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sunhj
02-25
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@豆哥儿:2026年最值得期待的十大美股IPO
sunhj
02-21
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
抱歉,原内容已删除
sunhj
02-21
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
抱歉,原内容已删除
sunhj
02-14
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@khikho:一次关于仓位、杠杆与热点的反思
sunhj
2025-06-21
coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的
sunhj
2025-06-21
crcl500块,,,没问题的
sunhj
2025-06-21
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@小虎访谈:【小虎访谈】韭菜专家.HK:胜率高达97%!警惕美股短期回调,当前并非加仓良机
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一、SpaceX——IPO规模新标杆 埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX计划于2026年启动全球史上规模最大的IPO,目标募资500亿美元,估值或突破1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利、高盛等顶级投行将主导承销,公司或效仿特斯拉采用双重股权结构,确保创始人控制权。若成功,此举将刷新IPO历史纪录。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 二、OpenAI——AI巨头的万亿级跃升 ChatGPT的缔造者OpenAI预计2026年底上市,估值或达1万亿美元。其最新融资估值已升至8500亿美元,亚马逊、软银等巨头加持。2025年收入激增三倍至200亿美元,但算力投入高达6000亿美元(至2030年),盈利路径成关键看点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">$智谱(02513)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00100\">$MINIMAX-WP(00100)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 三、Anthropic——企业AI赛道领航者 Claude模型开发商Anthropic正筹备2026年IPO,G轮融资300亿美元后估值达3800亿美元。公司专注医疗、金融等企业级AI应用,近期拓展成效显著,引发网络安","listText":"2026年,全球资本市场将迎来自2021年以来最为活跃的IPO窗口期。众多高成长性私营企业,尤其聚焦航空航天、人工智能及金融科技领域的头部独角兽,正加速筹备2026年上市计划,有望重塑全球资本市场格局。以下为2026年备受瞩目的十大潜在IPO项目梳理: 一、SpaceX——IPO规模新标杆 埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX计划于2026年启动全球史上规模最大的IPO,目标募资500亿美元,估值或突破1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利、高盛等顶级投行将主导承销,公司或效仿特斯拉采用双重股权结构,确保创始人控制权。若成功,此举将刷新IPO历史纪录。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 二、OpenAI——AI巨头的万亿级跃升 ChatGPT的缔造者OpenAI预计2026年底上市,估值或达1万亿美元。其最新融资估值已升至8500亿美元,亚马逊、软银等巨头加持。2025年收入激增三倍至200亿美元,但算力投入高达6000亿美元(至2030年),盈利路径成关键看点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">$智谱(02513)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00100\">$MINIMAX-WP(00100)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 三、Anthropic——企业AI赛道领航者 Claude模型开发商Anthropic正筹备2026年IPO,G轮融资300亿美元后估值达3800亿美元。公司专注医疗、金融等企业级AI应用,近期拓展成效显著,引发网络安","text":"2026年,全球资本市场将迎来自2021年以来最为活跃的IPO窗口期。众多高成长性私营企业,尤其聚焦航空航天、人工智能及金融科技领域的头部独角兽,正加速筹备2026年上市计划,有望重塑全球资本市场格局。以下为2026年备受瞩目的十大潜在IPO项目梳理: 一、SpaceX——IPO规模新标杆 埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX计划于2026年启动全球史上规模最大的IPO,目标募资500亿美元,估值或突破1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利、高盛等顶级投行将主导承销,公司或效仿特斯拉采用双重股权结构,确保创始人控制权。若成功,此举将刷新IPO历史纪录。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 二、OpenAI——AI巨头的万亿级跃升 ChatGPT的缔造者OpenAI预计2026年底上市,估值或达1万亿美元。其最新融资估值已升至8500亿美元,亚马逊、软银等巨头加持。2025年收入激增三倍至200亿美元,但算力投入高达6000亿美元(至2030年),盈利路径成关键看点。 $智谱(02513)$ $MINIMAX-WP(00100)$ $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ 三、Anthropic——企业AI赛道领航者 Claude模型开发商Anthropic正筹备2026年IPO,G轮融资300亿美元后估值达3800亿美元。公司专注医疗、金融等企业级AI应用,近期拓展成效显著,引发网络安","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536181445559672","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":5915,"gmtBegin":1771924562715,"gmtEnd":1772961349763,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你最期待哪一个?","choices":[{"id":19896,"sort":1,"name":"SpaceX","userSize":49,"voted":false},{"id":19897,"sort":2,"name":"OpenAI","userSize":12,"voted":false},{"id":19898,"sort":3,"name":"Anthropic","userSize":8,"voted":false},{"id":19899,"sort":4,"name":"Databricks","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19900,"sort":5,"name":"Canva","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19901,"sort":6,"name":"Cerebras","userSize":1,"voted":false},{"id":19902,"sort":7,"name":"Stripe","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19903,"sort":8,"name":"Revolut","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19904,"sort":9,"name":"Kraken","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19905,"sort":10,"name":"Reliance 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如果说选股是“术”,那么风控就是“道”。没有风控的盈利是借来的,市场迟早会连本带利收回。很多时候,表面上看亏损来源于标的,但水下真正压垮人的,其实是认知偏差和仓位管理失控。 市场真相,特别是目前这个美股,感觉就是一个分化与高波动的杀猪盘,不知道大家有没有这个感觉,今年以来的美股,呈现出一种极其撕裂的状态: 极端分化: 标普500的上涨由极少数巨头(Magnificent 7)和AI基建股带动,绝大多数个股在阴跌或震荡。有时候涨啊跌啊,找不到理由的那种。 高频震荡: 算法交易主导了盘中波动, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 虽有时处于低位,但个股层面的“闪崩”与“暴拉”极其频繁。完全看不懂了。[捂脸] 在这种环境下,“抱紧趋势吃到饱”的线性思维已经失效。 市场的反馈周期从“月”缩短到了“周”甚至“天”。过去那种买入并持有的长线策略,如果由于缺乏风控而导致回撤过大(例如持仓遭遇30%以上的单边下跌),其时间成本和心理折价将彻底摧毁一个人的交易节奏。 认知升级: 右侧确认后的顺势交易不再是“追高”,而是“确认安全边界”。左侧交易不再是“捡便宜”,而是“高风险的违章建筑”,必须模块化、轻仓化。风控的核心就是仓位模块化与止损的艺术。 1. 严控单标仓位:左侧与右侧的权力分配,风控的第一维度是空间维度,即仓位。 左侧试错(逆势/摸底): 原则上严禁杠杆。左侧交易的核心是“博弈反转”,但在反转确认前,底部是深不可测的。 铁律: 如果你在左侧加了杠杆,你就在给机构送钱。因为机构最擅长的就是利用杠杆者的强平点进行“深度洗","listText":"在美股这个流动性最强、信息反映最快、机构博弈最残酷的市场里,绝大多数交易者的失败,并非因为选不到牛股,而是因为“无法处理波动带来的心理波动”。市场的残酷在于:亏损往往不在标的,而在认知与仓位。 如果说选股是“术”,那么风控就是“道”。没有风控的盈利是借来的,市场迟早会连本带利收回。很多时候,表面上看亏损来源于标的,但水下真正压垮人的,其实是认知偏差和仓位管理失控。 市场真相,特别是目前这个美股,感觉就是一个分化与高波动的杀猪盘,不知道大家有没有这个感觉,今年以来的美股,呈现出一种极其撕裂的状态: 极端分化: 标普500的上涨由极少数巨头(Magnificent 7)和AI基建股带动,绝大多数个股在阴跌或震荡。有时候涨啊跌啊,找不到理由的那种。 高频震荡: 算法交易主导了盘中波动, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 虽有时处于低位,但个股层面的“闪崩”与“暴拉”极其频繁。完全看不懂了。[捂脸] 在这种环境下,“抱紧趋势吃到饱”的线性思维已经失效。 市场的反馈周期从“月”缩短到了“周”甚至“天”。过去那种买入并持有的长线策略,如果由于缺乏风控而导致回撤过大(例如持仓遭遇30%以上的单边下跌),其时间成本和心理折价将彻底摧毁一个人的交易节奏。 认知升级: 右侧确认后的顺势交易不再是“追高”,而是“确认安全边界”。左侧交易不再是“捡便宜”,而是“高风险的违章建筑”,必须模块化、轻仓化。风控的核心就是仓位模块化与止损的艺术。 1. 严控单标仓位:左侧与右侧的权力分配,风控的第一维度是空间维度,即仓位。 左侧试错(逆势/摸底): 原则上严禁杠杆。左侧交易的核心是“博弈反转”,但在反转确认前,底部是深不可测的。 铁律: 如果你在左侧加了杠杆,你就在给机构送钱。因为机构最擅长的就是利用杠杆者的强平点进行“深度洗","text":"在美股这个流动性最强、信息反映最快、机构博弈最残酷的市场里,绝大多数交易者的失败,并非因为选不到牛股,而是因为“无法处理波动带来的心理波动”。