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sQzC
2021-12-28
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sQzC
2021-12-26
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sQzC
2021-12-25
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2021-12-25
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The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote>
sQzC
2021-12-23
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sQzC
2021-12-22
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sQzC
2021-12-21
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Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited:谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>
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2021-12-20
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Singapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或放弃3100点支撑</blockquote>
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2021-12-19
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2021-12-18
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2021-12-17
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2021-12-16
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2021-12-15
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sQzC
2021-12-14
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sQzC
2021-12-13
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2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote>
sQzC
2021-12-10
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sQzC
2021-12-09
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sQzC
2021-12-08
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2021-12-07
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Economic Data Scheduled For Tuesday<blockquote>经济数据定于周二公布</blockquote>
sQzC
2021-12-05
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pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698635825","repostId":"1168664020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168664020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640339173,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168664020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 17:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168664020","media":"Realmoney","summary":"The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. T","content":"<p>The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.</p><p><blockquote>2021年应该被称为让最有经验的投资者感到困惑的一年。疫情爆发两年后,全球央行在短时间内向市场注入了难以想象的流动性,以提振陷入停滞的经济,人们不禁要问,为什么美联储今天仍在向市场增加净流动性,尽管速度较慢。美联储在2021年的口头禅一直是“通胀是暂时的”。但是直到最近,当通货膨胀出现在牛奶、咖啡、租金、木材、天然气、建筑、钢铁等各个领域时...对于任何与消费者相关的事情,即使是美联储也不能板着脸使用这个词。如果时间范围在三个月到两年之间,松散地使用“短暂”这个词仍然有效。债券和利率市场现在似乎已经迫使美联储意识到通胀肯定不是暂时的,他们需要对此采取一些措施。</blockquote></p><p> The last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.</p><p><blockquote>过去两年见证了“一切泡沫”。不管我们信不信,所有资产类别都随着美联储通过流动性注入创造的浪潮而上涨,有些只是更多地基于贝塔和杠杆。许多基金经理可以用“阿尔法”这个词来证明他们的回报是合理的,但简而言之,美联储的流动性扭曲了许多资产价格,并使一些较大的资产价格远远超出了实际收益率和利率的水平。一个很好的例子是ARK下一代互联网ETF(ARKW)和racy tech growth股票,在上涨超过100%+之后,在过去几个月里,它们现在都下跌了50%以上,而基本面并没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> And the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.</p><p><blockquote>原因很简单,随着美联储放缓资产购买速度,市场上的流动性越来越少。大多数新兴市场央行和一些发达国家央行已开始加息,但在疫情爆发两年后,美联储仍在每月购买高达900亿至1000亿美元的资产。此时,初请失业金人数处于低点,经济从需求方面(如果不是从就业方面)已经恢复到接近大流行前的水平。美联储量化宽松的目标是让就业恢复到新冠疫情前的水平,但由于参与率落后,这一目标现在要远得多。许多人已经永久退休,这是美联储刚刚意识到的事情。</blockquote></p><p> The latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主持的最近一次FOMC会议宣布,他们将更积极地减少每月300亿美元的资产购买,而不是150亿美元。按照这个速度,美联储将在2022年3月左右结束QE。现在更大的问题是,美联储将在多长时间以及多快开始加息?市场预计仅2022年就会加息约三次。如果供应链短缺持续存在,通胀预计不会很快下降。随着我们进入2022年,我们正在进入一个强劲的经济,但在流动性引发的需求激增后面临停滞的风险,并且通胀将出现自20世纪80年代以来从未见过的加剧!目前,CPI同比平均在6%-7%之间,处于令人震惊的令人不安的水平。我们将在轻微滞胀的环境中进入2022年,而目前市场上的大多数交易者都没有看到或交易过这种环境。</blockquote></p><p> At the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?</p><p><blockquote>目前,仍有净流动性被添加到市场中,这可能是标普500在这里保持良好的主要原因之一,但人们想知道当美联储资产负债表停止增长时,它是否能在第一季度保持这些水平。也许投资者是时候停止关注试图“赚快钱”的模因股票或破产股票,通过买入上涨的评级来挤出空头了。也许市场会回归某种理性行为,并表现出一些经济学101特征。有一点是肯定的,资产配置将需要转向更具通胀保护的资产,即贵金属等硬资产。2022年最终会成为黄金之年吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619508253632","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Realmoney</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 17:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.</p><p><blockquote>2021年应该被称为让最有经验的投资者感到困惑的一年。疫情爆发两年后,全球央行在短时间内向市场注入了难以想象的流动性,以提振陷入停滞的经济,人们不禁要问,为什么美联储今天仍在向市场增加净流动性,尽管速度较慢。美联储在2021年的口头禅一直是“通胀是暂时的”。但是直到最近,当通货膨胀出现在牛奶、咖啡、租金、木材、天然气、建筑、钢铁等各个领域时...对于任何与消费者相关的事情,即使是美联储也不能板着脸使用这个词。如果时间范围在三个月到两年之间,松散地使用“短暂”这个词仍然有效。债券和利率市场现在似乎已经迫使美联储意识到通胀肯定不是暂时的,他们需要对此采取一些措施。</blockquote></p><p> The last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.</p><p><blockquote>过去两年见证了“一切泡沫”。不管我们信不信,所有资产类别都随着美联储通过流动性注入创造的浪潮而上涨,有些只是更多地基于贝塔和杠杆。许多基金经理可以用“阿尔法”这个词来证明他们的回报是合理的,但简而言之,美联储的流动性扭曲了许多资产价格,并使一些较大的资产价格远远超出了实际收益率和利率的水平。一个很好的例子是ARK下一代互联网ETF(ARKW)和racy tech growth股票,在上涨超过100%+之后,在过去几个月里,它们现在都下跌了50%以上,而基本面并没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> And the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.</p><p><blockquote>原因很简单,随着美联储放缓资产购买速度,市场上的流动性越来越少。大多数新兴市场央行和一些发达国家央行已开始加息,但在疫情爆发两年后,美联储仍在每月购买高达900亿至1000亿美元的资产。此时,初请失业金人数处于低点,经济从需求方面(如果不是从就业方面)已经恢复到接近大流行前的水平。美联储量化宽松的目标是让就业恢复到新冠疫情前的水平,但由于参与率落后,这一目标现在要远得多。许多人已经永久退休,这是美联储刚刚意识到的事情。</blockquote></p><p> The latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主持的最近一次FOMC会议宣布,他们将更积极地减少每月300亿美元的资产购买,而不是150亿美元。按照这个速度,美联储将在2022年3月左右结束QE。现在更大的问题是,美联储将在多长时间以及多快开始加息?市场预计仅2022年就会加息约三次。如果供应链短缺持续存在,通胀预计不会很快下降。随着我们进入2022年,我们正在进入一个强劲的经济,但在流动性引发的需求激增后面临停滞的风险,并且通胀将出现自20世纪80年代以来从未见过的加剧!目前,CPI同比平均在6%-7%之间,处于令人震惊的令人不安的水平。我们将在轻微滞胀的环境中进入2022年,而目前市场上的大多数交易者都没有看到或交易过这种环境。</blockquote></p><p> At the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?</p><p><blockquote>目前,仍有净流动性被添加到市场中,这可能是标普500在这里保持良好的主要原因之一,但人们想知道当美联储资产负债表停止增长时,它是否能在第一季度保持这些水平。也许投资者是时候停止关注试图“赚快钱”的模因股票或破产股票,通过买入上涨的评级来挤出空头了。也许市场会回归某种理性行为,并表现出一些经济学101特征。有一点是肯定的,资产配置将需要转向更具通胀保护的资产,即贵金属等硬资产。2022年最终会成为黄金之年吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560\">Realmoney</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168664020","content_text":"The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.\nThe last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.\nAnd the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.\nThe latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.\nAt the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691247446,"gmtCreate":1640216227489,"gmtModify":1640216227815,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691247446","repostId":"2193211354","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691961771,"gmtCreate":1640127206590,"gmtModify":1640127206867,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691961771","repostId":"2193154031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693461263,"gmtCreate":1640064547390,"gmtModify":1640064547706,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693461263","repostId":"1181908837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181908837","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640063718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181908837?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 13:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited:谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181908837","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - ","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li> <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li> <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li> <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li> <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li> </ul> Investment thesis</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited一直是最受欢迎的流行病剧之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是COVID-19措施的主要受益者。</li><li>SE的独特性,即利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力,吸引了投资者蜂拥而至。但这些动态已经发生了变化。</li><li>由于每笔订单的GMV趋势萎缩,该电子商务部门的EBITDA在本季度变得更加负。</li><li>Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚,“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。</li><li>分析师预计未来几个季度和几年的收入增长将持续放缓。</li></ul>投资论文</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SE)一直是最受欢迎的流行病公司之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是在家学习/工作等COVID-19措施的主要受益者。SE股票在新冠疫情爆发前就已经表现稳健,涨幅超过了中国同行腾讯控股控股(OTCPK:TCEHY)(OTCPK:TCTZF)和拉丁美洲同行MercadoLibre Inc.(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的三年里,Sea Ltd.的股价飙升了3000%以上。经过近期下跌后,SE股价仍较2018年12月底上涨超过17倍。同期,MELI股票上涨了2.8倍,而TCEHY股票仅上涨了47%。</blockquote></p><p> Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p><p><blockquote>严格来说,Sea Limited在大型互联网公司中没有对等的公司。其游戏业务利润丰厚,使其能够为严重亏损的电子商务和金融科技部门提供资金。MercadoLibre拥有拉丁美洲最大的在线商务和支付生态系统,它不将游戏视为核心业务。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股在游戏和金融科技领域实力雄厚,但其电子商务雄心主要体现在对相关公司的投资上。阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司(BABA)在电子商务和金融科技领域规模巨大,但游戏本身并不是一个有意义的部门。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited在东南亚的同行也有着不同的背景。Grab Holdings Limited(GRAB)最初是一个叫车平台,随后涉足金融科技和包括杂货在内的按需配送领域。印度尼西亚的GoTo集团(GoTo)由该国最大的两家初创公司——网约车巨头Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>因此,Sea Limited的独特性,特别是利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力,让投资者从美国远道而来,涌向这家科技公司。然而,其游戏部门Garena(该公司将其归类为数字娱乐)的增长在2021年第三季度急剧放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管总订单和GMV指标仍显示出健康增长,但电子商务部门的EBITDA到本季度将变得更加负值。Sea Limited的调整后EBITDA总额今年已转为负值。换句话说,盈利的游戏业务已经无法抵消电子商务和数字金融服务部门不断升级的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,股份薪酬继续稳步上升。该地区的竞争也在加剧,GRAB在与SPAC合并后进入公众视野,GoTo Group渴望在IPO前奏中展示稳健的增长数据。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p><p><blockquote>因此,虽然我的警告迟到了,SE股票较近期峰值下跌了42%,这是自上市以来的最大跌幅,但我相信未来几个月可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p><p><blockquote>因此,本文的目的是更深入地研究结果演示所提供的看似不完整的情况,以了解Sea Limited电子商务业务的健康状况。我还将强调随着电子商务和数字金融服务部门规模的扩大,亏损不断扩大。</blockquote></p><p> GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p><p><blockquote>GMV增长仅讲述了部分(且可能是错误的)故事</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的电子商务部门Shopee已成功将其总订单量从2020年第二季度的6亿份增加到2021年第三季度的17亿份,在此期间几乎增加了两倍。Shopee的商品总值(GMV)从2020年第二季度的80亿美元增加到2021年第三季度的168亿美元,增长了一倍多。虽然增长数字看起来很棒,但我们需要了解总订单数量的增长速度快于GMV。换句话说,每笔交易的价值一直在稳步下降。每笔总订单的GMV已从2020年第三季度的13.3美元降至2021年第三季度的9.9美元。我估计,如果这一趋势持续下去,2021年最后一个季度这一数字将进一步降至9.3美元左右。每个订单的较小价值可能有助于Shopee从基于交易的费用中获利。然而,从长远来看,很难看出低价值商品的日益普及如何有助于增值服务和广告收入的货币化。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>目前,Shopee仍在报告健康的变现,美国通用会计准则收入占GMV的比例从2020年第三季度的6.7%上升至8.6%。美国通用会计准则电子商务收入同比增长134%,达到15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>为了扭转每笔订单GMV萎缩的趋势,Shopee需要销售奢侈品等更大的商品。Shopee认识到了这一点,并于一年前推出了Shopee Premium,这是Shopee上为奢侈品领域的精选品牌合作伙伴提供的一个微妙部分。</blockquote></p><p> It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee能否充分改善用户体验,以吸引用户在其应用程序上购买奢侈品,还有待观察。根据我的经验和我从朋友那里收集的反馈,Shopee应用程序上的导航有时会令人沮丧,产品信息页面还有很多不足之处。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,我们还是涌向Shopee,寻找该平台上提供的超值优惠。在“闪购”期间,有很多大幅打折的商品,这已经变得越来越普遍。当Shopee不再积极促销时,如果竞争平台开始各自的活动,用户会回到Shopee吗?</blockquote></p><p> Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p><p><blockquote>除非奢侈品大幅打折,否则我质疑为什么用户会在Shopee上购买,至少根据当前的界面。话又说回来,奢侈品牌不想在Shopee或Shopee Premium上提供高额优惠来玷污自己的形象。</blockquote></p><p> A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到处理不断增长的订单所需的更大带宽和处理工作量,每笔交易的GMV较低也意味着Shopee的运营成本可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p><p><blockquote>亏损不断膨胀,股权激励不断上涨</blockquote></p><p> GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p><p><blockquote>GAAP电子商务收入增长健康,甚至超过了GMV的增长。这意味着Sea Limited的Shopee正在增加其货币化。然而,一切都好吗?</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的总收入在过去几年中迅速增长,但其亏损也在增加。仅从收入成本和总运营费用来看,这些成本都在飙升,近年来呈指数级增长。如果我们只是痴迷于不惜一切代价增加销售额,那么我们就可以忽略不断升级的损失。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>然而,股东们能对未来几年的暴涨亏损感到满意吗?Sea Limited预计到2021年底的亏损将比去年更大,而去年的亏损已经大大高于2019年。造成这种情况的一个主要驱动因素是数字娱乐部门无法抵消其他两个核心业务部门——电子商务和数字金融服务——的损失。这导致2021年第三季度调整后EBITDA总额降至负1.655亿美元,而去年同期为1204亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>我们经常听到熊市的说法,如果这些大流行受益者不能利用这种巨大的顺风将其规模经济转化为盈利能力,那么他们什么时候才能实现呢?尽管收入不断增长,Sea Ltd.的营业收入和净利润一直呈下降趋势。截至2021年第三季度,Sea Ltd.过去12个月的净利润达到了惊人的19.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>多头阵营可以为Sea Limited辩护,称其仍在投资用户增长和新业务。很公平。然而,股东们是否知道华尔街分析师预计Sea Ltd.的收入增长将大幅放缓?根据共识,其2021年第四季度的收入将进一步放缓至93.5%,随后几个季度将继续减速,到2023年第四季度同比增长16.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来,Sea Limited的收入同比增长预计将从2021年的114.6%萎缩至明年的50.1%,到2025年底仅为8.8%。看多者可能会辩称,Sea Limited拥有超过普遍收入预期的良好记录。在作为一家上市公司公布收益的16个季度中,它只有一次失误(Q1 2021),而且是一次非常小的失误。这表明分析师对Sea Limited的预测一直较为保守,未来几个季度还有上调空间。然而,如果Sea Limited保持其极快的收入增长,而其盈利能力在未来几年没有改善为正值,分析师和股东将很难找到令人信服的理由来保持对该公司的信心。根据普遍预测,Sea Limited在2024年之前不会实现正利润。显示每股收益趋势改善的预测令人欣慰。然而,与收入增长相反,Sea Limited长期以来在满足分析师对其盈利预期方面一直面临挑战。除了一个季度外,Sea Limited所有报告的季度每股收益都出现了负面意外。在上一季度的报告中,Sea Limited的跌幅高达37.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p><p><blockquote>有史以来最大的失误发生在2020年3月,当时报告的每股收益比市场预期低78.9%。这意味着上述分析师对其每股收益的预测可能是乐观的,Sea Limited即使在2024年或2025年也可能无法实现正利润。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p><p><blockquote>Hedgeye最近将Sea Limited评为其最佳创意短片。该研究公司称Sea Limited的旗舰游戏Garena Free Fire是“性能达到顶峰的一次性奇迹”。Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚,“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。限制后两个单位的随心所欲的“支出”可能会导致增长放缓,从而推翻多头阵营的论点。</blockquote></p><p> Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p><p><blockquote>管理层可能会推理,不要介意不断扩大的亏损,股东可以等待。与此同时,Sea Limited仍然慷慨地提供基于股份的薪酬[SBC]。预计2021年最后一个季度SBC将增至1.334亿美元。这比2019年第四季度仅发放的3490万美元大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,Sea Limited的流通股数量较2017年增加了一倍。9月,该公司直接公开发行了1100万股美国存托股票和0.25%的可转换高级无担保票据,本金总额为25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited当时表示,计划“将此次发行的净收益用于业务扩张和其他一般企业用途,包括潜在的战略投资和收购。”其国际扩张努力能否支持Sea Limited延续其高增长故事?在大流行库存的清算中以成本不断上升为代价?</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited:谨防增长的幻想</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited:谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 13:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li> <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li> <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li> <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li> <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li> </ul> Investment thesis</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited一直是最受欢迎的流行病剧之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是COVID-19措施的主要受益者。</li><li>SE的独特性,即利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力,吸引了投资者蜂拥而至。但这些动态已经发生了变化。</li><li>由于每笔订单的GMV趋势萎缩,该电子商务部门的EBITDA在本季度变得更加负。</li><li>Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚,“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。</li><li>分析师预计未来几个季度和几年的收入增长将持续放缓。</li></ul>投资论文</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SE)一直是最受欢迎的流行病公司之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是在家学习/工作等COVID-19措施的主要受益者。SE股票在新冠疫情爆发前就已经表现稳健,涨幅超过了中国同行腾讯控股控股(OTCPK:TCEHY)(OTCPK:TCTZF)和拉丁美洲同行MercadoLibre Inc.(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的三年里,Sea Ltd.的股价飙升了3000%以上。经过近期下跌后,SE股价仍较2018年12月底上涨超过17倍。同期,MELI股票上涨了2.8倍,而TCEHY股票仅上涨了47%。</blockquote></p><p> Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p><p><blockquote>严格来说,Sea Limited在大型互联网公司中没有对等的公司。其游戏业务利润丰厚,使其能够为严重亏损的电子商务和金融科技部门提供资金。MercadoLibre拥有拉丁美洲最大的在线商务和支付生态系统,它不将游戏视为核心业务。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股在游戏和金融科技领域实力雄厚,但其电子商务雄心主要体现在对相关公司的投资上。阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司(BABA)在电子商务和金融科技领域规模巨大,但游戏本身并不是一个有意义的部门。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited在东南亚的同行也有着不同的背景。Grab Holdings Limited(GRAB)最初是一个叫车平台,随后涉足金融科技和包括杂货在内的按需配送领域。印度尼西亚的GoTo集团(GoTo)由该国最大的两家初创公司——网约车巨头Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>因此,Sea Limited的独特性,特别是利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力,让投资者从美国远道而来,涌向这家科技公司。然而,其游戏部门Garena(该公司将其归类为数字娱乐)的增长在2021年第三季度急剧放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管总订单和GMV指标仍显示出健康增长,但电子商务部门的EBITDA到本季度将变得更加负值。Sea Limited的调整后EBITDA总额今年已转为负值。换句话说,盈利的游戏业务已经无法抵消电子商务和数字金融服务部门不断升级的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,股份薪酬继续稳步上升。该地区的竞争也在加剧,GRAB在与SPAC合并后进入公众视野,GoTo Group渴望在IPO前奏中展示稳健的增长数据。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p><p><blockquote>因此,虽然我的警告迟到了,SE股票较近期峰值下跌了42%,这是自上市以来的最大跌幅,但我相信未来几个月可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p><p><blockquote>因此,本文的目的是更深入地研究结果演示所提供的看似不完整的情况,以了解Sea Limited电子商务业务的健康状况。我还将强调随着电子商务和数字金融服务部门规模的扩大,亏损不断扩大。</blockquote></p><p> GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p><p><blockquote>GMV增长仅讲述了部分(且可能是错误的)故事</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的电子商务部门Shopee已成功将其总订单量从2020年第二季度的6亿份增加到2021年第三季度的17亿份,在此期间几乎增加了两倍。Shopee的商品总值(GMV)从2020年第二季度的80亿美元增加到2021年第三季度的168亿美元,增长了一倍多。虽然增长数字看起来很棒,但我们需要了解总订单数量的增长速度快于GMV。换句话说,每笔交易的价值一直在稳步下降。每笔总订单的GMV已从2020年第三季度的13.3美元降至2021年第三季度的9.9美元。我估计,如果这一趋势持续下去,2021年最后一个季度这一数字将进一步降至9.3美元左右。每个订单的较小价值可能有助于Shopee从基于交易的费用中获利。然而,从长远来看,很难看出低价值商品的日益普及如何有助于增值服务和广告收入的货币化。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>目前,Shopee仍在报告健康的变现,美国通用会计准则收入占GMV的比例从2020年第三季度的6.7%上升至8.6%。美国通用会计准则电子商务收入同比增长134%,达到15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>为了扭转每笔订单GMV萎缩的趋势,Shopee需要销售奢侈品等更大的商品。Shopee认识到了这一点,并于一年前推出了Shopee Premium,这是Shopee上为奢侈品领域的精选品牌合作伙伴提供的一个微妙部分。</blockquote></p><p> It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee能否充分改善用户体验,以吸引用户在其应用程序上购买奢侈品,还有待观察。根据我的经验和我从朋友那里收集的反馈,Shopee应用程序上的导航有时会令人沮丧,产品信息页面还有很多不足之处。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,我们还是涌向Shopee,寻找该平台上提供的超值优惠。在“闪购”期间,有很多大幅打折的商品,这已经变得越来越普遍。当Shopee不再积极促销时,如果竞争平台开始各自的活动,用户会回到Shopee吗?</blockquote></p><p> Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p><p><blockquote>除非奢侈品大幅打折,否则我质疑为什么用户会在Shopee上购买,至少根据当前的界面。话又说回来,奢侈品牌不想在Shopee或Shopee Premium上提供高额优惠来玷污自己的形象。