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2021-12-22

E commerce set to go up?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-21

Interesting news

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-20

So what happened then?

‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote>

2021-12-18

Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals

1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote>

2021-12-17

There needs to be infra too

Missed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote>

2021-12-14

Depending on the mkt expansion too

Disney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote>

2021-11-19

How would this impact other brands?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-09

A timely move, in view of black Fri and Christmas

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2021-11-06

Important for chip makers too

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2021-11-05

Good food for thought

Real Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote>

2021-11-03

Hope the stock doesn't go cold!

Starbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote>

2021-10-26

Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-25

How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-21

How would this affect the overall growth model of Pinterest?

Pinterest Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold Ahead of Possible Buyout?<blockquote>Pinterest股票：在可能的收购之前买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote>

2021-10-19

Important to note

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-16

Wow that's great

Apple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote>

2021-10-14

Should we buy then??

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-13

What about their new engines of growth

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-12

Interesting

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-08

Testing on how to publish a post

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.</p><p><blockquote>激光雷达本质上是基于激光的雷达，大多数汽车制造商认为激光雷达是实现真正自动驾驶技术所需的技术之一。ET5还配备了该公司最新的自动驾驶软件。蔚来自动驾驶或NAD，作为该公司的评级，将保持驾驶速度并进行一些转向，但驾驶员仍然需要时刻关注道路。</blockquote></p><p> All the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;(NVDA) chips.</p><p><blockquote>所有用于自动驾驶的软件以及运行其他汽车系统的软件都运行在由Nvidia(NVDA)芯片驱动的计算机上。</blockquote></p><p> Then there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.</p><p><blockquote>然后是眼镜。蔚来推出了与汽车集成的增强现实眼镜。“视觉体验堪比6米外201英寸屏幕”，蔚来创始人William Li表示。眼镜可以显示车辆信息。司机不必低头检查速度。这副眼镜赢得了聚集人群的掌声。</blockquote></p><p> NIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来计划在2022年9月之前交付ET5。该公司还提供了有关其新款ET7轿车的最新信息。该型号将于2022年3月开始交付。ET7于2021年1月在该公司的最后一次大型活动中亮相。</blockquote></p><p> NIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng&nbsp;(XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>1月份事件发生后的周一，蔚来股价上涨6.5%，至每股60美元以上，现在可能需要再次上涨。蔚来股价上个月下跌22%至30美元。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数同期分别下跌约2%和1%。蔚来第三季度盈利良好。盈利和交付量似乎并不是最困扰投资者的。小鹏汽车(XPEV)股价在过去一个月下跌了12%。</blockquote></p><p> How the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>该股对新车型、新技术和拟议交付日期的反应将在很大程度上反映未来几周投资者对高估值电动汽车制造商和在美国上市的中国股票的情绪。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. 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Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 07:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）于美国东部时间周六上午在中国为购车者和投资者举办了一场活动。宣布了将于2022年交付的全新车型。蔚来在其汽车中采用的技术也值得一看。甚至还有增强现实眼镜——就像《复仇者联盟》电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p> The new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.</p><p><blockquote>新车是ET5中型轿车。这是一款高端型号，起价约为50,000美元。通过蔚来的电池即服务订阅，初始购买价格约为40,000美元。蔚来将让购车者按月支付费用，本质上是将购买电池与购买汽车分开。</blockquote></p><p> The new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.</p><p><blockquote>这款新轿车大约有500马力，可以在大约4秒内从零加速到60英里/小时。它每次充电应该可以行驶430英里，这是一个很大的数字，尽管中国和美国的续航里程统计数据不同。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>ET5还配备了包括激光雷达传感器在内的先进安全功能。</blockquote></p><p> Lidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.</p><p><blockquote>激光雷达本质上是基于激光的雷达，大多数汽车制造商认为激光雷达是实现真正自动驾驶技术所需的技术之一。ET5还配备了该公司最新的自动驾驶软件。蔚来自动驾驶或NAD，作为该公司的评级，将保持驾驶速度并进行一些转向，但驾驶员仍然需要时刻关注道路。</blockquote></p><p> All the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;(NVDA) chips.</p><p><blockquote>所有用于自动驾驶的软件以及运行其他汽车系统的软件都运行在由Nvidia(NVDA)芯片驱动的计算机上。</blockquote></p><p> Then there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.</p><p><blockquote>然后是眼镜。蔚来推出了与汽车集成的增强现实眼镜。“视觉体验堪比6米外201英寸屏幕”，蔚来创始人William Li表示。眼镜可以显示车辆信息。司机不必低头检查速度。这副眼镜赢得了聚集人群的掌声。</blockquote></p><p> NIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来计划在2022年9月之前交付ET5。该公司还提供了有关其新款ET7轿车的最新信息。该型号将于2022年3月开始交付。ET7于2021年1月在该公司的最后一次大型活动中亮相。</blockquote></p><p> NIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng&nbsp;(XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>1月份事件发生后的周一，蔚来股价上涨6.5%，至每股60美元以上，现在可能需要再次上涨。蔚来股价上个月下跌22%至30美元。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数同期分别下跌约2%和1%。蔚来第三季度盈利良好。盈利和交付量似乎并不是最困扰投资者的。小鹏汽车(XPEV)股价在过去一个月下跌了12%。</blockquote></p><p> How the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>该股对新车型、新技术和拟议交付日期的反应将在很大程度上反映未来几周投资者对高估值电动汽车制造商和在美国上市的中国股票的情绪。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-discussion-51639835281?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-discussion-51639835281?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151315099","content_text":"Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.\nThe new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.\nThe new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.\nThe ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.\nLidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.\nAll the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by Nvidia (NVDA) chips.\nThen there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.\nNIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.\nNIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng (XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.\nHow the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699507006,"gmtCreate":1639830376705,"gmtModify":1639830376803,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals","listText":"Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals","text":"Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699507006","repostId":"1109895138","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109895138","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639810699,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109895138?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 14:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109895138","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Globant may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>Globant</b></a>&nbsp;may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to grab your attention. After all, IT consulting isn't the most groundbreaking business model. But this stock is up 380% over the past three years, crushing the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>, and that outperformance could continue in the future.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>全球</b></a>对于许多投资者来说，这可能不是一个熟悉的名字，乍一看，这家公司可能无法吸引你的注意力。毕竟，IT咨询并不是最具开创性的商业模式。但这只股票在过去三年里上涨了380%，粉碎了<b>标普500</b>，这种优异的表现在未来可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Globant employs over 20,500&nbsp;IT professionals with expertise in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and the metaverse. To that end, the founder-led management team has positioned Globant as a key enabler of digital transformation, meaning the company benefits from a massive and growing market opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>Globant雇佣了20,500多名IT专业人员，他们在人工智能、增强现实和元宇宙等新兴技术方面拥有专业知识。为此，创始人领导的管理团队将Globant定位为数字化转型的关键推动者，这意味着该公司受益于巨大且不断增长的市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trevor Jennewine:</b>&nbsp;Globant comes to mind when I think about companies with great management. Globant was founded by four friends in Latin America in 2003. One of those four people was the current CEO, Martin Migoya.</p><p><blockquote><b>特雷弗·詹纽文：</b>当我想到拥有出色管理的公司时，我就会想到Globant。Globant由拉丁美洲的四个朋友于2003年创立。这四个人中的一个是现任首席执行官马丁·米戈亚。</blockquote></p><p> Globant specializes in IT consulting and product engineering. The company's expertise spans the gamut of trendy technologies, from blockchain and artificial intelligence to data analytics and augmented reality. In a nutshell, Globant essentially helps organizations achieve their digital transformation initiatives. It has customers like<b>Electronic Arts</b>,<b>MercadoLibre</b>, [<b>Alphabet</b>'s] Google,<b>Walt Disney</b>. This is a big market -- digital transformation is a pretty popular buzzword right now. The company puts its addressable market at $154 billion by 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Globant专门从事IT咨询和产品工程。该公司的专业知识涵盖了从区块链和人工智能到数据分析和增强现实的所有潮流技术。简而言之，Globant本质上是帮助组织实现其数字化转型计划。它的客户喜欢<b>电子艺界</b>,<b>自由市场</b>,[<b>Alphabet</b>的]谷歌，<b>迪斯尼</b>.这是一个很大的市场——数字化转型现在是一个非常流行的流行语。该公司预计，到2022年，其潜在市场将达到1540亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Some of those things I mentioned earlier, I like that you have this founder-led management team. If you look at Glassdoor, it appears that there's a strong workplace culture: 93% of people would recommend the company to a friend, 96% of people approve of the CEO. I think that's especially important for a consulting company. Globant's business is built around helping organizations implement and scale new technologies, operate more efficiently, improve the customer experience. That's going to be difficult if your employees don't like coming to work every day.</p><p><blockquote>我之前提到的一些事情，我喜欢你有这个创始人领导的管理团队。如果你看看Glassdoor，似乎有一种强大的工作场所文化：93%的人会向朋友推荐这家公司，96%的人认可首席执行官。我认为这对于咨询公司来说尤其重要。Globant的业务围绕帮助组织实施和扩展新技术、提高运营效率、改善客户体验而构建。如果你的员工不喜欢每天来上班，那就很难了。</blockquote></p><p> Then, the company's has also received some recognition that speak to the success that it's having. Globant is one of the top five fastest-growing engineering services companies based on a report from Everest Group. It's also a leader and customer experience improvement services based on a report from the International Data Corporation.</p><p><blockquote>然后，该公司也获得了一些认可，这说明了它所取得的成功。根据Everest Group的一份报告，Globant是增长最快的五大工程服务公司之一。根据国际数据公司的一份报告，它也是一项领导者和客户体验改善服务。</blockquote></p><p> The financial results look great here, too. Over the last year, $1.2 billion in revenue up 50%; $2.07 per diluted share on the bottom line, up 64%. They also have over 1,000 customers now. They grew their customer base 14%. But the customers spending over $1 million, they have 162 of those customers now -- that's up 37%. It's nice to see them ramping spend from their customer base there.</p><p><blockquote>这里的财务业绩看起来也很好。去年，12亿美元的收入增长了50%；摊薄后每股盈利2.07美元，增长64%。他们现在也有1000多名客户。他们的客户群增长了14%。但是消费超过100万美元的客户，他们现在有162个这样的客户，增长了37%。很高兴看到他们增加了那里客户群的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Then between 2022 and 2024, according to the International Data Corporation, enterprises around the world will spend $6.3 trillion on the digital transformation initiatives. This is just a massive market opportunity. I think having that founder CEO there, I think he's really taken the company in a good direction. That gives me a lot of confidence in Globant going forward.</p><p><blockquote>根据国际数据公司的数据，2022年至2024年间，全球企业将在数字化转型计划上花费6.3万亿美元。这只是一个巨大的市场机会。我认为有了这位创始人兼首席执行官，我认为他确实将公司引向了一个好的方向。这让我对Globant的未来充满信心。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 14:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>Globant</b></a>&nbsp;may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to grab your attention. After all, IT consulting isn't the most groundbreaking business model. But this stock is up 380% over the past three years, crushing the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>, and that outperformance could continue in the future.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>全球</b></a>对于许多投资者来说，这可能不是一个熟悉的名字，乍一看，这家公司可能无法吸引你的注意力。毕竟，IT咨询并不是最具开创性的商业模式。但这只股票在过去三年里上涨了380%，粉碎了<b>标普500</b>，这种优异的表现在未来可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Globant employs over 20,500&nbsp;IT professionals with expertise in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and the metaverse. To that end, the founder-led management team has positioned Globant as a key enabler of digital transformation, meaning the company benefits from a massive and growing market opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>Globant雇佣了20,500多名IT专业人员，他们在人工智能、增强现实和元宇宙等新兴技术方面拥有专业知识。为此，创始人领导的管理团队将Globant定位为数字化转型的关键推动者，这意味着该公司受益于巨大且不断增长的市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trevor Jennewine:</b>&nbsp;Globant comes to mind when I think about companies with great management. Globant was founded by four friends in Latin America in 2003. One of those four people was the current CEO, Martin Migoya.</p><p><blockquote><b>特雷弗·詹纽文：</b>当我想到拥有出色管理的公司时，我就会想到Globant。Globant由拉丁美洲的四个朋友于2003年创立。这四个人中的一个是现任首席执行官马丁·米戈亚。</blockquote></p><p> Globant specializes in IT consulting and product engineering. The company's expertise spans the gamut of trendy technologies, from blockchain and artificial intelligence to data analytics and augmented reality. In a nutshell, Globant essentially helps organizations achieve their digital transformation initiatives. It has customers like<b>Electronic Arts</b>,<b>MercadoLibre</b>, [<b>Alphabet</b>'s] Google,<b>Walt Disney</b>. This is a big market -- digital transformation is a pretty popular buzzword right now. The company puts its addressable market at $154 billion by 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Globant专门从事IT咨询和产品工程。该公司的专业知识涵盖了从区块链和人工智能到数据分析和增强现实的所有潮流技术。简而言之，Globant本质上是帮助组织实现其数字化转型计划。它的客户喜欢<b>电子艺界</b>,<b>自由市场</b>,[<b>Alphabet</b>的]谷歌，<b>迪斯尼</b>.这是一个很大的市场——数字化转型现在是一个非常流行的流行语。该公司预计，到2022年，其潜在市场将达到1540亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Some of those things I mentioned earlier, I like that you have this founder-led management team. If you look at Glassdoor, it appears that there's a strong workplace culture: 93% of people would recommend the company to a friend, 96% of people approve of the CEO. I think that's especially important for a consulting company. Globant's business is built around helping organizations implement and scale new technologies, operate more efficiently, improve the customer experience. That's going to be difficult if your employees don't like coming to work every day.</p><p><blockquote>我之前提到的一些事情，我喜欢你有这个创始人领导的管理团队。如果你看看Glassdoor，似乎有一种强大的工作场所文化：93%的人会向朋友推荐这家公司，96%的人认可首席执行官。我认为这对于咨询公司来说尤其重要。Globant的业务围绕帮助组织实施和扩展新技术、提高运营效率、改善客户体验而构建。如果你的员工不喜欢每天来上班，那就很难了。</blockquote></p><p> Then, the company's has also received some recognition that speak to the success that it's having. Globant is one of the top five fastest-growing engineering services companies based on a report from Everest Group. It's also a leader and customer experience improvement services based on a report from the International Data Corporation.</p><p><blockquote>然后，该公司也获得了一些认可，这说明了它所取得的成功。根据Everest Group的一份报告，Globant是增长最快的五大工程服务公司之一。根据国际数据公司的一份报告，它也是一项领导者和客户体验改善服务。</blockquote></p><p> The financial results look great here, too. Over the last year, $1.2 billion in revenue up 50%; $2.07 per diluted share on the bottom line, up 64%. They also have over 1,000 customers now. They grew their customer base 14%. But the customers spending over $1 million, they have 162 of those customers now -- that's up 37%. It's nice to see them ramping spend from their customer base there.</p><p><blockquote>这里的财务业绩看起来也很好。去年，12亿美元的收入增长了50%；摊薄后每股盈利2.07美元，增长64%。他们现在也有1000多名客户。他们的客户群增长了14%。但是消费超过100万美元的客户，他们现在有162个这样的客户，增长了37%。很高兴看到他们增加了那里客户群的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Then between 2022 and 2024, according to the International Data Corporation, enterprises around the world will spend $6.3 trillion on the digital transformation initiatives. This is just a massive market opportunity. I think having that founder CEO there, I think he's really taken the company in a good direction. That gives me a lot of confidence in Globant going forward.</p><p><blockquote>根据国际数据公司的数据，2022年至2024年间，全球企业将在数字化转型计划上花费6.3万亿美元。这只是一个巨大的市场机会。我认为有了这位创始人兼首席执行官，我认为他确实将公司引向了一个好的方向。这让我对Globant的未来充满信心。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/1-surefire-growth-stock-to-buy-and-hold/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GLOB":"Globant"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/1-surefire-growth-stock-to-buy-and-hold/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109895138","content_text":"Globant may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to grab your attention. After all, IT consulting isn't the most groundbreaking business model. But this stock is up 380% over the past three years, crushing the S&P 500, and that outperformance could continue in the future.\nGlobant employs over 20,500 IT professionals with expertise in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and the metaverse. To that end, the founder-led management team has positioned Globant as a key enabler of digital transformation, meaning the company benefits from a massive and growing market opportunity.\nTrevor Jennewine: Globant comes to mind when I think about companies with great management. Globant was founded by four friends in Latin America in 2003. One of those four people was the current CEO, Martin Migoya.\nGlobant specializes in IT consulting and product engineering. The company's expertise spans the gamut of trendy technologies, from blockchain and artificial intelligence to data analytics and augmented reality. In a nutshell, Globant essentially helps organizations achieve their digital transformation initiatives. It has customers likeElectronic Arts,MercadoLibre, [Alphabet's] Google,Walt Disney. This is a big market -- digital transformation is a pretty popular buzzword right now. The company puts its addressable market at $154 billion by 2022.\nSome of those things I mentioned earlier, I like that you have this founder-led management team. If you look at Glassdoor, it appears that there's a strong workplace culture: 93% of people would recommend the company to a friend, 96% of people approve of the CEO. I think that's especially important for a consulting company. Globant's business is built around helping organizations implement and scale new technologies, operate more efficiently, improve the customer experience. That's going to be difficult if your employees don't like coming to work every day.\nThen, the company's has also received some recognition that speak to the success that it's having. Globant is one of the top five fastest-growing engineering services companies based on a report from Everest Group. It's also a leader and customer experience improvement services based on a report from the International Data Corporation.\nThe financial results look great here, too. Over the last year, $1.2 billion in revenue up 50%; $2.07 per diluted share on the bottom line, up 64%. They also have over 1,000 customers now. They grew their customer base 14%. But the customers spending over $1 million, they have 162 of those customers now -- that's up 37%. It's nice to see them ramping spend from their customer base there.\nThen between 2022 and 2024, according to the International Data Corporation, enterprises around the world will spend $6.3 trillion on the digital transformation initiatives. This is just a massive market opportunity. I think having that founder CEO there, I think he's really taken the company in a good direction. That gives me a lot of confidence in Globant going forward.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GLOB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690773889,"gmtCreate":1639714476597,"gmtModify":1639714476706,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There needs to be infra too","listText":"There needs to be infra too","text":"There needs to be infra too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690773889","repostId":"1115262079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115262079","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639712748,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115262079?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Missed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115262079","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The growing use of electric vehicles will benefit several players.","content":"<p>In the last two years,<b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;stock has surged more than 1,000%. Investors who missed investing in Tesla two years back could be disheartened. Yet it is worth noting that it is difficult to foresee stocks that can generate Tesla-like returns. The best approach is to invest in companies that you believe can perform well in the long haul. Stocks of such quality companies should generate market-beating returns if you hold them long enough.</p><p><blockquote>最近两年，<b>特斯拉</b>股价飙升超过1000%。两年前错过投资特斯拉的投资者可能会感到沮丧。但值得注意的是，很难预见能够产生特斯拉式回报的股票。最好的方法是投资于你认为长期表现良好的公司。如果你持有这些优质公司的股票足够长的时间，它们应该会产生跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Let's look at three&nbsp;electric vehicle (EV) stocks&nbsp;that have the potential to generate outsize returns in five years, or more.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看三只有潜力在五年或更长时间内产生巨额回报的电动汽车(EV)股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lucid Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid集团</b></blockquote></p><p> There is a plethora of electric vehicle stocks to choose from right now. Of these,<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)&nbsp;looks promising. There are several reasons to like Lucid Group. Users like the cars' features and designs, and within a short time, Lucid has succeeded in establishing itself as a luxury electric car brand.</p><p><blockquote>目前有太多电动汽车股票可供选择。其中，<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）看起来很有希望。喜欢Lucid Group有几个原因。用户喜欢这些汽车的功能和设计，在很短的时间内，Lucid成功地将自己打造成了豪华电动汽车品牌。</blockquote></p><p> The company not only boasts leading-edge EV technology, but also has&nbsp;solid growth plans. Though Lucid started as a luxury car maker, it has plans to launch EV models for the mass market in the coming years. With one of the most&nbsp;efficient EV technologies, Lucid can potentially generate recurring revenue by licensing its technology to other car companies.&nbsp;The stock will be&nbsp;included&nbsp;in the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq-100</b>&nbsp;index on Dec. 20.</p><p><blockquote>该公司不仅拥有领先的电动汽车技术，而且还有稳健的增长计划。尽管Lucid最初是一家豪华汽车制造商，但它计划在未来几年推出面向大众市场的电动汽车车型。凭借最高效的电动汽车技术之一，Lucid有可能通过将其技术授权给其他汽车公司来产生经常性收入。该股票将被纳入<b>纳斯达克100</b>12月20日指数。</blockquote></p><p> On the risk side, Lucid is still to prove that it can deliver cars profitably. Investors should also keep an eye on the progress of a&nbsp;recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation&nbsp;relating to its merger with Churchill Capital Corp. IV.</p><p><blockquote>在风险方面，Lucid仍需证明它可以盈利地交付汽车。投资者还应关注美国证券交易委员会（SEC）最近对其与Churchill Capital Corp.IV合并的调查进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0630d0ca5a26df1b8900958ace25117\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: LUCID GROUP.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：LUCID GROUP。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BYD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比亚迪</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 1995,<b>BYD</b>(OTC:BYDDY)(OTC:BYDD.F)&nbsp;entered the automobile business in 2003. Apart from automobiles, BYD manufactures mobile handset components, rechargeable batteries, and solar products.<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)&nbsp;holds a nearly 8% stake in BYD.</p><p><blockquote>成立于1995年，<b>比亚迪</b>（场外交易代码：比亚迪）（场外交易代码：BYDD.F）于2003年进入汽车业务。除汽车外，比亚迪还生产手机零部件、充电电池和太阳能产品。<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）持有比亚迪近8%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8e45b9379833fe0a8f6a1d482857a5\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1161\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BYD started as an internal combustion engine vehicle manufacturer. Yet, sensing the broader trend, it has quickly shifted to making electric vehicles. In November, more than 90% of BYD's vehicle deliveries were fully electric or plug-in hybrids. Sales of BYD's fully electric models rose 153% year over year in November.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪以内燃机汽车制造商起家。然而，意识到更广泛的趋势，它已迅速转向制造电动汽车。11月，比亚迪超过90%的汽车交付量是纯电动或插电式混合动力。比亚迪11月全电动车型销量同比增长153%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has captured roughly 18% of China's EV market. A leading position in the fast-growing, huge potential Chinese EV market places BYD well for long-term growth.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已占据中国电动汽车市场约18%的份额。比亚迪在快速增长、潜力巨大的中国电动汽车市场中处于领先地位，有利于长期增长。</blockquote></p><p> BYD stock trades at an&nbsp;attractive valuation&nbsp;compared to several top EV stocks right now. All of the above makes this&nbsp;Warren Buffett stock&nbsp;attractive.</p><p><blockquote>与目前几只顶级电动汽车股票相比，比亚迪股票的估值颇具吸引力。所有这些都使得沃伦·巴菲特的股票具有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>QuantumScape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>量子景观</b></blockquote></p><p> Batteries are a key component of electric vehicles. All leading auto and battery companies are focused on making batteries more efficient, which will help enhance an EV's range.<b>QuantumScape</b>(NYSE:QS), which went public in November 2020, is a battery start-up working on the next-generation battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>电池是电动汽车的关键部件。所有领先的汽车和电池公司都专注于提高电池效率，这将有助于提高电动汽车的续航里程。<b>量子景观</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：QS）于2020年11月上市，是一家致力于下一代电池技术的电池初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, lithium-ion batteries are used in electric vehicles. QuantumScape is developing lithium-metal solid-state batteries, using a proprietary ceramic separator. The company believes that its batteries will offer greater energy density, longer life, and faster charging than lithium-ion batteries currently in use.</p><p><blockquote>目前，锂离子电池用于电动汽车。QuantumScape正在开发锂金属固态电池，使用专有的陶瓷隔膜。该公司认为，与目前使用的锂离子电池相比，其电池将提供更大的能量密度、更长的寿命和更快的充电速度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c6ead4e5b8f1aaa74490058d439dbfa\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape has the backing of leading automaker&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY), which has invested $300 million into the battery technology company so far. The two companies have formed a joint venture for a production capacity of 21 gigawatt-hours per year. In September, QuantumScape entered an agreement for 10 megawatt-hours of batteries with another top ten automaker by revenue. The company didn't disclose the name of the automaker. All the above lend credibility to QuantumScape's plans. If successful, QuantumScape's batteries could see immense demand from automakers worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape得到领先汽车制造商的支持<b>大众汽车</b>（场外交易代码：VWAGY），迄今为止已向这家电池技术公司投资了3亿美元。两家公司成立了一家合资企业，产能为每年21吉瓦时。9月，QuantumScape与另一家收入排名前十的汽车制造商签订了10兆瓦时电池的协议。该公司没有透露汽车制造商的名称。以上所有这些都为QuantumScape的计划增添了可信度。如果成功，QuantumScape的电池可能会受到全球汽车制造商的巨大需求。</blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape believes it is progressing as per its plan to start commercial production in 2024. That's a long time and the company's batteries are not yet developed. Investors should&nbsp;bear the risks in mind&nbsp;before deciding to invest in QuantumScape stock.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape相信，它正在按照2024年开始商业生产的计划取得进展。那是很长一段时间了，而且该公司的电池还没有开发出来。投资者在决定投资QuantumScape股票之前应牢记风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Missed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMissed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 11:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the last two years,<b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;stock has surged more than 1,000%. Investors who missed investing in Tesla two years back could be disheartened. Yet it is worth noting that it is difficult to foresee stocks that can generate Tesla-like returns. The best approach is to invest in companies that you believe can perform well in the long haul. Stocks of such quality companies should generate market-beating returns if you hold them long enough.</p><p><blockquote>最近两年，<b>特斯拉</b>股价飙升超过1000%。两年前错过投资特斯拉的投资者可能会感到沮丧。但值得注意的是，很难预见能够产生特斯拉式回报的股票。最好的方法是投资于你认为长期表现良好的公司。如果你持有这些优质公司的股票足够长的时间，它们应该会产生跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Let's look at three&nbsp;electric vehicle (EV) stocks&nbsp;that have the potential to generate outsize returns in five years, or more.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看三只有潜力在五年或更长时间内产生巨额回报的电动汽车(EV)股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lucid Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid集团</b></blockquote></p><p> There is a plethora of electric vehicle stocks to choose from right now. Of these,<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)&nbsp;looks promising. There are several reasons to like Lucid Group. Users like the cars' features and designs, and within a short time, Lucid has succeeded in establishing itself as a luxury electric car brand.</p><p><blockquote>目前有太多电动汽车股票可供选择。其中，<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）看起来很有希望。喜欢Lucid Group有几个原因。用户喜欢这些汽车的功能和设计，在很短的时间内，Lucid成功地将自己打造成了豪华电动汽车品牌。</blockquote></p><p> The company not only boasts leading-edge EV technology, but also has&nbsp;solid growth plans. Though Lucid started as a luxury car maker, it has plans to launch EV models for the mass market in the coming years. With one of the most&nbsp;efficient EV technologies, Lucid can potentially generate recurring revenue by licensing its technology to other car companies.&nbsp;The stock will be&nbsp;included&nbsp;in the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq-100</b>&nbsp;index on Dec. 20.</p><p><blockquote>该公司不仅拥有领先的电动汽车技术，而且还有稳健的增长计划。尽管Lucid最初是一家豪华汽车制造商，但它计划在未来几年推出面向大众市场的电动汽车车型。凭借最高效的电动汽车技术之一，Lucid有可能通过将其技术授权给其他汽车公司来产生经常性收入。该股票将被纳入<b>纳斯达克100</b>12月20日指数。</blockquote></p><p> On the risk side, Lucid is still to prove that it can deliver cars profitably. Investors should also keep an eye on the progress of a&nbsp;recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation&nbsp;relating to its merger with Churchill Capital Corp. IV.</p><p><blockquote>在风险方面，Lucid仍需证明它可以盈利地交付汽车。投资者还应关注美国证券交易委员会（SEC）最近对其与Churchill Capital Corp.IV合并的调查进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0630d0ca5a26df1b8900958ace25117\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: LUCID GROUP.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：LUCID GROUP。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BYD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比亚迪</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 1995,<b>BYD</b>(OTC:BYDDY)(OTC:BYDD.F)&nbsp;entered the automobile business in 2003. Apart from automobiles, BYD manufactures mobile handset components, rechargeable batteries, and solar products.<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)&nbsp;holds a nearly 8% stake in BYD.</p><p><blockquote>成立于1995年，<b>比亚迪</b>（场外交易代码：比亚迪）（场外交易代码：BYDD.F）于2003年进入汽车业务。除汽车外，比亚迪还生产手机零部件、充电电池和太阳能产品。<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）持有比亚迪近8%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8e45b9379833fe0a8f6a1d482857a5\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1161\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BYD started as an internal combustion engine vehicle manufacturer. Yet, sensing the broader trend, it has quickly shifted to making electric vehicles. In November, more than 90% of BYD's vehicle deliveries were fully electric or plug-in hybrids. Sales of BYD's fully electric models rose 153% year over year in November.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪以内燃机汽车制造商起家。然而，意识到更广泛的趋势，它已迅速转向制造电动汽车。11月，比亚迪超过90%的汽车交付量是纯电动或插电式混合动力。比亚迪11月全电动车型销量同比增长153%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has captured roughly 18% of China's EV market. A leading position in the fast-growing, huge potential Chinese EV market places BYD well for long-term growth.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已占据中国电动汽车市场约18%的份额。比亚迪在快速增长、潜力巨大的中国电动汽车市场中处于领先地位，有利于长期增长。</blockquote></p><p> BYD stock trades at an&nbsp;attractive valuation&nbsp;compared to several top EV stocks right now. All of the above makes this&nbsp;Warren Buffett stock&nbsp;attractive.</p><p><blockquote>与目前几只顶级电动汽车股票相比，比亚迪股票的估值颇具吸引力。所有这些都使得沃伦·巴菲特的股票具有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>QuantumScape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>量子景观</b></blockquote></p><p> Batteries are a key component of electric vehicles. All leading auto and battery companies are focused on making batteries more efficient, which will help enhance an EV's range.<b>QuantumScape</b>(NYSE:QS), which went public in November 2020, is a battery start-up working on the next-generation battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>电池是电动汽车的关键部件。所有领先的汽车和电池公司都专注于提高电池效率，这将有助于提高电动汽车的续航里程。<b>量子景观</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：QS）于2020年11月上市，是一家致力于下一代电池技术的电池初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, lithium-ion batteries are used in electric vehicles. QuantumScape is developing lithium-metal solid-state batteries, using a proprietary ceramic separator. The company believes that its batteries will offer greater energy density, longer life, and faster charging than lithium-ion batteries currently in use.</p><p><blockquote>目前，锂离子电池用于电动汽车。QuantumScape正在开发锂金属固态电池，使用专有的陶瓷隔膜。该公司认为，与目前使用的锂离子电池相比，其电池将提供更大的能量密度、更长的寿命和更快的充电速度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c6ead4e5b8f1aaa74490058d439dbfa\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape has the backing of leading automaker&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY), which has invested $300 million into the battery technology company so far. The two companies have formed a joint venture for a production capacity of 21 gigawatt-hours per year. In September, QuantumScape entered an agreement for 10 megawatt-hours of batteries with another top ten automaker by revenue. The company didn't disclose the name of the automaker. All the above lend credibility to QuantumScape's plans. If successful, QuantumScape's batteries could see immense demand from automakers worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape得到领先汽车制造商的支持<b>大众汽车</b>（场外交易代码：VWAGY），迄今为止已向这家电池技术公司投资了3亿美元。两家公司成立了一家合资企业，产能为每年21吉瓦时。9月，QuantumScape与另一家收入排名前十的汽车制造商签订了10兆瓦时电池的协议。该公司没有透露汽车制造商的名称。以上所有这些都为QuantumScape的计划增添了可信度。如果成功，QuantumScape的电池可能会受到全球汽车制造商的巨大需求。</blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape believes it is progressing as per its plan to start commercial production in 2024. That's a long time and the company's batteries are not yet developed. Investors should&nbsp;bear the risks in mind&nbsp;before deciding to invest in QuantumScape stock.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape相信，它正在按照2024年开始商业生产的计划取得进展。那是很长一段时间了，而且该公司的电池还没有开发出来。投资者在决定投资QuantumScape股票之前应牢记风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/missed-out-on-tesla-heres-what-to-buy-now/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","01211":"比亚迪股份","BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","QS":"Quantumscape Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/missed-out-on-tesla-heres-what-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115262079","content_text":"In the last two years,Tesla stock has surged more than 1,000%. Investors who missed investing in Tesla two years back could be disheartened. Yet it is worth noting that it is difficult to foresee stocks that can generate Tesla-like returns. The best approach is to invest in companies that you believe can perform well in the long haul. Stocks of such quality companies should generate market-beating returns if you hold them long enough.\nLet's look at three electric vehicle (EV) stocks that have the potential to generate outsize returns in five years, or more.\nLucid Group\nThere is a plethora of electric vehicle stocks to choose from right now. Of these,Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID) looks promising. There are several reasons to like Lucid Group. Users like the cars' features and designs, and within a short time, Lucid has succeeded in establishing itself as a luxury electric car brand.\nThe company not only boasts leading-edge EV technology, but also has solid growth plans. Though Lucid started as a luxury car maker, it has plans to launch EV models for the mass market in the coming years. With one of the most efficient EV technologies, Lucid can potentially generate recurring revenue by licensing its technology to other car companies. The stock will be included in the Nasdaq-100 index on Dec. 20.\nOn the risk side, Lucid is still to prove that it can deliver cars profitably. Investors should also keep an eye on the progress of a recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation relating to its merger with Churchill Capital Corp. IV.\nIMAGE SOURCE: LUCID GROUP.\nBYD\nFounded in 1995,BYD(OTC:BYDDY)(OTC:BYDD.F) entered the automobile business in 2003. Apart from automobiles, BYD manufactures mobile handset components, rechargeable batteries, and solar products.Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) holds a nearly 8% stake in BYD.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nBYD started as an internal combustion engine vehicle manufacturer. Yet, sensing the broader trend, it has quickly shifted to making electric vehicles. In November, more than 90% of BYD's vehicle deliveries were fully electric or plug-in hybrids. Sales of BYD's fully electric models rose 153% year over year in November.\nThe company has captured roughly 18% of China's EV market. A leading position in the fast-growing, huge potential Chinese EV market places BYD well for long-term growth.