范蠡.的个人主页 - 老虎社区

范蠡.

范蠡.

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06-05

$恒生科技指数主连 2606(HTImain)$ 垃圾指数，坑比指数

03-22

$恒生科技指数主连 2603(HTImain)$

03-15

战略上石油⛽️价格涨上150不变，策略上IV期权达到历史极值，安全边际极低所以获利了结暂时观望。$美国原油ETF(USO)$ 因为有了更好的标的“恒生科技”“恒生互联网”$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$

$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$

06-07

$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 这波回调的如此猛烈，我还是那句话。我不相信美股就此走熊

2024-12-19

$Nukkleus(NUKK)$ 啊哈哈哈这是朕的江山[开心]

06-25

$CME比特币主连 2606(BTCmain)$ 比特币将去到38000-40000

03-10

$西方石油(OXY)$ 打伊朗🇮🇷让中东停产，拉高油价就是那群人的目的。美国资本就活了

2025-08-20

$谷歌(GOOG)$ 大家发现没有，自从美股涨到高位以后，各种利空消息就来了。25年四月份股市开始反转上涨的时候全是各种利好消息。

2024-12-20

$Nukkleus(NUKK)$ 清仓

06-23

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 特斯拉的牛市走完了

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这波回调的如此猛烈，我还是那句话。我不相信美股就此走熊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 这波回调的如此猛烈，我还是那句话。我不相信美股就此走熊","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 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21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛力挺美股：别怕战争与AI冲击！每次回调都是买入良机","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2616553671","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，根据高盛策略师的观点，投资者应将美国股市的任何回调视为买入机会，而非熊市开始的信号。随后中东爆发战争，市场再度承压。摩根士丹利和渣打银行近日同样重申了对美国股市的看涨立场。渣打银行分析师也指出，美股能抵御中东局势升级带来的冲击，投资者可在出现5%-10%的回调时选择逢低买入。布莱斯在承认不确定性上升的同时指出，股市可能下跌5%至10%，届时将出现买入机会。美国上周六打击伊朗后，原油价格应声飙升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月4日，<strong>根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>策略师的观点，投资者应将美国股市的任何回调视为买入机会，而非熊市开始的信号。</strong>由彼得·奥本海默(Peter Oppenheimer)领导的高盛策略师团队在一份报告中写道，尽管风险资产面临来自中东战争以及对人工智能(AI)颠覆性影响的担忧所带来的“重大逆风”，但经济基本面的韧性以及强劲的盈利增长意味着，回调的深度和持续时间将是有限的。</p><p>奥本海默表示：“鉴于当前估值水平，我们认为市场存在较高的回调风险，但预计这将带来一个买入机会，同时出现更持久、更深度熊市的风险相对较低。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9bc92a066467a7eb0fcbb0771db35a3\" alt=\"标普500指数的交易水平高于长期均值\" title=\"标普500指数的交易水平高于长期均值\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"441\"/><span>标普500指数的交易水平高于长期均值</span></p><p>全球股市今年开局动荡。最初，由于市场对AI对商业模式颠覆性影响的恐慌，引发包括软件在内的多个板块抛售。随后中东爆发战争，市场再度承压。</p><p>即便如此，高盛策略师指出，从指数层面来看，直到最近市场整体仍保持相对稳定，但板块和个股之间的快速轮动与波动性加剧成为主要特征。