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2021-12-31

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U.S. Stock Futures Point to Calm Finish to Year of Big Gains<blockquote>美国股指期货将平静结束大幅上涨的一年</blockquote>

2021-12-27

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Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-12-26

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Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>

2021-12-20

That you would have thought you may be confidential information belonging the following the below link below the

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2021-12-17

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U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote>

2021-12-16

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2021-12-15

They will send the details of permanent position in a while but the other hand over to

Home builders grow more confident in the face of limited housing supply<blockquote>面对有限的住房供应，房屋建筑商变得更加有信心</blockquote>

2021-12-15

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2021-12-14

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3M to combine food safety business with Neogen<blockquote>3M将食品安全业务与Neogen合并</blockquote>

2021-12-12

Sigh the other one or the person or a person in a different one day

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2021-12-11

We have not received your message via Yahoo and MSN and a lot to learn

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2021-12-09

Pls gelp loke

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2021-12-09

Like okease

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2021-12-08

Like please~

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2021-12-07

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2021-12-05

Like please tq

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2021-12-04

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2021-12-03

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2021-12-02

Like pleaae, thank you

EV stocks rallied in premarket trading<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>

2021-12-01

This is some how notntrustable……

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The broad-market index finished slightly lower Thursday but is on course to finish the year about 27% higher, which would be its largest annual percentage gain since 2019. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average each ticked almost 0.1% lower Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周五小幅下跌不到0.1%。大盘指数周四收盘小幅走低，但预计今年将上涨约27%，这将是自2019年以来最大的年度百分比涨幅。以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数合约和道琼斯工业平均指数期货周五均下跌近0.1%。</blockquote></p><p>The calm trading Friday juxtaposes a busy year in markets in which individual investors piled into meme stocks and the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines and low interest rates incentivized investments in equities. These factors helped lead the S&amp;P 500 to close at a record 70 times this year, more than a quarter of all trading days, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>周五平静的交易与市场繁忙的一年并列，在这一年中，个人投资者涌入模因股票，Covid-19疫苗的推出和低利率刺激了股票投资。道琼斯市场数据显示，这些因素导致标普500今年收盘创纪录地70次，超过所有交易日的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p>Much of the broader market rally was also driven by a small group of massive stocks, such as Apple,Tesla and Microsoft.Microsoft and Tesla shares have each risen more than 50% this year, while Apple has gained more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>大盘上涨的很大程度上也是由苹果、特斯拉和微软等一小部分大型股票推动的。微软和特斯拉的股价今年均上涨了50%以上，而苹果的股价则上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p>“This is really the year of the economic recovery,” said Sean Markowicz, an investment strategist at Schroders. “In 2022, I see growth cooling as the massive policy stimulus in response to the pandemic fades.”</p><p><blockquote>施罗德投资策略师肖恩·马科维奇表示：“今年确实是经济复苏的一年。”“2022年，随着应对疫情的大规模政策刺激措施的消退，我认为经济增长将会降温。”</blockquote></p><p>Investors are watching a number of risks heading into 2022 that could derail the market’s rally. Cases of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 are surging, causing some businesses to curtail services and hours as workers call in sick. U.S. inflation reached a nearly four-decade high last month, raising questions about how many price increases Americans can absorb and if that will affect corporate earnings. The Federal Reserve has also set the stage for a series of interest-rate increases beginning next spring.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在关注进入2022年的一些风险，这些风险可能会破坏市场的反弹。新冠肺炎奥米克隆变种病例激增，导致一些企业因工人看涨期权生病而削减服务和工作时间。美国通胀率上个月达到近四年来的新高，引发了人们对美国人能够承受多少价格上涨以及这是否会影响企业盈利的质疑。美联储还为明年春天开始的一系列加息做好了准备。</blockquote></p><p>In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was unchanged from 1.514% Thursday. The yield rose 0.601 percentage points this year as of Thursday, the largest one-year yield gain since 2013, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Investors have sold out of government bonds, pushing up yields, because holding bonds that yield less than inflation means locking in a loss. Yields and prices move inversely.</p><p><blockquote>在债券市场，基准10年期国债收益率与周四的1.514%持平。根据道琼斯市场数据，截至周四，该收益率今年上涨了0.601个百分点，为2013年以来最大的一年期收益率涨幅。投资者纷纷抛售国债，推高收益率，因为持有收益率低于通胀的债券意味着锁定亏损。收益率和价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p>Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 was flat, with markets closed in Germany, Spain and Italy. The broad-market index has risen more than 20% this year.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数持平，德国、西班牙和意大利市场休市。大盘指数今年以来涨幅超过20%。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Chinese internet and technology companies jumped in Hong Kong on the last day of the year, following a surge in their corresponding American depositary receipts overnight. The Hang Seng Tech Index, which tracks the 30 largest technology companies listed in the city, rose 3.6% on Friday in a holiday-shortened trading session. The broader Hang Seng Index gained 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>中国互联网和科技公司的股价在今年最后一天在香港上涨，此前其相应的美国存托凭证隔夜飙升。追踪该市上市的30家最大科技公司的恒生科技指数周五在假期缩短的交易时段上涨3.6%。恒生指数整体上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>China’s Shanghai Composite added 0.6% Friday. Markets in South Korea and Japan were closed for a holiday.</p><p><blockquote>中国上证综指周五上涨0.6%。韩国和日本市场因假期休市。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Point to Calm Finish to Year of Big Gains<blockquote>美国股指期货将平静结束大幅上涨的一年</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Point to Calm Finish to Year of Big Gains<blockquote>美国股指期货将平静结束大幅上涨的一年</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-31 18:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>U.S. stock futures were muted on the last trading day of the year, indicating a quiet finish in a year of repeated records on Wall Street on low interest rates and the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>美国股指期货在今年最后一个交易日表现低迷，表明华尔街因低利率和Covid-19疫苗的推出而屡创纪录的一年平静结束。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Futures for the S&amp;P 500 edged down less than 0.1% Friday. The broad-market index finished slightly lower Thursday but is on course to finish the year about 27% higher, which would be its largest annual percentage gain since 2019. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average each ticked almost 0.1% lower Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周五小幅下跌不到0.1%。大盘指数周四收盘小幅走低，但预计今年将上涨约27%，这将是自2019年以来最大的年度百分比涨幅。以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数合约和道琼斯工业平均指数期货周五均下跌近0.1%。</blockquote></p><p>The calm trading Friday juxtaposes a busy year in markets in which individual investors piled into meme stocks and the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines and low interest rates incentivized investments in equities. These factors helped lead the S&amp;P 500 to close at a record 70 times this year, more than a quarter of all trading days, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>周五平静的交易与市场繁忙的一年并列，在这一年中，个人投资者涌入模因股票，Covid-19疫苗的推出和低利率刺激了股票投资。道琼斯市场数据显示，这些因素导致标普500今年收盘创纪录地70次，超过所有交易日的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p>Much of the broader market rally was also driven by a small group of massive stocks, such as Apple,Tesla and Microsoft.Microsoft and Tesla shares have each risen more than 50% this year, while Apple has gained more than 30%.</p><p><blockquote>大盘上涨的很大程度上也是由苹果、特斯拉和微软等一小部分大型股票推动的。微软和特斯拉的股价今年均上涨了50%以上，而苹果的股价则上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p>“This is really the year of the economic recovery,” said Sean Markowicz, an investment strategist at Schroders. “In 2022, I see growth cooling as the massive policy stimulus in response to the pandemic fades.”</p><p><blockquote>施罗德投资策略师肖恩·马科维奇表示：“今年确实是经济复苏的一年。”“2022年，随着应对疫情的大规模政策刺激措施的消退，我认为经济增长将会降温。”</blockquote></p><p>Investors are watching a number of risks heading into 2022 that could derail the market’s rally. Cases of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 are surging, causing some businesses to curtail services and hours as workers call in sick. U.S. inflation reached a nearly four-decade high last month, raising questions about how many price increases Americans can absorb and if that will affect corporate earnings. The Federal Reserve has also set the stage for a series of interest-rate increases beginning next spring.</p><p><blockquote>投资者正在关注进入2022年的一些风险，这些风险可能会破坏市场的反弹。新冠肺炎奥米克隆变种病例激增，导致一些企业因工人看涨期权生病而削减服务和工作时间。美国通胀率上个月达到近四年来的新高，引发了人们对美国人能够承受多少价格上涨以及这是否会影响企业盈利的质疑。美联储还为明年春天开始的一系列加息做好了准备。</blockquote></p><p>In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was unchanged from 1.514% Thursday. The yield rose 0.601 percentage points this year as of Thursday, the largest one-year yield gain since 2013, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Investors have sold out of government bonds, pushing up yields, because holding bonds that yield less than inflation means locking in a loss. Yields and prices move inversely.</p><p><blockquote>在债券市场，基准10年期国债收益率与周四的1.514%持平。根据道琼斯市场数据，截至周四，该收益率今年上涨了0.601个百分点，为2013年以来最大的一年期收益率涨幅。投资者纷纷抛售国债，推高收益率，因为持有收益率低于通胀的债券意味着锁定亏损。收益率和价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p>Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 was flat, with markets closed in Germany, Spain and Italy. The broad-market index has risen more than 20% this year.</p><p><blockquote>海外方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数持平，德国、西班牙和意大利市场休市。大盘指数今年以来涨幅超过20%。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Chinese internet and technology companies jumped in Hong Kong on the last day of the year, following a surge in their corresponding American depositary receipts overnight. The Hang Seng Tech Index, which tracks the 30 largest technology companies listed in the city, rose 3.6% on Friday in a holiday-shortened trading session. The broader Hang Seng Index gained 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>中国互联网和科技公司的股价在今年最后一天在香港上涨，此前其相应的美国存托凭证隔夜飙升。追踪该市上市的30家最大科技公司的恒生科技指数周五在假期缩短的交易时段上涨3.6%。恒生指数整体上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>China’s Shanghai Composite added 0.6% Friday. Markets in South Korea and Japan were closed for a holiday.</p><p><blockquote>中国上证综指周五上涨0.6%。韩国和日本市场因假期休市。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-31-2021-11640940181?mod=markets_lead_pos1\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-31-2021-11640940181?mod=markets_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122161745","content_text":"U.S. stock futures were muted on the last trading day of the year, indicating a quiet finish in a year of repeated records on Wall Street on low interest rates and the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines.Futures for the S&P 500 edged down less than 0.1% Friday. The broad-market index finished slightly lower Thursday but is on course to finish the year about 27% higher, which would be its largest annual percentage gain since 2019. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average each ticked almost 0.1% lower Friday.The calm trading Friday juxtaposes a busy year in markets in which individual investors piled into meme stocks and the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines and low interest rates incentivized investments in equities. These factors helped lead the S&P 500 to close at a record 70 times this year, more than a quarter of all trading days, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Much of the broader market rally was also driven by a small group of massive stocks, such as Apple,Tesla and Microsoft.Microsoft and Tesla shares have each risen more than 50% this year, while Apple has gained more than 30%.“This is really the year of the economic recovery,” said Sean Markowicz, an investment strategist at Schroders. “In 2022, I see growth cooling as the massive policy stimulus in response to the pandemic fades.”Investors are watching a number of risks heading into 2022 that could derail the market’s rally. Cases of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 are surging, causing some businesses to curtail services and hours as workers call in sick. U.S. inflation reached a nearly four-decade high last month, raising questions about how many price increases Americans can absorb and if that will affect corporate earnings. The Federal Reserve has also set the stage for a series of interest-rate increases beginning next spring.In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was unchanged from 1.514% Thursday. The yield rose 0.601 percentage points this year as of Thursday, the largest one-year yield gain since 2013, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Investors have sold out of government bonds, pushing up yields, because holding bonds that yield less than inflation means locking in a loss. Yields and prices move inversely.Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 was flat, with markets closed in Germany, Spain and Italy. The broad-market index has risen more than 20% this year.Shares of Chinese internet and technology companies jumped in Hong Kong on the last day of the year, following a surge in their corresponding American depositary receipts overnight. The Hang Seng Tech Index, which tracks the 30 largest technology companies listed in the city, rose 3.6% on Friday in a holiday-shortened trading session. The broader Hang Seng Index gained 1.2%.China’s Shanghai Composite added 0.6% Friday. Markets in South Korea and Japan were closed for a holiday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696913387,"gmtCreate":1640596192253,"gmtModify":1640596192555,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696913387","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4541":"氢能源","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698490309,"gmtCreate":1640484902807,"gmtModify":1640484903101,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698490309","repostId":"1166698166","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166698166","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640484465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166698166?