\nBYD stock trades at an attractive valuation compared to several top EV stocks right now. All of the above makes this Warren Buffett stock attractive.\nQuantumScape\nBatteries are a key component of electric vehicles. All leading auto and battery companies are focused on making batteries more efficient, which will help enhance an EV's range.QuantumScape(NYSE:QS), which went public in November 2020, is a battery start-up working on the next-generation battery technology.\nCurrently, lithium-ion batteries are used in electric vehicles. QuantumScape is developing lithium-metal solid-state batteries, using a proprietary ceramic separator. The company believes that its batteries will offer greater energy density, longer life, and faster charging than lithium-ion batteries currently in use.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nQuantumScape has the backing of leading automaker Volkswagen(OTC:VWAGY), which has invested $300 million into the battery technology company so far. The two companies have formed a joint venture for a production capacity of 21 gigawatt-hours per year. In September, QuantumScape entered an agreement for 10 megawatt-hours of batteries with another top ten automaker by revenue. The company didn't disclose the name of the automaker. All the above lend credibility to QuantumScape's plans. If successful, QuantumScape's batteries could see immense demand from automakers worldwide.\nQuantumScape believes it is progressing as per its plan to start commercial production in 2024. That's a long time and the company's batteries are not yet developed. Investors should bear the risks in mind before deciding to invest in QuantumScape stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01211":0.9,"QS":0.9,"BYDDY":0.9,"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607997541,"gmtCreate":1639470212188,"gmtModify":1639470212260,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Depending on the mkt expansion too","listText":"Depending on the mkt expansion too","text":"Depending on the mkt expansion too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607997541","repostId":"1119480728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119480728","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639459363,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119480728?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 13:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119480728","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nQQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.\nDIS has not fully bounced ba","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>QQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.</li>  <li>DIS has not fully bounced back from 2020 but it's certainly healing.</li>  <li>DIS is far more like NFLX than MSFT or ADBE, despite any discussion or comparisons related to subscriber growth and associated metrics.</li>  <li>DIS has been far less of a growth stock than&nbsp;NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db18b8191ffe57bbd7ff43b3b4de329b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Marvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>QQQ轻松击败了DIS，而SPDR标普500指数ETF也做了同样的事情。</li><li>DIS尚未从2020年完全反弹，但肯定正在愈合。</li><li>尽管存在与用户增长和相关指标相关的任何讨论或比较，但DIS更像NFLX，而不是MSFT或ADBE。</li><li>与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS远不是一只成长型股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>马文·塞缪尔·托伦蒂诺·皮内达/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> I've owned Disney (DIS) since early 2016. I greatly enjoy DIS products and services. I am reasonably pleased with DIS stock performance.</p><p><blockquote>我自2016年初以来一直拥有迪士尼(DIS)。我非常喜欢DIS的产品和服务。我对DIS股票的表现相当满意。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58048f15fcf1af89506563ab33f6e301\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> 53% gains in 5 years isn't terrible but it's not spectacular either. For added perspective, let's quickly compare DIS with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over 10 years or so.</p><p><blockquote>5年内53%的涨幅并不可怕，但也不引人注目。为了增加视角，让我们快速将DIS与标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）和纳斯达克100（QQQ）进行10年左右的比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de2cb75ad2becfcf9268f372150a7698\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, I zoomed out for a bigger picture view of things. Clearly, QQQ has crushed DIS. Over the same time, DIS has done about as well as SPY. It's clear the 2020 was rough on the price of DIS stock. However, it was also an incredible pivot opportunity for the business with Disney Plus, the streaming home of Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic, and way more.</p><p><blockquote>如你所见，我缩小了以获得更大的图片视图。显然，QQQ已经碾压了DIS。与此同时，DIS的表现与SPDR标普500指数ETF不相上下。很明显，2020年对DIS股票的价格来说是艰难的。然而，这也是Disney Plus业务的一个令人难以置信的关键机会，Disney Plus是迪士尼、皮克斯、漫威、星球大战、国家地理等的流媒体之家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model Update</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式更新</b></blockquote></p><p> It's clear that DIS has been incredibly focused on subscribers for Disney Plus. Here's a quick peek, from the&nbsp;Q4 2021 Earnings Call:</p><p><blockquote>很明显，DIS非常关注Disney Plus的订户。以下是2021年第四季度收益看涨期权的快速浏览：</blockquote></p><p>   On the Direct-to-Consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services. Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu continue to perform incredibly well with a 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of a 179 million subscriptions. To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48%, and Disney+ subs in particular by 60%.  Now, here's the good news and bad news. DIS leadership is planning to reach 230 million to 260 million paid subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024. Obviously, that's phenomenal growth and investors should cheer. However, the dark side is that this growth isn't free.<b>DIS doesn't expect their portfolio of streaming services to reach profitability until 2024.</b>Ouch.</p><p><blockquote>在直接面向消费者方面，我们对我们组合流媒体服务的成功感到非常高兴。Disney+、ESPN+和Hulu继续表现出色，分别拥有1.181亿、1710万和4380万订阅用户，订阅总数为1.79亿。从这个角度来看，仅在上一财年，我们的DTC产品组合的订阅总数就增长了48%，尤其是Disney+订阅增长了60%。现在，这是好消息和坏消息。DIS领导层计划到2024财年末，全球付费用户数量达到2.3亿至2.6亿。显然，这是惊人的增长，投资者应该欢呼。然而，阴暗面是这种增长不是免费的。<b>DIS预计他们的流媒体服务组合要到2024年才能实现盈利。</b>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> The key point is that DIS is not simply bolting on Disney Plus, ESPN Plus, Hulu and so on, and adding profits to the bottom line. Instead, getting to this current level of subscribers has been chewing up time and resources. And, it'll be nasty for years. The investment will drain resources. More about this later.</p><p><blockquote>关键是，DIS并不是简单地抢占Disney Plus、ESPN Plus、Hulu等，为底线增加利润。相反，达到目前的用户水平一直在消耗时间和资源。而且，这将会持续很多年。这项投资会耗尽资源。稍后会详细介绍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, very long term investors can cheer. DIS literally has the best intellectual media assets in the world. Really, there isn't any company even close. The library is amazing, huge, and growing.See for yourself.</p><p><blockquote>当然，长期投资者可以欢呼。DIS拥有世界上最好的知识媒体资产。真的，附近没有任何公司。这个图书馆很棒，很大，而且还在增长。你自己看吧。</blockquote></p><p> As a quick aside, most people, and most analysts expected a bigger \"snap back\" from 2020, especially in relation to park visits and related activity. For example, here's what we learned about&nbsp;attendance in August 2021:</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，大多数人和大多数分析师预计2020年将出现更大的“snap回归”，特别是在公园参观和相关活动方面。例如，以下是我们了解到的2021年8月的出勤情况：</blockquote></p><p>   Disney world does not share its actual capacity nor the number of attendees they get daily. But as stated above, the estimated number of average daily attendees was 57,000 before the pandemic started. So, at present, it might be welcoming a maximum of 35,000 guests daily&nbsp;  <b>running with a 35% capacity</b>. [Emphasis: Author]  Big picture, I'm not too worried about the parks and related real-world experiences offered by DIS. It might take longer to get running at full steam, but DIS can do it. I'm a bit more concerned that investors are expecting too much from DIS streaming services, without fully considering the costs. This is especially true for short term investors and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼世界不分享它的实际容量，也不分享他们每天的与会者人数。但如上所述，在疫情开始之前，估计日均出席人数为57,000人。因此，目前，它可能每天最多接待35,000名客人<b>以35%的容量运行</b>.[强调：作者]总的来说，我不太担心DIS提供的公园和相关的现实世界体验。全速运行可能需要更长的时间，但DIS可以做到。我更担心的是，投资者对DIS流媒体服务期望过高，而没有充分考虑成本。对于短期投资者和投机者来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney Is Not Microsoft or Adobe</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪斯尼不是微软或Adobe</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts like to compare DIS to enterprise software companies,<i>as if all subscribers are created equal</i>. Let's consider two incredible businesses. Both Microsoft (MSFT) and Adobe (ADBE) have done exceptionally well in recent years, compared to DIS.</p><p><blockquote>分析师喜欢将DIS比作企业软件公司，<i>好像所有订户都是平等的</i>.让我们考虑两个令人难以置信的业务。与DIS相比，微软(MSFT)和Adobe(ADBE)近年来的表现都非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247db57795d4cce4d0d919346b84c7f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, MSFT and ADBE have trounced DIS. In part, here's why:</p><p><blockquote>显然，MSFT和ADBE已经击败了DIS。部分原因如下：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90248d3aef70628dea5b4029b79b516\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> P/S for both MSFT and ADBE has roughly doubled. At a high level, prices are moving up faster than revenue generated for MSFT and ADBE. Meanwhile, investors place less value on DIS revenue. DIS has pretty much moved sideways.</p><p><blockquote>MSFT和ADBE的市盈率都大约翻了一番。在高水平上，价格的上涨速度快于MSFT和ADBE产生的收入。与此同时，投资者对DIS收入的重视程度较低。DIS几乎已经横向移动。</blockquote></p><p> Let's talk some real numbers. MSFT has grown earnings by 17% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.63 and in 2021 it's about $8. ADBE has grown earnings by about 29% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.08 and it's expected to hit a staggering $12.46 this year. Meanwhile, here's how DIS looks:</p><p><blockquote>我们来谈谈一些真实的数字。过去10年，MSFT的盈利每年增长17%。2015年，每股收益为2.63美元，2021年约为8美元。过去10年，ADBE的盈利每年增长约29%。2015年，每股收益为2.08美元，预计今年将达到惊人的12.46美元。同时，DIS的外观如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbb56eaa4d09a70ca4f320a0e111896b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FASTgraphs</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：FASTgraphs</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS might get back to 2015 levels in 2023. The dividend was killed off. DIS share price is dramatically higher, even now, compared to earnings. There's a lot of pain in this chart.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益可能会在2023年恢复到2015年的水平。股息被取消了。即使是现在，与盈利相比，DIS的股价也要高得多。这张图表里有很多痛苦。</blockquote></p><p> All if this isn't to bash DIS or to imply that the products or business is terrible. The DIS brand is pristine. Leadership is strong. The company isn't going to suddenly fall off the face of the Earth.<i>The business is amazing</i>.</p><p><blockquote>如果这不是为了抨击DIS或暗示产品或业务很糟糕的话。DIS品牌是原始的。领导力强。该公司不会突然从地球上消失。<i>生意很惊人</i>.</blockquote></p><p> <b>All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并非所有订户都是平等的</b></blockquote></p><p> I'm not too keen to do this, but here's Netflix (NFLX) versus DIS.</p><p><blockquote>我不太热衷于这样做，但这是Netflix(NFLX)与DIS的对比。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b99727d2cfebd285167f115f4387ae\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The only point I want to make is that NFLX shareholders have done far better than DIS shareholders. And, for a different perspective, here's how $10K would have done over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>我唯一想说的是，NFLX股东的表现远远好于DIS股东。从不同的角度来看，以下是1万美元在过去五年中的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4539b42cb1304e691ad2b38dbcbf4c2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It's very hard for me to say that DIS is \"on sale\" when I look at the relatively flat performance over the last five years. While I think of DIS as a growth stock,<i>it's less of a growth stock</i>&nbsp;than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>当我看到过去五年相对平淡的表现时，我很难说DIS正在“打折”。虽然我认为DIS是一只成长型股票，<i>它不是成长型股票</i>比NFLX、MSFT和ADBE。</blockquote></p><p> In large part, I believe this is all about our definition of subscribers. I'll come back to that in a second. First, feast your eyes on this:</p><p><blockquote>在很大程度上，我相信这就是我们对订户的定义。我一会儿会回到这个话题。首先，大饱眼福：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfdf6d35c4eba3617e6fec280f09282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What you're seeing is profit margin for DIS, NFLX, MSFT and ADBE. Quite frankly, this paints a damning picture of DIS, especially since 2020. What's most impressive, on the other hand, is how MSFT and ADBE have had has consistently high and growing profit margins. I've got to say, I'm actually a bit surprised that NFLX just keeps getting stronger and stronger in this department as well.</p><p><blockquote>您看到的是DIS、NFLX、MSFT和ADBE的利润率。坦率地说，这为DIS描绘了一幅糟糕的画面，尤其是自2020年以来。另一方面，最令人印象深刻的是MSFT和ADBE的利润率一直很高且不断增长。我不得不说，我实际上有点惊讶NFLX在这个部门也变得越来越强大。</blockquote></p><p> By the way, as a sidebar, it's easy to complain about the NFLX P/E ratio. It's over 50 right now. But, at the same time, DIS is at 37, MSFT is at 37, and ADBE is at 52. In that respect, they are all quite overvalued.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，作为侧边栏，很容易抱怨NFLX市盈率。现在已经50多了。但与此同时，DIS为37，MSFT为37，ADBE为52。在这方面，它们都被高估了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, here are my biggest points. NFLX has spent more than DIS on content and also has first mover advantage, loyalty and entrenchment. Many people have both NFLX and DIS, so I see less of a \"war\" than most people. Furthermore, it appears that NFLX has done an outstanding operational job, and their capital allocation has been strong. It's hard to look at this chart and dismiss NFLX. Clearly, it's a well-run company.</p><p><blockquote>现在，以下是我最大的观点。NFLX在内容上的支出超过了DIS，并且还拥有先发优势、忠诚度和巩固地位。很多人都有NFLX和DIS，所以我比大多数人看到的“战争”更少。此外，NFLX的运营工作似乎非常出色，他们的资本配置也很强劲。看着这张图表，很难忽视NFLX。显然，这是一家运营良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c9d98acfdd8206fa2c0323144db713\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This next chart is extremely noisy, but you can scroll down and see the truth with your own two eyes. DIS has rather poor ROE, ROA and ROIC compared to NFLX, MSFT and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表非常嘈杂，但你可以向下滚动，用你自己的两只眼睛看到真相。与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS的ROE、ROA和ROIC相当差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5aaf232d38eaceea4d9621f81a7a92f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To be fair, DIS was doing a pretty good job through early 2019. However, very importantly,<i>the drops appear to have started before 2020</i>. We cannot blame the pandemic for the decline in ROE, ROA and ROIC.</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，DIS在2019年初做得相当不错。然而，非常重要的是，<i>下降似乎在2020年之前就开始了</i>我们不能将ROE、ROA和ROIC的下降归咎于疫情。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear,DIS is going to be going gangbusters on content.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，DIS将在内容上大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p>   Disney plans to increase its overall content spend to around $33bn in 2022, marking an $8bn rise from the previous year.  Furthermore, the idea is that DIS will be&nbsp;rapidly growing the subscriber base.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼计划在2022年将其整体内容支出增加至330亿美元左右，比上一年增加80亿美元。此外，这个想法是DIS将迅速扩大用户群。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   Disney+ is expected to add 140 million subscribers between 2021 and 2026 to take its total to 271 million. Netflix, meanwhile, will add 53 million subscribers through the same period, taking it to a 2026 total of 275 million.  In short, DIS isn't about to be left in the dust by NFLX. Something like 60 unscripted series, 30 comedy series and 25 drama shows will be produced. There's really too much to list here. Money is being put to work by DIS.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+预计在2021年至2026年间将增加1.4亿订阅用户，使其总数达到2.71亿。与此同时，Netflix同期将增加5300万订阅用户，使其到2026年订阅用户总数达到2.75亿。简而言之，DIS不会被NFLX远远甩在身后。大约60部无剧本系列、30部喜剧系列和25部戏剧将被制作出来。这里真的有太多了，无法一一列举。DIS正在投入资金。</blockquote></p><p> Now, shifting gears, I have to say that both MSFT and ADBE have dramatically different types of subscribers. DIS and NFLX satisfy entertainment desires. These are wants,<i>not needs</i>.</p><p><blockquote>现在，换个角度，我不得不说MSFT和ADBE的订户类型截然不同。DIS和NFLX满足娱乐欲望。这些都是需求，<i>不需要</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Here's a good way to&nbsp;think about MSFT and ADBE:</p><p><blockquote>以下是思考MSFT和ADBE的好方法：</blockquote></p><p>   Both companies armed businesses big and small with the tools needed to stay in business since the pandemic. As the world moved to virtual work and school, PDFs with virtual signatures and Word docs with important information became standard.  In other words, MSFT and ADBE subscribers aren't \"addicted\" to the software, as much as they are<i>required to use it to do work</i>. When your job is on the line, you've got to be using industry standard tools. Furthermore, both NFLX and DIS are B2C whereas MSFT and ADBE are B2B. It's almost impossible to compare these companies, in terms of subscribers. Sure, we can discuss subscriber counts, subscriber growth, and so forth. But, MSFT and ADBE provide software to companies, and users must use those tools. They are sticky out of necessity, not mere desire. Therefore, let's all be very careful about how we think about DIS, and how we make comparisons.</p><p><blockquote>自大流行以来，两家公司都为大大小小的企业提供了维持业务所需的工具。随着世界转向虚拟工作和学校，带有虚拟签名的PDF和包含重要信息的Word文档成为标准。换句话说，MSFT和ADBE的用户并不像他们那样对软件“上瘾”<i>需要用它来做工作</i>.当你的工作岌岌可危时，你必须使用行业标准的工具。此外，NFLX和DIS都是B2C，而MSFT和ADBE是B2B。就订户而言，几乎不可能比较这些公司。当然，我们可以讨论用户数量、用户增长等等。但是，MSFT和ADBE向公司提供软件，用户必须使用这些工具。它们粘在一起是出于需要，而不仅仅是欲望。因此，让我们都非常小心我们如何看待DIS，以及我们如何进行比较。</blockquote></p><p> Putting all of this together, I still believe that DIS is a wonderful business. However, I would be cautious about adding a ton, especially if that decision is based on dazzling subscriber growth, or incredible content development. At this point, I see DIS as a reasonable hold.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我仍然相信DIS是一项出色的业务。然而，我会对增加一吨持谨慎态度，特别是如果这个决定是基于令人眼花缭乱的订户增长或令人难以置信的内容开发。在这一点上，我认为DIS是合理的持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 13:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>QQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.</li>  <li>DIS has not fully bounced back from 2020 but it's certainly healing.</li>  <li>DIS is far more like NFLX than MSFT or ADBE, despite any discussion or comparisons related to subscriber growth and associated metrics.</li>  <li>DIS has been far less of a growth stock than&nbsp;NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db18b8191ffe57bbd7ff43b3b4de329b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Marvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>QQQ轻松击败了DIS，而SPDR标普500指数ETF也做了同样的事情。</li><li>DIS尚未从2020年完全反弹，但肯定正在愈合。</li><li>尽管存在与用户增长和相关指标相关的任何讨论或比较，但DIS更像NFLX，而不是MSFT或ADBE。</li><li>与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS远不是一只成长型股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>马文·塞缪尔·托伦蒂诺·皮内达/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> I've owned Disney (DIS) since early 2016. I greatly enjoy DIS products and services. I am reasonably pleased with DIS stock performance.</p><p><blockquote>我自2016年初以来一直拥有迪士尼(DIS)。我非常喜欢DIS的产品和服务。我对DIS股票的表现相当满意。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58048f15fcf1af89506563ab33f6e301\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> 53% gains in 5 years isn't terrible but it's not spectacular either. For added perspective, let's quickly compare DIS with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over 10 years or so.</p><p><blockquote>5年内53%的涨幅并不可怕，但也不引人注目。为了增加视角，让我们快速将DIS与标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）和纳斯达克100（QQQ）进行10年左右的比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de2cb75ad2becfcf9268f372150a7698\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, I zoomed out for a bigger picture view of things. Clearly, QQQ has crushed DIS. Over the same time, DIS has done about as well as SPY. It's clear the 2020 was rough on the price of DIS stock. However, it was also an incredible pivot opportunity for the business with Disney Plus, the streaming home of Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic, and way more.</p><p><blockquote>如你所见，我缩小了以获得更大的图片视图。显然，QQQ已经碾压了DIS。与此同时，DIS的表现与SPDR标普500指数ETF不相上下。很明显，2020年对DIS股票的价格来说是艰难的。然而，这也是Disney Plus业务的一个令人难以置信的关键机会，Disney Plus是迪士尼、皮克斯、漫威、星球大战、国家地理等的流媒体之家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model Update</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式更新</b></blockquote></p><p> It's clear that DIS has been incredibly focused on subscribers for Disney Plus. Here's a quick peek, from the&nbsp;Q4 2021 Earnings Call:</p><p><blockquote>很明显，DIS非常关注Disney Plus的订户。以下是2021年第四季度收益看涨期权的快速浏览：</blockquote></p><p>   On the Direct-to-Consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services. Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu continue to perform incredibly well with a 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of a 179 million subscriptions. To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48%, and Disney+ subs in particular by 60%.  Now, here's the good news and bad news. DIS leadership is planning to reach 230 million to 260 million paid subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024. Obviously, that's phenomenal growth and investors should cheer. However, the dark side is that this growth isn't free.<b>DIS doesn't expect their portfolio of streaming services to reach profitability until 2024.</b>Ouch.</p><p><blockquote>在直接面向消费者方面，我们对我们组合流媒体服务的成功感到非常高兴。Disney+、ESPN+和Hulu继续表现出色，分别拥有1.181亿、1710万和4380万订阅用户，订阅总数为1.79亿。从这个角度来看，仅在上一财年，我们的DTC产品组合的订阅总数就增长了48%，尤其是Disney+订阅增长了60%。现在，这是好消息和坏消息。DIS领导层计划到2024财年末，全球付费用户数量达到2.3亿至2.6亿。显然，这是惊人的增长，投资者应该欢呼。然而，阴暗面是这种增长不是免费的。<b>DIS预计他们的流媒体服务组合要到2024年才能实现盈利。</b>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> The key point is that DIS is not simply bolting on Disney Plus, ESPN Plus, Hulu and so on, and adding profits to the bottom line. Instead, getting to this current level of subscribers has been chewing up time and resources. And, it'll be nasty for years. The investment will drain resources. More about this later.</p><p><blockquote>关键是，DIS并不是简单地抢占Disney Plus、ESPN Plus、Hulu等，为底线增加利润。相反，达到目前的用户水平一直在消耗时间和资源。而且，这将会持续很多年。这项投资会耗尽资源。稍后会详细介绍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, very long term investors can cheer. DIS literally has the best intellectual media assets in the world. Really, there isn't any company even close. The library is amazing, huge, and growing.See for yourself.</p><p><blockquote>当然，长期投资者可以欢呼。DIS拥有世界上最好的知识媒体资产。真的，附近没有任何公司。这个图书馆很棒，很大，而且还在增长。你自己看吧。</blockquote></p><p> As a quick aside, most people, and most analysts expected a bigger \"snap back\" from 2020, especially in relation to park visits and related activity. For example, here's what we learned about&nbsp;attendance in August 2021:</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，大多数人和大多数分析师预计2020年将出现更大的“snap回归”，特别是在公园参观和相关活动方面。例如，以下是我们了解到的2021年8月的出勤情况：</blockquote></p><p>   Disney world does not share its actual capacity nor the number of attendees they get daily. But as stated above, the estimated number of average daily attendees was 57,000 before the pandemic started. So, at present, it might be welcoming a maximum of 35,000 guests daily&nbsp;  <b>running with a 35% capacity</b>. [Emphasis: Author]  Big picture, I'm not too worried about the parks and related real-world experiences offered by DIS. It might take longer to get running at full steam, but DIS can do it. I'm a bit more concerned that investors are expecting too much from DIS streaming services, without fully considering the costs. This is especially true for short term investors and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼世界不分享它的实际容量，也不分享他们每天的与会者人数。但如上所述，在疫情开始之前，估计日均出席人数为57,000人。因此，目前，它可能每天最多接待35,000名客人<b>以35%的容量运行</b>.[强调：作者]总的来说，我不太担心DIS提供的公园和相关的现实世界体验。全速运行可能需要更长的时间，但DIS可以做到。我更担心的是，投资者对DIS流媒体服务期望过高，而没有充分考虑成本。对于短期投资者和投机者来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney Is Not Microsoft or Adobe</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪斯尼不是微软或Adobe</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts like to compare DIS to enterprise software companies,<i>as if all subscribers are created equal</i>. Let's consider two incredible businesses. Both Microsoft (MSFT) and Adobe (ADBE) have done exceptionally well in recent years, compared to DIS.</p><p><blockquote>分析师喜欢将DIS比作企业软件公司，<i>好像所有订户都是平等的</i>.让我们考虑两个令人难以置信的业务。与DIS相比，微软(MSFT)和Adobe(ADBE)近年来的表现都非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247db57795d4cce4d0d919346b84c7f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, MSFT and ADBE have trounced DIS. In part, here's why:</p><p><blockquote>显然，MSFT和ADBE已经击败了DIS。部分原因如下：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90248d3aef70628dea5b4029b79b516\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> P/S for both MSFT and ADBE has roughly doubled. At a high level, prices are moving up faster than revenue generated for MSFT and ADBE. Meanwhile, investors place less value on DIS revenue. DIS has pretty much moved sideways.</p><p><blockquote>MSFT和ADBE的市盈率都大约翻了一番。在高水平上，价格的上涨速度快于MSFT和ADBE产生的收入。与此同时，投资者对DIS收入的重视程度较低。DIS几乎已经横向移动。</blockquote></p><p> Let's talk some real numbers. MSFT has grown earnings by 17% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.63 and in 2021 it's about $8. ADBE has grown earnings by about 29% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.08 and it's expected to hit a staggering $12.46 this year. Meanwhile, here's how DIS looks:</p><p><blockquote>我们来谈谈一些真实的数字。过去10年，MSFT的盈利每年增长17%。2015年，每股收益为2.63美元，2021年约为8美元。过去10年，ADBE的盈利每年增长约29%。2015年，每股收益为2.08美元，预计今年将达到惊人的12.46美元。同时，DIS的外观如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbb56eaa4d09a70ca4f320a0e111896b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FASTgraphs</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：FASTgraphs</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS might get back to 2015 levels in 2023. The dividend was killed off. DIS share price is dramatically higher, even now, compared to earnings. There's a lot of pain in this chart.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益可能会在2023年恢复到2015年的水平。股息被取消了。即使是现在，与盈利相比，DIS的股价也要高得多。这张图表里有很多痛苦。</blockquote></p><p> All if this isn't to bash DIS or to imply that the products or business is terrible. The DIS brand is pristine. Leadership is strong. The company isn't going to suddenly fall off the face of the Earth.<i>The business is amazing</i>.</p><p><blockquote>如果这不是为了抨击DIS或暗示产品或业务很糟糕的话。DIS品牌是原始的。领导力强。该公司不会突然从地球上消失。<i>生意很惊人</i>.</blockquote></p><p> <b>All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并非所有订户都是平等的</b></blockquote></p><p> I'm not too keen to do this, but here's Netflix (NFLX) versus DIS.</p><p><blockquote>我不太热衷于这样做，但这是Netflix(NFLX)与DIS的对比。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b99727d2cfebd285167f115f4387ae\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The only point I want to make is that NFLX shareholders have done far better than DIS shareholders. And, for a different perspective, here's how $10K would have done over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>我唯一想说的是，NFLX股东的表现远远好于DIS股东。从不同的角度来看，以下是1万美元在过去五年中的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4539b42cb1304e691ad2b38dbcbf4c2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It's very hard for me to say that DIS is \"on sale\" when I look at the relatively flat performance over the last five years. While I think of DIS as a growth stock,<i>it's less of a growth stock</i>&nbsp;than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>当我看到过去五年相对平淡的表现时，我很难说DIS正在“打折”。虽然我认为DIS是一只成长型股票，<i>它不是成长型股票</i>比NFLX、MSFT和ADBE。</blockquote></p><p> In large part, I believe this is all about our definition of subscribers. I'll come back to that in a second. First, feast your eyes on this:</p><p><blockquote>在很大程度上，我相信这就是我们对订户的定义。我一会儿会回到这个话题。首先，大饱眼福：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfdf6d35c4eba3617e6fec280f09282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What you're seeing is profit margin for DIS, NFLX, MSFT and ADBE. Quite frankly, this paints a damning picture of DIS, especially since 2020. What's most impressive, on the other hand, is how MSFT and ADBE have had has consistently high and growing profit margins. I've got to say, I'm actually a bit surprised that NFLX just keeps getting stronger and stronger in this department as well.</p><p><blockquote>您看到的是DIS、NFLX、MSFT和ADBE的利润率。坦率地说，这为DIS描绘了一幅糟糕的画面，尤其是自2020年以来。另一方面，最令人印象深刻的是MSFT和ADBE的利润率一直很高且不断增长。我不得不说，我实际上有点惊讶NFLX在这个部门也变得越来越强大。</blockquote></p><p> By the way, as a sidebar, it's easy to complain about the NFLX P/E ratio. It's over 50 right now. But, at the same time, DIS is at 37, MSFT is at 37, and ADBE is at 52. In that respect, they are all quite overvalued.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，作为侧边栏，很容易抱怨NFLX市盈率。现在已经50多了。但与此同时，DIS为37，MSFT为37，ADBE为52。在这方面，它们都被高估了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, here are my biggest points. NFLX has spent more than DIS on content and also has first mover advantage, loyalty and entrenchment. Many people have both NFLX and DIS, so I see less of a \"war\" than most people. Furthermore, it appears that NFLX has done an outstanding operational job, and their capital allocation has been strong. It's hard to look at this chart and dismiss NFLX. Clearly, it's a well-run company.</p><p><blockquote>现在，以下是我最大的观点。NFLX在内容上的支出超过了DIS，并且还拥有先发优势、忠诚度和巩固地位。很多人都有NFLX和DIS，所以我比大多数人看到的“战争”更少。此外，NFLX的运营工作似乎非常出色，他们的资本配置也很强劲。看着这张图表，很难忽视NFLX。显然，这是一家运营良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c9d98acfdd8206fa2c0323144db713\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This next chart is extremely noisy, but you can scroll down and see the truth with your own two eyes. DIS has rather poor ROE, ROA and ROIC compared to NFLX, MSFT and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表非常嘈杂，但你可以向下滚动，用你自己的两只眼睛看到真相。与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS的ROE、ROA和ROIC相当差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5aaf232d38eaceea4d9621f81a7a92f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To be fair, DIS was doing a pretty good job through early 2019. However, very importantly,<i>the drops appear to have started before 2020</i>. We cannot blame the pandemic for the decline in ROE, ROA and ROIC.</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，DIS在2019年初做得相当不错。然而，非常重要的是，<i>下降似乎在2020年之前就开始了</i>我们不能将ROE、ROA和ROIC的下降归咎于疫情。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear,DIS is going to be going gangbusters on content.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，DIS将在内容上大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p>   Disney plans to increase its overall content spend to around $33bn in 2022, marking an $8bn rise from the previous year.  Furthermore, the idea is that DIS will be&nbsp;rapidly growing the subscriber base.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼计划在2022年将其整体内容支出增加至330亿美元左右，比上一年增加80亿美元。此外，这个想法是DIS将迅速扩大用户群。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   Disney+ is expected to add 140 million subscribers between 2021 and 2026 to take its total to 271 million. Netflix, meanwhile, will add 53 million subscribers through the same period, taking it to a 2026 total of 275 million.  In short, DIS isn't about to be left in the dust by NFLX. Something like 60 unscripted series, 30 comedy series and 25 drama shows will be produced. There's really too much to list here. Money is being put to work by DIS.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+预计在2021年至2026年间将增加1.4亿订阅用户，使其总数达到2.71亿。与此同时，Netflix同期将增加5300万订阅用户，使其到2026年订阅用户总数达到2.75亿。简而言之，DIS不会被NFLX远远甩在身后。大约60部无剧本系列、30部喜剧系列和25部戏剧将被制作出来。这里真的有太多了，无法一一列举。DIS正在投入资金。</blockquote></p><p> Now, shifting gears, I have to say that both MSFT and ADBE have dramatically different types of subscribers. DIS and NFLX satisfy entertainment desires. These are wants,<i>not needs</i>.</p><p><blockquote>现在，换个角度，我不得不说MSFT和ADBE的订户类型截然不同。DIS和NFLX满足娱乐欲望。这些都是需求，<i>不需要</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Here's a good way to&nbsp;think about MSFT and ADBE:</p><p><blockquote>以下是思考MSFT和ADBE的好方法：</blockquote></p><p>   Both companies armed businesses big and small with the tools needed to stay in business since the pandemic. As the world moved to virtual work and school, PDFs with virtual signatures and Word docs with important information became standard.  In other words, MSFT and ADBE subscribers aren't \"addicted\" to the software, as much as they are<i>required to use it to do work</i>. When your job is on the line, you've got to be using industry standard tools. Furthermore, both NFLX and DIS are B2C whereas MSFT and ADBE are B2B. It's almost impossible to compare these companies, in terms of subscribers. Sure, we can discuss subscriber counts, subscriber growth, and so forth. But, MSFT and ADBE provide software to companies, and users must use those tools. They are sticky out of necessity, not mere desire. Therefore, let's all be very careful about how we think about DIS, and how we make comparisons.</p><p><blockquote>自大流行以来，两家公司都为大大小小的企业提供了维持业务所需的工具。随着世界转向虚拟工作和学校，带有虚拟签名的PDF和包含重要信息的Word文档成为标准。换句话说，MSFT和ADBE的用户并不像他们那样对软件“上瘾”<i>需要用它来做工作</i>.当你的工作岌岌可危时，你必须使用行业标准的工具。此外，NFLX和DIS都是B2C，而MSFT和ADBE是B2B。就订户而言，几乎不可能比较这些公司。当然，我们可以讨论用户数量、用户增长等等。但是，MSFT和ADBE向公司提供软件，用户必须使用这些工具。它们粘在一起是出于需要，而不仅仅是欲望。因此，让我们都非常小心我们如何看待DIS，以及我们如何进行比较。</blockquote></p><p> Putting all of this together, I still believe that DIS is a wonderful business. However, I would be cautious about adding a ton, especially if that decision is based on dazzling subscriber growth, or incredible content development. At this point, I see DIS as a reasonable hold.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我仍然相信DIS是一项出色的业务。然而，我会对增加一吨持谨慎态度，特别是如果这个决定是基于令人眼花缭乱的订户增长或令人难以置信的内容开发。在这一点上，我认为DIS是合理的持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475050-disney-all-subscribers-are-not-created-equal\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475050-disney-all-subscribers-are-not-created-equal","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119480728","content_text":"Summary\n\nQQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.\nDIS has not fully bounced back from 2020 but it's certainly healing.\nDIS is far more like NFLX than MSFT or ADBE, despite any discussion or comparisons related to subscriber growth and associated metrics.\nDIS has been far less of a growth stock than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.\n\nMarvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nBackground\nI've owned Disney (DIS) since early 2016. I greatly enjoy DIS products and services. I am reasonably pleased with DIS stock performance.\nData by YCharts\n53% gains in 5 years isn't terrible but it's not spectacular either. For added perspective, let's quickly compare DIS with the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over 10 years or so.\nData by YCharts\nAs you can see, I zoomed out for a bigger picture view of things. Clearly, QQQ has crushed DIS. Over the same time, DIS has done about as well as SPY. It's clear the 2020 was rough on the price of DIS stock. However, it was also an incredible pivot opportunity for the business with Disney Plus, the streaming home of Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic, and way more.\nBusiness Model Update\nIt's clear that DIS has been incredibly focused on subscribers for Disney Plus. Here's a quick peek, from the Q4 2021 Earnings Call:\n\n On the Direct-to-Consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services. Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu continue to perform incredibly well with a 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of a 179 million subscriptions. To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48%, and Disney+ subs in particular by 60%.\n\nNow, here's the good news and bad news. DIS leadership is planning to reach 230 million to 260 million paid subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024. Obviously, that's phenomenal growth and investors should cheer. However, the dark side is that this growth isn't free.DIS doesn't expect their portfolio of streaming services to reach profitability until 2024.Ouch.\nThe key point is that DIS is not simply bolting on Disney Plus, ESPN Plus, Hulu and so on, and adding profits to the bottom line. Instead, getting to this current level of subscribers has been chewing up time and resources. And, it'll be nasty for years. The investment will drain resources. More about this later.\nOf course, very long term investors can cheer. DIS literally has the best intellectual media assets in the world. Really, there isn't any company even close. The library is amazing, huge, and growing.See for yourself.\nAs a quick aside, most people, and most analysts expected a bigger \"snap back\" from 2020, especially in relation to park visits and related activity. For example, here's what we learned about attendance in August 2021:\n\n Disney world does not share its actual capacity nor the number of attendees they get daily. But as stated above, the estimated number of average daily attendees was 57,000 before the pandemic started. So, at present, it might be welcoming a maximum of 35,000 guests daily \n running with a 35% capacity. [Emphasis: Author]\n\nBig picture, I'm not too worried about the parks and related real-world experiences offered by DIS. It might take longer to get running at full steam, but DIS can do it. I'm a bit more concerned that investors are expecting too much from DIS streaming services, without fully considering the costs. This is especially true for short term investors and speculators.