都是夜归的个人主页 - 老虎社区

都是夜归

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IP属地：江苏

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0勋章

09-08

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 坚决做空

09-02

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 真是死垃圾，别人涨，他跌，别人跌，他跌的更多

09-02

$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 这个公司最多也就是几百亿，

08-31

还调级，已经跌到姥姥家l

President Capital Adjusts Price Target on Marvell Technology to $340 From $380, Keeps Buy Rating<blockquote>President Capital 将 Marvell Technology 的目标价从 380 美元调整至 340 美元，维持买入评级</blockquote>

08-11

按照这个估值，最低八万亿

大摩：市场严重低估SpaceX AI业务的价值，牛市情景股价看至600美元

06-13

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 这个公司的市值最多5000万，两个月以后见，就知道了

04-22

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 别人小跌它大跌，别人大涨，他不涨

04-02

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 他要是不增发，都不能跌这么厉害，这屁事没有，有增发五千多万

03-25

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 垃圾中的垃圾，

02-17

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 老贾每次有好消息宣布，都得跌百分之五十

02-12

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 老贾个鳖孙，一点不带反弹的，听他的说下周二有重大消息，进了点，妈的，都是坑。他每次宣布有好消息，都是应声下跌

01-21

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$ 还能回来吗？

01-20

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$ 人家涨了，他暴跌，人家跌了，他不涨，半导体今天跌这么多，他也能下跌。这到底是个什么玩意

01-20

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$ 拉起来了，爆发吧，从新回到50

01-14

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$ 这个股票我看了，主打一个别人涨他就开始跌，然后别人跌了他还不涨，在跌就没有了，人家还都能涨一点。他是天天跌

