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小加
02-04
$蔚来(NIO)$
小加
02-04
$蔚来(NIO)$
小加
02-04
$2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$
小加
02-04
$2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$
小加
01-28
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
小加
01-26
涨停
小加
01-16
如何申报
第一财经：境外收入的补税追溯期最早可至 2017 年
小加
01-16
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
小加
01-15
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
小加
01-14
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
小加
01-13
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
小加
01-12
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
小加
01-09
！
小加
01-09
2025年度复盘，癌股牛市没有知行合一，少赚了40万。知足常乐！
小加
2025-12-29
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
四川农商联合银行关停大型主机，核心业务迁入阿里云专有云平台
小加
2025-12-28
在这个世界上除了健康是自己的、没有任何属于自己，想想我们有多少人为自己而活、浑浑噩噩几十年就被烧成灰
小加
2025-12-24
$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$
7.0
小加
2025-12-18
英国央行将基准利率从4.00%下调至3.75%，符合市场预期，此前该行暂停了自2024年8月以来每季度降息一次的节奏。
日本加息会引爆全球流动性冲击吗？
小加
2025-12-13
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@律动BlockBeats:摩根大通倒戈华尔街：囤积白银，卡位黄金，做空美元信用
小加
2025-11-25
$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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","text":"$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72085c8641ff59427be220063f8ba631","width":"1122","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/526613157393160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":525963187823400,"gmtCreate":1769433862251,"gmtModify":1769433874505,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532739630466926","idStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"涨停","listText":"涨停","text":"涨停","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3664f94e308dba8d1998e0a6595e2510","width":"1293","height":"291"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/525963187823400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":522414002938968,"gmtCreate":1768565948027,"gmtModify":1768565952059,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532739630466926","idStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"如何申报","listText":"如何申报","text":"如何申报","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/522414002938968","repostId":"2603988537","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2603988537","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"链捕手ChainCatcher 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style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f0784cc29a0d0070f6e968ef6ec7f5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">链捕手 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-15 21:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p><span>ChainCatcher 消息，目前中国内地税务居民境外收入的补税追溯期较此前拉长，最早可至 2020 年甚至 2017 年。2025 年以来，不少税务居民接到税务部门提示和通知，要求自查个人境内外所得并及时进行纳税申报，补税追溯范围主要为近 3 年内，以 2022 年、2023 年为主。