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gezi_lonely
01-17
太详细了 非常好。感谢
抱歉,原内容已删除
gezi_lonely
2023-02-09
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
尾盘再拉一把上去,血洗空头
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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非常好。感谢","listText":"太详细了 非常好。感谢","text":"太详细了 非常好。感谢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393569499070632","repostId":"1151602847","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151602847","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1737107866,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151602847?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-01-17 17:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权女巫 | 分析师预测Netflix Q4订阅数超预期,如何利用期权抢先布局?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151602847","media":"期权女巫","summary":"盈利预期与分析师观点根据FactSet的调查,分析师预计Netflix在截至12月31日的第四季度每股盈利4.20美元,销售额为101.2亿美元。而去年同期,Netflix的每股盈利为2.11美元,销售额为88.3亿美元。2024年,Netflix股票上涨了83%。截至本周四收盘,Netflix股价已经下跌了5.49%,目前为842.37美元。这个策略在Netflix股价大幅上涨到高行权价之上时最为盈利。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2024年, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a> 以两场NFL足球赛、碧昂丝的中场秀和热门剧集《鱿鱼游戏》的回归为亮点结束。但Netflix的股价在2025年开局时遭遇下跌。投资者希望,随着下周季度财报的发布,这家视频流媒体巨头能够恢复势头。</p><p>总部位于加州洛斯加图斯的公司将在下周二晚间公布其第四季度业绩。</p><p><strong>盈利预期与分析师观点</strong></p><p>根据FactSet的调查,分析师预计Netflix在截至12月31日的第四季度每股盈利4.20美元,销售额为101.2亿美元。而去年同期,Netflix的每股盈利为2.11美元,销售额为88.3亿美元。</p><p>华尔街预计Netflix在第四季度全球新增820万订阅用户,总订阅人数将达到2.909亿。</p><p>Rosenblatt的分析师Barton Crockett预测,Netflix在体育赛事方面的增长可能会推动其第四季度的订阅数超出预期。</p><p>虽然下周的财报可能看起来不错,但Crockett对2025年第一季度的指引和未来的业绩持谨慎态度。</p><p>Crockett表示:“Netflix将在2025年第一季度失去NFL广告带来的增益。一些为NFL圣诞赛或保罗/泰森比赛加入的用户可能会取消订阅。”</p><p>Wedbush证券分析师Alicia Reese维持Netflix股票的“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为950美元。</p><p>Reese在给客户的报告中表示:“Netflix在流媒体大战中已建立了几乎无可超越的领先地位。Netflix能够保持其竞争壁垒,同时竞争对手努力复制其商业模式。”</p><p>2024年,Netflix股票上涨了83%。截至本周四收盘,Netflix股价已经下跌了5.49%,目前为842.37美元。</p><p><strong>如果你想在Netflix财报发布时进行交易,这里有几个期权策略:</strong></p><p><strong>1. 牛市看涨期权差价(Bull Call Spread)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:如果你预计Netflix在财报发布后会适度上涨,但不认为它会暴涨。这个策略适用于一种有控制的看涨投资,风险和回报都是可定义的。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你购买一个较低行权价的看涨期权,并卖出一个较高行权价的看涨期权,两个期权的到期日相同。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入1份NFLX 830的看涨期权(当前价格)</p></li><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 870的看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20830.0%20CALL%20BUY%201%20%7C%20NFLX%2020250124%20870.0%20PUT%20SELL%201\" title=\"$NFLX Custom 250124 830.0C/870.0P$\" class=\"\">$NFLX Custom 250124 830.0C/870.0P$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>限制了潜在的利润和损失。