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166698166","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth ","content":"<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）于1月初完成首日交易，CLOV股票价值约70亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 10:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）于1月初完成首日交易，CLOV股票价值约70亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166698166","content_text":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) sponsored by “Silicon Valley venture capitalist” Chamath Palihapitiya.\nToday, as I write this, it’s worth approximately $1.94 billion, 74% less than it’s $7 billion valuation.\nWhen I last wrote about Clover Health in early December,I suggested,“only the most speculative investors ought to be anywhere near this healthcare stock.” Since then, CLOV stock has lost another 9% as we approach the end of the year.\nWhile CLOV stock is trading for pennies over $4, here are three similarly-valued stocks to buy for 2022.\nForget CLOV Stock — Buy This Instead\nAccording toFinviz.com,there are64 stocks with a market capitalization between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. My three picks grow sales, generate profits, and possess solid balance sheets. If you’re lucky, at least one will pay a decent dividend.\nUltimately, all three are, in my opinion, safer bets than CLOV in 2022.\nSonic Automotive(NYSE:SAH) is my first pick. It has a current market cap of $2 billion. Its stock is up 25.77% year-to-date (YTD), 258 basis points less than theS&P 500.\nSonic is one of the top automotive retailers in America. Its 119 dealerships are located in 17 states and represent more than 25 brands. In its latest fiscal year, it sold 93,000 new vehicles and 159,000 used vehicles, generating $9.8 billion in revenue.  It expects to grow its revenue to $25 billion by 2025.\nFrom a brand breakdown, luxury accounts for 55% of its sales with BMW, Mercedes, and Audi accounting for 71% of its luxury vehicle sales.\nIn 2021’s third-quarter, its revenues grew by 20.6% to $3.07 billion. Its net income rose 46.9% to $84.7 million and its total debt is$1.97 billion or 56% of its total assets.\nThe company’s Echo Park used car business should be a big contributor as it pushes to $25 billion in sales by 2025.\nThe Second Alternative to CLOV Stock\nSally Beauty Holdings(NYSE:SBH) business and the stock bounced back in 2021. That’s great news for long-time shareholders. Up 42.8% YTD, SBH’s five-year return looks a little better as a result. However, it’s down 29% on a cumulative basis over the past 60 months.\nBack in May 2017, I compared Sally Beauty and Ulta Beauty Holdings(NASDAQ:ULTA). ULTA was on a bit of a roll, while SBH was stumbling and bumbling. So, wisely, I said ULTA was the better stock to buy. Ulta is up 28.2% since — it’s also had its ups and downs — while SBH is up 3.8% over the same period.\nHowever, I thought Sally Beauty’s restructuring at the time was gaining traction. While Covid-19 didn’t help its business, its most recent results are encouraging.\nFor all of fiscal 2021, its sales increased10.3% to $3.87 billion with 10.2% same-store sales growth. Its operating earnings grew 44.2% in 2021 to $622.7 million, and it managed to reduce its debt by $420 million in the past year. That puts its long-term debt at $1.38 billion or 48% of its total assets.\nOn Oct. 1, board member Denise Paulonistook over as chief executive officer (CEO)of the company. She is tasked with growing sales and profits after previous CEO Chris Brinkman thoroughly modernized its beauty business during his six-year tenure.\nA Final Possibility\nMy final alternative is Goldman Sachs BDC(NYSE:GSBD). It was founded in 2012 to make debt and equity investments in middle-market companies — defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) earnings of$5 million to $200 million— and merged with Goldman Sachs Middle Market Lending Corp. (MMLC) in October 2020.\nAs a result of the merger, GSBD’s asset base more than doubled to$3.5 billion. The MMLC shareholders received 1.1336 GSBD shares for every share of MMLC.\nGSBD had $3.11 billion in investments and $401.8 million in unfunded commitments for111 portfolio companies across 37 industries at the end of September. Approximately 84% of its assets are first lien loans with an average yield of 8.4%.\nIt’s essential to remember that this is an investment focused on income rather than capital appreciation. The BDC’s current quarterly distribution of $0.50 yields a very high 10.4%.\nDo not buy GSBD if you’re expecting capital appreciation. However, if you’re willing to take on more risk than a guaranteed investment, it’s an excellent way to boost your income portfolio.\nNone of these three alternatives to CLOV stock are a sure thing. But, that said, I don’t believe they possess the same amount of risk as Clover Health.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693321554,"gmtCreate":1639974051778,"gmtModify":1639974052028,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That you would have thought you may be confidential information belonging the following the below link below the","listText":"That you would have thought you may be confidential information belonging the following the below link below the","text":"That you would have thought you may be confidential information belonging the following the below link below the","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693321554","repostId":"2192989909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699343010,"gmtCreate":1639752285874,"gmtModify":1639752613487,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699343010","repostId":"1114105828","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114105828","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639751560,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114105828?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114105828","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq ","content":"<p>U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%,Dow trades 0.5% lower; S&amp;P 500 down 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五开盘下跌，10年期国债收益率跌破1.4%，限制美联储一周，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，道指下跌0.5%；标普500下跌0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of FedEx (FDX) jumped after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle makersaid in its shareholder letterit expected to be \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year.</p><p><blockquote>航运巨头联邦快递(FDX)上调了全年盈利预期，公布了好于预期的第二财季业绩，并授权了一项新的50亿美元股票回购计划，该公司股价上涨。与此同时，Rivian(RIVN)在发布自上个月首次公开募股以来的第一份季度报告后股价下跌。这家电动汽车制造商在股东信中表示，预计到今年年底生产1,200辆汽车的目标“还差几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fedcould hike interest rates three times next year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周的主要焦点仍然集中在美联储对明年货币政策的最新展望上，央行周中发布的预测表明美联储明年可能加息三次。</blockquote></p><p> The specter of higher rates — and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. The Nasdaq Composite has fallen by 5% over the past month through Thursday's close. And shares of some notable technology stocks extended declines on Friday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by more than 1% in early trading after a nearly 4% decrease on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升的幽灵——以及随着央行也加快缩减资产购买进程而导致的流动性下降——继续给长期科技股和成长型股票带来沉重压力，这些股票对未来盈利潜力的估值很高。截至周四收盘，纳斯达克综合指数在过去一个月下跌了5%。一些著名科技股的股价周五延续跌势，苹果(AAPL)股价继周四下跌近4%后，早盘下跌超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，能源和金融板块的周期性股票周四表现出色，利率上升和增长强劲的前景被视为有利于这些板块。</blockquote></p><p> \"The thing investors have to understand is, we're going through a major transition in monetary policy,\" Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday.\"The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that's really what we've been seeing the last month.\"</p><p><blockquote>FS Investments首席市场策略师特洛伊·盖耶斯基(Troy Gayeski)周四对雅虎财经直播表示：“投资者必须明白的是，我们正在经历货币政策的重大转变。”“美联储实施紧急政策的时间可以说比应有的时间长得多，随着货币供应增长放缓，随着他们放松资产负债表扩张并最终在明年加息，人们至少预计市场会出现更多波动。这确实是我们上个月看到的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> \"The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more than a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,\" he added. \"And it's a very different environment in 2022 where you're going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.\"</p><p><blockquote>“现在与六个月前，甚至一年多前最大的区别是，你几乎可以做多任何东西，并且你有信心它会上涨。经济正在蓬勃发展，我们有很多财政刺激，我们仍然有前所未有的货币政策刺激，”他补充道。“2022年的环境非常不同，你必须更加仔细地挑选。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 22:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%,Dow trades 0.5% lower; S&amp;P 500 down 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五开盘下跌，10年期国债收益率跌破1.4%，限制美联储一周，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，道指下跌0.5%；标普500下跌0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of FedEx (FDX) jumped after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle makersaid in its shareholder letterit expected to be \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year.</p><p><blockquote>航运巨头联邦快递(FDX)上调了全年盈利预期，公布了好于预期的第二财季业绩，并授权了一项新的50亿美元股票回购计划，该公司股价上涨。与此同时，Rivian(RIVN)在发布自上个月首次公开募股以来的第一份季度报告后股价下跌。这家电动汽车制造商在股东信中表示，预计到今年年底生产1,200辆汽车的目标“还差几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fedcould hike interest rates three times next year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周的主要焦点仍然集中在美联储对明年货币政策的最新展望上，央行周中发布的预测表明美联储明年可能加息三次。</blockquote></p><p> The specter of higher rates — and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. The Nasdaq Composite has fallen by 5% over the past month through Thursday's close. And shares of some notable technology stocks extended declines on Friday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by more than 1% in early trading after a nearly 4% decrease on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升的幽灵——以及随着央行也加快缩减资产购买进程而导致的流动性下降——继续给长期科技股和成长型股票带来沉重压力，这些股票对未来盈利潜力的估值很高。截至周四收盘，纳斯达克综合指数在过去一个月下跌了5%。一些著名科技股的股价周五延续跌势，苹果(AAPL)股价继周四下跌近4%后，早盘下跌超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，能源和金融板块的周期性股票周四表现出色，利率上升和增长强劲的前景被视为有利于这些板块。</blockquote></p><p> \"The thing investors have to understand is, we're going through a major transition in monetary policy,\" Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday.\"The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that's really what we've been seeing the last month.\"</p><p><blockquote>FS Investments首席市场策略师特洛伊·盖耶斯基(Troy Gayeski)周四对雅虎财经直播表示：“投资者必须明白的是，我们正在经历货币政策的重大转变。”“美联储实施紧急政策的时间可以说比应有的时间长得多，随着货币供应增长放缓，随着他们放松资产负债表扩张并最终在明年加息，人们至少预计市场会出现更多波动。这确实是我们上个月看到的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> \"The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more than a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,\" he added. \"And it's a very different environment in 2022 where you're going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.\"</p><p><blockquote>“现在与六个月前，甚至一年多前最大的区别是，你几乎可以做多任何东西，并且你有信心它会上涨。经济正在蓬勃发展，我们有很多财政刺激，我们仍然有前所未有的货币政策刺激，”他补充道。“2022年的环境非常不同，你必须更加仔细地挑选。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114105828","content_text":"U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%,Dow trades 0.5% lower; S&P 500 down 0.6%.\nShares of FedEx (FDX) jumped after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle makersaid in its shareholder letterit expected to be \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year.\nInvestors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fedcould hike interest rates three times next year.\nThe specter of higher rates — and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. The Nasdaq Composite has fallen by 5% over the past month through Thursday's close. And shares of some notable technology stocks extended declines on Friday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by more than 1% in early trading after a nearly 4% decrease on Thursday.\nOn the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors.\n\"The thing investors have to understand is, we're going through a major transition in monetary policy,\" Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday.\"The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that's really what we've been seeing the last month.\"\n\"The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more than a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,\" he added. \"And it's a very different environment in 2022 where you're going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690074133,"gmtCreate":1639617895564,"gmtModify":1639617895815,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690074133","repostId":"2191994940","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607470590,"gmtCreate":1639582019850,"gmtModify":1639582020110,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"They will send the details of permanent position in a while but the other hand over to","listText":"They will send the details of permanent position in a while but the other hand over to","text":"They will send the details of permanent position in a while but the other hand over to","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607470590","repostId":"1150704610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150704610","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639580638,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150704610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Home builders grow more confident in the face of limited housing supply<blockquote>面对有限的住房供应，房屋建筑商变得更加有信心</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150704610","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The numbers: Home builder sentiment strengthens\nHome builders grew more confident for the fourth con","content":"<p><b>The numbers: Home builder sentiment strengthens</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数字：房屋建筑商情绪增强</b></blockquote></p><p> Home builders grew more confident for the fourth consecutive month, according to an industry index, reflecting their positive outlook in light of the continued low supply of existing homes for sale.