</blockquote></p><p> A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到处理不断增长的订单所需的更大带宽和处理工作量,每笔交易的GMV较低也意味着Shopee的运营成本可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p><p><blockquote>亏损不断膨胀,股权激励不断上涨</blockquote></p><p> GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p><p><blockquote>GAAP电子商务收入增长健康,甚至超过了GMV的增长。这意味着Sea Limited的Shopee正在增加其货币化。然而,一切都好吗?</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的总收入在过去几年中迅速增长,但其亏损也在增加。仅从收入成本和总运营费用来看,这些成本都在飙升,近年来呈指数级增长。如果我们只是痴迷于不惜一切代价增加销售额,那么我们就可以忽略不断升级的损失。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>然而,股东们能对未来几年的暴涨亏损感到满意吗?Sea Limited预计到2021年底的亏损将比去年更大,而去年的亏损已经大大高于2019年。造成这种情况的一个主要驱动因素是数字娱乐部门无法抵消其他两个核心业务部门——电子商务和数字金融服务——的损失。这导致2021年第三季度调整后EBITDA总额降至负1.655亿美元,而去年同期为1204亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>我们经常听到熊市的说法,如果这些大流行受益者不能利用这种巨大的顺风将其规模经济转化为盈利能力,那么他们什么时候才能实现呢?尽管收入不断增长,Sea Ltd.的营业收入和净利润一直呈下降趋势。截至2021年第三季度,Sea Ltd.过去12个月的净利润达到了惊人的19.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>多头阵营可以为Sea Limited辩护,称其仍在投资用户增长和新业务。很公平。然而,股东们是否知道华尔街分析师预计Sea Ltd.的收入增长将大幅放缓?根据共识,其2021年第四季度的收入将进一步放缓至93.5%,随后几个季度将继续减速,到2023年第四季度同比增长16.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来,Sea Limited的收入同比增长预计将从2021年的114.6%萎缩至明年的50.1%,到2025年底仅为8.8%。看多者可能会辩称,Sea Limited拥有超过普遍收入预期的良好记录。在作为一家上市公司公布收益的16个季度中,它只有一次失误(Q1 2021),而且是一次非常小的失误。这表明分析师对Sea Limited的预测一直较为保守,未来几个季度还有上调空间。然而,如果Sea Limited保持其极快的收入增长,而其盈利能力在未来几年没有改善为正值,分析师和股东将很难找到令人信服的理由来保持对该公司的信心。根据普遍预测,Sea Limited在2024年之前不会实现正利润。显示每股收益趋势改善的预测令人欣慰。然而,与收入增长相反,Sea Limited长期以来在满足分析师对其盈利预期方面一直面临挑战。除了一个季度外,Sea Limited所有报告的季度每股收益都出现了负面意外。在上一季度的报告中,Sea Limited的跌幅高达37.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p><p><blockquote>有史以来最大的失误发生在2020年3月,当时报告的每股收益比市场预期低78.9%。这意味着上述分析师对其每股收益的预测可能是乐观的,Sea Limited即使在2024年或2025年也可能无法实现正利润。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p><p><blockquote>Hedgeye最近将Sea Limited评为其最佳创意短片。该研究公司称Sea Limited的旗舰游戏Garena Free Fire是“性能达到顶峰的一次性奇迹”。Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚,“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。限制后两个单位的随心所欲的“支出”可能会导致增长放缓,从而推翻多头阵营的论点。</blockquote></p><p> Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p><p><blockquote>管理层可能会推理,不要介意不断扩大的亏损,股东可以等待。与此同时,Sea Limited仍然慷慨地提供基于股份的薪酬[SBC]。预计2021年最后一个季度SBC将增至1.334亿美元。这比2019年第四季度仅发放的3490万美元大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,Sea Limited的流通股数量较2017年增加了一倍。9月,该公司直接公开发行了1100万股美国存托股票和0.25%的可转换高级无担保票据,本金总额为25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited当时表示,计划“将此次发行的净收益用于业务扩张和其他一般企业用途,包括潜在的战略投资和收购。”其国际扩张努力能否支持Sea Limited延续其高增长故事?在大流行库存的清算中以成本不断上升为代价?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181908837","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.\nThe uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.\nThe e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.\nThe profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.\nAnalysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.\n\nInvestment thesis\nSea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).\nOver the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.\nStrictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.\nTencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.\nSea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nThus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.\nAlthough the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.\nAt the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.\nHence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.\nThus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.\nGMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story\nSea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.\nFor now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.\nTo reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.\nIt remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.\nNonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?\nUnless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.\nA lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.\nLosses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising\nGAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?\nSea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.\nHowever, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.\nWe often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.\nThe bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.\nLooking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.\nThe largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.\nHedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.\nNever mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.\nIt may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.\nSea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693912607,"gmtCreate":1639960296705,"gmtModify":1639960297026,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693912607","repostId":"1154958924","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154958924","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639958978,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154958924?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 08:09","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或放弃3100点支撑</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154958924","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last fo","content":"<p>The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 20 points or 0.7 percent. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,110-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>自连续两天下跌超过20点或0.7%以来,新加坡股市在过去四个交易日中涨跌互现。海峡时报指数目前略高于3,110点的高位,周一可能会再次遭受进一步损害。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian markets is soft on omicron coronavirus concerns and sinking oil prices. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourses were down and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.</p><p><blockquote>由于奥密克戎冠状病毒担忧和油价下跌,全球对亚洲市场的预测疲软。欧洲市场涨跌互现,美国股市下跌,亚洲市场似乎分担了这一差异。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the industrials and properties, while the financials came in mixed.</p><p><blockquote>继工业和房地产股下跌后,海指周五小幅收低,而金融股则涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index lost 17.17 points or 0.55 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,111.63 after peaking at 3,134.99. Volume was 1.2 billion shares worth 1.5 billion Singapore dollars. There were 280 decliners and 188 gainers.</p><p><blockquote>当天,该指数下跌17.17点或0.55%,收于3111.63点的日低,此前曾触及3134.99点的高点。成交量为12亿股,价值15亿新元。下跌股280只,上涨股188只。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Commercial Trust both slumped 0.50 percent, while City Developments tanked 1.45 percent, Comfort DelGro lost 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International slid 0.36 percent, DBS Group collected 0.34 percent, Genting Singapore fell 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 2.07 percent, Keppel Corp and Venture Corporation both sank 0.97 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust weakened 0.53 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.09 percent, SATS skidded 1.03 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 1.49 percent, Singapore Airlines dropped 0.81 percent, Singapore Exchange tumbled 1.39 percent, Singapore Press Holdings added 0.43 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.06 percent, SingTel stumbled 0.63 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.75 percent, United Overseas Bank dipped 0.30 percent, Wilmar International declined 1.21 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Ascendas REIT were unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>活跃股中,凯德综合商业信托和丰树商业信托均下跌0.50%,City Developments下跌1.45%,Comfort DelGro下跌0.72%,Dairy Farm International下跌0.36%,DBS Group上涨0.34%,云顶新加坡下跌0.65%,香港置地暴跌2.07%,吉宝企业和Venture Corporation均下跌0.97%,丰树物流信托下跌0.53%,华侨银行下跌0.03%,胜科工业下跌1.49%,新加坡航空下跌0.81%,新加坡报业控股上涨0.43%,新加坡科技工程下跌1.06%,新加坡电信下跌0.63%,泰国饮料下跌0.75%,丰益国际下跌1.21%,扬子江造船和腾飞房地产投资信托持平。</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened lower on a volatile Friday. The NASDAQ peeked briefly into the green but the markets all still finished in the red.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先是负面的,因为主要股指在动荡的周五开盘走低。纳斯达克短暂出现绿色,但市场仍以红色收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow plunged 532.16 points or 1.48 percent to finish at 35,365.44, while the NASDAQ dipped 10.72 points or 0.07 percent to close at 15,169.68 and the S&P 500 sank 48.03 points or 1.03 percent to end at 4,620.64. For the week, the NASDAQ plunged 2.9 percent, the Dow lost 1.7 percent and the S&P was down 1.9 percent.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数下跌532.16点,跌幅1.48%,收于35,365.44点;纳斯达克下跌10.72点,跌幅0.07%,收于15,169.68点;标普500下跌48.03点,跌幅1.03%,收于4,620.64点。本周,纳斯达克暴跌2.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,标准普尔指数下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The volatility on Wall Street came on a quadruple witching day, with stock options, index options, stock futures and index futures all expiring.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的波动发生在四重巫术日,股票期权、指数期权、股票期货和指数期货都将到期。</blockquote></p><p> Concerns about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus also weighed on the markets along with worries about ongoing supply chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种影响的担忧以及对持续供应链问题的担忧也给市场带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil prices tumbled Friday on concerns for energy demand due to a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and reimposition of restrictions. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January sank $1.52 or 2.1 percent at $70.86 a barrel. WTI crude futures shed 1.1 percent in the week.</p><p><blockquote>由于冠状病毒奥密克戎变种迅速激增和重新实施限制,对能源需求的担忧,原油价格周五暴跌。西德克萨斯中质原油1月期货下跌1.52美元,或2.1%,报每桶70.86美元。WTI原油期货本周下跌1.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或放弃3100点支撑</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或放弃3100点支撑</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">RTTNews</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 08:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 20 points or 0.7 percent. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,110-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>自连续两天下跌超过20点或0.7%以来,新加坡股市在过去四个交易日中涨跌互现。海峡时报指数目前略高于3,110点的高位,周一可能会再次遭受进一步损害。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian markets is soft on omicron coronavirus concerns and sinking oil prices. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourses were down and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.</p><p><blockquote>由于奥密克戎冠状病毒担忧和油价下跌,全球对亚洲市场的预测疲软。欧洲市场涨跌互现,美国股市下跌,亚洲市场似乎分担了这一差异。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the industrials and properties, while the financials came in mixed.</p><p><blockquote>继工业和房地产股下跌后,海指周五小幅收低,而金融股则涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index lost 17.17 points or 0.55 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,111.63 after peaking at 3,134.99. Volume was 1.2 billion shares worth 1.5 billion Singapore dollars. There were 280 decliners and 188 gainers.</p><p><blockquote>当天,该指数下跌17.17点或0.55%,收于3111.63点的日低,此前曾触及3134.99点的高点。成交量为12亿股,价值15亿新元。下跌股280只,上涨股188只。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Commercial Trust both slumped 0.50 percent, while City Developments tanked 1.45 percent, Comfort DelGro lost 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International slid 0.36 percent, DBS Group collected 0.34 percent, Genting Singapore fell 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 2.07 percent, Keppel Corp and Venture Corporation both sank 0.97 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust weakened 0.53 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.09 percent, SATS skidded 1.03 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 1.49 percent, Singapore Airlines dropped 0.81 percent, Singapore Exchange tumbled 1.39 percent, Singapore Press Holdings added 0.43 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.06 percent, SingTel stumbled 0.63 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.75 percent, United Overseas Bank dipped 0.30 percent, Wilmar International declined 1.21 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Ascendas REIT were unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>活跃股中,凯德综合商业信托和丰树商业信托均下跌0.50%,City Developments下跌1.45%,Comfort DelGro下跌0.72%,Dairy Farm International下跌0.36%,DBS Group上涨0.34%,云顶新加坡下跌0.65%,香港置地暴跌2.07%,吉宝企业和Venture Corporation均下跌0.97%,丰树物流信托下跌0.53%,华侨银行下跌0.03%,胜科工业下跌1.49%,新加坡航空下跌0.81%,新加坡报业控股上涨0.43%,新加坡科技工程下跌1.06%,新加坡电信下跌0.63%,泰国饮料下跌0.75%,丰益国际下跌1.21%,扬子江造船和腾飞房地产投资信托持平。</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened lower on a volatile Friday. The NASDAQ peeked briefly into the green but the markets all still finished in the red.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先是负面的,因为主要股指在动荡的周五开盘走低。纳斯达克短暂出现绿色,但市场仍以红色收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow plunged 532.16 points or 1.48 percent to finish at 35,365.44, while the NASDAQ dipped 10.72 points or 0.07 percent to close at 15,169.68 and the S&P 500 sank 48.03 points or 1.03 percent to end at 4,620.64. For the week, the NASDAQ plunged 2.9 percent, the Dow lost 1.7 percent and the S&P was down 1.9 percent.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数下跌532.16点,跌幅1.48%,收于35,365.44点;纳斯达克下跌10.72点,跌幅0.07%,收于15,169.68点;标普500下跌48.03点,跌幅1.03%,收于4,620.64点。本周,纳斯达克暴跌2.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,标准普尔指数下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The volatility on Wall Street came on a quadruple witching day, with stock options, index options, stock futures and index futures all expiring.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的波动发生在四重巫术日,股票期权、指数期权、股票期货和指数期货都将到期。</blockquote></p><p> Concerns about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus also weighed on the markets along with worries about ongoing supply chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种影响的担忧以及对持续供应链问题的担忧也给市场带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil prices tumbled Friday on concerns for energy demand due to a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and reimposition of restrictions. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January sank $1.52 or 2.1 percent at $70.86 a barrel. WTI crude futures shed 1.1 percent in the week.</p><p><blockquote>由于冠状病毒奥密克戎变种迅速激增和重新实施限制,对能源需求的担忧,原油价格周五暴跌。西德克萨斯中质原油1月期货下跌1.52美元,或2.1%,报每桶70.86美元。WTI原油期货本周下跌1.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3250329/singapore-stock-market-may-give-up-support-at-3100-points.aspx\">RTTNews</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3250329/singapore-stock-market-may-give-up-support-at-3100-points.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154958924","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 20 points or 0.7 percent. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,110-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Monday.\nThe global forecast for the Asian markets is soft on omicron coronavirus concerns and sinking oil prices. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourses were down and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.\nThe STI finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the industrials and properties, while the financials came in mixed.\nFor the day, the index lost 17.17 points or 0.55 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,111.63 after peaking at 3,134.99. Volume was 1.2 billion shares worth 1.5 billion Singapore dollars. There were 280 decliners and 188 gainers.\nAmong the actives, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Commercial Trust both slumped 0.50 percent, while City Developments tanked 1.45 percent, Comfort DelGro lost 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International slid 0.36 percent, DBS Group collected 0.34 percent, Genting Singapore fell 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 2.07 percent, Keppel Corp and Venture Corporation both sank 0.97 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust weakened 0.53 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.09 percent, SATS skidded 1.03 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 1.49 percent, Singapore Airlines dropped 0.81 percent, Singapore Exchange tumbled 1.39 percent, Singapore Press Holdings added 0.43 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.06 percent, SingTel stumbled 0.63 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.75 percent, United Overseas Bank dipped 0.30 percent, Wilmar International declined 1.21 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Ascendas REIT were unchanged.\nThe lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened lower on a volatile Friday. The NASDAQ peeked briefly into the green but the markets all still finished in the red.\nThe Dow plunged 532.16 points or 1.48 percent to finish at 35,365.44, while the NASDAQ dipped 10.72 points or 0.07 percent to close at 15,169.68 and the S&P 500 sank 48.03 points or 1.03 percent to end at 4,620.64. For the week, the NASDAQ plunged 2.9 percent, the Dow lost 1.7 percent and the S&P was down 1.9 percent.\nThe volatility on Wall Street came on a quadruple witching day, with stock options, index options, stock futures and index futures all expiring.\nConcerns about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus also weighed on the markets along with worries about ongoing supply chain issues.\nCrude oil prices tumbled Friday on concerns for energy demand due to a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and reimposition of restrictions. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January sank $1.52 or 2.1 percent at $70.86 a barrel. WTI crude futures shed 1.1 percent in the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699454353,"gmtCreate":1639881566992,"gmtModify":1639881567268,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699454353","repostId":"2192903795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699284295,"gmtCreate":1639811617248,"gmtModify":1639811620211,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699284295","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690407447,"gmtCreate":1639698955100,"gmtModify":1639698955430,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690407447","repostId":"2192920942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690020618,"gmtCreate":1639614750908,"gmtModify":1639614753600,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690020618","repostId":"1143795954","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607830955,"gmtCreate":1639522993569,"gmtModify":1639522993891,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liemjke","listText":"Liemjke","text":"Liemjke","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607830955","repostId":"1100379665","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604452047,"gmtCreate":1639441113690,"gmtModify":1639441114015,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604452047","repostId":"2191812909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604190324,"gmtCreate":1639356662555,"gmtModify":1639356662831,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604190324","repostId":"1175891189","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175891189","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639354864,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175891189?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175891189","media":"TheStreet","summary":"As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform st","content":"<p>As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform strongly into the new year. Here are two reasons why they may be right.</p><p><blockquote>随着2021年接近尾声,投资者似乎相信苹果股票将在新的一年继续表现强劲。以下是他们可能是对的两个原因。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analysts continue to debate whether Apple stock is a buy as we head into 2022. Recently,I presented the bear argument that, if proven right, could foretell a drop of around 18% in the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>进入2022年,华尔街分析师继续争论苹果股票是否值得买入。最近,我提出了熊市论点,如果被证明是正确的,可以预测股价下跌18%左右。</blockquote></p><p> But investors seem to be siding with bulls at the moment, as AAPL shares continue to make fresh highs. Today, I talk about two key reasons recently presented by analysts suggesting that Apple stock could be a good bet for the new year.</p><p><blockquote>但随着苹果公司股价继续创出新高,投资者目前似乎站在多头一边。今天,我谈谈分析师最近提出的两个关键原因,这些原因表明苹果股票可能是新的一年的好选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e0accd2eec6d8660139f01d4786050\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 13, Apple Watch and AirPods Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:苹果的iPhone 13、苹果手表和AirPods Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone: not all about the holiday</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iPhone:并非一切都与假期有关</b></blockquote></p><p> The recent headlines have highlighted the expected performance of the iPhone in the current holiday period. Bloomberg hinted at a slowdown in demand, supported by alleged order cancellations with suppliers. The data point contradicted earlier Wall Street projections for an above-estimate volume of iPhone shipments in the current shopping season.</p><p><blockquote>最近的头条新闻凸显了iPhone在当前假期期间的预期表现。彭博社暗示,由于据称供应商取消订单,需求放缓。该数据点与华尔街早些时候对当前购物季iPhone出货量高于预期的预测相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> But DigiTimes Taiwan has recently shifted the focus of attention to the longer term. According to the publication, Apple is looking to “[increase] iPhone shipments by 30% for the first half of next year with the larger goal of exceeding 300 million iPhone shipments in 2022.”</p><p><blockquote>但DigiTimes Taiwan最近将关注的焦点转移到了更长远的领域。据该出版物称,苹果希望“明年上半年iPhone出货量增加30%,更大的目标是在2022年iPhone出货量超过3亿部。”</blockquote></p><p> If confirmed, this would represent massive YOY improvement, especially in the first few months of the year. Keep in mind (chart below) that the Cupertino company dropped the mic on iPhone sales in the early part of 2021, setting the bar very high for growth in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>如果得到证实,这将意味着同比大幅改善,尤其是在今年的前几个月。请记住(下图),这家库比蒂诺公司在2021年初放弃了iPhone销售的麦克风,为2022年的增长设定了非常高的标准。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee90d77969b11205181863715e8ab4f1\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone revenue growth since F19.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:F19以来iPhone收入增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I would warn readers, however, not to rely too much on unofficial announcements about iPhone sales. In addition to the issue of reliability of rumors, the assumption of higher shipments could be a misread on Apple ramping up iPhone production to anticipate supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>不过,我要警告读者不要过于依赖关于iPhone销售的非官方公告。除了谣言的可靠性问题之外,对出货量增加的假设可能是对苹果为预测供应链限制而提高iPhone产量的误读。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Glass: the next big thing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果玻璃:下一件大事</b></blockquote></p><p> The other key reason to own AAPL in 2022 could be the introduction of a brand-new product category. Wedbush’s Dan Ives has been labeling the new device “Apple Glass”, the company’s first attempt at penetrating the AR/VR (augmented and virtual reality) space.</p><p><blockquote>2022年持有AAPL的另一个关键原因可能是推出全新的产品类别。Wedbush的Dan Ives一直将这款新设备贴上“苹果眼镜”的标签,这是该公司首次尝试渗透AR/VR(增强和虚拟现实)领域。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Ives goes further and estimates the impact of the new product on Apple stock price. According to the analyst, the product launch “could eventually add approximately $20 per share to the sum-of-the-parts value” of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>Ives先生更进一步,估计了新产品对苹果股价的影响。这位分析师表示,该产品的推出“最终可能会使股票的部分总价值每股增加约20美元”。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush is not alone in its bullish assessment.Morgan Stanley has already suggested that Apple unveiling a mixed reality device in 2022 would be the key catalyst for the hotly-debated metaverse to finally take off.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什并不是唯一一个做出乐观评估的人。摩根士丹利已经表示,苹果在2022年推出混合现实设备将成为备受争议的虚拟宇宙最终起飞的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Even as Apple stock reaches its all-time high of $175 apiece, I maintain my bullish stance on the name. Apple’s position as the most important player in consumer tech is at the center of the investment thesis, in my view.</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果股价达到每股175美元的历史高点,但我仍维持对该公司的看涨立场。在我看来,苹果作为消费科技领域最重要参与者的地位是投资论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> However, keep in mind that buying AAPL at peak price has produced one-year forward returns of “only” 25%, on average, during the iPhone era (i.e. since 2007). This number compares to a much better 46% average annual gain when the stock was bought following a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>然而,请记住,在iPhone时代(即自2007年以来),以峰值价格购买AAPL的一年远期回报率平均“仅”为25%。相比之下,该股在下跌10%后买入时的平均年涨幅要好得多,为46%。</blockquote></p><p> From current levels, therefore, I think that investors should expect to rake in lower returns than if they were buying a dip in share price.</p><p><blockquote>因此,从目前的水平来看,我认为投资者应该期望获得比在股价下跌时买入更低的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform strongly into the new year. Here are two reasons why they may be right.</p><p><blockquote>随着2021年接近尾声,投资者似乎相信苹果股票将在新的一年继续表现强劲。以下是他们可能是对的两个原因。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analysts continue to debate whether Apple stock is a buy as we head into 2022. Recently,I presented the bear argument that, if proven right, could foretell a drop of around 18% in the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>进入2022年,华尔街分析师继续争论苹果股票是否值得买入。最近,我提出了熊市论点,如果被证明是正确的,可以预测股价下跌18%左右。</blockquote></p><p> But investors seem to be siding with bulls at the moment, as AAPL shares continue to make fresh highs. Today, I talk about two key reasons recently presented by analysts suggesting that Apple stock could be a good bet for the new year.</p><p><blockquote>但随着苹果公司股价继续创出新高,投资者目前似乎站在多头一边。今天,我谈谈分析师最近提出的两个关键原因,这些原因表明苹果股票可能是新的一年的好选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e0accd2eec6d8660139f01d4786050\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 13, Apple Watch and AirPods Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:苹果的iPhone 13、苹果手表和AirPods Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone: not all about the holiday</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iPhone:并非一切都与假期有关</b></blockquote></p><p> The recent headlines have highlighted the expected performance of the iPhone in the current holiday period. Bloomberg hinted at a slowdown in demand, supported by alleged order cancellations with suppliers. The data point contradicted earlier Wall Street projections for an above-estimate volume of iPhone shipments in the current shopping season.</p><p><blockquote>最近的头条新闻凸显了iPhone在当前假期期间的预期表现。彭博社暗示,由于据称供应商取消订单,需求放缓。该数据点与华尔街早些时候对当前购物季iPhone出货量高于预期的预测相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> But DigiTimes Taiwan has recently shifted the focus of attention to the longer term. According to the publication, Apple is looking to “[increase] iPhone shipments by 30% for the first half of next year with the larger goal of exceeding 300 million iPhone shipments in 2022.”</p><p><blockquote>但DigiTimes Taiwan最近将关注的焦点转移到了更长远的领域。据该出版物称,苹果希望“明年上半年iPhone出货量增加30%,更大的目标是在2022年iPhone出货量超过3亿部。”</blockquote></p><p> If confirmed, this would represent massive YOY improvement, especially in the first few months of the year. Keep in mind (chart below) that the Cupertino company dropped the mic on iPhone sales in the early part of 2021, setting the bar very high for growth in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>如果得到证实,这将意味着同比大幅改善,尤其是在今年的前几个月。请记住(下图),这家库比蒂诺公司在2021年初放弃了iPhone销售的麦克风,为2022年的增长设定了非常高的标准。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee90d77969b11205181863715e8ab4f1\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone revenue growth since F19.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:F19以来iPhone收入增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I would warn readers, however, not to rely too much on unofficial announcements about iPhone sales. In addition to the issue of reliability of rumors, the assumption of higher shipments could be a misread on Apple ramping up iPhone production to anticipate supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>不过,我要警告读者不要过于依赖关于iPhone销售的非官方公告。除了谣言的可靠性问题之外,对出货量增加的假设可能是对苹果为预测供应链限制而提高iPhone产量的误读。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Glass: the next big thing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果玻璃:下一件大事</b></blockquote></p><p> The other key reason to own AAPL in 2022 could be the introduction of a brand-new product category. Wedbush’s Dan Ives has been labeling the new device “Apple Glass”, the company’s first attempt at penetrating the AR/VR (augmented and virtual reality) space.</p><p><blockquote>2022年持有AAPL的另一个关键原因可能是推出全新的产品类别。Wedbush的Dan Ives一直将这款新设备贴上“苹果眼镜”的标签,这是该公司首次尝试渗透AR/VR(增强和虚拟现实)领域。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Ives goes further and estimates the impact of the new product on Apple stock price. According to the analyst, the product launch “could eventually add approximately $20 per share to the sum-of-the-parts value” of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>Ives先生更进一步,估计了新产品对苹果股价的影响。这位分析师表示,该产品的推出“最终可能会使股票的部分总价值每股增加约20美元”。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush is not alone in its bullish assessment.Morgan Stanley has already suggested that Apple unveiling a mixed reality device in 2022 would be the key catalyst for the hotly-debated metaverse to finally take off.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什并不是唯一一个做出乐观评估的人。摩根士丹利已经表示,苹果在2022年推出混合现实设备将成为备受争议的虚拟宇宙最终起飞的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Even as Apple stock reaches its all-time high of $175 apiece, I maintain my bullish stance on the name. Apple’s position as the most important player in consumer tech is at the center of the investment thesis, in my view.</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果股价达到每股175美元的历史高点,但我仍维持对该公司的看涨立场。在我看来,苹果作为消费科技领域最重要参与者的地位是投资论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> However, keep in mind that buying AAPL at peak price has produced one-year forward returns of “only” 25%, on average, during the iPhone era (i.e. since 2007). This number compares to a much better 46% average annual gain when the stock was bought following a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>然而,请记住,在iPhone时代(即自2007年以来),以峰值价格购买AAPL的一年远期回报率平均“仅”为25%。相比之下,该股在下跌10%后买入时的平均年涨幅要好得多,为46%。</blockquote></p><p> From current levels, therefore, I think that investors should expect to rake in lower returns than if they were buying a dip in share price.</p><p><blockquote>因此,从目前的水平来看,我认为投资者应该期望获得比在股价下跌时买入更低的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/2-reasons-to-own-apple-stock-in-2022-iphone-apple-glass\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/2-reasons-to-own-apple-stock-in-2022-iphone-apple-glass","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175891189","content_text":"As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform strongly into the new year. Here are two reasons why they may be right.\nWall Street analysts continue to debate whether Apple stock is a buy as we head into 2022. Recently,I presented the bear argument that, if proven right, could foretell a drop of around 18% in the stock price.\nBut investors seem to be siding with bulls at the moment, as AAPL shares continue to make fresh highs. Today, I talk about two key reasons recently presented by analysts suggesting that Apple stock could be a good bet for the new year.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 13, Apple Watch and AirPods Pro.\niPhone: not all about the holiday\nThe recent headlines have highlighted the expected performance of the iPhone in the current holiday period. Bloomberg hinted at a slowdown in demand, supported by alleged order cancellations with suppliers. The data point contradicted earlier Wall Street projections for an above-estimate volume of iPhone shipments in the current shopping season.\nBut DigiTimes Taiwan has recently shifted the focus of attention to the longer term. According to the publication, Apple is looking to “[increase] iPhone shipments by 30% for the first half of next year with the larger goal of exceeding 300 million iPhone shipments in 2022.”\nIf confirmed, this would represent massive YOY improvement, especially in the first few months of the year. Keep in mind (chart below) that the Cupertino company dropped the mic on iPhone sales in the early part of 2021, setting the bar very high for growth in 2022.\nFigure 2: iPhone revenue growth since F19.\nI would warn readers, however, not to rely too much on unofficial announcements about iPhone sales. In addition to the issue of reliability of rumors, the assumption of higher shipments could be a misread on Apple ramping up iPhone production to anticipate supply chain constraints.\nApple Glass: the next big thing\nThe other key reason to own AAPL in 2022 could be the introduction of a brand-new product category. Wedbush’s Dan Ives has been labeling the new device “Apple Glass”, the company’s first attempt at penetrating the AR/VR (augmented and virtual reality) space.\nMr. Ives goes further and estimates the impact of the new product on Apple stock price. According to the analyst, the product launch “could eventually add approximately $20 per share to the sum-of-the-parts value” of the shares.\nWedbush is not alone in its bullish assessment.Morgan Stanley has already suggested that Apple unveiling a mixed reality device in 2022 would be the key catalyst for the hotly-debated metaverse to finally take off.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nEven as Apple stock reaches its all-time high of $175 apiece, I maintain my bullish stance on the name. Apple’s position as the most important player in consumer tech is at the center of the investment thesis, in my view.\nHowever, keep in mind that buying AAPL at peak price has produced one-year forward returns of “only” 25%, on average, during the iPhone era (i.e. since 2007). This number compares to a much better 46% average annual gain when the stock was bought following a 10% drawdown.\nFrom current levels, therefore, I think that investors should expect to rake in lower returns than if they were buying a dip in share price.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605132627,"gmtCreate":1639127389867,"gmtModify":1639127781864,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like ","listText":"Like like ","text":"Like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605132627","repostId":"1162490740","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602668508,"gmtCreate":1639015749545,"gmtModify":1639015770044,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like ","listText":"Please like ","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602668508","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606487710,"gmtCreate":1638920709075,"gmtModify":1638920709327,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like ","listText":"Pls like ","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606487710","repostId":"2189719656","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606639465,"gmtCreate":1638868811933,"gmtModify":1638868812245,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606639465","repostId":"1115685367","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115685367","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638868647,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115685367?