</span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.chaincatcher.com/article/2237708","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2603988537","content_text":"ChainCatcher 消息，目前中国内地税务居民境外收入的补税追溯期较此前拉长，最早可至 2020 年甚至 2017 年。2025 年以来，不少税务居民接到税务部门提示和通知，要求自查个人境内外所得并及时进行纳税申报，补税追溯范围主要为近 3 年内，以 2022 年、2023 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16:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"四川农商联合银行关停大型主机，核心业务迁入阿里云专有云平台","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2595783448","media":"阿里云","summary":"12月24日，四川农商联合银行正式关闭大型主机，核心业务迁至与阿里云共同打造的新一代专有云平台——“蜀信云”上，成为全国首批实现大机下电的金融机构。四川农商联合银行将以此次大机下电为新起点，全面拥抱数字化、迈向AI智能化，加快建设自主可控、安全高效的金融科技安全基础设施体系，不断提升金融级云原生服务支持能力，持续深化“三大银行”建设，加快推进数字化转型，不断释放IT技术架构转型的强大动能，助力全行高质量发展再上台阶。","content":"<html><body><article><p>12月24日，四川农商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBSI\">联合银行</a>正式关闭大型主机，核心业务迁至与阿里云共同打造的新一代专有云平台——“蜀信云”上，成为全国首批实现大机下电的金融机构。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20251229165645222v163t0kjt44t9o7\"/><p>四川农商联合银行将以此次大机下电为新起点，全面拥抱数字化、迈向AI智能化，加快建设自主可控、安全高效的金融科技安全基础设施体系，不断提升金融级云原生服务支持能力，持续深化“三大银行”建设，加快推进数字化转型，不断释放IT技术架构转型的强大动能，助力全行高质量发展再上台阶。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20251229165657227v163jleky1ea3f6\"/></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n四川农商联合银行关停大型主机，核心业务迁入阿里云专有云平台\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-29 16:37 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251229165810a4856341&s=b><strong>阿里云</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>12月24日，四川农商联合银行正式关闭大型主机，核心业务迁至与阿里云共同打造的新一代专有云平台——“蜀信云”上，成为全国首批实现大机下电的金融机构。四川农商联合银行将以此次大机下电为新起点，全面拥抱数字化、迈向AI智能化，加快建设自主可控、安全高效的金融科技安全基础设施体系，不断提升金融级云原生服务支持能力，持续深化“三大银行”建设，加快推进数字化转型，不断释放IT技术架构转型的强大动能，助力全行...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251229165810a4856341&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1688375341.USD":"贝莱德中国灵活股票基金","LU1823568750.SGD":"Fidelity Global Technology A-ACC SGD","LU2148611432.USD":"AZ ALLOCATION BALANCED BRAVE \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0797268264.HKD":"ALLIANZ TOTAL RETURN ASIAN EQUITY \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4607":"DeepSeek概念股","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4220":"综合零售","IE00B0JY6N72.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1235294995.USD":"FIDELITY 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDCNH.FOREX\">$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$ </a> 7.0","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDCNH.FOREX\">$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$ </a> 7.0","text":"$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$ 7.0","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a4948117c297141311bec6b444a301","width":"1320","height":"2156"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/514242816754352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":512146359591352,"gmtCreate":1766062694774,"gmtModify":1766062697524,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532739630466926","idStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"英国央行将基准利率从4.00%下调至3.75%，符合市场预期，此前该行暂停了自2024年8月以来每季度降息一次的节奏。","listText":"英国央行将基准利率从4.00%下调至3.75%，符合市场预期，此前该行暂停了自2024年8月以来每季度降息一次的节奏。","text":"英国央行将基准利率从4.00%下调至3.75%，符合市场预期，此前该行暂停了自2024年8月以来每季度降息一次的节奏。