</p></li><li><p>相比直接购买裸看涨期权,这种方式成本较低,因为卖出看涨期权的溢价可以抵消买入低行权价看涨期权的费用。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>你的最大利润受限于两个行权价的差额减去净溢价。</p></li><li><p>如果股价超过870美元的行权价,你的利润将不再增长。</p></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/59c0d1f879b8037bd80b1352e8d1cca3\" alt=\"\"/><strong>2. 卖出看跌期权(现金担保看跌期权)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix持看涨观点,但愿意在价格较低时购买。这个策略允许你在同时赚取期权溢价收入的同时,可能以折扣价买入股票。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你卖出一个低于当前市场价格的看跌期权。如果Netflix股价跌破该价格,你将需要以该行权价买入Netflix股票。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 800看跌期权</p></li></ul><p><a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"NFLX 20250124 800.0 PUT\" data-mention-name=\"NFLX\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20800.0%20PUT\">$NFLX 20250124 800.0 PUT$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>通过卖出看跌期权,你可以收取溢价收入。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价保持在800美元以上,你将保留溢价作为利润。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价跌破800美元,你可能会以折扣价买入股票,这也是你最初的计划。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价大幅下跌,你可能被迫以800美元的价格买入股票,而这个价格可能高于市场价值。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix大幅暴跌,你的损失没有上限,但通过保证有足够的现金来买入股票,你可以管理这个风险。</p></li></ul><p><strong>3. 买入看涨期权(Long Call)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix持看涨观点,预计财报发布后股价会大幅上涨,你希望通过这种方式获取更大的上涨潜力。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你购买一个行权价等于或略高于当前股票价格的看涨期权。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入1份NFLX 830看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"NFLX 20250124 830.0 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"NFLX\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20830.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20250124 830.0 CALL$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix财报发布后股价大幅上涨,你的利润潜力是无限的。</p></li><li><p>杠杆效应:你可以以较低的初始成本控制更多的股票,而不是直接买入股票。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价没有按预期上涨,你将损失支付的期权溢价。</p></li><li><p>随着到期日的临近,时间价值(theta)会对你不利,因此股价需要尽快上涨。</p></li></ul><p><strong>4. 牛市看跌期权差价(Bull Put Spread)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix持适度看涨观点,预计股价会在财报发布后保持在某个水平以上,但你希望在限制风险的同时从这一预期中获利。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你卖出一个较高行权价的看跌期权,并买入一个较低行权价的看跌期权,两者到期日相同。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 810看跌期权</p></li><li><p>买入1份NFLX 780看跌期权</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20780.0%20PUT%20BUY%201%20%7C%20NFLX%2020250124%20810.0%20PUT%20SELL%201\" title=\"$NFLX Vertical 250124 780.0P/810.0P$\" class=\"\">$NFLX Vertical 250124 780.0P/810.0P$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>由于买入的看跌期权提供保护,风险有限,即使Netflix股价大幅下跌也能得到一定程度的保护。