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项行业指数，房屋建筑商连续第四个月变得更加有信心，反映出他们在现有待售房屋供应持续低迷的情况下对前景持积极态度。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Home Builders’&nbsp;monthly confidence index&nbsp;rose one point to a reading of 84 in December, the trade group said Wednesday. It represents the highest level for the index since February.</p><p><blockquote>全国住宅建筑商协会周三表示，12月份月度信心指数上升1点至84。这是该指数自2月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Two of the three gauges that underpin the overall builder confidence index also experienced one-point increases, including the index that measures current sales conditions and the component that tracks traffic of prospective buyers. The gauge that assesses sales expectations for the next six months remained unchanged for the second consecutive month.</p><p><blockquote>支撑整体建筑商信心指数的三个指标中有两个也出现了一个百分点的增长，包括衡量当前销售状况的指数和跟踪潜在买家流量的部分。评估未来六个月销售预期的指标连续第二个月保持不变。</blockquote></p><p> Regionally, it was more of a mixed backed. The confidence index for the northeast rose 10 points on a monthly basis, and in the South the index increased by two points. But the index worsened by one point in both the Midwest and West.</p><p><blockquote>从地区来看，它更像是一个混合支持。东北地区信心指数环比上升10点，南方地区信心指数上升2点。但中西部和西部的指数均恶化了一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The big picture</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大图</b></blockquote></p><p> Home builders may be enjoying the current sales environment, but it may be fleeting. With the Federal Reserve expected to begin tapering its stimulus measures, which have included purchases of mortgage-backed securities, mortgage rates are expected to increase.</p><p><blockquote>房屋建筑商可能正在享受当前的销售环境，但这可能转瞬即逝。随着美联储预计将开始缩减刺激措施，其中包括购买抵押贷款支持证券，抵押贷款利率预计将上升。</blockquote></p><p> “While 2021 single-family starts are expected to end the year 24% higher than the pre-COVID 2019 level, we expect higher interest rates in 2022 will put a damper on housing affordability,” Robert Dietz, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, said in the report.</p><p><blockquote>美国全国协会首席经济学家罗伯特·迪茨(Robert Dietz)表示：“虽然2021年单户开工率预计将比2019年新冠疫情爆发前的水平高出24%，但我们预计2022年利率上升将抑制住房负担能力。”住宅建筑商在报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, production headwinds continue to plague the industry. Sourcing workers and material delays both remain as significant challenges, making it difficult for builders to predict pricing on homes.</p><p><blockquote>此外，生产逆风继续困扰着该行业。寻找工人和材料延误仍然是重大挑战，使得建筑商很难预测房屋价格。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What they’re saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他们在说什么</b></blockquote></p><p> “Apart from the three readings that ended 2020, this also matches the survey high (back to 1985),” Michael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a research note. “Despite construction taking longer to start (relative to permits) and complete (relative to starts),&nbsp;home&nbsp;builders&nbsp;are in a good mood to end 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO资本市场副首席经济学家迈克尔·格雷戈里(Michael Gregory)在一份研究报告中表示：“除了2020年底的三项读数外，这也与调查高点（追溯到1985年）相符。”“尽管施工开始（相对于许可证）和完成（相对于开工）需要更长的时间，但房屋建筑商对2021年底的心情很好。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Home builders grow more confident in the face of limited housing supply<blockquote>面对有限的住房供应，房屋建筑商变得更加有信心</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHome builders grow more confident in the face of limited housing supply<blockquote>面对有限的住房供应，房屋建筑商变得更加有信心</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-15 23:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The numbers: Home builder sentiment strengthens</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数字：房屋建筑商情绪增强</b></blockquote></p><p> Home builders grew more confident for the fourth consecutive month, according to an industry index, reflecting their positive outlook in light of the continued low supply of existing homes for sale.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项行业指数，房屋建筑商连续第四个月变得更加有信心，反映出他们在现有待售房屋供应持续低迷的情况下对前景持积极态度。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Home Builders’&nbsp;monthly confidence index&nbsp;rose one point to a reading of 84 in December, the trade group said Wednesday. It represents the highest level for the index since February.</p><p><blockquote>全国住宅建筑商协会周三表示，12月份月度信心指数上升1点至84。这是该指数自2月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Two of the three gauges that underpin the overall builder confidence index also experienced one-point increases, including the index that measures current sales conditions and the component that tracks traffic of prospective buyers. The gauge that assesses sales expectations for the next six months remained unchanged for the second consecutive month.</p><p><blockquote>支撑整体建筑商信心指数的三个指标中有两个也出现了一个百分点的增长，包括衡量当前销售状况的指数和跟踪潜在买家流量的部分。评估未来六个月销售预期的指标连续第二个月保持不变。</blockquote></p><p> Regionally, it was more of a mixed backed. The confidence index for the northeast rose 10 points on a monthly basis, and in the South the index increased by two points. But the index worsened by one point in both the Midwest and West.</p><p><blockquote>从地区来看，它更像是一个混合支持。东北地区信心指数环比上升10点，南方地区信心指数上升2点。但中西部和西部的指数均恶化了一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The big picture</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大图</b></blockquote></p><p> Home builders may be enjoying the current sales environment, but it may be fleeting. With the Federal Reserve expected to begin tapering its stimulus measures, which have included purchases of mortgage-backed securities, mortgage rates are expected to increase.</p><p><blockquote>房屋建筑商可能正在享受当前的销售环境，但这可能转瞬即逝。随着美联储预计将开始缩减刺激措施，其中包括购买抵押贷款支持证券，抵押贷款利率预计将上升。</blockquote></p><p> “While 2021 single-family starts are expected to end the year 24% higher than the pre-COVID 2019 level, we expect higher interest rates in 2022 will put a damper on housing affordability,” Robert Dietz, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, said in the report.</p><p><blockquote>美国全国协会首席经济学家罗伯特·迪茨(Robert Dietz)表示：“虽然2021年单户开工率预计将比2019年新冠疫情爆发前的水平高出24%，但我们预计2022年利率上升将抑制住房负担能力。”住宅建筑商在报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, production headwinds continue to plague the industry. Sourcing workers and material delays both remain as significant challenges, making it difficult for builders to predict pricing on homes.</p><p><blockquote>此外，生产逆风继续困扰着该行业。寻找工人和材料延误仍然是重大挑战，使得建筑商很难预测房屋价格。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What they’re saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他们在说什么</b></blockquote></p><p> “Apart from the three readings that ended 2020, this also matches the survey high (back to 1985),” Michael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a research note. “Despite construction taking longer to start (relative to permits) and complete (relative to starts),&nbsp;home&nbsp;builders&nbsp;are in a good mood to end 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO资本市场副首席经济学家迈克尔·格雷戈里(Michael Gregory)在一份研究报告中表示：“除了2020年底的三项读数外，这也与调查高点（追溯到1985年）相符。”“尽管施工开始（相对于许可证）和完成（相对于开工）需要更长的时间，但房屋建筑商对2021年底的心情很好。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150704610","content_text":"The numbers: Home builder sentiment strengthens\nHome builders grew more confident for the fourth consecutive month, according to an industry index, reflecting their positive outlook in light of the continued low supply of existing homes for sale.\nThe National Association of Home Builders’ monthly confidence index rose one point to a reading of 84 in December, the trade group said Wednesday. It represents the highest level for the index since February.\nWhat happened\nTwo of the three gauges that underpin the overall builder confidence index also experienced one-point increases, including the index that measures current sales conditions and the component that tracks traffic of prospective buyers. The gauge that assesses sales expectations for the next six months remained unchanged for the second consecutive month.\nRegionally, it was more of a mixed backed. The confidence index for the northeast rose 10 points on a monthly basis, and in the South the index increased by two points. But the index worsened by one point in both the Midwest and West.\nThe big picture\nHome builders may be enjoying the current sales environment, but it may be fleeting. With the Federal Reserve expected to begin tapering its stimulus measures, which have included purchases of mortgage-backed securities, mortgage rates are expected to increase.\n“While 2021 single-family starts are expected to end the year 24% higher than the pre-COVID 2019 level, we expect higher interest rates in 2022 will put a damper on housing affordability,” Robert Dietz, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, said in the report.\nPlus, production headwinds continue to plague the industry. Sourcing workers and material delays both remain as significant challenges, making it difficult for builders to predict pricing on homes.\nWhat they’re saying\n“Apart from the three readings that ended 2020, this also matches the survey high (back to 1985),” Michael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a research note. “Despite construction taking longer to start (relative to permits) and complete (relative to starts), home builders are in a good mood to end 2021.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607470822,"gmtCreate":1639582005346,"gmtModify":1639582005620,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607470822","repostId":"2191956629","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607972143,"gmtCreate":1639482576377,"gmtModify":1639482576602,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607972143","repostId":"1110120887","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110120887","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639482502,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110120887?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 19:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3M to combine food safety business with Neogen<blockquote>3M将食品安全业务与Neogen合并</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110120887","media":"Reuters","summary":"Industrial giant 3M Co(MMM.N)will separate its food safety business and merge it with Neogen Corp(NE","content":"<p>Industrial giant 3M Co(MMM.N)will separate its food safety business and merge it with Neogen Corp(NEOG.O)in a $5.3 billion deal, including new debt, the food testing and animal healthcare specialist said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>工业巨头3M公司（MMM.N）将剥离其食品安全业务，并将其与Neogen Corp（NEOG）合并。食品测试和动物保健专家周二表示，这笔交易价值53亿美元，包括新债务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3M to combine food safety business with Neogen<blockquote>3M将食品安全业务与Neogen合并</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3M to combine food safety business with Neogen<blockquote>3M将食品安全业务与Neogen合并</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 19:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Industrial giant 3M Co(MMM.N)will separate its food safety business and merge it with Neogen Corp(NEOG.O)in a $5.3 billion deal, including new debt, the food testing and animal healthcare specialist said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>工业巨头3M公司（MMM.N）将剥离其食品安全业务，并将其与Neogen Corp（NEOG）合并。食品测试和动物保健专家周二表示，这笔交易价值53亿美元，包括新债务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/3m-combine-food-safety-business-with-neogen-2021-12-14/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MMM":"3M"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/3m-combine-food-safety-business-with-neogen-2021-12-14/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110120887","content_text":"Industrial giant 3M Co(MMM.N)will separate its food safety business and merge it with Neogen Corp(NEOG.O)in a $5.3 billion deal, including new debt, the food testing and animal healthcare specialist said on 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please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601106239","repostId":"2188543241","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603480905,"gmtCreate":1638438744940,"gmtModify":1638439845984,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pleaae, thank you","listText":"Like pleaae, thank you","text":"Like pleaae, thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603480905","repostId":"1103115640","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103115640","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638437956,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103115640?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-02 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks rallied in premarket trading<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103115640","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks rallied in premarket trading.Tesla,Rivian,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Arrival,Ni","content":"<p>EV stocks rallied in premarket trading.Tesla,Rivian,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Arrival,Nikola,Canoo&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sono&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 3%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中上涨。特斯拉、Rivian、蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车、Lucid、Fisker、Arrival、Nikola、Canoo和Sono上涨1%至3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797bd31f32b8eff4cb35c37dec996010\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"658\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks rallied in premarket trading<blockquote>电动汽车股在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888589741","repostId":"2166303094","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830240613,"gmtCreate":1629077703132,"gmtModify":1633687591156,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment","listText":"Pls like and comment","text":"Pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830240613","repostId":"1129589874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129589874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629067868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129589874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129589874","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday. Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a 0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.","content":"<p>It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday.&nbsp;Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>现在是第二季度财报季的最后几局，零售商已准备好采取行动。沃尔玛和家得宝周二发布报告，劳氏、塔吉特和TJX周三紧随其后。