千祥云集xyq的个人主页 - 老虎社区

千祥云集xyq

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IP属地：甘肃

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千祥云集xyq

04-20

没有悬念。下降已成趋势。

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千祥云集xyq

04-03

最大的灰犀牛事件。

抱歉，原内容已删除

千祥云集xyq

03-27

有道理

抱歉，原内容已删除

千祥云集xyq

03-24

一般般

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千祥云集xyq

03-19

工业板块；对于大宗商品，开始转看空；开始看多债券市场；

千祥云集xyq

03-18

不一样

千祥云集xyq

02-28

希望的田野

@美股投资网:突发！马斯克Space X 下个月提交上市申请！市值1.75万亿

千祥云集xyq

02-27

迟到的正义

抱歉，原内容已删除

千祥云集xyq

02-25

rfcxdhhhhhjjjjnfffcb hhhdfjy

千祥云集xyq

02-24

机器人

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千祥云集xyq

02-24

任何关于技术栈落地与生态协同的更新，都会直接影响市场对未来利用率、毛利与单位经济模型的评估。

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千祥云集xyq

02-24

不错的变革

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千祥云集xyq

02-23

纯进口环境好吧看看加班

千祥云集xyq

02-23

胆小鬼

千祥云集xyq

02-23

跌跌不休

千祥云集xyq

02-20

$稀土概念(BK1513)$ 不错的变革

千祥云集xyq

02-20

60000

@大饼预言家:比特币跌破6万美元，本轮熊市会跌到多少？

千祥云集xyq

02-20

不会刚刚回家

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千祥云集xyq

02-20

疯狂动物城

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千祥云集xyq

02-20

换就换吧好好

抱歉，原内容已删除

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X 下个月提交上市申请！市值1.75万亿","htmlText":"本周五，生产者价格指数（PPI）公布，全线超预期上涨，创下近一年来的最快增速，重燃通胀忧虑。英国私募信贷巨头MFS破产、引爆恐慌。美股低开，最终标普、纳指跌幅收窄，但仍下挫。标普500收跌0.4%，全月累计跌近1%，创去年3月以来的最大单月跌幅。道指日内跌逾1%。 英伟达跌超4%，延续财报后疲软态势。甲骨文、苹果均跌超3%。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> OpenAI 开启“主权算力”时代 OpenAI 近期正式确认完成 1100 亿美元的融资，投后估值直接冲上 8400 亿美元，稳坐全球科技独角兽头把交椅 。这不只是一次融资，更是生成式 AI 从算法竞争转向“资源控制权”竞争的分水岭。 &nbsp;&nbsp; 在本轮融资中，亚马逊的入场最值得玩味。它承诺投资 500 亿美元，但玩了个“对赌”结构：首期 150 亿美元先到账，剩下的 350 亿美元则要看 OpenAI 能否达成特定条件，比如实现通用人工智能（AGI）的技术突破，或是启动 IPO 。对萨姆·奥特曼来说，这不仅是拿到了钱，更是通过引入亚马逊 摆脱了对微软的单一依赖。 &nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 技术逻辑上，OpenAI 正在从“对话框”升级为“虚拟员工”。双方联合开发的“有状态运行时环境”（SRE）是核心，它让 AI 能够记住数周前的对话背景，处理复杂的跨工具任务 。为此，OpenAI 承诺在 AWS 上消耗 2 吉瓦（GW）的 Tr","listText":"本周五，生产者价格指数（PPI）公布，全线超预期上涨，创下近一年来的最快增速，重燃通胀忧虑。英国私募信贷巨头MFS破产、引爆恐慌。美股低开，最终标普、纳指跌幅收窄，但仍下挫。标普500收跌0.4%，全月累计跌近1%，创去年3月以来的最大单月跌幅。道指日内跌逾1%。 英伟达跌超4%，延续财报后疲软态势。甲骨文、苹果均跌超3%。