</p></li><li><p>卖出的看跌期权所收的溢价可以抵消购买低行权价看跌期权的费用。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价保持在较高行权价之上,这个策略效果最好。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>你的利润将限制在差价带来的净溢价收入。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价跌破810美元,你会出现亏损,尽管亏损会被保护性看跌期权所限制。</p></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e7e81e8c8e4209c7ece207fb482be282\" alt=\"\"/><strong>5. 看涨期权比率反向价差(Call Ratio Backspread)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix极为看涨,认为股价在财报发布后可能会大幅上涨。这个策略让你在控制风险的同时,能够从大幅上涨中获益。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你在较低行权价卖出较少的看涨期权,并在较高行权价买入更多的看涨期权。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 850看涨期权</p></li><li><p>买入2份NFLX 880看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20850.0%20CALL%20SELL%201%20%7C%20NFLX%2020250124%20880.0%20CALL%20BUY%202\" title=\"$NFLX Custom 250124 850.0C/880.0C$\" class=\"\">$NFLX Custom 250124 850.0C/880.0C$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价大幅上涨,你将因为持有的多个看涨期权而有很大的利润潜力。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价没有太大波动或稍微跌了,你的风险仅限于差价的净成本。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价没有大幅上涨,你可能会亏损。</p></li><li><p>这个策略在Netflix股价大幅上涨到高行权价之上时最为盈利。</p></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/737ea914a517e1302b79af55b0501d78\" alt=\"\"/><strong>策略选择建议:</strong></p><p><strong>风险承受能力</strong>:如果你希望采用有限风险的策略,可以选择牛市看涨期权差价(bull call spread)或牛市看跌期权差价(bull put spread)。这两种策略都能让你获利,同时限制潜在损失。</p><p><strong>上涨潜力</strong>:如果你希望获得最大的上涨收益,购买看涨期权或长看涨期权差价(long call spread)可以提供杠杆效应,但如果Netflix股价没有按预期上涨,你可能会失去支付的溢价。</p><p><strong>收入导向</strong>:如果你希望收取期权溢价并且愿意以较低价格持有股票,卖出看跌期权可能是最好的选择。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权女巫 | 分析师预测Netflix Q4订阅数超预期,如何利用期权抢先布局?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权女巫 | 分析师预测Netflix Q4订阅数超预期,如何利用期权抢先布局?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-01-17 17:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>2024年, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a> 以两场NFL足球赛、碧昂丝的中场秀和热门剧集《鱿鱼游戏》的回归为亮点结束。但Netflix的股价在2025年开局时遭遇下跌。投资者希望,随着下周季度财报的发布,这家视频流媒体巨头能够恢复势头。</p><p>总部位于加州洛斯加图斯的公司将在下周二晚间公布其第四季度业绩。</p><p><strong>盈利预期与分析师观点</strong></p><p>根据FactSet的调查,分析师预计Netflix在截至12月31日的第四季度每股盈利4.20美元,销售额为101.2亿美元。而去年同期,Netflix的每股盈利为2.11美元,销售额为88.3亿美元。</p><p>华尔街预计Netflix在第四季度全球新增820万订阅用户,总订阅人数将达到2.909亿。</p><p>Rosenblatt的分析师Barton Crockett预测,Netflix在体育赛事方面的增长可能会推动其第四季度的订阅数超出预期。</p><p>虽然下周的财报可能看起来不错,但Crockett对2025年第一季度的指引和未来的业绩持谨慎态度。</p><p>Crockett表示:“Netflix将在2025年第一季度失去NFL广告带来的增益。一些为NFL圣诞赛或保罗/泰森比赛加入的用户可能会取消订阅。”</p><p>Wedbush证券分析师Alicia Reese维持Netflix股票的“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为950美元。</p><p>Reese在给客户的报告中表示:“Netflix在流媒体大战中已建立了几乎无可超越的领先地位。Netflix能够保持其竞争壁垒,同时竞争对手努力复制其商业模式。”