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 17:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Economic Data Scheduled For Tuesday<blockquote>经济数据定于周二公布</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115685367","media":"Benzinga","summary":"International trade report for October is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect a d","content":"<p><div> International trade report for October is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect a deficit of $66.8 billion for total goods and services trade in October, versus an $80.9 billion ...</p><p><blockquote><div>10月份国际贸易报告定于美国东部时间上午8:30发布。分析师预计10月份商品和服务贸易总额逆差为668亿美元,而去年同期为809亿美元。</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24473657/economic-data-scheduled-for-tuesday\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24473657/economic-data-scheduled-for-tuesday\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Economic Data Scheduled For Tuesday<blockquote>经济数据定于周二公布</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEconomic Data Scheduled For Tuesday<blockquote>经济数据定于周二公布</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 17:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> International trade report for October is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect a deficit of $66.8 billion for total goods and services trade in October, versus an $80.9 billion ...</p><p><blockquote><div>10月份国际贸易报告定于美国东部时间上午8:30发布。分析师预计10月份商品和服务贸易总额逆差为668亿美元,而去年同期为809亿美元。</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24473657/economic-data-scheduled-for-tuesday\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24473657/economic-data-scheduled-for-tuesday\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24473657/economic-data-scheduled-for-tuesday\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24473657/economic-data-scheduled-for-tuesday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115685367","content_text":"International trade report for October is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect a deficit of $66.8 billion for total goods and services trade in October, versus an $80.9 billion deficit in the previous month.\nData on nonfarm productivity and unit labor costs for the third quarter will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. Nonfarm productivity is projected to drop 4.9%, while unit labor costs might increase 8.3% in the quarter.\nThe Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the latest week will be released at 8:55 a.m. ET.\nThe Treasury is set to auction 3-year notes at 1:00 p.m. ET.\nData on consumer credit for October will be released at 3:00 p.m. ET. Analysts expect consumer credit rising $30.0 billion in October from $29.9 billion in September.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608888551,"gmtCreate":1638680525612,"gmtModify":1638680525749,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608888551","repostId":"1140678193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":605132627,"gmtCreate":1639127389867,"gmtModify":1639127781864,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like ","listText":"Like like ","text":"Like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605132627","repostId":"1162490740","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162490740","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639127125,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162490740?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 17:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For December 10, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月10日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162490740","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Wall Street expects Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per shar","content":"<p><div> Wall Street expects Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per share on revenue of $1.49 billion before the opening bell. Academy Sports and Outdoors shares rose 2.9% ...</p><p><blockquote><div>华尔街预计Academy Sports and Outdoors,Inc.将在开盘前公布季度收益为每股1.09美元,营收为14.9亿美元。学院体育和户外股价上涨2.9%...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24540806/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-10-2021\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24540806/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-10-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For December 10, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月10日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For December 10, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月10日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 17:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Wall Street expects Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per share on revenue of $1.49 billion before the opening bell. Academy Sports and Outdoors shares rose 2.9% ...</p><p><blockquote><div>华尔街预计Academy Sports and Outdoors,Inc.将在开盘前公布季度收益为每股1.09美元,营收为14.9亿美元。学院体育和户外股价上涨2.9%...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24540806/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-10-2021\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24540806/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-10-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24540806/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-10-2021\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ORCL":"甲骨文","JOUT":"约翰逊户外","ASO":"Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.","AVGO":"博通","LULU":"lululemon athletica"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24540806/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-10-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162490740","content_text":"Wall Street expects Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per share on revenue of $1.49 billion before the opening bell. Academy Sports and Outdoors shares rose 2.9% to $44.50 in after-hours trading.\nLululemon Athletica Inc. reported upbeat earnings for its third quarter. The company said it sees FY21 revenue of $6.25 billion to $6.29 billion. Lululemon shares dropped 1.2% to $411.99 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting Johnson Outdoors Inc. to have earned $0.65 per share on revenue of $164.23 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Johnson Outdoors shares slipped 2.3% to close at $97.51 on Thursday.\nOracle Corporation reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter and increased its share buyback by $10 billion. Oracle shares jumped 10.4% to $98.00 in the after-hours trading session.\nBroadcom Inc. reported better-than-expected results for its fourth quarter and issued strong sales forecast for the current quarter. The company announced a $10 billion buyback and boosted its quarterly dividend from $3.60 to $4.10 per share. Broadcom shares surged 6.4% to $621.00 in the after-hours trading session.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCL":0.9,"ASO":0.9,"AVGO":0.9,"LULU":0.9,"JOUT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":881984714,"gmtCreate":1631285529038,"gmtModify":1631889548104,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please ","listText":"Like please ","text":"Like 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875244808","repostId":"1156556600","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156556600","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637662306,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156556600?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 18:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"XPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.<blockquote>小鹏汽车公布第三季度财务业绩后,股价在盘前交易中上涨1.71%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156556600","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"XPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.\nOperatio","content":"<p>XPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/281070d30933fb5fdafe4a0dae1b228f\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>在公布第三季度财务业绩后,小鹏汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨1.71%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Operational Highlights for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><b>截至2021年9月30日止三个月的运营要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b> were 25,666 in the third quarter of 2021, setting a new quarterly record and representing an increase of 199.2% from 8,578 in the corresponding period of 2020 and an increase of 47.5% from 17,398 in the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Deliveries of the P7</b>were 19,731 in the third quarter of 2021, reaching a record quarterly high and representing an increase of 71.2% from 11,522 in the second quarter of 2021.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Among the total P7s delivered in the third quarter of 2021, 99% can support XPILOT 2.5 or XPILOT 3.0.</li> <li><b>XPeng’s physical sales network</b> consisted of a total of 271 stores, covering 95 cities as of September 30, 2021.</li> <li><b>XPeng-branded super charging stations</b> expanded to 439, covering 121 cities as of September 30, 2021.</li> </ul> <b>Financial Highlights for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>车辆交付</b>2021年第三季度为25,666人,创下新的季度纪录,较2020年同期的8,578人增加199.2%,较2021年第二季度的17,398人增加47.5%。</li><li><b>P7的交付</b>2021年第三季度为19,731人,创下季度新高,较2021年第二季度的11,522人增长71.2%。</li></ul><ul><li>在2021年第三季度交付的P7总数中,99%可以支持XPILOT 2.5或XPILOT 3.0。</li><li><b>小鹏汽车的实体销售网络</b>截至2021年9月30日,共有271家门店,覆盖95个城市。</li><li><b>小鹏品牌超级充电站</b>扩展至439个,截至2021年9月30日覆盖121个城市。</li></ul><b>截至2021年9月30日止三个月财务摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Total revenues</b> were RMB5,719.9 million (US$887.7 million) for the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 187.4% from the same period of 2020, and an increase of 52.1% from the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Revenues from vehicle sales</b> were RMB5,460.1 million (US$847.4 million)for the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 187.7% from the same period of 2020, and an increase of 52.3% from the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Gross margin</b> was 14.4% for the third quarter of 2021, compared with 4.6% for the same period of 2020 and 11.9% for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Vehicle margin</b>, which is gross profit of vehicle sales as a percentage of revenues from vehicle sales, was 13.6% for the third quarter of 2021, compared with 3.2% for the same period of 2020 and 11.0% for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Net loss</b> was RMB1,594.8 million (US$247.5 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB1,148.8 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,194.6 million for the second quarter of 2021. Excluding share-based compensation expenses and fair value change on derivative liabilities related to the redemption right of preferred shares, non-GAAP net loss was RMB1,492.1 million (US$231.6 million) in the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB864.9 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,096.4 million for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of XPeng</b>was RMB1,594.8 million (US$247.5 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB2,025.8 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,194.6 million in the second quarter of 2021. Excluding share-based compensation expenses, fair value change on derivative liabilities related to the redemption right of preferred shares and accretion on preferred shares to redemption value, non-GAAP net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of XPeng was RMB1,492.1 million (US$231.6 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB864.9 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,096.4 million for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Basic and diluted net loss per American depositary share (ADS)</b>were both RMB1.89(US$0.29) for the third quarter of 2021. Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS were both RMB1.77 (US$0.27) for the third quarter of 2021. Each ADS represents two Class A ordinary shares.</li> <li><b>Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short-term deposits, short-term investments and long-term deposits</b> were RMB45,357.9 million (US$7,039.4 million)as of September 30, 2021, compared with RMB35,342.1 million as of December 31, 2020 and RMB32,871.2 million as of June 30, 2021.</li> </ul> <b>Business Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>总收入</b>2021年第三季度为人民币57.199亿元(8.877亿美元),较2020年同期增长187.4%,较2021年第二季度增长52.1%。</li><li><b>汽车销售收入</b>2021年第三季度为人民币54.601亿元(8.474亿美元),较2020年同期增长187.7%,较2021年第二季度增长52.3%。</li><li><b>毛利率</b>2021年第三季度为14.4%,而2020年同期为4.6%,2021年第二季度为11.9%。</li><li><b>车辆余量</b>2021年第三季度汽车销售毛利占汽车销售收入的百分比为13.6%,而2020年同期为3.2%,2021年第二季度为11.0%。</li><li><b>净亏损</b>2021年第三季度为人民币15.948亿元(2.475亿美元),而2020年同期为人民币11.488亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币11.946亿元。不包括股权激励费用和与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动,2021年第三季度非公认会计准则净亏损为人民币14.921亿元(2.316亿美元),而2020年同期为人民币8.649亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币10.964亿元。</li><li><b>归属于小鹏汽车普通股股东的净亏损</b>2021年第三季度为人民币15.948亿元(2.475亿美元),而2020年同期为人民币20.258亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币11.946亿元。不包括股权激励费用、与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动以及优先股至赎回价值的增值,非公认会计准则归属于小鹏汽车普通股股东的净亏损为人民币14.921亿元(2.316亿美元)2021年第三季度为人民币8.649亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币10.964亿元。</li><li><b>每股美国存托股(ADS)基本和摊薄净亏损</b>2021年第三季度均为人民币1.89元(0.29美元)。2021年第三季度,非公认会计准则每股美国存托凭证基本和摊薄净亏损均为人民币1.77元(0.27美元)。每份美国存托凭证代表两股A类普通股。</li><li><b>现金及现金等价物、受限制现金、短期存款、短期投资和长期存款</b>截至2021年9月30日为人民币45,357.9百万元(7,039.4百万美元),而截至2020年12月31日为人民币35,342.1百万元及截至2021年6月30日为人民币32,871.2百万元。</li></ul><b>业务展望</b></blockquote></p><p> For the fourth quarter of 2021, the Company expects:</p><p><blockquote>对于2021年第四季度,公司预计:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b> to be between 34,500 and 36,500, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 166.1% to 181.5%.</li> <li><b>Total revenues</b> to be between RMB7.1 billion and RMB7.5 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 149.0% to 163.0%.</li> </ul> The above outlook is based on the current market conditions and reflects the Company’s preliminary estimates of market and operating conditions, and customer demand, which are all subject to change.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>车辆交付</b>在34,500至36,500之间,同比增长约166.1%至181.5%。</li><li><b>总收入</b>人民币71亿元至人民币75亿元,同比增长约149.0%至163.0%。</li></ul>上述展望基于当前市场状况,反映了公司对市场和经营状况以及客户需求的初步估计,这些都可能发生变化。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.<blockquote>小鹏汽车公布第三季度财务业绩后,股价在盘前交易中上涨1.71%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.<blockquote>小鹏汽车公布第三季度财务业绩后,股价在盘前交易中上涨1.71%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-23 18:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>XPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/281070d30933fb5fdafe4a0dae1b228f\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>在公布第三季度财务业绩后,小鹏汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨1.71%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Operational Highlights for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><b>截至2021年9月30日止三个月的运营要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b> were 25,666 in the third quarter of 2021, setting a new quarterly record and representing an increase of 199.2% from 8,578 in the corresponding period of 2020 and an increase of 47.5% from 17,398 in the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Deliveries of the P7</b>were 19,731 in the third quarter of 2021, reaching a record quarterly high and representing an increase of 71.2% from 11,522 in the second quarter of 2021.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Among the total P7s delivered in the third quarter of 2021, 99% can support XPILOT 2.5 or XPILOT 3.0.</li> <li><b>XPeng’s physical sales network</b> consisted of a total of 271 stores, covering 95 cities as of September 30, 2021.</li> <li><b>XPeng-branded super charging stations</b> expanded to 439, covering 121 cities as of September 30, 2021.</li> </ul> <b>Financial Highlights for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>车辆交付</b>2021年第三季度为25,666人,创下新的季度纪录,较2020年同期的8,578人增加199.2%,较2021年第二季度的17,398人增加47.5%。</li><li><b>P7的交付</b>2021年第三季度为19,731人,创下季度新高,较2021年第二季度的11,522人增长71.2%。</li></ul><ul><li>在2021年第三季度交付的P7总数中,99%可以支持XPILOT 2.5或XPILOT 3.0。</li><li><b>小鹏汽车的实体销售网络</b>截至2021年9月30日,共有271家门店,覆盖95个城市。</li><li><b>小鹏品牌超级充电站</b>扩展至439个,截至2021年9月30日覆盖121个城市。