策略师补充称，全球范围内股票回报在不同地区和投资因子之间的扩散，已导致估值高于平均水平，所有全球行业相对于其过去20年历史均处于昂贵区间。再加上由美国主导的异常强劲牛市，使得股市更容易受到潜在冲击的影响，例如伊朗战争对石油和天然气市场构成的威胁。</p><p>奥本海默指出：“这种不确定性持续时间越长、或者对能源供应造成的影响越严重，市场对增长和通胀的感知风险就会越高。”不过，他也补充称：“近年来的大多数地缘政治冲击，并未对市场产生长期影响。”</p><h2 id=\"id_251805127\">多家大行不改美股看涨立场</h2><p>尽管中东地区局势升级引发美国股市波动，但BTIG首席市场技术分析师乔纳森·克林斯基(Jonathan Krinsky)将此视为投资者的入场良机。克林斯基引用了一句老话——“乱弹纷飞日，建仓恰逢时。”(When missiles fly，time to buy)。他在给客户的报告中写道，“通常地缘政治引发的剧烈波动并不持久”，并补充称，市场的混乱走势“更可能是一个战术性的买入机会，而非在当前水平上卖出”。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和渣打银行近日同样重申了对美国股市的看涨立场。由迈克尔·威尔逊(Mike Wilson)领衔的大摩股票策略师团队在一份报告中写道，从历史上看，地缘政治风险事件并未导致美股持续性的波动，并援引了此类事件发生后数月内标普500指数的平均表现作为依据。策略师表示，就最新的伊朗冲突而言，看空情景主要来自油价大幅且持续上涨，这可能会破坏他们所认为正在增强的商业周期。</p><p>他们指出：“除非油价以具有历史意义的幅度飙升并维持在高位，否则近期事件不太可能改变我们未来6至12个月对美股的看涨观点。”据悉，该策略师团队在今年1月发布的研报中将标普500指数在2026年年末的目标点位设定为7800点，并称“多重协同驱动因素”正在促成美股市场的滚动式周期复苏。该行将2026年界定为“滚动复苏下的广谱股票市场牛市”，主张“由点及面”的市场风险偏好回归与多个周期性的行业共振上行，即周期股领衔第二阶段牛市。</p><p>渣打银行分析师也指出，美股能抵御中东局势升级带来的冲击，投资者可在出现5%-10%的回调时选择逢低买入。该行分析师史蒂夫·布莱斯(Steve Brice)表示，市场正相对良好地消化来自中东紧张局势这一前所未有的地缘政治冲击，核心投资逻辑依然是在出现明显回调时逢低买入。布莱斯在承认不确定性上升的同时指出，股市可能下跌5%至10%，届时将出现买入机会。</p><p>这位分析师强调，市场是在基本面强劲的背景下进入这一恐慌时期的。他表示：“我们实际上处于一种‘<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600143\">金发</a>姑娘经济’环境中。经济增长表现异常稳健，美国通胀确实在下降，尽管速度相对缓慢。我们预计美联储将降息，企业盈利也保持稳固。”</p><p>尽管如此，若油价维持在高位，可能会逐步侵蚀这一有利的经济环境。布莱斯表示，投资者目前正专注于评估不同情景下的潜在回撤幅度，“我认为这正是市场正在努力弄清的问题——在基准情景和尾部风险情景下，股市可能出现多大回撤，以及应当如何据此进行投资布局”。</p><p>布莱斯在密切关注事态发展的同时，仍维持其偏好风险资产的立场。他将当前环境形容为“总体上可能是短暂的阶段，尽管这与我们此前经历的任何情况都非常不同”。他同时承认，如果形势进一步恶化，需要保持灵活并愿意调整投资仓位。这位分析师还强调，此次局势与以往中东军事干预存在关键差异。他指出：“以往中东地区的军事行动通常是地面部队介入，并且能够相对迅速地控制局势。这次情况非常不同，目前中东地区发生报复行动的风险明显升高。”</p><h2 id=\"id_2516829585\">德银泼冷水：小心抄到半山腰</h2><p>然而，德银对面对此次中东战事时采取“逢低买入”策略发出警告，称投资者应当心“抄底到半山腰”。该行认为，本周的关键问题在于，石油和天然气价格是否会飙升至阻碍经济增长的程度，从而破坏复苏交易。</p><p>德银策略师亨利·艾伦(Henry Allen)在周二发给客户的报告中写道：“我们之前曾写道，地缘政治事件通常不会引起持续的市场反应。但例外情况是，当地缘政治事件拥有影响市场的宏观渠道时。伊朗的事态正是这样一个典型例子。”</p><p>美国上周六打击伊朗后，原油价格应声飙升。在伊朗扬言要封锁霍尔木兹<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002320\">海峡</a>后，市场对未来供应的担忧急剧升温——该海峡是全球20%石油和液化天然气运输的生命线。不过，艾伦指出，目前WTI原油价格仍低于2024年的平均水平，且涨幅并未达到俄乌冲突爆发时或两次海湾战争期间的危机水平。</p><p>这位策略师表示，如果油价出现更大规模的飙升，必须具备特定因素，才会导致标普500指数暴跌超过15%。