得-3.3%的回报。”</blockquote></p><p> The Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.</p><p><blockquote>2001年，巴菲特和《财富》杂志长期撰稿人、巴菲特内部人士卡罗尔·卢米斯(Carol Loomis)在《财富》杂志上发表文章后，巴菲特指标一举成名。</blockquote></p><p> “The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在文章中解释说：“该比率在告诉你需要知道的事情方面有一定的局限性。尽管如此，它可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值水平的最佳单一指标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢的股市指标并不是唯一一个暗示股市即将喘息的指标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's favorite stock market indicator isn't alone in hinting stocks are due for a breather<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢的股市指标并不是唯一一个暗示股市即将喘息的指标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项经常被忽视的股票估值指标，股市正在进入危险区域。</blockquote></p><p> At its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) seen at the height just before the dot-com bust in 2000, write strategists atSunDial Capital Research. Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial Capital Research的策略师写道，席勒市盈率目前为38倍，已接近2000年互联网泡沫破灭前的峰值（44倍）。该比率由耶鲁大学著名教授罗伯特·希勒(Robert Shiller)创建，被认为优于传统的市盈率，因为它根据通货膨胀进行了调整。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.</p><p><blockquote>从历史上看，席勒市盈率持续超过25倍一直是市场大幅回调的前兆，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae6fa873e7da808f6a362a964ddfa0c7\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Markets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>席勒市盈率暗示，市场看起来早就应该进行调整了。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial的团队很快指出，没有任何股市指标是万无一失的，也没有任何预测性的。</blockquote></p><p> \"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.</p><p><blockquote>“股市被‘高估’并不意味着投资者需要立即采取严厉行动。因为现实是，股市可能（而且事实上已经）被高估了很多年，”Sundial解释道。</blockquote></p><p> The group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"</p><p><blockquote>该组织补充道，“目前席勒市盈率的高读数并不是‘呼吁采取行动’。更多的是‘呼吁密切关注’。总有一些‘事情’需要关注，可能会扰乱苹果购物车。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要卖掉你所有的股票，把现金藏在床底下。</blockquote></p><p> That said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，如果你不太相信席勒市盈率（算上我的同事迈尔斯·乌德兰，请观看上面的视频），也许沃伦“奥马哈先知”巴菲特密切关注的衡量标准更符合你的分析观点。</blockquote></p><p> The “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街圈子里所谓的“巴菲特指标”——将威尔希尔5000指数（被视为股票市场总量）除以美国年度GDP——似乎仍在每天创下新的历史新高。在计算数据时，巴菲特指标约为204.4%，较我们2月底上次撰写该指标时的187.5%水平（也是创纪录水平）大幅上升。所有数据都来自GuruFocus，它广泛跟踪该指标。</blockquote></p><p> The existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>目前的数字仍远高于互联网泡沫前的159.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”</p><p><blockquote>GuruFocus的研究人员表示：“根据巴菲特指标，股市被严重高估。”“根据总市值与GDP的历史比率（前面提到的204.4%），从这个估值水平来看，包括股息在内，它每年可能会获得-3.3%的回报。”</blockquote></p><p> The Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.</p><p><blockquote>2001年，巴菲特和《财富》杂志长期撰稿人、巴菲特内部人士卡罗尔·卢米斯(Carol Loomis)在《财富》杂志上发表文章后，巴菲特指标一举成名。</blockquote></p><p> “The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在文章中解释说：“该比率在告诉你需要知道的事情方面有一定的局限性。尽管如此，它可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值水平的最佳单一指标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-isnt-alone-in-hinting-stocks-are-due-for-a-breather-192030974.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147390885","content_text":"The stock market is entering the danger zone, according to one often overlooked measure of equities valuation.\nAt its current level of 38 times, the Shiller P/E Ratio is nearing the peak (44 times) seen at the height just before the dot-com bust in 2000, write strategists atSunDial Capital Research. Created by noted Yale professor Robert Shiller, the ratio is seen as better than the traditional P/E ratio as it adjusts for inflation.\nHistorically, a Shiller PE ratio sustained over 25 times has gone on to be a precursor for sizable pullbacks in the market as presented in the below chart by Sundial Capital Research.\nMarkets look long overdue for a corrections, hints the Shiller P/E Ratio.\nThe team at Sundial is quick to point out that no stock market measure is fool proof or all predictive.\n\"That the stock market is 'overvalued' DOES NOT mean investors need to take drastic action immediately. Because the reality is that the stock market can (and, in fact, has been) overvalued for many years,\" explains Sundial.