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> OpenAI 开启“主权算力”时代 OpenAI 近期正式确认完成 1100 亿美元的融资，投后估值直接冲上 8400 亿美元，稳坐全球科技独角兽头把交椅 。这不只是一次融资，更是生成式 AI 从算法竞争转向“资源控制权”竞争的分水岭。 &nbsp;&nbsp; 在本轮融资中，亚马逊的入场最值得玩味。它承诺投资 500 亿美元，但玩了个“对赌”结构：首期 150 亿美元先到账，剩下的 350 亿美元则要看 OpenAI 能否达成特定条件，比如实现通用人工智能（AGI）的技术突破，或是启动 IPO 。对萨姆·奥特曼来说，这不仅是拿到了钱，更是通过引入亚马逊 摆脱了对微软的单一依赖。 &nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 技术逻辑上，OpenAI 正在从“对话框”升级为“虚拟员工”。双方联合开发的“有状态运行时环境”（SRE）是核心，它让 AI 能够记住数周前的对话背景，处理复杂的跨工具任务 。为此，OpenAI 承诺在 AWS 上消耗 2 吉瓦（GW）的 Tr","text":"本周五，生产者价格指数（PPI）公布，全线超预期上涨，创下近一年来的最快增速，重燃通胀忧虑。英国私募信贷巨头MFS破产、引爆恐慌。美股低开，最终标普、纳指跌幅收窄，但仍下挫。标普500收跌0.4%，全月累计跌近1%，创去年3月以来的最大单月跌幅。道指日内跌逾1%。 英伟达跌超4%，延续财报后疲软态势。甲骨文、苹果均跌超3%。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ $甲骨文(ORCL)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ OpenAI 开启“主权算力”时代 OpenAI 近期正式确认完成 1100 亿美元的融资，投后估值直接冲上 8400 亿美元，稳坐全球科技独角兽头把交椅 。这不只是一次融资，更是生成式 AI 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不错的变革","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/534637047476824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":534544866784952,"gmtCreate":1771523237532,"gmtModify":1771523239749,"author":{"id":"4208673939477970","authorId":"4208673939477970","name":"千祥云集xyq","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4208673939477970","authorIdStr":"4208673939477970"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"60000","listText":"60000","text":"60000","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/534544866784952","repostId":"534159253607104","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":534159253607104,"gmtCreate":1771430859175,"gmtModify":1771513329945,"author":{"id":"3503916327458917","authorId":"3503916327458917","name":"大饼预言家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/338f7b98194d5d6225dd2e85ecefc027","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3503916327458917","authorIdStr":"3503916327458917"},"themes":[],"title":"比特币跌破6万美元，本轮熊市会跌到多少？","htmlText":"自从去年10月7日，大饼在12.6万见顶以来，币圈就进入熊市了。既然是熊市，这轮熊市会跌到多少？&nbsp; 我们可以通过2种方法进行估算。第1种方法，根据现在的走势，估算熊市跌幅的衰减程度。 大饼历史上每轮熊市的跌幅，都是越来越少的，呈现线性衰减的趋势。所以这轮熊市的跌幅，会小于上一轮的77.6%，但具体是多少呢，就要进行估算。 根据前3轮熊市的跌幅，用二次函数来进行回归，可以得到一个方程，y=-1.85x^2 + 2.75x + 86.0 y是熊市跌幅，x是熊市的次数，我们把4代入上面的式子，可以得到本轮熊市跌幅67.4%。 