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2021-08-06

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2021-08-01

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Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>

2021-07-29

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2021-07-29

amazing

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2021-07-28

Good

How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>

2021-07-27

hold

Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>

2021-07-27

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2021-07-27

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2021-07-07

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2021-07-06

Wow

Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.<blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote>

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14:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186334150","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investme","content":"<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为 1 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会对以下企业起到推动作用：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">火神材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（MLM），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（TEX），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁</a>（URI），租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">地图集</a>技术顾问（ATCX）提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供阿特拉斯审查。这些最终成为需要年检的成品项目，支付多年的红利。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿特拉斯股价却停滞不前。该股最近的价格为 9 美元，其交易价格仅为企业价值的八倍，即 2022 年息税折旧摊销前利润 (Ebitda)。对于相关检测业务的公司来说，这个倍数是一个很大的折扣，例如 Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) 和 Tetra Tech (TTEK)，它们的交易价格是 EV/2022 年 Ebitda 的 22 倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“专注于小盘股的公司首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文-西尔弗曼（Kevin Silverman）表示：”目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我认为像阿特拉斯这样的公司的债务是合适的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合伙人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors 拥有价值超过 200 万美元的 Atlas 股票，约占其管理资产的 2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率，并能将其用于增长，那么债务就能帮助股东。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的增加之外，Atlas 还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于 2020 年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司 (SPAC) 合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多种股票类别、未发行的认股权证和其他复杂情况。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas 相对较高的债务负担也是如此，2021 年 Ebitda 的债务是净债务的 5.5 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 已经降低了这种复杂性--赎回其优先股、买断认股权证和增加股票的公开交易流通量--并专注于将其净债务降至 Ebitda 的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 预计今年销售额将增长 13%，达到 5.3 亿美元，Ebitda 将增长 21%，达到 7600 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和自来水公司、机场、学校、医院等。其全国影响力和领先规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>房管局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛 (WMT) 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 在过去四个报告季度的调整后 Ebitda 盈利 6400 万美元，而净亏损 1800 万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司积压了 6.89 亿美元的订单，占过去 12 个月 4.82 亿美元收入的 140% 以上。“Atlas 首席执行官乔-博耶（Joe Boyer）说：”我从事这个行业已经 30 年了，这是迄今为止我所见过的最高的一次。<i>巴伦</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约 70% 的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的建设。这些工作是非自由裁量的： 正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或大流行病形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查并符合规范。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>据 Boyer 称，Atlas 其余 30% 的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行病期间有所下降，但已接近 Covid-19 之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，美国城市和州将服务外包的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及基础设施的老化一直是 Atlas 有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自 2016 年私募股权公司 Bernhard Capital Partners 收购 Atlas 以来，这一趋势约占 Atlas 年销售额 20% 复合增长率的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“博耶说：”我们的想法是在我们不占据主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其引入我们的平台，并在我们的网络中进行交叉销售。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 收购目标的最佳利润约为 500 万至 2000 万美元的 Ebitda，该公司通常以现金和股票的组合支付 Ebitda 的四到六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家小型且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas 从华尔街获得的报道很少，但报道该公司的三位分析师都看好该公司。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压的订单也在不断增长，”他说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感到满意”。</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她给予 Atlas 买入评级，目标价为 14.50 美元，是她对 2022 年 Ebitda 预估的 11 倍，这还不包括潜在的基础设施账单带来的任何上涨空间。Sterling's Silverman 采用 15 倍的 Ebitda 倍数，预计三年后，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，股价将达到 43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 的资产负债表仍然是一个固定的上限，但该公司拥有良好的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInfrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 14:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为 1 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会对以下企业起到推动作用：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">火神材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（MLM），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（TEX），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁</a>（URI），租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">地图集</a>技术顾问（ATCX）提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供阿特拉斯审查。这些最终成为需要年检的成品项目，支付多年的红利。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿特拉斯股价却停滞不前。该股最近的价格为 9 美元，其交易价格仅为企业价值的八倍，即 2022 年息税折旧摊销前利润 (Ebitda)。对于相关检测业务的公司来说，这个倍数是一个很大的折扣，例如 Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) 和 Tetra Tech (TTEK)，它们的交易价格是 EV/2022 年 Ebitda 的 22 倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“专注于小盘股的公司首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文-西尔弗曼（Kevin Silverman）表示：”目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我认为像阿特拉斯这样的公司的债务是合适的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合伙人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors 拥有价值超过 200 万美元的 Atlas 股票，约占其管理资产的 2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率，并能将其用于增长，那么债务就能帮助股东。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的增加之外，Atlas 还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于 2020 年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司 (SPAC) 合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多种股票类别、未发行的认股权证和其他复杂情况。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas 相对较高的债务负担也是如此，2021 年 Ebitda 的债务是净债务的 5.5 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 已经降低了这种复杂性--赎回其优先股、买断认股权证和增加股票的公开交易流通量--并专注于将其净债务降至 Ebitda 的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 预计今年销售额将增长 13%，达到 5.3 亿美元，Ebitda 将增长 21%，达到 7600 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和自来水公司、机场、学校、医院等。其全国影响力和领先规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>房管局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛 (WMT) 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 在过去四个报告季度的调整后 Ebitda 盈利 6400 万美元，而净亏损 1800 万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司积压了 6.89 亿美元的订单，占过去 12 个月 4.82 亿美元收入的 140% 以上。