市场的残酷在于:亏损往往不在标的,而在认知与仓位。 如果说选股是“术”,那么风控就是“道”。没有风控的盈利是借来的,市场迟早会连本带利收回。很多时候,表面上看亏损来源于标的,但水下真正压垮人的,其实是认知偏差和仓位管理失控。 市场真相,特别是目前这个美股,感觉就是一个分化与高波动的杀猪盘,不知道大家有没有这个感觉,今年以来的美股,呈现出一种极其撕裂的状态: 极端分化: 标普500的上涨由极少数巨头(Magnificent 7)和AI基建股带动,绝大多数个股在阴跌或震荡。有时候涨啊跌啊,找不到理由的那种。 高频震荡: 算法交易主导了盘中波动, $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 虽有时处于低位,但个股层面的“闪崩”与“暴拉”极其频繁。完全看不懂了。[捂脸] 在这种环境下,“抱紧趋势吃到饱”的线性思维已经失效。 市场的反馈周期从“月”缩短到了“周”甚至“天”。过去那种买入并持有的长线策略,如果由于缺乏风控而导致回撤过大(例如持仓遭遇30%以上的单边下跌),其时间成本和心理折价将彻底摧毁一个人的交易节奏。 认知升级: 右侧确认后的顺势交易不再是“追高”,而是“确认安全边界”。左侧交易不再是“捡便宜”,而是“高风险的违章建筑”,必须模块化、轻仓化。风控的核心就是仓位模块化与止损的艺术。 1. 严控单标仓位:左侧与右侧的权力分配,风控的第一维度是空间维度,即仓位。 左侧试错(逆势/摸底): 原则上严禁杠杆。左侧交易的核心是“博弈反转”,但在反转确认前,底部是深不可测的。 铁律: 如果你在左侧加了杠杆,你就在给机构送钱。因为机构最擅长的就是利用杠杆者的强平点进行“深度洗","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d60a3d5327194af3e1d4e5618070280","width":"1157","height":"722"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b130f2adf3bb3f908529e06fbca1c689","width":"1126","height":"696"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1209bb6f0acbbde098e0f5914a5f22d3","width":"1152","height":"722"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532545563313568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448440582988112,"gmtCreate":1750509561671,"gmtModify":1750512839046,"author":{"id":"4149878724090172","authorId":"4149878724090172","name":"sunhj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0780a9b1b8d81f315828880f05023a0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149878724090172","authorIdStr":"4149878724090172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的","listText":"coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的","text":"coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448440582988112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448441903784552,"gmtCreate":1750509494426,"gmtModify":1750512838868,"author":{"id":"4149878724090172","authorId":"4149878724090172","name":"sunhj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0780a9b1b8d81f315828880f05023a0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149878724090172","authorIdStr":"4149878724090172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crcl500块,,,没问题的","listText":"crcl500块,,,没问题的","text":"crcl500块,,,没问题的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448441903784552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448294300988080,"gmtCreate":1750473099949,"gmtModify":1750476155521,"author":{"id":"4149878724090172","authorId":"4149878724090172","name":"sunhj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0780a9b1b8d81f315828880f05023a0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149878724090172","authorIdStr":"4149878724090172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448294300988080","repostId":"448134420893944","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":448134420893944,"gmtCreate":1750413180202,"gmtModify":1750413258045,"author":{"id":"37002306153600","authorId":"37002306153600","name":"小虎访谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"37002306153600","authorIdStr":"37002306153600"},"themes":[],"title":"【小虎访谈】韭菜专家.HK:胜率高达97%!