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Alex_0099
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Alex_0099
2023-02-01
$理想汽车(LI)$
这次春节自驾2000多公里,理想ONE纯电优先油耗山区高速7个多,平地高速8个多,主要是平地速度开的更快120-130。所以上下坡能源回收机制对于新能源油耗影响远小于高速时风阻的影响。另外车道保持的辅助驾驶很大程度上减少了疲劳。更不要说看到服务区充电桩的排队心酸,理想切合实地的满足了当前的需要。
Alex_0099
2022-10-06
$理想汽车(LI)$
是谁砸盘?
Alex_0099
2023-08-11
$理想汽车(LI)$
获利,砸盘,再买入,庄家玩的很溜
Alex_0099
06-06
$蔚来-SW(09866)$
这次季报两年来算最差的,看看能回撤多少吧
Alex_0099
04-19
$理想汽车-W(02015)$
我们就这么被国外资本打压,工业跟上了,甚至领先了,但金融还差很远
Alex_0099
05-24
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
苏妈光想着套现,和老黄不是一个境界。真正的创始人对公司何等重要。在牛逼的打工CEO也无法和创始人相提并论
Alex_0099
03-11
$理想汽车-W(02015)$
没有华为的抄袭和水军,理想可能过200。但半年内看100以下。
Alex_0099
2022-12-03
$理想汽车(LI)$
预计12月销量保持1.5万,股价30以上
Alex_0099
2022-09-29
$零跑汽车(09863)$
这么破发,还不如撤回IPO。
Alex_0099
05-23
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
如果LISA不一直卖,早就200了
Alex_0099
2022-10-12
$零跑汽车(09863)$
当年周鸿祎因为“零跑”这个名字放弃了,选择了哪吒,不是没有道理啊。这是本着归零得节奏啊
[捂脸]
Alex_0099
2022-11-01
$理想汽车(LI)$
真长脸了!用实力说话。连续两个月L9销量破万,45万这个级别别说国产车,没有哪个品牌做到过!L8一上,销量破2万都可能,那可是月销售额80亿。现在不抄底再也没机会了!
Alex_0099
2022-09-30
$零跑汽车(09863)$
悲惨世界
Alex_0099
2022-07-20
$理想汽车(LI)$
感觉又20见了
Alex_0099
06-04
$蔚来-SW(09866)$
6.6季报出来大概率会暴跌一波
Alex_0099
03-07
$英伟达(NVDA)$
人生最大的悲哀就是在12刀的时候清空了英伟达
Alex_0099
2021-07-06
$理想汽车(LI)$
牛逼,又涨了
Alex_0099
2023-03-20
$拼多多(PDD)$
为什么暴跌?
Alex_0099
2022-11-10
$零跑汽车(09863)$
一个多小时成交额几十万,
[捂脸]
,死水一潭
Alex_0099
2022-10-25
$恒生指数(HSI)$
护盘了,要不今天继续跌吧
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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10:53","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"花旗维持蔚来买入评级,将目标价从79.6元调低至65.2元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2442894003","media":"阿斯达克财经","summary":"花旗发表研究报告指,蔚来年初至今销售势头强劲,加上ONVO和Firefly即将推出新车型,该行将集团2024及25年的销售预测由19万和25.9万辆分别上调至22.7万及30.8万辆,而2026年则预计为39万辆,又将2024及25年的毛利率分别下调1.5和1.9个百分点,至10%和11.5%,另外,2026年毛利率预测为13.2%。该行考虑到最新指引,预期公司2024至26年的净亏损分别为162亿、125亿及60亿元人民币,目标价由79.6元下调至65.2元,维持“买入”评级。","content":"<p>花旗发表研究报告指,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>年初至今销售势头强劲,加上ONVO和Firefly即将推出新车型,该行将集团2024及25年的销售预测由19万和25.9万辆分别上调至22.7万及30.8万辆,而2026年则预计为39万辆,又将2024及25年的毛利率分别下调1.5和1.9个百分点,至10%和11.5%,另外,2026年毛利率预测为13.2%。<br><br>花旗表示,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">蔚来</a>次季销售指引为5.4万至5.6万辆,按季增80至86%。展望未来,管理层预计公司毛利率将自第二季恢复至双位数,随后将按季持续改善。该行考虑到最新指引,预期公司2024至26年的净亏损分别为162亿、125亿及60亿元人民币,目标价由79.6元下调至65.2元,维持“买入”评级。