01-13

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$ 喋喋不休了

01-06

无妄之灾，妈的

Mobix Labs公司公布超额认购的600万美元普通股公开发行定价，加速推进积极增长战略

01-06

是好事还是坏事，又增发了吗

Mobix Labs公司公布超额认购的600万美元普通股公开发行定价，加速推进积极增长战略

01-02

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$ 谁能告诉我，这个怎么会从几十跌到几块呢

2025-12-30

$三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXS)$

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$&nbsp;</a> 真是死垃圾，别人涨，他跌，别人跌，他跌的更多","text":"$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 真是死垃圾，别人涨，他跌，别人跌，他跌的更多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603494614229024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561649565466203","authorId":"3561649565466203","name":"Huan娱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1f0e6d86680b202c05ed56a4c11e9bb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561649565466203","authorIdStr":"3561649565466203"},"content":"75块你不买，300块你追进去。怪谁垃圾呢？！自己策略最垃圾了 不是么？‌[开心] ‌‌[微笑] ‌","text":"75块你不买，300块你追进去。怪谁垃圾呢？！自己策略最垃圾了 不是么？‌[开心] ‌‌[微笑] ‌","html":"75块你不买，300块你追进去。怪谁垃圾呢？！自己策略最垃圾了 不是么？‌[开心] ‌‌[微笑] ‌"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603271624991656,"gmtCreate":1788320099705,"gmtModify":1788320101633,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$&nbsp;</a> 这个公司最多也就是几百亿，","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$&nbsp;</a> 这个公司最多也就是几百亿，","text":"$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ 这个公司最多也就是几百亿，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603271624991656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602702354027440,"gmtCreate":1788181121985,"gmtModify":1788181124157,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"还调级，已经跌到姥姥家l","listText":"还调级，已经跌到姥姥家l","text":"还调级，已经跌到姥姥家l","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602702354027440","repostId":"2663079715","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2663079715","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The most recognized names in North America, Europe and Asia rely on MT Newswires to power their applications. Better news, better service, better price.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"MT Newswires Live","id":"1092851196","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e"},"pubTimestamp":1788169648,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2663079715?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-31 17:47","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"President Capital Adjusts Price Target on Marvell Technology to $340 From $380, Keeps Buy Rating<blockquote>President Capital 将 Marvell Technology 的目标价从 380 美元调整至 340 美元，维持买入评级</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2663079715","media":"MT Newswires Live","summary":"Marvell Technology (MRVL) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $292.41, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major","content":"<p><html><body> Marvell Technology (MRVL) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $292.41, according to analysts polled by FactSet.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>FactSet 调查的分析师表示，Marvell Technology (MRVL) 的平均评级为买入，平均目标价为 292.41 美元。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)</p><p><blockquote>（MT Newswires 涵盖北美、亚洲和欧洲主要银行和研究公司的股票、大宗商品和经济研究。研究提供商可以在这里联系我们：https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us）</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"mtnewswires_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>President Capital Adjusts Price Target on Marvell Technology to $340 From $380, Keeps Buy Rating<blockquote>President Capital 将 Marvell Technology 的目标价从 380 美元调整至 340 美元，维持买入评级</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPresident Capital Adjusts Price Target on Marvell Technology to $340 From $380, Keeps Buy Rating<blockquote>President Capital 将 Marvell Technology 的目标价从 380 美元调整至 340 美元，维持买入评级</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092851196\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">MT Newswires Live </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2026-08-31 17:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body> Marvell Technology (MRVL) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $292.41, according to analysts polled by FactSet.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>FactSet 调查的分析师表示，Marvell Technology (MRVL) 的平均评级为买入，平均目标价为 292.41 美元。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)</p><p><blockquote>（MT Newswires 涵盖北美、亚洲和欧洲主要银行和研究公司的股票、大宗商品和经济研究。研究提供商可以在这里联系我们：https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us）</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FAI":"First Trust Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence ETF","IE00BN8TJ469.