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Sean Wong

Sean Wong

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2021-12-19

Ok

US IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote>

2021-12-11

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-04

Ok

US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote>

2021-11-28

Ok

3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021 年及以后值得购买的 3 只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote>

2021-11-27

Oh!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-26

Ok

Dow futures plunged more than 800 points<blockquote>道琼斯指数期货暴跌逾800点</blockquote>

2021-11-26

Ok

DIDI shares fell more than 5% in premarket trading.<blockquote>滴滴股价在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</blockquote>

2021-11-09

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-09

Ok

Vector Group to spin off Douglas Elliman, creating new public company based in Miami<blockquote>Vector Group 将分拆 Douglas Elliman，在迈阿密创建一家新的上市公司</blockquote>

2021-11-01

Ok

Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、10 月就业报告：本周须知</blockquote>

2021-10-30

Ok

Citigroup to US staff: Get vaccinated, or you're fired<blockquote>花旗集团致美国员工：接种疫苗，否则将被解雇</blockquote>

2021-10-30

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-28

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-24

Ok

US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：半导体、储能、设计师服装等 12 个 IPO 周</blockquote>

2021-10-22

Ok

@看遍世界景赚足天下钱:其实坚持才是炒股最重要的能力

2021-10-21

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-20

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-19

Ok

Short-Seller’s Report Casts Dark Shadow on DatChat<blockquote>卖空者的报告给 DatChat 蒙上了阴影</blockquote>

2021-10-08

Like!

September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>

2021-09-27

Like!

Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

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Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699467237","repostId":"1164517103","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164517103","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639874793,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1164517103?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164517103","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.\nOTC-listed Cerberus Cyber Sent","content":"<p>Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.</p><p><blockquote>只有一笔 IPO 计划在缩短的假期周上市。</blockquote></p><p> OTC-listed&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>Cerberus Cyber Sentinel</b></a> plans to raise $10 million at a $631 million market cap. The company provides a range of cybersecurity consulting and related services, including Secured Managed Services and Compliance Services, among others. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has delivered explosive growth, but it is unprofitable with negative cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>场外上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>地狱犬网络哨兵</b></a>计划以 6.31 亿美元的市值筹集 1000 万美元。该公司提供一系列网络安全咨询和相关服务，包括安全托管服务和合规服务等。Cerberus Cyber Sentinel 实现了爆炸式增长，但由于现金流为负，它无法盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfff81a3d62b2a5b41793d751f8e793\" tg-width=\"696\" tg-height=\"121\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IPO Market Snapshot</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场快照</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 12/16/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 14% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 24%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 29% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 6%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年12月16日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌了14%，而标普500上涨了24%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Moderna (MRNA)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 29%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 6%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 08:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.</p><p><blockquote>只有一笔 IPO 计划在缩短的假期周上市。</blockquote></p><p> OTC-listed&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>Cerberus Cyber Sentinel</b></a> plans to raise $10 million at a $631 million market cap. The company provides a range of cybersecurity consulting and related services, including Secured Managed Services and Compliance Services, among others. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has delivered explosive growth, but it is unprofitable with negative cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>场外上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>地狱犬网络哨兵</b></a>计划以 6.31 亿美元的市值筹集 1000 万美元。该公司提供一系列网络安全咨询和相关服务，包括安全托管服务和合规服务等。Cerberus Cyber Sentinel 实现了爆炸式增长，但由于现金流为负，它无法盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfff81a3d62b2a5b41793d751f8e793\" tg-width=\"696\" tg-height=\"121\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IPO Market Snapshot</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场快照</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 12/16/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 14% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 24%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 29% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 6%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年12月16日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌了14%，而标普500上涨了24%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Moderna (MRNA)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 29%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 6%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89650/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-IPO-market-decks-the-halls-with-1-IPO-in-the-short-ho\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CISO":"CISO Global"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89650/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-IPO-market-decks-the-halls-with-1-IPO-in-the-short-ho","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164517103","content_text":"Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.\nOTC-listed Cerberus Cyber Sentinel plans to raise $10 million at a $631 million market cap. The company provides a range of cybersecurity consulting and related services, including Secured Managed Services and Compliance Services, among others. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has delivered explosive growth, but it is unprofitable with negative cash flow.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 12/16/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 14% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 24%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 29% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 6%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CISO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605275702,"gmtCreate":1639185920316,"gmtModify":1639185993063,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605275702","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608071331,"gmtCreate":1638587288557,"gmtModify":1638587288557,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608071331","repostId":"1174181873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174181873","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638578178,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1174181873?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-04 08:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174181873","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billi","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，四次IPO计划筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>如控股</b>(NU) 计划以 411 亿美元的市值筹集 25 亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于 2013 年，名为 Nubank，旨在推出免费信用卡产品，提供移动优先的客户体验，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，但随着客户群的增长，每位客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP) 计划以 140 亿美元的市值筹集 11 亿美元。这家由风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可以大规模标准化和自动化云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。虽然 HashiCorp 表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于 S&amp;M 支出，HashiCorp 高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI) 计划以 2.96 亿美元的市值筹集 1.06 亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资第一抵押贷款和由商业房地产担保的替代结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀黄金</b>(AUST) 计划以 6400 万美元的市值筹集 1500 万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前在内华达州的四处矿产中拥有权益，目前只有一处矿产被认为是重要的。奥斯汀黄金公司迄今为止尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：数字银行和云基础设施引领 IPO 周 4</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-04 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，四次IPO计划筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>如控股</b>(NU) 计划以 411 亿美元的市值筹集 25 亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于 2013 年，名为 Nubank，旨在推出免费信用卡产品，提供移动优先的客户体验，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，但随着客户群的增长，每位客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP) 计划以 140 亿美元的市值筹集 11 亿美元。这家由风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可以大规模标准化和自动化云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。虽然 HashiCorp 表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于 S&amp;M 支出，HashiCorp 高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI) 计划以 2.96 亿美元的市值筹集 1.06 亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资第一抵押贷款和由商业房地产担保的替代结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀黄金</b>(AUST) 计划以 6400 万美元的市值筹集 1500 万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前在内华达州的四处矿产中拥有权益，目前只有一处矿产被认为是重要的。奥斯汀黄金公司迄今为止尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"REFI":"Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.","NU":"Nu Holdings Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174181873","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.\nBuffett-backed Nu Holdings(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.\nCloud infrastructure platform HashiCorp(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&M spend.\nCannabis finance REIT Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.\nCanadian gold exploration company Austin Gold(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NU":0.9,"HCP":0.9,"REFI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600381317,"gmtCreate":1638067605563,"gmtModify":1638067605699,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600381317","repostId":"1183215653","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183215653","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638064282,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183215653?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-28 09:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021 年及以后值得购买的 3 只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183215653","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscr","content":"<p>Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscription-based, which keeps customers paying monthly fees. Because the software often becomes integral to the operations of organizations that use it, customers are likely to stick with the providers they sign with, and expand their business with them over time. Also, software has minimal costs for physical production and distribution, allowing these companies to operate withhigh gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>软件即服务 (SaaS) 股票可能是非常有利可图的投资。商业模式是基于订阅的，这让客户每月支付费用。由于该软件通常成为使用该软件的组织运营不可或缺的一部分，因此客户可能会坚持与他们签约的提供商合作，并随着时间的推移扩大与他们的业务。此外，软件的实体生产和分销成本极低，使这些公司能够以高毛利率运营。</blockquote></p><p> Three top SaaS stocks that investors should consider today are&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a>.</p><p><blockquote>投资者今天应该考虑的三只顶级 SaaS 股票是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>商店</b></a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>普罗科尔</b></a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>特维利奥</b></a>.</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>商店</b></a></blockquote></p><p> This Canadian e-commerce giant provides businesses with an online presence. With options well-priced for businesses of any size, Shopify provides even the humblest start-ups with an affordable way to reach customers across the internet. It also provides marketing and payment processing tools.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大电子商务巨头为企业提供在线业务。Shopify为任何规模的企业提供价格合理的选择，即使是最卑微的初创企业也提供了一种通过互联网接触客户的负担得起的方式。它还提供营销和支付处理工具。</blockquote></p><p> According to eMarketer, Shopify's platform facilitated the second-largest share of U.S. e-commerce sales last year -- behind only&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>, and ahead of even huge retailers like&nbsp;<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;or marketplace operators like&nbsp;<b>eBay.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据 eMarketer 的数据，Shopify 的平台去年在美国电子商务销售额中占据了第二大份额，仅次于<b>亚马逊</b>甚至领先于大型零售商<b>沃尔玛</b>或者市场运营商喜欢<b>易趣。</b></blockquote></p><p> While it's still far behind Amazon in terms of market share, during the third quarter, Shopify grew its revenue by 46% as its gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 35% to $41.8 billion. Additionally, it has more than $7.5 billion of cash on its balance sheet -- money it can put to work growing its operations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在市场份额方面仍然远远落后于亚马逊，但在第三季度，Shopify 的收入增长了 46%，其商品总量 (GMV) 增长了 35%，达到 418 亿美元。此外，该公司的资产负债表上还有超过 75 亿美元的现金——这笔钱可以用于发展业务。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify has been a remarkable stock over the last five years, up over 3,500%. Yet, management expects its GMV to increase faster than commerce Q4 commerce in general. It also has long-term goals to create a fulfillment network and develop a business-to-business platform. With ambitious expansion plans and growth ahead, every growth investor should consider owning Shopify.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify 在过去五年中一直是一只出色的股票，上涨了 3,500% 以上。然而，管理层预计其 GMV 的增长速度将快于第四季度商业总体增长速度。它还有创建履行网络和开发企业对企业平台的长期目标。随着雄心勃勃的扩张计划和未来的增长，每个成长型投资者都应该考虑拥有Shopify。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>普罗科尔</b></a></blockquote></p><p> Procore's SaaS offering targets the construction industry. It allows owners, contractors, and sub-contractors to connect with each other and gather all the information about a project in a single location.Construction is one of the last industriesto join the SaaS revolution and Procore is leading the way.</p><p><blockquote>Procore的SaaS产品针对建筑行业。它允许业主、承包商和分包商相互联系，并在一个位置收集有关项目的所有信息。建筑业是最后加入SaaS革命的行业之一，Procore正在引领这一潮流。</blockquote></p><p> Its revenue grew at a solid 30% rate in Q3 to $132 million, and it produced free cash flow of $6.5 million. Unlike many SaaS companies, Procore is not putting its focus on expanding as quickly as possible. Instead, it lets customers find its platform organically. It does this by letting paying customers add non-paying users to a project. After those businesses realize the benefits of managing projects with Procore, they are more likely to join up and become paying customers.</p><p><blockquote>其第三季度收入稳步增长 30%，达到 1.32 亿美元，自由现金流为 650 万美元。与许多SaaS公司不同，Procore并没有把重点放在尽快扩张上。相反，它让客户有机地找到它的平台。它通过让付费客户将非付费用户添加到项目中来实现这一点。在这些企业意识到使用Procore管理项目的好处后，他们更有可能加入并成为付费客户。</blockquote></p><p> Procore is at a much earlier stage of its growth than Shopify; it believes it has captured 2% of its potential customers, and less than half of its current customers subscribe to four or more of its 13 products. Its worldwide expansion is progressing; Procore will begin operating in France and Germany next year, for example.</p><p><blockquote>Procore 的发展阶段比 Shopify 要早得多；它认为自己已经获得了 2% 的潜在客户，而目前只有不到一半的客户订阅了其 13 种产品中的 4 种或更多。它的全球扩张正在取得进展；例如，Procore 将于明年开始在法国和德国运营。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Autodesk</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:ADSK)&nbsp;competes against Procore with its Construction Cloud product. However, Procore expects global construction spending to reach $14 trillion in 2025. As such, the construction management software space has plenty of room for multiple players. If it can channel even 5% of spending through its platform, Procore will be a successful investment.</p><p><blockquote><b>欧特克</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：ADSK）凭借其建筑云产品与 Procore 竞争。然而，Procore 预计 2025 年全球建筑支出将达到 14 万亿美元。因此，施工管理软件空间有足够的空间容纳多个参与者。如果它能通过其平台引导哪怕5%的支出，Procore将是一项成功的投资。</blockquote></p><p> With a large growth runway ahead, Procore is a great SaaS stock for the future.</p><p><blockquote>凭借巨大的增长跑道，Procore 是未来优秀的 SaaS 股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>特维利奥</b></a></blockquote></p><p> If you've ever communicated with a business through text messages, chances are Twilio assisted with that. It provides application programming interfaces (APIs) so businesses can build communication tools without needing their own software engineers. It features a usage-based pricing model that generates more revenue for Twilio as its customers grow.</p><p><blockquote>如果你曾经通过短信与企业交流过，Twilio很可能会在这方面得到帮助。它提供应用程序编程接口（API），因此企业可以构建通信工具，而不需要自己的软件工程师。它采用基于使用情况的定价模型，随着客户的增长，为 Twilio 创造更多收入。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio is growing the fastest of these three companies, with Q3 revenue up 65% year over year. It also has an impressive revenue net expansion rate of 131%, meaning existing customers spent 31% more in the quarter than in the prior-year period. And while some of Twilio's growth did come via acquiring companies, its organic growth rate sits at a still-impressive 38%. Concentration risk is being reduced as only 11% of total revenue is attributed to its top 10 accounts down from 14% during Q3 last year.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio 是这三家公司中增长最快的，第三季度收入同比增长 65%。它还拥有令人印象深刻的 131% 的净收入增长率，这意味着现有客户本季度的支出比去年同期增加了 31%。虽然 Twilio 的部分增长确实是通过收购公司实现的，但其有机增长率仍然高达 38%，令人印象深刻。集中风险正在降低，因为总收入中只有 11% 来自前 10 名客户，低于去年第三季度的 14%。</blockquote></p><p> Businesses' desire and need to communicate with customers will only increase, and Twilio is making that easier for them. Management is committed to achieving organic growth of 30% or more annually over the next three years, which would increase its revenue to more than $5.5 billion using Q3 trailing-twelve-month revenue.