</li></ul><b>截至2021年9月30日止三个月财务摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Total revenues</b> were RMB5,719.9 million (US$887.7 million) for the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 187.4% from the same period of 2020, and an increase of 52.1% from the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Revenues from vehicle sales</b> were RMB5,460.1 million (US$847.4 million)for the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 187.7% from the same period of 2020, and an increase of 52.3% from the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Gross margin</b> was 14.4% for the third quarter of 2021, compared with 4.6% for the same period of 2020 and 11.9% for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Vehicle margin</b>, which is gross profit of vehicle sales as a percentage of revenues from vehicle sales, was 13.6% for the third quarter of 2021, compared with 3.2% for the same period of 2020 and 11.0% for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Net loss</b> was RMB1,594.8 million (US$247.5 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB1,148.8 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,194.6 million for the second quarter of 2021. Excluding share-based compensation expenses and fair value change on derivative liabilities related to the redemption right of preferred shares, non-GAAP net loss was RMB1,492.1 million (US$231.6 million) in the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB864.9 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,096.4 million for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of XPeng</b>was RMB1,594.8 million (US$247.5 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB2,025.8 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,194.6 million in the second quarter of 2021. Excluding share-based compensation expenses, fair value change on derivative liabilities related to the redemption right of preferred shares and accretion on preferred shares to redemption value, non-GAAP net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of XPeng was RMB1,492.1 million (US$231.6 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB864.9 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,096.4 million for the second quarter of 2021.</li> <li><b>Basic and diluted net loss per American depositary share (ADS)</b>were both RMB1.89(US$0.29) for the third quarter of 2021. Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS were both RMB1.77 (US$0.27) for the third quarter of 2021. Each ADS represents two Class A ordinary shares.</li> <li><b>Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short-term deposits, short-term investments and long-term deposits</b> were RMB45,357.9 million (US$7,039.4 million)as of September 30, 2021, compared with RMB35,342.1 million as of December 31, 2020 and RMB32,871.2 million as of June 30, 2021.</li> </ul> <b>Business Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>总收入</b>2021年第三季度为人民币57.199亿元(8.877亿美元),较2020年同期增长187.4%,较2021年第二季度增长52.1%。</li><li><b>汽车销售收入</b>2021年第三季度为人民币54.601亿元(8.474亿美元),较2020年同期增长187.7%,较2021年第二季度增长52.3%。</li><li><b>毛利率</b>2021年第三季度为14.4%,而2020年同期为4.6%,2021年第二季度为11.9%。</li><li><b>车辆余量</b>2021年第三季度汽车销售毛利占汽车销售收入的百分比为13.6%,而2020年同期为3.2%,2021年第二季度为11.0%。</li><li><b>净亏损</b>2021年第三季度为人民币15.948亿元(2.475亿美元),而2020年同期为人民币11.488亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币11.946亿元。不包括股权激励费用和与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动,2021年第三季度非公认会计准则净亏损为人民币14.921亿元(2.316亿美元),而2020年同期为人民币8.649亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币10.964亿元。</li><li><b>归属于小鹏汽车普通股股东的净亏损</b>2021年第三季度为人民币15.948亿元(2.475亿美元),而2020年同期为人民币20.258亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币11.946亿元。不包括股权激励费用、与优先股赎回权相关的衍生负债公允价值变动以及优先股至赎回价值的增值,非公认会计准则归属于小鹏汽车普通股股东的净亏损为人民币14.921亿元(2.316亿美元)2021年第三季度为人民币8.649亿元,2021年第二季度为人民币10.964亿元。</li><li><b>每股美国存托股(ADS)基本和摊薄净亏损</b>2021年第三季度均为人民币1.89元(0.29美元)。2021年第三季度,非公认会计准则每股美国存托凭证基本和摊薄净亏损均为人民币1.77元(0.27美元)。每份美国存托凭证代表两股A类普通股。</li><li><b>现金及现金等价物、受限制现金、短期存款、短期投资和长期存款</b>截至2021年9月30日为人民币45,357.9百万元(7,039.4百万美元),而截至2020年12月31日为人民币35,342.1百万元及截至2021年6月30日为人民币32,871.2百万元。</li></ul><b>业务展望</b></blockquote></p><p> For the fourth quarter of 2021, the Company expects:</p><p><blockquote>对于2021年第四季度,公司预计:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Deliveries of vehicles</b> to be between 34,500 and 36,500, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 166.1% to 181.5%.</li> <li><b>Total revenues</b> to be between RMB7.1 billion and RMB7.5 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 149.0% to 163.0%.</li> </ul> The above outlook is based on the current market conditions and reflects the Company’s preliminary estimates of market and operating conditions, and customer demand, which are all subject to change.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>车辆交付</b>在34,500至36,500之间,同比增长约166.1%至181.5%。</li><li><b>总收入</b>人民币71亿元至人民币75亿元,同比增长约149.0%至163.0%。</li></ul>上述展望基于当前市场状况,反映了公司对市场和经营状况以及客户需求的初步估计,这些都可能发生变化。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156556600","content_text":"XPeng shares rose 1.71% in premarket trading after announcing its financial results for Q3.\nOperational Highlights for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021\n\nDeliveries of vehicles were 25,666 in the third quarter of 2021, setting a new quarterly record and representing an increase of 199.2% from 8,578 in the corresponding period of 2020 and an increase of 47.5% from 17,398 in the second quarter of 2021.\nDeliveries of the P7were 19,731 in the third quarter of 2021, reaching a record quarterly high and representing an increase of 71.2% from 11,522 in the second quarter of 2021.\n\n\nAmong the total P7s delivered in the third quarter of 2021, 99% can support XPILOT 2.5 or XPILOT 3.0.\nXPeng’s physical sales network consisted of a total of 271 stores, covering 95 cities as of September 30, 2021.\nXPeng-branded super charging stations expanded to 439, covering 121 cities as of September 30, 2021.\n\nFinancial Highlights for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2021\n\nTotal revenues were RMB5,719.9 million (US$887.7 million) for the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 187.4% from the same period of 2020, and an increase of 52.1% from the second quarter of 2021.\nRevenues from vehicle sales were RMB5,460.1 million (US$847.4 million)for the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 187.7% from the same period of 2020, and an increase of 52.3% from the second quarter of 2021.\nGross margin was 14.4% for the third quarter of 2021, compared with 4.6% for the same period of 2020 and 11.9% for the second quarter of 2021.\nVehicle margin, which is gross profit of vehicle sales as a percentage of revenues from vehicle sales, was 13.6% for the third quarter of 2021, compared with 3.2% for the same period of 2020 and 11.0% for the second quarter of 2021.\nNet loss was RMB1,594.8 million (US$247.5 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB1,148.8 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,194.6 million for the second quarter of 2021. Excluding share-based compensation expenses and fair value change on derivative liabilities related to the redemption right of preferred shares, non-GAAP net loss was RMB1,492.1 million (US$231.6 million) in the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB864.9 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,096.4 million for the second quarter of 2021.\nNet loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of XPengwas RMB1,594.8 million (US$247.5 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB2,025.8 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,194.6 million in the second quarter of 2021. Excluding share-based compensation expenses, fair value change on derivative liabilities related to the redemption right of preferred shares and accretion on preferred shares to redemption value, non-GAAP net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of XPeng was RMB1,492.1 million (US$231.6 million) for the third quarter of 2021, compared with RMB864.9 million for the same period of 2020 and RMB1,096.4 million for the second quarter of 2021.\nBasic and diluted net loss per American depositary share (ADS)were both RMB1.89(US$0.29) for the third quarter of 2021. Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS were both RMB1.77 (US$0.27) for the third quarter of 2021. Each ADS represents two Class A ordinary shares.\nCash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short-term deposits, short-term investments and long-term deposits were RMB45,357.9 million (US$7,039.4 million)as of September 30, 2021, compared with RMB35,342.1 million as of December 31, 2020 and RMB32,871.2 million as of June 30, 2021.\n\nBusiness Outlook\nFor the fourth quarter of 2021, the Company expects:\n\nDeliveries of vehicles to be between 34,500 and 36,500, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 166.1% to 181.5%.\nTotal revenues to be between RMB7.1 billion and RMB7.5 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 149.0% to 163.0%.\n\nThe above outlook is based on the current market conditions and reflects the Company’s preliminary estimates of market and operating conditions, and customer demand, which are all subject to change.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"09868":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828943883,"gmtCreate":1633836897275,"gmtModify":1633836897411,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please ","listText":"Like please ","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828943883","repostId":"2174920514","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880620263,"gmtCreate":1631056415052,"gmtModify":1631889548107,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls?","listText":"Like pls?","text":"Like pls?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880620263","repostId":"2165350503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600133243,"gmtCreate":1638083359800,"gmtModify":1638083359930,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600133243","repostId":"2186328547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2186328547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638069455,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2186328547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-28 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google, Dell Lead Five Diverse Stocks Near Buy Points<blockquote>谷歌、戴尔引领五只多元化股票接近买入点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2186328547","media":"ADELIA CELLINI LINECKER","summary":"Google leads five stocks to watch this week around buy points. It's on IBD Leaderboard, Long-Term Leaders and the IBD 50.","content":"<p>Google parent <b>Alphabet</b>, computer maker <b>Dell Technologies</b>, steelmaker <b>Nucor</b>, Chip-equipment maker <b>Lam Research</b> and rental-home investor <b>Invitation Homes</b> are five stocks to watch this week near buy points.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌母公司<b>Alphabet</b>,计算机制造商<b>戴尔科技</b>,钢铁制造商<b>纽科尔</b>、芯片设备制造商<b>Lam研究</b>和出租屋投资者<b>邀请之家</b>本周有五只股票在买入点附近值得关注。</blockquote></p><p> The recent plunges in many hot software stocks amid renewed sector rotation underscores the importance of having diversified leaders in your portfolio. But with the market selling off sharply Friday, this time led by energy and financial stocks, investors should be cautious about new buys.</p><p><blockquote>最近,在行业轮换的背景下,许多热门软件股暴跌,凸显了投资组合中拥有多元化领导者的重要性。但随着周五市场大幅抛售,这一次是由能源和金融股引领的,投资者应该对新的买入持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> Google, Nucor stock and Invitation Homes have pulled back modestly below buy points. Dell stock has bounced from its 50-day line, and Lam Research is closing in on a buy point.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌、纽柯股票和Invitation Homes已小幅回落至买入点以下。戴尔股价已从50日线反弹,Lam Research正在接近买入点。</blockquote></p><p> Google stock and Nucor are on IBD Leaderboard. GOOGL stock also is on IBD Long-Term Leaders and the IBD 50. Dell is on SwingTrader.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌股票和纽柯公司在IBD排行榜上。GOOGL股票也出现在IBD长期领导者和IBD 50指数中。戴尔在SwingTrader上。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Google Stock</b></h2> Shares fell 4.5% to 2,845.64 in last week's stock market trading. Google stock closed just below its 50-day line and 10-week moving average. Shares have retreated modestly below a flat-base buy point of 2,925.17, according to MarketSmith. An alternate entry would be 3,019.43 from a four-weeks-tight pattern.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>谷歌股票</b></h2>上周股市交易中,股价下跌4.5%,至2,845.64点。谷歌股价收盘略低于50日线和10周移动平均线。根据MarketSmith的数据,股价已小幅回落至2,925.17点以下。从四周的紧张模式来看,另一个进场点是3,019.43。</blockquote></p><p> Investors could use a rebound off the 50-day/10-week line as a possible entry. That's a good place to buy Long-Term Leaders stocks such as GOOGL.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以利用50日/10周线的反弹作为可能的入场机会。这是购买GOOGL等长期领先股票的好地方。</blockquote></p><p> Google's relative strength line is going sideways, but is still near all-time highs. Its RS Rating is 88 out of a possible 99, while its EPS Rating is 98.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌的相对强弱线正在横盘整理,但仍接近历史高点。其RS评级为88分(满分99分),而EPS评级为98分。</blockquote></p><p> Google beat Wall Street estimates for the third quarter. It had EPS of $27.99 vs. views for $23.48. Sales came in at $65.12 billion vs. estimates of $63.34 billion.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌第三季度业绩超出华尔街预期。它的每股收益为27.99美元,而浏览量为23.48美元。销售额为651.2亿美元,而预期为633.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors on Oct. 26, CEO Ruth Porat said Apple's privacy settings changes, which now ask iPhone users for explicit permission to track them, had a modest impact on YouTube revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在10月26日与投资者举行的看涨期权上,首席执行官露丝·波拉特(Ruth Porat)表示,苹果的隐私设置变化(现在要求iPhone用户获得明确许可才能跟踪他们)对YouTube收入的影响不大。</blockquote></p><p> Google's ad revenue climbed 43% to $53.13 billion. That's up from $37.1 billion in the year-ago period and slightly higher than the prior quarter. YouTube ads rose to $7.21 billion, up from $5.04 billion last year.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌的广告收入增长43%,达到531.3亿美元。这高于去年同期的371亿美元,略高于上一季度。YouTube广告收入从去年的50.4亿美元增至72.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Dell Stock</b></h2> Dell stock rose 2.1% to 56.18 last week. Shares now have a flat base with a 58.53 buy point. Dell stock bounced from its 50-day line on Thursday, flashing an early buy signal on strong earnings. But shares pulled back modestly Friday. Investors might now want to wait for Dell to get above Thursday's high of 58, or simply wait for a breakout.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>戴尔股票</b></h2>戴尔股价上周上涨2.1%至56.18点。目前股价基本持平,买入点为58.53。戴尔股价周四从50日线反弹,因强劲的盈利而发出早期买入信号。但周五股价小幅回落。投资者现在可能希望等待戴尔突破周四的高点58,或者只是等待突破。</blockquote></p><p> On Nov. 23, Dell reported third-quarter earnings of $2.37 a share, a year-over-year increase of 17%, on a 21% jump in sales to $28.39 billion, both above analyst views. </p><p><blockquote>11月23日,戴尔公布第三季度每股收益为2.37美元,同比增长17%,销售额增长21%至283.9亿美元,均高于分析师预期。</blockquote></p><p> It was Dell's best third quarter in its history, driven by growth in all business units, customer segments and geographies, as well as broad strength across commercial PCs, servers and storage, the company said in a written statement.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在一份书面声明中表示,这是戴尔历史上最好的第三季度,这得益于所有业务部门、客户群和地区的增长,以及商用PC、服务器和存储领域的广泛实力。</blockquote></p><p> Dell was Wednesday's IBD Stock Of The Day.</p><p><blockquote>戴尔是周三IBD当天的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, rival <b>HP</b> gapped out of a base Wednesday on its earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,对手<b>惠普</b>周三其盈利脱离基数。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Nucor Stock</b></h2> Shares rose 1% last week to 113.98. Nucor stock broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 119.42 on Nov. 22, but gave up most of that day's 6% gain by Friday's close. Its relative strength line is ticking downward but still near multiyear highs. Its RS Rating is 93, while its EPS Rating is 96.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>纽柯股票</b></h2>上周股价上涨1%,至113.98点。纽柯公司股价在11月22日突破了119.42点的带柄杯买入点,但到周五收盘时回吐了当天6%的大部分涨幅。其相对强弱线正在向下滴答作响,但仍接近多年高点。其RS评级为93,而EPS评级为96。</blockquote></p><p> Steelmakers like Nucor have a had a stellar year supplying homebuilders in a record year and gearing up for massive infrastructure spending. IBD's Steel-Producers industry group has soared nearly 86% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>像纽柯这样的钢铁制造商在创纪录的一年里为房屋建筑商提供了出色的供应,并为大规模的基础设施支出做好了准备。IBD的钢铁生产商行业集团今年迄今已飙升近86%。</blockquote></p><p> Nucor has had four straight quarters of triple-digit earnings growth and four quarters in a row of accelerating sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>纽柯钢铁公司已连续四个季度实现三位数盈利增长,连续四个季度销售额加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Rival <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLD\">Steel Dynamics</a></b> broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 69.01 intraday on Nov. 22, but has since fallen below that buy point.</p><p><blockquote>对手<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLD\">Steel Dynamics</a></b>11月22日盘中突破69.01的杯柄买入点,但此后跌破该买入点。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Invitation Homes Stock</b></h2> INVH stock broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 41.93 on Nov. 24, but retreated just below it on Friday. INVH stock edged up 0.6% to 41.15 for the week.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>邀请之家股票</b></h2>INVH股价于11月24日突破41.93点的杯柄买入点,但周五回落至略低于该点。INVH股价本周小幅上涨0.6%,至41.15点。</blockquote></p><p> Invitation Homes has an RS Rating of 93 and an EPS Rating of 96.</p><p><blockquote>Invitation Homes的RS评级为93,EPS评级为96。</blockquote></p><p> The recent housing boom isn't just helping homebuilders. As raw materials prices spike up and supplies remain tight, folks are delaying home buying or renting homes while renovations and new homes take longer to complete. That's pushed up rents across the board.</p><p><blockquote>最近的房地产繁荣不仅仅帮助了房屋建筑商。随着原材料价格飙升和供应仍然紧张,人们推迟购房或租房,而装修和新房需要更长的时间才能完成。这全面推高了租金。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, Invitation Homes, the largest owner of rental homes in the U.S., has seen soaring demand. The company, a real estate investment trust, or REIT, owns more than 80,000 homes, which it rents out.