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC","WUGI":"AXS Esoterica NextG Economy ETF","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","BK4605":"半导体精选","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","SMHX":"VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF","LU1169590202.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX)  U.S. SELECT EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU2089985449.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR OPPORTUNITIES \"AA\" (USD) ACC","AIFD":"TCW Artificial Intelligence ETF","LU2931357623.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR OPPORTUNITIES \"AA\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0476273544.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"BU\" (USD) ACC","LU2272731782.SGD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis H2-SGD","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - 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Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRVU":0.6,"AIS":0.6,"MRVL":1.96,"GTEK":0.6,"MRVX":0.6,"AIFD":0.6,"XNTK":0.6,"WUGI":0.6,"QQQA":0.6,"MVLL":0.6,"DTCR":0.6,"FTXL":0.6,"SMHX":0.6,"FAI":0.6,"SOXY":0.6,"FDTX":0.6,"ARTY":0.6,"FXL":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":595632344913224,"gmtCreate":1786436275997,"gmtModify":1786436277918,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"按照这个估值，最低八万亿","listText":"按照这个估值，最低八万亿","text":"按照这个估值，最低八万亿","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/595632344913224","repostId":"2658982019","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2658982019","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1786437043,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2658982019?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-11 16:30","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"大摩：市场严重低估SpaceX AI业务的价值，牛市情景股价看至600美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2658982019","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"大摩认为，市场对SpaceX AI业务定价极为保守，剥离太空业务后，AI业务隐含估值仅约12美元/股。收购Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键布局，依托算力、数据与生态协同优势，Cursor ARR预计2030年达330亿美元。维持300美元基准目标价，牛市情景看至600美元，较当前股价潜在涨幅350%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>大摩认为，市场对SpaceX AI业务定价极为保守，剥离太空业务后，AI业务隐含估值仅约12美元/股。收购Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键布局，依托算力、数据与生态协同优势，Cursor ARR预计2030年达330亿美元。维持300美元基准目标价，牛市情景看至600美元，较当前股价潜在涨幅350%。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根士丹利认为，SpaceX收购AI编程工具Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键一步，当前股价对其AI业务的隐含估值极度保守，上行空间显著。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩在8月10日的研报中称，SpaceX在经历近期逾25%的涨幅后，仍具备超过100%的上行空间至300美元基准目标价，<strong>牛市情景下更可看至600美元</strong>，较当前140美元股价意味着近350%的潜在涨幅。报告核心论点在于：<strong>市场目前对SpaceX AI业务的定价极为保守，将其视为一家普通的新兴云服务商，而非一个正在成形的端到端AI平台。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/171e97edee9d7acaae595ebf8e71ca98\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"545\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩分析师Adam Jonas等人指出，若将SpaceX太空与连接业务的价值（约127美元/股）从当前股价中剥离，市场对其AI业务（含消费者及企业AI）的隐含估值仅约12美元/股，对应2028年EV/Sales倍数略高于1倍，甚至低于同类新兴云服务商的估值水平。报告认为，<strong>随着Cursor/Grok相关进展持续披露，这一估值折价有望逐步收窄，形成上行偏斜的催化剂路径。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告预测，Cursor的年度经常性收入（ARR）将从2026年6月初报告的约40亿美元，增长至2026年底约80亿美元、2027年约170亿美元，并于2030年达到约330亿美元。<strong>Cursor将于2026年为SpaceX贡献约25亿美元收入，2027年贡献约130亿美元，约占SpaceX AI总收入的19%。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5009321fe0175395713b5bedb40bd7f1\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"628\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1827132880\" style=\"text-align: left;\">SpaceX为何斥资600亿美元收购Cursor</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">今年6月16日，SpaceX宣布以600亿美元全股票对价收购Anysphere，交易预计于2026年三季度完成。此前双方已于2026年4月开始合作，SpaceX和xAI向Cursor开放Colossus数据中心用于模型训练，Cursor称其发展路线图此前一直受制于算力瓶颈。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩梳理了SpaceX收购Cursor的三重战略逻辑：</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其一，算力杠杆。</strong>Cursor拥有开发者工作流，但在众多代理编程任务上仍依赖第三方前沿模型。SpaceX的Colossus集群可帮助Cursor扩展自研模型能力，降低对外部AI实验室的依赖，并通过垂直整合压缩每token成本。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其二，专有编程数据与反馈闭环。</strong>Cursor积累了覆盖50,000家企业、64%财富500强的真实开发者使用数据，这一数据资产可为SpaceX和xAI在企业AI竞争中提供更强的模型迭代反馈。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其三，构建更广泛企业生态的基础产品。</strong>大摩认为，收购Cursor仅仅是SpaceX构建更宏大企业级AI生态的一环：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在合并后的SpaceX企业平台中，Cursor提供应用层和工作流，Grok提供核心智能层，X平台提供实时数据，SpaceXAI提供算力基础设施，Starlink提供全球连接，而Tesla则提供了通向物理AI的路径。