Sucrampler的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Sucrampler

Sucrampler

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

302关注

20粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-12-23

Appl appl appl bloop bloop

2021-11-15

Boooooop

@OptionPlus:期权复盘：TSLA进入卖权最佳时机？NFLX、AAPL新高在望？

2021-11-12

$Apple(AAPL)$Poooooooooop

2021-11-11

$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$tiger lion zebra mouse cat

2021-11-09

$Apple(AAPL)$Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?

2021-11-08

$S&P 500(.SPX)$Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr

2021-11-04

$Apple(AAPL)$mmmmmmmmmmmmmm

2021-11-02

Wooo lala

2021-10-31

Now wow wow

@锐问:有人炒原油亏成负数，他却赚了3倍

2021-10-29

Good good or not good

2021-10-28

Wow wow

2021-10-27

Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut

2021-10-27

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Tiger really making me broke.

2021-10-25

Yo yo yo

2021-10-23

Mi mi no lo mi

2021-10-22

Mooo nooomlol mooo

2021-10-21

Nice nice

2021-10-19

Rise rise

2021-10-17

Hula hoops make the world go round

2021-10-17

Yay yay yay

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":4088565127232680,"uuid":"4088565127232680","gmtCreate":1625465299486,"gmtModify":1628043334834,"name":"Sucrampler","pinyin":"sucrampler","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":20,"headSize":302,"tweetSize":80,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-1","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资经理虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到10万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"60.00%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.24%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.17","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":691497455,"gmtCreate":1640226035753,"gmtModify":1640226035753,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Appl appl appl bloop bloop","listText":"Appl appl appl bloop bloop","text":"Appl appl appl bloop bloop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691497455","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873708325,"gmtCreate":1636983703645,"gmtModify":1636983703645,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Boooooop","listText":"Boooooop","text":"Boooooop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873708325","repostId":"873109748","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":873109748,"gmtCreate":1636869913980,"gmtModify":1636873428781,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"期权复盘：TSLA进入卖权最佳时机？NFLX、AAPL新高在望？","htmlText":"老虎的朋友们周末好，受马哥的影响，这周过的很惊心动魄，今天来复盘一下，看看接下来的机会。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>当周跌幅到达15.44%，在单日跌幅12%那天我写了一个期权策略《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/847518005\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉暴跌12%，现在期权要怎么操作才好？</a>》，可以傲娇的说正如我所料。根据公开信息显示，本周马斯克连续5天卖出股票约636万一共减持约69亿美元，按照计划减持10%的持股即1705万股，还有1069万股。按照我马哥作风不可能拖泥带水，大概率剩下这1000多万股在本月也搞定了。 在暴跌12%的策略中，我说1000左右是一个比较强的支撑，当天开盘跌到987后开启大幅反弹，目测是由空头在1000左右回补引发的，通常暴跌之后的反弹也会很暴力。反弹完成后，我们再看周五TSLA股价收跌破20日线，下周大概率还去1000左右找支撑，这个位置能撑住多久我不敢确定，我仍然把比较好的支撑线放在900附近，也就是前高和本轮跳空高开的位置。我觉得特斯拉即将进入一个盘整阶段，至于是宽幅还是窄幅波动我不好说，马上12月机构要年度结算，特斯拉获利盘较大短线再冲高的可能性略低，如果持有长期就无所谓，适当在上方卖一些covered call。暴跌暂时也没有特别合理的理由，老马卖股票市场也接受了，那么盘整将是期权卖方最好的机会。我本周到期900的卖put已经了结，目前仍持有下周到期的650的，下周如果有合适的IV和价格会继续卖1-2周800-850之间的，应于tsla波动高，和年末市场的一些波动，适当降低行权价，用收益换安全。 来看看","listText":"老虎的朋友们周末好，受马哥的影响，这周过的很惊心动魄，今天来复盘一下，看看接下来的机会。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>当周跌幅到达15.44%，在单日跌幅12%那天我写了一个期权策略《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/847518005\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉暴跌12%，现在期权要怎么操作才好？</a>》，可以傲娇的说正如我所料。根据公开信息显示，本周马斯克连续5天卖出股票约636万一共减持约69亿美元，按照计划减持10%的持股即1705万股，还有1069万股。按照我马哥作风不可能拖泥带水，大概率剩下这1000多万股在本月也搞定了。 在暴跌12%的策略中，我说1000左右是一个比较强的支撑，当天开盘跌到987后开启大幅反弹，目测是由空头在1000左右回补引发的，通常暴跌之后的反弹也会很暴力。反弹完成后，我们再看周五TSLA股价收跌破20日线，下周大概率还去1000左右找支撑，这个位置能撑住多久我不敢确定，我仍然把比较好的支撑线放在900附近，也就是前高和本轮跳空高开的位置。我觉得特斯拉即将进入一个盘整阶段，至于是宽幅还是窄幅波动我不好说，马上12月机构要年度结算，特斯拉获利盘较大短线再冲高的可能性略低，如果持有长期就无所谓，适当在上方卖一些covered call。暴跌暂时也没有特别合理的理由，老马卖股票市场也接受了，那么盘整将是期权卖方最好的机会。我本周到期900的卖put已经了结，目前仍持有下周到期的650的，下周如果有合适的IV和价格会继续卖1-2周800-850之间的，应于tsla波动高，和年末市场的一些波动，适当降低行权价，用收益换安全。 来看看","text":"老虎的朋友们周末好，受马哥的影响，这周过的很惊心动魄，今天来复盘一下，看看接下来的机会。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$当周跌幅到达15.44%，在单日跌幅12%那天我写了一个期权策略《特斯拉暴跌12%，现在期权要怎么操作才好？》，可以傲娇的说正如我所料。根据公开信息显示，本周马斯克连续5天卖出股票约636万一共减持约69亿美元，按照计划减持10%的持股即1705万股，还有1069万股。按照我马哥作风不可能拖泥带水，大概率剩下这1000多万股在本月也搞定了。 在暴跌12%的策略中，我说1000左右是一个比较强的支撑，当天开盘跌到987后开启大幅反弹，目测是由空头在1000左右回补引发的，通常暴跌之后的反弹也会很暴力。反弹完成后，我们再看周五TSLA股价收跌破20日线，下周大概率还去1000左右找支撑，这个位置能撑住多久我不敢确定，我仍然把比较好的支撑线放在900附近，也就是前高和本轮跳空高开的位置。我觉得特斯拉即将进入一个盘整阶段，至于是宽幅还是窄幅波动我不好说，马上12月机构要年度结算，特斯拉获利盘较大短线再冲高的可能性略低，如果持有长期就无所谓，适当在上方卖一些covered call。暴跌暂时也没有特别合理的理由，老马卖股票市场也接受了，那么盘整将是期权卖方最好的机会。我本周到期900的卖put已经了结，目前仍持有下周到期的650的，下周如果有合适的IV和价格会继续卖1-2周800-850之间的，应于tsla波动高，和年末市场的一些波动，适当降低行权价，用收益换安全。 来看看","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd1aff0b64330d110ae5f29b9eadc899","width":"2008","height":"1262"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9b70dc57c860e4f1a87bbd0fb962bd0","width":"894","height":"528"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21d0a90d8bb6371e26435074394589ac","width":"732","height":"480"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873109748","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870789131,"gmtCreate":1636647283004,"gmtModify":1636647283004,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Poooooooooop","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Poooooooooop","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Poooooooooop","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0af3e8526bb034f060484315275770c","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870789131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000615","authorId":"9000000000000615","name":"EdithHardy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"我想知道如果他们真的决定明年在苹果汽车上扣动扳机，这只股票会做什么....","text":"我想知道如果他们真的决定明年在苹果汽车上扣动扳机，这只股票会做什么....","html":"我想知道如果他们真的决定明年在苹果汽车上扣动扳机，这只股票会做什么...."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870056225,"gmtCreate":1636560751165,"gmtModify":1636560751165,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRIL\">$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$</a>tiger lion zebra mouse cat&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRIL\">$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$</a>tiger lion zebra mouse cat&nbsp;","text":"$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$tiger lion zebra mouse cat","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/942ad487e146219f31bf265652884338","width":"1125","height":"2887"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870056225","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844154360,"gmtCreate":1636413286766,"gmtModify":1636413286766,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746a8f46f990c9ce47f5085a3a1dffe7","width":"1125","height":"3173"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844154360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844040188,"gmtCreate":1636380112974,"gmtModify":1636380112974,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1c3fb7ca28162b6871d6af0db27c2a","width":"1125","height":"3461"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844040188","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846022851,"gmtCreate":1636036127704,"gmtModify":1636036127704,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>mmmmmmmmmmmmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>mmmmmmmmmmmmmm","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$mmmmmmmmmmmmmm","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/500b0caa2f1742a65a6e5dda92349bc0","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846022851","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000615","authorId":"9000000000000615","name":"EdithHardy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"AAPL正面临逆风，广告成本飙升。