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b04431e2cfe25d24fe3e9a7b0c670700\" tg-width=\"560\" 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class=\"title\">\n花旗维持蔚来买入评级,将目标价从79.6元调低至65.2元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-11 10:53 北京时间 <a href=http://www.aastocks.com/tc/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1355502/latest-news/AAFN><strong>阿斯达克财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>花旗发表研究报告指,蔚来年初至今销售势头强劲,加上ONVO和Firefly即将推出新车型,该行将集团2024及25年的销售预测由19万和25.9万辆分别上调至22.7万及30.8万辆,而2026年则预计为39万辆,又将2024及25年的毛利率分别下调1.5和1.9个百分点,至10%和11.5%,另外,2026年毛利率预测为13.2%。花旗表示,蔚来次季销售指引为5.4万至5.6万辆,按季增80至...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.aastocks.com/tc/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1355502/latest-news/AAFN\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"http://plib.aastocks.com/aafnnews/image/medialib/20210201115903972_s.jpg","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO.SI":"蔚来"},"source_url":"http://www.aastocks.com/tc/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1355502/latest-news/AAFN","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2442894003","content_text":"花旗发表研究报告指,蔚来年初至今销售势头强劲,加上ONVO和Firefly即将推出新车型,该行将集团2024及25年的销售预测由19万和25.9万辆分别上调至22.7万及30.8万辆,而2026年则预计为39万辆,又将2024及25年的毛利率分别下调1.5和1.9个百分点,至10%和11.5%,另外,2026年毛利率预测为13.2%。花旗表示,蔚来次季销售指引为5.4万至5.6万辆,按季增80至86%。展望未来,管理层预计公司毛利率将自第二季恢复至双位数,随后将按季持续改善。该行考虑到最新指引,预期公司2024至26年的净亏损分别为162亿、125亿及60亿元人民币,目标价由79.6元下调至65.2元,维持“买入”评级。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315650427326688,"gmtCreate":1718094033034,"gmtModify":1718097421310,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$ </a> 一季度季报带来影响相比上涨预期影响已经很收敛了,下半周应该反弹了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$ </a> 一季度季报带来影响相比上涨预期影响已经很收敛了,下半周应该反弹了。","text":"$蔚来-SW(09866)$ 一季度季报带来影响相比上涨预期影响已经很收敛了,下半周应该反弹了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/315650427326688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313774301131072,"gmtCreate":1717643486046,"gmtModify":1717654176577,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$ </a> 这次季报两年来算最差的,看看能回撤多少吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$ </a> 这次季报两年来算最差的,看看能回撤多少吧","text":"$蔚来-SW(09866)$ 这次季报两年来算最差的,看看能回撤多少吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313774301131072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3550805207824943","authorId":"3550805207824943","name":"阿洋抄美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f88cfa5c3d4e483795484efeba1b7c6","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"晚上8点,这次估计是会比较糟糕!但是,长期还是看好的","text":"晚上8点,这次估计是会比较糟糕!但是,长期还是看好的","html":"晚上8点,这次估计是会比较糟糕!但是,长期还是看好的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313141211181392,"gmtCreate":1717472652367,"gmtModify":1717490539585,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$ </a>二季度季报还是亏损,裁员降本得三季度了。