\nThe group added, \"The current high reading for the Shiller P/E is NOT a 'call to action.' It is more of a 'call to pay close attention.' There are always 'things' to be concerned about that may upset the apple cart.\"\nIn other words, don't sell all your stocks and hide the cash under your bed.\nThat said if you aren't inclined to be a big believer in the Shiller P/E Ratio (count my colleagueMyles Udlandin that camp,watch videoabove), perhaps a closely watched measure by theWarren \"Oracle of Omaha\" Buffettis more in lockstep with your analytical views.\nThe “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still seemingly hitting new record highs daily. In crunching the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 204.4% — up sharply from the 187.5% level (also a record) from when we last wrote about the measure in late February. All data comes to us fromGuruFocus, which extensively tracks the indicator.\nThe existing figure remains well above the 159.2% seen just before the dot-com bubble.\n“The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said the researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (the aforementioned 204.4%), it is likely to return -3.3% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”\nThe Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a2001 Fortune Magazine articlewritten by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.\n“The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158349294,"gmtCreate":1625131814218,"gmtModify":1631892694210,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585719144864945","idStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158349294","repostId":"2148984489","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158340790,"gmtCreate":1625131791810,"gmtModify":1631892694216,"author":{"id":"3585719144864945","authorId":"3585719144864945","name":"mrqwerty8808","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585719144864945","idStr":"3585719144864945"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158340790","repostId":"1150867568","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150867568","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625119599,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150867568?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150867568","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend s","content":"<p>Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者看重稳定性，他们创造了短期方法来对连续加息记录最长的股息股票进行分类。成员<b>标普500</b>这已经提高了至少 25 年的派息，有资格成为股息贵族。那是一个专属俱乐部，今天只有大约65名会员。</blockquote></p><p> A smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该名单中较小的子集被称为股息之王，即自 1971 年或更早以来至少连续 50 年增加年度派息的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo</b>(NASDAQ:PEP),<b>Target</b>(NYSE:TGT), and&nbsp;<b>McDonald's</b>(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>百事可乐</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：PEP）<b>目标</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TGT），以及<b>麦当劳</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MCD）都极有可能获得这一地位。但还有更多理由喜欢这些高股息股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo has been growing for half a century</b></p><p><blockquote><b>百事公司已经发展了半个世纪</b></blockquote></p><p> PepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.</p><p><blockquote>百事公司面临着消费者口味的巨大变化，甚至在最近几年，消费者口味已经远离含糖饮料、健怡可乐和随身携带的饮料。然而，该公司呈现出稳定增长的景象。</blockquote></p><p> Even though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sent<b>Coca-Cola</b>'s volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情扰乱了购物者的流动性并导致<b>可口可乐</b>尽管销量较低，百事可乐 2020 年有机销售额的增长速度与 2019 年大致相同。其零食和食品投资组合，加上对能量饮料的积极押注，使其牢牢跻身成长型股票行列。</blockquote></p><p> Pepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐刚刚宣布的股息上调将使其在2021年进入股息之王俱乐部。好消息是，华尔街对短期利润下降的担忧推动该股7月份收益率升至2.8%。这几乎是拥有多元化总股票市场指数基金的利率的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target is going on fifty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>目标是五十</b></blockquote></p><p> Retailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.<b>TJX Companies</b>was on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.</p><p><blockquote>由于该行业严峻的销售条件，零售商在最高股息名单中的代表性不足。<b>TJX公司</b>正处于获得股息贵族地位的风口浪尖，但在 COVID-19 危机期间不得不暂停派息。即使对于蓝筹巨头来说，这样的紧急情况也并不罕见。