</p><p><blockquote>因此,美国最大的出租房屋所有者Invitation Homes的需求飙升。该公司是一家房地产投资信托基金(REIT),拥有80,000多套房屋并出租。</blockquote></p><p> In October, Invitation Homes reported better-than-expected Q3 results. The company was able to raise rents by 11% amid the housing shortage.</p><p><blockquote>10月份,Invitation Homes公布了好于预期的第三季度业绩。在住房短缺的情况下,该公司能够将租金提高11%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h2><b>Lam Research Stock</b></h2> Shares pulled back late last week, perhaps starting work on a handle. Chip-equipment maker Lam Research has been steadily moving toward a 673.90 buy point from a consolidation going back to early June or April. </p><p><blockquote><h2><b>Lam研究股票</b></h2>上周晚些时候,股价回落,或许是开始着手处理。芯片设备制造商Lam Research从6月初或4月的盘整中稳步迈向673.90买入点。</blockquote></p><p> Its relative strength line is rising again after several months of sideways movement. Lam's RS Rating is 80, while its EPS Rating is 94. The company has posted seven straight quarters of earnings and revenue growth, amid sky-high demand for its products across all industries.</p><p><blockquote>其相对强弱线在经过几个月的横盘整理后再次上升。Lam的RS评级为80,而EPS评级为94。由于各行业对其产品的需求极高,该公司已连续七个季度实现盈利和收入增长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google, Dell Lead Five Diverse Stocks Near Buy Points<blockquote>谷歌、戴尔引领五只多元化股票接近买入点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle, Dell Lead Five Diverse Stocks Near Buy Points<blockquote>谷歌、戴尔引领五只多元化股票接近买入点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">ADELIA CELLINI LINECKER</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-28 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Google parent <b>Alphabet</b>, computer maker <b>Dell Technologies</b>, steelmaker <b>Nucor</b>, Chip-equipment maker <b>Lam Research</b> and rental-home investor <b>Invitation Homes</b> are five stocks to watch this week near buy points.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌母公司<b>Alphabet</b>,计算机制造商<b>戴尔科技</b>,钢铁制造商<b>纽科尔</b>、芯片设备制造商<b>Lam研究</b>和出租屋投资者<b>邀请之家</b>本周有五只股票在买入点附近值得关注。</blockquote></p><p> The recent plunges in many hot software stocks amid renewed sector rotation underscores the importance of having diversified leaders in your portfolio. But with the market selling off sharply Friday, this time led by energy and financial stocks, investors should be cautious about new buys.</p><p><blockquote>最近,在行业轮换的背景下,许多热门软件股暴跌,凸显了投资组合中拥有多元化领导者的重要性。但随着周五市场大幅抛售,这一次是由能源和金融股引领的,投资者应该对新的买入持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> Google, Nucor stock and Invitation Homes have pulled back modestly below buy points. Dell stock has bounced from its 50-day line, and Lam Research is closing in on a buy point.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌、纽柯股票和Invitation Homes已小幅回落至买入点以下。戴尔股价已从50日线反弹,Lam Research正在接近买入点。</blockquote></p><p> Google stock and Nucor are on IBD Leaderboard. GOOGL stock also is on IBD Long-Term Leaders and the IBD 50. Dell is on SwingTrader.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌股票和纽柯公司在IBD排行榜上。GOOGL股票也出现在IBD长期领导者和IBD 50指数中。戴尔在SwingTrader上。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Google Stock</b></h2> Shares fell 4.5% to 2,845.64 in last week's stock market trading. Google stock closed just below its 50-day line and 10-week moving average. Shares have retreated modestly below a flat-base buy point of 2,925.17, according to MarketSmith. An alternate entry would be 3,019.43 from a four-weeks-tight pattern.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>谷歌股票</b></h2>上周股市交易中,股价下跌4.5%,至2,845.64点。谷歌股价收盘略低于50日线和10周移动平均线。根据MarketSmith的数据,股价已小幅回落至2,925.17点以下。从四周的紧张模式来看,另一个进场点是3,019.43。</blockquote></p><p> Investors could use a rebound off the 50-day/10-week line as a possible entry. That's a good place to buy Long-Term Leaders stocks such as GOOGL.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以利用50日/10周线的反弹作为可能的入场机会。这是购买GOOGL等长期领先股票的好地方。</blockquote></p><p> Google's relative strength line is going sideways, but is still near all-time highs. Its RS Rating is 88 out of a possible 99, while its EPS Rating is 98.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌的相对强弱线正在横盘整理,但仍接近历史高点。其RS评级为88分(满分99分),而EPS评级为98分。</blockquote></p><p> Google beat Wall Street estimates for the third quarter. It had EPS of $27.99 vs. views for $23.48. Sales came in at $65.12 billion vs. estimates of $63.34 billion.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌第三季度业绩超出华尔街预期。它的每股收益为27.99美元,而浏览量为23.48美元。销售额为651.2亿美元,而预期为633.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors on Oct. 26, CEO Ruth Porat said Apple's privacy settings changes, which now ask iPhone users for explicit permission to track them, had a modest impact on YouTube revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在10月26日与投资者举行的看涨期权上,首席执行官露丝·波拉特(Ruth Porat)表示,苹果的隐私设置变化(现在要求iPhone用户获得明确许可才能跟踪他们)对YouTube收入的影响不大。</blockquote></p><p> Google's ad revenue climbed 43% to $53.13 billion. That's up from $37.1 billion in the year-ago period and slightly higher than the prior quarter. YouTube ads rose to $7.21 billion, up from $5.04 billion last year.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌的广告收入增长43%,达到531.3亿美元。这高于去年同期的371亿美元,略高于上一季度。YouTube广告收入从去年的50.4亿美元增至72.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Dell Stock</b></h2> Dell stock rose 2.1% to 56.18 last week. Shares now have a flat base with a 58.53 buy point. Dell stock bounced from its 50-day line on Thursday, flashing an early buy signal on strong earnings. But shares pulled back modestly Friday. Investors might now want to wait for Dell to get above Thursday's high of 58, or simply wait for a breakout.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>戴尔股票</b></h2>戴尔股价上周上涨2.1%至56.18点。目前股价基本持平,买入点为58.53。戴尔股价周四从50日线反弹,因强劲的盈利而发出早期买入信号。但周五股价小幅回落。投资者现在可能希望等待戴尔突破周四的高点58,或者只是等待突破。</blockquote></p><p> On Nov. 23, Dell reported third-quarter earnings of $2.37 a share, a year-over-year increase of 17%, on a 21% jump in sales to $28.39 billion, both above analyst views. </p><p><blockquote>11月23日,戴尔公布第三季度每股收益为2.37美元,同比增长17%,销售额增长21%至283.9亿美元,均高于分析师预期。</blockquote></p><p> It was Dell's best third quarter in its history, driven by growth in all business units, customer segments and geographies, as well as broad strength across commercial PCs, servers and storage, the company said in a written statement.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在一份书面声明中表示,这是戴尔历史上最好的第三季度,这得益于所有业务部门、客户群和地区的增长,以及商用PC、服务器和存储领域的广泛实力。</blockquote></p><p> Dell was Wednesday's IBD Stock Of The Day.</p><p><blockquote>戴尔是周三IBD当天的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, rival <b>HP</b> gapped out of a base Wednesday on its earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,对手<b>惠普</b>周三其盈利脱离基数。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Nucor Stock</b></h2> Shares rose 1% last week to 113.98. Nucor stock broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 119.42 on Nov. 22, but gave up most of that day's 6% gain by Friday's close. Its relative strength line is ticking downward but still near multiyear highs. Its RS Rating is 93, while its EPS Rating is 96.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>纽柯股票</b></h2>上周股价上涨1%,至113.98点。纽柯公司股价在11月22日突破了119.42点的带柄杯买入点,但到周五收盘时回吐了当天6%的大部分涨幅。其相对强弱线正在向下滴答作响,但仍接近多年高点。其RS评级为93,而EPS评级为96。</blockquote></p><p> Steelmakers like Nucor have a had a stellar year supplying homebuilders in a record year and gearing up for massive infrastructure spending. IBD's Steel-Producers industry group has soared nearly 86% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>像纽柯这样的钢铁制造商在创纪录的一年里为房屋建筑商提供了出色的供应,并为大规模的基础设施支出做好了准备。IBD的钢铁生产商行业集团今年迄今已飙升近86%。</blockquote></p><p> Nucor has had four straight quarters of triple-digit earnings growth and four quarters in a row of accelerating sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>纽柯钢铁公司已连续四个季度实现三位数盈利增长,连续四个季度销售额加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Rival <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLD\">Steel Dynamics</a></b> broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 69.01 intraday on Nov. 22, but has since fallen below that buy point.</p><p><blockquote>对手<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLD\">Steel Dynamics</a></b>11月22日盘中突破69.01的杯柄买入点,但此后跌破该买入点。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Invitation Homes Stock</b></h2> INVH stock broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 41.93 on Nov. 24, but retreated just below it on Friday. INVH stock edged up 0.6% to 41.15 for the week.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>邀请之家股票</b></h2>INVH股价于11月24日突破41.93点的杯柄买入点,但周五回落至略低于该点。INVH股价本周小幅上涨0.6%,至41.15点。</blockquote></p><p> Invitation Homes has an RS Rating of 93 and an EPS Rating of 96.</p><p><blockquote>Invitation Homes的RS评级为93,EPS评级为96。</blockquote></p><p> The recent housing boom isn't just helping homebuilders. As raw materials prices spike up and supplies remain tight, folks are delaying home buying or renting homes while renovations and new homes take longer to complete. That's pushed up rents across the board.</p><p><blockquote>最近的房地产繁荣不仅仅帮助了房屋建筑商。随着原材料价格飙升和供应仍然紧张,人们推迟购房或租房,而装修和新房需要更长的时间才能完成。这全面推高了租金。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, Invitation Homes, the largest owner of rental homes in the U.S., has seen soaring demand. The company, a real estate investment trust, or REIT, owns more than 80,000 homes, which it rents out.</p><p><blockquote>因此,美国最大的出租房屋所有者Invitation Homes的需求飙升。该公司是一家房地产投资信托基金(REIT),拥有80,000多套房屋并出租。</blockquote></p><p> In October, Invitation Homes reported better-than-expected Q3 results. The company was able to raise rents by 11% amid the housing shortage.</p><p><blockquote>10月份,Invitation Homes公布了好于预期的第三季度业绩。在住房短缺的情况下,该公司能够将租金提高11%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h2><b>Lam Research Stock</b></h2> Shares pulled back late last week, perhaps starting work on a handle. Chip-equipment maker Lam Research has been steadily moving toward a 673.90 buy point from a consolidation going back to early June or April. </p><p><blockquote><h2><b>Lam研究股票</b></h2>上周晚些时候,股价回落,或许是开始着手处理。芯片设备制造商Lam Research从6月初或4月的盘整中稳步迈向673.90买入点。</blockquote></p><p> Its relative strength line is rising again after several months of sideways movement. Lam's RS Rating is 80, while its EPS Rating is 94. The company has posted seven straight quarters of earnings and revenue growth, amid sky-high demand for its products across all industries.</p><p><blockquote>其相对强弱线在经过几个月的横盘整理后再次上升。Lam的RS评级为80,而EPS评级为94。由于各行业对其产品的需求极高,该公司已连续七个季度实现盈利和收入增长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/google-dell-lead-five-diverse-stocks-near-buy-points/?src=A00519A=aflTigerBrokers\">ADELIA CELLINI LINECKER</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NUE":"纽柯钢铁","INVH":"Invitation Homes Inc.","DELL":"戴尔","LRCX":"拉姆研究","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/google-dell-lead-five-diverse-stocks-near-buy-points/?src=A00519A=aflTigerBrokers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2186328547","content_text":"Google parent Alphabet, computer maker Dell Technologies, steelmaker Nucor, Chip-equipment maker Lam Research and rental-home investor Invitation Homes are five stocks to watch this week near buy points.\nThe recent plunges in many hot software stocks amid renewed sector rotation underscores the importance of having diversified leaders in your portfolio. But with the market selling off sharply Friday, this time led by energy and financial stocks, investors should be cautious about new buys.\nGoogle, Nucor stock and Invitation Homes have pulled back modestly below buy points. Dell stock has bounced from its 50-day line, and Lam Research is closing in on a buy point.\nGoogle stock and Nucor are on IBD Leaderboard. GOOGL stock also is on IBD Long-Term Leaders and the IBD 50. Dell is on SwingTrader.\nGoogle Stock\nShares fell 4.5% to 2,845.64 in last week's stock market trading. Google stock closed just below its 50-day line and 10-week moving average. Shares have retreated modestly below a flat-base buy point of 2,925.17, according to MarketSmith. An alternate entry would be 3,019.43 from a four-weeks-tight pattern.\nInvestors could use a rebound off the 50-day/10-week line as a possible entry. That's a good place to buy Long-Term Leaders stocks such as GOOGL.\nGoogle's relative strength line is going sideways, but is still near all-time highs. Its RS Rating is 88 out of a possible 99, while its EPS Rating is 98.\nGoogle beat Wall Street estimates for the third quarter. It had EPS of $27.99 vs. views for $23.48. Sales came in at $65.12 billion vs. estimates of $63.34 billion.\nIn a call with investors on Oct. 26, CEO Ruth Porat said Apple's privacy settings changes, which now ask iPhone users for explicit permission to track them, had a modest impact on YouTube revenue.\nGoogle's ad revenue climbed 43% to $53.13 billion. That's up from $37.1 billion in the year-ago period and slightly higher than the prior quarter. YouTube ads rose to $7.21 billion, up from $5.04 billion last year.\nDell Stock\nDell stock rose 2.1% to 56.18 last week. Shares now have a flat base with a 58.53 buy point. Dell stock bounced from its 50-day line on Thursday, flashing an early buy signal on strong earnings. But shares pulled back modestly Friday. Investors might now want to wait for Dell to get above Thursday's high of 58, or simply wait for a breakout.\nOn Nov. 23, Dell reported third-quarter earnings of $2.37 a share, a year-over-year increase of 17%, on a 21% jump in sales to $28.39 billion, both above analyst views. \nIt was Dell's best third quarter in its history, driven by growth in all business units, customer segments and geographies, as well as broad strength across commercial PCs, servers and storage, the company said in a written statement.\nDell was Wednesday's IBD Stock Of The Day.\nMeanwhile, rival HP gapped out of a base Wednesday on its earnings.\nNucor Stock\nShares rose 1% last week to 113.98. Nucor stock broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 119.42 on Nov. 22, but gave up most of that day's 6% gain by Friday's close. Its relative strength line is ticking downward but still near multiyear highs. Its RS Rating is 93, while its EPS Rating is 96.\nSteelmakers like Nucor have a had a stellar year supplying homebuilders in a record year and gearing up for massive infrastructure spending. IBD's Steel-Producers industry group has soared nearly 86% year to date.\nNucor has had four straight quarters of triple-digit earnings growth and four quarters in a row of accelerating sales growth.\nRival Steel Dynamics broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 69.01 intraday on Nov. 22, but has since fallen below that buy point.\nInvitation Homes Stock\nINVH stock broke out past a cup-with-handle buy point of 41.93 on Nov. 24, but retreated just below it on Friday. INVH stock edged up 0.6% to 41.15 for the week.\nInvitation Homes has an RS Rating of 93 and an EPS Rating of 96.\nThe recent housing boom isn't just helping homebuilders. As raw materials prices spike up and supplies remain tight, folks are delaying home buying or renting homes while renovations and new homes take longer to complete. That's pushed up rents across the board.\nAs a result, Invitation Homes, the largest owner of rental homes in the U.S., has seen soaring demand. The company, a real estate investment trust, or REIT, owns more than 80,000 homes, which it rents out.\nIn October, Invitation Homes reported better-than-expected Q3 results. The company was able to raise rents by 11% amid the housing shortage.\nLam Research Stock\nShares pulled back late last week, perhaps starting work on a handle. Chip-equipment maker Lam Research has been steadily moving toward a 673.90 buy point from a consolidation going back to early June or April. \nIts relative strength line is rising again after several months of sideways movement. Lam's RS Rating is 80, while its EPS Rating is 94. The company has posted seven straight quarters of earnings and revenue growth, amid sky-high demand for its products across all industries.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INVH":0.9,"DELL":0.9,"NUE":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"LRCX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":882992662,"gmtCreate":1631637340556,"gmtModify":1631889548088,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882992662","repostId":"2167955115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":608888551,"gmtCreate":1638680525612,"gmtModify":1638680525749,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608888551","repostId":"1140678193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868885211,"gmtCreate":1632629479933,"gmtModify":1632649292143,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment ","listText":"Like and comment ","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868885211","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698240552,"gmtCreate":1640419686094,"gmtModify":1640419686418,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698240552","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604190324,"gmtCreate":1639356662555,"gmtModify":1639356662831,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604190324","repostId":"1175891189","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175891189","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639354864,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175891189?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175891189","media":"TheStreet","summary":"As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform st","content":"<p>As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform strongly into the new year. Here are two reasons why they may be right.