</p><p><blockquote>企业与客户沟通的愿望和需求只会增加，而Twilio正在让他们更容易做到这一点。管理层致力于在未来三年内实现每年 30% 或以上的有机增长，这将使其第三季度过去 12 个月的收入增加到 55 亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Twilio shows no signs of slowing down and investors should take note.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio 没有表现出放缓的迹象，投资者应该注意。</blockquote></p><p> With all three of these stocks, valuation is a concern. While Twilio and Procore stock's price-to-sales ratio has recently come down, Shopify's has remained fairly steady. Shopify is also valued higher than the other two because the market believes its e-commerce opportunity is massive. Even at these levels, valuation still represents a potential investment risk. However, each deserves a high multiple because of strong execution and future expectations. Should one of the companies begin failing, the valuation will fall to reflect forward sentiment. Exciting growth prospects often come with valuation risks, and it's up to the companies to fulfill their long-term promise.</p><p><blockquote>对于这三只股票来说，估值都是一个问题。虽然 Twilio 和 Procore 股票的市销率最近有所下降，但 Shopify 的市销率保持相当稳定。Shopify 的估值也高于其他两家，因为市场认为其电子商务机会巨大。即使在这些水平上，估值仍然代表着潜在的投资风险。然而，由于强大的执行力和未来的预期，每个都值得高倍数。如果其中一家公司开始倒闭，估值将会下降以反映前瞻性情绪。令人兴奋的增长前景往往伴随着估值风险，这取决于公司是否履行其长期承诺。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6bb9a9a2f064d66040f79ad93086bb1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As the world becomes more connected, SaaS offerings provide businesses with powerful tools they can use to increase their effectiveness and productivity. Wise investors should consider purchasing all three of these stocks but must beware of the risks. Holding onto these stocks looks like a great way to beat the market over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>随着世界变得更加互联，SaaS产品为企业提供了强大的工具，他们可以使用这些工具来提高他们的效率和生产力。明智的投资者应该考虑购买这三只股票，但必须小心风险。从长远来看，持有这些股票看起来是战胜市场的好方法。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021 年及以后值得购买的 3 只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Leading Software-as-a-Service Stocks to Buy in 2021 and Beyond<blockquote>2021 年及以后值得购买的 3 只领先软件即服务股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-28 09:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscription-based, which keeps customers paying monthly fees. Because the software often becomes integral to the operations of organizations that use it, customers are likely to stick with the providers they sign with, and expand their business with them over time. Also, software has minimal costs for physical production and distribution, allowing these companies to operate withhigh gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>软件即服务 (SaaS) 股票可能是非常有利可图的投资。商业模式是基于订阅的，这让客户每月支付费用。由于该软件通常成为使用该软件的组织运营不可或缺的一部分，因此客户可能会坚持与他们签约的提供商合作，并随着时间的推移扩大与他们的业务。此外，软件的实体生产和分销成本极低，使这些公司能够以高毛利率运营。</blockquote></p><p> Three top SaaS stocks that investors should consider today are&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a>.</p><p><blockquote>投资者今天应该考虑的三只顶级 SaaS 股票是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>商店</b></a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>普罗科尔</b></a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>特维利奥</b></a>.</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>Shopify</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\"><b>商店</b></a></blockquote></p><p> This Canadian e-commerce giant provides businesses with an online presence. With options well-priced for businesses of any size, Shopify provides even the humblest start-ups with an affordable way to reach customers across the internet. It also provides marketing and payment processing tools.</p><p><blockquote>这家加拿大电子商务巨头为企业提供在线业务。Shopify为任何规模的企业提供价格合理的选择，即使是最卑微的初创企业也提供了一种通过互联网接触客户的负担得起的方式。它还提供营销和支付处理工具。</blockquote></p><p> According to eMarketer, Shopify's platform facilitated the second-largest share of U.S. e-commerce sales last year -- behind only&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>, and ahead of even huge retailers like&nbsp;<b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;or marketplace operators like&nbsp;<b>eBay.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据 eMarketer 的数据，Shopify 的平台去年在美国电子商务销售额中占据了第二大份额，仅次于<b>亚马逊</b>甚至领先于大型零售商<b>沃尔玛</b>或者市场运营商喜欢<b>易趣。</b></blockquote></p><p> While it's still far behind Amazon in terms of market share, during the third quarter, Shopify grew its revenue by 46% as its gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 35% to $41.8 billion. Additionally, it has more than $7.5 billion of cash on its balance sheet -- money it can put to work growing its operations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在市场份额方面仍然远远落后于亚马逊，但在第三季度，Shopify 的收入增长了 46%，其商品总量 (GMV) 增长了 35%，达到 418 亿美元。此外，该公司的资产负债表上还有超过 75 亿美元的现金——这笔钱可以用于发展业务。</blockquote></p><p> Shopify has been a remarkable stock over the last five years, up over 3,500%. Yet, management expects its GMV to increase faster than commerce Q4 commerce in general. It also has long-term goals to create a fulfillment network and develop a business-to-business platform. With ambitious expansion plans and growth ahead, every growth investor should consider owning Shopify.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify 在过去五年中一直是一只出色的股票，上涨了 3,500% 以上。然而，管理层预计其 GMV 的增长速度将快于第四季度商业总体增长速度。它还有创建履行网络和开发企业对企业平台的长期目标。随着雄心勃勃的扩张计划和未来的增长，每个成长型投资者都应该考虑拥有Shopify。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>Procore</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCOR\"><b>普罗科尔</b></a></blockquote></p><p> Procore's SaaS offering targets the construction industry. It allows owners, contractors, and sub-contractors to connect with each other and gather all the information about a project in a single location.Construction is one of the last industriesto join the SaaS revolution and Procore is leading the way.</p><p><blockquote>Procore的SaaS产品针对建筑行业。它允许业主、承包商和分包商相互联系，并在一个位置收集有关项目的所有信息。建筑业是最后加入SaaS革命的行业之一，Procore正在引领这一潮流。</blockquote></p><p> Its revenue grew at a solid 30% rate in Q3 to $132 million, and it produced free cash flow of $6.5 million. Unlike many SaaS companies, Procore is not putting its focus on expanding as quickly as possible. Instead, it lets customers find its platform organically. It does this by letting paying customers add non-paying users to a project. After those businesses realize the benefits of managing projects with Procore, they are more likely to join up and become paying customers.</p><p><blockquote>其第三季度收入稳步增长 30%，达到 1.32 亿美元，自由现金流为 650 万美元。与许多SaaS公司不同，Procore并没有把重点放在尽快扩张上。相反，它让客户有机地找到它的平台。它通过让付费客户将非付费用户添加到项目中来实现这一点。在这些企业意识到使用Procore管理项目的好处后，他们更有可能加入并成为付费客户。</blockquote></p><p> Procore is at a much earlier stage of its growth than Shopify; it believes it has captured 2% of its potential customers, and less than half of its current customers subscribe to four or more of its 13 products. Its worldwide expansion is progressing; Procore will begin operating in France and Germany next year, for example.</p><p><blockquote>Procore 的发展阶段比 Shopify 要早得多；它认为自己已经获得了 2% 的潜在客户，而目前只有不到一半的客户订阅了其 13 种产品中的 4 种或更多。它的全球扩张正在取得进展；例如，Procore 将于明年开始在法国和德国运营。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Autodesk</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:ADSK)&nbsp;competes against Procore with its Construction Cloud product. However, Procore expects global construction spending to reach $14 trillion in 2025. As such, the construction management software space has plenty of room for multiple players. If it can channel even 5% of spending through its platform, Procore will be a successful investment.</p><p><blockquote><b>欧特克</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：ADSK）凭借其建筑云产品与 Procore 竞争。然而，Procore 预计 2025 年全球建筑支出将达到 14 万亿美元。因此，施工管理软件空间有足够的空间容纳多个参与者。如果它能通过其平台引导哪怕5%的支出，Procore将是一项成功的投资。</blockquote></p><p> With a large growth runway ahead, Procore is a great SaaS stock for the future.</p><p><blockquote>凭借巨大的增长跑道，Procore 是未来优秀的 SaaS 股票。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>Twilio</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\"><b>特维利奥</b></a></blockquote></p><p> If you've ever communicated with a business through text messages, chances are Twilio assisted with that. It provides application programming interfaces (APIs) so businesses can build communication tools without needing their own software engineers. It features a usage-based pricing model that generates more revenue for Twilio as its customers grow.</p><p><blockquote>如果你曾经通过短信与企业交流过，Twilio很可能会在这方面得到帮助。它提供应用程序编程接口（API），因此企业可以构建通信工具，而不需要自己的软件工程师。它采用基于使用情况的定价模型，随着客户的增长，为 Twilio 创造更多收入。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio is growing the fastest of these three companies, with Q3 revenue up 65% year over year. It also has an impressive revenue net expansion rate of 131%, meaning existing customers spent 31% more in the quarter than in the prior-year period. And while some of Twilio's growth did come via acquiring companies, its organic growth rate sits at a still-impressive 38%. Concentration risk is being reduced as only 11% of total revenue is attributed to its top 10 accounts down from 14% during Q3 last year.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio 是这三家公司中增长最快的，第三季度收入同比增长 65%。它还拥有令人印象深刻的 131% 的净收入增长率，这意味着现有客户本季度的支出比去年同期增加了 31%。虽然 Twilio 的部分增长确实是通过收购公司实现的，但其有机增长率仍然高达 38%，令人印象深刻。集中风险正在降低，因为总收入中只有 11% 来自前 10 名客户，低于去年第三季度的 14%。</blockquote></p><p> Businesses' desire and need to communicate with customers will only increase, and Twilio is making that easier for them. Management is committed to achieving organic growth of 30% or more annually over the next three years, which would increase its revenue to more than $5.5 billion using Q3 trailing-twelve-month revenue.</p><p><blockquote>企业与客户沟通的愿望和需求只会增加，而Twilio正在让他们更容易做到这一点。管理层致力于在未来三年内实现每年 30% 或以上的有机增长，这将使其第三季度过去 12 个月的收入增加到 55 亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Twilio shows no signs of slowing down and investors should take note.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio 没有表现出放缓的迹象，投资者应该注意。</blockquote></p><p> With all three of these stocks, valuation is a concern. While Twilio and Procore stock's price-to-sales ratio has recently come down, Shopify's has remained fairly steady. Shopify is also valued higher than the other two because the market believes its e-commerce opportunity is massive. Even at these levels, valuation still represents a potential investment risk. However, each deserves a high multiple because of strong execution and future expectations. Should one of the companies begin failing, the valuation will fall to reflect forward sentiment. Exciting growth prospects often come with valuation risks, and it's up to the companies to fulfill their long-term promise.</p><p><blockquote>对于这三只股票来说，估值都是一个问题。虽然 Twilio 和 Procore 股票的市销率最近有所下降，但 Shopify 的市销率保持相当稳定。Shopify 的估值也高于其他两家，因为市场认为其电子商务机会巨大。即使在这些水平上，估值仍然代表着潜在的投资风险。然而，由于强大的执行力和未来的预期，每个都值得高倍数。如果其中一家公司开始倒闭，估值将会下降以反映前瞻性情绪。令人兴奋的增长前景往往伴随着估值风险，这取决于公司是否履行其长期承诺。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6bb9a9a2f064d66040f79ad93086bb1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As the world becomes more connected, SaaS offerings provide businesses with powerful tools they can use to increase their effectiveness and productivity. Wise investors should consider purchasing all three of these stocks but must beware of the risks. Holding onto these stocks looks like a great way to beat the market over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>随着世界变得更加互联，SaaS产品为企业提供了强大的工具，他们可以使用这些工具来提高他们的效率和生产力。明智的投资者应该考虑购买这三只股票，但必须小心风险。从长远来看，持有这些股票看起来是战胜市场的好方法。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/3-leading-saas-stocks-to-buy-in-2021-and-beyond/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","PCOR":"Procore Technologies","TWLO":"Twilio Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/3-leading-saas-stocks-to-buy-in-2021-and-beyond/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183215653","content_text":"Software-as-a-service (SaaS) stocks can be quite lucrative investments. The business model is subscription-based, which keeps customers paying monthly fees. Because the software often becomes integral to the operations of organizations that use it, customers are likely to stick with the providers they sign with, and expand their business with them over time. Also, software has minimal costs for physical production and distribution, allowing these companies to operate withhigh gross margins.\nThree top SaaS stocks that investors should consider today are Shopify, Procore, and Twilio.\nShopify\nThis Canadian e-commerce giant provides businesses with an online presence. With options well-priced for businesses of any size, Shopify provides even the humblest start-ups with an affordable way to reach customers across the internet. It also provides marketing and payment processing tools.\nAccording to eMarketer, Shopify's platform facilitated the second-largest share of U.S. e-commerce sales last year -- behind only Amazon, and ahead of even huge retailers like Walmart or marketplace operators like eBay.\nWhile it's still far behind Amazon in terms of market share, during the third quarter, Shopify grew its revenue by 46% as its gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 35% to $41.8 billion. Additionally, it has more than $7.5 billion of cash on its balance sheet -- money it can put to work growing its operations.\nShopify has been a remarkable stock over the last five years, up over 3,500%. Yet, management expects its GMV to increase faster than commerce Q4 commerce in general. It also has long-term goals to create a fulfillment network and develop a business-to-business platform. With ambitious expansion plans and growth ahead, every growth investor should consider owning Shopify.\nProcore\nProcore's SaaS offering targets the construction industry. It allows owners, contractors, and sub-contractors to connect with each other and gather all the information about a project in a single location.Construction is one of the last industriesto join the SaaS revolution and Procore is leading the way.\nIts revenue grew at a solid 30% rate in Q3 to $132 million, and it produced free cash flow of $6.5 million. Unlike many SaaS companies, Procore is not putting its focus on expanding as quickly as possible. Instead, it lets customers find its platform organically. It does this by letting paying customers add non-paying users to a project. After those businesses realize the benefits of managing projects with Procore, they are more likely to join up and become paying customers.\nProcore is at a much earlier stage of its growth than Shopify; it believes it has captured 2% of its potential customers, and less than half of its current customers subscribe to four or more of its 13 products. Its worldwide expansion is progressing; Procore will begin operating in France and Germany next year, for example.\nAutodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) competes against Procore with its Construction Cloud product. However, Procore expects global construction spending to reach $14 trillion in 2025. As such, the construction management software space has plenty of room for multiple players. If it can channel even 5% of spending through its platform, Procore will be a successful investment.\nWith a large growth runway ahead, Procore is a great SaaS stock for the future.\nTwilio\nIf you've ever communicated with a business through text messages, chances are Twilio assisted with that. It provides application programming interfaces (APIs) so businesses can build communication tools without needing their own software engineers. It features a usage-based pricing model that generates more revenue for Twilio as its customers grow.\nTwilio is growing the fastest of these three companies, with Q3 revenue up 65% year over year. It also has an impressive revenue net expansion rate of 131%, meaning existing customers spent 31% more in the quarter than in the prior-year period. And while some of Twilio's growth did come via acquiring companies, its organic growth rate sits at a still-impressive 38%. Concentration risk is being reduced as only 11% of total revenue is attributed to its top 10 accounts down from 14% during Q3 last year.\nBusinesses' desire and need to communicate with customers will only increase, and Twilio is making that easier for them. Management is committed to achieving organic growth of 30% or more annually over the next three years, which would increase its revenue to more than $5.5 billion using Q3 trailing-twelve-month revenue.