KEINS的个人主页 - 老虎社区

KEINS

KEINS

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IP属地：河北

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56粉丝

1主题

0勋章

01-31

Replying to @夜流沙:？？？？？？？//@夜流沙:格力的估值太低了，主要是大家对a股已经绝望了。只要gjd不出手，a股立马变成一潭死水。也许a股在酝酿一个五十年难遇的大牛市吧[笑哭]

2023-06-29

华为5.5哈哈笑死

A股盘前播报 | 5.5G明年商用！华为将发布端到端产品 “首届脑机接口大会”来了专家看好未来应用空间

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 一直以为。鲍威尔的讲话会导致一波下跌，结果没用，这个**鲍威尔，这时候不灵了呢

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 快跑快跑快跑

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 大家快跑啊，鲍威尔讲话了，说会出现更多紧缩力量，这么鹰的讲话，大盘还涨？？出现了超买，快跑！！快跑，求你们了快跑！！

2023-06-28

讲话不管用了呢？？都紧缩了。大盘还涨，不给鲍威尔面子啊。。。市场过热了，快跑，出现了超买，快跑

美联储主席鲍威尔：美联储预计会出现更多的紧缩力量。

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 这还是有利空，没利空不得起飞啊

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 压单必破。

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 今天必会杀空单

2023-06-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 价位太低，卖的人不愿意卖，买的人呢有点儿害怕，简直就没有成交量了。稍微来点儿资金就能拉起来。

2023-06-28

哈哈

美媒曝拜登政府考虑对华实施新的芯片制裁，英伟达股价闻声下跌

2023-03-29

有种你放学别走？？？多多就这么回应吗[开心] [开心] [开心]

