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2021-06-26

Nice

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2021-04-04

Great

U.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote>

2021-03-16

Cool

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2021-03-13

Interesting

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2021-03-08

Buy the dip!!

A Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote>

2021-03-05

Nice

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2021-03-04

Nice

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2021-03-03

Cool

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2021-03-02

Good

Is AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>

2021-03-01

Nice

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2021-02-27

Nice

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1617366683,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176602902?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176602902","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 2) Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic grow","content":"<p>(April&nbsp;2)&nbsp;Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月2日）美国劳工部周五报告称，由于强劲的经济增长和积极的疫苗接种工作推动企业加大招聘力度，3月份就业增长以去年夏天以来的最快速度增长。</blockquote></p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.</p><p><blockquote>当月非农就业人数增加91.6万人，失业率降至6%。</blockquote></p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.</p><p><blockquote>接受道琼斯调查的经济学家一直预计增加675,000人，失业率为6%。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，一系列其他指标表明，随着美国试图摆脱Covid-19大流行的影响，经济增长将更加强劲。在经历了一年的产能减少后，全国各地的州和市继续重新开放。</blockquote></p><p>Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管受到限制，该公司大部分地区的业务活动已恢复到接近正常水平，Jeffries的跟踪显示，业务活动为大流行前水平的93.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.</p><p><blockquote>Homebase的数据显示，过去一个月，员工的工作时间和工作时间都大幅增加，接待和娱乐方面都有显着改善。这些是受打击最严重的行业，但随着政府放松了一些最严厉的活动限制，过去两个月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，制造业正在蓬勃发展，供应管理协会对该行业活动的衡量在3月份达到了1983年底以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员表示，任何加息都将是暂时的，但加息速度加上政府前所未有的刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储正在密切关注就业数据，但政策制定者一再表示，即使最近有所改善，劳动力市场也远未达到推动央行加息的程度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-02 20:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April&nbsp;2)&nbsp;Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月2日）美国劳工部周五报告称，由于强劲的经济增长和积极的疫苗接种工作推动企业加大招聘力度，3月份就业增长以去年夏天以来的最快速度增长。</blockquote></p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.</p><p><blockquote>当月非农就业人数增加91.6万人，失业率降至6%。</blockquote></p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.</p><p><blockquote>接受道琼斯调查的经济学家一直预计增加675,000人，失业率为6%。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，一系列其他指标表明，随着美国试图摆脱Covid-19大流行的影响，经济增长将更加强劲。在经历了一年的产能减少后，全国各地的州和市继续重新开放。</blockquote></p><p>Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管受到限制，该公司大部分地区的业务活动已恢复到接近正常水平，Jeffries的跟踪显示，业务活动为大流行前水平的93.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.</p><p><blockquote>Homebase的数据显示，过去一个月，员工的工作时间和工作时间都大幅增加，接待和娱乐方面都有显着改善。这些是受打击最严重的行业，但随着政府放松了一些最严厉的活动限制，过去两个月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，制造业正在蓬勃发展，供应管理协会对该行业活动的衡量在3月份达到了1983年底以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员表示，任何加息都将是暂时的，但加息速度加上政府前所未有的刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储正在密切关注就业数据，但政策制定者一再表示，即使最近有所改善，劳动力市场也远未达到推动央行加息的程度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176602902","content_text":"(April 2) Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325896513,"gmtCreate":1615883992132,"gmtModify":1703494420267,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool&nbsp;","listText":"Cool&nbsp;","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325896513","repostId":"1158082879","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326375143,"gmtCreate":1615598681882,"gmtModify":1703491429835,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326375143","repostId":"2118935050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320774966,"gmtCreate":1615183917755,"gmtModify":1703485319608,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip!!","listText":"Buy the dip!!","text":"Buy the dip!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320774966","repostId":"1174323549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174323549","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615182391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174323549?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-08 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174323549","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down","content":"<p>Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down, too.</p><p><blockquote>过去三周，股市向投资者发出了严厉警告：股市也可能下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), iconic<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI), and growth-oriented<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)reveling in record-breaking bounce-back rallies from the March 23, 2020, bear market low, the conditions areripe for a stock market crash.</p><p><blockquote>尽管基准<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)，标志性<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI)，并以增长为导向<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>(NASDAQINDEX：^IXIC)陶醉于从2020年3月23日熊市低点破纪录的反弹，股市崩盘的条件正在准备中。</blockquote></p><p> Since emotion is the primary driver of very short-term price movements, we're never going to know precisely when a crash or correction is coming. But make no mistake about it, crashes and corrections are an inevitable part of the investing cycle, and some would say the price of admission to the greatest wealth-creating tool on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>由于情绪是短期价格变动的主要驱动力，我们永远无法准确知道崩盘或调整何时到来。但毫无疑问，崩盘和调整是投资周期中不可避免的一部分，有些人会说这是进入这个星球上最伟大的财富创造工具的代价。</blockquote></p><p> With this in mind, here are six stock market crash metrics every investor should have in mind.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，以下是每个投资者都应该牢记的六个股市崩盘指标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. A Shiller P/E greater than 30 leads to a bear market, historically</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.从历史上看，席勒市盈率大于30会导致熊市</b></blockquote></p><p> As noted, the market doesn't often give us telltale signs that a crash is coming. One of the very few indicators that, thus far, has apretty immaculate track record of calling crashesis the Shiller S&amp;P 500 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. It's a P/E ratio based on inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，市场并不经常给我们崩溃即将到来的迹象。到目前为止，席勒·标普500市盈率（P/E）是极少数在预测崩盘方面有着完美记录的指标之一。这是基于过去10年经通货膨胀调整的收益的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 150 years, the average Shiller P/E reading is 16.79. As of March 3, 2021, the Shiller P/E stood at 34.59 --more than double the historic average.</p><p><blockquote>过去150年来，席勒市盈率平均值为16.79。截至2021年3月3日，席勒市盈率为34.59，是历史平均水平的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Here's where it gets interesting. There have been only five bull market rallies in history where the Shiller P/E for the S&amp;P 500 surpassed 30 and held for a period of time. A few of these periods might ring a bell, such as the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, and the coronavirus crash. Admittedly, the March 2020 crash had nothing to do with valuations and was purely a response to a once-in-a-generation pandemic. Nevertheless, it doesn't change the fact that the four previous instances of the Shiller P/E surpassing 30 have led to declines in the S&amp;P 500 ranging between 20% and 89%.</p><p><blockquote>这就是有趣的地方。历史上只有五次牛市反弹，标普500的席勒市盈率超过30并持续一段时间。其中一些时期可能会敲响警钟，例如大萧条、互联网泡沫和冠状病毒崩溃。诚然，2020年3月的崩盘与估值无关，纯粹是对千载难逢的疫情的回应。尽管如此，这并不能改变席勒市盈率前四次超过30导致标普500下跌20%至89%的事实。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, history suggests that when the Shiller P/E heads above 30, a decline or a full-on bear market soon follows.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，历史表明，当席勒市盈率超过30时，下跌或全面熊市很快就会随之而来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Corrections occur every 1.87 years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.每1.87年进行一次修正</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what sort of decline awaits investors in the future, it's important to recognize just how common these downward moves in the stock market are.</p><p><blockquote>无论未来等待投资者的是什么样的下跌，重要的是要认识到股市的这些下跌走势是多么普遍。</blockquote></p><p> According to data from market analytics company Yardeni Research, there have been 38 declines of at least 10% in the widely followedS&amp;P 500since the beginning of 1950. Over this 71-year span, we're talking about a double-digit decline every 1.87 years, on average.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，广受关注的标准普尔500指数已有38次下跌至少10%。在这71年的时间里，我们平均每1.87年就会出现两位数的下降。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that averages are exactly that -- averages. There have been long periods in which corrections were few and far between. For example, there wasn't a single double-digit crash or correction between 1991 and 1996. By comparison, there have been seven double-digit percentage declines in the past 11 years, with at least eight other drops ranging from 5.8% to 9.9%.</p><p><blockquote>记住，平均值就是平均值。在很长一段时间里，修正很少。例如，1991年至1996年间没有发生过一次两位数的崩盘或调整。相比之下，过去11年中有7次出现两位数的百分比下降，另外至少有8次下降，降幅在5.8%至9.9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> Corrections are a healthy and normal occurrence.</p><p><blockquote>纠正是健康和正常的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. The average correction is six months long</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.平均回调时间长达六个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Although corrections tend to bum out optimists, here's some good news: Most crashes and corrections don't last very long.</p><p><blockquote>尽管调整往往会让乐观主义者感到沮丧，但这里有一些好消息：大多数崩溃和调整不会持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Dating back to 1950, 24 of the S&amp;P 500's 38 double-digit percentage corrections have found their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days (about 3.5 months). It took another seven between 157 and 288 calendar days to hit their trough. This means only seven significant declines in the market lasted longer than a year over the past seven-plus decades.</p><p><blockquote>追溯到1950年，标普500 38次两位数百分比修正中，有24次在104个或更短的日历日（约3.5个月）内触底。在157到288个日历日之间，又过了7天才达到低谷。这意味着在过去的七十多年里，只有七次市场大幅下跌持续时间超过一年。</blockquote></p><p> When we add those up, the S&amp;P 500 has spent 7,168 days in correction since 1950. This works out to an average correction length of 188 days, orjust over six months. Compare this figure to the 11-year bull market we just exited, and you can see why it pays to be an optimist.</p><p><blockquote>当我们把这些加起来时，标普500自1950年以来已经花了7,168天进行修正。这意味着平均修正时间为188天，或者说刚刚超过6个月。将这个数字与我们刚刚退出的11年牛市进行比较，你就会明白为什么乐观是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Modern-era corrections are a month shorter, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.现代的矫正平均要短一个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue the \"but wait -- there's more\" music.</p><p><blockquote>提示“但是等等——还有更多”的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> Even though corrections and crashes have been relatively short-lived over the past 71 years, they're even shorter in the modern era. I'm defining \"modern era\" as the rise of computers, which have assisted immensely with trading and providing supply-demand balance to equities. I'm arbitrarily using 1985 as the beginning of this modern era.</p><p><blockquote>尽管在过去的71年里，调整和崩盘相对短暂，但在现代，它们的时间甚至更短。我将“现代时代”定义为计算机的崛起，它极大地帮助了交易并为股票提供了供需平衡。我武断地用1985年作为这个现代时代的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1985, the S&amp;P 500 has undergone 16 double-digit declines. These include the dot-com bubble, which at 929 calendar days is the longest decline in the benchmark index's history. Even with this outlier, the average length of a crash or correction in the modern era is only 155 days. That's a full month shorter than the historical average for the broad-based index.</p><p><blockquote>自1985年以来，标普500经历了16次两位数的下跌。其中包括互联网泡沫，929个日历日是基准指数历史上最长的下跌。即使有这个异常值，现代崩盘或调整的平均持续时间也只有155天。这比基础广泛的指数的历史平均水平短了整整一个月。</blockquote></p><p> With the internet giving retail investors instant access to information, the barriers that once existed between Wall Street and Main Streethave been torn down. This has played a key role in shortening the length of corrections and crashes.</p><p><blockquote>随着互联网让散户投资者能够即时获取信息，华尔街和大街之间曾经存在的壁垒已经被拆除。这在缩短修正和崩溃的时间方面发挥了关键作用。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>5. 70% of the market's worst days are followed by its best gains</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.70%的市场最糟糕的日子之后都是最好的涨幅</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting statistic that's bound to raise an eyebrow or two is the correlation between the stock market's best and worst days. While some folks might be tempted to run for cover at the first sign of trouble, history shows that this isthe worst possible thing to do.</p><p><blockquote>另一个肯定会引起人们注意的有趣统计数据是股市最好的日子和最差的日子之间的相关性。虽然有些人可能会在遇到麻烦的第一个迹象时试图逃跑，但历史表明，这是最糟糕的事情。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, J.P. Morgan Asset Management released what's become an annual report that examines the rolling 20-year returns of the S&amp;P 500. In particular, J.P. Morgan Asset Management looked at how investors' returns would differ if they missed only a handful of the market's best days over a 20-year period. Between Jan. 3, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2019, missing just the 20 best days would have effectively wiped out a 6% annual average return.</p><p><blockquote>去年，摩根资产管理公司发布了一份年度报告，研究了标普500 20年的滚动回报。摩根大通资产管理公司特别研究了如果投资者在20年期间只错过了市场最好的几天，他们的回报会有何不同。2000年1月3日至2019年12月31日期间，如果错过20个最好的日子，就会有效地抹去6%的年平均回报率。</blockquote></p><p> But what really stands out is how close the S&amp;P 500's best and worst days occur to each other. According to the \"Impact of Being Out of the Market\" report, from Jan. 3, 2000, through April 19, 2020, \"Seven of the ten worst days were followed the NEXT DAY [emphasis by J.P. Morgan Asset Management] by either top 10 returns over the 20 years or top 10 returns for their respective years.\"</p><p><blockquote>但真正引人注目的是标普500最好的日子和最糟糕的日子是多么接近。根据“退出市场的影响”报告，从2000年1月3日到2020年4月19日，“最糟糕的十天中有七天在第二天（摩根资产管理公司强调）之后出现了20年来的前10名回报或各自年份的前10名回报。”</blockquote></p><p> If you try to game the market, you're the one that gets played.</p><p><blockquote>如果你试图玩弄市场，你就是被玩弄的人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Long-term investors are batting 1.000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.长期投资者冲击1.000</b></blockquote></p><p> I saved thebest stock market crash metric for last.</p><p><blockquote>我把最好的股市崩盘指标留到了最后。</blockquote></p><p> A bull market rally has eventually put each and every one of these 38 declines in the rearview mirror. And in many instances, it took just weeks or months to erase the declines. For practical purposes, it doesn't matter when you buy during a correction or crash. As long as you buy stakes in an assortment of high-quality, innovative businesses, and you hold those stocks for long periods of time, you have an exceptionally good chance of making money.</p><p><blockquote>牛市反弹最终让这38次下跌中的每一次都成为过去。在许多情况下，只需几周或几个月就可以消除下降。出于实际目的，您何时在调整或崩盘期间买入并不重要。只要你购买各种高质量、创新企业的股份，并长期持有这些股票，你就有非常好的赚钱机会。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further proof, data from Crestmont Research on the S&amp;P 500 shows thatat no pointbetween 1919 and 2019 have rolling 20-year returns on the index ever been negative. In fact, only two ending years out of this 101-year period yielded average annual total returns (that is, including dividends) of less than 5%. If you buy with the intent of holding for a really long time, historical data suggests you're going to do very well.</p><p><blockquote>如果你需要进一步的证据，Crestmont Research关于标普500的数据显示，1919年至2019年间，该指数的20年滚动回报率从未为负。事实上，在这101年的时期中，只有两个年末的平均年总回报率（即包括股息）低于5%。如果你买入的目的是长期持有，历史数据表明你会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10 stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10只股票可能成为股市崩盘的最大赢家</b></blockquote></p><p> When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have an investing tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade,<i>Motley Fool Stock Advisor</i>, has quadrupled the market.*</p><p><blockquote>当投资天才大卫·加德纳和汤姆·加德纳有投资建议时，倾听是值得的。毕竟，他们经营了十多年的时事通讯，<i>杂色傻瓜股票顾问</i>，使市场翻了两番。</blockquote></p><p> David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the<b>ten best buys</b>for investors right now… And while timing isn't everything, the history of Tom and David's stock picks shows that it pays to get in early on their best ideas.</p><p><blockquote>大卫和汤姆刚刚透露了他们认为是<b>十大最佳购买</b>对于现在的投资者来说……虽然时机不是一切，但汤姆和大卫选股的历史表明，尽早了解他们的最佳想法是值得的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-08 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down, too.</p><p><blockquote>过去三周，股市向投资者发出了严厉警告：股市也可能下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), iconic<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI), and growth-oriented<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)reveling in record-breaking bounce-back rallies from the March 23, 2020, bear market low, the conditions areripe for a stock market crash.</p><p><blockquote>尽管基准<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)，标志性<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI)，并以增长为导向<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>(NASDAQINDEX：^IXIC)陶醉于从2020年3月23日熊市低点破纪录的反弹，股市崩盘的条件正在准备中。</blockquote></p><p> Since emotion is the primary driver of very short-term price movements, we're never going to know precisely when a crash or correction is coming. But make no mistake about it, crashes and corrections are an inevitable part of the investing cycle, and some would say the price of admission to the greatest wealth-creating tool on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>由于情绪是短期价格变动的主要驱动力，我们永远无法准确知道崩盘或调整何时到来。