\nTwilio shows no signs of slowing down and investors should take note.\nWith all three of these stocks, valuation is a concern. While Twilio and Procore stock's price-to-sales ratio has recently come down, Shopify's has remained fairly steady. Shopify is also valued higher than the other two because the market believes its e-commerce opportunity is massive. Even at these levels, valuation still represents a potential investment risk. However, each deserves a high multiple because of strong execution and future expectations. Should one of the companies begin failing, the valuation will fall to reflect forward sentiment. Exciting growth prospects often come with valuation risks, and it's up to the companies to fulfill their long-term promise.\n\nAs the world becomes more connected, SaaS offerings provide businesses with powerful tools they can use to increase their effectiveness and productivity. Wise investors should consider purchasing all three of these stocks but must beware of the risks. Holding onto these stocks looks like a great way to beat the market over the long term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PCOR":0.9,"TWLO":0.9,"SHOP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600097460,"gmtCreate":1637999861578,"gmtModify":1637999861828,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh!","listText":"Oh!","text":"Oh!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600097460","repostId":"2186344334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877852776,"gmtCreate":1637917571861,"gmtModify":1637917571964,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877852776","repostId":"1153026977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153026977","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637916099,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153026977?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 16:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow futures plunged more than 800 points<blockquote>道琼斯指数期货暴跌逾800点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153026977","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Today's shortened trading day was supposed to be a calm one, given the typically low trading volumes","content":"<p>Today's shortened trading day was supposed to be a calm one, given the typically low trading volumes seen on Black Friday, but fears of a new COVID-19 variant found in South Africa is shaking up sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于黑色星期五的交易量通常较低，今天缩短的交易日本应是平静的一天，但对在南非发现新的 COVID-19 变种的担忧正在动摇市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Dow futures plunged more&nbsp;than&nbsp;800 points overnight, while contracts linked to the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell nearly&nbsp;2% and 1%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数期货隔夜暴跌逾800点，而与标普500和纳斯达克挂钩的合约分别下跌近2%和1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eec37890079deb400411680e0948c3e5\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"641\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> WTI crude oil futures also tumbled more&nbsp;than 5% to under $75 as the U.K. imposed fresh travel restrictions and investors reacted to panic over future demand.</p><p><blockquote>由于英国实施新的旅行限制以及投资者对未来需求的恐慌反应，WTI 原油期货也下跌超过 5%，至 75 美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1e8e871cc61d1828fe416c505f87882\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow futures plunged more than 800 points<blockquote>道琼斯指数期货暴跌逾800点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow futures plunged more than 800 points<blockquote>道琼斯指数期货暴跌逾800点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-26 16:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Today's shortened trading day was supposed to be a calm one, given the typically low trading volumes seen on Black Friday, but fears of a new COVID-19 variant found in South Africa is shaking up sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于黑色星期五的交易量通常较低，今天缩短的交易日本应是平静的一天，但对在南非发现新的 COVID-19 变种的担忧正在动摇市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Dow futures plunged more&nbsp;than&nbsp;800 points overnight, while contracts linked to the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell nearly&nbsp;2% and 1%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数期货隔夜暴跌逾800点，而与标普500和纳斯达克挂钩的合约分别下跌近2%和1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eec37890079deb400411680e0948c3e5\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"641\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> WTI crude oil futures also tumbled more&nbsp;than 5% to under $75 as the U.K. imposed fresh travel restrictions and investors reacted to panic over future demand.</p><p><blockquote>由于英国实施新的旅行限制以及投资者对未来需求的恐慌反应，WTI 原油期货也下跌超过 5%，至 75 美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1e8e871cc61d1828fe416c505f87882\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153026977","content_text":"Today's shortened trading day was supposed to be a calm one, given the typically low trading volumes seen on Black Friday, but fears of a new COVID-19 variant found in South Africa is shaking up sentiment.\nDow futures plunged more than 800 points overnight, while contracts linked to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell nearly 2% and 1%, respectively.\n\nWTI crude oil futures also tumbled more than 5% to under $75 as the U.K. imposed fresh travel restrictions and investors reacted to panic over future demand.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877852647,"gmtCreate":1637917540431,"gmtModify":1637917540431,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877852647","repostId":"1157750030","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157750030","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637917211,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157750030?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"DIDI shares fell more than 5% in premarket trading.<blockquote>滴滴股价在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157750030","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"DIDI shares fell more than 5% in premarket trading.","content":"<p>DIDI&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2663740e309abffc676a1e00ee6736ff\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"624\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>滴滴股价在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DIDI shares fell more than 5% in premarket trading.<blockquote>滴滴股价在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDIDI shares fell more than 5% in premarket trading.<blockquote>滴滴股价在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-26 17:00</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>DIDI&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2663740e309abffc676a1e00ee6736ff\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"624\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>滴滴股价在盘前交易中下跌超过5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157750030","content_text":"DIDI shares fell more than 5% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844775395,"gmtCreate":1636465153838,"gmtModify":1636466246227,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844775395","repostId":"2182771300","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844775955,"gmtCreate":1636465135329,"gmtModify":1636466246035,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844775955","repostId":"1108997347","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108997347","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636465019,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1108997347?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-09 21:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Vector Group to spin off Douglas Elliman, creating new public company based in Miami<blockquote>Vector Group 将分拆 Douglas Elliman，在迈阿密创建一家新的上市公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108997347","media":"THE BUSINESS JOURNALS","summary":"Vector Group will spin off its Douglas Elliman real estate brokerage, creating a new public company ","content":"<p>Vector Group will spin off its Douglas Elliman real estate brokerage, creating a new public company headquartered in Miami.</p><p><blockquote>Vector Group 将剥离其 Douglas Elliman 房地产经纪公司，创建一家总部位于迈阿密的新上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> Miami-based Vector Group is a holding company for tobacco brands Liggett Group and Vector Tobacco, along with real estate firms New Valley LLC and Douglas Elliman Realty LLC. The company (NYSE: VGR) will soon file a Form 10 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to spin off Douglas Elliman Inc., which will own Douglas Elliman Realty.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于迈阿密的Vector Group是烟草品牌Liggett Group和Vector Tobacco以及房地产公司New Valley LLC和Douglas Elliman Realty LLC的控股公司。该公司（纽约证券交易所代码：VGR）将很快向美国证券交易委员会提交表格10，以分拆道格拉斯·埃利曼公司，该公司将拥有道格拉斯·埃利曼房地产公司。</blockquote></p><p> Company officials said Douglas Elliman Realty would remain based in New York, but its new parent company, Douglas Elliman Inc. (proposed under the ticker \"DOUG\"), would be based in Miami.</p><p><blockquote>公司官员表示，Douglas Elliman Realty 将继续位于纽约，但其新母公司 Douglas Elliman Inc.（拟议股票代码为“DOUG”）将位于迈阿密。</blockquote></p><p> Douglas Elliman is also one of the biggest residential brokerages in the New York metro area and South Florida. It also has offices in California, Colorado, Texas and Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>道格拉斯·埃利曼也是纽约都会区和南佛罗里达州最大的住宅经纪公司之一。它还在加利福尼亚州、科罗拉多州、德克萨斯州和马萨诸塞州设有办事处。</blockquote></p><p> “With a leading luxury brand and a comprehensive suite of technology-enabled services and investments, Douglas Elliman is well positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the large and growing U.S. residential real estate market,” Vector Group President, CEO and ChairmanHoward M. Lorber&nbsp;said. “Following the spin off, Vector Group’s separate tobacco and real estate businesses will be better positioned to execute their strategic plans to drive each company’s long-term success and unlock value for stockholders.”</p><p><blockquote>“Vector Group 总裁、首席执行官兼董事长霍华德-M-洛伯（Howard M. Lorber）说：”道格拉斯-埃利曼（Douglas Elliman）拥有领先的奢侈品牌和全面的技术支持服务和投资，能够很好地利用庞大且不断增长的美国住宅房地产市场的机遇。“分拆后，Vector Group 独立的烟草和房地产业务将能够更好地执行其战略计划，以推动每家公司的长期成功，并为股东释放价值。”</blockquote></p><p> In its recent third quarter earnings release, Vector Group reported revenue of $1.93 billion in the first three quarters of the year. That included $1.3 billion in revenue from real estate operations and $1.2 billion in revenue from tobacco sales. Douglas Elliman accounted for $1 billion of the real estate revenue as it closed $47.7 billion in deals. Douglas Elliman posted a net income of $82.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>在最近发布的第三季度财报中，Vector Group 公布今年前三个季度的收入为 19.3 亿美元。其中包括13亿美元的房地产业务收入和12亿美元的烟草销售收入。道格拉斯·埃利曼 (Douglas Elliman) 完成了 477 亿美元的交易，占房地产收入的 10 亿美元。道格拉斯·埃利曼公布的净利润为8220万美元。</blockquote></p><p> If numbers like that hold up, the spinoff will be among the largest real estate companies in South Florida.</p><p><blockquote>如果这样的数字成立，分拆出来的公司将成为南佛罗里达州最大的房地产公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we move forward on this path to establish Douglas Elliman as a standalone public company, our experienced management team remains committed to optimizing our existing portfolio of solutions, expanding our market footprint and making strategic investments in early-stage, disruptive proptech companies that keep us and our agents on the cutting edge of the industry,\" said&nbsp;Scott Durkin, CEO of Douglas Elliman Realty LLC.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们在将 Douglas Elliman 打造成一家独立的上市公司的道路上前进，我们经验丰富的管理团队仍然致力于优化我们现有的解决方案组合，扩大我们的市场足迹，并对早期、颠覆性的房地产技术公司进行战略投资，使我们和我们的代理商处于行业的前沿，”Douglas Elliman Realty LLC 首席执行官 Scott Durkin 说道。</blockquote></p><p> The spinoff could be completed near the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>分拆可能会在2021年底左右完成。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1633760424806","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Vector Group to spin off Douglas Elliman, creating new public company based in Miami<blockquote>Vector Group 将分拆 Douglas Elliman，在迈阿密创建一家新的上市公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVector Group to spin off Douglas Elliman, creating new public company based in Miami<blockquote>Vector Group 将分拆 Douglas Elliman，在迈阿密创建一家新的上市公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">THE BUSINESS JOURNALS</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 21:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vector Group will spin off its Douglas Elliman real estate brokerage, creating a new public company headquartered in Miami.</p><p><blockquote>Vector Group 将剥离其 Douglas Elliman 房地产经纪公司，创建一家总部位于迈阿密的新上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> Miami-based Vector Group is a holding company for tobacco brands Liggett Group and Vector Tobacco, along with real estate firms New Valley LLC and Douglas Elliman Realty LLC. The company (NYSE: VGR) will soon file a Form 10 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to spin off Douglas Elliman Inc., which will own Douglas Elliman Realty.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于迈阿密的Vector Group是烟草品牌Liggett Group和Vector Tobacco以及房地产公司New Valley LLC和Douglas Elliman Realty LLC的控股公司。该公司（纽约证券交易所代码：VGR）将很快向美国证券交易委员会提交表格10，以分拆道格拉斯·埃利曼公司，该公司将拥有道格拉斯·埃利曼房地产公司。</blockquote></p><p> Company officials said Douglas Elliman Realty would remain based in New York, but its new parent company, Douglas Elliman Inc. (proposed under the ticker \"DOUG\"), would be based in Miami.</p><p><blockquote>公司官员表示，Douglas Elliman Realty 将继续位于纽约，但其新母公司 Douglas Elliman Inc.（拟议股票代码为“DOUG”）将位于迈阿密。</blockquote></p><p> Douglas Elliman is also one of the biggest residential brokerages in the New York metro area and South Florida. It also has offices in California, Colorado, Texas and Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>道格拉斯·埃利曼也是纽约都会区和南佛罗里达州最大的住宅经纪公司之一。它还在加利福尼亚州、科罗拉多州、德克萨斯州和马萨诸塞州设有办事处。</blockquote></p><p> “With a leading luxury brand and a comprehensive suite of technology-enabled services and investments, Douglas Elliman is well positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the large and growing U.S. residential real estate market,” Vector Group President, CEO and ChairmanHoward M. Lorber&nbsp;said. “Following the spin off, Vector Group’s separate tobacco and real estate businesses will be better positioned to execute their strategic plans to drive each company’s long-term success and unlock value for stockholders.”</p><p><blockquote>“Vector Group 总裁、首席执行官兼董事长霍华德-M-洛伯（Howard M. Lorber）说：”道格拉斯-埃利曼（Douglas Elliman）拥有领先的奢侈品牌和全面的技术支持服务和投资，能够很好地利用庞大且不断增长的美国住宅房地产市场的机遇。“分拆后，Vector Group 独立的烟草和房地产业务将能够更好地执行其战略计划，以推动每家公司的长期成功，并为股东释放价值。”</blockquote></p><p> In its recent third quarter earnings release, Vector Group reported revenue of $1.93 billion in the first three quarters of the year. That included $1.3 billion in revenue from real estate operations and $1.2 billion in revenue from tobacco sales. Douglas Elliman accounted for $1 billion of the real estate revenue as it closed $47.7 billion in deals. Douglas Elliman posted a net income of $82.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>在最近发布的第三季度财报中，Vector Group 公布今年前三个季度的收入为 19.3 亿美元。其中包括13亿美元的房地产业务收入和12亿美元的烟草销售收入。道格拉斯·埃利曼 (Douglas Elliman) 完成了 477 亿美元的交易，占房地产收入的 10 亿美元。道格拉斯·埃利曼公布的净利润为8220万美元。</blockquote></p><p> If numbers like that hold up, the spinoff will be among the largest real estate companies in South Florida.</p><p><blockquote>如果这样的数字成立，分拆出来的公司将成为南佛罗里达州最大的房地产公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we move forward on this path to establish Douglas Elliman as a standalone public company, our experienced management team remains committed to optimizing our existing portfolio of solutions, expanding our market footprint and making strategic investments in early-stage, disruptive proptech companies that keep us and our agents on the cutting edge of the industry,\" said&nbsp;Scott Durkin, CEO of Douglas Elliman Realty LLC.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们在将 Douglas Elliman 打造成一家独立的上市公司的道路上前进，我们经验丰富的管理团队仍然致力于优化我们现有的解决方案组合，扩大我们的市场足迹，并对早期、颠覆性的房地产技术公司进行战略投资，使我们和我们的代理商处于行业的前沿，”Douglas Elliman Realty LLC 首席执行官 Scott Durkin 说道。</blockquote></p><p> The spinoff could be completed near the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>分拆可能会在2021年底左右完成。