</p><p>2024年,Netflix股票上涨了83%。截至本周四收盘,Netflix股价已经下跌了5.49%,目前为842.37美元。</p><p><strong>如果你想在Netflix财报发布时进行交易,这里有几个期权策略:</strong></p><p><strong>1. 牛市看涨期权差价(Bull Call Spread)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:如果你预计Netflix在财报发布后会适度上涨,但不认为它会暴涨。这个策略适用于一种有控制的看涨投资,风险和回报都是可定义的。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你购买一个较低行权价的看涨期权,并卖出一个较高行权价的看涨期权,两个期权的到期日相同。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入1份NFLX 830的看涨期权(当前价格)</p></li><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 870的看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20830.0%20CALL%20BUY%201%20%7C%20NFLX%2020250124%20870.0%20PUT%20SELL%201\" title=\"$NFLX Custom 250124 830.0C/870.0P$\" class=\"\">$NFLX Custom 250124 830.0C/870.0P$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>限制了潜在的利润和损失。</p></li><li><p>相比直接购买裸看涨期权,这种方式成本较低,因为卖出看涨期权的溢价可以抵消买入低行权价看涨期权的费用。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>你的最大利润受限于两个行权价的差额减去净溢价。</p></li><li><p>如果股价超过870美元的行权价,你的利润将不再增长。</p></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/59c0d1f879b8037bd80b1352e8d1cca3\" alt=\"\"/><strong>2. 卖出看跌期权(现金担保看跌期权)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix持看涨观点,但愿意在价格较低时购买。这个策略允许你在同时赚取期权溢价收入的同时,可能以折扣价买入股票。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你卖出一个低于当前市场价格的看跌期权。如果Netflix股价跌破该价格,你将需要以该行权价买入Netflix股票。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 800看跌期权</p></li></ul><p><a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"NFLX 20250124 800.0 PUT\" data-mention-name=\"NFLX\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20800.0%20PUT\">$NFLX 20250124 800.0 PUT$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>通过卖出看跌期权,你可以收取溢价收入。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价保持在800美元以上,你将保留溢价作为利润。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价跌破800美元,你可能会以折扣价买入股票,这也是你最初的计划。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价大幅下跌,你可能被迫以800美元的价格买入股票,而这个价格可能高于市场价值。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix大幅暴跌,你的损失没有上限,但通过保证有足够的现金来买入股票,你可以管理这个风险。</p></li></ul><p><strong>3. 买入看涨期权(Long Call)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix持看涨观点,预计财报发布后股价会大幅上涨,你希望通过这种方式获取更大的上涨潜力。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你购买一个行权价等于或略高于当前股票价格的看涨期权。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入1份NFLX 830看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"NFLX 20250124 830.0 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"NFLX\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20830.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20250124 830.0 CALL$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix财报发布后股价大幅上涨,你的利润潜力是无限的。</p></li><li><p>杠杆效应:你可以以较低的初始成本控制更多的股票,而不是直接买入股票。