几十家品牌店遭遇最夸张“炸店”事件？拼多多小二怒斥：请你站到阳光下来

2023-03-23

笑死了哈哈，

美国银行危机远未结束

2022-12-29

$苹果(AAPL)$ 没想到。。。。。

2022-12-15

$SG人民币主连 2212(UCmain)$ 厉害试，就是不上7，死要面子活受罪

2022-12-15

$拼多多(PDD)$ 会玩啊，骗了不少人，牛逼

2022-12-15

$拼多多(PDD)$ 牛逼，但我没看懂

2022-12-02

$拼多多(PDD)$ 不敢买，经济差成这样。。好多货发不了

2022-10-23

$恒生指数(HSI)$无脑做空！绝对赚

2022-10-14

哦你的意思不如小米的？？？你信吗？？？

特斯拉机器人一出来，才发现骂小米骂早了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3562148271530289\">@夜流沙</a>:？？？？？？？//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3562148271530289\">@夜流沙</a>:格力的估值太低了，主要是大家对a股已经绝望了。只要gjd不出手，a股立马变成一潭死水。也许a股在酝酿一个五十年难遇的大牛市吧[笑哭]","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3562148271530289\">@夜流沙</a>:？？？？？？？//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3562148271530289\">@夜流沙</a>:格力的估值太低了，主要是大家对a股已经绝望了。只要gjd不出手，a股立马变成一潭死水。也许a股在酝酿一个五十年难遇的大牛市吧[笑哭]","text":"Replying to @夜流沙:？？？？？？？//@夜流沙:格力的估值太低了，主要是大家对a股已经绝望了。只要gjd不出手，a股立马变成一潭死水。也许a股在酝酿一个五十年难遇的大牛市吧[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/268798192058448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":192392867295360,"gmtCreate":1688002707526,"gmtModify":1688002710255,"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"华为5.5哈哈笑死","listText":"华为5.5哈哈笑死","text":"华为5.5哈哈笑死","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192392867295360","repostId":"2347732872","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2347732872","pubTimestamp":1687998628,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2347732872?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-29 08:30","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"A股盘前播报 | 5.5G明年商用！华为将发布端到端产品 “首届脑机接口大会”来了 专家看好未来应用空间","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2347732872","media":"智通财经网","summary":"“国家队”重磅出手，狂买30亿这只半导体股；美股收盘涨跌不一！苹果(AAPL.US)市值逼近3万亿美元；","content":"<html><body><div> <p>早间重磅新闻速览</p><p><strong>1、大动作!“国家队”重磅出手，狂买30亿这只半导体股</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★★</p><p>6月28日晚间，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>在港交所公告称，国家集成电路产业基金II将作为战略投资者参与人民币股份发行，将认购总额不超过人民币30亿元的人民币股份。30亿的资金注入，给予市场不少信心。</p><p>点评：成立以来，大基金二期正加速布局，持续投入半导体制造、材料、设备等国产半导体产业链薄弱环节。从目前的投资细分领域看，大基金二期更聚焦短板明显的设备、材料领域，方向集中于完善半导体行业的重点产业链。</p><p><strong>2、鲍威尔重申加息论调，美股收盘涨跌不一!<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>市值逼近3万亿美元</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★★</p><p>美东时间周三，美股三大指数全天小幅震荡，收盘涨跌不一。美联储主席鲍威尔重申预计今年将进一步加息以抑制通胀并为美国劳动力市场降温，并暗示不排除在接下来的会议上连续两次加息。虽然鲍威尔措辞越来越鹰派，但并未对市场产生严重冲击。截止收盘，道琼斯指数跌0.22%，标普500指数跌0.04%，纳斯达克指数涨0.27%。</p><p>苹果涨0.63%，股价创历史新高，市值逼近3万亿美元。大型科技股多数上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>涨逾2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>涨超1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>小幅上涨。</p><p><strong>3、A股杀猪盘惨案!雪球大V割韭菜?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300657\">弘信电子</a>散户怒了</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>6月28日，弘信电子电子闪崩跌停，有股民一天巨亏22%。本来只是一次普普通通的跌停，但不少微信群、社交平台都在讨论这只股票，这该死的好奇心又被勾起来了。不少散户均在网上发帖称，这是一起杀猪盘。另外，更是把矛头指向一位雪球大V“自由钱江路”。这个大V已经将其微信公众号历史推文删得一干二净。</p><p><strong>4、5.5G明年商用!华为将发布端到端产品 A股两公司涉及相关业务</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>据证券时报，从2023世界移动通信大会获悉，华为将于明年发布端到端的5.5G商用产品。华为认为，5.5G是5G网络演进的必由之路。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>自选股查询沪深互动平台发现，天线及射频公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002792\">通宇通讯</a>、射频公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/301419\">阿莱德</a>对于投资者提问的“5.5G”话题有较为正面的回应。通宇通讯在互动平台：在5.5G的天线领域已有相关技术积累。阿莱德在互动平台：我司产品可用于5.5G领域。</p><p>此外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601555\">东吴证券</a>整理的《华为产业链全景图》显示，与5.5G关联较大的基站环节，有射频如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002384\">东山精密</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002194\">武汉凡谷</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000636\">风华高科</a>、信维通信等公司。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20230629/1687998751383711.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,q_40\" title=\"1687998751383711.png\"/></p><p><strong>5、又一家!上海国企在印度被骗了88亿，反被索赔21亿?紧急回应来了</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>近日，有自媒体发布信息称“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601727\">上海电气</a>被印度诈骗88亿，反被索赔21亿”，对此，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02727\">上海电气</a>官网发布声明表示，相关报道严重歪曲事实。</p><p>上海电气称，2008年，上海电气作为印度莎圣电站项目的主要设备及服务供应商，签署了《设备供货与服务合同》，合同金额为13.11亿美元。该电站项目已于2015年投入商业运营，电厂运行情况良好。上海电气对该项目的收款已近90%，对尚未收到的尾款提起了仲裁，该仲裁已胜诉并进入执行阶段。</p><p><strong>6、“首届脑机接口大会”来了 专家看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>应用空间</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>据脑机接口产业联盟消息，全国首届脑机接口大会暨脑机接口产业联盟第一次全会将于7月3日至5日在天津召开。外界对于脑机接口技术的关注度正持续攀升。接受上证报记者采访的专家认为，中国发展脑机接口技术存在一定优势，与此同时，知识产权侵权、伦理审查等多方面的问题仍需留意。</p><p><strong>7、千亿央企放大招!钙钛矿电池产业化元年或已悄然而至</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>作为最有前景的下一代光伏技术，钙钛矿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">太阳能</a>电池正被业内外企业追捧。  