“Atlas 首席执行官乔-博耶（Joe Boyer）说：”我从事这个行业已经 30 年了，这是迄今为止我所见过的最高的一次。<i>巴伦</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约 70% 的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的建设。这些工作是非自由裁量的： 正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或大流行病形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查并符合规范。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>据 Boyer 称，Atlas 其余 30% 的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行病期间有所下降，但已接近 Covid-19 之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，美国城市和州将服务外包的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及基础设施的老化一直是 Atlas 有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自 2016 年私募股权公司 Bernhard Capital Partners 收购 Atlas 以来，这一趋势约占 Atlas 年销售额 20% 复合增长率的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“博耶说：”我们的想法是在我们不占据主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其引入我们的平台，并在我们的网络中进行交叉销售。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 收购目标的最佳利润约为 500 万至 2000 万美元的 Ebitda，该公司通常以现金和股票的组合支付 Ebitda 的四到六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家小型且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas 从华尔街获得的报道很少，但报道该公司的三位分析师都看好该公司。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压的订单也在不断增长，”他说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感到满意”。</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她给予 Atlas 买入评级，目标价为 14.50 美元，是她对 2022 年 Ebitda 预估的 11 倍，这还不包括潜在的基础设施账单带来的任何上涨空间。Sterling's Silverman 采用 15 倍的 Ebitda 倍数，预计三年后，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，股价将达到 43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 的资产负债表仍然是一个固定的上限，但该公司拥有良好的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186334150","content_text":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.\nThe legislation should be a boost to businesses likeVulcan Materials(ticker: VMC) andMartin Marietta Materials(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;Caterpillar(CAT) andTerex(TEX), which make construction equipment; andUnited Rentals(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.\nBut one infrastructure play has been overlooked:Atlas Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.\nAnd yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.\n“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused Sterling Partners Equity Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”\nAnd Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.\nThe Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.\n\nAtlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.\nAtlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.\nIts customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal Service, the Environmental Protection Agency, the New York City Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), andApple(AAPL).\nAtlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tellsBarron’s.\nAbout 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.\nThe remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.\nA long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.\nThat trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.\n“The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.\nAtlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.\nAs a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says Stifel analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”\nShe rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.\nAtlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801477861,"gmtCreate":1627531766353,"gmtModify":1633764049718,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801477861","repostId":"1184074920","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801477921,"gmtCreate":1627531733063,"gmtModify":1633764049940,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"amazing","listText":"amazing","text":"amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801477921","repostId":"2154927641","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803969577,"gmtCreate":1627401682599,"gmtModify":1633765332998,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803969577","repostId":"1165178450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165178450","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627399581,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165178450?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165178450","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 23:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165178450","content_text":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.\nThe company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.\nWe outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.\nThat said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.\n\nJONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images\nPlug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.\n#1. Addressable Market Potential\nWith the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.\nFirst and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.\nSecond, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.\nThird, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.\nFinally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.\nAll of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.\n\n#2. Market Share Drivers\nWe believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.\nFirst and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.\nSecond of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.\nThird, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.\nIn fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.\n#3. Valuation\nWhile PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.\nOn the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.\nIn fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.\nIf PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.\nAt a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.\nData by YCharts\n#4. Risks\nIf this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.\nData by YCharts\nOf course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.\nFirst and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.\nAdditionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.\nThird, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.\nInvestor Takeaway\nPLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.\nGiven our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.\nThat said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.