70见了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$ </a>二季度季报还是亏损,裁员降本得三季度了。70见了","text":"$理想汽车-W(02015)$ 二季度季报还是亏损,裁员降本得三季度了。70见了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313141211181392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313141051547936,"gmtCreate":1717472608976,"gmtModify":1717490473978,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$ </a>6.6季报出来大概率会暴跌一波","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$ </a>6.6季报出来大概率会暴跌一波","text":"$蔚来-SW(09866)$ 6.6季报出来大概率会暴跌一波","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313141051547936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":311366653796608,"gmtCreate":1717037003895,"gmtModify":1717037005104,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ </a>十股并一股,再增发,再并股,无穷尽也啊。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ </a>十股并一股,再增发,再并股,无穷尽也啊。","text":"$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 十股并一股,再增发,再并股,无穷尽也啊。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/311366653796608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":310736637218832,"gmtCreate":1716891298381,"gmtModify":1716891300132,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好文!","listText":"好文!","text":"好文!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310736637218832","repostId":"2438845761","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2438845761","pubTimestamp":1716771952,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2438845761?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-05-27 09:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"2024年,换电抢了增程的风头","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2438845761","media":"镜观台","summary":"截至2024年4月30日,蔚来已布局2411座换电站。公开资料显示,蔚来自2018年至2023年,亏损已超过800亿元。6月6日,蔚来将刊发2024年第一季度业绩,亏损或将持续。2023年11月,长安汽车率先官宣将与蔚来合作,两家车企会一同研发可换电的车型,并且首款共用电池包的车型将会在2025年上市。进入2024年,奇瑞汽车、江汽集团、路特斯等车企陆续加入。东方证券也认为,到2025年国内换电车型占比有望达30%。","content":"<html><body><p>文 | 惠鹏权</p><p>恐怕连<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>董事长兼CEO李斌也没想到,换电战略合作的谈判如此顺利。</p><p>去年11月20日,李斌在回答内部员工“换电业务是否可持续经营”的问题时表示,明天(11月21日)会发布第一家合作,后面还有4-5家在谈。</p><p>“第一家”就是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000625\">长安汽车</a>。</p><p>此后一发不可收拾,半年的时间,除了长安汽车,吉利、奇瑞、江汽集团、路特斯、广汽和中国一汽先后加入了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">蔚来</a>的“换电联盟”。</p><p>而“换电联盟”还有一个潜在的盟友,即<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>。小鹏汽车董事长兼CEO何小鹏在给李斌交付小鹏X9时表示,等蔚来换电站建到5000座时,就认真考虑加盟的事。