但毫无疑问，崩盘和调整是投资周期中不可避免的一部分，有些人会说这是进入这个星球上最伟大的财富创造工具的代价。</blockquote></p><p> With this in mind, here are six stock market crash metrics every investor should have in mind.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，以下是每个投资者都应该牢记的六个股市崩盘指标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. A Shiller P/E greater than 30 leads to a bear market, historically</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.从历史上看，席勒市盈率大于30会导致熊市</b></blockquote></p><p> As noted, the market doesn't often give us telltale signs that a crash is coming. One of the very few indicators that, thus far, has apretty immaculate track record of calling crashesis the Shiller S&amp;P 500 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. It's a P/E ratio based on inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，市场并不经常给我们崩溃即将到来的迹象。到目前为止，席勒·标普500市盈率（P/E）是极少数在预测崩盘方面有着完美记录的指标之一。这是基于过去10年经通货膨胀调整的收益的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 150 years, the average Shiller P/E reading is 16.79. As of March 3, 2021, the Shiller P/E stood at 34.59 --more than double the historic average.</p><p><blockquote>过去150年来，席勒市盈率平均值为16.79。截至2021年3月3日，席勒市盈率为34.59，是历史平均水平的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Here's where it gets interesting. There have been only five bull market rallies in history where the Shiller P/E for the S&amp;P 500 surpassed 30 and held for a period of time. A few of these periods might ring a bell, such as the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, and the coronavirus crash. Admittedly, the March 2020 crash had nothing to do with valuations and was purely a response to a once-in-a-generation pandemic. Nevertheless, it doesn't change the fact that the four previous instances of the Shiller P/E surpassing 30 have led to declines in the S&amp;P 500 ranging between 20% and 89%.</p><p><blockquote>这就是有趣的地方。历史上只有五次牛市反弹，标普500的席勒市盈率超过30并持续一段时间。其中一些时期可能会敲响警钟，例如大萧条、互联网泡沫和冠状病毒崩溃。诚然，2020年3月的崩盘与估值无关，纯粹是对千载难逢的疫情的回应。尽管如此，这并不能改变席勒市盈率前四次超过30导致标普500下跌20%至89%的事实。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, history suggests that when the Shiller P/E heads above 30, a decline or a full-on bear market soon follows.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，历史表明，当席勒市盈率超过30时，下跌或全面熊市很快就会随之而来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Corrections occur every 1.87 years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.每1.87年进行一次修正</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what sort of decline awaits investors in the future, it's important to recognize just how common these downward moves in the stock market are.</p><p><blockquote>无论未来等待投资者的是什么样的下跌，重要的是要认识到股市的这些下跌走势是多么普遍。</blockquote></p><p> According to data from market analytics company Yardeni Research, there have been 38 declines of at least 10% in the widely followedS&amp;P 500since the beginning of 1950. Over this 71-year span, we're talking about a double-digit decline every 1.87 years, on average.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，广受关注的标准普尔500指数已有38次下跌至少10%。在这71年的时间里，我们平均每1.87年就会出现两位数的下降。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that averages are exactly that -- averages. There have been long periods in which corrections were few and far between. For example, there wasn't a single double-digit crash or correction between 1991 and 1996. By comparison, there have been seven double-digit percentage declines in the past 11 years, with at least eight other drops ranging from 5.8% to 9.9%.</p><p><blockquote>记住，平均值就是平均值。在很长一段时间里，修正很少。例如，1991年至1996年间没有发生过一次两位数的崩盘或调整。相比之下，过去11年中有7次出现两位数的百分比下降，另外至少有8次下降，降幅在5.8%至9.9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> Corrections are a healthy and normal occurrence.</p><p><blockquote>纠正是健康和正常的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. The average correction is six months long</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.平均回调时间长达六个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Although corrections tend to bum out optimists, here's some good news: Most crashes and corrections don't last very long.</p><p><blockquote>尽管调整往往会让乐观主义者感到沮丧，但这里有一些好消息：大多数崩溃和调整不会持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Dating back to 1950, 24 of the S&amp;P 500's 38 double-digit percentage corrections have found their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days (about 3.5 months). It took another seven between 157 and 288 calendar days to hit their trough. This means only seven significant declines in the market lasted longer than a year over the past seven-plus decades.</p><p><blockquote>追溯到1950年，标普500 38次两位数百分比修正中，有24次在104个或更短的日历日（约3.5个月）内触底。在157到288个日历日之间，又过了7天才达到低谷。这意味着在过去的七十多年里，只有七次市场大幅下跌持续时间超过一年。</blockquote></p><p> When we add those up, the S&amp;P 500 has spent 7,168 days in correction since 1950. This works out to an average correction length of 188 days, orjust over six months. Compare this figure to the 11-year bull market we just exited, and you can see why it pays to be an optimist.</p><p><blockquote>当我们把这些加起来时，标普500自1950年以来已经花了7,168天进行修正。这意味着平均修正时间为188天，或者说刚刚超过6个月。将这个数字与我们刚刚退出的11年牛市进行比较，你就会明白为什么乐观是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Modern-era corrections are a month shorter, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.现代的矫正平均要短一个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue the \"but wait -- there's more\" music.</p><p><blockquote>提示“但是等等——还有更多”的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> Even though corrections and crashes have been relatively short-lived over the past 71 years, they're even shorter in the modern era. I'm defining \"modern era\" as the rise of computers, which have assisted immensely with trading and providing supply-demand balance to equities. I'm arbitrarily using 1985 as the beginning of this modern era.</p><p><blockquote>尽管在过去的71年里，调整和崩盘相对短暂，但在现代，它们的时间甚至更短。我将“现代时代”定义为计算机的崛起，它极大地帮助了交易并为股票提供了供需平衡。我武断地用1985年作为这个现代时代的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1985, the S&amp;P 500 has undergone 16 double-digit declines. These include the dot-com bubble, which at 929 calendar days is the longest decline in the benchmark index's history. Even with this outlier, the average length of a crash or correction in the modern era is only 155 days. That's a full month shorter than the historical average for the broad-based index.</p><p><blockquote>自1985年以来，标普500经历了16次两位数的下跌。其中包括互联网泡沫，929个日历日是基准指数历史上最长的下跌。即使有这个异常值，现代崩盘或调整的平均持续时间也只有155天。这比基础广泛的指数的历史平均水平短了整整一个月。</blockquote></p><p> With the internet giving retail investors instant access to information, the barriers that once existed between Wall Street and Main Streethave been torn down. This has played a key role in shortening the length of corrections and crashes.</p><p><blockquote>随着互联网让散户投资者能够即时获取信息，华尔街和大街之间曾经存在的壁垒已经被拆除。这在缩短修正和崩溃的时间方面发挥了关键作用。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>5. 70% of the market's worst days are followed by its best gains</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.70%的市场最糟糕的日子之后都是最好的涨幅</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting statistic that's bound to raise an eyebrow or two is the correlation between the stock market's best and worst days. While some folks might be tempted to run for cover at the first sign of trouble, history shows that this isthe worst possible thing to do.</p><p><blockquote>另一个肯定会引起人们注意的有趣统计数据是股市最好的日子和最差的日子之间的相关性。虽然有些人可能会在遇到麻烦的第一个迹象时试图逃跑，但历史表明，这是最糟糕的事情。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, J.P. Morgan Asset Management released what's become an annual report that examines the rolling 20-year returns of the S&amp;P 500. In particular, J.P. Morgan Asset Management looked at how investors' returns would differ if they missed only a handful of the market's best days over a 20-year period. Between Jan. 3, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2019, missing just the 20 best days would have effectively wiped out a 6% annual average return.</p><p><blockquote>去年，摩根资产管理公司发布了一份年度报告，研究了标普500 20年的滚动回报。摩根大通资产管理公司特别研究了如果投资者在20年期间只错过了市场最好的几天，他们的回报会有何不同。2000年1月3日至2019年12月31日期间，如果错过20个最好的日子，就会有效地抹去6%的年平均回报率。</blockquote></p><p> But what really stands out is how close the S&amp;P 500's best and worst days occur to each other. According to the \"Impact of Being Out of the Market\" report, from Jan. 3, 2000, through April 19, 2020, \"Seven of the ten worst days were followed the NEXT DAY [emphasis by J.P. Morgan Asset Management] by either top 10 returns over the 20 years or top 10 returns for their respective years.\"</p><p><blockquote>但真正引人注目的是标普500最好的日子和最糟糕的日子是多么接近。根据“退出市场的影响”报告，从2000年1月3日到2020年4月19日，“最糟糕的十天中有七天在第二天（摩根资产管理公司强调）之后出现了20年来的前10名回报或各自年份的前10名回报。”</blockquote></p><p> If you try to game the market, you're the one that gets played.</p><p><blockquote>如果你试图玩弄市场，你就是被玩弄的人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Long-term investors are batting 1.000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.长期投资者冲击1.000</b></blockquote></p><p> I saved thebest stock market crash metric for last.</p><p><blockquote>我把最好的股市崩盘指标留到了最后。</blockquote></p><p> A bull market rally has eventually put each and every one of these 38 declines in the rearview mirror. And in many instances, it took just weeks or months to erase the declines. For practical purposes, it doesn't matter when you buy during a correction or crash. As long as you buy stakes in an assortment of high-quality, innovative businesses, and you hold those stocks for long periods of time, you have an exceptionally good chance of making money.</p><p><blockquote>牛市反弹最终让这38次下跌中的每一次都成为过去。在许多情况下，只需几周或几个月就可以消除下降。出于实际目的，您何时在调整或崩盘期间买入并不重要。只要你购买各种高质量、创新企业的股份，并长期持有这些股票，你就有非常好的赚钱机会。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further proof, data from Crestmont Research on the S&amp;P 500 shows thatat no pointbetween 1919 and 2019 have rolling 20-year returns on the index ever been negative. In fact, only two ending years out of this 101-year period yielded average annual total returns (that is, including dividends) of less than 5%. If you buy with the intent of holding for a really long time, historical data suggests you're going to do very well.</p><p><blockquote>如果你需要进一步的证据，Crestmont Research关于标普500的数据显示，1919年至2019年间，该指数的20年滚动回报率从未为负。事实上，在这101年的时期中，只有两个年末的平均年总回报率（即包括股息）低于5%。如果你买入的目的是长期持有，历史数据表明你会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10 stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10只股票可能成为股市崩盘的最大赢家</b></blockquote></p><p> When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have an investing tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade,<i>Motley Fool Stock Advisor</i>, has quadrupled the market.*</p><p><blockquote>当投资天才大卫·加德纳和汤姆·加德纳有投资建议时，倾听是值得的。毕竟，他们经营了十多年的时事通讯，<i>杂色傻瓜股票顾问</i>，使市场翻了两番。</blockquote></p><p> David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the<b>ten best buys</b>for investors right now… And while timing isn't everything, the history of Tom and David's stock picks shows that it pays to get in early on their best ideas.</p><p><blockquote>大卫和汤姆刚刚透露了他们认为是<b>十大最佳购买</b>对于现在的投资者来说……虽然时机不是一切，但汤姆和大卫选股的历史表明，尽早了解他们的最佳想法是值得的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/07/stock-market-crash-coming-6-metrics-want-to-know/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/07/stock-market-crash-coming-6-metrics-want-to-know/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174323549","content_text":"Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down, too.\nDespite the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), iconicDow Jones Industrial Average(DJINDICES:^DJI), and growth-orientedNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)reveling in record-breaking bounce-back rallies from the March 23, 2020, bear market low, the conditions areripe for a stock market crash.\nSince emotion is the primary driver of very short-term price movements, we're never going to know precisely when a crash or correction is coming. But make no mistake about it, crashes and corrections are an inevitable part of the investing cycle, and some would say the price of admission to the greatest wealth-creating tool on the planet.\nWith this in mind, here are six stock market crash metrics every investor should have in mind.\n1. A Shiller P/E greater than 30 leads to a bear market, historically\nAs noted, the market doesn't often give us telltale signs that a crash is coming. One of the very few indicators that, thus far, has apretty immaculate track record of calling crashesis the Shiller S&P 500 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. It's a P/E ratio based on inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years.\nOver the past 150 years, the average Shiller P/E reading is 16.79. As of March 3, 2021, the Shiller P/E stood at 34.59 --more than double the historic average.\nHere's where it gets interesting. There have been only five bull market rallies in history where the Shiller P/E for the S&P 500 surpassed 30 and held for a period of time. A few of these periods might ring a bell, such as the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, and the coronavirus crash. Admittedly, the March 2020 crash had nothing to do with valuations and was purely a response to a once-in-a-generation pandemic. Nevertheless, it doesn't change the fact that the four previous instances of the Shiller P/E surpassing 30 have led to declines in the S&P 500 ranging between 20% and 89%.\nIn other words, history suggests that when the Shiller P/E heads above 30, a decline or a full-on bear market soon follows.\n2. Corrections occur every 1.87 years\nNo matter what sort of decline awaits investors in the future, it's important to recognize just how common these downward moves in the stock market are.\nAccording to data from market analytics company Yardeni Research, there have been 38 declines of at least 10% in the widely followedS&P 500since the beginning of 1950. Over this 71-year span, we're talking about a double-digit decline every 1.87 years, on average.\nKeep in mind that averages are exactly that -- averages. There have been long periods in which corrections were few and far between. For example, there wasn't a single double-digit crash or correction between 1991 and 1996. By comparison, there have been seven double-digit percentage declines in the past 11 years, with at least eight other drops ranging from 5.8% to 9.9%.\nCorrections are a healthy and normal occurrence.\n3. The average correction is six months long\nAlthough corrections tend to bum out optimists, here's some good news: Most crashes and corrections don't last very long.\nDating back to 1950, 24 of the S&P 500's 38 double-digit percentage corrections have found their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days (about 3.5 months). It took another seven between 157 and 288 calendar days to hit their trough. This means only seven significant declines in the market lasted longer than a year over the past seven-plus decades.\nWhen we add those up, the S&P 500 has spent 7,168 days in correction since 1950. This works out to an average correction length of 188 days, orjust over six months. Compare this figure to the 11-year bull market we just exited, and you can see why it pays to be an optimist.\n4. Modern-era corrections are a month shorter, on average\nCue the \"but wait -- there's more\" music.\nEven though corrections and crashes have been relatively short-lived over the past 71 years, they're even shorter in the modern era. I'm defining \"modern era\" as the rise of computers, which have assisted immensely with trading and providing supply-demand balance to equities. I'm arbitrarily using 1985 as the beginning of this modern era.\nSince 1985, the S&P 500 has undergone 16 double-digit declines. These include the dot-com bubble, which at 929 calendar days is the longest decline in the benchmark index's history. Even with this outlier, the average length of a crash or correction in the modern era is only 155 days. That's a full month shorter than the historical average for the broad-based index.\nWith the internet giving retail investors instant access to information, the barriers that once existed between Wall Street and Main Streethave been torn down. This has played a key role in shortening the length of corrections and crashes.\n5. 70% of the market's worst days are followed by its best gains\nAnother interesting statistic that's bound to raise an eyebrow or two is the correlation between the stock market's best and worst days. While some folks might be tempted to run for cover at the first sign of trouble, history shows that this isthe worst possible thing to do.\nLast year, J.P. Morgan Asset Management released what's become an annual report that examines the rolling 20-year returns of the S&P 500. In particular, J.P. Morgan Asset Management looked at how investors' returns would differ if they missed only a handful of the market's best days over a 20-year period. Between Jan. 3, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2019, missing just the 20 best days would have effectively wiped out a 6% annual average return.\nBut what really stands out is how close the S&P 500's best and worst days occur to each other. According to the \"Impact of Being Out of the Market\" report, from Jan. 3, 2000, through April 19, 2020, \"Seven of the ten worst days were followed the NEXT DAY [emphasis by J.P. Morgan Asset Management] by either top 10 returns over the 20 years or top 10 returns for their respective years.\"\nIf you try to game the market, you're the one that gets played.\n6. Long-term investors are batting 1.000\nI saved thebest stock market crash metric for last.