Replying t_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

Replying to @取经:降息要等新主席上来，以及海峡解封，加息我觉得难，但市场很可能会先把预期拉到极致//@取经:老师未来还是降息嘛？还是转为加息？美股接下来会怎么走

黄金破4400白银上66,CPI前抢跑抢什么?

黄金期货周一大涨3.32%至4484美元/盎司,一举突破4400关口并刷新七周高位,白银涨4.70%至66.31美元,涨势比黄金更急。逻辑仍是上周非农留下的那条链:就业减少2.3万、时薪只增3.2%,9月加息押注被压下去,油价回落先缓和通胀担忧,收益率与美元预期同步下行,贵金属的主线已从避险彻底切到"实际利率回落"。周三的CPI是这条链的下一个验证点。当买盘在数据公布前就先抢跑,金银赌的是通胀降温还是政策转向?

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MabelReed
03-27
MabelReed
降息可能性大，美股短期震荡为主

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