6月28日晚间，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601985\">中国核电</a>公告，公司董事会审议通过了《关于柔性、刚性钙钛矿商业级中试产线研发科研项目立项的议案》。这是继中国华能之后，又一家央企大规模进军钙钛矿太阳能电池。</p><p>点评：  据银河证券预测，随着钙钛矿电池技术的进一步成熟，“十四五”期间，我国钙钛矿电池在建及规划产能有望达到50GW-75GW。目前，A股已有近20家上市公司对钙钛矿电池感兴趣。除了相关初创公司，还有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600438\">通威股份</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601012\">隆基绿能</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03800\">协鑫科技</a>等行业巨头。</p><p><strong>8、胡锡进炒股第二天：仓位加重，盈利120元，选股套路曝光</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>6月28日是胡锡进炒股的第二天，胡锡进表示：下午两点半左右新买了两只个股，上午增加了昨天买的一只个股的数量，总投入达到7.5万多元。运气也真不错，今天收盘时的盈利达到了226.43元，比昨天增加了120多元。</p><p>并透露了选股套路：买的几只股票都是盘子大的，最小的市值也是几百亿的，而且它们都有过高点，目前处于它们的价值低位。</p><p><strong>9、经济日报评论：有效发挥数字人民币职能</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>经济日报发文称，作为新生事物，数字人民币还处于初级阶段，要充分发挥数字人民币职能，必须扎扎实实做好一些工作。一是坚持市场导向，加速形成数字人民币的网络效应。二是坚持制度型开放，积极参与全球数字治理。三是推动数字人民币跨境支付，在国际支付体系数字化改革方面贡献中国方案。</p><p><strong>10、楼市传来大消息!广州调整公积金贷款政策 最高可贷130万元</strong></p><p>重要程度：★★★</p><p>6月28日，广州住房公积金管理中心发布《关于贯彻落实二孩及以上家庭支持政策的通知》，明确生育二孩及以上的家庭(至少一个子女未成年)使用住房公积金贷款购买首套自住住房的，住房公积金贷款最高额度上浮30%，一人贷款最高额度为78万元，两人或两人以上一起贷款的最高贷款额度为130万元。</p><p><strong>11、财政部：截至5月末全国地方债余额375579亿 控制在全国人大批准的限额之内</strong></p><p><strong>12、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>中国股票策略师刘鸣镝：沪深300指数年底或可看高至4600点</strong></p><p>财经日历</p><p>自选哥提示，今日沪深两市有新股国科恒泰申购，新股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688429\">时创能源</a>上市。</p><p>1、17:00 欧元区6月消费者信心指数终值</p><p>2、20:30 美国至6月24日当周初请失业金人数</p><p>3、20:30 美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率终值</p><p>4、20:30 美国第一季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值</p><p>机会提前看</p><p>自选哥梳理市场关注的投资机会发现，存储芯片等受关注度较高。</p><p><strong>1、目标涨幅最高8%：存储三巨头酝酿涨价 国产DRAM存储股一览</strong></p><p>周三盘后，A股存储器板块迎来利好提振：存储芯片三巨头集体酝酿涨价，目标涨幅最高8%。华鑫证券认为，存储芯片价格整体呈现下跌趋势变缓的状态，周期底部区间基本确认。</p><p>东吴证券研究所整理的《存储产业链梳理》显示，DRAM涉及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300042\">朗科科技</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002049\">紫光国微</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688525\">佰维存储</a>、北京君正、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002213\">大为股份</a>等A股公司。</p><p>此外，腾讯自选股统计了近三个月获机构青睐的存储器股名单，仅供读者参考。数据显示，近三个月中微公司获28家机构买入评级居首，其次的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>、北京君正、紫光国微、兆易创新均获机构买入评级超10家。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20230629/1687998831936909.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1687998831936909.png\"/></p><p><strong>2、抽水蓄能|国内抽水蓄能电站项目核准提速，产业链公司望受益</strong></p><p><strong>3、面板|6月iPhone15面板订单同比iPhone14高出100%，面板企业利润有望修复</strong></p><p><strong>4、船舶|领跑全球，我国部分船企半年完成全年接单目标</strong></p><p><strong>5、激光|实现工程应用，我国星地激光高速通信取得成功</strong></p><p><strong>6、压铸一体化|全球最大镁合金汽车压铸件试制成功，前景可观</strong></p><p>后市研判</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">国泰君安</a>认为，指数底部初探明，风格切换待秋季;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000776\">广发证券</a>认为，食品行业龙头估值基本筑底，中长期看价值凸显。</p><p><strong>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02611\">国泰君安</a>：指数底部初探明 风格切换待秋季</strong></p><p>国泰君安策略团队发布的最新研报指出，预计Q3指数以震荡为主，待秋天(9-10月)临近中国现代化产业体系与房地产新发展模式明晰，宏观不确定性下降，指数或将迎来新一轮攻势。现在还没有到风格切换的时候，顺经济周期类股票底部震荡，反弹关键看估值性价比，系统性的风格切换需要待发展模式的确立与宏观不确定的降低。</p><p><strong>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01776\">广发证券</a>：食品行业龙头估值基本筑底 中长期看价值凸显</strong></p><p>广发证券研报认为，食品饮料板块估值基本筑底，预计政策扩内需落地、消费继续回暖有望推动新一轮牛市，2023年以后戴维斯双击可期。关注低估值龙头，一方面，餐饮渠道占比高的公司需求恢复弹性大;另一方面，考虑消费复苏节奏不确定，下游渠道需求偏刚性或客单价适中、渠道产品扩张的公司需求恢复确定性强。</p><p>上市公司正面负面公告</p><p>偏正面方面，自选哥提示关注<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002031\">巨轮智能</a>与藦卡<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>签订战略合作等;偏负面公告方面，注意<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002776\">*ST柏龙</a>实控人被批捕等。</p><p><strong>偏正面公告</strong></p><p>1、巨轮智能：与藦卡机器人签订战略合作协议，藦卡机器人计划向公司分批次采购约5万套RV减速器，首批采购数量约3000套等</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002307\">北新路桥</a>：中标巫山龙江新区云水山居项目，中标金额1.85亿元</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603496\">恒为科技</a>：成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHL\">中国移动</a>采购项目中标候选人，预计中标金额合计约为1.83亿元</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300795\">米奥会展</a>：上半年预盈6500万元–8500万元，上年同期亏损1495.53万元，同比扭亏</p><p>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601668\">中国建筑</a>：近期获得重大项目金额合计409亿元</p><p><strong>偏负面公告</strong></p><p>1、*ST柏龙：公司实控人因涉嫌欺诈发行股票罪、违规披露、不披露重要信息罪被执行逮捕</p><p>2、7天6板中马传动：公司生产不涉及机器人概念</p><p>3、科安达：董事长及董事拟减持不超7.1%股份</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603386\">骏亚科技</a>：控股股东骏亚企业拟减持不超6%股份</p><p>5、广博股份：董事拟减持不超2.77%股份</p><p>解禁名单</p><p>从解禁比例来看，未来5日胜蓝股份解禁比例达62.84%，其次解禁比例居前的分别为博汇股份、东方碳素;从解禁市值来看，农业银行、居然之家等股解禁市值居前。</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20230629/1687998878917233.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,q_40\" title=\"1687998878917233.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20230629/1687998898698273.