\nA bull market rally has eventually put each and every one of these 38 declines in the rearview mirror. And in many instances, it took just weeks or months to erase the declines. For practical purposes, it doesn't matter when you buy during a correction or crash. As long as you buy stakes in an assortment of high-quality, innovative businesses, and you hold those stocks for long periods of time, you have an exceptionally good chance of making money.\nIf you need further proof, data from Crestmont Research on the S&P 500 shows thatat no pointbetween 1919 and 2019 have rolling 20-year returns on the index ever been negative. In fact, only two ending years out of this 101-year period yielded average annual total returns (that is, including dividends) of less than 5%. If you buy with the intent of holding for a really long time, historical data suggests you're going to do very well.\n10 stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash\nWhen investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have an investing tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade,Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has quadrupled the market.*\nDavid and Tom just revealed what they believe are theten best buysfor investors right now… And while timing isn't everything, the history of Tom and David's stock picks shows that it pays to get in early on their best ideas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367072423,"gmtCreate":1614900106462,"gmtModify":1703482652995,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367072423","repostId":"1178192831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364600766,"gmtCreate":1614841855455,"gmtModify":1703481817764,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364600766","repostId":"1195543456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365260620,"gmtCreate":1614746716260,"gmtModify":1703480596569,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365260620","repostId":"1178860453","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362598167,"gmtCreate":1614647244259,"gmtModify":1703479280061,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362598167","repostId":"1143415407","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143415407","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614608364,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143415407?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-01 22:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143415407","media":"Investors","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in lat","content":"<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in late January. With a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?</p><p><blockquote><b>先进微设备公司</b>自芯片制造商AMD 1月底公布第四季度业绩以来，该公司股价一直在下跌。随着股价回调，一些投资者可能想知道：AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</blockquote></p><p> AMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past five years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.</p><p><blockquote>在新产品和盈利能力提高的推动下，AMD在过去五年中实现了惊人的扭亏为盈。AMD股价因此上涨。</blockquote></p><p> AMD competes with<b>Intel</b>(INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivals<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.</p><p><blockquote>AMD与<b>英特尔</b>（INTC）为个人计算机和服务器制造中央处理器。它也是对手<b>英伟达</b>(NVDA)在用于PC、游戏机和数据中心的图形处理单元(GPU)市场。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in May 1969, AMD went&nbsp;public in September 1972.&nbsp;AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>AMD成立于1969年5月，1972年9月上市。AMD于2009年3月将其工厂分拆为一家名为GlobalFoundries的合资企业，转向无晶圆厂半导体业务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Chief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference</b></p><p><blockquote><b>首席执行官苏姿丰有所作为</b></blockquote></p><p> Current Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.</p><p><blockquote>现任首席执行官苏姿丰于2014年10月上任。2017年，她凭借Ryzen PC处理器和Epyc服务器芯片带领这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的公司进入了一个新时代。</blockquote></p><p> Under her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.</p><p><blockquote>在她的监督下，AMD在制造更小节点尺寸的CPU方面领先于英特尔，使其产品在速度和性能上具有优势。AMD正在制造7纳米规模的芯片，而英特尔一直在努力制造10纳米规模的芯片。AMD现在正在开发5纳米规模的芯片。芯片上的电路宽度以纳米为单位，即十亿分之一米。</blockquote></p><p> On July 23,Intel announced a six-month delayin production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>7月23日，英特尔宣布将其已经落后于计划的7纳米处理器的生产推迟六个月。英特尔现在预计将于2022年底或2023年初出货首批7纳米处理器。分析师表示，到那时，AMD可能会生产3纳米处理器。</blockquote></p><p> The situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况帮助AMD从英特尔手中夺取了个人电脑和服务器领域的市场份额。这些涨幅提振了AMD股价。</blockquote></p><p> Chip foundry&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b>(TSM) produces AMD's chips.</p><p><blockquote>芯片代工<b>台积电</b>(TSM)生产AMD的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Su also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buy<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on theXilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD's \"clean\" investor story around market share gains in processors.</p><p><blockquote>苏还在监督一项潜在的变革性收购。10月27日，AMD宣布了一项价值350亿美元的全股票交易，收购<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX)扩大其不断增长的数据中心业务。然而，AMD股价因Xilinx收购消息而下跌。批评人士表示，此次收购使AMD围绕处理器市场份额增长的“干净”投资者故事变得更加复杂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel Losing Market Share To AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔将市场份额输给AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Intel regained market share from AMD in CPUs for desktop and notebook PCs, according to Mercury Research. That ended a three-year streak of market share gains by AMD in the PC segment on a quarter-to-quarter basis. AMD also suffered supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mercury Research的数据，第四季度，英特尔从AMD手中夺回了台式机和笔记本电脑CPU的市场份额。这结束了AMD在PC领域连续三年的市场份额逐季增长。AMD在此期间还遭受了其合同制造商的供应限制。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 19.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 20.1% in the third quarter. However, it was up from 18.3% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD第四季度台式机PC处理器销量的单位份额为19.3%，低于第三季度的20.1%。然而，这一比例高于去年同期的18.3%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 19% in the December quarter, down from 20.2% in the September quarter. But it was up from 16.2% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月季度笔记本电脑处理器销量中的单位份额为19%，低于9月季度的20.2%。但高于去年同期的16.2%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD continued to gain share in CPUs for servers during the fourth quarter. Its server CPU market share was 7.1% in the December quarter. That compares with 6.6% in the September quarter and 4.5% in the year-earlier quarter, Mercury said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD在第四季度继续获得服务器CPU的份额。12月份季度，其服务器CPU市场份额为7.1%。Mercury表示，相比之下，9月份季度为6.6%，去年同期为4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Gaming Chips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Advanced Micro Devices新闻：新PC、游戏芯片</b></blockquote></p><p> On Oct. 8, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described itsRyzen 5000 series central processing unitsas the \"fastest gaming CPUs in the world.\"&nbsp;The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.</p><p><blockquote>10月8日，AMD推出了用于台式电脑的下一代锐龙处理器。它将其锐龙5000系列中央处理器描述为“世界上最快的游戏CPU”锐龙5000系列产品面向PC游戏玩家和内容创作者。</blockquote></p><p> On Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company's newRyzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips \"the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.\" However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.</p><p><blockquote>1月12日，在虚拟CES 2021技术大会的主题演讲中，首席执行官苏介绍了该公司的newRyzen 5000系列移动处理器。她称这些芯片是“有史以来为超薄和游戏笔记本打造的最强大的PC处理器”。然而，AMD股价当天下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> The next potential catalyst for AMD stock will be March 3. On that date, AMD plans to introduce the newest addition to its Radeon RX family of high-performance graphic cards.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的下一个潜在催化剂将是3月3日。在那一天，AMD计划推出其镭龙RX系列高性能显卡的最新成员。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Fundamental Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD基本面分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c60b5a17f32fbcdbeaf44cd79b85591\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"418\">Late Jan. 26,AMD reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, thanks to strong demand for PC, gaming and data center products. But AMD stock fell 6.2% the next day.</p><p><blockquote>1月26日晚些时候，AMD公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩，这得益于对PC、游戏和数据中心产品的强劲需求。但第二天AMD股价下跌6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD earned an adjusted 52 cents a share on sales of $3.24 billion in the December quarter. Analysts expected AMD earnings of 47 cents a share on sales of $3.02 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings rose 63% while sales climbed 53%.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月份季度的销售额为32.4亿美元，调整后每股收益为52美分。分析师预计AMD每股收益为47美分，销售额为30.2亿美元。与去年同期相比，AMD盈利增长63%，销售额增长53%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of $3.2 billion, up 79% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street analysts predicted AMD sales of $2.73 billion in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计本季度营收为32亿美元，同比增长79%。华尔街分析师预测AMD第一季度销售额为27.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For the full year, AMD expects sales to rise 37% to $13.38 billion. Analysts had been looking for 2021 revenue of $12.24 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计全年销售额将增长37%，达到133.8亿美元。分析师此前预计2021年收入为122.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At least six Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on AMD stock after the company's earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>在AMD发布财报后，至少有六位华尔街分析师上调了该公司股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Stock Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>2015年7月，AMD股价跌至每股1.61美元的近四年低点，随后开始了史诗般的复苏。</blockquote></p><p> On Nov. 30, AMD stock broke out of a fourth-stage,double-bottom basewith abuy pointof 88.82, according toIBD MarketSmithcharts. It notched a record high of 99.23 on Jan. 11.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD MarketSmithCharts的数据，11月30日，AMD股价突破第四阶段双底，买入点为88.82。1月11日创下99.23的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For two months after itsbreakout, AMD stock traded in and out of the5% chase zone. However, it triggered around-trip sell signalafter retreating from a breakout gain of more than 10% back to below the buy point.</p><p><blockquote>在突破后的两个月里，AMD股票在5%的追逐区进进出出。然而，在从超过10%的突破涨幅回落至买入点以下后，它触发了往返卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock flashed anothersell signalon Feb. 23 when it dropped 7% to 8% below the buy point of its breakout. It ended the regular session Feb. 26 in the sell zone at 84.51.</p><p><blockquote>2月23日，AMD股价再次发出卖出信号，当时该股较突破买入点下跌7%至8%。2月26日常规交易结束于卖出区84.51。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Relative Strength Ratingof 62. That means it has outperformed 62% of stocks on the market over the past 12 months. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80. And AMD'srelative strength linehas declined since mid-December as it underperforms the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD相对强度评级为62。这意味着它在过去12个月中的表现优于市场上62%的股票。最好的成长型股票的RS评级通常至少为80。AMD的相对强弱线自12月中旬以来一直在下降，因为它的表现逊于标普500指数。</blockquote></p><p> It has anIBD Accumulation/Distribution Ratingof B-, indicating some institutional buying of AMD shares.</p><p><blockquote>它的IBD积累/分配评级为B-，表明一些机构购买了AMD股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is on theIBD 50&nbsp;listof top-performing growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票跻身IBD 50表现最佳成长型股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is not a buy right now. It is trading well below its50-day moving average line, a negative sign.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票目前不值得买入。其交易价格远低于50日移动平均线，这是一个负面信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock will need to form anew basein theright market conditionsbefore setting a new potential buy point. Check outIBD's Big Picture columnfor the current market direction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票需要在正确的市场条件下形成新的基础，然后才能设定新的潜在买入点。查看IBD的大图专栏，了解当前的市场方向。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Composite Ratingof 95 out of a best-possible 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD综合评级为95分（满分为99分）。IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最佳成长型股票的综合评级为90或更高。</blockquote></p><p> TheIBD Stock Checkuptool ranks AMD in fourth place in IBD's fabless semiconductor industry group. So, there are better stocks in the group to consider.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查工具将AMD在IBD无晶圆厂半导体行业组中排名第四。因此，该组中有更好的股票可以考虑。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 88 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.</p><p><blockquote>此外，无晶圆厂芯片制造商集团在IBD追踪的197个行业集团中排名第88位。成长股投资者应重点关注前40大产业群中的龙头股。</blockquote></p><p> To find thebest stocks to buy or watch, check outIBD Stock Listsas well as IBD'sLeaderboard,MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms.</p><p><blockquote>要找到最值得购买或关注的股票，请查看IBD股票列表以及IBD排行榜、MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-01 22:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in late January. With a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?</p><p><blockquote><b>先进微设备公司</b>自芯片制造商AMD 1月底公布第四季度业绩以来，该公司股价一直在下跌。随着股价回调，一些投资者可能想知道：AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</blockquote></p><p> AMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past five years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.</p><p><blockquote>在新产品和盈利能力提高的推动下，AMD在过去五年中实现了惊人的扭亏为盈。AMD股价因此上涨。</blockquote></p><p> AMD competes with<b>Intel</b>(INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivals<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.</p><p><blockquote>AMD与<b>英特尔</b>（INTC）为个人计算机和服务器制造中央处理器。它也是对手<b>英伟达</b>(NVDA)在用于PC、游戏机和数据中心的图形处理单元(GPU)市场。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in May 1969, AMD went&nbsp;public in September 1972.&nbsp;AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>AMD成立于1969年5月，1972年9月上市。AMD于2009年3月将其工厂分拆为一家名为GlobalFoundries的合资企业，转向无晶圆厂半导体业务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Chief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference</b></p><p><blockquote><b>首席执行官苏姿丰有所作为</b></blockquote></p><p> Current Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.</p><p><blockquote>现任首席执行官苏姿丰于2014年10月上任。2017年，她凭借Ryzen PC处理器和Epyc服务器芯片带领这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的公司进入了一个新时代。</blockquote></p><p> Under her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.</p><p><blockquote>在她的监督下，AMD在制造更小节点尺寸的CPU方面领先于英特尔，使其产品在速度和性能上具有优势。AMD正在制造7纳米规模的芯片，而英特尔一直在努力制造10纳米规模的芯片。AMD现在正在开发5纳米规模的芯片。芯片上的电路宽度以纳米为单位，即十亿分之一米。</blockquote></p><p> On July 23,Intel announced a six-month delayin production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>7月23日，英特尔宣布将其已经落后于计划的7纳米处理器的生产推迟六个月。英特尔现在预计将于2022年底或2023年初出货首批7纳米处理器。分析师表示，到那时，AMD可能会生产3纳米处理器。</blockquote></p><p> The situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况帮助AMD从英特尔手中夺取了个人电脑和服务器领域的市场份额。这些涨幅提振了AMD股价。</blockquote></p><p> Chip foundry&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b>(TSM) produces AMD's chips.</p><p><blockquote>芯片代工<b>台积电</b>(TSM)生产AMD的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Su also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buy<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on theXilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD's \"clean\" investor story around market share gains in processors.</p><p><blockquote>苏还在监督一项潜在的变革性收购。10月27日，AMD宣布了一项价值350亿美元的全股票交易，收购<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX)扩大其不断增长的数据中心业务。然而，AMD股价因Xilinx收购消息而下跌。批评人士表示，此次收购使AMD围绕处理器市场份额增长的“干净”投资者故事变得更加复杂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel Losing Market Share To AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔将市场份额输给AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Intel regained market share from AMD in CPUs for desktop and notebook PCs, according to Mercury Research. That ended a three-year streak of market share gains by AMD in the PC segment on a quarter-to-quarter basis. AMD also suffered supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mercury Research的数据，第四季度，英特尔从AMD手中夺回了台式机和笔记本电脑CPU的市场份额。这结束了AMD在PC领域连续三年的市场份额逐季增长。AMD在此期间还遭受了其合同制造商的供应限制。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 19.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 20.1% in the third quarter. However, it was up from 18.3% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD第四季度台式机PC处理器销量的单位份额为19.3%，低于第三季度的20.1%。然而，这一比例高于去年同期的18.3%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 19% in the December quarter, down from 20.2% in the September quarter. But it was up from 16.2% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月季度笔记本电脑处理器销量中的单位份额为19%，低于9月季度的20.2%。但高于去年同期的16.2%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD continued to gain share in CPUs for servers during the fourth quarter. Its server CPU market share was 7.1% in the December quarter. That compares with 6.6% in the September quarter and 4.5% in the year-earlier quarter, Mercury said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD在第四季度继续获得服务器CPU的份额。12月份季度，其服务器CPU市场份额为7.1%。Mercury表示，相比之下，9月份季度为6.6%，去年同期为4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Gaming Chips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Advanced Micro Devices新闻：新PC、游戏芯片</b></blockquote></p><p> On Oct. 8, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described itsRyzen 5000 series central processing unitsas the \"fastest gaming CPUs in the world.\"&nbsp;The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.</p><p><blockquote>10月8日，AMD推出了用于台式电脑的下一代锐龙处理器。它将其锐龙5000系列中央处理器描述为“世界上最快的游戏CPU”锐龙5000系列产品面向PC游戏玩家和内容创作者。</blockquote></p><p> On Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company's newRyzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips \"the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.