美国柯尔百货公司、梅西百货、BJ批发和L品牌是周四的零售亮点，然后Foot Locker将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p> The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a&nbsp;0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.</p><p><blockquote>人口普查局7月份零售销售数据也将于本周周二公布。经济学家平均预测，上个月经季节性调整后的增长率为0。</blockquote></p><p> Major non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and&nbsp;Krispy Kreme&nbsp;on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and&nbsp;Lumentum Holdings&nbsp;all report.Applied Materials&nbsp;goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布业绩的主要非零售公司包括周二发布业绩的Pandora和Krispy Kreme，随后是繁忙的周三：Nvidia、腾讯控股控股公司、思科系统公司、Analog Devices和Lumentum Holdings均发布业绩。应用材料公司周四公布业绩，Deere公司本周收盘周五。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include several housing-market metrics:&nbsp;The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括几项房地产市场指标：周二公布的全国住宅建筑商协会8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数，以及周三公布的人口普查局7月份新住宅建设报告。</blockquote></p><p> Also on Wednesday, the&nbsp;Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周三，美联储货币政策委员会公布了7月底上次会议的纪要。然后，世界大型企业联合会将于周四公布7月份领先经济指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Tencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and&nbsp;Clear Secure&nbsp;are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股音乐娱乐集团、Tokyo Electron和Clear Secure等公司在评级举行财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>纽约银行发布八月份帝国州制造业调查。普遍估计读数为26.5。相比之下，7月份的历史新高为43.0，当时总体商业状况指数上涨了26点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/17</b></blockquote></p><p> BHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>必和必拓、沃尔玛、家得宝、安捷伦科技、Pandora和Krispy Kreme等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> America’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry &amp; Associates,and&nbsp;La-Z-Boy&nbsp;report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.</p><p><blockquote>America's Car-Mart、Jack Henry&amp;Associates和La-Z-Boy在收盘后报告财务业绩，并将于第二天（8月18日）上午举行收益评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布7月工业部门产能利用率。评级共识为75.7%，与6月份的75.4%几乎没有变化。工业生产预计将比6月份经季节调整后的0.4%增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测读数为80，与7月份相同。该指数较11月份创下的历史高点90有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Federal Reserve Board</b>&nbsp;Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦储备委员会</b>主席杰伊·鲍威尔将与教育工作者和学生一起主持一个虚拟市政厅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau reports</b>&nbsp;retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局报告</b>7月零售销售数据。继6月份上涨0.6%后，预计经季节调整后环比下降0.3%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.2%，而上个月为增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b>&nbsp;Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会公布了7月底货币政策会议的纪要。</blockquote></p><p> Cisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>思科系统、劳氏、塔吉特、TJX、腾讯控股控股、Brinker International、Analog Devices、Synopsys、Lumentum Holdings和Nvidia在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau’s</b>new residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局的</b>7月份新住宅建设报告预计显示，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161.0万套，低于6月份的164.3万套。3月份新屋开工量达到173万套的疫情后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/19</b></blockquote></p><p> BJ’s Wholesale,<b>L Brands</b>, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>BJ的批发，<b>L品牌</b>、Applied Materials、Ross Stores、雅诗兰黛、Kohl's、Macy's、Performance Food Group、Petco Health and Wellness和Farfetch将在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>releases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布7月份领先经济指数。继6月份上涨0.7%后，LEI预计将环比上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 8/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五8/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Deere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere和Foot Locker在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday.&nbsp;Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>现在是第二季度财报季的最后几局，零售商已准备好采取行动。沃尔玛和家得宝周二发布报告，劳氏、塔吉特和TJX周三紧随其后。美国柯尔百货公司、梅西百货、BJ批发和L品牌是周四的零售亮点，然后Foot Locker将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p> The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a&nbsp;0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.</p><p><blockquote>人口普查局7月份零售销售数据也将于本周周二公布。经济学家平均预测，上个月经季节性调整后的增长率为0。</blockquote></p><p> Major non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and&nbsp;Krispy Kreme&nbsp;on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and&nbsp;Lumentum Holdings&nbsp;all report.Applied Materials&nbsp;goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布业绩的主要非零售公司包括周二发布业绩的Pandora和Krispy Kreme，随后是繁忙的周三：Nvidia、腾讯控股控股公司、思科系统公司、Analog Devices和Lumentum Holdings均发布业绩。应用材料公司周四公布业绩，Deere公司本周收盘周五。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include several housing-market metrics:&nbsp;The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括几项房地产市场指标：周二公布的全国住宅建筑商协会8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数，以及周三公布的人口普查局7月份新住宅建设报告。</blockquote></p><p> Also on Wednesday, the&nbsp;Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周三，美联储货币政策委员会公布了7月底上次会议的纪要。然后，世界大型企业联合会将于周四公布7月份领先经济指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Tencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and&nbsp;Clear Secure&nbsp;are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股音乐娱乐集团、Tokyo Electron和Clear Secure等公司在评级举行财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>纽约银行发布八月份帝国州制造业调查。普遍估计读数为26.5。相比之下，7月份的历史新高为43.0，当时总体商业状况指数上涨了26点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/17</b></blockquote></p><p> BHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>必和必拓、沃尔玛、家得宝、安捷伦科技、Pandora和Krispy Kreme等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> America’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry &amp; Associates,and&nbsp;La-Z-Boy&nbsp;report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.</p><p><blockquote>America's Car-Mart、Jack Henry&amp;Associates和La-Z-Boy在收盘后报告财务业绩，并将于第二天（8月18日）上午举行收益评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布7月工业部门产能利用率。评级共识为75.7%，与6月份的75.4%几乎没有变化。工业生产预计将比6月份经季节调整后的0.4%增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测读数为80，与7月份相同。该指数较11月份创下的历史高点90有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Federal Reserve Board</b>&nbsp;Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦储备委员会</b>主席杰伊·鲍威尔将与教育工作者和学生一起主持一个虚拟市政厅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau reports</b>&nbsp;retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局报告</b>7月零售销售数据。继6月份上涨0.6%后，预计经季节调整后环比下降0.3%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.2%，而上个月为增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b>&nbsp;Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会公布了7月底货币政策会议的纪要。</blockquote></p><p> Cisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>思科系统、劳氏、塔吉特、TJX、腾讯控股控股、Brinker International、Analog Devices、Synopsys、Lumentum Holdings和Nvidia在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau’s</b>new residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局的</b>7月份新住宅建设报告预计显示，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161.0万套，低于6月份的164.3万套。3月份新屋开工量达到173万套的疫情后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/19</b></blockquote></p><p> BJ’s Wholesale,<b>L Brands</b>, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>BJ的批发，<b>L品牌</b>、Applied Materials、Ross Stores、雅诗兰黛、Kohl's、Macy's、Performance Food Group、Petco Health and Wellness和Farfetch将在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>releases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布7月份领先经济指数。继6月份上涨0.7%后，LEI预计将环比上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 8/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五8/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Deere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere和Foot Locker在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51629054047?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛","TME":"腾讯音乐",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51629054047?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129589874","content_text":"It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday. Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.\nThe Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a 0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.\nMajor non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and Krispy Kreme on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and Lumentum Holdings all report.Applied Materials goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.\nEconomic data out this week include several housing-market metrics: The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.\nAlso on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.\nMonday 8/16\nTencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and Clear Secure are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.\nThe Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.\nTuesday 8/17\nBHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nAmerica’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry & Associates,and La-Z-Boy report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.\nThe Federal Reserve releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.\nFederal Reserve Board Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.\nThe Census Bureau reports retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.\nWednesday 8/18\nThe Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.\nCisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureau’snew residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.\nThursday 8/19\nBJ’s Wholesale,L Brands, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.\nThe Conference Boardreleases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.\nFriday 8/20\nDeere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WMT":0.9,"TGT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"TME":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891759440,"gmtCreate":1628433943680,"gmtModify":1633747167480,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comments. Tq","listText":"Like and comments. Tq","text":"Like and comments. 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confidential information belonging the following the below link below the","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693321554","repostId":"2192989909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872947694,"gmtCreate":1637407770838,"gmtModify":1637407773317,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likenplease, thank you so much","listText":"Likenplease, thank you so much","text":"Likenplease, thank you so much","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872947694","repostId":"2184842262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821905803,"gmtCreate":1633681863033,"gmtModify":1633681889261,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821905803","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的首次申请失业救济报告和稳健的ADP私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午830点发布的周五非农就业报告，市场普遍预计非农就业报告将达到50万份——是上个月令人失望的23.5万份的两倍多——失业率降至5.1%，平均时薪增加至4.6%。与上个月不同的是，当我们正确预测8月份就业人数将大幅下降时，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个节拍，唯一的问题是幅度有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最新24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动参与率：61.8%，上次61.7%</li><li>平均时薪同比：4.6%，过去4.3%</li><li>平均每周工作时间：34.7，最后34.7</li></ul>正如Newsquawk在其NFP预览中所写，9月份的就业数据是美联储11月3日政策会议之前的最后一份数据，将在美联储预期宣布缩减规模的背景下进行，在这种背景下，一份令人满意的报告可能足以让FOMC批准11月份宣布缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，预计9月份非农就业人数增加60万，高于市场普遍预期的+50万，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9月5日全国范围内强化失业救济金到期，提振了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像7月和8月提前结束联邦救济金的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的人数将增加20万，10月份的增幅更大。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业增长约15万人。尽管有这些有利因素，但大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标一直具有建设性：ADP的就业数据出人意料地上升，尽管分析师继续指出，官方数据与ADP数据之间的直接关系很脆弱，尽管过去三份报告的差距低于10万。在8月和9月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近发布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次升至增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日13:30 BST/08：30EDT发布9月就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员实际上已经确认，除非就业数据崩溃，否则美联储将在11月3日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，9月份就业报告可能会降低对交易状况的相关性。因此，交易风险可能偏向下行，而不是上行，就业人数大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力进展如何；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许资金进入12月；一些分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>市场普遍预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将低于三个月和六个月的平均增长率，尽管与12个月的平均增长率一致（3个月的平均增长率为75万/月，6个月的平均增长率为65.3万/月，12个月的平均增长率为50.3万/月——这至少在技术上表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所改善）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍处于失业状态。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛措施：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（此前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而疫情前为63.2%；U6衡量就业不足的指标此前为8.8%，而疫情前为7.0%；就业与人口比率之前为58.5%，而疫情之前为61.1%。这些宽松指标可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，许多人最近几个月指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业人口比率，以便更好地应对经济中仍然存在的宽松程度。这些数据越接近大流行前的水平，分析师就会受到鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均时薪预计为+0.4%M/M（前值为+0.6%）；平均时薪预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（之前为34.7小时）。汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，仍有约533万美国人失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管就业岗位新增速度较第二季度的74.8万个明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏仍在继续取得进展。报告还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是经济复苏的最大受益者之一，但表示招聘仍受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，尤其是对小企业而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能为未来几个月的就业增长奠定基础。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型包含了许多之前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；Pantheon Macroeconomics表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制ADP数据。”“因此，超出共识表明ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超出是模型驱动的还是由于就业数据更强劲在ADP的客户。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与BLS就业报告调查窗口一致的当周首次申请失业救济人数约为35.1万人，与8月份就业数据调查窗口的34.9万人相比变化不大，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而飓风艾达可能会产生一些挥之不去的影响；9月份调查期间相应的持续申领数据已降至280.2万人，而8月份调查期间为290.8万人。总体而言，数据继续显示下降趋势，尽管最近几周初请失业金人数再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>：9月份服务业和制造业ISM报告显示出不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从53.7小幅放缓至53.0，表明增长但速度放缓，而制造业就业分项指数则回升至扩张区域，从之前的49.0升至50.2。