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p>来源/蔚来官方公众号 镜观台截图</p><p>按照蔚来的部署,2024年要在2023年2316座换电站的基础上,再增加1000座。截至2024年4月30日,蔚来已布局2411座换电站。</p><p>随着长安汽车等主流车企加盟,换电站的开建速度只会更快。</p><p>蔚来的换电护城河也会越来越深。但李斌自然不满足于此,近日又“怂恿”小米董事长兼CEO雷军考虑一下换电。</p><p>雷军并未做出正面回应,但有理由相信,还会有下一家车企加入“换电联盟”。</p><p>如果说2023年是增程车的元年,那么,2024年,换电的风头正劲。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p><strong>换电须提速</strong></p><p>虽然蔚来是国内布局充电桩最多的汽车品牌,截至4月30日,已超过2.2万根,但提起蔚来,消费者的第一反应还是换电。</p><p>李斌就表示,换电是蔚来的护城河,“但蔚来从第一天开始做换电起就决定开放”。</p><p>公开资料显示,蔚来第一座换电站位于深圳南山科技园,2018年5月20日正式投入运营,至今已过去了6年。</p><p>那为什么5、6年后,蔚来才和其他车企开启换电站的战略合作呢?就有业内专家向镜观台表示,一方面蔚来换电在很长时间内都不被看好;另一方面,蔚来持续亏损让其在新建换电站承压较大,需要强援。</p><p>按照平均200万元建一个换电站来算,目前蔚来已经在换电站上投资了近50亿元。而这还不包括蔚来承担换电站的土地租金、电池配备以及还有其他一些额外的支出。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p>来源/蔚来官方公众号 镜观台截图</p><p>值得注意的是,换电站作为重资产投资,蔚来也尚未从中盈利。蔚来总裁秦力洪就曾表示,希望共同努力,亏得少一些,尽早盈利。</p><p>蔚来在去年实现营收556.18亿元,毛利率同比下滑4.9个百分点,净亏损进一步扩大43.5%至207.2亿元。公开资料显示,蔚来自2018年至2023年,亏损已超过800亿元。6月6日,蔚来将刊发2024年第一季度业绩,亏损或将持续。</p><p>近期,凤凰网科技报道称,因价格战冲击现金流,蔚来、小鹏延期向供应商付款。媒体同时披露,2023年底时,蔚来汽车需要大约295天的时间来结清其应付账款,其中绝大多数是拖欠供应商的款项,而2021年为197天。</p><p>甚至有专家表示,延迟付款开始对汽车零部件供应商产生连锁反应。三、四级供应商确实受到了影响,因为他们无法将影响转嫁出去。</p><p>重压之下,蔚来积极探寻战略合作伙伴,深筑护城河,以期在竞争日益激烈的新能源汽车“红海”里,有好故事可讲。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p><strong>强援已到位</strong></p><p>事实上,换电对于众多消费者来说,还是香饽饽。</p><p>多位蔚来车主就表示,换电是目前解决新能源用车焦虑的最好办法。比如节假日出行,服务区充电桩排长队,加油站也在排长队,但蔚来车主只需要一首歌的时间,就可以满电出发。</p><p>近期,蔚来全国第800座高速换电站于G3京台高速开化服务区正式上线。</p><p>至此,蔚来高速换电网络已打通包含G1京哈、G2京沪、G3京台等7条纵向高速换电网络,和包含G20青银、G30连霍高速苏陕段等6条横向高速换电网络,以及包含京津冀、长三角、大湾区等11大城市群高速换电网络,它们共同服务于蔚来50万车主。</p><p>目前蔚来换电站日均单量为35-36单,离盈亏平衡的50-60单还有较大距离。仅靠蔚来车主似乎很难扭亏为盈,而更多汽车品牌的加入一定会改写上述数据。</p><p>2023年11月,长安汽车率先官宣将与蔚来合作,两家车企会一同研发可换电的车型,并且首款共用电池包的车型将会在2025年上市。</p><p>同月,吉利与蔚来签署换电战略合作协议,将在换电电池标准、换电技术、换电服务网络建设及运营、换电车型研发及定制、电池资产管理及运营等多个领域展开全面合作。</p><p>进入2024年,奇瑞汽车、江汽集团、路特斯等车企陆续加入。5月,广汽和一汽也火速加入蔚来的“换电联盟”。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p>来源/蔚来官方公众号 镜观台截图</p><p>除此之外,皖能集团、壳牌、国网苏州供电公司、安徽交控集团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600995\">南网储能</a>等充电补能的产业链相关企业也纷纷驰援。</p><p>“国家队”的加入,自然为蔚来和换电赛道注入了“强心剂”。</p><p>事实上,在换电的赛道上,还有东风、北汽、上汽、吉利和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>等选手,尤其是宁德时代今年先后与滴滴和广汽强强联合,巩固了“巧克力”换电块的市场地位,也将为众多新能源车辆提供高效换电服务。</p><p>开源证券预计,2025年我国换电产业链市场规模有望达到1334亿元。东方证券也认为,到2025年国内换电车型占比有望达30%。</p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p><strong>抢增程地盘?</strong></p><p>正如李斌在游说雷军考虑换电时所说,从纯电到换电,只需要在底盘做一些适配,单辆车的换电版改造费用仅需1000元左右,而“具备换电能力的车型能吸引更多的消费者,预期市场增量可提升10%-20%。”</p><p>毕竟现阶段,消费者在选购新能源汽车时,更多考虑的还是续航和补能问题。所以,插混和增程车近年来颇受青睐,成为了车企扩大销量,实现扭亏为盈的利器。</p><p>理想就在2023年凭借理想L9、理想L8和理想L7三款增程车,赢得了37.6万个消费者的支持,全年营收1238.5亿元,同比增长173.5%,全年净利润达到118.1亿元,实现了自交付以来的全面盈利。