<b>家得宝</b>在 2009 年大衰退期间暂停了加息。</blockquote></p><p> Target made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特百货在这两个时期都没有错过任何一个节拍，它的回报是今年进入股息之王俱乐部。在 2020 年盈利能力飙升后，其第 50 次加息也是一次大幅加息。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.</p><p><blockquote>9 月份的股东将获得每股 0.90 美元的现金，比上一季度付款增加 32%。即使在大流行威胁消退后，投资者对塔吉特继续实现市场强劲增长和盈利的潜力同样感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> <b>McDonald's turns forty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>麦当劳四十岁了</b></blockquote></p><p> McDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳自 1976 年以来一直在支付股息，当时一个汉堡的价格仅为 0.37 美元。在过去的40年里，它每年都提高了这一支出，包括2021年最新的3%的增长。</blockquote></p><p> The fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.</p><p><blockquote>这家快餐巨头的高特许经营、高利润的销售模式使其即使在去年销售额下降 10%、盈利萎缩 20% 的情况下仍保持了收入记录。由于成本削减和系统增加的新效率，包括精简的菜单和向送货订单的转变，该业务未来也可能会更有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> These assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>这些资产表明，随着行业领导者继续利用其独特的竞争优势，股东将看到未来许多年的股息增长，其中一些股息将使最新的 3% 的加息相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> Sure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>当然，麦当劳在连续派息方面落后于榜单上的其他股票。但几十年来，该连锁店在适应、推动和利用不断变化的消费者口味方面表现出了敏捷性。在股东等待公司在 2030 年代成为股息之王时，这种能力应该会为他们提供很好的服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Top-Dividend Stocks Have 140 Years of Payout Raises Between Them<blockquote>这些股息最高的股票已有140年的派息增长</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者看重稳定性，他们创造了短期方法来对连续加息记录最长的股息股票进行分类。成员<b>标普500</b>这已经提高了至少 25 年的派息，有资格成为股息贵族。那是一个专属俱乐部，今天只有大约65名会员。</blockquote></p><p> A smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该名单中较小的子集被称为股息之王，即自 1971 年或更早以来至少连续 50 年增加年度派息的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo</b>(NASDAQ:PEP),<b>Target</b>(NYSE:TGT), and&nbsp;<b>McDonald's</b>(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>百事可乐</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：PEP）<b>目标</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TGT），以及<b>麦当劳</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MCD）都极有可能获得这一地位。但还有更多理由喜欢这些高股息股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PepsiCo has been growing for half a century</b></p><p><blockquote><b>百事公司已经发展了半个世纪</b></blockquote></p><p> PepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.</p><p><blockquote>百事公司面临着消费者口味的巨大变化，甚至在最近几年，消费者口味已经远离含糖饮料、健怡可乐和随身携带的饮料。然而，该公司呈现出稳定增长的景象。</blockquote></p><p> Even though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sent<b>Coca-Cola</b>'s volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情扰乱了购物者的流动性并导致<b>可口可乐</b>尽管销量较低，百事可乐 2020 年有机销售额的增长速度与 2019 年大致相同。其零食和食品投资组合，加上对能量饮料的积极押注，使其牢牢跻身成长型股票行列。</blockquote></p><p> Pepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐刚刚宣布的股息上调将使其在2021年进入股息之王俱乐部。好消息是，华尔街对短期利润下降的担忧推动该股7月份收益率升至2.8%。这几乎是拥有多元化总股票市场指数基金的利率的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target is going on fifty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>目标是五十</b></blockquote></p><p> Retailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.<b>TJX Companies</b>was on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.</p><p><blockquote>由于该行业严峻的销售条件，零售商在最高股息名单中的代表性不足。<b>TJX公司</b>正处于获得股息贵族地位的风口浪尖，但在 COVID-19 危机期间不得不暂停派息。即使对于蓝筹巨头来说，这样的紧急情况也并不罕见。<b>家得宝</b>在 2009 年大衰退期间暂停了加息。</blockquote></p><p> Target made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特百货在这两个时期都没有错过任何一个节拍，它的回报是今年进入股息之王俱乐部。在 2020 年盈利能力飙升后，其第 50 次加息也是一次大幅加息。</blockquote></p><p> Shareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.</p><p><blockquote>9 月份的股东将获得每股 0.90 美元的现金，比上一季度付款增加 32%。即使在大流行威胁消退后，投资者对塔吉特继续实现市场强劲增长和盈利的潜力同样感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> <b>McDonald's turns forty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>麦当劳四十岁了</b></blockquote></p><p> McDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳自 1976 年以来一直在支付股息，当时一个汉堡的价格仅为 0.37 美元。在过去的40年里，它每年都提高了这一支出，包括2021年最新的3%的增长。</blockquote></p><p> The fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.</p><p><blockquote>这家快餐巨头的高特许经营、高利润的销售模式使其即使在去年销售额下降 10%、盈利萎缩 20% 的情况下仍保持了收入记录。