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525fb39bb75b0fce84e5f86372b3cec7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"641\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告特别指出，<strong>其330亿美元的2030年Cursor ARR预测并未假设上述协同效应的实现。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cursor是Anysphere公司的旗舰产品，该平台于2023年3月正式推出，基于微软开源的Visual Studio Code构建，提供AI原生的代码编写、编辑、调试与审查功能。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cursor并非纯粹的模型公司，其核心价值在于工作流界面层（即&#34;harness&#34;），<strong>可调用包括Grok、Gemini及自研Composer系列在内的多种大语言模型。</strong>截至目前，Cursor已服务逾50,000家企业，覆盖64%的《财富》500强，客户包括三星、Adobe、Figma、Stripe、英伟达等。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在收入增长轨迹上，<strong>Cursor的ARR爬坡速度堪称软件史上最快之一：</strong>2025年1月突破1亿美元，2025年6月达5亿美元，2025年11月达10亿美元，2026年2月达20亿美元，2026年6月达约40亿美元，一年内增长约8倍。<strong>企业B2B客户贡献约75%的ARR，是主要收入来源。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf2bd760443af37003d73a232181eb4\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"776\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1838829909\" style=\"text-align: left;\">模型战略：押注成本效率而非纯粹性能</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩认为，<strong>Cursor与SpaceXAI的模型策略清晰指向成本与效率的帕累托前沿，而非追求原始性能排行榜的顶端。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从产品架构看，Cursor分为两层：<strong>模型无关的工作流界面层（harness），以及自研的Fusion和Composer系列模型。</strong></p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Grok 4.5是双方联合训练的首款模型，在Artificial Analysis编程代理指数中得分64分（满分约67分），每任务成本约2.59美元，而顶级前沿模型每任务成本高达7至8美元以上。Cursor自研的Composer 2和Composer 2.5每任务成本仅0.04至0.08美元，token消耗量约为最重量级前沿模型的八分之一。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110556c376c24417d2e694fff9f22504\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"734\"/></p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_422147517\" style=\"text-align: left;\">ARR与毛利率：从深度亏损到低60%区间</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩构建了Cursor的自下而上收入与毛利率模型，季度细化至2027年，年度延伸至2030年。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>收入驱动因素方面</strong>，企业端贡献约四分之三至五分之四的ARR。企业客户数量预计从2026年二季度的50,000家增长至2030年的138,000家，付费席位从2026年底的330万增至2030年的700万，对应全球专业开发者渗透率约15.8%。个人付费用户预计从2026年底的约360万增至2030年的约620万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/666dd4d28f033f39be2ff606cc280e35\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"695\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>毛利率路径方面</strong>，Cursor历史上长期处于毛利率为负的状态，主要原因是订阅收入中包含的使用量须向第三方AI实验室支付token费用，利差极薄。据报道，2026年1月当季毛利率约为-23%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">随着Composer和Grok承接更多推理工作量（占比从2026年的约33%升至2030年的约72%），以及廉价第三方模型使用比例提升，大摩预计<strong>毛利率将于2026年三季度转正，并于2030年达到约低60%区间。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>算力占用方面</strong>，Cursor预计将占用SpaceXAI总算力的7%至10%，但其每瓦收入强度约为SpaceXAI平均工作负载的两倍，反映出订阅制高毛利结构相对于租赁算力和消费者Grok推理的优势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80cf75f78bc96d55bd178f0183f72d84\" tg-width=\"835\" tg-height=\"709\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_912616835\" style=\"text-align: left;\">企业AI支出：渗透率仍低，增长空间巨大</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>企业端AI支出的加速为Cursor提供了广阔的市场空间。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩引用Ramp AI指数数据指出，企业AI支出正在加速扩张，但整体渗透率仍处于早期阶段。截至2026年6月，美国企业员工月均AI支出中位数为约11美元，同比增长167%；头部10%企业达516美元，头部1%超过4,880美元，同比均增长约240%至250%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2045487bcc7f78ba0f63db89684d080c\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"685\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，目前仍有近半数美国企业未为任何AI工具付费，大型企业付费比例约65%，中型企业约61%，小型企业仅约49%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>编程AI的采用同样呈现类似特征。</strong>据Jellyfish数据，截至2026年6月，中位工程师已持有AI编程工具许可证，头部四分之一企业的许可证覆盖率接近90%；但中位企业仅有约28%的交付代码借助AI完成，一年前这一比例接近零。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩认为，工具普及与实际生产使用之间的差距正在快速收窄，编程AI支出曲线仍有较长的上行空间。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大摩：市场严重低估SpaceX AI业务的价值，牛市情景股价看至600美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大摩：市场严重低估SpaceX AI业务的价值，牛市情景股价看至600美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-11 16:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>大摩认为，市场对SpaceX AI业务定价极为保守，剥离太空业务后，AI业务隐含估值仅约12美元/股。收购Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键布局，依托算力、数据与生态协同优势，Cursor ARR预计2030年达330亿美元。维持300美元基准目标价，牛市情景看至600美元，较当前股价潜在涨幅350%。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根士丹利认为，SpaceX收购AI编程工具Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键一步，当前股价对其AI业务的隐含估值极度保守，上行空间显著。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩在8月10日的研报中称，SpaceX在经历近期逾25%的涨幅后，仍具备超过100%的上行空间至300美元基准目标价，<strong>牛市情景下更可看至600美元</strong>，较当前140美元股价意味着近350%的潜在涨幅。报告核心论点在于：<strong>市场目前对SpaceX AI业务的定价极为保守，将其视为一家普通的新兴云服务商，而非一个正在成形的端到端AI平台。