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/512146359591352","repostId":"2592792630","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2592792630","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1766034044,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2592792630?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-18 13:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"日本加息会引爆全球流动性冲击吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592792630","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"全球流动性的“灰犀牛”还是“纸老虎”？西部证券认为，市场对日央行本月加息已有充分预期，其直接冲击或有限，因为大部分日元套利交易已平仓。但真正的风险在于，日本加息可能成为一个“催化剂”，在美股“AI泡沫”担忧和市场脆弱的背景下，引爆全球流动性冲击。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>全球流动性的“灰犀牛”还是“纸老虎”？西部证券认为，市场对日央行本月加息已有充分预期，其直接冲击或有限，因为大部分日元套利交易已平仓。但真正的风险在于，日本加息可能成为一个“催化剂”，在美股“AI泡沫”担忧和市场脆弱的背景下，引爆全球流动性冲击。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">随着日本央行12月19日货币政策会议的临近，市场对于其可能采取鹰派加息的担忧日益加剧。这一举动是否会终结廉价日元时代，并引爆全球流动性危机？西部证券于12月16日发布的最新策略报告对此进行了深入剖析。</p><h2 id=\"id_893062162\" style=\"text-align: left;\">通胀高企，日本鹰派加息势在必行</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告指出，日本央行此次加息的背后有多重驱动因素。首先，日本的CPI已持续高于2%的官方通胀目标。其次，失业率长期维持在3%以下的低位，为名义工资增长创造了有利条件，市场对明年“春斗”（春季劳资谈判）的工资增长预期较高，这将进一步推升通胀压力。最后，<strong>高市早苗推出的21.3万亿日元财政政策</strong>也可能加剧通胀。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些因素共同迫使日本央行采取更鹰派的立场。市场担忧，一旦加息落地，将导致在日本YCC（收益率曲线控制）时代积累的大量“套息套汇交易”集中平仓，从而对全球金融市场造成流动性冲击。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0555232b2f1209b6755cb415e2e8eb27\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"398\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3237889606\" style=\"text-align: left;\">理论拆解：为何流动性冲击最危险的阶段或已过去？</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管市场忧心忡忡，但报告分析认为，从理论上看，当前日本加息对全球流动性的冲击是有限的。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告列举了四点理由：</p><ol start=\"1\" style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>风险已部分释放：</strong> 日本央行自去年3月以来已进行过3次加息。其中，去年7月的加息叠加退出YCC确实导致了较大的流动性冲击，但今年1月的加息冲击已明显减弱，表明市场的适应性在增强。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>投机盘已提前离场：</strong> 从期货市场数据看，<strong>大部分投机性日元空头在去年7月已经平仓</strong>。这意味着最活跃、最可能引发连锁反应的“套息套汇交易”已经退潮，流动性冲击最危险的阶段已经过去。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>宏观环境不同：</strong> 当前美国并未出现类似去年7月时的“衰退交易”，美元贬值压力不大，而日元自身因地缘和债务问题表现疲软。这减弱了日元升值预期，从而缓解了“套息套汇交易”平仓的紧迫性。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>美联储的“安全垫”：</strong> 报告特别提到，美联储已开始重视潜在的流动性风险，并已开启扩表（类QE）政策，这能有效稳定市场流动性预期，为全球金融系统提供缓冲。</p></li></ol><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/582aa881843adee0f3607c1311a5b028\" tg-width=\"675\" tg-height=\"451\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf68c66886f73317109ce2945aff0936\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"456\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3996096566\" style=\"text-align: left;\">实际风险：脆弱市场下的“催化剂”</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告强调，理论上的安全不代表高枕无忧。