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yteaaron88
2021-08-05
Great
Uber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-08-03
Cool
Take-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-07-31
Greqt
It’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-07-30
Ok
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yteaaron88
2021-07-25
Nice
Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-07-25
AMC Oki
yteaaron88
2021-07-20
Like
BioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-07-20
Great
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yteaaron88
2021-07-02
Like and comments. Thanks
S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-07-02
Great
Micron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-06-28
Nice
US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>
yteaaron88
2021-06-27
Comments and like. Thanks
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yteaaron88
2021-06-26
Like pls
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yteaaron88
2021-06-25
Like and comments
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yteaaron88
2021-06-25
Nice
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yteaaron88
2021-06-25
[Smile] [Smile]
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yteaaron88
2021-06-24
Good interesting
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yteaaron88
2021-06-24
Good interesting
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yteaaron88
2021-06-18
Yes
Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>
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Is the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.</p><p><blockquote>网约车公司为了争夺同样的乘客,花费了大量资金;现在他们花钱争夺同样的车手。网约车中的最优策略是增长还是利润?投资者不能两者兼得。</blockquote></p><p> AfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>继周二表示,根据调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润实现盈利后,Uber周三表示,随着对司机恢复进行投资,其亏损在此基础上环比加深。Lyft发布报告后的第二天,其股价下跌超过9%,而Uber的股价在第二季度业绩发布后立即在盘后交易中下跌8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对网约车公司在努力扩大市场份额的同时付出高昂代价来争夺相同的乘客感到不安。现在,在大流行导致网约车需求大幅下降后,他们正在努力重建供应,以争夺相同的司机。</blockquote></p><p> They may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.</p><p><blockquote>他们的投资可能并不平等。Lyft表示,第二季度大幅增加了对激励措施和签约奖金的投资,以扩大其司机基础,预计激励措施的增加将持续到第三季度。但优步似乎更加激进。尽管该公司公布的整体收入超出了华尔街的预期,但按调整后的Ebitda计算,其亏损也比分析师的预测高出58%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.</p><p><blockquote>目前,尚不清楚哪家公司的投资策略最划算。Lyft表示,其第二季度的拼车出行量仍“远低于”2019年第四季度达到的水平。虽然这不是一个完美的比较,但Uber第二季度的出行量(反映了供需)较同期下降了20%多一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f98a2ba57a4b018b3db0d420b862bc4\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.</p><p><blockquote>Lyft的业绩显示,其第二季度活跃乘客仍较2019年同期下降超过21%。该公司还表示,第二季度销售和营销费用占营收的比例接近历史新低。这在一定程度上反映了其司机数量低迷:不值得过度花钱去获取你甚至无法服务的客户。相比之下,与两年前同期相比,Uber第二季度的月活跃平台消费者数量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> While Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Lyft本周明确表示,它喜欢作为纯粹的叫车业务的机会,但优步继续强调其独特的价值主张,将消费者的叫车和送餐需求结合起来,并指出了异花授粉。投资者现在需要押注哪种策略将在疫情中处于更可持续的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.</p><p><blockquote>Uber首席执行官达拉·科斯罗萨西(Dara Khosrowshahi)表示,对于其送货业务来说,其移动业务是比花在送货营销上的钱更有效的获客工具。该公司周三表示,参与其移动和送货业务的消费者目前占其总预订量的近一半,这意味着客户交叉很大。</blockquote></p><p> But a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.</p><p><blockquote>但更精简的业务可能更容易控制。尽管Uber仍然预计即使在调整后的Ebitda基础上也要到今年第四季度才能扭亏为盈,但Lyft能够更早地实现这一目标,部分原因是加大了对简单杠杆的力度。该公司表示,第二季度每次乘车收入环比增长7%,抵消了因司机短缺而仍然低迷的乘车量。在疫情期间,两家公司都提高了美国网约车交易的价格。但fresh Edison Trends数据显示,截至7月19日当周,Uber消费者的交易支出比去年同期增加了24%,而Lyft消费者的交易支出则增加了35%。</blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,Lyft在吹嘘自己有能力实现所谓盈利的同时,也在周二的电话会议上明确将自己定义为“成长型公司”。总而言之,其第二季度净亏损总额仍达数亿,尽管有所收窄。与此同时,Uber似乎有信心找到了实现近期盈利的途径,但目前尚不清楚随着消费者需求的持续改善,在多大程度上需要对新司机进行进一步投资。</blockquote></p><p> Especially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.</p><p><blockquote>特别是随着Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续蔓延,今天希望依靠这两种策略的投资者可能会等待时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 21:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers. Is the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.</p><p><blockquote>网约车公司为了争夺同样的乘客,花费了大量资金;现在他们花钱争夺同样的车手。网约车中的最优策略是增长还是利润?投资者不能两者兼得。</blockquote></p><p> AfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>继周二表示,根据调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润实现盈利后,Uber周三表示,随着对司机恢复进行投资,其亏损在此基础上环比加深。Lyft发布报告后的第二天,其股价下跌超过9%,而Uber的股价在第二季度业绩发布后立即在盘后交易中下跌8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对网约车公司在努力扩大市场份额的同时付出高昂代价来争夺相同的乘客感到不安。现在,在大流行导致网约车需求大幅下降后,他们正在努力重建供应,以争夺相同的司机。</blockquote></p><p> They may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.</p><p><blockquote>他们的投资可能并不平等。Lyft表示,第二季度大幅增加了对激励措施和签约奖金的投资,以扩大其司机基础,预计激励措施的增加将持续到第三季度。但优步似乎更加激进。尽管该公司公布的整体收入超出了华尔街的预期,但按调整后的Ebitda计算,其亏损也比分析师的预测高出58%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.</p><p><blockquote>目前,尚不清楚哪家公司的投资策略最划算。Lyft表示,其第二季度的拼车出行量仍“远低于”2019年第四季度达到的水平。虽然这不是一个完美的比较,但Uber第二季度的出行量(反映了供需)较同期下降了20%多一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f98a2ba57a4b018b3db0d420b862bc4\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.</p><p><blockquote>Lyft的业绩显示,其第二季度活跃乘客仍较2019年同期下降超过21%。该公司还表示,第二季度销售和营销费用占营收的比例接近历史新低。这在一定程度上反映了其司机数量低迷:不值得过度花钱去获取你甚至无法服务的客户。相比之下,与两年前同期相比,Uber第二季度的月活跃平台消费者数量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> While Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Lyft本周明确表示,它喜欢作为纯粹的叫车业务的机会,但优步继续强调其独特的价值主张,将消费者的叫车和送餐需求结合起来,并指出了异花授粉。投资者现在需要押注哪种策略将在疫情中处于更可持续的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.</p><p><blockquote>Uber首席执行官达拉·科斯罗萨西(Dara Khosrowshahi)表示,对于其送货业务来说,其移动业务是比花在送货营销上的钱更有效的获客工具。该公司周三表示,参与其移动和送货业务的消费者目前占其总预订量的近一半,这意味着客户交叉很大。</blockquote></p><p> But a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.</p><p><blockquote>但更精简的业务可能更容易控制。尽管Uber仍然预计即使在调整后的Ebitda基础上也要到今年第四季度才能扭亏为盈,但Lyft能够更早地实现这一目标,部分原因是加大了对简单杠杆的力度。该公司表示,第二季度每次乘车收入环比增长7%,抵消了因司机短缺而仍然低迷的乘车量。在疫情期间,两家公司都提高了美国网约车交易的价格。但fresh Edison Trends数据显示,截至7月19日当周,Uber消费者的交易支出比去年同期增加了24%,而Lyft消费者的交易支出则增加了35%。</blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,Lyft在吹嘘自己有能力实现所谓盈利的同时,也在周二的电话会议上明确将自己定义为“成长型公司”。总而言之,其第二季度净亏损总额仍达数亿,尽管有所收窄。与此同时,Uber似乎有信心找到了实现近期盈利的途径,但目前尚不清楚随着消费者需求的持续改善,在多大程度上需要对新司机进行进一步投资。</blockquote></p><p> Especially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.</p><p><blockquote>特别是随着Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续蔓延,今天希望依靠这两种策略的投资者可能会等待时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-lyft-drive-investors-away-11628115638?mod=markets_lead_pos12\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-lyft-drive-investors-away-11628115638?mod=markets_lead_pos12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151835705","content_text":"Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers.\n\nIs the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.\nAfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.\nInvestors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.\nThey may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.\nAt this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.\nLyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.\nWhile Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.\nUber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.\nBut a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.\nIt is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.\nEspecially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9,"LYFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804797986,"gmtCreate":1627978719845,"gmtModify":1631888932652,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool ","listText":"Cool ","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804797986","repostId":"1141143080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141143080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627976470,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141143080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 15:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Take-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141143080","media":"Barrons","summary":"Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and","content":"<p>Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and elsewhere, its fiscal first-quarter earnings show.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two Interactive Software第一财季财报显示,该公司已开始感受到美国和其他地区经济重新开放的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The results, disclosed Monday evening, were better than expected in terms of both earnings and revenue, but management’s forecasts for bookings in the current quarter weren’t as upbeat as Wall Street expected. Shares sank 5.5% in the extended session, after closing down 0.1% to $173.21.</p><p><blockquote>周一晚间披露的业绩在盈利和收入方面均好于预期,但管理层对本季度预订量的预测并不像华尔街预期的那么乐观。该股在延长交易时段下跌5.5%,收盘下跌0.1%至173.21美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two (ticker: TTWO) reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $152.3 million, which amounts to $1.30 a share, compared with a net profit of $88.5 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 2% to $813.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two(股票代码:TTWO)报告第一财季净利润为1.523亿美元,相当于每股1.30美元,而去年同期净利润为8850万美元,即每股77美分。收入下降2%至8.133亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net bookings, an adjusted measure of revenue often cited by videogame companies, declined 29% to $711.4 million. Take-Two didn’t provide an adjusted per-share earnings figure.</p><p><blockquote>净预订量(视频游戏公司经常引用的调整后收入指标)下降了29%,至7.114亿美元。Take-Two没有提供调整后的每股收益数据。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected earnings of $1.08 a share, on bookings of $684.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>分析师此前预计每股收益为1.08美元,预订量为6.843亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two is the first big U.S. games publisher to report its June-quarter earnings as policy makers respond to the latest developments in the fight against Covid-19 with a fluctuating set of rules and guidance. Rivals Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) are set to report later this week. Analysts and investors havepredicted that the figures will show people are playing fewer gamesbecause more forms of entertainment are available outside of people’s homes.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two是第一家公布6月份季度收益的美国大型游戏发行商,政策制定者通过一系列波动的规则和指导来应对抗击Covid-19的最新进展。竞争对手动视暴雪(ATVI)和艺电(EA)将于本周晚些时候发布报告。分析师和投资者预测,这些数字将显示人们玩游戏的数量减少,因为人们在家庭之外可以获得更多形式的娱乐。</blockquote></p><p> The company said that its net bookings were led by<i>Grand Theft Auto V</i>and<i>Grand Theft Auto Online</i>, and its<i>NBA 2K</i>franchise, among others. Recurring purchasing, which includes virtual currency, add-ons for games, and in-game purchases accounted for 69% of net bookings. Though recurring purchasing declined 25% from a year ago, the drop was less than the 30% executives had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,其净预订量由<i>侠盗猎车手V</i>和<i>侠盗猎车手在线</i>,及其<i>NBA 2K</i>特许经营,等等。经常性购买(包括虚拟货币、游戏附加组件和游戏内购买)占净预订量的69%。尽管经常性采购量较一年前下降了25%,但降幅低于高管们预期的30%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s always hard to describe something as down as good news, but it certainly is better news than our expectations,” Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官施特劳斯·泽尔尼克(Strauss Zelnick)表示:“总是很难将如此低迷的事情描述为好消息,但这肯定比我们的预期要好。”</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal second quarter, Take-Two expects earnings to fall in in a range with a midpoint of 40 cents a share. The midpoints of the forecasted ranges for revenue and net bookings are $765 million and $840 million, respectively. Analysts had expected earnings of 30 cents a share and bookings of $868 million. Zelnick said two of the company’s core titles will launch later in fiscal 2022 than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two预计第二财季盈利将下降至每股40美分的中点范围内。收入和净预订量预测范围的中点分别为7.65亿美元和8.4亿美元。分析师此前预计每股收益为30美分,预订量为8.68亿美元。Zelnick表示,该公司的两款核心游戏将在2022财年晚于此前预期推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company reiterated its full-year guidance that per-share earnings will be in a range with a midpoint of $2.08, while the midpoint of the range for bookings is $3.25 billion. Analysts’ financial models point to earnings of $2.86 a share from bookings of $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司重申了全年指引,即每股收益的中值将在2.08美元的范围内,而预订量的中值为32.5亿美元。分析师的财务模型显示,预订量为35亿美元,每股收益为2.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> Although its forecasts were lower than Wall Street had penciled in, Take-Two said it expected to achieve sequential growth in fiscal 2023, and establish new levels of operating results over the next years.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其预测低于华尔街的预期,但Take-Two表示,预计将在2023财年实现环比增长,并在未来几年建立新的经营业绩水平。</blockquote></p><p> Zelnick said the confidence stems from the company’s plannedslate of products. The CEO pointed to the fact that Take-Two plans to bring roughly 60 titles to market in the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克表示,这种信心源于公司计划的一系列产品。这位首席执行官指出,Take-Two计划在未来三年内向市场推出大约60款游戏。</blockquote></p><p> “We have an incredibly robust pipeline we’ve been investing in for some time,” Zelnick said. “We build up our team, we invested in technology. We have good reasons to believe that demand will be there.”</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克说:“我们拥有一个非常强大的管道,我们已经投资了一段时间。”“我们建立了团队,投资了技术。我们有充分的理由相信需求会存在。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Take-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTake-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 15:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and elsewhere, its fiscal first-quarter earnings show.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two Interactive Software第一财季财报显示,该公司已开始感受到美国和其他地区经济重新开放的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The results, disclosed Monday evening, were better than expected in terms of both earnings and revenue, but management’s forecasts for bookings in the current quarter weren’t as upbeat as Wall Street expected. Shares sank 5.5% in the extended session, after closing down 0.1% to $173.21.</p><p><blockquote>周一晚间披露的业绩在盈利和收入方面均好于预期,但管理层对本季度预订量的预测并不像华尔街预期的那么乐观。该股在延长交易时段下跌5.5%,收盘下跌0.1%至173.21美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two (ticker: TTWO) reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $152.3 million, which amounts to $1.30 a share, compared with a net profit of $88.5 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 2% to $813.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two(股票代码:TTWO)报告第一财季净利润为1.523亿美元,相当于每股1.30美元,而去年同期净利润为8850万美元,即每股77美分。收入下降2%至8.133亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net bookings, an adjusted measure of revenue often cited by videogame companies, declined 29% to $711.4 million. Take-Two didn’t provide an adjusted per-share earnings figure.</p><p><blockquote>净预订量(视频游戏公司经常引用的调整后收入指标)下降了29%,至7.114亿美元。Take-Two没有提供调整后的每股收益数据。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected earnings of $1.08 a share, on bookings of $684.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>分析师此前预计每股收益为1.08美元,预订量为6.843亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two is the first big U.S. games publisher to report its June-quarter earnings as policy makers respond to the latest developments in the fight against Covid-19 with a fluctuating set of rules and guidance. Rivals Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) are set to report later this week. Analysts and investors havepredicted that the figures will show people are playing fewer gamesbecause more forms of entertainment are available outside of people’s homes.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two是第一家公布6月份季度收益的美国大型游戏发行商,政策制定者通过一系列波动的规则和指导来应对抗击Covid-19的最新进展。竞争对手动视暴雪(ATVI)和艺电(EA)将于本周晚些时候发布报告。分析师和投资者预测,这些数字将显示人们玩游戏的数量减少,因为人们在家庭之外可以获得更多形式的娱乐。</blockquote></p><p> The company said that its net bookings were led by<i>Grand Theft Auto V</i>and<i>Grand Theft Auto Online</i>, and its<i>NBA 2K</i>franchise, among others. Recurring purchasing, which includes virtual currency, add-ons for games, and in-game purchases accounted for 69% of net bookings. Though recurring purchasing declined 25% from a year ago, the drop was less than the 30% executives had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,其净预订量由<i>侠盗猎车手V</i>和<i>侠盗猎车手在线</i>,及其<i>NBA 2K</i>特许经营,等等。经常性购买(包括虚拟货币、游戏附加组件和游戏内购买)占净预订量的69%。尽管经常性采购量较一年前下降了25%,但降幅低于高管们预期的30%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s always hard to describe something as down as good news, but it certainly is better news than our expectations,” Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官施特劳斯·泽尔尼克(Strauss Zelnick)表示:“总是很难将如此低迷的事情描述为好消息,但这肯定比我们的预期要好。”</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal second quarter, Take-Two expects earnings to fall in in a range with a midpoint of 40 cents a share. The midpoints of the forecasted ranges for revenue and net bookings are $765 million and $840 million, respectively. Analysts had expected earnings of 30 cents a share and bookings of $868 million. Zelnick said two of the company’s core titles will launch later in fiscal 2022 than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two预计第二财季盈利将下降至每股40美分的中点范围内。收入和净预订量预测范围的中点分别为7.65亿美元和8.4亿美元。分析师此前预计每股收益为30美分,预订量为8.68亿美元。Zelnick表示,该公司的两款核心游戏将在2022财年晚于此前预期推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company reiterated its full-year guidance that per-share earnings will be in a range with a midpoint of $2.08, while the midpoint of the range for bookings is $3.25 billion. Analysts’ financial models point to earnings of $2.86 a share from bookings of $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司重申了全年指引,即每股收益的中值将在2.08美元的范围内,而预订量的中值为32.5亿美元。分析师的财务模型显示,预订量为35亿美元,每股收益为2.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> Although its forecasts were lower than Wall Street had penciled in, Take-Two said it expected to achieve sequential growth in fiscal 2023, and establish new levels of operating results over the next years.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其预测低于华尔街的预期,但Take-Two表示,预计将在2023财年实现环比增长,并在未来几年建立新的经营业绩水平。</blockquote></p><p> Zelnick said the confidence stems from the company’s plannedslate of products. The CEO pointed to the fact that Take-Two plans to bring roughly 60 titles to market in the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克表示,这种信心源于公司计划的一系列产品。这位首席执行官指出,Take-Two计划在未来三年内向市场推出大约60款游戏。</blockquote></p><p> “We have an incredibly robust pipeline we’ve been investing in for some time,” Zelnick said. “We build up our team, we invested in technology. We have good reasons to believe that demand will be there.”</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克说:“我们拥有一个非常强大的管道,我们已经投资了一段时间。”“我们建立了团队,投资了技术。我们有充分的理由相信需求会存在。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/take-two-videogame-earnings-stock-51627942730?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTWO":"Take-Two Interactive Software"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/take-two-videogame-earnings-stock-51627942730?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141143080","content_text":"Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and elsewhere, its fiscal first-quarter earnings show.\nThe results, disclosed Monday evening, were better than expected in terms of both earnings and revenue, but management’s forecasts for bookings in the current quarter weren’t as upbeat as Wall Street expected. Shares sank 5.5% in the extended session, after closing down 0.1% to $173.21.\nTake-Two (ticker: TTWO) reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $152.3 million, which amounts to $1.30 a share, compared with a net profit of $88.5 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 2% to $813.3 million.\nNet bookings, an adjusted measure of revenue often cited by videogame companies, declined 29% to $711.4 million. Take-Two didn’t provide an adjusted per-share earnings figure.\nAnalysts had expected earnings of $1.08 a share, on bookings of $684.3 million.\nTake-Two is the first big U.S. games publisher to report its June-quarter earnings as policy makers respond to the latest developments in the fight against Covid-19 with a fluctuating set of rules and guidance. Rivals Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) are set to report later this week. Analysts and investors havepredicted that the figures will show people are playing fewer gamesbecause more forms of entertainment are available outside of people’s homes.\nThe company said that its net bookings were led byGrand Theft Auto VandGrand Theft Auto Online, and itsNBA 2Kfranchise, among others. Recurring purchasing, which includes virtual currency, add-ons for games, and in-game purchases accounted for 69% of net bookings. Though recurring purchasing declined 25% from a year ago, the drop was less than the 30% executives had anticipated.\n\n“It’s always hard to describe something as down as good news, but it certainly is better news than our expectations,” Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said.\nFor the fiscal second quarter, Take-Two expects earnings to fall in in a range with a midpoint of 40 cents a share. The midpoints of the forecasted ranges for revenue and net bookings are $765 million and $840 million, respectively. Analysts had expected earnings of 30 cents a share and bookings of $868 million. Zelnick said two of the company’s core titles will launch later in fiscal 2022 than previously expected.\nThe company reiterated its full-year guidance that per-share earnings will be in a range with a midpoint of $2.08, while the midpoint of the range for bookings is $3.25 billion. Analysts’ financial models point to earnings of $2.86 a share from bookings of $3.5 billion.\nAlthough its forecasts were lower than Wall Street had penciled in, Take-Two said it expected to achieve sequential growth in fiscal 2023, and establish new levels of operating results over the next years.\nZelnick said the confidence stems from the company’s plannedslate of products. The CEO pointed to the fact that Take-Two plans to bring roughly 60 titles to market in the next three years.\n“We have an incredibly robust pipeline we’ve been investing in for some time,” Zelnick said. “We build up our team, we invested in technology. We have good reasons to believe that demand will be there.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TTWO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802940313,"gmtCreate":1627710514332,"gmtModify":1631888932656,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Greqt","listText":"Greqt","text":"Greqt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802940313","repostId":"1138566016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138566016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627689251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138566016?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138566016","media":"Barron's","summary":"TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasensta","content":"<p>TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasenstab at the helm, the closed-end fund returned an average of 0.3% annually in the past decade, versus an average 7% for peers in global income. Also frustrating, its shares rarely traded close to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV. The discount averaged 11% in the past three years.</p><p><blockquote>邓普顿全球收益基金多年来一直让投资者感到沮丧。尽管明星经理迈克尔·哈森斯塔布(Michael Hasenstab)掌舵,但该封闭式基金在过去十年中的平均年回报率为0.3%,而全球收入同行的平均回报率为7%。同样令人沮丧的是,其股票的交易价格很少接近该基金的基础资产净值(NAV)。过去三年折扣平均为11%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have caught a break, however, thanks to Saba Capital Management, a hedge fund shop run by activist investor Boaz Weinstein. Saba amassed a 20% stake in the Templeton fund and recently won four contested board seats. It has been pressuring the board to take actions to boost the share price. Its moves have paid off: The fund has returned a total 4.5% this year as its share price improved, and the discount to NAV has shrunk to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,由于激进投资者Boaz Weinstein经营的对冲基金公司Saba Capital Management,投资者得到了喘息的机会。Saba持有邓普顿基金20%的股份,最近赢得了四个有争议的董事会席位。它一直在向董事会施压,要求其采取行动提振股价。其举措得到了回报:随着股价上涨,该基金今年的总回报率为4.5%,相对资产净值的折扣已缩小至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Tactics like Saba’s have long infuriated mutual fund companies; no one wants a hedge fund threatening a coup. Now, with some help from Congress, the playing field could tilt in favor of closed-end funds and their company sponsors, due to a bill recently introduced in the House. That could work against the interests of fund investors.</p><p><blockquote>像萨巴这样的策略长期以来一直激怒着共同基金公司;没有人希望对冲基金威胁政变。现在,在国会的一些帮助下,由于众议院最近提出的一项法案,竞争环境可能会向封闭式基金及其公司赞助商倾斜。这可能会损害基金投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> The Increasing Investor Opportunities Act, introduced in June by Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R., Ohio) and Rep. Gregory Meeks (D., New York), includes two measures that could make it much tougher for hedge funds to pressure closed-end funds and win proxy fights. One proposed change would lift the current 15% limit on closed-end-fund ownership of illiquid private funds, such as venture-capital and private-equity funds. A second measure would prevent activist hedge funds from acquiring more than 10% of a closed-end fund’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>《增加投资者机会法案》由俄亥俄州共和党众议员安东尼·冈萨雷斯(Anthony Gonzalez)和纽约州民主党众议员格雷戈里·米克斯(Gregory Meeks)于6月提出,其中包括两项措施,可能会使对冲基金更难向封闭式基金施压并赢得代理权之争。一项拟议的变化将取消目前对风险投资和私募股权基金等非流动性私募基金封闭式基金所有权15%的限制。第二项措施将阻止激进对冲基金收购封闭式基金10%以上的股份。</blockquote></p><p> A spokesman for Gonzalez declined to comment. Meeks didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>冈萨雷斯的发言人拒绝置评。米克斯没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Proponents of the changes say they would expand access to private markets for retail investors. They also say hedge funds are exploiting gaps in securities laws at a cost to long-term shareholders, saddling them with tax liabilities, higher fees, and forced fund liquidations. The bill would eliminate a “loophole that activist investors have used to extract short-term profits at the expense of retail investors,” the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, said in a recent statement.