\nOverall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809273657,"gmtCreate":1627375154279,"gmtModify":1633765599931,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hold","listText":"hold","text":"hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809273657","repostId":"1142907091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142907091","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627373467,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142907091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142907091","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi G","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","BIDU":"百度","JD":"京东","XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142907091","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi Global,JD.com and Pinduoduo fell 6%,Baidu fell 5%,Xpeng Motors fell 4%,Alibaba,Nio and Li Auto fell 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDD":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"LI":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"JD":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809230439,"gmtCreate":1627371188421,"gmtModify":1633765644234,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809230439","repostId":"1134500532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809689252,"gmtCreate":1627365456076,"gmtModify":1633765681763,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809689252","repostId":"2154099538","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157539031,"gmtCreate":1625587263223,"gmtModify":1633939300529,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157539031","repostId":"2147181921","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157831587,"gmtCreate":1625577032949,"gmtModify":1633939488664,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087470979727350","authorIdStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157831587","repostId":"1187456315","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187456315","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625572389,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187456315?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-06 19:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.<blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187456315","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.\nIt is reported that the chairman of Weibo in","content":"<p>Weibo&nbsp;shares surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 20% in premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/308528ef65c030fb5b2012433809f99b\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">It&nbsp;is&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that&nbsp;the chairman of Weibo intends to privatize Weibo at&nbsp;$90-100 per share.</p><p><blockquote>据悉，微博董事长打算以每股90-100美元的价格将微博私有化。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.<blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWeibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.<blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-06 19:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weibo&nbsp;shares surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 20% in premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/308528ef65c030fb5b2012433809f99b\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">It&nbsp;is&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that&nbsp;the chairman of Weibo intends to privatize Weibo at&nbsp;$90-100 per share.</p><p><blockquote>据悉，微博董事长打算以每股90-100美元的价格将微博私有化。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WB":"微博"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187456315","content_text":"Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.\nIt is reported that the chairman of Weibo intends to privatize Weibo at $90-100 per share.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":809230439,"gmtCreate":1627371188421,"gmtModify":1633765644234,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087470979727350","idStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809230439","repostId":"1134500532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801477921,"gmtCreate":1627531733063,"gmtModify":1633764049940,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087470979727350","idStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"amazing","listText":"amazing","text":"amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801477921","repostId":"2154927641","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809273657,"gmtCreate":1627375154279,"gmtModify":1633765599931,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087470979727350","idStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hold","listText":"hold","text":"hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809273657","repostId":"1142907091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142907091","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627373467,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142907091?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142907091","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi G","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国概念股在盘前交易中恢复下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style 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16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward&nbsp;in premarket trading.Bilibili&nbsp;and&nbsp;NetEase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;7%,DiDi Global,JD.com&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo&nbsp;fell&nbsp;6%,Baidu&nbsp;fell&nbsp;5%,Xpeng Motors&nbsp;fell&nbsp;4%,Alibaba,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;fell&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股在盘前交易中恢复下跌.哔哩哔哩和网易下跌7%，滴滴全球、京东和拼多多下跌6%，百度下跌5%，小鹏汽车下跌4%，阿里巴巴、蔚来和理想汽车下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3f423af5595483b1ce34aa42d60cc7\" tg-width=\"355\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","BIDU":"百度","JD":"京东","XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142907091","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks resumed downward in premarket trading.Bilibili and NetEase fell 7%,DiDi Global,JD.com and Pinduoduo fell 6%,Baidu fell 5%,Xpeng Motors fell 4%,Alibaba,Nio and Li 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23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165178450","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 23:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165178450","content_text":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.\nThe company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.\nWe outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.\nThat said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.\n\nJONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images\nPlug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.\n#1. Addressable Market Potential\nWith the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.\nFirst and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.\nSecond, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.\nThird, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.\nFinally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.\nAll of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.