除了多年来的比较，他们对本季度没有说过一句积极的话，这些年在很大程度上受到了COVID的影响，而COVID正在逐渐减少","text":"AAPL正面临逆风，广告成本飙升。除了多年来的比较，他们对本季度没有说过一句积极的话，这些年在很大程度上受到了COVID的影响，而COVID正在逐渐减少","html":"AAPL正面临逆风，广告成本飙升。除了多年来的比较，他们对本季度没有说过一句积极的话，这些年在很大程度上受到了COVID的影响，而COVID正在逐渐减少"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843938615,"gmtCreate":1635790641683,"gmtModify":1635790641683,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wooo lala","listText":"Wooo lala","text":"Wooo lala","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abe370f263ca0ad1da76d93d819b59d9","width":"1125","height":"3748"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843938615","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840260920,"gmtCreate":1635650197453,"gmtModify":1635650197453,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now wow wow","listText":"Now wow wow","text":"Now wow wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840260920","repostId":"856339987","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":856339987,"gmtCreate":1635149228280,"gmtModify":1635410313004,"author":{"id":"3520134464145345","authorId":"3520134464145345","name":"锐问","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af67035e05acd3d551a6474ea3df0455","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"有人炒原油亏成负数，他却赚了3倍","htmlText":"作者 | Alex甘灿荣如今是位自由资产管理者。在职场社交平台领英上，他则更愿意称自己为芝商所特约策略讲师。作为老师，他心态开放，擅长站在个人投资者角度想问题。比如，他建议多用一点小钱做尝试，只要资金允许，各种品种都可以试一试。从生物工程到期货交易员，颇让人意外的职业选择，也源于甘灿荣自己试一试的勇气。问人、看书、考证、到实战，接下来十年里，他成长为一名交易风格相对稳健的职业投资人，并有了一套属于自己的交易体系——宏观定方向，指标极值建头寸，严格执行止损条件。这一策略也让他在去年预测到原油价格暴跌，收益翻番。但将这些交易方法内化成自己的并不容易。“这是一个漫长的过程”，用甘灿荣的话说，“但这也是每个投资者必须经历的。”Q：您本科学生物工程，毕业后怎么想到从事期货交易？生物工程是个热门专业，但和许多年轻人一样，毕业后，我并不知道自己真正想做什么。后来，我回老家工作。这家公司刚好要筹划上市，券商来做上市辅导，而我负责接待这些人。这是我第一次接触到金融圈的人。他们的言行，对金融市场的看法，都非常吸引我，因此有了一个很感性的直观感受，“原来金融行业这么好呀”。但我印象真正深刻的是，当时有位老师来公司上课，讲股价变化背后的逻辑。这节课直接颠覆了我对金融市场的看法。和多数人一样，我以前认为金融向善，是一个调节市场、利好老百姓的工具。而这位老师很理性地给我们展现了一些金融市场里人性的恶，包括股价操纵、利益输送等等。这节课还让我意识到，不是读几本书，上几节课，就能够在金融市场立足的，还需要理解人性和社会的利益圈层。另外，它还让跳出了基本面+技术分析的研究框架，在后来研究市场时，有了历史的时间维度。这是我建立研究、观察市场那套办法的雏形，也就是周期分析理论。就像我现在写帖子，主要集中在年度前瞻、重大事件、重大价格波动，他们背后都有循环的运作机理。Q：您曾提到周期分析是最有效的宏观分析办法，从","listText":"作者 | Alex甘灿荣如今是位自由资产管理者。在职场社交平台领英上，他则更愿意称自己为芝商所特约策略讲师。作为老师，他心态开放，擅长站在个人投资者角度想问题。比如，他建议多用一点小钱做尝试，只要资金允许，各种品种都可以试一试。从生物工程到期货交易员，颇让人意外的职业选择，也源于甘灿荣自己试一试的勇气。问人、看书、考证、到实战，接下来十年里，他成长为一名交易风格相对稳健的职业投资人，并有了一套属于自己的交易体系——宏观定方向，指标极值建头寸，严格执行止损条件。这一策略也让他在去年预测到原油价格暴跌，收益翻番。但将这些交易方法内化成自己的并不容易。“这是一个漫长的过程”，用甘灿荣的话说，“但这也是每个投资者必须经历的。”Q：您本科学生物工程，毕业后怎么想到从事期货交易？生物工程是个热门专业，但和许多年轻人一样，毕业后，我并不知道自己真正想做什么。后来，我回老家工作。这家公司刚好要筹划上市，券商来做上市辅导，而我负责接待这些人。这是我第一次接触到金融圈的人。他们的言行，对金融市场的看法，都非常吸引我，因此有了一个很感性的直观感受，“原来金融行业这么好呀”。但我印象真正深刻的是，当时有位老师来公司上课，讲股价变化背后的逻辑。这节课直接颠覆了我对金融市场的看法。和多数人一样，我以前认为金融向善，是一个调节市场、利好老百姓的工具。而这位老师很理性地给我们展现了一些金融市场里人性的恶，包括股价操纵、利益输送等等。这节课还让我意识到，不是读几本书，上几节课，就能够在金融市场立足的，还需要理解人性和社会的利益圈层。另外，它还让跳出了基本面+技术分析的研究框架，在后来研究市场时，有了历史的时间维度。这是我建立研究、观察市场那套办法的雏形，也就是周期分析理论。就像我现在写帖子，主要集中在年度前瞻、重大事件、重大价格波动，他们背后都有循环的运作机理。Q：您曾提到周期分析是最有效的宏观分析办法，从","text":"作者 | Alex甘灿荣如今是位自由资产管理者。在职场社交平台领英上，他则更愿意称自己为芝商所特约策略讲师。作为老师，他心态开放，擅长站在个人投资者角度想问题。比如，他建议多用一点小钱做尝试，只要资金允许，各种品种都可以试一试。从生物工程到期货交易员，颇让人意外的职业选择，也源于甘灿荣自己试一试的勇气。问人、看书、考证、到实战，接下来十年里，他成长为一名交易风格相对稳健的职业投资人，并有了一套属于自己的交易体系——宏观定方向，指标极值建头寸，严格执行止损条件。这一策略也让他在去年预测到原油价格暴跌，收益翻番。但将这些交易方法内化成自己的并不容易。“这是一个漫长的过程”，用甘灿荣的话说，“但这也是每个投资者必须经历的。”Q：您本科学生物工程，毕业后怎么想到从事期货交易？生物工程是个热门专业，但和许多年轻人一样，毕业后，我并不知道自己真正想做什么。后来，我回老家工作。这家公司刚好要筹划上市，券商来做上市辅导，而我负责接待这些人。这是我第一次接触到金融圈的人。他们的言行，对金融市场的看法，都非常吸引我，因此有了一个很感性的直观感受，“原来金融行业这么好呀”。但我印象真正深刻的是，当时有位老师来公司上课，讲股价变化背后的逻辑。这节课直接颠覆了我对金融市场的看法。和多数人一样，我以前认为金融向善，是一个调节市场、利好老百姓的工具。而这位老师很理性地给我们展现了一些金融市场里人性的恶，包括股价操纵、利益输送等等。这节课还让我意识到，不是读几本书，上几节课，就能够在金融市场立足的，还需要理解人性和社会的利益圈层。另外，它还让跳出了基本面+技术分析的研究框架，在后来研究市场时，有了历史的时间维度。这是我建立研究、观察市场那套办法的雏形，也就是周期分析理论。就像我现在写帖子，主要集中在年度前瞻、重大事件、重大价格波动，他们背后都有循环的运作机理。Q：您曾提到周期分析是最有效的宏观分析办法，从","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9030cd46c3eb2eeeefaf1f00e3cdafbc","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b647d530818956872dfdc4e97ea7adf7","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ac742c548fdf74d5cbd5ce14ad7595","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856339987","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857651695,"gmtCreate":1635523191650,"gmtModify":1635523191650,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good or not good","listText":"Good good or not good","text":"Good good or not good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae8a262b5c204628923a17a4f4a3e92c","width":"1125","height":"3426"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857651695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854171108,"gmtCreate":1635430375976,"gmtModify":1635430375976,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow wow","listText":"Wow wow","text":"Wow wow","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31745e0d29631de6ad1c2b63c785ac1c","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854171108","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855861536,"gmtCreate":1635350157754,"gmtModify":1635387610089,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut&nbsp;","listText":"Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut&nbsp;","text":"Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb408bfdf243851bb876c84c9d53b3","width":"1125","height":"2977"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855861536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855002510,"gmtCreate":1635309450075,"gmtModify":1635309450075,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger really making me broke.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger really making me broke.","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Tiger really making me broke.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3e707dc45f49064222b3d3c282d9125","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855002510","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856628483,"gmtCreate":1635174743965,"gmtModify":1635174743965,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo yo yo&nbsp;","listText":"Yo yo yo&nbsp;","text":"Yo yo yo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ffa8ebeed4c4a9c4bdc603efd06ee16","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856628483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858346103,"gmtCreate":1634992111345,"gmtModify":1634992111345,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mi mi no lo mi&nbsp;","listText":"Mi mi no lo mi&nbsp;","text":"Mi mi no lo mi","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/750cf16680a36309c717a45c0eda056f","width":"1125","height":"2404"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858346103","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851406364,"gmtCreate":1634917475953,"gmtModify":1634917475953,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mooo nooomlol mooo","listText":"Mooo nooomlol