\" However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.</p><p><blockquote>1月12日，在虚拟CES 2021技术大会的主题演讲中，首席执行官苏介绍了该公司的newRyzen 5000系列移动处理器。她称这些芯片是“有史以来为超薄和游戏笔记本打造的最强大的PC处理器”。然而，AMD股价当天下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> The next potential catalyst for AMD stock will be March 3. On that date, AMD plans to introduce the newest addition to its Radeon RX family of high-performance graphic cards.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的下一个潜在催化剂将是3月3日。在那一天，AMD计划推出其镭龙RX系列高性能显卡的最新成员。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Fundamental Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD基本面分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c60b5a17f32fbcdbeaf44cd79b85591\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"418\">Late Jan. 26,AMD reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, thanks to strong demand for PC, gaming and data center products. But AMD stock fell 6.2% the next day.</p><p><blockquote>1月26日晚些时候，AMD公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩，这得益于对PC、游戏和数据中心产品的强劲需求。但第二天AMD股价下跌6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD earned an adjusted 52 cents a share on sales of $3.24 billion in the December quarter. Analysts expected AMD earnings of 47 cents a share on sales of $3.02 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings rose 63% while sales climbed 53%.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月份季度的销售额为32.4亿美元，调整后每股收益为52美分。分析师预计AMD每股收益为47美分，销售额为30.2亿美元。与去年同期相比，AMD盈利增长63%，销售额增长53%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of $3.2 billion, up 79% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street analysts predicted AMD sales of $2.73 billion in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计本季度营收为32亿美元，同比增长79%。华尔街分析师预测AMD第一季度销售额为27.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For the full year, AMD expects sales to rise 37% to $13.38 billion. Analysts had been looking for 2021 revenue of $12.24 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计全年销售额将增长37%，达到133.8亿美元。分析师此前预计2021年收入为122.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At least six Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on AMD stock after the company's earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>在AMD发布财报后，至少有六位华尔街分析师上调了该公司股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Stock Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>2015年7月，AMD股价跌至每股1.61美元的近四年低点，随后开始了史诗般的复苏。</blockquote></p><p> On Nov. 30, AMD stock broke out of a fourth-stage,double-bottom basewith abuy pointof 88.82, according toIBD MarketSmithcharts. It notched a record high of 99.23 on Jan. 11.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD MarketSmithCharts的数据，11月30日，AMD股价突破第四阶段双底，买入点为88.82。1月11日创下99.23的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For two months after itsbreakout, AMD stock traded in and out of the5% chase zone. However, it triggered around-trip sell signalafter retreating from a breakout gain of more than 10% back to below the buy point.</p><p><blockquote>在突破后的两个月里，AMD股票在5%的追逐区进进出出。然而，在从超过10%的突破涨幅回落至买入点以下后，它触发了往返卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock flashed anothersell signalon Feb. 23 when it dropped 7% to 8% below the buy point of its breakout. It ended the regular session Feb. 26 in the sell zone at 84.51.</p><p><blockquote>2月23日，AMD股价再次发出卖出信号，当时该股较突破买入点下跌7%至8%。2月26日常规交易结束于卖出区84.51。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Relative Strength Ratingof 62. That means it has outperformed 62% of stocks on the market over the past 12 months. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80. And AMD'srelative strength linehas declined since mid-December as it underperforms the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD相对强度评级为62。这意味着它在过去12个月中的表现优于市场上62%的股票。最好的成长型股票的RS评级通常至少为80。AMD的相对强弱线自12月中旬以来一直在下降，因为它的表现逊于标普500指数。</blockquote></p><p> It has anIBD Accumulation/Distribution Ratingof B-, indicating some institutional buying of AMD shares.</p><p><blockquote>它的IBD积累/分配评级为B-，表明一些机构购买了AMD股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is on theIBD 50&nbsp;listof top-performing growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票跻身IBD 50表现最佳成长型股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is not a buy right now. It is trading well below its50-day moving average line, a negative sign.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票目前不值得买入。其交易价格远低于50日移动平均线，这是一个负面信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock will need to form anew basein theright market conditionsbefore setting a new potential buy point. Check outIBD's Big Picture columnfor the current market direction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票需要在正确的市场条件下形成新的基础，然后才能设定新的潜在买入点。查看IBD的大图专栏，了解当前的市场方向。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Composite Ratingof 95 out of a best-possible 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD综合评级为95分（满分为99分）。IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最佳成长型股票的综合评级为90或更高。</blockquote></p><p> TheIBD Stock Checkuptool ranks AMD in fourth place in IBD's fabless semiconductor industry group. So, there are better stocks in the group to consider.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查工具将AMD在IBD无晶圆厂半导体行业组中排名第四。因此，该组中有更好的股票可以考虑。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 88 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.</p><p><blockquote>此外，无晶圆厂芯片制造商集团在IBD追踪的197个行业集团中排名第88位。成长股投资者应重点关注前40大产业群中的龙头股。</blockquote></p><p> To find thebest stocks to buy or watch, check outIBD Stock Listsas well as IBD'sLeaderboard,MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms.</p><p><blockquote>要找到最值得购买或关注的股票，请查看IBD股票列表以及IBD排行榜、MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/amd-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220\">Investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/amd-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143415407","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in late January. With a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?\nAMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past five years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.\nAMD competes withIntel(INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivalsNvidia(NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.\nFounded in May 1969, AMD went public in September 1972. AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.\nChief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference\nCurrent Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.\nUnder her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.\nOn July 23,Intel announced a six-month delayin production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.\nThe situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.\nChip foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM) produces AMD's chips.\nSu also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buyXilinx(XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on theXilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD's \"clean\" investor story around market share gains in processors.\nIntel Losing Market Share To AMD\nIn the fourth quarter, Intel regained market share from AMD in CPUs for desktop and notebook PCs, according to Mercury Research. That ended a three-year streak of market share gains by AMD in the PC segment on a quarter-to-quarter basis. AMD also suffered supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.\nAMD's unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 19.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 20.1% in the third quarter. However, it was up from 18.3% in the year-earlier period.\nAMD's unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 19% in the December quarter, down from 20.2% in the September quarter. But it was up from 16.2% in the year-earlier period.\nHowever, AMD continued to gain share in CPUs for servers during the fourth quarter. Its server CPU market share was 7.1% in the December quarter. That compares with 6.6% in the September quarter and 4.5% in the year-earlier quarter, Mercury said.\nAdvanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Gaming Chips\nOn Oct. 8, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described itsRyzen 5000 series central processing unitsas the \"fastest gaming CPUs in the world.\" The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.\nOn Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company's newRyzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips \"the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.\" However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.\nThe next potential catalyst for AMD stock will be March 3. On that date, AMD plans to introduce the newest addition to its Radeon RX family of high-performance graphic cards.\nAMD Fundamental Analysis\nLate Jan. 26,AMD reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, thanks to strong demand for PC, gaming and data center products. But AMD stock fell 6.2% the next day.\nAMD earned an adjusted 52 cents a share on sales of $3.24 billion in the December quarter. Analysts expected AMD earnings of 47 cents a share on sales of $3.02 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings rose 63% while sales climbed 53%.\nFor the current quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of $3.2 billion, up 79% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street analysts predicted AMD sales of $2.73 billion in the first quarter.\nFor the full year, AMD expects sales to rise 37% to $13.38 billion. Analysts had been looking for 2021 revenue of $12.24 billion.\nAt least six Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on AMD stock after the company's earnings report.\nAMD Stock Technical Analysis\nAMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.\nOn Nov. 30, AMD stock broke out of a fourth-stage,double-bottom basewith abuy pointof 88.82, according toIBD MarketSmithcharts. It notched a record high of 99.23 on Jan. 11.\nFor two months after itsbreakout, AMD stock traded in and out of the5% chase zone. However, it triggered around-trip sell signalafter retreating from a breakout gain of more than 10% back to below the buy point.\nAMD stock flashed anothersell signalon Feb. 23 when it dropped 7% to 8% below the buy point of its breakout. It ended the regular session Feb. 26 in the sell zone at 84.51.\nAMD stock has anIBD Relative Strength Ratingof 62. That means it has outperformed 62% of stocks on the market over the past 12 months. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80. And AMD'srelative strength linehas declined since mid-December as it underperforms the S&P 500 index.\nIt has anIBD Accumulation/Distribution Ratingof B-, indicating some institutional buying of AMD shares.\nAMD stock is on theIBD 50 listof top-performing growth stocks.\nIs AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?\nAMD stock is not a buy right now. It is trading well below its50-day moving average line, a negative sign.\nAMD stock will need to form anew basein theright market conditionsbefore setting a new potential buy point. Check outIBD's Big Picture columnfor the current market direction.\nAMD stock has anIBD Composite Ratingof 95 out of a best-possible 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.\nTheIBD Stock Checkuptool ranks AMD in fourth place in IBD's fabless semiconductor industry group. So, there are better stocks in the group to consider.\nAlso, the fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 88 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.\nTo find thebest stocks to buy or watch, check outIBD Stock Listsas well as IBD'sLeaderboard,MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366740950,"gmtCreate":1614566981770,"gmtModify":1703478269516,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366740950","repostId":"2114432037","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366322276,"gmtCreate":1614397935195,"gmtModify":1703477284014,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366322276","repostId":"2114371822","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":340781774,"gmtCreate":1617493305498,"gmtModify":1631892203019,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340781774","repostId":"1176602902","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176602902","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1617366683,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176602902?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176602902","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 2) Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic grow","content":"<p>(April&nbsp;2)&nbsp;Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月2日）美国劳工部周五报告称，由于强劲的经济增长和积极的疫苗接种工作推动企业加大招聘力度，3月份就业增长以去年夏天以来的最快速度增长。</blockquote></p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.</p><p><blockquote>当月非农就业人数增加91.6万人，失业率降至6%。</blockquote></p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.</p><p><blockquote>接受道琼斯调查的经济学家一直预计增加675,000人，失业率为6%。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，一系列其他指标表明，随着美国试图摆脱Covid-19大流行的影响，经济增长将更加强劲。在经历了一年的产能减少后，全国各地的州和市继续重新开放。</blockquote></p><p>Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管受到限制，该公司大部分地区的业务活动已恢复到接近正常水平，Jeffries的跟踪显示，业务活动为大流行前水平的93.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.</p><p><blockquote>Homebase的数据显示，过去一个月，员工的工作时间和工作时间都大幅增加，接待和娱乐方面都有显着改善。这些是受打击最严重的行业，但随着政府放松了一些最严厉的活动限制，过去两个月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，制造业正在蓬勃发展，供应管理协会对该行业活动的衡量在3月份达到了1983年底以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员表示，任何加息都将是暂时的，但加息速度加上政府前所未有的刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储正在密切关注就业数据，但政策制定者一再表示，即使最近有所改善，劳动力市场也远未达到推动央行加息的程度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. added 916,000 jobs in March, above expectations<blockquote>美国3月新增就业91.6万个，高于预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-02 20:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April&nbsp;2)&nbsp;Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（4月2日）美国劳工部周五报告称，由于强劲的经济增长和积极的疫苗接种工作推动企业加大招聘力度，3月份就业增长以去年夏天以来的最快速度增长。</blockquote></p><p>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.</p><p><blockquote>当月非农就业人数增加91.6万人，失业率降至6%。</blockquote></p><p>Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.</p><p><blockquote>接受道琼斯调查的经济学家一直预计增加675,000人，失业率为6%。</blockquote></p><p>The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，一系列其他指标表明，随着美国试图摆脱Covid-19大流行的影响，经济增长将更加强劲。在经历了一年的产能减少后，全国各地的州和市继续重新开放。</blockquote></p><p>Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管受到限制，该公司大部分地区的业务活动已恢复到接近正常水平，Jeffries的跟踪显示，业务活动为大流行前水平的93.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.</p><p><blockquote>Homebase的数据显示，过去一个月，员工的工作时间和工作时间都大幅增加，接待和娱乐方面都有显着改善。这些是受打击最严重的行业，但随着政府放松了一些最严厉的活动限制，过去两个月有所改善。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，制造业正在蓬勃发展，供应管理协会对该行业活动的衡量在3月份达到了1983年底以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储官员表示，任何加息都将是暂时的，但加息速度加上政府前所未有的刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储正在密切关注就业数据，但政策制定者一再表示，即使最近有所改善，劳动力市场也远未达到推动央行加息的程度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176602902","content_text":"(April 2) Job growth boomed in March at the fastest pace since last summer as stronger economic growth and an aggressive vaccination effort pushed companies to step up hiring, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 916,000 for the month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%.Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 675,000 and an unemployment rate of 6%.The report comes amid a slew of other indicators pointing to stronger growth as the U.S. tries to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. States and municipalities across the country continue to reopen after a year of operating at reduced capacity.Business activity has returned to close to normal levels in much of the company despite the restrictions, with a tracker by Jeffries indicating that activity is at 93.5% of its pre-pandemic level.Data from Homebase shows that employees working and hours worked both gained sharply over the past month, with significant improvements in both hospitality and entertainment. Those have been the hardest-hit sectors, but have improved over the past two months as governments have loosened up on some of the harshest restrictions on activity.At the same time, manufacturing is enjoying a boom, with an Institute for Supply Management gauge of activity in the sector hitting its highest level since late 1983 in March.The pace of gains combined with the unprecedented level of government stimulus has kindled worries about inflation, though Federal Reserve officials say any increases will be temporary.The Fed is keeping a close eye on the jobs data, but policymakers have said repeatedly that even with the recent improvements the labor market is nowhere near a point that would push the central bank into raising interest rates.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320774966,"gmtCreate":1615183917755,"gmtModify":1703485319608,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip!!","listText":"Buy the dip!!","text":"Buy the dip!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320774966","repostId":"1174323549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174323549","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615182391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174323549?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-08 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174323549","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down","content":"<p>Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down, too.