\nDisney Is Not Microsoft or Adobe\nAnalysts like to compare DIS to enterprise software companies,as if all subscribers are created equal. Let's consider two incredible businesses. Both Microsoft (MSFT) and Adobe (ADBE) have done exceptionally well in recent years, compared to DIS.\nData by YCharts\nClearly, MSFT and ADBE have trounced DIS. In part, here's why:\nData by YCharts\nP/S for both MSFT and ADBE has roughly doubled. At a high level, prices are moving up faster than revenue generated for MSFT and ADBE. Meanwhile, investors place less value on DIS revenue. DIS has pretty much moved sideways.\nLet's talk some real numbers. MSFT has grown earnings by 17% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.63 and in 2021 it's about $8. ADBE has grown earnings by about 29% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.08 and it's expected to hit a staggering $12.46 this year. Meanwhile, here's how DIS looks:\nSource: FASTgraphs\nEPS might get back to 2015 levels in 2023. The dividend was killed off. DIS share price is dramatically higher, even now, compared to earnings. There's a lot of pain in this chart.\nAll if this isn't to bash DIS or to imply that the products or business is terrible. The DIS brand is pristine. Leadership is strong. The company isn't going to suddenly fall off the face of the Earth.The business is amazing.\nAll Subscribers Are Not Created Equal\nI'm not too keen to do this, but here's Netflix (NFLX) versus DIS.\nData by YCharts\nThe only point I want to make is that NFLX shareholders have done far better than DIS shareholders. And, for a different perspective, here's how $10K would have done over the last five years.\nData by YCharts\nIt's very hard for me to say that DIS is \"on sale\" when I look at the relatively flat performance over the last five years. While I think of DIS as a growth stock,it's less of a growth stock than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.\nIn large part, I believe this is all about our definition of subscribers. I'll come back to that in a second. First, feast your eyes on this:\nData by YCharts\nWhat you're seeing is profit margin for DIS, NFLX, MSFT and ADBE. Quite frankly, this paints a damning picture of DIS, especially since 2020. What's most impressive, on the other hand, is how MSFT and ADBE have had has consistently high and growing profit margins. I've got to say, I'm actually a bit surprised that NFLX just keeps getting stronger and stronger in this department as well.\nBy the way, as a sidebar, it's easy to complain about the NFLX P/E ratio. It's over 50 right now. But, at the same time, DIS is at 37, MSFT is at 37, and ADBE is at 52. In that respect, they are all quite overvalued.\nWrap Up\nNow, here are my biggest points. NFLX has spent more than DIS on content and also has first mover advantage, loyalty and entrenchment. Many people have both NFLX and DIS, so I see less of a \"war\" than most people. Furthermore, it appears that NFLX has done an outstanding operational job, and their capital allocation has been strong. It's hard to look at this chart and dismiss NFLX. Clearly, it's a well-run company.\nData by YCharts\nThis next chart is extremely noisy, but you can scroll down and see the truth with your own two eyes. DIS has rather poor ROE, ROA and ROIC compared to NFLX, MSFT and ADBE.\nData by YCharts\nTo be fair, DIS was doing a pretty good job through early 2019. However, very importantly,the drops appear to have started before 2020. We cannot blame the pandemic for the decline in ROE, ROA and ROIC.\nTo be clear,DIS is going to be going gangbusters on content.\n\n Disney plans to increase its overall content spend to around $33bn in 2022, marking an $8bn rise from the previous year.\n\nFurthermore, the idea is that DIS will be rapidly growing the subscriber base.\n\n Disney+ is expected to add 140 million subscribers between 2021 and 2026 to take its total to 271 million. Netflix, meanwhile, will add 53 million subscribers through the same period, taking it to a 2026 total of 275 million.\n\nIn short, DIS isn't about to be left in the dust by NFLX. Something like 60 unscripted series, 30 comedy series and 25 drama shows will be produced. There's really too much to list here. Money is being put to work by DIS.\nNow, shifting gears, I have to say that both MSFT and ADBE have dramatically different types of subscribers. DIS and NFLX satisfy entertainment desires. These are wants,not needs.\nHere's a good way to think about MSFT and ADBE:\n\n Both companies armed businesses big and small with the tools needed to stay in business since the pandemic. As the world moved to virtual work and school, PDFs with virtual signatures and Word docs with important information became standard.\n\nIn other words, MSFT and ADBE subscribers aren't \"addicted\" to the software, as much as they arerequired to use it to do work. When your job is on the line, you've got to be using industry standard tools. Furthermore, both NFLX and DIS are B2C whereas MSFT and ADBE are B2B. It's almost impossible to compare these companies, in terms of subscribers. Sure, we can discuss subscriber counts, subscriber growth, and so forth. But, MSFT and ADBE provide software to companies, and users must use those tools. They are sticky out of necessity, not mere desire. Therefore, let's all be very careful about how we think about DIS, and how we make comparisons.\nPutting all of this together, I still believe that DIS is a wonderful business. However, I would be cautious about adding a ton, especially if that decision is based on dazzling subscriber growth, or incredible content development. At this point, I see DIS as a reasonable hold.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876805607,"gmtCreate":1637287635637,"gmtModify":1637287635637,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How would this impact other brands?&nbsp;","listText":"How would this impact other brands?&nbsp;","text":"How would this impact other brands?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876805607","repostId":"2184897139","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844269083,"gmtCreate":1636431602331,"gmtModify":1636431817979,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A timely move, in view of black Fri and Christmas&nbsp;","listText":"A timely move, in view of black Fri and Christmas&nbsp;","text":"A timely move, in view of black Fri and Christmas","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844269083","repostId":"2182577215","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842299313,"gmtCreate":1636177315754,"gmtModify":1636177315855,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Important for chip makers too","listText":"Important for chip makers too","text":"Important for chip makers too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842299313","repostId":"2181742831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846768182,"gmtCreate":1636115054086,"gmtModify":1636115054180,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good food for thought&nbsp;","listText":"Good food for thought&nbsp;","text":"Good food for thought","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846768182","repostId":"1142385683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142385683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636108868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142385683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 18:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Real Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142385683","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Cla","content":"<p><div> Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $12 per share. Founded in 2016, Real Good Foods develops, markets, and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Real Good Food Company Inc将其530万股A类普通股的首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股12美元。Real Good Foods成立于2016年，开发、营销和...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Real Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReal Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 18:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $12 per share. Founded in 2016, Real Good Foods develops, markets, and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Real Good Food Company Inc将其530万股A类普通股的首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股12美元。Real Good Foods成立于2016年，开发、营销和...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RLGDF":"Real Good Food PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142385683","content_text":"Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $12 per share.\nFounded in 2016, Real Good Foods develops, markets, and manufactures comfort foods intended to be sold in the health and wellness segment of the frozen food category.\nThe company and a selling stockholder have also granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 0.8 million shares at IPO price.\nReal Good Food had expected to price the IPO at $14 - $16 per share.\nReal Good Foods expects gross proceeds from this offering to be approximately $64.0 million.\nThe company expects the shares to begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Market on November 5, 2021, under the ticker symbol \"RGF.\"\nThe company expects the offering to close on November 9, 2021.\nJefferies and William Blair & Company, L.L.C. are serving as lead book-running managers for the offering.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RLGDF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841463852,"gmtCreate":1635935270667,"gmtModify":1635935320079,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope the stock doesn't go cold!&nbsp;","listText":"Hope the stock doesn't go cold!&nbsp;","text":"Hope the stock doesn't go cold!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841463852","repostId":"1134896841","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134896841","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635933860,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134896841?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 18:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134896841","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along wit","content":"<p>Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along with some classic favorites.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克(SBUX)以其新的假日阵容以及一些经典的最爱正式拉开了假日季的序幕。</blockquote></p><p> The Seattle-based coffee giant announced the return of its holiday menu with holiday shoppers hitting the storesearlier than ever. The lineup is set to hit all U.S. locations beginning on Thursday, November 3rd, and will debut alongside four new holiday cup designs: wrapping paper, ribbon, holiday lights and candy cane.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于西雅图的咖啡巨头宣布回归假日菜单，假日购物者比以往任何时候都更早地来到商店。该系列将于11月3日周四开始在美国所有地点上市，并将与四种新的节日杯设计一起首次亮相：包装纸、丝带、节日灯和糖果手杖。</blockquote></p><p> For the first-time ever, the company will debut a non-dairy beverage in its holiday lineup, the Iced Sugar Cookie Almond Milk Latte, which can be either cold or hot. The beverage is crafted with sugar cookie flavored syrup, Starbucks' trademarked blonde espresso, almond milk and topped with red and green sprinkles.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将首次在其假日系列中推出一种非乳制品饮料，冰糖饼干杏仁牛奶拿铁，可以是冷的，也可以是热的。这种饮料由糖饼干味糖浆、星巴克商标的金发浓缩咖啡、杏仁牛奶制成，上面撒有红色和绿色的糖屑。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks is also bringing back its well-known favorites like Peppermint Mocha, Caramel Brulee, Chestnut Praline and Toasted White Chocolate Mocha. The Irish Cream Cold Brew, which debuted in 2019 and typically debuts in December, will hit the menus earlier than ever this holiday.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克还带回了其众所周知的最爱，如薄荷摩卡、焦糖布丁、栗子果仁糖和烤白巧克力摩卡。爱尔兰奶油冷饮于2019年首次亮相，通常在12月首次亮相，将比以往任何时候都更早地出现在这个假期的菜单上。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks' decision to add a cold beverage to its holiday lineup, and to re-introduce the Irish Cream Cold Brew, may be no surprise to consumers and Wall Street alike. In recent months, the coffee giant has touted therise of cold drinks, which now account for awhopping 75% of total beverage sales.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克决定在其假日产品线中增加一种冷饮，并重新推出爱尔兰奶油冷饮，这对消费者和华尔街来说可能并不奇怪。最近几个月，这家咖啡巨头大力宣传冷饮，目前冷饮占饮料总销售额的75%。</blockquote></p><p> As far as a sweet treat to grab with the holiday drinks, Starbucks is bringing back the Sugar Plum Danish, Cranberry Bliss Bar and Snowman Cookie. However, keep a lookout for a newcomer, the company is unveiling a new addition: the Reindeer Cake Pop.</p><p><blockquote>至于节日饮料中的甜点，星巴克带回了糖李子丹麦、蔓越莓极乐棒和雪人饼干。然而，请留意新来者，该公司正在推出一款新产品：驯鹿蛋糕流行。</blockquote></p><p> According to Ethan Chernofsky, CMO of data intelligence platform Placer.ai, there's potential for Starbucks to see a big boost in traffic around this time of year and from the addition of new flavors.</p><p><blockquote>数据智能平台Placer.ai的CMO Ethan Chernofsky表示，星巴克在每年的这个时候以及新口味的增加都有可能看到客流量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> He&nbsp;told Yahoo Finance&nbsp;there's a pent-up demand for brick-and-mortar due to COVID-19, which means \"substantial visits to malls, to shopping centers and in general\" and good news for Starbucks.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉雅虎财经，由于COVID-19，实体店的需求被压抑，这意味着“大量前往购物中心、购物中心等”，这对星巴克来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> \"When we see that type of behavior, we see a really big surge for Starbucks,\" the analyst said. \"Let's be clear, when you go shopping for a long day, there is nothing that helps make that day a little bit easier than a coffee, maybe two, at some point along that trip.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们看到这种行为时，我们会看到星巴克的股价确实大幅飙升，”分析师表示。“让我们明确一点，当你去购物一整天时，没有什么比在旅途中的某个时候喝一杯，也许两杯咖啡更能让这一天变得轻松一点了。”</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Starbucks loyal following of consumers will likely run to try the latest creation.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，星巴克的忠实消费者可能会跑去尝试最新的产品。</blockquote></p><p> The foot traffic following known-beverages like the Pumpkin Spice Latte shows \"how powerful a position Starbucks plays within the coffee sector, but within the wider zeitgeist, in the sense that when they launch something, people are excited and willing to try it.\"</p><p><blockquote>南瓜香料拿铁等知名饮料的人流量表明“星巴克在咖啡行业以及更广泛的时代精神中发挥着多么强大的地位，从某种意义上说，当他们推出某种产品时，人们会很兴奋并愿意尝试它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 18:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along with some classic favorites.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克(SBUX)以其新的假日阵容以及一些经典的最爱正式拉开了假日季的序幕。</blockquote></p><p> The Seattle-based coffee giant announced the return of its holiday menu with holiday shoppers hitting the storesearlier than ever. The lineup is set to hit all U.S. locations beginning on Thursday, November 3rd, and will debut alongside four new holiday cup designs: wrapping paper, ribbon, holiday lights and candy cane.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于西雅图的咖啡巨头宣布回归假日菜单，假日购物者比以往任何时候都更早地来到商店。该系列将于11月3日周四开始在美国所有地点上市，并将与四种新的节日杯设计一起首次亮相：包装纸、丝带、节日灯和糖果手杖。</blockquote></p><p> For the first-time ever, the company will debut a non-dairy beverage in its holiday lineup, the Iced Sugar Cookie Almond Milk Latte, which can be either cold or hot. The beverage is crafted with sugar cookie flavored syrup, Starbucks' trademarked blonde espresso, almond milk and topped with red and green sprinkles.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将首次在其假日系列中推出一种非乳制品饮料，冰糖饼干杏仁牛奶拿铁，可以是冷的，也可以是热的。这种饮料由糖饼干味糖浆、星巴克商标的金发浓缩咖啡、杏仁牛奶制成，上面撒有红色和绿色的糖屑。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks is also bringing back its well-known favorites like Peppermint Mocha, Caramel Brulee, Chestnut Praline and Toasted White Chocolate Mocha. The Irish Cream Cold Brew, which debuted in 2019 and typically debuts in December, will hit the menus earlier than ever this holiday.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克还带回了其众所周知的最爱，如薄荷摩卡、焦糖布丁、栗子果仁糖和烤白巧克力摩卡。爱尔兰奶油冷饮于2019年首次亮相，通常在12月首次亮相，将比以往任何时候都更早地出现在这个假期的菜单上。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks' decision to add a cold beverage to its holiday lineup, and to re-introduce the Irish Cream Cold Brew, may be no surprise to consumers and Wall Street alike. In recent months, the coffee giant has touted therise of cold drinks, which now account for awhopping 75% of total beverage sales.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克决定在其假日产品线中增加一种冷饮，并重新推出爱尔兰奶油冷饮，这对消费者和华尔街来说可能并不奇怪。最近几个月，这家咖啡巨头大力宣传冷饮，目前冷饮占饮料总销售额的75%。</blockquote></p><p> As far as a sweet treat to grab with the holiday drinks, Starbucks is bringing back the Sugar Plum Danish, Cranberry Bliss Bar and Snowman Cookie. However, keep a lookout for a newcomer, the company is unveiling a new addition: the Reindeer Cake Pop.</p><p><blockquote>至于节日饮料中的甜点，星巴克带回了糖李子丹麦、蔓越莓极乐棒和雪人饼干。然而，请留意新来者，该公司正在推出一款新产品：驯鹿蛋糕流行。</blockquote></p><p> According to Ethan Chernofsky, CMO of data intelligence platform Placer.ai, there's potential for Starbucks to see a big boost in traffic around this time of year and from the addition of new flavors.</p><p><blockquote>数据智能平台Placer.ai的CMO Ethan Chernofsky表示，星巴克在每年的这个时候以及新口味的增加都有可能看到客流量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> He&nbsp;told Yahoo Finance&nbsp;there's a pent-up demand for brick-and-mortar due to COVID-19, which means \"substantial visits to malls, to shopping centers and in general\" and good news for Starbucks.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉雅虎财经，由于COVID-19，实体店的需求被压抑，这意味着“大量前往购物中心、购物中心等”，这对星巴克来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> \"When we see that type of behavior, we see a really big surge for Starbucks,\" the analyst said. \"Let's be clear, when you go shopping for a long day, there is nothing that helps make that day a little bit easier than a coffee, maybe two, at some point along that trip.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们看到这种行为时，我们会看到星巴克的股价确实大幅飙升，”分析师表示。“让我们明确一点，当你去购物一整天时，没有什么比在旅途中的某个时候喝一杯，也许两杯咖啡更能让这一天变得轻松一点了。”</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Starbucks loyal following of consumers will likely run to try the latest creation.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，星巴克的忠实消费者可能会跑去尝试最新的产品。</blockquote></p><p> The foot traffic following known-beverages like the Pumpkin Spice Latte shows \"how powerful a position Starbucks plays within the coffee sector, but within the wider zeitgeist, in the sense that when they launch something, people are excited and willing to try it.\"</p><p><blockquote>南瓜香料拿铁等知名饮料的人流量表明“星巴克在咖啡行业以及更广泛的时代精神中发挥着多么强大的地位，从某种意义上说，当他们推出某种产品时，人们会很兴奋并愿意尝试它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/starbucks-holiday-drinks-are-back-on-the-menu-with-a-new-iced-latte-entree-090124820.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/starbucks-holiday-drinks-are-back-on-the-menu-with-a-new-iced-latte-entree-090124820.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134896841","content_text":"Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along with some classic favorites.\nThe Seattle-based coffee giant announced the return of its holiday menu with holiday shoppers hitting the storesearlier than ever. The lineup is set to hit all U.S. locations beginning on Thursday, November 3rd, and will debut alongside four new holiday cup designs: wrapping paper, ribbon, holiday lights and candy cane.\nFor the first-time ever, the company will debut a non-dairy beverage in its holiday lineup, the Iced Sugar Cookie Almond Milk Latte, which can be either cold or hot. The beverage is crafted with sugar cookie flavored syrup, Starbucks' trademarked blonde espresso, almond milk and topped with red and green sprinkles.\nStarbucks is also bringing back its well-known favorites like Peppermint Mocha, Caramel Brulee, Chestnut Praline and Toasted White Chocolate Mocha. The Irish Cream Cold Brew, which debuted in 2019 and typically debuts in December, will hit the menus earlier than ever this holiday.\nStarbucks' decision to add a cold beverage to its holiday lineup, and to re-introduce the Irish Cream Cold Brew, may be no surprise to consumers and Wall Street alike. In recent months, the coffee giant has touted therise of cold drinks, which now account for awhopping 75% of total beverage sales.\nAs far as a sweet treat to grab with the holiday drinks, Starbucks is bringing back the Sugar Plum Danish, Cranberry Bliss Bar and Snowman Cookie. However, keep a lookout for a newcomer, the company is unveiling a new addition: the Reindeer Cake Pop.\nAccording to Ethan Chernofsky, CMO of data intelligence platform Placer.ai, there's potential for Starbucks to see a big boost in traffic around this time of year and from the addition of new flavors.\nHe told Yahoo Finance there's a pent-up demand for brick-and-mortar due to COVID-19, which means \"substantial visits to malls, to shopping centers and in general\" and good news for Starbucks.\n\"When we see that type of behavior, we see a really big surge for Starbucks,\" the analyst said. \"Let's be clear, when you go shopping for a long day, there is nothing that helps make that day a little bit easier than a coffee, maybe two, at some point along that trip.\"\nOn top of that, Starbucks loyal following of consumers will likely run to try the latest creation.\nThe foot traffic following known-beverages like the Pumpkin Spice Latte shows \"how powerful a position Starbucks plays within the coffee sector, but within the wider zeitgeist, in the sense that when they launch something, people are excited and willing to try it.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852330487,"gmtCreate":1635240156267,"gmtModify":1635240156369,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra&nbsp;","listText":"Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra&nbsp;","text":"Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852330487","repostId":"1111450640","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856946049,"gmtCreate":1635145862855,"gmtModify":1635145863008,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?&nbsp;","listText":"How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?&nbsp;","text":"How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856946049","repostId":"2178449818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853881901,"gmtCreate":1634788492422,"gmtModify":1634788998418,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How would this affect the overall growth model of Pinterest?&nbsp;","listText":"How would this affect the overall growth model of Pinterest?&nbsp;","text":"How would this affect the overall growth model of Pinterest?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853881901","repostId":"1174487467","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174487467","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634784081,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174487467?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 10:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pinterest Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold Ahead of Possible Buyout?<blockquote>Pinterest股票：在可能的收购之前买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174487467","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Following the visual search and media specialist stock's sharp gain on Wednesday, some investors may be facing a dilemma.","content":"<p>News broke on Wednesday that&nbsp;<b>PayPal Holdings</b>&nbsp;may be considering an acquisition of visual search and media company&nbsp;<b>Pinterest</b>. The rumor sent shares of Pinterest soaring. As of 1 p.m. EDT, the stock was up about 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三有消息称<b>PayPal控股</b>可能正在考虑收购视觉搜索和媒体公司<b>Pinterest</b>这一传言导致Pinterest股价飙升。截至下午1点美国东部时间，该股上涨约13%。</blockquote></p><p> The timing of PayPal's consideration to buy Pinterest makes sense. The stock has been hammered this year. Before the&nbsp;growth stock's bump today, shares were down 16% year to date. Moreover, the stock is down 30% from all time highs -- and that includes the stock's pop on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal考虑收购Pinterest的时机是有道理的。该股今年遭受重创。在这只成长型股票今天上涨之前，今年迄今股价已下跌16%。此外，该股较历史高点下跌了30%，其中包括该股周三的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Given this rumor and the stock's big gain today, what should investors do?</p><p><blockquote>鉴于这一传闻以及该股今天的大幅上涨，投资者该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790f663fcc9ff359708d1a76cbee7a09\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: PINTEREST.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：PINTEREST。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Buyout rumors: What you need to know</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收购传闻：你需要知道什么</b></blockquote></p><p> PayPal has been reportedly talking with Pinterest about buying the company for a potential price of $70 per share, Bloomberg News said on Wednesday. This would represent more than a 25% premium for Pinterest stock based on where shares were trading before this rumor started circling.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社周三称，据报道，PayPal一直在与Pinterest讨论以每股70美元的潜在价格收购该公司。根据谣言开始流传之前的股票交易情况，这意味着Pinterest股票溢价超过25%。</blockquote></p><p> The photo- and idea-sharing website, which makes most of its money from digital advertising sales, has been morphing into a discovery platform for online purchases. Indeed, just this month, Pinterest announced new features that enabled sellers to upload product catalogs and make them discoverable to target audiences. The evolving shopping aspect of Pinterest's platform may be one thing that makes the potential acquisition attractive to digital payment juggernaut PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>这个照片和创意分享网站的大部分收入来自数字广告销售，已经演变成一个在线购物的发现平台。事实上，就在本月，Pinterest宣布了新功能，使卖家能够上传产品目录，并使目标受众能够发现它们。Pinterest平台不断发展的购物方面可能是此次潜在收购对数字支付巨头PayPal具有吸引力的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> Given the stock's sudden surge, current Pinterest shareholders may be tempted to do some profit-taking. And prospective investors may be considering buying the stock in hopes that the potential acquisition is more than just a rumor. After all, the rumored $70 price tag still represents a 13% premium from where shares are trading at the time of this writing.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该股的突然飙升，目前的Pinterest股东可能会忍不住进行一些获利了结。潜在投资者可能会考虑购买该股票，希望潜在的收购不仅仅是谣言。毕竟，传闻中的70美元价格仍比撰写本文时的股价溢价13%。</blockquote></p><p> While it's tempting to take action on this news, oftentimes in investing it's best to lean toward inaction over action.</p><p><blockquote>虽然对这一消息采取行动很有诱惑力，但在投资中，通常最好倾向于不作为而不是行动。</blockquote></p><p> For&nbsp;investors&nbsp;who already owned Pinterest stock, there was likely something about the underlying business that seemed attractive to them. Pinterest's core business remains -- and it will remain even if the acquisition never pans out. So why sell today?</p><p><blockquote>对于已经持有Pinterest股票的投资者来说，相关业务可能对他们有吸引力。Pinterest的核心业务依然存在——即使收购永远不会成功，它也将继续存在。那么为什么今天要卖出呢？</blockquote></p><p> For investors who didn't own the stock, there was likely a reason they were avoiding it already -- so they shouldn't rush to buy shares out of speculation that they'll see a short-term pop. After all, it's always possible that an acquisition never comes to fruition.</p><p><blockquote>对于不持有该股票的投资者来说，他们回避该股票可能是有原因的——因此他们不应该因为猜测会看到短期上涨而急于购买股票。毕竟，收购总是有可能永远不会实现。</blockquote></p><p> So, are Pinterest shares a buy, sell, or hold today? It's likely wise to consider them a hold -- at least until there's more clarity about whether the company will remain independent or not.</p><p><blockquote>那么，今天是买入、卖出还是持有Pinterest股票呢？明智的做法可能是持有它们——至少在更清楚该公司是否会保持独立之前。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pinterest Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold Ahead of Possible Buyout?<blockquote>Pinterest股票：在可能的收购之前买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPinterest Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold Ahead of Possible Buyout?<blockquote>Pinterest股票：在可能的收购之前买入、卖出还是持有？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-21 10:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>News broke on Wednesday that&nbsp;<b>PayPal Holdings</b>&nbsp;may be considering an acquisition of visual search and media company&nbsp;<b>Pinterest</b>. The rumor sent shares of Pinterest soaring. As of 1 p.m. EDT, the stock was up about 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三有消息称<b>PayPal控股</b>可能正在考虑收购视觉搜索和媒体公司<b>Pinterest</b>这一传言导致Pinterest股价飙升。截至下午1点美国东部时间，该股上涨约13%。</blockquote></p><p> The timing of PayPal's consideration to buy Pinterest makes sense. The stock has been hammered this year. Before the&nbsp;growth stock's bump today, shares were down 16% year to date. Moreover, the stock is down 30% from all time highs -- and that includes the stock's pop on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal考虑收购Pinterest的时机是有道理的。该股今年遭受重创。在这只成长型股票今天上涨之前，今年迄今股价已下跌16%。此外，该股较历史高点下跌了30%，其中包括该股周三的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Given this rumor and the stock's big gain today, what should investors do?</p><p><blockquote>鉴于这一传闻以及该股今天的大幅上涨，投资者该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790f663fcc9ff359708d1a76cbee7a09\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: PINTEREST.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：PINTEREST。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Buyout rumors: What you need to know</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收购传闻：你需要知道什么</b></blockquote></p><p> PayPal has been reportedly talking with Pinterest about buying the company for a potential price of $70 per share, Bloomberg News said on Wednesday. This would represent more than a 25% premium for Pinterest stock based on where shares were trading before this rumor started circling.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社周三称，据报道，PayPal一直在与Pinterest讨论以每股70美元的潜在价格收购该公司。根据谣言开始流传之前的股票交易情况，这意味着Pinterest股票溢价超过25%。</blockquote></p><p> The photo- and idea-sharing website, which makes most of its money from digital advertising sales, has been morphing into a discovery platform for online purchases. Indeed, just this month, Pinterest announced new features that enabled sellers to upload product catalogs and make them discoverable to target audiences. The evolving shopping aspect of Pinterest's platform may be one thing that makes the potential acquisition attractive to digital payment juggernaut PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>这个照片和创意分享网站的大部分收入来自数字广告销售，已经演变成一个在线购物的发现平台。事实上，就在本月，Pinterest宣布了新功能，使卖家能够上传产品目录，并使目标受众能够发现它们。Pinterest平台不断发展的购物方面可能是此次潜在收购对数字支付巨头PayPal具有吸引力的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> Given the stock's sudden surge, current Pinterest shareholders may be tempted to do some profit-taking. And prospective investors may be considering buying the stock in hopes that the potential acquisition is more than just a rumor. After all, the rumored $70 price tag still represents a 13% premium from where shares are trading at the time of this writing.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该股的突然飙升，目前的Pinterest股东可能会忍不住进行一些获利了结。潜在投资者可能会考虑购买该股票，希望潜在的收购不仅仅是谣言。毕竟，传闻中的70美元价格仍比撰写本文时的股价溢价13%。</blockquote></p><p> While it's tempting to take action on this news, oftentimes in investing it's best to lean toward inaction over action.</p><p><blockquote>虽然对这一消息采取行动很有诱惑力，但在投资中，通常最好倾向于不作为而不是行动。</blockquote></p><p> For&nbsp;investors&nbsp;who already owned Pinterest stock, there was likely something about the underlying business that seemed attractive to them. Pinterest's core business remains -- and it will remain even if the acquisition never pans out. So why sell today?</p><p><blockquote>对于已经持有Pinterest股票的投资者来说，相关业务可能对他们有吸引力。Pinterest的核心业务依然存在——即使收购永远不会成功，它也将继续存在。那么为什么今天要卖出呢？</blockquote></p><p> For investors who didn't own the stock, there was likely a reason they were avoiding it already -- so they shouldn't rush to buy shares out of speculation that they'll see a short-term pop. After all, it's always possible that an acquisition never comes to fruition.</p><p><blockquote>对于不持有该股票的投资者来说，他们回避该股票可能是有原因的——因此他们不应该因为猜测会看到短期上涨而急于购买股票。毕竟，收购总是有可能永远不会实现。</blockquote></p><p> So, are Pinterest shares a buy, sell, or hold today? It's likely wise to consider them a hold -- at least until there's more clarity about whether the company will remain independent or not.</p><p><blockquote>那么，今天是买入、卖出还是持有Pinterest股票呢？明智的做法可能是持有它们——至少在更清楚该公司是否会保持独立之前。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/20/pinterest-stock-buy-sell-or-hold-ahead-of-buyout/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/20/pinterest-stock-buy-sell-or-hold-ahead-of-buyout/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174487467","content_text":"News broke on Wednesday that PayPal Holdings may be considering an acquisition of visual search and media company Pinterest. The rumor sent shares of Pinterest soaring. As of 1 p.m. EDT, the stock was up about 13%.\nThe timing of PayPal's consideration to buy Pinterest makes sense. The stock has been hammered this year. Before the growth stock's bump today, shares were down 16% year to date. Moreover, the stock is down 30% from all time highs -- and that includes the stock's pop on Wednesday.\nGiven this rumor and the stock's big gain today, what should investors do?\nIMAGE SOURCE: PINTEREST.\nBuyout rumors: What you need to know\nPayPal has been reportedly talking with Pinterest about buying the company for a potential price of $70 per share, Bloomberg News said on Wednesday. This would represent more than a 25% premium for Pinterest stock based on where shares were trading before this rumor started circling.\nThe photo- and idea-sharing website, which makes most of its money from digital advertising sales, has been morphing into a discovery platform for online purchases. Indeed, just this month, Pinterest announced new features that enabled sellers to upload product catalogs and make them discoverable to target audiences. The evolving shopping aspect of Pinterest's platform may be one thing that makes the potential acquisition attractive to digital payment juggernaut PayPal.\nWhat should investors do?\nGiven the stock's sudden surge, current Pinterest shareholders may be tempted to do some profit-taking. And prospective investors may be considering buying the stock in hopes that the potential acquisition is more than just a rumor. After all, the rumored $70 price tag still represents a 13% premium from where shares are trading at the time of this writing.\nWhile it's tempting to take action on this news, oftentimes in investing it's best to lean toward inaction over action.\nFor investors who already owned Pinterest stock, there was likely something about the underlying business that seemed attractive to them. Pinterest's core business remains -- and it will remain even if the acquisition never pans out. So why sell today?\nFor investors who didn't own the stock, there was likely a reason they were avoiding it already -- so they shouldn't rush to buy shares out of speculation that they'll see a short-term pop. After all, it's always possible that an acquisition never comes to fruition.\nSo, are Pinterest shares a buy, sell, or hold today? It's likely wise to consider them a hold -- at least until there's more clarity about whether the company will remain independent or not.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PINS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859063856,"gmtCreate":1634640209013,"gmtModify":1634640209154,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Important to note","listText":"Important to note","text":"Important to note","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859063856","repostId":"1190293066","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827072841,"gmtCreate":1634380655025,"gmtModify":1634380655132,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow that's great&nbsp;","listText":"Wow that's great&nbsp;","text":"Wow that's great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827072841","repostId":"1163053361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163053361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634310263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163053361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 23:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163053361","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.\nApple is making huge str","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.</li>  <li>Apple is making huge strides in the European as well as international markets.</li>  <li>As iPhones sell, so will AirPods, Apple Watches, and Apple services such as Music and Arcade.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果的市盈率低于同行和纳斯达克。</li><li>苹果在欧洲和国际市场上都取得了巨大的进步。</li><li>随着iPhone的销售，AirPods、苹果手表以及音乐和街机等苹果服务也将随之销售。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) is the largest company in the world by market cap. While large-cap stocks like Apple are usually close to fair value, Apple makes a compelling case. Arguably the best investor of all time, Warren Buffet has invested over 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A)(BRK.B)&nbsp;portfolio in Apple stock. So I decided that there must be some value proposition here. After a throughout look, I came to the same conclusion as Warren Buffet. Apple stock is an excellent buy.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是全球市值最大的公司。虽然像苹果这样的大盘股通常接近公允价值，但苹果提出了令人信服的理由。沃伦·巴菲特可以说是有史以来最好的投资者，他将伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(BRK.A)(BRK.B)投资组合的40%以上投资于苹果股票。所以我决定这里一定有一些价值主张。看了一遍之后，我得出了和沃伦·巴菲特一样的结论。苹果股票非常值得买入。