</p><p><blockquote>随着2021年接近尾声,投资者似乎相信苹果股票将在新的一年继续表现强劲。以下是他们可能是对的两个原因。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analysts continue to debate whether Apple stock is a buy as we head into 2022. Recently,I presented the bear argument that, if proven right, could foretell a drop of around 18% in the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>进入2022年,华尔街分析师继续争论苹果股票是否值得买入。最近,我提出了熊市论点,如果被证明是正确的,可以预测股价下跌18%左右。</blockquote></p><p> But investors seem to be siding with bulls at the moment, as AAPL shares continue to make fresh highs. Today, I talk about two key reasons recently presented by analysts suggesting that Apple stock could be a good bet for the new year.</p><p><blockquote>但随着苹果公司股价继续创出新高,投资者目前似乎站在多头一边。今天,我谈谈分析师最近提出的两个关键原因,这些原因表明苹果股票可能是新的一年的好选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e0accd2eec6d8660139f01d4786050\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 13, Apple Watch and AirPods Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:苹果的iPhone 13、苹果手表和AirPods Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone: not all about the holiday</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iPhone:并非一切都与假期有关</b></blockquote></p><p> The recent headlines have highlighted the expected performance of the iPhone in the current holiday period. Bloomberg hinted at a slowdown in demand, supported by alleged order cancellations with suppliers. The data point contradicted earlier Wall Street projections for an above-estimate volume of iPhone shipments in the current shopping season.</p><p><blockquote>最近的头条新闻凸显了iPhone在当前假期期间的预期表现。彭博社暗示,由于据称供应商取消订单,需求放缓。该数据点与华尔街早些时候对当前购物季iPhone出货量高于预期的预测相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> But DigiTimes Taiwan has recently shifted the focus of attention to the longer term. According to the publication, Apple is looking to “[increase] iPhone shipments by 30% for the first half of next year with the larger goal of exceeding 300 million iPhone shipments in 2022.”</p><p><blockquote>但DigiTimes Taiwan最近将关注的焦点转移到了更长远的领域。据该出版物称,苹果希望“明年上半年iPhone出货量增加30%,更大的目标是在2022年iPhone出货量超过3亿部。”</blockquote></p><p> If confirmed, this would represent massive YOY improvement, especially in the first few months of the year. Keep in mind (chart below) that the Cupertino company dropped the mic on iPhone sales in the early part of 2021, setting the bar very high for growth in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>如果得到证实,这将意味着同比大幅改善,尤其是在今年的前几个月。请记住(下图),这家库比蒂诺公司在2021年初放弃了iPhone销售的麦克风,为2022年的增长设定了非常高的标准。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee90d77969b11205181863715e8ab4f1\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone revenue growth since F19.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:F19以来iPhone收入增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I would warn readers, however, not to rely too much on unofficial announcements about iPhone sales. In addition to the issue of reliability of rumors, the assumption of higher shipments could be a misread on Apple ramping up iPhone production to anticipate supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>不过,我要警告读者不要过于依赖关于iPhone销售的非官方公告。除了谣言的可靠性问题之外,对出货量增加的假设可能是对苹果为预测供应链限制而提高iPhone产量的误读。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Glass: the next big thing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果玻璃:下一件大事</b></blockquote></p><p> The other key reason to own AAPL in 2022 could be the introduction of a brand-new product category. Wedbush’s Dan Ives has been labeling the new device “Apple Glass”, the company’s first attempt at penetrating the AR/VR (augmented and virtual reality) space.</p><p><blockquote>2022年持有AAPL的另一个关键原因可能是推出全新的产品类别。Wedbush的Dan Ives一直将这款新设备贴上“苹果眼镜”的标签,这是该公司首次尝试渗透AR/VR(增强和虚拟现实)领域。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Ives goes further and estimates the impact of the new product on Apple stock price. According to the analyst, the product launch “could eventually add approximately $20 per share to the sum-of-the-parts value” of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>Ives先生更进一步,估计了新产品对苹果股价的影响。这位分析师表示,该产品的推出“最终可能会使股票的部分总价值每股增加约20美元”。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush is not alone in its bullish assessment.Morgan Stanley has already suggested that Apple unveiling a mixed reality device in 2022 would be the key catalyst for the hotly-debated metaverse to finally take off.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什并不是唯一一个做出乐观评估的人。摩根士丹利已经表示,苹果在2022年推出混合现实设备将成为备受争议的虚拟宇宙最终起飞的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Even as Apple stock reaches its all-time high of $175 apiece, I maintain my bullish stance on the name. Apple’s position as the most important player in consumer tech is at the center of the investment thesis, in my view.</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果股价达到每股175美元的历史高点,但我仍维持对该公司的看涨立场。在我看来,苹果作为消费科技领域最重要参与者的地位是投资论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> However, keep in mind that buying AAPL at peak price has produced one-year forward returns of “only” 25%, on average, during the iPhone era (i.e. since 2007). This number compares to a much better 46% average annual gain when the stock was bought following a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>然而,请记住,在iPhone时代(即自2007年以来),以峰值价格购买AAPL的一年远期回报率平均“仅”为25%。相比之下,该股在下跌10%后买入时的平均年涨幅要好得多,为46%。</blockquote></p><p> From current levels, therefore, I think that investors should expect to rake in lower returns than if they were buying a dip in share price.</p><p><blockquote>因此,从目前的水平来看,我认为投资者应该期望获得比在股价下跌时买入更低的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Reasons To Own Apple Stock in 2022: iPhone, Apple Glass<blockquote>2022年持有苹果股票的2个理由:iPhone、苹果玻璃</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform strongly into the new year. Here are two reasons why they may be right.</p><p><blockquote>随着2021年接近尾声,投资者似乎相信苹果股票将在新的一年继续表现强劲。以下是他们可能是对的两个原因。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analysts continue to debate whether Apple stock is a buy as we head into 2022. Recently,I presented the bear argument that, if proven right, could foretell a drop of around 18% in the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>进入2022年,华尔街分析师继续争论苹果股票是否值得买入。最近,我提出了熊市论点,如果被证明是正确的,可以预测股价下跌18%左右。</blockquote></p><p> But investors seem to be siding with bulls at the moment, as AAPL shares continue to make fresh highs. Today, I talk about two key reasons recently presented by analysts suggesting that Apple stock could be a good bet for the new year.</p><p><blockquote>但随着苹果公司股价继续创出新高,投资者目前似乎站在多头一边。今天,我谈谈分析师最近提出的两个关键原因,这些原因表明苹果股票可能是新的一年的好选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e0accd2eec6d8660139f01d4786050\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 13, Apple Watch and AirPods Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:苹果的iPhone 13、苹果手表和AirPods Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone: not all about the holiday</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iPhone:并非一切都与假期有关</b></blockquote></p><p> The recent headlines have highlighted the expected performance of the iPhone in the current holiday period. Bloomberg hinted at a slowdown in demand, supported by alleged order cancellations with suppliers. The data point contradicted earlier Wall Street projections for an above-estimate volume of iPhone shipments in the current shopping season.</p><p><blockquote>最近的头条新闻凸显了iPhone在当前假期期间的预期表现。彭博社暗示,由于据称供应商取消订单,需求放缓。该数据点与华尔街早些时候对当前购物季iPhone出货量高于预期的预测相矛盾。</blockquote></p><p> But DigiTimes Taiwan has recently shifted the focus of attention to the longer term. According to the publication, Apple is looking to “[increase] iPhone shipments by 30% for the first half of next year with the larger goal of exceeding 300 million iPhone shipments in 2022.”</p><p><blockquote>但DigiTimes Taiwan最近将关注的焦点转移到了更长远的领域。据该出版物称,苹果希望“明年上半年iPhone出货量增加30%,更大的目标是在2022年iPhone出货量超过3亿部。”</blockquote></p><p> If confirmed, this would represent massive YOY improvement, especially in the first few months of the year. Keep in mind (chart below) that the Cupertino company dropped the mic on iPhone sales in the early part of 2021, setting the bar very high for growth in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>如果得到证实,这将意味着同比大幅改善,尤其是在今年的前几个月。请记住(下图),这家库比蒂诺公司在2021年初放弃了iPhone销售的麦克风,为2022年的增长设定了非常高的标准。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee90d77969b11205181863715e8ab4f1\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone revenue growth since F19.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:F19以来iPhone收入增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I would warn readers, however, not to rely too much on unofficial announcements about iPhone sales. In addition to the issue of reliability of rumors, the assumption of higher shipments could be a misread on Apple ramping up iPhone production to anticipate supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>不过,我要警告读者不要过于依赖关于iPhone销售的非官方公告。除了谣言的可靠性问题之外,对出货量增加的假设可能是对苹果为预测供应链限制而提高iPhone产量的误读。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Glass: the next big thing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果玻璃:下一件大事</b></blockquote></p><p> The other key reason to own AAPL in 2022 could be the introduction of a brand-new product category. Wedbush’s Dan Ives has been labeling the new device “Apple Glass”, the company’s first attempt at penetrating the AR/VR (augmented and virtual reality) space.</p><p><blockquote>2022年持有AAPL的另一个关键原因可能是推出全新的产品类别。Wedbush的Dan Ives一直将这款新设备贴上“苹果眼镜”的标签,这是该公司首次尝试渗透AR/VR(增强和虚拟现实)领域。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Ives goes further and estimates the impact of the new product on Apple stock price. According to the analyst, the product launch “could eventually add approximately $20 per share to the sum-of-the-parts value” of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>Ives先生更进一步,估计了新产品对苹果股价的影响。这位分析师表示,该产品的推出“最终可能会使股票的部分总价值每股增加约20美元”。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush is not alone in its bullish assessment.Morgan Stanley has already suggested that Apple unveiling a mixed reality device in 2022 would be the key catalyst for the hotly-debated metaverse to finally take off.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什并不是唯一一个做出乐观评估的人。摩根士丹利已经表示,苹果在2022年推出混合现实设备将成为备受争议的虚拟宇宙最终起飞的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Even as Apple stock reaches its all-time high of $175 apiece, I maintain my bullish stance on the name. Apple’s position as the most important player in consumer tech is at the center of the investment thesis, in my view.</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果股价达到每股175美元的历史高点,但我仍维持对该公司的看涨立场。在我看来,苹果作为消费科技领域最重要参与者的地位是投资论点的核心。</blockquote></p><p> However, keep in mind that buying AAPL at peak price has produced one-year forward returns of “only” 25%, on average, during the iPhone era (i.e. since 2007). This number compares to a much better 46% average annual gain when the stock was bought following a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>然而,请记住,在iPhone时代(即自2007年以来),以峰值价格购买AAPL的一年远期回报率平均“仅”为25%。相比之下,该股在下跌10%后买入时的平均年涨幅要好得多,为46%。</blockquote></p><p> From current levels, therefore, I think that investors should expect to rake in lower returns than if they were buying a dip in share price.</p><p><blockquote>因此,从目前的水平来看,我认为投资者应该期望获得比在股价下跌时买入更低的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/2-reasons-to-own-apple-stock-in-2022-iphone-apple-glass\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/2-reasons-to-own-apple-stock-in-2022-iphone-apple-glass","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175891189","content_text":"As 2021 draws close to an end, investors seem confident that Apple stock will continue to perform strongly into the new year. Here are two reasons why they may be right.\nWall Street analysts continue to debate whether Apple stock is a buy as we head into 2022. Recently,I presented the bear argument that, if proven right, could foretell a drop of around 18% in the stock price.\nBut investors seem to be siding with bulls at the moment, as AAPL shares continue to make fresh highs. Today, I talk about two key reasons recently presented by analysts suggesting that Apple stock could be a good bet for the new year.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 13, Apple Watch and AirPods Pro.\niPhone: not all about the holiday\nThe recent headlines have highlighted the expected performance of the iPhone in the current holiday period. Bloomberg hinted at a slowdown in demand, supported by alleged order cancellations with suppliers. The data point contradicted earlier Wall Street projections for an above-estimate volume of iPhone shipments in the current shopping season.\nBut DigiTimes Taiwan has recently shifted the focus of attention to the longer term. According to the publication, Apple is looking to “[increase] iPhone shipments by 30% for the first half of next year with the larger goal of exceeding 300 million iPhone shipments in 2022.”\nIf confirmed, this would represent massive YOY improvement, especially in the first few months of the year. Keep in mind (chart below) that the Cupertino company dropped the mic on iPhone sales in the early part of 2021, setting the bar very high for growth in 2022.\nFigure 2: iPhone revenue growth since F19.\nI would warn readers, however, not to rely too much on unofficial announcements about iPhone sales. In addition to the issue of reliability of rumors, the assumption of higher shipments could be a misread on Apple ramping up iPhone production to anticipate supply chain constraints.\nApple Glass: the next big thing\nThe other key reason to own AAPL in 2022 could be the introduction of a brand-new product category. Wedbush’s Dan Ives has been labeling the new device “Apple Glass”, the company’s first attempt at penetrating the AR/VR (augmented and virtual reality) space.\nMr. Ives goes further and estimates the impact of the new product on Apple stock price. According to the analyst, the product launch “could eventually add approximately $20 per share to the sum-of-the-parts value” of the shares.\nWedbush is not alone in its bullish assessment.Morgan Stanley has already suggested that Apple unveiling a mixed reality device in 2022 would be the key catalyst for the hotly-debated metaverse to finally take off.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nEven as Apple stock reaches its all-time high of $175 apiece, I maintain my bullish stance on the name. Apple’s position as the most important player in consumer tech is at the center of the investment thesis, in my view.\nHowever, keep in mind that buying AAPL at peak price has produced one-year forward returns of “only” 25%, on average, during the iPhone era (i.e. since 2007). This number compares to a much better 46% average annual gain when the stock was bought following a 10% drawdown.\nFrom current levels, therefore, I think that investors should expect to rake in lower returns than if they were buying a dip in share price.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871988498,"gmtCreate":1637019422968,"gmtModify":1637019423119,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871988498","repostId":"2183282074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870539016,"gmtCreate":1636631190091,"gmtModify":1636631190483,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870539016","repostId":"1147029332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856550317,"gmtCreate":1635204138864,"gmtModify":1635204139472,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856550317","repostId":"1182426097","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894659586,"gmtCreate":1628823582645,"gmtModify":1633689182740,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes i agree, long term growth ","listText":"Yes i agree, long term growth ","text":"Yes i agree, long term growth","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894659586","repostId":"1132364234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132364234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628821754,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132364234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-13 10:29","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Palantir Crushes Earnings -- Is $PLTR Still a Buy Now?<blockquote>Palantir盈利下滑——$PLTR现在仍然值得买入吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132364234","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)reported earnings this morning, and it delivered strong numbers and surprise beat","content":"<p><b>Palantir</b>(NYSE:PLTR)reported earnings this morning, and it delivered strong numbers and surprise beats across the board. The stock has been controversial since its direct listing in October 2020. I purchased this stock in the $9 range, and it ripped to $45 before plummeting back to the low $20s. I recently did awriteup and videoon Palantir and said I thought the stock was an opportunity in the low $20s and a no-brainer below $20. Unfortunately, the stock did not fall below $20, and earnings has the stock up over 14% as I'm writing this.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PLTR)今天上午公布了财报,数据强劲,全面表现令人惊讶。该股自2020年10月直接上市以来一直备受争议。我在9美元的范围内购买了这只股票,它暴跌至45美元,然后又暴跌至20美元的低点。我最近在Palantir上写了一篇文章和视频,并表示我认为该股在20多美元的低点是一个机会,低于20美元是理所当然的。不幸的是,该股并没有跌破20美元,在我撰写本文时,该股的盈利上涨了14%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has a cult following, and it reminds me somewhat of<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA). Alex Karp, Palantir's CEO, is a quirky and intelligent guy, much like Tesla's Elon Musk. This is not necessarily a reason to buy the stock, but it is an important consideration for potential shareholders. Stocks like Tesla and Palantir often trade at unique valuations and carry more volatility. I expect this trend to continue, but if retail investors continue to own shares in their long-term investment portfolios, it could accelerate the share price over time, much as with Tesla. A premium is often paid for these \"cult stocks.