</p><p><blockquote>过去三周，股市向投资者发出了严厉警告：股市也可能下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), iconic<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI), and growth-oriented<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)reveling in record-breaking bounce-back rallies from the March 23, 2020, bear market low, the conditions areripe for a stock market crash.</p><p><blockquote>尽管基准<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)，标志性<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI)，并以增长为导向<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>(NASDAQINDEX：^IXIC)陶醉于从2020年3月23日熊市低点破纪录的反弹，股市崩盘的条件正在准备中。</blockquote></p><p> Since emotion is the primary driver of very short-term price movements, we're never going to know precisely when a crash or correction is coming. But make no mistake about it, crashes and corrections are an inevitable part of the investing cycle, and some would say the price of admission to the greatest wealth-creating tool on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>由于情绪是短期价格变动的主要驱动力，我们永远无法准确知道崩盘或调整何时到来。但毫无疑问，崩盘和调整是投资周期中不可避免的一部分，有些人会说这是进入这个星球上最伟大的财富创造工具的代价。</blockquote></p><p> With this in mind, here are six stock market crash metrics every investor should have in mind.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，以下是每个投资者都应该牢记的六个股市崩盘指标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. A Shiller P/E greater than 30 leads to a bear market, historically</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.从历史上看，席勒市盈率大于30会导致熊市</b></blockquote></p><p> As noted, the market doesn't often give us telltale signs that a crash is coming. One of the very few indicators that, thus far, has apretty immaculate track record of calling crashesis the Shiller S&amp;P 500 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. It's a P/E ratio based on inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，市场并不经常给我们崩溃即将到来的迹象。到目前为止，席勒·标普500市盈率（P/E）是极少数在预测崩盘方面有着完美记录的指标之一。这是基于过去10年经通货膨胀调整的收益的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 150 years, the average Shiller P/E reading is 16.79. As of March 3, 2021, the Shiller P/E stood at 34.59 --more than double the historic average.</p><p><blockquote>过去150年来，席勒市盈率平均值为16.79。截至2021年3月3日，席勒市盈率为34.59，是历史平均水平的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Here's where it gets interesting. There have been only five bull market rallies in history where the Shiller P/E for the S&amp;P 500 surpassed 30 and held for a period of time. A few of these periods might ring a bell, such as the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, and the coronavirus crash. Admittedly, the March 2020 crash had nothing to do with valuations and was purely a response to a once-in-a-generation pandemic. Nevertheless, it doesn't change the fact that the four previous instances of the Shiller P/E surpassing 30 have led to declines in the S&amp;P 500 ranging between 20% and 89%.</p><p><blockquote>这就是有趣的地方。历史上只有五次牛市反弹，标普500的席勒市盈率超过30并持续一段时间。其中一些时期可能会敲响警钟，例如大萧条、互联网泡沫和冠状病毒崩溃。诚然，2020年3月的崩盘与估值无关，纯粹是对千载难逢的疫情的回应。尽管如此，这并不能改变席勒市盈率前四次超过30导致标普500下跌20%至89%的事实。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, history suggests that when the Shiller P/E heads above 30, a decline or a full-on bear market soon follows.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，历史表明，当席勒市盈率超过30时，下跌或全面熊市很快就会随之而来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Corrections occur every 1.87 years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.每1.87年进行一次修正</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what sort of decline awaits investors in the future, it's important to recognize just how common these downward moves in the stock market are.</p><p><blockquote>无论未来等待投资者的是什么样的下跌，重要的是要认识到股市的这些下跌走势是多么普遍。</blockquote></p><p> According to data from market analytics company Yardeni Research, there have been 38 declines of at least 10% in the widely followedS&amp;P 500since the beginning of 1950. Over this 71-year span, we're talking about a double-digit decline every 1.87 years, on average.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，广受关注的标准普尔500指数已有38次下跌至少10%。在这71年的时间里，我们平均每1.87年就会出现两位数的下降。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that averages are exactly that -- averages. There have been long periods in which corrections were few and far between. For example, there wasn't a single double-digit crash or correction between 1991 and 1996. By comparison, there have been seven double-digit percentage declines in the past 11 years, with at least eight other drops ranging from 5.8% to 9.9%.</p><p><blockquote>记住，平均值就是平均值。在很长一段时间里，修正很少。例如，1991年至1996年间没有发生过一次两位数的崩盘或调整。相比之下，过去11年中有7次出现两位数的百分比下降，另外至少有8次下降，降幅在5.8%至9.9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> Corrections are a healthy and normal occurrence.</p><p><blockquote>纠正是健康和正常的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. The average correction is six months long</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.平均回调时间长达六个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Although corrections tend to bum out optimists, here's some good news: Most crashes and corrections don't last very long.</p><p><blockquote>尽管调整往往会让乐观主义者感到沮丧，但这里有一些好消息：大多数崩溃和调整不会持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Dating back to 1950, 24 of the S&amp;P 500's 38 double-digit percentage corrections have found their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days (about 3.5 months). It took another seven between 157 and 288 calendar days to hit their trough. This means only seven significant declines in the market lasted longer than a year over the past seven-plus decades.</p><p><blockquote>追溯到1950年，标普500 38次两位数百分比修正中，有24次在104个或更短的日历日（约3.5个月）内触底。在157到288个日历日之间，又过了7天才达到低谷。这意味着在过去的七十多年里，只有七次市场大幅下跌持续时间超过一年。</blockquote></p><p> When we add those up, the S&amp;P 500 has spent 7,168 days in correction since 1950. This works out to an average correction length of 188 days, orjust over six months. Compare this figure to the 11-year bull market we just exited, and you can see why it pays to be an optimist.</p><p><blockquote>当我们把这些加起来时，标普500自1950年以来已经花了7,168天进行修正。这意味着平均修正时间为188天，或者说刚刚超过6个月。将这个数字与我们刚刚退出的11年牛市进行比较，你就会明白为什么乐观是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Modern-era corrections are a month shorter, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.现代的矫正平均要短一个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue the \"but wait -- there's more\" music.</p><p><blockquote>提示“但是等等——还有更多”的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> Even though corrections and crashes have been relatively short-lived over the past 71 years, they're even shorter in the modern era. I'm defining \"modern era\" as the rise of computers, which have assisted immensely with trading and providing supply-demand balance to equities. I'm arbitrarily using 1985 as the beginning of this modern era.</p><p><blockquote>尽管在过去的71年里，调整和崩盘相对短暂，但在现代，它们的时间甚至更短。我将“现代时代”定义为计算机的崛起，它极大地帮助了交易并为股票提供了供需平衡。我武断地用1985年作为这个现代时代的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1985, the S&amp;P 500 has undergone 16 double-digit declines. These include the dot-com bubble, which at 929 calendar days is the longest decline in the benchmark index's history. Even with this outlier, the average length of a crash or correction in the modern era is only 155 days. That's a full month shorter than the historical average for the broad-based index.</p><p><blockquote>自1985年以来，标普500经历了16次两位数的下跌。其中包括互联网泡沫，929个日历日是基准指数历史上最长的下跌。即使有这个异常值，现代崩盘或调整的平均持续时间也只有155天。这比基础广泛的指数的历史平均水平短了整整一个月。</blockquote></p><p> With the internet giving retail investors instant access to information, the barriers that once existed between Wall Street and Main Streethave been torn down. This has played a key role in shortening the length of corrections and crashes.</p><p><blockquote>随着互联网让散户投资者能够即时获取信息，华尔街和大街之间曾经存在的壁垒已经被拆除。这在缩短修正和崩溃的时间方面发挥了关键作用。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>5. 70% of the market's worst days are followed by its best gains</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.70%的市场最糟糕的日子之后都是最好的涨幅</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting statistic that's bound to raise an eyebrow or two is the correlation between the stock market's best and worst days. While some folks might be tempted to run for cover at the first sign of trouble, history shows that this isthe worst possible thing to do.</p><p><blockquote>另一个肯定会引起人们注意的有趣统计数据是股市最好的日子和最差的日子之间的相关性。虽然有些人可能会在遇到麻烦的第一个迹象时试图逃跑，但历史表明，这是最糟糕的事情。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, J.P. Morgan Asset Management released what's become an annual report that examines the rolling 20-year returns of the S&amp;P 500. In particular, J.P. Morgan Asset Management looked at how investors' returns would differ if they missed only a handful of the market's best days over a 20-year period. Between Jan. 3, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2019, missing just the 20 best days would have effectively wiped out a 6% annual average return.</p><p><blockquote>去年，摩根资产管理公司发布了一份年度报告，研究了标普500 20年的滚动回报。摩根大通资产管理公司特别研究了如果投资者在20年期间只错过了市场最好的几天，他们的回报会有何不同。2000年1月3日至2019年12月31日期间，如果错过20个最好的日子，就会有效地抹去6%的年平均回报率。</blockquote></p><p> But what really stands out is how close the S&amp;P 500's best and worst days occur to each other. According to the \"Impact of Being Out of the Market\" report, from Jan. 3, 2000, through April 19, 2020, \"Seven of the ten worst days were followed the NEXT DAY [emphasis by J.P. Morgan Asset Management] by either top 10 returns over the 20 years or top 10 returns for their respective years.\"</p><p><blockquote>但真正引人注目的是标普500最好的日子和最糟糕的日子是多么接近。根据“退出市场的影响”报告，从2000年1月3日到2020年4月19日，“最糟糕的十天中有七天在第二天（摩根资产管理公司强调）之后出现了20年来的前10名回报或各自年份的前10名回报。”</blockquote></p><p> If you try to game the market, you're the one that gets played.</p><p><blockquote>如果你试图玩弄市场，你就是被玩弄的人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Long-term investors are batting 1.000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.长期投资者冲击1.000</b></blockquote></p><p> I saved thebest stock market crash metric for last.</p><p><blockquote>我把最好的股市崩盘指标留到了最后。</blockquote></p><p> A bull market rally has eventually put each and every one of these 38 declines in the rearview mirror. And in many instances, it took just weeks or months to erase the declines. For practical purposes, it doesn't matter when you buy during a correction or crash. As long as you buy stakes in an assortment of high-quality, innovative businesses, and you hold those stocks for long periods of time, you have an exceptionally good chance of making money.</p><p><blockquote>牛市反弹最终让这38次下跌中的每一次都成为过去。在许多情况下，只需几周或几个月就可以消除下降。出于实际目的，您何时在调整或崩盘期间买入并不重要。只要你购买各种高质量、创新企业的股份，并长期持有这些股票，你就有非常好的赚钱机会。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further proof, data from Crestmont Research on the S&amp;P 500 shows thatat no pointbetween 1919 and 2019 have rolling 20-year returns on the index ever been negative. In fact, only two ending years out of this 101-year period yielded average annual total returns (that is, including dividends) of less than 5%. If you buy with the intent of holding for a really long time, historical data suggests you're going to do very well.</p><p><blockquote>如果你需要进一步的证据，Crestmont Research关于标普500的数据显示，1919年至2019年间，该指数的20年滚动回报率从未为负。事实上，在这101年的时期中，只有两个年末的平均年总回报率（即包括股息）低于5%。如果你买入的目的是长期持有，历史数据表明你会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10 stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10只股票可能成为股市崩盘的最大赢家</b></blockquote></p><p> When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have an investing tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade,<i>Motley Fool Stock Advisor</i>, has quadrupled the market.*</p><p><blockquote>当投资天才大卫·加德纳和汤姆·加德纳有投资建议时，倾听是值得的。毕竟，他们经营了十多年的时事通讯，<i>杂色傻瓜股票顾问</i>，使市场翻了两番。</blockquote></p><p> David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the<b>ten best buys</b>for investors right now… And while timing isn't everything, the history of Tom and David's stock picks shows that it pays to get in early on their best ideas.</p><p><blockquote>大卫和汤姆刚刚透露了他们认为是<b>十大最佳购买</b>对于现在的投资者来说……虽然时机不是一切，但汤姆和大卫选股的历史表明，尽早了解他们的最佳想法是值得的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Stock Market Crash May Be Coming: 6 Metrics You'll Want to Know<blockquote>股市崩盘可能即将到来：您需要了解的6个指标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-08 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down, too.</p><p><blockquote>过去三周，股市向投资者发出了严厉警告：股市也可能下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), iconic<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI), and growth-oriented<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)reveling in record-breaking bounce-back rallies from the March 23, 2020, bear market low, the conditions areripe for a stock market crash.</p><p><blockquote>尽管基准<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)，标志性<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI)，并以增长为导向<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>(NASDAQINDEX：^IXIC)陶醉于从2020年3月23日熊市低点破纪录的反弹，股市崩盘的条件正在准备中。</blockquote></p><p> Since emotion is the primary driver of very short-term price movements, we're never going to know precisely when a crash or correction is coming. But make no mistake about it, crashes and corrections are an inevitable part of the investing cycle, and some would say the price of admission to the greatest wealth-creating tool on the planet.</p><p><blockquote>由于情绪是短期价格变动的主要驱动力，我们永远无法准确知道崩盘或调整何时到来。但毫无疑问，崩盘和调整是投资周期中不可避免的一部分，有些人会说这是进入这个星球上最伟大的财富创造工具的代价。</blockquote></p><p> With this in mind, here are six stock market crash metrics every investor should have in mind.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，以下是每个投资者都应该牢记的六个股市崩盘指标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. A Shiller P/E greater than 30 leads to a bear market, historically</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.从历史上看，席勒市盈率大于30会导致熊市</b></blockquote></p><p> As noted, the market doesn't often give us telltale signs that a crash is coming. One of the very few indicators that, thus far, has apretty immaculate track record of calling crashesis the Shiller S&amp;P 500 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. It's a P/E ratio based on inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，市场并不经常给我们崩溃即将到来的迹象。到目前为止，席勒·标普500市盈率（P/E）是极少数在预测崩盘方面有着完美记录的指标之一。这是基于过去10年经通货膨胀调整的收益的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 150 years, the average Shiller P/E reading is 16.79. As of March 3, 2021, the Shiller P/E stood at 34.59 --more than double the historic average.</p><p><blockquote>过去150年来，席勒市盈率平均值为16.79。截至2021年3月3日，席勒市盈率为34.59，是历史平均水平的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Here's where it gets interesting. There have been only five bull market rallies in history where the Shiller P/E for the S&amp;P 500 surpassed 30 and held for a period of time. A few of these periods might ring a bell, such as the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, and the coronavirus crash. Admittedly, the March 2020 crash had nothing to do with valuations and was purely a response to a once-in-a-generation pandemic. Nevertheless, it doesn't change the fact that the four previous instances of the Shiller P/E surpassing 30 have led to declines in the S&amp;P 500 ranging between 20% and 89%.</p><p><blockquote>这就是有趣的地方。历史上只有五次牛市反弹，标普500的席勒市盈率超过30并持续一段时间。其中一些时期可能会敲响警钟，例如大萧条、互联网泡沫和冠状病毒崩溃。诚然，2020年3月的崩盘与估值无关，纯粹是对千载难逢的疫情的回应。尽管如此，这并不能改变席勒市盈率前四次超过30导致标普500下跌20%至89%的事实。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, history suggests that when the Shiller P/E heads above 30, a decline or a full-on bear market soon follows.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，历史表明，当席勒市盈率超过30时，下跌或全面熊市很快就会随之而来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Corrections occur every 1.87 years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.每1.87年进行一次修正</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what sort of decline awaits investors in the future, it's important to recognize just how common these downward moves in the stock market are.</p><p><blockquote>无论未来等待投资者的是什么样的下跌，重要的是要认识到股市的这些下跌走势是多么普遍。</blockquote></p><p> According to data from market analytics company Yardeni Research, there have been 38 declines of at least 10% in the widely followedS&amp;P 500since the beginning of 1950. Over this 71-year span, we're talking about a double-digit decline every 1.87 years, on average.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，广受关注的标准普尔500指数已有38次下跌至少10%。在这71年的时间里，我们平均每1.87年就会出现两位数的下降。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that averages are exactly that -- averages. There have been long periods in which corrections were few and far between. For example, there wasn't a single double-digit crash or correction between 1991 and 1996. By comparison, there have been seven double-digit percentage declines in the past 11 years, with at least eight other drops ranging from 5.8% to 9.9%.</p><p><blockquote>记住，平均值就是平均值。在很长一段时间里，修正很少。例如，1991年至1996年间没有发生过一次两位数的崩盘或调整。相比之下，过去11年中有7次出现两位数的百分比下降，另外至少有8次下降，降幅在5.8%至9.9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> Corrections are a healthy and normal occurrence.</p><p><blockquote>纠正是健康和正常的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. The average correction is six months long</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.平均回调时间长达六个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Although corrections tend to bum out optimists, here's some good news: Most crashes and corrections don't last very long.</p><p><blockquote>尽管调整往往会让乐观主义者感到沮丧，但这里有一些好消息：大多数崩溃和调整不会持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Dating back to 1950, 24 of the S&amp;P 500's 38 double-digit percentage corrections have found their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days (about 3.5 months). It took another seven between 157 and 288 calendar days to hit their trough. This means only seven significant declines in the market lasted longer than a year over the past seven-plus decades.