</p><p>问界M7在2024年一季度累计销量超过7万辆,仅凭这一款车,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601127\">赛力斯</a>和华为车BU都已经全部扭亏为盈了。</p><p>随着问界新M5开启全国交付,问界M7、问界M9的持续火热,赛力斯很有可能在2024年再次刷新盈利的上限。</p><p>也基于此,奇瑞和阿维塔今年首次入局增程车,试图在新能源车的市场占据一席之位,而也有媒体报道,小米汽车已确定研发增程车,计划在2025年推出。</p><p>据易车网数据,在当前市场21款增程式新能源汽车中,除了理想L6、L7、问界M7、M9等车型销量持续领先外,超过一半的增程车并没有亮眼表现。不过,“增程联盟”的实力也不容小觑。</p><p>谈到换电的优势时,李斌也专门对比了增程和插混车。李斌认为,增程和插混都安装了两套动力系统,全产品生命周期的保养和维修成本并不低。而在日常用车过程中,频频充电也会给车主带来时间成本问题。</p><p>另外,李斌也提到,增程器和一套增程系统的价格约为1.5万元,按100万辆车的保有量计算,用户将支出150亿元。这些钱可以新增1万座换电站,不仅可以让换电更为方便,解除续航焦虑和电池安全隐患外,换电站还有储能功能,削峰填谷,节约用电成本,还能帮助电网消纳更多风电光伏等清洁能。</p><p>所以按照李斌的说法,换电站带来的市场增量,一部分就来自插混和增程车。</p><p>不过,目前的“换电联盟”在数量上还远低于“增程联盟”,要将后者打败,还需要不断吸纳新鲜力量。下一家和蔚来结盟的车企,会是谁呢?</p></body></html>","source":"ifeng_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2024年,换电抢了增程的风头\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-27 09:05 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8Zv56dehZeK><strong>镜观台</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文 | 惠鹏权恐怕连蔚来董事长兼CEO李斌也没想到,换电战略合作的谈判如此顺利。去年11月20日,李斌在回答内部员工“换电业务是否可持续经营”的问题时表示,明天(11月21日)会发布第一家合作,后面还有4-5家在谈。“第一家”就是长安汽车。此后一发不可收拾,半年的时间,除了长安汽车,吉利、奇瑞、江汽集团、路特斯、广汽和中国一汽先后加入了蔚来的“换电联盟”。而“换电联盟”还有一个潜在的盟友,即...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8Zv56dehZeK\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","BK1523":"武汉本地概念股","BK1193":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","LU2097828557.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1770034418.SGD":"ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU2097828631.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (EUR) ACC","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU2097828714.EUR":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"BAZ\" (EUR) ACC","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF-NikkoAM","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU2097828805.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A-AZ\" (USD) 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镜观台截图按照蔚来的部署,2024年要在2023年2316座换电站的基础上,再增加1000座。截至2024年4月30日,蔚来已布局2411座换电站。随着长安汽车等主流车企加盟,换电站的开建速度只会更快。蔚来的换电护城河也会越来越深。但李斌自然不满足于此,近日又“怂恿”小米董事长兼CEO雷军考虑一下换电。雷军并未做出正面回应,但有理由相信,还会有下一家车企加入“换电联盟”。如果说2023年是增程车的元年,那么,2024年,换电的风头正劲。换电须提速虽然蔚来是国内布局充电桩最多的汽车品牌,截至4月30日,已超过2.2万根,但提起蔚来,消费者的第一反应还是换电。李斌就表示,换电是蔚来的护城河,“但蔚来从第一天开始做换电起就决定开放”。公开资料显示,蔚来第一座换电站位于深圳南山科技园,2018年5月20日正式投入运营,至今已过去了6年。那为什么5、6年后,蔚来才和其他车企开启换电站的战略合作呢?就有业内专家向镜观台表示,一方面蔚来换电在很长时间内都不被看好;另一方面,蔚来持续亏损让其在新建换电站承压较大,需要强援。按照平均200万元建一个换电站来算,目前蔚来已经在换电站上投资了近50亿元。而这还不包括蔚来承担换电站的土地租金、电池配备以及还有其他一些额外的支出。来源/蔚来官方公众号 镜观台截图值得注意的是,换电站作为重资产投资,蔚来也尚未从中盈利。