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's potential on a global scale has not been adequately factored into the share price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在全球范围内的潜力尚未充分纳入股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Current Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当前估值</b></blockquote></p><p> To understand if something is undervalued, we first need to understand its current valuation. To do so, I will briefly compare it to some similar stocks in both PE and P/FCF.</p><p><blockquote>要了解某样东西是否被低估，我们首先需要了解它当前的估值。为此，我将将其与PE和P/FCF方面的一些类似股票进行简要比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3ac38cd59cd1890bbbab0bc6c0dee9d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Apple is valued at lower PE and P/FCF multiples than similar companies Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). It is also trading at a lower PE ratio than the Nasdaq index (29.25).</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，苹果的市盈率和市盈率/自由现金流倍数低于类似公司微软（MSFT）和Alphabet（GOOGL）。它的市盈率也低于纳斯达克指数（29.25）。</blockquote></p><p> This establishes that Apple is not being valued at a premium to reflect the massive opportunity they have with international expansion.</p><p><blockquote>这表明苹果的估值并没有反映出他们在国际扩张中拥有的巨大机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple In The US</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国的苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me and from America, it may seem like everyone that wants an iPhone has one. There is a good chance you are even reading this article on Apple's signature OLED screen.</p><p><blockquote>如果你像我一样来自美国，似乎每个想要iPhone的人都有一部。很有可能你正在苹果标志性的有机发光二极管屏幕上阅读这篇文章。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e50a9091d291ea4b8efb3d37d00ad68\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's market share in the US has been growing by low single-digit percentages since 2015 and currently has a US market share of just under 50% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自2015年以来，苹果在美国的市场份额一直以低个位数百分比增长，目前2021年美国市场份额略低于50%。</blockquote></p><p> I see no real reason that this will change significantly. Like I mentioned above, most people that want an iPhone already own one. When dealing with such a high market share, it is hard to grow, at least substantially.</p><p><blockquote>我看不出这种情况会发生重大变化的真正原因。就像我上面提到的，大多数想要iPhone的人已经拥有了一部。在处理如此高的市场份额时，很难增长，至少很难大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> While I will not discuss this point in-depth, it is worth noting that in 2020, only about&nbsp;50% of their revenue came from iPhone, and there is considerable room to grow in their accessories and wearables, even in the US.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我不会深入讨论这一点，但值得注意的是，在2020年，他们只有约50%的收入来自iPhone，即使在美国，他们的配件和可穿戴设备也有相当大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The International Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际市场</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where I see a massive opportunity for Apple. They are already on their way to growing their global market share.</p><p><blockquote>这是我看到苹果巨大机会的地方。他们已经在扩大全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/458c0f8e1a5cec6bdd874c1d7f9de7df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Over the last 5 years, AAPL's global market share has gone from the high teens/low twenties to over 25%. Apple is also close to overtaking Samsung as the worldwide market share leader, and at current rates, it appears the overtake will happen sometime in the next twelve months.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的5年里，AAPL的全球市场份额已经从十几岁/二十多岁上升到25%以上。苹果也接近超越三星成为全球市场份额的领导者，按照目前的速度，这种超越似乎将在未来12个月的某个时候发生。</blockquote></p><p> The upward trend is seen again in Europe. Here is AAPL's European market share over the past 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲再次出现上升趋势。以下是AAPL过去5年的欧洲市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/581ba5b6950f54cb812ad7a9d0e4960e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In this case, Apple just recently took over Samsung as the leading European smartphone vendor. With a population of around&nbsp;741 million people, nearly&nbsp;2x the population of the United States, taking the majority share of the smartphone market in Europe is huge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，苹果最近刚刚取代三星成为欧洲领先的智能手机供应商。欧洲拥有约7.41亿人口，几乎是美国人口的2倍，占据欧洲智能手机市场的大部分份额是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does that mean?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那是什么意思？</b></blockquote></p><p> This is just the beginning, at least from a sales standpoint. Despite controlling the majority share in one of the largest continents, Apple only generated about 1/4 of its total revenue from Europe.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个开始，至少从销售的角度来看是这样。尽管控制着最大大陆之一的大部分份额，但苹果仅从欧洲获得了约1/4的总收入。</blockquote></p><p> One of the things that makes Apple such a strong company is that their iPhones are essentially a \"gateway product.\" Once you have an iPhone, you are compelled to purchase AirPods and an Apple Watch as physical accessories. Apple also offers iCloud photo storage, Apple Music, Apple TV, and Apple Arcade, to name a few.</p><p><blockquote>苹果成为一家如此强大的公司的原因之一是，他们的iPhone本质上是一种“门户产品”。一旦你有了iPhone，你就被迫购买AirPods和苹果手表作为物理配件。苹果还提供iCloud照片存储、苹果音乐、苹果电视和苹果街机等等。</blockquote></p><p> The proliferation of the iPhone on a global scale opens the door for Apple with its massive product line. Investors should look behind the numbers and realize the true scope of the opportunity that lies within growing iPhone sales.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone在全球范围内的普及为苹果庞大的产品线打开了大门。投资者应该关注数字背后，认识到iPhone销量增长中蕴藏的真正机会范围。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple's relative undervaluation compared to competitors, as well as massive strides in international markets, makes it an appealing investment. As iPhone sales continue to grow, accessories will be quick to follow. Apple is past the stages where you will see 100% growth in a relatively short timeline. This is a stock that you buy and hold for years, and if you are smart, sell covered calls along the way.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，苹果的估值相对被低估，以及在国际市场上的巨大进步，使其成为一项有吸引力的投资。随着iPhone销量的持续增长，配件也会迅速跟进。苹果已经过了在相对较短的时间内看到100%增长的阶段。这是一只您购买并持有多年的股票，如果您聪明的话，可以在此过程中出售担保评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 23:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.</li>  <li>Apple is making huge strides in the European as well as international markets.</li>  <li>As iPhones sell, so will AirPods, Apple Watches, and Apple services such as Music and Arcade.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果的市盈率低于同行和纳斯达克。</li><li>苹果在欧洲和国际市场上都取得了巨大的进步。</li><li>随着iPhone的销售，AirPods、苹果手表以及音乐和街机等苹果服务也将随之销售。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) is the largest company in the world by market cap. While large-cap stocks like Apple are usually close to fair value, Apple makes a compelling case. Arguably the best investor of all time, Warren Buffet has invested over 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A)(BRK.B)&nbsp;portfolio in Apple stock. So I decided that there must be some value proposition here. After a throughout look, I came to the same conclusion as Warren Buffet. Apple stock is an excellent buy.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是全球市值最大的公司。虽然像苹果这样的大盘股通常接近公允价值，但苹果提出了令人信服的理由。沃伦·巴菲特可以说是有史以来最好的投资者，他将伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(BRK.A)(BRK.B)投资组合的40%以上投资于苹果股票。所以我决定这里一定有一些价值主张。看了一遍之后，我得出了和沃伦·巴菲特一样的结论。苹果股票非常值得买入。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's potential on a global scale has not been adequately factored into the share price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在全球范围内的潜力尚未充分纳入股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Current Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当前估值</b></blockquote></p><p> To understand if something is undervalued, we first need to understand its current valuation. To do so, I will briefly compare it to some similar stocks in both PE and P/FCF.</p><p><blockquote>要了解某样东西是否被低估，我们首先需要了解它当前的估值。为此，我将将其与PE和P/FCF方面的一些类似股票进行简要比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3ac38cd59cd1890bbbab0bc6c0dee9d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Apple is valued at lower PE and P/FCF multiples than similar companies Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). It is also trading at a lower PE ratio than the Nasdaq index (29.25).</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，苹果的市盈率和市盈率/自由现金流倍数低于类似公司微软（MSFT）和Alphabet（GOOGL）。它的市盈率也低于纳斯达克指数（29.25）。</blockquote></p><p> This establishes that Apple is not being valued at a premium to reflect the massive opportunity they have with international expansion.</p><p><blockquote>这表明苹果的估值并没有反映出他们在国际扩张中拥有的巨大机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple In The US</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国的苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me and from America, it may seem like everyone that wants an iPhone has one. There is a good chance you are even reading this article on Apple's signature OLED screen.</p><p><blockquote>如果你像我一样来自美国，似乎每个想要iPhone的人都有一部。很有可能你正在苹果标志性的有机发光二极管屏幕上阅读这篇文章。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e50a9091d291ea4b8efb3d37d00ad68\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's market share in the US has been growing by low single-digit percentages since 2015 and currently has a US market share of just under 50% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自2015年以来，苹果在美国的市场份额一直以低个位数百分比增长，目前2021年美国市场份额略低于50%。</blockquote></p><p> I see no real reason that this will change significantly. Like I mentioned above, most people that want an iPhone already own one. When dealing with such a high market share, it is hard to grow, at least substantially.</p><p><blockquote>我看不出这种情况会发生重大变化的真正原因。就像我上面提到的，大多数想要iPhone的人已经拥有了一部。在处理如此高的市场份额时，很难增长，至少很难大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> While I will not discuss this point in-depth, it is worth noting that in 2020, only about&nbsp;50% of their revenue came from iPhone, and there is considerable room to grow in their accessories and wearables, even in the US.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我不会深入讨论这一点，但值得注意的是，在2020年，他们只有约50%的收入来自iPhone，即使在美国，他们的配件和可穿戴设备也有相当大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The International Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际市场</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where I see a massive opportunity for Apple. They are already on their way to growing their global market share.</p><p><blockquote>这是我看到苹果巨大机会的地方。他们已经在扩大全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/458c0f8e1a5cec6bdd874c1d7f9de7df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Over the last 5 years, AAPL's global market share has gone from the high teens/low twenties to over 25%. Apple is also close to overtaking Samsung as the worldwide market share leader, and at current rates, it appears the overtake will happen sometime in the next twelve months.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的5年里，AAPL的全球市场份额已经从十几岁/二十多岁上升到25%以上。苹果也接近超越三星成为全球市场份额的领导者，按照目前的速度，这种超越似乎将在未来12个月的某个时候发生。</blockquote></p><p> The upward trend is seen again in Europe. Here is AAPL's European market share over the past 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲再次出现上升趋势。以下是AAPL过去5年的欧洲市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/581ba5b6950f54cb812ad7a9d0e4960e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In this case, Apple just recently took over Samsung as the leading European smartphone vendor. With a population of around&nbsp;741 million people, nearly&nbsp;2x the population of the United States, taking the majority share of the smartphone market in Europe is huge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，苹果最近刚刚取代三星成为欧洲领先的智能手机供应商。欧洲拥有约7.41亿人口，几乎是美国人口的2倍，占据欧洲智能手机市场的大部分份额是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does that mean?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那是什么意思？</b></blockquote></p><p> This is just the beginning, at least from a sales standpoint. Despite controlling the majority share in one of the largest continents, Apple only generated about 1/4 of its total revenue from Europe.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个开始，至少从销售的角度来看是这样。尽管控制着最大大陆之一的大部分份额，但苹果仅从欧洲获得了约1/4的总收入。</blockquote></p><p> One of the things that makes Apple such a strong company is that their iPhones are essentially a \"gateway product.\" Once you have an iPhone, you are compelled to purchase AirPods and an Apple Watch as physical accessories. Apple also offers iCloud photo storage, Apple Music, Apple TV, and Apple Arcade, to name a few.</p><p><blockquote>苹果成为一家如此强大的公司的原因之一是，他们的iPhone本质上是一种“门户产品”。一旦你有了iPhone，你就被迫购买AirPods和苹果手表作为物理配件。苹果还提供iCloud照片存储、苹果音乐、苹果电视和苹果街机等等。</blockquote></p><p> The proliferation of the iPhone on a global scale opens the door for Apple with its massive product line. Investors should look behind the numbers and realize the true scope of the opportunity that lies within growing iPhone sales.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone在全球范围内的普及为苹果庞大的产品线打开了大门。投资者应该关注数字背后，认识到iPhone销量增长中蕴藏的真正机会范围。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple's relative undervaluation compared to competitors, as well as massive strides in international markets, makes it an appealing investment. As iPhone sales continue to grow, accessories will be quick to follow. Apple is past the stages where you will see 100% growth in a relatively short timeline. This is a stock that you buy and hold for years, and if you are smart, sell covered calls along the way.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，苹果的估值相对被低估，以及在国际市场上的巨大进步，使其成为一项有吸引力的投资。随着iPhone销量的持续增长，配件也会迅速跟进。苹果已经过了在相对较短的时间内看到100%增长的阶段。这是一只您购买并持有多年的股票，如果您聪明的话，可以在此过程中出售担保评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459836-apple-international-opportunity-is-huge\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459836-apple-international-opportunity-is-huge","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163053361","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.\nApple is making huge strides in the European as well as international markets.\nAs iPhones sell, so will AirPods, Apple Watches, and Apple services such as Music and Arcade.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThesis\nApple (AAPL) is the largest company in the world by market cap. While large-cap stocks like Apple are usually close to fair value, Apple makes a compelling case. Arguably the best investor of all time, Warren Buffet has invested over 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A)(BRK.B) portfolio in Apple stock. So I decided that there must be some value proposition here. After a throughout look, I came to the same conclusion as Warren Buffet. Apple stock is an excellent buy.\nApple's potential on a global scale has not been adequately factored into the share price.\nCurrent Valuation\nTo understand if something is undervalued, we first need to understand its current valuation. To do so, I will briefly compare it to some similar stocks in both PE and P/FCF.\nData by YCharts\nAs you can see, Apple is valued at lower PE and P/FCF multiples than similar companies Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). It is also trading at a lower PE ratio than the Nasdaq index (29.25).\nThis establishes that Apple is not being valued at a premium to reflect the massive opportunity they have with international expansion.\nApple In The US\nIf you are like me and from America, it may seem like everyone that wants an iPhone has one. There is a good chance you are even reading this article on Apple's signature OLED screen.\nSource: Statista\nApple's market share in the US has been growing by low single-digit percentages since 2015 and currently has a US market share of just under 50% in 2021.\nI see no real reason that this will change significantly. Like I mentioned above, most people that want an iPhone already own one. When dealing with such a high market share, it is hard to grow, at least substantially.\nWhile I will not discuss this point in-depth, it is worth noting that in 2020, only about 50% of their revenue came from iPhone, and there is considerable room to grow in their accessories and wearables, even in the US.\nThe International Market\nThis is where I see a massive opportunity for Apple. They are already on their way to growing their global market share.\nSource: Statcounter\nOver the last 5 years, AAPL's global market share has gone from the high teens/low twenties to over 25%. Apple is also close to overtaking Samsung as the worldwide market share leader, and at current rates, it appears the overtake will happen sometime in the next twelve months.\nThe upward trend is seen again in Europe. Here is AAPL's European market share over the past 5 years.\nSource: Statcounter\nIn this case, Apple just recently took over Samsung as the leading European smartphone vendor. With a population of around 741 million people, nearly 2x the population of the United States, taking the majority share of the smartphone market in Europe is huge.\nWhat does that mean?\nThis is just the beginning, at least from a sales standpoint. Despite controlling the majority share in one of the largest continents, Apple only generated about 1/4 of its total revenue from Europe.\nOne of the things that makes Apple such a strong company is that their iPhones are essentially a \"gateway product.\" Once you have an iPhone, you are compelled to purchase AirPods and an Apple Watch as physical accessories. Apple also offers iCloud photo storage, Apple Music, Apple TV, and Apple Arcade, to name a few.\nThe proliferation of the iPhone on a global scale opens the door for Apple with its massive product line. Investors should look behind the numbers and realize the true scope of the opportunity that lies within growing iPhone sales.\nConclusion\nApple's relative undervaluation compared to competitors, as well as massive strides in international markets, makes it an appealing investment. As iPhone sales continue to grow, accessories will be quick to follow. Apple is past the stages where you will see 100% growth in a relatively short timeline. This is a stock that you buy and hold for years, and if you are smart, sell covered calls along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825901268,"gmtCreate":1634184759617,"gmtModify":1634184759617,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should we buy then??&nbsp;","listText":"Should we buy then??&nbsp;","text":"Should we buy then??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825901268","repostId":"2175616993","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822886724,"gmtCreate":1634114457567,"gmtModify":1634114457617,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What about their new engines of growth&nbsp;","listText":"What about their new engines of growth&nbsp;","text":"What about their new engines of growth","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822886724","repostId":"2175315686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":980,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826263714,"gmtCreate":1634026367386,"gmtModify":1634026367437,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826263714","repostId":"2174854361","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823722756,"gmtCreate":1633664332853,"gmtModify":1633664332963,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Testing on how to publish a post&nbsp;","listText":"Testing on how to publish a post&nbsp;","text":"Testing on how to publish a post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823722756","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":898095415,"gmtCreate":1628441403437,"gmtModify":1631889324876,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How does this track with energy prices?&nbsp;","listText":"How does this track with energy prices?&nbsp;","text":"How does this track with energy prices?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898095415","repostId":"1159872041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159872041","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628385224,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159872041?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159872041","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.It's been a wild year for Teslastock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.In February,Piper Sandler analys","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票：将升至1,200美元？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li>  <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li>  <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度的交付量同比增长了一倍多。</li><li>电动汽车需求的增长可能有利于特斯拉。</li><li>投资者在考虑分析师的目标价时应保持谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股票。今年年初，股价最初飙升超过20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有涨幅，今年迄今的回报率为负1%。这意味着该股的表现明显落后于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会起飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b>&nbsp;analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>2月份，<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师Alexander Potter做出了大胆的看涨期权，将这只成长型股票的12个月目标价从515美元上调至1,200美元。他表示，特斯拉的交付量可能会从2020年的50万辆增加到今年的近90万辆。当然，这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。尽管如此，特斯拉的增长速度极快。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增长了一倍多，达到201,304辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>继特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后，该分析师重申了这一目标，并指出该公司似乎有望受益于市场份额的增长、该公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“未被充分重视的机会”，其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外，波特指出，特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲，为11%，他预计特斯拉最近推出的Autopilot订阅将带来增量改善。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8月3日，波特再次重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和1200美元的目标价，称“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出，总体而言，对纯电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么是什么给了？</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的能涨到1200美元，为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股的价值如此之低（基于撰写本文时该股的价格略低于700美元）。毕竟，如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来12个月内可能达到1,200美元，那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为股票的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价的市盈率约为370，很大程度上预计未来几年将强劲增长。由于该公司的估值很大程度上基于未来的利润，因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有差异，就会对该股目前的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师的股价目标较高就急于购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此，波特确实对特斯拉强劲的商业势头有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长50%以上的指导意见，而这一指导意见是在全球许多公司（包括特斯拉）都受到供应链短缺的负面影响之际提供的。此外，特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出，进入第三季度，对其车辆的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票1,200美元的目标价很难证明合理，但该股的交易价格可能足够低，投资者可以在该股建立少量头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159872041","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.\nRising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.\nInvestors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.\n\nIt's been a wild year for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.\nBut one analyst thinks the stock could take off.\n\"We still really like this stock.\"\nIn February,Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.\nFollowing Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.\nFurther, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.\nOn Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.\nSo what gives?\nIf shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.\nThe issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.\nInvestors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.\nWhile a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813883060,"gmtCreate":1630171561750,"gmtModify":1704956708848,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likepls","listText":"Likepls","text":"Likepls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813883060","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":690773889,"gmtCreate":1639714476597,"gmtModify":1639714476706,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There needs to be infra too","listText":"There needs to be infra too","text":"There needs to be infra too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690773889","repostId":"1115262079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115262079","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639712748,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115262079?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Missed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115262079","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The growing use of electric vehicles will benefit several players.","content":"<p>In the last two years,<b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;stock has surged more than 1,000%. Investors who missed investing in Tesla two years back could be disheartened. Yet it is worth noting that it is difficult to foresee stocks that can generate Tesla-like returns. The best approach is to invest in companies that you believe can perform well in the long haul. Stocks of such quality companies should generate market-beating returns if you hold them long enough.</p><p><blockquote>最近两年，<b>特斯拉</b>股价飙升超过1000%。两年前错过投资特斯拉的投资者可能会感到沮丧。但值得注意的是，很难预见能够产生特斯拉式回报的股票。最好的方法是投资于你认为长期表现良好的公司。如果你持有这些优质公司的股票足够长的时间，它们应该会产生跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Let's look at three&nbsp;electric vehicle (EV) stocks&nbsp;that have the potential to generate outsize returns in five years, or more.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看三只有潜力在五年或更长时间内产生巨额回报的电动汽车(EV)股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lucid Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid集团</b></blockquote></p><p> There is a plethora of electric vehicle stocks to choose from right now. Of these,<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)&nbsp;looks promising. There are several reasons to like Lucid Group. Users like the cars' features and designs, and within a short time, Lucid has succeeded in establishing itself as a luxury electric car brand.</p><p><blockquote>目前有太多电动汽车股票可供选择。其中，<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）看起来很有希望。喜欢Lucid Group有几个原因。用户喜欢这些汽车的功能和设计，在很短的时间内，Lucid成功地将自己打造成了豪华电动汽车品牌。</blockquote></p><p> The company not only boasts leading-edge EV technology, but also has&nbsp;solid growth plans. Though Lucid started as a luxury car maker, it has plans to launch EV models for the mass market in the coming years. With one of the most&nbsp;efficient EV technologies, Lucid can potentially generate recurring revenue by licensing its technology to other car companies.&nbsp;The stock will be&nbsp;included&nbsp;in the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq-100</b>&nbsp;index on Dec. 20.</p><p><blockquote>该公司不仅拥有领先的电动汽车技术，而且还有稳健的增长计划。尽管Lucid最初是一家豪华汽车制造商，但它计划在未来几年推出面向大众市场的电动汽车车型。凭借最高效的电动汽车技术之一，Lucid有可能通过将其技术授权给其他汽车公司来产生经常性收入。该股票将被纳入<b>纳斯达克100</b>12月20日指数。</blockquote></p><p> On the risk side, Lucid is still to prove that it can deliver cars profitably. Investors should also keep an eye on the progress of a&nbsp;recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation&nbsp;relating to its merger with Churchill Capital Corp. IV.</p><p><blockquote>在风险方面，Lucid仍需证明它可以盈利地交付汽车。投资者还应关注美国证券交易委员会（SEC）最近对其与Churchill Capital Corp.IV合并的调查进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0630d0ca5a26df1b8900958ace25117\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: LUCID GROUP.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：LUCID GROUP。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BYD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比亚迪</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 1995,<b>BYD</b>(OTC:BYDDY)(OTC:BYDD.F)&nbsp;entered the automobile business in 2003. Apart from automobiles, BYD manufactures mobile handset components, rechargeable batteries, and solar products.<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)&nbsp;holds a nearly 8% stake in BYD.</p><p><blockquote>成立于1995年，<b>比亚迪</b>（场外交易代码：比亚迪）（场外交易代码：BYDD.F）于2003年进入汽车业务。除汽车外，比亚迪还生产手机零部件、充电电池和太阳能产品。<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）持有比亚迪近8%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8e45b9379833fe0a8f6a1d482857a5\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1161\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BYD started as an internal combustion engine vehicle manufacturer. Yet, sensing the broader trend, it has quickly shifted to making electric vehicles. In November, more than 90% of BYD's vehicle deliveries were fully electric or plug-in hybrids. Sales of BYD's fully electric models rose 153% year over year in November.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪以内燃机汽车制造商起家。然而，意识到更广泛的趋势，它已迅速转向制造电动汽车。11月，比亚迪超过90%的汽车交付量是纯电动或插电式混合动力。比亚迪11月全电动车型销量同比增长153%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has captured roughly 18% of China's EV market. A leading position in the fast-growing, huge potential Chinese EV market places BYD well for long-term growth.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已占据中国电动汽车市场约18%的份额。比亚迪在快速增长、潜力巨大的中国电动汽车市场中处于领先地位，有利于长期增长。</blockquote></p><p> BYD stock trades at an&nbsp;attractive valuation&nbsp;compared to several top EV stocks right now. All of the above makes this&nbsp;Warren Buffett stock&nbsp;attractive.</p><p><blockquote>与目前几只顶级电动汽车股票相比，比亚迪股票的估值颇具吸引力。所有这些都使得沃伦·巴菲特的股票具有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>QuantumScape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>量子景观</b></blockquote></p><p> Batteries are a key component of electric vehicles. All leading auto and battery companies are focused on making batteries more efficient, which will help enhance an EV's range.<b>QuantumScape</b>(NYSE:QS), which went public in November 2020, is a battery start-up working on the next-generation battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>电池是电动汽车的关键部件。所有领先的汽车和电池公司都专注于提高电池效率，这将有助于提高电动汽车的续航里程。<b>量子景观</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：QS）于2020年11月上市，是一家致力于下一代电池技术的电池初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, lithium-ion batteries are used in electric vehicles. QuantumScape is developing lithium-metal solid-state batteries, using a proprietary ceramic separator. The company believes that its batteries will offer greater energy density, longer life, and faster charging than lithium-ion batteries currently in use.</p><p><blockquote>目前，锂离子电池用于电动汽车。QuantumScape正在开发锂金属固态电池，使用专有的陶瓷隔膜。该公司认为，与目前使用的锂离子电池相比，其电池将提供更大的能量密度、更长的寿命和更快的充电速度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c6ead4e5b8f1aaa74490058d439dbfa\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape has the backing of leading automaker&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY), which has invested $300 million into the battery technology company so far. The two companies have formed a joint venture for a production capacity of 21 gigawatt-hours per year. In September, QuantumScape entered an agreement for 10 megawatt-hours of batteries with another top ten automaker by revenue. The company didn't disclose the name of the automaker. All the above lend credibility to QuantumScape's plans. If successful, QuantumScape's batteries could see immense demand from automakers worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape得到领先汽车制造商的支持<b>大众汽车</b>（场外交易代码：VWAGY），迄今为止已向这家电池技术公司投资了3亿美元。两家公司成立了一家合资企业，产能为每年21吉瓦时。9月，QuantumScape与另一家收入排名前十的汽车制造商签订了10兆瓦时电池的协议。该公司没有透露汽车制造商的名称。以上所有这些都为QuantumScape的计划增添了可信度。如果成功，QuantumScape的电池可能会受到全球汽车制造商的巨大需求。</blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape believes it is progressing as per its plan to start commercial production in 2024. That's a long time and the company's batteries are not yet developed. Investors should&nbsp;bear the risks in mind&nbsp;before deciding to invest in QuantumScape stock.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape相信，它正在按照2024年开始商业生产的计划取得进展。那是很长一段时间了，而且该公司的电池还没有开发出来。投资者在决定投资QuantumScape股票之前应牢记风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Missed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMissed Out on Tesla? Here's What to Buy Now<blockquote>错过了特斯拉？这是现在要买的东西</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 11:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the last two years,<b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;stock has surged more than 1,000%. Investors who missed investing in Tesla two years back could be disheartened. Yet it is worth noting that it is difficult to foresee stocks that can generate Tesla-like returns. The best approach is to invest in companies that you believe can perform well in the long haul. Stocks of such quality companies should generate market-beating returns if you hold them long enough.</p><p><blockquote>最近两年，<b>特斯拉</b>股价飙升超过1000%。两年前错过投资特斯拉的投资者可能会感到沮丧。但值得注意的是，很难预见能够产生特斯拉式回报的股票。最好的方法是投资于你认为长期表现良好的公司。如果你持有这些优质公司的股票足够长的时间，它们应该会产生跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Let's look at three&nbsp;electric vehicle (EV) stocks&nbsp;that have the potential to generate outsize returns in five years, or more.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看三只有潜力在五年或更长时间内产生巨额回报的电动汽车(EV)股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lucid Group</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid集团</b></blockquote></p><p> There is a plethora of electric vehicle stocks to choose from right now. Of these,<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)&nbsp;looks promising. There are several reasons to like Lucid Group. Users like the cars' features and designs, and within a short time, Lucid has succeeded in establishing itself as a luxury electric car brand.</p><p><blockquote>目前有太多电动汽车股票可供选择。其中，<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）看起来很有希望。喜欢Lucid Group有几个原因。用户喜欢这些汽车的功能和设计，在很短的时间内，Lucid成功地将自己打造成了豪华电动汽车品牌。</blockquote></p><p> The company not only boasts leading-edge EV technology, but also has&nbsp;solid growth plans. Though Lucid started as a luxury car maker, it has plans to launch EV models for the mass market in the coming years. With one of the most&nbsp;efficient EV technologies, Lucid can potentially generate recurring revenue by licensing its technology to other car companies.&nbsp;The stock will be&nbsp;included&nbsp;in the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq-100</b>&nbsp;index on Dec. 20.</p><p><blockquote>该公司不仅拥有领先的电动汽车技术，而且还有稳健的增长计划。尽管Lucid最初是一家豪华汽车制造商，但它计划在未来几年推出面向大众市场的电动汽车车型。凭借最高效的电动汽车技术之一，Lucid有可能通过将其技术授权给其他汽车公司来产生经常性收入。该股票将被纳入<b>纳斯达克100</b>12月20日指数。</blockquote></p><p> On the risk side, Lucid is still to prove that it can deliver cars profitably. Investors should also keep an eye on the progress of a&nbsp;recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation&nbsp;relating to its merger with Churchill Capital Corp. IV.</p><p><blockquote>在风险方面，Lucid仍需证明它可以盈利地交付汽车。投资者还应关注美国证券交易委员会（SEC）最近对其与Churchill Capital Corp.IV合并的调查进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0630d0ca5a26df1b8900958ace25117\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1327\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: LUCID GROUP.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：LUCID GROUP。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>BYD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比亚迪</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 1995,<b>BYD</b>(OTC:BYDDY)(OTC:BYDD.F)&nbsp;entered the automobile business in 2003. Apart from automobiles, BYD manufactures mobile handset components, rechargeable batteries, and solar products.<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)&nbsp;holds a nearly 8% stake in BYD.</p><p><blockquote>成立于1995年，<b>比亚迪</b>（场外交易代码：比亚迪）（场外交易代码：BYDD.F）于2003年进入汽车业务。除汽车外，比亚迪还生产手机零部件、充电电池和太阳能产品。<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）持有比亚迪近8%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8e45b9379833fe0a8f6a1d482857a5\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1161\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BYD started as an internal combustion engine vehicle manufacturer. Yet, sensing the broader trend, it has quickly shifted to making electric vehicles. In November, more than 90% of BYD's vehicle deliveries were fully electric or plug-in hybrids. Sales of BYD's fully electric models rose 153% year over year in November.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪以内燃机汽车制造商起家。然而，意识到更广泛的趋势，它已迅速转向制造电动汽车。11月，比亚迪超过90%的汽车交付量是纯电动或插电式混合动力。比亚迪11月全电动车型销量同比增长153%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has captured roughly 18% of China's EV market. A leading position in the fast-growing, huge potential Chinese EV market places BYD well for long-term growth.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已占据中国电动汽车市场约18%的份额。比亚迪在快速增长、潜力巨大的中国电动汽车市场中处于领先地位，有利于长期增长。</blockquote></p><p> BYD stock trades at an&nbsp;attractive valuation&nbsp;compared to several top EV stocks right now. All of the above makes this&nbsp;Warren Buffett stock&nbsp;attractive.</p><p><blockquote>与目前几只顶级电动汽车股票相比，比亚迪股票的估值颇具吸引力。所有这些都使得沃伦·巴菲特的股票具有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>QuantumScape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>量子景观</b></blockquote></p><p> Batteries are a key component of electric vehicles. All leading auto and battery companies are focused on making batteries more efficient, which will help enhance an EV's range.<b>QuantumScape</b>(NYSE:QS), which went public in November 2020, is a battery start-up working on the next-generation battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>电池是电动汽车的关键部件。所有领先的汽车和电池公司都专注于提高电池效率，这将有助于提高电动汽车的续航里程。<b>量子景观</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：QS）于2020年11月上市，是一家致力于下一代电池技术的电池初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, lithium-ion batteries are used in electric vehicles. QuantumScape is developing lithium-metal solid-state batteries, using a proprietary ceramic separator. The company believes that its batteries will offer greater energy density, longer life, and faster charging than lithium-ion batteries currently in use.