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,q_40\" title=\"1687998898698273.png\"/></p><p>海外市场</p><p>自选哥提示，美股周三收盘涨跌不一，纳指小幅上涨，热门中概股多数下跌;纽约黄金期货周三下跌，并创3月中旬以来的最低收盘价;美国WTI原油期货价格周三收高。</p><p><strong>海外资产行情简述</strong></p><p>1、美股市场：美股周三收盘涨跌不一。美联储主席鲍威尔重申预计今年将进一步加息以抑制通胀并为美国劳动力市场降温，并暗示不排除在接下来的会议上连续两次加息。</p><p>2、中概股：热门中概股周三多数下跌，纳斯达克金龙指数跌0.93%。  拓臻生物涨超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PUYI\">普益财富</a>涨超11%，亿航涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAAS\">能链智电</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCAR\">优品车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超7%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">洪恩</a>、聪链集团跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>跌超6%。</p><p>3、黄金市场：纽约黄金期货周三下跌，并创3月中旬以来的最低收盘价。纽约商品交易所8月交割的黄金价格下跌1.60美元，跌幅近0.1%，收于每盎司1922.20美元，为3月14日以来最低的最活跃合约收盘。</p><p>4、原油市场：美国WTI原油期货价格周三收高，此前<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>信息署(EIA)数据显示美国截止6月23日当周原油库存减少近1000万桶。纽约商品交易所8月交割的西德州中质原油(WTI)期货价格上涨1.86美元，涨幅近2.8%，收于每桶69.56美元。</p><p>5、欧股市场：欧洲主要股指集体收涨，德国DAX30指数涨0.68%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数涨0.49%，法国CAC40指数涨0.98%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.92%。</p><p><strong>本文转载自“腾讯自选股”，智通财经编辑：陈雯芳。</strong></p> <div></div> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A股盘前播报 | 5.5G明年商用！华为将发布端到端产品 “首届脑机接口大会”来了 专家看好未来应用空间</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA股盘前播报 | 5.5G明年商用！华为将发布端到端产品 “首届脑机接口大会”来了 专家看好未来应用空间\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-29 08:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/952297.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>早间重磅新闻速览1、大动作!“国家队”重磅出手，狂买30亿这只半导体股重要程度：★★★★6月28日晚间，华虹半导体在港交所公告称，国家集成电路产业基金II将作为战略投资者参与人民币股份发行，将认购总额不超过人民币30亿元的人民币股份。30亿的资金注入，给予市场不少信心。点评：成立以来，大基金二期正加速布局，持续投入半导体制造、材料、设备等国产半导体产业链薄弱环节。从目前的投资细分领域看，大基金二期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/952297.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20230629/20230629083153_12542.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_80/resize,w_250","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","EIA":"Eaton Vance California Municip","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","WTI":"W&T海底钻探","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4213":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/952297.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2347732872","content_text":"早间重磅新闻速览1、大动作!“国家队”重磅出手，狂买30亿这只半导体股重要程度：★★★★6月28日晚间，华虹半导体在港交所公告称，国家集成电路产业基金II将作为战略投资者参与人民币股份发行，将认购总额不超过人民币30亿元的人民币股份。30亿的资金注入，给予市场不少信心。点评：成立以来，大基金二期正加速布局，持续投入半导体制造、材料、设备等国产半导体产业链薄弱环节。从目前的投资细分领域看，大基金二期更聚焦短板明显的设备、材料领域，方向集中于完善半导体行业的重点产业链。2、鲍威尔重申加息论调，美股收盘涨跌不一!苹果市值逼近3万亿美元重要程度：★★★★美东时间周三，美股三大指数全天小幅震荡，收盘涨跌不一。美联储主席鲍威尔重申预计今年将进一步加息以抑制通胀并为美国劳动力市场降温，并暗示不排除在接下来的会议上连续两次加息。虽然鲍威尔措辞越来越鹰派，但并未对市场产生严重冲击。截止收盘，道琼斯指数跌0.22%，标普500指数跌0.04%，纳斯达克指数涨0.27%。苹果涨0.63%，股价创历史新高，市值逼近3万亿美元。大型科技股多数上涨，奈飞涨超3%，特斯拉涨逾2%，谷歌涨超1%，微软小幅上涨。3、A股杀猪盘惨案!雪球大V割韭菜?弘信电子散户怒了重要程度：★★★6月28日，弘信电子电子闪崩跌停，有股民一天巨亏22%。本来只是一次普普通通的跌停，但不少微信群、社交平台都在讨论这只股票，这该死的好奇心又被勾起来了。不少散户均在网上发帖称，这是一起杀猪盘。另外，更是把矛头指向一位雪球大V“自由钱江路”。这个大V已经将其微信公众号历史推文删得一干二净。4、5.5G明年商用!华为将发布端到端产品 A股两公司涉及相关业务重要程度：★★★据证券时报，从2023世界移动通信大会获悉，华为将于明年发布端到端的5.5G商用产品。华为认为，5.5G是5G网络演进的必由之路。腾讯自选股查询沪深互动平台发现，天线及射频公司通宇通讯、射频公司阿莱德对于投资者提问的“5.5G”话题有较为正面的回应。通宇通讯在互动平台：在5.5G的天线领域已有相关技术积累。阿莱德在互动平台：我司产品可用于5.5G领域。此外，东吴证券整理的《华为产业链全景图》显示，与5.5G关联较大的基站环节，有射频如东山精密、武汉凡谷、风华高科、信维通信等公司。5、又一家!上海国企在印度被骗了88亿，反被索赔21亿?紧急回应来了重要程度：★★★近日，有自媒体发布信息称“上海电气被印度诈骗88亿，反被索赔21亿”，对此，上海电气官网发布声明表示，相关报道严重歪曲事实。上海电气称，2008年，上海电气作为印度莎圣电站项目的主要设备及服务供应商，签署了《设备供货与服务合同》，合同金额为13.11亿美元。该电站项目已于2015年投入商业运营，电厂运行情况良好。上海电气对该项目的收款已近90%，对尚未收到的尾款提起了仲裁，该仲裁已胜诉并进入执行阶段。6、“首届脑机接口大会”来了 专家看好未来应用空间重要程度：★★★据脑机接口产业联盟消息，全国首届脑机接口大会暨脑机接口产业联盟第一次全会将于7月3日至5日在天津召开。外界对于脑机接口技术的关注度正持续攀升。接受上证报记者采访的专家认为，中国发展脑机接口技术存在一定优势，与此同时，知识产权侵权、伦理审查等多方面的问题仍需留意。7、千亿央企放大招!钙钛矿电池产业化元年或已悄然而至重要程度：★★★作为最有前景的下一代光伏技术，钙钛矿太阳能电池正被业内外企业追捧。  6月28日晚间，中国核电公告，公司董事会审议通过了《关于柔性、刚性钙钛矿商业级中试产线研发科研项目立项的议案》。这是继中国华能之后，又一家央企大规模进军钙钛矿太阳能电池。点评：  据银河证券预测，随着钙钛矿电池技术的进一步成熟，“十四五”期间，我国钙钛矿电池在建及规划产能有望达到50GW-75GW。目前，A股已有近20家上市公司对钙钛矿电池感兴趣。除了相关初创公司，还有通威股份、隆基绿能、宁德时代、协鑫科技等行业巨头。8、胡锡进炒股第二天：仓位加重，盈利120元，选股套路曝光重要程度：★★★6月28日是胡锡进炒股的第二天，胡锡进表示：下午两点半左右新买了两只个股，上午增加了昨天买的一只个股的数量，总投入达到7.5万多元。运气也真不错，今天收盘时的盈利达到了226.43元，比昨天增加了120多元。并透露了选股套路：买的几只股票都是盘子大的，最小的市值也是几百亿的，而且它们都有过高点，目前处于它们的价值低位。9、经济日报评论：有效发挥数字人民币职能重要程度：★★★经济日报发文称，作为新生事物，数字人民币还处于初级阶段，要充分发挥数字人民币职能，必须扎扎实实做好一些工作。一是坚持市场导向，加速形成数字人民币的网络效应。二是坚持制度型开放，积极参与全球数字治理。三是推动数字人民币跨境支付，在国际支付体系数字化改革方面贡献中国方案。10、楼市传来大消息!广州调整公积金贷款政策 最高可贷130万元重要程度：★★★6月28日，广州住房公积金管理中心发布《关于贯彻落实二孩及以上家庭支持政策的通知》，明确生育二孩及以上的家庭(至少一个子女未成年)使用住房公积金贷款购买首套自住住房的，住房公积金贷款最高额度上浮30%，一人贷款最高额度为78万元，两人或两人以上一起贷款的最高贷款额度为130万元。11、财政部：截至5月末全国地方债余额375579亿 控制在全国人大批准的限额之内12、摩根大通中国股票策略师刘鸣镝：沪深300指数年底或可看高至4600点财经日历自选哥提示，今日沪深两市有新股国科恒泰申购，新股时创能源上市。1、17:00 欧元区6月消费者信心指数终值2、20:30 美国至6月24日当周初请失业金人数3、20:30 美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率终值4、20:30 美国第一季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值机会提前看自选哥梳理市场关注的投资机会发现，存储芯片等受关注度较高。1、目标涨幅最高8%：存储三巨头酝酿涨价 国产DRAM存储股一览周三盘后，A股存储器板块迎来利好提振：存储芯片三巨头集体酝酿涨价，目标涨幅最高8%。华鑫证券认为，存储芯片价格整体呈现下跌趋势变缓的状态，周期底部区间基本确认。