蔚来总裁秦力洪就曾表示,希望共同努力,亏得少一些,尽早盈利。蔚来在去年实现营收556.18亿元,毛利率同比下滑4.9个百分点,净亏损进一步扩大43.5%至207.2亿元。公开资料显示,蔚来自2018年至2023年,亏损已超过800亿元。6月6日,蔚来将刊发2024年第一季度业绩,亏损或将持续。近期,凤凰网科技报道称,因价格战冲击现金流,蔚来、小鹏延期向供应商付款。媒体同时披露,2023年底时,蔚来汽车需要大约295天的时间来结清其应付账款,其中绝大多数是拖欠供应商的款项,而2021年为197天。甚至有专家表示,延迟付款开始对汽车零部件供应商产生连锁反应。三、四级供应商确实受到了影响,因为他们无法将影响转嫁出去。重压之下,蔚来积极探寻战略合作伙伴,深筑护城河,以期在竞争日益激烈的新能源汽车“红海”里,有好故事可讲。强援已到位事实上,换电对于众多消费者来说,还是香饽饽。多位蔚来车主就表示,换电是目前解决新能源用车焦虑的最好办法。比如节假日出行,服务区充电桩排长队,加油站也在排长队,但蔚来车主只需要一首歌的时间,就可以满电出发。近期,蔚来全国第800座高速换电站于G3京台高速开化服务区正式上线。至此,蔚来高速换电网络已打通包含G1京哈、G2京沪、G3京台等7条纵向高速换电网络,和包含G20青银、G30连霍高速苏陕段等6条横向高速换电网络,以及包含京津冀、长三角、大湾区等11大城市群高速换电网络,它们共同服务于蔚来50万车主。目前蔚来换电站日均单量为35-36单,离盈亏平衡的50-60单还有较大距离。仅靠蔚来车主似乎很难扭亏为盈,而更多汽车品牌的加入一定会改写上述数据。2023年11月,长安汽车率先官宣将与蔚来合作,两家车企会一同研发可换电的车型,并且首款共用电池包的车型将会在2025年上市。同月,吉利与蔚来签署换电战略合作协议,将在换电电池标准、换电技术、换电服务网络建设及运营、换电车型研发及定制、电池资产管理及运营等多个领域展开全面合作。进入2024年,奇瑞汽车、江汽集团、路特斯等车企陆续加入。5月,广汽和一汽也火速加入蔚来的“换电联盟”。来源/蔚来官方公众号 镜观台截图除此之外,皖能集团、壳牌、国网苏州供电公司、安徽交控集团、南网储能等充电补能的产业链相关企业也纷纷驰援。“国家队”的加入,自然为蔚来和换电赛道注入了“强心剂”。事实上,在换电的赛道上,还有东风、北汽、上汽、吉利和宁德时代等选手,尤其是宁德时代今年先后与滴滴和广汽强强联合,巩固了“巧克力”换电块的市场地位,也将为众多新能源车辆提供高效换电服务。开源证券预计,2025年我国换电产业链市场规模有望达到1334亿元。东方证券也认为,到2025年国内换电车型占比有望达30%。抢增程地盘?正如李斌在游说雷军考虑换电时所说,从纯电到换电,只需要在底盘做一些适配,单辆车的换电版改造费用仅需1000元左右,而“具备换电能力的车型能吸引更多的消费者,预期市场增量可提升10%-20%。”毕竟现阶段,消费者在选购新能源汽车时,更多考虑的还是续航和补能问题。所以,插混和增程车近年来颇受青睐,成为了车企扩大销量,实现扭亏为盈的利器。理想就在2023年凭借理想L9、理想L8和理想L7三款增程车,赢得了37.6万个消费者的支持,全年营收1238.5亿元,同比增长173.5%,全年净利润达到118.1亿元,实现了自交付以来的全面盈利。问界M7在2024年一季度累计销量超过7万辆,仅凭这一款车,赛力斯和华为车BU都已经全部扭亏为盈了。随着问界新M5开启全国交付,问界M7、问界M9的持续火热,赛力斯很有可能在2024年再次刷新盈利的上限。也基于此,奇瑞和阿维塔今年首次入局增程车,试图在新能源车的市场占据一席之位,而也有媒体报道,小米汽车已确定研发增程车,计划在2025年推出。据易车网数据,在当前市场21款增程式新能源汽车中,除了理想L6、L7、问界M7、M9等车型销量持续领先外,超过一半的增程车并没有亮眼表现。不过,“增程联盟”的实力也不容小觑。谈到换电的优势时,李斌也专门对比了增程和插混车。李斌认为,增程和插混都安装了两套动力系统,全产品生命周期的保养和维修成本并不低。而在日常用车过程中,频频充电也会给车主带来时间成本问题。另外,李斌也提到,增程器和一套增程系统的价格约为1.5万元,按100万辆车的保有量计算,用户将支出150亿元。这些钱可以新增1万座换电站,不仅可以让换电更为方便,解除续航焦虑和电池安全隐患外,换电站还有储能功能,削峰填谷,节约用电成本,还能帮助电网消纳更多风电光伏等清洁能。所以按照李斌的说法,换电站带来的市场增量,一部分就来自插混和增程车。不过,目前的“换电联盟”在数量上还远低于“增程联盟”,要将后者打败,还需要不断吸纳新鲜力量。下一家和蔚来结盟的车企,会是谁呢?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":309070149337256,"gmtCreate":1716484415622,"gmtModify":1716484417099,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202404260251558b540613&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2430825349","content_text":"巴克莱:下调理想汽车(LI.US)评级,由增持调整至持股观望评级, 目标价由39.00美元调整至25.00美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":297927552266528,"gmtCreate":1713764954977,"gmtModify":1713764956186,"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$ </a>2个月降到50港币,不是不可能啊","listText":"<a 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