</p><p><blockquote>目前，锂离子电池用于电动汽车。QuantumScape正在开发锂金属固态电池，使用专有的陶瓷隔膜。该公司认为，与目前使用的锂离子电池相比，其电池将提供更大的能量密度、更长的寿命和更快的充电速度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c6ead4e5b8f1aaa74490058d439dbfa\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape has the backing of leading automaker&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY), which has invested $300 million into the battery technology company so far. The two companies have formed a joint venture for a production capacity of 21 gigawatt-hours per year. In September, QuantumScape entered an agreement for 10 megawatt-hours of batteries with another top ten automaker by revenue. The company didn't disclose the name of the automaker. All the above lend credibility to QuantumScape's plans. If successful, QuantumScape's batteries could see immense demand from automakers worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape得到领先汽车制造商的支持<b>大众汽车</b>（场外交易代码：VWAGY），迄今为止已向这家电池技术公司投资了3亿美元。两家公司成立了一家合资企业，产能为每年21吉瓦时。9月，QuantumScape与另一家收入排名前十的汽车制造商签订了10兆瓦时电池的协议。该公司没有透露汽车制造商的名称。以上所有这些都为QuantumScape的计划增添了可信度。如果成功，QuantumScape的电池可能会受到全球汽车制造商的巨大需求。</blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape believes it is progressing as per its plan to start commercial production in 2024. That's a long time and the company's batteries are not yet developed. Investors should&nbsp;bear the risks in mind&nbsp;before deciding to invest in QuantumScape stock.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape相信，它正在按照2024年开始商业生产的计划取得进展。那是很长一段时间了，而且该公司的电池还没有开发出来。投资者在决定投资QuantumScape股票之前应牢记风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/missed-out-on-tesla-heres-what-to-buy-now/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","01211":"比亚迪股份","BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","QS":"Quantumscape Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/missed-out-on-tesla-heres-what-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115262079","content_text":"In the last two years,Tesla stock has surged more than 1,000%. Investors who missed investing in Tesla two years back could be disheartened. Yet it is worth noting that it is difficult to foresee stocks that can generate Tesla-like returns. The best approach is to invest in companies that you believe can perform well in the long haul. Stocks of such quality companies should generate market-beating returns if you hold them long enough.\nLet's look at three electric vehicle (EV) stocks that have the potential to generate outsize returns in five years, or more.\nLucid Group\nThere is a plethora of electric vehicle stocks to choose from right now. Of these,Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID) looks promising. There are several reasons to like Lucid Group. Users like the cars' features and designs, and within a short time, Lucid has succeeded in establishing itself as a luxury electric car brand.\nThe company not only boasts leading-edge EV technology, but also has solid growth plans. Though Lucid started as a luxury car maker, it has plans to launch EV models for the mass market in the coming years. With one of the most efficient EV technologies, Lucid can potentially generate recurring revenue by licensing its technology to other car companies. The stock will be included in the Nasdaq-100 index on Dec. 20.\nOn the risk side, Lucid is still to prove that it can deliver cars profitably. Investors should also keep an eye on the progress of a recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigation relating to its merger with Churchill Capital Corp. IV.\nIMAGE SOURCE: LUCID GROUP.\nBYD\nFounded in 1995,BYD(OTC:BYDDY)(OTC:BYDD.F) entered the automobile business in 2003. Apart from automobiles, BYD manufactures mobile handset components, rechargeable batteries, and solar products.Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) holds a nearly 8% stake in BYD.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nBYD started as an internal combustion engine vehicle manufacturer. Yet, sensing the broader trend, it has quickly shifted to making electric vehicles. In November, more than 90% of BYD's vehicle deliveries were fully electric or plug-in hybrids. Sales of BYD's fully electric models rose 153% year over year in November.\nThe company has captured roughly 18% of China's EV market. A leading position in the fast-growing, huge potential Chinese EV market places BYD well for long-term growth.\nBYD stock trades at an attractive valuation compared to several top EV stocks right now. All of the above makes this Warren Buffett stock attractive.\nQuantumScape\nBatteries are a key component of electric vehicles. All leading auto and battery companies are focused on making batteries more efficient, which will help enhance an EV's range.QuantumScape(NYSE:QS), which went public in November 2020, is a battery start-up working on the next-generation battery technology.\nCurrently, lithium-ion batteries are used in electric vehicles. QuantumScape is developing lithium-metal solid-state batteries, using a proprietary ceramic separator. The company believes that its batteries will offer greater energy density, longer life, and faster charging than lithium-ion batteries currently in use.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nQuantumScape has the backing of leading automaker Volkswagen(OTC:VWAGY), which has invested $300 million into the battery technology company so far. The two companies have formed a joint venture for a production capacity of 21 gigawatt-hours per year. In September, QuantumScape entered an agreement for 10 megawatt-hours of batteries with another top ten automaker by revenue. The company didn't disclose the name of the automaker. All the above lend credibility to QuantumScape's plans. If successful, QuantumScape's batteries could see immense demand from automakers worldwide.\nQuantumScape believes it is progressing as per its plan to start commercial production in 2024. That's a long time and the company's batteries are not yet developed. Investors should bear the risks in mind before deciding to invest in QuantumScape stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01211":0.9,"QS":0.9,"BYDDY":0.9,"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859063856,"gmtCreate":1634640209013,"gmtModify":1634640209154,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Important to note","listText":"Important to note","text":"Important to note","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859063856","repostId":"1190293066","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842299313,"gmtCreate":1636177315754,"gmtModify":1636177315855,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Important for chip makers too","listText":"Important for chip makers too","text":"Important for chip makers too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842299313","repostId":"2181742831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826263714,"gmtCreate":1634026367386,"gmtModify":1634026367437,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826263714","repostId":"2174854361","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":884775061,"gmtCreate":1631938213053,"gmtModify":1632805190700,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How does this affect the ability to go \"endemic\"&nbsp;","listText":"How does this affect the ability to go \"endemic\"&nbsp;","text":"How does this affect the ability to go \"endemic\"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884775061","repostId":"2168574191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":693359437,"gmtCreate":1639975133843,"gmtModify":1639975133949,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So what happened then?&nbsp;","listText":"So what happened then?&nbsp;","text":"So what happened then?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693359437","repostId":"1151315099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151315099","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639956674,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151315099?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 07:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151315099","media":"Barrons","summary":"Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in Chi","content":"<p>Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）于美国东部时间周六上午在中国为购车者和投资者举办了一场活动。宣布了将于2022年交付的全新车型。蔚来在其汽车中采用的技术也值得一看。甚至还有增强现实眼镜——就像《复仇者联盟》电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p> The new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.</p><p><blockquote>新车是ET5中型轿车。这是一款高端型号，起价约为50,000美元。通过蔚来的电池即服务订阅，初始购买价格约为40,000美元。蔚来将让购车者按月支付费用，本质上是将购买电池与购买汽车分开。</blockquote></p><p> The new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.</p><p><blockquote>这款新轿车大约有500马力，可以在大约4秒内从零加速到60英里/小时。它每次充电应该可以行驶430英里，这是一个很大的数字，尽管中国和美国的续航里程统计数据不同。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>ET5还配备了包括激光雷达传感器在内的先进安全功能。</blockquote></p><p> Lidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.</p><p><blockquote>激光雷达本质上是基于激光的雷达，大多数汽车制造商认为激光雷达是实现真正自动驾驶技术所需的技术之一。ET5还配备了该公司最新的自动驾驶软件。蔚来自动驾驶或NAD，作为该公司的评级，将保持驾驶速度并进行一些转向，但驾驶员仍然需要时刻关注道路。</blockquote></p><p> All the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;(NVDA) chips.</p><p><blockquote>所有用于自动驾驶的软件以及运行其他汽车系统的软件都运行在由Nvidia(NVDA)芯片驱动的计算机上。</blockquote></p><p> Then there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.</p><p><blockquote>然后是眼镜。蔚来推出了与汽车集成的增强现实眼镜。“视觉体验堪比6米外201英寸屏幕”，蔚来创始人William Li表示。眼镜可以显示车辆信息。司机不必低头检查速度。这副眼镜赢得了聚集人群的掌声。</blockquote></p><p> NIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来计划在2022年9月之前交付ET5。该公司还提供了有关其新款ET7轿车的最新信息。该型号将于2022年3月开始交付。ET7于2021年1月在该公司的最后一次大型活动中亮相。</blockquote></p><p> NIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng&nbsp;(XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>1月份事件发生后的周一，蔚来股价上涨6.5%，至每股60美元以上，现在可能需要再次上涨。蔚来股价上个月下跌22%至30美元。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数同期分别下跌约2%和1%。蔚来第三季度盈利良好。盈利和交付量似乎并不是最困扰投资者的。小鹏汽车(XPEV)股价在过去一个月下跌了12%。</blockquote></p><p> How the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>该股对新车型、新技术和拟议交付日期的反应将在很大程度上反映未来几周投资者对高估值电动汽车制造商和在美国上市的中国股票的情绪。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘NIO Day’ Featured a New EV and AR Goggles. Will They Be Enough to Boost the Hard Hit Stock?<blockquote>“蔚来日”推出了新的电动汽车和AR护目镜。它们是否足以提振遭受重创的股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 07:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese electric vehicle maker&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）于美国东部时间周六上午在中国为购车者和投资者举办了一场活动。宣布了将于2022年交付的全新车型。蔚来在其汽车中采用的技术也值得一看。甚至还有增强现实眼镜——就像《复仇者联盟》电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p> The new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.</p><p><blockquote>新车是ET5中型轿车。这是一款高端型号，起价约为50,000美元。通过蔚来的电池即服务订阅，初始购买价格约为40,000美元。蔚来将让购车者按月支付费用，本质上是将购买电池与购买汽车分开。</blockquote></p><p> The new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.</p><p><blockquote>这款新轿车大约有500马力，可以在大约4秒内从零加速到60英里/小时。它每次充电应该可以行驶430英里，这是一个很大的数字，尽管中国和美国的续航里程统计数据不同。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>ET5还配备了包括激光雷达传感器在内的先进安全功能。</blockquote></p><p> Lidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.</p><p><blockquote>激光雷达本质上是基于激光的雷达，大多数汽车制造商认为激光雷达是实现真正自动驾驶技术所需的技术之一。ET5还配备了该公司最新的自动驾驶软件。蔚来自动驾驶或NAD，作为该公司的评级，将保持驾驶速度并进行一些转向，但驾驶员仍然需要时刻关注道路。</blockquote></p><p> All the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;(NVDA) chips.</p><p><blockquote>所有用于自动驾驶的软件以及运行其他汽车系统的软件都运行在由Nvidia(NVDA)芯片驱动的计算机上。</blockquote></p><p> Then there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.</p><p><blockquote>然后是眼镜。蔚来推出了与汽车集成的增强现实眼镜。“视觉体验堪比6米外201英寸屏幕”，蔚来创始人William Li表示。眼镜可以显示车辆信息。司机不必低头检查速度。这副眼镜赢得了聚集人群的掌声。</blockquote></p><p> NIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来计划在2022年9月之前交付ET5。该公司还提供了有关其新款ET7轿车的最新信息。该型号将于2022年3月开始交付。ET7于2021年1月在该公司的最后一次大型活动中亮相。</blockquote></p><p> NIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng&nbsp;(XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>1月份事件发生后的周一，蔚来股价上涨6.5%，至每股60美元以上，现在可能需要再次上涨。蔚来股价上个月下跌22%至30美元。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数同期分别下跌约2%和1%。蔚来第三季度盈利良好。盈利和交付量似乎并不是最困扰投资者的。小鹏汽车(XPEV)股价在过去一个月下跌了12%。</blockquote></p><p> How the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>该股对新车型、新技术和拟议交付日期的反应将在很大程度上反映未来几周投资者对高估值电动汽车制造商和在美国上市的中国股票的情绪。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-discussion-51639835281?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-stock-discussion-51639835281?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151315099","content_text":"Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (ticker: NIO) hosted an event for car buyers—and investors—in China on Saturday morning Eastern time. A brand new model, to be delivered in 2022, was announced. And the technology NIO is packing into its cars is something to behold. There are even augmented reality glasses—like something out of an Avengers movie.\nThe new vehicle is the ET5 midsize sedan. It’s a higher-end model starting at about $50,000. With NIO’s battery as a service subscription, the initial purchase price is about $40,000. NIO will let car buyers pay a monthly fee, essentially, separating the battery purchase from the car purchase.\nThe new sedan comes with roughly 500 horsepower and will go zero to 60 miles an hour in about 4 seconds. It should be able to drive up to 430 miles per charge, a big number although Chinese and U.S. range statistics are reported differently.\nThe ET5 is also equipped with advanced safety features including lidar sensors.\nLidar is essentially laser-based radar and most auto makers believe lidar is one of the technologies required to achieve truly self-driving technology. The ET5 also comes equipped with the company’s latest self-driving software. NIO Autonomous Driving or NAD, as the company calls it, will maintain driving speeds and do some steering, but drivers still need to pay attention to the road at all times.\nAll the software for self-driving—and the software running other car systems—runs on a computer powered by Nvidia (NVDA) chips.\nThen there are the glasses. NIO unveiled augmented reality glasses that are integrated with the car. “The visual experience is as good as a 201-inch screen at 6 meters away,” said NIO founder William Li. The glasses can display vehicle information. Drivers won’t have to look down to check speed. The glasses drew applause from the assembled crowd.\nNIO plans to deliver the ET5 by September 2022. The company also provided an update about its new ET7 sedan. Deliveries of that model should begin in March 2022. The ET7 was unveiled at the company’s last big event in January 2021.\nNIO stock jumped 6.5% to more than $60 a share the Monday following that January event—and it could use another bump now. NIO stock has fallen 22% over the last month to $30. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are down about 2% and 1% over the same span. NIO’s third-quarter earnings were fine. Earnings and deliveries don’t seem to be what’s troubling investors most.XPeng (XPEV) shares are down 12% over the past month.\nHow the stock reacts to the new model, new technology and proposed delivery dates will say a lot about investor sentiment toward highly valued EV makers and U.S.-listed Chinese stocks in the coming weeks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699507006,"gmtCreate":1639830376705,"gmtModify":1639830376803,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals","listText":"Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals","text":"Unclear why to hold tho, what are the fundamentals","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699507006","repostId":"1109895138","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109895138","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639810699,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109895138?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 14:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109895138","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Globant may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>Globant</b></a>&nbsp;may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to grab your attention. After all, IT consulting isn't the most groundbreaking business model. But this stock is up 380% over the past three years, crushing the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>, and that outperformance could continue in the future.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>全球</b></a>对于许多投资者来说，这可能不是一个熟悉的名字，乍一看，这家公司可能无法吸引你的注意力。毕竟，IT咨询并不是最具开创性的商业模式。但这只股票在过去三年里上涨了380%，粉碎了<b>标普500</b>，这种优异的表现在未来可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Globant employs over 20,500&nbsp;IT professionals with expertise in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and the metaverse. To that end, the founder-led management team has positioned Globant as a key enabler of digital transformation, meaning the company benefits from a massive and growing market opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>Globant雇佣了20,500多名IT专业人员，他们在人工智能、增强现实和元宇宙等新兴技术方面拥有专业知识。为此，创始人领导的管理团队将Globant定位为数字化转型的关键推动者，这意味着该公司受益于巨大且不断增长的市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trevor Jennewine:</b>&nbsp;Globant comes to mind when I think about companies with great management. Globant was founded by four friends in Latin America in 2003. One of those four people was the current CEO, Martin Migoya.</p><p><blockquote><b>特雷弗·詹纽文：</b>当我想到拥有出色管理的公司时，我就会想到Globant。Globant由拉丁美洲的四个朋友于2003年创立。这四个人中的一个是现任首席执行官马丁·米戈亚。</blockquote></p><p> Globant specializes in IT consulting and product engineering. The company's expertise spans the gamut of trendy technologies, from blockchain and artificial intelligence to data analytics and augmented reality. In a nutshell, Globant essentially helps organizations achieve their digital transformation initiatives. It has customers like<b>Electronic Arts</b>,<b>MercadoLibre</b>, [<b>Alphabet</b>'s] Google,<b>Walt Disney</b>. This is a big market -- digital transformation is a pretty popular buzzword right now. The company puts its addressable market at $154 billion by 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Globant专门从事IT咨询和产品工程。该公司的专业知识涵盖了从区块链和人工智能到数据分析和增强现实的所有潮流技术。简而言之，Globant本质上是帮助组织实现其数字化转型计划。它的客户喜欢<b>电子艺界</b>,<b>自由市场</b>,[<b>Alphabet</b>的]谷歌，<b>迪斯尼</b>.这是一个很大的市场——数字化转型现在是一个非常流行的流行语。该公司预计，到2022年，其潜在市场将达到1540亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Some of those things I mentioned earlier, I like that you have this founder-led management team. If you look at Glassdoor, it appears that there's a strong workplace culture: 93% of people would recommend the company to a friend, 96% of people approve of the CEO. I think that's especially important for a consulting company. Globant's business is built around helping organizations implement and scale new technologies, operate more efficiently, improve the customer experience. That's going to be difficult if your employees don't like coming to work every day.</p><p><blockquote>我之前提到的一些事情，我喜欢你有这个创始人领导的管理团队。如果你看看Glassdoor，似乎有一种强大的工作场所文化：93%的人会向朋友推荐这家公司，96%的人认可首席执行官。我认为这对于咨询公司来说尤其重要。Globant的业务围绕帮助组织实施和扩展新技术、提高运营效率、改善客户体验而构建。如果你的员工不喜欢每天来上班，那就很难了。</blockquote></p><p> Then, the company's has also received some recognition that speak to the success that it's having. Globant is one of the top five fastest-growing engineering services companies based on a report from Everest Group. It's also a leader and customer experience improvement services based on a report from the International Data Corporation.</p><p><blockquote>然后，该公司也获得了一些认可，这说明了它所取得的成功。根据Everest Group的一份报告，Globant是增长最快的五大工程服务公司之一。根据国际数据公司的一份报告，它也是一项领导者和客户体验改善服务。</blockquote></p><p> The financial results look great here, too. Over the last year, $1.2 billion in revenue up 50%; $2.07 per diluted share on the bottom line, up 64%. They also have over 1,000 customers now. They grew their customer base 14%. But the customers spending over $1 million, they have 162 of those customers now -- that's up 37%. It's nice to see them ramping spend from their customer base there.</p><p><blockquote>这里的财务业绩看起来也很好。去年，12亿美元的收入增长了50%；摊薄后每股盈利2.07美元，增长64%。他们现在也有1000多名客户。他们的客户群增长了14%。但是消费超过100万美元的客户，他们现在有162个这样的客户，增长了37%。很高兴看到他们增加了那里客户群的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Then between 2022 and 2024, according to the International Data Corporation, enterprises around the world will spend $6.3 trillion on the digital transformation initiatives. This is just a massive market opportunity. I think having that founder CEO there, I think he's really taken the company in a good direction. That gives me a lot of confidence in Globant going forward.</p><p><blockquote>根据国际数据公司的数据，2022年至2024年间，全球企业将在数字化转型计划上花费6.3万亿美元。这只是一个巨大的市场机会。我认为有了这位创始人兼首席执行官，我认为他确实将公司引向了一个好的方向。这让我对Globant的未来充满信心。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Surefire Growth Stock to Buy and Hold<blockquote>1只值得买入并持有的万无一失的成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 14:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>Globant</b></a>&nbsp;may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to grab your attention. After all, IT consulting isn't the most groundbreaking business model. But this stock is up 380% over the past three years, crushing the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>, and that outperformance could continue in the future.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLOB\"><b>全球</b></a>对于许多投资者来说，这可能不是一个熟悉的名字，乍一看，这家公司可能无法吸引你的注意力。毕竟，IT咨询并不是最具开创性的商业模式。但这只股票在过去三年里上涨了380%，粉碎了<b>标普500</b>，这种优异的表现在未来可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Globant employs over 20,500&nbsp;IT professionals with expertise in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and the metaverse. To that end, the founder-led management team has positioned Globant as a key enabler of digital transformation, meaning the company benefits from a massive and growing market opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>Globant雇佣了20,500多名IT专业人员，他们在人工智能、增强现实和元宇宙等新兴技术方面拥有专业知识。为此，创始人领导的管理团队将Globant定位为数字化转型的关键推动者，这意味着该公司受益于巨大且不断增长的市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trevor Jennewine:</b>&nbsp;Globant comes to mind when I think about companies with great management. Globant was founded by four friends in Latin America in 2003. One of those four people was the current CEO, Martin Migoya.</p><p><blockquote><b>特雷弗·詹纽文：</b>当我想到拥有出色管理的公司时，我就会想到Globant。Globant由拉丁美洲的四个朋友于2003年创立。这四个人中的一个是现任首席执行官马丁·米戈亚。</blockquote></p><p> Globant specializes in IT consulting and product engineering. The company's expertise spans the gamut of trendy technologies, from blockchain and artificial intelligence to data analytics and augmented reality. In a nutshell, Globant essentially helps organizations achieve their digital transformation initiatives. It has customers like<b>Electronic Arts</b>,<b>MercadoLibre</b>, [<b>Alphabet</b>'s] Google,<b>Walt Disney</b>. This is a big market -- digital transformation is a pretty popular buzzword right now. The company puts its addressable market at $154 billion by 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Globant专门从事IT咨询和产品工程。该公司的专业知识涵盖了从区块链和人工智能到数据分析和增强现实的所有潮流技术。简而言之，Globant本质上是帮助组织实现其数字化转型计划。它的客户喜欢<b>电子艺界</b>,<b>自由市场</b>,[<b>Alphabet</b>的]谷歌，<b>迪斯尼</b>.这是一个很大的市场——数字化转型现在是一个非常流行的流行语。该公司预计，到2022年，其潜在市场将达到1540亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Some of those things I mentioned earlier, I like that you have this founder-led management team. If you look at Glassdoor, it appears that there's a strong workplace culture: 93% of people would recommend the company to a friend, 96% of people approve of the CEO. I think that's especially important for a consulting company. Globant's business is built around helping organizations implement and scale new technologies, operate more efficiently, improve the customer experience. That's going to be difficult if your employees don't like coming to work every day.</p><p><blockquote>我之前提到的一些事情，我喜欢你有这个创始人领导的管理团队。如果你看看Glassdoor，似乎有一种强大的工作场所文化：93%的人会向朋友推荐这家公司，96%的人认可首席执行官。我认为这对于咨询公司来说尤其重要。Globant的业务围绕帮助组织实施和扩展新技术、提高运营效率、改善客户体验而构建。如果你的员工不喜欢每天来上班，那就很难了。</blockquote></p><p> Then, the company's has also received some recognition that speak to the success that it's having. Globant is one of the top five fastest-growing engineering services companies based on a report from Everest Group. It's also a leader and customer experience improvement services based on a report from the International Data Corporation.</p><p><blockquote>然后，该公司也获得了一些认可，这说明了它所取得的成功。根据Everest Group的一份报告，Globant是增长最快的五大工程服务公司之一。根据国际数据公司的一份报告，它也是一项领导者和客户体验改善服务。</blockquote></p><p> The financial results look great here, too. Over the last year, $1.2 billion in revenue up 50%; $2.07 per diluted share on the bottom line, up 64%. They also have over 1,000 customers now. They grew their customer base 14%. But the customers spending over $1 million, they have 162 of those customers now -- that's up 37%. It's nice to see them ramping spend from their customer base there.</p><p><blockquote>这里的财务业绩看起来也很好。去年，12亿美元的收入增长了50%；摊薄后每股盈利2.07美元，增长64%。他们现在也有1000多名客户。他们的客户群增长了14%。但是消费超过100万美元的客户，他们现在有162个这样的客户，增长了37%。很高兴看到他们增加了那里客户群的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Then between 2022 and 2024, according to the International Data Corporation, enterprises around the world will spend $6.3 trillion on the digital transformation initiatives. This is just a massive market opportunity. I think having that founder CEO there, I think he's really taken the company in a good direction. That gives me a lot of confidence in Globant going forward.</p><p><blockquote>根据国际数据公司的数据，2022年至2024年间，全球企业将在数字化转型计划上花费6.3万亿美元。这只是一个巨大的市场机会。我认为有了这位创始人兼首席执行官，我认为他确实将公司引向了一个好的方向。这让我对Globant的未来充满信心。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/1-surefire-growth-stock-to-buy-and-hold/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GLOB":"Globant"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/17/1-surefire-growth-stock-to-buy-and-hold/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109895138","content_text":"Globant may not be a familiar name to many investors, and at first glance, this company may fail to grab your attention. After all, IT consulting isn't the most groundbreaking business model. But this stock is up 380% over the past three years, crushing the S&P 500, and that outperformance could continue in the future.\nGlobant employs over 20,500 IT professionals with expertise in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and the metaverse. To that end, the founder-led management team has positioned Globant as a key enabler of digital transformation, meaning the company benefits from a massive and growing market opportunity.\nTrevor Jennewine: Globant comes to mind when I think about companies with great management. Globant was founded by four friends in Latin America in 2003. One of those four people was the current CEO, Martin Migoya.\nGlobant specializes in IT consulting and product engineering. The company's expertise spans the gamut of trendy technologies, from blockchain and artificial intelligence to data analytics and augmented reality. In a nutshell, Globant essentially helps organizations achieve their digital transformation initiatives. It has customers likeElectronic Arts,MercadoLibre, [Alphabet's] Google,Walt Disney. This is a big market -- digital transformation is a pretty popular buzzword right now. The company puts its addressable market at $154 billion by 2022.\nSome of those things I mentioned earlier, I like that you have this founder-led management team. If you look at Glassdoor, it appears that there's a strong workplace culture: 93% of people would recommend the company to a friend, 96% of people approve of the CEO. I think that's especially important for a consulting company. Globant's business is built around helping organizations implement and scale new technologies, operate more efficiently, improve the customer experience. That's going to be difficult if your employees don't like coming to work every day.\nThen, the company's has also received some recognition that speak to the success that it's having. Globant is one of the top five fastest-growing engineering services companies based on a report from Everest Group. It's also a leader and customer experience improvement services based on a report from the International Data Corporation.\nThe financial results look great here, too. Over the last year, $1.2 billion in revenue up 50%; $2.07 per diluted share on the bottom line, up 64%. They also have over 1,000 customers now. They grew their customer base 14%. But the customers spending over $1 million, they have 162 of those customers now -- that's up 37%. It's nice to see them ramping spend from their customer base there.\nThen between 2022 and 2024, according to the International Data Corporation, enterprises around the world will spend $6.3 trillion on the digital transformation initiatives. This is just a massive market opportunity. I think having that founder CEO there, I think he's really taken the company in a good direction. That gives me a lot of confidence in Globant going forward.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GLOB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865650012,"gmtCreate":1632979030314,"gmtModify":1632979050707,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865650012","repostId":"2171300933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885169846,"gmtCreate":1631765575485,"gmtModify":1631889324857,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885169846","repostId":"1179133148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179133148","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631757764,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179133148?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong biotech company Prenetics to go public via $1.7 billion SPAC deal<blockquote>香港生物科技公司Prenetics将通过17亿美元的SPAC交易上市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179133148","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Hong Kong biotech company Prenetics will go public through a merger agreement with Artis","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Hong Kong biotech company Prenetics will go public through a merger agreement with Artisan Acquisition, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), valuing the combined company at $1.7 billion, they said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-香港生物技术公司Prenetics在一份声明中表示，将通过与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)Artisan Acquisition的合并协议上市，合并后的公司估值为17亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The transaction values Prenetics at an enterprise value of $1.25 billion with a combined equity value of approximately $1.7 billion, making Prenetics the first unicorn from Hong Kong to be publicly listed in any market,” the companies said in a joint statement late on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在周三晚间的一份联合声明中表示：“此次交易对Prenetics的企业价值为12.5亿美元，股权总价值约为17亿美元，使Prenetics成为第一家在任何市场公开上市的香港独角兽。”</blockquote></p><p> The combined company will be traded on the Nasdaq and Prenetics will receive proceeds of up to $459 million in cash, the companies added.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司补充说，合并后的公司将在纳斯达克上市，Prenetics将获得高达4.59亿美元的现金收益。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2021 or the first quarter of 2022, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，该交易预计将于2021年第四季度或2022年第一季度完成。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong biotech company Prenetics to go public via $1.7 billion SPAC deal<blockquote>香港生物科技公司Prenetics将通过17亿美元的SPAC交易上市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong biotech company Prenetics to go public via $1.7 billion SPAC deal<blockquote>香港生物科技公司Prenetics将通过17亿美元的SPAC交易上市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-16 10:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Hong Kong biotech company Prenetics will go public through a merger agreement with Artisan Acquisition, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), valuing the combined company at $1.7 billion, they said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-香港生物技术公司Prenetics在一份声明中表示，将通过与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)Artisan Acquisition的合并协议上市，合并后的公司估值为17亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The transaction values Prenetics at an enterprise value of $1.25 billion with a combined equity value of approximately $1.7 billion, making Prenetics the first unicorn from Hong Kong to be publicly listed in any market,” the companies said in a joint statement late on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在周三晚间的一份联合声明中表示：“此次交易对Prenetics的企业价值为12.5亿美元，股权总价值约为17亿美元，使Prenetics成为第一家在任何市场公开上市的香港独角兽。”</blockquote></p><p> The combined company will be traded on the Nasdaq and Prenetics will receive proceeds of up to $459 million in cash, the companies added.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司补充说，合并后的公司将在纳斯达克上市，Prenetics将获得高达4.59亿美元的现金收益。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2021 or the first quarter of 2022, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，该交易预计将于2021年第四季度或2022年第一季度完成。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/prenetics-ipo/hong-kong-biotech-company-prenetics-to-go-public-via-1-7-bln-spac-deal-idUSL4N2QI0BD\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/prenetics-ipo/hong-kong-biotech-company-prenetics-to-go-public-via-1-7-bln-spac-deal-idUSL4N2QI0BD","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179133148","content_text":"(Reuters) - Hong Kong biotech company Prenetics will go public through a merger agreement with Artisan Acquisition, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), valuing the combined company at $1.7 billion, they said in a statement.\n“The transaction values Prenetics at an enterprise value of $1.25 billion with a combined equity value of approximately $1.7 billion, making Prenetics the first unicorn from Hong Kong to be publicly listed in any market,” the companies said in a joint statement late on Wednesday.\nThe combined company will be traded on the Nasdaq and Prenetics will receive proceeds of up to $459 million in cash, the companies added.\nThe deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2021 or the first quarter of 2022, they said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARTA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":856946049,"gmtCreate":1635145862855,"gmtModify":1635145863008,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?&nbsp;","listText":"How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?&nbsp;","text":"How does this affect the stocks of the larger infrastructure?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856946049","repostId":"2178449818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827072841,"gmtCreate":1634380655025,"gmtModify":1634380655132,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow that's great&nbsp;","listText":"Wow that's great&nbsp;","text":"Wow that's great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827072841","repostId":"1163053361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163053361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634310263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163053361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 23:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163053361","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.\nApple is making huge str","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.</li>  <li>Apple is making huge strides in the European as well as international markets.</li>  <li>As iPhones sell, so will AirPods, Apple Watches, and Apple services such as Music and Arcade.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果的市盈率低于同行和纳斯达克。</li><li>苹果在欧洲和国际市场上都取得了巨大的进步。</li><li>随着iPhone的销售，AirPods、苹果手表以及音乐和街机等苹果服务也将随之销售。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) is the largest company in the world by market cap. While large-cap stocks like Apple are usually close to fair value, Apple makes a compelling case. Arguably the best investor of all time, Warren Buffet has invested over 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A)(BRK.B)&nbsp;portfolio in Apple stock. So I decided that there must be some value proposition here. After a throughout look, I came to the same conclusion as Warren Buffet. Apple stock is an excellent buy.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是全球市值最大的公司。虽然像苹果这样的大盘股通常接近公允价值，但苹果提出了令人信服的理由。沃伦·巴菲特可以说是有史以来最好的投资者，他将伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(BRK.A)(BRK.B)投资组合的40%以上投资于苹果股票。所以我决定这里一定有一些价值主张。看了一遍之后，我得出了和沃伦·巴菲特一样的结论。苹果股票非常值得买入。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's potential on a global scale has not been adequately factored into the share price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在全球范围内的潜力尚未充分纳入股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Current Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当前估值</b></blockquote></p><p> To understand if something is undervalued, we first need to understand its current valuation. To do so, I will briefly compare it to some similar stocks in both PE and P/FCF.</p><p><blockquote>要了解某样东西是否被低估，我们首先需要了解它当前的估值。为此，我将将其与PE和P/FCF方面的一些类似股票进行简要比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3ac38cd59cd1890bbbab0bc6c0dee9d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Apple is valued at lower PE and P/FCF multiples than similar companies Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). It is also trading at a lower PE ratio than the Nasdaq index (29.25).</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，苹果的市盈率和市盈率/自由现金流倍数低于类似公司微软（MSFT）和Alphabet（GOOGL）。它的市盈率也低于纳斯达克指数（29.25）。</blockquote></p><p> This establishes that Apple is not being valued at a premium to reflect the massive opportunity they have with international expansion.