警惕美股短期回调,当前并非加仓良机","htmlText":"各位虎友们好,本周要和大家分享的虎友是 @韭菜专家.HK,一位胜率高达92%的专业投资者,期权操作胜率更是惊人地达到97%[财迷]! 从工程师转型为全职交易员,他以国债和货币基金作底仓,配合卖出价外期权,打造出年化收益率达31%的稳健套利系统。透过“底部加仓+备兑期权”策略,他在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00008\">$电讯盈科(00008)$</a> 斩获78%回报, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02638\">$港灯-SS(02638)$</a> 也录得近30%收益,堪称稳中求胜的典范[强]。他同时是港股打新的活跃玩家, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02097\">$蜜雪集团(02097)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01318\">$毛戈平(01318)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00325\">$布鲁可(00325)$</a> 等热门新股都果断锁利,单在蜜雪与布鲁可上就分别斩获逾40%回报,最近在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03288\">$海天味业(03288)$</a> IPO上也成功获利超8千港元💰。对于当前市场,他认为大盘情绪过热,并非建仓良机;美股或面临调整,但长线仍看好优质龙头;港股则藏有被低估的机会。他强调:“港股不是不能买,而是不能乱买——有耐心,才有回报。”来吧虎友们,让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q:请简单自我介绍一下~大家好,我是韭菜专家.HK ,居住在香港,目前是全职个人交易员,主力做期权卖方,是已认证的专业投资者PI,曾经是电机工程师,毕业于香港理工大学 - 电机工程系。从小就对科技有浓厚兴趣,也对数","listText":"各位虎友们好,本周要和大家分享的虎友是 @韭菜专家.HK,一位胜率高达92%的专业投资者,期权操作胜率更是惊人地达到97%[财迷]! 从工程师转型为全职交易员,他以国债和货币基金作底仓,配合卖出价外期权,打造出年化收益率达31%的稳健套利系统。透过“底部加仓+备兑期权”策略,他在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00008\">$电讯盈科(00008)$</a> 斩获78%回报, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02638\">$港灯-SS(02638)$</a> 也录得近30%收益,堪称稳中求胜的典范[强]。他同时是港股打新的活跃玩家, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02097\">$蜜雪集团(02097)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01318\">$毛戈平(01318)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00325\">$布鲁可(00325)$</a> 等热门新股都果断锁利,单在蜜雪与布鲁可上就分别斩获逾40%回报,最近在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03288\">$海天味业(03288)$</a> IPO上也成功获利超8千港元💰。对于当前市场,他认为大盘情绪过热,并非建仓良机;美股或面临调整,但长线仍看好优质龙头;港股则藏有被低估的机会。他强调:“港股不是不能买,而是不能乱买——有耐心,才有回报。”来吧虎友们,让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q:请简单自我介绍一下~大家好,我是韭菜专家.HK ,居住在香港,目前是全职个人交易员,主力做期权卖方,是已认证的专业投资者PI,曾经是电机工程师,毕业于香港理工大学 - 电机工程系。从小就对科技有浓厚兴趣,也对数","text":"各位虎友们好,本周要和大家分享的虎友是 @韭菜专家.HK,一位胜率高达92%的专业投资者,期权操作胜率更是惊人地达到97%[财迷]! 从工程师转型为全职交易员,他以国债和货币基金作底仓,配合卖出价外期权,打造出年化收益率达31%的稳健套利系统。透过“底部加仓+备兑期权”策略,他在 $电讯盈科(00008)$ 斩获78%回报, $港灯-SS(02638)$ 也录得近30%收益,堪称稳中求胜的典范[强]。他同时是港股打新的活跃玩家, $蜜雪集团(02097)$ 、 $毛戈平(01318)$ 、 $布鲁可(00325)$ 等热门新股都果断锁利,单在蜜雪与布鲁可上就分别斩获逾40%回报,最近在 $海天味业(03288)$ IPO上也成功获利超8千港元💰。对于当前市场,他认为大盘情绪过热,并非建仓良机;美股或面临调整,但长线仍看好优质龙头;港股则藏有被低估的机会。他强调:“港股不是不能买,而是不能乱买——有耐心,才有回报。”