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.bizjournals.com/southflorida/news/2021/11/09/vector-group-to-spin-off-douglas-elliman.html?ana=yahoo\">THE BUSINESS JOURNALS</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bizjournals.com/southflorida/news/2021/11/09/vector-group-to-spin-off-douglas-elliman.html?ana=yahoo","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108997347","content_text":"Vector Group will spin off its Douglas Elliman real estate brokerage, creating a new public company headquartered in Miami.\nMiami-based Vector Group is a holding company for tobacco brands Liggett Group and Vector Tobacco, along with real estate firms New Valley LLC and Douglas Elliman Realty LLC. The company (NYSE: VGR) will soon file a Form 10 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to spin off Douglas Elliman Inc., which will own Douglas Elliman Realty.\nCompany officials said Douglas Elliman Realty would remain based in New York, but its new parent company, Douglas Elliman Inc. (proposed under the ticker \"DOUG\"), would be based in Miami.\nDouglas Elliman is also one of the biggest residential brokerages in the New York metro area and South Florida. It also has offices in California, Colorado, Texas and Massachusetts.\n“With a leading luxury brand and a comprehensive suite of technology-enabled services and investments, Douglas Elliman is well positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the large and growing U.S. residential real estate market,” Vector Group President, CEO and ChairmanHoward M. Lorber said. “Following the spin off, Vector Group’s separate tobacco and real estate businesses will be better positioned to execute their strategic plans to drive each company’s long-term success and unlock value for stockholders.”\nIn its recent third quarter earnings release, Vector Group reported revenue of $1.93 billion in the first three quarters of the year. That included $1.3 billion in revenue from real estate operations and $1.2 billion in revenue from tobacco sales. Douglas Elliman accounted for $1 billion of the real estate revenue as it closed $47.7 billion in deals. Douglas Elliman posted a net income of $82.2 million.\nIf numbers like that hold up, the spinoff will be among the largest real estate companies in South Florida.\n\"As we move forward on this path to establish Douglas Elliman as a standalone public company, our experienced management team remains committed to optimizing our existing portfolio of solutions, expanding our market footprint and making strategic investments in early-stage, disruptive proptech companies that keep us and our agents on the cutting edge of the industry,\" said Scott Durkin, CEO of Douglas Elliman Realty LLC.\nThe spinoff could be completed near the end of 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849103493,"gmtCreate":1635732400303,"gmtModify":1635732400303,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849103493","repostId":"2179250221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2179250221","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635721559,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2179250221?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-01 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、10 月就业报告：本周须知</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2179250221","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set th","content":"<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、10 月就业报告：本周须知</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、10 月就业报告：本周须知</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-01 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLX":"高乐氏",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COP":"康菲石油","UBER":"优步","EL":"雅诗兰黛",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BLMN":"Bloomin' Brands","PFE":"辉瑞","RL":"拉夫劳伦","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","APO":"阿波罗全球管理"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179250221","content_text":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also await more data on the U.S. economic recovery with the Labor Department's monthly jobs report later this week.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) November meeting will take place from Tuesday to Wednesday, with the policy statement and press conference from the meeting serving as the central bank's penultimate opportunity this year to announce formal plans to begin rolling back its crisis-era quantitative easing program. For the past year-and-a-half, the central bank has been purchasing $120 billion per month in agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries, as one major tool to support the economy during the pandemic.\nIn late September, the FOMC's latest monetary policy statement and press conference from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank was apt to announce the start of tapering before year-end, and continue the tapering process until \"around the middle of next year.\"\n\"The upcoming FOMC meeting will be important for three reasons: 1) the announcement of tapering; 2) guidance around what tapering means for the path of hikes; and 3) nuanced changes in views around inflation risks given recent data,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note.\n\"The statement that announces the new pace of asset purchases will be followed by a note regarding flexibility stating that asset purchases are not on a pre-set course and will depend on the outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as an assessment of the efficacy of asset purchases,\" she predicted.\nShe noted that Powell may also use the press conference to reiterate that the end of tapering would not necessarily indicate the start of rate hikes, and that both policy actions are distinct. In previous public remarks, Powell has already made a similar point in previous public remarks, saying, \"the timing and pace of the coming reduction in asset purchases will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate liftoff.\"\nGiven the market has been anticipating the start to tapering for months now, speculation around when the Fed will make a move on interest rates has become a point of particular interest to investors. Investors and economists have mulled whether the Fed may need to act more quickly than previously telegraphed on adjusting interest rates to stave off inflation, which has proven more long-lasting than some had suggested.\nWASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 24: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill on September 24, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin are testifying about the CARES Act and the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Drew Angerer via Getty Images\nIn September, core personal consumption expenditures — the Fed's preferred gauge of underlying inflation — rose 3.6% over last year for a fourth consecutive month, coming in at the fastest clip since 1991. And earlier this month, Powell acknowledged in public remarks that the supply chain constraints and shortages that spurred the latest rise in prices are \"likely to last longer than previously expected, likely well into next year.\"\nWhile the central bank will not release an updated Summary of Economic Projections with their policy statement on Wednesday, the latest projections from the September meeting suggested the committee was split on rate hikes for 2022, with nine members seeing no rate hikes by the end of next year while the other nine members saw at least one hike.\n\"I think the Fed has pretty well determined to start the taper pretty quickly. We expect them to announce it next week and then start it soon thereafter, so that's pretty well carved in stone,\" Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab chief fixed income strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live last week. \"I think the big debate now is how quickly the Fed moves toward actually raising rates. The expectation in the market has really shifted to expecting as many as two rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 ... that’s a pretty aggressive pace of tightening.\"\nOctober jobs report\nOne of this week's most closely watched pieces of economic data will be the October jobs report, which is due for release on Friday from the Labor Department.\nEconomists are looking to see a pick-up in the pace of hiring for October after a disappointing print in September, when just 194,000 non-farm payrolls returned versus the half million expected. Over the past two months, payroll gains averaged at just 280,000. The unemployment rate is expected to take another small step toward pre-pandemic levels in October as well, with the jobless rate anticipated to dip to 4.7% from 4.8% the prior month.\nStill, the labor market has still fallen short its pre-pandemic conditions on a number of fronts. The unemployment rate has yet to return to its 50-year low of 3.5% from February 2020. And as of September, the civilian labor force was still down by about 3.1 million individuals from pre-virus levels.\nOne factor weighing on the labor market in August and September was the Delta variant, which may have deterred some workers from seeking employment in person for risk of infection. And an ongoing element dragging on the labor market's recovery has been a mismatch of supply and demand, with employers struggling to fill a near-record number of job openings while voluntary quits jumped to a historically high level.\n\"Next week’s October payrolls report will shed light on whether supply eased on diminishing constraints or if the labor market continues to face headwinds for now,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note last week.\nBut some data from the past couple weeks has reflected favorably on conditions in the labor market in October. Weekly new unemployment claims broke below 300,000 for the first time since the start of the pandemic during the survey week for the October jobs report, or the week that includes the 12th of the month. And in the Conference Board's October Consumer Confidence Index, just 10.6% of consumers said jobs were \"hard to get,\" down from 13.0% in September. That brought the Conference Board's closely watched labor market differential, or percentage of consumers saying jobs are \"hard to get\" subtracted from the percentage saying jobs \"are plentiful,\" to 45, or its highest level since 2000.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, Oct. final (59.3 expected, 59.2 in September); Constructing spending, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.0% in August); ISM Manufacturing Index, Oct. (60.5 expected, 61.1 in September)\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 29 (0.3% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, Oct. (400,000 expected, 568,000 in September); ISM Services Index, October (62.0 expected, 61.9 in September); Factory Orders, September (-0.1% expected, 1.2% in August); Durable goods orders, September final (-0.4% in prior print; Durable goods orders excluding transportation, September final (0.4% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, September final (0.8% in prior print); Markit U.S. Services PMI, October final (58.2 expected, 58.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, October final (57.3 in prior print); Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy decision\nThursday: Challenger job cuts, year-over-year, October (-84.9% in September); Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 30 (275,000 expected, 281,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 23 (2.147 million expected, 2.243 million during prior week); Non-farm productivity, Q3 preliminary (-3.2% expected, 2.1% in Q2); Unit Labor Costs, Q3 preliminary (6.9% expected, 1.3% in Q2); Trade balance, September (-$80.1 billion expected, -$73.3 billion in August)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, October (450,000 expected, 194,000 in September); Unemployment rate, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, October (4.9% expected, 4.6% in September); Labor Force Participation Rate, October (61.8% expected, 61.6% in September); Consumer Credit, September ($16.200 billion expected, $14.379 million in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Clorox (CLX), Avis Budget Group (CAR), ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI), Chegg Inc. (CHGG), Diamondback Energy (FANG), The Simon Property Group (SPG) after market close\nTuesday: Under Armour (UAA), Estee Lauder (EL), Ralph Lauren (RL), Apollo Global Management (APO), Corsair Gaming (CRSR), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Pfizer (PFE), Groupon (GPN), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) before market open; Mondelez (MDLZ), T-Mobile (TMUS), Akamai (AKAM), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Lyft (LYFT), Match Group (MTCH), Devon Energy (DVN), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Coursera (COUR), Zillow Group (ZG), Amgen (AMGN) after market close\nWednesday: Humana (HUM), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), The New York Times (NYT), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Marriott International (MAR), CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI) before market open; Booking Holdings (BKNG), Qorvo (QRVO), The Allstate Corp. (ALL), MGM Resorts International (MGM), $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ (TTWO), Electronic Arts (EA), Vimeo (VMEO), Etsy (ETSY), GoDaddy (GDDY), Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), Roku (ROKU), Qualcomm (QCOM) after market close\nThursday: Cigna (CI), Wayfair (W), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Nikola (NKLA), Duke Energy (DUK), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Hanesbrands (HBI), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Vulcan Material (VMC), Kellogg (K), Square (SQ), Cloudflare (NET), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Uber Technologies (UBER), American International Group (AIG), Shake Shack (SHAK), iHeartMedia (IHRT), Novavax (NVAX), IAC Interactive Corp. (IAC), Peloton (PTON), Dropbox (DBX), DataDog (DDOG), Pinterest (PINS), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Expedia (EXPE), Rocket Cos. (RKT), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), Airbnb (ABNB)\nFriday: Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Dish Networks (DISH), Dominion Energy (D), DraftKings (DKNG), Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT), Cinemark Holdings (CNK) before market open","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"COP":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"APO":0.9,"EL":0.9,"RL":0.9,"CLX":0.9,"CRSR":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BLMN":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857745633,"gmtCreate":1635563753956,"gmtModify":1635563754220,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857745633","repostId":"1196906033","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196906033","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635557183,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1196906033?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-30 09:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Citigroup to US staff: Get vaccinated, or you're fired<blockquote>花旗集团致美国员工：接种疫苗，否则将被解雇</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196906033","media":"CNN","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Citigroup told staff Thursday that US-based employees will berequired to get ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> (CNN Business)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> told staff Thursday that US-based employees will berequired to get fully vaccinatedif they want to stay employed.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>（CNN商业）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>周四告诉员工，如果美国员工想继续受雇，就必须接种全面疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> In apost on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LNKD\">LinkedIn</a>, Citi's head of human resources Sara Wechter partially cited the Biden administration's vaccine order for federal contractors, noting the US government is a \"large and important client\" of the bank.\"We have an obligation to comply with the Executive Order issued by the White House mandating that individuals supporting government contracts be fully vaccinated — an order that would impact the vast majority of our U.S. colleagues,\" Wechter wrote.