</p><p><blockquote>追溯到1950年，标普500 38次两位数百分比修正中，有24次在104个或更短的日历日（约3.5个月）内触底。在157到288个日历日之间，又过了7天才达到低谷。这意味着在过去的七十多年里，只有七次市场大幅下跌持续时间超过一年。</blockquote></p><p> When we add those up, the S&amp;P 500 has spent 7,168 days in correction since 1950. This works out to an average correction length of 188 days, orjust over six months. Compare this figure to the 11-year bull market we just exited, and you can see why it pays to be an optimist.</p><p><blockquote>当我们把这些加起来时，标普500自1950年以来已经花了7,168天进行修正。这意味着平均修正时间为188天，或者说刚刚超过6个月。将这个数字与我们刚刚退出的11年牛市进行比较，你就会明白为什么乐观是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Modern-era corrections are a month shorter, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.现代的矫正平均要短一个月</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue the \"but wait -- there's more\" music.</p><p><blockquote>提示“但是等等——还有更多”的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> Even though corrections and crashes have been relatively short-lived over the past 71 years, they're even shorter in the modern era. I'm defining \"modern era\" as the rise of computers, which have assisted immensely with trading and providing supply-demand balance to equities. I'm arbitrarily using 1985 as the beginning of this modern era.</p><p><blockquote>尽管在过去的71年里，调整和崩盘相对短暂，但在现代，它们的时间甚至更短。我将“现代时代”定义为计算机的崛起，它极大地帮助了交易并为股票提供了供需平衡。我武断地用1985年作为这个现代时代的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1985, the S&amp;P 500 has undergone 16 double-digit declines. These include the dot-com bubble, which at 929 calendar days is the longest decline in the benchmark index's history. Even with this outlier, the average length of a crash or correction in the modern era is only 155 days. That's a full month shorter than the historical average for the broad-based index.</p><p><blockquote>自1985年以来，标普500经历了16次两位数的下跌。其中包括互联网泡沫，929个日历日是基准指数历史上最长的下跌。即使有这个异常值，现代崩盘或调整的平均持续时间也只有155天。这比基础广泛的指数的历史平均水平短了整整一个月。</blockquote></p><p> With the internet giving retail investors instant access to information, the barriers that once existed between Wall Street and Main Streethave been torn down. This has played a key role in shortening the length of corrections and crashes.</p><p><blockquote>随着互联网让散户投资者能够即时获取信息，华尔街和大街之间曾经存在的壁垒已经被拆除。这在缩短修正和崩溃的时间方面发挥了关键作用。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>5. 70% of the market's worst days are followed by its best gains</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.70%的市场最糟糕的日子之后都是最好的涨幅</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting statistic that's bound to raise an eyebrow or two is the correlation between the stock market's best and worst days. While some folks might be tempted to run for cover at the first sign of trouble, history shows that this isthe worst possible thing to do.</p><p><blockquote>另一个肯定会引起人们注意的有趣统计数据是股市最好的日子和最差的日子之间的相关性。虽然有些人可能会在遇到麻烦的第一个迹象时试图逃跑，但历史表明，这是最糟糕的事情。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, J.P. Morgan Asset Management released what's become an annual report that examines the rolling 20-year returns of the S&amp;P 500. In particular, J.P. Morgan Asset Management looked at how investors' returns would differ if they missed only a handful of the market's best days over a 20-year period. Between Jan. 3, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2019, missing just the 20 best days would have effectively wiped out a 6% annual average return.</p><p><blockquote>去年，摩根资产管理公司发布了一份年度报告，研究了标普500 20年的滚动回报。摩根大通资产管理公司特别研究了如果投资者在20年期间只错过了市场最好的几天，他们的回报会有何不同。2000年1月3日至2019年12月31日期间，如果错过20个最好的日子，就会有效地抹去6%的年平均回报率。</blockquote></p><p> But what really stands out is how close the S&amp;P 500's best and worst days occur to each other. According to the \"Impact of Being Out of the Market\" report, from Jan. 3, 2000, through April 19, 2020, \"Seven of the ten worst days were followed the NEXT DAY [emphasis by J.P. Morgan Asset Management] by either top 10 returns over the 20 years or top 10 returns for their respective years.\"</p><p><blockquote>但真正引人注目的是标普500最好的日子和最糟糕的日子是多么接近。根据“退出市场的影响”报告，从2000年1月3日到2020年4月19日，“最糟糕的十天中有七天在第二天（摩根资产管理公司强调）之后出现了20年来的前10名回报或各自年份的前10名回报。”</blockquote></p><p> If you try to game the market, you're the one that gets played.</p><p><blockquote>如果你试图玩弄市场，你就是被玩弄的人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Long-term investors are batting 1.000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.长期投资者冲击1.000</b></blockquote></p><p> I saved thebest stock market crash metric for last.</p><p><blockquote>我把最好的股市崩盘指标留到了最后。</blockquote></p><p> A bull market rally has eventually put each and every one of these 38 declines in the rearview mirror. And in many instances, it took just weeks or months to erase the declines. For practical purposes, it doesn't matter when you buy during a correction or crash. As long as you buy stakes in an assortment of high-quality, innovative businesses, and you hold those stocks for long periods of time, you have an exceptionally good chance of making money.</p><p><blockquote>牛市反弹最终让这38次下跌中的每一次都成为过去。在许多情况下，只需几周或几个月就可以消除下降。出于实际目的，您何时在调整或崩盘期间买入并不重要。只要你购买各种高质量、创新企业的股份，并长期持有这些股票，你就有非常好的赚钱机会。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further proof, data from Crestmont Research on the S&amp;P 500 shows thatat no pointbetween 1919 and 2019 have rolling 20-year returns on the index ever been negative. In fact, only two ending years out of this 101-year period yielded average annual total returns (that is, including dividends) of less than 5%. If you buy with the intent of holding for a really long time, historical data suggests you're going to do very well.</p><p><blockquote>如果你需要进一步的证据，Crestmont Research关于标普500的数据显示，1919年至2019年间，该指数的20年滚动回报率从未为负。事实上，在这101年的时期中，只有两个年末的平均年总回报率（即包括股息）低于5%。如果你买入的目的是长期持有，历史数据表明你会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10 stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10只股票可能成为股市崩盘的最大赢家</b></blockquote></p><p> When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have an investing tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade,<i>Motley Fool Stock Advisor</i>, has quadrupled the market.*</p><p><blockquote>当投资天才大卫·加德纳和汤姆·加德纳有投资建议时，倾听是值得的。毕竟，他们经营了十多年的时事通讯，<i>杂色傻瓜股票顾问</i>，使市场翻了两番。</blockquote></p><p> David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the<b>ten best buys</b>for investors right now… And while timing isn't everything, the history of Tom and David's stock picks shows that it pays to get in early on their best ideas.</p><p><blockquote>大卫和汤姆刚刚透露了他们认为是<b>十大最佳购买</b>对于现在的投资者来说……虽然时机不是一切，但汤姆和大卫选股的历史表明，尽早了解他们的最佳想法是值得的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/07/stock-market-crash-coming-6-metrics-want-to-know/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/07/stock-market-crash-coming-6-metrics-want-to-know/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174323549","content_text":"Over the past three weeks, the stock market has sent investors a stern warning: Equities can go down, too.\nDespite the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), iconicDow Jones Industrial Average(DJINDICES:^DJI), and growth-orientedNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)reveling in record-breaking bounce-back rallies from the March 23, 2020, bear market low, the conditions areripe for a stock market crash.\nSince emotion is the primary driver of very short-term price movements, we're never going to know precisely when a crash or correction is coming. But make no mistake about it, crashes and corrections are an inevitable part of the investing cycle, and some would say the price of admission to the greatest wealth-creating tool on the planet.\nWith this in mind, here are six stock market crash metrics every investor should have in mind.\n1. A Shiller P/E greater than 30 leads to a bear market, historically\nAs noted, the market doesn't often give us telltale signs that a crash is coming. One of the very few indicators that, thus far, has apretty immaculate track record of calling crashesis the Shiller S&P 500 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. It's a P/E ratio based on inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years.\nOver the past 150 years, the average Shiller P/E reading is 16.79. As of March 3, 2021, the Shiller P/E stood at 34.59 --more than double the historic average.\nHere's where it gets interesting. There have been only five bull market rallies in history where the Shiller P/E for the S&P 500 surpassed 30 and held for a period of time. A few of these periods might ring a bell, such as the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, and the coronavirus crash. Admittedly, the March 2020 crash had nothing to do with valuations and was purely a response to a once-in-a-generation pandemic. Nevertheless, it doesn't change the fact that the four previous instances of the Shiller P/E surpassing 30 have led to declines in the S&P 500 ranging between 20% and 89%.\nIn other words, history suggests that when the Shiller P/E heads above 30, a decline or a full-on bear market soon follows.\n2. Corrections occur every 1.87 years\nNo matter what sort of decline awaits investors in the future, it's important to recognize just how common these downward moves in the stock market are.\nAccording to data from market analytics company Yardeni Research, there have been 38 declines of at least 10% in the widely followedS&P 500since the beginning of 1950. Over this 71-year span, we're talking about a double-digit decline every 1.87 years, on average.\nKeep in mind that averages are exactly that -- averages. There have been long periods in which corrections were few and far between. For example, there wasn't a single double-digit crash or correction between 1991 and 1996. By comparison, there have been seven double-digit percentage declines in the past 11 years, with at least eight other drops ranging from 5.8% to 9.9%.\nCorrections are a healthy and normal occurrence.\n3. The average correction is six months long\nAlthough corrections tend to bum out optimists, here's some good news: Most crashes and corrections don't last very long.\nDating back to 1950, 24 of the S&P 500's 38 double-digit percentage corrections have found their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days (about 3.5 months). It took another seven between 157 and 288 calendar days to hit their trough. This means only seven significant declines in the market lasted longer than a year over the past seven-plus decades.\nWhen we add those up, the S&P 500 has spent 7,168 days in correction since 1950. This works out to an average correction length of 188 days, orjust over six months. Compare this figure to the 11-year bull market we just exited, and you can see why it pays to be an optimist.\n4. Modern-era corrections are a month shorter, on average\nCue the \"but wait -- there's more\" music.\nEven though corrections and crashes have been relatively short-lived over the past 71 years, they're even shorter in the modern era. I'm defining \"modern era\" as the rise of computers, which have assisted immensely with trading and providing supply-demand balance to equities. I'm arbitrarily using 1985 as the beginning of this modern era.\nSince 1985, the S&P 500 has undergone 16 double-digit declines. These include the dot-com bubble, which at 929 calendar days is the longest decline in the benchmark index's history. Even with this outlier, the average length of a crash or correction in the modern era is only 155 days. That's a full month shorter than the historical average for the broad-based index.\nWith the internet giving retail investors instant access to information, the barriers that once existed between Wall Street and Main Streethave been torn down. This has played a key role in shortening the length of corrections and crashes.\n5. 70% of the market's worst days are followed by its best gains\nAnother interesting statistic that's bound to raise an eyebrow or two is the correlation between the stock market's best and worst days. While some folks might be tempted to run for cover at the first sign of trouble, history shows that this isthe worst possible thing to do.\nLast year, J.P. Morgan Asset Management released what's become an annual report that examines the rolling 20-year returns of the S&P 500. In particular, J.P. Morgan Asset Management looked at how investors' returns would differ if they missed only a handful of the market's best days over a 20-year period. Between Jan. 3, 2000, and Dec. 31, 2019, missing just the 20 best days would have effectively wiped out a 6% annual average return.\nBut what really stands out is how close the S&P 500's best and worst days occur to each other. According to the \"Impact of Being Out of the Market\" report, from Jan. 3, 2000, through April 19, 2020, \"Seven of the ten worst days were followed the NEXT DAY [emphasis by J.P. Morgan Asset Management] by either top 10 returns over the 20 years or top 10 returns for their respective years.\"\nIf you try to game the market, you're the one that gets played.\n6. Long-term investors are batting 1.000\nI saved thebest stock market crash metric for last.\nA bull market rally has eventually put each and every one of these 38 declines in the rearview mirror. And in many instances, it took just weeks or months to erase the declines. For practical purposes, it doesn't matter when you buy during a correction or crash. As long as you buy stakes in an assortment of high-quality, innovative businesses, and you hold those stocks for long periods of time, you have an exceptionally good chance of making money.\nIf you need further proof, data from Crestmont Research on the S&P 500 shows thatat no pointbetween 1919 and 2019 have rolling 20-year returns on the index ever been negative. In fact, only two ending years out of this 101-year period yielded average annual total returns (that is, including dividends) of less than 5%. If you buy with the intent of holding for a really long time, historical data suggests you're going to do very well.\n10 stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash\nWhen investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have an investing tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade,Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has quadrupled the market.*\nDavid and Tom just revealed what they believe are theten best buysfor investors right now… And while timing isn't everything, the history of Tom and David's stock picks shows that it pays to get in early on their best ideas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125178979,"gmtCreate":1624666188291,"gmtModify":1631892203014,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125178979","repostId":"1134306371","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366322276,"gmtCreate":1614397935195,"gmtModify":1703477284014,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366322276","repostId":"2114371822","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326375143,"gmtCreate":1615598681882,"gmtModify":1703491429835,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326375143","repostId":"2118935050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325896513,"gmtCreate":1615883992132,"gmtModify":1703494420267,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool&nbsp;","listText":"Cool&nbsp;","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325896513","repostId":"1158082879","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158082879","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615882597,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158082879?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-16 16:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stripe now most valuable US startup<blockquote>Stripe现在是美国最有价值的初创公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158082879","media":"foxbusiness","summary":"Stripe Inc. is the most valuable U.S. startup after securing a $600 million round of funding.The San","content":"<p>Stripe Inc. is the most valuable U.S. startup after securing a $600 million round of funding.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe Inc.在获得6亿美元融资后，成为美国最有价值的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p>The San Francisco and Dublin-based online payments technology provider is now valued at $95 billion, nearly three times the $36 billion valuation that it was awarded in April 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于旧金山和都柏林的在线支付技术提供商目前估值为950亿美元，几乎是2020年4月获得的360亿美元估值的三倍。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe plans to use the funds to invest in its European operations, in particular its Dublin headquarters, to support growing demand from the region and to expand its global payments and treasury network. Nearly 75% of the 42 countries that use Stripe are located in Europe, including many of the continent’s fastest-growing companies.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe计划利用这笔资金投资其欧洲业务，特别是都柏林总部，以支持该地区不断增长的需求，并扩大其全球支付和资金网络。在使用Stripe的42个国家中，近75%位于欧洲，其中包括许多欧洲大陆发展最快的公司。</blockquote></p><p>Primary investors in the funding round include Ireland’s National Treasury Management Agency, insurers Allianz and AXA SA, investment managers Baillie Gifford and Fidelity Investments, venture capital firm Sequoia Capital.</p><p><blockquote>本轮融资的主要投资者包括爱尔兰国家财政部管理机构、保险公司安联和安盛保险公司、投资管理公司Baillie Gifford和富达投资公司、风险投资公司红杉资本。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe now trails only China’s Bytedance ($140 billion) as the world’s most valuable startup, according toCB Insights. It is ahead of Elon Musk’s SpaceX ($74 billion) and Instacart Inc. ($39 billion) as the largest U.S. startup.</p><p><blockquote>根据CB Insights的数据，Stripe目前仅次于中国的字节跳动（1400亿美元），成为全球最有价值的初创公司。它领先于埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的SpaceX（740亿美元）和Instacart Inc.