来吧虎友们,让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q:请简单自我介绍一下~大家好,我是韭菜专家.HK ,居住在香港,目前是全职个人交易员,主力做期权卖方,是已认证的专业投资者PI,曾经是电机工程师,毕业于香港理工大学 - 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一、SpaceX——IPO规模新标杆 埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX计划于2026年启动全球史上规模最大的IPO,目标募资500亿美元,估值或突破1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利、高盛等顶级投行将主导承销,公司或效仿特斯拉采用双重股权结构,确保创始人控制权。若成功,此举将刷新IPO历史纪录。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 二、OpenAI——AI巨头的万亿级跃升 ChatGPT的缔造者OpenAI预计2026年底上市,估值或达1万亿美元。其最新融资估值已升至8500亿美元,亚马逊、软银等巨头加持。2025年收入激增三倍至200亿美元,但算力投入高达6000亿美元(至2030年),盈利路径成关键看点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">$智谱(02513)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00100\">$MINIMAX-WP(00100)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 三、Anthropic——企业AI赛道领航者 Claude模型开发商Anthropic正筹备2026年IPO,G轮融资300亿美元后估值达3800亿美元。公司专注医疗、金融等企业级AI应用,近期拓展成效显著,引发网络安","listText":"2026年,全球资本市场将迎来自2021年以来最为活跃的IPO窗口期。众多高成长性私营企业,尤其聚焦航空航天、人工智能及金融科技领域的头部独角兽,正加速筹备2026年上市计划,有望重塑全球资本市场格局。以下为2026年备受瞩目的十大潜在IPO项目梳理: 一、SpaceX——IPO规模新标杆 埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX计划于2026年启动全球史上规模最大的IPO,目标募资500亿美元,估值或突破1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利、高盛等顶级投行将主导承销,公司或效仿特斯拉采用双重股权结构,确保创始人控制权。若成功,此举将刷新IPO历史纪录。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 二、OpenAI——AI巨头的万亿级跃升 ChatGPT的缔造者OpenAI预计2026年底上市,估值或达1万亿美元。其最新融资估值已升至8500亿美元,亚马逊、软银等巨头加持。2025年收入激增三倍至200亿美元,但算力投入高达6000亿美元(至2030年),盈利路径成关键看点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">$智谱(02513)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00100\">$MINIMAX-WP(00100)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 三、Anthropic——企业AI赛道领航者 Claude模型开发商Anthropic正筹备2026年IPO,G轮融资300亿美元后估值达3800亿美元。公司专注医疗、金融等企业级AI应用,近期拓展成效显著,引发网络安","text":"2026年,全球资本市场将迎来自2021年以来最为活跃的IPO窗口期。众多高成长性私营企业,尤其聚焦航空航天、人工智能及金融科技领域的头部独角兽,正加速筹备2026年上市计划,有望重塑全球资本市场格局。以下为2026年备受瞩目的十大潜在IPO项目梳理: 一、SpaceX——IPO规模新标杆 埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX计划于2026年启动全球史上规模最大的IPO,目标募资500亿美元,估值或突破1.5万亿美元。摩根士丹利、高盛等顶级投行将主导承销,公司或效仿特斯拉采用双重股权结构,确保创始人控制权。若成功,此举将刷新IPO历史纪录。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 二、OpenAI——AI巨头的万亿级跃升 ChatGPT的缔造者OpenAI预计2026年底上市,估值或达1万亿美元。其最新融资估值已升至8500亿美元,亚马逊、软银等巨头加持。2025年收入激增三倍至200亿美元,但算力投入高达6000亿美元(至2030年),盈利路径成关键看点。 $智谱(02513)$ $MINIMAX-WP(00100)$ $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ 三、Anthropic——企业AI赛道领航者 Claude模型开发商Anthropic正筹备2026年IPO,G轮融资300亿美元后估值达3800亿美元。公司专注医疗、金融等企业级AI应用,近期拓展成效显著,引发网络安","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536181445559672","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":5915,"gmtBegin":1771924562715,"gmtEnd":1772961349763,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你最期待哪一个?","choices":[{"id":19896,"sort":1,"name":"SpaceX","userSize":49,"voted":false},{"id":19897,"sort":2,"name":"OpenAI","userSize":12,"voted":false},{"id":19898