</p><p><blockquote>在帖子上<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LNKD\">领英</a>花旗人力资源主管萨拉·韦克特（Sara Wechter）部分引用了拜登政府针对联邦承包商的疫苗订单，并指出美国政府是该银行的“大而重要的客户”。“我们有义务遵守白宫发布的行政命令，要求支持政府合同的个人全面接种疫苗——这一命令将影响我们绝大多数美国同事，”韦克特写道。</blockquote></p><p> In September, President Joe Bidensigned an executive ordermandating that employees of contractors that do business with the federal government get vaccinated against Covid-19, with no option of being regularly tested to opt out. The government has set a December 8 deadline for contractors to comply.ACiti(C)official told CNN the bank is strongly encouraging and incentivizing employees to submit proof of vaccination by December 8, including by offering a $200 \"thank you\" to those that do.As a condition of employment, Citi employees will need to submit proof of vaccination by January 14, the Citi official said, adding that the bank will do everything it can to help staff get vaccinated to avoid being let go.</p><p><blockquote>9 月，乔·拜登总统签署了一项行政命令，要求与联邦政府有业务往来的承包商的员工接种 Covid-19 疫苗，不能选择定期接受检测以选择退出。政府已将 12 月 8 日定为承包商遵守规定的最后期限。 ACiti(C) 官员告诉 CNN，该银行强烈鼓励和激励员工在 12 月 8 日之前提交疫苗接种证明，包括向那些这样做的人提供 200 美元的“感谢”。花旗官员表示，作为雇佣条件，花旗员工需要在 1 月 14 日之前提交疫苗接种证明，并补充说，该银行将尽一切努力帮助员工接种疫苗，以避免被解雇。</blockquote></p><p> The other factor behind the vaccine mandate at Citi is a desire to protect its employees.\"Having a vaccinated workforce enables us to ensure the health and safety of our colleagues as we return to the office in the US,\" Wechter, the HR executive, wrote in the LinkedIn post.96% of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a>'s active workers are vaccinatedCiti said it will assess all requests for religious, medical or other accommodations on a case by case basis.\"We have made the decision to require US-based colleagues to be fully vaccinated as a condition of employment,\" Wechter wrote.The Citi exec noted there is a \"range of views\" about vaccine mandates and that this decision was made with \"careful consideration and analysis.\"</p><p><blockquote>花旗强制接种疫苗背后的另一个因素是保护员工的愿望。“拥有接种疫苗的员工队伍使我们能够在返回美国办公室时确保同事的健康和安全，”人力资源主管韦克特在 LinkedIn 帖子中写道。96% 的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>在职员工已接种疫苗花旗表示，将根据具体情况评估所有宗教、医疗或其他便利请求。韦克特写道：“我们已决定要求美国同事全面接种疫苗，作为就业条件。”花旗高管指出，关于疫苗接种规定有“一系列观点”，这一决定是经过“仔细考虑和分析”做出的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Citigroup to US staff: Get vaccinated, or you're fired<blockquote>花旗集团致美国员工：接种疫苗，否则将被解雇</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCitigroup to US staff: Get vaccinated, or you're fired<blockquote>花旗集团致美国员工：接种疫苗，否则将被解雇</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-30 09:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> (CNN Business)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> told staff Thursday that US-based employees will berequired to get fully vaccinatedif they want to stay employed.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>（CNN商业）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>周四告诉员工，如果美国员工想继续受雇，就必须接种全面疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> In apost on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LNKD\">LinkedIn</a>, Citi's head of human resources Sara Wechter partially cited the Biden administration's vaccine order for federal contractors, noting the US government is a \"large and important client\" of the bank.\"We have an obligation to comply with the Executive Order issued by the White House mandating that individuals supporting government contracts be fully vaccinated — an order that would impact the vast majority of our U.S. colleagues,\" Wechter wrote.</p><p><blockquote>在帖子上<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LNKD\">领英</a>花旗人力资源主管萨拉·韦克特（Sara Wechter）部分引用了拜登政府针对联邦承包商的疫苗订单，并指出美国政府是该银行的“大而重要的客户”。“我们有义务遵守白宫发布的行政命令，要求支持政府合同的个人全面接种疫苗——这一命令将影响我们绝大多数美国同事，”韦克特写道。</blockquote></p><p> In September, President Joe Bidensigned an executive ordermandating that employees of contractors that do business with the federal government get vaccinated against Covid-19, with no option of being regularly tested to opt out. The government has set a December 8 deadline for contractors to comply.ACiti(C)official told CNN the bank is strongly encouraging and incentivizing employees to submit proof of vaccination by December 8, including by offering a $200 \"thank you\" to those that do.As a condition of employment, Citi employees will need to submit proof of vaccination by January 14, the Citi official said, adding that the bank will do everything it can to help staff get vaccinated to avoid being let go.</p><p><blockquote>9 月，乔·拜登总统签署了一项行政命令，要求与联邦政府有业务往来的承包商的员工接种 Covid-19 疫苗，不能选择定期接受检测以选择退出。政府已将 12 月 8 日定为承包商遵守规定的最后期限。 ACiti(C) 官员告诉 CNN，该银行强烈鼓励和激励员工在 12 月 8 日之前提交疫苗接种证明，包括向那些这样做的人提供 200 美元的“感谢”。花旗官员表示，作为雇佣条件，花旗员工需要在 1 月 14 日之前提交疫苗接种证明，并补充说，该银行将尽一切努力帮助员工接种疫苗，以避免被解雇。</blockquote></p><p> The other factor behind the vaccine mandate at Citi is a desire to protect its employees.\"Having a vaccinated workforce enables us to ensure the health and safety of our colleagues as we return to the office in the US,\" Wechter, the HR executive, wrote in the LinkedIn post.96% of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a>'s active workers are vaccinatedCiti said it will assess all requests for religious, medical or other accommodations on a case by case basis.\"We have made the decision to require US-based colleagues to be fully vaccinated as a condition of employment,\" Wechter wrote.The Citi exec noted there is a \"range of views\" about vaccine mandates and that this decision was made with \"careful consideration and analysis.\"</p><p><blockquote>花旗强制接种疫苗背后的另一个因素是保护员工的愿望。“拥有接种疫苗的员工队伍使我们能够在返回美国办公室时确保同事的健康和安全，”人力资源主管韦克特在 LinkedIn 帖子中写道。96% 的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>在职员工已接种疫苗花旗表示，将根据具体情况评估所有宗教、医疗或其他便利请求。韦克特写道：“我们已决定要求美国同事全面接种疫苗，作为就业条件。”花旗高管指出，关于疫苗接种规定有“一系列观点”，这一决定是经过“仔细考虑和分析”做出的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/28/investing/citigroup-vaccine-mandate/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"08100":"名科国际","C":"花旗"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/28/investing/citigroup-vaccine-mandate/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196906033","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Citigroup told staff Thursday that US-based employees will berequired to get fully vaccinatedif they want to stay employed.\nIn apost on LinkedIn, Citi's head of human resources Sara Wechter partially cited the Biden administration's vaccine order for federal contractors, noting the US government is a \"large and important client\" of the bank.\"We have an obligation to comply with the Executive Order issued by the White House mandating that individuals supporting government contracts be fully vaccinated — an order that would impact the vast majority of our U.S. colleagues,\" Wechter wrote.\nIn September, President Joe Bidensigned an executive ordermandating that employees of contractors that do business with the federal government get vaccinated against Covid-19, with no option of being regularly tested to opt out. The government has set a December 8 deadline for contractors to comply.ACiti(C)official told CNN the bank is strongly encouraging and incentivizing employees to submit proof of vaccination by December 8, including by offering a $200 \"thank you\" to those that do.As a condition of employment, Citi employees will need to submit proof of vaccination by January 14, the Citi official said, adding that the bank will do everything it can to help staff get vaccinated to avoid being let go.\nThe other factor behind the vaccine mandate at Citi is a desire to protect its employees.\"Having a vaccinated workforce enables us to ensure the health and safety of our colleagues as we return to the office in the US,\" Wechter, the HR executive, wrote in the LinkedIn post.96% of Tyson's active workers are vaccinatedCiti said it will assess all requests for religious, medical or other accommodations on a case by case basis.\"We have made the decision to require US-based colleagues to be fully vaccinated as a condition of employment,\" Wechter wrote.The Citi exec noted there is a \"range of views\" about vaccine mandates and that this decision was made with \"careful consideration and analysis.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"08100":0.9,"C":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857742948,"gmtCreate":1635563712148,"gmtModify":1635563712148,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857742948","repostId":"2179424781","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854950969,"gmtCreate":1635413687714,"gmtModify":1635413687788,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854950969","repostId":"2178407772","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858218007,"gmtCreate":1635056086038,"gmtModify":1635056086221,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858218007","repostId":"1174514229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174514229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635035471,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1174514229?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 08:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：半导体、储能、设计师服装等 12 个 IPO 周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174514229","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.","content":"<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续忙碌，未来一周将有12次IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>全球代工厂</b>(GFS) 计划以 246 亿美元的市值筹集 24 亿美元。在阿布扎比 Mubadala 的支持下，总部位于美国的 GlobalFoundries 是世界领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，尚未盈利，该公司表示，它是唯一一家在全球范围内不在中国的大规模纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>信息学</b>(INFA) 计划以 87 亿美元的市值筹集 8.85 亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上为超过 5,700 名客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC) 计划以 38 亿美元的市值筹集 6.98 亿美元。该公司由西门子和 AES 组建，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2021年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942兆瓦的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收入周期管理平台<b>健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB) 计划以 36 亿美元的市值筹集 6.05 亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着 2021 年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health 实现了盈利，管理的年度客户净患者收入超过 200 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>HireRight 控股</b>(HRT) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 5 亿美元。该公司为超过40,000名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监测以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流为负，但 HireRight 在 2021 年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>乌德米</b>(UDMY) 计划以 43 亿美元的市值筹集 4.06 亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400多万客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy 不断增长，但无利可图，自成立以来已注册超过 7300 万用户。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可方<b>连生物</b>（LIAN）计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化各种适应症的药物。LianBio 目前的产品线包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租跑道</b>（RENT）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司原本专注于活动礼服的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从包月包厢获得收入。虽然该公司在过去两个季度的活跃用户和收入有所反弹，但在IPO后却无利可图且杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA) 计划以 17 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的沉重打击，Candela Medical 仍实现了强劲增长，并在 2021 年上半年实现了盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑牌<b>Solo品牌</b>(DTC) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。快速增长和盈利，这个户外电子商务拥有超过230万客户的安装基础。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>身体轮廓提供者<b>AirSculpt技术</b>(AIRS) 计划以 8.86 亿美元的市值筹集 1.6 亿美元。这家公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创身体塑形手术。AirSculpt Technologies 实现了盈利，增长稳健，并且由于 COVID-19 的影响减弱，同中心病例量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>（AIP）计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并授权interconnect知识产权，该知识产权管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris 尚未盈利，但在 2021 年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 12 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年10月22日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今上涨8.2%，而标普500上涨21.1%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Uber Technologies (UBER) 和 Moderna (MRNA)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 15.8%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 9.1%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：半导体、储能、设计师服装等 12 个 IPO 周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：半导体、储能、设计师服装等 12 个 IPO 周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 08:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续忙碌，未来一周将有12次IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>全球代工厂</b>(GFS) 计划以 246 亿美元的市值筹集 24 亿美元。在阿布扎比 Mubadala 的支持下，总部位于美国的 GlobalFoundries 是世界领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，尚未盈利，该公司表示，它是唯一一家在全球范围内不在中国的大规模纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>信息学</b>(INFA) 计划以 87 亿美元的市值筹集 8.85 亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上为超过 5,700 名客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC) 计划以 38 亿美元的市值筹集 6.98 亿美元。该公司由西门子和 AES 组建，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2021年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942兆瓦的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收入周期管理平台<b>健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB) 计划以 36 亿美元的市值筹集 6.05 亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着 2021 年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health 实现了盈利，管理的年度客户净患者收入超过 200 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>HireRight 控股</b>(HRT) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 5 亿美元。该公司为超过40,000名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监测以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流为负，但 HireRight 在 2021 年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>乌德米</b>(UDMY) 计划以 43 亿美元的市值筹集 4.06 亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400多万客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy 不断增长，但无利可图，自成立以来已注册超过 7300 万用户。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可方<b>连生物</b>（LIAN）计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化各种适应症的药物。LianBio 目前的产品线包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租跑道</b>（RENT）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司原本专注于活动礼服的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从包月包厢获得收入。虽然该公司在过去两个季度的活跃用户和收入有所反弹，但在IPO后却无利可图且杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA) 计划以 17 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的沉重打击，Candela Medical 仍实现了强劲增长，并在 2021 年上半年实现了盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑牌<b>Solo品牌</b>(DTC) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。快速增长和盈利，这个户外电子商务拥有超过230万客户的安装基础。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>身体轮廓提供者<b>AirSculpt技术</b>(AIRS) 计划以 8.86 亿美元的市值筹集 1.6 亿美元。这家公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创身体塑形手术。AirSculpt Technologies 实现了盈利，增长稳健，并且由于 COVID-19 的影响减弱，同中心病例量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>（AIP）计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并授权interconnect知识产权，该知识产权管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris 尚未盈利，但在 2021 年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 12 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年10月22日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今上涨8.2%，而标普500上涨21.1%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Uber Technologies (UBER) 和 Moderna (MRNA)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 15.8%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 9.1%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","RENT":"Rent the Runway, Inc.","HRT":"HireRight Holdings Corp.",".DJI":"道琼斯","INFA":"Informatica Inc.","AIRS":"Airsculpt Technologies",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FLNC":"Fluence Energy, Inc.","AIP":"Arteris, Inc.","UDMY":"Udemy, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174514229","content_text":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.\nSemiconductor foundry GlobalFoundries(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.\nEnterprise cloud data management platform Informatica(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.\nEnergy storage provider Fluence Energy(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.\nRevenue cycle management platform Ensemble Health Partners(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.