在制造业方面，ISM表示，企业仍在努力实现劳资计划，但指出与前几个月相比出现了一些适度的进展迹象：“不到5%的评论指出就业方面有所改善，而8月份没有任何评论”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘”，其中约85%的回复是关于寻求额外人员，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，比8月份有所增加。ISM表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论频率不断增加，延续了8月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，并且缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各个层面都存在劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>主张一份好于预期的报告</b>：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦强化失业救济金结束</b>一些州联邦福利的到期提振了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7月和8月的数据显示，从6月到8月，失去300美元补充付款的工人的找工作概率累计增加了6个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的找工作概率增加了12个百分点。<b>9月5日失去部分或全部福利的600万工人中，一些人在9月18日之前找到了工作——及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将促进就业增长+20万，在随后的报告中会有更大的增长（到年底累计+130万）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校重新开学</b>.最大的100个学区都开放了面对面学习，促进了许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员的回归。虽然就业水平完全正常化将创造60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，BLS的季节性因素已经嵌入了夏季裁员中通常重新雇用教育工作者的情况，因此，如果返回工作岗位的看门人比典型的9月份少，在其他条件相同的情况下，这将减少经季节性调整的就业增长。总而言之，假设明天的报告中学校重新开放将增加大约15万人。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会（Conference Board）的劳动力差异——表示工作岗位充足的受访者与表示工作岗位难以获得的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%小幅降至42.5%，仍处于较高水平。此外，7月份JOLTS职位空缺增加了74.9万个，创下1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP.</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资措施中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8月份，covid感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。尽管美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放式餐桌上的餐厅座位仅小幅反弹。休闲和酒店业就业人数在9月份有所增加，但可能不会像6月和7月那样以每月约40万的速度增长。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查的就业部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将会回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数维持在54.5不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降0.4个百分点至57.8。高盛分析师指数(GSAI)下降0.8%至68.5，但就业指数上涨1.9%至71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>在8月和9月的调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项表明涨幅等于或高于共识（Census Small Business Pulse+0.5百万，ADP+0.6百万，Google mobility+200百万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当弱，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明，随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应阻力大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月的季节门槛比较低：BLS调整系数一般假定私人收入（不包括公立学校）下降60-700K，而7月和8月平均下降10万左右。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏末减少裁员。部分抵消了这一顺风，9月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变——特别是通过适应去年9月重新开放驱动的就业激增（私人就业人数+93.2万环比sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济。</b>尽管个人过渡或试图过渡到州计划，但9月份首次申请失业救济人数有所下降，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万），但也是出于非经济原因（联邦增强计划到期）。从一个调查周到另一个调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray&amp;Christmas报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降14%后，9月份环比反弹11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，根据这一指标，裁员仍接近30年来的最低点（1993年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的首次申请失业救济报告和稳健的ADP私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午830点发布的周五非农就业报告，市场普遍预计非农就业报告将达到50万份——是上个月令人失望的23.5万份的两倍多——失业率降至5.1%，平均时薪增加至4.6%。与上个月不同的是，当我们正确预测8月份就业人数将大幅下降时，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个节拍，唯一的问题是幅度有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最新24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动参与率：61.8%，上次61.7%</li><li>平均时薪同比：4.6%，过去4.3%</li><li>平均每周工作时间：34.7，最后34.7</li></ul>正如Newsquawk在其NFP预览中所写，9月份的就业数据是美联储11月3日政策会议之前的最后一份数据，将在美联储预期宣布缩减规模的背景下进行，在这种背景下，一份令人满意的报告可能足以让FOMC批准11月份宣布缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，预计9月份非农就业人数增加60万，高于市场普遍预期的+50万，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9月5日全国范围内强化失业救济金到期，提振了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像7月和8月提前结束联邦救济金的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的人数将增加20万，10月份的增幅更大。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业增长约15万人。尽管有这些有利因素，但大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标一直具有建设性：ADP的就业数据出人意料地上升，尽管分析师继续指出，官方数据与ADP数据之间的直接关系很脆弱，尽管过去三份报告的差距低于10万。在8月和9月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近发布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次升至增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日13:30 BST/08：30EDT发布9月就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员实际上已经确认，除非就业数据崩溃，否则美联储将在11月3日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，9月份就业报告可能会降低对交易状况的相关性。因此，交易风险可能偏向下行，而不是上行，就业人数大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力进展如何；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许资金进入12月；一些分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>市场普遍预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将低于三个月和六个月的平均增长率，尽管与12个月的平均增长率一致（3个月的平均增长率为75万/月，6个月的平均增长率为65.3万/月，12个月的平均增长率为50.3万/月——这至少在技术上表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所改善）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍处于失业状态。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛措施：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（此前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而疫情前为63.2%；U6衡量就业不足的指标此前为8.8%，而疫情前为7.0%；就业与人口比率之前为58.5%，而疫情之前为61.1%。这些宽松指标可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，许多人最近几个月指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业人口比率，以便更好地应对经济中仍然存在的宽松程度。这些数据越接近大流行前的水平，分析师就会受到鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均时薪预计为+0.4%M/M（前值为+0.6%）；平均时薪预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（之前为34.7小时）。汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，仍有约533万美国人失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管就业岗位新增速度较第二季度的74.8万个明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏仍在继续取得进展。报告还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是经济复苏的最大受益者之一，但表示招聘仍受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，尤其是对小企业而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能为未来几个月的就业增长奠定基础。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型包含了许多之前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；Pantheon Macroeconomics表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制ADP数据。”“因此，超出共识表明ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超出是模型驱动的还是由于就业数据更强劲在ADP的客户。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与BLS就业报告调查窗口一致的当周首次申请失业救济人数约为35.1万人，与8月份就业数据调查窗口的34.9万人相比变化不大，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而飓风艾达可能会产生一些挥之不去的影响；9月份调查期间相应的持续申领数据已降至280.2万人，而8月份调查期间为290.8万人。总体而言，数据继续显示下降趋势，尽管最近几周初请失业金人数再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>：9月份服务业和制造业ISM报告显示出不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从53.7小幅放缓至53.0，表明增长但速度放缓，而制造业就业分项指数则回升至扩张区域，从之前的49.0升至50.2。在制造业方面，ISM表示，企业仍在努力实现劳资计划，但指出与前几个月相比出现了一些适度的进展迹象：“不到5%的评论指出就业方面有所改善，而8月份没有任何评论”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘”，其中约85%的回复是关于寻求额外人员，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，比8月份有所增加。ISM表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论频率不断增加，延续了8月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，并且缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各个层面都存在劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>主张一份好于预期的报告</b>：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦强化失业救济金结束</b>一些州联邦福利的到期提振了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7月和8月的数据显示，从6月到8月，失去300美元补充付款的工人的找工作概率累计增加了6个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的找工作概率增加了12个百分点。<b>9月5日失去部分或全部福利的600万工人中，一些人在9月18日之前找到了工作——及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将促进就业增长+20万，在随后的报告中会有更大的增长（到年底累计+130万）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校重新开学</b>.最大的100个学区都开放了面对面学习，促进了许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员的回归。虽然就业水平完全正常化将创造60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，BLS的季节性因素已经嵌入了夏季裁员中通常重新雇用教育工作者的情况，因此，如果返回工作岗位的看门人比典型的9月份少，在其他条件相同的情况下，这将减少经季节性调整的就业增长。总而言之，假设明天的报告中学校重新开放将增加大约15万人。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会（Conference Board）的劳动力差异——表示工作岗位充足的受访者与表示工作岗位难以获得的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%小幅降至42.5%，仍处于较高水平。此外，7月份JOLTS职位空缺增加了74.9万个，创下1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP.</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资措施中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8月份，covid感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。尽管美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放式餐桌上的餐厅座位仅小幅反弹。休闲和酒店业就业人数在9月份有所增加，但可能不会像6月和7月那样以每月约40万的速度增长。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查的就业部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将会回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数维持在54.5不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降0.4个百分点至57.8。高盛分析师指数(GSAI)下降0.8%至68.5，但就业指数上涨1.9%至71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>在8月和9月的调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项表明涨幅等于或高于共识（Census Small Business Pulse+0.5百万，ADP+0.6百万，Google mobility+200百万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当弱，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明，随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应阻力大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月的季节门槛比较低：BLS调整系数一般假定私人收入（不包括公立学校）下降60-700K，而7月和8月平均下降10万左右。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏末减少裁员。部分抵消了这一顺风，9月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变——特别是通过适应去年9月重新开放驱动的就业激增（私人就业人数+93.2万环比sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济。</b>尽管个人过渡或试图过渡到州计划，但9月份首次申请失业救济人数有所下降，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万），但也是出于非经济原因（联邦增强计划到期）。从一个调查周到另一个调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray&amp;Christmas报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降14%后，9月份环比反弹11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，根据这一指标，裁员仍接近30年来的最低点（1993年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860122060,"gmtCreate":1632147150450,"gmtModify":1632802529936,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860122060","repostId":"1194891884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194891884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632091615,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194891884?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194891884","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also","content":"<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注多家企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report&nbsp;on Thursday. Investor days this week include&nbsp;Biogen on Tuesday,&nbsp;Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and&nbsp;Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益，随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市，然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely&nbsp;to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s&nbsp;press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely&nbsp;watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间，但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新，包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73，比8月份的数据低两个百分点，这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动，讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套，比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b>&nbsp;its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变，但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and&nbsp;Yum China Holdings&nbsp;host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变，因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株，东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5%&nbsp;from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套，比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%，7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%，2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会，就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 06:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注多家企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report&nbsp;on Thursday. Investor days this week include&nbsp;Biogen on Tuesday,&nbsp;Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and&nbsp;Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益，随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市，然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely&nbsp;to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s&nbsp;press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely&nbsp;watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间，但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新，包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73，比8月份的数据低两个百分点，这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动，讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套，比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b>&nbsp;its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变，但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and&nbsp;Yum China Holdings&nbsp;host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变，因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株，东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5%&nbsp;from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套，比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%，7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%，2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会，就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","FDX":"联邦快递",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CRM":"赛富时","ADBE":"Adobe","NKE":"耐克","COST":"好市多"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194891884","content_text":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\nLennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.\nEconomic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.\nMonday 9/20\nLennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.\nMerck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.\nTuesday 9/21\nAdobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.\nBiogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.\nThe Census Bureau reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.\nWednesday 9/22\nThe FOMC announces its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.\nGeneral Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.\nBoston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.\nTheBank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.\nThursday 9/23\nAccenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.\nSalesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.