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Simplehuman

Simplehuman

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2021-12-14

Momentum trading comes with a big price tag. Stay prudent and diligent to invest in what you can understand. Prefer to stick to firms with sound and sustainable financials and long term growth plans that do not distract investors by speculative and sensational news.

Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote>

2021-12-16

There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.

Why the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote>

2021-12-18

Kiv

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2021-12-28

Will the demand in China faced competition by their own Ev developments ?

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2021-12-09

When we are not paying for the product, we are the product itself. =)

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2021-12-26

Stable stocks to have in the portfolio

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2021-12-15

More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road

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2021-12-10

Great

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2021-12-02

Dollar cost averaging for the long term

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2021-12-28

Hope the rally sustains into 2022!

U.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote>

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the rally sustains into 2022!","text":"Hope the rally sustains into 2022!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696671584","repostId":"1152146895","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152146895","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640687409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152146895?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 18:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152146895","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&P 500 amid lower liqui","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&amp;P 500 amid lower liquidity in the last days of the year.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，此前一天，由于今年最后几天流动性较低，标普500收盘创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 added 0.2% after the&nbsp;broad-market index rallied 1.4%&nbsp;on Monday. Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.4%, pointing to gains in technology stocks after the opening bell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>周一大盘指数上涨1.4%后，与标普500相关的期货上涨0.2%。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.4%，指向开盘后科技股上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have been buffeted by the spread of the Omicron variant in recent weeks as governments around the world have imposed restrictions to try to curb infections. But some recent studies have suggested that the variant might result in milder illness with a&nbsp;lower risk of hospitalization.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，随着世界各国政府采取限制措施试图遏制感染，股市受到奥密克戎变种病毒传播的打击。但最近的一些研究表明，这种变异可能会导致较轻的疾病，住院风险较低。</blockquote></p><p> The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention&nbsp;reduced the recommended isolation period&nbsp;for some people who test positive to try to minimize disruptions. Still,&nbsp;many economists have lowered&nbsp;their forecasts for economic growth in the first quarter of next year.</p><p><blockquote>疾病控制和预防中心缩短了一些检测呈阳性的人的建议隔离期，以尽量减少干扰。尽管如此，许多经济学家还是下调了对明年第一季度经济增长的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “What is emanating from markets is the faith that Omicron won’t be able to disrupt the economic recovery,” said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management. “There is no visible risk reduction.” That is partly due to lower liquidity from fewer people working around the holidays, he added.&nbsp;Stock investors have also enjoyed a phenomenon known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Indexes such as the S&amp;P 500 have a tendency to rise in the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year. Such a rally takes place at the end of about four of every five years, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p><blockquote>忠利保险资产管理公司投资主管Antonio Cavarero表示：“市场产生的信念是，奥密克戎将无法破坏经济复苏。”“没有明显的风险降低。”他补充说，这部分是由于假期期间工作人员减少导致流动性下降。股票投资者也享受到了一种被称为“圣诞老人反弹”的现象。标普500等指数在一年的最后五天和新年的前两天有上涨的趋势。根据股票交易者年鉴，大约每五年中有四年会出现这样的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> “It happens because people start positioning. People are reading everyone’s 2022 estimates and planning for next year,” said Jeffrey Meyers, a consultant to hedge funds and family offices at Market Securities.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.472% from 1.480% on Monday, declining for a third consecutive day. Shorter-dated bond yields rose, with the two-year yield reaching 0.756%, the highest level since March 2020.Fresh data on the housing market is slated to go out at 9 a.m. ET. The S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index measures the average home prices across major metropolitan areas in the U.S. Economists expect a rise for the year that ended in October, driven by a limited supply of homes.</p><p><blockquote>Market Securities对冲基金和家族办公室顾问杰弗里·迈耶斯(Jeffrey Meyers)表示：“发生这种情况是因为人们开始定位。人们正在阅读每个人对2022年的估计，并为明年做计划。”基准10年期国债收益率从周一的1.480%下滑至1.472%，连续第三天下跌。短期债券收益率上升，两年期收益率达到0.756%，为2020年3月以来最高水平。房地产市场的最新数据定于美国东部时间上午9点公布。S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller全国房价指数衡量美国主要大都市地区的平均房价。经济学家预计，在房屋供应有限的推动下，截至10月份的一年房价将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season has largely wound down. Among the few still reporting is egg producer Cal-Maine Foods, which is expected to post its results Tuesday after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>财报季已基本结束。鸡蛋生产商Cal-Maine Foods是少数仍在报告的公司之一，预计该公司将于周二收盘后公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices ticked up, with global benchmark Brent crude adding 0.2% to $78.41 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨，全球基准布伦特原油上涨0.2%，至每桶78.41美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin slipped around 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, trading around $49,300. The cryptocurrency has oscillated around the $50,000 mark for the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>比特币股价较下午5点下跌约3%。美国东部时间周一，交易价格约为49,300美元。过去五天，这种加密货币一直在50,000美元大关附近波动。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 added 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Turkish lira weakened 1.8% to 11.9 to the dollar. The currency had strengthened after the government announced&nbsp;a new economic plan last week.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其里拉兑美元汇率下跌1.8%至11.9。在政府上周宣布新的经济计划后，货币走强。</blockquote></p><p> “[President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ] may have bought Turkey some time but it’s still not a great story,” Mr. Meyers said. Speculative investors likely closed out short positions ahead of the long holiday weekend and may now be putting them back on, weighing on the lira, he said.In Asia, most major benchmarks rose. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.4%, led by gains in technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>“[总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安]可能已经赢得了土耳其一段时间，但这仍然不是一个伟大的故事，”迈耶斯先生说。他表示，投机性投资者可能在长假周末之前平仓空头头寸，现在可能会重新建仓，给里拉带来压力。在亚洲，大多数主要基准指数上涨。在科技股上涨的带动下，上证综合指数上涨0.4%，日本日经225指数上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;China Evergrande Groupjumped 9.5%. The heavily indebted real-estate developer said&nbsp;construction work had resumed&nbsp;at more than 90% of its stalled residential projects. It also said it was delivering apartments faster to home buyers.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大集团股价上涨9.5%。这家负债累累的房地产开发商表示，其停滞的住宅项目90%以上的建设工作已经恢复。该公司还表示，正在更快地向购房者交付公寓。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-28 18:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&amp;P 500 amid lower liquidity in the last days of the year.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，此前一天，由于今年最后几天流动性较低，标普500收盘创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 added 0.2% after the&nbsp;broad-market index rallied 1.4%&nbsp;on Monday. Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.4%, pointing to gains in technology stocks after the opening bell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>周一大盘指数上涨1.4%后，与标普500相关的期货上涨0.2%。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.4%，指向开盘后科技股上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have been buffeted by the spread of the Omicron variant in recent weeks as governments around the world have imposed restrictions to try to curb infections. But some recent studies have suggested that the variant might result in milder illness with a&nbsp;lower risk of hospitalization.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，随着世界各国政府采取限制措施试图遏制感染，股市受到奥密克戎变种病毒传播的打击。但最近的一些研究表明，这种变异可能会导致较轻的疾病，住院风险较低。</blockquote></p><p> The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention&nbsp;reduced the recommended isolation period&nbsp;for some people who test positive to try to minimize disruptions. Still,&nbsp;many economists have lowered&nbsp;their forecasts for economic growth in the first quarter of next year.</p><p><blockquote>疾病控制和预防中心缩短了一些检测呈阳性的人的建议隔离期，以尽量减少干扰。尽管如此，许多经济学家还是下调了对明年第一季度经济增长的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “What is emanating from markets is the faith that Omicron won’t be able to disrupt the economic recovery,” said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management. “There is no visible risk reduction.” That is partly due to lower liquidity from fewer people working around the holidays, he added.&nbsp;Stock investors have also enjoyed a phenomenon known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Indexes such as the S&amp;P 500 have a tendency to rise in the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year. Such a rally takes place at the end of about four of every five years, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p><blockquote>忠利保险资产管理公司投资主管Antonio Cavarero表示：“市场产生的信念是，奥密克戎将无法破坏经济复苏。”“没有明显的风险降低。”他补充说，这部分是由于假期期间工作人员减少导致流动性下降。股票投资者也享受到了一种被称为“圣诞老人反弹”的现象。标普500等指数在一年的最后五天和新年的前两天有上涨的趋势。根据股票交易者年鉴，大约每五年中有四年会出现这样的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> “It happens because people start positioning. People are reading everyone’s 2022 estimates and planning for next year,” said Jeffrey Meyers, a consultant to hedge funds and family offices at Market Securities.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.472% from 1.480% on Monday, declining for a third consecutive day. Shorter-dated bond yields rose, with the two-year yield reaching 0.756%, the highest level since March 2020.Fresh data on the housing market is slated to go out at 9 a.m. ET. The S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index measures the average home prices across major metropolitan areas in the U.S. Economists expect a rise for the year that ended in October, driven by a limited supply of homes.</p><p><blockquote>Market Securities对冲基金和家族办公室顾问杰弗里·迈耶斯(Jeffrey Meyers)表示：“发生这种情况是因为人们开始定位。人们正在阅读每个人对2022年的估计，并为明年做计划。”基准10年期国债收益率从周一的1.480%下滑至1.472%，连续第三天下跌。短期债券收益率上升，两年期收益率达到0.756%，为2020年3月以来最高水平。房地产市场的最新数据定于美国东部时间上午9点公布。S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller全国房价指数衡量美国主要大都市地区的平均房价。经济学家预计，在房屋供应有限的推动下，截至10月份的一年房价将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season has largely wound down. Among the few still reporting is egg producer Cal-Maine Foods, which is expected to post its results Tuesday after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>财报季已基本结束。鸡蛋生产商Cal-Maine Foods是少数仍在报告的公司之一，预计该公司将于周二收盘后公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices ticked up, with global benchmark Brent crude adding 0.2% to $78.41 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨，全球基准布伦特原油上涨0.2%，至每桶78.41美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin slipped around 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, trading around $49,300. The cryptocurrency has oscillated around the $50,000 mark for the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>比特币股价较下午5点下跌约3%。美国东部时间周一，交易价格约为49,300美元。过去五天，这种加密货币一直在50,000美元大关附近波动。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 added 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Turkish lira weakened 1.8% to 11.9 to the dollar. The currency had strengthened after the government announced&nbsp;a new economic plan last week.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其里拉兑美元汇率下跌1.8%至11.9。在政府上周宣布新的经济计划后，货币走强。</blockquote></p><p> “[President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ] may have bought Turkey some time but it’s still not a great story,” Mr. Meyers said. Speculative investors likely closed out short positions ahead of the long holiday weekend and may now be putting them back on, weighing on the lira, he said.In Asia, most major benchmarks rose. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.4%, led by gains in technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>“[总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安]可能已经赢得了土耳其一段时间，但这仍然不是一个伟大的故事，”迈耶斯先生说。他表示，投机性投资者可能在长假周末之前平仓空头头寸，现在可能会重新建仓，给里拉带来压力。在亚洲，大多数主要基准指数上涨。在科技股上涨的带动下，上证综合指数上涨0.4%，日本日经225指数上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;China Evergrande Groupjumped 9.5%. The heavily indebted real-estate developer said&nbsp;construction work had resumed&nbsp;at more than 90% of its stalled residential projects. It also said it was delivering apartments faster to home buyers.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大集团股价上涨9.5%。这家负债累累的房地产开发商表示，其停滞的住宅项目90%以上的建设工作已经恢复。该公司还表示，正在更快地向购房者交付公寓。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-28-2021-11640680761?mod=markets_lead_pos1\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-28-2021-11640680761?mod=markets_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152146895","content_text":"U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&P 500 amid lower liquidity in the last days of the year.\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 added 0.2% after the broad-market index rallied 1.4% on Monday. Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.4%, pointing to gains in technology stocks after the opening bell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 0.2%.\nStocks have been buffeted by the spread of the Omicron variant in recent weeks as governments around the world have imposed restrictions to try to curb infections. But some recent studies have suggested that the variant might result in milder illness with a lower risk of hospitalization.\nThe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reduced the recommended isolation period for some people who test positive to try to minimize disruptions. Still, many economists have lowered their forecasts for economic growth in the first quarter of next year.\n“What is emanating from markets is the faith that Omicron won’t be able to disrupt the economic recovery,” said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management. “There is no visible risk reduction.” That is partly due to lower liquidity from fewer people working around the holidays, he added. Stock investors have also enjoyed a phenomenon known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Indexes such as the S&P 500 have a tendency to rise in the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year. Such a rally takes place at the end of about four of every five years, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.\n“It happens because people start positioning. People are reading everyone’s 2022 estimates and planning for next year,” said Jeffrey Meyers, a consultant to hedge funds and family offices at Market Securities.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.472% from 1.480% on Monday, declining for a third consecutive day. Shorter-dated bond yields rose, with the two-year yield reaching 0.756%, the highest level since March 2020.Fresh data on the housing market is slated to go out at 9 a.m. ET. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index measures the average home prices across major metropolitan areas in the U.S. Economists expect a rise for the year that ended in October, driven by a limited supply of homes.\nEarnings season has largely wound down. Among the few still reporting is egg producer Cal-Maine Foods, which is expected to post its results Tuesday after markets close.\nOil prices ticked up, with global benchmark Brent crude adding 0.2% to $78.41 a barrel.\nBitcoin slipped around 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, trading around $49,300. The cryptocurrency has oscillated around the $50,000 mark for the past five days.\nOverseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 added 0.5%.\nThe Turkish lira weakened 1.8% to 11.9 to the dollar. The currency had strengthened after the government announced a new economic plan last week.\n“[President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ] may have bought Turkey some time but it’s still not a great story,” Mr. Meyers said. Speculative investors likely closed out short positions ahead of the long holiday weekend and may now be putting them back on, weighing on the lira, he said.In Asia, most major benchmarks rose. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.4%, led by gains in technology stocks.\nShares of China Evergrande Groupjumped 9.5%. The heavily indebted real-estate developer said construction work had resumed at more than 90% of its stalled residential projects. It also said it was delivering apartments faster to home buyers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696312379,"gmtCreate":1640617300890,"gmtModify":1640617301000,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Post holiday exuberance&nbsp;","listText":"Post holiday exuberance&nbsp;","text":"Post holiday exuberance","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696312379","repostId":"1127965945","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127965945","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640615563,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127965945?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 opens at record after holidays, but airline shares slide following Covid cancellations<blockquote>标普500假期后开盘创历史新高，但航空公司股价因新冠疫情取消而下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127965945","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock indexes rose Monday as markets reopened after the Christmas holiday and investors assessed the spread of the omicron Covid-19 variant.The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 115 points, or 0.3%. The S&P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.4%.Airline stocks fell after a holiday weekend that saw thousands of flights canceled due to Covid-related issues. The rampant spread of the omicron variant led to a staffing shortage at a time when airlines were looking to ramp","content":"<p>U.S. stock indexes rose Monday as markets reopened after the Christmas holiday and investors assessed the spread of the omicron Covid-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>随着圣诞节假期后市场重新开放以及投资者评估奥密克戎Covid-19变种的传播情况，美国股指周一上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 115 points, or 0.3%. The S&amp;P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约115点，即0.3%。标普500上涨0.4%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Airline stocks fell after a holiday weekend that saw thousands of flights canceled due to Covid-related issues. The rampant spread of the omicron variant led to a staffing shortage at a time when airlines were looking to ramp up their schedules to meet high travel demand.</p><p><blockquote>由于新冠疫情相关问题，数千个航班被取消，航空公司股票在假期周末下跌。在航空公司希望增加航班时刻表以满足高旅行需求之际，奥密克戎变种的猖獗传播导致了人员短缺。</blockquote></p><p> United Airlines,&nbsp;American Airlines&nbsp;and&nbsp;Delta Air Lines&nbsp;all lost more than 3%.</p><p><blockquote>美联航、美国航空和达美航空跌幅均超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cruise line shares also retreated after Covid&nbsp;outbreaks on ships. Carnival slid 4.5%, Royal Caribbean lost 4% and Norwegian Cruise Lineslid 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>在船舶上爆发新冠疫情后，邮轮公司的股价也下跌。嘉年华下跌4.5%，皇家加勒比下跌4%，挪威邮轮下跌4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> However, market strategists remained positive on the overall equity outlook amid the surge in Covid cases. New studies&nbsp;suggest that omicron has a lower risk of hospitalization&nbsp;than other Covid variants.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在新冠病例激增的情况下，市场策略师对整体股市前景仍持乐观态度。新的研究表明，与其他Covid变种相比，奥密克戎的住院风险更低。