东吴证券研究所整理的《存储产业链梳理》显示，DRAM涉及朗科科技、紫光国微、佰维存储、北京君正、大为股份等A股公司。此外，腾讯自选股统计了近三个月获机构青睐的存储器股名单，仅供读者参考。数据显示，近三个月中微公司获28家机构买入评级居首，其次的长电科技、北京君正、紫光国微、兆易创新均获机构买入评级超10家。2、抽水蓄能|国内抽水蓄能电站项目核准提速，产业链公司望受益3、面板|6月iPhone15面板订单同比iPhone14高出100%，面板企业利润有望修复4、船舶|领跑全球，我国部分船企半年完成全年接单目标5、激光|实现工程应用，我国星地激光高速通信取得成功6、压铸一体化|全球最大镁合金汽车压铸件试制成功，前景可观后市研判国泰君安认为，指数底部初探明，风格切换待秋季;广发证券认为，食品行业龙头估值基本筑底，中长期看价值凸显。1、国泰君安：指数底部初探明 风格切换待秋季国泰君安策略团队发布的最新研报指出，预计Q3指数以震荡为主，待秋天(9-10月)临近中国现代化产业体系与房地产新发展模式明晰，宏观不确定性下降，指数或将迎来新一轮攻势。现在还没有到风格切换的时候，顺经济周期类股票底部震荡，反弹关键看估值性价比，系统性的风格切换需要待发展模式的确立与宏观不确定的降低。2、广发证券：食品行业龙头估值基本筑底 中长期看价值凸显广发证券研报认为，食品饮料板块估值基本筑底，预计政策扩内需落地、消费继续回暖有望推动新一轮牛市，2023年以后戴维斯双击可期。关注低估值龙头，一方面，餐饮渠道占比高的公司需求恢复弹性大;另一方面，考虑消费复苏节奏不确定，下游渠道需求偏刚性或客单价适中、渠道产品扩张的公司需求恢复确定性强。上市公司正面负面公告偏正面方面，自选哥提示关注巨轮智能与藦卡机器人签订战略合作等;偏负面公告方面，注意*ST柏龙实控人被批捕等。偏正面公告1、巨轮智能：与藦卡机器人签订战略合作协议，藦卡机器人计划向公司分批次采购约5万套RV减速器，首批采购数量约3000套等2、北新路桥：中标巫山龙江新区云水山居项目，中标金额1.85亿元3、恒为科技：成为中国移动采购项目中标候选人，预计中标金额合计约为1.83亿元4、米奥会展：上半年预盈6500万元–8500万元，上年同期亏损1495.53万元，同比扭亏5、中国建筑：近期获得重大项目金额合计409亿元偏负面公告1、*ST柏龙：公司实控人因涉嫌欺诈发行股票罪、违规披露、不披露重要信息罪被执行逮捕2、7天6板中马传动：公司生产不涉及机器人概念3、科安达：董事长及董事拟减持不超7.1%股份4、骏亚科技：控股股东骏亚企业拟减持不超6%股份5、广博股份：董事拟减持不超2.77%股份解禁名单从解禁比例来看，未来5日胜蓝股份解禁比例达62.84%，其次解禁比例居前的分别为博汇股份、东方碳素;从解禁市值来看，农业银行、居然之家等股解禁市值居前。海外市场自选哥提示，美股周三收盘涨跌不一，纳指小幅上涨，热门中概股多数下跌;纽约黄金期货周三下跌，并创3月中旬以来的最低收盘价;美国WTI原油期货价格周三收高。海外资产行情简述1、美股市场：美股周三收盘涨跌不一。美联储主席鲍威尔重申预计今年将进一步加息以抑制通胀并为美国劳动力市场降温，并暗示不排除在接下来的会议上连续两次加息。2、中概股：热门中概股周三多数下跌，纳斯达克金龙指数跌0.93%。  拓臻生物涨超18%，普益财富涨超11%，亿航涨超8%，能链智电、优品车、小鹏汽车涨超7%; 洪恩、聪链集团跌超7%，嘉楠科技跌超6%。3、黄金市场：纽约黄金期货周三下跌，并创3月中旬以来的最低收盘价。纽约商品交易所8月交割的黄金价格下跌1.60美元，跌幅近0.1%，收于每盎司1922.20美元，为3月14日以来最低的最活跃合约收盘。4、原油市场：美国WTI原油期货价格周三收高，此前美国能源信息署(EIA)数据显示美国截止6月23日当周原油库存减少近1000万桶。纽约商品交易所8月交割的西德州中质原油(WTI)期货价格上涨1.86美元，涨幅近2.8%，收于每桶69.56美元。5、欧股市场：欧洲主要股指集体收涨，德国DAX30指数涨0.68%，英国富时100指数涨0.49%，法国CAC40指数涨0.98%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.92%。本文转载自“腾讯自选股”，智通财经编辑：陈雯芳。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":768687914565696,"gmtCreate":1687966317786,"gmtModify":1687966318927,"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>一直以为。鲍威尔的讲话会导致一波下跌，结果没用，这个**鲍威尔，这时候不灵了呢","listText":"<a 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大家快跑啊，鲍威尔讲话了，说会出现更多紧缩力量，这么鹰的讲话，大盘还涨？？出现了超买，快跑！！快跑，求你们了快跑！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/769209541050400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546249304196282","authorId":"3546249304196282","name":"火火兔爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1914631c23e50a7645217a36cc9d9598","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"不要学a股散户进进出出最后一场空，要拿就拿到下轮加息到3%，直接清空","text":"不要学a股散户进进出出最后一场空，要拿就拿到下轮加息到3%，直接清空","html":"不要学a股散户进进出出最后一场空，要拿就拿到下轮加息到3%，直接清空"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":192237116915736,"gmtCreate":1687964680518,"gmtModify":1687964682024,"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"讲话不管用了呢？？都紧缩了。大盘还涨，不给鲍威尔面子啊。。。市场过热了，快跑，出现了超买，快跑","listText":"讲话不管用了呢？？都紧缩了。大盘还涨，不给鲍威尔面子啊。。。市场过热了，快跑，出现了超买，快跑","text":"讲话不管用了呢？？都紧缩了。大盘还涨，不给鲍威尔面子啊。。。市场过热了，快跑，出现了超买，快跑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192237116915736","repostId":"2346084058","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2346084058","pubTimestamp":1687959876,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2346084058?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-28 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/d0/24/94/-1-2-.png?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>价位太低，卖的人不愿意卖，买的人呢有点儿害怕，简直就没有成交量了。稍微来点儿资金就能拉起来。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 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13:17","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美媒曝拜登政府考虑对华实施新的芯片制裁，英伟达股价闻声下跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2346890447","media":"环球网","summary":"据路透社报道，美国《华尔街日报》6月27日援引所谓“知情人士”消息称，由于担心中国可能使用$英伟达 $和其他公司的人工智能芯片“进行武器开发和黑客攻击”，拜登政府正考虑就对华出口人工智能芯片实施新制裁。报道还称，英伟达、美光和超威半导体等美国芯片制造商都会受到美媒爆料拜登政府新措施的影响，英伟达股价在盘后交易中下跌超过 2%，而超威半导体股价下跌约 1.5%。这并非美国首次针对向中国出口人工智能芯片实施制裁。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>又想打压？！据路透社报道，美国《华尔街日报》6月27日援引所谓“知情人士”消息称，由于担心中国可能使用<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和其他公司的人工智能芯片“进行武器开发和黑客攻击”，拜登政府正考虑就对华出口人工智能芯片实施新制裁。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ba9c990f259d59168cc657738235e9d\" alt=\"英伟达标志 资料图片\" title=\"英伟达标志 资料图片\" tg-width=\"678\" tg-height=\"452\"/><span>英伟达标志 资料图片</span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">《华尔街日报》称，美国商务部最早将于 7 月要求停止向中国客户提供英伟达（Nvidia）和其他芯片公司生产的芯片产品。报道还称，英伟达、美光（Micron）和超威半导体（AMD）等美国芯片制造商都会受到美媒爆料拜登政府新措施的影响，英伟达股价在盘后交易中下跌超过 2%，而超威半导体股价下跌约 1.5%。</p><p>这并非美国首次针对向中国出口人工智能芯片实施制裁。报道提到，英伟达曾在去年9月表示，美国官员要求该公司停止向中国出口两款用于人工智能的顶级计算芯片。为满足出口管制规定，英伟达在几个月后表示，将向中国提供一款名为 A800 的“降级版”芯片。该公司还在今年年初调整了其旗舰 H100 芯片以符合法规。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">《华尔街日报》6月13日报道称，美国商务部负责工业和安全事务的副部长艾伦•埃斯特维兹上周在一个行业会议上表示，拜登政府打算延长一项出口管制政策的豁免期，这项政策旨在限制美国以及使用美国技术的外国公司向中国出售先进制程芯片和芯片制造设备。一些分析人士认为，此举将削弱美国在芯片上对中国出口管制政策的效果。13日接受《环球时报》记者采访的专家认为，虽然美方尚未公布具体细节，但“延期豁免”是意料之中的事，因为美国遏制中国芯片发展的种种措施不但效果有限，而且遭到反噬。