mooo","text":"Mooo nooomlol mooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a58be0f5916902a53902005a7901ad8","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851406364","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853076426,"gmtCreate":1634746569481,"gmtModify":1634746569481,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice nice","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6735cd3b5277d3c93e21b949b2729520","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853076426","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859005483,"gmtCreate":1634634161406,"gmtModify":1634634161406,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rise rise&nbsp;","listText":"Rise rise&nbsp;","text":"Rise rise","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90016b7070dfa86d7d213529ff8286c2","width":"1125","height":"3083"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859005483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827249884,"gmtCreate":1634485272664,"gmtModify":1634485272664,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hula hoops make the world go round&nbsp;","listText":"Hula hoops make the world go round&nbsp;","text":"Hula hoops make the world go round","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dc55215a92b638e952bcf5e990f3297","width":"1125","height":"3083"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827249884","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827337230,"gmtCreate":1634409499787,"gmtModify":1634409499787,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay yay yay","listText":"Yay yay yay","text":"Yay yay yay","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34aa81b1e710a6e142331dd1c02b1e9","width":"1125","height":"2992"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827337230","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":870789131,"gmtCreate":1636647283004,"gmtModify":1636647283004,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Poooooooooop","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Poooooooooop","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Poooooooooop","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0af3e8526bb034f060484315275770c","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870789131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000615","authorId":"9000000000000615","name":"EdithHardy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"我想知道如果他们真的决定明年在苹果汽车上扣动扳机，这只股票会做什么....","text":"我想知道如果他们真的决定明年在苹果汽车上扣动扳机，这只股票会做什么....","html":"我想知道如果他们真的决定明年在苹果汽车上扣动扳机，这只股票会做什么...."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855002510,"gmtCreate":1635309450075,"gmtModify":1635309450075,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger really making me broke.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Tiger really making me broke.","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Tiger really making me broke.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3e707dc45f49064222b3d3c282d9125","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855002510","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820143279,"gmtCreate":1633361417219,"gmtModify":1633400355738,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"AAPL bounceback: The next 12-14 months could see 40% rise","htmlText":"Gene Munster of Loup ventures, ascertains and&nbsp;understands clearly why Apple stock price has remained stuck below $150 apiece for the past few weeks. According to him, the following factors help to explain the malaise in share price, which now sits below mid-July levels:The current debate around the federal government’s debt ceiling adds uncertainty to the markets in general;Although inflation worries have eased (the five-year implied rate dipped from 2.7% in May to 2.5% now), they remain an overhang;The Fed is about to start unwinding monetary easing, which should eventually lead to higher short-term (and maybe longer-term) interest rates.However, Mr. Munster seems to think that the above are merely near-term distractions to what is a much more optimistic narrative for Apple stock in","listText":"Gene Munster of Loup ventures, ascertains and&nbsp;understands clearly why Apple stock price has remained stuck below $150 apiece for the past few weeks. According to him, the following factors help to explain the malaise in share price, which now sits below mid-July levels:The current debate around the federal government’s debt ceiling adds uncertainty to the markets in general;Although inflation worries have eased (the five-year implied rate dipped from 2.7% in May to 2.5% now), they remain an overhang;The Fed is about to start unwinding monetary easing, which should eventually lead to higher short-term (and maybe longer-term) interest rates.However, Mr. Munster seems to think that the above are merely near-term distractions to what is a much more optimistic narrative for Apple stock in","text":"Gene Munster of Loup ventures, ascertains and understands clearly why Apple stock price has remained stuck below $150 apiece for the past few weeks. According to him, the following factors help to explain the malaise in share price, which now sits below mid-July levels:The current debate around the federal government’s debt ceiling adds uncertainty to the markets in general;Although inflation worries have eased (the five-year implied rate dipped from 2.7% in May to 2.5% now), they remain an overhang;The Fed is about to start unwinding monetary easing, which should eventually lead to higher short-term (and maybe longer-term) interest rates.However, Mr. Munster seems to think that the above are merely near-term distractions to what is a much more optimistic narrative for Apple stock in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820143279","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828635316,"gmtCreate":1633909105804,"gmtModify":1633909105804,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Delightful&nbsp;","listText":"Delightful&nbsp;","text":"Delightful","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828635316","repostId":"2174282971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2174282971","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1633908000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2174282971?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 07:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A major crypto hedge-fund manager expects bitcoin to tumble once the SEC greenlights a bitcoin-backed ETF -- here's why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2174282971","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Bitcoin recent rally looks driven by institutions; analyst says it could lead to another all-time hi","content":"<p>Bitcoin recent rally looks driven by institutions; analyst says it could lead to another all-time high for the cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p>Crypto in a snap</p>\n<p>Bitcoin saw a momentous rise last week, up 12.7% from the previous week as of Friday, FactSet data shows. By Wednesday, the cryptocurrency recorded a seven-day gain of 33.5%, its best seven-day performance since February this year, according to our research team at Dow Jones Market Data.</p>\n<p>Ethereum also recorded a 9.7% weekly gain as of Friday, while dogecoin rose 13% over the week.