当前全球市场的脆弱性，是日本加息可能引发冲击的真正根源。报告将其形容为<strong>“催化剂”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告分析，去年7月日本加息之所以冲击巨大，是因为“大量活跃的套息套汇盘平仓”与“美国衰退交易”两大因素共振。而当前，前者条件已弱化。然而，新的风险正在浮现：以美股为代表的全球股市经历了<strong>长达6年的“大水牛”</strong>，本身积累了大量获利盘，具有脆弱性。同时，美国市场关于<strong>“AI泡沫论”</strong>的担忧再起，资金避险情绪浓厚。</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">不过，当前以美股为代表的全球股市已经 6 年“大水牛”，本身就有脆 弱性，同时美国“AI 泡沫论”的担忧又起，资金避险情绪较重，日元加息有可 能成为诱发全球流动性冲击的“催化剂”。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在这种背景下，日本加息这一确定性事件，很可能成为一个导火索，触发资金的恐慌性出逃，从而诱发全球性的流动性冲击。不过，报告也给出了一个相对乐观的判断：这种流动性冲击大概率会倒逼美联储祭出更强的宽松政策（QE），因此全球股市在经历短暂的急跌后，很有可能会快速修复。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d0e1344fb03d90d05c6baa57fd744e7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"582\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3708693478\" style=\"text-align: left;\">多看少动，紧盯“股债汇三杀”信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">面对这种复杂的局面，报告给投资者的建议是<strong>“多看少动”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告认为，由于日本央行的决策基本已是“明牌”，但资金的选择难以预测，因此最佳策略是保持观察。</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>情景一：</strong> 如果资金并未出现恐慌性出逃，日本加息的实际影响将非常有限，投资者无需采取行动。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>情景二：</strong> 如果资金恐慌真的诱发了全球流动性冲击，投资者需要密切跟踪一个关键信号——<strong>美国市场是否连续出现2-3次“股债汇三杀”</strong>（即股市、债市、汇市同步下跌）。报告指出，类似今年4月初的情况一旦重演，则表明市场出现流动性冲击的概率明显增强。</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8807a988fd5a9cf9f4ad020f6528eec3\" tg-width=\"655\" tg-height=\"529\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">最后，报告认为，即便日本加息短期内引发动荡，也不会改变全球中长期货币宽松的大趋势。在此背景下，继续看好黄金的战略配置价值。同时，随着中国出口顺差扩张和美联储重启降息，人民币汇率有望回归中长期升值趋势，加速跨境资本回流，利好中国资产。报告看好AH股迎来盈利和估值的“戴维斯双击”。对于美股和美债，报告持震荡看法。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>日本加息会引爆全球流动性冲击吗？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n日本加息会引爆全球流动性冲击吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-18 13:00 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761621><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球流动性的“灰犀牛”还是“纸老虎”？西部证券认为，市场对日央行本月加息已有充分预期，其直接冲击或有限，因为大部分日元套利交易已平仓。但真正的风险在于，日本加息可能成为一个“催化剂”，在美股“AI泡沫”担忧和市场脆弱的背景下，引爆全球流动性冲击。随着日本央行12月19日货币政策会议的临近，市场对于其可能采取鹰派加息的担忧日益加剧。这一举动是否会终结廉价日元时代，并引爆全球流动性危机？西部证券于12...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761621\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8642475395bb363eacb86148917e7b","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761621","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2592792630","content_text":"全球流动性的“灰犀牛”还是“纸老虎”？西部证券认为，市场对日央行本月加息已有充分预期，其直接冲击或有限，因为大部分日元套利交易已平仓。但真正的风险在于，日本加息可能成为一个“催化剂”，在美股“AI泡沫”担忧和市场脆弱的背景下，引爆全球流动性冲击。随着日本央行12月19日货币政策会议的临近，市场对于其可能采取鹰派加息的担忧日益加剧。这一举动是否会终结廉价日元时代，并引爆全球流动性危机？西部证券于12月16日发布的最新策略报告对此进行了深入剖析。通胀高企，日本鹰派加息势在必行报告指出，日本央行此次加息的背后有多重驱动因素。首先，日本的CPI已持续高于2%的官方通胀目标。其次，失业率长期维持在3%以下的低位，为名义工资增长创造了有利条件，市场对明年“春斗”（春季劳资谈判）的工资增长预期较高，这将进一步推升通胀压力。