\n\n#2. Market Share Drivers\nWe believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.\nFirst and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.\nSecond of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.\nThird, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.\nIn fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.\n#3. Valuation\nWhile PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.\nOn the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.\nIn fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.\nIf PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.\nAt a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.\nData by YCharts\n#4. Risks\nIf this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.\nData by YCharts\nOf course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.\nFirst and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.\nAdditionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.\nThird, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.\nInvestor Takeaway\nPLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.\nGiven our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.\nThat said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.\nOverall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802886110,"gmtCreate":1627751019930,"gmtModify":1633756656632,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087470979727350","idStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802886110","repostId":"1186334150","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186334150","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627713845,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1186334150?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 14:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186334150","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investme","content":"<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为 1 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会对以下企业起到推动作用：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">火神材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（MLM），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（TEX），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁</a>（URI），租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">地图集</a>技术顾问（ATCX）提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供阿特拉斯审查。这些最终成为需要年检的成品项目，支付多年的红利。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿特拉斯股价却停滞不前。该股最近的价格为 9 美元，其交易价格仅为企业价值的八倍，即 2022 年息税折旧摊销前利润 (Ebitda)。对于相关检测业务的公司来说，这个倍数是一个很大的折扣，例如 Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) 和 Tetra Tech (TTEK)，它们的交易价格是 EV/2022 年 Ebitda 的 22 倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“专注于小盘股的公司首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文-西尔弗曼（Kevin Silverman）表示：”目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我认为像阿特拉斯这样的公司的债务是合适的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合伙人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors 拥有价值超过 200 万美元的 Atlas 股票，约占其管理资产的 2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率，并能将其用于增长，那么债务就能帮助股东。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的增加之外，Atlas 还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于 2020 年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司 (SPAC) 合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多种股票类别、未发行的认股权证和其他复杂情况。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas 相对较高的债务负担也是如此，2021 年 Ebitda 的债务是净债务的 5.5 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 已经降低了这种复杂性--赎回其优先股、买断认股权证和增加股票的公开交易流通量--并专注于将其净债务降至 Ebitda 的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 预计今年销售额将增长 13%，达到 5.3 亿美元，Ebitda 将增长 21%，达到 7600 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和自来水公司、机场、学校、医院等。其全国影响力和领先规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>房管局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛 (WMT) 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 在过去四个报告季度的调整后 Ebitda 盈利 6400 万美元，而净亏损 1800 万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司积压了 6.89 亿美元的订单，占过去 12 个月 4.82 亿美元收入的 140% 以上。“Atlas 首席执行官乔-博耶（Joe Boyer）说：”我从事这个行业已经 30 年了，这是迄今为止我所见过的最高的一次。<i>巴伦</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约 70% 的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的建设。这些工作是非自由裁量的： 正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或大流行病形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查并符合规范。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>据 Boyer 称，Atlas 其余 30% 的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行病期间有所下降，但已接近 Covid-19 之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，美国城市和州将服务外包的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及基础设施的老化一直是 Atlas 有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自 2016 年私募股权公司 Bernhard Capital Partners 收购 Atlas 以来，这一趋势约占 Atlas 年销售额 20% 复合增长率的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“博耶说：”我们的想法是在我们不占据主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其引入我们的平台，并在我们的网络中进行交叉销售。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 收购目标的最佳利润约为 500 万至 2000 万美元的 Ebitda，该公司通常以现金和股票的组合支付 Ebitda 的四到六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家小型且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas 从华尔街获得的报道很少，但报道该公司的三位分析师都看好该公司。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压的订单也在不断增长，”他说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感到满意”。</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她给予 Atlas 买入评级，目标价为 14.50 美元，是她对 2022 年 Ebitda 预估的 11 倍，这还不包括潜在的基础设施账单带来的任何上涨空间。Sterling's Silverman 采用 15 倍的 Ebitda 倍数，预计三年后，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，股价将达到 43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 的资产负债表仍然是一个固定的上限，但该公司拥有良好的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInfrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在进行中。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 14:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为 1 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会对以下企业起到推动作用：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">火神材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（MLM），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（TEX），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁</a>（URI），租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">地图集</a>技术顾问（ATCX）提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供阿特拉斯审查。这些最终成为需要年检的成品项目，支付多年的红利。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿特拉斯股价却停滞不前。该股最近的价格为 9 美元，其交易价格仅为企业价值的八倍，即 2022 年息税折旧摊销前利润 (Ebitda)。对于相关检测业务的公司来说，这个倍数是一个很大的折扣，例如 Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) 和 Tetra Tech (TTEK)，它们的交易价格是 EV/2022 年 Ebitda 的 22 倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“专注于小盘股的公司首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文-西尔弗曼（Kevin Silverman）表示：”目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我认为像阿特拉斯这样的公司的债务是合适的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合伙人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors 拥有价值超过 200 万美元的 Atlas 股票，约占其管理资产的 2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率，并能将其用于增长，那么债务就能帮助股东。