</p><p><blockquote>这表明苹果的估值并没有反映出他们在国际扩张中拥有的巨大机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple In The US</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国的苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me and from America, it may seem like everyone that wants an iPhone has one. There is a good chance you are even reading this article on Apple's signature OLED screen.</p><p><blockquote>如果你像我一样来自美国，似乎每个想要iPhone的人都有一部。很有可能你正在苹果标志性的有机发光二极管屏幕上阅读这篇文章。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e50a9091d291ea4b8efb3d37d00ad68\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's market share in the US has been growing by low single-digit percentages since 2015 and currently has a US market share of just under 50% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自2015年以来，苹果在美国的市场份额一直以低个位数百分比增长，目前2021年美国市场份额略低于50%。</blockquote></p><p> I see no real reason that this will change significantly. Like I mentioned above, most people that want an iPhone already own one. When dealing with such a high market share, it is hard to grow, at least substantially.</p><p><blockquote>我看不出这种情况会发生重大变化的真正原因。就像我上面提到的，大多数想要iPhone的人已经拥有了一部。在处理如此高的市场份额时，很难增长，至少很难大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> While I will not discuss this point in-depth, it is worth noting that in 2020, only about&nbsp;50% of their revenue came from iPhone, and there is considerable room to grow in their accessories and wearables, even in the US.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我不会深入讨论这一点，但值得注意的是，在2020年，他们只有约50%的收入来自iPhone，即使在美国，他们的配件和可穿戴设备也有相当大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The International Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际市场</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where I see a massive opportunity for Apple. They are already on their way to growing their global market share.</p><p><blockquote>这是我看到苹果巨大机会的地方。他们已经在扩大全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/458c0f8e1a5cec6bdd874c1d7f9de7df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Over the last 5 years, AAPL's global market share has gone from the high teens/low twenties to over 25%. Apple is also close to overtaking Samsung as the worldwide market share leader, and at current rates, it appears the overtake will happen sometime in the next twelve months.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的5年里，AAPL的全球市场份额已经从十几岁/二十多岁上升到25%以上。苹果也接近超越三星成为全球市场份额的领导者，按照目前的速度，这种超越似乎将在未来12个月的某个时候发生。</blockquote></p><p> The upward trend is seen again in Europe. Here is AAPL's European market share over the past 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲再次出现上升趋势。以下是AAPL过去5年的欧洲市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/581ba5b6950f54cb812ad7a9d0e4960e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In this case, Apple just recently took over Samsung as the leading European smartphone vendor. With a population of around&nbsp;741 million people, nearly&nbsp;2x the population of the United States, taking the majority share of the smartphone market in Europe is huge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，苹果最近刚刚取代三星成为欧洲领先的智能手机供应商。欧洲拥有约7.41亿人口，几乎是美国人口的2倍，占据欧洲智能手机市场的大部分份额是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does that mean?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那是什么意思？</b></blockquote></p><p> This is just the beginning, at least from a sales standpoint. Despite controlling the majority share in one of the largest continents, Apple only generated about 1/4 of its total revenue from Europe.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个开始，至少从销售的角度来看是这样。尽管控制着最大大陆之一的大部分份额，但苹果仅从欧洲获得了约1/4的总收入。</blockquote></p><p> One of the things that makes Apple such a strong company is that their iPhones are essentially a \"gateway product.\" Once you have an iPhone, you are compelled to purchase AirPods and an Apple Watch as physical accessories. Apple also offers iCloud photo storage, Apple Music, Apple TV, and Apple Arcade, to name a few.</p><p><blockquote>苹果成为一家如此强大的公司的原因之一是，他们的iPhone本质上是一种“门户产品”。一旦你有了iPhone，你就被迫购买AirPods和苹果手表作为物理配件。苹果还提供iCloud照片存储、苹果音乐、苹果电视和苹果街机等等。</blockquote></p><p> The proliferation of the iPhone on a global scale opens the door for Apple with its massive product line. Investors should look behind the numbers and realize the true scope of the opportunity that lies within growing iPhone sales.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone在全球范围内的普及为苹果庞大的产品线打开了大门。投资者应该关注数字背后，认识到iPhone销量增长中蕴藏的真正机会范围。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple's relative undervaluation compared to competitors, as well as massive strides in international markets, makes it an appealing investment. As iPhone sales continue to grow, accessories will be quick to follow. Apple is past the stages where you will see 100% growth in a relatively short timeline. This is a stock that you buy and hold for years, and if you are smart, sell covered calls along the way.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，苹果的估值相对被低估，以及在国际市场上的巨大进步，使其成为一项有吸引力的投资。随着iPhone销量的持续增长，配件也会迅速跟进。苹果已经过了在相对较短的时间内看到100%增长的阶段。这是一只您购买并持有多年的股票，如果您聪明的话，可以在此过程中出售担保评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: International Opportunity Is Huge<blockquote>苹果：国际机遇巨大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 23:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.</li>  <li>Apple is making huge strides in the European as well as international markets.</li>  <li>As iPhones sell, so will AirPods, Apple Watches, and Apple services such as Music and Arcade.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果的市盈率低于同行和纳斯达克。</li><li>苹果在欧洲和国际市场上都取得了巨大的进步。</li><li>随着iPhone的销售，AirPods、苹果手表以及音乐和街机等苹果服务也将随之销售。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) is the largest company in the world by market cap. While large-cap stocks like Apple are usually close to fair value, Apple makes a compelling case. Arguably the best investor of all time, Warren Buffet has invested over 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A)(BRK.B)&nbsp;portfolio in Apple stock. So I decided that there must be some value proposition here. After a throughout look, I came to the same conclusion as Warren Buffet. Apple stock is an excellent buy.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是全球市值最大的公司。虽然像苹果这样的大盘股通常接近公允价值，但苹果提出了令人信服的理由。沃伦·巴菲特可以说是有史以来最好的投资者，他将伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(BRK.A)(BRK.B)投资组合的40%以上投资于苹果股票。所以我决定这里一定有一些价值主张。看了一遍之后，我得出了和沃伦·巴菲特一样的结论。苹果股票非常值得买入。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's potential on a global scale has not been adequately factored into the share price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在全球范围内的潜力尚未充分纳入股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Current Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当前估值</b></blockquote></p><p> To understand if something is undervalued, we first need to understand its current valuation. To do so, I will briefly compare it to some similar stocks in both PE and P/FCF.</p><p><blockquote>要了解某样东西是否被低估，我们首先需要了解它当前的估值。为此，我将将其与PE和P/FCF方面的一些类似股票进行简要比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3ac38cd59cd1890bbbab0bc6c0dee9d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Apple is valued at lower PE and P/FCF multiples than similar companies Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). It is also trading at a lower PE ratio than the Nasdaq index (29.25).</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，苹果的市盈率和市盈率/自由现金流倍数低于类似公司微软（MSFT）和Alphabet（GOOGL）。它的市盈率也低于纳斯达克指数（29.25）。</blockquote></p><p> This establishes that Apple is not being valued at a premium to reflect the massive opportunity they have with international expansion.</p><p><blockquote>这表明苹果的估值并没有反映出他们在国际扩张中拥有的巨大机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple In The US</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国的苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me and from America, it may seem like everyone that wants an iPhone has one. There is a good chance you are even reading this article on Apple's signature OLED screen.</p><p><blockquote>如果你像我一样来自美国，似乎每个想要iPhone的人都有一部。很有可能你正在苹果标志性的有机发光二极管屏幕上阅读这篇文章。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e50a9091d291ea4b8efb3d37d00ad68\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's market share in the US has been growing by low single-digit percentages since 2015 and currently has a US market share of just under 50% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自2015年以来，苹果在美国的市场份额一直以低个位数百分比增长，目前2021年美国市场份额略低于50%。</blockquote></p><p> I see no real reason that this will change significantly. Like I mentioned above, most people that want an iPhone already own one. When dealing with such a high market share, it is hard to grow, at least substantially.</p><p><blockquote>我看不出这种情况会发生重大变化的真正原因。就像我上面提到的，大多数想要iPhone的人已经拥有了一部。在处理如此高的市场份额时，很难增长，至少很难大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> While I will not discuss this point in-depth, it is worth noting that in 2020, only about&nbsp;50% of their revenue came from iPhone, and there is considerable room to grow in their accessories and wearables, even in the US.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我不会深入讨论这一点，但值得注意的是，在2020年，他们只有约50%的收入来自iPhone，即使在美国，他们的配件和可穿戴设备也有相当大的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The International Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际市场</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where I see a massive opportunity for Apple. They are already on their way to growing their global market share.</p><p><blockquote>这是我看到苹果巨大机会的地方。他们已经在扩大全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/458c0f8e1a5cec6bdd874c1d7f9de7df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Over the last 5 years, AAPL's global market share has gone from the high teens/low twenties to over 25%. Apple is also close to overtaking Samsung as the worldwide market share leader, and at current rates, it appears the overtake will happen sometime in the next twelve months.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的5年里，AAPL的全球市场份额已经从十几岁/二十多岁上升到25%以上。苹果也接近超越三星成为全球市场份额的领导者，按照目前的速度，这种超越似乎将在未来12个月的某个时候发生。</blockquote></p><p> The upward trend is seen again in Europe. Here is AAPL's European market share over the past 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲再次出现上升趋势。以下是AAPL过去5年的欧洲市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/581ba5b6950f54cb812ad7a9d0e4960e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statcounter</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statcounter</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In this case, Apple just recently took over Samsung as the leading European smartphone vendor. With a population of around&nbsp;741 million people, nearly&nbsp;2x the population of the United States, taking the majority share of the smartphone market in Europe is huge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，苹果最近刚刚取代三星成为欧洲领先的智能手机供应商。欧洲拥有约7.41亿人口，几乎是美国人口的2倍，占据欧洲智能手机市场的大部分份额是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does that mean?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那是什么意思？</b></blockquote></p><p> This is just the beginning, at least from a sales standpoint. Despite controlling the majority share in one of the largest continents, Apple only generated about 1/4 of its total revenue from Europe.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个开始，至少从销售的角度来看是这样。尽管控制着最大大陆之一的大部分份额，但苹果仅从欧洲获得了约1/4的总收入。</blockquote></p><p> One of the things that makes Apple such a strong company is that their iPhones are essentially a \"gateway product.\" Once you have an iPhone, you are compelled to purchase AirPods and an Apple Watch as physical accessories. Apple also offers iCloud photo storage, Apple Music, Apple TV, and Apple Arcade, to name a few.</p><p><blockquote>苹果成为一家如此强大的公司的原因之一是，他们的iPhone本质上是一种“门户产品”。一旦你有了iPhone，你就被迫购买AirPods和苹果手表作为物理配件。苹果还提供iCloud照片存储、苹果音乐、苹果电视和苹果街机等等。</blockquote></p><p> The proliferation of the iPhone on a global scale opens the door for Apple with its massive product line. Investors should look behind the numbers and realize the true scope of the opportunity that lies within growing iPhone sales.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone在全球范围内的普及为苹果庞大的产品线打开了大门。投资者应该关注数字背后，认识到iPhone销量增长中蕴藏的真正机会范围。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple's relative undervaluation compared to competitors, as well as massive strides in international markets, makes it an appealing investment. As iPhone sales continue to grow, accessories will be quick to follow. Apple is past the stages where you will see 100% growth in a relatively short timeline. This is a stock that you buy and hold for years, and if you are smart, sell covered calls along the way.</p><p><blockquote>与竞争对手相比，苹果的估值相对被低估，以及在国际市场上的巨大进步，使其成为一项有吸引力的投资。随着iPhone销量的持续增长，配件也会迅速跟进。苹果已经过了在相对较短的时间内看到100%增长的阶段。这是一只您购买并持有多年的股票，如果您聪明的话，可以在此过程中出售担保评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459836-apple-international-opportunity-is-huge\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459836-apple-international-opportunity-is-huge","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163053361","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple is trading at lower multiples than its peers and the Nasdaq.\nApple is making huge strides in the European as well as international markets.\nAs iPhones sell, so will AirPods, Apple Watches, and Apple services such as Music and Arcade.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThesis\nApple (AAPL) is the largest company in the world by market cap. While large-cap stocks like Apple are usually close to fair value, Apple makes a compelling case. Arguably the best investor of all time, Warren Buffet has invested over 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A)(BRK.B) portfolio in Apple stock. So I decided that there must be some value proposition here. After a throughout look, I came to the same conclusion as Warren Buffet. Apple stock is an excellent buy.\nApple's potential on a global scale has not been adequately factored into the share price.\nCurrent Valuation\nTo understand if something is undervalued, we first need to understand its current valuation. To do so, I will briefly compare it to some similar stocks in both PE and P/FCF.\nData by YCharts\nAs you can see, Apple is valued at lower PE and P/FCF multiples than similar companies Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL). It is also trading at a lower PE ratio than the Nasdaq index (29.25).\nThis establishes that Apple is not being valued at a premium to reflect the massive opportunity they have with international expansion.\nApple In The US\nIf you are like me and from America, it may seem like everyone that wants an iPhone has one. There is a good chance you are even reading this article on Apple's signature OLED screen.\nSource: Statista\nApple's market share in the US has been growing by low single-digit percentages since 2015 and currently has a US market share of just under 50% in 2021.\nI see no real reason that this will change significantly. Like I mentioned above, most people that want an iPhone already own one. When dealing with such a high market share, it is hard to grow, at least substantially.\nWhile I will not discuss this point in-depth, it is worth noting that in 2020, only about 50% of their revenue came from iPhone, and there is considerable room to grow in their accessories and wearables, even in the US.\nThe International Market\nThis is where I see a massive opportunity for Apple. They are already on their way to growing their global market share.\nSource: Statcounter\nOver the last 5 years, AAPL's global market share has gone from the high teens/low twenties to over 25%. Apple is also close to overtaking Samsung as the worldwide market share leader, and at current rates, it appears the overtake will happen sometime in the next twelve months.\nThe upward trend is seen again in Europe. Here is AAPL's European market share over the past 5 years.\nSource: Statcounter\nIn this case, Apple just recently took over Samsung as the leading European smartphone vendor. With a population of around 741 million people, nearly 2x the population of the United States, taking the majority share of the smartphone market in Europe is huge.\nWhat does that mean?\nThis is just the beginning, at least from a sales standpoint. Despite controlling the majority share in one of the largest continents, Apple only generated about 1/4 of its total revenue from Europe.\nOne of the things that makes Apple such a strong company is that their iPhones are essentially a \"gateway product.\" Once you have an iPhone, you are compelled to purchase AirPods and an Apple Watch as physical accessories. Apple also offers iCloud photo storage, Apple Music, Apple TV, and Apple Arcade, to name a few.\nThe proliferation of the iPhone on a global scale opens the door for Apple with its massive product line. Investors should look behind the numbers and realize the true scope of the opportunity that lies within growing iPhone sales.\nConclusion\nApple's relative undervaluation compared to competitors, as well as massive strides in international markets, makes it an appealing investment. As iPhone sales continue to grow, accessories will be quick to follow. Apple is past the stages where you will see 100% growth in a relatively short timeline. This is a stock that you buy and hold for years, and if you are smart, sell covered calls along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691360269,"gmtCreate":1640137579628,"gmtModify":1640137579743,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"E commerce set to go up?&nbsp;","listText":"E commerce set to go up?&nbsp;","text":"E commerce set to go up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691360269","repostId":"2193415705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693594563,"gmtCreate":1640047705353,"gmtModify":1640047705459,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting news","listText":"Interesting news","text":"Interesting news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693594563","repostId":"1184187118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607997541,"gmtCreate":1639470212188,"gmtModify":1639470212260,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Depending on the mkt expansion too","listText":"Depending on the mkt expansion too","text":"Depending on the mkt expansion too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607997541","repostId":"1119480728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119480728","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639459363,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119480728?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 13:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119480728","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nQQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.\nDIS has not fully bounced ba","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>QQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.</li>  <li>DIS has not fully bounced back from 2020 but it's certainly healing.</li>  <li>DIS is far more like NFLX than MSFT or ADBE, despite any discussion or comparisons related to subscriber growth and associated metrics.</li>  <li>DIS has been far less of a growth stock than&nbsp;NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db18b8191ffe57bbd7ff43b3b4de329b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Marvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>QQQ轻松击败了DIS，而SPDR标普500指数ETF也做了同样的事情。</li><li>DIS尚未从2020年完全反弹，但肯定正在愈合。</li><li>尽管存在与用户增长和相关指标相关的任何讨论或比较，但DIS更像NFLX，而不是MSFT或ADBE。</li><li>与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS远不是一只成长型股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>马文·塞缪尔·托伦蒂诺·皮内达/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> I've owned Disney (DIS) since early 2016. I greatly enjoy DIS products and services. I am reasonably pleased with DIS stock performance.</p><p><blockquote>我自2016年初以来一直拥有迪士尼(DIS)。我非常喜欢DIS的产品和服务。我对DIS股票的表现相当满意。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58048f15fcf1af89506563ab33f6e301\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> 53% gains in 5 years isn't terrible but it's not spectacular either. For added perspective, let's quickly compare DIS with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over 10 years or so.</p><p><blockquote>5年内53%的涨幅并不可怕，但也不引人注目。为了增加视角，让我们快速将DIS与标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）和纳斯达克100（QQQ）进行10年左右的比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de2cb75ad2becfcf9268f372150a7698\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, I zoomed out for a bigger picture view of things. Clearly, QQQ has crushed DIS. Over the same time, DIS has done about as well as SPY. It's clear the 2020 was rough on the price of DIS stock. However, it was also an incredible pivot opportunity for the business with Disney Plus, the streaming home of Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic, and way more.</p><p><blockquote>如你所见，我缩小了以获得更大的图片视图。显然，QQQ已经碾压了DIS。与此同时，DIS的表现与SPDR标普500指数ETF不相上下。很明显，2020年对DIS股票的价格来说是艰难的。然而，这也是Disney Plus业务的一个令人难以置信的关键机会，Disney Plus是迪士尼、皮克斯、漫威、星球大战、国家地理等的流媒体之家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model Update</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式更新</b></blockquote></p><p> It's clear that DIS has been incredibly focused on subscribers for Disney Plus. Here's a quick peek, from the&nbsp;Q4 2021 Earnings Call:</p><p><blockquote>很明显，DIS非常关注Disney Plus的订户。以下是2021年第四季度收益看涨期权的快速浏览：</blockquote></p><p>   On the Direct-to-Consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services. Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu continue to perform incredibly well with a 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of a 179 million subscriptions. To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48%, and Disney+ subs in particular by 60%.  Now, here's the good news and bad news. DIS leadership is planning to reach 230 million to 260 million paid subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024. Obviously, that's phenomenal growth and investors should cheer. However, the dark side is that this growth isn't free.<b>DIS doesn't expect their portfolio of streaming services to reach profitability until 2024.</b>Ouch.</p><p><blockquote>在直接面向消费者方面，我们对我们组合流媒体服务的成功感到非常高兴。Disney+、ESPN+和Hulu继续表现出色，分别拥有1.181亿、1710万和4380万订阅用户，订阅总数为1.79亿。从这个角度来看，仅在上一财年，我们的DTC产品组合的订阅总数就增长了48%，尤其是Disney+订阅增长了60%。现在，这是好消息和坏消息。DIS领导层计划到2024财年末，全球付费用户数量达到2.3亿至2.6亿。显然，这是惊人的增长，投资者应该欢呼。然而，阴暗面是这种增长不是免费的。<b>DIS预计他们的流媒体服务组合要到2024年才能实现盈利。</b>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> The key point is that DIS is not simply bolting on Disney Plus, ESPN Plus, Hulu and so on, and adding profits to the bottom line. Instead, getting to this current level of subscribers has been chewing up time and resources. And, it'll be nasty for years. The investment will drain resources. More about this later.</p><p><blockquote>关键是，DIS并不是简单地抢占Disney Plus、ESPN Plus、Hulu等，为底线增加利润。相反，达到目前的用户水平一直在消耗时间和资源。而且，这将会持续很多年。这项投资会耗尽资源。稍后会详细介绍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, very long term investors can cheer. DIS literally has the best intellectual media assets in the world. Really, there isn't any company even close. The library is amazing, huge, and growing.See for yourself.</p><p><blockquote>当然，长期投资者可以欢呼。DIS拥有世界上最好的知识媒体资产。真的，附近没有任何公司。这个图书馆很棒，很大，而且还在增长。你自己看吧。</blockquote></p><p> As a quick aside, most people, and most analysts expected a bigger \"snap back\" from 2020, especially in relation to park visits and related activity. For example, here's what we learned about&nbsp;attendance in August 2021:</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，大多数人和大多数分析师预计2020年将出现更大的“snap回归”，特别是在公园参观和相关活动方面。例如，以下是我们了解到的2021年8月的出勤情况：</blockquote></p><p>   Disney world does not share its actual capacity nor the number of attendees they get daily. But as stated above, the estimated number of average daily attendees was 57,000 before the pandemic started. So, at present, it might be welcoming a maximum of 35,000 guests daily&nbsp;  <b>running with a 35% capacity</b>. [Emphasis: Author]  Big picture, I'm not too worried about the parks and related real-world experiences offered by DIS. It might take longer to get running at full steam, but DIS can do it. I'm a bit more concerned that investors are expecting too much from DIS streaming services, without fully considering the costs. This is especially true for short term investors and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼世界不分享它的实际容量，也不分享他们每天的与会者人数。但如上所述，在疫情开始之前，估计日均出席人数为57,000人。因此，目前，它可能每天最多接待35,000名客人<b>以35%的容量运行</b>.[强调：作者]总的来说，我不太担心DIS提供的公园和相关的现实世界体验。全速运行可能需要更长的时间，但DIS可以做到。我更担心的是，投资者对DIS流媒体服务期望过高，而没有充分考虑成本。对于短期投资者和投机者来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney Is Not Microsoft or Adobe</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪斯尼不是微软或Adobe</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts like to compare DIS to enterprise software companies,<i>as if all subscribers are created equal</i>. Let's consider two incredible businesses. Both Microsoft (MSFT) and Adobe (ADBE) have done exceptionally well in recent years, compared to DIS.</p><p><blockquote>分析师喜欢将DIS比作企业软件公司，<i>好像所有订户都是平等的</i>.让我们考虑两个令人难以置信的业务。与DIS相比，微软(MSFT)和Adobe(ADBE)近年来的表现都非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247db57795d4cce4d0d919346b84c7f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, MSFT and ADBE have trounced DIS. In part, here's why:</p><p><blockquote>显然，MSFT和ADBE已经击败了DIS。部分原因如下：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90248d3aef70628dea5b4029b79b516\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> P/S for both MSFT and ADBE has roughly doubled. At a high level, prices are moving up faster than revenue generated for MSFT and ADBE. Meanwhile, investors place less value on DIS revenue. DIS has pretty much moved sideways.</p><p><blockquote>MSFT和ADBE的市盈率都大约翻了一番。在高水平上，价格的上涨速度快于MSFT和ADBE产生的收入。与此同时，投资者对DIS收入的重视程度较低。DIS几乎已经横向移动。</blockquote></p><p> Let's talk some real numbers. MSFT has grown earnings by 17% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.63 and in 2021 it's about $8. ADBE has grown earnings by about 29% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.08 and it's expected to hit a staggering $12.46 this year. Meanwhile, here's how DIS looks:</p><p><blockquote>我们来谈谈一些真实的数字。过去10年，MSFT的盈利每年增长17%。2015年，每股收益为2.63美元，2021年约为8美元。过去10年，ADBE的盈利每年增长约29%。2015年，每股收益为2.08美元，预计今年将达到惊人的12.46美元。同时，DIS的外观如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbb56eaa4d09a70ca4f320a0e111896b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FASTgraphs</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：FASTgraphs</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS might get back to 2015 levels in 2023. The dividend was killed off. DIS share price is dramatically higher, even now, compared to earnings. There's a lot of pain in this chart.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益可能会在2023年恢复到2015年的水平。股息被取消了。即使是现在，与盈利相比，DIS的股价也要高得多。这张图表里有很多痛苦。</blockquote></p><p> All if this isn't to bash DIS or to imply that the products or business is terrible. The DIS brand is pristine. Leadership is strong. The company isn't going to suddenly fall off the face of the Earth.<i>The business is amazing</i>.</p><p><blockquote>如果这不是为了抨击DIS或暗示产品或业务很糟糕的话。DIS品牌是原始的。领导力强。该公司不会突然从地球上消失。<i>生意很惊人</i>.</blockquote></p><p> <b>All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并非所有订户都是平等的</b></blockquote></p><p> I'm not too keen to do this, but here's Netflix (NFLX) versus DIS.</p><p><blockquote>我不太热衷于这样做，但这是Netflix(NFLX)与DIS的对比。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b99727d2cfebd285167f115f4387ae\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The only point I want to make is that NFLX shareholders have done far better than DIS shareholders. And, for a different perspective, here's how $10K would have done over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>我唯一想说的是，NFLX股东的表现远远好于DIS股东。从不同的角度来看，以下是1万美元在过去五年中的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4539b42cb1304e691ad2b38dbcbf4c2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It's very hard for me to say that DIS is \"on sale\" when I look at the relatively flat performance over the last five years. While I think of DIS as a growth stock,<i>it's less of a growth stock</i>&nbsp;than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>当我看到过去五年相对平淡的表现时，我很难说DIS正在“打折”。虽然我认为DIS是一只成长型股票，<i>它不是成长型股票</i>比NFLX、MSFT和ADBE。</blockquote></p><p> In large part, I believe this is all about our definition of subscribers. I'll come back to that in a second. First, feast your eyes on this:</p><p><blockquote>在很大程度上，我相信这就是我们对订户的定义。我一会儿会回到这个话题。首先，大饱眼福：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfdf6d35c4eba3617e6fec280f09282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What you're seeing is profit margin for DIS, NFLX, MSFT and ADBE. Quite frankly, this paints a damning picture of DIS, especially since 2020. What's most impressive, on the other hand, is how MSFT and ADBE have had has consistently high and growing profit margins. I've got to say, I'm actually a bit surprised that NFLX just keeps getting stronger and stronger in this department as well.</p><p><blockquote>您看到的是DIS、NFLX、MSFT和ADBE的利润率。坦率地说，这为DIS描绘了一幅糟糕的画面，尤其是自2020年以来。另一方面，最令人印象深刻的是MSFT和ADBE的利润率一直很高且不断增长。我不得不说，我实际上有点惊讶NFLX在这个部门也变得越来越强大。</blockquote></p><p> By the way, as a sidebar, it's easy to complain about the NFLX P/E ratio. It's over 50 right now. But, at the same time, DIS is at 37, MSFT is at 37, and ADBE is at 52. In that respect, they are all quite overvalued.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，作为侧边栏，很容易抱怨NFLX市盈率。现在已经50多了。但与此同时，DIS为37，MSFT为37，ADBE为52。在这方面，它们都被高估了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, here are my biggest points. NFLX has spent more than DIS on content and also has first mover advantage, loyalty and entrenchment. Many people have both NFLX and DIS, so I see less of a \"war\" than most people. Furthermore, it appears that NFLX has done an outstanding operational job, and their capital allocation has been strong. It's hard to look at this chart and dismiss NFLX. Clearly, it's a well-run company.</p><p><blockquote>现在，以下是我最大的观点。NFLX在内容上的支出超过了DIS，并且还拥有先发优势、忠诚度和巩固地位。很多人都有NFLX和DIS，所以我比大多数人看到的“战争”更少。此外，NFLX的运营工作似乎非常出色，他们的资本配置也很强劲。看着这张图表，很难忽视NFLX。显然，这是一家运营良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c9d98acfdd8206fa2c0323144db713\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This next chart is extremely noisy, but you can scroll down and see the truth with your own two eyes. DIS has rather poor ROE, ROA and ROIC compared to NFLX, MSFT and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表非常嘈杂，但你可以向下滚动，用你自己的两只眼睛看到真相。与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS的ROE、ROA和ROIC相当差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5aaf232d38eaceea4d9621f81a7a92f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To be fair, DIS was doing a pretty good job through early 2019. However, very importantly,<i>the drops appear to have started before 2020</i>. We cannot blame the pandemic for the decline in ROE, ROA and ROIC.</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，DIS在2019年初做得相当不错。然而，非常重要的是，<i>下降似乎在2020年之前就开始了</i>我们不能将ROE、ROA和ROIC的下降归咎于疫情。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear,DIS is going to be going gangbusters on content.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，DIS将在内容上大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p>   Disney plans to increase its overall content spend to around $33bn in 2022, marking an $8bn rise from the previous year.  Furthermore, the idea is that DIS will be&nbsp;rapidly growing the subscriber base.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼计划在2022年将其整体内容支出增加至330亿美元左右，比上一年增加80亿美元。此外，这个想法是DIS将迅速扩大用户群。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   Disney+ is expected to add 140 million subscribers between 2021 and 2026 to take its total to 271 million. Netflix, meanwhile, will add 53 million subscribers through the same period, taking it to a 2026 total of 275 million.  In short, DIS isn't about to be left in the dust by NFLX. Something like 60 unscripted series, 30 comedy series and 25 drama shows will be produced. There's really too much to list here. Money is being put to work by DIS.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+预计在2021年至2026年间将增加1.4亿订阅用户，使其总数达到2.71亿。与此同时，Netflix同期将增加5300万订阅用户，使其到2026年订阅用户总数达到2.75亿。简而言之，DIS不会被NFLX远远甩在身后。大约60部无剧本系列、30部喜剧系列和25部戏剧将被制作出来。这里真的有太多了，无法一一列举。DIS正在投入资金。</blockquote></p><p> Now, shifting gears, I have to say that both MSFT and ADBE have dramatically different types of subscribers. DIS and NFLX satisfy entertainment desires. These are wants,<i>not needs</i>.</p><p><blockquote>现在，换个角度，我不得不说MSFT和ADBE的订户类型截然不同。DIS和NFLX满足娱乐欲望。这些都是需求，<i>不需要</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Here's a good way to&nbsp;think about MSFT and ADBE:</p><p><blockquote>以下是思考MSFT和ADBE的好方法：</blockquote></p><p>   Both companies armed businesses big and small with the tools needed to stay in business since the pandemic. As the world moved to virtual work and school, PDFs with virtual signatures and Word docs with important information became standard.  In other words, MSFT and ADBE subscribers aren't \"addicted\" to the software, as much as they are<i>required to use it to do work</i>. When your job is on the line, you've got to be using industry standard tools. Furthermore, both NFLX and DIS are B2C whereas MSFT and ADBE are B2B. It's almost impossible to compare these companies, in terms of subscribers. Sure, we can discuss subscriber counts, subscriber growth, and so forth. But, MSFT and ADBE provide software to companies, and users must use those tools. They are sticky out of necessity, not mere desire. Therefore, let's all be very careful about how we think about DIS, and how we make comparisons.</p><p><blockquote>自大流行以来，两家公司都为大大小小的企业提供了维持业务所需的工具。随着世界转向虚拟工作和学校，带有虚拟签名的PDF和包含重要信息的Word文档成为标准。换句话说，MSFT和ADBE的用户并不像他们那样对软件“上瘾”<i>需要用它来做工作</i>.当你的工作岌岌可危时，你必须使用行业标准的工具。此外，NFLX和DIS都是B2C，而MSFT和ADBE是B2B。就订户而言，几乎不可能比较这些公司。当然，我们可以讨论用户数量、用户增长等等。但是，MSFT和ADBE向公司提供软件，用户必须使用这些工具。它们粘在一起是出于需要，而不仅仅是欲望。因此，让我们都非常小心我们如何看待DIS，以及我们如何进行比较。</blockquote></p><p> Putting all of this together, I still believe that DIS is a wonderful business. However, I would be cautious about adding a ton, especially if that decision is based on dazzling subscriber growth, or incredible content development. At this point, I see DIS as a reasonable hold.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我仍然相信DIS是一项出色的业务。然而，我会对增加一吨持谨慎态度，特别是如果这个决定是基于令人眼花缭乱的订户增长或令人难以置信的内容开发。在这一点上，我认为DIS是合理的持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney: All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal<blockquote>迪士尼：并非所有订阅者生来平等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 13:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>QQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.</li>  <li>DIS has not fully bounced back from 2020 but it's certainly healing.</li>  <li>DIS is far more like NFLX than MSFT or ADBE, despite any discussion or comparisons related to subscriber growth and associated metrics.</li>  <li>DIS has been far less of a growth stock than&nbsp;NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db18b8191ffe57bbd7ff43b3b4de329b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Marvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>QQQ轻松击败了DIS，而SPDR标普500指数ETF也做了同样的事情。</li><li>DIS尚未从2020年完全反弹，但肯定正在愈合。</li><li>尽管存在与用户增长和相关指标相关的任何讨论或比较，但DIS更像NFLX，而不是MSFT或ADBE。</li><li>与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS远不是一只成长型股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>马文·塞缪尔·托伦蒂诺·皮内达/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> I've owned Disney (DIS) since early 2016. I greatly enjoy DIS products and services. I am reasonably pleased with DIS stock performance.</p><p><blockquote>我自2016年初以来一直拥有迪士尼(DIS)。我非常喜欢DIS的产品和服务。我对DIS股票的表现相当满意。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58048f15fcf1af89506563ab33f6e301\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> 53% gains in 5 years isn't terrible but it's not spectacular either. For added perspective, let's quickly compare DIS with the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over 10 years or so.</p><p><blockquote>5年内53%的涨幅并不可怕，但也不引人注目。为了增加视角，让我们快速将DIS与标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）和纳斯达克100（QQQ）进行10年左右的比较。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de2cb75ad2becfcf9268f372150a7698\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, I zoomed out for a bigger picture view of things. Clearly, QQQ has crushed DIS. Over the same time, DIS has done about as well as SPY. It's clear the 2020 was rough on the price of DIS stock. However, it was also an incredible pivot opportunity for the business with Disney Plus, the streaming home of Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic, and way more.</p><p><blockquote>如你所见，我缩小了以获得更大的图片视图。显然，QQQ已经碾压了DIS。与此同时，DIS的表现与SPDR标普500指数ETF不相上下。很明显，2020年对DIS股票的价格来说是艰难的。然而，这也是Disney Plus业务的一个令人难以置信的关键机会，Disney Plus是迪士尼、皮克斯、漫威、星球大战、国家地理等的流媒体之家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model Update</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式更新</b></blockquote></p><p> It's clear that DIS has been incredibly focused on subscribers for Disney Plus. Here's a quick peek, from the&nbsp;Q4 2021 Earnings Call:</p><p><blockquote>很明显，DIS非常关注Disney Plus的订户。以下是2021年第四季度收益看涨期权的快速浏览：</blockquote></p><p>   On the Direct-to-Consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services. Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu continue to perform incredibly well with a 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of a 179 million subscriptions. To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48%, and Disney+ subs in particular by 60%.  