最后，高市早苗推出的21.3万亿日元财政政策也可能加剧通胀。这些因素共同迫使日本央行采取更鹰派的立场。市场担忧，一旦加息落地，将导致在日本YCC（收益率曲线控制）时代积累的大量“套息套汇交易”集中平仓，从而对全球金融市场造成流动性冲击。理论拆解：为何流动性冲击最危险的阶段或已过去？尽管市场忧心忡忡，但报告分析认为，从理论上看，当前日本加息对全球流动性的冲击是有限的。报告列举了四点理由：风险已部分释放： 日本央行自去年3月以来已进行过3次加息。其中，去年7月的加息叠加退出YCC确实导致了较大的流动性冲击，但今年1月的加息冲击已明显减弱，表明市场的适应性在增强。投机盘已提前离场： 从期货市场数据看，大部分投机性日元空头在去年7月已经平仓。这意味着最活跃、最可能引发连锁反应的“套息套汇交易”已经退潮，流动性冲击最危险的阶段已经过去。宏观环境不同： 当前美国并未出现类似去年7月时的“衰退交易”，美元贬值压力不大，而日元自身因地缘和债务问题表现疲软。这减弱了日元升值预期，从而缓解了“套息套汇交易”平仓的紧迫性。美联储的“安全垫”： 报告特别提到，美联储已开始重视潜在的流动性风险，并已开启扩表（类QE）政策，这能有效稳定市场流动性预期，为全球金融系统提供缓冲。实际风险：脆弱市场下的“催化剂”报告强调，理论上的安全不代表高枕无忧。当前全球市场的脆弱性，是日本加息可能引发冲击的真正根源。报告将其形容为“催化剂”。报告分析，去年7月日本加息之所以冲击巨大，是因为“大量活跃的套息套汇盘平仓”与“美国衰退交易”两大因素共振。而当前，前者条件已弱化。然而，新的风险正在浮现：以美股为代表的全球股市经历了长达6年的“大水牛”，本身积累了大量获利盘，具有脆弱性。同时，美国市场关于“AI泡沫论”的担忧再起，资金避险情绪浓厚。不过，当前以美股为代表的全球股市已经 6 年“大水牛”，本身就有脆 弱性，同时美国“AI 泡沫论”的担忧又起，资金避险情绪较重，日元加息有可 能成为诱发全球流动性冲击的“催化剂”。在这种背景下，日本加息这一确定性事件，很可能成为一个导火索，触发资金的恐慌性出逃，从而诱发全球性的流动性冲击。不过，报告也给出了一个相对乐观的判断：这种流动性冲击大概率会倒逼美联储祭出更强的宽松政策（QE），因此全球股市在经历短暂的急跌后，很有可能会快速修复。多看少动，紧盯“股债汇三杀”信号面对这种复杂的局面，报告给投资者的建议是“多看少动”。报告认为，由于日本央行的决策基本已是“明牌”，但资金的选择难以预测，因此最佳策略是保持观察。情景一： 如果资金并未出现恐慌性出逃，日本加息的实际影响将非常有限，投资者无需采取行动。情景二： 如果资金恐慌真的诱发了全球流动性冲击，投资者需要密切跟踪一个关键信号——美国市场是否连续出现2-3次“股债汇三杀”（即股市、债市、汇市同步下跌）。报告指出，类似今年4月初的情况一旦重演，则表明市场出现流动性冲击的概率明显增强。最后，报告认为，即便日本加息短期内引发动荡，也不会改变全球中长期货币宽松的大趋势。在此背景下，继续看好黄金的战略配置价值。同时，随着中国出口顺差扩张和美联储重启降息，人民币汇率有望回归中长期升值趋势，加速跨境资本回流，利好中国资产。报告看好AH股迎来盈利和估值的“戴维斯双击”。对于美股和美债，报告持震荡看法。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":510312090514264,"gmtCreate":1765600839380,"gmtModify":1765600841434,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532739630466926","idStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510312090514264","repostId":"509858079592800","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":509858079592800,"gmtCreate":1765515010879,"gmtModify":1765515284906,"author":{"id":"3574141914284382","authorId":"3574141914284382","name":"律动BlockBeats","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f1d7d969652d4ad0f7bf3e057f84b35","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574141914284382","idStr":"3574141914284382"},"themes":[],"title":"摩根大通倒戈华尔街：囤积白银，卡位黄金，做空美元信用","htmlText":"摩根大通，这个美元旧秩序最忠诚的「守门人」，正在亲手推倒它曾誓死捍卫的高墙。 据市场传闻，2025 年 11 月底，摩根大通将其核心贵金属交易团队迁往新加坡。如果说地理上的迁徙只是表象，那么其内核，则是一次对西方金权体系的公开倒戈。 回望过去半个世纪，华尔街负责用美元构建庞大的信用幻象，而伦敦作为华尔街金权帝国在大西洋彼岸的「心脏」，则在用深埋地下的金库维持着定价的尊严。两者互为表里，共同编织了西方世界对贵金属的绝对控制网。而摩根大通，本该是最后的、也是最坚固的防线。 草蛇灰线，伏脉千里。就在官方对传闻不予置评的沉默中，摩根大通完成了一次惊人的资产腾挪，约 1.69 亿盎司的白银，被从 COMEX 金库的「可交割」类别悄然划入「不可交割」类别。按银协公开数据粗略折算，大致相当于接近 10% 的全球年供应量，在账面上被锁死。 在残酷的商业博弈中，规模本身就是一种最强硬的态度。这囤积如山的 5000 多吨白银，在很多交易员眼里，更像是摩根大通为下一个周期争夺定价权而提前备好的筹码。 与此同时，几千公里外，新加坡最大的私人金库 The Reserve 恰逢其时地启动了二期工程，将金库的总容量一口气推高到了 1.55 万吨的量级。这项早在五年前就已规划好的基建升级，让新加坡拥有了足够的底气，去承接那些从西方决堤而出的巨量财富。 摩根大通左手在西方锁死实物的流动性，制造恐慌；右手在东方筑好避风的蓄水池，坐收红利。 促使这位巨头倒戈的，是伦敦市场那已无法掩饰的脆弱。在英格兰银行，黄金的提货周期从几天被拉长到几周，而白银的租赁利率更是一度飙升至 30% 的历史高位。这对熟悉这个市场的人来说，这至少说明一件事：大家都在抢货，金库里的实物资产开始显得捉襟见肘。 最精明的庄家，往往也是对死亡气息嗅觉最灵敏的秃鹫。 在这个凛冬，摩根大通展现了顶级庄家的嗅觉。它的离场标志着那场持续半个世纪、点石成","listText":"摩根大通，这个美元旧秩序最忠诚的「守门人」，正在亲手推倒它曾誓死捍卫的高墙。 