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的增加之外，Atlas 还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于 2020 年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司 (SPAC) 合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多种股票类别、未发行的认股权证和其他复杂情况。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas 相对较高的债务负担也是如此，2021 年 Ebitda 的债务是净债务的 5.5 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 已经降低了这种复杂性--赎回其优先股、买断认股权证和增加股票的公开交易流通量--并专注于将其净债务降至 Ebitda 的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 预计今年销售额将增长 13%，达到 5.3 亿美元，Ebitda 将增长 21%，达到 7600 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和自来水公司、机场、学校、医院等。其全国影响力和领先规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>房管局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛 (WMT) 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 在过去四个报告季度的调整后 Ebitda 盈利 6400 万美元，而净亏损 1800 万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司积压了 6.89 亿美元的订单，占过去 12 个月 4.82 亿美元收入的 140% 以上。“Atlas 首席执行官乔-博耶（Joe Boyer）说：”我从事这个行业已经 30 年了，这是迄今为止我所见过的最高的一次。<i>巴伦</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约 70% 的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的建设。这些工作是非自由裁量的： 正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或大流行病形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查并符合规范。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>据 Boyer 称，Atlas 其余 30% 的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行病期间有所下降，但已接近 Covid-19 之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，美国城市和州将服务外包的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及基础设施的老化一直是 Atlas 有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自 2016 年私募股权公司 Bernhard Capital Partners 收购 Atlas 以来，这一趋势约占 Atlas 年销售额 20% 复合增长率的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“博耶说：”我们的想法是在我们不占据主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其引入我们的平台，并在我们的网络中进行交叉销售。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 收购目标的最佳利润约为 500 万至 2000 万美元的 Ebitda，该公司通常以现金和股票的组合支付 Ebitda 的四到六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家小型且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas 从华尔街获得的报道很少，但报道该公司的三位分析师都看好该公司。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压的订单也在不断增长，”他说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感到满意”。</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她给予 Atlas 买入评级，目标价为 14.50 美元，是她对 2022 年 Ebitda 预估的 11 倍，这还不包括潜在的基础设施账单带来的任何上涨空间。Sterling's Silverman 采用 15 倍的 Ebitda 倍数，预计三年后，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，股价将达到 43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas 的资产负债表仍然是一个固定的上限，但该公司拥有良好的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186334150","content_text":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.\nThe legislation should be a boost to businesses likeVulcan Materials(ticker: VMC) andMartin Marietta Materials(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;Caterpillar(CAT) andTerex(TEX), which make construction equipment; andUnited Rentals(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.\nBut one infrastructure play has been overlooked:Atlas Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.\nAnd yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.\n“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused Sterling Partners Equity Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”\nAnd Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.\nThe Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.\n\nAtlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.\nAtlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.\nIts customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal Service, the Environmental Protection Agency, the New York City Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), andApple(AAPL).\nAtlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tellsBarron’s.\nAbout 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.\nThe remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.\nA long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.\nThat trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.\n“The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.\nAtlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.\nAs a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says Stifel analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”\nShe rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.\nAtlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801477861,"gmtCreate":1627531766353,"gmtModify":1633764049718,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087470979727350","idStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801477861","repostId":"1184074920","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157831587,"gmtCreate":1625577032949,"gmtModify":1633939488664,"author":{"id":"4087470979727350","authorId":"4087470979727350","name":"Allyshia","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087470979727350","idStr":"4087470979727350"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157831587","repostId":"1187456315","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187456315","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625572389,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187456315?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-06 19:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.<blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187456315","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.\nIt is reported that the chairman of Weibo in","content":"<p>Weibo&nbsp;shares surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 20% in premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/308528ef65c030fb5b2012433809f99b\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">It&nbsp;is&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that&nbsp;the chairman of Weibo intends to privatize Weibo at&nbsp;$90-100 per share.</p><p><blockquote>据悉，微博董事长打算以每股90-100美元的价格将微博私有化。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWeibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.<blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-06 19:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weibo&nbsp;shares surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 20% in premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>微博股价在盘前交易中飙升超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/308528ef65c030fb5b2012433809f99b\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">It&nbsp;is&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that&nbsp;the chairman of Weibo intends to privatize Weibo at&nbsp;$90-100 per share.</p><p><blockquote>据悉，微博董事长打算以每股90-100美元的价格将微博私有化。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WB":"微博"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187456315","content_text":"Weibo shares surges more than 20% in premarket trading.\nIt is reported that the chairman of Weibo intends to privatize Weibo at $90-100 per share.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}