jayc
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老虎认证: Think long-term even if you have very little to invest.
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avatarjayc
2021-12-03

Is Walt Disney's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?

$Walt Disney(DIS)$ Earnings: Disney's PE is 133.9, about 4.5 times higher than the S&P 500 average as a whole. Growth: Disney's forward earnings multiple of 36.1 is still more than 50% higher than the S&P 500's, making Disney look overvalued. Disney's forward PE ratio is also more than 50% higher than the average multiple of its communication services sector peers, which are averaging a 21.5 forward earnings multiple. Yet when it comes to evaluating a stock, earnings aren't everything. The growth rate is also critical for companies that are rapidly building their bottom lines. The price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio (PEG) is a good way to incorporate growth rates into the evaluation process. The S&P 500's overall PEG is curre
Is Walt Disney's Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued?
avatarjayc
2021-11-27
$Novavax(NVAX)$I reviewed all GMP and cGMP certificates for the Novavax's global sites. I can fully understand why Novavax leveraged the manufacturing partnership with Serum. This strategy really makes their CMC package harmonized and simplified as Serum's MHRA GMP certificate covers full line-up of the manufacturing operations from DS/DP to QC Testing without requiring any combinations of sites.Serum's MHRA GMP Coverage1. Manufacturing Operations2. 1.1 Sterile Products3. 1.3 Biological medical products4. 1.4 Other products or manufacturing activity5. 1.5 Packaging6. 1.5.1 Primary packaging7. 1.5.2 Secondary packaging8. 1.6 Quality control testing If Novavax uses other global sites, they need to combine several sites to manufacture Nuvaxovid from DS
avatarjayc
2021-10-24

Millions saw the Apple Fall, but only Newton asked Why?

Typically, a beat in earnings will drive a stock price up after the market opens. But realistically, it's not uncommon to see a stock's price fall after beating earnings.An interesting case to study is the brilliant Q2 and Q3 (2021) earnings results from $Apple(AAPL)$. The superb earnings were not as well-received by investors. Despite the strong quarterly results $Apple(AAPL)$.If you are an $Apple(AAPL)$investor who wondered after a remarkable Q2 and Q3 earnings report, why the value of your stock was going down rather than up...The possible reasons:1. Warning that chip supply constraints could impact iPhones and iPads will weigh on the short-term outlook.
Millions saw the Apple Fall, but only Newton asked Why?
avatarjayc
2021-11-28
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$The fundamentals are still healthy in spite of its critics. The critics are dead wrong because you can't argue with facts and figures. In three years the company more than doubled its revenues. Net income quadrupled in four years to $40 billion. All this and the P/E is barely 20 and price-to-sales under 9. To the untrained eye, the stock is too high. But in reality, the rapid business growth more than kept up with the stock price.My conclusion today is that this is a good place to hold shares. Initiating new positions would also make sense, but not all in. The indices are near record levels, so I should taper my conviction level on purpose. The next time public opinion goes against it investors should look for better entry poi
avatarjayc
2021-10-20

What is CPI?

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food, and medical care. Inflation is the decline of a given currency's purchasing power over time; or, alternatively, a general rise in prices. So CPI is the most widely used measure of inflation.What happened recently?U.S. consumer prices overall rose 0.4% in September, pushing the y-o-y gain to 5.4%. CPI increased slightly more than expected in September as food and energy price rises offset declines in used cars ."Food and energy are more variable, but that's where the problem is," said Bob Doll, chief investment officer at Crossmark Global Investments. "Hopefully, we start solving our supply shortage problem.”The International Mon
What is CPI?
avatarjayc
2021-10-22

Understanding of higher highs & lower lows

Most traders have heard about Dow theory and higher highs and lower lows. This article is a quick recap of this very important trading topic.Highs and lows are major reference points for traders. The reason for this is their close link to the trend definition in chart analysis:1. Higher highs + higher lows define an upward trend.2. Lower highs +lower lows define a downward trend.Many traders pay attention to the progress of these points. Especially in daily charts they are regarded as key points. If the market price succeeds in surpassing yesterday's high, the market is bullish. This is especially true if there is an upward trend on the daily chart, as well. Vice versa, if the market price reverses below yesterday's low, the market is bearish, particularly when complemented by a downtrend
Understanding of higher highs & lower lows
avatarjayc
2021-11-13

Alibaba: Could It Get Worse?