</blockquote></p><p> “We do not expect Omicron to impact the growth outlook in any significant way, but rather it is likely to accelerate the end of the pandemic,” JPMorgan’s Dubravko Lakos-Bujas said in a note Monday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通的杜布拉夫科·拉科斯-布哈斯周一在一份报告中表示：“我们预计奥密克戎不会对增长前景产生任何重大影响，但它可能会加速疫情的结束。”</blockquote></p><p> U.S. infectious disease expertDr. Anthony Fauci&nbsp;said Sunday&nbsp;that cases of Covid-19 are likely going to keep surging as the omicron variant rapidly spreads across the globe.&nbsp;Fauci warned against getting complacent.</p><p><blockquote>美国传染病专家Dr。福奇周日表示，随着奥密克戎病毒变种在全球迅速传播，新冠肺炎病例可能会继续激增。福奇警告不要自满。</blockquote></p><p> “Every day it goes up and up. The last weekly average was about 150,000 and it likely will go much higher,”&nbsp;Fauci said on ABC’s “This Week.”</p><p><blockquote>福奇在美国广播公司的“本周”节目中表示：“每天都在上升。上周的平均水平约为15万，而且可能会更高。”</blockquote></p><p> Holiday sales rose 8.5%&nbsp;in 2021 from last year, the fastest pace in 17 years, according to Mastercard data. The results came despite a backdrop of supply chain disruptions, higher prices and the omicron variant in the last few weeks of shopping.</p><p><blockquote>万事达卡数据显示，2021年假日销售额较去年增长8.5%，为17年来最快增速。尽管供应链中断、价格上涨以及过去几周购物的奥密克戎变体，但这一结果还是出现了。</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, shares of GoDaddy jumped 6.6% after&nbsp;reportsthat activist investor Starboard Value LP took a 6.5% stake in the domain registrar.</p><p><blockquote>在其他地方，有报道称激进投资者Starboard Value LP持有该域名注册商6.5%的股份后，GoDaddy股价上涨6.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors are looking for a&nbsp;Santa Claus rally&nbsp;to close out a year in which the S&amp;P 500 has gained a whopping 25.8%. The benchmark index historically gains during the Santa Claus rally period — the final five trading days of the current year and the first two of the new year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在寻找圣诞老人反弹来结束标普500上涨25.8%的一年。历史上，基准指数在圣诞老人反弹期间（当年的最后五个交易日和新年的前两个交易日）上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 opens at record after holidays, but airline shares slide following Covid cancellations<blockquote>标普500假期后开盘创历史新高，但航空公司股价因新冠疫情取消而下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 opens at record after holidays, but airline shares slide following Covid cancellations<blockquote>标普500假期后开盘创历史新高，但航空公司股价因新冠疫情取消而下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-27 22:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock indexes rose Monday as markets reopened after the Christmas holiday and investors assessed the spread of the omicron Covid-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>随着圣诞节假期后市场重新开放以及投资者评估奥密克戎Covid-19变种的传播情况，美国股指周一上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 115 points, or 0.3%. The S&amp;P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约115点，即0.3%。标普500上涨0.4%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Airline stocks fell after a holiday weekend that saw thousands of flights canceled due to Covid-related issues. The rampant spread of the omicron variant led to a staffing shortage at a time when airlines were looking to ramp up their schedules to meet high travel demand.</p><p><blockquote>由于新冠疫情相关问题，数千个航班被取消，航空公司股票在假期周末下跌。在航空公司希望增加航班时刻表以满足高旅行需求之际，奥密克戎变种的猖獗传播导致了人员短缺。</blockquote></p><p> United Airlines,&nbsp;American Airlines&nbsp;and&nbsp;Delta Air Lines&nbsp;all lost more than 3%.</p><p><blockquote>美联航、美国航空和达美航空跌幅均超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cruise line shares also retreated after Covid&nbsp;outbreaks on ships. Carnival slid 4.5%, Royal Caribbean lost 4% and Norwegian Cruise Lineslid 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>在船舶上爆发新冠疫情后，邮轮公司的股价也下跌。嘉年华下跌4.5%，皇家加勒比下跌4%，挪威邮轮下跌4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> However, market strategists remained positive on the overall equity outlook amid the surge in Covid cases. New studies&nbsp;suggest that omicron has a lower risk of hospitalization&nbsp;than other Covid variants.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在新冠病例激增的情况下，市场策略师对整体股市前景仍持乐观态度。新的研究表明，与其他Covid变种相比，奥密克戎的住院风险更低。</blockquote></p><p> “We do not expect Omicron to impact the growth outlook in any significant way, but rather it is likely to accelerate the end of the pandemic,” JPMorgan’s Dubravko Lakos-Bujas said in a note Monday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通的杜布拉夫科·拉科斯-布哈斯周一在一份报告中表示：“我们预计奥密克戎不会对增长前景产生任何重大影响，但它可能会加速疫情的结束。”</blockquote></p><p> U.S. infectious disease expertDr. Anthony Fauci&nbsp;said Sunday&nbsp;that cases of Covid-19 are likely going to keep surging as the omicron variant rapidly spreads across the globe.&nbsp;Fauci warned against getting complacent.</p><p><blockquote>美国传染病专家Dr。福奇周日表示，随着奥密克戎病毒变种在全球迅速传播，新冠肺炎病例可能会继续激增。福奇警告不要自满。</blockquote></p><p> “Every day it goes up and up. The last weekly average was about 150,000 and it likely will go much higher,”&nbsp;Fauci said on ABC’s “This Week.”</p><p><blockquote>福奇在美国广播公司的“本周”节目中表示：“每天都在上升。上周的平均水平约为15万，而且可能会更高。”</blockquote></p><p> Holiday sales rose 8.5%&nbsp;in 2021 from last year, the fastest pace in 17 years, according to Mastercard data. The results came despite a backdrop of supply chain disruptions, higher prices and the omicron variant in the last few weeks of shopping.</p><p><blockquote>万事达卡数据显示，2021年假日销售额较去年增长8.5%，为17年来最快增速。尽管供应链中断、价格上涨以及过去几周购物的奥密克戎变体，但这一结果还是出现了。</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, shares of GoDaddy jumped 6.6% after&nbsp;reportsthat activist investor Starboard Value LP took a 6.5% stake in the domain registrar.</p><p><blockquote>在其他地方，有报道称激进投资者Starboard Value LP持有该域名注册商6.5%的股份后，GoDaddy股价上涨6.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors are looking for a&nbsp;Santa Claus rally&nbsp;to close out a year in which the S&amp;P 500 has gained a whopping 25.8%. The benchmark index historically gains during the Santa Claus rally period — the final five trading days of the current year and the first two of the new year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在寻找圣诞老人反弹来结束标普500上涨25.8%的一年。历史上，基准指数在圣诞老人反弹期间（当年的最后五个交易日和新年的前两个交易日）上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127965945","content_text":"U.S. stock indexes rose Monday as markets reopened after the Christmas holiday and investors assessed the spread of the omicron Covid-19 variant.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 115 points, or 0.3%. The S&P 500 added 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.4%.\n\nAirline stocks fell after a holiday weekend that saw thousands of flights canceled due to Covid-related issues. The rampant spread of the omicron variant led to a staffing shortage at a time when airlines were looking to ramp up their schedules to meet high travel demand.\n\nUnited Airlines, American Airlines and Delta Air Lines all lost more than 3%.\nCruise line shares also retreated after Covid outbreaks on ships. Carnival slid 4.5%, Royal Caribbean lost 4% and Norwegian Cruise Lineslid 4.7%.\nHowever, market strategists remained positive on the overall equity outlook amid the surge in Covid cases. New studies suggest that omicron has a lower risk of hospitalization than other Covid variants.\n“We do not expect Omicron to impact the growth outlook in any significant way, but rather it is likely to accelerate the end of the pandemic,” JPMorgan’s Dubravko Lakos-Bujas said in a note Monday.\nU.S. infectious disease expertDr. Anthony Fauci said Sunday that cases of Covid-19 are likely going to keep surging as the omicron variant rapidly spreads across the globe. Fauci warned against getting complacent.\n“Every day it goes up and up. The last weekly average was about 150,000 and it likely will go much higher,” Fauci said on ABC’s “This Week.”\nHoliday sales rose 8.5% in 2021 from last year, the fastest pace in 17 years, according to Mastercard data. The results came despite a backdrop of supply chain disruptions, higher prices and the omicron variant in the last few weeks of shopping.\nElsewhere, shares of GoDaddy jumped 6.6% after reportsthat activist investor Starboard Value LP took a 6.5% stake in the domain registrar.\nInvestors are looking for a Santa Claus rally to close out a year in which the S&P 500 has gained a whopping 25.8%. The benchmark index historically gains during the Santa Claus rally period — the final five trading days of the current year and the first two of the new year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696037161,"gmtCreate":1640572082487,"gmtModify":1640572082594,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay discipline and be patient","listText":"Stay discipline and be patient","text":"Stay discipline and be patient","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696037161","repostId":"1194851655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698476779,"gmtCreate":1640518265067,"gmtModify":1640518265176,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stable stocks to have in the portfolio","listText":"Stable stocks to have in the portfolio","text":"Stable stocks to have in the portfolio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698476779","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698476845,"gmtCreate":1640518176504,"gmtModify":1640518176648,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good to know","listText":"Good to know","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698476845","repostId":"2193173436","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698131846,"gmtCreate":1640315252699,"gmtModify":1640315920424,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep it up","listText":"Keep it up","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698131846","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698197229,"gmtCreate":1640314790204,"gmtModify":1640315782397,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth","listText":"Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth","text":"Correction is healthy to ensure stable growth","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698197229","repostId":"2193140885","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2193140885","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1640309327,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2193140885?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't expect stock market volatility to subside in 2022<blockquote>不要指望2022年股市波动会消退</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193140885","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"A volatility storm 'usually takes years to exhaust itself': DataTrek's Colas\nBumpy road.Oli Scarff/A","content":"<p>A volatility storm 'usually takes years to exhaust itself': DataTrek's Colas</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek的Colas：波动风暴“通常需要数年时间才能耗尽”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49edd48397e8be4083de116280d09100\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Bumpy road.Oli Scarff/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>坎坷的道路。奥利·斯卡夫/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Get ready for another year of above average stock-market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>为又一年高于平均水平的股市波动做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> According to Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, history suggests that the jump in volatility that accompanied the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020 is likely to endure well into 2022.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人尼古拉斯·科拉斯(Nicholas Colas)表示，历史表明，伴随2020年初新冠肺炎疫情到来的波动性飙升可能会持续到2022年。</blockquote></p><p> \"Volatility comes as a storm, and it usually takes years for it to exhaust itself,\" Colas said in a Thursday note.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯在周四的一份报告中表示：“波动就像一场风暴，通常需要数年时间才能耗尽。”</blockquote></p><p> The Cboe Volatility Index , a measure of expected S&amp;P 500 volatility over the coming 30-day period, has generally been above its long-term average of 19.5 for the last two years, Colas observed (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>Colas观察到，衡量未来30天标普500预期波动性的Cboe波动性指数在过去两年中普遍高于19.5的长期平均水平（见下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1715c5ddf1719a9e1916f4b442288739\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"265\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DataTrek Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>DataTrek研究</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is reasonable to believe that U.S. equity volatility will on average be lower in 2022 than 2020, when the VIX had a daily average of 26.2, he said, and will likely come in much like 2021, which has seen a daily average of 19.7. But as the chart shows, volatility can run above or below average for years, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，有理由相信，2022年美国股市的平均波动率将低于2020年，当时VIX的日均波动率为26.2，并且可能会与2021年的日均波动率非常相似，2021年的日均波动率为19.7。但他指出，正如图表所示，波动性可能多年来高于或低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> He observed that the first Gulf War in 1991 caused a spike in volatility that lasted only 18 months, while the period from the 1997 Asia Crisis through the dot-com bubble of 2000, 9/11 and Iraq War from 2003 saw the VIX remain over 19.5 for the better part of seven years. And the global financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent eurozone debt crisis of 2010-2014 kept U.S. equity volatility elevated for five years.</p><p><blockquote>他观察到，1991年第一次海湾战争导致波动性飙升，仅持续了18个月，而从1997年亚洲危机到2000年互联网泡沫、9/11和2003年伊拉克战争期间，VIX在七年的大部分时间里都保持在19.5以上。2008年的全球金融危机和随后2010-2014年的欧元区债务危机使美国股市波动性持续了五年。</blockquote></p><p> That said, the \"bear case\" for volatility, which is therefore bullish for stocks, rests with corporate-earnings power, Colas said, reiterating that DataTrek expects Wall Street's 2022 estimates to prove too low, with upside earnings surprises likely to keep equity prices stable or rising. The bull case for volatility, which would be bearish for stocks, rests with the uncertainties around economic growth and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy as it addresses inflation, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Colas表示，尽管如此，波动性的“看跌理由”（因此对股市有利）取决于企业盈利能力，并重申DataTrek预计华尔街对2022年的预期将被证明太低，盈利意外上行可能会使股价保持稳定或上升。他表示，波动性的牛市理由在于经济增长和美联储应对通胀的利率政策的不确定性，这将对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes are on track for strong gains in 2021 despite historically elevated volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 17.5% for the year to date, while the S&amp;P 500 has advanced 25.8% and the Nasdaq Composite is up 21.5%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管波动性处于历史高位，但主要股指仍有望在2021年强劲上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数今年迄今已上涨17.5%，标普500上涨25.8%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨21.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect 2022 to look a lot like 2021 in terms of market churn because, well, the investment issues are largely the same: Pandemic concerns, inflation, etc.,\" Colas wrote. \"U.S. equities can do well in that environment; 2021 shows that. We just need corporate earnings to come through, and we remain confident they will.\"</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯写道：“我们预计2022年的市场流失与2021年非常相似，因为投资问题基本相同：大流行担忧、通货膨胀等。”“在这种环境下，美国股市可以表现良好；2021年就表明了这一点。我们只需要企业盈利就可以实现，我们仍然相信他们会实现。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't expect stock market volatility to subside in 2022<blockquote>不要指望2022年股市波动会消退</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't expect stock market volatility to subside in 2022<blockquote>不要指望2022年股市波动会消退</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 09:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A volatility storm 'usually takes years to exhaust itself': DataTrek's Colas</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek的Colas：波动风暴“通常需要数年时间才能耗尽”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49edd48397e8be4083de116280d09100\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Bumpy road.Oli Scarff/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>坎坷的道路。奥利·斯卡夫/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Get ready for another year of above average stock-market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>为又一年高于平均水平的股市波动做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> According to Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, history suggests that the jump in volatility that accompanied the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020 is likely to endure well into 2022.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人尼古拉斯·科拉斯(Nicholas Colas)表示，历史表明，伴随2020年初新冠肺炎疫情到来的波动性飙升可能会持续到2022年。</blockquote></p><p> \"Volatility comes as a storm, and it usually takes years for it to exhaust itself,\" Colas said in a Thursday note.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯在周四的一份报告中表示：“波动就像一场风暴，通常需要数年时间才能耗尽。”</blockquote></p><p> The Cboe Volatility Index , a measure of expected S&amp;P 500 volatility over the coming 30-day period, has generally been above its long-term average of 19.5 for the last two years, Colas observed (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>Colas观察到，衡量未来30天标普500预期波动性的Cboe波动性指数在过去两年中普遍高于19.5的长期平均水平（见下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1715c5ddf1719a9e1916f4b442288739\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"265\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DataTrek Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>DataTrek研究</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is reasonable to believe that U.S. equity volatility will on average be lower in 2022 than 2020, when the VIX had a daily average of 26.2, he said, and will likely come in much like 2021, which has seen a daily average of 19.7. But as the chart shows, volatility can run above or below average for years, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，有理由相信，2022年美国股市的平均波动率将低于2020年，当时VIX的日均波动率为26.2，并且可能会与2021年的日均波动率非常相似，2021年的日均波动率为19.7。但他指出，正如图表所示，波动性可能多年来高于或低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> He observed that the first Gulf War in 1991 caused a spike in volatility that lasted only 18 months, while the period from the 1997 Asia Crisis through the dot-com bubble of 2000, 9/11 and Iraq War from 2003 saw the VIX remain over 19.5 for the better part of seven years. And the global financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent eurozone debt crisis of 2010-2014 kept U.S. equity volatility elevated for five years.</p><p><blockquote>他观察到，1991年第一次海湾战争导致波动性飙升，仅持续了18个月，而从1997年亚洲危机到2000年互联网泡沫、9/11和2003年伊拉克战争期间，VIX在七年的大部分时间里都保持在19.5以上。2008年的全球金融危机和随后2010-2014年的欧元区债务危机使美国股市波动性持续了五年。</blockquote></p><p> That said, the \"bear case\" for volatility, which is therefore bullish for stocks, rests with corporate-earnings power, Colas said, reiterating that DataTrek expects Wall Street's 2022 estimates to prove too low, with upside earnings surprises likely to keep equity prices stable or rising. The bull case for volatility, which would be bearish for stocks, rests with the uncertainties around economic growth and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy as it addresses inflation, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Colas表示，尽管如此，波动性的“看跌理由”（因此对股市有利）取决于企业盈利能力，并重申DataTrek预计华尔街对2022年的预期将被证明太低，盈利意外上行可能会使股价保持稳定或上升。他表示，波动性的牛市理由在于经济增长和美联储应对通胀的利率政策的不确定性，这将对股市不利。</blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes are on track for strong gains in 2021 despite historically elevated volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 17.5% for the year to date, while the S&amp;P 500 has advanced 25.8% and the Nasdaq Composite is up 21.5%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管波动性处于历史高位，但主要股指仍有望在2021年强劲上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数今年迄今已上涨17.5%，标普500上涨25.8%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨21.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect 2022 to look a lot like 2021 in terms of market churn because, well, the investment issues are largely the same: Pandemic concerns, inflation, etc.,\" Colas wrote. \"U.S. equities can do well in that environment; 2021 shows that. We just need corporate earnings to come through, and we remain confident they will.\"</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯写道：“我们预计2022年的市场流失与2021年非常相似，因为投资问题基本相同：大流行担忧、通货膨胀等。”“在这种环境下，美国股市可以表现良好；2021年就表明了这一点。我们只需要企业盈利就可以实现，我们仍然相信他们会实现。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-expect-stock-market-volatility-to-subside-in-2022-11640287899?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-expect-stock-market-volatility-to-subside-in-2022-11640287899?