</p><p><blockquote>这些变化的支持者表示,他们将扩大散户投资者进入私人市场的机会。他们还表示,对冲基金正在利用证券法的漏洞,以牺牲长期股东的利益为代价,给他们带来纳税义务、更高的费用和强制基金清算的负担。投资公司协会(ICI)在最近的一份声明中表示,该法案将消除“激进投资者利用该漏洞以牺牲散户投资者的利益为代价来获取短期利润”。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds and portfolio managers who invest in closed-end funds say that mutual fund companies are simply trying to protect a pool of assets and fees from shareholder interference. Most retail investors don’t vote their shares in proxy contests. That may leave fund boards largely free to pursue their own agendas.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的对冲基金和投资组合经理表示,共同基金公司只是想保护一个资产池和费用不受股东干涉。大多数散户投资者不会在代理权竞争中投票。这可能会让基金董事会在很大程度上自由追求自己的议程。</blockquote></p><p> “Activism plays an important role, and if this bill passes, it will become more difficult for activists to threaten or create changes,” says Matt Buffington, a portfolio manager at Dryden Capital, an activist hedge fund.</p><p><blockquote>激进主义对冲基金德莱顿资本(Dryden Capital)的投资组合经理马特·巴芬顿(Matt Buffington)表示:“激进主义发挥着重要作用,如果这项法案获得通过,激进主义将更难威胁或创造变革。”</blockquote></p><p> Gregory Neer, a portfolio manager with Relative Value Partners, an advisory firm that invests in closed-end funds, agrees. “The ability for investors to pressure funds is beneficial to all shareholders,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的咨询公司Relative Value Partners的投资组合经理格雷戈里·尼尔(Gregory Neer)对此表示同意。“投资者向资金施压的能力对所有股东都有利,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Closed-end funds have long been popular with investors due to their high yields and steady distributions. Many use leverage, borrowing money at market rates to boost payouts. They also generate income with options strategies and investments in high-yielding areas of the stock and bond markets.</p><p><blockquote>封闭式基金由于收益率高、分配稳健,长期以来深受投资者欢迎。许多人使用杠杆,以市场利率借钱来增加支出。他们还通过期权策略以及对股票和债券市场高收益领域的投资来产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> But the funds have structural drawbacks. Expense ratios are steep, averaging 2.1%, according to Morningstar Direct. And since the funds have a fixed number of shares outstanding, prices reflect market demand for both a fund and its underlying assets. Funds usually trade at a discount to NAV. While it is attractive, in theory, to pay 90 cents for a dollar of assets, investors might never see the extra dime.</p><p><blockquote>但这些基金存在结构性缺陷。根据Morningstar Direct的数据,费用率很高,平均为2.1%。由于基金有固定数量的已发行股票,价格反映了市场对基金及其基础资产的需求。基金的交易价格通常低于资产净值。虽然从理论上讲,为一美元的资产支付90美分很有吸引力,但投资者可能永远看不到额外的一毛钱。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds aim to exploit this inefficiency, buying closed-end funds at below-market value. They then pressure fund boards to take steps to lift the funds’ prices. The playbook is straightforward: accumulate a stake, win board seats, and then force a fund company into a tender offer, whereby it agrees to repurchase shares at nearly full price.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金旨在利用这种低效率,以低于市场价值的价格购买封闭式基金。然后,他们向基金董事会施压,要求其采取措施提高基金价格。剧本很简单:积累股份,赢得董事会席位,然后迫使基金公司发起要约收购,同意以接近全价回购股票。</blockquote></p><p> If that fails, a hedge fund might try to replace a fund’s manager, orchestrate a liquidation of the fund, or get it converted to an open-end fund—moves that could also pay off with the share price rising to parity with the NAV. Firms like Saba have also taken over funds entirely.</p><p><blockquote>如果失败,对冲基金可能会尝试更换基金经理,策划基金清算,或将其转换为开放式基金——这些举措也可能随着股价上涨至与资产净值平价而获得回报。像Saba这样的公司也完全接管了资金。</blockquote></p><p> Giving closed-end funds freedom to own more private securities could throw a wrench into the strategy. Tender offers work only if a fund can liquidate most of its holdings at market prices. Because venture-capital and private-equity holdings generally don’t trade publicly, their pricing isn’t transparent. “When closed-end funds invest in illiquid things, it protects them from activism,” one activist manager tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>给予封闭式基金持有更多私人证券的自由可能会破坏这一策略。只有当基金能够以市场价格清算其大部分持股时,要约收购才会起作用。由于风险投资和私募股权控股公司通常不公开交易,因此它们的定价并不透明。一位激进主义经理表示:“当封闭式基金投资于非流动性的东西时,它可以保护它们免受激进主义的影响。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Removing the cap on private-fund ownership is “in line with a legislative agenda of getting retail investors more access to private investments,” says Thomas DeCapo, an attorney for the mutual fund industry.</p><p><blockquote>共同基金行业律师托马斯·迪卡波表示,取消私募基金所有权上限“符合让散户投资者更多获得私人投资的立法议程”。</blockquote></p><p> And capping activists at 10% of a fund doesn’t stop them from mounting proxy campaigns. “Nothing about this is antidemocratic,” he says. “It doesn’t stop a majority of investors who are unhappy or want change. It stops one investor from using its economic power, with other people’s money, to basically force changes on everybody else.”</p><p><blockquote>将活动人士的资金限制在10%并不能阻止他们发起代理活动。“这一切都不是反民主的,”他说。“这并不能阻止大多数不满意或想要改变的投资者。它阻止了一个投资者利用其经济实力和其他人的钱,基本上迫使其他人做出改变。”</blockquote></p><p> Investor advocates see it differently, however, saying fund investors could wind up paying higher fees for funds that hold more-opaque investments. “It’s just another fund-of-funds structure, and those are notoriously high-fee,” says Tyler Gellasch, head of Healthy Markets, an investor-protection group.</p><p><blockquote>然而,投资者倡导者对此有不同的看法,他们表示,基金投资者最终可能会为持有更不透明投资的基金支付更高的费用。投资者保护组织Healthy Markets的负责人泰勒·盖拉施(Tyler Gellasch)表示:“这只是另一种基金中的基金结构,而且费用是出了名的高。”</blockquote></p><p> Individual hedge funds technically can’t own more than 3% of a closed-end fund, under ownership restrictions in the Investment Company Act of 1940. But they skirt the rule by building stakes through affiliated entities, creating enough of a critical mass to force changes at a fund through proxy voting.</p><p><blockquote>根据1940年《投资公司法》的所有权限制,从技术上讲,个人对冲基金不能拥有封闭式基金超过3%的股份。但他们通过附属实体增持股份来规避这一规则,从而创造足够的临界质量,通过代理投票迫使基金发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> The ICI—the mutual fund industry’s lobby—has tried to persuade regulators to crack down on hedge funds. In a submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission last year, the ICI argued that hedge fund campaigns often consume a fund’s resources, trigger tax liabilities for long-term investors, and result in the forced selling of securities to meet a hedge fund’s demands for a tender offer. A fund’s expense ratio could increase if it is forced to buy back shares and its asset base shrinks.</p><p><blockquote>ICI——共同基金行业的游说团体——试图说服监管机构打击对冲基金。在去年提交给美国证券交易委员会的一份文件中,ICI辩称,对冲基金的活动往往会消耗基金的资源,引发长期投资者的纳税义务,并导致被迫出售证券以满足对冲基金的要约收购要求。如果基金被迫回购股票且资产基础萎缩,其费用率可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> The activist community’s “assault” on the industry has had a chilling effect on product launches, the ICI said, resulting in fewer closed-end funds on the market today than in 2007.</p><p><blockquote>ICI表示,维权人士对该行业的“攻击”对产品发布产生了寒蝉效应,导致目前市场上的封闭式基金比2007年有所减少。</blockquote></p><p> But hedge funds argue that changing the 1940 act would amount to a power grab by mutual funds. “This is all coming from the mutual fund industry, and it’s no coincidence that this protects them,” says Phil Goldstein, co-founder of Bulldog Investors, an activist that has long targeted closed-end funds. “There are funds with terrible performance and wide discounts. The ICI never says we need a mechanism where shareholders can hold those managers accountable.”</p><p><blockquote>但对冲基金认为,修改1940年法案无异于共同基金攫取权力。Bulldog Investors的联合创始人菲尔·戈尔茨坦(Phil Goldstein)表示:“这一切都来自共同基金行业,这保护了他们并非巧合。”Bulldog Investors是一位长期瞄准封闭式基金的活动家。“有些基金的业绩很糟糕,折扣很大。ICI从未说过我们需要一种机制,让股东可以让这些经理承担责任。”</blockquote></p><p> Imposing an ownership cap would also make proxy campaigns less economic. Limited to 10%, hedge funds wouldn’t own enough shares, with sufficient economic interest, to justify the expense of a proxy contest, which can cost millions of dollars. “If you’re limited to 10% and have to spend 2.5% of your assets on a proxy campaign, you’d say it’s too risky,” says Goldstein. “Meanwhile, management isn’t spending anything—just shareholder money. They want to make it economically unattractive to run a proxy contest.”</p><p><blockquote>设定所有权上限也会降低代理活动的经济性。仅限于10%,对冲基金不会拥有足够的股份和足够的经济利益来证明代理权竞争的费用是合理的,而代理权竞争可能会花费数百万美元。“如果你被限制在10%,并且必须将2.5%的资产用于代理活动,你会说风险太大,”戈尔茨坦说。“与此同时,管理层没有花费任何东西——只是股东的钱。他们想让举办代理权竞争在经济上失去吸引力。”</blockquote></p><p> Regulators and courts have expressed skepticism about some defenses that closed-end funds have adopted to prevent shareholder challenges. And, the SEC might not side with the fund industry. Since 2010, the SEC has warned fund companies against using state securities laws to thwart hedge fund takeovers. The SEC dropped its objection to these state “control share” laws last year under its Republican chairman, Jay Clayton. But the new, Democratic chairman, Gary Gensler, might reinstate the SEC’s objection—a reason for the industry to enlist Congress to change the law. The SEC didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构和法院对封闭式基金为防止股东挑战而采取的一些防御措施表示怀疑。而且,美国证券交易委员会可能不会站在基金行业一边。自2010年以来,SEC一直警告基金公司不要利用州证券法来阻止对冲基金收购。去年,在共和党主席杰伊·克莱顿的领导下,美国证券交易委员会放弃了对这些州“控股权”法的反对。但新任民主党主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)可能会恢复SEC的反对意见——这是该行业争取国会修改法律的一个理由。美国证券交易委员会没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Shareholder Services,a firm that makes recommendations on proxy voting, says investors should reject fund companies’ use of state control-share laws, which limit the voting rights of shareholders. With the SEC on the sidelines, ISS says, “CEF shareholders are denied important voting rights and are subject to management entrenchment.”</p><p><blockquote>就代理投票提出建议的机构股东服务公司表示,投资者应该拒绝基金公司使用限制股东投票权的国家控股权法。ISS表示,由于SEC的观望,“CEF股东被剥夺了重要的投票权,并受到管理层的巩固。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70323ed9daef142f19afd48be72b6299\" tg-width=\"755\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68beb47d59eb02e90b04eb7093f9f17b\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hedge funds don’t always win, but investors might want to ride along as activists build a stake. “When an activist comes in, you usually see an increase in the share price and a decrease in the discount,” says Matt Souther, an associate finance professor at the University of South Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金并不总是获胜,但随着激进分子增持股份,投资者可能希望随波逐流。南卡罗来纳大学金融学副教授马特·沙无然(Matt Souther)表示:“当激进分子介入时,你通常会看到股价上涨而折扣减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Templeton Global Income’s (ticker: GIM) discount to NAV could narrow further if Saba acquires more shares or tries to take over the fund’s $743 million in assets. Saba recently took over management of another fund, Voya Prime Rate Trust, which it rebrandedSaba Capital Income & Opportunities(BRW).Franklin Templetonand Saba declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>如果Saba收购更多股票或试图接管该基金7.43亿美元的资产,Templeton Global Income(股票代码:GIM)相对于资产净值的折扣可能会进一步缩小。Saba最近接管了另一只基金Voya Prime Rate Trust的管理,并将其更名为Saba Capital Income&Opportunities(BRW)。富兰克林邓普顿和Saba拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Miller/Howard High Income Equity(HIE) is also in Saba’s crosshairs. The fund is a “term trust” with a mandated liquidation date in 2024. It trades at a 5.9% discount to NAV. “In a worst-case scenario, you buy it at a discount and you’ll earn an excess return from now to 2024 because that discount will narrow,” says Patrick Galley, co-manager ofRiverNorth Opportunities(RIV), a closed-end fund that owns HIE.</p><p><blockquote>米勒/霍华德高收入股票(HIE)也是萨巴的目标。该基金是“定期信托”,强制清算日期为2024年。其交易价格较资产净值折价5.9%。封闭式RiverNorth Opportunities(RIV)联席经理帕特里克·加利(Patrick Galley)表示:“在最坏的情况下,你以折扣价购买,从现在到2024年,你将获得超额回报,因为折扣将会缩小。”拥有HIE的基金。</blockquote></p><p> Other closed-end funds in which Saba owns stakes includeSource Capital(SOR) andInvesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA). Bulldog has built a position inTortoise Energy Independence(NDP).</p><p><blockquote>Saba持有股份的其他封闭式基金包括Source Capital(SOR)和Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA)。Bulldog在乌龟能源独立(NDP)中建立了地位。</blockquote></p><p> Some closed-end funds look attractive on their fundamentals.Adams Diversified Equity(ADX) offers exposure to big tech stocks, trades at a 14% discount to NAV, and is committed to an annualized distribution of at least 6%. “For investors who expect tech to do well, ADX is a good holding,” says David Tepper, a closed-end investor and head of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco.</p><p><blockquote>一些封闭式基金的基本面看起来很有吸引力。Adams Diversified Equity(ADX)提供大型科技股的投资,交易价格较资产净值折价14%,并承诺年化分配至少6%。“对于预计科技股表现良好的投资者来说,ADX是一个不错的持股,”封闭式投资者兼旧金山Tepper Capital Management主管David Tepper表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sprott Focus Trust(FUND) is another fund he likes. Veteran small-cap manager Whitney George runs it, and his family owns 45% of the shares. It trades at a 10% discount and yields 5.7%. Tepper also favorsRoyce Global Value Trust(RGT), trading at a 9% discount and yielding 7.9%.</p><p><blockquote>Sprott Focus Trust(基金)是他喜欢的另一只基金。资深小盘股经理惠特尼·乔治(Whitney George)经营该公司,他的家族拥有45%的股份。其交易价格有10%的折扣,收益率为5.7%。Tepper还青睐Royce Global Value Trust(RGT),其交易价格折扣9%,收益率为7.9%。</blockquote></p><p> None of these funds has attracted much activist involvement, according to securities filings. But if activists see opportunity, they could pile in and pressure fund management—assuming that Congress doesn’t rewrite the rules of engagement.</p><p><blockquote>根据证券备案文件,这些基金都没有吸引太多激进分子的参与。但如果活动人士看到机会,他们可能会涌入并向基金管理层施压——假设国会不会重写交战规则。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 07:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasenstab at the helm, the closed-end fund returned an average of 0.3% annually in the past decade, versus an average 7% for peers in global income. Also frustrating, its shares rarely traded close to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV. The discount averaged 11% in the past three years.</p><p><blockquote>邓普顿全球收益基金多年来一直让投资者感到沮丧。尽管明星经理迈克尔·哈森斯塔布(Michael Hasenstab)掌舵,但该封闭式基金在过去十年中的平均年回报率为0.3%,而全球收入同行的平均回报率为7%。同样令人沮丧的是,其股票的交易价格很少接近该基金的基础资产净值(NAV)。过去三年折扣平均为11%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have caught a break, however, thanks to Saba Capital Management, a hedge fund shop run by activist investor Boaz Weinstein. Saba amassed a 20% stake in the Templeton fund and recently won four contested board seats. It has been pressuring the board to take actions to boost the share price. Its moves have paid off: The fund has returned a total 4.5% this year as its share price improved, and the discount to NAV has shrunk to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,由于激进投资者Boaz Weinstein经营的对冲基金公司Saba Capital Management,投资者得到了喘息的机会。Saba持有邓普顿基金20%的股份,最近赢得了四个有争议的董事会席位。它一直在向董事会施压,要求其采取行动提振股价。其举措得到了回报:随着股价上涨,该基金今年的总回报率为4.5%,相对资产净值的折扣已缩小至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Tactics like Saba’s have long infuriated mutual fund companies; no one wants a hedge fund threatening a coup. Now, with some help from Congress, the playing field could tilt in favor of closed-end funds and their company sponsors, due to a bill recently introduced in the House. That could work against the interests of fund investors.</p><p><blockquote>像萨巴这样的策略长期以来一直激怒着共同基金公司;没有人希望对冲基金威胁政变。现在,在国会的一些帮助下,由于众议院最近提出的一项法案,竞争环境可能会向封闭式基金及其公司赞助商倾斜。这可能会损害基金投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> The Increasing Investor Opportunities Act, introduced in June by Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R., Ohio) and Rep. Gregory Meeks (D., New York), includes two measures that could make it much tougher for hedge funds to pressure closed-end funds and win proxy fights. One proposed change would lift the current 15% limit on closed-end-fund ownership of illiquid private funds, such as venture-capital and private-equity funds. A second measure would prevent activist hedge funds from acquiring more than 10% of a closed-end fund’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>《增加投资者机会法案》由俄亥俄州共和党众议员安东尼·冈萨雷斯(Anthony Gonzalez)和纽约州民主党众议员格雷戈里·米克斯(Gregory Meeks)于6月提出,其中包括两项措施,可能会使对冲基金更难向封闭式基金施压并赢得代理权之争。一项拟议的变化将取消目前对风险投资和私募股权基金等非流动性私募基金封闭式基金所有权15%的限制。第二项措施将阻止激进对冲基金收购封闭式基金10%以上的股份。</blockquote></p><p> A spokesman for Gonzalez declined to comment. Meeks didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>冈萨雷斯的发言人拒绝置评。米克斯没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Proponents of the changes say they would expand access to private markets for retail investors. They also say hedge funds are exploiting gaps in securities laws at a cost to long-term shareholders, saddling them with tax liabilities, higher fees, and forced fund liquidations. The bill would eliminate a “loophole that activist investors have used to extract short-term profits at the expense of retail investors,” the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, said in a recent statement.</p><p><blockquote>这些变化的支持者表示,他们将扩大散户投资者进入私人市场的机会。他们还表示,对冲基金正在利用证券法的漏洞,以牺牲长期股东的利益为代价,给他们带来纳税义务、更高的费用和强制基金清算的负担。投资公司协会(ICI)在最近的一份声明中表示,该法案将消除“激进投资者利用该漏洞以牺牲散户投资者的利益为代价来获取短期利润”。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds and portfolio managers who invest in closed-end funds say that mutual fund companies are simply trying to protect a pool of assets and fees from shareholder interference. Most retail investors don’t vote their shares in proxy contests. That may leave fund boards largely free to pursue their own agendas.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的对冲基金和投资组合经理表示,共同基金公司只是想保护一个资产池和费用不受股东干涉。大多数散户投资者不会在代理权竞争中投票。这可能会让基金董事会在很大程度上自由追求自己的议程。</blockquote></p><p> “Activism plays an important role, and if this bill passes, it will become more difficult for activists to threaten or create changes,” says Matt Buffington, a portfolio manager at Dryden Capital, an activist hedge fund.</p><p><blockquote>激进主义对冲基金德莱顿资本(Dryden Capital)的投资组合经理马特·巴芬顿(Matt Buffington)表示:“激进主义发挥着重要作用,如果这项法案获得通过,激进主义将更难威胁或创造变革。”</blockquote></p><p> Gregory Neer, a portfolio manager with Relative Value Partners, an advisory firm that invests in closed-end funds, agrees. “The ability for investors to pressure funds is beneficial to all shareholders,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的咨询公司Relative Value Partners的投资组合经理格雷戈里·尼尔(Gregory Neer)对此表示同意。“投资者向资金施压的能力对所有股东都有利,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Closed-end funds have long been popular with investors due to their high yields and steady distributions. Many use leverage, borrowing money at market rates to boost payouts. They also generate income with options strategies and investments in high-yielding areas of the stock and bond markets.</p><p><blockquote>封闭式基金由于收益率高、分配稳健,长期以来深受投资者欢迎。许多人使用杠杆,以市场利率借钱来增加支出。他们还通过期权策略以及对股票和债券市场高收益领域的投资来产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> But the funds have structural drawbacks. Expense ratios are steep, averaging 2.1%, according to Morningstar Direct. And since the funds have a fixed number of shares outstanding, prices reflect market demand for both a fund and its underlying assets. Funds usually trade at a discount to NAV. While it is attractive, in theory, to pay 90 cents for a dollar of assets, investors might never see the extra dime.</p><p><blockquote>但这些基金存在结构性缺陷。根据Morningstar Direct的数据,费用率很高,平均为2.1%。由于基金有固定数量的已发行股票,价格反映了市场对基金及其基础资产的需求。基金的交易价格通常低于资产净值。虽然从理论上讲,为一美元的资产支付90美分很有吸引力,但投资者可能永远看不到额外的一毛钱。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds aim to exploit this inefficiency, buying closed-end funds at below-market value. They then pressure fund boards to take steps to lift the funds’ prices. The playbook is straightforward: accumulate a stake, win board seats, and then force a fund company into a tender offer, whereby it agrees to repurchase shares at nearly full price.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金旨在利用这种低效率,以低于市场价值的价格购买封闭式基金。然后,他们向基金董事会施压,要求其采取措施提高基金价格。剧本很简单:积累股份,赢得董事会席位,然后迫使基金公司发起要约收购,同意以接近全价回购股票。</blockquote></p><p> If that fails, a hedge fund might try to replace a fund’s manager, orchestrate a liquidation of the fund, or get it converted to an open-end fund—moves that could also pay off with the share price rising to parity with the NAV. Firms like Saba have also taken over funds entirely.</p><p><blockquote>如果失败,对冲基金可能会尝试更换基金经理,策划基金清算,或将其转换为开放式基金——这些举措也可能随着股价上涨至与资产净值平价而获得回报。像Saba这样的公司也完全接管了资金。</blockquote></p><p> Giving closed-end funds freedom to own more private securities could throw a wrench into the strategy. Tender offers work only if a fund can liquidate most of its holdings at market prices. Because venture-capital and private-equity holdings generally don’t trade publicly, their pricing isn’t transparent. “When closed-end funds invest in illiquid things, it protects them from activism,” one activist manager tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>给予封闭式基金持有更多私人证券的自由可能会破坏这一策略。只有当基金能够以市场价格清算其大部分持股时,要约收购才会起作用。由于风险投资和私募股权控股公司通常不公开交易,因此它们的定价并不透明。一位激进主义经理表示:“当封闭式基金投资于非流动性的东西时,它可以保护它们免受激进主义的影响。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Removing the cap on private-fund ownership is “in line with a legislative agenda of getting retail investors more access to private investments,” says Thomas DeCapo, an attorney for the mutual fund industry.</p><p><blockquote>共同基金行业律师托马斯·迪卡波表示,取消私募基金所有权上限“符合让散户投资者更多获得私人投资的立法议程”。</blockquote></p><p> And capping activists at 10% of a fund doesn’t stop them from mounting proxy campaigns. “Nothing about this is antidemocratic,” he says. “It doesn’t stop a majority of investors who are unhappy or want change. It stops one investor from using its economic power, with other people’s money, to basically force changes on everybody else.”</p><p><blockquote>将活动人士的资金限制在10%并不能阻止他们发起代理活动。“这一切都不是反民主的,”他说。“这并不能阻止大多数不满意或想要改变的投资者。它阻止了一个投资者利用其经济实力和其他人的钱,基本上迫使其他人做出改变。”</blockquote></p><p> Investor advocates see it differently, however, saying fund investors could wind up paying higher fees for funds that hold more-opaque investments. “It’s just another fund-of-funds structure, and those are notoriously high-fee,” says Tyler Gellasch, head of Healthy Markets, an investor-protection group.</p><p><blockquote>然而,投资者倡导者对此有不同的看法,他们表示,基金投资者最终可能会为持有更不透明投资的基金支付更高的费用。投资者保护组织Healthy Markets的负责人泰勒·盖拉施(Tyler Gellasch)表示:“这只是另一种基金中的基金结构,而且费用是出了名的高。”</blockquote></p><p> Individual hedge funds technically can’t own more than 3% of a closed-end fund, under ownership restrictions in the Investment Company Act of 1940. But they skirt the rule by building stakes through affiliated entities, creating enough of a critical mass to force changes at a fund through proxy voting.</p><p><blockquote>根据1940年《投资公司法》的所有权限制,从技术上讲,个人对冲基金不能拥有封闭式基金超过3%的股份。但他们通过附属实体增持股份来规避这一规则,从而创造足够的临界质量,通过代理投票迫使基金发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> The ICI—the mutual fund industry’s lobby—has tried to persuade regulators to crack down on hedge funds. In a submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission last year, the ICI argued that hedge fund campaigns often consume a fund’s resources, trigger tax liabilities for long-term investors, and result in the forced selling of securities to meet a hedge fund’s demands for a tender offer. A fund’s expense ratio could increase if it is forced to buy back shares and its asset base shrinks.</p><p><blockquote>ICI——共同基金行业的游说团体——试图说服监管机构打击对冲基金。在去年提交给美国证券交易委员会的一份文件中,ICI辩称,对冲基金的活动往往会消耗基金的资源,引发长期投资者的纳税义务,并导致被迫出售证券以满足对冲基金的要约收购要求。如果基金被迫回购股票且资产基础萎缩,其费用率可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> The activist community’s “assault” on the industry has had a chilling effect on product launches, the ICI said, resulting in fewer closed-end funds on the market today than in 2007.</p><p><blockquote>ICI表示,维权人士对该行业的“攻击”对产品发布产生了寒蝉效应,导致目前市场上的封闭式基金比2007年有所减少。</blockquote></p><p> But hedge funds argue that changing the 1940 act would amount to a power grab by mutual funds. “This is all coming from the mutual fund industry, and it’s no coincidence that this protects them,” says Phil Goldstein, co-founder of Bulldog Investors, an activist that has long targeted closed-end funds. “There are funds with terrible performance and wide discounts. The ICI never says we need a mechanism where shareholders can hold those managers accountable.”</p><p><blockquote>但对冲基金认为,修改1940年法案无异于共同基金攫取权力。Bulldog Investors的联合创始人菲尔·戈尔茨坦(Phil Goldstein)表示:“这一切都来自共同基金行业,这保护了他们并非巧合。”Bulldog Investors是一位长期瞄准封闭式基金的活动家。“有些基金的业绩很糟糕,折扣很大。ICI从未说过我们需要一种机制,让股东可以让这些经理承担责任。”</blockquote></p><p> Imposing an ownership cap would also make proxy campaigns less economic. Limited to 10%, hedge funds wouldn’t own enough shares, with sufficient economic interest, to justify the expense of a proxy contest, which can cost millions of dollars. “If you’re limited to 10% and have to spend 2.5% of your assets on a proxy campaign, you’d say it’s too risky,” says Goldstein. “Meanwhile, management isn’t spending anything—just shareholder money. They want to make it economically unattractive to run a proxy contest.”</p><p><blockquote>设定所有权上限也会降低代理活动的经济性。仅限于10%,对冲基金不会拥有足够的股份和足够的经济利益来证明代理权竞争的费用是合理的,而代理权竞争可能会花费数百万美元。“如果你被限制在10%,并且必须将2.5%的资产用于代理活动,你会说风险太大,”戈尔茨坦说。“与此同时,管理层没有花费任何东西——只是股东的钱。他们想让举办代理权竞争在经济上失去吸引力。”</blockquote></p><p> Regulators and courts have expressed skepticism about some defenses that closed-end funds have adopted to prevent shareholder challenges. And, the SEC might not side with the fund industry. Since 2010, the SEC has warned fund companies against using state securities laws to thwart hedge fund takeovers. The SEC dropped its objection to these state “control share” laws last year under its Republican chairman, Jay Clayton. But the new, Democratic chairman, Gary Gensler, might reinstate the SEC’s objection—a reason for the industry to enlist Congress to change the law. The SEC didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构和法院对封闭式基金为防止股东挑战而采取的一些防御措施表示怀疑。而且,美国证券交易委员会可能不会站在基金行业一边。自2010年以来,SEC一直警告基金公司不要利用州证券法来阻止对冲基金收购。去年,在共和党主席杰伊·克莱顿的领导下,美国证券交易委员会放弃了对这些州“控股权”法的反对。但新任民主党主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)可能会恢复SEC的反对意见——这是该行业争取国会修改法律的一个理由。