据市场传闻，2025 年 11 月底，摩根大通将其核心贵金属交易团队迁往新加坡。如果说地理上的迁徙只是表象，那么其内核，则是一次对西方金权体系的公开倒戈。 回望过去半个世纪，华尔街负责用美元构建庞大的信用幻象，而伦敦作为华尔街金权帝国在大西洋彼岸的「心脏」，则在用深埋地下的金库维持着定价的尊严。两者互为表里，共同编织了西方世界对贵金属的绝对控制网。而摩根大通，本该是最后的、也是最坚固的防线。 草蛇灰线，伏脉千里。就在官方对传闻不予置评的沉默中，摩根大通完成了一次惊人的资产腾挪，约 1.69 亿盎司的白银，被从 COMEX 金库的「可交割」类别悄然划入「不可交割」类别。按银协公开数据粗略折算，大致相当于接近 10% 的全球年供应量，在账面上被锁死。 在残酷的商业博弈中，规模本身就是一种最强硬的态度。这囤积如山的 5000 多吨白银，在很多交易员眼里，更像是摩根大通为下一个周期争夺定价权而提前备好的筹码。 与此同时，几千公里外，新加坡最大的私人金库 The Reserve 恰逢其时地启动了二期工程，将金库的总容量一口气推高到了 1.55 万吨的量级。这项早在五年前就已规划好的基建升级，让新加坡拥有了足够的底气，去承接那些从西方决堤而出的巨量财富。 摩根大通左手在西方锁死实物的流动性，制造恐慌；右手在东方筑好避风的蓄水池，坐收红利。 促使这位巨头倒戈的，是伦敦市场那已无法掩饰的脆弱。在英格兰银行，黄金的提货周期从几天被拉长到几周，而白银的租赁利率更是一度飙升至 30% 的历史高位。这对熟悉这个市场的人来说，这至少说明一件事：大家都在抢货，金库里的实物资产开始显得捉襟见肘。 最精明的庄家，往往也是对死亡气息嗅觉最灵敏的秃鹫。 在这个凛冬，摩根大通展现了顶级庄家的嗅觉。它的离场标志着那场持续半个世纪、点石成","text":"摩根大通，这个美元旧秩序最忠诚的「守门人」，正在亲手推倒它曾誓死捍卫的高墙。 据市场传闻，2025 年 11 月底，摩根大通将其核心贵金属交易团队迁往新加坡。如果说地理上的迁徙只是表象，那么其内核，则是一次对西方金权体系的公开倒戈。 回望过去半个世纪，华尔街负责用美元构建庞大的信用幻象，而伦敦作为华尔街金权帝国在大西洋彼岸的「心脏」，则在用深埋地下的金库维持着定价的尊严。两者互为表里，共同编织了西方世界对贵金属的绝对控制网。而摩根大通，本该是最后的、也是最坚固的防线。 草蛇灰线，伏脉千里。就在官方对传闻不予置评的沉默中，摩根大通完成了一次惊人的资产腾挪，约 1.69 亿盎司的白银，被从 COMEX 金库的「可交割」类别悄然划入「不可交割」类别。按银协公开数据粗略折算，大致相当于接近 10% 的全球年供应量，在账面上被锁死。 在残酷的商业博弈中，规模本身就是一种最强硬的态度。这囤积如山的 5000 多吨白银，在很多交易员眼里，更像是摩根大通为下一个周期争夺定价权而提前备好的筹码。 与此同时，几千公里外，新加坡最大的私人金库 The Reserve 恰逢其时地启动了二期工程，将金库的总容量一口气推高到了 1.55 万吨的量级。这项早在五年前就已规划好的基建升级，让新加坡拥有了足够的底气，去承接那些从西方决堤而出的巨量财富。 摩根大通左手在西方锁死实物的流动性，制造恐慌；右手在东方筑好避风的蓄水池，坐收红利。 促使这位巨头倒戈的，是伦敦市场那已无法掩饰的脆弱。在英格兰银行，黄金的提货周期从几天被拉长到几周，而白银的租赁利率更是一度飙升至 30% 的历史高位。这对熟悉这个市场的人来说，这至少说明一件事：大家都在抢货，金库里的实物资产开始显得捉襟见肘。 最精明的庄家，往往也是对死亡气息嗅觉最灵敏的秃鹫。 在这个凛冬，摩根大通展现了顶级庄家的嗅觉。它的离场标志着那场持续半个世纪、点石成","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60c98a9eb1e0cdcc714ece70834e6367","width":"1080","height":"562"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57f158a1c0aaf7881d7c32e89366e33d","width":"1080","height":"1063"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dbd080a60e3e296603b89a083f95e22","width":"1080","height":"581"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/509858079592800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":503873899036824,"gmtCreate":1764038334176,"gmtModify":1764038345742,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3532739630466926","idStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07226\">$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07226\">$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$ </a> ","text":"$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/549487dc2b941a7284f0f6e4e63246ef","width":"1122","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/503873899036824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":526613157393160,"gmtCreate":1769595375531,"gmtModify":1769595377851,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532739630466926","authorIdStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07226\">$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07226\">$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$ </a> ","text":"$南方两倍做多恒科(07226)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72085c8641ff59427be220063f8ba631","width":"1122","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/526613157393160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":921048615,"gmtCreate":1586006359237,"gmtModify":1704359983119,"author":{"id":"3532739630466926","authorId":"3532739630466926","name":"小加","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d548cb70159d701d25de6b0be9a5eb7","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532739630466926","authorIdStr":"3532739630466926"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/140328448054650\">@期权经略</a>: 巴菲特都食言了，三月中旬采访时表示不会出售航空公司股票！！！！想想巴老爷子，得多悲观，违背他的操作原则<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$西南航空(LUV)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$美国航空(AAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAC\">$太平洋航空(PAC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$联合大陆航空(UAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RYA.UK\">$瑞安航空(RYA.UK)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALK\">$阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司(ALK)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$波音(BA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$星巴克(SBUX)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$美国航空(AAL)$</a>","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/140328448054650\">@期权经略</a>: 巴菲特都食言了，三月中旬采访时表示不会出售航空公司股票！！！！想想巴老爷子，得多悲观，违背他的操作原则<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$西南航空(LUV)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$美国航空(AAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAC\">$太平洋航空(PAC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$联合大陆航空(UAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RYA.UK\">$瑞安航空(RYA.UK)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALK\">$阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司(ALK)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$波音(BA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$星巴克(SBUX)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$美国航空(AAL)$</a>","text":"//@期权经略: 巴菲特都食言了，三月中旬采访时表示不会出售航空公司股票！！！！想想巴老爷子，得多悲观，违背他的操作原则$达美航空(DAL)$$西南航空(LUV)$$美国航空(AAL)$$太平洋航空(PAC)$$联合大陆航空(UAL)$$瑞安航空(RYA.UK)$$阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司(ALK)$$波音(BA)$$星巴克(SBUX)$$拼多多(PDD)$$苹果(AAPL)$$达美航空(DAL)$$美国航空(AAL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/921048615","repostId":"2024797414","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2024797414","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1585971720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2024797414?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-04-04 11:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2024797414","media":"金融界","summary":"原标题：巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场 来源：财联社北京时间4月4日消息，沃伦巴菲特旗下伯克希尔哈撒韦公司周五表示，本周已出售了其持有的约18％的达美航空股份和4％的美国西南航空股份，因疫情","content":"<html><body><p>原标题：巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场 来源：财联社</p><p>北京时间4月4日消息，沃伦巴菲特旗下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦公司周五表示，本周已出售了其持有的约18％的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>股份和4％的美国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>股份，因疫情恐将航空业推入有史以来最大危机。