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2193140885","content_text":"A volatility storm 'usually takes years to exhaust itself': DataTrek's Colas\nBumpy road.Oli Scarff/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images\nGet ready for another year of above average stock-market volatility.\nAccording to Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, history suggests that the jump in volatility that accompanied the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020 is likely to endure well into 2022.\n\"Volatility comes as a storm, and it usually takes years for it to exhaust itself,\" Colas said in a Thursday note.\nThe Cboe Volatility Index , a measure of expected S&P 500 volatility over the coming 30-day period, has generally been above its long-term average of 19.5 for the last two years, Colas observed (see chart below).\nDataTrek Research\nIt is reasonable to believe that U.S. equity volatility will on average be lower in 2022 than 2020, when the VIX had a daily average of 26.2, he said, and will likely come in much like 2021, which has seen a daily average of 19.7. But as the chart shows, volatility can run above or below average for years, he noted.\nHe observed that the first Gulf War in 1991 caused a spike in volatility that lasted only 18 months, while the period from the 1997 Asia Crisis through the dot-com bubble of 2000, 9/11 and Iraq War from 2003 saw the VIX remain over 19.5 for the better part of seven years. And the global financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent eurozone debt crisis of 2010-2014 kept U.S. equity volatility elevated for five years.\nThat said, the \"bear case\" for volatility, which is therefore bullish for stocks, rests with corporate-earnings power, Colas said, reiterating that DataTrek expects Wall Street's 2022 estimates to prove too low, with upside earnings surprises likely to keep equity prices stable or rising. The bull case for volatility, which would be bearish for stocks, rests with the uncertainties around economic growth and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy as it addresses inflation, he said.\nMajor stock indexes are on track for strong gains in 2021 despite historically elevated volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 17.5% for the year to date, while the S&P 500 has advanced 25.8% and the Nasdaq Composite is up 21.5%.\n\"We expect 2022 to look a lot like 2021 in terms of market churn because, well, the investment issues are largely the same: Pandemic concerns, inflation, etc.,\" Colas wrote. \"U.S. equities can do well in that environment; 2021 shows that. We just need corporate earnings to come through, and we remain confident they will.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691642262,"gmtCreate":1640188317048,"gmtModify":1640188323610,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Slow and steady..keep it up","listText":"Slow and steady..keep it up","text":"Slow and steady..keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691642262","repostId":"1138201736","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1138201736","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1640171970,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138201736?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 19:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Read Why SMBC Nikko Is Bullish On Microsoft<blockquote>了解SMBC Nikko为何看好微软</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138201736","media":"Benzinga","summary":"SMBC Nikko analyst Steve Koenig initiated coverage of Microsoft Corp with an Outperform rating and $","content":"<p><ul>  <li><b>SMBC Nikko</b>&nbsp;analyst Steve Koenig initiated coverage of&nbsp;<b>Microsoft Corp</b>&nbsp;with&nbsp;an Outperform rating&nbsp;and $410 price target.</li>  <li>The price target implies an upside of 28%. Microsoft is successfully transitioning its customers to the cloud.</li>  <li>Koenig said that Microsoft is \"well-positioned at the center of the big secular trends in software\" and is primed to capitalize on IT spending priorities.</li>  <li>Given Azure's continued momentum, Koenig sees the Microsoft cloud unit being \"within spitting distance of AWS for public cloud market leadership by 2025.\"</li>  <li><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;MSFT shares closed higher by 2.31% at $327.29 on Tuesday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>SMBC日兴</b>分析师Steve Koenig开始报道<b>微软公司</b>给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价410美元。</li><li>目标价意味着上涨28%。微软正在成功地将其客户过渡到云。</li><li>Koenig表示，微软“处于软件长期大趋势的中心”，并准备好利用IT支出优先事项。</li><li>鉴于Azure的持续发展势头，Koenig认为微软云部门“到2025年，在公共云市场领导地位方面与AWS相差无几”。</li><li><b>价格走势：</b>MSFT股价周二收盘上涨2.31%，至327.29美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Read Why SMBC Nikko Is Bullish On Microsoft<blockquote>了解SMBC Nikko为何看好微软</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRead Why SMBC Nikko Is Bullish On Microsoft<blockquote>了解SMBC Nikko为何看好微软</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-22 19:19</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li><b>SMBC Nikko</b>&nbsp;analyst Steve Koenig initiated coverage of&nbsp;<b>Microsoft Corp</b>&nbsp;with&nbsp;an Outperform rating&nbsp;and $410 price target.</li>  <li>The price target implies an upside of 28%. Microsoft is successfully transitioning its customers to the cloud.</li>  <li>Koenig said that Microsoft is \"well-positioned at the center of the big secular trends in software\" and is primed to capitalize on IT spending priorities.</li>  <li>Given Azure's continued momentum, Koenig sees the Microsoft cloud unit being \"within spitting distance of AWS for public cloud market leadership by 2025.\"</li>  <li><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;MSFT shares closed higher by 2.31% at $327.29 on Tuesday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>SMBC日兴</b>分析师Steve Koenig开始报道<b>微软公司</b>给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价410美元。</li><li>目标价意味着上涨28%。微软正在成功地将其客户过渡到云。</li><li>Koenig表示，微软“处于软件长期大趋势的中心”，并准备好利用IT支出优先事项。</li><li>鉴于Azure的持续发展势头，Koenig认为微软云部门“到2025年，在公共云市场领导地位方面与AWS相差无几”。</li><li><b>价格走势：</b>MSFT股价周二收盘上涨2.31%，至327.29美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138201736","content_text":"SMBC Nikko analyst Steve Koenig initiated coverage of Microsoft Corp with an Outperform rating and $410 price target.\nThe price target implies an upside of 28%. Microsoft is successfully transitioning its customers to the cloud.\nKoenig said that Microsoft is \"well-positioned at the center of the big secular trends in software\" and is primed to capitalize on IT spending priorities.\nGiven Azure's continued momentum, Koenig sees the Microsoft cloud unit being \"within spitting distance of AWS for public cloud market leadership by 2025.\"\nPrice Action: MSFT shares closed higher by 2.31% at $327.29 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693602883,"gmtCreate":1640010369687,"gmtModify":1640010369836,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The debt bubble is obvious to all, it will burst one way or another in the generations to come. If you are younger, it is not as painful. But if this is your retirement nest, then one has to consider if you want to bet in your last dollar following the recommendation to keep as little cash.&nbsp;","listText":"The debt bubble is obvious to all, it will burst one way or another in the generations to come. If you are younger, it is not as painful. But if this is your retirement nest, then one has to consider if you want to bet in your last dollar following the recommendation to keep as little cash.&nbsp;","text":"The debt bubble is obvious to all, it will burst one way or another in the generations to come. If you are younger, it is not as painful. But if this is your retirement nest, then one has to consider if you want to bet in your last dollar following the recommendation to keep as little cash.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693602883","repostId":"1160299527","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693371888,"gmtCreate":1639978231316,"gmtModify":1639978231478,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Indeed true to separate the good from the bad ones. Not to throw the baby out with the bathwater. =)","listText":"Indeed true to separate the good from the bad ones. Not to throw the baby out with the bathwater. =)","text":"Indeed true to separate the good from the bad ones. Not to throw the baby out with the bathwater. =)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693371888","repostId":"1161245886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161245886","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639806035,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161245886?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 13:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wedbush's Dan Ives: Don't throw in the towel on tech<blockquote>韦德布什的丹·艾夫斯：不要在科技上认输</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161245886","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Wedbush Securities managing director Dan Ives advised investors to stick with technology stocks despite the potential valuation crunch that could happen as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.\"This is not the time to throw in the white towel on tech,\" he told CNBC on Friday.Calling the current era \"a fourth industrial revolution,\" Ives backed such stocks as $CyberArk Software $, $Palo Alto Networks $, $Zscaler $, $NVIDIA $ and $Apple $.\"This is an opportunity, not the start of a downtrend ","content":"<p>Wedbush Securities managing director Dan Ives advised investors to stick with technology stocks despite the potential valuation crunch that could happen as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush Securities董事总经理Dan Ives建议投资者坚持持有科技股，尽管美联储加息可能会导致估值紧缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is not the time to throw in the white towel on tech,\" he told CNBC on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>“现在不是向科技认输的时候，”他周五对CNBC表示。</blockquote></p><p> Calling the current era \"a fourth industrial revolution,\" Ives backed such stocks as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYBR\">CyberArk Software </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZS\">Zscaler </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯将当前时代称为“第四次工业革命”，他支持以下股票：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYBR\">赛博方舟软件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">帕洛阿尔托网络</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZS\">Zscaler</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>.</blockquote></p><p> \"This is an opportunity, not the start of a downtrend for tech,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个机会，而不是科技股下跌趋势的开始，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives argued that a large number of tech names will see significant growth in coming years thanks to heavy spending on technologies like cybersecurity, 5G and further moves into the cloud.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯认为，由于在网络安全、5G等技术上的大量支出以及进一步向云的转移，大量科技公司将在未来几年实现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> He estimated that this \"digital transformation\" would fuel another $2T in spending over the next six to seven years.</p><p><blockquote>他估计，这种“数字化转型”将在未来六到七年内推动另外2T美元的支出。</blockquote></p><p> That said, Ives warned investors that they had to be selective with their portfolios, as some stocks will lose momentum once the massive pandemic-related stimulus comes to an end.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，艾夫斯警告投资者，他们必须有选择性地选择投资组合，因为一旦与大流行相关的大规模刺激措施结束，一些股票将失去动力。</blockquote></p><p> \"You have to separate the winners from the losers and the long-term winners versus the ones that benefited from the pandemic,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说：“你必须区分赢家和输家，区分长期赢家和从大流行中受益的人。”</blockquote></p><p> Rather, Ives suggested investors \"double down on their winners.\"</p><p><blockquote>相反，艾夫斯建议投资者“加倍押注赢家”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at some of the stocks mentioned by Ives, NVDA has done by far the best in 2021, more than doubling over the course of the year. ZS and PANW have both risen nearly 50%. AAPL lags behind its smaller rivals, although it has rallied about 30% for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>从艾夫斯提到的一些股票来看，NVDA在2021年的表现是迄今为止最好的，一年中上涨了一倍多。ZS和PANW均上涨近50%。尽管AAPL在2021年上涨了约30%，但仍落后于规模较小的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> The main laggard in the group is CYBR, which is basically flat on the year:</p><p><blockquote>集团内主要落后者为CYBR，同比基本持平：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25aa45389fe8b89d41006f304e02894e\" tg-width=\"1201\" tg-height=\"405\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wedbush's Dan Ives: Don't throw in the towel on tech<blockquote>韦德布什的丹·艾夫斯：不要在科技上认输</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWedbush's Dan Ives: Don't throw in the towel on tech<blockquote>韦德布什的丹·艾夫斯：不要在科技上认输</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 13:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wedbush Securities managing director Dan Ives advised investors to stick with technology stocks despite the potential valuation crunch that could happen as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush Securities董事总经理Dan Ives建议投资者坚持持有科技股，尽管美联储加息可能会导致估值紧缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is not the time to throw in the white towel on tech,\" he told CNBC on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>“现在不是向科技认输的时候，”他周五对CNBC表示。</blockquote></p><p> Calling the current era \"a fourth industrial revolution,\" Ives backed such stocks as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYBR\">CyberArk Software </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZS\">Zscaler </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯将当前时代称为“第四次工业革命”，他支持以下股票：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYBR\">赛博方舟软件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">帕洛阿尔托网络</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZS\">Zscaler</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>.</blockquote></p><p> \"This is an opportunity, not the start of a downtrend for tech,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个机会，而不是科技股下跌趋势的开始，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives argued that a large number of tech names will see significant growth in coming years thanks to heavy spending on technologies like cybersecurity, 5G and further moves into the cloud.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯认为，由于在网络安全、5G等技术上的大量支出以及进一步向云的转移，大量科技公司将在未来几年实现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> He estimated that this \"digital transformation\" would fuel another $2T in spending over the next six to seven years.</p><p><blockquote>他估计，这种“数字化转型”将在未来六到七年内推动另外2T美元的支出。</blockquote></p><p> That said, Ives warned investors that they had to be selective with their portfolios, as some stocks will lose momentum once the massive pandemic-related stimulus comes to an end.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，艾夫斯警告投资者，他们必须有选择性地选择投资组合，因为一旦与大流行相关的大规模刺激措施结束，一些股票将失去动力。</blockquote></p><p> \"You have to separate the winners from the losers and the long-term winners versus the ones that benefited from the pandemic,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说：“你必须区分赢家和输家，区分长期赢家和从大流行中受益的人。”</blockquote></p><p> Rather, Ives suggested investors \"double down on their winners.\"</p><p><blockquote>相反，艾夫斯建议投资者“加倍押注赢家”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at some of the stocks mentioned by Ives, NVDA has done by far the best in 2021, more than doubling over the course of the year. ZS and PANW have both risen nearly 50%. AAPL lags behind its smaller rivals, although it has rallied about 30% for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>从艾夫斯提到的一些股票来看，NVDA在2021年的表现是迄今为止最好的，一年中上涨了一倍多。ZS和PANW均上涨近50%。尽管AAPL在2021年上涨了约30%，但仍落后于规模较小的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> The main laggard in the group is CYBR, which is basically flat on the year:</p><p><blockquote>集团内主要落后者为CYBR，同比基本持平：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25aa45389fe8b89d41006f304e02894e\" tg-width=\"1201\" tg-height=\"405\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781354-dont-throw-in-the-towel-on-tech-wedbushs-dan-ives\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","CYBR":"Cyber-Ark Software","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781354-dont-throw-in-the-towel-on-tech-wedbushs-dan-ives","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161245886","content_text":"Wedbush Securities managing director Dan Ives advised investors to stick with technology stocks despite the potential valuation crunch that could happen as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.\n\"This is not the time to throw in the white towel on tech,\" he told CNBC on Friday.\nCalling the current era \"a fourth industrial revolution,\" Ives backed such stocks as CyberArk Software , Palo Alto Networks , Zscaler , NVIDIA  and Apple .\n\"This is an opportunity, not the start of a downtrend for tech,\" he said.\nIves argued that a large number of tech names will see significant growth in coming years thanks to heavy spending on technologies like cybersecurity, 5G and further moves into the cloud.\nHe estimated that this \"digital transformation\" would fuel another $2T in spending over the next six to seven years.\nThat said, Ives warned investors that they had to be selective with their portfolios, as some stocks will lose momentum once the massive pandemic-related stimulus comes to an end.\n\"You have to separate the winners from the losers and the long-term winners versus the ones that benefited from the pandemic,\" he said.\nRather, Ives suggested investors \"double down on their winners.\"\nLooking at some of the stocks mentioned by Ives, NVDA has done by far the best in 2021, more than doubling over the course of the year. ZS and PANW have both risen nearly 50%. AAPL lags behind its smaller rivals, although it has rallied about 30% for 2021.\nThe main laggard in the group is CYBR, which is basically flat on the year:","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PANW":0.9,"CYBR":0.9,"ZS":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699179245,"gmtCreate":1639760840227,"gmtModify":1639760840336,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kiv","listText":"Kiv","text":"Kiv","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699179245","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690970174,"gmtCreate":1639626569634,"gmtModify":1639626569731,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.&nbsp;","listText":"There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.&nbsp;","text":"There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690970174","repostId":"1106884978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106884978","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639625066,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106884978?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106884978","media":"Barrons","summary":"Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms","content":"<p>Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms, even as the labor market returns to full employment, according to the latest economic projections from the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储最新的经济预测，即使劳动力市场恢复充分就业，通胀也将显着缓解，而实际利率仍处于历史低位且为负。</blockquote></p><p> This would be the best of all economic possible worlds. Indeed, it is a forecast worthy of Dr. Pangloss from Voltaire’s <i>Candide</i>, who called this the best of all possible worlds—in contradiction to the reality around him.</p><p><blockquote>这将是所有可能的经济世界中最好的。的确，这是伏尔泰的庞格罗斯博士的预言<i>老实人</i>他称这是所有可能的世界中最好的——与他周围的现实相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> In an apparent sigh of relief Wednesday, stocks reversed earlier losses following the widely anticipated announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it will taper its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage securities twice as quickly as previously indicated, by a total of $60 billion per month in January.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美国联邦公开市场委员会(Federal Open Market Committee)宣布，将以之前两倍的速度缩减国债和机构抵押贷款证券的购买量，总计减少600亿美元，股市明显松了一口气。一月。</blockquote></p><p> That, in turn, would set the stage for the initial liftoff in the federal-funds target rate, from the current rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, by the spring. According to the FOMC’s “dot plot” of forecasts of committee members, their median guess is for three quarter-percentage point increases by the end of 2022, with another three hikes in 2023 and two more by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>反过来，这将为联邦基金目标利率在春季从目前的谷底0%-0.25%的初步上升奠定基础。