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">关于美方对华设芯片出口限制，中国外交部曾表示，美方出于维护科技霸权需要，滥用出口管制措施，对中国企业进行恶意封锁和打压，这种做法背离公平竞争原则，违反国际经贸规则，不仅损害中国企业的正当权益，也将影响美国企业的利益。这种做法阻碍国际科技交流和经贸合作，对全球产业链供应链稳定和世界经济恢复都将造成冲击。美方将科技和经贸问题政治化、工具化、武器化，阻挡不了中国发展，只会封锁自己、反噬自身。</p></body></html>","source":"hqw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美媒曝拜登政府考虑对华实施新的芯片制裁，英伟达股价闻声下跌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美媒曝拜登政府考虑对华实施新的芯片制裁，英伟达股价闻声下跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-28 13:17 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://world.huanqiu.com/article/4DUTp2DuXst?qq-pf-to=pcqq.group><strong>环球网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>又想打压？！据路透社报道，美国《华尔街日报》6月27日援引所谓“知情人士”消息称，由于担心中国可能使用英伟达和其他公司的人工智能芯片“进行武器开发和黑客攻击”，拜登政府正考虑就对华出口人工智能芯片实施新制裁。英伟达标志 资料图片《华尔街日报》称，美国商务部最早将于 7 月要求停止向中国客户提供英伟达（Nvidia）和其他芯片公司生产的芯片产品。报道还称，英伟达、美光（Micron）和超威半导体（...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://world.huanqiu.com/article/4DUTp2DuXst?qq-pf-to=pcqq.group\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049188ef78558038801fea7c12d050a1","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS 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芯片以符合法规。《华尔街日报》6月13日报道称，美国商务部负责工业和安全事务的副部长艾伦•埃斯特维兹上周在一个行业会议上表示，拜登政府打算延长一项出口管制政策的豁免期，这项政策旨在限制美国以及使用美国技术的外国公司向中国出售先进制程芯片和芯片制造设备。一些分析人士认为，此举将削弱美国在芯片上对中国出口管制政策的效果。13日接受《环球时报》记者采访的专家认为，虽然美方尚未公布具体细节，但“延期豁免”是意料之中的事，因为美国遏制中国芯片发展的种种措施不但效果有限，而且遭到反噬。关于美方对华设芯片出口限制，中国外交部曾表示，美方出于维护科技霸权需要，滥用出口管制措施，对中国企业进行恶意封锁和打压，这种做法背离公平竞争原则，违反国际经贸规则，不仅损害中国企业的正当权益，也将影响美国企业的利益。这种做法阻碍国际科技交流和经贸合作，对全球产业链供应链稳定和世界经济恢复都将造成冲击。美方将科技和经贸问题政治化、工具化、武器化，阻挡不了中国发展，只会封锁自己、反噬自身。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659271365,"gmtCreate":1680099818857,"gmtModify":1680099820733,"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有种你放学别走？？？多多就这么回应吗[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"有种你放学别走？？？多多就这么回应吗[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"有种你放学别走？？？多多就这么回应吗[开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659271365","repostId":"1166396618","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1166396618","pubTimestamp":1680091625,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166396618?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-29 20:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"几十家品牌店遭遇最夸张“炸店”事件？拼多多小二怒斥：请你站到阳光下来","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166396618","media":"正观新闻","summary":"3月29日，针对近期拼多多平台数十家品牌店遭遇有组织的“炸店”事件，有拼多多小二发布朋友圈称，这是从业以来经历过的最夸张的恶意打砸店铺事件，平台已固定相关证据，并将坚决诉诸司法机关。据了解，自3月28","content":"<p>3月29日，针对近期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>平台数十家品牌店遭遇有组织的“炸店”事件，有拼多多小二发布朋友圈称，这是从业以来经历过的最夸张的恶意打砸店铺事件，平台已固定相关证据，并将坚决诉诸司法机关。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ff7293bc9189229622cbe206427fe56\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"603\"></p><p></p><p>据了解，自3月28日起，拼多多平台几十家品牌店先后遭遇大量不明身份人员集中“炸店”，一些品牌店为了自保不得不暂时歇业，以避免进一步损失。拼多多小二称，一些人员通过短视频平台及社交媒体进行发动，有组织有预谋地对平台几十家品牌店发起“炸店”行动。他们先是集中大量的恶意下单，然后闪退单，几近“打砸”店铺，同时恶语辱骂品牌店客服人员。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b35b70d409d761a8926df5a3e6dabc5\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"399\"></p><p></p><p>对此，拼多多小二表示，平台已固定相关证据，将坚决诉诸司法机关。对遭遇“炸店”的品牌店，平台将兜底承担所有损失。此外，平台还将进一步加大品牌店体系的资金和人力投入，维护好蒸蒸日上的品牌店体系。</p><p></p><p></p><p>拼多多小二在朋友圈怒斥，“炸店”行径如此突破底线，罔顾商业道德，实在闻所未闻，令人发指。“破坏别人并不会让你变好。在背后蝇营狗苟，也不会真的让你隐身，请你站到阳光下来！”并声称平台将坚决与这些猥琐卑鄙、突破底线的行径斗争到底。</p>","source":"lsy1618548437207","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n几十家品牌店遭遇最夸张“炸店”事件？拼多多小二怒斥：请你站到阳光下来\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-29 20:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1761703405835747805&wfr=spider&for=pc><strong>正观新闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月29日，针对近期拼多多平台数十家品牌店遭遇有组织的“炸店”事件，有拼多多小二发布朋友圈称，这是从业以来经历过的最夸张的恶意打砸店铺事件，平台已固定相关证据，并将坚决诉诸司法机关。据了解，自3月28日起，拼多多平台几十家品牌店先后遭遇大量不明身份人员集中“炸店”，一些品牌店为了自保不得不暂时歇业，以避免进一步损失。拼多多小二称，一些人员通过短视频平台及社交媒体进行发动，有组织有预谋地对平台几十家...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1761703405835747805&wfr=spider&for=pc\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2db5797ca32628002f32e69d5dea58b","relate_stocks":{"LU0307460666.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS CHINA EQUITY \"A\" ACC","BK4531":"中概回港概念","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4558":"双十一","PDD":"拼多多","LU1048596156.SGD":"Blackrock Asian Growth Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU2039709279.SGD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH \"AA\" (SGDHDG) 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ACC","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1761703405835747805&wfr=spider&for=pc","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166396618","content_text":"3月29日，针对近期拼多多平台数十家品牌店遭遇有组织的“炸店”事件，有拼多多小二发布朋友圈称，这是从业以来经历过的最夸张的恶意打砸店铺事件，平台已固定相关证据，并将坚决诉诸司法机关。据了解，自3月28日起，拼多多平台几十家品牌店先后遭遇大量不明身份人员集中“炸店”，一些品牌店为了自保不得不暂时歇业，以避免进一步损失。