Mediator
03-03 16:36
$恒生科技指数主连 2603(HTImain)$
维持结论，4600才能开始走震荡，而且不一定是中期底部，如果A美同时大幅回调，港股大概率还要再破4000。
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Lee3915
03-03 19:24
Lee3915
请教下亏了 20 个点了，现在是躺平好还是割了，闲置资金，但天天看跌头疼
Mediator
:
暂时能守在4600以上的话，短期博个反弹就可以清仓，至少要减仓，如果有效破位4600，同时外盘走弱，就必须清仓，下一个位置是4000了。
Lee3915
03-03 19:25
Lee3915
恒生科技目前亏 20 个点躺平，想买 2 倍做空恒科能这样操作吗
Lee3915
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Mediator
:
感谢🙏
Mediator
:
A和纳指同步走弱，那可以考虑这个位置做空恒科，如果没有共振行情，暂时不要
Rumimi
03-03 17:36
Rumimi
涨回6000点要多久
Mediator
回复
Rumimi
:
你也可以这样理解，而且目前几个主要中概指数的基本面，从宏观，到中微观，全面的预期崩坏，可以看我分析上证指数那张帖子。
Mediator
:
我的看法是这一轮所谓牛市，其实在2025上半年就应该结束了，但是主力不甘心，于是在下半年做了个资金面博弈，选择套一批人再走，现在属于加速回归熊市的阶段。
Rumimi
回复
Mediator
:
越早跑越好？
Mediator
:
基本面不支持，资金面我不是主力不清楚，去年的6700就是资金盘，有关注宏观数据就知道，25-26基本面远不如24-25，却在25-26拉出了最大涨幅。属于是股价和基本面的背离，加速看跌，也就有了今天的走势基础。
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