我是谁我在哪的个人主页 - 老虎社区

我是谁我在哪

我是谁我在哪

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IP属地：北京

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我是谁我在哪

2021-10-28

$老虎证券(TIGR)$就不能像老美一样搞场散户运动，把空头打爆么……

我是谁我在哪

2021-12-06

$老虎证券(TIGR)$总有感觉12点后睡着了，又要开始崩了….

我是谁我在哪

2022-08-26

$富途控股(FUTU)$利好昨晚就出尽了，今天盘前还往里冲，勇士啊，基本面没有变，中美还在较劲，资金在快速流出了，虽然想到了但是盘前没空一把，悔啊

我是谁我在哪

2022-11-04

$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$

我是谁我在哪

2022-06-30

$老虎证券(TIGR)$股价要起飞资金得跟上，现在成交量太低了，局势不明朗，还得看联储政策风向

我是谁我在哪

2022-06-21

$富途控股(FUTU)$获利占比又到100%了，都疯狂追高，又该跳水了……

我是谁我在哪

2022-07-01

$富途控股(FUTU)$成交量起不来，资金跟不上啥都没用，感觉最近还是先空仓，先看看再说，嘴炮鲍又该出来溜达了，哪天再跟毛子真干起来[捂脸]

我是谁我在哪

2022-06-07

$富途控股(FUTU)$大行情不好，富途也不能独善其身[捂脸] https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2241120043?lang=zh_CN&edition=full&invite=UPUPUP

我是谁我在哪

2022-11-14

$腾讯控股(00700)$

我是谁我在哪

2022-11-14

$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$

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tg-height=\"231\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>现在美联储看见高通胀，想也不想原因就去控制货币供给，似乎货币收缩以后，原油价格就会下降，食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来，全美汽油价格（白色）和美联储的隔夜利率（蓝色）放在下图，这两者有关系吗？看到汽油价格高就想到加息，就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样，美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9ca0e4b772cd6358b0c29737d2a48ba\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>美国原油不增产，俄乌战争打不停，原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息，那么美国经济只能硬着陆，不可避免。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前观察：CPI超预期爆表，美联储已经毫无办法？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前观察：CPI超预期爆表，美联储已经毫无办法？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 21:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>CPI数据继续爆表，美股盘前转跌，中概股盘前普遍上涨。</p><p><b>5月CPI毫无意外爆表</b></p><p>全球最关注的宏观数据出来，美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高，同比提高8.6%，超过分析师预期；核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外，下图是过去7年全美汽油价格（蓝色）和CPI曲线（白色），汽油价格涨到天上，CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨，人民币下跌破6.7，这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb7a1f2148b2a0da557f54ef86da4b5\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"293\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>抛开原油和食物价格高企之外，美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -&gt; +1.8%，衣服-0.8% -&gt; +0.7%。目前我想不出很好的理由来解释这个数据，但是美国消费变弱绝对是铁打不变的事实，二手车和衣服的价格只能往下走。</p><p>看到美国CPI和汽油/原油价格走势一致，让我们不得不问一个问题，美联储有办法能降低通货膨胀吗？或者说，加息缩表能够把原油价格打下去吗？答案非常明显，美联储没有任何办法。下图是过去一年的美国汽油价格，红圈是俄乌战争爆发的时候，俄乌战争开始后，美国全国汽油价格从$3.5涨到了$5，上涨幅度40%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c3bf05d9d12aa822d9336871d75d981\" tg-width=\"530\" tg-height=\"231\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>现在美联储看见高通胀，想也不想原因就去控制货币供给，似乎货币收缩以后，原油价格就会下降，食品价格就会下降。我把2004年以来，全美汽油价格（白色）和美联储的隔夜利率（蓝色）放在下图，这两者有关系吗？看到汽油价格高就想到加息，就好比看到手被割伤流血就送去化疗一样，美联储真的是没有一点思考能力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9ca0e4b772cd6358b0c29737d2a48ba\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>美国原油不增产，俄乌战争打不停，原油价格还将飞在天上。美联储如果继续头铁加息，那么美国经济只能硬着陆，不可避免。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193263764","content_text":"CPI数据继续爆表，美股盘前转跌，中概股盘前普遍上涨。5月CPI毫无意外爆表全球最关注的宏观数据出来，美国5月CPI创1981年以来新高，同比提高8.6%，超过分析师预期；核心CPI同比环比也超分析师预期。一点都不意外，下图是过去7年全美汽油价格（蓝色）和CPI曲线（白色），汽油价格涨到天上，CPI也跟到了天上。美元上涨，人民币下跌破6.7，这些是资产对美国高通胀的一级反应。抛开原油和食物价格高企之外，美国核心CPI的部分价格的走弱也转向了。比方说旧车价格环比从-0.4% -> +1.8%，衣服-0.8% -> 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