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价没有按预期上涨,你将损失支付的期权溢价。</p></li><li><p>随着到期日的临近,时间价值(theta)会对你不利,因此股价需要尽快上涨。</p></li></ul><p><strong>4. 牛市看跌期权差价(Bull Put Spread)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix持适度看涨观点,预计股价会在财报发布后保持在某个水平以上,但你希望在限制风险的同时从这一预期中获利。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你卖出一个较高行权价的看跌期权,并买入一个较低行权价的看跌期权,两者到期日相同。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 810看跌期权</p></li><li><p>买入1份NFLX 780看跌期权</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20780.0%20PUT%20BUY%201%20%7C%20NFLX%2020250124%20810.0%20PUT%20SELL%201\" title=\"$NFLX Vertical 250124 780.0P/810.0P$\" class=\"\">$NFLX Vertical 250124 780.0P/810.0P$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>由于买入的看跌期权提供保护,风险有限,即使Netflix股价大幅下跌也能得到一定程度的保护。</p></li><li><p>卖出的看跌期权所收的溢价可以抵消购买低行权价看跌期权的费用。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价保持在较高行权价之上,这个策略效果最好。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>你的利润将限制在差价带来的净溢价收入。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价跌破810美元,你会出现亏损,尽管亏损会被保护性看跌期权所限制。</p></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e7e81e8c8e4209c7ece207fb482be282\" alt=\"\"/><strong>5. 看涨期权比率反向价差(Call Ratio Backspread)</strong></p><p><strong>适用时机</strong>:你对Netflix极为看涨,认为股价在财报发布后可能会大幅上涨。这个策略让你在控制风险的同时,能够从大幅上涨中获益。</p><p><strong>操作方式</strong>:你在较低行权价卖出较少的看涨期权,并在较高行权价买入更多的看涨期权。</p><p><strong>举例</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖出1份NFLX 850看涨期权</p></li><li><p>买入2份NFLX 880看涨期权</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NFLX%2020250124%20850.0%20CALL%20SELL%201%20%7C%20NFLX%2020250124%20880.0%20CALL%20BUY%202\" title=\"$NFLX Custom 250124 850.0C/880.0C$\" class=\"\">$NFLX Custom 250124 850.0C/880.0C$</a></p><p><strong>优点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价大幅上涨,你将因为持有的多个看涨期权而有很大的利润潜力。</p></li><li><p>如果Netflix股价没有太大波动或稍微跌了,你的风险仅限于差价的净成本。</p></li></ul><p><strong>缺点</strong>:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>如果Netflix股价没有大幅上涨,你可能会亏损。</p></li><li><p>这个策略在Netflix股价大幅上涨到高行权价之上时最为盈利。</p></li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/737ea914a517e1302b79af55b0501d78\" alt=\"\"/><strong>策略选择建议:</strong></p><p><strong>风险承受能力</strong>:如果你希望采用有限风险的策略,可以选择牛市看涨期权差价(bull call spread)或牛市看跌期权差价(bull put spread)。这两种策略都能让你获利,同时限制潜在损失。</p><p><strong>上涨潜力</strong>:如果你希望获得最大的上涨收益,购买看涨期权或长看涨期权差价(long call spread)可以提供杠杆效应,但如果Netflix股价没有按预期上涨,你可能会失去支付的溢价。</p><p><strong>收入导向</strong>:如果你希望收取期权溢价并且愿意以较低价格持有股票,卖出看跌期权可能是最好的选择。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347452cc99fb488c45ccd900fcf3aa20","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151602847","content_text":"2024年, 奈飞 以两场NFL足球赛、碧昂丝的中场秀和热门剧集《鱿鱼游戏》的回归为亮点结束。但Netflix的股价在2025年开局时遭遇下跌。