（390亿美元），成为美国最大的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe has experienced tremendous growth over the past year as many of its customers benefitted from the online shopping boom that occurred as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Customers include Amazon Inc., Wayfair Inc. and Shopify Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe在过去一年中经历了巨大的增长，因为其许多客户受益于COVID-19大流行带来的在线购物热潮。客户包括亚马逊公司、Wayfair公司和Shopify公司。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe will soon be available in Brazil, India, Indonesia, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. The company says its mission is to grow the GDP of the internet, which accounts for 14% of commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe将很快在巴西、印度、印度尼西亚、泰国和阿拉伯联合酋长国上市。该公司表示，其使命是增加占商业14%的互联网GDP。</blockquote></p><p>“The pandemic taught us many things about society, including how much can be achieved — and paid for — online, but the internet still isn’t the engine for global economic progress that it could be,” CFO Dhivya Suryadevara said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官迪维亚·苏里亚德瓦拉(Dhivya Suryadevara)在一份声明中表示：“这场大流行教会了我们很多关于社会的事情，包括在线可以实现多少目标并为此付出多少代价，但互联网仍然不是全球经济进步的引擎。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610518597439","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stripe now most valuable US startup<blockquote>Stripe现在是美国最有价值的初创公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStripe now most valuable US startup<blockquote>Stripe现在是美国最有价值的初创公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">foxbusiness</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-16 16:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stripe Inc. is the most valuable U.S. startup after securing a $600 million round of funding.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe Inc.在获得6亿美元融资后，成为美国最有价值的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p>The San Francisco and Dublin-based online payments technology provider is now valued at $95 billion, nearly three times the $36 billion valuation that it was awarded in April 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于旧金山和都柏林的在线支付技术提供商目前估值为950亿美元，几乎是2020年4月获得的360亿美元估值的三倍。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe plans to use the funds to invest in its European operations, in particular its Dublin headquarters, to support growing demand from the region and to expand its global payments and treasury network. Nearly 75% of the 42 countries that use Stripe are located in Europe, including many of the continent’s fastest-growing companies.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe计划利用这笔资金投资其欧洲业务，特别是都柏林总部，以支持该地区不断增长的需求，并扩大其全球支付和资金网络。在使用Stripe的42个国家中，近75%位于欧洲，其中包括许多欧洲大陆发展最快的公司。</blockquote></p><p>Primary investors in the funding round include Ireland’s National Treasury Management Agency, insurers Allianz and AXA SA, investment managers Baillie Gifford and Fidelity Investments, venture capital firm Sequoia Capital.</p><p><blockquote>本轮融资的主要投资者包括爱尔兰国家财政部管理机构、保险公司安联和安盛保险公司、投资管理公司Baillie Gifford和富达投资公司、风险投资公司红杉资本。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe now trails only China’s Bytedance ($140 billion) as the world’s most valuable startup, according toCB Insights. It is ahead of Elon Musk’s SpaceX ($74 billion) and Instacart Inc. ($39 billion) as the largest U.S. startup.</p><p><blockquote>根据CB Insights的数据，Stripe目前仅次于中国的字节跳动（1400亿美元），成为全球最有价值的初创公司。它领先于埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的SpaceX（740亿美元）和Instacart Inc.（390亿美元），成为美国最大的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe has experienced tremendous growth over the past year as many of its customers benefitted from the online shopping boom that occurred as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Customers include Amazon Inc., Wayfair Inc. and Shopify Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe在过去一年中经历了巨大的增长，因为其许多客户受益于COVID-19大流行带来的在线购物热潮。客户包括亚马逊公司、Wayfair公司和Shopify公司。</blockquote></p><p>Stripe will soon be available in Brazil, India, Indonesia, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. The company says its mission is to grow the GDP of the internet, which accounts for 14% of commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Stripe将很快在巴西、印度、印度尼西亚、泰国和阿拉伯联合酋长国上市。该公司表示，其使命是增加占商业14%的互联网GDP。</blockquote></p><p>“The pandemic taught us many things about society, including how much can be achieved — and paid for — online, but the internet still isn’t the engine for global economic progress that it could be,” CFO Dhivya Suryadevara said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官迪维亚·苏里亚德瓦拉(Dhivya Suryadevara)在一份声明中表示：“这场大流行教会了我们很多关于社会的事情，包括在线可以实现多少目标并为此付出多少代价，但互联网仍然不是全球经济进步的引擎。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stripe-now-most-valuable-us-startup\">foxbusiness</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stripe-now-most-valuable-us-startup","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158082879","content_text":"Stripe Inc. is the most valuable U.S. startup after securing a $600 million round of funding.The San Francisco and Dublin-based online payments technology provider is now valued at $95 billion, nearly three times the $36 billion valuation that it was awarded in April 2020.Stripe plans to use the funds to invest in its European operations, in particular its Dublin headquarters, to support growing demand from the region and to expand its global payments and treasury network. Nearly 75% of the 42 countries that use Stripe are located in Europe, including many of the continent’s fastest-growing companies.Primary investors in the funding round include Ireland’s National Treasury Management Agency, insurers Allianz and AXA SA, investment managers Baillie Gifford and Fidelity Investments, venture capital firm Sequoia Capital.Stripe now trails only China’s Bytedance ($140 billion) as the world’s most valuable startup, according toCB Insights. It is ahead of Elon Musk’s SpaceX ($74 billion) and Instacart Inc. ($39 billion) as the largest U.S. startup.Stripe has experienced tremendous growth over the past year as many of its customers benefitted from the online shopping boom that occurred as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Customers include Amazon Inc., Wayfair Inc. and Shopify Inc.Stripe will soon be available in Brazil, India, Indonesia, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. The company says its mission is to grow the GDP of the internet, which accounts for 14% of commerce.“The pandemic taught us many things about society, including how much can be achieved — and paid for — online, but the internet still isn’t the engine for global economic progress that it could be,” CFO Dhivya Suryadevara said in a statement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367072423,"gmtCreate":1614900106462,"gmtModify":1703482652995,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367072423","repostId":"1178192831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364600766,"gmtCreate":1614841855455,"gmtModify":1703481817764,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364600766","repostId":"1195543456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365260620,"gmtCreate":1614746716260,"gmtModify":1703480596569,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365260620","repostId":"1178860453","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362598167,"gmtCreate":1614647244259,"gmtModify":1703479280061,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362598167","repostId":"1143415407","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143415407","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614608364,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143415407?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-01 22:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143415407","media":"Investors","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in lat","content":"<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in late January. With a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?</p><p><blockquote><b>先进微设备公司</b>自芯片制造商AMD 1月底公布第四季度业绩以来，该公司股价一直在下跌。随着股价回调，一些投资者可能想知道：AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</blockquote></p><p> AMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past five years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.</p><p><blockquote>在新产品和盈利能力提高的推动下，AMD在过去五年中实现了惊人的扭亏为盈。AMD股价因此上涨。</blockquote></p><p> AMD competes with<b>Intel</b>(INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivals<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.</p><p><blockquote>AMD与<b>英特尔</b>（INTC）为个人计算机和服务器制造中央处理器。它也是对手<b>英伟达</b>(NVDA)在用于PC、游戏机和数据中心的图形处理单元(GPU)市场。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in May 1969, AMD went&nbsp;public in September 1972.&nbsp;AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>AMD成立于1969年5月，1972年9月上市。AMD于2009年3月将其工厂分拆为一家名为GlobalFoundries的合资企业，转向无晶圆厂半导体业务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Chief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference</b></p><p><blockquote><b>首席执行官苏姿丰有所作为</b></blockquote></p><p> Current Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.</p><p><blockquote>现任首席执行官苏姿丰于2014年10月上任。2017年，她凭借Ryzen PC处理器和Epyc服务器芯片带领这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的公司进入了一个新时代。</blockquote></p><p> Under her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.</p><p><blockquote>在她的监督下，AMD在制造更小节点尺寸的CPU方面领先于英特尔，使其产品在速度和性能上具有优势。AMD正在制造7纳米规模的芯片，而英特尔一直在努力制造10纳米规模的芯片。AMD现在正在开发5纳米规模的芯片。芯片上的电路宽度以纳米为单位，即十亿分之一米。</blockquote></p><p> On July 23,Intel announced a six-month delayin production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>7月23日，英特尔宣布将其已经落后于计划的7纳米处理器的生产推迟六个月。英特尔现在预计将于2022年底或2023年初出货首批7纳米处理器。分析师表示，到那时，AMD可能会生产3纳米处理器。</blockquote></p><p> The situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况帮助AMD从英特尔手中夺取了个人电脑和服务器领域的市场份额。这些涨幅提振了AMD股价。</blockquote></p><p> Chip foundry&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b>(TSM) produces AMD's chips.</p><p><blockquote>芯片代工<b>台积电</b>(TSM)生产AMD的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Su also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buy<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on theXilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD's \"clean\" investor story around market share gains in processors.</p><p><blockquote>苏还在监督一项潜在的变革性收购。10月27日，AMD宣布了一项价值350亿美元的全股票交易，收购<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX)扩大其不断增长的数据中心业务。然而，AMD股价因Xilinx收购消息而下跌。批评人士表示，此次收购使AMD围绕处理器市场份额增长的“干净”投资者故事变得更加复杂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel Losing Market Share To AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔将市场份额输给AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Intel regained market share from AMD in CPUs for desktop and notebook PCs, according to Mercury Research. That ended a three-year streak of market share gains by AMD in the PC segment on a quarter-to-quarter basis. AMD also suffered supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mercury Research的数据，第四季度，英特尔从AMD手中夺回了台式机和笔记本电脑CPU的市场份额。这结束了AMD在PC领域连续三年的市场份额逐季增长。AMD在此期间还遭受了其合同制造商的供应限制。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 19.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 20.1% in the third quarter. However, it was up from 18.3% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD第四季度台式机PC处理器销量的单位份额为19.3%，低于第三季度的20.1%。然而，这一比例高于去年同期的18.3%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 19% in the December quarter, down from 20.2% in the September quarter. But it was up from 16.2% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月季度笔记本电脑处理器销量中的单位份额为19%，低于9月季度的20.2%。但高于去年同期的16.2%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD continued to gain share in CPUs for servers during the fourth quarter. Its server CPU market share was 7.1% in the December quarter. That compares with 6.6% in the September quarter and 4.5% in the year-earlier quarter, Mercury said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD在第四季度继续获得服务器CPU的份额。12月份季度，其服务器CPU市场份额为7.1%。Mercury表示，相比之下，9月份季度为6.6%，去年同期为4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Gaming Chips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Advanced Micro Devices新闻：新PC、游戏芯片</b></blockquote></p><p> On Oct. 8, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described itsRyzen 5000 series central processing unitsas the \"fastest gaming CPUs in the world.\"&nbsp;The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.</p><p><blockquote>10月8日，AMD推出了用于台式电脑的下一代锐龙处理器。它将其锐龙5000系列中央处理器描述为“世界上最快的游戏CPU”锐龙5000系列产品面向PC游戏玩家和内容创作者。</blockquote></p><p> On Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company's newRyzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips \"the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.\" However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.</p><p><blockquote>1月12日，在虚拟CES 2021技术大会的主题演讲中，首席执行官苏介绍了该公司的newRyzen 5000系列移动处理器。她称这些芯片是“有史以来为超薄和游戏笔记本打造的最强大的PC处理器”。然而，AMD股价当天下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> The next potential catalyst for AMD stock will be March 3. On that date, AMD plans to introduce the newest addition to its Radeon RX family of high-performance graphic cards.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的下一个潜在催化剂将是3月3日。在那一天，AMD计划推出其镭龙RX系列高性能显卡的最新成员。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Fundamental Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD基本面分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c60b5a17f32fbcdbeaf44cd79b85591\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"418\">Late Jan. 26,AMD reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, thanks to strong demand for PC, gaming and data center products. But AMD stock fell 6.2% the next day.</p><p><blockquote>1月26日晚些时候，AMD公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩，这得益于对PC、游戏和数据中心产品的强劲需求。但第二天AMD股价下跌6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD earned an adjusted 52 cents a share on sales of $3.24 billion in the December quarter. Analysts expected AMD earnings of 47 cents a share on sales of $3.02 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings rose 63% while sales climbed 53%.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月份季度的销售额为32.4亿美元，调整后每股收益为52美分。分析师预计AMD每股收益为47美分，销售额为30.2亿美元。与去年同期相比，AMD盈利增长63%，销售额增长53%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of $3.2 billion, up 79% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street analysts predicted AMD sales of $2.73 billion in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计本季度营收为32亿美元，同比增长79%。华尔街分析师预测AMD第一季度销售额为27.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For the full year, AMD expects sales to rise 37% to $13.38 billion. Analysts had been looking for 2021 revenue of $12.24 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计全年销售额将增长37%，达到133.8亿美元。分析师此前预计2021年收入为122.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At least six Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on AMD stock after the company's earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>在AMD发布财报后，至少有六位华尔街分析师上调了该公司股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Stock Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>2015年7月，AMD股价跌至每股1.61美元的近四年低点，随后开始了史诗般的复苏。</blockquote></p><p> On Nov. 30, AMD stock broke out of a fourth-stage,double-bottom basewith abuy pointof 88.82, according toIBD MarketSmithcharts. It notched a record high of 99.23 on Jan. 11.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD MarketSmithCharts的数据，11月30日，AMD股价突破第四阶段双底，买入点为88.82。1月11日创下99.23的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For two months after itsbreakout, AMD stock traded in and out of the5% chase zone. However, it triggered around-trip sell signalafter retreating from a breakout gain of more than 10% back to below the buy point.</p><p><blockquote>在突破后的两个月里，AMD股票在5%的追逐区进进出出。然而，在从超过10%的突破涨幅回落至买入点以下后，它触发了往返卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock flashed anothersell signalon Feb. 23 when it dropped 7% to 8% below the buy point of its breakout. It ended the regular session Feb. 26 in the sell zone at 84.51.</p><p><blockquote>2月23日，AMD股价再次发出卖出信号，当时该股较突破买入点下跌7%至8%。2月26日常规交易结束于卖出区84.51。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Relative Strength Ratingof 62. That means it has outperformed 62% of stocks on the market over the past 12 months. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80. And AMD'srelative strength linehas declined since mid-December as it underperforms the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD相对强度评级为62。这意味着它在过去12个月中的表现优于市场上62%的股票。最好的成长型股票的RS评级通常至少为80。AMD的相对强弱线自12月中旬以来一直在下降，因为它的表现逊于标普500指数。</blockquote></p><p> It has anIBD Accumulation/Distribution Ratingof B-, indicating some institutional buying of AMD shares.</p><p><blockquote>它的IBD积累/分配评级为B-，表明一些机构购买了AMD股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is on theIBD 50&nbsp;listof top-performing growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票跻身IBD 50表现最佳成长型股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is not a buy right now. It is trading well below its50-day moving average line, a negative sign.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票目前不值得买入。其交易价格远低于50日移动平均线，这是一个负面信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock will need to form anew basein theright market conditionsbefore setting a new potential buy point. Check outIBD's Big Picture columnfor the current market direction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票需要在正确的市场条件下形成新的基础，然后才能设定新的潜在买入点。查看IBD的大图专栏，了解当前的市场方向。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Composite Ratingof 95 out of a best-possible 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD综合评级为95分（满分为99分）。IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最佳成长型股票的综合评级为90或更高。</blockquote></p><p> TheIBD Stock Checkuptool ranks AMD in fourth place in IBD's fabless semiconductor industry group. So, there are better stocks in the group to consider.