受消息带动，达美航空股价盘后大跌11％。</p><p>巴菲特曾在3月中旬采访时表示，尽管市场遭到抛售，但他“不会出售航空公司股票”。</p><p>但根据提交给监管机构的文件，伯克希尔以约3.14亿美元出售了近1300万股达美航空的股票（出售价格在24.15美元附近），并以约7400万美元出售了约230万股西南航空的股票。</p><p>文件显示，出售是在周三和周四进行的。据Refinitiv的数据显示，伯克希尔此前持有达美航空约11.1％的股份，西南航空约10.4％的股份。巴菲特自2016年第三季度开始买进航空股，彼时达美航空股价平均在38美元左右，随后一路走高，期间巴菲特不断增持。伯克希尔是美国四大航空公司——达美航空、西南航空、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>集团和联合航空控股公司的最大股东之一。</p><p>1个月前曾抄底 如今果断“割肉”</p><p>往前追溯一个多月，根据美国证券交易委员会的文件，2月27日，在市场开始恐慌下跌之际，伯克希尔曾以平均46.40美元的价格购买了97.6万股达美航空，这笔投资如果按24美元的平均出售价格计算，股神亏损了48％。</p><p>达美航空：预计营收还要降90％</p><p>美国达美航空公司周五预计，接下来三个月的营收将骤降90％。</p><p>该公司首席执行官埃德·巴斯蒂安 （Ed Bastian）3日表示，“达美航空每天‘烧掉’超过6000万美元，而且这种情况还看不到底。”达美航空4月份已经取消了11.5万架次，即至少80％的航班。“我们不知道需要多久疫情才能得到控制，人们重新开始坐飞机。” 巴斯蒂安证实，根据上个月通过的2万亿美元经济救助法案，达美航空已经提交申请250亿美元援助。</p><p>不止“跌倒”过一次</p><p>其实，早在1989年巴菲特就曾“重仓”全美航空（该公司在2015年正式并入美国航空，成为全美及全球最大航空公司），耗资3.6亿美元购入全美航空优先股。巴菲特刚刚进场，该公司股票就开始下跌，到1995年时，这笔投资的净值已降至8950万美元，亏损75％。</p><p>但好在巴菲特最终以2.5亿美元的盈利将该笔投资出手，但其直到2007年还对航空业耿耿于怀：“千万别碰那些正在快速扩张的行业，这些行业的增长是建立在大量资金需求之上的。在快速扩张期间，这些公司根本就没法产生收益。航空公司就是典型代表。这类公司自始至终都没有建立持久的竞争优势。”</p><div></div><div></div></body></html>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-04 11:42 北京时间 <a href=http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2020-04-04/doc-iimxyqwa5049336.shtml><strong>金融界</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题：巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场 来源：财联社北京时间4月4日消息，沃伦巴菲特旗下伯克希尔哈撒韦公司周五表示，本周已出售了其持有的约18％的达美航空股份和4％的美国西南航空股份，因疫情恐将航空业推入有史以来最大危机。受消息带动，达美航空股价盘后大跌11％。巴菲特曾在3月中旬采访时表示，尽管市场遭到抛售，但他“不会出售航空公司股票”。但根据提交给监管机构的文件，伯克希尔以约3.14...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2020-04-04/doc-iimxyqwa5049336.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6582e9d3e5678a7425a15465867abe5","relate_stocks":{"DAL":"达美航空","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2020-04-04/doc-iimxyqwa5049336.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2024797414","content_text":"原标题：巴菲特抛售航空股 “抄底”后亏50%出场 来源：财联社北京时间4月4日消息，沃伦巴菲特旗下伯克希尔哈撒韦公司周五表示，本周已出售了其持有的约18％的达美航空股份和4％的美国西南航空股份，因疫情恐将航空业推入有史以来最大危机。受消息带动，达美航空股价盘后大跌11％。巴菲特曾在3月中旬采访时表示，尽管市场遭到抛售，但他“不会出售航空公司股票”。但根据提交给监管机构的文件，伯克希尔以约3.14亿美元出售了近1300万股达美航空的股票（出售价格在24.15美元附近），并以约7400万美元出售了约230万股西南航空的股票。文件显示，出售是在周三和周四进行的。据Refinitiv的数据显示，伯克希尔此前持有达美航空约11.1％的股份，西南航空约10.4％的股份。巴菲特自2016年第三季度开始买进航空股，彼时达美航空股价平均在38美元左右，随后一路走高，期间巴菲特不断增持。伯克希尔是美国四大航空公司——达美航空、西南航空、美国航空集团和联合航空控股公司的最大股东之一。1个月前曾抄底 如今果断“割肉”往前追溯一个多月，根据美国证券交易委员会的文件，2月27日，在市场开始恐慌下跌之际，伯克希尔曾以平均46.40美元的价格购买了97.6万股达美航空，这笔投资如果按24美元的平均出售价格计算，股神亏损了48％。达美航空：预计营收还要降90％美国达美航空公司周五预计，接下来三个月的营收将骤降90％。该公司首席执行官埃德·巴斯蒂安 （Ed Bastian）3日表示，“达美航空每天‘烧掉’超过6000万美元，而且这种情况还看不到底。”达美航空4月份已经取消了11.5万架次，即至少80％的航班。“我们不知道需要多久疫情才能得到控制，人们重新开始坐飞机。” 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