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/171e97edee9d7acaae595ebf8e71ca98\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"545\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩分析师Adam Jonas等人指出，若将SpaceX太空与连接业务的价值（约127美元/股）从当前股价中剥离，市场对其AI业务（含消费者及企业AI）的隐含估值仅约12美元/股，对应2028年EV/Sales倍数略高于1倍，甚至低于同类新兴云服务商的估值水平。报告认为，<strong>随着Cursor/Grok相关进展持续披露，这一估值折价有望逐步收窄，形成上行偏斜的催化剂路径。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告预测，Cursor的年度经常性收入（ARR）将从2026年6月初报告的约40亿美元，增长至2026年底约80亿美元、2027年约170亿美元，并于2030年达到约330亿美元。<strong>Cursor将于2026年为SpaceX贡献约25亿美元收入，2027年贡献约130亿美元，约占SpaceX AI总收入的19%。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5009321fe0175395713b5bedb40bd7f1\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"628\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1827132880\" style=\"text-align: left;\">SpaceX为何斥资600亿美元收购Cursor</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">今年6月16日，SpaceX宣布以600亿美元全股票对价收购Anysphere，交易预计于2026年三季度完成。此前双方已于2026年4月开始合作，SpaceX和xAI向Cursor开放Colossus数据中心用于模型训练，Cursor称其发展路线图此前一直受制于算力瓶颈。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩梳理了SpaceX收购Cursor的三重战略逻辑：</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其一，算力杠杆。</strong>Cursor拥有开发者工作流，但在众多代理编程任务上仍依赖第三方前沿模型。SpaceX的Colossus集群可帮助Cursor扩展自研模型能力，降低对外部AI实验室的依赖，并通过垂直整合压缩每token成本。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其二，专有编程数据与反馈闭环。</strong>Cursor积累了覆盖50,000家企业、64%财富500强的真实开发者使用数据，这一数据资产可为SpaceX和xAI在企业AI竞争中提供更强的模型迭代反馈。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其三，构建更广泛企业生态的基础产品。</strong>大摩认为，收购Cursor仅仅是SpaceX构建更宏大企业级AI生态的一环：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在合并后的SpaceX企业平台中，Cursor提供应用层和工作流，Grok提供核心智能层，X平台提供实时数据，SpaceXAI提供算力基础设施，Starlink提供全球连接，而Tesla则提供了通向物理AI的路径。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525fb39bb75b0fce84e5f86372b3cec7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"641\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告特别指出，<strong>其330亿美元的2030年Cursor ARR预测并未假设上述协同效应的实现。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cursor是Anysphere公司的旗舰产品，该平台于2023年3月正式推出，基于微软开源的Visual Studio Code构建，提供AI原生的代码编写、编辑、调试与审查功能。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cursor并非纯粹的模型公司，其核心价值在于工作流界面层（即&#34;harness&#34;），<strong>可调用包括Grok、Gemini及自研Composer系列在内的多种大语言模型。</strong>截至目前，Cursor已服务逾50,000家企业，覆盖64%的《财富》500强，客户包括三星、Adobe、Figma、Stripe、英伟达等。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在收入增长轨迹上，<strong>Cursor的ARR爬坡速度堪称软件史上最快之一：</strong>2025年1月突破1亿美元，2025年6月达5亿美元，2025年11月达10亿美元，2026年2月达20亿美元，2026年6月达约40亿美元，一年内增长约8倍。<strong>企业B2B客户贡献约75%的ARR，是主要收入来源。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf2bd760443af37003d73a232181eb4\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"776\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1838829909\" style=\"text-align: left;\">模型战略：押注成本效率而非纯粹性能</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩认为，<strong>Cursor与SpaceXAI的模型策略清晰指向成本与效率的帕累托前沿，而非追求原始性能排行榜的顶端。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从产品架构看，Cursor分为两层：<strong>模型无关的工作流界面层（harness），以及自研的Fusion和Composer系列模型。</strong></p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Grok 4.5是双方联合训练的首款模型，在Artificial Analysis编程代理指数中得分64分（满分约67分），每任务成本约2.59美元，而顶级前沿模型每任务成本高达7至8美元以上。Cursor自研的Composer 2和Composer 2.5每任务成本仅0.04至0.08美元，token消耗量约为最重量级前沿模型的八分之一。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110556c376c24417d2e694fff9f22504\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"734\"/></p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_422147517\" style=\"text-align: left;\">ARR与毛利率：从深度亏损到低60%区间</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩构建了Cursor的自下而上收入与毛利率模型，季度细化至2027年，年度延伸至2030年。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>收入驱动因素方面</strong>，企业端贡献约四分之三至五分之四的ARR。企业客户数量预计从2026年二季度的50,000家增长至2030年的138,000家，付费席位从2026年底的330万增至2030年的700万，对应全球专业开发者渗透率约15.8%。个人付费用户预计从2026年底的约360万增至2030年的约620万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/666dd4d28f033f39be2ff606cc280e35\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"695\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>毛利率路径方面</strong>，Cursor历史上长期处于毛利率为负的状态，主要原因是订阅收入中包含的使用量须向第三方AI实验室支付token费用，利差极薄。据报道，2026年1月当季毛利率约为-23%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">随着Composer和Grok承接更多推理工作量（占比从2026年的约33%升至2030年的约72%），以及廉价第三方模型使用比例提升，大摩预计<strong>毛利率将于2026年三季度转正，并于2030年达到约低60%区间。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>算力占用方面</strong>，Cursor预计将占用SpaceXAI总算力的7%至10%，但其每瓦收入强度约为SpaceXAI平均工作负载的两倍，反映出订阅制高毛利结构相对于租赁算力和消费者Grok推理的优势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80cf75f78bc96d55bd178f0183f72d84\" tg-width=\"835\" tg-height=\"709\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_912616835\" style=\"text-align: left;\">企业AI支出：渗透率仍低，增长空间巨大</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>企业端AI支出的加速为Cursor提供了广阔的市场空间。