根据FOMC对委员会成员预测的“点阵图”，他们的猜测中值是到2022年底加息三个四分之一个百分点，2023年再加息三次，2024年底再加息两次。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom calls this a hawkish pivot, which it may be given that the Fed’s previous dots envisioned only a single quarter-point hike next year and maybe a couple more in 2023. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted inflation has proved anything but transitory (with the T word excised from the FOMC’s policy statement). And at his press conference, he acknowledged the labor market has made much faster progress toward the central bank’s goal of full employment than expected.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点评级认为这是一个鹰派转向，这可能是因为美联储之前的dots预计明年仅加息一次25个基点，2023年可能还会加息几次。但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔承认，事实证明，通胀绝不是暂时的（联邦公开市场委员会的政策声明中删除了T字）。在新闻发布会上，他承认劳动力市场在实现央行充分就业目标方面取得的进展比预期快得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Powell did his job to explain how the world has changed and how a lot of their forecasts were based on assumptions that have proved incorrect,” Julian Brigden, head of Macro Intelligence Partners, told <i>Barron’s</i>. “He’s now addressing inflation and a labor market that for all intents and purposes has healed.”</p><p><blockquote>Macro Intelligence Partners主管朱利安·布里格登(Julian Brigden)表示：“鲍威尔尽了自己的职责，解释了世界是如何变化的，以及他们的许多预测是如何基于被证明是不正确的假设。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>“他现在正在解决通货膨胀和劳动力市场的问题，而劳动力市场实际上已经痊愈了。”</blockquote></p><p> What the markets fail to grasp, however, is that a far greater tightening of financial conditions will be needed to bring about the descent in inflation envisioned in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, Brigden added.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布里格登补充说，市场未能理解的是，要实现美联储经济预测摘要中设想的通胀下降，需要进一步收紧金融状况。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure deflator, is expected to be cut by more than half next year, to 2.6% from the current estimate of 5.3% for 2021. From there, the PCE deflator is expected to enter a glide path to 2.3% and 2.1% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, or virtually spot on with the Fed’s long-run target of 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>美联储首选的通胀指标个人消费支出平减指数预计明年将下调一半以上，从目前估计的2021年5.3%降至2.6%。预计PCE平减指数将在2023年和2024年分别下滑至2.3%和2.1%，几乎符合美联储2.0%的长期目标。</blockquote></p><p> Unemployment is forecast to fall from 4.3% at the end of 2021 to 3.5% in the next three years. Powell wouldn’t be pinned down about what would constitute the Fed’s goal of maximum employment, which he said at his Wednesday press conference couldn’t be captured in a single number, as with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来三年失业率将从2021年底的4.3%降至3.5%。鲍威尔不愿透露美联储最大就业目标的构成是什么，他在周三的新闻发布会上表示，这一目标无法像通胀一样用一个数字来体现。</blockquote></p><p> Brigden says for all intents and purposes, full employment has been met. Powell himself took note of key indicators consistent with full employment, including wage growth and the quits rate. And as Joseph Carson, former chief economist of AllianceBernstein, points out in his blog, after a steep fall in the jobless rate this year, there are 11 million job openings, 4 million more than there are unemployed.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登说，从各方面来看，充分就业已经实现。鲍威尔本人注意到了与充分就业一致的关键指标，包括工资增长和辞职率。正如联博前首席经济学家约瑟夫·卡森在他的博客中指出的那样，在今年失业率急剧下降后，有1100万个职位空缺，比失业人数多400万。</blockquote></p><p> What the stock market doesn’t realize is how much financial conditions have to tighten to tamp down inflation as the Fed forecasts, Brigden says.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登表示，股市没有意识到的是，正如美联储预测的那样，金融状况必须收紧多少才能抑制通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Even with its latest pivot, monetary policy will remain accommodative. The Fed will still be expanding its balance sheet (thus adding liquidity), only more slowly. Hiking the fed-funds rate three times, to 0.75%-1%, by the end of 2022, would leave this key rate still sharply negative in real terms (that is, well below the rate of inflation), an easy policy by any criteria.</p><p><blockquote>即使有最新的转向，货币政策仍将保持宽松。美联储仍将扩大资产负债表（从而增加流动性），只是速度更慢。到2022年底，将联邦基金利率三次上调至0.75%-1%，这一关键利率按实际价值计算仍将大幅为负（即远低于通胀率），无论从任何标准来看，这都是一项轻松的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Other components of financial conditions include the dollar’s exchange rate, short-term Treasury rates, longer-term Treasury yields, corporate-credit risk spreads, and, last but not least, the equity market. A significant correction in stock prices would be consistent with the requisite tightening in financial conditions needed to slow inflation, Brigden concludes.</p><p><blockquote>金融状况的其他组成部分包括美元汇率、短期国债利率、长期国债收益率、企业信用风险利差，以及最后但并非最不重要的股票市场。布里格登总结道，股价的大幅调整将与减缓通胀所需的金融状况收紧相一致。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s post-Fed rally was based on the pleasant notion that the central bank would be able to achieve its objectives of bringing inflation back into line along with full employment, all while continuing easy financial conditions. In other words, the best of all possible economic and financial worlds, as seen by Dr. Pangloss.</p><p><blockquote>美联储后股市的反弹是基于一个令人愉快的想法，即央行将能够实现其目标，即让通胀回归正轨和充分就业，同时继续宽松的金融状况。换句话说，正如潘格洛斯博士所看到的，所有可能的经济和金融世界中最好的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms, even as the labor market returns to full employment, according to the latest economic projections from the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储最新的经济预测，即使劳动力市场恢复充分就业，通胀也将显着缓解，而实际利率仍处于历史低位且为负。</blockquote></p><p> This would be the best of all economic possible worlds. Indeed, it is a forecast worthy of Dr. Pangloss from Voltaire’s <i>Candide</i>, who called this the best of all possible worlds—in contradiction to the reality around him.</p><p><blockquote>这将是所有可能的经济世界中最好的。的确，这是伏尔泰的庞格罗斯博士的预言<i>老实人</i>他称这是所有可能的世界中最好的——与他周围的现实相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> In an apparent sigh of relief Wednesday, stocks reversed earlier losses following the widely anticipated announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it will taper its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage securities twice as quickly as previously indicated, by a total of $60 billion per month in January.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美国联邦公开市场委员会(Federal Open Market Committee)宣布，将以之前两倍的速度缩减国债和机构抵押贷款证券的购买量，总计减少600亿美元，股市明显松了一口气。一月。</blockquote></p><p> That, in turn, would set the stage for the initial liftoff in the federal-funds target rate, from the current rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, by the spring. According to the FOMC’s “dot plot” of forecasts of committee members, their median guess is for three quarter-percentage point increases by the end of 2022, with another three hikes in 2023 and two more by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>反过来，这将为联邦基金目标利率在春季从目前的谷底0%-0.25%的初步上升奠定基础。根据FOMC对委员会成员预测的“点阵图”，他们的猜测中值是到2022年底加息三个四分之一个百分点，2023年再加息三次，2024年底再加息两次。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom calls this a hawkish pivot, which it may be given that the Fed’s previous dots envisioned only a single quarter-point hike next year and maybe a couple more in 2023. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted inflation has proved anything but transitory (with the T word excised from the FOMC’s policy statement). And at his press conference, he acknowledged the labor market has made much faster progress toward the central bank’s goal of full employment than expected.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点评级认为这是一个鹰派转向，这可能是因为美联储之前的dots预计明年仅加息一次25个基点，2023年可能还会加息几次。但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔承认，事实证明，通胀绝不是暂时的（联邦公开市场委员会的政策声明中删除了T字）。在新闻发布会上，他承认劳动力市场在实现央行充分就业目标方面取得的进展比预期快得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Powell did his job to explain how the world has changed and how a lot of their forecasts were based on assumptions that have proved incorrect,” Julian Brigden, head of Macro Intelligence Partners, told <i>Barron’s</i>. “He’s now addressing inflation and a labor market that for all intents and purposes has healed.”</p><p><blockquote>Macro Intelligence Partners主管朱利安·布里格登(Julian Brigden)表示：“鲍威尔尽了自己的职责，解释了世界是如何变化的，以及他们的许多预测是如何基于被证明是不正确的假设。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>“他现在正在解决通货膨胀和劳动力市场的问题，而劳动力市场实际上已经痊愈了。”</blockquote></p><p> What the markets fail to grasp, however, is that a far greater tightening of financial conditions will be needed to bring about the descent in inflation envisioned in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, Brigden added.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布里格登补充说，市场未能理解的是，要实现美联储经济预测摘要中设想的通胀下降，需要进一步收紧金融状况。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure deflator, is expected to be cut by more than half next year, to 2.6% from the current estimate of 5.3% for 2021. From there, the PCE deflator is expected to enter a glide path to 2.3% and 2.1% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, or virtually spot on with the Fed’s long-run target of 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>美联储首选的通胀指标个人消费支出平减指数预计明年将下调一半以上，从目前估计的2021年5.3%降至2.6%。预计PCE平减指数将在2023年和2024年分别下滑至2.3%和2.1%，几乎符合美联储2.0%的长期目标。</blockquote></p><p> Unemployment is forecast to fall from 4.3% at the end of 2021 to 3.5% in the next three years. Powell wouldn’t be pinned down about what would constitute the Fed’s goal of maximum employment, which he said at his Wednesday press conference couldn’t be captured in a single number, as with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来三年失业率将从2021年底的4.3%降至3.5%。鲍威尔不愿透露美联储最大就业目标的构成是什么，他在周三的新闻发布会上表示，这一目标无法像通胀一样用一个数字来体现。</blockquote></p><p> Brigden says for all intents and purposes, full employment has been met. Powell himself took note of key indicators consistent with full employment, including wage growth and the quits rate. And as Joseph Carson, former chief economist of AllianceBernstein, points out in his blog, after a steep fall in the jobless rate this year, there are 11 million job openings, 4 million more than there are unemployed.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登说，从各方面来看，充分就业已经实现。鲍威尔本人注意到了与充分就业一致的关键指标，包括工资增长和辞职率。正如联博前首席经济学家约瑟夫·卡森在他的博客中指出的那样，在今年失业率急剧下降后，有1100万个职位空缺，比失业人数多400万。</blockquote></p><p> What the stock market doesn’t realize is how much financial conditions have to tighten to tamp down inflation as the Fed forecasts, Brigden says.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登表示，股市没有意识到的是，正如美联储预测的那样，金融状况必须收紧多少才能抑制通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Even with its latest pivot, monetary policy will remain accommodative. The Fed will still be expanding its balance sheet (thus adding liquidity), only more slowly. Hiking the fed-funds rate three times, to 0.75%-1%, by the end of 2022, would leave this key rate still sharply negative in real terms (that is, well below the rate of inflation), an easy policy by any criteria.</p><p><blockquote>即使有最新的转向，货币政策仍将保持宽松。美联储仍将扩大资产负债表（从而增加流动性），只是速度更慢。到2022年底，将联邦基金利率三次上调至0.75%-1%，这一关键利率按实际价值计算仍将大幅为负（即远低于通胀率），无论从任何标准来看，这都是一项轻松的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Other components of financial conditions include the dollar’s exchange rate, short-term Treasury rates, longer-term Treasury yields, corporate-credit risk spreads, and, last but not least, the equity market. A significant correction in stock prices would be consistent with the requisite tightening in financial conditions needed to slow inflation, Brigden concludes.</p><p><blockquote>金融状况的其他组成部分包括美元汇率、短期国债利率、长期国债收益率、企业信用风险利差，以及最后但并非最不重要的股票市场。布里格登总结道，股价的大幅调整将与减缓通胀所需的金融状况收紧相一致。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s post-Fed rally was based on the pleasant notion that the central bank would be able to achieve its objectives of bringing inflation back into line along with full employment, all while continuing easy financial conditions. In other words, the best of all possible economic and financial worlds, as seen by Dr. Pangloss.</p><p><blockquote>美联储后股市的反弹是基于一个令人愉快的想法，即央行将能够实现其目标，即让通胀回归正轨和充分就业，同时继续宽松的金融状况。换句话说，正如潘格洛斯博士所看到的，所有可能的经济和金融世界中最好的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-the-fed-may-have-to-kill-the-stock-markets-rally-to-quash-inflation-51639611968?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-the-fed-may-have-to-kill-the-stock-markets-rally-to-quash-inflation-51639611968?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106884978","content_text":"Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms, even as the labor market returns to full employment, according to the latest economic projections from the Federal Reserve.\nThis would be the best of all economic possible worlds. Indeed, it is a forecast worthy of Dr. Pangloss from Voltaire’s Candide, who called this the best of all possible worlds—in contradiction to the reality around him.\nIn an apparent sigh of relief Wednesday, stocks reversed earlier losses following the widely anticipated announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it will taper its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage securities twice as quickly as previously indicated, by a total of $60 billion per month in January.\nThat, in turn, would set the stage for the initial liftoff in the federal-funds target rate, from the current rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, by the spring. According to the FOMC’s “dot plot” of forecasts of committee members, their median guess is for three quarter-percentage point increases by the end of 2022, with another three hikes in 2023 and two more by the end of 2024.\nConventional wisdom calls this a hawkish pivot, which it may be given that the Fed’s previous dots envisioned only a single quarter-point hike next year and maybe a couple more in 2023. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted inflation has proved anything but transitory (with the T word excised from the FOMC’s policy statement). And at his press conference, he acknowledged the labor market has made much faster progress toward the central bank’s goal of full employment than expected.\n“Powell did his job to explain how the world has changed and how a lot of their forecasts were based on assumptions that have proved incorrect,” Julian Brigden, head of Macro Intelligence Partners, told Barron’s. “He’s now addressing inflation and a labor market that for all intents and purposes has healed.”\nWhat the markets fail to grasp, however, is that a far greater tightening of financial conditions will be needed to bring about the descent in inflation envisioned in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, Brigden added.\nThe Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure deflator, is expected to be cut by more than half next year, to 2.6% from the current estimate of 5.3% for 2021. From there, the PCE deflator is expected to enter a glide path to 2.3% and 2.1% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, or virtually spot on with the Fed’s long-run target of 2.0%.\nUnemployment is forecast to fall from 4.3% at the end of 2021 to 3.5% in the next three years. Powell wouldn’t be pinned down about what would constitute the Fed’s goal of maximum employment, which he said at his Wednesday press conference couldn’t be captured in a single number, as with inflation.\nBrigden says for all intents and purposes, full employment has been met. Powell himself took note of key indicators consistent with full employment, including wage growth and the quits rate. And as Joseph Carson, former chief economist of AllianceBernstein, points out in his blog, after a steep fall in the jobless rate this year, there are 11 million job openings, 4 million more than there are unemployed.\nWhat the stock market doesn’t realize is how much financial conditions have to tighten to tamp down inflation as the Fed forecasts, Brigden says.\nEven with its latest pivot, monetary policy will remain accommodative. The Fed will still be expanding its balance sheet (thus adding liquidity), only more slowly. Hiking the fed-funds rate three times, to 0.75%-1%, by the end of 2022, would leave this key rate still sharply negative in real terms (that is, well below the rate of inflation), an easy policy by any criteria.\nOther components of financial conditions include the dollar’s exchange rate, short-term Treasury rates, longer-term Treasury yields, corporate-credit risk spreads, and, last but not least, the equity market. A significant correction in stock prices would be consistent with the requisite tightening in financial conditions needed to slow inflation, Brigden concludes.\nThe stock market’s post-Fed rally was based on the pleasant notion that the central bank would be able to achieve its objectives of bringing inflation back into line along with full employment, all while continuing easy financial conditions. In other words, the best of all possible economic and financial worlds, as seen by Dr. Pangloss.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690054935,"gmtCreate":1639616257520,"gmtModify":1639616257623,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cooling measures such as capping&nbsp;total debt servicing ratio can help to reduce any potential default, individally and corporately.&nbsp;","listText":"Cooling measures such as capping&nbsp;total debt servicing ratio can help to reduce any potential default, individally and corporately.&nbsp;","text":"Cooling measures such as capping total debt servicing ratio can help to reduce any potential default, individally and corporately.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690054935","repostId":"1115910347","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1115910347","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639615452,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115910347?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 08:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What the Fed decision means for your wallet, your credit-card bill — and how far will mortgage rates go?<blockquote>美联储的决定对你的钱包、你的信用卡账单意味着什么——抵押贷款利率会走多远？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115910347","media":"market watch","summary":"All eyes were on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as the market digested the news Wednesday on","content":"<p> All eyes were on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as the market digested the news Wednesday on what the central bank will do to keep the economy rebounding from the pandemic while countering the hot inflation that has consumers’ wallets sizzling.</p><p><blockquote>所有的目光都集中在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔身上，周三市场消化了有关美联储将采取哪些措施来保持经济从疫情中反弹，同时应对让消费者钱包火热的通胀的消息。</blockquote></p><p> Market observers were betting the Fed will conclude its bond buying — a move to help the economy in the pandemic’s earlier phases — quicker than expected and chart a course for more interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>市场观察人士押注美联储将比预期更快地结束债券购买——这是在疫情早期阶段帮助经济的举措，并制定进一步加息的路线。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed said Wednesday afternoon it would reduce its bond purchases by $30 billion a month so it could end the program in March, instead of June. The Fed penciled in three rate hikes in 2022, instead of one hike.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周三下午表示，将每月减少300亿美元的债券购买，以便在3月份而不是6月份结束该计划。美联储预计2022年加息三次，而不是一次。</blockquote></p><p> Powell talked about the decision at a Wednesday afternoon press conference, saying the economy was strong enough now to handle the potential steps.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在周三下午的新闻发布会上谈到了这一决定，称经济现在足够强劲，可以应对潜在的措施。</blockquote></p><p> “We understand that our actions affect communities, families and businesses across the country. Everything we do is in service to our public mission. We, at the Fed, will do everything we can to complete the recovery in employment and achieve our price stability goal,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔说：“我们明白，我们的行动影响着全国各地的社区、家庭和企业。我们所做的一切都是为了服务于我们的公共使命。我们美联储将尽一切努力完成就业复苏，实现我们的物价稳定目标。”</blockquote></p><p> New projections from Fed officials foresee the closely-watched federal funds rate climbing 0.9% by the end of next year, to 1.6% by the end of 2023 and 2.1% by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员的新预测预计，备受关注的联邦基金利率到明年年底将攀升0.9%，到2023年底升至1.6%，到2024年底升至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> In the meantime, some experts say consumers can do their own preparation for the Fed decision: Try to pay off their own credit-card bills as fast as possible now in order to avoid the extra interest rate costs waiting in future.