Now, here's the good news and bad news. DIS leadership is planning to reach 230 million to 260 million paid subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024. Obviously, that's phenomenal growth and investors should cheer. However, the dark side is that this growth isn't free.<b>DIS doesn't expect their portfolio of streaming services to reach profitability until 2024.</b>Ouch.</p><p><blockquote>在直接面向消费者方面，我们对我们组合流媒体服务的成功感到非常高兴。Disney+、ESPN+和Hulu继续表现出色，分别拥有1.181亿、1710万和4380万订阅用户，订阅总数为1.79亿。从这个角度来看，仅在上一财年，我们的DTC产品组合的订阅总数就增长了48%，尤其是Disney+订阅增长了60%。现在，这是好消息和坏消息。DIS领导层计划到2024财年末，全球付费用户数量达到2.3亿至2.6亿。显然，这是惊人的增长，投资者应该欢呼。然而，阴暗面是这种增长不是免费的。<b>DIS预计他们的流媒体服务组合要到2024年才能实现盈利。</b>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> The key point is that DIS is not simply bolting on Disney Plus, ESPN Plus, Hulu and so on, and adding profits to the bottom line. Instead, getting to this current level of subscribers has been chewing up time and resources. And, it'll be nasty for years. The investment will drain resources. More about this later.</p><p><blockquote>关键是，DIS并不是简单地抢占Disney Plus、ESPN Plus、Hulu等，为底线增加利润。相反，达到目前的用户水平一直在消耗时间和资源。而且，这将会持续很多年。这项投资会耗尽资源。稍后会详细介绍。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, very long term investors can cheer. DIS literally has the best intellectual media assets in the world. Really, there isn't any company even close. The library is amazing, huge, and growing.See for yourself.</p><p><blockquote>当然，长期投资者可以欢呼。DIS拥有世界上最好的知识媒体资产。真的，附近没有任何公司。这个图书馆很棒，很大，而且还在增长。你自己看吧。</blockquote></p><p> As a quick aside, most people, and most analysts expected a bigger \"snap back\" from 2020, especially in relation to park visits and related activity. For example, here's what we learned about&nbsp;attendance in August 2021:</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，大多数人和大多数分析师预计2020年将出现更大的“snap回归”，特别是在公园参观和相关活动方面。例如，以下是我们了解到的2021年8月的出勤情况：</blockquote></p><p>   Disney world does not share its actual capacity nor the number of attendees they get daily. But as stated above, the estimated number of average daily attendees was 57,000 before the pandemic started. So, at present, it might be welcoming a maximum of 35,000 guests daily&nbsp;  <b>running with a 35% capacity</b>. [Emphasis: Author]  Big picture, I'm not too worried about the parks and related real-world experiences offered by DIS. It might take longer to get running at full steam, but DIS can do it. I'm a bit more concerned that investors are expecting too much from DIS streaming services, without fully considering the costs. This is especially true for short term investors and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼世界不分享它的实际容量，也不分享他们每天的与会者人数。但如上所述，在疫情开始之前，估计日均出席人数为57,000人。因此，目前，它可能每天最多接待35,000名客人<b>以35%的容量运行</b>.[强调：作者]总的来说，我不太担心DIS提供的公园和相关的现实世界体验。全速运行可能需要更长的时间，但DIS可以做到。我更担心的是，投资者对DIS流媒体服务期望过高，而没有充分考虑成本。对于短期投资者和投机者来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney Is Not Microsoft or Adobe</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪斯尼不是微软或Adobe</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts like to compare DIS to enterprise software companies,<i>as if all subscribers are created equal</i>. Let's consider two incredible businesses. Both Microsoft (MSFT) and Adobe (ADBE) have done exceptionally well in recent years, compared to DIS.</p><p><blockquote>分析师喜欢将DIS比作企业软件公司，<i>好像所有订户都是平等的</i>.让我们考虑两个令人难以置信的业务。与DIS相比，微软(MSFT)和Adobe(ADBE)近年来的表现都非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247db57795d4cce4d0d919346b84c7f2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, MSFT and ADBE have trounced DIS. In part, here's why:</p><p><blockquote>显然，MSFT和ADBE已经击败了DIS。部分原因如下：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90248d3aef70628dea5b4029b79b516\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> P/S for both MSFT and ADBE has roughly doubled. At a high level, prices are moving up faster than revenue generated for MSFT and ADBE. Meanwhile, investors place less value on DIS revenue. DIS has pretty much moved sideways.</p><p><blockquote>MSFT和ADBE的市盈率都大约翻了一番。在高水平上，价格的上涨速度快于MSFT和ADBE产生的收入。与此同时，投资者对DIS收入的重视程度较低。DIS几乎已经横向移动。</blockquote></p><p> Let's talk some real numbers. MSFT has grown earnings by 17% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.63 and in 2021 it's about $8. ADBE has grown earnings by about 29% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.08 and it's expected to hit a staggering $12.46 this year. Meanwhile, here's how DIS looks:</p><p><blockquote>我们来谈谈一些真实的数字。过去10年，MSFT的盈利每年增长17%。2015年，每股收益为2.63美元，2021年约为8美元。过去10年，ADBE的盈利每年增长约29%。2015年，每股收益为2.08美元，预计今年将达到惊人的12.46美元。同时，DIS的外观如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbb56eaa4d09a70ca4f320a0e111896b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FASTgraphs</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：FASTgraphs</span></p></blockquote></p><p> EPS might get back to 2015 levels in 2023. The dividend was killed off. DIS share price is dramatically higher, even now, compared to earnings. There's a lot of pain in this chart.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益可能会在2023年恢复到2015年的水平。股息被取消了。即使是现在，与盈利相比，DIS的股价也要高得多。这张图表里有很多痛苦。</blockquote></p><p> All if this isn't to bash DIS or to imply that the products or business is terrible. The DIS brand is pristine. Leadership is strong. The company isn't going to suddenly fall off the face of the Earth.<i>The business is amazing</i>.</p><p><blockquote>如果这不是为了抨击DIS或暗示产品或业务很糟糕的话。DIS品牌是原始的。领导力强。该公司不会突然从地球上消失。<i>生意很惊人</i>.</blockquote></p><p> <b>All Subscribers Are Not Created Equal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>并非所有订户都是平等的</b></blockquote></p><p> I'm not too keen to do this, but here's Netflix (NFLX) versus DIS.</p><p><blockquote>我不太热衷于这样做，但这是Netflix(NFLX)与DIS的对比。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55b99727d2cfebd285167f115f4387ae\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The only point I want to make is that NFLX shareholders have done far better than DIS shareholders. And, for a different perspective, here's how $10K would have done over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>我唯一想说的是，NFLX股东的表现远远好于DIS股东。从不同的角度来看，以下是1万美元在过去五年中的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4539b42cb1304e691ad2b38dbcbf4c2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It's very hard for me to say that DIS is \"on sale\" when I look at the relatively flat performance over the last five years. While I think of DIS as a growth stock,<i>it's less of a growth stock</i>&nbsp;than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>当我看到过去五年相对平淡的表现时，我很难说DIS正在“打折”。虽然我认为DIS是一只成长型股票，<i>它不是成长型股票</i>比NFLX、MSFT和ADBE。</blockquote></p><p> In large part, I believe this is all about our definition of subscribers. I'll come back to that in a second. First, feast your eyes on this:</p><p><blockquote>在很大程度上，我相信这就是我们对订户的定义。我一会儿会回到这个话题。首先，大饱眼福：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfdf6d35c4eba3617e6fec280f09282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What you're seeing is profit margin for DIS, NFLX, MSFT and ADBE. Quite frankly, this paints a damning picture of DIS, especially since 2020. What's most impressive, on the other hand, is how MSFT and ADBE have had has consistently high and growing profit margins. I've got to say, I'm actually a bit surprised that NFLX just keeps getting stronger and stronger in this department as well.</p><p><blockquote>您看到的是DIS、NFLX、MSFT和ADBE的利润率。坦率地说，这为DIS描绘了一幅糟糕的画面，尤其是自2020年以来。另一方面，最令人印象深刻的是MSFT和ADBE的利润率一直很高且不断增长。我不得不说，我实际上有点惊讶NFLX在这个部门也变得越来越强大。</blockquote></p><p> By the way, as a sidebar, it's easy to complain about the NFLX P/E ratio. It's over 50 right now. But, at the same time, DIS is at 37, MSFT is at 37, and ADBE is at 52. In that respect, they are all quite overvalued.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，作为侧边栏，很容易抱怨NFLX市盈率。现在已经50多了。但与此同时，DIS为37，MSFT为37，ADBE为52。在这方面，它们都被高估了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, here are my biggest points. NFLX has spent more than DIS on content and also has first mover advantage, loyalty and entrenchment. Many people have both NFLX and DIS, so I see less of a \"war\" than most people. Furthermore, it appears that NFLX has done an outstanding operational job, and their capital allocation has been strong. It's hard to look at this chart and dismiss NFLX. Clearly, it's a well-run company.</p><p><blockquote>现在，以下是我最大的观点。NFLX在内容上的支出超过了DIS，并且还拥有先发优势、忠诚度和巩固地位。很多人都有NFLX和DIS，所以我比大多数人看到的“战争”更少。此外，NFLX的运营工作似乎非常出色，他们的资本配置也很强劲。看着这张图表，很难忽视NFLX。显然，这是一家运营良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c9d98acfdd8206fa2c0323144db713\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This next chart is extremely noisy, but you can scroll down and see the truth with your own two eyes. DIS has rather poor ROE, ROA and ROIC compared to NFLX, MSFT and ADBE.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表非常嘈杂，但你可以向下滚动，用你自己的两只眼睛看到真相。与NFLX、MSFT和ADBE相比，DIS的ROE、ROA和ROIC相当差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5aaf232d38eaceea4d9621f81a7a92f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To be fair, DIS was doing a pretty good job through early 2019. However, very importantly,<i>the drops appear to have started before 2020</i>. We cannot blame the pandemic for the decline in ROE, ROA and ROIC.</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，DIS在2019年初做得相当不错。然而，非常重要的是，<i>下降似乎在2020年之前就开始了</i>我们不能将ROE、ROA和ROIC的下降归咎于疫情。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear,DIS is going to be going gangbusters on content.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，DIS将在内容上大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p>   Disney plans to increase its overall content spend to around $33bn in 2022, marking an $8bn rise from the previous year.  Furthermore, the idea is that DIS will be&nbsp;rapidly growing the subscriber base.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼计划在2022年将其整体内容支出增加至330亿美元左右，比上一年增加80亿美元。此外，这个想法是DIS将迅速扩大用户群。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   Disney+ is expected to add 140 million subscribers between 2021 and 2026 to take its total to 271 million. Netflix, meanwhile, will add 53 million subscribers through the same period, taking it to a 2026 total of 275 million.  In short, DIS isn't about to be left in the dust by NFLX. Something like 60 unscripted series, 30 comedy series and 25 drama shows will be produced. There's really too much to list here. Money is being put to work by DIS.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+预计在2021年至2026年间将增加1.4亿订阅用户，使其总数达到2.71亿。与此同时，Netflix同期将增加5300万订阅用户，使其到2026年订阅用户总数达到2.75亿。简而言之，DIS不会被NFLX远远甩在身后。大约60部无剧本系列、30部喜剧系列和25部戏剧将被制作出来。这里真的有太多了，无法一一列举。DIS正在投入资金。</blockquote></p><p> Now, shifting gears, I have to say that both MSFT and ADBE have dramatically different types of subscribers. DIS and NFLX satisfy entertainment desires. These are wants,<i>not needs</i>.</p><p><blockquote>现在，换个角度，我不得不说MSFT和ADBE的订户类型截然不同。DIS和NFLX满足娱乐欲望。这些都是需求，<i>不需要</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Here's a good way to&nbsp;think about MSFT and ADBE:</p><p><blockquote>以下是思考MSFT和ADBE的好方法：</blockquote></p><p>   Both companies armed businesses big and small with the tools needed to stay in business since the pandemic. As the world moved to virtual work and school, PDFs with virtual signatures and Word docs with important information became standard.  In other words, MSFT and ADBE subscribers aren't \"addicted\" to the software, as much as they are<i>required to use it to do work</i>. When your job is on the line, you've got to be using industry standard tools. Furthermore, both NFLX and DIS are B2C whereas MSFT and ADBE are B2B. It's almost impossible to compare these companies, in terms of subscribers. Sure, we can discuss subscriber counts, subscriber growth, and so forth. But, MSFT and ADBE provide software to companies, and users must use those tools. They are sticky out of necessity, not mere desire. Therefore, let's all be very careful about how we think about DIS, and how we make comparisons.</p><p><blockquote>自大流行以来，两家公司都为大大小小的企业提供了维持业务所需的工具。随着世界转向虚拟工作和学校，带有虚拟签名的PDF和包含重要信息的Word文档成为标准。换句话说，MSFT和ADBE的用户并不像他们那样对软件“上瘾”<i>需要用它来做工作</i>.当你的工作岌岌可危时，你必须使用行业标准的工具。此外，NFLX和DIS都是B2C，而MSFT和ADBE是B2B。就订户而言，几乎不可能比较这些公司。当然，我们可以讨论用户数量、用户增长等等。但是，MSFT和ADBE向公司提供软件，用户必须使用这些工具。它们粘在一起是出于需要，而不仅仅是欲望。因此，让我们都非常小心我们如何看待DIS，以及我们如何进行比较。</blockquote></p><p> Putting all of this together, I still believe that DIS is a wonderful business. However, I would be cautious about adding a ton, especially if that decision is based on dazzling subscriber growth, or incredible content development. At this point, I see DIS as a reasonable hold.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我仍然相信DIS是一项出色的业务。然而，我会对增加一吨持谨慎态度，特别是如果这个决定是基于令人眼花缭乱的订户增长或令人难以置信的内容开发。在这一点上，我认为DIS是合理的持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475050-disney-all-subscribers-are-not-created-equal\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475050-disney-all-subscribers-are-not-created-equal","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119480728","content_text":"Summary\n\nQQQ has easily beaten DIS whereas SPY has done about the same.\nDIS has not fully bounced back from 2020 but it's certainly healing.\nDIS is far more like NFLX than MSFT or ADBE, despite any discussion or comparisons related to subscriber growth and associated metrics.\nDIS has been far less of a growth stock than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.\n\nMarvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nBackground\nI've owned Disney (DIS) since early 2016. I greatly enjoy DIS products and services. I am reasonably pleased with DIS stock performance.\nData by YCharts\n53% gains in 5 years isn't terrible but it's not spectacular either. For added perspective, let's quickly compare DIS with the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over 10 years or so.\nData by YCharts\nAs you can see, I zoomed out for a bigger picture view of things. Clearly, QQQ has crushed DIS. Over the same time, DIS has done about as well as SPY. It's clear the 2020 was rough on the price of DIS stock. However, it was also an incredible pivot opportunity for the business with Disney Plus, the streaming home of Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, National Geographic, and way more.\nBusiness Model Update\nIt's clear that DIS has been incredibly focused on subscribers for Disney Plus. Here's a quick peek, from the Q4 2021 Earnings Call:\n\n On the Direct-to-Consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services. Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu continue to perform incredibly well with a 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of a 179 million subscriptions. To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48%, and Disney+ subs in particular by 60%.\n\nNow, here's the good news and bad news. DIS leadership is planning to reach 230 million to 260 million paid subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024. Obviously, that's phenomenal growth and investors should cheer. However, the dark side is that this growth isn't free.DIS doesn't expect their portfolio of streaming services to reach profitability until 2024.Ouch.\nThe key point is that DIS is not simply bolting on Disney Plus, ESPN Plus, Hulu and so on, and adding profits to the bottom line. Instead, getting to this current level of subscribers has been chewing up time and resources. And, it'll be nasty for years. The investment will drain resources. More about this later.\nOf course, very long term investors can cheer. DIS literally has the best intellectual media assets in the world. Really, there isn't any company even close. The library is amazing, huge, and growing.See for yourself.\nAs a quick aside, most people, and most analysts expected a bigger \"snap back\" from 2020, especially in relation to park visits and related activity. For example, here's what we learned about attendance in August 2021:\n\n Disney world does not share its actual capacity nor the number of attendees they get daily. But as stated above, the estimated number of average daily attendees was 57,000 before the pandemic started. So, at present, it might be welcoming a maximum of 35,000 guests daily \n running with a 35% capacity. [Emphasis: Author]\n\nBig picture, I'm not too worried about the parks and related real-world experiences offered by DIS. It might take longer to get running at full steam, but DIS can do it. I'm a bit more concerned that investors are expecting too much from DIS streaming services, without fully considering the costs. This is especially true for short term investors and speculators.\nDisney Is Not Microsoft or Adobe\nAnalysts like to compare DIS to enterprise software companies,as if all subscribers are created equal. Let's consider two incredible businesses. Both Microsoft (MSFT) and Adobe (ADBE) have done exceptionally well in recent years, compared to DIS.\nData by YCharts\nClearly, MSFT and ADBE have trounced DIS. In part, here's why:\nData by YCharts\nP/S for both MSFT and ADBE has roughly doubled. At a high level, prices are moving up faster than revenue generated for MSFT and ADBE. Meanwhile, investors place less value on DIS revenue. DIS has pretty much moved sideways.\nLet's talk some real numbers. MSFT has grown earnings by 17% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.63 and in 2021 it's about $8. ADBE has grown earnings by about 29% per year over the last 10 years. In 2015, EPS was $2.08 and it's expected to hit a staggering $12.46 this year. Meanwhile, here's how DIS looks:\nSource: FASTgraphs\nEPS might get back to 2015 levels in 2023. The dividend was killed off. DIS share price is dramatically higher, even now, compared to earnings. There's a lot of pain in this chart.\nAll if this isn't to bash DIS or to imply that the products or business is terrible. The DIS brand is pristine. Leadership is strong. The company isn't going to suddenly fall off the face of the Earth.The business is amazing.\nAll Subscribers Are Not Created Equal\nI'm not too keen to do this, but here's Netflix (NFLX) versus DIS.\nData by YCharts\nThe only point I want to make is that NFLX shareholders have done far better than DIS shareholders. And, for a different perspective, here's how $10K would have done over the last five years.\nData by YCharts\nIt's very hard for me to say that DIS is \"on sale\" when I look at the relatively flat performance over the last five years. While I think of DIS as a growth stock,it's less of a growth stock than NFLX, MSFT, and ADBE.\nIn large part, I believe this is all about our definition of subscribers. I'll come back to that in a second. First, feast your eyes on this:\nData by YCharts\nWhat you're seeing is profit margin for DIS, NFLX, MSFT and ADBE. Quite frankly, this paints a damning picture of DIS, especially since 2020. What's most impressive, on the other hand, is how MSFT and ADBE have had has consistently high and growing profit margins. I've got to say, I'm actually a bit surprised that NFLX just keeps getting stronger and stronger in this department as well.\nBy the way, as a sidebar, it's easy to complain about the NFLX P/E ratio. It's over 50 right now. But, at the same time, DIS is at 37, MSFT is at 37, and ADBE is at 52. In that respect, they are all quite overvalued.\nWrap Up\nNow, here are my biggest points. NFLX has spent more than DIS on content and also has first mover advantage, loyalty and entrenchment. Many people have both NFLX and DIS, so I see less of a \"war\" than most people. Furthermore, it appears that NFLX has done an outstanding operational job, and their capital allocation has been strong. It's hard to look at this chart and dismiss NFLX. Clearly, it's a well-run company.\nData by YCharts\nThis next chart is extremely noisy, but you can scroll down and see the truth with your own two eyes. DIS has rather poor ROE, ROA and ROIC compared to NFLX, MSFT and ADBE.\nData by YCharts\nTo be fair, DIS was doing a pretty good job through early 2019. However, very importantly,the drops appear to have started before 2020. We cannot blame the pandemic for the decline in ROE, ROA and ROIC.\nTo be clear,DIS is going to be going gangbusters on content.\n\n Disney plans to increase its overall content spend to around $33bn in 2022, marking an $8bn rise from the previous year.\n\nFurthermore, the idea is that DIS will be rapidly growing the subscriber base.\n\n Disney+ is expected to add 140 million subscribers between 2021 and 2026 to take its total to 271 million. Netflix, meanwhile, will add 53 million subscribers through the same period, taking it to a 2026 total of 275 million.\n\nIn short, DIS isn't about to be left in the dust by NFLX. Something like 60 unscripted series, 30 comedy series and 25 drama shows will be produced. There's really too much to list here. Money is being put to work by DIS.\nNow, shifting gears, I have to say that both MSFT and ADBE have dramatically different types of subscribers. DIS and NFLX satisfy entertainment desires. These are wants,not needs.\nHere's a good way to think about MSFT and ADBE:\n\n Both companies armed businesses big and small with the tools needed to stay in business since the pandemic. As the world moved to virtual work and school, PDFs with virtual signatures and Word docs with important information became standard.\n\nIn other words, MSFT and ADBE subscribers aren't \"addicted\" to the software, as much as they arerequired to use it to do work. When your job is on the line, you've got to be using industry standard tools. Furthermore, both NFLX and DIS are B2C whereas MSFT and ADBE are B2B. It's almost impossible to compare these companies, in terms of subscribers. Sure, we can discuss subscriber counts, subscriber growth, and so forth. But, MSFT and ADBE provide software to companies, and users must use those tools. They are sticky out of necessity, not mere desire. Therefore, let's all be very careful about how we think about DIS, and how we make comparisons.\nPutting all of this together, I still believe that DIS is a wonderful business. However, I would be cautious about adding a ton, especially if that decision is based on dazzling subscriber growth, or incredible content development. At this point, I see DIS as a reasonable hold.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852330487,"gmtCreate":1635240156267,"gmtModify":1635240156369,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra&nbsp;","listText":"Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra&nbsp;","text":"Batteries are very important esp w lack of infra","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852330487","repostId":"1111450640","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846768182,"gmtCreate":1636115054086,"gmtModify":1636115054180,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good food for thought&nbsp;","listText":"Good food for thought&nbsp;","text":"Good food for thought","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846768182","repostId":"1142385683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142385683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636108868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142385683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 18:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Real Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142385683","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Cla","content":"<p><div> Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $12 per share. Founded in 2016, Real Good Foods develops, markets, and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Real Good Food Company Inc将其530万股A类普通股的首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股12美元。Real Good Foods成立于2016年，开发、营销和...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Real Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReal Good Food Prices IPO At $12/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Real Good Food IPO价格为12美元/股，低于预期范围</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 18:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $12 per share. Founded in 2016, Real Good Foods develops, markets, and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Real Good Food Company Inc将其530万股A类普通股的首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股12美元。Real Good Foods成立于2016年，开发、营销和...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RLGDF":"Real Good Food PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23917459/real-good-food-prices-ipo-at-12share-below-expected-range","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142385683","content_text":"Real Good Food Company Inc has priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 5.3 million shares of Class A common stock at $12 per share.\nFounded in 2016, Real Good Foods develops, markets, and manufactures comfort foods intended to be sold in the health and wellness segment of the frozen food category.\nThe company and a selling stockholder have also granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 0.8 million shares at IPO price.\nReal Good Food had expected to price the IPO at $14 - $16 per share.\nReal Good Foods expects gross proceeds from this offering to be approximately $64.0 million.\nThe company expects the shares to begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Market on November 5, 2021, under the ticker symbol \"RGF.\"\nThe company expects the offering to close on November 9, 2021.\nJefferies and William Blair & Company, L.L.C. are serving as lead book-running managers for the offering.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RLGDF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841463852,"gmtCreate":1635935270667,"gmtModify":1635935320079,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope the stock doesn't go cold!&nbsp;","listText":"Hope the stock doesn't go cold!&nbsp;","text":"Hope the stock doesn't go cold!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841463852","repostId":"1134896841","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134896841","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635933860,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134896841?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 18:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134896841","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along wit","content":"<p>Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along with some classic favorites.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克(SBUX)以其新的假日阵容以及一些经典的最爱正式拉开了假日季的序幕。</blockquote></p><p> The Seattle-based coffee giant announced the return of its holiday menu with holiday shoppers hitting the storesearlier than ever. The lineup is set to hit all U.S. locations beginning on Thursday, November 3rd, and will debut alongside four new holiday cup designs: wrapping paper, ribbon, holiday lights and candy cane.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于西雅图的咖啡巨头宣布回归假日菜单，假日购物者比以往任何时候都更早地来到商店。该系列将于11月3日周四开始在美国所有地点上市，并将与四种新的节日杯设计一起首次亮相：包装纸、丝带、节日灯和糖果手杖。</blockquote></p><p> For the first-time ever, the company will debut a non-dairy beverage in its holiday lineup, the Iced Sugar Cookie Almond Milk Latte, which can be either cold or hot. The beverage is crafted with sugar cookie flavored syrup, Starbucks' trademarked blonde espresso, almond milk and topped with red and green sprinkles.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将首次在其假日系列中推出一种非乳制品饮料，冰糖饼干杏仁牛奶拿铁，可以是冷的，也可以是热的。这种饮料由糖饼干味糖浆、星巴克商标的金发浓缩咖啡、杏仁牛奶制成，上面撒有红色和绿色的糖屑。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks is also bringing back its well-known favorites like Peppermint Mocha, Caramel Brulee, Chestnut Praline and Toasted White Chocolate Mocha. The Irish Cream Cold Brew, which debuted in 2019 and typically debuts in December, will hit the menus earlier than ever this holiday.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克还带回了其众所周知的最爱，如薄荷摩卡、焦糖布丁、栗子果仁糖和烤白巧克力摩卡。爱尔兰奶油冷饮于2019年首次亮相，通常在12月首次亮相，将比以往任何时候都更早地出现在这个假期的菜单上。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks' decision to add a cold beverage to its holiday lineup, and to re-introduce the Irish Cream Cold Brew, may be no surprise to consumers and Wall Street alike. In recent months, the coffee giant has touted therise of cold drinks, which now account for awhopping 75% of total beverage sales.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克决定在其假日产品线中增加一种冷饮，并重新推出爱尔兰奶油冷饮，这对消费者和华尔街来说可能并不奇怪。最近几个月，这家咖啡巨头大力宣传冷饮，目前冷饮占饮料总销售额的75%。</blockquote></p><p> As far as a sweet treat to grab with the holiday drinks, Starbucks is bringing back the Sugar Plum Danish, Cranberry Bliss Bar and Snowman Cookie. However, keep a lookout for a newcomer, the company is unveiling a new addition: the Reindeer Cake Pop.</p><p><blockquote>至于节日饮料中的甜点，星巴克带回了糖李子丹麦、蔓越莓极乐棒和雪人饼干。然而，请留意新来者，该公司正在推出一款新产品：驯鹿蛋糕流行。</blockquote></p><p> According to Ethan Chernofsky, CMO of data intelligence platform Placer.ai, there's potential for Starbucks to see a big boost in traffic around this time of year and from the addition of new flavors.</p><p><blockquote>数据智能平台Placer.ai的CMO Ethan Chernofsky表示，星巴克在每年的这个时候以及新口味的增加都有可能看到客流量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> He&nbsp;told Yahoo Finance&nbsp;there's a pent-up demand for brick-and-mortar due to COVID-19, which means \"substantial visits to malls, to shopping centers and in general\" and good news for Starbucks.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉雅虎财经，由于COVID-19，实体店的需求被压抑，这意味着“大量前往购物中心、购物中心等”，这对星巴克来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> \"When we see that type of behavior, we see a really big surge for Starbucks,\" the analyst said. \"Let's be clear, when you go shopping for a long day, there is nothing that helps make that day a little bit easier than a coffee, maybe two, at some point along that trip.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们看到这种行为时，我们会看到星巴克的股价确实大幅飙升，”分析师表示。“让我们明确一点，当你去购物一整天时，没有什么比在旅途中的某个时候喝一杯，也许两杯咖啡更能让这一天变得轻松一点了。”</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Starbucks loyal following of consumers will likely run to try the latest creation.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，星巴克的忠实消费者可能会跑去尝试最新的产品。</blockquote></p><p> The foot traffic following known-beverages like the Pumpkin Spice Latte shows \"how powerful a position Starbucks plays within the coffee sector, but within the wider zeitgeist, in the sense that when they launch something, people are excited and willing to try it.\"</p><p><blockquote>南瓜香料拿铁等知名饮料的人流量表明“星巴克在咖啡行业以及更广泛的时代精神中发挥着多么强大的地位，从某种意义上说，当他们推出某种产品时，人们会很兴奋并愿意尝试它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks rolls out holiday drink menu, featuring a new sugar cookie latte<blockquote>星巴克推出节日饮料菜单，推出新的糖饼干拿铁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 18:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along with some classic favorites.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克(SBUX)以其新的假日阵容以及一些经典的最爱正式拉开了假日季的序幕。</blockquote></p><p> The Seattle-based coffee giant announced the return of its holiday menu with holiday shoppers hitting the storesearlier than ever. The lineup is set to hit all U.S. locations beginning on Thursday, November 3rd, and will debut alongside four new holiday cup designs: wrapping paper, ribbon, holiday lights and candy cane.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于西雅图的咖啡巨头宣布回归假日菜单，假日购物者比以往任何时候都更早地来到商店。该系列将于11月3日周四开始在美国所有地点上市，并将与四种新的节日杯设计一起首次亮相：包装纸、丝带、节日灯和糖果手杖。</blockquote></p><p> For the first-time ever, the company will debut a non-dairy beverage in its holiday lineup, the Iced Sugar Cookie Almond Milk Latte, which can be either cold or hot. The beverage is crafted with sugar cookie flavored syrup, Starbucks' trademarked blonde espresso, almond milk and topped with red and green sprinkles.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将首次在其假日系列中推出一种非乳制品饮料，冰糖饼干杏仁牛奶拿铁，可以是冷的，也可以是热的。这种饮料由糖饼干味糖浆、星巴克商标的金发浓缩咖啡、杏仁牛奶制成，上面撒有红色和绿色的糖屑。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks is also bringing back its well-known favorites like Peppermint Mocha, Caramel Brulee, Chestnut Praline and Toasted White Chocolate Mocha. The Irish Cream Cold Brew, which debuted in 2019 and typically debuts in December, will hit the menus earlier than ever this holiday.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克还带回了其众所周知的最爱，如薄荷摩卡、焦糖布丁、栗子果仁糖和烤白巧克力摩卡。爱尔兰奶油冷饮于2019年首次亮相，通常在12月首次亮相，将比以往任何时候都更早地出现在这个假期的菜单上。</blockquote></p><p> Starbucks' decision to add a cold beverage to its holiday lineup, and to re-introduce the Irish Cream Cold Brew, may be no surprise to consumers and Wall Street alike. In recent months, the coffee giant has touted therise of cold drinks, which now account for awhopping 75% of total beverage sales.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克决定在其假日产品线中增加一种冷饮，并重新推出爱尔兰奶油冷饮，这对消费者和华尔街来说可能并不奇怪。最近几个月，这家咖啡巨头大力宣传冷饮，目前冷饮占饮料总销售额的75%。</blockquote></p><p> As far as a sweet treat to grab with the holiday drinks, Starbucks is bringing back the Sugar Plum Danish, Cranberry Bliss Bar and Snowman Cookie. However, keep a lookout for a newcomer, the company is unveiling a new addition: the Reindeer Cake Pop.</p><p><blockquote>至于节日饮料中的甜点，星巴克带回了糖李子丹麦、蔓越莓极乐棒和雪人饼干。然而，请留意新来者，该公司正在推出一款新产品：驯鹿蛋糕流行。</blockquote></p><p> According to Ethan Chernofsky, CMO of data intelligence platform Placer.ai, there's potential for Starbucks to see a big boost in traffic around this time of year and from the addition of new flavors.</p><p><blockquote>数据智能平台Placer.ai的CMO Ethan Chernofsky表示，星巴克在每年的这个时候以及新口味的增加都有可能看到客流量的大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> He&nbsp;told Yahoo Finance&nbsp;there's a pent-up demand for brick-and-mortar due to COVID-19, which means \"substantial visits to malls, to shopping centers and in general\" and good news for Starbucks.</p><p><blockquote>他告诉雅虎财经，由于COVID-19，实体店的需求被压抑，这意味着“大量前往购物中心、购物中心等”，这对星巴克来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> \"When we see that type of behavior, we see a really big surge for Starbucks,\" the analyst said. \"Let's be clear, when you go shopping for a long day, there is nothing that helps make that day a little bit easier than a coffee, maybe two, at some point along that trip.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们看到这种行为时，我们会看到星巴克的股价确实大幅飙升，”分析师表示。“让我们明确一点，当你去购物一整天时，没有什么比在旅途中的某个时候喝一杯，也许两杯咖啡更能让这一天变得轻松一点了。”</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Starbucks loyal following of consumers will likely run to try the latest creation.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，星巴克的忠实消费者可能会跑去尝试最新的产品。</blockquote></p><p> The foot traffic following known-beverages like the Pumpkin Spice Latte shows \"how powerful a position Starbucks plays within the coffee sector, but within the wider zeitgeist, in the sense that when they launch something, people are excited and willing to try it.\"</p><p><blockquote>南瓜香料拿铁等知名饮料的人流量表明“星巴克在咖啡行业以及更广泛的时代精神中发挥着多么强大的地位，从某种意义上说，当他们推出某种产品时，人们会很兴奋并愿意尝试它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/starbucks-holiday-drinks-are-back-on-the-menu-with-a-new-iced-latte-entree-090124820.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/starbucks-holiday-drinks-are-back-on-the-menu-with-a-new-iced-latte-entree-090124820.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134896841","content_text":"Starbucks (SBUX) is officially kicking off the holiday season with its new holiday lineup, along with some classic favorites.\nThe Seattle-based coffee giant announced the return of its holiday menu with holiday shoppers hitting the storesearlier than ever. The lineup is set to hit all U.S. locations beginning on Thursday, November 3rd, and will debut alongside four new holiday cup designs: wrapping paper, ribbon, holiday lights and candy cane.\nFor the first-time ever, the company will debut a non-dairy beverage in its holiday lineup, the Iced Sugar Cookie Almond Milk Latte, which can be either cold or hot. The beverage is crafted with sugar cookie flavored syrup, Starbucks' trademarked blonde espresso, almond milk and topped with red and green sprinkles.\nStarbucks is also bringing back its well-known favorites like Peppermint Mocha, Caramel Brulee, Chestnut Praline and Toasted White Chocolate Mocha. The Irish Cream Cold Brew, which debuted in 2019 and typically debuts in December, will hit the menus earlier than ever this holiday.\nStarbucks' decision to add a cold beverage to its holiday lineup, and to re-introduce the Irish Cream Cold Brew, may be no surprise to consumers and Wall Street alike. In recent months, the coffee giant has touted therise of cold drinks, which now account for awhopping 75% of total beverage sales.\nAs far as a sweet treat to grab with the holiday drinks, Starbucks is bringing back the Sugar Plum Danish, Cranberry Bliss Bar and Snowman Cookie. However, keep a lookout for a newcomer, the company is unveiling a new addition: the Reindeer Cake Pop.\nAccording to Ethan Chernofsky, CMO of data intelligence platform Placer.ai, there's potential for Starbucks to see a big boost in traffic around this time of year and from the addition of new flavors.\nHe told Yahoo Finance there's a pent-up demand for brick-and-mortar due to COVID-19, which means \"substantial visits to malls, to shopping centers and in general\" and good news for Starbucks.\n\"When we see that type of behavior, we see a really big surge for Starbucks,\" the analyst said. \"Let's be clear, when you go shopping for a long day, there is nothing that helps make that day a little bit easier than a coffee, maybe two, at some point along that trip.\"\nOn top of that, Starbucks loyal following of consumers will likely run to try the latest creation.\nThe foot traffic following known-beverages like the Pumpkin Spice Latte shows \"how powerful a position Starbucks plays within the coffee sector, but within the wider zeitgeist, in the sense that when they launch something, people are excited and willing to try it.