\" I am long Palantir, but I do understand the risks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir拥有狂热的追随者,这让我想起了<b>特斯拉</b>(纳斯达克:TSLA)。Palantir的首席执行官Alex Karp是一个古怪而聪明的人,很像特斯拉的Elon Musk。这不一定是购买股票的理由,但却是潜在股东的重要考虑因素。特斯拉和Palantir等股票通常以独特的估值进行交易,并且波动性更大。我预计这种趋势将持续下去,但如果散户投资者继续在其长期投资组合中持有股票,随着时间的推移,股价可能会加速上涨,就像特斯拉一样。这些“狂热股票”通常需要支付溢价。我做多Palantir,但我确实了解风险。</blockquote></p><p> Another thing I think is interesting about Palantir is its hybrid crossover into cybersecurity. Of course, the company is not typically thrown into the cybersecurity stock bucket. After all, Palantir is a big data analytics software company that helps government agencies and companies manage and analyze data. However, with the increased hacks and high-profile security breaches, businesses are faced with complex challenges that require sophisticated solutions. Palantir offers highly secure data compared to most competitors. It started as a company laser-focused on government-related clients, so its solutions were built with security as the backbone. Commercial-focused vendors cannot say the same, and this provides a competitive advantage for Palantir. In my opinion, commercial clients are the key to Palantir's long-term growth, so this is an important fact to consider when you're evaluating the stock as a potential investment.</p><p><blockquote>我认为Palantir的另一个有趣之处是它与网络安全的混合交叉。当然,该公司通常不会被纳入网络安全股票类别。毕竟,Palantir是一家大数据分析软件公司,帮助政府机构和公司管理和分析数据。然而,随着黑客攻击和高调安全漏洞的增加,企业面临着复杂的挑战,需要复杂的解决方案。与大多数竞争对手相比,Palantir提供高度安全的数据。它最初是一家专注于政府相关客户的公司,因此其解决方案以安全性为支柱。专注于商业的供应商不能这么说,这为Palantir提供了竞争优势。在我看来,商业客户是Palantir长期增长的关键,因此当您将股票评估为潜在投资时,这是需要考虑的一个重要事实。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> 2021 earnings highlights from Palantir's press release:</p><p><blockquote>这是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>Palantir新闻稿中的2021年收益亮点:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> revenue grew 49% year over year to $376 million</li> <li>US commercial revenue grew 90% year over year</li> <li>Palantir closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which:</li> <ul> <li>30 deals are $5 million or more</li> <li>21 deals are $10 million or more</li> </ul> <li>20 net new customers were added in Q2 2021, total customers were up 13% quarter over quarter</li> <li>Commercial customer count increased 32% quarter over quarter</li> <li>Cash flow from operations of $23 million, representing a 6% margin</li> <li>Adjusted free cash flow of $50 million, representing a 13% margin</li> <li>GAAPnet loss per share, diluted, of -$0.07</li> <li>Adjusted earnings per share, diluted, of $0.04</li> </ul> In the below video, I break down Palantir's earnings report and offer my opinions on the company and its stock.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">总的</a>收入同比增长49%至3.76亿美元</li><li>美国商业收入同比增长90%</li><li>Palantir完成了62笔100万美元或以上的交易,其中:</li><ul><li>30笔交易价值500万美元或以上</li><li>21笔交易金额达1000万美元或以上</li></ul><li>2021年第二季度净新增客户20家,客户总数环比增长13%</li><li>商业客户数量环比增长32%</li><li>运营现金流为2300万美元,利润率为6%</li><li>调整后自由现金流为5000万美元,利润率为13%</li><li>GAAPnet稀释后每股亏损为-0.07美元</li><li>调整后稀释每股收益为0.04美元</li></ul>在下面的视频中,我详细介绍了Palantir的收益报告,并提供了我对该公司及其股票的看法。</blockquote></p><p> *Stock prices used in the below video were during premarket trading of August 12, 2021. The video was published on August 12, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>*以下视频中使用的股价为2021年8月12日盘前交易期间的股价。该视频发布于2021年8月12日。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Crushes Earnings -- Is $PLTR Still a Buy Now?<blockquote>Palantir盈利下滑——$PLTR现在仍然值得买入吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Crushes Earnings -- Is $PLTR Still a Buy Now?<blockquote>Palantir盈利下滑——$PLTR现在仍然值得买入吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-13 10:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir</b>(NYSE:PLTR)reported earnings this morning, and it delivered strong numbers and surprise beats across the board. The stock has been controversial since its direct listing in October 2020. I purchased this stock in the $9 range, and it ripped to $45 before plummeting back to the low $20s. I recently did awriteup and videoon Palantir and said I thought the stock was an opportunity in the low $20s and a no-brainer below $20. Unfortunately, the stock did not fall below $20, and earnings has the stock up over 14% as I'm writing this.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PLTR)今天上午公布了财报,数据强劲,全面表现令人惊讶。该股自2020年10月直接上市以来一直备受争议。我在9美元的范围内购买了这只股票,它暴跌至45美元,然后又暴跌至20美元的低点。我最近在Palantir上写了一篇文章和视频,并表示我认为该股在20多美元的低点是一个机会,低于20美元是理所当然的。不幸的是,该股并没有跌破20美元,在我撰写本文时,该股的盈利上涨了14%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has a cult following, and it reminds me somewhat of<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA). Alex Karp, Palantir's CEO, is a quirky and intelligent guy, much like Tesla's Elon Musk. This is not necessarily a reason to buy the stock, but it is an important consideration for potential shareholders. Stocks like Tesla and Palantir often trade at unique valuations and carry more volatility. I expect this trend to continue, but if retail investors continue to own shares in their long-term investment portfolios, it could accelerate the share price over time, much as with Tesla. A premium is often paid for these \"cult stocks.\" I am long Palantir, but I do understand the risks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir拥有狂热的追随者,这让我想起了<b>特斯拉</b>(纳斯达克:TSLA)。Palantir的首席执行官Alex Karp是一个古怪而聪明的人,很像特斯拉的Elon Musk。这不一定是购买股票的理由,但却是潜在股东的重要考虑因素。特斯拉和Palantir等股票通常以独特的估值进行交易,并且波动性更大。我预计这种趋势将持续下去,但如果散户投资者继续在其长期投资组合中持有股票,随着时间的推移,股价可能会加速上涨,就像特斯拉一样。这些“狂热股票”通常需要支付溢价。我做多Palantir,但我确实了解风险。</blockquote></p><p> Another thing I think is interesting about Palantir is its hybrid crossover into cybersecurity. Of course, the company is not typically thrown into the cybersecurity stock bucket. After all, Palantir is a big data analytics software company that helps government agencies and companies manage and analyze data. However, with the increased hacks and high-profile security breaches, businesses are faced with complex challenges that require sophisticated solutions. Palantir offers highly secure data compared to most competitors. It started as a company laser-focused on government-related clients, so its solutions were built with security as the backbone. Commercial-focused vendors cannot say the same, and this provides a competitive advantage for Palantir. In my opinion, commercial clients are the key to Palantir's long-term growth, so this is an important fact to consider when you're evaluating the stock as a potential investment.</p><p><blockquote>我认为Palantir的另一个有趣之处是它与网络安全的混合交叉。当然,该公司通常不会被纳入网络安全股票类别。毕竟,Palantir是一家大数据分析软件公司,帮助政府机构和公司管理和分析数据。然而,随着黑客攻击和高调安全漏洞的增加,企业面临着复杂的挑战,需要复杂的解决方案。与大多数竞争对手相比,Palantir提供高度安全的数据。它最初是一家专注于政府相关客户的公司,因此其解决方案以安全性为支柱。专注于商业的供应商不能这么说,这为Palantir提供了竞争优势。在我看来,商业客户是Palantir长期增长的关键,因此当您将股票评估为潜在投资时,这是需要考虑的一个重要事实。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> 2021 earnings highlights from Palantir's press release:</p><p><blockquote>这是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>Palantir新闻稿中的2021年收益亮点:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">Total</a> revenue grew 49% year over year to $376 million</li> <li>US commercial revenue grew 90% year over year</li> <li>Palantir closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which:</li> <ul> <li>30 deals are $5 million or more</li> <li>21 deals are $10 million or more</li> </ul> <li>20 net new customers were added in Q2 2021, total customers were up 13% quarter over quarter</li> <li>Commercial customer count increased 32% quarter over quarter</li> <li>Cash flow from operations of $23 million, representing a 6% margin</li> <li>Adjusted free cash flow of $50 million, representing a 13% margin</li> <li>GAAPnet loss per share, diluted, of -$0.07</li> <li>Adjusted earnings per share, diluted, of $0.04</li> </ul> In the below video, I break down Palantir's earnings report and offer my opinions on the company and its stock.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSS\">总的</a>收入同比增长49%至3.76亿美元</li><li>美国商业收入同比增长90%</li><li>Palantir完成了62笔100万美元或以上的交易,其中:</li><ul><li>30笔交易价值500万美元或以上</li><li>21笔交易金额达1000万美元或以上</li></ul><li>2021年第二季度净新增客户20家,客户总数环比增长13%</li><li>商业客户数量环比增长32%</li><li>运营现金流为2300万美元,利润率为6%</li><li>调整后自由现金流为5000万美元,利润率为13%</li><li>GAAPnet稀释后每股亏损为-0.07美元</li><li>调整后稀释每股收益为0.04美元</li></ul>在下面的视频中,我详细介绍了Palantir的收益报告,并提供了我对该公司及其股票的看法。</blockquote></p><p> *Stock prices used in the below video were during premarket trading of August 12, 2021. The video was published on August 12, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>*以下视频中使用的股价为2021年8月12日盘前交易期间的股价。该视频发布于2021年8月12日。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/12/palantir-crushes-earnings-is-pltr-still-a-buy-now/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/12/palantir-crushes-earnings-is-pltr-still-a-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132364234","content_text":"Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)reported earnings this morning, and it delivered strong numbers and surprise beats across the board. The stock has been controversial since its direct listing in October 2020. I purchased this stock in the $9 range, and it ripped to $45 before plummeting back to the low $20s. I recently did awriteup and videoon Palantir and said I thought the stock was an opportunity in the low $20s and a no-brainer below $20. Unfortunately, the stock did not fall below $20, and earnings has the stock up over 14% as I'm writing this.\nPalantir has a cult following, and it reminds me somewhat ofTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA). Alex Karp, Palantir's CEO, is a quirky and intelligent guy, much like Tesla's Elon Musk. This is not necessarily a reason to buy the stock, but it is an important consideration for potential shareholders. Stocks like Tesla and Palantir often trade at unique valuations and carry more volatility. I expect this trend to continue, but if retail investors continue to own shares in their long-term investment portfolios, it could accelerate the share price over time, much as with Tesla. A premium is often paid for these \"cult stocks.\" I am long Palantir, but I do understand the risks.\nAnother thing I think is interesting about Palantir is its hybrid crossover into cybersecurity. Of course, the company is not typically thrown into the cybersecurity stock bucket. After all, Palantir is a big data analytics software company that helps government agencies and companies manage and analyze data. However, with the increased hacks and high-profile security breaches, businesses are faced with complex challenges that require sophisticated solutions. Palantir offers highly secure data compared to most competitors. It started as a company laser-focused on government-related clients, so its solutions were built with security as the backbone. Commercial-focused vendors cannot say the same, and this provides a competitive advantage for Palantir. In my opinion, commercial clients are the key to Palantir's long-term growth, so this is an important fact to consider when you're evaluating the stock as a potential investment.\nHere are the Q2 2021 earnings highlights from Palantir's press release:\n\nTotal revenue grew 49% year over year to $376 million\nUS commercial revenue grew 90% year over year\nPalantir closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which:\n\n30 deals are $5 million or more\n21 deals are $10 million or more\n\n20 net new customers were added in Q2 2021, total customers were up 13% quarter over quarter\nCommercial customer count increased 32% quarter over quarter\nCash flow from operations of $23 million, representing a 6% margin\nAdjusted free cash flow of $50 million, representing a 13% margin\nGAAPnet loss per share, diluted, of -$0.07\nAdjusted earnings per share, diluted, of $0.04\n\nIn the below video, I break down Palantir's earnings report and offer my opinions on the company and its stock.\n*Stock prices used in the below video were during premarket trading of August 12, 2021. The video was published on August 12, 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698635825,"gmtCreate":1640362850309,"gmtModify":1640362850698,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698635825","repostId":"1168664020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168664020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640339173,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168664020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 17:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168664020","media":"Realmoney","summary":"The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. T","content":"<p>The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.</p><p><blockquote>2021年应该被称为让最有经验的投资者感到困惑的一年。疫情爆发两年后,全球央行在短时间内向市场注入了难以想象的流动性,以提振陷入停滞的经济,人们不禁要问,为什么美联储今天仍在向市场增加净流动性,尽管速度较慢。美联储在2021年的口头禅一直是“通胀是暂时的”。但是直到最近,当通货膨胀出现在牛奶、咖啡、租金、木材、天然气、建筑、钢铁等各个领域时...对于任何与消费者相关的事情,即使是美联储也不能板着脸使用这个词。如果时间范围在三个月到两年之间,松散地使用“短暂”这个词仍然有效。债券和利率市场现在似乎已经迫使美联储意识到通胀肯定不是暂时的,他们需要对此采取一些措施。</blockquote></p><p> The last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.</p><p><blockquote>过去两年见证了“一切泡沫”。不管我们信不信,所有资产类别都随着美联储通过流动性注入创造的浪潮而上涨,有些只是更多地基于贝塔和杠杆。许多基金经理可以用“阿尔法”这个词来证明他们的回报是合理的,但简而言之,美联储的流动性扭曲了许多资产价格,并使一些较大的资产价格远远超出了实际收益率和利率的水平。一个很好的例子是ARK下一代互联网ETF(ARKW)和racy tech growth股票,在上涨超过100%+之后,在过去几个月里,它们现在都下跌了50%以上,而基本面并没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> And the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.</p><p><blockquote>原因很简单,随着美联储放缓资产购买速度,市场上的流动性越来越少。大多数新兴市场央行和一些发达国家央行已开始加息,但在疫情爆发两年后,美联储仍在每月购买高达900亿至1000亿美元的资产。此时,初请失业金人数处于低点,经济从需求方面(如果不是从就业方面)已经恢复到接近大流行前的水平。美联储量化宽松的目标是让就业恢复到新冠疫情前的水平,但由于参与率落后,这一目标现在要远得多。许多人已经永久退休,这是美联储刚刚意识到的事情。</blockquote></p><p> The latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主持的最近一次FOMC会议宣布,他们将更积极地减少每月300亿美元的资产购买,而不是150亿美元。按照这个速度,美联储将在2022年3月左右结束QE。现在更大的问题是,美联储将在多长时间以及多快开始加息?市场预计仅2022年就会加息约三次。如果供应链短缺持续存在,通胀预计不会很快下降。随着我们进入2022年,我们正在进入一个强劲的经济,但在流动性引发的需求激增后面临停滞的风险,并且通胀将出现自20世纪80年代以来从未见过的加剧!目前,CPI同比平均在6%-7%之间,处于令人震惊的令人不安的水平。我们将在轻微滞胀的环境中进入2022年,而目前市场上的大多数交易者都没有看到或交易过这种环境。</blockquote></p><p> At the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?</p><p><blockquote>目前,仍有净流动性被添加到市场中,这可能是标普500在这里保持良好的主要原因之一,但人们想知道当美联储资产负债表停止增长时,它是否能在第一季度保持这些水平。也许投资者是时候停止关注试图“赚快钱”的模因股票或破产股票,通过买入上涨的评级来挤出空头了。也许市场会回归某种理性行为,并表现出一些经济学101特征。有一点是肯定的,资产配置将需要转向更具通胀保护的资产,即贵金属等硬资产。2022年最终会成为黄金之年吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619508253632","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?<blockquote>美联储创造了怪物市场:2022年会发生什么?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Realmoney</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 17:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.</p><p><blockquote>2021年应该被称为让最有经验的投资者感到困惑的一年。疫情爆发两年后,全球央行在短时间内向市场注入了难以想象的流动性,以提振陷入停滞的经济,人们不禁要问,为什么美联储今天仍在向市场增加净流动性,尽管速度较慢。美联储在2021年的口头禅一直是“通胀是暂时的”。但是直到最近,当通货膨胀出现在牛奶、咖啡、租金、木材、天然气、建筑、钢铁等各个领域时...对于任何与消费者相关的事情,即使是美联储也不能板着脸使用这个词。如果时间范围在三个月到两年之间,松散地使用“短暂”这个词仍然有效。债券和利率市场现在似乎已经迫使美联储意识到通胀肯定不是暂时的,他们需要对此采取一些措施。</blockquote></p><p> The last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.</p><p><blockquote>过去两年见证了“一切泡沫”。不管我们信不信,所有资产类别都随着美联储通过流动性注入创造的浪潮而上涨,有些只是更多地基于贝塔和杠杆。许多基金经理可以用“阿尔法”这个词来证明他们的回报是合理的,但简而言之,美联储的流动性扭曲了许多资产价格,并使一些较大的资产价格远远超出了实际收益率和利率的水平。一个很好的例子是ARK下一代互联网ETF(ARKW)和racy tech growth股票,在上涨超过100%+之后,在过去几个月里,它们现在都下跌了50%以上,而基本面并没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> And the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.</p><p><blockquote>原因很简单,随着美联储放缓资产购买速度,市场上的流动性越来越少。大多数新兴市场央行和一些发达国家央行已开始加息,但在疫情爆发两年后,美联储仍在每月购买高达900亿至1000亿美元的资产。此时,初请失业金人数处于低点,经济从需求方面(如果不是从就业方面)已经恢复到接近大流行前的水平。美联储量化宽松的目标是让就业恢复到新冠疫情前的水平,但由于参与率落后,这一目标现在要远得多。许多人已经永久退休,这是美联储刚刚意识到的事情。</blockquote></p><p> The latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主持的最近一次FOMC会议宣布,他们将更积极地减少每月300亿美元的资产购买,而不是150亿美元。按照这个速度,美联储将在2022年3月左右结束QE。现在更大的问题是,美联储将在多长时间以及多快开始加息?市场预计仅2022年就会加息约三次。如果供应链短缺持续存在,通胀预计不会很快下降。随着我们进入2022年,我们正在进入一个强劲的经济,但在流动性引发的需求激增后面临停滞的风险,并且通胀将出现自20世纪80年代以来从未见过的加剧!目前,CPI同比平均在6%-7%之间,处于令人震惊的令人不安的水平。我们将在轻微滞胀的环境中进入2022年,而目前市场上的大多数交易者都没有看到或交易过这种环境。</blockquote></p><p> At the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?</p><p><blockquote>目前,仍有净流动性被添加到市场中,这可能是标普500在这里保持良好的主要原因之一,但人们想知道当美联储资产负债表停止增长时,它是否能在第一季度保持这些水平。也许投资者是时候停止关注试图“赚快钱”的模因股票或破产股票,通过买入上涨的评级来挤出空头了。也许市场会回归某种理性行为,并表现出一些经济学101特征。有一点是肯定的,资产配置将需要转向更具通胀保护的资产,即贵金属等硬资产。2022年最终会成为黄金之年吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560\">Realmoney</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168664020","content_text":"The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.\nThe last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.\nAnd the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.\nThe latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.\nAt the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691247446,"gmtCreate":1640216227489,"gmtModify":1640216227815,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691247446","repostId":"2193211354","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699454353,"gmtCreate":1639881566992,"gmtModify":1639881567268,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699454353","repostId":"2192903795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699284295,"gmtCreate":1639811617248,"gmtModify":1639811620211,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090500580946240","idStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699284295","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}