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周一美股遭遇黑色星期一，市场分析称是受到了欧亚股市大跌的影响，最终全线收跌，道指创下自7月19日以来最大的单日跌幅。周二，市场情绪转稳，美股高开；周三，美联储按兵不动，维持基准利率不变，要放缓购债，美股三大指数周三集体反弹，杀了空头一个回马枪；周四，涨势继续；周五，道指、标普500小幅走高，市场对美联储刺激政策的前景关注仍然有增不减。 距离将到来的财报季，已经没有多少时间了，但市场却出现一种声音：美股要进入杀估值时代。 原因一：供应链 美联储鲍威尔在24日的美联储回忆上表示，从未经历如此严峻的供应链问题和如此严重的用工荒。对于美国企业而言，供应链问题将直接影响利润增长，由于全球范围的供应链短缺，使得企业无法采购零部件和大宗商品，挤压企业利润。 原因二：美债利率上升 9月FOMC议息会议后，美债收益率短期震荡后，连续拉升。 此前，由于美联储开闸放水式护盘，市场反应相当好，公司股价均维持在高位，美股估值处在较高水平。 十年期国债收益率基本就相当于无风险利率，前者上涨，就意味着无风险利率上升，首先是会削弱股市的吸引力，最关键的是，美债收益率上升，会增加企业融资成本，使得成长型公司的估值受到较大冲击，直接就是导致估值下降，也就是杀估值，即公司的基本面很好，但是股价却一直下跌。 Joule首席投资官昆特·塔特罗（Quint Tatro）表示：目前的市场行情有点像牛市陷阱，尽管美股的反弹值得注意，但是并不意味着股市已经走出困境。 高盛、摩根士丹利和花旗银行的分析师认为，未来美股的涨势面临风险，摩根士丹利则下调了美股评级至“减持” DataTrek Research认为，一旦美股开启杀估值时代，工业、非必需消费品、材料、金融将会首当其冲。 对此，你有什么看法呢？你觉得美债收益率上涨会对美股有什么影响呢？你认为美股会开启杀估值时代吗？","listText":"上周行情相当动荡。 周一美股遭遇黑色星期一，市场分析称是受到了欧亚股市大跌的影响，最终全线收跌，道指创下自7月19日以来最大的单日跌幅。周二，市场情绪转稳，美股高开；周三，美联储按兵不动，维持基准利率不变，要放缓购债，美股三大指数周三集体反弹，杀了空头一个回马枪；周四，涨势继续；周五，道指、标普500小幅走高，市场对美联储刺激政策的前景关注仍然有增不减。 距离将到来的财报季，已经没有多少时间了，但市场却出现一种声音：美股要进入杀估值时代。 原因一：供应链 美联储鲍威尔在24日的美联储回忆上表示，从未经历如此严峻的供应链问题和如此严重的用工荒。对于美国企业而言，供应链问题将直接影响利润增长，由于全球范围的供应链短缺，使得企业无法采购零部件和大宗商品，挤压企业利润。 原因二：美债利率上升 9月FOMC议息会议后，美债收益率短期震荡后，连续拉升。 此前，由于美联储开闸放水式护盘，市场反应相当好，公司股价均维持在高位，美股估值处在较高水平。 十年期国债收益率基本就相当于无风险利率，前者上涨，就意味着无风险利率上升，首先是会削弱股市的吸引力，最关键的是，美债收益率上升，会增加企业融资成本，使得成长型公司的估值受到较大冲击，直接就是导致估值下降，也就是杀估值，即公司的基本面很好，但是股价却一直下跌。 Joule首席投资官昆特·塔特罗（Quint Tatro）表示：目前的市场行情有点像牛市陷阱，尽管美股的反弹值得注意，但是并不意味着股市已经走出困境。 高盛、摩根士丹利和花旗银行的分析师认为，未来美股的涨势面临风险，摩根士丹利则下调了美股评级至“减持” DataTrek Research认为，一旦美股开启杀估值时代，工业、非必需消费品、材料、金融将会首当其冲。 对此，你有什么看法呢？你觉得美债收益率上涨会对美股有什么影响呢？你认为美股会开启杀估值时代吗？","text":"上周行情相当动荡。 周一美股遭遇黑色星期一，市场分析称是受到了欧亚股市大跌的影响，最终全线收跌，道指创下自7月19日以来最大的单日跌幅。周二，市场情绪转稳，美股高开；周三，美联储按兵不动，维持基准利率不变，要放缓购债，美股三大指数周三集体反弹，杀了空头一个回马枪；周四，涨势继续；周五，道指、标普500小幅走高，市场对美联储刺激政策的前景关注仍然有增不减。 距离将到来的财报季，已经没有多少时间了，但市场却出现一种声音：美股要进入杀估值时代。 原因一：供应链 美联储鲍威尔在24日的美联储回忆上表示，从未经历如此严峻的供应链问题和如此严重的用工荒。对于美国企业而言，供应链问题将直接影响利润增长，由于全球范围的供应链短缺，使得企业无法采购零部件和大宗商品，挤压企业利润。 原因二：美债利率上升 9月FOMC议息会议后，美债收益率短期震荡后，连续拉升。 此前，由于美联储开闸放水式护盘，市场反应相当好，公司股价均维持在高位，美股估值处在较高水平。 十年期国债收益率基本就相当于无风险利率，前者上涨，就意味着无风险利率上升，首先是会削弱股市的吸引力，最关键的是，美债收益率上升，会增加企业融资成本，使得成长型公司的估值受到较大冲击，直接就是导致估值下降，也就是杀估值，即公司的基本面很好，但是股价却一直下跌。 Joule首席投资官昆特·塔特罗（Quint Tatro）表示：目前的市场行情有点像牛市陷阱，尽管美股的反弹值得注意，但是并不意味着股市已经走出困境。 高盛、摩根士丹利和花旗银行的分析师认为，未来美股的涨势面临风险，摩根士丹利则下调了美股评级至“减持” DataTrek Research认为，一旦美股开启杀估值时代，工业、非必需消费品、材料、金融将会首当其冲。 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