由于成本削减和系统增加的新效率，包括精简的菜单和向送货订单的转变，该业务未来也可能会更有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> These assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>这些资产表明，随着行业领导者继续利用其独特的竞争优势，股东将看到未来许多年的股息增长，其中一些股息将使最新的 3% 的加息相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> Sure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>当然，麦当劳在连续派息方面落后于榜单上的其他股票。但几十年来，该连锁店在适应、推动和利用不断变化的消费者口味方面表现出了敏捷性。在股东等待公司在 2030 年代成为股息之王时，这种能力应该会为他们提供很好的服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐","MCD":"麦当劳","TGT":"塔吉特"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/30/these-top-dividend-stocks-have-140-years-of-payout/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150867568","content_text":"Because investors put a premium on stability, they've created short-hand ways to classify dividend stocks with the longest track records for continuous raises. A member of the S&P 500 that has boosted its payout for at least 25 years qualifies as a Dividend Aristocrat. That's an exclusive club, with only about 65 members today.\nA smaller subset of that list is referred to as Dividend Kings, companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years, going back to 1971 or earlier.\nPepsiCo(NASDAQ:PEP),Target(NYSE:TGT), and McDonald's(NYSE:MCD)are all highly likely to earn that status. But there are more reasons to like these top-dividend stocks.\nPepsiCo has been growing for half a century\nPepsiCo is exposed to dramatic swings in consumer tastes, which even in recent years have swung away from sugary beverages, diet colas, and on-the-go drinks. Yet the company is the picture of stable growth.\nEven though the pandemic disrupted shopper mobility and sentCoca-Cola's volumes lower, Pepsi grew organic sales at roughly the sameimpressive pace in 2020as it did in 2019. Its snack and food portfolio, plus aggressive bets on energy drinks, kept it firmly in the category of growth stocks.\nPepsi's just-announced dividend hike will usher it into the club of Dividend Kings in 2021. The good news is that Wall Street's worry about a short-term profit drop has pushed the stock's yield up to 2.8% as of July. That's nearly double the rate you'd get from owning a diversified total stock market index fund.\nTarget is going on fifty\nRetailers are underrepresented on the top dividend lists because of the tough selling conditions in that industry.TJX Companieswas on the cusp of qualifying for Dividend Aristocrat status but had to pause its payout during the COVID-19 crisis. An emergency like that isn't especially rare, even for blue-chip giants.Home Depot paused its hikesduring the Great Recessionin 2009.\nTarget made it through both of those periods without missing a beat, and its reward is entry into the Dividend Kings club this year. Its 50th hike was a huge one, too, after profitability surged in 2020.\nShareholders in September will receive $0.90 per share in cash, up 32% from the previous quarterly payment. Investors are just as excited about Target's potential for continuedmarket-thumping growthand earnings even after the pandemic threat fades.\nMcDonald's turns forty\nMcDonald's has been paying a dividend since 1976, or around the time that a burger cost just $0.37 cents. It has raised that payout in each of the last 40 years, including the latest 3% increase for 2021.\nThe fast-food titan's heavily franchised, highly profitable selling model allowed it to maintain its income track record even after sales fell 10% and earnings shrank 20% last year. The business is likely to bemore profitable going forward, too, thanks to cost cuts and new efficiencies added to the system, including a slimmed down menu and a shift toward delivery orders.\nThese assets suggest shareholders will see many more years of dividend increases ahead, and some that dwarf the latest 3% hike, as the industry leader continues to capitalize on its unique competitive strengths.\nSure, McDonald's trails the other stocks on this list in terms of its payout streak. But the chain has demonstrated agility over the decades in adjusting to, driving, and capitalizing on, changing consumer tastes. That ability should serve shareholders well as they wait for their company to become aDividend Kingin the 2030s.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PEP":0.9,"MCD":0.9,"TGT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}