</p>\n<p>Crypto Metrics</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Biggest Gainers</td>\n   <td>Price</td>\n   <td>% 7-day return</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>SHIBA INU</td>\n   <td>$0.00002697</td>\n   <td>262.53%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Fantom</td>\n   <td>$2.35</td>\n   <td>73.99%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Axie Infinity</td>\n   <td>$135.21</td>\n   <td>43.47%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Harmony</td>\n   <td>$0.227</td>\n   <td>42.5%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Arweave</td>\n   <td>$66.3</td>\n   <td>38.46%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Biggest Decliners</td>\n   <td>Price</td>\n   <td>% 7-day return</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>eCash</td>\n   <td>$$0.0002233</td>\n   <td>-10.05%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Huobi Token</td>\n   <td>$7.8</td>\n   <td>-9.07%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Avalanche</td>\n   <td>$62.58</td>\n   <td>-6.96%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Amp</td>\n   <td>$0.04746</td>\n   <td>-6.17%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>dYdX</td>\n   <td>$21.53</td>\n   <td>-5.71%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>A bitcoin-futures bounce?</p>\n<p>The fourth quarter has historically been good for bitcoin. In the fourth quarter of 2020, bitcoin rallied about 170% from about $10,780 to $28,980, according to CoinDesk data.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin also has seen a good start to October, as the cryptocurrency on Wednesday rose above $55,000, the first time since May.</p>\n<p>Traders and analysts attributed the rally partly to institutional inflows, as established players expect the SEC to approve the first bitcoin futures exchange-traded funds in the coming weeks.</p>\n<p>SEC Chairman Gary Gensler recently reiterated his support for a bitcoin-backed futures ETF, which would invest in bitcoin-based futures contracts instead of the crypto itself. The SEC hasn't yet approved any bitcoin-backed ETFs or those underpinned by bitcoin derivatives.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin futures contracts at CME Group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CME\">$(CME)$</a> were trading at a premium of up to 17% to the spot price on Wednesday, the highest since April, when bitcoin reached its all-time high, according to data analytics tool Skew. The metric usually reflects institutional flows, as CME is the preferred avenue for institutions' exposure to bitcoin.</p>\n<p>\"The unusually large premium indicates an overwhelming amount of outright buying,\" crypto trading firm QCP Capital wrote on Telegram on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Liquidation of leveraged short positions also fueled bitcoin's recent price rally, analysts said. Leveraged short positions are when traders bet the price of an asset will decline using borrowed funds.</p>\n<p>\" The setup for a short squeeze had been primed this week as bears shorted $50K resistance,\" NYDIG, a financial service firm that focuses on bitcoin, wrote in a report on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Déjà vu Q4 2020?</p>\n<p>Some analysts expect the rise to be sustained. Anto Paroian, chief operating officer at crypto hedge fund ARK36, said the uptrend this week is different from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> a month ago, when bitcoin surpassed $50,000. \"There wasn't enough strength in the markets to sustain a further rally,\" Paroian told MarketWatch via email.</p>\n<p>\"Now, after consolidating for a long time in the $40K range, Bitcoin seems much better prepared for another big move upwards,\" Paroian wrote. \"If that happens, Bitcoin will likely go on to test its ATH (all-time high) and there's a high probability it will break it.\"</p>\n<p>However, some remain wary that the crypto market could see another swing lower similar to the fourth quarter of 2020.</p>\n<p>Dan Morehead, CEO of asset manager Pantera Capital, warned that the \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" pattern may apply if the SEC approves a bitcoin-backed futures ETF.</p>\n<p>\"Will someone please remind [me] the day before the bitcoin ETF officially launches? I might want to take some chips off the table,\" Morehead wrote in a report.</p>\n<p>About a year before CME listed bitcoin futures in December 2017, bitcoin rose by 2,440%. The cryptocurrency rallied 822% in the 12 months ahead of crypto exchange Coinbase <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$(COIN)$</a>'s direct listing at Nasdaq. However, the market turned downward after both events, Morehead noted in the report.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, as the crypto market becomes broader, more institutional, price swings should moderate, Morehead speculates.</p>\n<p>Crypto brief</p>\n<p>Bloomberg Businessweek published a cover story last week about the mystery around the $69 billion assets of Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer. With exponential growth in recent years, Tether has drawn increasing scrutiny from the regulators and some investors. Its stablecoin USDT is pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollars.</p>\n<p>Tether has invested some of its reserves in Chinese commercial paper, and it was before the recent woes of Chinese real-estate developer Evergrande, according to Bloomberg, citing a document that detailed Tether's reserves.</p>\n<p>A Tether representative didn't answer the question if Tether has held any Chinese commercial paper, but wrote through email that USDT is always backed by reserves including cash, cash equivalents, other short-term deposits and commercial paper.</p>\n<p>Bloomberg also reported that Tether has made billions of dollars of crypto-backed loans, with one to crypto lending platform Celsius Network Ltd.</p>\n<p>The Tether representative wrote to MarketWatch that \"we have a select, small group of customers that borrow USDTs in exchange for posting security. These loans are secured by collateral in Tether's possession of well in excess of 100% of the loan proceeds and earn monthly interest for Tether.\"</p>\n<p>A bean bag for Bankman-Fried?</p>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of crypto exchange FTX, is the richest person under 30 in the world, according to Forbes. Thanks to the crypto boom, Bankman-Fried is now worth $22.5 billion, up from $8.7 billion in April.</p>\n<p>The 29-year-old self-made billionaire is known for sleeping in bean bags in the office for most nights. \"One side advantage of the bean bags: if I sleep in the office, my mind stays in work mode, and I don't have to reload everything the next day,\" Bankman-Fried once wrote on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>.</p>\n<p>It seems that the habit has also been adopted by Ryan Salame, who was named CEO of FTX's newly launched subsidiary FTX Digital Markets in the Bahamas. FTX also moved its headquarters from Hong Kong to the Bahamas, where the regulatory environment is more crypto-friendly.</p>\n<p>Coin quotables</p>\n<p>Dawn Fitzpatrick, CEO and chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, said the family office founded by billionaire investor George Soros, owns some bitcoins.