$Alibaba(BABA)$Alibaba, as a business, is at a pivotal moment. Its management had reassured investors back in April saying that there won’t be any material change in their business due to the regulatory rulings. Yet, they had acknowledged in August that they were still studying the impact of these regulatory rulings.We are in the process of studying the regulatory requirements, evaluating the potential impacts on our relevant businesses, and we will respond positively with actions.This discrepancy raises the possibility that Alibaba management’s reassurance may have merely been an educated guess at the time and its business might actually deteriorate in the months to come. This piles on to a myriad of other risk factors surrounding Alibaba. Therefore
Alibaba: Could It Get Worse?
avatarjayc
2021-12-07
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$Meta is looking interesting. We rebounded strongly off the 298 support. This could be a potential double bottom signal. We have to see it break back above 323 which is the long term upward channel. It was still rejected at the trendline which was 320 yesterday but closed above the immediate resistance of 5ema.If it does close above 323, this might signal the double bottom and meta will push up from here. However if we continue going down tonight, then it just means that it got rejected at my support turned resistance trendline and it is still not a buy signal.We will have to wait for confirmation before entering.As always, trade safe & invest wise!
avatarjayc
2021-12-05

Things to consider when buying stock during the COVID crisis

1. VolatilityEquities can be very volatile when there is uncertainty and could pull back a lot if new variants of COVID are discovered that evade the vaccines. 2. Context is everythingJust because something is not cheap it does not make it unattractive. We are in for another decade of near zero interest rates, low growth and low, or no, inflation. In this environment businesses in growing markets with access to cheap money tend to do well and what you pay now for them may look cheap in 10 years time.3. Not all equities are the sameSome which look cheap now are in fact expensive and will probably fade away over the next few years.4. Are you happy going against the crowd?Investing when people are fearful and there's a high amount of uncertainty is understandably daunting.Consider whethe
Things to consider when buying stock during the COVID crisis
avatarjayc
2021-10-23

Facebook plans to rebrand its name

$Facebook(FB)$is planning to change its company name next week to reflect its focus on building the metaverse, reported by The Verge.Over the years, the $960 billion market cap giant has been pouring tons of resources to build up its VR/AR arm, in the hope to become the leader of this growing economy. Facebook already has more than 10,000 employees building consumer hardware like AR glasses that Zuckerberg believes will eventually be as ubiquitous as smartphones.The metaverse is "going to be a big focus, and I think that this is just going to be a big part of the next chapter for the way that the internet evolves after the mobile internet," Zuckerberg told The Verge's Casey Newton this summer. "And I think it's going to be the next big chapter for our
Facebook plans to rebrand its name
avatarjayc
2021-12-29

Common Investor and Trader Blunders

Letting Losses GrowOne of the defining characteristics of successful investors and traders is their ability to take a small loss quickly if a trade is not working out and move on to the next trade idea. Unsuccessful traders, on the other hand, can become paralyzed if a trade goes against them. Rather than taking quick action to cap a loss, they may hold on to a losing position in the hope that the trade will eventually work out. A losing trade can tie up trading capital for a long time and may result in mounting losses and severe depletion of capital.$BlackBerry(BB)$$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
Common Investor and Trader Blunders
avatarjayc
2021-10-08

Tips to navigate volatile markets

Keep perspective: Downturns are normal1. On average since 1926, stocks have dipped into bear market territory every 6 years with losses averaging almost 40%.2. But while market downturns may be unsettling, history shows stocks have recovered and delivered long-term gains.Get a plan you can live with – through market ups and downs1. Your mix of stocks, bonds, and short-term investments will determine your potential returns, but also the likely swings in your portfolio.2. Pick an investment mix that aligns with your goals, timeframe, and financial situation, and you can stick with despite market volatility.Focus on time in the market – not trying to time the market1. It can be tempting to try to sell out of stocks to avoid downturns, but it’s hard to time it right.2. If you sell and are stil
Tips to navigate volatile markets
avatarjayc
2021-10-05

Candlesticks vs. Bar Charts

Candlestick charting point out that any patterns occurring in bar charts (cup with handle, head and shoulder, triangle, and so forth) are also identifiable in candlestick charts. The reverse is also true: Any pattern that can be identified in candlestick charts can be seen in bar charts.However, traditional technical analysis references do not illustrate nor explain candlestick patterns, although they go into great detail on bar pattern analysis.BULLISH - ENGULFING PATTERN At first glance it may look like an outside day, but that is misleading. In a bar chart outside day, the range of the second day exceeds the range of the first day. In the candle pattern, only the range of the open/close is relevant. This is a very bullish pattern and often needs no confirmation. It follows a downtr
Candlesticks vs. Bar Charts
avatarjayc
2021-12-09

Don't Do These Things If You Want Better Long Term Returns

There are two apparently simple "DON'Ts" that will help you achieve better returns over the long run:1. Don't look at your tickers daily. It never helps having to face emotions day after day even if you know how to control them. It distracts you from the long term goal (+5 years)2. Don't surround yourself with negative people. Bears are really different to negative people because they will actually provide some bear thesis unrelated to price. Negative people will base their negativity on price and this never helps. You should surround yourself with contrarians, not alarmists.Very simple advice that should help you keep calm when everything tumbles. It helps me at least!$Apple(AAPL)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$
Don't Do These Things If You Want Better Long Term Returns
avatarjayc
2021-09-28