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，一些专家表示，消费者可以为美联储的决定做好自己的准备：现在就尝试尽快还清自己的信用卡账单，以避免未来等待的额外利率成本。</blockquote></p><p> This is because annual percentage rates (APR) on credit cards hinge closely on the rates and targets set by the Fed, experts told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>专家告诉MarketWatch，这是因为信用卡的年利率(APR)与美联储设定的利率和目标密切相关。</blockquote></p><p> Credit-card issuers generally start their calculations on APR by looking at the U.S. prime rate, which is the rate that banks would extend to preferred customers.</p><p><blockquote>信用卡发行机构通常通过查看美国最优惠利率（银行向优先客户提供的利率）开始计算年利率。</blockquote></p><p> When banks determine the prime rate, they are looking at factors including the target level of the federal funds rate. (That’s the interest rate set by the Federal Reserve committee determining what banks charge each other for short-term, overnight loans.)</p><p><blockquote>当银行确定最优惠利率时，他们会考虑包括联邦基金利率目标水平在内的因素。（这是美联储委员会设定的利率，决定了银行对短期隔夜贷款的相互收费。）</blockquote></p><p> Layer on extra lending costs, like the so-called “credit risk” of a potential customer, and that’s essentially the ingredients of a credit card’s APR, said Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual Group, which provides insurance products and wealth management services to credit unions.</p><p><blockquote>提供保险产品和财富管理服务的CUNA Mutual Group首席经济学家史蒂夫·里克(Steve Rick)表示，再加上额外的贷款成本，例如潜在客户的所谓“信用风险”，这本质上是信用卡年利率的组成部分。信用合作社。</blockquote></p><p> So when Fed rate hikes zoom into view and then happen, consumers quickly can have their own future rate hikes to absorb. That’s worth knowing during a bustling holiday season amid rising costs.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当美联储加息进入视野并发生时，消费者很快就可以吸收自己未来的加息。在成本不断上涨的繁忙假期期间，这一点值得了解。</blockquote></p><p> “The best financial move they can make is pay off that credit-card balance,” Rick said.</p><p><blockquote>“他们能采取的最好的财务举措就是还清信用卡余额，”里克说。</blockquote></p><p> If banks “see rate increases on the horizon and they anticipate changes like a taper, you may end seeing rates increase for different types of loans,” said Matt Schulz, LendingTree’s chief credit analyst.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree首席信贷分析师马特·舒尔茨(Matt Schulz)表示，如果银行“看到利率即将上升，并预计会出现缩减等变化，那么你可能最终会看到不同类型贷款的利率上升”。</blockquote></p><p> “Credit cards are among the most influenced by the Fed because so many credit card interest rates are based on the prime rate,” he said. “If you have credit-card debt now, it would probably be a good idea to assume that your rates are going to go up in the not-too-distant future. If you can put a little more to credit card debt to knock it down, the better off you are.”</p><p><blockquote>“信用卡是受美联储影响最大的信用卡之一，因为许多信用卡利率都是基于最优惠利率，”他说。“如果你现在有信用卡债务，那么假设你的利率在不久的将来会上升可能是个好主意。如果你能在信用卡债务上多投入一点来减少它，你的情况就会越好。”</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage rates are also influenced by the Fed’s actions, noted Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “Mortgages rates could rise from about 3% now to 3.7% by the end of 2022, according to a consensus of forecasts,” he said, adding that rates on loans, including credits cards “will increase more or less in lockstep with federal fund rate increases.”</p><p><blockquote>海军联邦信用合作社企业经济学家罗伯特·弗里克指出，抵押贷款利率也受到美联储行动的影响。他表示：“根据普遍预测，到2022年底，抵押贷款利率可能会从现在的约3%升至3.7%。”他补充说，包括信用卡在内的贷款利率“将或多或少与联邦基金利率同步上升”利率上升。”</blockquote></p><p> The 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 3.1% for the week ending Dec. 9.</p><p><blockquote>截至12月9日当周，30年期固定抵押贷款平均利率为3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The rates on savings accounts and CDs will also increase, Frick said — “and if the Fed is successful in driving inflation down, savers could see the interest they earn on accounts finally catch up with inflation.”</p><p><blockquote>弗里克表示，储蓄账户和存款证的利率也将上升——“如果美联储成功压低通胀，储户可能会看到他们从账户中赚取的利息最终赶上通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> But credit-card users could see the rates potentially rise quickly after a rate hike.</p><p><blockquote>但信用卡用户可能会看到加息后利率可能会迅速上升。</blockquote></p><p> Following even a quarter percentage point increase in the fed funds rate, it historically takes credit-card companies one or two months to bring on higher APRs, Schulz said. That’s one or two billing cycles, but, Schulz added, “They could do it the next day.”</p><p><blockquote>舒尔茨表示，即使联邦基金利率上调四分之一个百分点，信用卡公司从历史上看也需要一两个月的时间才能带来更高的年利率。这是一两个计费周期，但是，舒尔茨补充说，“他们可以在第二天完成。”</blockquote></p><p> The average APR on all new card offers was 19.55% this month, up from 19.49% in November, according to LendingTree. The maximum APR was 23.21% and the minimum was 15.89%, according to the online platform where people can shop around on credit card offers, car loans and mortgages.</p><p><blockquote>根据LendingTree的数据，本月所有新卡优惠的平均年利率为19.55%，高于11月份的19.49%。根据人们可以货比三家购买信用卡、汽车贷款和抵押贷款的在线平台，最高年利率为23.21%，最低年利率为15.89%。</blockquote></p><p> Suppose a person has a $5,000 balance on their credit card and an APR between 19% and 20%, said Schulz. A single percentage point increase would tack on approximately $70 to $80 to completely pay the owed amount, plus interest, he said.</p><p><blockquote>舒尔茨说，假设一个人的信用卡余额为5,000美元，年利率在19%至20%之间。他说，增加一个百分点将增加大约70至80美元，以完全支付所欠金额和利息。</blockquote></p><p> That might not sound like a lot to some people, Schulz said. “When you are living paycheck to paycheck, trying to knock that debt really does matter.”</p><p><blockquote>舒尔茨说，这对某些人来说可能听起来不多。“当你靠薪水生活时，努力还清债务确实很重要。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Smaller added costs matter even for financially secure households watching rising prices burn into their disposable income. And the timing on the Fed decision matters too because the closely-watched decision comes during the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>即使对于经济上有保障的家庭来说，较小的额外成本也很重要，因为他们眼睁睁地看着物价上涨耗尽了他们的可支配收入。美联储做出决定的时机也很重要，因为备受关注的决定是在假期期间做出的。</blockquote></p><p> Typically, consumers incur “modest” increases in their credit card balances during the second and third quarters, according to Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Then, balances balloon during the holiday season in the fourth quarter and people pay off the balances in the first quarter, researchers said. Then the cycle repeats itself.</p><p><blockquote>根据纽约联邦储备银行的数据，通常情况下，消费者的信用卡余额在第二和第三季度会“适度”增加。研究人员表示，然后，余额在第四季度假期期间激增，人们在第一季度还清余额。然后循环重复。</blockquote></p><p> On this go-round, there could be higher credit card costs waiting for people in 2022 when they are paying off their 2021 holiday spending spree and traveling to make up lost time with friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>在这一轮中，2022年，当人们还清2021年的假期消费热潮并旅行以弥补与朋友和家人失去的时间时，信用卡费用可能会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Holiday shopping could break records this year and reach $859 billion sales, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国零售联合会的数据，今年假日购物可能会打破记录，销售额达到8590亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Americans held roughly $800 billion in credit card debt during the third quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said. That’s a $17 billion increase from the second quarter, but the balance is still $123 billion lower than pre-pandemic levels at the end of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行表示，第三季度美国人持有约8000亿美元的信用卡债务。这比第二季度增加了170亿美元，但余额仍比2019年底大流行前的水平低1230亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Fed decisions can also influence the rates on auto loans, where rates are influenced by interest rates on Treasury notes, Rick noted. As of October, the average APR on a five-year auto loan for a new car was 3.89% and 6.12% for a used car, according to Bankrate.com. But some current offers were in the 2.5% range, the site noted.</p><p><blockquote>里克指出，美联储的决定还会影响汽车贷款利率，而汽车贷款利率又受到美国国债利率的影响。根据Bankrate.com的数据，截至10月份，新车五年期汽车贷款的平均年利率为3.89%，二手车为6.12%。但该网站指出，目前的一些报价在2.5%范围内。</blockquote></p><p> So does that mean people should get a loan now for a new ride? Rick doesn’t think so.</p><p><blockquote>那么，这是否意味着人们现在应该获得贷款来购买新车呢？瑞克不这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> For one thing, there’s an inventory problem with cars, like so many other products snarled in the current supply chain woes. Besides, Rick ultimately thinks car prices will fall as supply-chain issues ease. The savings from lower costs will be greater than the added costs of higher interest in his view.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，汽车存在库存问题，就像当前供应链困境中陷入困境的许多其他产品一样。此外，里克最终认为，随着供应链问题的缓解，汽车价格将会下降。他认为，较低成本带来的节省将大于较高利息带来的额外成本。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Schulz said, “by the time the auto loan rate go up, hopefully we will see auto prices revert a little more to normal and everything balances out.”</p><p><blockquote>同样，舒尔茨表示，“当汽车贷款利率上升时，希望我们能看到汽车价格稍微恢复正常，一切都会平衡。”</blockquote></p><p> As consumers figure out their next moves, the stock market liked what it heard from Powell on Wednesday. Benchmarks climbed in the afternoon and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +1.08%closed up 1.1%, while the S&amp;P 500 SPX, +1.63%finished up 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>随着消费者弄清楚他们的下一步行动，股市喜欢周三从鲍威尔那里听到的消息。基准指数午后攀升，道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+1.08%收盘上涨1.1%，标普500 SPX指数+1.63%收盘上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What the Fed decision means for your wallet, your credit-card bill — and how far will mortgage rates go?<blockquote>美联储的决定对你的钱包、你的信用卡账单意味着什么——抵押贷款利率会走多远？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat the Fed decision means for your wallet, your credit-card bill — and how far will mortgage rates go?<blockquote>美联储的决定对你的钱包、你的信用卡账单意味着什么——抵押贷款利率会走多远？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">market watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 08:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> All eyes were on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as the market digested the news Wednesday on what the central bank will do to keep the economy rebounding from the pandemic while countering the hot inflation that has consumers’ wallets sizzling.</p><p><blockquote>所有的目光都集中在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔身上，周三市场消化了有关美联储将采取哪些措施来保持经济从疫情中反弹，同时应对让消费者钱包火热的通胀的消息。</blockquote></p><p> Market observers were betting the Fed will conclude its bond buying — a move to help the economy in the pandemic’s earlier phases — quicker than expected and chart a course for more interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>市场观察人士押注美联储将比预期更快地结束债券购买——这是在疫情早期阶段帮助经济的举措，并制定进一步加息的路线。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed said Wednesday afternoon it would reduce its bond purchases by $30 billion a month so it could end the program in March, instead of June. The Fed penciled in three rate hikes in 2022, instead of one hike.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周三下午表示，将每月减少300亿美元的债券购买，以便在3月份而不是6月份结束该计划。美联储预计2022年加息三次，而不是一次。</blockquote></p><p> Powell talked about the decision at a Wednesday afternoon press conference, saying the economy was strong enough now to handle the potential steps.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在周三下午的新闻发布会上谈到了这一决定，称经济现在足够强劲，可以应对潜在的措施。</blockquote></p><p> “We understand that our actions affect communities, families and businesses across the country. Everything we do is in service to our public mission. We, at the Fed, will do everything we can to complete the recovery in employment and achieve our price stability goal,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔说：“我们明白，我们的行动影响着全国各地的社区、家庭和企业。我们所做的一切都是为了服务于我们的公共使命。我们美联储将尽一切努力完成就业复苏，实现我们的物价稳定目标。”</blockquote></p><p> New projections from Fed officials foresee the closely-watched federal funds rate climbing 0.9% by the end of next year, to 1.6% by the end of 2023 and 2.1% by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员的新预测预计，备受关注的联邦基金利率到明年年底将攀升0.9%，到2023年底升至1.6%，到2024年底升至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> In the meantime, some experts say consumers can do their own preparation for the Fed decision: Try to pay off their own credit-card bills as fast as possible now in order to avoid the extra interest rate costs waiting in future.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，一些专家表示，消费者可以为美联储的决定做好自己的准备：现在就尝试尽快还清自己的信用卡账单，以避免未来等待的额外利率成本。</blockquote></p><p> This is because annual percentage rates (APR) on credit cards hinge closely on the rates and targets set by the Fed, experts told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>专家告诉MarketWatch，这是因为信用卡的年利率(APR)与美联储设定的利率和目标密切相关。</blockquote></p><p> Credit-card issuers generally start their calculations on APR by looking at the U.S. prime rate, which is the rate that banks would extend to preferred customers.</p><p><blockquote>信用卡发行机构通常通过查看美国最优惠利率（银行向优先客户提供的利率）开始计算年利率。</blockquote></p><p> When banks determine the prime rate, they are looking at factors including the target level of the federal funds rate. (That’s the interest rate set by the Federal Reserve committee determining what banks charge each other for short-term, overnight loans.)</p><p><blockquote>当银行确定最优惠利率时，他们会考虑包括联邦基金利率目标水平在内的因素。（这是美联储委员会设定的利率，决定了银行对短期隔夜贷款的相互收费。）</blockquote></p><p> Layer on extra lending costs, like the so-called “credit risk” of a potential customer, and that’s essentially the ingredients of a credit card’s APR, said Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual Group, which provides insurance products and wealth management services to credit unions.</p><p><blockquote>提供保险产品和财富管理服务的CUNA Mutual Group首席经济学家史蒂夫·里克(Steve Rick)表示，再加上额外的贷款成本，例如潜在客户的所谓“信用风险”，这本质上是信用卡年利率的组成部分。信用合作社。</blockquote></p><p> So when Fed rate hikes zoom into view and then happen, consumers quickly can have their own future rate hikes to absorb. That’s worth knowing during a bustling holiday season amid rising costs.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当美联储加息进入视野并发生时，消费者很快就可以吸收自己未来的加息。在成本不断上涨的繁忙假期期间，这一点值得了解。</blockquote></p><p> “The best financial move they can make is pay off that credit-card balance,” Rick said.</p><p><blockquote>“他们能采取的最好的财务举措就是还清信用卡余额，”里克说。</blockquote></p><p> If banks “see rate increases on the horizon and they anticipate changes like a taper, you may end seeing rates increase for different types of loans,” said Matt Schulz, LendingTree’s chief credit analyst.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree首席信贷分析师马特·舒尔茨(Matt Schulz)表示，如果银行“看到利率即将上升，并预计会出现缩减等变化，那么你可能最终会看到不同类型贷款的利率上升”。</blockquote></p><p> “Credit cards are among the most influenced by the Fed because so many credit card interest rates are based on the prime rate,” he said. “If you have credit-card debt now, it would probably be a good idea to assume that your rates are going to go up in the not-too-distant future. If you can put a little more to credit card debt to knock it down, the better off you are.”</p><p><blockquote>“信用卡是受美联储影响最大的信用卡之一，因为许多信用卡利率都是基于最优惠利率，”他说。“如果你现在有信用卡债务，那么假设你的利率在不久的将来会上升可能是个好主意。如果你能在信用卡债务上多投入一点来减少它，你的情况就会越好。”</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage rates are also influenced by the Fed’s actions, noted Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “Mortgages rates could rise from about 3% now to 3.7% by the end of 2022, according to a consensus of forecasts,” he said, adding that rates on loans, including credits cards “will increase more or less in lockstep with federal fund rate increases.”</p><p><blockquote>海军联邦信用合作社企业经济学家罗伯特·弗里克指出，抵押贷款利率也受到美联储行动的影响。他表示：“根据普遍预测，到2022年底，抵押贷款利率可能会从现在的约3%升至3.7%。”他补充说，包括信用卡在内的贷款利率“将或多或少与联邦基金利率同步上升”利率上升。”</blockquote></p><p> The 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 3.1% for the week ending Dec. 9.</p><p><blockquote>截至12月9日当周，30年期固定抵押贷款平均利率为3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The rates on savings accounts and CDs will also increase, Frick said — “and if the Fed is successful in driving inflation down, savers could see the interest they earn on accounts finally catch up with inflation.”</p><p><blockquote>弗里克表示，储蓄账户和存款证的利率也将上升——“如果美联储成功压低通胀，储户可能会看到他们从账户中赚取的利息最终赶上通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> But credit-card users could see the rates potentially rise quickly after a rate hike.</p><p><blockquote>但信用卡用户可能会看到加息后利率可能会迅速上升。</blockquote></p><p> Following even a quarter percentage point increase in the fed funds rate, it historically takes credit-card companies one or two months to bring on higher APRs, Schulz said. That’s one or two billing cycles, but, Schulz added, “They could do it the next day.”</p><p><blockquote>舒尔茨表示，即使联邦基金利率上调四分之一个百分点，信用卡公司从历史上看也需要一两个月的时间才能带来更高的年利率。这是一两个计费周期，但是，舒尔茨补充说，“他们可以在第二天完成。”</blockquote></p><p> The average APR on all new card offers was 19.55% this month, up from 19.49% in November, according to LendingTree. The maximum APR was 23.21% and the minimum was 15.89%, according to the online platform where people can shop around on credit card offers, car loans and mortgages.</p><p><blockquote>根据LendingTree的数据，本月所有新卡优惠的平均年利率为19.55%，高于11月份的19.49%。根据人们可以货比三家购买信用卡、汽车贷款和抵押贷款的在线平台，最高年利率为23.21%，最低年利率为15.89%。</blockquote></p><p> Suppose a person has a $5,000 balance on their credit card and an APR between 19% and 20%, said Schulz. A single percentage point increase would tack on approximately $70 to $80 to completely pay the owed amount, plus interest, he said.</p><p><blockquote>舒尔茨说，假设一个人的信用卡余额为5,000美元，年利率在19%至20%之间。他说，增加一个百分点将增加大约70至80美元，以完全支付所欠金额和利息。</blockquote></p><p> That might not sound like a lot to some people, Schulz said. “When you are living paycheck to paycheck, trying to knock that debt really does matter.”</p><p><blockquote>舒尔茨说，这对某些人来说可能听起来不多。“当你靠薪水生活时，努力还清债务确实很重要。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Smaller added costs matter even for financially secure households watching rising prices burn into their disposable income. And the timing on the Fed decision matters too because the closely-watched decision comes during the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>即使对于经济上有保障的家庭来说，较小的额外成本也很重要，因为他们眼睁睁地看着物价上涨耗尽了他们的可支配收入。美联储做出决定的时机也很重要，因为备受关注的决定是在假期期间做出的。</blockquote></p><p> Typically, consumers incur “modest” increases in their credit card balances during the second and third quarters, according to Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Then, balances balloon during the holiday season in the fourth quarter and people pay off the balances in the first quarter, researchers said. Then the cycle repeats itself.</p><p><blockquote>根据纽约联邦储备银行的数据，通常情况下，消费者的信用卡余额在第二和第三季度会“适度”增加。研究人员表示，然后，余额在第四季度假期期间激增，人们在第一季度还清余额。然后循环重复。</blockquote></p><p> On this go-round, there could be higher credit card costs waiting for people in 2022 when they are paying off their 2021 holiday spending spree and traveling to make up lost time with friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>在这一轮中，2022年，当人们还清2021年的假期消费热潮并旅行以弥补与朋友和家人失去的时间时，信用卡费用可能会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Holiday shopping could break records this year and reach $859 billion sales, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国零售联合会的数据，今年假日购物可能会打破记录，销售额达到8590亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Americans held roughly $800 billion in credit card debt during the third quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said. That’s a $17 billion increase from the second quarter, but the balance is still $123 billion lower than pre-pandemic levels at the end of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行表示，第三季度美国人持有约8000亿美元的信用卡债务。这比第二季度增加了170亿美元，但余额仍比2019年底大流行前的水平低1230亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Fed decisions can also influence the rates on auto loans, where rates are influenced by interest rates on Treasury notes, Rick noted. As of October, the average APR on a five-year auto loan for a new car was 3.89% and 6.12% for a used car, according to Bankrate.com. But some current offers were in the 2.5% range, the site noted.</p><p><blockquote>里克指出，美联储的决定还会影响汽车贷款利率，而汽车贷款利率又受到美国国债利率的影响。根据Bankrate.com的数据，截至10月份，新车五年期汽车贷款的平均年利率为3.89%，二手车为6.12%。但该网站指出，目前的一些报价在2.5%范围内。</blockquote></p><p> So does that mean people should get a loan now for a new ride? Rick doesn’t think so.</p><p><blockquote>那么，这是否意味着人们现在应该获得贷款来购买新车呢？瑞克不这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> For one thing, there’s an inventory problem with cars, like so many other products snarled in the current supply chain woes. Besides, Rick ultimately thinks car prices will fall as supply-chain issues ease. The savings from lower costs will be greater than the added costs of higher interest in his view.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，汽车存在库存问题，就像当前供应链困境中陷入困境的许多其他产品一样。此外，里克最终认为，随着供应链问题的缓解，汽车价格将会下降。他认为，较低成本带来的节省将大于较高利息带来的额外成本。