拼多多小二称，一些人员通过短视频平台及社交媒体进行发动，有组织有预谋地对平台几十家品牌店发起“炸店”行动。他们先是集中大量的恶意下单，然后闪退单，几近“打砸”店铺，同时恶语辱骂品牌店客服人员。对此，拼多多小二表示，平台已固定相关证据，将坚决诉诸司法机关。对遭遇“炸店”的品牌店，平台将兜底承担所有损失。此外，平台还将进一步加大品牌店体系的资金和人力投入，维护好蒸蒸日上的品牌店体系。拼多多小二在朋友圈怒斥，“炸店”行径如此突破底线，罔顾商业道德，实在闻所未闻，令人发指。“破坏别人并不会让你变好。在背后蝇营狗苟，也不会真的让你隐身，请你站到阳光下来！”并声称平台将坚决与这些猥琐卑鄙、突破底线的行径斗争到底。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650720511,"gmtCreate":1679521979634,"gmtModify":1679521981172,"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"笑死了哈哈，","listText":"笑死了哈哈，","text":"笑死了哈哈，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650720511","repostId":"1163917622","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163917622","pubTimestamp":1679464109,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163917622?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-22 13:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国银行危机远未结束","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163917622","media":"半夏投资","summary":"针对近期美国银行危机昨天，美国财长耶伦表示：如果有必要，联邦政府有意为更多中小型银行的存款提供担保支持。媒体报道：美国财政部正在研究监管机构是否有权在未经国会批准的情况下临时为高于FDIC投保上限的存","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>针对近期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>危机</p><p>昨天，美国财长耶伦表示：如果有必要，联邦政府有意为更多中小型银行的存款提供担保支持。</p><p>媒体报道：美国财政部正在研究监管机构是否有权在未经国会批准的情况下临时为高于FDIC投保上限的存款提供担保，猜测投保上限会翻倍，或者FDIC可能为所有存款提供保险。</p><p>因此，美国银行股大涨，带动风险资产大涨。</p><p>我的个人看法：</p><p><b>美国小银行危机远未结束</b></p><p>本轮美国的银行业危机有两个关键点：</p><p><b>1，银行的风险管理存在严重的问题和漏洞，造成实质性资产负债表创伤</b></p><p>美国银行业总体40%的资产是按揭贷款，基于按揭贷款的MBS，长期国债。因为几家大银行此类资产平均比例更低，仅20%左右，所以小银行的此类资产比例大于50%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0983ab8d842fb2d9f211e870a425222\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>美国90%以上的按揭贷款都是固定利率的，期限20-30年。因此，美国小银行50%以上的资产都是长期固定利率资产，粗略估计这部分资产久期大于10年。于是<b>美国的银行面临着巨大的久期风险。</b></p><p>作为对比，中国的银行业90%以上的按揭贷款都是浮动利率的。弹性而健康。</p><p>随着过去一年美联储大幅加息，这些长期固定利率资产如果按照最新市场价格定价，已经贬值了20%以上（当然，银行在报表上把此类资产计入持有到期账户，账面并不体现亏损）。考虑到50%的占比，银行总资产如果按市场定价出售，平均贬值10%。</p><p>而银行普遍是10倍以上杠杆的，所以如果就当前市场价格变现资产，很多美国小银行已经资不抵债，实质破产。并不仅仅是流动性问题。</p><p><b>2，存款流失</b></p><p>一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>如果存在上面的情况，存量资产按市场价格实际破产，并不是一定会死。只要还能维持正常的资产增速，资产和负债健康增长，那新的优质资产就可以稀释之前的亏损资产。时间就能解决一切的问题。</p><p>而且现在的问题是：</p><p>美国全行业的存款在流失。</p><p>这个存款流失并不是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">硅谷银行</a>的风险爆发之后才发生的，而是在己之前已经持续了半年，并不是个别银行的现象，而是全行业总体的现象。</p><p>本世纪以来，第一次，持续半年时间，全美银行业存款负增长。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/236a5f8e729363b793a28511b036ff2c\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>这背后的两个原因。</p><p>1. 美国总体的货币增速在下行，已经转负。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176eb209b30dfae2bb4e03b0f990098c\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2. 美国银行的存款大多是无息和低息存款。</p><p>以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>为例，存款成本仅不到0.5%。无息和低息存款占比一半。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79a2564cf52eb04f3478f49db7ee15dc\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>随着利率大幅上升，这些无息和低存款面临着极高的机会成本，开始向货币市场基金转移。</p><p>当存款流失。一个银行如果要维持自己的资产负债表规模甚至增长，只能从市场上去使用一些高价负债，比如银行间市场的短期流动性，考虑到现在美国整个利率曲线是大幅倒挂的，短端明显高于长端，即便是匹配了新的资产，实现资产负债表增长，那新增资产负债也是倒挂的，也是饮鸠止渴。</p><p>即便联邦政府为更多中小型银行的存款提供全额担保支持，只是短期遏制居民和企业从小银行挤兑，转移存款到大银行的行为，不能改变全行业存款下降的事实，不改变银行温水煮青蛙慢慢死的结果。</p><p>而且，全额担保极大可能是会被国会反对的。因为逆向选择和道德风险无边无际。对国民的利益构成极大威胁。</p><p>举个简化而极端的例子，如果存款完全政府兜底，那储户根本不需要辨别银行的风险和质地，谁的利率高就存谁那里。那么，我可以去美国开一家银行，高息揽储10个亿，都贷款给我妈的公司，我妈的公司可以雇我的女儿做CEO，每年给她发3个亿奖金，3年后之后，10个亿花光，公司破产。银行贷款收不回来，也破产，10亿存款损失由纳税人承担，但都输送给了我女儿。</p><p>如果美国政府不能全额担保存款，那么存款从小银行流向大银行，加速小银行死亡，大概率还是依然会发生的。</p><p>所以，除非美联储大幅降息到2%以下，低于大部分银行存量资产的利率水平，并继续大幅QE扩表，美国小银行的问题是无解的。</p><p>但以上基本是不可能的。</p><p>因为本轮银行危机，本质上就是美国的小银行自己的风险管理问题，如果他们当初发放的都是浮动利率贷款，而非固定的贷款全然，不可能有这样的结果反而会受益于加息带来的资产收益率上行。</p><p>在这个过程中，实体经济不仅没有受害，反而是受益的。一个普通的美国家庭，相比疫情前，工资增长了20%以上。疫情前购买的房产已经大幅升值，但是每个月的月供维持不变。家庭的资产和可支配收入都是显著改善的。所以，美国的实体经济韧性十足，美国的通胀极其顽固。</p><p>而银行就是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603883\">老百姓</a>的这种改善的对立面。一定程度可以说，这一轮美国的老百姓剪了银行的羊毛，割了银行的韭菜。但这不是老百姓故意干坏事，是银行自己太蠢，太迟钝，在风险管理上，用尸位素餐来说，毫不为过。</p><p>我是一周前才听人说美国银行90%以上的按揭贷款都是固定利率的，当时我的感受是震惊的，我无法相信，这种极其不专业和不严谨的行为，竟然发生在美国整个银行业。银行管理层竟然如此愚蠢迟钝，美国监管竟然如此毫无作为，事先没有任何风险警示和监管干预。</p><p>我查阅和求证了2天，发现真的是这样！</p><p>即便美联储已经开始快速加息，他们依然没有做出应对，愚蠢和迟钝得令人难以置信。</p><p>虽然很多小银行的死亡大概率难以避免，但本轮危机，完全不能跟2008年相比，对实体经济的影响远远小于2008年。就是银行自己的问题。</p><p>区别于2008年居民部门资产价格暴跌，杠杆崩溃重创。本轮居民部门不仅没有变坏，反而是变好了。美国企业部门，总体并不依赖银行体系融资，有着发达的直接融资市场。因为银行危机，长短利率下行，企业的融资成本反而下降，大企业甚至是受益的。这也是大型科技公司占比高的标普500指数近期为什么如此坚挺的原因。会有一些依赖银行的小企业受到伤害，但这在美国整个经济中比重不大。</p><p>区别于2008年，美国的系统重要性大银行位于风暴核心，本轮问题主要在区域银行。</p><p>美国的银行业总资产大约20万亿美元，区域银行占比1/3，总资产表大约7万亿。美国总的负债（政府+企业+居民）合计近70万亿，区域银行占比仅1/10。只要处理平稳，并不会对实体经济造成特别大的打击。</p><p>美国纳税人没有理由为这些愚蠢的区域银行管理层，股东买单。</p><p><b>所以，本轮银行危机，对实体经济的影响有限，远小于2008年。</b></p><p>但至于对金融市场的影响，不确定性则会高得多。</p><p>毕竟仅美国区域银行就由7万亿美元的资产负债表。还有情况类似的欧洲银行。</p><p>之前已经被合并的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>，其资产负债表之前多年萎缩，构成其脆弱的基础，而另一家资产负债表多年萎缩的大银行，是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>。