Parabolic Stop And Reverse (SAR)

Welles Wilder's Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) is a trailing stop-based trading system; it is often used as an indicator as well. The SAR uses a trailing stop level that follows prices as they move up or down. The stop level increases speed based on an "Acceleration Factor." When plotted on the chart, this stop level resembles a parabolic curve, thus the indicator's name. The parabolic function accepts three parameters. The first two control the acceleration during up and down moves, respectively. The last parameter determines the maximum acceleration.The Parabolic SAR assumes that you are trading a trend and, therefore, expects price to change over time. If you are long, the Parabolic SAR will move the stop upward every period, regardless of whether the price has moved. Parabolic SAR mo
Parabolic Stop And Reverse (SAR)
avatarjayc
2021-11-14

Amazon adds to its Rivian stake

Nestled in Rivian's S-1 IPO filings was a note that the EV company's "cornerstone investors" had "indicated an interest" in buying up to $5 billion worth of its stock at its IPO price. One of those parties was Amazon, and the American e-commerce giant appears to have pulled the trigger Friday afternoon on its buy.Per a recent Form 4 filing, Amazon bought roughly $200 million worth of Rivian stock at its IPO price of $78 per share. The buy worked out to 2,564,102 shares in total, worth a hair under the target dollar amount of a flat two hundred million at their purchase price.Amazon now owns a total of 158,363,834 shares of Rivian, valued at some $20,579,380,228.3 at the company's closing price of $129.95 per share set this afternoon. As Amazon paid just $78 per share for its most rece
Amazon adds to its Rivian stake
avatarjayc
2021-09-30

What Are Bollinger Bands?

Bollinger Bands are a type of price envelope developed by John Bollinger (Price envelopes define upper and lower price range levels.) Bollinger Bands are envelopes plotted at a standard deviation level above and below a simple moving average of the price. Because the distance of the bands is based on standard deviation, they adjust to volatility swings in the underlying price.Bollinger Bands use 2 parameters, Period and Standard Deviations, StdDev. The default values are 20 for period, and 2 for standard deviations, although you may customize the combinations.Bollinger bands help determine whether prices are high or low on a relative basis. They are used in pairs, both upper and lower bands and in conjunction with a moving average. Further, the pair of bands is not intended to be used on i
What Are Bollinger Bands?
avatarjayc
2021-09-26

What is taper and its importance?

On Wednesday, the Fed said taper may come soon if the economy continues to progress, but didn't announce the specific dates.This should be the biggest news for the financial market. But wait... what is taper and why is it so important?What is taper?Before talking about taper, we should know what QE is — the opposite of taper.When the economy is slagging, the central bank tends to lend more money to the market. This aims to increase consumption and investment, which is a good way to take the sluggish market back to normal.To lend money out, the central bank can lower interest rates or purchase assets such as bonds from the market. These measures are summarized as QE (Quantitative Easing).Therefore, the opposite of QE — taper, is taking money back to the central bank, by raising interes
What is taper and its importance?
avatarjayc
2021-10-13

Big Tech Stocks Tumble - Warning or Opportunity?

Technology stocks were particularly hard hit (with many in the group of correction territory) as bond yields rose. Rising yields often signify that investors see inflation and strong economic demand in the future.The Federal Reserve confirmed it will likely soon begin reducing it's bond purchases, which could lower bond prices and lift their yields. Higher bond yields make future profits less valuable and fast-growing technology stocks are looking for big profits many years down the line.Technically, a correction is a 10% or greater drop. I do not think we have seen the bottom yet in some of these tech stocks…$Facebook(FB)$was the biggest loser on 11 October 2021 as it was dealing with widespread outages.I personally, don't expect the (one-off) se
Big Tech Stocks Tumble - Warning or Opportunity?
avatarjayc
2021-09-24

Exponential Moving Average

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is similar to Simple Moving Average (SMA), measuring trend direction over a period of time. However, whereas SMA simply calculates an average of price data, EMA applies more weight to data that is more current. Because of its unique calculation, EMA will follow prices more closely than a corresponding SMA.How this indicator works1. Use the same rules that apply to SMA when interpreting EMA. Keep in mind that EMA is generally more sensitive to price movement. This can be a double-edged sword. On one side, it can help you identify trends earlier than an SMA would. On the flip side, the EMA will probably experience more short-term changes than a corresponding SMA.2. Use the EMA to determine trend direction, and trade in that direction. When the EMA rises, you
Exponential Moving Average

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