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Schulz said, “by the time the auto loan rate go up, hopefully we will see auto prices revert a little more to normal and everything balances out.”</p><p><blockquote>同样，舒尔茨表示，“当汽车贷款利率上升时，希望我们能看到汽车价格稍微恢复正常，一切都会平衡。”</blockquote></p><p> As consumers figure out their next moves, the stock market liked what it heard from Powell on Wednesday. Benchmarks climbed in the afternoon and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +1.08%closed up 1.1%, while the S&amp;P 500 SPX, +1.63%finished up 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>随着消费者弄清楚他们的下一步行动，股市喜欢周三从鲍威尔那里听到的消息。基准指数午后攀升，道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+1.08%收盘上涨1.1%，标普500 SPX指数+1.63%收盘上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-the-fed-decision-means-for-your-wallet-and-your-credit-card-bill-11639595377?mod=newsviewer_click\">market watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-the-fed-decision-means-for-your-wallet-and-your-credit-card-bill-11639595377?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115910347","content_text":"All eyes were on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as the market digested the news Wednesday on what the central bank will do to keep the economy rebounding from the pandemic while countering the hot inflation that has consumers’ wallets sizzling.\n\nMarket observers were betting the Fed will conclude its bond buying — a move to help the economy in the pandemic’s earlier phases — quicker than expected and chart a course for more interest rate hikes.\n\n\nThe Fed said Wednesday afternoon it would reduce its bond purchases by $30 billion a month so it could end the program in March, instead of June. The Fed penciled in three rate hikes in 2022, instead of one hike.\n\nPowell talked about the decision at a Wednesday afternoon press conference, saying the economy was strong enough now to handle the potential steps.\n\n“We understand that our actions affect communities, families and businesses across the country. Everything we do is in service to our public mission. We, at the Fed, will do everything we can to complete the recovery in employment and achieve our price stability goal,” Powell said.\n\nNew projections from Fed officials foresee the closely-watched federal funds rate climbing 0.9% by the end of next year, to 1.6% by the end of 2023 and 2.1% by the end of 2024.\n\nIn the meantime, some experts say consumers can do their own preparation for the Fed decision: Try to pay off their own credit-card bills as fast as possible now in order to avoid the extra interest rate costs waiting in future.\n\nThis is because annual percentage rates (APR) on credit cards hinge closely on the rates and targets set by the Fed, experts told MarketWatch.\n\nCredit-card issuers generally start their calculations on APR by looking at the U.S. prime rate, which is the rate that banks would extend to preferred customers.\n\nWhen banks determine the prime rate, they are looking at factors including the target level of the federal funds rate. (That’s the interest rate set by the Federal Reserve committee determining what banks charge each other for short-term, overnight loans.)\n\n\nLayer on extra lending costs, like the so-called “credit risk” of a potential customer, and that’s essentially the ingredients of a credit card’s APR, said Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual Group, which provides insurance products and wealth management services to credit unions.\n\nSo when Fed rate hikes zoom into view and then happen, consumers quickly can have their own future rate hikes to absorb. That’s worth knowing during a bustling holiday season amid rising costs.\n\n“The best financial move they can make is pay off that credit-card balance,” Rick said.\n\nIf banks “see rate increases on the horizon and they anticipate changes like a taper, you may end seeing rates increase for different types of loans,” said Matt Schulz, LendingTree’s chief credit analyst.\n\n“Credit cards are among the most influenced by the Fed because so many credit card interest rates are based on the prime rate,” he said. “If you have credit-card debt now, it would probably be a good idea to assume that your rates are going to go up in the not-too-distant future. If you can put a little more to credit card debt to knock it down, the better off you are.”\n\nMortgage rates are also influenced by the Fed’s actions, noted Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “Mortgages rates could rise from about 3% now to 3.7% by the end of 2022, according to a consensus of forecasts,” he said, adding that rates on loans, including credits cards “will increase more or less in lockstep with federal fund rate increases.”\n\nThe 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 3.1% for the week ending Dec. 9.\n\nThe rates on savings accounts and CDs will also increase, Frick said — “and if the Fed is successful in driving inflation down, savers could see the interest they earn on accounts finally catch up with inflation.”\n\nBut credit-card users could see the rates potentially rise quickly after a rate hike.\n\nFollowing even a quarter percentage point increase in the fed funds rate, it historically takes credit-card companies one or two months to bring on higher APRs, Schulz said. That’s one or two billing cycles, but, Schulz added, “They could do it the next day.”\n\nThe average APR on all new card offers was 19.55% this month, up from 19.49% in November, according to LendingTree. The maximum APR was 23.21% and the minimum was 15.89%, according to the online platform where people can shop around on credit card offers, car loans and mortgages.\n\nSuppose a person has a $5,000 balance on their credit card and an APR between 19% and 20%, said Schulz. A single percentage point increase would tack on approximately $70 to $80 to completely pay the owed amount, plus interest, he said.\n\nThat might not sound like a lot to some people, Schulz said. “When you are living paycheck to paycheck, trying to knock that debt really does matter.”\n\nSmaller added costs matter even for financially secure households watching rising prices burn into their disposable income. And the timing on the Fed decision matters too because the closely-watched decision comes during the holiday season.\n\nTypically, consumers incur “modest” increases in their credit card balances during the second and third quarters, according to Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Then, balances balloon during the holiday season in the fourth quarter and people pay off the balances in the first quarter, researchers said. Then the cycle repeats itself.\n\nOn this go-round, there could be higher credit card costs waiting for people in 2022 when they are paying off their 2021 holiday spending spree and traveling to make up lost time with friends and family.\n\nHoliday shopping could break records this year and reach $859 billion sales, according to the National Retail Federation.\n\nAmericans held roughly $800 billion in credit card debt during the third quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said. That’s a $17 billion increase from the second quarter, but the balance is still $123 billion lower than pre-pandemic levels at the end of 2019.\n\nFed decisions can also influence the rates on auto loans, where rates are influenced by interest rates on Treasury notes, Rick noted. As of October, the average APR on a five-year auto loan for a new car was 3.89% and 6.12% for a used car, according to Bankrate.com. But some current offers were in the 2.5% range, the site noted.\n\nSo does that mean people should get a loan now for a new ride? Rick doesn’t think so.\n\nFor one thing, there’s an inventory problem with cars, like so many other products snarled in the current supply chain woes. Besides, Rick ultimately thinks car prices will fall as supply-chain issues ease. The savings from lower costs will be greater than the added costs of higher interest in his view.\n\nLikewise, Schulz said, “by the time the auto loan rate go up, hopefully we will see auto prices revert a little more to normal and everything balances out.”\n\nAs consumers figure out their next moves, the stock market liked what it heard from Powell on Wednesday. Benchmarks climbed in the afternoon and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +1.08%closed up 1.1%, while the S&P 500 SPX, +1.63%finished up 1.6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607511996,"gmtCreate":1639560501744,"gmtModify":1639562208484,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://youtu.be/9c_fN3mdGcUBubbles brewing? Maybe yes, maybe no.&nbsp;","listText":"https://youtu.be/9c_fN3mdGcUBubbles brewing? Maybe yes, maybe no.&nbsp;","text":"https://youtu.be/9c_fN3mdGcUBubbles brewing? Maybe yes, maybe no.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607511996","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607276565,"gmtCreate":1639554083578,"gmtModify":1639554083709,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Speculation will pay the price one day. You just hope you are not the one paying for someone's profit. Market always win.&nbsp;","listText":"Speculation will pay the price one day. You just hope you are not the one paying for someone's profit. Market always win.&nbsp;","text":"Speculation will pay the price one day. You just hope you are not the one paying for someone's profit. Market always win.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607276565","repostId":"1135250714","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135250714","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639546347,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135250714?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 13:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"House passes debt ceiling increase, sending it to Biden to avoid default hours before deadline<blockquote>众议院通过提高债务上限，并在截止日期前几小时将其发送给拜登以避免违约</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135250714","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Congressional Democrats passed a debt ceiling increase and sent it to President Joe Biden’s desk ear","content":"<p>Congressional Democrats passed a debt ceiling increase and sent it to President Joe Biden’s desk early Wednesday, the deadline that Treasury Secretary&nbsp;Janet Yellen&nbsp;warned could mark the start of the first-ever U.S. default.</p><p><blockquote>国会民主党人通过了提高债务上限的法案，并于周三早些时候将其送到总统乔·拜登的办公桌上，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦警告说，这一最后期限可能标志着美国首次违约的开始。</blockquote></p><p> The president is expected to sign the borrowing limit hike just hours before the Treasury Department forecasts it would exhaust its tools to pay the government’s bills — an outcome that could upend the U.S. economy.</p><p><blockquote>预计总统将在财政部预测将用尽支付政府账单的工具前几个小时签署提高借贷限额的协议——这一结果可能会颠覆美国经济。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic-held Senate and House passed the debt ceiling increase with only one Republican vote. The Senate approved the measure in a 50-49 party-line vote late Tuesday afternoon. The House followed early Wednesday, passing it by a 221-209 margin as only one GOP representative joined every Democrat.</p><p><blockquote>民主党控制的参众两院仅以共和党一票通过了债务上限上调。周二下午晚些时候，参议院以50票对49票的党派投票批准了这项措施。周三早些时候，众议院以221比209的优势通过了该法案，因为只有一名共和党代表加入了每个民主党人的行列。</blockquote></p><p> Once signed by Biden, the resolution would increase the debt ceiling by $2.5 trillion. On Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said the measure will raise the borrowing limit “to a level commensurate with funding necessary to get into 2023.”</p><p><blockquote>一旦拜登签署，该决议将使债务上限提高2.5万亿美元。周二，参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默表示，该措施将把借款限额提高到“与进入2023年所需资金相称的水平”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>House passes debt ceiling increase, sending it to Biden to avoid default hours before deadline<blockquote>众议院通过提高债务上限，并在截止日期前几小时将其发送给拜登以避免违约</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHouse passes debt ceiling increase, sending it to Biden to avoid default hours before deadline<blockquote>众议院通过提高债务上限，并在截止日期前几小时将其发送给拜登以避免违约</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-15 13:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Congressional Democrats passed a debt ceiling increase and sent it to President Joe Biden’s desk early Wednesday, the deadline that Treasury Secretary&nbsp;Janet Yellen&nbsp;warned could mark the start of the first-ever U.S. default.</p><p><blockquote>国会民主党人通过了提高债务上限的法案，并于周三早些时候将其送到总统乔·拜登的办公桌上，财政部长珍妮特·耶伦警告说，这一最后期限可能标志着美国首次违约的开始。</blockquote></p><p> The president is expected to sign the borrowing limit hike just hours before the Treasury Department forecasts it would exhaust its tools to pay the government’s bills — an outcome that could upend the U.S. economy.</p><p><blockquote>预计总统将在财政部预测将用尽支付政府账单的工具前几个小时签署提高借贷限额的协议——这一结果可能会颠覆美国经济。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic-held Senate and House passed the debt ceiling increase with only one Republican vote. The Senate approved the measure in a 50-49 party-line vote late Tuesday afternoon. The House followed early Wednesday, passing it by a 221-209 margin as only one GOP representative joined every Democrat.</p><p><blockquote>民主党控制的参众两院仅以共和党一票通过了债务上限上调。周二下午晚些时候，参议院以50票对49票的党派投票批准了这项措施。周三早些时候，众议院以221比209的优势通过了该法案，因为只有一名共和党代表加入了每个民主党人的行列。</blockquote></p><p> Once signed by Biden, the resolution would increase the debt ceiling by $2.5 trillion. On Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said the measure will raise the borrowing limit “to a level commensurate with funding necessary to get into 2023.”</p><p><blockquote>一旦拜登签署，该决议将使债务上限提高2.5万亿美元。周二，参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默表示，该措施将把借款限额提高到“与进入2023年所需资金相称的水平”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135250714","content_text":"Congressional Democrats passed a debt ceiling increase and sent it to President Joe Biden’s desk early Wednesday, the deadline that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned could mark the start of the first-ever U.S. default.\nThe president is expected to sign the borrowing limit hike just hours before the Treasury Department forecasts it would exhaust its tools to pay the government’s bills — an outcome that could upend the U.S. economy.\nThe Democratic-held Senate and House passed the debt ceiling increase with only one Republican vote. The Senate approved the measure in a 50-49 party-line vote late Tuesday afternoon. The House followed early Wednesday, passing it by a 221-209 margin as only one GOP representative joined every Democrat.\nOnce signed by Biden, the resolution would increase the debt ceiling by $2.5 trillion. On Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said the measure will raise the borrowing limit “to a level commensurate with funding necessary to get into 2023.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607686649,"gmtCreate":1639533074715,"gmtModify":1639541320591,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road","listText":"More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road","text":"More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607686649","repostId":"2191951144","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607614747,"gmtCreate":1639532665622,"gmtModify":1639532814022,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This debt ceiling is getting out of control at the rate that it is going.&nbsp;","listText":"This debt ceiling is getting out of control at the rate that it is going.&nbsp;","text":"This debt ceiling is getting out of control at the rate that it is going.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607614747","repostId":"1177647306","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607698110,"gmtCreate":1639530569432,"gmtModify":1639530569511,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watching closely","listText":"Watching closely","text":"Watching closely","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607698110","repostId":"2191580999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604479226,"gmtCreate":1639442276075,"gmtModify":1639442276336,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stalling efforts can only hurt the finances in the long term. It is better to face the little growing pain than to be met by the snowballing storm down the road.&nbsp;","listText":"Stalling efforts can only hurt the finances in the long term. It is better to face the little growing pain than to be met by the snowballing storm down the road.&nbsp;","text":"Stalling efforts can only hurt the finances in the long term. It is better to face the little growing pain than to be met by the snowballing storm down the road.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604479226","repostId":"2191984549","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":604422501,"gmtCreate":1639440605935,"gmtModify":1639440606018,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Momentum trading comes with a big price tag. Stay prudent and diligent to invest in what you can understand. Prefer to stick to firms with sound and sustainable financials and long term growth plans that do not distract investors by speculative and sensational news.&nbsp;","listText":"Momentum trading comes with a big price tag. Stay prudent and diligent to invest in what you can understand. Prefer to stick to firms with sound and sustainable financials and long term growth plans that do not distract investors by speculative and sensational news.&nbsp;","text":"Momentum trading comes with a big price tag. Stay prudent and diligent to invest in what you can understand. Prefer to stick to firms with sound and sustainable financials and long term growth plans that do not distract investors by speculative and sensational news.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604422501","repostId":"1114636896","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1114636896","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639439509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114636896?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114636896","media":"Barrons","summary":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is ","content":"<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;crossed into bear-market territory&nbsp;today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领导者特斯拉的股价今天进入熊市区域。这种说法在技术上是正确的，但也有点累。就个人而言，股票没有熊市或牛市。这些条款应该留给整个市场。尽管如此，大型股的大幅下跌还是值得注意的，让投资者想知道接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;both closed down 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价收盘下跌5%，至966.41美元。标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数均收跌0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p><p><blockquote>根据已发行股票数量（不包括管理层股票期权）计算，周一的下跌使该公司的市值跌破1万亿美元。股价较11月4日收盘高点1,229.91美元下跌21%。股价较盘中高点1,243.49美元下跌22%。</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p><p><blockquote>熊市应该从收盘高点还是盘中高点来衡量是华尔街争论的焦点。但同样，在这种情况下，争论并不重要，因为个股没有牛市和熊市。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p><p><blockquote>对于个人投资者来说，是否是熊市并不是重点。下跌20%的痛苦是真实的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票最后一次收于熊市区域是在2021年2月。（是的，<i>巴伦周刊</i>当时也写过关于单股熊市的文章。）当时，利率正在上升，高估值的科技股承受了压力。较高的利率对增长较快的公司股票估值的损害大于增长缓慢的成熟公司的股票估值——这正是较高利率的数学计算方式。</blockquote></p><p> Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该股花了大约六个月的时间才恢复到旧高点。如果这种情况再次发生，看涨的投资者将等到2022年6月才能看到特斯拉股价触及1,300美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p><p><blockquote>对于多头来说，这将是一个漫长的等待，虽然没有办法知道这种情况是否会发生，但未来几个月有很多事情可能会影响该股。看涨和看跌的特斯拉投资者将关注德国和德克萨斯两家新工厂的启动、这些新工厂对利润率的影响、特斯拉Cybertruck的开始交付以及美国电动汽车的整体增长、欧洲和中国。</blockquote></p><p> With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p><p><blockquote>随之而来的是，这引发了一个问题：为什么股价陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>可能有两件事在起作用。首先，首席执行官埃隆·马斯克仍在出售股票。它创造了一个悬垂。一些多头可能会等到大规模抛售结束后再买入。马斯克至少还有500万或600万股与他即将到期的股票期权相关的股票可供出售。他可能会在2021年底完成出售，但他可能会在完成后发布推文。按照目前的速度，我们预计到年底。</blockquote></p><p> Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p><p><blockquote>其次，还有马斯克被《时代》杂志评为年度人物的问题。亚马逊。com(AMZN)创始人杰夫·贝索斯(Mark Zuckerberg)在1999年获得了这一殊荣，当时该股股价接近多年来的峰值。亚马逊股价继续下滑，一些投资者认为特斯拉股价也可能出现同样的情况。</blockquote></p><p> The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，亚马逊与特斯拉的比较并不完全匹配。当这两家公司的高管赢得《时代》杂志的殊荣时，它们正处于截然不同的发展阶段。亚马逊当时的市值为270亿美元。特斯拉的市值目前徘徊在1万亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，这仍然是一种信念，交易者时不时会做一些奇怪的事情，无论是否合理。当股票上涨或下跌时，无论出于何种原因，动量交易者都会顺势而为。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;crossed into bear-market territory&nbsp;today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领导者特斯拉的股价今天进入熊市区域。这种说法在技术上是正确的，但也有点累。就个人而言，股票没有熊市或牛市。这些条款应该留给整个市场。