投资者希望,随着下周季度财报的发布,这家视频流媒体巨头能够恢复势头。总部位于加州洛斯加图斯的公司将在下周二晚间公布其第四季度业绩。盈利预期与分析师观点根据FactSet的调查,分析师预计Netflix在截至12月31日的第四季度每股盈利4.20美元,销售额为101.2亿美元。而去年同期,Netflix的每股盈利为2.11美元,销售额为88.3亿美元。华尔街预计Netflix在第四季度全球新增820万订阅用户,总订阅人数将达到2.909亿。Rosenblatt的分析师Barton Crockett预测,Netflix在体育赛事方面的增长可能会推动其第四季度的订阅数超出预期。虽然下周的财报可能看起来不错,但Crockett对2025年第一季度的指引和未来的业绩持谨慎态度。Crockett表示:“Netflix将在2025年第一季度失去NFL广告带来的增益。一些为NFL圣诞赛或保罗/泰森比赛加入的用户可能会取消订阅。”Wedbush证券分析师Alicia Reese维持Netflix股票的“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为950美元。Reese在给客户的报告中表示:“Netflix在流媒体大战中已建立了几乎无可超越的领先地位。Netflix能够保持其竞争壁垒,同时竞争对手努力复制其商业模式。”2024年,Netflix股票上涨了83%。截至本周四收盘,Netflix股价已经下跌了5.49%,目前为842.37美元。如果你想在Netflix财报发布时进行交易,这里有几个期权策略:1. 牛市看涨期权差价(Bull Call Spread)适用时机:如果你预计Netflix在财报发布后会适度上涨,但不认为它会暴涨。这个策略适用于一种有控制的看涨投资,风险和回报都是可定义的。操作方式:你购买一个较低行权价的看涨期权,并卖出一个较高行权价的看涨期权,两个期权的到期日相同。举例:买入1份NFLX 830的看涨期权(当前价格)卖出1份NFLX 870的看涨期权$NFLX Custom 250124 830.0C/870.0P$优点:限制了潜在的利润和损失。相比直接购买裸看涨期权,这种方式成本较低,因为卖出看涨期权的溢价可以抵消买入低行权价看涨期权的费用。缺点:你的最大利润受限于两个行权价的差额减去净溢价。如果股价超过870美元的行权价,你的利润将不再增长。2. 卖出看跌期权(现金担保看跌期权)适用时机:你对Netflix持看涨观点,但愿意在价格较低时购买。这个策略允许你在同时赚取期权溢价收入的同时,可能以折扣价买入股票。操作方式:你卖出一个低于当前市场价格的看跌期权。如果Netflix股价跌破该价格,你将需要以该行权价买入Netflix股票。举例:卖出1份NFLX 800看跌期权$NFLX 20250124 800.0 PUT$优点:通过卖出看跌期权,你可以收取溢价收入。如果Netflix股价保持在800美元以上,你将保留溢价作为利润。如果Netflix股价跌破800美元,你可能会以折扣价买入股票,这也是你最初的计划。缺点:如果Netflix股价大幅下跌,你可能被迫以800美元的价格买入股票,而这个价格可能高于市场价值。如果Netflix大幅暴跌,你的损失没有上限,但通过保证有足够的现金来买入股票,你可以管理这个风险。3. 买入看涨期权(Long Call)适用时机:你对Netflix持看涨观点,预计财报发布后股价会大幅上涨,你希望通过这种方式获取更大的上涨潜力。操作方式:你购买一个行权价等于或略高于当前股票价格的看涨期权。举例:买入1份NFLX 830看涨期权$NFLX 20250124 830.0 CALL$优点:如果Netflix财报发布后股价大幅上涨,你的利润潜力是无限的。杠杆效应:你可以以较低的初始成本控制更多的股票,而不是直接买入股票。缺点:如果Netflix股价没有按预期上涨,你将损失支付的期权溢价。随着到期日的临近,时间价值(theta)会对你不利,因此股价需要尽快上涨。4. 牛市看跌期权差价(Bull Put Spread)适用时机:你对Netflix持适度看涨观点,预计股价会在财报发布后保持在某个水平以上,但你希望在限制风险的同时从这一预期中获利。操作方式:你卖出一个较高行权价的看跌期权,并买入一个较低行权价的看跌期权,两者到期日相同。举例:卖出1份NFLX 810看跌期权买入1份NFLX 780看跌期权$NFLX Vertical 250124 780.0P/810.0P$优点:由于买入的看跌期权提供保护,风险有限,即使Netflix股价大幅下跌也能得到一定程度的保护。卖出的看跌期权所收的溢价可以抵消购买低行权价看跌期权的费用。如果Netflix股价保持在较高行权价之上,这个策略效果最好。缺点:你的利润将限制在差价带来的净溢价收入。如果Netflix股价跌破810美元,你会出现亏损,尽管亏损会被保护性看跌期权所限制。5. 看涨期权比率反向价差(Call Ratio Backspread)适用时机:你对Netflix极为看涨,认为股价在财报发布后可能会大幅上涨。这个策略让你在控制风险的同时,能够从大幅上涨中获益。操作方式:你在较低行权价卖出较少的看涨期权,并在较高行权价买入更多的看涨期权。举例:卖出1份NFLX 850看涨期权买入2份NFLX 880看涨期权$NFLX Custom 250124 850.0C/880.0C$优点:如果Netflix股价大幅上涨,你将因为持有的多个看涨期权而有很大的利润潜力。如果Netflix股价没有太大波动或稍微跌了,你的风险仅限于差价的净成本。缺点:如果Netflix股价没有大幅上涨,你可能会亏损。这个策略在Netflix股价大幅上涨到高行权价之上时最为盈利。策略选择建议:风险承受能力:如果你希望采用有限风险的策略,可以选择牛市看涨期权差价(bull call spread)或牛市看跌期权差价(bull put spread)。这两种策略都能让你获利,同时限制潜在损失。上涨潜力:如果你希望获得最大的上涨收益,购买看涨期权或长看涨期权差价(long call spread)可以提供杠杆效应,但如果Netflix股价没有按预期上涨,你可能会失去支付的溢价。收入导向:如果你希望收取期权溢价并且愿意以较低价格持有股票,卖出看跌期权可能是最好的选择。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}