,"sort":3,"name":"Anthropic","userSize":8,"voted":false},{"id":19899,"sort":4,"name":"Databricks","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19900,"sort":5,"name":"Canva","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19901,"sort":6,"name":"Cerebras","userSize":1,"voted":false},{"id":19902,"sort":7,"name":"Stripe","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19903,"sort":8,"name":"Revolut","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19904,"sort":9,"name":"Kraken","userSize":0,"voted":false},{"id":19905,"sort":10,"name":"Reliance 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如果说选股是“术”,那么风控就是“道”。没有风控的盈利是借来的,市场迟早会连本带利收回。很多时候,表面上看亏损来源于标的,但水下真正压垮人的,其实是认知偏差和仓位管理失控。 市场真相,特别是目前这个美股,感觉就是一个分化与高波动的杀猪盘,不知道大家有没有这个感觉,今年以来的美股,呈现出一种极其撕裂的状态: 极端分化: 标普500的上涨由极少数巨头(Magnificent 7)和AI基建股带动,绝大多数个股在阴跌或震荡。有时候涨啊跌啊,找不到理由的那种。 高频震荡: 算法交易主导了盘中波动, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 虽有时处于低位,但个股层面的“闪崩”与“暴拉”极其频繁。完全看不懂了。[捂脸] 在这种环境下,“抱紧趋势吃到饱”的线性思维已经失效。 市场的反馈周期从“月”缩短到了“周”甚至“天”。过去那种买入并持有的长线策略,如果由于缺乏风控而导致回撤过大(例如持仓遭遇30%以上的单边下跌),其时间成本和心理折价将彻底摧毁一个人的交易节奏。 认知升级: 右侧确认后的顺势交易不再是“追高”,而是“确认安全边界”。左侧交易不再是“捡便宜”,而是“高风险的违章建筑”,必须模块化、轻仓化。风控的核心就是仓位模块化与止损的艺术。 1. 严控单标仓位:左侧与右侧的权力分配,风控的第一维度是空间维度,即仓位。 左侧试错(逆势/摸底): 原则上严禁杠杆。左侧交易的核心是“博弈反转”,但在反转确认前,底部是深不可测的。 铁律: 如果你在左侧加了杠杆,你就在给机构送钱。因为机构最擅长的就是利用杠杆者的强平点进行“深度洗","listText":"在美股这个流动性最强、信息反映最快、机构博弈最残酷的市场里,绝大多数交易者的失败,并非因为选不到牛股,而是因为“无法处理波动带来的心理波动”。市场的残酷在于:亏损往往不在标的,而在认知与仓位。 如果说选股是“术”,那么风控就是“道”。没有风控的盈利是借来的,市场迟早会连本带利收回。很多时候,表面上看亏损来源于标的,但水下真正压垮人的,其实是认知偏差和仓位管理失控。 市场真相,特别是目前这个美股,感觉就是一个分化与高波动的杀猪盘,不知道大家有没有这个感觉,今年以来的美股,呈现出一种极其撕裂的状态: 极端分化: 标普500的上涨由极少数巨头(Magnificent 7)和AI基建股带动,绝大多数个股在阴跌或震荡。有时候涨啊跌啊,找不到理由的那种。 高频震荡: 算法交易主导了盘中波动, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 虽有时处于低位,但个股层面的“闪崩”与“暴拉”极其频繁。完全看不懂了。[捂脸] 在这种环境下,“抱紧趋势吃到饱”的线性思维已经失效。 市场的反馈周期从“月”缩短到了“周”甚至“天”。过去那种买入并持有的长线策略,如果由于缺乏风控而导致回撤过大(例如持仓遭遇30%以上的单边下跌),其时间成本和心理折价将彻底摧毁一个人的交易节奏。 认知升级: 右侧确认后的顺势交易不再是“追高”,而是“确认安全边界”。左侧交易不再是“捡便宜”,而是“高风险的违章建筑”,必须模块化、轻仓化。风控的核心就是仓位模块化与止损的艺术。 1. 严控单标仓位:左侧与右侧的权力分配,风控的第一维度是空间维度,即仓位。 左侧试错(逆势/摸底): 原则上严禁杠杆。左侧交易的核心是“博弈反转”,但在反转确认前,底部是深不可测的。 铁律: 如果你在左侧加了杠杆,你就在给机构送钱。因为机构最擅长的就是利用杠杆者的强平点进行“深度洗","text":"在美股这个流动性最强、信息反映最快、机构博弈最残酷的市场里,绝大多数交易者的失败,并非因为选不到牛股,而是因为“无法处理波动带来的心理波动”。市场的残酷在于:亏损往往不在标的,而在认知与仓位。 如果说选股是“术”,那么风控就是“道”。没有风控的盈利是借来的,市场迟早会连本带利收回。很多时候,表面上看亏损来源于标的,但水下真正压垮人的,其实是认知偏差和仓位管理失控。 市场真相,特别是目前这个美股,感觉就是一个分化与高波动的杀猪盘,不知道大家有没有这个感觉,今年以来的美股,呈现出一种极其撕裂的状态: 极端分化: 标普500的上涨由极少数巨头(Magnificent 7)和AI基建股带动,绝大多数个股在阴跌或震荡。有时候涨啊跌啊,找不到理由的那种。 高频震荡: 算法交易主导了盘中波动, $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 虽有时处于低位,但个股层面的“闪崩”与“暴拉”极其频繁。完全看不懂了。[捂脸] 在这种环境下,“抱紧趋势吃到饱”的线性思维已经失效。 市场的反馈周期从“月”缩短到了“周”甚至“天”。过去那种买入并持有的长线策略,如果由于缺乏风控而导致回撤过大(例如持仓遭遇30%以上的单边下跌),其时间成本和心理折价将彻底摧毁一个人的交易节奏。 认知升级: 右侧确认后的顺势交易不再是“追高”,而是“确认安全边界”。左侧交易不再是“捡便宜”,而是“高风险的违章建筑”,必须模块化、轻仓化。风控的核心就是仓位模块化与止损的艺术。 1. 