尽管如此，大型股的大幅下跌还是值得注意的，让投资者想知道接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;both closed down 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价收盘下跌5%，至966.41美元。标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数均收跌0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p><p><blockquote>根据已发行股票数量（不包括管理层股票期权）计算，周一的下跌使该公司的市值跌破1万亿美元。股价较11月4日收盘高点1,229.91美元下跌21%。股价较盘中高点1,243.49美元下跌22%。</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p><p><blockquote>熊市应该从收盘高点还是盘中高点来衡量是华尔街争论的焦点。但同样，在这种情况下，争论并不重要，因为个股没有牛市和熊市。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p><p><blockquote>对于个人投资者来说，是否是熊市并不是重点。下跌20%的痛苦是真实的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票最后一次收于熊市区域是在2021年2月。（是的，<i>巴伦周刊</i>当时也写过关于单股熊市的文章。）当时，利率正在上升，高估值的科技股承受了压力。较高的利率对增长较快的公司股票估值的损害大于增长缓慢的成熟公司的股票估值——这正是较高利率的数学计算方式。</blockquote></p><p> Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该股花了大约六个月的时间才恢复到旧高点。如果这种情况再次发生，看涨的投资者将等到2022年6月才能看到特斯拉股价触及1,300美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p><p><blockquote>对于多头来说，这将是一个漫长的等待，虽然没有办法知道这种情况是否会发生，但未来几个月有很多事情可能会影响该股。看涨和看跌的特斯拉投资者将关注德国和德克萨斯两家新工厂的启动、这些新工厂对利润率的影响、特斯拉Cybertruck的开始交付以及美国电动汽车的整体增长、欧洲和中国。</blockquote></p><p> With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p><p><blockquote>随之而来的是，这引发了一个问题：为什么股价陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>可能有两件事在起作用。首先，首席执行官埃隆·马斯克仍在出售股票。它创造了一个悬垂。一些多头可能会等到大规模抛售结束后再买入。马斯克至少还有500万或600万股与他即将到期的股票期权相关的股票可供出售。他可能会在2021年底完成出售，但他可能会在完成后发布推文。按照目前的速度，我们预计到年底。</blockquote></p><p> Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p><p><blockquote>其次，还有马斯克被《时代》杂志评为年度人物的问题。亚马逊。com(AMZN)创始人杰夫·贝索斯(Mark Zuckerberg)在1999年获得了这一殊荣，当时该股股价接近多年来的峰值。亚马逊股价继续下滑，一些投资者认为特斯拉股价也可能出现同样的情况。</blockquote></p><p> The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，亚马逊与特斯拉的比较并不完全匹配。当这两家公司的高管赢得《时代》杂志的殊荣时，它们正处于截然不同的发展阶段。亚马逊当时的市值为270亿美元。特斯拉的市值目前徘徊在1万亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，这仍然是一种信念，交易者时不时会做一些奇怪的事情，无论是否合理。当股票上涨或下跌时，无论出于何种原因，动量交易者都会顺势而为。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114636896","content_text":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.\nThe Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.\nWhether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.\nWhether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.\nOne of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, Barron’s wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.\nBack then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.\nThat would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.\nWith all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.\nTwo things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.\nSecond, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.\nThe Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.\nStill, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690970174,"gmtCreate":1639626569634,"gmtModify":1639626569731,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.&nbsp;","listText":"There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.&nbsp;","text":"There is still a lot of liquidity in the market with the money printing. The best of both worlds is a desirable ideal which has to be sustainable, if that is even possible.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690970174","repostId":"1106884978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106884978","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639625066,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106884978?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106884978","media":"Barrons","summary":"Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms","content":"<p>Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms, even as the labor market returns to full employment, according to the latest economic projections from the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储最新的经济预测，即使劳动力市场恢复充分就业，通胀也将显着缓解，而实际利率仍处于历史低位且为负。</blockquote></p><p> This would be the best of all economic possible worlds. Indeed, it is a forecast worthy of Dr. Pangloss from Voltaire’s <i>Candide</i>, who called this the best of all possible worlds—in contradiction to the reality around him.</p><p><blockquote>这将是所有可能的经济世界中最好的。的确，这是伏尔泰的庞格罗斯博士的预言<i>老实人</i>他称这是所有可能的世界中最好的——与他周围的现实相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> In an apparent sigh of relief Wednesday, stocks reversed earlier losses following the widely anticipated announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it will taper its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage securities twice as quickly as previously indicated, by a total of $60 billion per month in January.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美国联邦公开市场委员会(Federal Open Market Committee)宣布，将以之前两倍的速度缩减国债和机构抵押贷款证券的购买量，总计减少600亿美元，股市明显松了一口气。一月。</blockquote></p><p> That, in turn, would set the stage for the initial liftoff in the federal-funds target rate, from the current rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, by the spring. According to the FOMC’s “dot plot” of forecasts of committee members, their median guess is for three quarter-percentage point increases by the end of 2022, with another three hikes in 2023 and two more by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>反过来，这将为联邦基金目标利率在春季从目前的谷底0%-0.25%的初步上升奠定基础。根据FOMC对委员会成员预测的“点阵图”，他们的猜测中值是到2022年底加息三个四分之一个百分点，2023年再加息三次，2024年底再加息两次。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom calls this a hawkish pivot, which it may be given that the Fed’s previous dots envisioned only a single quarter-point hike next year and maybe a couple more in 2023. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted inflation has proved anything but transitory (with the T word excised from the FOMC’s policy statement). And at his press conference, he acknowledged the labor market has made much faster progress toward the central bank’s goal of full employment than expected.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点评级认为这是一个鹰派转向，这可能是因为美联储之前的dots预计明年仅加息一次25个基点，2023年可能还会加息几次。但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔承认，事实证明，通胀绝不是暂时的（联邦公开市场委员会的政策声明中删除了T字）。在新闻发布会上，他承认劳动力市场在实现央行充分就业目标方面取得的进展比预期快得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Powell did his job to explain how the world has changed and how a lot of their forecasts were based on assumptions that have proved incorrect,” Julian Brigden, head of Macro Intelligence Partners, told <i>Barron’s</i>. “He’s now addressing inflation and a labor market that for all intents and purposes has healed.”</p><p><blockquote>Macro Intelligence Partners主管朱利安·布里格登(Julian Brigden)表示：“鲍威尔尽了自己的职责，解释了世界是如何变化的，以及他们的许多预测是如何基于被证明是不正确的假设。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>“他现在正在解决通货膨胀和劳动力市场的问题，而劳动力市场实际上已经痊愈了。”</blockquote></p><p> What the markets fail to grasp, however, is that a far greater tightening of financial conditions will be needed to bring about the descent in inflation envisioned in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, Brigden added.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布里格登补充说，市场未能理解的是，要实现美联储经济预测摘要中设想的通胀下降，需要进一步收紧金融状况。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure deflator, is expected to be cut by more than half next year, to 2.6% from the current estimate of 5.3% for 2021. From there, the PCE deflator is expected to enter a glide path to 2.3% and 2.1% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, or virtually spot on with the Fed’s long-run target of 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>美联储首选的通胀指标个人消费支出平减指数预计明年将下调一半以上，从目前估计的2021年5.3%降至2.6%。预计PCE平减指数将在2023年和2024年分别下滑至2.3%和2.1%，几乎符合美联储2.0%的长期目标。</blockquote></p><p> Unemployment is forecast to fall from 4.3% at the end of 2021 to 3.5% in the next three years. Powell wouldn’t be pinned down about what would constitute the Fed’s goal of maximum employment, which he said at his Wednesday press conference couldn’t be captured in a single number, as with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来三年失业率将从2021年底的4.3%降至3.5%。鲍威尔不愿透露美联储最大就业目标的构成是什么，他在周三的新闻发布会上表示，这一目标无法像通胀一样用一个数字来体现。</blockquote></p><p> Brigden says for all intents and purposes, full employment has been met. Powell himself took note of key indicators consistent with full employment, including wage growth and the quits rate. And as Joseph Carson, former chief economist of AllianceBernstein, points out in his blog, after a steep fall in the jobless rate this year, there are 11 million job openings, 4 million more than there are unemployed.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登说，从各方面来看，充分就业已经实现。鲍威尔本人注意到了与充分就业一致的关键指标，包括工资增长和辞职率。正如联博前首席经济学家约瑟夫·卡森在他的博客中指出的那样，在今年失业率急剧下降后，有1100万个职位空缺，比失业人数多400万。</blockquote></p><p> What the stock market doesn’t realize is how much financial conditions have to tighten to tamp down inflation as the Fed forecasts, Brigden says.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登表示，股市没有意识到的是，正如美联储预测的那样，金融状况必须收紧多少才能抑制通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Even with its latest pivot, monetary policy will remain accommodative. The Fed will still be expanding its balance sheet (thus adding liquidity), only more slowly. Hiking the fed-funds rate three times, to 0.75%-1%, by the end of 2022, would leave this key rate still sharply negative in real terms (that is, well below the rate of inflation), an easy policy by any criteria.</p><p><blockquote>即使有最新的转向，货币政策仍将保持宽松。美联储仍将扩大资产负债表（从而增加流动性），只是速度更慢。到2022年底，将联邦基金利率三次上调至0.75%-1%，这一关键利率按实际价值计算仍将大幅为负（即远低于通胀率），无论从任何标准来看，这都是一项轻松的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Other components of financial conditions include the dollar’s exchange rate, short-term Treasury rates, longer-term Treasury yields, corporate-credit risk spreads, and, last but not least, the equity market. A significant correction in stock prices would be consistent with the requisite tightening in financial conditions needed to slow inflation, Brigden concludes.</p><p><blockquote>金融状况的其他组成部分包括美元汇率、短期国债利率、长期国债收益率、企业信用风险利差，以及最后但并非最不重要的股票市场。布里格登总结道，股价的大幅调整将与减缓通胀所需的金融状况收紧相一致。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s post-Fed rally was based on the pleasant notion that the central bank would be able to achieve its objectives of bringing inflation back into line along with full employment, all while continuing easy financial conditions. In other words, the best of all possible economic and financial worlds, as seen by Dr. Pangloss.</p><p><blockquote>美联储后股市的反弹是基于一个令人愉快的想法，即央行将能够实现其目标，即让通胀回归正轨和充分就业，同时继续宽松的金融状况。换句话说，正如潘格洛斯博士所看到的，所有可能的经济和金融世界中最好的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Fed May Have to Kill the Stock Market’s Rally to Quash Inflation<blockquote>为什么美联储可能不得不扼杀股市涨势来抑制通胀</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms, even as the labor market returns to full employment, according to the latest economic projections from the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储最新的经济预测，即使劳动力市场恢复充分就业，通胀也将显着缓解，而实际利率仍处于历史低位且为负。</blockquote></p><p> This would be the best of all economic possible worlds. Indeed, it is a forecast worthy of Dr. Pangloss from Voltaire’s <i>Candide</i>, who called this the best of all possible worlds—in contradiction to the reality around him.</p><p><blockquote>这将是所有可能的经济世界中最好的。的确，这是伏尔泰的庞格罗斯博士的预言<i>老实人</i>他称这是所有可能的世界中最好的——与他周围的现实相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> In an apparent sigh of relief Wednesday, stocks reversed earlier losses following the widely anticipated announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it will taper its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage securities twice as quickly as previously indicated, by a total of $60 billion per month in January.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美国联邦公开市场委员会(Federal Open Market Committee)宣布，将以之前两倍的速度缩减国债和机构抵押贷款证券的购买量，总计减少600亿美元，股市明显松了一口气。一月。</blockquote></p><p> That, in turn, would set the stage for the initial liftoff in the federal-funds target rate, from the current rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, by the spring. According to the FOMC’s “dot plot” of forecasts of committee members, their median guess is for three quarter-percentage point increases by the end of 2022, with another three hikes in 2023 and two more by the end of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>反过来，这将为联邦基金目标利率在春季从目前的谷底0%-0.25%的初步上升奠定基础。根据FOMC对委员会成员预测的“点阵图”，他们的猜测中值是到2022年底加息三个四分之一个百分点，2023年再加息三次，2024年底再加息两次。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom calls this a hawkish pivot, which it may be given that the Fed’s previous dots envisioned only a single quarter-point hike next year and maybe a couple more in 2023. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted inflation has proved anything but transitory (with the T word excised from the FOMC’s policy statement). And at his press conference, he acknowledged the labor market has made much faster progress toward the central bank’s goal of full employment than expected.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点评级认为这是一个鹰派转向，这可能是因为美联储之前的dots预计明年仅加息一次25个基点，2023年可能还会加息几次。但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔承认，事实证明，通胀绝不是暂时的（联邦公开市场委员会的政策声明中删除了T字）。在新闻发布会上，他承认劳动力市场在实现央行充分就业目标方面取得的进展比预期快得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Powell did his job to explain how the world has changed and how a lot of their forecasts were based on assumptions that have proved incorrect,” Julian Brigden, head of Macro Intelligence Partners, told <i>Barron’s</i>. “He’s now addressing inflation and a labor market that for all intents and purposes has healed.”</p><p><blockquote>Macro Intelligence Partners主管朱利安·布里格登(Julian Brigden)表示：“鲍威尔尽了自己的职责，解释了世界是如何变化的，以及他们的许多预测是如何基于被证明是不正确的假设。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>“他现在正在解决通货膨胀和劳动力市场的问题，而劳动力市场实际上已经痊愈了。”</blockquote></p><p> What the markets fail to grasp, however, is that a far greater tightening of financial conditions will be needed to bring about the descent in inflation envisioned in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, Brigden added.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布里格登补充说，市场未能理解的是，要实现美联储经济预测摘要中设想的通胀下降，需要进一步收紧金融状况。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure deflator, is expected to be cut by more than half next year, to 2.6% from the current estimate of 5.3% for 2021. From there, the PCE deflator is expected to enter a glide path to 2.3% and 2.1% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, or virtually spot on with the Fed’s long-run target of 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>美联储首选的通胀指标个人消费支出平减指数预计明年将下调一半以上，从目前估计的2021年5.3%降至2.6%。预计PCE平减指数将在2023年和2024年分别下滑至2.3%和2.1%，几乎符合美联储2.0%的长期目标。</blockquote></p><p> Unemployment is forecast to fall from 4.3% at the end of 2021 to 3.5% in the next three years. Powell wouldn’t be pinned down about what would constitute the Fed’s goal of maximum employment, which he said at his Wednesday press conference couldn’t be captured in a single number, as with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来三年失业率将从2021年底的4.3%降至3.5%。鲍威尔不愿透露美联储最大就业目标的构成是什么，他在周三的新闻发布会上表示，这一目标无法像通胀一样用一个数字来体现。</blockquote></p><p> Brigden says for all intents and purposes, full employment has been met. Powell himself took note of key indicators consistent with full employment, including wage growth and the quits rate. And as Joseph Carson, former chief economist of AllianceBernstein, points out in his blog, after a steep fall in the jobless rate this year, there are 11 million job openings, 4 million more than there are unemployed.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登说，从各方面来看，充分就业已经实现。鲍威尔本人注意到了与充分就业一致的关键指标，包括工资增长和辞职率。正如联博前首席经济学家约瑟夫·卡森在他的博客中指出的那样，在今年失业率急剧下降后，有1100万个职位空缺，比失业人数多400万。</blockquote></p><p> What the stock market doesn’t realize is how much financial conditions have to tighten to tamp down inflation as the Fed forecasts, Brigden says.</p><p><blockquote>布里格登表示，股市没有意识到的是，正如美联储预测的那样，金融状况必须收紧多少才能抑制通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Even with its latest pivot, monetary policy will remain accommodative. The Fed will still be expanding its balance sheet (thus adding liquidity), only more slowly. Hiking the fed-funds rate three times, to 0.75%-1%, by the end of 2022, would leave this key rate still sharply negative in real terms (that is, well below the rate of inflation), an easy policy by any criteria.</p><p><blockquote>即使有最新的转向，货币政策仍将保持宽松。美联储仍将扩大资产负债表（从而增加流动性），只是速度更慢。到2022年底，将联邦基金利率三次上调至0.75%-1%，这一关键利率按实际价值计算仍将大幅为负（即远低于通胀率），无论从任何标准来看，这都是一项轻松的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Other components of financial conditions include the dollar’s exchange rate, short-term Treasury rates, longer-term Treasury yields, corporate-credit risk spreads, and, last but not least, the equity market. A significant correction in stock prices would be consistent with the requisite tightening in financial conditions needed to slow inflation, Brigden concludes.</p><p><blockquote>金融状况的其他组成部分包括美元汇率、短期国债利率、长期国债收益率、企业信用风险利差，以及最后但并非最不重要的股票市场。布里格登总结道，股价的大幅调整将与减缓通胀所需的金融状况收紧相一致。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s post-Fed rally was based on the pleasant notion that the central bank would be able to achieve its objectives of bringing inflation back into line along with full employment, all while continuing easy financial conditions. In other words, the best of all possible economic and financial worlds, as seen by Dr. Pangloss.</p><p><blockquote>美联储后股市的反弹是基于一个令人愉快的想法，即央行将能够实现其目标，即让通胀回归正轨和充分就业，同时继续宽松的金融状况。换句话说，正如潘格洛斯博士所看到的，所有可能的经济和金融世界中最好的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-the-fed-may-have-to-kill-the-stock-markets-rally-to-quash-inflation-51639611968?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-the-fed-may-have-to-kill-the-stock-markets-rally-to-quash-inflation-51639611968?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106884978","content_text":"Inflation will ease markedly while interest rates remain historically low and negative in real terms, even as the labor market returns to full employment, according to the latest economic projections from the Federal Reserve.\nThis would be the best of all economic possible worlds. Indeed, it is a forecast worthy of Dr. Pangloss from Voltaire’s Candide, who called this the best of all possible worlds—in contradiction to the reality around him.\nIn an apparent sigh of relief Wednesday, stocks reversed earlier losses following the widely anticipated announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it will taper its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage securities twice as quickly as previously indicated, by a total of $60 billion per month in January.\nThat, in turn, would set the stage for the initial liftoff in the federal-funds target rate, from the current rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, by the spring. According to the FOMC’s “dot plot” of forecasts of committee members, their median guess is for three quarter-percentage point increases by the end of 2022, with another three hikes in 2023 and two more by the end of 2024.\nConventional wisdom calls this a hawkish pivot, which it may be given that the Fed’s previous dots envisioned only a single quarter-point hike next year and maybe a couple more in 2023. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted inflation has proved anything but transitory (with the T word excised from the FOMC’s policy statement). And at his press conference, he acknowledged the labor market has made much faster progress toward the central bank’s goal of full employment than expected.\n“Powell did his job to explain how the world has changed and how a lot of their forecasts were based on assumptions that have proved incorrect,” Julian Brigden, head of Macro Intelligence Partners, told Barron’s. “He’s now addressing inflation and a labor market that for all intents and purposes has healed.”\nWhat the markets fail to grasp, however, is that a far greater tightening of financial conditions will be needed to bring about the descent in inflation envisioned in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, Brigden added.\nThe Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditure deflator, is expected to be cut by more than half next year, to 2.6% from the current estimate of 5.3% for 2021. From there, the PCE deflator is expected to enter a glide path to 2.3% and 2.1% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, or virtually spot on with the Fed’s long-run target of 2.0%.\nUnemployment is forecast to fall from 4.3% at the end of 2021 to 3.5% in the next three years. Powell wouldn’t be pinned down about what would constitute the Fed’s goal of maximum employment, which he said at his Wednesday press conference couldn’t be captured in a single number, as with inflation.