</p>\n<p>\"We own some coins, but not a lot,\" Fitzpatrick said in an interview at a Bloomberg event on Oct. 5. \"And the coins themselves are less interesting than the use cases of DeFi (decentralized finance) and things like that.\"</p>\n<p>\"I am not sure bitcoin is only viewed as an inflation hedge,\" Fitzpatrick said. \"I think it's crossed the chasm to mainstream.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A major crypto hedge-fund manager expects bitcoin to tumble once the SEC greenlights a bitcoin-backed ETF -- here's why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA major crypto hedge-fund manager expects bitcoin to tumble once the SEC greenlights a bitcoin-backed ETF -- here's why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-11 07:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin recent rally looks driven by institutions; analyst says it could lead to another all-time high for the cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p>Crypto in a snap</p>\n<p>Bitcoin saw a momentous rise last week, up 12.7% from the previous week as of Friday, FactSet data shows. By Wednesday, the cryptocurrency recorded a seven-day gain of 33.5%, its best seven-day performance since February this year, according to our research team at Dow Jones Market Data.</p>\n<p>Ethereum also recorded a 9.7% weekly gain as of Friday, while dogecoin rose 13% over the week.</p>\n<p>Crypto Metrics</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Biggest Gainers</td>\n   <td>Price</td>\n   <td>% 7-day return</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>SHIBA INU</td>\n   <td>$0.00002697</td>\n   <td>262.53%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Fantom</td>\n   <td>$2.35</td>\n   <td>73.99%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Axie Infinity</td>\n   <td>$135.21</td>\n   <td>43.47%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Harmony</td>\n   <td>$0.227</td>\n   <td>42.5%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Arweave</td>\n   <td>$66.3</td>\n   <td>38.46%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Biggest Decliners</td>\n   <td>Price</td>\n   <td>% 7-day return</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>eCash</td>\n   <td>$$0.0002233</td>\n   <td>-10.05%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Huobi Token</td>\n   <td>$7.8</td>\n   <td>-9.07%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Avalanche</td>\n   <td>$62.58</td>\n   <td>-6.96%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Amp</td>\n   <td>$0.04746</td>\n   <td>-6.17%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>dYdX</td>\n   <td>$21.53</td>\n   <td>-5.71%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>A bitcoin-futures bounce?</p>\n<p>The fourth quarter has historically been good for bitcoin. In the fourth quarter of 2020, bitcoin rallied about 170% from about $10,780 to $28,980, according to CoinDesk data.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin also has seen a good start to October, as the cryptocurrency on Wednesday rose above $55,000, the first time since May.</p>\n<p>Traders and analysts attributed the rally partly to institutional inflows, as established players expect the SEC to approve the first bitcoin futures exchange-traded funds in the coming weeks.</p>\n<p>SEC Chairman Gary Gensler recently reiterated his support for a bitcoin-backed futures ETF, which would invest in bitcoin-based futures contracts instead of the crypto itself. The SEC hasn't yet approved any bitcoin-backed ETFs or those underpinned by bitcoin derivatives.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin futures contracts at CME Group <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CME\">$(CME)$</a> were trading at a premium of up to 17% to the spot price on Wednesday, the highest since April, when bitcoin reached its all-time high, according to data analytics tool Skew. The metric usually reflects institutional flows, as CME is the preferred avenue for institutions' exposure to bitcoin.</p>\n<p>\"The unusually large premium indicates an overwhelming amount of outright buying,\" crypto trading firm QCP Capital wrote on Telegram on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Liquidation of leveraged short positions also fueled bitcoin's recent price rally, analysts said. Leveraged short positions are when traders bet the price of an asset will decline using borrowed funds.</p>\n<p>\" The setup for a short squeeze had been primed this week as bears shorted $50K resistance,\" NYDIG, a financial service firm that focuses on bitcoin, wrote in a report on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Déjà vu Q4 2020?</p>\n<p>Some analysts expect the rise to be sustained. Anto Paroian, chief operating officer at crypto hedge fund ARK36, said the uptrend this week is different from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> a month ago, when bitcoin surpassed $50,000. \"There wasn't enough strength in the markets to sustain a further rally,\" Paroian told MarketWatch via email.</p>\n<p>\"Now, after consolidating for a long time in the $40K range, Bitcoin seems much better prepared for another big move upwards,\" Paroian wrote. \"If that happens, Bitcoin will likely go on to test its ATH (all-time high) and there's a high probability it will break it.\"</p>\n<p>However, some remain wary that the crypto market could see another swing lower similar to the fourth quarter of 2020.</p>\n<p>Dan Morehead, CEO of asset manager Pantera Capital, warned that the \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" pattern may apply if the SEC approves a bitcoin-backed futures ETF.</p>\n<p>\"Will someone please remind [me] the day before the bitcoin ETF officially launches? I might want to take some chips off the table,\" Morehead wrote in a report.</p>\n<p>About a year before CME listed bitcoin futures in December 2017, bitcoin rose by 2,440%. The cryptocurrency rallied 822% in the 12 months ahead of crypto exchange Coinbase <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$(COIN)$</a>'s direct listing at Nasdaq. However, the market turned downward after both events, Morehead noted in the report.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, as the crypto market becomes broader, more institutional, price swings should moderate, Morehead speculates.</p>\n<p>Crypto brief</p>\n<p>Bloomberg Businessweek published a cover story last week about the mystery around the $69 billion assets of Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer. With exponential growth in recent years, Tether has drawn increasing scrutiny from the regulators and some investors. Its stablecoin USDT is pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollars.</p>\n<p>Tether has invested some of its reserves in Chinese commercial paper, and it was before the recent woes of Chinese real-estate developer Evergrande, according to Bloomberg, citing a document that detailed Tether's reserves.</p>\n<p>A Tether representative didn't answer the question if Tether has held any Chinese commercial paper, but wrote through email that USDT is always backed by reserves including cash, cash equivalents, other short-term deposits and commercial paper.</p>\n<p>Bloomberg also reported that Tether has made billions of dollars of crypto-backed loans, with one to crypto lending platform Celsius Network Ltd.