\nFriday 9/24\nKansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADBE":0.9,"COST":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"NKE":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814600726,"gmtCreate":1630809376265,"gmtModify":1631891205617,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good oe bad? Loke n comment","listText":"Good oe bad? Loke n comment","text":"Good oe bad? Loke n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814600726","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143640167,"gmtCreate":1625793409059,"gmtModify":1633937285840,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment, tq","listText":"Like n comment, tq","text":"Like n comment, tq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143640167","repostId":"1195657546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":699343010,"gmtCreate":1639752285874,"gmtModify":1639752613487,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699343010","repostId":"1114105828","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114105828","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639751560,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114105828?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114105828","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq ","content":"<p>U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%,Dow trades 0.5% lower; S&amp;P 500 down 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五开盘下跌，10年期国债收益率跌破1.4%，限制美联储一周，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，道指下跌0.5%；标普500下跌0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of FedEx (FDX) jumped after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle makersaid in its shareholder letterit expected to be \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year.</p><p><blockquote>航运巨头联邦快递(FDX)上调了全年盈利预期，公布了好于预期的第二财季业绩，并授权了一项新的50亿美元股票回购计划，该公司股价上涨。与此同时，Rivian(RIVN)在发布自上个月首次公开募股以来的第一份季度报告后股价下跌。这家电动汽车制造商在股东信中表示，预计到今年年底生产1,200辆汽车的目标“还差几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fedcould hike interest rates three times next year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周的主要焦点仍然集中在美联储对明年货币政策的最新展望上，央行周中发布的预测表明美联储明年可能加息三次。</blockquote></p><p> The specter of higher rates — and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. The Nasdaq Composite has fallen by 5% over the past month through Thursday's close. And shares of some notable technology stocks extended declines on Friday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by more than 1% in early trading after a nearly 4% decrease on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升的幽灵——以及随着央行也加快缩减资产购买进程而导致的流动性下降——继续给长期科技股和成长型股票带来沉重压力，这些股票对未来盈利潜力的估值很高。截至周四收盘，纳斯达克综合指数在过去一个月下跌了5%。一些著名科技股的股价周五延续跌势，苹果(AAPL)股价继周四下跌近4%后，早盘下跌超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，能源和金融板块的周期性股票周四表现出色，利率上升和增长强劲的前景被视为有利于这些板块。</blockquote></p><p> \"The thing investors have to understand is, we're going through a major transition in monetary policy,\" Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday.\"The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that's really what we've been seeing the last month.\"</p><p><blockquote>FS Investments首席市场策略师特洛伊·盖耶斯基(Troy Gayeski)周四对雅虎财经直播表示：“投资者必须明白的是，我们正在经历货币政策的重大转变。”“美联储实施紧急政策的时间可以说比应有的时间长得多，随着货币供应增长放缓，随着他们放松资产负债表扩张并最终在明年加息，人们至少预计市场会出现更多波动。这确实是我们上个月看到的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> \"The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more than a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,\" he added. \"And it's a very different environment in 2022 where you're going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.\"</p><p><blockquote>“现在与六个月前，甚至一年多前最大的区别是，你几乎可以做多任何东西，并且你有信心它会上涨。经济正在蓬勃发展，我们有很多财政刺激，我们仍然有前所未有的货币政策刺激，”他补充道。“2022年的环境非常不同，你必须更加仔细地挑选。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks sink at Friday's open,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%<blockquote>美股周五开盘下跌，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 22:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%,Dow trades 0.5% lower; S&amp;P 500 down 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五开盘下跌，10年期国债收益率跌破1.4%，限制美联储一周，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，道指下跌0.5%；标普500下跌0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of FedEx (FDX) jumped after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle makersaid in its shareholder letterit expected to be \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year.</p><p><blockquote>航运巨头联邦快递(FDX)上调了全年盈利预期，公布了好于预期的第二财季业绩，并授权了一项新的50亿美元股票回购计划，该公司股价上涨。与此同时，Rivian(RIVN)在发布自上个月首次公开募股以来的第一份季度报告后股价下跌。这家电动汽车制造商在股东信中表示，预计到今年年底生产1,200辆汽车的目标“还差几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fedcould hike interest rates three times next year.</p><p><blockquote>投资者本周的主要焦点仍然集中在美联储对明年货币政策的最新展望上，央行周中发布的预测表明美联储明年可能加息三次。</blockquote></p><p> The specter of higher rates — and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. The Nasdaq Composite has fallen by 5% over the past month through Thursday's close. And shares of some notable technology stocks extended declines on Friday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by more than 1% in early trading after a nearly 4% decrease on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>利率上升的幽灵——以及随着央行也加快缩减资产购买进程而导致的流动性下降——继续给长期科技股和成长型股票带来沉重压力，这些股票对未来盈利潜力的估值很高。截至周四收盘，纳斯达克综合指数在过去一个月下跌了5%。一些著名科技股的股价周五延续跌势，苹果(AAPL)股价继周四下跌近4%后，早盘下跌超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，能源和金融板块的周期性股票周四表现出色，利率上升和增长强劲的前景被视为有利于这些板块。</blockquote></p><p> \"The thing investors have to understand is, we're going through a major transition in monetary policy,\" Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday.\"The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that's really what we've been seeing the last month.\"</p><p><blockquote>FS Investments首席市场策略师特洛伊·盖耶斯基(Troy Gayeski)周四对雅虎财经直播表示：“投资者必须明白的是，我们正在经历货币政策的重大转变。”“美联储实施紧急政策的时间可以说比应有的时间长得多，随着货币供应增长放缓，随着他们放松资产负债表扩张并最终在明年加息，人们至少预计市场会出现更多波动。这确实是我们上个月看到的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> \"The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more than a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,\" he added. \"And it's a very different environment in 2022 where you're going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.\"</p><p><blockquote>“现在与六个月前，甚至一年多前最大的区别是，你几乎可以做多任何东西，并且你有信心它会上涨。经济正在蓬勃发展，我们有很多财政刺激，我们仍然有前所未有的货币政策刺激，”他补充道。“2022年的环境非常不同，你必须更加仔细地挑选。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114105828","content_text":"U.S. stocks sink at Friday's open as 10-year Treasury yield falls below 1.4% to cap Fed week,Nasdaq Composite Index declines 0.9%,Dow trades 0.5% lower; S&P 500 down 0.6%.\nShares of FedEx (FDX) jumped after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle makersaid in its shareholder letterit expected to be \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year.\nInvestors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fedcould hike interest rates three times next year.\nThe specter of higher rates — and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. The Nasdaq Composite has fallen by 5% over the past month through Thursday's close. And shares of some notable technology stocks extended declines on Friday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by more than 1% in early trading after a nearly 4% decrease on Thursday.\nOn the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors.\n\"The thing investors have to understand is, we're going through a major transition in monetary policy,\" Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday.\"The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that's really what we've been seeing the last month.\"\n\"The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more than a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,\" he added. \"And it's a very different environment in 2022 where you're going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600656709,"gmtCreate":1638149856314,"gmtModify":1638149856468,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please, thank you","listText":"Like please, thank you","text":"Like please, thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600656709","repostId":"1124072014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124072014","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638140765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124072014?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124072014","media":"yahoo","summary":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor","content":"<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从感恩节缩短的交易周回归，焦点将转向美国劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周五发布的月度就业报告将提供美国经济中招聘和劳动力参与实力的最新快照。经济学家一致认为，11月份将有50万个工作岗位回归，招聘速度仅较10月份的531,000个略有放缓。失业率也有望从10月的4.6%进一步改善至4.5%，达到2020年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席北美经济学家保罗·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)写道：“我们预计11月份非农就业人数将增加50万人，但冬季新冠疫情风险不断增加以及可用工人供应减少将很快拖累就业增长。”，在上周的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> \"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非劳动力出现更显著的复苏，否则就业增长不可能以这种速度持续太久。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是劳动力供应可以<i>恶化</i>随着覆盖1亿工人的联邦疫苗授权于1月4日开始，未来几个月，”阿什沃斯补充道。“这表明工资增长将保持强劲，我们预计10月份平均时薪将[环比]增长0.4%。”</blockquote></p><p> On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p><p><blockquote>与去年同期相比，平均时薪预计将增长5.0%，继10月份已经显着增长4.9%之后进一步加速，这是自2月份以来最快的工资增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>平均工资增长和劳动力市场紧张虽然对消费者及其消费能力有利，但也引发了人们对持续通胀的担忧。上周经济分析局公布的10月份个人消费支出(PCE)平减指数显示，该指数年率上涨5.0%，创1990年以来最大涨幅。核心PCE（即美联储首选的剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的通胀指标）同比上涨4.1%，为三十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最近的其他数据集中在紧张的劳动力市场上，并预示着11月份就业报告可能强劲。上周首次申请失业救济人数降至19.9万人的52年低点，打破了之前大流行时期的低点和大流行前新首次申请失业救济人数的平均值。这再次凸显了美国雇主之间对劳动力的激烈竞争，在劳动力普遍短缺的情况下，公司试图雇用和留住现有劳动力。</blockquote></p><p> Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>即使考虑到这些挥之不去的短缺，劳动力参与率仍未恢复到大流行前的水平。与2020年2月相比，平民劳动力仍减少了近300万参与者，对病毒的担忧挥之不去，许多工作年龄的人渴望寻找具有更好灵活性和福利的新角色，这仍然使许多人处于劳动力的边缘。经济学家普遍预计，11月份劳动力参与率仅略有上升，达到61.7%，高于10月份的61.6%，但远低于2020年2月的63.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p><p><blockquote>让经济回到大流行前的劳动力参与水平，并确保不同群体公平地看到就业增长，已成为美联储的一个重点关注点。在这些方面仍有待弥补的距离也是美联储货币政策支持保持超宽松的最大因素，即使在一系列高于预期的通胀报告似乎需要采取更强硬的政策倾斜美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔再次被提名继续担任央行行长进一步表明，美联储将继续关注劳动力市场，将其作为货币政策的关键信息因素。</blockquote></p><p> \"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行经济学家贾斯汀·魏德纳(Justin Weidner)上周在一份报告中写道：“由于有证据表明通胀压力上升可能会持续更长时间，市场对美联储未来加息的看法已大幅提前。”“然而，正如鲍威尔主席11月新闻发布会所表明的那样，劳动力市场恢复最大就业的前景仍然是美联储最终何时开始积极收紧货币政策的关键考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Economic calendar</p><p><blockquote>经济日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b>10月份待售房屋环比（预期0.7%，9月份-2.3%）；11月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数（预期17.0，10月14.6）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>9月FHFA房价指数环比（预期为1.2%，8月为1.0%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城综合指数，9月环比（预期1.30%，8月1.17%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城市综合指数，9月（上月为19.66%）；11月MNI芝加哥PMI（预期67.0，10月68.4）；世界大型企业联合会11月消费者信心指数（预期110.0，10月113.8）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>MBA抵押贷款申请，11月26日（前一周为1.8%）；11月ADP就业变化（预期51.5万人，10月57.1万人）；Markit美国制造业PMI，11月终值（上月为59.1）；10月份建筑支出环比（预期0.5%，9月份-0.5%）；ISM制造业，11月（预期61.0，10月60.8）；美联储发布褐皮书</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>挑战者裁员，11月（10月-71.7%）；截至11月27日当周首次申请失业救济人数（前一周为199,000人）；11月20日持续申请失业救济人数（前一周为2.049）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b>11月非农就业人数变化（预期50万，10月53.1万）；11月失业率（预期4.5%，10月4.6%）；11月平均时薪环比（预期0.4%，10月0.4%）；11月平均时薪同比（预期5.0%，10月4.9%）；Markit美国服务业PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为57.0）；Markit美国综合PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为56.5）；ISM服务业指数，11月（预期65.0，10月66.7）；10月工厂订单（预期0.5%，9月0.2%）；耐用品订单，10月份最终（上次打印为-0.5%）</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Earnings calendar</p><p><blockquote>盈利日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>Salesforce.com(CRM)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>PVH Corp.(PVH)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>Dollar General(DG)、Kroger(KR)开盘前；Ulta Beauty(ULTA)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovember jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-29 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从感恩节缩短的交易周回归，焦点将转向美国劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周五发布的月度就业报告将提供美国经济中招聘和劳动力参与实力的最新快照。经济学家一致认为，11月份将有50万个工作岗位回归，招聘速度仅较10月份的531,000个略有放缓。失业率也有望从10月的4.6%进一步改善至4.5%，达到2020年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席北美经济学家保罗·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)写道：“我们预计11月份非农就业人数将增加50万人，但冬季新冠疫情风险不断增加以及可用工人供应减少将很快拖累就业增长。”，在上周的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> \"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非劳动力出现更显著的复苏，否则就业增长不可能以这种速度持续太久。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是劳动力供应可以<i>恶化</i>随着覆盖1亿工人的联邦疫苗授权于1月4日开始，未来几个月，”阿什沃斯补充道。“这表明工资增长将保持强劲，我们预计10月份平均时薪将[环比]增长0.4%。”</blockquote></p><p> On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p><p><blockquote>与去年同期相比，平均时薪预计将增长5.0%，继10月份已经显着增长4.9%之后进一步加速，这是自2月份以来最快的工资增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>平均工资增长和劳动力市场紧张虽然对消费者及其消费能力有利，但也引发了人们对持续通胀的担忧。上周经济分析局公布的10月份个人消费支出(PCE)平减指数显示，该指数年率上涨5.0%，创1990年以来最大涨幅。核心PCE（即美联储首选的剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的通胀指标）同比上涨4.1%，为三十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最近的其他数据集中在紧张的劳动力市场上，并预示着11月份就业报告可能强劲。上周首次申请失业救济人数降至19.9万人的52年低点，打破了之前大流行时期的低点和大流行前新首次申请失业救济人数的平均值。这再次凸显了美国雇主之间对劳动力的激烈竞争，在劳动力普遍短缺的情况下，公司试图雇用和留住现有劳动力。</blockquote></p><p> Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>即使考虑到这些挥之不去的短缺，劳动力参与率仍未恢复到大流行前的水平。与2020年2月相比，平民劳动力仍减少了近300万参与者，对病毒的担忧挥之不去，许多工作年龄的人渴望寻找具有更好灵活性和福利的新角色，这仍然使许多人处于劳动力的边缘。经济学家普遍预计，11月份劳动力参与率仅略有上升，达到61.7%，高于10月份的61.6%，但远低于2020年2月的63.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p><p><blockquote>让经济回到大流行前的劳动力参与水平，并确保不同群体公平地看到就业增长，已成为美联储的一个重点关注点。在这些方面仍有待弥补的距离也是美联储货币政策支持保持超宽松的最大因素，即使在一系列高于预期的通胀报告似乎需要采取更强硬的政策倾斜美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔再次被提名继续担任央行行长进一步表明，美联储将继续关注劳动力市场，将其作为货币政策的关键信息因素。</blockquote></p><p> \"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行经济学家贾斯汀·魏德纳(Justin Weidner)上周在一份报告中写道：“由于有证据表明通胀压力上升可能会持续更长时间，市场对美联储未来加息的看法已大幅提前。”