\nBrigden says for all intents and purposes, full employment has been met. Powell himself took note of key indicators consistent with full employment, including wage growth and the quits rate. And as Joseph Carson, former chief economist of AllianceBernstein, points out in his blog, after a steep fall in the jobless rate this year, there are 11 million job openings, 4 million more than there are unemployed.\nWhat the stock market doesn’t realize is how much financial conditions have to tighten to tamp down inflation as the Fed forecasts, Brigden says.\nEven with its latest pivot, monetary policy will remain accommodative. The Fed will still be expanding its balance sheet (thus adding liquidity), only more slowly. Hiking the fed-funds rate three times, to 0.75%-1%, by the end of 2022, would leave this key rate still sharply negative in real terms (that is, well below the rate of inflation), an easy policy by any criteria.\nOther components of financial conditions include the dollar’s exchange rate, short-term Treasury rates, longer-term Treasury yields, corporate-credit risk spreads, and, last but not least, the equity market. A significant correction in stock prices would be consistent with the requisite tightening in financial conditions needed to slow inflation, Brigden concludes.\nThe stock market’s post-Fed rally was based on the pleasant notion that the central bank would be able to achieve its objectives of bringing inflation back into line along with full employment, all while continuing easy financial conditions. In other words, the best of all possible economic and financial worlds, as seen by Dr. 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the demand in China faced competition by their own Ev developments ?&nbsp;","listText":"Will the demand in China faced competition by their own Ev developments ?&nbsp;","text":"Will the demand in China faced competition by their own Ev developments ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696676255","repostId":"2194148201","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602407218,"gmtCreate":1639052347012,"gmtModify":1639052347155,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When we are not paying for the product, we are the product itself. =)&nbsp;","listText":"When we are not paying for the product, we are the product itself. =)&nbsp;","text":"When we are not paying for the product, we are the product itself. =)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602407218","repostId":"1171554247","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698476779,"gmtCreate":1640518265067,"gmtModify":1640518265176,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stable stocks to have in the portfolio","listText":"Stable stocks to have in the portfolio","text":"Stable stocks to have in the portfolio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698476779","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607686649,"gmtCreate":1639533074715,"gmtModify":1639541320591,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road","listText":"More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road","text":"More tax rising initiatives may be culminating down the road","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607686649","repostId":"2191951144","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605177311,"gmtCreate":1639138044151,"gmtModify":1639138044220,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605177311","repostId":"1162102625","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603720546,"gmtCreate":1638454492345,"gmtModify":1638454492345,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dollar cost averaging for the long term","listText":"Dollar cost averaging for the long term","text":"Dollar cost averaging for the long term","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603720546","repostId":"1139890977","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696671584,"gmtCreate":1640694246382,"gmtModify":1640694246480,"author":{"id":"4090845634066540","authorId":"4090845634066540","name":"Simplehuman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54ff0b8c8c3b676a1cc2d5ec9fada19f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090845634066540","idStr":"4090845634066540"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope the rally sustains into 2022!","listText":"Hope the rally sustains into 2022!","text":"Hope the rally sustains into 2022!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696671584","repostId":"1152146895","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152146895","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640687409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152146895?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 18:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152146895","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&P 500 amid lower liqui","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&amp;P 500 amid lower liquidity in the last days of the year.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，此前一天，由于今年最后几天流动性较低，标普500收盘创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 added 0.2% after the&nbsp;broad-market index rallied 1.4%&nbsp;on Monday. Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.4%, pointing to gains in technology stocks after the opening bell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>周一大盘指数上涨1.4%后，与标普500相关的期货上涨0.2%。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.4%，指向开盘后科技股上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have been buffeted by the spread of the Omicron variant in recent weeks as governments around the world have imposed restrictions to try to curb infections. But some recent studies have suggested that the variant might result in milder illness with a&nbsp;lower risk of hospitalization.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，随着世界各国政府采取限制措施试图遏制感染，股市受到奥密克戎变种病毒传播的打击。但最近的一些研究表明，这种变异可能会导致较轻的疾病，住院风险较低。</blockquote></p><p> The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention&nbsp;reduced the recommended isolation period&nbsp;for some people who test positive to try to minimize disruptions. Still,&nbsp;many economists have lowered&nbsp;their forecasts for economic growth in the first quarter of next year.</p><p><blockquote>疾病控制和预防中心缩短了一些检测呈阳性的人的建议隔离期，以尽量减少干扰。尽管如此，许多经济学家还是下调了对明年第一季度经济增长的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “What is emanating from markets is the faith that Omicron won’t be able to disrupt the economic recovery,” said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management. “There is no visible risk reduction.” That is partly due to lower liquidity from fewer people working around the holidays, he added.&nbsp;Stock investors have also enjoyed a phenomenon known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Indexes such as the S&amp;P 500 have a tendency to rise in the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year. Such a rally takes place at the end of about four of every five years, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p><blockquote>忠利保险资产管理公司投资主管Antonio Cavarero表示：“市场产生的信念是，奥密克戎将无法破坏经济复苏。”“没有明显的风险降低。”他补充说，这部分是由于假期期间工作人员减少导致流动性下降。股票投资者也享受到了一种被称为“圣诞老人反弹”的现象。标普500等指数在一年的最后五天和新年的前两天有上涨的趋势。根据股票交易者年鉴，大约每五年中有四年会出现这样的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> “It happens because people start positioning. People are reading everyone’s 2022 estimates and planning for next year,” said Jeffrey Meyers, a consultant to hedge funds and family offices at Market Securities.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.472% from 1.480% on Monday, declining for a third consecutive day. Shorter-dated bond yields rose, with the two-year yield reaching 0.756%, the highest level since March 2020.Fresh data on the housing market is slated to go out at 9 a.m. ET. The S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index measures the average home prices across major metropolitan areas in the U.S. Economists expect a rise for the year that ended in October, driven by a limited supply of homes.</p><p><blockquote>Market Securities对冲基金和家族办公室顾问杰弗里·迈耶斯(Jeffrey Meyers)表示：“发生这种情况是因为人们开始定位。人们正在阅读每个人对2022年的估计，并为明年做计划。”基准10年期国债收益率从周一的1.480%下滑至1.472%，连续第三天下跌。短期债券收益率上升，两年期收益率达到0.756%，为2020年3月以来最高水平。房地产市场的最新数据定于美国东部时间上午9点公布。S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller全国房价指数衡量美国主要大都市地区的平均房价。经济学家预计，在房屋供应有限的推动下，截至10月份的一年房价将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season has largely wound down. Among the few still reporting is egg producer Cal-Maine Foods, which is expected to post its results Tuesday after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>财报季已基本结束。鸡蛋生产商Cal-Maine Foods是少数仍在报告的公司之一，预计该公司将于周二收盘后公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices ticked up, with global benchmark Brent crude adding 0.2% to $78.41 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨，全球基准布伦特原油上涨0.2%，至每桶78.41美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin slipped around 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, trading around $49,300. The cryptocurrency has oscillated around the $50,000 mark for the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>比特币股价较下午5点下跌约3%。美国东部时间周一，交易价格约为49,300美元。过去五天，这种加密货币一直在50,000美元大关附近波动。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 added 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Turkish lira weakened 1.8% to 11.9 to the dollar. The currency had strengthened after the government announced&nbsp;a new economic plan last week.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其里拉兑美元汇率下跌1.8%至11.9。在政府上周宣布新的经济计划后，货币走强。</blockquote></p><p> “[President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ] may have bought Turkey some time but it’s still not a great story,” Mr. Meyers said. Speculative investors likely closed out short positions ahead of the long holiday weekend and may now be putting them back on, weighing on the lira, he said.In Asia, most major benchmarks rose. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.4%, led by gains in technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>“[总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安]可能已经赢得了土耳其一段时间，但这仍然不是一个伟大的故事，”迈耶斯先生说。他表示，投机性投资者可能在长假周末之前平仓空头头寸，现在可能会重新建仓，给里拉带来压力。在亚洲，大多数主要基准指数上涨。在科技股上涨的带动下，上证综合指数上涨0.4%，日本日经225指数上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;China Evergrande Groupjumped 9.5%. The heavily indebted real-estate developer said&nbsp;construction work had resumed&nbsp;at more than 90% of its stalled residential projects. It also said it was delivering apartments faster to home buyers.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大集团股价上涨9.5%。这家负债累累的房地产开发商表示，其停滞的住宅项目90%以上的建设工作已经恢复。该公司还表示，正在更快地向购房者交付公寓。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Tick Up After Wall Street Record<blockquote>华尔街创纪录后美国股指期货上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-28 18:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&amp;P 500 amid lower liquidity in the last days of the year.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，此前一天，由于今年最后几天流动性较低，标普500收盘创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 added 0.2% after the&nbsp;broad-market index rallied 1.4%&nbsp;on Monday. Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.4%, pointing to gains in technology stocks after the opening bell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>周一大盘指数上涨1.4%后，与标普500相关的期货上涨0.2%。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.4%，指向开盘后科技股上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have been buffeted by the spread of the Omicron variant in recent weeks as governments around the world have imposed restrictions to try to curb infections. But some recent studies have suggested that the variant might result in milder illness with a&nbsp;lower risk of hospitalization.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，随着世界各国政府采取限制措施试图遏制感染，股市受到奥密克戎变种病毒传播的打击。但最近的一些研究表明，这种变异可能会导致较轻的疾病，住院风险较低。</blockquote></p><p> The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention&nbsp;reduced the recommended isolation period&nbsp;for some people who test positive to try to minimize disruptions. Still,&nbsp;many economists have lowered&nbsp;their forecasts for economic growth in the first quarter of next year.</p><p><blockquote>疾病控制和预防中心缩短了一些检测呈阳性的人的建议隔离期，以尽量减少干扰。尽管如此，许多经济学家还是下调了对明年第一季度经济增长的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “What is emanating from markets is the faith that Omicron won’t be able to disrupt the economic recovery,” said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management. “There is no visible risk reduction.” That is partly due to lower liquidity from fewer people working around the holidays, he added.&nbsp;Stock investors have also enjoyed a phenomenon known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Indexes such as the S&amp;P 500 have a tendency to rise in the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year. Such a rally takes place at the end of about four of every five years, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.</p><p><blockquote>忠利保险资产管理公司投资主管Antonio Cavarero表示：“市场产生的信念是，奥密克戎将无法破坏经济复苏。”“没有明显的风险降低。”他补充说，这部分是由于假期期间工作人员减少导致流动性下降。股票投资者也享受到了一种被称为“圣诞老人反弹”的现象。标普500等指数在一年的最后五天和新年的前两天有上涨的趋势。根据股票交易者年鉴，大约每五年中有四年会出现这样的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> “It happens because people start positioning. People are reading everyone’s 2022 estimates and planning for next year,” said Jeffrey Meyers, a consultant to hedge funds and family offices at Market Securities.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.472% from 1.480% on Monday, declining for a third consecutive day. Shorter-dated bond yields rose, with the two-year yield reaching 0.756%, the highest level since March 2020.Fresh data on the housing market is slated to go out at 9 a.m. ET. The S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index measures the average home prices across major metropolitan areas in the U.S. Economists expect a rise for the year that ended in October, driven by a limited supply of homes.</p><p><blockquote>Market Securities对冲基金和家族办公室顾问杰弗里·迈耶斯(Jeffrey Meyers)表示：“发生这种情况是因为人们开始定位。人们正在阅读每个人对2022年的估计，并为明年做计划。”基准10年期国债收益率从周一的1.480%下滑至1.472%，连续第三天下跌。短期债券收益率上升，两年期收益率达到0.756%，为2020年3月以来最高水平。房地产市场的最新数据定于美国东部时间上午9点公布。S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller全国房价指数衡量美国主要大都市地区的平均房价。经济学家预计，在房屋供应有限的推动下，截至10月份的一年房价将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season has largely wound down. Among the few still reporting is egg producer Cal-Maine Foods, which is expected to post its results Tuesday after markets close.</p><p><blockquote>财报季已基本结束。鸡蛋生产商Cal-Maine Foods是少数仍在报告的公司之一，预计该公司将于周二收盘后公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices ticked up, with global benchmark Brent crude adding 0.2% to $78.41 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨，全球基准布伦特原油上涨0.2%，至每桶78.41美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin slipped around 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, trading around $49,300. The cryptocurrency has oscillated around the $50,000 mark for the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>比特币股价较下午5点下跌约3%。美国东部时间周一，交易价格约为49,300美元。过去五天，这种加密货币一直在50,000美元大关附近波动。</blockquote></p><p> Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 added 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Turkish lira weakened 1.8% to 11.9 to the dollar. The currency had strengthened after the government announced&nbsp;a new economic plan last week.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其里拉兑美元汇率下跌1.8%至11.9。在政府上周宣布新的经济计划后，货币走强。</blockquote></p><p> “[President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ] may have bought Turkey some time but it’s still not a great story,” Mr. Meyers said. Speculative investors likely closed out short positions ahead of the long holiday weekend and may now be putting them back on, weighing on the lira, he said.In Asia, most major benchmarks rose. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.4%, led by gains in technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>“[总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安]可能已经赢得了土耳其一段时间，但这仍然不是一个伟大的故事，”迈耶斯先生说。他表示，投机性投资者可能在长假周末之前平仓空头头寸，现在可能会重新建仓，给里拉带来压力。在亚洲，大多数主要基准指数上涨。在科技股上涨的带动下，上证综合指数上涨0.4%，日本日经225指数上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;China Evergrande Groupjumped 9.5%. The heavily indebted real-estate developer said&nbsp;construction work had resumed&nbsp;at more than 90% of its stalled residential projects. It also said it was delivering apartments faster to home buyers.</p><p><blockquote>中国恒大集团股价上涨9.5%。这家负债累累的房地产开发商表示，其停滞的住宅项目90%以上的建设工作已经恢复。该公司还表示，正在更快地向购房者交付公寓。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-28-2021-11640680761?mod=markets_lead_pos1\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-28-2021-11640680761?mod=markets_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152146895","content_text":"U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, a day after a record close for the S&P 500 amid lower liquidity in the last days of the year.\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 added 0.2% after the broad-market index rallied 1.4% on Monday. Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.4%, pointing to gains in technology stocks after the opening bell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked up 0.2%.\nStocks have been buffeted by the spread of the Omicron variant in recent weeks as governments around the world have imposed restrictions to try to curb infections. But some recent studies have suggested that the variant might result in milder illness with a lower risk of hospitalization.\nThe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reduced the recommended isolation period for some people who test positive to try to minimize disruptions. Still, many economists have lowered their forecasts for economic growth in the first quarter of next year.\n“What is emanating from markets is the faith that Omicron won’t be able to disrupt the economic recovery,” said Antonio Cavarero, head of investments at Generali Insurance Asset Management. “There is no visible risk reduction.” That is partly due to lower liquidity from fewer people working around the holidays, he added. Stock investors have also enjoyed a phenomenon known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Indexes such as the S&P 500 have a tendency to rise in the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year. Such a rally takes place at the end of about four of every five years, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.\n“It happens because people start positioning. People are reading everyone’s 2022 estimates and planning for next year,” said Jeffrey Meyers, a consultant to hedge funds and family offices at Market Securities.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.472% from 1.480% on Monday, declining for a third consecutive day. Shorter-dated bond yields rose, with the two-year yield reaching 0.756%, the highest level since March 2020.Fresh data on the housing market is slated to go out at 9 a.m. ET. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index measures the average home prices across major metropolitan areas in the U.S. Economists expect a rise for the year that ended in October, driven by a limited supply of homes.\nEarnings season has largely wound down. Among the few still reporting is egg producer Cal-Maine Foods, which is expected to post its results Tuesday after markets close.\nOil prices ticked up, with global benchmark Brent crude adding 0.2% to $78.41 a barrel.\nBitcoin slipped around 3% from its level at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, trading around $49,300. The cryptocurrency has oscillated around the $50,000 mark for the past five days.\nOverseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 added 0.5%.\nThe Turkish lira weakened 1.8% to 11.9 to the dollar. The currency had strengthened after the government announced a new economic plan last week.\n“[President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ] may have bought Turkey some time but it’s still not a great story,” Mr. Meyers said. Speculative investors likely closed out short positions ahead of the long holiday weekend and may now be putting them back on, weighing on the lira, he said.In Asia, most major benchmarks rose. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 1.4%, led by gains in technology stocks.\nShares of China Evergrande Groupjumped 9.5%. The heavily indebted real-estate developer said construction work had resumed at more than 90% of its stalled residential projects. It also said it was delivering apartments faster to home buyers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}