美国证券交易委员会没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Shareholder Services,a firm that makes recommendations on proxy voting, says investors should reject fund companies’ use of state control-share laws, which limit the voting rights of shareholders. With the SEC on the sidelines, ISS says, “CEF shareholders are denied important voting rights and are subject to management entrenchment.”</p><p><blockquote>就代理投票提出建议的机构股东服务公司表示,投资者应该拒绝基金公司使用限制股东投票权的国家控股权法。ISS表示,由于SEC的观望,“CEF股东被剥夺了重要的投票权,并受到管理层的巩固。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70323ed9daef142f19afd48be72b6299\" tg-width=\"755\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68beb47d59eb02e90b04eb7093f9f17b\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hedge funds don’t always win, but investors might want to ride along as activists build a stake. “When an activist comes in, you usually see an increase in the share price and a decrease in the discount,” says Matt Souther, an associate finance professor at the University of South Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金并不总是获胜,但随着激进分子增持股份,投资者可能希望随波逐流。南卡罗来纳大学金融学副教授马特·沙无然(Matt Souther)表示:“当激进分子介入时,你通常会看到股价上涨而折扣减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Templeton Global Income’s (ticker: GIM) discount to NAV could narrow further if Saba acquires more shares or tries to take over the fund’s $743 million in assets. Saba recently took over management of another fund, Voya Prime Rate Trust, which it rebrandedSaba Capital Income & Opportunities(BRW).Franklin Templetonand Saba declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>如果Saba收购更多股票或试图接管该基金7.43亿美元的资产,Templeton Global Income(股票代码:GIM)相对于资产净值的折扣可能会进一步缩小。Saba最近接管了另一只基金Voya Prime Rate Trust的管理,并将其更名为Saba Capital Income&Opportunities(BRW)。富兰克林邓普顿和Saba拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Miller/Howard High Income Equity(HIE) is also in Saba’s crosshairs. The fund is a “term trust” with a mandated liquidation date in 2024. It trades at a 5.9% discount to NAV. “In a worst-case scenario, you buy it at a discount and you’ll earn an excess return from now to 2024 because that discount will narrow,” says Patrick Galley, co-manager ofRiverNorth Opportunities(RIV), a closed-end fund that owns HIE.</p><p><blockquote>米勒/霍华德高收入股票(HIE)也是萨巴的目标。该基金是“定期信托”,强制清算日期为2024年。其交易价格较资产净值折价5.9%。封闭式RiverNorth Opportunities(RIV)联席经理帕特里克·加利(Patrick Galley)表示:“在最坏的情况下,你以折扣价购买,从现在到2024年,你将获得超额回报,因为折扣将会缩小。”拥有HIE的基金。</blockquote></p><p> Other closed-end funds in which Saba owns stakes includeSource Capital(SOR) andInvesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA). Bulldog has built a position inTortoise Energy Independence(NDP).</p><p><blockquote>Saba持有股份的其他封闭式基金包括Source Capital(SOR)和Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA)。Bulldog在乌龟能源独立(NDP)中建立了地位。</blockquote></p><p> Some closed-end funds look attractive on their fundamentals.Adams Diversified Equity(ADX) offers exposure to big tech stocks, trades at a 14% discount to NAV, and is committed to an annualized distribution of at least 6%. “For investors who expect tech to do well, ADX is a good holding,” says David Tepper, a closed-end investor and head of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco.</p><p><blockquote>一些封闭式基金的基本面看起来很有吸引力。Adams Diversified Equity(ADX)提供大型科技股的投资,交易价格较资产净值折价14%,并承诺年化分配至少6%。“对于预计科技股表现良好的投资者来说,ADX是一个不错的持股,”封闭式投资者兼旧金山Tepper Capital Management主管David Tepper表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sprott Focus Trust(FUND) is another fund he likes. Veteran small-cap manager Whitney George runs it, and his family owns 45% of the shares. It trades at a 10% discount and yields 5.7%. Tepper also favorsRoyce Global Value Trust(RGT), trading at a 9% discount and yielding 7.9%.</p><p><blockquote>Sprott Focus Trust(基金)是他喜欢的另一只基金。资深小盘股经理惠特尼·乔治(Whitney George)经营该公司,他的家族拥有45%的股份。其交易价格有10%的折扣,收益率为5.7%。Tepper还青睐Royce Global Value Trust(RGT),其交易价格折扣9%,收益率为7.9%。</blockquote></p><p> None of these funds has attracted much activist involvement, according to securities filings. But if activists see opportunity, they could pile in and pressure fund management—assuming that Congress doesn’t rewrite the rules of engagement.</p><p><blockquote>根据证券备案文件,这些基金都没有吸引太多激进分子的参与。但如果活动人士看到机会,他们可能会涌入并向基金管理层施压——假设国会不会重写交战规则。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/congress-closed-end-funds-legislation-51627657959?mod=newsviewer_click\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/congress-closed-end-funds-legislation-51627657959?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138566016","content_text":"TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasenstab at the helm, the closed-end fund returned an average of 0.3% annually in the past decade, versus an average 7% for peers in global income. Also frustrating, its shares rarely traded close to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV. The discount averaged 11% in the past three years.\nInvestors have caught a break, however, thanks to Saba Capital Management, a hedge fund shop run by activist investor Boaz Weinstein. Saba amassed a 20% stake in the Templeton fund and recently won four contested board seats. It has been pressuring the board to take actions to boost the share price. Its moves have paid off: The fund has returned a total 4.5% this year as its share price improved, and the discount to NAV has shrunk to 4%.\nTactics like Saba’s have long infuriated mutual fund companies; no one wants a hedge fund threatening a coup. Now, with some help from Congress, the playing field could tilt in favor of closed-end funds and their company sponsors, due to a bill recently introduced in the House. That could work against the interests of fund investors.\nThe Increasing Investor Opportunities Act, introduced in June by Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R., Ohio) and Rep. Gregory Meeks (D., New York), includes two measures that could make it much tougher for hedge funds to pressure closed-end funds and win proxy fights. One proposed change would lift the current 15% limit on closed-end-fund ownership of illiquid private funds, such as venture-capital and private-equity funds. A second measure would prevent activist hedge funds from acquiring more than 10% of a closed-end fund’s shares.\nA spokesman for Gonzalez declined to comment. Meeks didn’t respond to requests for comment.\nProponents of the changes say they would expand access to private markets for retail investors. They also say hedge funds are exploiting gaps in securities laws at a cost to long-term shareholders, saddling them with tax liabilities, higher fees, and forced fund liquidations. The bill would eliminate a “loophole that activist investors have used to extract short-term profits at the expense of retail investors,” the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, said in a recent statement.\nHedge funds and portfolio managers who invest in closed-end funds say that mutual fund companies are simply trying to protect a pool of assets and fees from shareholder interference. Most retail investors don’t vote their shares in proxy contests. That may leave fund boards largely free to pursue their own agendas.\n“Activism plays an important role, and if this bill passes, it will become more difficult for activists to threaten or create changes,” says Matt Buffington, a portfolio manager at Dryden Capital, an activist hedge fund.\nGregory Neer, a portfolio manager with Relative Value Partners, an advisory firm that invests in closed-end funds, agrees. “The ability for investors to pressure funds is beneficial to all shareholders,” he says.\nClosed-end funds have long been popular with investors due to their high yields and steady distributions. Many use leverage, borrowing money at market rates to boost payouts. They also generate income with options strategies and investments in high-yielding areas of the stock and bond markets.\nBut the funds have structural drawbacks. Expense ratios are steep, averaging 2.1%, according to Morningstar Direct. And since the funds have a fixed number of shares outstanding, prices reflect market demand for both a fund and its underlying assets. Funds usually trade at a discount to NAV. While it is attractive, in theory, to pay 90 cents for a dollar of assets, investors might never see the extra dime.\nHedge funds aim to exploit this inefficiency, buying closed-end funds at below-market value. They then pressure fund boards to take steps to lift the funds’ prices. The playbook is straightforward: accumulate a stake, win board seats, and then force a fund company into a tender offer, whereby it agrees to repurchase shares at nearly full price.\nIf that fails, a hedge fund might try to replace a fund’s manager, orchestrate a liquidation of the fund, or get it converted to an open-end fund—moves that could also pay off with the share price rising to parity with the NAV. Firms like Saba have also taken over funds entirely.\nGiving closed-end funds freedom to own more private securities could throw a wrench into the strategy. Tender offers work only if a fund can liquidate most of its holdings at market prices. Because venture-capital and private-equity holdings generally don’t trade publicly, their pricing isn’t transparent. “When closed-end funds invest in illiquid things, it protects them from activism,” one activist manager tellsBarron’s.\nRemoving the cap on private-fund ownership is “in line with a legislative agenda of getting retail investors more access to private investments,” says Thomas DeCapo, an attorney for the mutual fund industry.\nAnd capping activists at 10% of a fund doesn’t stop them from mounting proxy campaigns. “Nothing about this is antidemocratic,” he says. “It doesn’t stop a majority of investors who are unhappy or want change. It stops one investor from using its economic power, with other people’s money, to basically force changes on everybody else.”\nInvestor advocates see it differently, however, saying fund investors could wind up paying higher fees for funds that hold more-opaque investments. “It’s just another fund-of-funds structure, and those are notoriously high-fee,” says Tyler Gellasch, head of Healthy Markets, an investor-protection group.\nIndividual hedge funds technically can’t own more than 3% of a closed-end fund, under ownership restrictions in the Investment Company Act of 1940. But they skirt the rule by building stakes through affiliated entities, creating enough of a critical mass to force changes at a fund through proxy voting.\nThe ICI—the mutual fund industry’s lobby—has tried to persuade regulators to crack down on hedge funds. In a submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission last year, the ICI argued that hedge fund campaigns often consume a fund’s resources, trigger tax liabilities for long-term investors, and result in the forced selling of securities to meet a hedge fund’s demands for a tender offer. A fund’s expense ratio could increase if it is forced to buy back shares and its asset base shrinks.\nThe activist community’s “assault” on the industry has had a chilling effect on product launches, the ICI said, resulting in fewer closed-end funds on the market today than in 2007.\nBut hedge funds argue that changing the 1940 act would amount to a power grab by mutual funds. “This is all coming from the mutual fund industry, and it’s no coincidence that this protects them,” says Phil Goldstein, co-founder of Bulldog Investors, an activist that has long targeted closed-end funds. “There are funds with terrible performance and wide discounts. The ICI never says we need a mechanism where shareholders can hold those managers accountable.”\nImposing an ownership cap would also make proxy campaigns less economic. Limited to 10%, hedge funds wouldn’t own enough shares, with sufficient economic interest, to justify the expense of a proxy contest, which can cost millions of dollars. “If you’re limited to 10% and have to spend 2.5% of your assets on a proxy campaign, you’d say it’s too risky,” says Goldstein. “Meanwhile, management isn’t spending anything—just shareholder money. They want to make it economically unattractive to run a proxy contest.”\nRegulators and courts have expressed skepticism about some defenses that closed-end funds have adopted to prevent shareholder challenges. And, the SEC might not side with the fund industry. Since 2010, the SEC has warned fund companies against using state securities laws to thwart hedge fund takeovers. The SEC dropped its objection to these state “control share” laws last year under its Republican chairman, Jay Clayton. But the new, Democratic chairman, Gary Gensler, might reinstate the SEC’s objection—a reason for the industry to enlist Congress to change the law. The SEC didn’t respond to requests for comment.\nInstitutional Shareholder Services,a firm that makes recommendations on proxy voting, says investors should reject fund companies’ use of state control-share laws, which limit the voting rights of shareholders. With the SEC on the sidelines, ISS says, “CEF shareholders are denied important voting rights and are subject to management entrenchment.”\nHedge funds don’t always win, but investors might want to ride along as activists build a stake. “When an activist comes in, you usually see an increase in the share price and a decrease in the discount,” says Matt Souther, an associate finance professor at the University of South Carolina.\nTempleton Global Income’s (ticker: GIM) discount to NAV could narrow further if Saba acquires more shares or tries to take over the fund’s $743 million in assets. Saba recently took over management of another fund, Voya Prime Rate Trust, which it rebrandedSaba Capital Income & Opportunities(BRW).Franklin Templetonand Saba declined to comment.\nMiller/Howard High Income Equity(HIE) is also in Saba’s crosshairs. The fund is a “term trust” with a mandated liquidation date in 2024. It trades at a 5.9% discount to NAV. “In a worst-case scenario, you buy it at a discount and you’ll earn an excess return from now to 2024 because that discount will narrow,” says Patrick Galley, co-manager ofRiverNorth Opportunities(RIV), a closed-end fund that owns HIE.\nOther closed-end funds in which Saba owns stakes includeSource Capital(SOR) andInvesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA). Bulldog has built a position inTortoise Energy Independence(NDP).\nSome closed-end funds look attractive on their fundamentals.Adams Diversified Equity(ADX) offers exposure to big tech stocks, trades at a 14% discount to NAV, and is committed to an annualized distribution of at least 6%. “For investors who expect tech to do well, ADX is a good holding,” says David Tepper, a closed-end investor and head of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco.\nSprott Focus Trust(FUND) is another fund he likes. Veteran small-cap manager Whitney George runs it, and his family owns 45% of the shares. It trades at a 10% discount and yields 5.7%. Tepper also favorsRoyce Global Value Trust(RGT), trading at a 9% discount and yielding 7.9%.\nNone of these funds has attracted much activist involvement, according to securities filings. But if activists see opportunity, they could pile in and pressure fund management—assuming that Congress doesn’t rewrite the rules of engagement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808648938,"gmtCreate":1627577448224,"gmtModify":1631888932659,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808648938","repostId":"1143143611","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177874261,"gmtCreate":1627202690853,"gmtModify":1631888932663,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177874261","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善,IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM连续四个季度收入下降,过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司(IBM)是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是,对于投资者来说,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务,并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少,自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题,同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元,超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,营收为187亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期,同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低,下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将主要分拆为Kyndryl,但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月,云总收入为270亿美元,增长了15%,而本季度云收入增长了13%,达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元,调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司,往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,为了准确评估该股票,投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司,也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易,97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险,而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来,这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而,在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上,首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元(业务),我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究,也属于其他预测的中间,是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道,该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外,还有另一个潜在增长的来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台专为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章“IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元,预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%,将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是,该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来,对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平,这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的:IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率,当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时,该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善,IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM连续四个季度收入下降,过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司(IBM)是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是,对于投资者来说,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务,并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少,自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题,同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元,超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,营收为187亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期,同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低,下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将主要分拆为Kyndryl,但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月,云总收入为270亿美元,增长了15%,而本季度云收入增长了13%,达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元,调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司,往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,为了准确评估该股票,投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司,也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易,97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险,而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来,这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而,在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上,首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元(业务),我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究,也属于其他预测的中间,是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道,该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外,还有另一个潜在增长的来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台专为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章“IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元,预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%,将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是,该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来,对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平,这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的:IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率,当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时,该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177874847,"gmtCreate":1627202673789,"gmtModify":1631888932666,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMC Oki ","listText":"AMC Oki ","text":"AMC Oki","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177874847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2004,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171169659,"gmtCreate":1626715558271,"gmtModify":1631888932669,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171169659","repostId":"1160801924","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160801924","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626709874,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160801924?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 23:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160801924","media":"Benzinga","summary":"BioNTech SE is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from Gilead Science Inc'","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b> is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from <b>Gilead Science Inc's</b>GILD 0.91%Kite subsidiary.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>正在购买细胞治疗研发平台和生产基地<b>吉利德科学公司的</b>GILD 0.91%风筝子公司。</blockquote></p><p> The deal gives BioNTech Kite's R&D IP for its personalized solid tumor neoantigen T cell receptor (TCR) work and the manufacturing center in Gaithersburg, MD, which supplies the clinical trial product.</p><p><blockquote>该交易为BioNTech Kite提供了其个性化实体瘤新抗原T细胞受体(TCR)工作的研发知识产权,以及位于马里兰州盖瑟斯堡的制造中心,该中心提供了临床试验产品。</blockquote></p><p> This program builds and further extends BioNTech's leadership in individualized neoantigen targeting programs such as BNT122 (iNeST) and BNT221 (NEOSTIM).</p><p><blockquote>该项目建立并进一步扩展了BioNTech在个体化新抗原靶向项目(如BNT122(iNeST)和BNT221(NEOSTIM))中的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> The acquired Gaithersburg facility will provide production capacity to support clinical trials in the U.S. and complement BioNTech's existing cell therapy manufacturing facility in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>收购的盖瑟斯堡工厂将提供产能以支持美国的临床试验,并补充BioNTech在德国现有的细胞治疗制造工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Financial terms were not disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>财务条款没有披露。</blockquote></p><p> Kite's new manufacturing facility in Frederick, MD, for commercial production of CAR T-cell therapy is not part of the purchase agreement.</p><p><blockquote>Kite位于马里兰州弗雷德里克用于CAR T细胞疗法商业生产的新制造工厂不属于购买协议的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> BNTX shares are up 0.86% at $233.46 during the market session on the last check Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周一最后一次检查时,BNTX股价上涨0.86%,至233.46美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-19 23:51</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b> is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from <b>Gilead Science Inc's</b>GILD 0.91%Kite subsidiary.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>正在购买细胞治疗研发平台和生产基地<b>吉利德科学公司的</b>GILD 0.91%风筝子公司。</blockquote></p><p> The deal gives BioNTech Kite's R&D IP for its personalized solid tumor neoantigen T cell receptor (TCR) work and the manufacturing center in Gaithersburg, MD, which supplies the clinical trial product.</p><p><blockquote>该交易为BioNTech Kite提供了其个性化实体瘤新抗原T细胞受体(TCR)工作的研发知识产权,以及位于马里兰州盖瑟斯堡的制造中心,该中心提供了临床试验产品。</blockquote></p><p> This program builds and further extends BioNTech's leadership in individualized neoantigen targeting programs such as BNT122 (iNeST) and BNT221 (NEOSTIM).</p><p><blockquote>该项目建立并进一步扩展了BioNTech在个体化新抗原靶向项目(如BNT122(iNeST)和BNT221(NEOSTIM))中的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> The acquired Gaithersburg facility will provide production capacity to support clinical trials in the U.S. and complement BioNTech's existing cell therapy manufacturing facility in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>收购的盖瑟斯堡工厂将提供产能以支持美国的临床试验,并补充BioNTech在德国现有的细胞治疗制造工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Financial terms were not disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>财务条款没有披露。</blockquote></p><p> Kite's new manufacturing facility in Frederick, MD, for commercial production of CAR T-cell therapy is not part of the purchase agreement.</p><p><blockquote>Kite位于马里兰州弗雷德里克用于CAR T细胞疗法商业生产的新制造工厂不属于购买协议的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> BNTX shares are up 0.86% at $233.46 during the market session on the last check Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周一最后一次检查时,BNTX股价上涨0.86%,至233.46美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GILD":"吉利德科学","BNTX":"BioNTech SE"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160801924","content_text":"BioNTech SE is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from Gilead Science Inc'sGILD 0.91%Kite subsidiary.\nThe deal gives BioNTech Kite's R&D IP for its personalized solid tumor neoantigen T cell receptor (TCR) work and the manufacturing center in Gaithersburg, MD, which supplies the clinical trial product.\nThis program builds and further extends BioNTech's leadership in individualized neoantigen targeting programs such as BNT122 (iNeST) and BNT221 (NEOSTIM).\nThe acquired Gaithersburg facility will provide production capacity to support clinical trials in the U.S. and complement BioNTech's existing cell therapy manufacturing facility in Germany.\nFinancial terms were not disclosed.\nKite's new manufacturing facility in Frederick, MD, for commercial production of CAR T-cell therapy is not part of the purchase agreement.\nPrice Action: BNTX shares are up 0.86% at $233.46 during the market session on the last check Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BNTX":0.9,"GILD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171169310,"gmtCreate":1626715481930,"gmtModify":1631888932674,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171169310","repostId":"2152827296","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156330062,"gmtCreate":1625194174257,"gmtModify":1631888932674,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comments. Thanks ","listText":"Like and comments. Thanks ","text":"Like and comments. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156330062","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高,新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨,上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示:“历史数据显示,如果上半年表现强劲,那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨,但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示:“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说,无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲,足以支撑价格,许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧,持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据,初请失业金人数继续下降,达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平,Challenger,Gray&Christmas的一份报告显示,美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%,创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI),6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓,其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据,在当前供需失衡的推动下,支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道:“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万,失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示:“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期,那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点,涨幅0.38%,至34,633.53点;标普500上涨22.44点,涨幅0.52%,至4,319.94点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点,涨幅0.13%,至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中,必需消费品是唯一的跌幅,下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量,股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂,该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1;在纳斯达克,1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高,新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨,上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示:“历史数据显示,如果上半年表现强劲,那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨,但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示:“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说,无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲,足以支撑价格,许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧,持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据,初请失业金人数继续下降,达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平,Challenger,Gray&Christmas的一份报告显示,美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%,创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI),6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓,其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据,在当前供需失衡的推动下,支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道:“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万,失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示:“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期,那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点,涨幅0.38%,至34,633.53点;标普500上涨22.44点,涨幅0.52%,至4,319.94点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点,涨幅0.13%,至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中,必需消费品是唯一的跌幅,下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量,股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂,该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1;在纳斯达克,1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156963542,"gmtCreate":1625190758486,"gmtModify":1631888932679,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ","listText":"Great ","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156963542","repostId":"1174610224","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174610224","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625188786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174610224?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174610224","media":"thestreet","summary":"Micron Technology (MU) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (NVDA) wa","content":"<p>Micron Technology (<b>MU</b>) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (<b>NVDA</b>) was bucking the trend.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技(<b>穆</b>)-Get报告和其他芯片股周四下跌,但英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>)正在逆势而上。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (<b>SOXX</b>) was down 1.4% at closing. Micron, the biggest decliner in the benchmark chip index, fell 5.7% to $80.11.</p><p><blockquote>iShares PHLX半导体ETF(<b>SOXX</b>)收盘下跌1.4%。基准芯片指数跌幅最大的美光科技下跌5.7%,至80.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other semiconductor industry companies losing ground Thursday included Applied Materials (<b>AMAT</b>), down 3.1%; Lam Research (<b>LRCX</b>) -Get Report, off 2.7%, and Texas Instruments (<b>TXN</b>) -Get Report was off nearly 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周四下跌的其他半导体行业公司包括应用材料公司(<b>阿马特</b>),下跌3.1%;Lam Research(<b>LRCX</b>)-获取报告,折扣2.7%,德州仪器(<b>TXN</b>)-Get报告下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> Video Preview: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech - VanEckWatch this exclusive conversation, The Evolution of Blockchain: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech. A free webinar with premiere experts, sponsored by VanEck.Volume 90%</p><p><blockquote>视频预览:加密的基础如何改变金融科技-VanEckWatch这个独家对话,区块链的演变:加密的基础如何改变金融科技。由VanEck赞助的premiere专家免费网络研讨会。体积90%</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia, however, were up 1.1%, afterBMO Capital Marketsanalyst Ambrish Srivastava raised his price target on the chip titan to $1,000 from $75 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>然而,BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava将这家芯片巨头的目标股价从75美元上调至1,000美元,并确认跑赢大盘评级后,英伟达股价上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The target on the Santa Clara, Calif., company is the highest on Wall Street, according to Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博称,这家位于加州圣克拉拉的公司的目标是华尔街最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology shares fell even after the company reportedfiscal-third-quarternet income per share more than doubled on 36% higher revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美光科技公布第三财季每股净收入增长了一倍多,收入增长了36%,但该公司股价仍下跌。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter ended June 3, Micron earned $1.74 billion, or $1.52 a share, compared with $803 million, or 71 cents, in the year-earlier quarter. The latest adjusted earnings were $1.88 a share. Revenue reached $7.42 billion from $5.44 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月3日的季度,美光科技盈利17.4亿美元,即每股1.52美元,而去年同期为8.03亿美元,即每股71美分。最新调整后每股收益为1.88美元。营收从54.4亿美元达到74.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Several analysts raised their price targets for Micron, but UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered the firm's price target to $110 from $120, while keeping a buy rating, according to the Fly.</p><p><blockquote>据the Fly报道,多位分析师上调了美光科技的目标价,但瑞银分析师蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)将该公司的目标价从120美元下调至110美元,同时维持买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> He noted that the company's cycle commentary should address investors' concerns regarding sustainability, but the management's outlook on cost and capital expenditures \"take a bite\" out of 2022 free cash flows.</p><p><blockquote>他指出,该公司的周期评论应该解决投资者对可持续性的担忧,但管理层对成本和资本支出的展望“影响”了2022年自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet FounderJim Cramer said\"there's a lot of people saying 'PCs peaked,' and that's bad for Micron.\"</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)表示:“很多人说‘个人电脑已见顶’,这对美光科技不利。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer added that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra \"did not say what I wanted to hear, which is, 'look everything is on allocation.'\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默补充说,首席执行官桑杰·梅赫罗特拉“没有说出我想听到的话,即‘看,一切都在分配中。’”</blockquote></p><p> \"And because he didn’t do that,\" Cramer said, \"people are saying 'you know what, it’s time to focus on other semis, and go up the food chain, not down.' And that would be Nvidia.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因为他没有这样做,”克莱默说,“人们会说‘你知道吗,是时候专注于其他半决赛了,走上食物链的上游,而不是下游。’那就是英伟达。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 09:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Micron Technology (<b>MU</b>) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (<b>NVDA</b>) was bucking the trend.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技(<b>穆</b>)-Get报告和其他芯片股周四下跌,但英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>)正在逆势而上。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (<b>SOXX</b>) was down 1.4% at closing. Micron, the biggest decliner in the benchmark chip index, fell 5.7% to $80.11.</p><p><blockquote>iShares PHLX半导体ETF(<b>SOXX</b>)收盘下跌1.4%。基准芯片指数跌幅最大的美光科技下跌5.7%,至80.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other semiconductor industry companies losing ground Thursday included Applied Materials (<b>AMAT</b>), down 3.1%; Lam Research (<b>LRCX</b>) -Get Report, off 2.7%, and Texas Instruments (<b>TXN</b>) -Get Report was off nearly 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周四下跌的其他半导体行业公司包括应用材料公司(<b>阿马特</b>),下跌3.1%;Lam Research(<b>LRCX</b>)-获取报告,折扣2.7%,德州仪器(<b>TXN</b>)-Get报告下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> Video Preview: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech - VanEckWatch this exclusive conversation, The Evolution of Blockchain: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech. A free webinar with premiere experts, sponsored by VanEck.Volume 90%</p><p><blockquote>视频预览:加密的基础如何改变金融科技-VanEckWatch这个独家对话,区块链的演变:加密的基础如何改变金融科技。由VanEck赞助的premiere专家免费网络研讨会。体积90%</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia, however, were up 1.1%, afterBMO Capital Marketsanalyst Ambrish Srivastava raised his price target on the chip titan to $1,000 from $75 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>然而,BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava将这家芯片巨头的目标股价从75美元上调至1,000美元,并确认跑赢大盘评级后,英伟达股价上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The target on the Santa Clara, Calif., company is the highest on Wall Street, according to Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博称,这家位于加州圣克拉拉的公司的目标是华尔街最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology shares fell even after the company reportedfiscal-third-quarternet income per share more than doubled on 36% higher revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美光科技公布第三财季每股净收入增长了一倍多,收入增长了36%,但该公司股价仍下跌。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter ended June 3, Micron earned $1.74 billion, or $1.52 a share, compared with $803 million, or 71 cents, in the year-earlier quarter. The latest adjusted earnings were $1.88 a share. Revenue reached $7.42 billion from $5.44 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月3日的季度,美光科技盈利17.4亿美元,即每股1.52美元,而去年同期为8.03亿美元,即每股71美分。最新调整后每股收益为1.88美元。营收从54.4亿美元达到74.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Several analysts raised their price targets for Micron, but UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered the firm's price target to $110 from $120, while keeping a buy rating, according to the Fly.</p><p><blockquote>据the Fly报道,多位分析师上调了美光科技的目标价,但瑞银分析师蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)将该公司的目标价从120美元下调至110美元,同时维持买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> He noted that the company's cycle commentary should address investors' concerns regarding sustainability, but the management's outlook on cost and capital expenditures \"take a bite\" out of 2022 free cash flows.</p><p><blockquote>他指出,该公司的周期评论应该解决投资者对可持续性的担忧,但管理层对成本和资本支出的展望“影响”了2022年自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet FounderJim Cramer said\"there's a lot of people saying 'PCs peaked,' and that's bad for Micron.\"</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)表示:“很多人说‘个人电脑已见顶’,这对美光科技不利。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer added that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra \"did not say what I wanted to hear, which is, 'look everything is on allocation.'\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默补充说,首席执行官桑杰·梅赫罗特拉“没有说出我想听到的话,即‘看,一切都在分配中。’”</blockquote></p><p> \"And because he didn’t do that,\" Cramer said, \"people are saying 'you know what, it’s time to focus on other semis, and go up the food chain, not down.' And that would be Nvidia.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因为他没有这样做,”克莱默说,“人们会说‘你知道吗,是时候专注于其他半决赛了,走上食物链的上游,而不是下游。’那就是英伟达。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/micron-sinks-most-chip-stocks-but-nvidia-climbs?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","LRCX":"拉姆研究","NVDA":"英伟达","TXN":"德州仪器","AMAT":"应用材料"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/micron-sinks-most-chip-stocks-but-nvidia-climbs?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174610224","content_text":"Micron Technology (MU) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (NVDA) was bucking the trend.\nThe iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) was down 1.4% at closing. Micron, the biggest decliner in the benchmark chip index, fell 5.7% to $80.11.\nOther semiconductor industry companies losing ground Thursday included Applied Materials (AMAT), down 3.1%; Lam Research (LRCX) -Get Report, off 2.7%, and Texas Instruments (TXN) -Get Report was off nearly 1%.\nVideo Preview: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech - VanEckWatch this exclusive conversation, The Evolution of Blockchain: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech. A free webinar with premiere experts, sponsored by VanEck.Volume 90%\nShares of Nvidia, however, were up 1.1%, afterBMO Capital Marketsanalyst Ambrish Srivastava raised his price target on the chip titan to $1,000 from $75 and affirmed an outperform rating.\nThe target on the Santa Clara, Calif., company is the highest on Wall Street, according to Bloomberg.\nMicron Technology shares fell even after the company reportedfiscal-third-quarternet income per share more than doubled on 36% higher revenue.\nFor the quarter ended June 3, Micron earned $1.74 billion, or $1.52 a share, compared with $803 million, or 71 cents, in the year-earlier quarter. The latest adjusted earnings were $1.88 a share. Revenue reached $7.42 billion from $5.44 billion.\nSeveral analysts raised their price targets for Micron, but UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered the firm's price target to $110 from $120, while keeping a buy rating, according to the Fly.\nHe noted that the company's cycle commentary should address investors' concerns regarding sustainability, but the management's outlook on cost and capital expenditures \"take a bite\" out of 2022 free cash flows.\nTheStreet FounderJim Cramer said\"there's a lot of people saying 'PCs peaked,' and that's bad for Micron.\"\nCramer added that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra \"did not say what I wanted to hear, which is, 'look everything is on allocation.'\"\n\"And because he didn’t do that,\" Cramer said, \"people are saying 'you know what, it’s time to focus on other semis, and go up the food chain, not down.' And that would be Nvidia.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9,"TXN":0.9,"LRCX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AMAT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150890470,"gmtCreate":1624891666290,"gmtModify":1631891730221,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150890470","repostId":"1150095060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150095060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624874134,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150095060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 17:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150095060","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant $DiDi Global Inc.$.DiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.Cybersecurity platform $SentinelOne, Inc$","content":"<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元,由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b> plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序,在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏,这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台,可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据,以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日,该公司快速增长且未盈利,拥有超过4,700名客户,高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform <b>D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营,在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速,但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业,通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度,尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示,它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台,并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利,业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程,主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日,Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚(开曼)有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示,以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别,是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长,该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务:家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日,该公司拥有超过1,600名客户,目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示,它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来,已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日,Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利,为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算,Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销,这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验,预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider <b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示,它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”,在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长,主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer <b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>)计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101,这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压(PAH)的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究,并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示,其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed <b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>)计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统,这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法,用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入,目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了2.7%,而标普500上涨了13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%,而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元,由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b> plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序,在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏,这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台,可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据,以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日,该公司快速增长且未盈利,拥有超过4,700名客户,高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform <b>D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营,在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速,但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业,通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度,尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示,它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台,并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利,业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程,主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日,Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚(开曼)有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示,以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别,是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长,该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务:家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日,该公司拥有超过1,600名客户,目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示,它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来,已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日,Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利,为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算,Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销,这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验,预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider <b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示,它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”,在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长,主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer <b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>)计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101,这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压(PAH)的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究,并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示,其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed <b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>)计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统,这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法,用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入,目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了2.7%,而标普500上涨了13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%,而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABOS":"Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","XMTR":"Xometry, Inc.","IAS":"Integral Ad Science Holding","INTA":"Intapp, Inc.","CVRX":"CVRx, Inc.","EVCM":"EverCommerce Inc.","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","CURV":"Torrid Holdings","YOU":"Clear Secure, Inc.","S":"SentinelOne, Inc","HEPS":"D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading","DDL":"叮咚买菜"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150095060","content_text":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant DiDi Global Inc..\nDiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.\nCybersecurity platform SentinelOne, Inc plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.\nTurkish e-commerce platform D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.\nDoughnut brand Krispy Kreme, Inc. plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.\nLegal solutions provider LegalZoom.com, Inc plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.\nIdentity verification platform Clear Secure, Inc. plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.\nChinese grocery delivery platform Dingdong (Cayman) Limited plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.\nSaaS solutions provider EverCommerce Inc. plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.\nSoftware provider Intapp, Inc. plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.\nOnline manufacturing marketplace Xometry, Inc. plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.\nIntegral Ad Science Holding LLC plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.\nPlus-sized women’s apparel brand Torrid Holdings plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.\nAlzheimer’s biotech Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.\nDigital financial services provider AMTD Digital($(HKD)$) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.\nDrug formulation developer Aerovate Therapeutics($(AVTE)$) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.\nNeuromodulation device provider CVRx Inc plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.\nBelgium-listed Nyxoah($(NYXH)$) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"S":0.9,"HEPS":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"YOU":0.9,"INTA":0.9,"CVRX":0.9,"HKIB":0.9,"CURV":0.9,"ABOS":0.9,"XMTR":0.9,"EVCM":0.9,"DNUT":0.9,"IAS":0.9,"LZ":0.9,"DDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124770394,"gmtCreate":1624798206318,"gmtModify":1631891730234,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comments and like. 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Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124770394","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124048547,"gmtCreate":1624712483689,"gmtModify":1631891730249,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like 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","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166886796","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人不知情的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人不知情的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":124770394,"gmtCreate":1624798206318,"gmtModify":1631891730234,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comments and like. Thanks ","listText":"Comments and like. Thanks ","text":"Comments and like. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124770394","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156330062,"gmtCreate":1625194174257,"gmtModify":1631888932674,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comments. Thanks ","listText":"Like and comments. Thanks ","text":"Like and comments. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156330062","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高,新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨,上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示:“历史数据显示,如果上半年表现强劲,那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨,但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示:“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说,无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲,足以支撑价格,许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧,持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据,初请失业金人数继续下降,达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平,Challenger,Gray&Christmas的一份报告显示,美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%,创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI),6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓,其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据,在当前供需失衡的推动下,支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道:“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万,失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示:“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期,那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点,涨幅0.38%,至34,633.53点;标普500上涨22.44点,涨幅0.52%,至4,319.94点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点,涨幅0.13%,至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中,必需消费品是唯一的跌幅,下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量,股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂,该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1;在纳斯达克,1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高,新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨,上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示:“历史数据显示,如果上半年表现强劲,那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨,但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示:“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说,无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲,足以支撑价格,许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧,持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据,初请失业金人数继续下降,达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平,Challenger,Gray&Christmas的一份报告显示,美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%,创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI),6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓,其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据,在当前供需失衡的推动下,支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道:“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万,失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示:“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期,那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点,涨幅0.38%,至34,633.53点;标普500上涨22.44点,涨幅0.52%,至4,319.94点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点,涨幅0.13%,至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中,必需消费品是唯一的跌幅,下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量,股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂,该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1;在纳斯达克,1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171169659,"gmtCreate":1626715558271,"gmtModify":1631888932669,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171169659","repostId":"1160801924","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160801924","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626709874,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160801924?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 23:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160801924","media":"Benzinga","summary":"BioNTech SE is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from Gilead Science Inc'","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b> is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from <b>Gilead Science Inc's</b>GILD 0.91%Kite subsidiary.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>正在购买细胞治疗研发平台和生产基地<b>吉利德科学公司的</b>GILD 0.91%风筝子公司。</blockquote></p><p> The deal gives BioNTech Kite's R&D IP for its personalized solid tumor neoantigen T cell receptor (TCR) work and the manufacturing center in Gaithersburg, MD, which supplies the clinical trial product.</p><p><blockquote>该交易为BioNTech Kite提供了其个性化实体瘤新抗原T细胞受体(TCR)工作的研发知识产权,以及位于马里兰州盖瑟斯堡的制造中心,该中心提供了临床试验产品。</blockquote></p><p> This program builds and further extends BioNTech's leadership in individualized neoantigen targeting programs such as BNT122 (iNeST) and BNT221 (NEOSTIM).</p><p><blockquote>该项目建立并进一步扩展了BioNTech在个体化新抗原靶向项目(如BNT122(iNeST)和BNT221(NEOSTIM))中的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> The acquired Gaithersburg facility will provide production capacity to support clinical trials in the U.S. and complement BioNTech's existing cell therapy manufacturing facility in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>收购的盖瑟斯堡工厂将提供产能以支持美国的临床试验,并补充BioNTech在德国现有的细胞治疗制造工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Financial terms were not disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>财务条款没有披露。</blockquote></p><p> Kite's new manufacturing facility in Frederick, MD, for commercial production of CAR T-cell therapy is not part of the purchase agreement.</p><p><blockquote>Kite位于马里兰州弗雷德里克用于CAR T细胞疗法商业生产的新制造工厂不属于购买协议的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> BNTX shares are up 0.86% at $233.46 during the market session on the last check Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周一最后一次检查时,BNTX股价上涨0.86%,至233.46美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBioNTech Snaps Up Solid Tumor TCR Platform, Manufacturing Site From Gilead For Undisclosed Sum<blockquote>BioNTech从吉利德手中收购实体瘤TCR平台和生产基地,金额未公开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-19 23:51</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b> is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from <b>Gilead Science Inc's</b>GILD 0.91%Kite subsidiary.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a></b>正在购买细胞治疗研发平台和生产基地<b>吉利德科学公司的</b>GILD 0.91%风筝子公司。</blockquote></p><p> The deal gives BioNTech Kite's R&D IP for its personalized solid tumor neoantigen T cell receptor (TCR) work and the manufacturing center in Gaithersburg, MD, which supplies the clinical trial product.</p><p><blockquote>该交易为BioNTech Kite提供了其个性化实体瘤新抗原T细胞受体(TCR)工作的研发知识产权,以及位于马里兰州盖瑟斯堡的制造中心,该中心提供了临床试验产品。</blockquote></p><p> This program builds and further extends BioNTech's leadership in individualized neoantigen targeting programs such as BNT122 (iNeST) and BNT221 (NEOSTIM).</p><p><blockquote>该项目建立并进一步扩展了BioNTech在个体化新抗原靶向项目(如BNT122(iNeST)和BNT221(NEOSTIM))中的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> The acquired Gaithersburg facility will provide production capacity to support clinical trials in the U.S. and complement BioNTech's existing cell therapy manufacturing facility in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>收购的盖瑟斯堡工厂将提供产能以支持美国的临床试验,并补充BioNTech在德国现有的细胞治疗制造工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Financial terms were not disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>财务条款没有披露。</blockquote></p><p> Kite's new manufacturing facility in Frederick, MD, for commercial production of CAR T-cell therapy is not part of the purchase agreement.</p><p><blockquote>Kite位于马里兰州弗雷德里克用于CAR T细胞疗法商业生产的新制造工厂不属于购买协议的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> BNTX shares are up 0.86% at $233.46 during the market session on the last check Monday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周一最后一次检查时,BNTX股价上涨0.86%,至233.46美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GILD":"吉利德科学","BNTX":"BioNTech SE"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160801924","content_text":"BioNTech SE is buying a cell therapy R&D platform plus a manufacturing site from Gilead Science Inc'sGILD 0.91%Kite subsidiary.\nThe deal gives BioNTech Kite's R&D IP for its personalized solid tumor neoantigen T cell receptor (TCR) work and the manufacturing center in Gaithersburg, MD, which supplies the clinical trial product.\nThis program builds and further extends BioNTech's leadership in individualized neoantigen targeting programs such as BNT122 (iNeST) and BNT221 (NEOSTIM).\nThe acquired Gaithersburg facility will provide production capacity to support clinical trials in the U.S. and complement BioNTech's existing cell therapy manufacturing facility in Germany.\nFinancial terms were not disclosed.\nKite's new manufacturing facility in Frederick, MD, for commercial production of CAR T-cell therapy is not part of the purchase agreement.\nPrice Action: BNTX shares are up 0.86% at $233.46 during the market session on the last check Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BNTX":0.9,"GILD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802940313,"gmtCreate":1627710514332,"gmtModify":1631888932656,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Greqt","listText":"Greqt","text":"Greqt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802940313","repostId":"1138566016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138566016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627689251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138566016?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138566016","media":"Barron's","summary":"TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasensta","content":"<p>TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasenstab at the helm, the closed-end fund returned an average of 0.3% annually in the past decade, versus an average 7% for peers in global income. Also frustrating, its shares rarely traded close to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV. The discount averaged 11% in the past three years.</p><p><blockquote>邓普顿全球收益基金多年来一直让投资者感到沮丧。尽管明星经理迈克尔·哈森斯塔布(Michael Hasenstab)掌舵,但该封闭式基金在过去十年中的平均年回报率为0.3%,而全球收入同行的平均回报率为7%。同样令人沮丧的是,其股票的交易价格很少接近该基金的基础资产净值(NAV)。过去三年折扣平均为11%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have caught a break, however, thanks to Saba Capital Management, a hedge fund shop run by activist investor Boaz Weinstein. Saba amassed a 20% stake in the Templeton fund and recently won four contested board seats. It has been pressuring the board to take actions to boost the share price. Its moves have paid off: The fund has returned a total 4.5% this year as its share price improved, and the discount to NAV has shrunk to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,由于激进投资者Boaz Weinstein经营的对冲基金公司Saba Capital Management,投资者得到了喘息的机会。Saba持有邓普顿基金20%的股份,最近赢得了四个有争议的董事会席位。它一直在向董事会施压,要求其采取行动提振股价。其举措得到了回报:随着股价上涨,该基金今年的总回报率为4.5%,相对资产净值的折扣已缩小至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Tactics like Saba’s have long infuriated mutual fund companies; no one wants a hedge fund threatening a coup. Now, with some help from Congress, the playing field could tilt in favor of closed-end funds and their company sponsors, due to a bill recently introduced in the House. That could work against the interests of fund investors.</p><p><blockquote>像萨巴这样的策略长期以来一直激怒着共同基金公司;没有人希望对冲基金威胁政变。现在,在国会的一些帮助下,由于众议院最近提出的一项法案,竞争环境可能会向封闭式基金及其公司赞助商倾斜。这可能会损害基金投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> The Increasing Investor Opportunities Act, introduced in June by Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R., Ohio) and Rep. Gregory Meeks (D., New York), includes two measures that could make it much tougher for hedge funds to pressure closed-end funds and win proxy fights. One proposed change would lift the current 15% limit on closed-end-fund ownership of illiquid private funds, such as venture-capital and private-equity funds. A second measure would prevent activist hedge funds from acquiring more than 10% of a closed-end fund’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>《增加投资者机会法案》由俄亥俄州共和党众议员安东尼·冈萨雷斯(Anthony Gonzalez)和纽约州民主党众议员格雷戈里·米克斯(Gregory Meeks)于6月提出,其中包括两项措施,可能会使对冲基金更难向封闭式基金施压并赢得代理权之争。一项拟议的变化将取消目前对风险投资和私募股权基金等非流动性私募基金封闭式基金所有权15%的限制。第二项措施将阻止激进对冲基金收购封闭式基金10%以上的股份。</blockquote></p><p> A spokesman for Gonzalez declined to comment. Meeks didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>冈萨雷斯的发言人拒绝置评。米克斯没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Proponents of the changes say they would expand access to private markets for retail investors. They also say hedge funds are exploiting gaps in securities laws at a cost to long-term shareholders, saddling them with tax liabilities, higher fees, and forced fund liquidations. The bill would eliminate a “loophole that activist investors have used to extract short-term profits at the expense of retail investors,” the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, said in a recent statement.</p><p><blockquote>这些变化的支持者表示,他们将扩大散户投资者进入私人市场的机会。他们还表示,对冲基金正在利用证券法的漏洞,以牺牲长期股东的利益为代价,给他们带来纳税义务、更高的费用和强制基金清算的负担。投资公司协会(ICI)在最近的一份声明中表示,该法案将消除“激进投资者利用该漏洞以牺牲散户投资者的利益为代价来获取短期利润”。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds and portfolio managers who invest in closed-end funds say that mutual fund companies are simply trying to protect a pool of assets and fees from shareholder interference. Most retail investors don’t vote their shares in proxy contests. That may leave fund boards largely free to pursue their own agendas.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的对冲基金和投资组合经理表示,共同基金公司只是想保护一个资产池和费用不受股东干涉。大多数散户投资者不会在代理权竞争中投票。这可能会让基金董事会在很大程度上自由追求自己的议程。</blockquote></p><p> “Activism plays an important role, and if this bill passes, it will become more difficult for activists to threaten or create changes,” says Matt Buffington, a portfolio manager at Dryden Capital, an activist hedge fund.</p><p><blockquote>激进主义对冲基金德莱顿资本(Dryden Capital)的投资组合经理马特·巴芬顿(Matt Buffington)表示:“激进主义发挥着重要作用,如果这项法案获得通过,激进主义将更难威胁或创造变革。”</blockquote></p><p> Gregory Neer, a portfolio manager with Relative Value Partners, an advisory firm that invests in closed-end funds, agrees. “The ability for investors to pressure funds is beneficial to all shareholders,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的咨询公司Relative Value Partners的投资组合经理格雷戈里·尼尔(Gregory Neer)对此表示同意。“投资者向资金施压的能力对所有股东都有利,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Closed-end funds have long been popular with investors due to their high yields and steady distributions. Many use leverage, borrowing money at market rates to boost payouts. They also generate income with options strategies and investments in high-yielding areas of the stock and bond markets.</p><p><blockquote>封闭式基金由于收益率高、分配稳健,长期以来深受投资者欢迎。许多人使用杠杆,以市场利率借钱来增加支出。他们还通过期权策略以及对股票和债券市场高收益领域的投资来产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> But the funds have structural drawbacks. Expense ratios are steep, averaging 2.1%, according to Morningstar Direct. And since the funds have a fixed number of shares outstanding, prices reflect market demand for both a fund and its underlying assets. Funds usually trade at a discount to NAV. While it is attractive, in theory, to pay 90 cents for a dollar of assets, investors might never see the extra dime.</p><p><blockquote>但这些基金存在结构性缺陷。根据Morningstar Direct的数据,费用率很高,平均为2.1%。由于基金有固定数量的已发行股票,价格反映了市场对基金及其基础资产的需求。基金的交易价格通常低于资产净值。虽然从理论上讲,为一美元的资产支付90美分很有吸引力,但投资者可能永远看不到额外的一毛钱。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds aim to exploit this inefficiency, buying closed-end funds at below-market value. They then pressure fund boards to take steps to lift the funds’ prices. The playbook is straightforward: accumulate a stake, win board seats, and then force a fund company into a tender offer, whereby it agrees to repurchase shares at nearly full price.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金旨在利用这种低效率,以低于市场价值的价格购买封闭式基金。然后,他们向基金董事会施压,要求其采取措施提高基金价格。剧本很简单:积累股份,赢得董事会席位,然后迫使基金公司发起要约收购,同意以接近全价回购股票。</blockquote></p><p> If that fails, a hedge fund might try to replace a fund’s manager, orchestrate a liquidation of the fund, or get it converted to an open-end fund—moves that could also pay off with the share price rising to parity with the NAV. Firms like Saba have also taken over funds entirely.</p><p><blockquote>如果失败,对冲基金可能会尝试更换基金经理,策划基金清算,或将其转换为开放式基金——这些举措也可能随着股价上涨至与资产净值平价而获得回报。像Saba这样的公司也完全接管了资金。</blockquote></p><p> Giving closed-end funds freedom to own more private securities could throw a wrench into the strategy. Tender offers work only if a fund can liquidate most of its holdings at market prices. Because venture-capital and private-equity holdings generally don’t trade publicly, their pricing isn’t transparent. “When closed-end funds invest in illiquid things, it protects them from activism,” one activist manager tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>给予封闭式基金持有更多私人证券的自由可能会破坏这一策略。只有当基金能够以市场价格清算其大部分持股时,要约收购才会起作用。由于风险投资和私募股权控股公司通常不公开交易,因此它们的定价并不透明。一位激进主义经理表示:“当封闭式基金投资于非流动性的东西时,它可以保护它们免受激进主义的影响。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Removing the cap on private-fund ownership is “in line with a legislative agenda of getting retail investors more access to private investments,” says Thomas DeCapo, an attorney for the mutual fund industry.</p><p><blockquote>共同基金行业律师托马斯·迪卡波表示,取消私募基金所有权上限“符合让散户投资者更多获得私人投资的立法议程”。</blockquote></p><p> And capping activists at 10% of a fund doesn’t stop them from mounting proxy campaigns. “Nothing about this is antidemocratic,” he says. “It doesn’t stop a majority of investors who are unhappy or want change. It stops one investor from using its economic power, with other people’s money, to basically force changes on everybody else.”</p><p><blockquote>将活动人士的资金限制在10%并不能阻止他们发起代理活动。“这一切都不是反民主的,”他说。“这并不能阻止大多数不满意或想要改变的投资者。它阻止了一个投资者利用其经济实力和其他人的钱,基本上迫使其他人做出改变。”</blockquote></p><p> Investor advocates see it differently, however, saying fund investors could wind up paying higher fees for funds that hold more-opaque investments. “It’s just another fund-of-funds structure, and those are notoriously high-fee,” says Tyler Gellasch, head of Healthy Markets, an investor-protection group.</p><p><blockquote>然而,投资者倡导者对此有不同的看法,他们表示,基金投资者最终可能会为持有更不透明投资的基金支付更高的费用。投资者保护组织Healthy Markets的负责人泰勒·盖拉施(Tyler Gellasch)表示:“这只是另一种基金中的基金结构,而且费用是出了名的高。”</blockquote></p><p> Individual hedge funds technically can’t own more than 3% of a closed-end fund, under ownership restrictions in the Investment Company Act of 1940. But they skirt the rule by building stakes through affiliated entities, creating enough of a critical mass to force changes at a fund through proxy voting.</p><p><blockquote>根据1940年《投资公司法》的所有权限制,从技术上讲,个人对冲基金不能拥有封闭式基金超过3%的股份。但他们通过附属实体增持股份来规避这一规则,从而创造足够的临界质量,通过代理投票迫使基金发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> The ICI—the mutual fund industry’s lobby—has tried to persuade regulators to crack down on hedge funds. In a submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission last year, the ICI argued that hedge fund campaigns often consume a fund’s resources, trigger tax liabilities for long-term investors, and result in the forced selling of securities to meet a hedge fund’s demands for a tender offer. A fund’s expense ratio could increase if it is forced to buy back shares and its asset base shrinks.</p><p><blockquote>ICI——共同基金行业的游说团体——试图说服监管机构打击对冲基金。在去年提交给美国证券交易委员会的一份文件中,ICI辩称,对冲基金的活动往往会消耗基金的资源,引发长期投资者的纳税义务,并导致被迫出售证券以满足对冲基金的要约收购要求。如果基金被迫回购股票且资产基础萎缩,其费用率可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> The activist community’s “assault” on the industry has had a chilling effect on product launches, the ICI said, resulting in fewer closed-end funds on the market today than in 2007.</p><p><blockquote>ICI表示,维权人士对该行业的“攻击”对产品发布产生了寒蝉效应,导致目前市场上的封闭式基金比2007年有所减少。</blockquote></p><p> But hedge funds argue that changing the 1940 act would amount to a power grab by mutual funds. “This is all coming from the mutual fund industry, and it’s no coincidence that this protects them,” says Phil Goldstein, co-founder of Bulldog Investors, an activist that has long targeted closed-end funds. “There are funds with terrible performance and wide discounts. The ICI never says we need a mechanism where shareholders can hold those managers accountable.”</p><p><blockquote>但对冲基金认为,修改1940年法案无异于共同基金攫取权力。Bulldog Investors的联合创始人菲尔·戈尔茨坦(Phil Goldstein)表示:“这一切都来自共同基金行业,这保护了他们并非巧合。”Bulldog Investors是一位长期瞄准封闭式基金的活动家。“有些基金的业绩很糟糕,折扣很大。ICI从未说过我们需要一种机制,让股东可以让这些经理承担责任。”</blockquote></p><p> Imposing an ownership cap would also make proxy campaigns less economic. Limited to 10%, hedge funds wouldn’t own enough shares, with sufficient economic interest, to justify the expense of a proxy contest, which can cost millions of dollars. “If you’re limited to 10% and have to spend 2.5% of your assets on a proxy campaign, you’d say it’s too risky,” says Goldstein. “Meanwhile, management isn’t spending anything—just shareholder money. They want to make it economically unattractive to run a proxy contest.”</p><p><blockquote>设定所有权上限也会降低代理活动的经济性。仅限于10%,对冲基金不会拥有足够的股份和足够的经济利益来证明代理权竞争的费用是合理的,而代理权竞争可能会花费数百万美元。“如果你被限制在10%,并且必须将2.5%的资产用于代理活动,你会说风险太大,”戈尔茨坦说。“与此同时,管理层没有花费任何东西——只是股东的钱。他们想让举办代理权竞争在经济上失去吸引力。”</blockquote></p><p> Regulators and courts have expressed skepticism about some defenses that closed-end funds have adopted to prevent shareholder challenges. And, the SEC might not side with the fund industry. Since 2010, the SEC has warned fund companies against using state securities laws to thwart hedge fund takeovers. The SEC dropped its objection to these state “control share” laws last year under its Republican chairman, Jay Clayton. But the new, Democratic chairman, Gary Gensler, might reinstate the SEC’s objection—a reason for the industry to enlist Congress to change the law. The SEC didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构和法院对封闭式基金为防止股东挑战而采取的一些防御措施表示怀疑。而且,美国证券交易委员会可能不会站在基金行业一边。自2010年以来,SEC一直警告基金公司不要利用州证券法来阻止对冲基金收购。去年,在共和党主席杰伊·克莱顿的领导下,美国证券交易委员会放弃了对这些州“控股权”法的反对。但新任民主党主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)可能会恢复SEC的反对意见——这是该行业争取国会修改法律的一个理由。美国证券交易委员会没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Shareholder Services,a firm that makes recommendations on proxy voting, says investors should reject fund companies’ use of state control-share laws, which limit the voting rights of shareholders. With the SEC on the sidelines, ISS says, “CEF shareholders are denied important voting rights and are subject to management entrenchment.”</p><p><blockquote>就代理投票提出建议的机构股东服务公司表示,投资者应该拒绝基金公司使用限制股东投票权的国家控股权法。ISS表示,由于SEC的观望,“CEF股东被剥夺了重要的投票权,并受到管理层的巩固。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70323ed9daef142f19afd48be72b6299\" tg-width=\"755\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68beb47d59eb02e90b04eb7093f9f17b\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hedge funds don’t always win, but investors might want to ride along as activists build a stake. “When an activist comes in, you usually see an increase in the share price and a decrease in the discount,” says Matt Souther, an associate finance professor at the University of South Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金并不总是获胜,但随着激进分子增持股份,投资者可能希望随波逐流。南卡罗来纳大学金融学副教授马特·沙无然(Matt Souther)表示:“当激进分子介入时,你通常会看到股价上涨而折扣减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Templeton Global Income’s (ticker: GIM) discount to NAV could narrow further if Saba acquires more shares or tries to take over the fund’s $743 million in assets. Saba recently took over management of another fund, Voya Prime Rate Trust, which it rebrandedSaba Capital Income & Opportunities(BRW).Franklin Templetonand Saba declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>如果Saba收购更多股票或试图接管该基金7.43亿美元的资产,Templeton Global Income(股票代码:GIM)相对于资产净值的折扣可能会进一步缩小。Saba最近接管了另一只基金Voya Prime Rate Trust的管理,并将其更名为Saba Capital Income&Opportunities(BRW)。富兰克林邓普顿和Saba拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Miller/Howard High Income Equity(HIE) is also in Saba’s crosshairs. The fund is a “term trust” with a mandated liquidation date in 2024. It trades at a 5.9% discount to NAV. “In a worst-case scenario, you buy it at a discount and you’ll earn an excess return from now to 2024 because that discount will narrow,” says Patrick Galley, co-manager ofRiverNorth Opportunities(RIV), a closed-end fund that owns HIE.</p><p><blockquote>米勒/霍华德高收入股票(HIE)也是萨巴的目标。该基金是“定期信托”,强制清算日期为2024年。其交易价格较资产净值折价5.9%。封闭式RiverNorth Opportunities(RIV)联席经理帕特里克·加利(Patrick Galley)表示:“在最坏的情况下,你以折扣价购买,从现在到2024年,你将获得超额回报,因为折扣将会缩小。”拥有HIE的基金。</blockquote></p><p> Other closed-end funds in which Saba owns stakes includeSource Capital(SOR) andInvesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA). Bulldog has built a position inTortoise Energy Independence(NDP).</p><p><blockquote>Saba持有股份的其他封闭式基金包括Source Capital(SOR)和Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA)。Bulldog在乌龟能源独立(NDP)中建立了地位。</blockquote></p><p> Some closed-end funds look attractive on their fundamentals.Adams Diversified Equity(ADX) offers exposure to big tech stocks, trades at a 14% discount to NAV, and is committed to an annualized distribution of at least 6%. “For investors who expect tech to do well, ADX is a good holding,” says David Tepper, a closed-end investor and head of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco.</p><p><blockquote>一些封闭式基金的基本面看起来很有吸引力。Adams Diversified Equity(ADX)提供大型科技股的投资,交易价格较资产净值折价14%,并承诺年化分配至少6%。“对于预计科技股表现良好的投资者来说,ADX是一个不错的持股,”封闭式投资者兼旧金山Tepper Capital Management主管David Tepper表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sprott Focus Trust(FUND) is another fund he likes. Veteran small-cap manager Whitney George runs it, and his family owns 45% of the shares. It trades at a 10% discount and yields 5.7%. Tepper also favorsRoyce Global Value Trust(RGT), trading at a 9% discount and yielding 7.9%.</p><p><blockquote>Sprott Focus Trust(基金)是他喜欢的另一只基金。资深小盘股经理惠特尼·乔治(Whitney George)经营该公司,他的家族拥有45%的股份。其交易价格有10%的折扣,收益率为5.7%。Tepper还青睐Royce Global Value Trust(RGT),其交易价格折扣9%,收益率为7.9%。</blockquote></p><p> None of these funds has attracted much activist involvement, according to securities filings. But if activists see opportunity, they could pile in and pressure fund management—assuming that Congress doesn’t rewrite the rules of engagement.</p><p><blockquote>根据证券备案文件,这些基金都没有吸引太多激进分子的参与。但如果活动人士看到机会,他们可能会涌入并向基金管理层施压——假设国会不会重写交战规则。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Open Season on Closed-End Fund Activists. How Fund Holders Can Win—and Lose<blockquote>现在是封闭式基金积极分子的开放季节。基金持有人如何输赢</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 07:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasenstab at the helm, the closed-end fund returned an average of 0.3% annually in the past decade, versus an average 7% for peers in global income. Also frustrating, its shares rarely traded close to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV. The discount averaged 11% in the past three years.</p><p><blockquote>邓普顿全球收益基金多年来一直让投资者感到沮丧。尽管明星经理迈克尔·哈森斯塔布(Michael Hasenstab)掌舵,但该封闭式基金在过去十年中的平均年回报率为0.3%,而全球收入同行的平均回报率为7%。同样令人沮丧的是,其股票的交易价格很少接近该基金的基础资产净值(NAV)。过去三年折扣平均为11%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have caught a break, however, thanks to Saba Capital Management, a hedge fund shop run by activist investor Boaz Weinstein. Saba amassed a 20% stake in the Templeton fund and recently won four contested board seats. It has been pressuring the board to take actions to boost the share price. Its moves have paid off: The fund has returned a total 4.5% this year as its share price improved, and the discount to NAV has shrunk to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,由于激进投资者Boaz Weinstein经营的对冲基金公司Saba Capital Management,投资者得到了喘息的机会。Saba持有邓普顿基金20%的股份,最近赢得了四个有争议的董事会席位。它一直在向董事会施压,要求其采取行动提振股价。