\nHiring solutions provider HireRight Holdings(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.\nOnline education marketplace Udemy(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.\nChinese drug in-licensor LianBio(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.\nRent the Runway(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.\nAesthetic medical device maker Candela Medical(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.\nFire pit brand Solo Brands(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.\nBody contouring provider AirSculpt Technologies(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.\nTechnology firm Arteris(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AIRS":0.9,"FLNC":0.9,"CDLA":0.9,"DTC":0.9,"INFA":0.9,"UDMY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"AIP":0.9,"RENT":0.9,"LIAN":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ENSB":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"HRT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851126308,"gmtCreate":1634883766061,"gmtModify":1634883766124,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851126308","repostId":"853024370","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":853024370,"gmtCreate":1634743891700,"gmtModify":1634857104483,"author":{"id":"3466684903067182","authorId":"3466684903067182","name":"看遍世界景赚足天下钱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/036367fd006fdcb94e383902a9d8277a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3466684903067182","idStr":"3466684903067182"},"themes":[],"title":"其实坚持才是炒股最重要的能力","htmlText":"我在特斯拉200左右的时候持有过，而且，那个时候还没有拆股，也就是50元左右，后面我起起伏伏短线了几把，盈利到3万刀左右。然而，在特斯拉最疯狂的时候，我选择空，3万刀的利润回到了6000刀，真的得不偿失。炒股，其实最核心的能力是坚持，去年年初的蔚来，如果可以坚持，已经有15倍的收益，如果加杠杆，接近30倍，这样的收益不香吗？而痛苦的事情就是很多人选择卖，然后空，然后平仓，最后的收益接近于没有，很惨。长期持有，绝对是核心竞争力，没有耐心，我们没法前进。；高买低卖绝对是假的，坚持才是真的。你要坚持，不要放弃，你要学习不要放弃，你要努力不要偷懒。最后，努力是真，偷懒，就一切都是假的。","listText":"我在特斯拉200左右的时候持有过，而且，那个时候还没有拆股，也就是50元左右，后面我起起伏伏短线了几把，盈利到3万刀左右。然而，在特斯拉最疯狂的时候，我选择空，3万刀的利润回到了6000刀，真的得不偿失。炒股，其实最核心的能力是坚持，去年年初的蔚来，如果可以坚持，已经有15倍的收益，如果加杠杆，接近30倍，这样的收益不香吗？而痛苦的事情就是很多人选择卖，然后空，然后平仓，最后的收益接近于没有，很惨。长期持有，绝对是核心竞争力，没有耐心，我们没法前进。；高买低卖绝对是假的，坚持才是真的。你要坚持，不要放弃，你要学习不要放弃，你要努力不要偷懒。最后，努力是真，偷懒，就一切都是假的。","text":"我在特斯拉200左右的时候持有过，而且，那个时候还没有拆股，也就是50元左右，后面我起起伏伏短线了几把，盈利到3万刀左右。然而，在特斯拉最疯狂的时候，我选择空，3万刀的利润回到了6000刀，真的得不偿失。炒股，其实最核心的能力是坚持，去年年初的蔚来，如果可以坚持，已经有15倍的收益，如果加杠杆，接近30倍，这样的收益不香吗？而痛苦的事情就是很多人选择卖，然后空，然后平仓，最后的收益接近于没有，很惨。长期持有，绝对是核心竞争力，没有耐心，我们没法前进。；高买低卖绝对是假的，坚持才是真的。你要坚持，不要放弃，你要学习不要放弃，你要努力不要偷懒。最后，努力是真，偷懒，就一切都是假的。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03c8e7f8f4a023b0ffdae59ca362e115"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853024370","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853636053,"gmtCreate":1634797950211,"gmtModify":1634797950354,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean 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Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859461688","repostId":"1154702644","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1070,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859051062,"gmtCreate":1634643086373,"gmtModify":1634643086519,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859051062","repostId":"1111936039","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111936039","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634642824,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111936039?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 19:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Short-Seller’s Report Casts Dark Shadow on DatChat<blockquote>卖空者的报告给 DatChat 蒙上了阴影</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111936039","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Bots, scams and even prostitution—if the allegations hold weight, DATS stock could be in real troubl","content":"<p><div> Bots, scams and even prostitution—if the allegations hold weight, DATS stock could be in real trouble.  There’s been a lot of talk about blockchain, cybersecurity and social media company DatChat Inc ...</p><p><blockquote><div>机器人、诈骗甚至卖淫——如果这些指控属实，DATS 股票可能会陷入真正的麻烦。关于区块链、网络安全和社交媒体公司 DatChat Inc...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/short-sellers-report-casts-dark-shadow-on-dats-stock/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/short-sellers-report-casts-dark-shadow-on-dats-stock/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Short-Seller’s Report Casts Dark Shadow on DatChat<blockquote>卖空者的报告给 DatChat 蒙上了阴影</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShort-Seller’s Report Casts Dark Shadow on DatChat<blockquote>卖空者的报告给 DatChat 蒙上了阴影</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-19 19:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Bots, scams and even prostitution—if the allegations hold weight, DATS stock could be in real trouble.  There’s been a lot of talk about blockchain, cybersecurity and social media company DatChat Inc ...</p><p><blockquote><div>机器人、诈骗甚至卖淫——如果这些指控属实，DATS 股票可能会陷入真正的麻烦。关于区块链、网络安全和社交媒体公司 DatChat Inc...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/short-sellers-report-casts-dark-shadow-on-dats-stock/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/short-sellers-report-casts-dark-shadow-on-dats-stock/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/short-sellers-report-casts-dark-shadow-on-dats-stock/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/short-sellers-report-casts-dark-shadow-on-dats-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111936039","content_text":"Bots, scams and even prostitution—if the allegations hold weight, DATS stock could be in real trouble.\n\nThere’s been a lot of talk about blockchain, cybersecurity and social media company DatChat Inc lately. Unfortunately for holders of DATS stock, not all of the chatter has been positive.\nFor instance, InvestorPlacecontributor Mark R. Hake described DatChat as a “private messaging application companywith little going for it,” aside from the $11.04 million it raised at its Aug. 13 initial public offering (IPO). That’s not what I would call a ringing endorsement.\nOn the other end of the spectrum is former hedge fund manager Will Meade, who recently tweeted, “100%$DATSwill squeeze to $20.” Granted, it’s entirely possible that the Redditshort-squeeze crowd will make this happen.\nBefore you jump into the trade in anticipation of a massive short squeeze, however, be sure to conduct your due diligence on DatChat. This would include learning about a scathing report against DatChat, which has enough sordid details for a soap opera.\nA Closer Look at DATS Stock\nDatChat’sprospectusfrom August lists the company’s IPO price as $4.15. That same prospectus also mentions DatChat’s unaudited net earnings loss of $996,771 as of March 31, 2021.\nHowever, the company’s fundamentals didn’t seem to matter in the short term as DATS stock rose to $8 in August. Then, the price action got even crazier. Maybe it was a Reddit pump, or maybe it wasn’t, but somehow the DatChat share price soared to $18.50 on Sept. 29. After a crash to $7 and change, there was another pump to $15 in October.\nIt’s hard to form any conclusions about where DATS stock is headed. It’s been a veritable roller-coaster ride lately, so please don’t take a large position size in this unpredictable stock.\nPrioritizing Privacy\nAccording to the company’s prospectus, DatChat’s flagship applications are the DatChat Privacy Platform and Private Encrypted Social Network. The selling point of these applications is that they allow the users to communicate with privacy and give them more control over their messages and social posts—even after they’ve already been sent or shared.\nDatChat is also developing a blockchain-based, decentralized communications platform.\nAt the time the prospectus was published, DatChat apparently had around 22,572 monthly active users (MAUs)—not too bad for a social-media start-up.\nInvestorPlacecontributor  William White described some key features of DatChat’s Privacy Platform. Notably, it encrypts users’ messages and allows the users to delete messages after they’ve sent them (even if those messages are already on another person’s device). Furthermore, it’s virtually impossible for another user to take a screenshot of a message sent through the Privacy Platform.\nGoing Short and Getting Sordid\nAll of this might sound appealing, so far. After all, who could possibly object to a company that prioritizes the privacy of its users?\nActually, Culper Research is making no bones about itsshort position in DATS stock. Moreover, in a searing report, Culper’s condemnation of DatChat is relentless. Before we delve into the details, please understand that these are only allegations, and I haven’t verified their accuracy.\nFor one thing, Culper Research observes that “Despite launching the app in 2015, DatChat has a paltry monthly active user base of just over 22,000.” Personally, I don’t think that this is such a low number, but I’ll let you make your own judgment about that.\nHere’s where it gets much worse, though. According to Culper Research, many of those users aren’t authentic:\n\n “[O]ur experience with the app leads us to believe that many so-called ‘active users’ are in fact bots, scammers, and those using DatChat to solicit prostitution,” the report asserts.\n\nThe problem here is that prospective investors can’t affirm or deny Culper Research’s experience with DatChat.\nThere’s also an allegation that since Aug. 26, DatChat has released five press releases (as of the time of the report), yet none of them disclosed an updated MAU figure. If that’s true, then it is definitely an issue of concern. Without transparency, it’s awfully difficult for investors to take a position in DatChat with confidence.\nThe Bottom Line\nAs always, due diligence will make you a more informed and, hopefully, profitable investor. It’s worthwhile, before considering a position in DATS stock, to consider Culper Research’s allegations.\nIn the final analysis, though, you’ll need to weigh the merits of Culper’s arguments. DatChat could end up proving its critics wrong—and enriching it shareholders in the process.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DATS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821936024,"gmtCreate":1633683860692,"gmtModify":1633683860936,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like!","listText":"Like!","text":"Like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821936024","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866114007,"gmtCreate":1632747003909,"gmtModify":1632798156726,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810515759756","idStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like!","listText":"Like!","text":"Like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866114007","repostId":"1125374890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125374890","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632744172,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1125374890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 20:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125374890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures tracking the Dow and the S&P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards e","content":"<p>Futures tracking the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards economically sensitive sectors, with focus turning towards upcoming economic readings and ongoing talks over increased government spending.</p><p><blockquote>追踪道琼斯指数和标普500指数的期货周一小幅走低，投资者转向经济敏感行业，焦点转向即将公布的经济数据以及正在进行的增加政府支出的谈判。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 80 points, or 0.23%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.54%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 80 点，即 0.23%，标普500电子迷你指数下跌 3 点，即 0.07%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 82 点，即 0.54%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4dd720e715d3a3b5dbc5f98f96311fd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp rose 1.8% and 1.7% in premarket trade, respectively, tracking crude prices, while big lenders including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp gained about 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>石油巨头埃克森美孚和雪佛龙公司在跟踪原油价格的盘前交易中分别上涨1.8%和1.7%，而摩根大通、花旗集团、摩根士丹利和美国银行等大型贷款机构则上涨约0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will now watch for a raft of economic indicators, including durable goods orders and the ISM manufacturing index this week to gauge the pace of the recovery, as well as bipartisan talks over raising the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在将关注一系列经济指标，包括耐用品订单和本周的ISM制造业指数，以衡量复苏的步伐，以及两党关于提高28.4万亿美元债务上限的谈判。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Congress faces a Sept. 30 deadline to prevent the second partial government shutdown in three years, while a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill is scheduled for Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国国会面临9月30日的最后期限，以防止三年内第二次政府部分关门，而对1万亿美元的两党基础设施法案的投票定于周四进行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet</b><b>(GOOGL) </b>– Alphabet’s Google unit&nbsp;will cut the commissions&nbsp;it collects on third-party software sales in its Cloud Marketplace. That’s according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC, who said Google will now collect just 3% of sales compared to the prior 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet</b><b>（GOOGL）</b>- Alphabet的谷歌部门将削减其云市场销售第三方软件的佣金。一位熟悉内情的人士在接受 CNBC 采访时表示，谷歌现在只需收取 3% 的销售额，而之前为 20%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla</b><b>(TSLA) </b>– Tesla&nbsp;rolled out a software update&nbsp;that allows customers to request access to its Full Self-Driving beta software. Access will be granted to Tesla drivers who get a sufficiently high safety score.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉</b><b>（特斯拉）</b>– 特斯拉推出了软件更新，允许客户请求访问其完整的自动驾驶测试版软件。获得足够高安全分数的特斯拉司机将被允许进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gores Guggenheim</b><b>(GGPI)</b> – The special purpose acquisition company&nbsp;will take electric car maker Polestar public&nbsp;through a merger, at a valuation of $20 billion including debt. Polestar is controlled by car maker Volvo and its parent Zhejiang Geely Holding Group. Gores rose 3.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>戈雷斯·古根海姆</b><b>（GGPI）</b>– 这家特殊目的收购公司将通过合并将电动汽车制造商 Polestar 上市，包括债务在内的估值为 200 亿美元。Polestar 由汽车制造商沃尔沃及其母公司浙江吉利控股集团控制。戈尔斯在盘前交易中上涨 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Acceleron Pharma</b><b>(XLRN) </b>– Acceleron is in talks to be acquired by an unidentified large pharmaceutical company for about $180 per share, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) is considered one potential candidate, as it already owns an 11.5% stake in Acceleron.</p><p><blockquote><b>加速制药</b><b>(XLRN)</b>– 据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，Acceleron 正在洽谈被一家身份不明的大型制药公司以每股约 180 美元的价格收购。百时美施贵宝 (BMY) 被认为是潜在候选者之一，因为它已经拥有 11.5% 的股份在 Acceleron。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Box(BOX) </b>– Box was upgraded to “market outperform” from “market perform” at JMP Securities, which cited the cloud computing company’s execution among other factors. Box added 2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>盒子</b>- JMP Securities 将 Box 的评级从 “市场表现 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”，该公司列举了云计算公司的执行情况等因素。Box 盘前上涨 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Altice USA(ATUS)</b> – The broadband and video company was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Credit Suisse, which notes the likely short-term negative impact from an aggressive fiber buildout strategy. Altice USA slid 1.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Altice USA(ATUS)</b>- 瑞士信贷将这家宽带和视频公司的评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “中性”，瑞士信贷指出，激进的光纤扩建战略可能会产生短期负面影响。Altice USA 在盘前交易中下跌 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Toyota Motor(TM)</b> – The automaker’s shares rose 1.3% in the premarket after the company said it had completed a 25.8 million share buyback.</p><p><blockquote><b>丰田汽车(TM)</b>- 该汽车制造商表示已完成 2580 万股股票回购后，其股价在盘前上涨了 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Best Buy(BBY)</b> – The electronics retailer was named a “top idea” at Piper Sandler, which is enthusiastic about the upcoming rollout of Best Buy’s new “Best Buy Total Tech” membership program.