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩引用Ramp AI指数数据指出，企业AI支出正在加速扩张，但整体渗透率仍处于早期阶段。截至2026年6月，美国企业员工月均AI支出中位数为约11美元，同比增长167%；头部10%企业达516美元，头部1%超过4,880美元，同比均增长约240%至250%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2045487bcc7f78ba0f63db89684d080c\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"685\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，目前仍有近半数美国企业未为任何AI工具付费，大型企业付费比例约65%，中型企业约61%，小型企业仅约49%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>编程AI的采用同样呈现类似特征。</strong>据Jellyfish数据，截至2026年6月，中位工程师已持有AI编程工具许可证，头部四分之一企业的许可证覆盖率接近90%；但中位企业仅有约28%的交付代码借助AI完成，一年前这一比例接近零。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">大摩认为，工具普及与实际生产使用之间的差距正在快速收窄，编程AI支出曲线仍有较长的上行空间。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f16a7a67d0d2e6f1e72c43b8fe10d226","relate_stocks":{"DXYZ":"Destiny Tech100 Inc","BK4089":"非传统电信运营商","SPAL":"2倍做多Space X ETF-GraniteShares","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","SPCF":"2倍做多SpaceX ETF-ProShares","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LOFD":"Direxion Daily SpaceX Bear 2X ETF","SPCG":"2倍做空SpaceX ETF-Tradr","AIPO":"Defiance AI and Power Infrastructure ETF","SPCH":"2倍做多SpaceX ETF-Leverage Shares","LOFF":"2倍做多SpaceX ETF-Direxion","UFO":"Procure Space ETF","QTOC":"Innovator Growth Accelerated Plus ETF - October","SPAX":"2倍做多SPACEX ETF-T-REX","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","UDN":"做空美元指数-PowerShares","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","SPCX":"SPAC and New Issue ETF","ORBX":"Global X Space Tech ETF","VTHR":"Vanguard Russell 3000 ETF","SPCM":"2倍做多SpaceX ETF-Tradr","ARTY":"ISHARES FUTURE AI & TECH ETF","SPCQ":"2倍做空SpaceX ETF-Defiance","ELOL":"Leverage Shares 100% TSLA and 100% SPCX Daily ETF","WARP":"VanEck Space ETF","BK4615":"SpaceX概念","AGIX":"通用人工智能 ETF-AGIX","SPCU":"2倍做多SpaceX ETF-Defiance","WSPC":"WisdomTree Space Economy UCITS ETF","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","SSPC":"2倍做空SpaceX ETF-Leverage Shares","SNK":"2倍做空SpaceX ETF-GraniteShares","CHAT":"ROUNDHILL GENERATIVE AI & TECHNOLOGY ETF","XOVR":"ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF","MARS":"Roundhill Space & Technology ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3779174","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2658982019","content_text":"大摩认为，市场对SpaceX AI业务定价极为保守，剥离太空业务后，AI业务隐含估值仅约12美元/股。收购Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键布局，依托算力、数据与生态协同优势，Cursor ARR预计2030年达330亿美元。维持300美元基准目标价，牛市情景看至600美元，较当前股价潜在涨幅350%。摩根士丹利认为，SpaceX收购AI编程工具Cursor是构建端到端企业AI平台的关键一步，当前股价对其AI业务的隐含估值极度保守，上行空间显著。大摩在8月10日的研报中称，SpaceX在经历近期逾25%的涨幅后，仍具备超过100%的上行空间至300美元基准目标价，牛市情景下更可看至600美元，较当前140美元股价意味着近350%的潜在涨幅。报告核心论点在于：市场目前对SpaceX AI业务的定价极为保守，将其视为一家普通的新兴云服务商，而非一个正在成形的端到端AI平台。大摩分析师Adam Jonas等人指出，若将SpaceX太空与连接业务的价值（约127美元/股）从当前股价中剥离，市场对其AI业务（含消费者及企业AI）的隐含估值仅约12美元/股，对应2028年EV/Sales倍数略高于1倍，甚至低于同类新兴云服务商的估值水平。报告认为，随着Cursor/Grok相关进展持续披露，这一估值折价有望逐步收窄，形成上行偏斜的催化剂路径。报告预测，Cursor的年度经常性收入（ARR）将从2026年6月初报告的约40亿美元，增长至2026年底约80亿美元、2027年约170亿美元，并于2030年达到约330亿美元。Cursor将于2026年为SpaceX贡献约25亿美元收入，2027年贡献约130亿美元，约占SpaceX AI总收入的19%。SpaceX为何斥资600亿美元收购Cursor今年6月16日，SpaceX宣布以600亿美元全股票对价收购Anysphere，交易预计于2026年三季度完成。此前双方已于2026年4月开始合作，SpaceX和xAI向Cursor开放Colossus数据中心用于模型训练，Cursor称其发展路线图此前一直受制于算力瓶颈。大摩梳理了SpaceX收购Cursor的三重战略逻辑：其一，算力杠杆。Cursor拥有开发者工作流，但在众多代理编程任务上仍依赖第三方前沿模型。SpaceX的Colossus集群可帮助Cursor扩展自研模型能力，降低对外部AI实验室的依赖，并通过垂直整合压缩每token成本。其二，专有编程数据与反馈闭环。Cursor积累了覆盖50,000家企业、64%财富500强的真实开发者使用数据，这一数据资产可为SpaceX和xAI在企业AI竞争中提供更强的模型迭代反馈。其三，构建更广泛企业生态的基础产品。大摩认为，收购Cursor仅仅是SpaceX构建更宏大企业级AI生态的一环：在合并后的SpaceX企业平台中，Cursor提供应用层和工作流，Grok提供核心智能层，X平台提供实时数据，SpaceXAI提供算力基础设施，Starlink提供全球连接，而Tesla则提供了通向物理AI的路径。报告特别指出，其330亿美元的2030年Cursor ARR预测并未假设上述协同效应的实现。Cursor是Anysphere公司的旗舰产品，该平台于2023年3月正式推出，基于微软开源的Visual Studio Code构建，提供AI原生的代码编写、编辑、调试与审查功能。Cursor并非纯粹的模型公司，其核心价值在于工作流界面层（即\"harness\"），可调用包括Grok、Gemini及自研Composer系列在内的多种大语言模型。截至目前，Cursor已服务逾50,000家企业，覆盖64%的《财富》500强，客户包括三星、Adobe、Figma、Stripe、英伟达等。在收入增长轨迹上，Cursor的ARR爬坡速度堪称软件史上最快之一：2025年1月突破1亿美元，2025年6月达5亿美元，2025年11月达10亿美元，2026年2月达20亿美元，2026年6月达约40亿美元，一年内增长约8倍。企业B2B客户贡献约75%的ARR，是主要收入来源。模型战略：押注成本效率而非纯粹性能大摩认为，Cursor与SpaceXAI的模型策略清晰指向成本与效率的帕累托前沿，而非追求原始性能排行榜的顶端。从产品架构看，Cursor分为两层：模型无关的工作流界面层（harness），以及自研的Fusion和Composer系列模型。Grok 4.5是双方联合训练的首款模型，在Artificial Analysis编程代理指数中得分64分（满分约67分），每任务成本约2.59美元，而顶级前沿模型每任务成本高达7至8美元以上。Cursor自研的Composer 2和Composer 2.5每任务成本仅0.04至0.08美元，token消耗量约为最重量级前沿模型的八分之一。ARR与毛利率：从深度亏损到低60%区间大摩构建了Cursor的自下而上收入与毛利率模型，季度细化至2027年，年度延伸至2030年。收入驱动因素方面，企业端贡献约四分之三至五分之四的ARR。企业客户数量预计从2026年二季度的50,000家增长至2030年的138,000家，付费席位从2026年底的330万增至2030年的700万，对应全球专业开发者渗透率约15.8%。个人付费用户预计从2026年底的约360万增至2030年的约620万。毛利率路径方面，Cursor历史上长期处于毛利率为负的状态，主要原因是订阅收入中包含的使用量须向第三方AI实验室支付token费用，利差极薄。据报道，2026年1月当季毛利率约为-23%。