其举措得到了回报:随着股价上涨,该基金今年的总回报率为4.5%,相对资产净值的折扣已缩小至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Tactics like Saba’s have long infuriated mutual fund companies; no one wants a hedge fund threatening a coup. Now, with some help from Congress, the playing field could tilt in favor of closed-end funds and their company sponsors, due to a bill recently introduced in the House. That could work against the interests of fund investors.</p><p><blockquote>像萨巴这样的策略长期以来一直激怒着共同基金公司;没有人希望对冲基金威胁政变。现在,在国会的一些帮助下,由于众议院最近提出的一项法案,竞争环境可能会向封闭式基金及其公司赞助商倾斜。这可能会损害基金投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> The Increasing Investor Opportunities Act, introduced in June by Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R., Ohio) and Rep. Gregory Meeks (D., New York), includes two measures that could make it much tougher for hedge funds to pressure closed-end funds and win proxy fights. One proposed change would lift the current 15% limit on closed-end-fund ownership of illiquid private funds, such as venture-capital and private-equity funds. A second measure would prevent activist hedge funds from acquiring more than 10% of a closed-end fund’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>《增加投资者机会法案》由俄亥俄州共和党众议员安东尼·冈萨雷斯(Anthony Gonzalez)和纽约州民主党众议员格雷戈里·米克斯(Gregory Meeks)于6月提出,其中包括两项措施,可能会使对冲基金更难向封闭式基金施压并赢得代理权之争。一项拟议的变化将取消目前对风险投资和私募股权基金等非流动性私募基金封闭式基金所有权15%的限制。第二项措施将阻止激进对冲基金收购封闭式基金10%以上的股份。</blockquote></p><p> A spokesman for Gonzalez declined to comment. Meeks didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>冈萨雷斯的发言人拒绝置评。米克斯没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Proponents of the changes say they would expand access to private markets for retail investors. They also say hedge funds are exploiting gaps in securities laws at a cost to long-term shareholders, saddling them with tax liabilities, higher fees, and forced fund liquidations. The bill would eliminate a “loophole that activist investors have used to extract short-term profits at the expense of retail investors,” the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, said in a recent statement.</p><p><blockquote>这些变化的支持者表示,他们将扩大散户投资者进入私人市场的机会。他们还表示,对冲基金正在利用证券法的漏洞,以牺牲长期股东的利益为代价,给他们带来纳税义务、更高的费用和强制基金清算的负担。投资公司协会(ICI)在最近的一份声明中表示,该法案将消除“激进投资者利用该漏洞以牺牲散户投资者的利益为代价来获取短期利润”。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds and portfolio managers who invest in closed-end funds say that mutual fund companies are simply trying to protect a pool of assets and fees from shareholder interference. Most retail investors don’t vote their shares in proxy contests. That may leave fund boards largely free to pursue their own agendas.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的对冲基金和投资组合经理表示,共同基金公司只是想保护一个资产池和费用不受股东干涉。大多数散户投资者不会在代理权竞争中投票。这可能会让基金董事会在很大程度上自由追求自己的议程。</blockquote></p><p> “Activism plays an important role, and if this bill passes, it will become more difficult for activists to threaten or create changes,” says Matt Buffington, a portfolio manager at Dryden Capital, an activist hedge fund.</p><p><blockquote>激进主义对冲基金德莱顿资本(Dryden Capital)的投资组合经理马特·巴芬顿(Matt Buffington)表示:“激进主义发挥着重要作用,如果这项法案获得通过,激进主义将更难威胁或创造变革。”</blockquote></p><p> Gregory Neer, a portfolio manager with Relative Value Partners, an advisory firm that invests in closed-end funds, agrees. “The ability for investors to pressure funds is beneficial to all shareholders,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>投资封闭式基金的咨询公司Relative Value Partners的投资组合经理格雷戈里·尼尔(Gregory Neer)对此表示同意。“投资者向资金施压的能力对所有股东都有利,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Closed-end funds have long been popular with investors due to their high yields and steady distributions. Many use leverage, borrowing money at market rates to boost payouts. They also generate income with options strategies and investments in high-yielding areas of the stock and bond markets.</p><p><blockquote>封闭式基金由于收益率高、分配稳健,长期以来深受投资者欢迎。许多人使用杠杆,以市场利率借钱来增加支出。他们还通过期权策略以及对股票和债券市场高收益领域的投资来产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> But the funds have structural drawbacks. Expense ratios are steep, averaging 2.1%, according to Morningstar Direct. And since the funds have a fixed number of shares outstanding, prices reflect market demand for both a fund and its underlying assets. Funds usually trade at a discount to NAV. While it is attractive, in theory, to pay 90 cents for a dollar of assets, investors might never see the extra dime.</p><p><blockquote>但这些基金存在结构性缺陷。根据Morningstar Direct的数据,费用率很高,平均为2.1%。由于基金有固定数量的已发行股票,价格反映了市场对基金及其基础资产的需求。基金的交易价格通常低于资产净值。虽然从理论上讲,为一美元的资产支付90美分很有吸引力,但投资者可能永远看不到额外的一毛钱。</blockquote></p><p> Hedge funds aim to exploit this inefficiency, buying closed-end funds at below-market value. They then pressure fund boards to take steps to lift the funds’ prices. The playbook is straightforward: accumulate a stake, win board seats, and then force a fund company into a tender offer, whereby it agrees to repurchase shares at nearly full price.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金旨在利用这种低效率,以低于市场价值的价格购买封闭式基金。然后,他们向基金董事会施压,要求其采取措施提高基金价格。剧本很简单:积累股份,赢得董事会席位,然后迫使基金公司发起要约收购,同意以接近全价回购股票。</blockquote></p><p> If that fails, a hedge fund might try to replace a fund’s manager, orchestrate a liquidation of the fund, or get it converted to an open-end fund—moves that could also pay off with the share price rising to parity with the NAV. Firms like Saba have also taken over funds entirely.</p><p><blockquote>如果失败,对冲基金可能会尝试更换基金经理,策划基金清算,或将其转换为开放式基金——这些举措也可能随着股价上涨至与资产净值平价而获得回报。像Saba这样的公司也完全接管了资金。</blockquote></p><p> Giving closed-end funds freedom to own more private securities could throw a wrench into the strategy. Tender offers work only if a fund can liquidate most of its holdings at market prices. Because venture-capital and private-equity holdings generally don’t trade publicly, their pricing isn’t transparent. “When closed-end funds invest in illiquid things, it protects them from activism,” one activist manager tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>给予封闭式基金持有更多私人证券的自由可能会破坏这一策略。只有当基金能够以市场价格清算其大部分持股时,要约收购才会起作用。由于风险投资和私募股权控股公司通常不公开交易,因此它们的定价并不透明。一位激进主义经理表示:“当封闭式基金投资于非流动性的东西时,它可以保护它们免受激进主义的影响。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Removing the cap on private-fund ownership is “in line with a legislative agenda of getting retail investors more access to private investments,” says Thomas DeCapo, an attorney for the mutual fund industry.</p><p><blockquote>共同基金行业律师托马斯·迪卡波表示,取消私募基金所有权上限“符合让散户投资者更多获得私人投资的立法议程”。</blockquote></p><p> And capping activists at 10% of a fund doesn’t stop them from mounting proxy campaigns. “Nothing about this is antidemocratic,” he says. “It doesn’t stop a majority of investors who are unhappy or want change. It stops one investor from using its economic power, with other people’s money, to basically force changes on everybody else.”</p><p><blockquote>将活动人士的资金限制在10%并不能阻止他们发起代理活动。“这一切都不是反民主的,”他说。“这并不能阻止大多数不满意或想要改变的投资者。它阻止了一个投资者利用其经济实力和其他人的钱,基本上迫使其他人做出改变。”</blockquote></p><p> Investor advocates see it differently, however, saying fund investors could wind up paying higher fees for funds that hold more-opaque investments. “It’s just another fund-of-funds structure, and those are notoriously high-fee,” says Tyler Gellasch, head of Healthy Markets, an investor-protection group.</p><p><blockquote>然而,投资者倡导者对此有不同的看法,他们表示,基金投资者最终可能会为持有更不透明投资的基金支付更高的费用。投资者保护组织Healthy Markets的负责人泰勒·盖拉施(Tyler Gellasch)表示:“这只是另一种基金中的基金结构,而且费用是出了名的高。”</blockquote></p><p> Individual hedge funds technically can’t own more than 3% of a closed-end fund, under ownership restrictions in the Investment Company Act of 1940. But they skirt the rule by building stakes through affiliated entities, creating enough of a critical mass to force changes at a fund through proxy voting.</p><p><blockquote>根据1940年《投资公司法》的所有权限制,从技术上讲,个人对冲基金不能拥有封闭式基金超过3%的股份。但他们通过附属实体增持股份来规避这一规则,从而创造足够的临界质量,通过代理投票迫使基金发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> The ICI—the mutual fund industry’s lobby—has tried to persuade regulators to crack down on hedge funds. In a submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission last year, the ICI argued that hedge fund campaigns often consume a fund’s resources, trigger tax liabilities for long-term investors, and result in the forced selling of securities to meet a hedge fund’s demands for a tender offer. A fund’s expense ratio could increase if it is forced to buy back shares and its asset base shrinks.</p><p><blockquote>ICI——共同基金行业的游说团体——试图说服监管机构打击对冲基金。在去年提交给美国证券交易委员会的一份文件中,ICI辩称,对冲基金的活动往往会消耗基金的资源,引发长期投资者的纳税义务,并导致被迫出售证券以满足对冲基金的要约收购要求。如果基金被迫回购股票且资产基础萎缩,其费用率可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> The activist community’s “assault” on the industry has had a chilling effect on product launches, the ICI said, resulting in fewer closed-end funds on the market today than in 2007.</p><p><blockquote>ICI表示,维权人士对该行业的“攻击”对产品发布产生了寒蝉效应,导致目前市场上的封闭式基金比2007年有所减少。</blockquote></p><p> But hedge funds argue that changing the 1940 act would amount to a power grab by mutual funds. “This is all coming from the mutual fund industry, and it’s no coincidence that this protects them,” says Phil Goldstein, co-founder of Bulldog Investors, an activist that has long targeted closed-end funds. “There are funds with terrible performance and wide discounts. The ICI never says we need a mechanism where shareholders can hold those managers accountable.”</p><p><blockquote>但对冲基金认为,修改1940年法案无异于共同基金攫取权力。Bulldog Investors的联合创始人菲尔·戈尔茨坦(Phil Goldstein)表示:“这一切都来自共同基金行业,这保护了他们并非巧合。”Bulldog Investors是一位长期瞄准封闭式基金的活动家。“有些基金的业绩很糟糕,折扣很大。ICI从未说过我们需要一种机制,让股东可以让这些经理承担责任。”</blockquote></p><p> Imposing an ownership cap would also make proxy campaigns less economic. Limited to 10%, hedge funds wouldn’t own enough shares, with sufficient economic interest, to justify the expense of a proxy contest, which can cost millions of dollars. “If you’re limited to 10% and have to spend 2.5% of your assets on a proxy campaign, you’d say it’s too risky,” says Goldstein. “Meanwhile, management isn’t spending anything—just shareholder money. They want to make it economically unattractive to run a proxy contest.”</p><p><blockquote>设定所有权上限也会降低代理活动的经济性。仅限于10%,对冲基金不会拥有足够的股份和足够的经济利益来证明代理权竞争的费用是合理的,而代理权竞争可能会花费数百万美元。“如果你被限制在10%,并且必须将2.5%的资产用于代理活动,你会说风险太大,”戈尔茨坦说。“与此同时,管理层没有花费任何东西——只是股东的钱。他们想让举办代理权竞争在经济上失去吸引力。”</blockquote></p><p> Regulators and courts have expressed skepticism about some defenses that closed-end funds have adopted to prevent shareholder challenges. And, the SEC might not side with the fund industry. Since 2010, the SEC has warned fund companies against using state securities laws to thwart hedge fund takeovers. The SEC dropped its objection to these state “control share” laws last year under its Republican chairman, Jay Clayton. But the new, Democratic chairman, Gary Gensler, might reinstate the SEC’s objection—a reason for the industry to enlist Congress to change the law. The SEC didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构和法院对封闭式基金为防止股东挑战而采取的一些防御措施表示怀疑。而且,美国证券交易委员会可能不会站在基金行业一边。自2010年以来,SEC一直警告基金公司不要利用州证券法来阻止对冲基金收购。去年,在共和党主席杰伊·克莱顿的领导下,美国证券交易委员会放弃了对这些州“控股权”法的反对。但新任民主党主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)可能会恢复SEC的反对意见——这是该行业争取国会修改法律的一个理由。美国证券交易委员会没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional Shareholder Services,a firm that makes recommendations on proxy voting, says investors should reject fund companies’ use of state control-share laws, which limit the voting rights of shareholders. With the SEC on the sidelines, ISS says, “CEF shareholders are denied important voting rights and are subject to management entrenchment.”</p><p><blockquote>就代理投票提出建议的机构股东服务公司表示,投资者应该拒绝基金公司使用限制股东投票权的国家控股权法。ISS表示,由于SEC的观望,“CEF股东被剥夺了重要的投票权,并受到管理层的巩固。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70323ed9daef142f19afd48be72b6299\" tg-width=\"755\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68beb47d59eb02e90b04eb7093f9f17b\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hedge funds don’t always win, but investors might want to ride along as activists build a stake. “When an activist comes in, you usually see an increase in the share price and a decrease in the discount,” says Matt Souther, an associate finance professor at the University of South Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金并不总是获胜,但随着激进分子增持股份,投资者可能希望随波逐流。南卡罗来纳大学金融学副教授马特·沙无然(Matt Souther)表示:“当激进分子介入时,你通常会看到股价上涨而折扣减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Templeton Global Income’s (ticker: GIM) discount to NAV could narrow further if Saba acquires more shares or tries to take over the fund’s $743 million in assets. Saba recently took over management of another fund, Voya Prime Rate Trust, which it rebrandedSaba Capital Income & Opportunities(BRW).Franklin Templetonand Saba declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>如果Saba收购更多股票或试图接管该基金7.43亿美元的资产,Templeton Global Income(股票代码:GIM)相对于资产净值的折扣可能会进一步缩小。Saba最近接管了另一只基金Voya Prime Rate Trust的管理,并将其更名为Saba Capital Income&Opportunities(BRW)。富兰克林邓普顿和Saba拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Miller/Howard High Income Equity(HIE) is also in Saba’s crosshairs. The fund is a “term trust” with a mandated liquidation date in 2024. It trades at a 5.9% discount to NAV. “In a worst-case scenario, you buy it at a discount and you’ll earn an excess return from now to 2024 because that discount will narrow,” says Patrick Galley, co-manager ofRiverNorth Opportunities(RIV), a closed-end fund that owns HIE.</p><p><blockquote>米勒/霍华德高收入股票(HIE)也是萨巴的目标。该基金是“定期信托”,强制清算日期为2024年。其交易价格较资产净值折价5.9%。封闭式RiverNorth Opportunities(RIV)联席经理帕特里克·加利(Patrick Galley)表示:“在最坏的情况下,你以折扣价购买,从现在到2024年,你将获得超额回报,因为折扣将会缩小。”拥有HIE的基金。</blockquote></p><p> Other closed-end funds in which Saba owns stakes includeSource Capital(SOR) andInvesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA). Bulldog has built a position inTortoise Energy Independence(NDP).</p><p><blockquote>Saba持有股份的其他封闭式基金包括Source Capital(SOR)和Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA)。Bulldog在乌龟能源独立(NDP)中建立了地位。</blockquote></p><p> Some closed-end funds look attractive on their fundamentals.Adams Diversified Equity(ADX) offers exposure to big tech stocks, trades at a 14% discount to NAV, and is committed to an annualized distribution of at least 6%. “For investors who expect tech to do well, ADX is a good holding,” says David Tepper, a closed-end investor and head of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco.</p><p><blockquote>一些封闭式基金的基本面看起来很有吸引力。Adams Diversified Equity(ADX)提供大型科技股的投资,交易价格较资产净值折价14%,并承诺年化分配至少6%。“对于预计科技股表现良好的投资者来说,ADX是一个不错的持股,”封闭式投资者兼旧金山Tepper Capital Management主管David Tepper表示。</blockquote></p><p> Sprott Focus Trust(FUND) is another fund he likes. Veteran small-cap manager Whitney George runs it, and his family owns 45% of the shares. It trades at a 10% discount and yields 5.7%. Tepper also favorsRoyce Global Value Trust(RGT), trading at a 9% discount and yielding 7.9%.</p><p><blockquote>Sprott Focus Trust(基金)是他喜欢的另一只基金。资深小盘股经理惠特尼·乔治(Whitney George)经营该公司,他的家族拥有45%的股份。其交易价格有10%的折扣,收益率为5.7%。Tepper还青睐Royce Global Value Trust(RGT),其交易价格折扣9%,收益率为7.9%。</blockquote></p><p> None of these funds has attracted much activist involvement, according to securities filings. But if activists see opportunity, they could pile in and pressure fund management—assuming that Congress doesn’t rewrite the rules of engagement.</p><p><blockquote>根据证券备案文件,这些基金都没有吸引太多激进分子的参与。但如果活动人士看到机会,他们可能会涌入并向基金管理层施压——假设国会不会重写交战规则。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/congress-closed-end-funds-legislation-51627657959?mod=newsviewer_click\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/congress-closed-end-funds-legislation-51627657959?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138566016","content_text":"TheTempleton Global Incomefund frustrated investors for years. Despite star manager Michael Hasenstab at the helm, the closed-end fund returned an average of 0.3% annually in the past decade, versus an average 7% for peers in global income. Also frustrating, its shares rarely traded close to the fund’s underlying net asset value, or NAV. The discount averaged 11% in the past three years.\nInvestors have caught a break, however, thanks to Saba Capital Management, a hedge fund shop run by activist investor Boaz Weinstein. Saba amassed a 20% stake in the Templeton fund and recently won four contested board seats. It has been pressuring the board to take actions to boost the share price. Its moves have paid off: The fund has returned a total 4.5% this year as its share price improved, and the discount to NAV has shrunk to 4%.\nTactics like Saba’s have long infuriated mutual fund companies; no one wants a hedge fund threatening a coup. Now, with some help from Congress, the playing field could tilt in favor of closed-end funds and their company sponsors, due to a bill recently introduced in the House. That could work against the interests of fund investors.\nThe Increasing Investor Opportunities Act, introduced in June by Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R., Ohio) and Rep. Gregory Meeks (D., New York), includes two measures that could make it much tougher for hedge funds to pressure closed-end funds and win proxy fights. One proposed change would lift the current 15% limit on closed-end-fund ownership of illiquid private funds, such as venture-capital and private-equity funds. A second measure would prevent activist hedge funds from acquiring more than 10% of a closed-end fund’s shares.\nA spokesman for Gonzalez declined to comment. Meeks didn’t respond to requests for comment.\nProponents of the changes say they would expand access to private markets for retail investors. They also say hedge funds are exploiting gaps in securities laws at a cost to long-term shareholders, saddling them with tax liabilities, higher fees, and forced fund liquidations. The bill would eliminate a “loophole that activist investors have used to extract short-term profits at the expense of retail investors,” the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, said in a recent statement.\nHedge funds and portfolio managers who invest in closed-end funds say that mutual fund companies are simply trying to protect a pool of assets and fees from shareholder interference. Most retail investors don’t vote their shares in proxy contests. That may leave fund boards largely free to pursue their own agendas.\n“Activism plays an important role, and if this bill passes, it will become more difficult for activists to threaten or create changes,” says Matt Buffington, a portfolio manager at Dryden Capital, an activist hedge fund.\nGregory Neer, a portfolio manager with Relative Value Partners, an advisory firm that invests in closed-end funds, agrees. “The ability for investors to pressure funds is beneficial to all shareholders,” he says.\nClosed-end funds have long been popular with investors due to their high yields and steady distributions. Many use leverage, borrowing money at market rates to boost payouts. They also generate income with options strategies and investments in high-yielding areas of the stock and bond markets.\nBut the funds have structural drawbacks. Expense ratios are steep, averaging 2.1%, according to Morningstar Direct. And since the funds have a fixed number of shares outstanding, prices reflect market demand for both a fund and its underlying assets. Funds usually trade at a discount to NAV. While it is attractive, in theory, to pay 90 cents for a dollar of assets, investors might never see the extra dime.\nHedge funds aim to exploit this inefficiency, buying closed-end funds at below-market value. They then pressure fund boards to take steps to lift the funds’ prices. The playbook is straightforward: accumulate a stake, win board seats, and then force a fund company into a tender offer, whereby it agrees to repurchase shares at nearly full price.\nIf that fails, a hedge fund might try to replace a fund’s manager, orchestrate a liquidation of the fund, or get it converted to an open-end fund—moves that could also pay off with the share price rising to parity with the NAV. Firms like Saba have also taken over funds entirely.\nGiving closed-end funds freedom to own more private securities could throw a wrench into the strategy. Tender offers work only if a fund can liquidate most of its holdings at market prices. Because venture-capital and private-equity holdings generally don’t trade publicly, their pricing isn’t transparent. “When closed-end funds invest in illiquid things, it protects them from activism,” one activist manager tellsBarron’s.\nRemoving the cap on private-fund ownership is “in line with a legislative agenda of getting retail investors more access to private investments,” says Thomas DeCapo, an attorney for the mutual fund industry.\nAnd capping activists at 10% of a fund doesn’t stop them from mounting proxy campaigns. “Nothing about this is antidemocratic,” he says. “It doesn’t stop a majority of investors who are unhappy or want change. It stops one investor from using its economic power, with other people’s money, to basically force changes on everybody else.”\nInvestor advocates see it differently, however, saying fund investors could wind up paying higher fees for funds that hold more-opaque investments. “It’s just another fund-of-funds structure, and those are notoriously high-fee,” says Tyler Gellasch, head of Healthy Markets, an investor-protection group.\nIndividual hedge funds technically can’t own more than 3% of a closed-end fund, under ownership restrictions in the Investment Company Act of 1940. But they skirt the rule by building stakes through affiliated entities, creating enough of a critical mass to force changes at a fund through proxy voting.\nThe ICI—the mutual fund industry’s lobby—has tried to persuade regulators to crack down on hedge funds. In a submission to the Securities and Exchange Commission last year, the ICI argued that hedge fund campaigns often consume a fund’s resources, trigger tax liabilities for long-term investors, and result in the forced selling of securities to meet a hedge fund’s demands for a tender offer. A fund’s expense ratio could increase if it is forced to buy back shares and its asset base shrinks.\nThe activist community’s “assault” on the industry has had a chilling effect on product launches, the ICI said, resulting in fewer closed-end funds on the market today than in 2007.\nBut hedge funds argue that changing the 1940 act would amount to a power grab by mutual funds. “This is all coming from the mutual fund industry, and it’s no coincidence that this protects them,” says Phil Goldstein, co-founder of Bulldog Investors, an activist that has long targeted closed-end funds. “There are funds with terrible performance and wide discounts. The ICI never says we need a mechanism where shareholders can hold those managers accountable.”\nImposing an ownership cap would also make proxy campaigns less economic. Limited to 10%, hedge funds wouldn’t own enough shares, with sufficient economic interest, to justify the expense of a proxy contest, which can cost millions of dollars. “If you’re limited to 10% and have to spend 2.5% of your assets on a proxy campaign, you’d say it’s too risky,” says Goldstein. “Meanwhile, management isn’t spending anything—just shareholder money. They want to make it economically unattractive to run a proxy contest.”\nRegulators and courts have expressed skepticism about some defenses that closed-end funds have adopted to prevent shareholder challenges. And, the SEC might not side with the fund industry. Since 2010, the SEC has warned fund companies against using state securities laws to thwart hedge fund takeovers. The SEC dropped its objection to these state “control share” laws last year under its Republican chairman, Jay Clayton. But the new, Democratic chairman, Gary Gensler, might reinstate the SEC’s objection—a reason for the industry to enlist Congress to change the law. The SEC didn’t respond to requests for comment.\nInstitutional Shareholder Services,a firm that makes recommendations on proxy voting, says investors should reject fund companies’ use of state control-share laws, which limit the voting rights of shareholders. With the SEC on the sidelines, ISS says, “CEF shareholders are denied important voting rights and are subject to management entrenchment.”\nHedge funds don’t always win, but investors might want to ride along as activists build a stake. “When an activist comes in, you usually see an increase in the share price and a decrease in the discount,” says Matt Souther, an associate finance professor at the University of South Carolina.\nTempleton Global Income’s (ticker: GIM) discount to NAV could narrow further if Saba acquires more shares or tries to take over the fund’s $743 million in assets. Saba recently took over management of another fund, Voya Prime Rate Trust, which it rebrandedSaba Capital Income & Opportunities(BRW).Franklin Templetonand Saba declined to comment.\nMiller/Howard High Income Equity(HIE) is also in Saba’s crosshairs. The fund is a “term trust” with a mandated liquidation date in 2024. It trades at a 5.9% discount to NAV. “In a worst-case scenario, you buy it at a discount and you’ll earn an excess return from now to 2024 because that discount will narrow,” says Patrick Galley, co-manager ofRiverNorth Opportunities(RIV), a closed-end fund that owns HIE.\nOther closed-end funds in which Saba owns stakes includeSource Capital(SOR) andInvesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities(VTA). Bulldog has built a position inTortoise Energy Independence(NDP).\nSome closed-end funds look attractive on their fundamentals.Adams Diversified Equity(ADX) offers exposure to big tech stocks, trades at a 14% discount to NAV, and is committed to an annualized distribution of at least 6%. “For investors who expect tech to do well, ADX is a good holding,” says David Tepper, a closed-end investor and head of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco.\nSprott Focus Trust(FUND) is another fund he likes. Veteran small-cap manager Whitney George runs it, and his family owns 45% of the shares. It trades at a 10% discount and yields 5.7%. Tepper also favorsRoyce Global Value Trust(RGT), trading at a 9% discount and yielding 7.9%.