艾伦认为，以下三个条件中至少需要满足一个，但目前这些条件都尚未出现：油价飙升至少50%至100%并持续数月;油价上涨将本已降温的经济推入衰退或严重放缓;央行针对油价上涨采取鹰派政策应对。他表示：“未来几天的关键问题将是，这些条件中是否有一项被触发。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛力挺美股：别怕战争与AI冲击！每次回调都是买入良机</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛力挺美股：别怕战争与AI冲击！每次回调都是买入良机\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-04 21:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1410174.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月4日，根据高盛策略师的观点，投资者应将美国股市的任何回调视为买入机会，而非熊市开始的信号。由彼得·奥本海默(Peter Oppenheimer)领导的高盛策略师团队在一份报告中写道，尽管风险资产面临来自中东战争以及对人工智能(AI)颠覆性影响的担忧所带来的“重大逆风”，但经济基本面的韧性以及强劲的盈利增长意味着，回调的深度和持续时间将是有限的。奥本海默表示：“鉴于当前估值水平，我们认为市场存在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1410174.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU1894683264.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS US EQUITY RESEARCH VALUE \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443382.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA USD","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA 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INC","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU2265009873.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Growth Equity AS SGD-H","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1410174.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2616553671","content_text":"3月4日，根据高盛策略师的观点，投资者应将美国股市的任何回调视为买入机会，而非熊市开始的信号。由彼得·奥本海默(Peter Oppenheimer)领导的高盛策略师团队在一份报告中写道，尽管风险资产面临来自中东战争以及对人工智能(AI)颠覆性影响的担忧所带来的“重大逆风”，但经济基本面的韧性以及强劲的盈利增长意味着，回调的深度和持续时间将是有限的。奥本海默表示：“鉴于当前估值水平，我们认为市场存在较高的回调风险，但预计这将带来一个买入机会，同时出现更持久、更深度熊市的风险相对较低。”标普500指数的交易水平高于长期均值全球股市今年开局动荡。最初，由于市场对AI对商业模式颠覆性影响的恐慌，引发包括软件在内的多个板块抛售。随后中东爆发战争，市场再度承压。即便如此，高盛策略师指出，从指数层面来看，直到最近市场整体仍保持相对稳定，但板块和个股之间的快速轮动与波动性加剧成为主要特征。策略师补充称，全球范围内股票回报在不同地区和投资因子之间的扩散，已导致估值高于平均水平，所有全球行业相对于其过去20年历史均处于昂贵区间。再加上由美国主导的异常强劲牛市，使得股市更容易受到潜在冲击的影响，例如伊朗战争对石油和天然气市场构成的威胁。奥本海默指出：“这种不确定性持续时间越长、或者对能源供应造成的影响越严重，市场对增长和通胀的感知风险就会越高。”不过，他也补充称：“近年来的大多数地缘政治冲击，并未对市场产生长期影响。”多家大行不改美股看涨立场尽管中东地区局势升级引发美国股市波动，但BTIG首席市场技术分析师乔纳森·克林斯基(Jonathan Krinsky)将此视为投资者的入场良机。克林斯基引用了一句老话——“乱弹纷飞日，建仓恰逢时。”(When missiles fly，time to buy)。他在给客户的报告中写道，“通常地缘政治引发的剧烈波动并不持久”，并补充称，市场的混乱走势“更可能是一个战术性的买入机会，而非在当前水平上卖出”。