“然而，正如鲍威尔主席11月新闻发布会所表明的那样，劳动力市场恢复最大就业的前景仍然是美联储最终何时开始积极收紧货币政策的关键考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Economic calendar</p><p><blockquote>经济日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b>10月份待售房屋环比（预期0.7%，9月份-2.3%）；11月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数（预期17.0，10月14.6）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>9月FHFA房价指数环比（预期为1.2%，8月为1.0%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城综合指数，9月环比（预期1.30%，8月1.17%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城市综合指数，9月（上月为19.66%）；11月MNI芝加哥PMI（预期67.0，10月68.4）；世界大型企业联合会11月消费者信心指数（预期110.0，10月113.8）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>MBA抵押贷款申请，11月26日（前一周为1.8%）；11月ADP就业变化（预期51.5万人，10月57.1万人）；Markit美国制造业PMI，11月终值（上月为59.1）；10月份建筑支出环比（预期0.5%，9月份-0.5%）；ISM制造业，11月（预期61.0，10月60.8）；美联储发布褐皮书</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>挑战者裁员，11月（10月-71.7%）；截至11月27日当周首次申请失业救济人数（前一周为199,000人）；11月20日持续申请失业救济人数（前一周为2.049）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b>11月非农就业人数变化（预期50万，10月53.1万）；11月失业率（预期4.5%，10月4.6%）；11月平均时薪环比（预期0.4%，10月0.4%）；11月平均时薪同比（预期5.0%，10月4.9%）；Markit美国服务业PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为57.0）；Markit美国综合PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为56.5）；ISM服务业指数，11月（预期65.0，10月66.7）；10月工厂订单（预期0.5%，9月0.2%）；耐用品订单，10月份最终（上次打印为-0.5%）</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Earnings calendar</p><p><blockquote>盈利日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>Salesforce.com(CRM)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>PVH Corp.(PVH)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>Dollar General(DG)、Kroger(KR)开盘前；Ulta Beauty(ULTA)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html\">yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124072014","content_text":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.\nThe Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.\n\"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.\n\"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply couldworsenover the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"\nOn a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.\nGrowing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.\nOther recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.\nEven given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.\nReturning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.\n\"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday:Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)\nTuesday:FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)\nWednesday:MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book\nThursday:Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)\nFriday:Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday:No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday:Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close\nWednesday:PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close\nThursday:Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nFriday:No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879847472,"gmtCreate":1636709374519,"gmtModify":1636709374646,"author":{"id":"3586933408017245","authorId":"3586933408017245","name":"mokmokmok","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586933408017245","idStr":"3586933408017245"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879847472","repostId":"1188735483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188735483","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636708827,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188735483?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 17:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GE Was Once a Model for Siemens but Now Follows Its Rival’s Path<blockquote>通用电气曾经是西门子的典范，但现在却追随竞争对手的道路</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188735483","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"For decades,Siemens AG lived in the shadow ofGeneral ElectricCo., with the German engineering and te","content":"<p>For decades,Siemens&nbsp;AG&nbsp;lived in the shadow ofGeneral ElectricCo., with the German engineering and technology company often mimicking its competitor’s practices and managers looking to it as a benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，西门子公司一直生活在通用电气的阴影下。这家德国工程技术公司经常模仿竞争对手的做法，经理们将其视为基准。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s GE that is catching up with its rival’s moves.</p><p><blockquote>现在，赶上竞争对手动作的是通用电气。</blockquote></p><p> GE’s announcement this week that it will&nbsp;split into three public companies&nbsp;follows Siemens’s strategy of spinning off some of its major divisions in recent years. Under pressure from investors, the German company&nbsp;shifted from a conglomerate into a company&nbsp;focused on faster-growing and higher-margin software and technology, shedding its healthcare and energy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气本周宣布将拆分为三家上市公司，此前西门子近年来采取了剥离部分主要部门的战略。在投资者的压力下，这家德国公司从一家企业集团转变为一家专注于增长更快、利润率更高的软件和技术的公司，剥离了医疗保健和能源业务。</blockquote></p><p> This change of strategy helped Siemens overtake its U.S. rival in market capitalization after being as much as four times smaller in the mid-2000s.</p><p><blockquote>这一战略变化帮助西门子在2000年代中期市值缩小了四倍后，在市值上超越了美国竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> “Simply, GE is just late to the de-conglomerisation party,” investment bank Jefferies wrote in a report to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞(Jefferies)在本周给客户的一份报告中写道：“简而言之，通用电气在去企业集团化方面来得太晚了。”</blockquote></p><p> Siemens Chief Financial Officer Ralf Thomas said the company couldn’t help feeling vindicated after the GE announcement.</p><p><blockquote>西门子首席财务官拉尔夫·托马斯表示，通用电气宣布这一消息后，该公司不禁感到自己被证明是正确的。</blockquote></p><p> “They have to act,” Mr. Thomas said Thursday. “We had the opportunity to act from a position of strength back then when we were shaping our plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们必须采取行动，”托马斯先生周四表示。“当时，当我们制定计划时，我们有机会采取强势行动。”</blockquote></p><p> GE Chief Executive Officer Larry Culp said in an investor call this week that the “momentum we have built puts us in a position of strength” to divide into three businesses that can realize their full potential.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气首席执行官Larry Culp本周在投资者看涨期权上表示，“我们建立的势头使我们处于优势地位”，可以分为三个能够充分发挥潜力的业务。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, Siemens reported better-than-expected sales and orders during the quarter despite continuing supply chain disruptions, and the company also said it would increase its dividend.</p><p><blockquote>周四，西门子报告称，尽管供应链持续中断，但该季度的销售额和订单好于预期，该公司还表示将增加股息。</blockquote></p><p> Siemens, whose activities now center on industrial software, automation and mobility, said sales rose 18% to 17.44 billion euros, equivalent to $19.98 billion, in the three months to the end of September. Company shares closed up around 3% in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>西门子目前的业务集中在工业软件、自动化和移动性，该公司表示，截至9月底的三个月内，销售额增长了18%，达到174.4亿欧元，相当于199.8亿美元。公司股价在德国收盘上涨约3%。</blockquote></p><p> Continuing its spinoff drive, Siemens confirmed Thursday that it would carve out its large-drives unit, which makes heavy-duty drive systems for ships, mines and mills, into separate legal entities.</p><p><blockquote>西门子周四证实，将继续分拆其大型驱动部门，该部门为船舶、矿山和工厂生产重型驱动系统，分为独立的法人实体。</blockquote></p><p> GE’s moves raise pressure on Siemens to further trim its stakes in its recent spinoffs to streamline the company even more, investors and analysts say.Some say Siemens hasn’t gone far enough&nbsp;and still retains a great deal of complexity, with some calling for it to spin off its mobility division.</p><p><blockquote>投资者和分析师表示，通用电气的举动给西门子带来了压力，要求西门子进一步削减其在最近分拆中的股份，以进一步精简公司。有人说西门子做得还不够，仍然保留了很大的复杂性，有人呼吁西门子剥离其移动部门。</blockquote></p><p> Siemens has a 75% stake in&nbsp;Siemens Healthineers&nbsp;AG, which works in the field of medical technology, and 35% in&nbsp;Siemens Energy&nbsp;AG, which makes gas turbines and generators.</p><p><blockquote>西门子拥有从事医疗技术领域工作的西门子医疗公司75%的股份，以及生产燃气轮机和发电机的西门子能源公司35%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> GE said it expects to retain a stake of 19.9% in GE Healthcare once it is spun off. Jefferies analysts said the GE move raises pressure on Siemens to reduce its stake in Healthineers to under 50% to free up funds to invest in software.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气表示，一旦剥离，预计将保留通用电气医疗19.9%的股份。杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师表示，通用电气此举加大了西门子的压力，要求西门子将其在Healthineers的股份降至50%以下，以腾出资金投资软件。</blockquote></p><p> “The question is: If I buy Siemens, do I want to also invest in Healthineers? Because if I wanted to, I could just invest in Healthineers,” which is publicly listed, said Vera Diehl, fund manager at German asset-management firm Union Investment, which holds 1.2% of Siemens. “As a portfolio manager, I want to create my own portfolio of what types of businesses I invest in, not rely on the company to do that for me.”</p><p><blockquote>德国资产管理公司的基金经理维拉·迪尔(Vera Diehl)表示：“问题是：如果我购买西门子，我是否也想投资医疗保健公司？因为如果我想，我可以投资医疗保健公司，”该公司是公开上市的。Union Investment持有西门子1.2%的股份。“作为一名投资组合经理，我希望创建自己的投资组合，了解我投资的企业类型，而不是依赖公司为我做这件事。”</blockquote></p><p> Siemens’s Mr. Thomas said that unwinding stakes takes time, citing the need to transition intellectual property, data and various systems. He said Siemens was looking to completely unwind its stake in Siemens Energy and is open to considering more independence for Healthineers.</p><p><blockquote>西门子的托马斯表示，解除股份需要时间，理由是需要转移知识产权、数据和各种系统。他表示，西门子正在寻求完全剥离其在西门子能源公司的股份，并愿意考虑给予医疗保健公司更多的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> The shift at Siemens, a company that began in 1847 as a maker of telegraph machines, shows the benefits—as well as challenges—of the carve-out strategy, investors say.</p><p><blockquote>投资者表示，西门子公司成立于1847年，最初是一家电报机制造商，其转变显示了分拆战略的好处以及挑战。</blockquote></p><p> “Siemens was a tanker, which was then transformed into a fleet of ships and high-speed boats, which it put on the water,” Ms. Diehl said. “It made the company more transparent and the investment story easier.”</p><p><blockquote>“西门子是一艘油轮，然后被改造成一支由船只和快艇组成的船队，并将其投放到水面上，”迪尔女士说。“这让公司更加透明，投资故事也更容易。”</blockquote></p><p> While smaller, Siemens had competed with GE over the years as a maker of sophisticated industrial machinery. But inside the German company, GE had often been a source of inspiration and envy, top Siemens executives have said.</p><p><blockquote>虽然规模较小，但西门子多年来一直作为复杂工业机械制造商与通用电气竞争。但西门子高管表示，在这家德国公司内部，通用电气经常是灵感和羡慕的源泉。</blockquote></p><p> “GE was always the model, the benchmark,” said Manfred Hoefle, a Siemens watcher and former manager who spent 29 years at the company until 2005. “At Siemens you always had to justify yourself, and people would ask you, ‘Why don’t you do it like GE?’ ”</p><p><blockquote>“通用电气始终是典范、标杆，”西门子观察家、前经理曼弗雷德·赫夫尔(Manfred Hoefle)说道，他在该公司工作了29年，直到2005年。“在西门子，你总是必须为自己辩护，人们会问你，‘你为什么不像通用电气那样做呢？’”</blockquote></p><p> Siemens’s expansion, however, made the company inefficient and difficult to manage, investors and former executives say.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和前高管表示，西门子的扩张使公司效率低下且难以管理。</blockquote></p><p> “At some point you saw that the synergies became very limited as complexity grew and grew,” Mr. Hoefle said. “If those responsible no longer understand the business, the company becomes only a portfolio managing center.”</p><p><blockquote>“在某些时候，你会发现随着复杂性的增加，协同效应变得非常有限，”赫夫尔先生说。“如果负责人不再了解业务，公司就只是一个投资组合管理中心。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A spokesman for Siemens said that the company has sought to create value by establishing focused, publicly listed companies as part of “the transformation of Siemens AG from a traditional industrial conglomerate to focused technology company.”</p><p><blockquote>西门子发言人表示，作为“西门子股份公司从传统工业集团向专注科技公司转型”的一部分，该公司寻求通过建立专注的上市公司来创造价值。</blockquote></p><p> After taking over in 2013, then-CEO Joe Kaeser ledan effort to refocus the sprawling conglomerate&nbsp;into a narrower selection of more-profitable units and to slash costs across the board, including&nbsp;thousands of job cuts. Siemens units got more autonomy to make decisions but also carried more responsibility for meeting financial targets.</p><p><blockquote>2013年接任后，时任首席执行官乔·凯泽·莱丹(Joe Kaeser ledan)努力将这家庞大的企业集团重新聚焦于更狭窄的利润更高的部门，并全面削减成本，包括裁员数千人。西门子各部门获得了更多的决策自主权，但也承担了更多实现财务目标的责任。</blockquote></p><p> The energy shake-up was triggered in part by worry over activist investors, Siemens executives said at the time. Back then, such investors, including some from the U.S., were pushing for boardroom changes in European companies like French beverage makerPernod RicardSA&nbsp;and German steel-to-elevator conglomerate Thyssenkrupp AG.</p><p><blockquote>西门子高管当时表示，能源重组的部分原因是对激进投资者的担忧。当时，这些投资者，包括一些来自美国的投资者，正在推动法国饮料制造商保乐力加（Pernod RicardSA）和德国钢铁电梯集团蒂森克虏伯（Thyssenkrupp AG）等欧洲公司的董事会变动。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in Siemens Healthineers have roughly doubled their value since the company was listed on the stock exchange, while the parent company is up 55% since then. Germany’s DAX index gained around 30% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>自西门子医疗在证券交易所上市以来，该公司的股价大约翻了一番，而母公司自那以来上涨了55%。德国DAX指数同期上涨约30%。</blockquote></p><p> Siemens Energy shares are up 17% since their listing in September last year, underperforming the German blue-chip index’s 25% rise over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>西门子能源股价自去年9月上市以来上涨了17%，表现逊于德国蓝筹股指数同期25%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GE Was Once a Model for Siemens but Now Follows Its Rival’s Path<blockquote>通用电气曾经是西门子的典范，但现在却追随竞争对手的道路</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGE Was Once a Model for Siemens but Now Follows Its Rival’s Path<blockquote>通用电气曾经是西门子的典范，但现在却追随竞争对手的道路</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-12 17:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For decades,Siemens&nbsp;AG&nbsp;lived in the shadow ofGeneral ElectricCo., with the German engineering and technology company often mimicking its competitor’s practices and managers looking to it as a benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，西门子公司一直生活在通用电气的阴影下。这家德国工程技术公司经常模仿竞争对手的做法，经理们将其视为基准。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s GE that is catching up with its rival’s moves.</p><p><blockquote>现在，赶上竞争对手动作的是通用电气。</blockquote></p><p> GE’s announcement this week that it will&nbsp;split into three public companies&nbsp;follows Siemens’s strategy of spinning off some of its major divisions in recent years. Under pressure from investors, the German company&nbsp;shifted from a conglomerate into a company&nbsp;focused on faster-growing and higher-margin software and technology, shedding its healthcare and energy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气本周宣布将拆分为三家上市公司，此前西门子近年来采取了剥离部分主要部门的战略。在投资者的压力下，这家德国公司从一家企业集团转变为一家专注于增长更快、利润率更高的软件和技术的公司，剥离了医疗保健和能源业务。</blockquote></p><p> This change of strategy helped Siemens overtake its U.S. rival in market capitalization after being as much as four times smaller in the mid-2000s.