严控单标仓位:左侧与右侧的权力分配,风控的第一维度是空间维度,即仓位。 左侧试错(逆势/摸底): 原则上严禁杠杆。左侧交易的核心是“博弈反转”,但在反转确认前,底部是深不可测的。 铁律: 如果你在左侧加了杠杆,你就在给机构送钱。因为机构最擅长的就是利用杠杆者的强平点进行“深度洗","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d60a3d5327194af3e1d4e5618070280","width":"1157","height":"722"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b130f2adf3bb3f908529e06fbca1c689","width":"1126","height":"696"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1209bb6f0acbbde098e0f5914a5f22d3","width":"1152","height":"722"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532545563313568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448440582988112,"gmtCreate":1750509561671,"gmtModify":1750512839046,"author":{"id":"4149878724090172","authorId":"4149878724090172","name":"sunhj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0780a9b1b8d81f315828880f05023a0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149878724090172","authorIdStr":"4149878724090172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的","listText":"coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的","text":"coin继续高涨500块,,,没问题的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448440582988112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448441903784552,"gmtCreate":1750509494426,"gmtModify":1750512838868,"author":{"id":"4149878724090172","authorId":"4149878724090172","name":"sunhj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0780a9b1b8d81f315828880f05023a0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149878724090172","authorIdStr":"4149878724090172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crcl500块,,,没问题的","listText":"crcl500块,,,没问题的","text":"crcl500块,,,没问题的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448441903784552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448294300988080,"gmtCreate":1750473099949,"gmtModify":1750476155521,"author":{"id":"4149878724090172","authorId":"4149878724090172","name":"sunhj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0780a9b1b8d81f315828880f05023a0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4149878724090172","authorIdStr":"4149878724090172"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448294300988080","repostId":"448134420893944","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":448134420893944,"gmtCreate":1750413180202,"gmtModify":1750413258045,"author":{"id":"37002306153600","authorId":"37002306153600","name":"小虎访谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f6fba0673df1de1c5c31bb2b4f6d4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"37002306153600","authorIdStr":"37002306153600"},"themes":[],"title":"【小虎访谈】韭菜专家.HK:胜率高达97%!警惕美股短期回调,当前并非加仓良机","htmlText":"各位虎友们好,本周要和大家分享的虎友是 @韭菜专家.HK,一位胜率高达92%的专业投资者,期权操作胜率更是惊人地达到97%[财迷]! 从工程师转型为全职交易员,他以国债和货币基金作底仓,配合卖出价外期权,打造出年化收益率达31%的稳健套利系统。