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查工具将AMD在IBD无晶圆厂半导体行业组中排名第四。因此，该组中有更好的股票可以考虑。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 88 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.</p><p><blockquote>此外，无晶圆厂芯片制造商集团在IBD追踪的197个行业集团中排名第88位。成长股投资者应重点关注前40大产业群中的龙头股。</blockquote></p><p> To find thebest stocks to buy or watch, check outIBD Stock Listsas well as IBD'sLeaderboard,MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms.</p><p><blockquote>要找到最值得购买或关注的股票，请查看IBD股票列表以及IBD排行榜、MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker's Fourth-Quarter Earnings Report?<blockquote>芯片制造商发布第四季度收益报告后，AMD股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-01 22:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in late January. With a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?</p><p><blockquote><b>先进微设备公司</b>自芯片制造商AMD 1月底公布第四季度业绩以来，该公司股价一直在下跌。随着股价回调，一些投资者可能想知道：AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</blockquote></p><p> AMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past five years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.</p><p><blockquote>在新产品和盈利能力提高的推动下，AMD在过去五年中实现了惊人的扭亏为盈。AMD股价因此上涨。</blockquote></p><p> AMD competes with<b>Intel</b>(INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivals<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.</p><p><blockquote>AMD与<b>英特尔</b>（INTC）为个人计算机和服务器制造中央处理器。它也是对手<b>英伟达</b>(NVDA)在用于PC、游戏机和数据中心的图形处理单元(GPU)市场。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in May 1969, AMD went&nbsp;public in September 1972.&nbsp;AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>AMD成立于1969年5月，1972年9月上市。AMD于2009年3月将其工厂分拆为一家名为GlobalFoundries的合资企业，转向无晶圆厂半导体业务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Chief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference</b></p><p><blockquote><b>首席执行官苏姿丰有所作为</b></blockquote></p><p> Current Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.</p><p><blockquote>现任首席执行官苏姿丰于2014年10月上任。2017年，她凭借Ryzen PC处理器和Epyc服务器芯片带领这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的公司进入了一个新时代。</blockquote></p><p> Under her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.</p><p><blockquote>在她的监督下，AMD在制造更小节点尺寸的CPU方面领先于英特尔，使其产品在速度和性能上具有优势。AMD正在制造7纳米规模的芯片，而英特尔一直在努力制造10纳米规模的芯片。AMD现在正在开发5纳米规模的芯片。芯片上的电路宽度以纳米为单位，即十亿分之一米。</blockquote></p><p> On July 23,Intel announced a six-month delayin production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>7月23日，英特尔宣布将其已经落后于计划的7纳米处理器的生产推迟六个月。英特尔现在预计将于2022年底或2023年初出货首批7纳米处理器。分析师表示，到那时，AMD可能会生产3纳米处理器。</blockquote></p><p> The situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况帮助AMD从英特尔手中夺取了个人电脑和服务器领域的市场份额。这些涨幅提振了AMD股价。</blockquote></p><p> Chip foundry&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b>(TSM) produces AMD's chips.</p><p><blockquote>芯片代工<b>台积电</b>(TSM)生产AMD的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Su also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buy<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on theXilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD's \"clean\" investor story around market share gains in processors.</p><p><blockquote>苏还在监督一项潜在的变革性收购。10月27日，AMD宣布了一项价值350亿美元的全股票交易，收购<b>Xilinx</b>(XLNX)扩大其不断增长的数据中心业务。然而，AMD股价因Xilinx收购消息而下跌。批评人士表示，此次收购使AMD围绕处理器市场份额增长的“干净”投资者故事变得更加复杂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel Losing Market Share To AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔将市场份额输给AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Intel regained market share from AMD in CPUs for desktop and notebook PCs, according to Mercury Research. That ended a three-year streak of market share gains by AMD in the PC segment on a quarter-to-quarter basis. AMD also suffered supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mercury Research的数据，第四季度，英特尔从AMD手中夺回了台式机和笔记本电脑CPU的市场份额。这结束了AMD在PC领域连续三年的市场份额逐季增长。AMD在此期间还遭受了其合同制造商的供应限制。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 19.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 20.1% in the third quarter. However, it was up from 18.3% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD第四季度台式机PC处理器销量的单位份额为19.3%，低于第三季度的20.1%。然而，这一比例高于去年同期的18.3%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 19% in the December quarter, down from 20.2% in the September quarter. But it was up from 16.2% in the year-earlier period.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月季度笔记本电脑处理器销量中的单位份额为19%，低于9月季度的20.2%。但高于去年同期的16.2%。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD continued to gain share in CPUs for servers during the fourth quarter. Its server CPU market share was 7.1% in the December quarter. That compares with 6.6% in the September quarter and 4.5% in the year-earlier quarter, Mercury said.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD在第四季度继续获得服务器CPU的份额。12月份季度，其服务器CPU市场份额为7.1%。Mercury表示，相比之下，9月份季度为6.6%，去年同期为4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Gaming Chips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Advanced Micro Devices新闻：新PC、游戏芯片</b></blockquote></p><p> On Oct. 8, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described itsRyzen 5000 series central processing unitsas the \"fastest gaming CPUs in the world.\"&nbsp;The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.</p><p><blockquote>10月8日，AMD推出了用于台式电脑的下一代锐龙处理器。它将其锐龙5000系列中央处理器描述为“世界上最快的游戏CPU”锐龙5000系列产品面向PC游戏玩家和内容创作者。</blockquote></p><p> On Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company's newRyzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips \"the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.\" However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.</p><p><blockquote>1月12日，在虚拟CES 2021技术大会的主题演讲中，首席执行官苏介绍了该公司的newRyzen 5000系列移动处理器。她称这些芯片是“有史以来为超薄和游戏笔记本打造的最强大的PC处理器”。然而，AMD股价当天下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> The next potential catalyst for AMD stock will be March 3. On that date, AMD plans to introduce the newest addition to its Radeon RX family of high-performance graphic cards.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的下一个潜在催化剂将是3月3日。在那一天，AMD计划推出其镭龙RX系列高性能显卡的最新成员。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Fundamental Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD基本面分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c60b5a17f32fbcdbeaf44cd79b85591\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"418\">Late Jan. 26,AMD reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, thanks to strong demand for PC, gaming and data center products. But AMD stock fell 6.2% the next day.</p><p><blockquote>1月26日晚些时候，AMD公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩，这得益于对PC、游戏和数据中心产品的强劲需求。但第二天AMD股价下跌6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD earned an adjusted 52 cents a share on sales of $3.24 billion in the December quarter. Analysts expected AMD earnings of 47 cents a share on sales of $3.02 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings rose 63% while sales climbed 53%.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在12月份季度的销售额为32.4亿美元，调整后每股收益为52美分。分析师预计AMD每股收益为47美分，销售额为30.2亿美元。与去年同期相比，AMD盈利增长63%，销售额增长53%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of $3.2 billion, up 79% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street analysts predicted AMD sales of $2.73 billion in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计本季度营收为32亿美元，同比增长79%。华尔街分析师预测AMD第一季度销售额为27.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For the full year, AMD expects sales to rise 37% to $13.38 billion. Analysts had been looking for 2021 revenue of $12.24 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD预计全年销售额将增长37%，达到133.8亿美元。分析师此前预计2021年收入为122.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At least six Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on AMD stock after the company's earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>在AMD发布财报后，至少有六位华尔街分析师上调了该公司股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Stock Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>2015年7月，AMD股价跌至每股1.61美元的近四年低点，随后开始了史诗般的复苏。</blockquote></p><p> On Nov. 30, AMD stock broke out of a fourth-stage,double-bottom basewith abuy pointof 88.82, according toIBD MarketSmithcharts. It notched a record high of 99.23 on Jan. 11.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD MarketSmithCharts的数据，11月30日，AMD股价突破第四阶段双底，买入点为88.82。1月11日创下99.23的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> For two months after itsbreakout, AMD stock traded in and out of the5% chase zone. However, it triggered around-trip sell signalafter retreating from a breakout gain of more than 10% back to below the buy point.</p><p><blockquote>在突破后的两个月里，AMD股票在5%的追逐区进进出出。然而，在从超过10%的突破涨幅回落至买入点以下后，它触发了往返卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock flashed anothersell signalon Feb. 23 when it dropped 7% to 8% below the buy point of its breakout. It ended the regular session Feb. 26 in the sell zone at 84.51.</p><p><blockquote>2月23日，AMD股价再次发出卖出信号，当时该股较突破买入点下跌7%至8%。2月26日常规交易结束于卖出区84.51。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Relative Strength Ratingof 62. That means it has outperformed 62% of stocks on the market over the past 12 months. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80. And AMD'srelative strength linehas declined since mid-December as it underperforms the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD相对强度评级为62。这意味着它在过去12个月中的表现优于市场上62%的股票。最好的成长型股票的RS评级通常至少为80。AMD的相对强弱线自12月中旬以来一直在下降，因为它的表现逊于标普500指数。</blockquote></p><p> It has anIBD Accumulation/Distribution Ratingof B-, indicating some institutional buying of AMD shares.</p><p><blockquote>它的IBD积累/分配评级为B-，表明一些机构购买了AMD股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is on theIBD 50&nbsp;listof top-performing growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票跻身IBD 50表现最佳成长型股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock is not a buy right now. It is trading well below its50-day moving average line, a negative sign.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票目前不值得买入。其交易价格远低于50日移动平均线，这是一个负面信号。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock will need to form anew basein theright market conditionsbefore setting a new potential buy point. Check outIBD's Big Picture columnfor the current market direction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票需要在正确的市场条件下形成新的基础，然后才能设定新的潜在买入点。查看IBD的大图专栏，了解当前的市场方向。</blockquote></p><p> AMD stock has anIBD Composite Ratingof 95 out of a best-possible 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股票的IBD综合评级为95分（满分为99分）。IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最佳成长型股票的综合评级为90或更高。</blockquote></p><p> TheIBD Stock Checkuptool ranks AMD in fourth place in IBD's fabless semiconductor industry group. So, there are better stocks in the group to consider.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查工具将AMD在IBD无晶圆厂半导体行业组中排名第四。因此，该组中有更好的股票可以考虑。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 88 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.</p><p><blockquote>此外，无晶圆厂芯片制造商集团在IBD追踪的197个行业集团中排名第88位。成长股投资者应重点关注前40大产业群中的龙头股。</blockquote></p><p> To find thebest stocks to buy or watch, check outIBD Stock Listsas well as IBD'sLeaderboard,MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms.</p><p><blockquote>要找到最值得购买或关注的股票，请查看IBD股票列表以及IBD排行榜、MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/amd-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220\">Investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/amd-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143415407","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices(AMD) stock is down since the chipmaker reported fourth-quarter results in late January. With a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?\nAMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past five years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.\nAMD competes withIntel(INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivalsNvidia(NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.\nFounded in May 1969, AMD went public in September 1972. AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.\nChief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference\nCurrent Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.\nUnder her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.\nOn July 23,Intel announced a six-month delayin production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.\nThe situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.\nChip foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM) produces AMD's chips.\nSu also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buyXilinx(XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on theXilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD's \"clean\" investor story around market share gains in processors.\nIntel Losing Market Share To AMD\nIn the fourth quarter, Intel regained market share from AMD in CPUs for desktop and notebook PCs, according to Mercury Research. That ended a three-year streak of market share gains by AMD in the PC segment on a quarter-to-quarter basis. AMD also suffered supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.\nAMD's unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 19.3% in the fourth quarter, down from 20.1% in the third quarter. However, it was up from 18.3% in the year-earlier period.\nAMD's unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 19% in the December quarter, down from 20.2% in the September quarter. But it was up from 16.2% in the year-earlier period.\nHowever, AMD continued to gain share in CPUs for servers during the fourth quarter. Its server CPU market share was 7.1% in the December quarter. That compares with 6.6% in the September quarter and 4.5% in the year-earlier quarter, Mercury said.\nAdvanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Gaming Chips\nOn Oct. 8, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described itsRyzen 5000 series central processing unitsas the \"fastest gaming CPUs in the world.\" The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.\nOn Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company's newRyzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips \"the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.\" However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.\nThe next potential catalyst for AMD stock will be March 3. On that date, AMD plans to introduce the newest addition to its Radeon RX family of high-performance graphic cards.\nAMD Fundamental Analysis\nLate Jan. 26,AMD reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, thanks to strong demand for PC, gaming and data center products. But AMD stock fell 6.2% the next day.\nAMD earned an adjusted 52 cents a share on sales of $3.24 billion in the December quarter. Analysts expected AMD earnings of 47 cents a share on sales of $3.02 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings rose 63% while sales climbed 53%.\nFor the current quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of $3.2 billion, up 79% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street analysts predicted AMD sales of $2.73 billion in the first quarter.\nFor the full year, AMD expects sales to rise 37% to $13.38 billion. Analysts had been looking for 2021 revenue of $12.24 billion.\nAt least six Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on AMD stock after the company's earnings report.\nAMD Stock Technical Analysis\nAMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.\nOn Nov. 30, AMD stock broke out of a fourth-stage,double-bottom basewith abuy pointof 88.82, according toIBD MarketSmithcharts. It notched a record high of 99.23 on Jan. 11.\nFor two months after itsbreakout, AMD stock traded in and out of the5% chase zone. However, it triggered around-trip sell signalafter retreating from a breakout gain of more than 10% back to below the buy point.\nAMD stock flashed anothersell signalon Feb. 23 when it dropped 7% to 8% below the buy point of its breakout. It ended the regular session Feb. 26 in the sell zone at 84.51.\nAMD stock has anIBD Relative Strength Ratingof 62. That means it has outperformed 62% of stocks on the market over the past 12 months. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80. And AMD'srelative strength linehas declined since mid-December as it underperforms the S&P 500 index.\nIt has anIBD Accumulation/Distribution Ratingof B-, indicating some institutional buying of AMD shares.\nAMD stock is on theIBD 50 listof top-performing growth stocks.\nIs AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?\nAMD stock is not a buy right now. It is trading well below its50-day moving average line, a negative sign.\nAMD stock will need to form anew basein theright market conditionsbefore setting a new potential buy point. Check outIBD's Big Picture columnfor the current market direction.\nAMD stock has anIBD Composite Ratingof 95 out of a best-possible 99. IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.\nTheIBD Stock Checkuptool ranks AMD in fourth place in IBD's fabless semiconductor industry group. So, there are better stocks in the group to consider.\nAlso, the fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 88 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.\nTo find thebest stocks to buy or watch, check outIBD Stock Listsas well as IBD'sLeaderboard,MarketSmithandSwingTraderplatforms.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366740950,"gmtCreate":1614566981770,"gmtModify":1703478269516,"author":{"id":"3574123214878817","authorId":"3574123214878817","name":"KP1331","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574123214878817","authorIdStr":"3574123214878817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366740950","repostId":"2114432037","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}