随着Composer和Grok承接更多推理工作量（占比从2026年的约33%升至2030年的约72%），以及廉价第三方模型使用比例提升，大摩预计毛利率将于2026年三季度转正，并于2030年达到约低60%区间。算力占用方面，Cursor预计将占用SpaceXAI总算力的7%至10%，但其每瓦收入强度约为SpaceXAI平均工作负载的两倍，反映出订阅制高毛利结构相对于租赁算力和消费者Grok推理的优势。企业AI支出：渗透率仍低，增长空间巨大企业端AI支出的加速为Cursor提供了广阔的市场空间。大摩引用Ramp AI指数数据指出，企业AI支出正在加速扩张，但整体渗透率仍处于早期阶段。截至2026年6月，美国企业员工月均AI支出中位数为约11美元，同比增长167%；头部10%企业达516美元，头部1%超过4,880美元，同比均增长约240%至250%。然而，目前仍有近半数美国企业未为任何AI工具付费，大型企业付费比例约65%，中型企业约61%，小型企业仅约49%。编程AI的采用同样呈现类似特征。据Jellyfish数据，截至2026年6月，中位工程师已持有AI编程工具许可证，头部四分之一企业的许可证覆盖率接近90%；但中位企业仅有约28%的交付代码借助AI完成，一年前这一比例接近零。大摩认为，工具普及与实际生产使用之间的差距正在快速收窄，编程AI支出曲线仍有较长的上行空间。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGIX":1.5,"DXYZ":1.5,"LOFD":0.6,"SPCU":1.5,"WSPC":0.6,"SPCG":0.6,"ARTY":1.5,"SSPC":0.6,"AIPO":1.5,"SPCH":0.6,"SNK":1.5,"LOFF":0.6,"SPCQ":0.6,"UUP":1.5,"ELOL":0.6,"SPCF":0.6,"SPAX":0.6,"VTHR":1.5,"MARS":0.6,"SPCX":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"WARP":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"SPCM":0.6,"QTOC":1.5,"CHAT":1.5,"XOVR":1.5,"SPAL":1.5,"ORBX":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":574531844818168,"gmtCreate":1781280444445,"gmtModify":1781280630155,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCX\">$SpaceX(SPCX)$</a> 这个公司的市值最多5000万，两个月以后见，就知道了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCX\">$SpaceX(SPCX)$</a> 这个公司的市值最多5000万，两个月以后见，就知道了","text":"$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 这个公司的市值最多5000万，两个月以后见，就知道了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/574531844818168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3493637416600882","authorId":"3493637416600882","name":"夜半梦醒","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3493637416600882","authorIdStr":"3493637416600882"},"content":"哪来的智者 [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","text":"哪来的智者 [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","html":"哪来的智者 [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":556386982134488,"gmtCreate":1776865170351,"gmtModify":1776865172664,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 别人小跌它大跌，别人大涨，他不涨","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 别人小跌它大跌，别人大涨，他不涨","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 别人小跌它大跌，别人大涨，他不涨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/556386982134488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":549347289657344,"gmtCreate":1775139905441,"gmtModify":1775143290062,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFAI\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$</a> 他要是不增发，都不能跌这么厉害，这屁事没有，有增发五千多万","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFAI\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$</a> 他要是不增发，都不能跌这么厉害，这屁事没有，有增发五千多万","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 他要是不增发，都不能跌这么厉害，这屁事没有，有增发五千多万","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/549347289657344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4126449418816782","authorId":"4126449418816782","name":"prosper","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e719705ae9b2b721fb49fd5e007f0954","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4126449418816782","authorIdStr":"4126449418816782"},"content":"股票卖完了，不增发怎么搞钱，工资怎么发，不得印点票换钱过日子。","text":"股票卖完了，不增发怎么搞钱，工资怎么发，不得印点票换钱过日子。","html":"股票卖完了，不增发怎么搞钱，工资怎么发，不得印点票换钱过日子。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546504543182928,"gmtCreate":1774448708453,"gmtModify":1774450719558,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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老贾个鳖孙，一点不带反弹的，听他的说下周二有重大消息，进了点，妈的，都是坑。他每次宣布有好消息，都是应声下跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532019397735824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4103686842895780","authorId":"4103686842895780","name":"取好好听的名字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed43cfb9e8dc4586be87bda011d590ca","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4103686842895780","authorIdStr":"4103686842895780"},"content":"信老贾的人不多了，你算一个，老贾做产品的套路就是追热点，王炸的PPT，各种合作新闻，各种概念渲染图片...然后就是开始另一个热点，似乎忘记了大家在等着他做产品。","text":"信老贾的人不多了，你算一个，老贾做产品的套路就是追热点，王炸的PPT，各种合作新闻，各种概念渲染图片...然后就是开始另一个热点，似乎忘记了大家在等着他做产品。","html":"信老贾的人不多了，你算一个，老贾做产品的套路就是追热点，王炸的PPT，各种合作新闻，各种概念渲染图片...然后就是开始另一个热点，似乎忘记了大家在等着他做产品。"