</p>\n<p>The Tether representative wrote to MarketWatch that \"we have a select, small group of customers that borrow USDTs in exchange for posting security. These loans are secured by collateral in Tether's possession of well in excess of 100% of the loan proceeds and earn monthly interest for Tether.\"</p>\n<p>A bean bag for Bankman-Fried?</p>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of crypto exchange FTX, is the richest person under 30 in the world, according to Forbes. Thanks to the crypto boom, Bankman-Fried is now worth $22.5 billion, up from $8.7 billion in April.</p>\n<p>The 29-year-old self-made billionaire is known for sleeping in bean bags in the office for most nights. \"One side advantage of the bean bags: if I sleep in the office, my mind stays in work mode, and I don't have to reload everything the next day,\" Bankman-Fried once wrote on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>.</p>\n<p>It seems that the habit has also been adopted by Ryan Salame, who was named CEO of FTX's newly launched subsidiary FTX Digital Markets in the Bahamas. FTX also moved its headquarters from Hong Kong to the Bahamas, where the regulatory environment is more crypto-friendly.</p>\n<p>Coin quotables</p>\n<p>Dawn Fitzpatrick, CEO and chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, said the family office founded by billionaire investor George Soros, owns some bitcoins.</p>\n<p>\"We own some coins, but not a lot,\" Fitzpatrick said in an interview at a Bloomberg event on Oct. 5. \"And the coins themselves are less interesting than the use cases of DeFi (decentralized finance) and things like that.\"</p>\n<p>\"I am not sure bitcoin is only viewed as an inflation hedge,\" Fitzpatrick said. \"I think it's crossed the chasm to mainstream.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","CME":"芝加哥商品交易所"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2174282971","content_text":"Bitcoin recent rally looks driven by institutions; analyst says it could lead to another all-time high for the cryptocurrency.\nCrypto in a snap\nBitcoin saw a momentous rise last week, up 12.7% from the previous week as of Friday, FactSet data shows. By Wednesday, the cryptocurrency recorded a seven-day gain of 33.5%, its best seven-day performance since February this year, according to our research team at Dow Jones Market Data.\nEthereum also recorded a 9.7% weekly gain as of Friday, while dogecoin rose 13% over the week.\nCrypto Metrics\n\n\n\nBiggest Gainers\nPrice\n% 7-day return\n\n\nSHIBA INU\n$0.00002697\n262.53%\n\n\nFantom\n$2.35\n73.99%\n\n\nAxie Infinity\n$135.21\n43.47%\n\n\nHarmony\n$0.227\n42.5%\n\n\nArweave\n$66.3\n38.46%\n\n\n\nSource: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 8\n\n\n\nBiggest Decliners\nPrice\n% 7-day return\n\n\neCash\n$$0.0002233\n-10.05%\n\n\nHuobi Token\n$7.8\n-9.07%\n\n\nAvalanche\n$62.58\n-6.96%\n\n\nAmp\n$0.04746\n-6.17%\n\n\ndYdX\n$21.53\n-5.71%\n\n\n\nSource: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 8\n\n\n\n\nA bitcoin-futures bounce?\nThe fourth quarter has historically been good for bitcoin. In the fourth quarter of 2020, bitcoin rallied about 170% from about $10,780 to $28,980, according to CoinDesk data.\nBitcoin also has seen a good start to October, as the cryptocurrency on Wednesday rose above $55,000, the first time since May.\nTraders and analysts attributed the rally partly to institutional inflows, as established players expect the SEC to approve the first bitcoin futures exchange-traded funds in the coming weeks.\nSEC Chairman Gary Gensler recently reiterated his support for a bitcoin-backed futures ETF, which would invest in bitcoin-based futures contracts instead of the crypto itself. The SEC hasn't yet approved any bitcoin-backed ETFs or those underpinned by bitcoin derivatives.\nBitcoin futures contracts at CME Group $(CME)$ were trading at a premium of up to 17% to the spot price on Wednesday, the highest since April, when bitcoin reached its all-time high, according to data analytics tool Skew. The metric usually reflects institutional flows, as CME is the preferred avenue for institutions' exposure to bitcoin.\n\"The unusually large premium indicates an overwhelming amount of outright buying,\" crypto trading firm QCP Capital wrote on Telegram on Thursday.\nLiquidation of leveraged short positions also fueled bitcoin's recent price rally, analysts said. Leveraged short positions are when traders bet the price of an asset will decline using borrowed funds.\n\" The setup for a short squeeze had been primed this week as bears shorted $50K resistance,\" NYDIG, a financial service firm that focuses on bitcoin, wrote in a report on Wednesday.\nDéjà vu Q4 2020?\nSome analysts expect the rise to be sustained. Anto Paroian, chief operating officer at crypto hedge fund ARK36, said the uptrend this week is different from the one a month ago, when bitcoin surpassed $50,000. \"There wasn't enough strength in the markets to sustain a further rally,\" Paroian told MarketWatch via email.\n\"Now, after consolidating for a long time in the $40K range, Bitcoin seems much better prepared for another big move upwards,\" Paroian wrote. \"If that happens, Bitcoin will likely go on to test its ATH (all-time high) and there's a high probability it will break it.\"\nHowever, some remain wary that the crypto market could see another swing lower similar to the fourth quarter of 2020.\nDan Morehead, CEO of asset manager Pantera Capital, warned that the \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" pattern may apply if the SEC approves a bitcoin-backed futures ETF.\n\"Will someone please remind [me] the day before the bitcoin ETF officially launches? I might want to take some chips off the table,\" Morehead wrote in a report.\nAbout a year before CME listed bitcoin futures in December 2017, bitcoin rose by 2,440%. The cryptocurrency rallied 822% in the 12 months ahead of crypto exchange Coinbase $(COIN)$'s direct listing at Nasdaq. However, the market turned downward after both events, Morehead noted in the report.\nMeanwhile, as the crypto market becomes broader, more institutional, price swings should moderate, Morehead speculates.\nCrypto brief\nBloomberg Businessweek published a cover story last week about the mystery around the $69 billion assets of Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer. With exponential growth in recent years, Tether has drawn increasing scrutiny from the regulators and some investors. Its stablecoin USDT is pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollars.\nTether has invested some of its reserves in Chinese commercial paper, and it was before the recent woes of Chinese real-estate developer Evergrande, according to Bloomberg, citing a document that detailed Tether's reserves.\nA Tether representative didn't answer the question if Tether has held any Chinese commercial paper, but wrote through email that USDT is always backed by reserves including cash, cash equivalents, other short-term deposits and commercial paper.\nBloomberg also reported that Tether has made billions of dollars of crypto-backed loans, with one to crypto lending platform Celsius Network Ltd.\nThe Tether representative wrote to MarketWatch that \"we have a select, small group of customers that borrow USDTs in exchange for posting security. These loans are secured by collateral in Tether's possession of well in excess of 100% of the loan proceeds and earn monthly interest for Tether.\"\nA bean bag for Bankman-Fried?