透过“底部加仓+备兑期权”策略,他在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00008\">$电讯盈科(00008)$</a> 斩获78%回报, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02638\">$港灯-SS(02638)$</a> 也录得近30%收益,堪称稳中求胜的典范[强]。他同时是港股打新的活跃玩家, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02097\">$蜜雪集团(02097)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01318\">$毛戈平(01318)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00325\">$布鲁可(00325)$</a> 等热门新股都果断锁利,单在蜜雪与布鲁可上就分别斩获逾40%回报,最近在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03288\">$海天味业(03288)$</a> IPO上也成功获利超8千港元💰。对于当前市场,他认为大盘情绪过热,并非建仓良机;美股或面临调整,但长线仍看好优质龙头;港股则藏有被低估的机会。他强调:“港股不是不能买,而是不能乱买——有耐心,才有回报。”来吧虎友们,让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q:请简单自我介绍一下~大家好,我是韭菜专家.HK ,居住在香港,目前是全职个人交易员,主力做期权卖方,是已认证的专业投资者PI,曾经是电机工程师,毕业于香港理工大学 - 电机工程系。从小就对科技有浓厚兴趣,也对数","listText":"各位虎友们好,本周要和大家分享的虎友是 @韭菜专家.HK,一位胜率高达92%的专业投资者,期权操作胜率更是惊人地达到97%[财迷]! 从工程师转型为全职交易员,他以国债和货币基金作底仓,配合卖出价外期权,打造出年化收益率达31%的稳健套利系统。透过“底部加仓+备兑期权”策略,他在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00008\">$电讯盈科(00008)$</a> 斩获78%回报, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02638\">$港灯-SS(02638)$</a> 也录得近30%收益,堪称稳中求胜的典范[强]。他同时是港股打新的活跃玩家, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02097\">$蜜雪集团(02097)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01318\">$毛戈平(01318)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00325\">$布鲁可(00325)$</a> 等热门新股都果断锁利,单在蜜雪与布鲁可上就分别斩获逾40%回报,最近在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03288\">$海天味业(03288)$</a> IPO上也成功获利超8千港元💰。对于当前市场,他认为大盘情绪过热,并非建仓良机;美股或面临调整,但长线仍看好优质龙头;港股则藏有被低估的机会。他强调:“港股不是不能买,而是不能乱买——有耐心,才有回报。”来吧虎友们,让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q:请简单自我介绍一下~大家好,我是韭菜专家.HK ,居住在香港,目前是全职个人交易员,主力做期权卖方,是已认证的专业投资者PI,曾经是电机工程师,毕业于香港理工大学 - 电机工程系。从小就对科技有浓厚兴趣,也对数","text":"各位虎友们好,本周要和大家分享的虎友是 @韭菜专家.HK,一位胜率高达92%的专业投资者,期权操作胜率更是惊人地达到97%[财迷]! 从工程师转型为全职交易员,他以国债和货币基金作底仓,配合卖出价外期权,打造出年化收益率达31%的稳健套利系统。透过“底部加仓+备兑期权”策略,他在 $电讯盈科(00008)$ 斩获78%回报, $港灯-SS(02638)$ 也录得近30%收益,堪称稳中求胜的典范[强]。他同时是港股打新的活跃玩家, $蜜雪集团(02097)$ 、 $毛戈平(01318)$ 、 $布鲁可(00325)$ 等热门新股都果断锁利,单在蜜雪与布鲁可上就分别斩获逾40%回报,最近在 $海天味业(03288)$ IPO上也成功获利超8千港元💰。对于当前市场,他认为大盘情绪过热,并非建仓良机;美股或面临调整,但长线仍看好优质龙头;港股则藏有被低估的机会。他强调:“港股不是不能买,而是不能乱买——有耐心,才有回报。”来吧虎友们,让我们一起来听听他的投资心得大分享吧[你懂的][你懂的]Q:请简单自我介绍一下~大家好,我是韭菜专家.HK ,居住在香港,目前是全职个人交易员,主力做期权卖方,是已认证的专业投资者PI,曾经是电机工程师,毕业于香港理工大学 - 电机工程系。从小就对科技有浓厚兴趣,也对数","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5178b82d3c441ae206a87940f2210d90","width":"696","height":"382"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a3f5e88f610ad4440276931cb8c4ac","width":"816","height":"943"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f43f01c3feb016183cbb8ae19f0f276","width":"518","height":"866"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448134420893944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}