\nNone of these funds has attracted much activist involvement, according to securities filings. But if activists see opportunity, they could pile in and pressure fund management—assuming that Congress doesn’t rewrite the rules of engagement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177874261,"gmtCreate":1627202690853,"gmtModify":1631888932663,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177874261","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善,IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM连续四个季度收入下降,过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司(IBM)是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是,对于投资者来说,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务,并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少,自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题,同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元,超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,营收为187亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期,同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低,下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将主要分拆为Kyndryl,但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月,云总收入为270亿美元,增长了15%,而本季度云收入增长了13%,达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元,调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司,往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,为了准确评估该股票,投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司,也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易,97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险,而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来,这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而,在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上,首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元(业务),我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究,也属于其他预测的中间,是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道,该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外,还有另一个潜在增长的来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台专为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章“IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元,预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%,将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是,该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来,对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平,这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的:IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率,当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时,该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善,IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM连续四个季度收入下降,过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司(IBM)是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是,对于投资者来说,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务,并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少,自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题,同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元,超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,营收为187亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期,同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低,下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将主要分拆为Kyndryl,但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月,云总收入为270亿美元,增长了15%,而本季度云收入增长了13%,达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元,调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司,往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,为了准确评估该股票,投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司,也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易,97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险,而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来,这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而,在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上,首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元(业务),我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究,也属于其他预测的中间,是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道,该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外,还有另一个潜在增长的来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台专为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章“IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元,预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%,将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是,该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来,对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平,这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的:IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率,当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时,该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150890470,"gmtCreate":1624891666290,"gmtModify":1631891730221,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150890470","repostId":"1150095060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150095060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624874134,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150095060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 17:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150095060","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant $DiDi Global Inc.$.DiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.Cybersecurity platform $SentinelOne, Inc$","content":"<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元,由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b> plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序,在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏,这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台,可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据,以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日,该公司快速增长且未盈利,拥有超过4,700名客户,高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform <b>D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营,在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速,但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业,通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度,尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示,它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台,并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利,业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程,主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日,Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚(开曼)有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示,以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别,是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长,该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务:家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日,该公司拥有超过1,600名客户,目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示,它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来,已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日,Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利,为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算,Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销,这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验,预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider <b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示,它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”,在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长,主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer <b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>)计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101,这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压(PAH)的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究,并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示,其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed <b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>)计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统,这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法,用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入,目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了2.7%,而标普500上涨了13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%,而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周:滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元,由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b> plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序,在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏,这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台,可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据,以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日,该公司快速增长且未盈利,拥有超过4,700名客户,高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform <b>D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营,在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速,但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业,通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度,尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示,它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台,并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利,业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程,主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日,Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚(开曼)有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示,以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别,是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长,该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务:家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日,该公司拥有超过1,600名客户,目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示,它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来,已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日,Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利,为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算,Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销,这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验,预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider <b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示,它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”,在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长,主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer <b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>)计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101,这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压(PAH)的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究,并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示,其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed <b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>)计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统,这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法,用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入,目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了2.7%,而标普500上涨了13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%,而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABOS":"Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","XMTR":"Xometry, Inc.","IAS":"Integral Ad Science Holding","INTA":"Intapp, Inc.","CVRX":"CVRx, Inc.","EVCM":"EverCommerce Inc.","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","CURV":"Torrid Holdings","YOU":"Clear Secure, Inc.","S":"SentinelOne, Inc","HEPS":"D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading","DDL":"叮咚买菜"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150095060","content_text":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant DiDi Global Inc..\nDiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.\nCybersecurity platform SentinelOne, Inc plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.\nTurkish e-commerce platform D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.\nDoughnut brand Krispy Kreme, Inc. plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.\nLegal solutions provider LegalZoom.com, Inc plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.\nIdentity verification platform Clear Secure, Inc. plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.\nChinese grocery delivery platform Dingdong (Cayman) Limited plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.\nSaaS solutions provider EverCommerce Inc. plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.\nSoftware provider Intapp, Inc. plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.\nOnline manufacturing marketplace Xometry, Inc. plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.\nIntegral Ad Science Holding LLC plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.\nPlus-sized women’s apparel brand Torrid Holdings plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.\nAlzheimer’s biotech Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.\nDigital financial services provider AMTD Digital($(HKD)$) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.\nDrug formulation developer Aerovate Therapeutics($(AVTE)$) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.\nNeuromodulation device provider CVRx Inc plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.\nBelgium-listed Nyxoah($(NYXH)$) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"S":0.9,"HEPS":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"YOU":0.9,"INTA":0.9,"CVRX":0.9,"HKIB":0.9,"CURV":0.9,"ABOS":0.9,"XMTR":0.9,"EVCM":0.9,"DNUT":0.9,"IAS":0.9,"LZ":0.9,"DDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156963542,"gmtCreate":1625190758486,"gmtModify":1631888932679,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ","listText":"Great ","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156963542","repostId":"1174610224","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174610224","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625188786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174610224?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174610224","media":"thestreet","summary":"Micron Technology (MU) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (NVDA) wa","content":"<p>Micron Technology (<b>MU</b>) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (<b>NVDA</b>) was bucking the trend.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技(<b>穆</b>)-Get报告和其他芯片股周四下跌,但英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>)正在逆势而上。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (<b>SOXX</b>) was down 1.4% at closing. Micron, the biggest decliner in the benchmark chip index, fell 5.7% to $80.11.</p><p><blockquote>iShares PHLX半导体ETF(<b>SOXX</b>)收盘下跌1.4%。基准芯片指数跌幅最大的美光科技下跌5.7%,至80.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other semiconductor industry companies losing ground Thursday included Applied Materials (<b>AMAT</b>), down 3.1%; Lam Research (<b>LRCX</b>) -Get Report, off 2.7%, and Texas Instruments (<b>TXN</b>) -Get Report was off nearly 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周四下跌的其他半导体行业公司包括应用材料公司(<b>阿马特</b>),下跌3.1%;Lam Research(<b>LRCX</b>)-获取报告,折扣2.7%,德州仪器(<b>TXN</b>)-Get报告下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> Video Preview: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech - VanEckWatch this exclusive conversation, The Evolution of Blockchain: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech. A free webinar with premiere experts, sponsored by VanEck.Volume 90%</p><p><blockquote>视频预览:加密的基础如何改变金融科技-VanEckWatch这个独家对话,区块链的演变:加密的基础如何改变金融科技。由VanEck赞助的premiere专家免费网络研讨会。体积90%</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia, however, were up 1.1%, afterBMO Capital Marketsanalyst Ambrish Srivastava raised his price target on the chip titan to $1,000 from $75 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>然而,BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava将这家芯片巨头的目标股价从75美元上调至1,000美元,并确认跑赢大盘评级后,英伟达股价上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The target on the Santa Clara, Calif., company is the highest on Wall Street, according to Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博称,这家位于加州圣克拉拉的公司的目标是华尔街最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology shares fell even after the company reportedfiscal-third-quarternet income per share more than doubled on 36% higher revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美光科技公布第三财季每股净收入增长了一倍多,收入增长了36%,但该公司股价仍下跌。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter ended June 3, Micron earned $1.74 billion, or $1.52 a share, compared with $803 million, or 71 cents, in the year-earlier quarter. The latest adjusted earnings were $1.88 a share. Revenue reached $7.42 billion from $5.44 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月3日的季度,美光科技盈利17.4亿美元,即每股1.52美元,而去年同期为8.03亿美元,即每股71美分。最新调整后每股收益为1.88美元。营收从54.4亿美元达到74.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Several analysts raised their price targets for Micron, but UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered the firm's price target to $110 from $120, while keeping a buy rating, according to the Fly.</p><p><blockquote>据the Fly报道,多位分析师上调了美光科技的目标价,但瑞银分析师蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)将该公司的目标价从120美元下调至110美元,同时维持买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> He noted that the company's cycle commentary should address investors' concerns regarding sustainability, but the management's outlook on cost and capital expenditures \"take a bite\" out of 2022 free cash flows.</p><p><blockquote>他指出,该公司的周期评论应该解决投资者对可持续性的担忧,但管理层对成本和资本支出的展望“影响”了2022年自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet FounderJim Cramer said\"there's a lot of people saying 'PCs peaked,' and that's bad for Micron.\"</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)表示:“很多人说‘个人电脑已见顶’,这对美光科技不利。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer added that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra \"did not say what I wanted to hear, which is, 'look everything is on allocation.'\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默补充说,首席执行官桑杰·梅赫罗特拉“没有说出我想听到的话,即‘看,一切都在分配中。’”</blockquote></p><p> \"And because he didn’t do that,\" Cramer said, \"people are saying 'you know what, it’s time to focus on other semis, and go up the food chain, not down.' And that would be Nvidia.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因为他没有这样做,”克莱默说,“人们会说‘你知道吗,是时候专注于其他半决赛了,走上食物链的上游,而不是下游。’那就是英伟达。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron and Chip Stocks Drop but Nvidia Climbs<blockquote>美光科技和芯片股下跌,但英伟达上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 09:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Micron Technology (<b>MU</b>) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (<b>NVDA</b>) was bucking the trend.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技(<b>穆</b>)-Get报告和其他芯片股周四下跌,但英伟达(<b>NVDA</b>)正在逆势而上。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (<b>SOXX</b>) was down 1.4% at closing. Micron, the biggest decliner in the benchmark chip index, fell 5.7% to $80.11.</p><p><blockquote>iShares PHLX半导体ETF(<b>SOXX</b>)收盘下跌1.4%。基准芯片指数跌幅最大的美光科技下跌5.7%,至80.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other semiconductor industry companies losing ground Thursday included Applied Materials (<b>AMAT</b>), down 3.1%; Lam Research (<b>LRCX</b>) -Get Report, off 2.7%, and Texas Instruments (<b>TXN</b>) -Get Report was off nearly 1%.</p><p><blockquote>周四下跌的其他半导体行业公司包括应用材料公司(<b>阿马特</b>),下跌3.1%;Lam Research(<b>LRCX</b>)-获取报告,折扣2.7%,德州仪器(<b>TXN</b>)-Get报告下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> Video Preview: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech - VanEckWatch this exclusive conversation, The Evolution of Blockchain: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech. A free webinar with premiere experts, sponsored by VanEck.Volume 90%</p><p><blockquote>视频预览:加密的基础如何改变金融科技-VanEckWatch这个独家对话,区块链的演变:加密的基础如何改变金融科技。由VanEck赞助的premiere专家免费网络研讨会。体积90%</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia, however, were up 1.1%, afterBMO Capital Marketsanalyst Ambrish Srivastava raised his price target on the chip titan to $1,000 from $75 and affirmed an outperform rating.</p><p><blockquote>然而,BMO资本市场分析师Ambrish Srivastava将这家芯片巨头的目标股价从75美元上调至1,000美元,并确认跑赢大盘评级后,英伟达股价上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> The target on the Santa Clara, Calif., company is the highest on Wall Street, according to Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博称,这家位于加州圣克拉拉的公司的目标是华尔街最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology shares fell even after the company reportedfiscal-third-quarternet income per share more than doubled on 36% higher revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管美光科技公布第三财季每股净收入增长了一倍多,收入增长了36%,但该公司股价仍下跌。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter ended June 3, Micron earned $1.74 billion, or $1.52 a share, compared with $803 million, or 71 cents, in the year-earlier quarter. The latest adjusted earnings were $1.88 a share. Revenue reached $7.42 billion from $5.44 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月3日的季度,美光科技盈利17.4亿美元,即每股1.52美元,而去年同期为8.03亿美元,即每股71美分。最新调整后每股收益为1.88美元。营收从54.4亿美元达到74.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Several analysts raised their price targets for Micron, but UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered the firm's price target to $110 from $120, while keeping a buy rating, according to the Fly.</p><p><blockquote>据the Fly报道,多位分析师上调了美光科技的目标价,但瑞银分析师蒂莫西·阿库里(Timothy Arcuri)将该公司的目标价从120美元下调至110美元,同时维持买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> He noted that the company's cycle commentary should address investors' concerns regarding sustainability, but the management's outlook on cost and capital expenditures \"take a bite\" out of 2022 free cash flows.</p><p><blockquote>他指出,该公司的周期评论应该解决投资者对可持续性的担忧,但管理层对成本和资本支出的展望“影响”了2022年自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet FounderJim Cramer said\"there's a lot of people saying 'PCs peaked,' and that's bad for Micron.\"</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)表示:“很多人说‘个人电脑已见顶’,这对美光科技不利。”</blockquote></p><p> Cramer added that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra \"did not say what I wanted to hear, which is, 'look everything is on allocation.'\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默补充说,首席执行官桑杰·梅赫罗特拉“没有说出我想听到的话,即‘看,一切都在分配中。’”</blockquote></p><p> \"And because he didn’t do that,\" Cramer said, \"people are saying 'you know what, it’s time to focus on other semis, and go up the food chain, not down.' And that would be Nvidia.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因为他没有这样做,”克莱默说,“人们会说‘你知道吗,是时候专注于其他半决赛了,走上食物链的上游,而不是下游。’那就是英伟达。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/micron-sinks-most-chip-stocks-but-nvidia-climbs?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","LRCX":"拉姆研究","NVDA":"英伟达","TXN":"德州仪器","AMAT":"应用材料"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/micron-sinks-most-chip-stocks-but-nvidia-climbs?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174610224","content_text":"Micron Technology (MU) -Get Report and other chip stocks were falling Thursday, but Nvidia (NVDA) was bucking the trend.\nThe iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) was down 1.4% at closing. Micron, the biggest decliner in the benchmark chip index, fell 5.7% to $80.11.\nOther semiconductor industry companies losing ground Thursday included Applied Materials (AMAT), down 3.1%; Lam Research (LRCX) -Get Report, off 2.7%, and Texas Instruments (TXN) -Get Report was off nearly 1%.\nVideo Preview: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech - VanEckWatch this exclusive conversation, The Evolution of Blockchain: How the Foundation of Crypto Is Changing Fintech. A free webinar with premiere experts, sponsored by VanEck.Volume 90%\nShares of Nvidia, however, were up 1.1%, afterBMO Capital Marketsanalyst Ambrish Srivastava raised his price target on the chip titan to $1,000 from $75 and affirmed an outperform rating.\nThe target on the Santa Clara, Calif., company is the highest on Wall Street, according to Bloomberg.\nMicron Technology shares fell even after the company reportedfiscal-third-quarternet income per share more than doubled on 36% higher revenue.\nFor the quarter ended June 3, Micron earned $1.74 billion, or $1.52 a share, compared with $803 million, or 71 cents, in the year-earlier quarter. The latest adjusted earnings were $1.88 a share. Revenue reached $7.42 billion from $5.44 billion.\nSeveral analysts raised their price targets for Micron, but UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered the firm's price target to $110 from $120, while keeping a buy rating, according to the Fly.\nHe noted that the company's cycle commentary should address investors' concerns regarding sustainability, but the management's outlook on cost and capital expenditures \"take a bite\" out of 2022 free cash flows.\nTheStreet FounderJim Cramer said\"there's a lot of people saying 'PCs peaked,' and that's bad for Micron.\"\nCramer added that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra \"did not say what I wanted to hear, which is, 'look everything is on allocation.'\"\n\"And because he didn’t do that,\" Cramer said, \"people are saying 'you know what, it’s time to focus on other semis, and go up the food chain, not down.' And that would be Nvidia.