},{"author":{"id":"4205615691826220","authorId":"4205615691826220","name":"特沃","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c06e78de014ceb9751ba51defbe5fde5","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4205615691826220","authorIdStr":"4205615691826220"},"content":"他的重要消息就是有可能要跌，而且是大跌","text":"他的重要消息就是有可能要跌，而且是大跌","html":"他的重要消息就是有可能要跌，而且是大跌"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":524258487021912,"gmtCreate":1768964184371,"gmtModify":1768964186761,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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拉起来了，爆发吧，从新回到50","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/523779197341896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4197650880244850","authorId":"4197650880244850","name":"xulou","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4197650880244850","authorIdStr":"4197650880244850"},"content":"这玩意邪门，半导体跌两点几，他也长不了多少 [开心]","text":"这玩意邪门，半导体跌两点几，他也长不了多少 [开心]","html":"这玩意邪门，半导体跌两点几，他也长不了多少 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喋喋不休了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/521320083722880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":518891111235792,"gmtCreate":1767711692104,"gmtModify":1767714135970,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"无妄之灾，妈的","listText":"无妄之灾，妈的","text":"无妄之灾，妈的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/518891111235792","repostId":"1193178683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1193178683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球快讯第一时间播报","home_visible":1,"media_name":"美股速递","id":"1004306016","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3bf6d02ad1a6e9e7377eebbb162346a"},"pubTimestamp":1767704487,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193178683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-06 21:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Mobix Labs公司公布超额认购的600万美元普通股公开发行定价，加速推进积极增长战略","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193178683","media":"美股速递","summary":"Mobix Labs公司宣布完成600万美元普通股的公开发行定价，此次发行获得超额认购。公司计划利用此次融资加速其积极的业务扩张战略，进一步推动增长计划。","content":"<p>Mobix Labs公司宣布完成600万美元普通股的公开发行定价，此次发行获得超额认购。公司计划利用此次融资加速其积极的业务扩张战略，进一步推动增长计划。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Mobix Labs公司公布超额认购的600万美元普通股公开发行定价，加速推进积极增长战略</title>\n<style 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Labs公司宣布完成600万美元普通股的公开发行定价，此次发行获得超额认购。公司计划利用此次融资加速其积极的业务扩张战略，进一步推动增长计划。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4539":"次新股","MOBX":"Mobix Labs Inc.","BK4141":"半导体产品"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193178683","content_text":"Mobix Labs公司宣布完成600万美元普通股的公开发行定价，此次发行获得超额认购。公司计划利用此次融资加速其积极的业务扩张战略，进一步推动增长计划。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MOBX":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":518867037536624,"gmtCreate":1767705724734,"gmtModify":1767705727407,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"是好事还是坏事，又增发了吗","listText":"是好事还是坏事，又增发了吗","text":"是好事还是坏事，又增发了吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/518867037536624","repostId":"1193178683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1193178683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球快讯第一时间播报","home_visible":1,"media_name":"美股速递","id":"1004306016","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3bf6d02ad1a6e9e7377eebbb162346a"},"pubTimestamp":1767704487,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193178683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-06 21:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Mobix Labs公司公布超额认购的600万美元普通股公开发行定价，加速推进积极增长战略","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193178683","media":"美股速递","summary":"Mobix Labs公司宣布完成600万美元普通股的公开发行定价，此次发行获得超额认购。公司计划利用此次融资加速其积极的业务扩张战略，进一步推动增长计划。","content":"<p>Mobix Labs公司宣布完成600万美元普通股的公开发行定价，此次发行获得超额认购。公司计划利用此次融资加速其积极的业务扩张战略，进一步推动增长计划。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Mobix Labs公司公布超额认购的600万美元普通股公开发行定价，加速推进积极增长战略</title>\n<style 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拉起来了，爆发吧，从新回到50","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/523779197341896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4197650880244850","authorId":"4197650880244850","name":"xulou","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4197650880244850","authorIdStr":"4197650880244850"},"content":"这玩意邪门，半导体跌两点几，他也长不了多少 [开心]","text":"这玩意邪门，半导体跌两点几，他也长不了多少 [开心]","html":"这玩意邪门，半导体跌两点几，他也长不了多少 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最近应该没有故事可讲了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf372071b198749bf41bba5b7a29b1b","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511832055112160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":507388314136688,"gmtCreate":1764857712830,"gmtModify":1764857828427,"author":{"id":"4199758949217192","authorId":"4199758949217192","name":"都是夜归","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4199758949217192","authorIdStr":"4199758949217192"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 希望今天能有百分之三十的收入","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 希望今天能有百分之三十的收入","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 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