</p><p><blockquote>这一战略变化帮助西门子在2000年代中期市值缩小了四倍后，在市值上超越了美国竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> “Simply, GE is just late to the de-conglomerisation party,” investment bank Jefferies wrote in a report to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞(Jefferies)在本周给客户的一份报告中写道：“简而言之，通用电气在去企业集团化方面来得太晚了。”</blockquote></p><p> Siemens Chief Financial Officer Ralf Thomas said the company couldn’t help feeling vindicated after the GE announcement.</p><p><blockquote>西门子首席财务官拉尔夫·托马斯表示，通用电气宣布这一消息后，该公司不禁感到自己被证明是正确的。</blockquote></p><p> “They have to act,” Mr. Thomas said Thursday. “We had the opportunity to act from a position of strength back then when we were shaping our plan.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们必须采取行动，”托马斯先生周四表示。“当时，当我们制定计划时，我们有机会采取强势行动。”</blockquote></p><p> GE Chief Executive Officer Larry Culp said in an investor call this week that the “momentum we have built puts us in a position of strength” to divide into three businesses that can realize their full potential.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气首席执行官Larry Culp本周在投资者看涨期权上表示，“我们建立的势头使我们处于优势地位”，可以分为三个能够充分发挥潜力的业务。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, Siemens reported better-than-expected sales and orders during the quarter despite continuing supply chain disruptions, and the company also said it would increase its dividend.</p><p><blockquote>周四，西门子报告称，尽管供应链持续中断，但该季度的销售额和订单好于预期，该公司还表示将增加股息。</blockquote></p><p> Siemens, whose activities now center on industrial software, automation and mobility, said sales rose 18% to 17.44 billion euros, equivalent to $19.98 billion, in the three months to the end of September. Company shares closed up around 3% in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>西门子目前的业务集中在工业软件、自动化和移动性，该公司表示，截至9月底的三个月内，销售额增长了18%，达到174.4亿欧元，相当于199.8亿美元。公司股价在德国收盘上涨约3%。</blockquote></p><p> Continuing its spinoff drive, Siemens confirmed Thursday that it would carve out its large-drives unit, which makes heavy-duty drive systems for ships, mines and mills, into separate legal entities.</p><p><blockquote>西门子周四证实，将继续分拆其大型驱动部门，该部门为船舶、矿山和工厂生产重型驱动系统，分为独立的法人实体。</blockquote></p><p> GE’s moves raise pressure on Siemens to further trim its stakes in its recent spinoffs to streamline the company even more, investors and analysts say.Some say Siemens hasn’t gone far enough&nbsp;and still retains a great deal of complexity, with some calling for it to spin off its mobility division.</p><p><blockquote>投资者和分析师表示，通用电气的举动给西门子带来了压力，要求西门子进一步削减其在最近分拆中的股份，以进一步精简公司。有人说西门子做得还不够，仍然保留了很大的复杂性，有人呼吁西门子剥离其移动部门。</blockquote></p><p> Siemens has a 75% stake in&nbsp;Siemens Healthineers&nbsp;AG, which works in the field of medical technology, and 35% in&nbsp;Siemens Energy&nbsp;AG, which makes gas turbines and generators.</p><p><blockquote>西门子拥有从事医疗技术领域工作的西门子医疗公司75%的股份，以及生产燃气轮机和发电机的西门子能源公司35%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> GE said it expects to retain a stake of 19.9% in GE Healthcare once it is spun off. Jefferies analysts said the GE move raises pressure on Siemens to reduce its stake in Healthineers to under 50% to free up funds to invest in software.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气表示，一旦剥离，预计将保留通用电气医疗19.9%的股份。杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师表示，通用电气此举加大了西门子的压力，要求西门子将其在Healthineers的股份降至50%以下，以腾出资金投资软件。</blockquote></p><p> “The question is: If I buy Siemens, do I want to also invest in Healthineers? Because if I wanted to, I could just invest in Healthineers,” which is publicly listed, said Vera Diehl, fund manager at German asset-management firm Union Investment, which holds 1.2% of Siemens. “As a portfolio manager, I want to create my own portfolio of what types of businesses I invest in, not rely on the company to do that for me.”</p><p><blockquote>德国资产管理公司的基金经理维拉·迪尔(Vera Diehl)表示：“问题是：如果我购买西门子，我是否也想投资医疗保健公司？因为如果我想，我可以投资医疗保健公司，”该公司是公开上市的。Union Investment持有西门子1.2%的股份。“作为一名投资组合经理，我希望创建自己的投资组合，了解我投资的企业类型，而不是依赖公司为我做这件事。”</blockquote></p><p> Siemens’s Mr. Thomas said that unwinding stakes takes time, citing the need to transition intellectual property, data and various systems. He said Siemens was looking to completely unwind its stake in Siemens Energy and is open to considering more independence for Healthineers.</p><p><blockquote>西门子的托马斯表示，解除股份需要时间，理由是需要转移知识产权、数据和各种系统。他表示，西门子正在寻求完全剥离其在西门子能源公司的股份，并愿意考虑给予医疗保健公司更多的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> The shift at Siemens, a company that began in 1847 as a maker of telegraph machines, shows the benefits—as well as challenges—of the carve-out strategy, investors say.</p><p><blockquote>投资者表示，西门子公司成立于1847年，最初是一家电报机制造商，其转变显示了分拆战略的好处以及挑战。</blockquote></p><p> “Siemens was a tanker, which was then transformed into a fleet of ships and high-speed boats, which it put on the water,” Ms. Diehl said. “It made the company more transparent and the investment story easier.”</p><p><blockquote>“西门子是一艘油轮，然后被改造成一支由船只和快艇组成的船队，并将其投放到水面上，”迪尔女士说。“这让公司更加透明，投资故事也更容易。”</blockquote></p><p> While smaller, Siemens had competed with GE over the years as a maker of sophisticated industrial machinery. But inside the German company, GE had often been a source of inspiration and envy, top Siemens executives have said.</p><p><blockquote>虽然规模较小，但西门子多年来一直作为复杂工业机械制造商与通用电气竞争。但西门子高管表示，在这家德国公司内部，通用电气经常是灵感和羡慕的源泉。</blockquote></p><p> “GE was always the model, the benchmark,” said Manfred Hoefle, a Siemens watcher and former manager who spent 29 years at the company until 2005. “At Siemens you always had to justify yourself, and people would ask you, ‘Why don’t you do it like GE?’ ”</p><p><blockquote>“通用电气始终是典范、标杆，”西门子观察家、前经理曼弗雷德·赫夫尔(Manfred Hoefle)说道，他在该公司工作了29年，直到2005年。“在西门子，你总是必须为自己辩护，人们会问你，‘你为什么不像通用电气那样做呢？’”</blockquote></p><p> Siemens’s expansion, however, made the company inefficient and difficult to manage, investors and former executives say.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和前高管表示，西门子的扩张使公司效率低下且难以管理。</blockquote></p><p> “At some point you saw that the synergies became very limited as complexity grew and grew,” Mr. Hoefle said. “If those responsible no longer understand the business, the company becomes only a portfolio managing center.”</p><p><blockquote>“在某些时候，你会发现随着复杂性的增加，协同效应变得非常有限，”赫夫尔先生说。“如果负责人不再了解业务，公司就只是一个投资组合管理中心。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A spokesman for Siemens said that the company has sought to create value by establishing focused, publicly listed companies as part of “the transformation of Siemens AG from a traditional industrial conglomerate to focused technology company.”</p><p><blockquote>西门子发言人表示，作为“西门子股份公司从传统工业集团向专注科技公司转型”的一部分，该公司寻求通过建立专注的上市公司来创造价值。</blockquote></p><p> After taking over in 2013, then-CEO Joe Kaeser ledan effort to refocus the sprawling conglomerate&nbsp;into a narrower selection of more-profitable units and to slash costs across the board, including&nbsp;thousands of job cuts. Siemens units got more autonomy to make decisions but also carried more responsibility for meeting financial targets.</p><p><blockquote>2013年接任后，时任首席执行官乔·凯泽·莱丹(Joe Kaeser ledan)努力将这家庞大的企业集团重新聚焦于更狭窄的利润更高的部门，并全面削减成本，包括裁员数千人。西门子各部门获得了更多的决策自主权，但也承担了更多实现财务目标的责任。</blockquote></p><p> The energy shake-up was triggered in part by worry over activist investors, Siemens executives said at the time. Back then, such investors, including some from the U.S., were pushing for boardroom changes in European companies like French beverage makerPernod RicardSA&nbsp;and German steel-to-elevator conglomerate Thyssenkrupp AG.</p><p><blockquote>西门子高管当时表示，能源重组的部分原因是对激进投资者的担忧。当时，这些投资者，包括一些来自美国的投资者，正在推动法国饮料制造商保乐力加（Pernod RicardSA）和德国钢铁电梯集团蒂森克虏伯（Thyssenkrupp AG）等欧洲公司的董事会变动。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in Siemens Healthineers have roughly doubled their value since the company was listed on the stock exchange, while the parent company is up 55% since then. Germany’s DAX index gained around 30% over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>自西门子医疗在证券交易所上市以来，该公司的股价大约翻了一番，而母公司自那以来上涨了55%。德国DAX指数同期上涨约30%。</blockquote></p><p> Siemens Energy shares are up 17% since their listing in September last year, underperforming the German blue-chip index’s 25% rise over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>西门子能源股价自去年9月上市以来上涨了17%，表现逊于德国蓝筹股指数同期25%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/ge-was-once-a-model-for-siemens-but-now-follows-its-rivals-path-11636656545?mod=hp_lead_pos6\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GE":"GE航空航天"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/ge-was-once-a-model-for-siemens-but-now-follows-its-rivals-path-11636656545?mod=hp_lead_pos6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188735483","content_text":"For decades,Siemens AG lived in the shadow ofGeneral ElectricCo., with the German engineering and technology company often mimicking its competitor’s practices and managers looking to it as a benchmark.\nNow, it’s GE that is catching up with its rival’s moves.\nGE’s announcement this week that it will split into three public companies follows Siemens’s strategy of spinning off some of its major divisions in recent years. Under pressure from investors, the German company shifted from a conglomerate into a company focused on faster-growing and higher-margin software and technology, shedding its healthcare and energy businesses.\nThis change of strategy helped Siemens overtake its U.S. rival in market capitalization after being as much as four times smaller in the mid-2000s.\n“Simply, GE is just late to the de-conglomerisation party,” investment bank Jefferies wrote in a report to clients this week.\nSiemens Chief Financial Officer Ralf Thomas said the company couldn’t help feeling vindicated after the GE announcement.\n“They have to act,” Mr. Thomas said Thursday. “We had the opportunity to act from a position of strength back then when we were shaping our plan.”\nGE Chief Executive Officer Larry Culp said in an investor call this week that the “momentum we have built puts us in a position of strength” to divide into three businesses that can realize their full potential.\nOn Thursday, Siemens reported better-than-expected sales and orders during the quarter despite continuing supply chain disruptions, and the company also said it would increase its dividend.\nSiemens, whose activities now center on industrial software, automation and mobility, said sales rose 18% to 17.44 billion euros, equivalent to $19.98 billion, in the three months to the end of September. Company shares closed up around 3% in Germany.\nContinuing its spinoff drive, Siemens confirmed Thursday that it would carve out its large-drives unit, which makes heavy-duty drive systems for ships, mines and mills, into separate legal entities.\nGE’s moves raise pressure on Siemens to further trim its stakes in its recent spinoffs to streamline the company even more, investors and analysts say.Some say Siemens hasn’t gone far enough and still retains a great deal of complexity, with some calling for it to spin off its mobility division.\nSiemens has a 75% stake in Siemens Healthineers AG, which works in the field of medical technology, and 35% in Siemens Energy AG, which makes gas turbines and generators.\nGE said it expects to retain a stake of 19.9% in GE Healthcare once it is spun off. Jefferies analysts said the GE move raises pressure on Siemens to reduce its stake in Healthineers to under 50% to free up funds to invest in software.\n“The question is: If I buy Siemens, do I want to also invest in Healthineers? Because if I wanted to, I could just invest in Healthineers,” which is publicly listed, said Vera Diehl, fund manager at German asset-management firm Union Investment, which holds 1.2% of Siemens. “As a portfolio manager, I want to create my own portfolio of what types of businesses I invest in, not rely on the company to do that for me.”\nSiemens’s Mr. Thomas said that unwinding stakes takes time, citing the need to transition intellectual property, data and various systems. He said Siemens was looking to completely unwind its stake in Siemens Energy and is open to considering more independence for Healthineers.\nThe shift at Siemens, a company that began in 1847 as a maker of telegraph machines, shows the benefits—as well as challenges—of the carve-out strategy, investors say.\n“Siemens was a tanker, which was then transformed into a fleet of ships and high-speed boats, which it put on the water,” Ms. Diehl said. “It made the company more transparent and the investment story easier.”\nWhile smaller, Siemens had competed with GE over the years as a maker of sophisticated industrial machinery. But inside the German company, GE had often been a source of inspiration and envy, top Siemens executives have said.\n“GE was always the model, the benchmark,” said Manfred Hoefle, a Siemens watcher and former manager who spent 29 years at the company until 2005. “At Siemens you always had to justify yourself, and people would ask you, ‘Why don’t you do it like GE?’ ”\nSiemens’s expansion, however, made the company inefficient and difficult to manage, investors and former executives say.\n“At some point you saw that the synergies became very limited as complexity grew and grew,” Mr. Hoefle said. “If those responsible no longer understand the business, the company becomes only a portfolio managing center.”\nA spokesman for Siemens said that the company has sought to create value by establishing focused, publicly listed companies as part of “the transformation of Siemens AG from a traditional industrial conglomerate to focused technology company.”\nAfter taking over in 2013, then-CEO Joe Kaeser ledan effort to refocus the sprawling conglomerate into a narrower selection of more-profitable units and to slash costs across the board, including thousands of job cuts. Siemens units got more autonomy to make decisions but also carried more responsibility for meeting financial targets.\nThe energy shake-up was triggered in part by worry over activist investors, Siemens executives said at the time. Back then, such investors, including some from the U.S., were pushing for boardroom changes in European companies like French beverage makerPernod RicardSA and German steel-to-elevator conglomerate Thyssenkrupp AG.\nShares in Siemens Healthineers have roughly doubled their value since the company was listed on the stock exchange, while the parent company is up 55% since then. Germany’s DAX index gained around 30% over the same period.\nSiemens Energy shares are up 17% since their listing in September last year, underperforming the German blue-chip index’s 25% rise over the same period.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}