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9,"TXN":0.9,"LRCX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AMAT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121232361,"gmtCreate":1624464795553,"gmtModify":1631891730292,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good interesting ","listText":"Good interesting ","text":"Good interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121232361","repostId":"1134575663","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122947974,"gmtCreate":1624595113698,"gmtModify":1631891730257,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comments ","listText":"Like and comments ","text":"Like and comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122947974","repostId":"2146023477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166886796,"gmtCreate":1624002082415,"gmtModify":1631891730318,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes ","listText":"Yes ","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166886796","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人不知情的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人不知情的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804797986,"gmtCreate":1627978719845,"gmtModify":1631888932652,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool ","listText":"Cool ","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804797986","repostId":"1141143080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141143080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627976470,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141143080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 15:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Take-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141143080","media":"Barrons","summary":"Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and","content":"<p>Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and elsewhere, its fiscal first-quarter earnings show.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two Interactive Software第一财季财报显示,该公司已开始感受到美国和其他地区经济重新开放的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The results, disclosed Monday evening, were better than expected in terms of both earnings and revenue, but management’s forecasts for bookings in the current quarter weren’t as upbeat as Wall Street expected. Shares sank 5.5% in the extended session, after closing down 0.1% to $173.21.</p><p><blockquote>周一晚间披露的业绩在盈利和收入方面均好于预期,但管理层对本季度预订量的预测并不像华尔街预期的那么乐观。该股在延长交易时段下跌5.5%,收盘下跌0.1%至173.21美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two (ticker: TTWO) reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $152.3 million, which amounts to $1.30 a share, compared with a net profit of $88.5 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 2% to $813.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two(股票代码:TTWO)报告第一财季净利润为1.523亿美元,相当于每股1.30美元,而去年同期净利润为8850万美元,即每股77美分。收入下降2%至8.133亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net bookings, an adjusted measure of revenue often cited by videogame companies, declined 29% to $711.4 million. Take-Two didn’t provide an adjusted per-share earnings figure.</p><p><blockquote>净预订量(视频游戏公司经常引用的调整后收入指标)下降了29%,至7.114亿美元。Take-Two没有提供调整后的每股收益数据。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected earnings of $1.08 a share, on bookings of $684.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>分析师此前预计每股收益为1.08美元,预订量为6.843亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two is the first big U.S. games publisher to report its June-quarter earnings as policy makers respond to the latest developments in the fight against Covid-19 with a fluctuating set of rules and guidance. Rivals Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) are set to report later this week. Analysts and investors havepredicted that the figures will show people are playing fewer gamesbecause more forms of entertainment are available outside of people’s homes.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two是第一家公布6月份季度收益的美国大型游戏发行商,政策制定者通过一系列波动的规则和指导来应对抗击Covid-19的最新进展。竞争对手动视暴雪(ATVI)和艺电(EA)将于本周晚些时候发布报告。分析师和投资者预测,这些数字将显示人们玩游戏的数量减少,因为人们在家庭之外可以获得更多形式的娱乐。</blockquote></p><p> The company said that its net bookings were led by<i>Grand Theft Auto V</i>and<i>Grand Theft Auto Online</i>, and its<i>NBA 2K</i>franchise, among others. Recurring purchasing, which includes virtual currency, add-ons for games, and in-game purchases accounted for 69% of net bookings. Though recurring purchasing declined 25% from a year ago, the drop was less than the 30% executives had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,其净预订量由<i>侠盗猎车手V</i>和<i>侠盗猎车手在线</i>,及其<i>NBA 2K</i>特许经营,等等。经常性购买(包括虚拟货币、游戏附加组件和游戏内购买)占净预订量的69%。尽管经常性采购量较一年前下降了25%,但降幅低于高管们预期的30%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s always hard to describe something as down as good news, but it certainly is better news than our expectations,” Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官施特劳斯·泽尔尼克(Strauss Zelnick)表示:“总是很难将如此低迷的事情描述为好消息,但这肯定比我们的预期要好。”</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal second quarter, Take-Two expects earnings to fall in in a range with a midpoint of 40 cents a share. The midpoints of the forecasted ranges for revenue and net bookings are $765 million and $840 million, respectively. Analysts had expected earnings of 30 cents a share and bookings of $868 million. Zelnick said two of the company’s core titles will launch later in fiscal 2022 than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two预计第二财季盈利将下降至每股40美分的中点范围内。收入和净预订量预测范围的中点分别为7.65亿美元和8.4亿美元。分析师此前预计每股收益为30美分,预订量为8.68亿美元。Zelnick表示,该公司的两款核心游戏将在2022财年晚于此前预期推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company reiterated its full-year guidance that per-share earnings will be in a range with a midpoint of $2.08, while the midpoint of the range for bookings is $3.25 billion. Analysts’ financial models point to earnings of $2.86 a share from bookings of $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司重申了全年指引,即每股收益的中值将在2.08美元的范围内,而预订量的中值为32.5亿美元。分析师的财务模型显示,预订量为35亿美元,每股收益为2.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> Although its forecasts were lower than Wall Street had penciled in, Take-Two said it expected to achieve sequential growth in fiscal 2023, and establish new levels of operating results over the next years.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其预测低于华尔街的预期,但Take-Two表示,预计将在2023财年实现环比增长,并在未来几年建立新的经营业绩水平。</blockquote></p><p> Zelnick said the confidence stems from the company’s plannedslate of products. The CEO pointed to the fact that Take-Two plans to bring roughly 60 titles to market in the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克表示,这种信心源于公司计划的一系列产品。这位首席执行官指出,Take-Two计划在未来三年内向市场推出大约60款游戏。</blockquote></p><p> “We have an incredibly robust pipeline we’ve been investing in for some time,” Zelnick said. “We build up our team, we invested in technology. We have good reasons to believe that demand will be there.”</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克说:“我们拥有一个非常强大的管道,我们已经投资了一段时间。”“我们建立了团队,投资了技术。我们有充分的理由相信需求会存在。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Take-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTake-Two’s Earnings Beat Forecasts. Why the Stock Is Down.<blockquote>Take-Two的盈利超出预期。股票下跌的原因。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 15:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and elsewhere, its fiscal first-quarter earnings show.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two Interactive Software第一财季财报显示,该公司已开始感受到美国和其他地区经济重新开放的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The results, disclosed Monday evening, were better than expected in terms of both earnings and revenue, but management’s forecasts for bookings in the current quarter weren’t as upbeat as Wall Street expected. Shares sank 5.5% in the extended session, after closing down 0.1% to $173.21.</p><p><blockquote>周一晚间披露的业绩在盈利和收入方面均好于预期,但管理层对本季度预订量的预测并不像华尔街预期的那么乐观。该股在延长交易时段下跌5.5%,收盘下跌0.1%至173.21美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two (ticker: TTWO) reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $152.3 million, which amounts to $1.30 a share, compared with a net profit of $88.5 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 2% to $813.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two(股票代码:TTWO)报告第一财季净利润为1.523亿美元,相当于每股1.30美元,而去年同期净利润为8850万美元,即每股77美分。收入下降2%至8.133亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net bookings, an adjusted measure of revenue often cited by videogame companies, declined 29% to $711.4 million. Take-Two didn’t provide an adjusted per-share earnings figure.</p><p><blockquote>净预订量(视频游戏公司经常引用的调整后收入指标)下降了29%,至7.114亿美元。Take-Two没有提供调整后的每股收益数据。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected earnings of $1.08 a share, on bookings of $684.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>分析师此前预计每股收益为1.08美元,预订量为6.843亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two is the first big U.S. games publisher to report its June-quarter earnings as policy makers respond to the latest developments in the fight against Covid-19 with a fluctuating set of rules and guidance. Rivals Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) are set to report later this week. Analysts and investors havepredicted that the figures will show people are playing fewer gamesbecause more forms of entertainment are available outside of people’s homes.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two是第一家公布6月份季度收益的美国大型游戏发行商,政策制定者通过一系列波动的规则和指导来应对抗击Covid-19的最新进展。竞争对手动视暴雪(ATVI)和艺电(EA)将于本周晚些时候发布报告。分析师和投资者预测,这些数字将显示人们玩游戏的数量减少,因为人们在家庭之外可以获得更多形式的娱乐。</blockquote></p><p> The company said that its net bookings were led by<i>Grand Theft Auto V</i>and<i>Grand Theft Auto Online</i>, and its<i>NBA 2K</i>franchise, among others. Recurring purchasing, which includes virtual currency, add-ons for games, and in-game purchases accounted for 69% of net bookings. Though recurring purchasing declined 25% from a year ago, the drop was less than the 30% executives had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,其净预订量由<i>侠盗猎车手V</i>和<i>侠盗猎车手在线</i>,及其<i>NBA 2K</i>特许经营,等等。经常性购买(包括虚拟货币、游戏附加组件和游戏内购买)占净预订量的69%。尽管经常性采购量较一年前下降了25%,但降幅低于高管们预期的30%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s always hard to describe something as down as good news, but it certainly is better news than our expectations,” Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官施特劳斯·泽尔尼克(Strauss Zelnick)表示:“总是很难将如此低迷的事情描述为好消息,但这肯定比我们的预期要好。”</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal second quarter, Take-Two expects earnings to fall in in a range with a midpoint of 40 cents a share. The midpoints of the forecasted ranges for revenue and net bookings are $765 million and $840 million, respectively. Analysts had expected earnings of 30 cents a share and bookings of $868 million. Zelnick said two of the company’s core titles will launch later in fiscal 2022 than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two预计第二财季盈利将下降至每股40美分的中点范围内。收入和净预订量预测范围的中点分别为7.65亿美元和8.4亿美元。分析师此前预计每股收益为30美分,预订量为8.68亿美元。Zelnick表示,该公司的两款核心游戏将在2022财年晚于此前预期推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company reiterated its full-year guidance that per-share earnings will be in a range with a midpoint of $2.08, while the midpoint of the range for bookings is $3.25 billion. Analysts’ financial models point to earnings of $2.86 a share from bookings of $3.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司重申了全年指引,即每股收益的中值将在2.08美元的范围内,而预订量的中值为32.5亿美元。分析师的财务模型显示,预订量为35亿美元,每股收益为2.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> Although its forecasts were lower than Wall Street had penciled in, Take-Two said it expected to achieve sequential growth in fiscal 2023, and establish new levels of operating results over the next years.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其预测低于华尔街的预期,但Take-Two表示,预计将在2023财年实现环比增长,并在未来几年建立新的经营业绩水平。</blockquote></p><p> Zelnick said the confidence stems from the company’s plannedslate of products. The CEO pointed to the fact that Take-Two plans to bring roughly 60 titles to market in the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克表示,这种信心源于公司计划的一系列产品。这位首席执行官指出,Take-Two计划在未来三年内向市场推出大约60款游戏。</blockquote></p><p> “We have an incredibly robust pipeline we’ve been investing in for some time,” Zelnick said. “We build up our team, we invested in technology. We have good reasons to believe that demand will be there.”</p><p><blockquote>泽尔尼克说:“我们拥有一个非常强大的管道,我们已经投资了一段时间。”“我们建立了团队,投资了技术。我们有充分的理由相信需求会存在。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/take-two-videogame-earnings-stock-51627942730?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTWO":"Take-Two Interactive Software"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/take-two-videogame-earnings-stock-51627942730?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141143080","content_text":"Take-Two Interactive Software has started to feel the effects of a reopening economy in the U.S. and elsewhere, its fiscal first-quarter earnings show.\nThe results, disclosed Monday evening, were better than expected in terms of both earnings and revenue, but management’s forecasts for bookings in the current quarter weren’t as upbeat as Wall Street expected. Shares sank 5.5% in the extended session, after closing down 0.1% to $173.21.\nTake-Two (ticker: TTWO) reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $152.3 million, which amounts to $1.30 a share, compared with a net profit of $88.5 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 2% to $813.3 million.\nNet bookings, an adjusted measure of revenue often cited by videogame companies, declined 29% to $711.4 million. Take-Two didn’t provide an adjusted per-share earnings figure.\nAnalysts had expected earnings of $1.08 a share, on bookings of $684.3 million.\nTake-Two is the first big U.S. games publisher to report its June-quarter earnings as policy makers respond to the latest developments in the fight against Covid-19 with a fluctuating set of rules and guidance. Rivals Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) are set to report later this week. Analysts and investors havepredicted that the figures will show people are playing fewer gamesbecause more forms of entertainment are available outside of people’s homes.\nThe company said that its net bookings were led byGrand Theft Auto VandGrand Theft Auto Online, and itsNBA 2Kfranchise, among others. Recurring purchasing, which includes virtual currency, add-ons for games, and in-game purchases accounted for 69% of net bookings. Though recurring purchasing declined 25% from a year ago, the drop was less than the 30% executives had anticipated.\n\n“It’s always hard to describe something as down as good news, but it certainly is better news than our expectations,” Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said.\nFor the fiscal second quarter, Take-Two expects earnings to fall in in a range with a midpoint of 40 cents a share. The midpoints of the forecasted ranges for revenue and net bookings are $765 million and $840 million, respectively. Analysts had expected earnings of 30 cents a share and bookings of $868 million. Zelnick said two of the company’s core titles will launch later in fiscal 2022 than previously expected.\nThe company reiterated its full-year guidance that per-share earnings will be in a range with a midpoint of $2.08, while the midpoint of the range for bookings is $3.25 billion. Analysts’ financial models point to earnings of $2.86 a share from bookings of $3.5 billion.\nAlthough its forecasts were lower than Wall Street had penciled in, Take-Two said it expected to achieve sequential growth in fiscal 2023, and establish new levels of operating results over the next years.\nZelnick said the confidence stems from the company’s plannedslate of products. The CEO pointed to the fact that Take-Two plans to bring roughly 60 titles to market in the next three years.\n“We have an incredibly robust pipeline we’ve been investing in for some time,” Zelnick said. “We build up our team, we invested in technology. We have good reasons to believe that demand will be there.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TTWO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808648938,"gmtCreate":1627577448224,"gmtModify":1631888932659,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808648938","repostId":"1143143611","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899614852,"gmtCreate":1628177692576,"gmtModify":1631888932650,"author":{"id":"3586955264029856","authorId":"3586955264029856","name":"yteaaron88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5a9adeb4d55b3f87731ddb20a7b5fba","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586955264029856","idStr":"3586955264029856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899614852","repostId":"1151835705","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151835705","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628168917,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151835705?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151835705","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to co","content":"<p> Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers. Is the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.</p><p><blockquote>网约车公司为了争夺同样的乘客,花费了大量资金;现在他们花钱争夺同样的车手。网约车中的最优策略是增长还是利润?投资者不能两者兼得。</blockquote></p><p> AfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>继周二表示,根据调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润实现盈利后,Uber周三表示,随着对司机恢复进行投资,其亏损在此基础上环比加深。Lyft发布报告后的第二天,其股价下跌超过9%,而Uber的股价在第二季度业绩发布后立即在盘后交易中下跌8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对网约车公司在努力扩大市场份额的同时付出高昂代价来争夺相同的乘客感到不安。现在,在大流行导致网约车需求大幅下降后,他们正在努力重建供应,以争夺相同的司机。</blockquote></p><p> They may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.</p><p><blockquote>他们的投资可能并不平等。Lyft表示,第二季度大幅增加了对激励措施和签约奖金的投资,以扩大其司机基础,预计激励措施的增加将持续到第三季度。但优步似乎更加激进。尽管该公司公布的整体收入超出了华尔街的预期,但按调整后的Ebitda计算,其亏损也比分析师的预测高出58%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.</p><p><blockquote>目前,尚不清楚哪家公司的投资策略最划算。Lyft表示,其第二季度的拼车出行量仍“远低于”2019年第四季度达到的水平。虽然这不是一个完美的比较,但Uber第二季度的出行量(反映了供需)较同期下降了20%多一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f98a2ba57a4b018b3db0d420b862bc4\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.</p><p><blockquote>Lyft的业绩显示,其第二季度活跃乘客仍较2019年同期下降超过21%。该公司还表示,第二季度销售和营销费用占营收的比例接近历史新低。这在一定程度上反映了其司机数量低迷:不值得过度花钱去获取你甚至无法服务的客户。相比之下,与两年前同期相比,Uber第二季度的月活跃平台消费者数量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> While Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Lyft本周明确表示,它喜欢作为纯粹的叫车业务的机会,但优步继续强调其独特的价值主张,将消费者的叫车和送餐需求结合起来,并指出了异花授粉。投资者现在需要押注哪种策略将在疫情中处于更可持续的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.</p><p><blockquote>Uber首席执行官达拉·科斯罗萨西(Dara Khosrowshahi)表示,对于其送货业务来说,其移动业务是比花在送货营销上的钱更有效的获客工具。该公司周三表示,参与其移动和送货业务的消费者目前占其总预订量的近一半,这意味着客户交叉很大。</blockquote></p><p> But a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.</p><p><blockquote>但更精简的业务可能更容易控制。尽管Uber仍然预计即使在调整后的Ebitda基础上也要到今年第四季度才能扭亏为盈,但Lyft能够更早地实现这一目标,部分原因是加大了对简单杠杆的力度。该公司表示,第二季度每次乘车收入环比增长7%,抵消了因司机短缺而仍然低迷的乘车量。在疫情期间,两家公司都提高了美国网约车交易的价格。但fresh Edison Trends数据显示,截至7月19日当周,Uber消费者的交易支出比去年同期增加了24%,而Lyft消费者的交易支出则增加了35%。</blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,Lyft在吹嘘自己有能力实现所谓盈利的同时,也在周二的电话会议上明确将自己定义为“成长型公司”。总而言之,其第二季度净亏损总额仍达数亿,尽管有所收窄。与此同时,Uber似乎有信心找到了实现近期盈利的途径,但目前尚不清楚随着消费者需求的持续改善,在多大程度上需要对新司机进行进一步投资。</blockquote></p><p> Especially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.</p><p><blockquote>特别是随着Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续蔓延,今天希望依靠这两种策略的投资者可能会等待时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Lyft Drive Investors Away<blockquote>优步、Lyft赶走投资者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 21:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers. Is the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.</p><p><blockquote>网约车公司为了争夺同样的乘客,花费了大量资金;现在他们花钱争夺同样的车手。网约车中的最优策略是增长还是利润?投资者不能两者兼得。</blockquote></p><p> AfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>继周二表示,根据调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润实现盈利后,Uber周三表示,随着对司机恢复进行投资,其亏损在此基础上环比加深。Lyft发布报告后的第二天,其股价下跌超过9%,而Uber的股价在第二季度业绩发布后立即在盘后交易中下跌8%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对网约车公司在努力扩大市场份额的同时付出高昂代价来争夺相同的乘客感到不安。现在,在大流行导致网约车需求大幅下降后,他们正在努力重建供应,以争夺相同的司机。</blockquote></p><p> They may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.</p><p><blockquote>他们的投资可能并不平等。Lyft表示,第二季度大幅增加了对激励措施和签约奖金的投资,以扩大其司机基础,预计激励措施的增加将持续到第三季度。但优步似乎更加激进。尽管该公司公布的整体收入超出了华尔街的预期,但按调整后的Ebitda计算,其亏损也比分析师的预测高出58%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.</p><p><blockquote>目前,尚不清楚哪家公司的投资策略最划算。Lyft表示,其第二季度的拼车出行量仍“远低于”2019年第四季度达到的水平。虽然这不是一个完美的比较,但Uber第二季度的出行量(反映了供需)较同期下降了20%多一点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f98a2ba57a4b018b3db0d420b862bc4\" tg-width=\"338\" tg-height=\"422\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.</p><p><blockquote>Lyft的业绩显示,其第二季度活跃乘客仍较2019年同期下降超过21%。该公司还表示,第二季度销售和营销费用占营收的比例接近历史新低。这在一定程度上反映了其司机数量低迷:不值得过度花钱去获取你甚至无法服务的客户。相比之下,与两年前同期相比,Uber第二季度的月活跃平台消费者数量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> While Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Lyft本周明确表示,它喜欢作为纯粹的叫车业务的机会,但优步继续强调其独特的价值主张,将消费者的叫车和送餐需求结合起来,并指出了异花授粉。投资者现在需要押注哪种策略将在疫情中处于更可持续的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Uber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.</p><p><blockquote>Uber首席执行官达拉·科斯罗萨西(Dara Khosrowshahi)表示,对于其送货业务来说,其移动业务是比花在送货营销上的钱更有效的获客工具。该公司周三表示,参与其移动和送货业务的消费者目前占其总预订量的近一半,这意味着客户交叉很大。</blockquote></p><p> But a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.</p><p><blockquote>但更精简的业务可能更容易控制。尽管Uber仍然预计即使在调整后的Ebitda基础上也要到今年第四季度才能扭亏为盈,但Lyft能够更早地实现这一目标,部分原因是加大了对简单杠杆的力度。该公司表示,第二季度每次乘车收入环比增长7%,抵消了因司机短缺而仍然低迷的乘车量。在疫情期间,两家公司都提高了美国网约车交易的价格。但fresh Edison Trends数据显示,截至7月19日当周,Uber消费者的交易支出比去年同期增加了24%,而Lyft消费者的交易支出则增加了35%。</blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,Lyft在吹嘘自己有能力实现所谓盈利的同时,也在周二的电话会议上明确将自己定义为“成长型公司”。总而言之,其第二季度净亏损总额仍达数亿,尽管有所收窄。与此同时,Uber似乎有信心找到了实现近期盈利的途径,但目前尚不清楚随着消费者需求的持续改善,在多大程度上需要对新司机进行进一步投资。</blockquote></p><p> Especially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a ride.</p><p><blockquote>特别是随着Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续蔓延,今天希望依靠这两种策略的投资者可能会等待时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-lyft-drive-investors-away-11628115638?mod=markets_lead_pos12\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-lyft-drive-investors-away-11628115638?mod=markets_lead_pos12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151835705","content_text":"Ride-hailing companies have spent dearly to compete for the same riders; now they are spending to compete for the same drivers.\n\nIs the optimal strategy in ride-hailing growth or profits? Investors can’t have it both ways.\nAfterLyftLYFT-10.56%said it achieved profitability on the basis of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization on Tuesday, Uber said Wednesday that its losses deepened sequentially on that basis as it made investments in driver recovery. Shares of Lyft fell more than 9% the day after its report while Uber’s shares fell 8% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of itssecond quarter results.\nInvestors have become uncomfortable with ride-hailing companies paying dearly to compete for the same riders as they work to grow their market share. Now they arepaying to compete for the same driversas theywork to rebuild their supplyafter the pandemic decimated ride-hailing demand.\nThey may not be investing equally. Lyft said it significantly increased its investments in incentives and sign-on bonuses to boost its driver base in the second quarter, expecting elevated incentives to continue into the third quarter. But Uber appears to have been more aggressive. While the company reported overall revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, it also lost 58% more than analysts had forecast on an adjusted Ebitda basis.\nAt this point, it is still unclear which company’s investment strategy is yielding the most bang for its buck. Lyft said its rideshare rides in the second quarter were still “well below” the levels reached in the fourth quarter of 2019. While not a perfect comparison, Uber’s second quarter trips—a reflection of both supply and demand—were down just over 20% from the same period.\nLyft’s results show its active riders were still down more than 21% in the second quarter from the same period in 2019. The company also said its sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue in the second quarter were near record lows. This is in part a reflection of its depressed driver count: It isn’t worth over-spending to acquire customers you can’t even service. By contrast, Uber was able to grow its monthly active platform consumers in the second quarter relative to the same period two years ago.\nWhile Lyft was clear this week that it likes its chances as a ride-hailing pure play, Uber continued to stress its unique value proposition marrying consumers’ ride-hailing and food-delivery needs, noting cross-pollination. Investors will now need to place their bets on which strategy will emerge from the pandemic in a more sustainable position.\nUber’s Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi has said its mobility business has been an even more effective customer acquisition tool for its delivery business than dollars spent on delivery marketing. On Wednesday the company said its consumers who engage with both its mobility and its delivery businesses are now generating nearly half of its overall gross bookings, implying significant customer crossover.\nBut a leaner business might be easier to control. While Uber continues to expect it won’t turn a profit, even on an adjusted Ebitda basis, until the fourth quarter of this year,Lyft was able to do soearlier, in part by pulling harder on simple levers. The company said revenue per ride increased 7% sequentially in the second quarter, counteracting still depressed ride volume due to driver shortages. Both companies have raised prices on U.S. ride-hailing transactions amid the pandemic. But fresh Edison Trends data show for the week ended July 19, Uber’s consumers spent 24% more on transactions than they did the comparable week last year, while Lyft’s consumers spent 35% more.\nIt is worth noting that, while Lyft has boasted about its ability to achieve so-called profits, it also clearly defined itself on a conference call Tuesday as “a growth company.” All in, its net loss still totaled hundreds of millions in the second quarter, although it narrowed. Meanwhile, Uber seems confident it has found a path to near-term profitability, but it is unclear to what degree further investments in new drivers will be needed as consumer demand continues to improve.\nEspecially with the Covid-19 Delta variant continuing to spread, investors looking to bank on either strategy today may be left waiting for a 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