如果本轮熊市跌幅是67.4%，符合数学规律吗？我们可以和前几轮熊市跌幅对比一下。 2018年下跌84.1%，相比于2014年的86.9%，衰减比例是84.1%÷86.9%=96.8% 2022年下跌77.6%，相比于2018年的84.1%，衰减比例是77.6%÷84.1%=92.2% 观察前面3轮熊市的表现，每轮的跌幅在减少，同时衰减比例也在减少。 如果2026年下跌67.4%，相比于2022年的77.6%，衰减比例是67.4%÷77.6%=86.9%。&nbsp; 从数学上来说，是符合规律的。接着，我们从技术分析的角度看一下。 本轮熊市从12.6万跌到6万，跌幅52.5%。这轮熊市经历了3个阶段，首先是从12.6万跌到8万，随后在8万企稳，横盘了2个月，接着从8万跌到6万。 这3段行情，几乎就是重演了2022年的熊市。&nbsp; 2022年从6.9万跌到2.6万的这个过程，同样经历了先下跌，后盘整，继续下跌。 只不过2026年从12.6万跌到6万，跌幅52.5%。刻舟求剑对照2022年从6.9万跌到2.6万，跌幅61.5%。 衰减比例是52.5%÷61.5%=85.4%，和前面二次函数测算的结果，刚好对上了。 所以，预计本轮熊市底部是12620","listText":"自从去年10月7日，大饼在12.6万见顶以来，币圈就进入熊市了。既然是熊市，这轮熊市会跌到多少？&nbsp; 我们可以通过2种方法进行估算。第1种方法，根据现在的走势，估算熊市跌幅的衰减程度。 大饼历史上每轮熊市的跌幅，都是越来越少的，呈现线性衰减的趋势。所以这轮熊市的跌幅，会小于上一轮的77.6%，但具体是多少呢，就要进行估算。 根据前3轮熊市的跌幅，用二次函数来进行回归，可以得到一个方程，y=-1.85x^2 + 2.75x + 86.0 y是熊市跌幅，x是熊市的次数，我们把4代入上面的式子，可以得到本轮熊市跌幅67.4%。 如果本轮熊市跌幅是67.4%，符合数学规律吗？我们可以和前几轮熊市跌幅对比一下。 2018年下跌84.1%，相比于2014年的86.9%，衰减比例是84.1%÷86.9%=96.8% 2022年下跌77.6%，相比于2018年的84.1%，衰减比例是77.6%÷84.1%=92.2% 观察前面3轮熊市的表现，每轮的跌幅在减少，同时衰减比例也在减少。 如果2026年下跌67.4%，相比于2022年的77.6%，衰减比例是67.4%÷77.6%=86.9%。&nbsp; 从数学上来说，是符合规律的。接着，我们从技术分析的角度看一下。 本轮熊市从12.6万跌到6万，跌幅52.5%。这轮熊市经历了3个阶段，首先是从12.6万跌到8万，随后在8万企稳，横盘了2个月，接着从8万跌到6万。 这3段行情，几乎就是重演了2022年的熊市。&nbsp; 2022年从6.9万跌到2.6万的这个过程，同样经历了先下跌，后盘整，继续下跌。 只不过2026年从12.6万跌到6万，跌幅52.5%。刻舟求剑对照2022年从6.9万跌到2.6万，跌幅61.5%。 衰减比例是52.5%÷61.5%=85.4%，和前面二次函数测算的结果，刚好对上了。 所以，预计本轮熊市底部是12620","text":"自从去年10月7日，大饼在12.6万见顶以来，币圈就进入熊市了。既然是熊市，这轮熊市会跌到多少？ 我们可以通过2种方法进行估算。第1种方法，根据现在的走势，估算熊市跌幅的衰减程度。 大饼历史上每轮熊市的跌幅，都是越来越少的，呈现线性衰减的趋势。所以这轮熊市的跌幅，会小于上一轮的77.6%，但具体是多少呢，就要进行估算。 根据前3轮熊市的跌幅，用二次函数来进行回归，可以得到一个方程，y=-1.85x^2 + 2.75x + 86.0 y是熊市跌幅，x是熊市的次数，我们把4代入上面的式子，可以得到本轮熊市跌幅67.4%。 如果本轮熊市跌幅是67.4%，符合数学规律吗？我们可以和前几轮熊市跌幅对比一下。 2018年下跌84.1%，相比于2014年的86.9%，衰减比例是84.1%÷86.9%=96.8% 2022年下跌77.6%，相比于2018年的84.1%，衰减比例是77.6%÷84.1%=92.2% 观察前面3轮熊市的表现，每轮的跌幅在减少，同时衰减比例也在减少。 如果2026年下跌67.4%，相比于2022年的77.6%，衰减比例是67.4%÷77.6%=86.9%。 从数学上来说，是符合规律的。接着，我们从技术分析的角度看一下。 本轮熊市从12.6万跌到6万，跌幅52.5%。这轮熊市经历了3个阶段，首先是从12.6万跌到8万，随后在8万企稳，横盘了2个月，接着从8万跌到6万。 这3段行情，几乎就是重演了2022年的熊市。 2022年从6.9万跌到2.6万的这个过程，同样经历了先下跌，后盘整，继续下跌。 只不过2026年从12.6万跌到6万，跌幅52.5%。刻舟求剑对照2022年从6.9万跌到2.6万，跌幅61.5%。 衰减比例是52.5%÷61.5%=85.4%，和前面二次函数测算的结果，刚好对上了。 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