摩根士丹利和渣打银行近日同样重申了对美国股市的看涨立场。由迈克尔·威尔逊(Mike Wilson)领衔的大摩股票策略师团队在一份报告中写道，从历史上看，地缘政治风险事件并未导致美股持续性的波动，并援引了此类事件发生后数月内标普500指数的平均表现作为依据。策略师表示，就最新的伊朗冲突而言，看空情景主要来自油价大幅且持续上涨，这可能会破坏他们所认为正在增强的商业周期。他们指出：“除非油价以具有历史意义的幅度飙升并维持在高位，否则近期事件不太可能改变我们未来6至12个月对美股的看涨观点。”据悉，该策略师团队在今年1月发布的研报中将标普500指数在2026年年末的目标点位设定为7800点，并称“多重协同驱动因素”正在促成美股市场的滚动式周期复苏。该行将2026年界定为“滚动复苏下的广谱股票市场牛市”，主张“由点及面”的市场风险偏好回归与多个周期性的行业共振上行，即周期股领衔第二阶段牛市。渣打银行分析师也指出，美股能抵御中东局势升级带来的冲击，投资者可在出现5%-10%的回调时选择逢低买入。该行分析师史蒂夫·布莱斯(Steve Brice)表示，市场正相对良好地消化来自中东紧张局势这一前所未有的地缘政治冲击，核心投资逻辑依然是在出现明显回调时逢低买入。布莱斯在承认不确定性上升的同时指出，股市可能下跌5%至10%，届时将出现买入机会。这位分析师强调，市场是在基本面强劲的背景下进入这一恐慌时期的。他表示：“我们实际上处于一种‘金发姑娘经济’环境中。经济增长表现异常稳健，美国通胀确实在下降，尽管速度相对缓慢。我们预计美联储将降息，企业盈利也保持稳固。”尽管如此，若油价维持在高位，可能会逐步侵蚀这一有利的经济环境。布莱斯表示，投资者目前正专注于评估不同情景下的潜在回撤幅度，“我认为这正是市场正在努力弄清的问题——在基准情景和尾部风险情景下，股市可能出现多大回撤，以及应当如何据此进行投资布局”。布莱斯在密切关注事态发展的同时，仍维持其偏好风险资产的立场。他将当前环境形容为“总体上可能是短暂的阶段，尽管这与我们此前经历的任何情况都非常不同”。他同时承认，如果形势进一步恶化，需要保持灵活并愿意调整投资仓位。这位分析师还强调，此次局势与以往中东军事干预存在关键差异。他指出：“以往中东地区的军事行动通常是地面部队介入，并且能够相对迅速地控制局势。这次情况非常不同，目前中东地区发生报复行动的风险明显升高。”德银泼冷水：小心抄到半山腰然而，德银对面对此次中东战事时采取“逢低买入”策略发出警告，称投资者应当心“抄底到半山腰”。该行认为，本周的关键问题在于，石油和天然气价格是否会飙升至阻碍经济增长的程度，从而破坏复苏交易。德银策略师亨利·艾伦(Henry Allen)在周二发给客户的报告中写道：“我们之前曾写道，地缘政治事件通常不会引起持续的市场反应。但例外情况是，当地缘政治事件拥有影响市场的宏观渠道时。伊朗的事态正是这样一个典型例子。”美国上周六打击伊朗后，原油价格应声飙升。在伊朗扬言要封锁霍尔木兹海峡后，市场对未来供应的担忧急剧升温——该海峡是全球20%石油和液化天然气运输的生命线。不过，艾伦指出，目前WTI原油价格仍低于2024年的平均水平，且涨幅并未达到俄乌冲突爆发时或两次海湾战争期间的危机水平。这位策略师表示，如果油价出现更大规模的飙升，必须具备特定因素，才会导致标普500指数暴跌超过15%。艾伦认为，以下三个条件中至少需要满足一个，但目前这些条件都尚未出现：油价飙升至少50%至100%并持续数月;油价上涨将本已降温的经济推入衰退或严重放缓;央行针对油价上涨采取鹰派政策应对。他表示：“未来几天的关键问题将是，这些条件中是否有一项被触发。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MNQ2612":2,".IXIC":2,"YMmain":2,"MNQmain":2,"MNQ2603":2,".DJI":2,"ESmain":2,".SPX":2,"NQmain":2,"NDX":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":538457342317912,"gmtCreate":1772480309901,"gmtModify":1772480311974,"author":{"id":"4192933893656252","authorId":"4192933893656252","name":"范蠡.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12a0684007d39c679f79155f27d93c91","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4192933893656252","idStr":"4192933893656252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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