\nSam Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of crypto exchange FTX, is the richest person under 30 in the world, according to Forbes. Thanks to the crypto boom, Bankman-Fried is now worth $22.5 billion, up from $8.7 billion in April.\nThe 29-year-old self-made billionaire is known for sleeping in bean bags in the office for most nights. \"One side advantage of the bean bags: if I sleep in the office, my mind stays in work mode, and I don't have to reload everything the next day,\" Bankman-Fried once wrote on Twitter.\nIt seems that the habit has also been adopted by Ryan Salame, who was named CEO of FTX's newly launched subsidiary FTX Digital Markets in the Bahamas. FTX also moved its headquarters from Hong Kong to the Bahamas, where the regulatory environment is more crypto-friendly.\nCoin quotables\nDawn Fitzpatrick, CEO and chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, said the family office founded by billionaire investor George Soros, owns some bitcoins.\n\"We own some coins, but not a lot,\" Fitzpatrick said in an interview at a Bloomberg event on Oct. 5. \"And the coins themselves are less interesting than the use cases of DeFi (decentralized finance) and things like that.\"\n\"I am not sure bitcoin is only viewed as an inflation hedge,\" Fitzpatrick said. \"I think it's crossed the chasm to mainstream.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829111050,"gmtCreate":1633479922427,"gmtModify":1633479922427,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Risseeeeee","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Risseeeeee","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Risseeeeee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce690d8af24d4960d3ce17dc8165be55","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829111050","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823070862,"gmtCreate":1633567940032,"gmtModify":1633567940032,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02359\">$WUXI APPTEC(02359)$</a>Let’s go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02359\">$WUXI APPTEC(02359)$</a>Let’s go","text":"$WUXI APPTEC(02359)$Let’s go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd1ad56ffbf97dddc7e741d2480db77f","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823070862","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846022851,"gmtCreate":1636036127704,"gmtModify":1636036127704,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>mmmmmmmmmmmmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>mmmmmmmmmmmmmm","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$mmmmmmmmmmmmmm","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/500b0caa2f1742a65a6e5dda92349bc0","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846022851","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000615","authorId":"9000000000000615","name":"EdithHardy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"AAPL正面临逆风，广告成本飙升。除了多年来的比较，他们对本季度没有说过一句积极的话，这些年在很大程度上受到了COVID的影响，而COVID正在逐渐减少","text":"AAPL正面临逆风，广告成本飙升。除了多年来的比较，他们对本季度没有说过一句积极的话，这些年在很大程度上受到了COVID的影响，而COVID正在逐渐减少","html":"AAPL正面临逆风，广告成本飙升。除了多年来的比较，他们对本季度没有说过一句积极的话，这些年在很大程度上受到了COVID的影响，而COVID正在逐渐减少"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844040188,"gmtCreate":1636380112974,"gmtModify":1636380112974,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$Waakkkaaannddaaaa forreevvveerrrrrr","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1c3fb7ca28162b6871d6af0db27c2a","width":"1125","height":"3461"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844040188","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854171108,"gmtCreate":1635430375976,"gmtModify":1635430375976,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow wow","listText":"Wow wow","text":"Wow wow","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31745e0d29631de6ad1c2b63c785ac1c","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854171108","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823073289,"gmtCreate":1633568070594,"gmtModify":1633568070594,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moo moo cow cow","listText":"Moo moo cow cow","text":"Moo moo cow cow","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fc822cac8e63e6e65166ab8edbbb69","width":"1125","height":"2902"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823073289","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861752398,"gmtCreate":1632541312014,"gmtModify":1632541312014,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Hello","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Hello","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Hello","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5426061fac001522f96a4038a4ff1ea8","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861752398","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873708325,"gmtCreate":1636983703645,"gmtModify":1636983703645,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Boooooop","listText":"Boooooop","text":"Boooooop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873708325","repostId":"873109748","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":873109748,"gmtCreate":1636869913980,"gmtModify":1636873428781,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"期权复盘：TSLA进入卖权最佳时机？NFLX、AAPL新高在望？","htmlText":"老虎的朋友们周末好，受马哥的影响，这周过的很惊心动魄，今天来复盘一下，看看接下来的机会。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>当周跌幅到达15.44%，在单日跌幅12%那天我写了一个期权策略《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/847518005\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉暴跌12%，现在期权要怎么操作才好？</a>》，可以傲娇的说正如我所料。根据公开信息显示，本周马斯克连续5天卖出股票约636万一共减持约69亿美元，按照计划减持10%的持股即1705万股，还有1069万股。按照我马哥作风不可能拖泥带水，大概率剩下这1000多万股在本月也搞定了。 在暴跌12%的策略中，我说1000左右是一个比较强的支撑，当天开盘跌到987后开启大幅反弹，目测是由空头在1000左右回补引发的，通常暴跌之后的反弹也会很暴力。反弹完成后，我们再看周五TSLA股价收跌破20日线，下周大概率还去1000左右找支撑，这个位置能撑住多久我不敢确定，我仍然把比较好的支撑线放在900附近，也就是前高和本轮跳空高开的位置。我觉得特斯拉即将进入一个盘整阶段，至于是宽幅还是窄幅波动我不好说，马上12月机构要年度结算，特斯拉获利盘较大短线再冲高的可能性略低，如果持有长期就无所谓，适当在上方卖一些covered call。暴跌暂时也没有特别合理的理由，老马卖股票市场也接受了，那么盘整将是期权卖方最好的机会。我本周到期900的卖put已经了结，目前仍持有下周到期的650的，下周如果有合适的IV和价格会继续卖1-2周800-850之间的，应于tsla波动高，和年末市场的一些波动，适当降低行权价，用收益换安全。 来看看","listText":"老虎的朋友们周末好，受马哥的影响，这周过的很惊心动魄，今天来复盘一下，看看接下来的机会。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>当周跌幅到达15.44%，在单日跌幅12%那天我写了一个期权策略《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/847518005\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉暴跌12%，现在期权要怎么操作才好？</a>》，可以傲娇的说正如我所料。根据公开信息显示，本周马斯克连续5天卖出股票约636万一共减持约69亿美元，按照计划减持10%的持股即1705万股，还有1069万股。按照我马哥作风不可能拖泥带水，大概率剩下这1000多万股在本月也搞定了。 在暴跌12%的策略中，我说1000左右是一个比较强的支撑，当天开盘跌到987后开启大幅反弹，目测是由空头在1000左右回补引发的，通常暴跌之后的反弹也会很暴力。反弹完成后，我们再看周五TSLA股价收跌破20日线，下周大概率还去1000左右找支撑，这个位置能撑住多久我不敢确定，我仍然把比较好的支撑线放在900附近，也就是前高和本轮跳空高开的位置。我觉得特斯拉即将进入一个盘整阶段，至于是宽幅还是窄幅波动我不好说，马上12月机构要年度结算，特斯拉获利盘较大短线再冲高的可能性略低，如果持有长期就无所谓，适当在上方卖一些covered call。暴跌暂时也没有特别合理的理由，老马卖股票市场也接受了，那么盘整将是期权卖方最好的机会。我本周到期900的卖put已经了结，目前仍持有下周到期的650的，下周如果有合适的IV和价格会继续卖1-2周800-850之间的，应于tsla波动高，和年末市场的一些波动，适当降低行权价，用收益换安全。 来看看","text":"老虎的朋友们周末好，受马哥的影响，这周过的很惊心动魄，今天来复盘一下，看看接下来的机会。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$当周跌幅到达15.44%，在单日跌幅12%那天我写了一个期权策略《特斯拉暴跌12%，现在期权要怎么操作才好？》，可以傲娇的说正如我所料。根据公开信息显示，本周马斯克连续5天卖出股票约636万一共减持约69亿美元，按照计划减持10%的持股即1705万股，还有1069万股。按照我马哥作风不可能拖泥带水，大概率剩下这1000多万股在本月也搞定了。 在暴跌12%的策略中，我说1000左右是一个比较强的支撑，当天开盘跌到987后开启大幅反弹，目测是由空头在1000左右回补引发的，通常暴跌之后的反弹也会很暴力。反弹完成后，我们再看周五TSLA股价收跌破20日线，下周大概率还去1000左右找支撑，这个位置能撑住多久我不敢确定，我仍然把比较好的支撑线放在900附近，也就是前高和本轮跳空高开的位置。我觉得特斯拉即将进入一个盘整阶段，至于是宽幅还是窄幅波动我不好说，马上12月机构要年度结算，特斯拉获利盘较大短线再冲高的可能性略低，如果持有长期就无所谓，适当在上方卖一些covered call。