</p><p><blockquote><b>百思买(BBY)</b>- 这家电子产品零售商被 Piper Sandler 评为 “最佳创意”，Piper Sandler 对百思买即将推出的新 “Best Buy Total Tech ”会员计划充满热情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gannett(GCI) </b>– The USA Today publisher said it was seeking to refinance up to $550 million in senior secured debt. Gannett said its plan was subject to market conditions and that there is no assurance it will be able to execute the refinancing.</p><p><blockquote><b>甘尼特(GCI)</b>– 《今日美国》出版商表示，正在寻求对高达 5.5 亿美元的高级担保债务进行再融资。甘尼特表示，其计划取决于市场条件，无法保证能够执行再融资。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-27 20:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures tracking the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards economically sensitive sectors, with focus turning towards upcoming economic readings and ongoing talks over increased government spending.</p><p><blockquote>追踪道琼斯指数和标普500指数的期货周一小幅走低，投资者转向经济敏感行业，焦点转向即将公布的经济数据以及正在进行的增加政府支出的谈判。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 80 points, or 0.23%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.54%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 80 点，即 0.23%，标普500电子迷你指数下跌 3 点，即 0.07%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 82 点，即 0.54%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4dd720e715d3a3b5dbc5f98f96311fd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp rose 1.8% and 1.7% in premarket trade, respectively, tracking crude prices, while big lenders including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp gained about 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>石油巨头埃克森美孚和雪佛龙公司在跟踪原油价格的盘前交易中分别上涨1.8%和1.7%，而摩根大通、花旗集团、摩根士丹利和美国银行等大型贷款机构则上涨约0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will now watch for a raft of economic indicators, including durable goods orders and the ISM manufacturing index this week to gauge the pace of the recovery, as well as bipartisan talks over raising the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在将关注一系列经济指标，包括耐用品订单和本周的ISM制造业指数，以衡量复苏的步伐，以及两党关于提高28.4万亿美元债务上限的谈判。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Congress faces a Sept. 30 deadline to prevent the second partial government shutdown in three years, while a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill is scheduled for Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国国会面临9月30日的最后期限，以防止三年内第二次政府部分关门，而对1万亿美元的两党基础设施法案的投票定于周四进行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet</b><b>(GOOGL) </b>– Alphabet’s Google unit&nbsp;will cut the commissions&nbsp;it collects on third-party software sales in its Cloud Marketplace. That’s according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC, who said Google will now collect just 3% of sales compared to the prior 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet</b><b>（GOOGL）</b>- Alphabet的谷歌部门将削减其云市场销售第三方软件的佣金。一位熟悉内情的人士在接受 CNBC 采访时表示，谷歌现在只需收取 3% 的销售额，而之前为 20%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla</b><b>(TSLA) </b>– Tesla&nbsp;rolled out a software update&nbsp;that allows customers to request access to its Full Self-Driving beta software. Access will be granted to Tesla drivers who get a sufficiently high safety score.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉</b><b>（特斯拉）</b>– 特斯拉推出了软件更新，允许客户请求访问其完整的自动驾驶测试版软件。获得足够高安全分数的特斯拉司机将被允许进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gores Guggenheim</b><b>(GGPI)</b> – The special purpose acquisition company&nbsp;will take electric car maker Polestar public&nbsp;through a merger, at a valuation of $20 billion including debt. Polestar is controlled by car maker Volvo and its parent Zhejiang Geely Holding Group. Gores rose 3.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>戈雷斯·古根海姆</b><b>（GGPI）</b>– 这家特殊目的收购公司将通过合并将电动汽车制造商 Polestar 上市，包括债务在内的估值为 200 亿美元。Polestar 由汽车制造商沃尔沃及其母公司浙江吉利控股集团控制。戈尔斯在盘前交易中上涨 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Acceleron Pharma</b><b>(XLRN) </b>– Acceleron is in talks to be acquired by an unidentified large pharmaceutical company for about $180 per share, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) is considered one potential candidate, as it already owns an 11.5% stake in Acceleron.</p><p><blockquote><b>加速制药</b><b>(XLRN)</b>– 据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，Acceleron 正在洽谈被一家身份不明的大型制药公司以每股约 180 美元的价格收购。百时美施贵宝 (BMY) 被认为是潜在候选者之一，因为它已经拥有 11.5% 的股份在 Acceleron。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Box(BOX) </b>– Box was upgraded to “market outperform” from “market perform” at JMP Securities, which cited the cloud computing company’s execution among other factors. Box added 2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>盒子</b>- JMP Securities 将 Box 的评级从 “市场表现 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”，该公司列举了云计算公司的执行情况等因素。Box 盘前上涨 2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Altice USA(ATUS)</b> – The broadband and video company was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Credit Suisse, which notes the likely short-term negative impact from an aggressive fiber buildout strategy. Altice USA slid 1.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Altice USA(ATUS)</b>- 瑞士信贷将这家宽带和视频公司的评级从 “跑赢大盘 ”下调至 “中性”，瑞士信贷指出，激进的光纤扩建战略可能会产生短期负面影响。Altice USA 在盘前交易中下跌 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Toyota Motor(TM)</b> – The automaker’s shares rose 1.3% in the premarket after the company said it had completed a 25.8 million share buyback.</p><p><blockquote><b>丰田汽车(TM)</b>- 该汽车制造商表示已完成 2580 万股股票回购后，其股价在盘前上涨了 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Best Buy(BBY)</b> – The electronics retailer was named a “top idea” at Piper Sandler, which is enthusiastic about the upcoming rollout of Best Buy’s new “Best Buy Total Tech” membership program.</p><p><blockquote><b>百思买(BBY)</b>- 这家电子产品零售商被 Piper Sandler 评为 “最佳创意”，Piper Sandler 对百思买即将推出的新 “Best Buy Total Tech ”会员计划充满热情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gannett(GCI) </b>– The USA Today publisher said it was seeking to refinance up to $550 million in senior secured debt. Gannett said its plan was subject to market conditions and that there is no assurance it will be able to execute the refinancing.</p><p><blockquote><b>甘尼特(GCI)</b>– 《今日美国》出版商表示，正在寻求对高达 5.5 亿美元的高级担保债务进行再融资。甘尼特表示，其计划取决于市场条件，无法保证能够执行再融资。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XOM":"埃克森美孚","CVX":"雪佛龙","TSLA":"特斯拉","BOX":"Box Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","GOOGL":"谷歌A","TM":"丰田汽车","GOOG":"谷歌","BBY":"百思买",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125374890","content_text":"Futures tracking the Dow and the S&P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards economically sensitive sectors, with focus turning towards upcoming economic readings and ongoing talks over increased government spending.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 80 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.54%.\n\nOil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp rose 1.8% and 1.7% in premarket trade, respectively, tracking crude prices, while big lenders including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp gained about 0.8%.\nInvestors will now watch for a raft of economic indicators, including durable goods orders and the ISM manufacturing index this week to gauge the pace of the recovery, as well as bipartisan talks over raising the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling.\nThe U.S. Congress faces a Sept. 30 deadline to prevent the second partial government shutdown in three years, while a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill is scheduled for Thursday.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nAlphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will cut the commissions it collects on third-party software sales in its Cloud Marketplace. That’s according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC, who said Google will now collect just 3% of sales compared to the prior 20%.\nTesla(TSLA) – Tesla rolled out a software update that allows customers to request access to its Full Self-Driving beta software. Access will be granted to Tesla drivers who get a sufficiently high safety score.\nGores Guggenheim(GGPI) – The special purpose acquisition company will take electric car maker Polestar public through a merger, at a valuation of $20 billion including debt. Polestar is controlled by car maker Volvo and its parent Zhejiang Geely Holding Group. Gores rose 3.5% in premarket trading.\nAcceleron Pharma(XLRN) – Acceleron is in talks to be acquired by an unidentified large pharmaceutical company for about $180 per share, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) is considered one potential candidate, as it already owns an 11.5% stake in Acceleron.\nBox(BOX) – Box was upgraded to “market outperform” from “market perform” at JMP Securities, which cited the cloud computing company’s execution among other factors. Box added 2% in the premarket.\nAltice USA(ATUS) – The broadband and video company was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Credit Suisse, which notes the likely short-term negative impact from an aggressive fiber buildout strategy. Altice USA slid 1.6% in premarket action.\nToyota Motor(TM) – The automaker’s shares rose 1.3% in the premarket after the company said it had completed a 25.8 million share buyback.\nBest Buy(BBY) – The electronics retailer was named a “top idea” at Piper Sandler, which is enthusiastic about the upcoming rollout of Best Buy’s new “Best Buy Total Tech” membership program.\nGannett(GCI) – The USA Today publisher said it was seeking to refinance up to $550 million in senior secured debt. Gannett said its plan was subject to market conditions and that there is no assurance it will be able to execute the refinancing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XOM":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"GCI":0.9,"GGPI":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"BBY":0.9,"ATUS":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"XLRN":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"CVX":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"TM":0.9,"BOX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":898311222,"gmtCreate":1628473273066,"gmtModify":1631893037266,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898311222","repostId":"1136322726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802327023,"gmtCreate":1627721627062,"gmtModify":1633756805405,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802327023","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189418302,"gmtCreate":1623284990106,"gmtModify":1634035021938,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189418302","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AEMD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117118603,"gmtCreate":1623122033502,"gmtModify":1634036701619,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117118603","repostId":"2141342255","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177372659,"gmtCreate":1627183651471,"gmtModify":1633767363593,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177372659","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156329872,"gmtCreate":1625196698496,"gmtModify":1633942639293,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156329872","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK  - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘高点，新季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>领头羊指数正在享受自 2 月初以来最长的连涨纪录，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年 8 月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>“贝尔德私人财富公司（Baird Private Wealth）的投资策略分析师罗斯-梅菲尔德（Ross Mayfield）说：”历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均以正值收盘，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数下跌 1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约鲁诺财富顾问公司首席投资官大卫-卡特（David Carter）说：”对于今年到目前为止的市场来说，无聊就是美好。“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉就像三个月前的国庆节周末，投资者就离开了”。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行病担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，申请失业救济人数继续下降，达到疫情关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas 的一份报告显示，美国公司计划裁员人数比去年下降了 88%，创下 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的采购经理人指数（PMI），6 月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，就业部分自 11 月以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，受当前供需失衡的推动，价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>“卡特补充说：”今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了经济持续增长但增速放缓的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加 70 万人，失业率将小幅下降至 5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买规模和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡特说：”如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。“疲软的就业数据实际上可能是受欢迎的。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 131.02 点，或 0.38%，至 34,633.53 点；标普500指数上涨 22.44 点，或 0.52%，至 4,319.94 点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨 18.42 点，或 0.13%，至 14,522.38 点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，必需消费品是唯一的输家，下跌了0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司股价下跌 7.4%，此前该公司表示预计第四季度将减少 COVID-19 疫苗注射量。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴全球公司作为美国上市公司上市的第二天股价上涨 16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器将以 9 亿美元收购美光位于犹他州利希的工厂，美光科技公司下跌了 5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.78 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 36 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 95.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 109 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘高点，新季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>领头羊指数正在享受自 2 月初以来最长的连涨纪录，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年 8 月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>“贝尔德私人财富公司（Baird Private Wealth）的投资策略分析师罗斯-梅菲尔德（Ross Mayfield）说：”历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均以正值收盘，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数下跌 1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约鲁诺财富顾问公司首席投资官大卫-卡特（David Carter）说：”对于今年到目前为止的市场来说，无聊就是美好。“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉就像三个月前的国庆节周末，投资者就离开了”。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行病担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，申请失业救济人数继续下降，达到疫情关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas 的一份报告显示，美国公司计划裁员人数比去年下降了 88%，创下 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的采购经理人指数（PMI），6 月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，就业部分自 11 月以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，受当前供需失衡的推动，价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>“卡特补充说：”今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了经济持续增长但增速放缓的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加 70 万人，失业率将小幅下降至 5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买规模和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡特说：”如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。“疲软的就业数据实际上可能是受欢迎的。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 131.02 点，或 0.38%，至 34,633.53 点；标普500指数上涨 22.44 点，或 0.52%，至 4,319.94 点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨 18.42 点，或 0.13%，至 14,522.38 点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，必需消费品是唯一的输家，下跌了0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司股价下跌 7.4%，此前该公司表示预计第四季度将减少 COVID-19 疫苗注射量。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴全球公司作为美国上市公司上市的第二天股价上涨 16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器将以 9 亿美元收购美光位于犹他州利希的工厂，美光科技公司下跌了 5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.78 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 36 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 95.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 109 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182986308,"gmtCreate":1623550654104,"gmtModify":1634031896379,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182986308","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821936024,"gmtCreate":1633683860692,"gmtModify":1633683860936,"author":{"id":"3578810515759756","authorId":"3578810515759756","name":"Sean Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc373757497744c5e4cc05294b287a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810515759756","authorIdStr":"3578810515759756"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like!","listText":"Like!","text":"Like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821936024","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). 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