（下图的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">汇丰</a>，是用来衬托和对比他们的）</p><p>我还没有来得及细致的研究<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0H7D.UK\">德意志银行</a>的资产负债表细项。但大方向来说，一家高杠杆的大型金融机构长期缩表，一般情况，只要遇到金融条件收紧，都是很危险的。</p><p>而这些银行跟金融市场的联系广泛和复杂。各种隐秘的角落，都可能带来意想不到的冲击。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1bd941d41f41834af0053a4f02b8a7a\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>所以，未来一段时间，金融市场上，还是要小心一些。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610944563427","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国银行危机远未结束</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国银行危机远未结束\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-22 13:48 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI5OTgwNDI5MQ==&mid=2247485578&idx=1&sn=b3fdd691396f3843669357608392cfd5&chksm=ec91bb66dbe632709d7e8cf3880bfaf49887ba94dcd6ed3362380a1452e5a981a92b1e65054b&scene=126&sessionid=1679459585><strong>半夏投资</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>针对近期美国银行危机昨天，美国财长耶伦表示：如果有必要，联邦政府有意为更多中小型银行的存款提供担保支持。媒体报道：美国财政部正在研究监管机构是否有权在未经国会批准的情况下临时为高于FDIC投保上限的存款提供担保，猜测投保上限会翻倍，或者FDIC可能为所有存款提供保险。因此，美国银行股大涨，带动风险资产大涨。我的个人看法：美国小银行危机远未结束本轮美国的银行业危机有两个关键点：1，银行的风险管理存在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI5OTgwNDI5MQ==&mid=2247485578&idx=1&sn=b3fdd691396f3843669357608392cfd5&chksm=ec91bb66dbe632709d7e8cf3880bfaf49887ba94dcd6ed3362380a1452e5a981a92b1e65054b&scene=126&sessionid=1679459585\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4258cd0edd20f0c6d2f9cff3da54a1b4","relate_stocks":{"LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA 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ACC"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI5OTgwNDI5MQ==&mid=2247485578&idx=1&sn=b3fdd691396f3843669357608392cfd5&chksm=ec91bb66dbe632709d7e8cf3880bfaf49887ba94dcd6ed3362380a1452e5a981a92b1e65054b&scene=126&sessionid=1679459585","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163917622","content_text":"针对近期美国银行危机昨天，美国财长耶伦表示：如果有必要，联邦政府有意为更多中小型银行的存款提供担保支持。媒体报道：美国财政部正在研究监管机构是否有权在未经国会批准的情况下临时为高于FDIC投保上限的存款提供担保，猜测投保上限会翻倍，或者FDIC可能为所有存款提供保险。因此，美国银行股大涨，带动风险资产大涨。我的个人看法：美国小银行危机远未结束本轮美国的银行业危机有两个关键点：1，银行的风险管理存在严重的问题和漏洞，造成实质性资产负债表创伤美国银行业总体40%的资产是按揭贷款，基于按揭贷款的MBS，长期国债。因为几家大银行此类资产平均比例更低，仅20%左右，所以小银行的此类资产比例大于50%。美国90%以上的按揭贷款都是固定利率的，期限20-30年。因此，美国小银行50%以上的资产都是长期固定利率资产，粗略估计这部分资产久期大于10年。于是美国的银行面临着巨大的久期风险。作为对比，中国的银行业90%以上的按揭贷款都是浮动利率的。弹性而健康。随着过去一年美联储大幅加息，这些长期固定利率资产如果按照最新市场价格定价，已经贬值了20%以上（当然，银行在报表上把此类资产计入持有到期账户，账面并不体现亏损）。考虑到50%的占比，银行总资产如果按市场定价出售，平均贬值10%。而银行普遍是10倍以上杠杆的，所以如果就当前市场价格变现资产，很多美国小银行已经资不抵债，实质破产。并不仅仅是流动性问题。2，存款流失一家金融机构如果存在上面的情况，存量资产按市场价格实际破产，并不是一定会死。只要还能维持正常的资产增速，资产和负债健康增长，那新的优质资产就可以稀释之前的亏损资产。时间就能解决一切的问题。而且现在的问题是：美国全行业的存款在流失。这个存款流失并不是硅谷银行的风险爆发之后才发生的，而是在己之前已经持续了半年，并不是个别银行的现象，而是全行业总体的现象。本世纪以来，第一次，持续半年时间，全美银行业存款负增长。这背后的两个原因。1. 美国总体的货币增速在下行，已经转负。2. 美国银行的存款大多是无息和低息存款。以富国银行为例，存款成本仅不到0.5%。无息和低息存款占比一半。随着利率大幅上升，这些无息和低存款面临着极高的机会成本，开始向货币市场基金转移。当存款流失。一个银行如果要维持自己的资产负债表规模甚至增长，只能从市场上去使用一些高价负债，比如银行间市场的短期流动性，考虑到现在美国整个利率曲线是大幅倒挂的，短端明显高于长端，即便是匹配了新的资产，实现资产负债表增长，那新增资产负债也是倒挂的，也是饮鸠止渴。即便联邦政府为更多中小型银行的存款提供全额担保支持，只是短期遏制居民和企业从小银行挤兑，转移存款到大银行的行为，不能改变全行业存款下降的事实，不改变银行温水煮青蛙慢慢死的结果。而且，全额担保极大可能是会被国会反对的。因为逆向选择和道德风险无边无际。对国民的利益构成极大威胁。举个简化而极端的例子，如果存款完全政府兜底，那储户根本不需要辨别银行的风险和质地，谁的利率高就存谁那里。那么，我可以去美国开一家银行，高息揽储10个亿，都贷款给我妈的公司，我妈的公司可以雇我的女儿做CEO，每年给她发3个亿奖金，3年后之后，10个亿花光，公司破产。银行贷款收不回来，也破产，10亿存款损失由纳税人承担，但都输送给了我女儿。如果美国政府不能全额担保存款，那么存款从小银行流向大银行，加速小银行死亡，大概率还是依然会发生的。所以，除非美联储大幅降息到2%以下，低于大部分银行存量资产的利率水平，并继续大幅QE扩表，美国小银行的问题是无解的。但以上基本是不可能的。因为本轮银行危机，本质上就是美国的小银行自己的风险管理问题，如果他们当初发放的都是浮动利率贷款，而非固定的贷款全然，不可能有这样的结果反而会受益于加息带来的资产收益率上行。在这个过程中，实体经济不仅没有受害，反而是受益的。一个普通的美国家庭，相比疫情前，工资增长了20%以上。疫情前购买的房产已经大幅升值，但是每个月的月供维持不变。家庭的资产和可支配收入都是显著改善的。所以，美国的实体经济韧性十足，美国的通胀极其顽固。而银行就是老百姓的这种改善的对立面。一定程度可以说，这一轮美国的老百姓剪了银行的羊毛，割了银行的韭菜。但这不是老百姓故意干坏事，是银行自己太蠢，太迟钝，在风险管理上，用尸位素餐来说，毫不为过。我是一周前才听人说美国银行90%以上的按揭贷款都是固定利率的，当时我的感受是震惊的，我无法相信，这种极其不专业和不严谨的行为，竟然发生在美国整个银行业。银行管理层竟然如此愚蠢迟钝，美国监管竟然如此毫无作为，事先没有任何风险警示和监管干预。我查阅和求证了2天，发现真的是这样！即便美联储已经开始快速加息，他们依然没有做出应对，愚蠢和迟钝得令人难以置信。虽然很多小银行的死亡大概率难以避免，但本轮危机，完全不能跟2008年相比，对实体经济的影响远远小于2008年。就是银行自己的问题。区别于2008年居民部门资产价格暴跌，杠杆崩溃重创。本轮居民部门不仅没有变坏，反而是变好了。美国企业部门，总体并不依赖银行体系融资，有着发达的直接融资市场。因为银行危机，长短利率下行，企业的融资成本反而下降，大企业甚至是受益的。这也是大型科技公司占比高的标普500指数近期为什么如此坚挺的原因。会有一些依赖银行的小企业受到伤害，但这在美国整个经济中比重不大。区别于2008年，美国的系统重要性大银行位于风暴核心，本轮问题主要在区域银行。美国的银行业总资产大约20万亿美元，区域银行占比1/3，总资产表大约7万亿。美国总的负债（政府+企业+居民）合计近70万亿，区域银行占比仅1/10。只要处理平稳，并不会对实体经济造成特别大的打击。美国纳税人没有理由为这些愚蠢的区域银行管理层，股东买单。所以，本轮银行危机，对实体经济的影响有限，远小于2008年。但至于对金融市场的影响，不确定性则会高得多。毕竟仅美国区域银行就由7万亿美元的资产负债表。还有情况类似的欧洲银行。之前已经被合并的瑞士信贷，其资产负债表之前多年萎缩，构成其脆弱的基础，而另一家资产负债表多年萎缩的大银行，是德意志银行。（下图的摩根大通和汇丰，是用来衬托和对比他们的）我还没有来得及细致的研究德意志银行的资产负债表细项。但大方向来说，一家高杠杆的大型金融机构长期缩表，一般情况，只要遇到金融条件收紧，都是很危险的。而这些银行跟金融市场的联系广泛和复杂。各种隐秘的角落，都可能带来意想不到的冲击。所以，未来一段时间，金融市场上，还是要小心一些。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621668415,"gmtCreate":1672246132037,"gmtModify":1672246133091,"author":{"id":"3440540550401156","authorId":"3440540550401156","name":"KEINS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c84e27d76e3a3450fb952380b9db3e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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