暴跌暂时也没有特别合理的理由，老马卖股票市场也接受了，那么盘整将是期权卖方最好的机会。我本周到期900的卖put已经了结，目前仍持有下周到期的650的，下周如果有合适的IV和价格会继续卖1-2周800-850之间的，应于tsla波动高，和年末市场的一些波动，适当降低行权价，用收益换安全。 来看看","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd1aff0b64330d110ae5f29b9eadc899","width":"2008","height":"1262"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9b70dc57c860e4f1a87bbd0fb962bd0","width":"894","height":"528"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21d0a90d8bb6371e26435074394589ac","width":"732","height":"480"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873109748","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870056225,"gmtCreate":1636560751165,"gmtModify":1636560751165,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRIL\">$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$</a>tiger lion zebra mouse cat&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRIL\">$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$</a>tiger lion zebra mouse cat&nbsp;","text":"$Trillium Therapeutics(TRIL)$tiger lion zebra mouse cat","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/942ad487e146219f31bf265652884338","width":"1125","height":"2887"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870056225","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844154360,"gmtCreate":1636413286766,"gmtModify":1636413286766,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Do u like some lovely applesand pairs?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746a8f46f990c9ce47f5085a3a1dffe7","width":"1125","height":"3173"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844154360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843938615,"gmtCreate":1635790641683,"gmtModify":1635790641683,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wooo lala","listText":"Wooo lala","text":"Wooo lala","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abe370f263ca0ad1da76d93d819b59d9","width":"1125","height":"3748"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843938615","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840260920,"gmtCreate":1635650197453,"gmtModify":1635650197453,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now wow wow","listText":"Now wow wow","text":"Now wow wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840260920","repostId":"856339987","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":856339987,"gmtCreate":1635149228280,"gmtModify":1635410313004,"author":{"id":"3520134464145345","authorId":"3520134464145345","name":"锐问","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af67035e05acd3d551a6474ea3df0455","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"有人炒原油亏成负数，他却赚了3倍","htmlText":"作者 | Alex甘灿荣如今是位自由资产管理者。在职场社交平台领英上，他则更愿意称自己为芝商所特约策略讲师。作为老师，他心态开放，擅长站在个人投资者角度想问题。比如，他建议多用一点小钱做尝试，只要资金允许，各种品种都可以试一试。从生物工程到期货交易员，颇让人意外的职业选择，也源于甘灿荣自己试一试的勇气。问人、看书、考证、到实战，接下来十年里，他成长为一名交易风格相对稳健的职业投资人，并有了一套属于自己的交易体系——宏观定方向，指标极值建头寸，严格执行止损条件。这一策略也让他在去年预测到原油价格暴跌，收益翻番。但将这些交易方法内化成自己的并不容易。“这是一个漫长的过程”，用甘灿荣的话说，“但这也是每个投资者必须经历的。”Q：您本科学生物工程，毕业后怎么想到从事期货交易？生物工程是个热门专业，但和许多年轻人一样，毕业后，我并不知道自己真正想做什么。后来，我回老家工作。这家公司刚好要筹划上市，券商来做上市辅导，而我负责接待这些人。这是我第一次接触到金融圈的人。他们的言行，对金融市场的看法，都非常吸引我，因此有了一个很感性的直观感受，“原来金融行业这么好呀”。但我印象真正深刻的是，当时有位老师来公司上课，讲股价变化背后的逻辑。这节课直接颠覆了我对金融市场的看法。和多数人一样，我以前认为金融向善，是一个调节市场、利好老百姓的工具。而这位老师很理性地给我们展现了一些金融市场里人性的恶，包括股价操纵、利益输送等等。这节课还让我意识到，不是读几本书，上几节课，就能够在金融市场立足的，还需要理解人性和社会的利益圈层。另外，它还让跳出了基本面+技术分析的研究框架，在后来研究市场时，有了历史的时间维度。这是我建立研究、观察市场那套办法的雏形，也就是周期分析理论。就像我现在写帖子，主要集中在年度前瞻、重大事件、重大价格波动，他们背后都有循环的运作机理。Q：您曾提到周期分析是最有效的宏观分析办法，从","listText":"作者 | Alex甘灿荣如今是位自由资产管理者。在职场社交平台领英上，他则更愿意称自己为芝商所特约策略讲师。作为老师，他心态开放，擅长站在个人投资者角度想问题。比如，他建议多用一点小钱做尝试，只要资金允许，各种品种都可以试一试。从生物工程到期货交易员，颇让人意外的职业选择，也源于甘灿荣自己试一试的勇气。问人、看书、考证、到实战，接下来十年里，他成长为一名交易风格相对稳健的职业投资人，并有了一套属于自己的交易体系——宏观定方向，指标极值建头寸，严格执行止损条件。这一策略也让他在去年预测到原油价格暴跌，收益翻番。但将这些交易方法内化成自己的并不容易。“这是一个漫长的过程”，用甘灿荣的话说，“但这也是每个投资者必须经历的。”Q：您本科学生物工程，毕业后怎么想到从事期货交易？生物工程是个热门专业，但和许多年轻人一样，毕业后，我并不知道自己真正想做什么。后来，我回老家工作。这家公司刚好要筹划上市，券商来做上市辅导，而我负责接待这些人。这是我第一次接触到金融圈的人。他们的言行，对金融市场的看法，都非常吸引我，因此有了一个很感性的直观感受，“原来金融行业这么好呀”。但我印象真正深刻的是，当时有位老师来公司上课，讲股价变化背后的逻辑。这节课直接颠覆了我对金融市场的看法。和多数人一样，我以前认为金融向善，是一个调节市场、利好老百姓的工具。而这位老师很理性地给我们展现了一些金融市场里人性的恶，包括股价操纵、利益输送等等。这节课还让我意识到，不是读几本书，上几节课，就能够在金融市场立足的，还需要理解人性和社会的利益圈层。另外，它还让跳出了基本面+技术分析的研究框架，在后来研究市场时，有了历史的时间维度。这是我建立研究、观察市场那套办法的雏形，也就是周期分析理论。就像我现在写帖子，主要集中在年度前瞻、重大事件、重大价格波动，他们背后都有循环的运作机理。Q：您曾提到周期分析是最有效的宏观分析办法，从","text":"作者 | Alex甘灿荣如今是位自由资产管理者。在职场社交平台领英上，他则更愿意称自己为芝商所特约策略讲师。作为老师，他心态开放，擅长站在个人投资者角度想问题。比如，他建议多用一点小钱做尝试，只要资金允许，各种品种都可以试一试。从生物工程到期货交易员，颇让人意外的职业选择，也源于甘灿荣自己试一试的勇气。问人、看书、考证、到实战，接下来十年里，他成长为一名交易风格相对稳健的职业投资人，并有了一套属于自己的交易体系——宏观定方向，指标极值建头寸，严格执行止损条件。这一策略也让他在去年预测到原油价格暴跌，收益翻番。但将这些交易方法内化成自己的并不容易。“这是一个漫长的过程”，用甘灿荣的话说，“但这也是每个投资者必须经历的。”Q：您本科学生物工程，毕业后怎么想到从事期货交易？生物工程是个热门专业，但和许多年轻人一样，毕业后，我并不知道自己真正想做什么。后来，我回老家工作。这家公司刚好要筹划上市，券商来做上市辅导，而我负责接待这些人。这是我第一次接触到金融圈的人。他们的言行，对金融市场的看法，都非常吸引我，因此有了一个很感性的直观感受，“原来金融行业这么好呀”。但我印象真正深刻的是，当时有位老师来公司上课，讲股价变化背后的逻辑。这节课直接颠覆了我对金融市场的看法。和多数人一样，我以前认为金融向善，是一个调节市场、利好老百姓的工具。而这位老师很理性地给我们展现了一些金融市场里人性的恶，包括股价操纵、利益输送等等。这节课还让我意识到，不是读几本书，上几节课，就能够在金融市场立足的，还需要理解人性和社会的利益圈层。另外，它还让跳出了基本面+技术分析的研究框架，在后来研究市场时，有了历史的时间维度。这是我建立研究、观察市场那套办法的雏形，也就是周期分析理论。就像我现在写帖子，主要集中在年度前瞻、重大事件、重大价格波动，他们背后都有循环的运作机理。Q：您曾提到周期分析是最有效的宏观分析办法，从","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9030cd46c3eb2eeeefaf1f00e3cdafbc","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b647d530818956872dfdc4e97ea7adf7","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ac742c548fdf74d5cbd5ce14ad7595","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856339987","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857651695,"gmtCreate":1635523191650,"gmtModify":1635523191650,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good or not good","listText":"Good good or not good","text":"Good good or not good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae8a262b5c204628923a17a4f4a3e92c","width":"1125","height":"3426"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857651695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855861536,"gmtCreate":1635350157754,"gmtModify":1635387610089,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut&nbsp;","listText":"Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut&nbsp;","text":"Kentucky fried chicken and a Pizza Hut","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb408bfdf243851bb876c84c9d53b3","width":"1125","height":"2977"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855861536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856628483,"gmtCreate":1635174743965,"gmtModify":1635174743965,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo yo yo&nbsp;","listText":"Yo yo yo&nbsp;","text":"Yo yo yo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ffa8ebeed4c4a9c4bdc603efd06ee16","width":"1125","height":"2707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856628483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858346103,"gmtCreate":1634992111345,"gmtModify":1634992111345,"author":{"id":"4088565127232680","authorId":"4088565127232680","name":"Sucrampler","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080a38970fa9962e1bde26b7924cf916","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mi mi no lo mi&nbsp;","listText":"Mi mi no lo mi&nbsp;","text":"Mi mi no lo mi","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/750cf16680a36309c717a45c0eda056f","width":"1125","height":"2404"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858346103","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}