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823726744,"gmtCreate":1633664276280,"gmtModify":1633664276541,"author":{"id":"4090160645832330","authorId":"4090160645832330","name":"egg3030","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba6ef8bd45b7f1dc2dc78586fe68f1c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090160645832330","idStr":"4090160645832330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"But what about the larger infrastructure issues","listText":"But what about the larger infrastructure issues","text":"But what about the larger infrastructure issues","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823726744","repostId":"1128736762","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128736762","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633662653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128736762?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 11:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Favorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128736762","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.\nThe Wall ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.</li>  <li>The Wall Street consensus is that GM will succeed sooner rather than later.</li>  <li>The market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has shifted to a substantially more positive near-term view.</li>  <li>I see GM as having a favorable risk-return profile.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139e056979d4a81394ff8a2299dd40df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用汽车一直在努力向电动汽车和其他技术前沿的过渡。</li><li>华尔街的共识是通用汽车迟早会成功。</li><li>市场隐含的前景（来自期权价格）已经转向更加积极的近期观点。</li><li>我认为通用汽车具有良好的风险回报状况。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> General Motors(NYSE:GM)seems to be having a moment, with the share price rising 4.5% today, following an inspirational&nbsp;presentation to analysts. The company outlined its plan to be a leader in EVs and a vision for building a&nbsp;million self-driving cars by 2030. For GM, as with Ford(NYSE:F), the company recognizes that earnings growth and share valuation depend on aggressive technology-driven development. If GM can convince the market, and then demonstrate, that there is a real roadmap to higher-margin EVs and self-driving vehicles, the shares should demand a considerably higher price. After all, GM’s forward P/E is&nbsp;8.8, as compared to TSLA’s&nbsp;144.8.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(NYSE：GM)似乎迎来了一个时刻，在向分析师进行了鼓舞人心的演讲后，股价今天上涨了4.5%。该公司概述了成为电动汽车领导者的计划以及到2030年生产100万辆自动驾驶汽车的愿景。对于通用汽车来说，与福特（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）一样，该公司认识到盈利增长和股票估值取决于积极的技术驱动发展。如果通用汽车能够说服市场，然后证明有一个真正的高利润电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车的路线图，那么该股的价格应该会高得多。毕竟，通用汽车的预期市盈率为8.8，而特斯拉的预期市盈率为144.8。</blockquote></p><p> Intriguingly, the Wall Street analysts have already priced an outlook for GM’s transformation. The Wall Street analyst&nbsp;consensus price target&nbsp;for GM has surged to $71.3, as compared to $46.6 in February of 2020, right before COVID hit and $51 at the end of 2020. At the current share price of $56.30, the Wall Street consensus (as calculated by&nbsp;Seeking Alpha) is for 12-month price appreciation of 26.7%.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，华尔街分析师已经对通用汽车转型的前景进行了定价。华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致目标价已飙升至71.3美元，而2020年2月新冠疫情爆发前为46.6美元，2020年底为51美元。按目前56.30美元的股价计算，华尔街的共识（由Seeking Alpha计算）是12个月内股价上涨26.7%。</blockquote></p><p> When I&nbsp;last analyzed GM on March 7, 2021, seven months ago, the Wall Street consensus outlook was already bullish, with a 12-month price target that was about 20% above the share price at that time. Of the 19 analysts included in Seeking Alpha’s consensus outlook, 17 were bullish and 2 were neutral. I assigned GM a neutral rating at that time, largely because the outlook implied by options prices, in contrast to the Wall Street consensus, was bearish. The options market to early 2022 was indicating elevated probabilities of price declines. I compromised between the bullish Wall Street and the bearish options market view with a neutral rating. Since my post was published, GM has gained 4% (including the big rise today), as compared to 15.1% in price appreciation for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>当我上次在7个月前的2021年3月7日分析通用汽车时，华尔街的普遍前景已经看涨，12个月目标价比当时的股价高出约20%。在Seeking Alpha一致展望中的19名分析师中，17名分析师看涨，2名分析师中性。我当时给通用汽车的评级是中性的，主要是因为与华尔街的共识相反，期权价格所暗示的前景是看跌的。截至2022年初的期权市场表明价格下跌的可能性很高。我在看涨华尔街和看跌期权市场观点之间做出了妥协，给予了中性评级。自从我的文章发表以来，通用汽车已经上涨了4%（包括今天的大幅上涨），而标普500的价格上涨了15.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c074188d666f33a0849eb28c23242522\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"355\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Performance of GM vs. the S&amp;P 500 over the past 7 months (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车与标普500过去7个月的表现（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Using options prices to build a probabilistic price return outlook is conceptually straightforward. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying stock (GM, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is referred to as the market-implied outlook. For readers seeking more information on this approach, I have written an&nbsp;overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.</p><p><blockquote>使用期权价格来构建概率价格回报前景在概念上很简单。期权价格代表市场对标的股票（在本例中为通用汽车）价格高于（看涨期权期权）或低于（看跌期权）特定水平（执行价格）的概率的一致估计。）从现在到期权到期。通过分析一系列执行价格和共同到期日的评级和看跌期权，可以计算出与期权价格相一致的基础证券的概率前景。这被称为市场隐含前景。对于寻求更多关于这种方法的信息的读者，我写了一篇概述文章，包括相关金融文献的链接。</blockquote></p><p> It is clear today, as it was for my last analysis, that GM is relying on the ability to compete with EVs and autonomous vehicles. The analysts are valuing the company assuming that GM will successfully make this transition. Even if one agrees, the challenge is in the timing. Since March, GM has suffered an expensive and embarrassing setback with the&nbsp;massive recall&nbsp;of Chevy electric vehicles. Even if one buys into management’s vision, one imagines that some car buyers will be reluctant to buy a GM EV after seeing pictures of&nbsp;charred Chevy Bolts.</p><p><blockquote>今天很明显，正如我上次的分析一样，通用汽车依靠的是与电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车竞争的能力。分析师对该公司进行估值时假设通用汽车将成功实现这一转型。即使有人同意，挑战也在于时机。自3月份以来，通用汽车因大规模召回雪佛兰电动汽车而遭受了代价高昂且令人尴尬的挫折。即使人们相信管理层的愿景，人们也会想象一些购车者在看到烧焦的雪佛兰Bolt的照片后不愿意购买通用汽车电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM is currently 11.9% below its 2021 high close of $63.92, set on June 8. With 7 months since my last analysis, and with the market and the analysts responding favorably to GM’s vision, I am revisiting my rating on GM.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车目前较6月8日创下的2021年收盘价63.92美元低11.9%。距离我上次分析已经过去7个月了，随着市场和分析师对通用汽车的愿景反应良好，我正在重新审视我对通用汽车的评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街对通用汽车的共识前景</b></blockquote></p><p> ETrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 13 ranked analysts who have issued ratings and price targets for GM within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 27.5% above the current share price. There is a fairly high level of dispersion in the price targets, which&nbsp;reduces confidence&nbsp;in the consensus value. Of the 13 analysts, 12 give GM a buy rating and 1 assigns a neutral rating.</p><p><blockquote>ETrade对华尔街共识前景的计算是根据过去90天内发布通用汽车评级和价格目标的13位排名分析师的观点计算得出的。共识评级为看涨，共识12个月目标价比当前股价高出27.5%。价格目标存在相当高的离散度，这降低了对共识价值的信心。在13名分析师中，12名给予通用汽车买入评级，1名给予中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b957237cbf2644c75e372831ed0714\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"838\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价（来源：ETrade）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using ratings and prices targets from 21 analysts. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 26.7% above the current share price. Only 1 analyst is neutral and the other 20 are bullish.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha版本的华尔街共识前景是使用21位分析师的评级和价格目标计算得出的。一致评级为看涨，一致目标价较当前股价高出26.7%。只有1名分析师持中性态度，其他20名分析师持看涨态度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbd40949c8ccc5a730e0aa07c04e15a8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"645\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The good news for GM shareholders is that the analysts are almost uniformly bullish on GM and the average 12-month price target is about 27% above the current level. There are somewhat cautionary considerations, however. First, the spread among the price targets is high, which means that there is not a lot of confidence in the outlook. Second, the timing of a share price recovery is hard to predict. The analysts were bullish back in March, as well.</p><p><blockquote>对于通用汽车股东来说，好消息是分析师几乎一致看好通用汽车，12个月平均目标价比当前水平高出约27%。然而，也有一些谨慎的考虑。首先，价格目标之间的利差很高，这意味着对前景没有太大信心。其次，股价回升的时机很难预测。分析师在三月份也持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market-Implied Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通用汽车的市场隐含前景</b></blockquote></p><p> I have analyzed the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.5 months (from today until the expiration date). In my previous analysis, I also calculated a market-implied outlook using options with this expiration date. I have also generated the market-implied outlook to mid 2022, a period of 8.3 months, by analyzing options that expire on June 21, 2022.</p><p><blockquote>我分析了一系列执行价格的看涨期权和看跌期权的价格，这些期权都将于2022年1月21日到期，以生成未来3.5个月（从今天到到期日）的市场隐含前景。在我之前的分析中，我还使用具有此到期日的期权计算了市场隐含前景。我还通过分析2022年6月21日到期的期权，生成了2022年中期（8.3个月）的市场隐含前景。</blockquote></p><p> The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><blockquote>市场隐含前景的标准表示是价格回报的概率分布，概率在纵轴，回报在横轴。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd025ceee857934bb5992eb6c234bd6d\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>从今天到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间通用汽车的市场隐含价格回报概率（来源：作者使用ETrade期权报价进行计算）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook for GM for the 3.5-month period between now and January 21, 2022 is generally symmetric, although the peak probability is slightly tilted towards negative returns, corresponding to a price return of -1.5%. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 35.7%, quite high for an individual stock.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间，通用汽车的市场隐含前景总体上是对称的，尽管峰值概率略有向负回报倾斜，对应的价格回报为-1.5%。这种分布得出的年化波动率为35.7%，对于个股来说相当高。</blockquote></p><p> To make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>为了更容易直接比较正回报和负回报的概率，我围绕垂直轴旋转分布的负回报侧（见下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3728611fe98a00c0edfa693bae10b4\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年1月21日3.5个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转（来源：作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This view shows that the probabilities of positive and negative returns are almost identical for most outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). The exception is for small-magnitude price returns (+/- 5%).</p><p><blockquote>这种观点表明，对于大多数结果，正回报和负回报的概率几乎相同（蓝色实线和红色虚线彼此非常接近）。例外情况是小规模价格回报（+/-5%）。</blockquote></p><p> Theory predicts that the market-implied outlook will tend to be negatively biased because risk-averse investors pay more than fair value for put options to limit losses in long positions. In the financial literature, the market-implied outlook is often referred to as being risk-neutral. What this means is that the market-implied outlook would be unbiased if investors, in aggregate, were risk-neutral. Investors, collectively, are risk-averse - demanding to be paid a premium to take on risk (the equity risk premium). For this reason, a market-implied outlook with closely matching probabilities between positive and negative returns, as we see here, is actually a slightly bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>理论预测，市场隐含的前景将倾向于负面偏差，因为规避风险的投资者为看跌期权支付的价格高于公允价值，以限制多头头寸的损失。在金融文献中，市场隐含的前景通常被称为风险中性的。这意味着，如果投资者总体上风险中性，市场隐含的前景将是无偏见的。总的来说，投资者是规避风险的——要求获得承担风险的溢价（股票风险溢价）。因此，正如我们在这里看到的，正回报和负回报之间概率密切匹配的市场隐含前景实际上是一种稍微看涨的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook to the middle of 2022 (8.3 months), calculated using the prices of call and put options that expire on June 17, 2022, exhibits more of a negative tilt. Qualitative consideration of the potential for a negative bias leads me to characterize this outlook as neutral, perhaps with a slight bearish tilt. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 36.5%.</p><p><blockquote>使用2022年6月17日到期的看涨期权和看跌期权价格计算的2022年中期（8.3个月）的市场隐含前景显示出更多的负面倾斜。对潜在负面偏见的定性考虑使我将这种前景描述为中性，也许有轻微的看跌倾向。由此分布得出的年化波动率为36.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7731002b4fcd2fbea3e50f32512c507\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 8.3-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年6月17日的8.3个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转（来源：作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Contrast the current market-implied outlooks for GM with the 10.6-month outlook to January 2022 from my&nbsp;previous analysis&nbsp;in March, which was substantially bearish. In this outlook, the probabilities of negative price returns were much higher relative to those for positive returns. The current market-implied outlook, slightly bullish to early 2022 and neutral to mid-2022, is much more favorable than the outlook from my earlier analysis.</p><p><blockquote>将通用汽车当前的市场隐含前景与我之前3月份分析中截至2022年1月的10.6个月前景进行对比，该分析非常悲观。在这种前景中，相对于正回报，负价格回报的概率要高得多。目前市场隐含的前景，2022年初略有看涨，2022年中期中性，比我之前分析的前景要有利得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> GM is at an important transition point in its history. The company needs to rapidly and convincingly shift away from traditional internal combustion vehicles and towards EVs and autonomous vehicles. The Wall Street analysts, as a group, are confident that GM can make strides in this direction and the analyst consensus has gotten more bullish through 2021. The Wall Street consensus rating is bullish, with about 27% expected 12-month price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车正处于其历史上的一个重要转折点。该公司需要迅速、令人信服地从传统内燃机汽车转向电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车。华尔街分析师作为一个群体，相信通用汽车能够在这个方向上取得长足进步，并且分析师的共识在2021年变得更加乐观。华尔街一致评级为看涨，约27%的人预计12个月价格将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The projected volatility for GM, calculated from the market-implied outlook, is about 36%. This is a fairly high level of volatility, but looks reasonable if we believe that the expected return is 27%. As a rule of thumb for a buy, I want to see expected return that is at or above ½ of the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场隐含前景计算，通用汽车的预计波动性约为36%。这是一个相当高的波动水平，但如果我们相信预期回报率为27%，那么看起来是合理的。作为买入的经验法则，我希望看到预期回报等于或高于波动率的1/2。</blockquote></p><p> Taking the analyst expected return at face value, GM easily surpasses this threshold. The market-implied outlook to early 2022 is slightly bullish, shifting to neutral by mid-2022. The market-implied outlook for GM has improved dramatically since March, when it was significantly bearish. I am changing my rating on GM from neutral to bullish.</p><p><blockquote>从分析师的预期回报率来看，通用汽车轻松超过了这一门槛。市场对2022年初的隐含前景略有看涨，到2022年中期将转向中性。自3月份以来，市场对通用汽车的隐含前景已显着改善，当时通用汽车的前景明显看跌。我将对通用汽车的评级从中性改为看涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Favorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFavorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 11:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.</li>  <li>The Wall Street consensus is that GM will succeed sooner rather than later.</li>  <li>The market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has shifted to a substantially more positive near-term view.</li>  <li>I see GM as having a favorable risk-return profile.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139e056979d4a81394ff8a2299dd40df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用汽车一直在努力向电动汽车和其他技术前沿的过渡。</li><li>华尔街的共识是通用汽车迟早会成功。</li><li>市场隐含的前景（来自期权价格）已经转向更加积极的近期观点。</li><li>我认为通用汽车具有良好的风险回报状况。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> General Motors(NYSE:GM)seems to be having a moment, with the share price rising 4.5% today, following an inspirational&nbsp;presentation to analysts. The company outlined its plan to be a leader in EVs and a vision for building a&nbsp;million self-driving cars by 2030. For GM, as with Ford(NYSE:F), the company recognizes that earnings growth and share valuation depend on aggressive technology-driven development. If GM can convince the market, and then demonstrate, that there is a real roadmap to higher-margin EVs and self-driving vehicles, the shares should demand a considerably higher price. After all, GM’s forward P/E is&nbsp;8.8, as compared to TSLA’s&nbsp;144.8.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(NYSE：GM)似乎迎来了一个时刻，在向分析师进行了鼓舞人心的演讲后，股价今天上涨了4.5%。该公司概述了成为电动汽车领导者的计划以及到2030年生产100万辆自动驾驶汽车的愿景。对于通用汽车来说，与福特（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）一样，该公司认识到盈利增长和股票估值取决于积极的技术驱动发展。如果通用汽车能够说服市场，然后证明有一个真正的高利润电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车的路线图，那么该股的价格应该会高得多。毕竟，通用汽车的预期市盈率为8.8，而特斯拉的预期市盈率为144.8。</blockquote></p><p> Intriguingly, the Wall Street analysts have already priced an outlook for GM’s transformation. The Wall Street analyst&nbsp;consensus price target&nbsp;for GM has surged to $71.3, as compared to $46.6 in February of 2020, right before COVID hit and $51 at the end of 2020. At the current share price of $56.30, the Wall Street consensus (as calculated by&nbsp;Seeking Alpha) is for 12-month price appreciation of 26.7%.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，华尔街分析师已经对通用汽车转型的前景进行了定价。华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致目标价已飙升至71.3美元，而2020年2月新冠疫情爆发前为46.6美元，2020年底为51美元。按目前56.30美元的股价计算，华尔街的共识（由Seeking Alpha计算）是12个月内股价上涨26.7%。</blockquote></p><p> When I&nbsp;last analyzed GM on March 7, 2021, seven months ago, the Wall Street consensus outlook was already bullish, with a 12-month price target that was about 20% above the share price at that time. Of the 19 analysts included in Seeking Alpha’s consensus outlook, 17 were bullish and 2 were neutral. I assigned GM a neutral rating at that time, largely because the outlook implied by options prices, in contrast to the Wall Street consensus, was bearish. The options market to early 2022 was indicating elevated probabilities of price declines. I compromised between the bullish Wall Street and the bearish options market view with a neutral rating. Since my post was published, GM has gained 4% (including the big rise today), as compared to 15.1% in price appreciation for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>当我上次在7个月前的2021年3月7日分析通用汽车时，华尔街的普遍前景已经看涨，12个月目标价比当时的股价高出约20%。在Seeking Alpha一致展望中的19名分析师中，17名分析师看涨，2名分析师中性。我当时给通用汽车的评级是中性的，主要是因为与华尔街的共识相反，期权价格所暗示的前景是看跌的。截至2022年初的期权市场表明价格下跌的可能性很高。我在看涨华尔街和看跌期权市场观点之间做出了妥协，给予了中性评级。自从我的文章发表以来，通用汽车已经上涨了4%（包括今天的大幅上涨），而标普500的价格上涨了15.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c074188d666f33a0849eb28c23242522\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"355\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Performance of GM vs. the S&amp;P 500 over the past 7 months (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车与标普500过去7个月的表现（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Using options prices to build a probabilistic price return outlook is conceptually straightforward. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying stock (GM, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is referred to as the market-implied outlook. For readers seeking more information on this approach, I have written an&nbsp;overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.</p><p><blockquote>使用期权价格来构建概率价格回报前景在概念上很简单。期权价格代表市场对标的股票（在本例中为通用汽车）价格高于（看涨期权期权）或低于（看跌期权）特定水平（执行价格）的概率的一致估计。）从现在到期权到期。通过分析一系列执行价格和共同到期日的评级和看跌期权，可以计算出与期权价格相一致的基础证券的概率前景。这被称为市场隐含前景。对于寻求更多关于这种方法的信息的读者，我写了一篇概述文章，包括相关金融文献的链接。</blockquote></p><p> It is clear today, as it was for my last analysis, that GM is relying on the ability to compete with EVs and autonomous vehicles. The analysts are valuing the company assuming that GM will successfully make this transition. Even if one agrees, the challenge is in the timing. Since March, GM has suffered an expensive and embarrassing setback with the&nbsp;massive recall&nbsp;of Chevy electric vehicles. Even if one buys into management’s vision, one imagines that some car buyers will be reluctant to buy a GM EV after seeing pictures of&nbsp;charred Chevy Bolts.</p><p><blockquote>今天很明显，正如我上次的分析一样，通用汽车依靠的是与电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车竞争的能力。分析师对该公司进行估值时假设通用汽车将成功实现这一转型。即使有人同意，挑战也在于时机。自3月份以来，通用汽车因大规模召回雪佛兰电动汽车而遭受了代价高昂且令人尴尬的挫折。即使人们相信管理层的愿景，人们也会想象一些购车者在看到烧焦的雪佛兰Bolt的照片后不愿意购买通用汽车电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM is currently 11.9% below its 2021 high close of $63.92, set on June 8. With 7 months since my last analysis, and with the market and the analysts responding favorably to GM’s vision, I am revisiting my rating on GM.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车目前较6月8日创下的2021年收盘价63.92美元低11.9%。距离我上次分析已经过去7个月了，随着市场和分析师对通用汽车的愿景反应良好，我正在重新审视我对通用汽车的评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街对通用汽车的共识前景</b></blockquote></p><p> ETrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 13 ranked analysts who have issued ratings and price targets for GM within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 27.5% above the current share price. There is a fairly high level of dispersion in the price targets, which&nbsp;reduces confidence&nbsp;in the consensus value. Of the 13 analysts, 12 give GM a buy rating and 1 assigns a neutral rating.</p><p><blockquote>ETrade对华尔街共识前景的计算是根据过去90天内发布通用汽车评级和价格目标的13位排名分析师的观点计算得出的。共识评级为看涨，共识12个月目标价比当前股价高出27.5%。价格目标存在相当高的离散度，这降低了对共识价值的信心。在13名分析师中，12名给予通用汽车买入评级，1名给予中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b957237cbf2644c75e372831ed0714\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"838\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价（来源：ETrade）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using ratings and prices targets from 21 analysts. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 26.7% above the current share price. Only 1 analyst is neutral and the other 20 are bullish.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha版本的华尔街共识前景是使用21位分析师的评级和价格目标计算得出的。一致评级为看涨，一致目标价较当前股价高出26.7%。只有1名分析师持中性态度，其他20名分析师持看涨态度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbd40949c8ccc5a730e0aa07c04e15a8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"645\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The good news for GM shareholders is that the analysts are almost uniformly bullish on GM and the average 12-month price target is about 27% above the current level. There are somewhat cautionary considerations, however. First, the spread among the price targets is high, which means that there is not a lot of confidence in the outlook. Second, the timing of a share price recovery is hard to predict. The analysts were bullish back in March, as well.</p><p><blockquote>对于通用汽车股东来说，好消息是分析师几乎一致看好通用汽车，12个月平均目标价比当前水平高出约27%。然而，也有一些谨慎的考虑。首先，价格目标之间的利差很高，这意味着对前景没有太大信心。其次，股价回升的时机很难预测。分析师在三月份也持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market-Implied Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通用汽车的市场隐含前景</b></blockquote></p><p> I have analyzed the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.5 months (from today until the expiration date). In my previous analysis, I also calculated a market-implied outlook using options with this expiration date. I have also generated the market-implied outlook to mid 2022, a period of 8.3 months, by analyzing options that expire on June 21, 2022.</p><p><blockquote>我分析了一系列执行价格的看涨期权和看跌期权的价格，这些期权都将于2022年1月21日到期，以生成未来3.5个月（从今天到到期日）的市场隐含前景。在我之前的分析中，我还使用具有此到期日的期权计算了市场隐含前景。我还通过分析2022年6月21日到期的期权，生成了2022年中期（8.3个月）的市场隐含前景。</blockquote></p><p> The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><blockquote>市场隐含前景的标准表示是价格回报的概率分布，概率在纵轴，回报在横轴。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd025ceee857934bb5992eb6c234bd6d\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>从今天到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间通用汽车的市场隐含价格回报概率（来源：作者使用ETrade期权报价进行计算）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook for GM for the 3.5-month period between now and January 21, 2022 is generally symmetric, although the peak probability is slightly tilted towards negative returns, corresponding to a price return of -1.5%. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 35.7%, quite high for an individual stock.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间，通用汽车的市场隐含前景总体上是对称的，尽管峰值概率略有向负回报倾斜，对应的价格回报为-1.5%。这种分布得出的年化波动率为35.7%，对于个股来说相当高。</blockquote></p><p> To make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>为了更容易直接比较正回报和负回报的概率，我围绕垂直轴旋转分布的负回报侧（见下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3728611fe98a00c0edfa693bae10b4\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年1月21日3.5个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转（来源：作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This view shows that the probabilities of positive and negative returns are almost identical for most outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). The exception is for small-magnitude price returns (+/- 5%).</p><p><blockquote>这种观点表明，对于大多数结果，正回报和负回报的概率几乎相同（蓝色实线和红色虚线彼此非常接近）。例外情况是小规模价格回报（+/-5%）。</blockquote></p><p> Theory predicts that the market-implied outlook will tend to be negatively biased because risk-averse investors pay more than fair value for put options to limit losses in long positions. In the financial literature, the market-implied outlook is often referred to as being risk-neutral. What this means is that the market-implied outlook would be unbiased if investors, in aggregate, were risk-neutral. Investors, collectively, are risk-averse - demanding to be paid a premium to take on risk (the equity risk premium). For this reason, a market-implied outlook with closely matching probabilities between positive and negative returns, as we see here, is actually a slightly bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>理论预测，市场隐含的前景将倾向于负面偏差，因为规避风险的投资者为看跌期权支付的价格高于公允价值，以限制多头头寸的损失。在金融文献中，市场隐含的前景通常被称为风险中性的。这意味着，如果投资者总体上风险中性，市场隐含的前景将是无偏见的。总的来说，投资者是规避风险的——要求获得承担风险的溢价（股票风险溢价）。因此，正如我们在这里看到的，正回报和负回报之间概率密切匹配的市场隐含前景实际上是一种稍微看涨的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook to the middle of 2022 (8.3 months), calculated using the prices of call and put options that expire on June 17, 2022, exhibits more of a negative tilt. Qualitative consideration of the potential for a negative bias leads me to characterize this outlook as neutral, perhaps with a slight bearish tilt. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 36.5%.</p><p><blockquote>使用2022年6月17日到期的看涨期权和看跌期权价格计算的2022年中期（8.3个月）的市场隐含前景显示出更多的负面倾斜。对潜在负面偏见的定性考虑使我将这种前景描述为中性，也许有轻微的看跌倾向。由此分布得出的年化波动率为36.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7731002b4fcd2fbea3e50f32512c507\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 8.3-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年6月17日的8.3个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转（来源：作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Contrast the current market-implied outlooks for GM with the 10.6-month outlook to January 2022 from my&nbsp;previous analysis&nbsp;in March, which was substantially bearish. In this outlook, the probabilities of negative price returns were much higher relative to those for positive returns. The current market-implied outlook, slightly bullish to early 2022 and neutral to mid-2022, is much more favorable than the outlook from my earlier analysis.</p><p><blockquote>将通用汽车当前的市场隐含前景与我之前3月份分析中截至2022年1月的10.6个月前景进行对比，该分析非常悲观。在这种前景中，相对于正回报，负价格回报的概率要高得多。目前市场隐含的前景，2022年初略有看涨，2022年中期中性，比我之前分析的前景要有利得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> GM is at an important transition point in its history. The company needs to rapidly and convincingly shift away from traditional internal combustion vehicles and towards EVs and autonomous vehicles. The Wall Street analysts, as a group, are confident that GM can make strides in this direction and the analyst consensus has gotten more bullish through 2021. The Wall Street consensus rating is bullish, with about 27% expected 12-month price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车正处于其历史上的一个重要转折点。该公司需要迅速、令人信服地从传统内燃机汽车转向电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车。华尔街分析师作为一个群体，相信通用汽车能够在这个方向上取得长足进步，并且分析师的共识在2021年变得更加乐观。华尔街一致评级为看涨，约27%的人预计12个月价格将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The projected volatility for GM, calculated from the market-implied outlook, is about 36%. This is a fairly high level of volatility, but looks reasonable if we believe that the expected return is 27%. As a rule of thumb for a buy, I want to see expected return that is at or above ½ of the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场隐含前景计算，通用汽车的预计波动性约为36%。这是一个相当高的波动水平，但如果我们相信预期回报率为27%，那么看起来是合理的。作为买入的经验法则，我希望看到预期回报等于或高于波动率的1/2。</blockquote></p><p> Taking the analyst expected return at face value, GM easily surpasses this threshold. The market-implied outlook to early 2022 is slightly bullish, shifting to neutral by mid-2022. The market-implied outlook for GM has improved dramatically since March, when it was significantly bearish. I am changing my rating on GM from neutral to bullish.</p><p><blockquote>从分析师的预期回报率来看，通用汽车轻松超过了这一门槛。市场对2022年初的隐含前景略有看涨，到2022年中期将转向中性。自3月份以来，市场对通用汽车的隐含前景已显着改善，当时通用汽车的前景明显看跌。我将对通用汽车的评级从中性改为看涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4458959-favorable-outlook-for-gm\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4458959-favorable-outlook-for-gm","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128736762","content_text":"Summary\n\nGM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.\nThe Wall Street consensus is that GM will succeed sooner rather than later.\nThe market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has shifted to a substantially more positive near-term view.\nI see GM as having a favorable risk-return profile.\n\nJHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nGeneral Motors(NYSE:GM)seems to be having a moment, with the share price rising 4.5% today, following an inspirational presentation to analysts. The company outlined its plan to be a leader in EVs and a vision for building a million self-driving cars by 2030. For GM, as with Ford(NYSE:F), the company recognizes that earnings growth and share valuation depend on aggressive technology-driven development. If GM can convince the market, and then demonstrate, that there is a real roadmap to higher-margin EVs and self-driving vehicles, the shares should demand a considerably higher price. After all, GM’s forward P/E is 8.8, as compared to TSLA’s 144.8.\nIntriguingly, the Wall Street analysts have already priced an outlook for GM’s transformation. The Wall Street analyst consensus price target for GM has surged to $71.3, as compared to $46.6 in February of 2020, right before COVID hit and $51 at the end of 2020. At the current share price of $56.30, the Wall Street consensus (as calculated by Seeking Alpha) is for 12-month price appreciation of 26.7%.\nWhen I last analyzed GM on March 7, 2021, seven months ago, the Wall Street consensus outlook was already bullish, with a 12-month price target that was about 20% above the share price at that time. Of the 19 analysts included in Seeking Alpha’s consensus outlook, 17 were bullish and 2 were neutral. I assigned GM a neutral rating at that time, largely because the outlook implied by options prices, in contrast to the Wall Street consensus, was bearish. The options market to early 2022 was indicating elevated probabilities of price declines. I compromised between the bullish Wall Street and the bearish options market view with a neutral rating. Since my post was published, GM has gained 4% (including the big rise today), as compared to 15.1% in price appreciation for the S&P 500.\nPerformance of GM vs. the S&P 500 over the past 7 months (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nUsing options prices to build a probabilistic price return outlook is conceptually straightforward. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying stock (GM, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is referred to as the market-implied outlook. For readers seeking more information on this approach, I have written an overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.\nIt is clear today, as it was for my last analysis, that GM is relying on the ability to compete with EVs and autonomous vehicles. The analysts are valuing the company assuming that GM will successfully make this transition. Even if one agrees, the challenge is in the timing. Since March, GM has suffered an expensive and embarrassing setback with the massive recall of Chevy electric vehicles. Even if one buys into management’s vision, one imagines that some car buyers will be reluctant to buy a GM EV after seeing pictures of charred Chevy Bolts.\nGM is currently 11.9% below its 2021 high close of $63.92, set on June 8. With 7 months since my last analysis, and with the market and the analysts responding favorably to GM’s vision, I am revisiting my rating on GM.\nWall Street Consensus Outlook for GM\nETrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 13 ranked analysts who have issued ratings and price targets for GM within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 27.5% above the current share price. There is a fairly high level of dispersion in the price targets, which reduces confidence in the consensus value. Of the 13 analysts, 12 give GM a buy rating and 1 assigns a neutral rating.\nWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: ETrade)\nSeeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using ratings and prices targets from 21 analysts. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 26.7% above the current share price. Only 1 analyst is neutral and the other 20 are bullish.\nWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nThe good news for GM shareholders is that the analysts are almost uniformly bullish on GM and the average 12-month price target is about 27% above the current level. There are somewhat cautionary considerations, however. First, the spread among the price targets is high, which means that there is not a lot of confidence in the outlook. Second, the timing of a share price recovery is hard to predict. The analysts were bullish back in March, as well.\nMarket-Implied Outlook for GM\nI have analyzed the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.5 months (from today until the expiration date). In my previous analysis, I also calculated a market-implied outlook using options with this expiration date. I have also generated the market-implied outlook to mid 2022, a period of 8.3 months, by analyzing options that expire on June 21, 2022.\nThe standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nThe market-implied outlook for GM for the 3.5-month period between now and January 21, 2022 is generally symmetric, although the peak probability is slightly tilted towards negative returns, corresponding to a price return of -1.5%. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 35.7%, quite high for an individual stock.\nTo make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nThis view shows that the probabilities of positive and negative returns are almost identical for most outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). The exception is for small-magnitude price returns (+/- 5%).\nTheory predicts that the market-implied outlook will tend to be negatively biased because risk-averse investors pay more than fair value for put options to limit losses in long positions. In the financial literature, the market-implied outlook is often referred to as being risk-neutral. What this means is that the market-implied outlook would be unbiased if investors, in aggregate, were risk-neutral. Investors, collectively, are risk-averse - demanding to be paid a premium to take on risk (the equity risk premium). For this reason, a market-implied outlook with closely matching probabilities between positive and negative returns, as we see here, is actually a slightly bullish view.\nThe market-implied outlook to the middle of 2022 (8.3 months), calculated using the prices of call and put options that expire on June 17, 2022, exhibits more of a negative tilt. Qualitative consideration of the potential for a negative bias leads me to characterize this outlook as neutral, perhaps with a slight bearish tilt. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 36.5%.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 8.3-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nContrast the current market-implied outlooks for GM with the 10.6-month outlook to January 2022 from my previous analysis in March, which was substantially bearish. In this outlook, the probabilities of negative price returns were much higher relative to those for positive returns. The current market-implied outlook, slightly bullish to early 2022 and neutral to mid-2022, is much more favorable than the outlook from my earlier analysis.\nSummary\nGM is at an important transition point in its history. The company needs to rapidly and convincingly shift away from traditional internal combustion vehicles and towards EVs and autonomous vehicles. The Wall Street analysts, as a group, are confident that GM can make strides in this direction and the analyst consensus has gotten more bullish through 2021. The Wall Street consensus rating is bullish, with about 27% expected 12-month price appreciation.\nThe projected volatility for GM, calculated from the market-implied outlook, is about 36%. This is a fairly high level of volatility, but looks reasonable if we believe that the expected return is 27%. As a rule of thumb for a buy, I want to see expected return that is at or above ½ of the volatility.\nTaking the analyst expected return at face value, GM easily surpasses this threshold. The market-implied outlook to early 2022 is slightly bullish, shifting to neutral by mid-2022. The market-implied outlook for GM has improved dramatically since March, when it was significantly bearish. I am changing my rating on GM from neutral to bullish.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}