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Lovemeold

Lovemeold

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2021-07-07

Oh noo

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2021-07-22

niceee

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2021-07-06

Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!

Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>

2021-08-03

[呆住]

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2021-07-19

net fix net fixxx

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2021-07-02

Yesss

S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>

2021-06-30

hmm

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2021-07-27

Nice

Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote>

2021-07-15

Nice

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2021-08-09

Idol [爱你]

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[吃瓜]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808594067","repostId":"1165345369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":803839882,"gmtCreate":1627431020446,"gmtModify":1631890078334,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great!","listText":"Great!","text":"Great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803839882","repostId":"1155220013","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155220013","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627426975,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155220013?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 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computing, helping companies including Microsoft, Amazon.com Inc’s cloud unit and Alphabet Inc’s Google Cloud.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病推动的远程办公转变提高了消费者对云计算的兴趣，帮助了微软、亚马逊公司的云部门和Alphabet公司的谷歌云等公司。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue in its “Intelligent Cloud” segment rose 30% to $17.4 billion, with 51% growth in its Azure cloud-computing business, in the fourth quarter ended June 30. Analysts had expected 43.1% growth in Azure, according to consensus data from Visible Alpha.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 6 月 30 日的第四季度，其 “智能云 ”部门的收入增长了 30%，达到 174 亿美元，其中 Azure 云计算业务增长了 51%。根据 Visible Alpha 的共识数据，分析师此前预计 Azure 将增长 43.1%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a very impressive report from Microsoft with the company easily surpassing expectations on the performance of almost all business units,” said Haris Anwar, senior analyst at Investing.com.</p><p><blockquote>“Investing.com 高级分析师哈里斯-安瓦尔（Haris Anwar）说：”微软的这份报告令人印象深刻，该公司几乎所有业务部门的业绩都轻松超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> He noted Azure’s growth and strong demand for the company’s legacy Office and software products.</p><p><blockquote>他指出了 Azure 的增长以及对该公司传统办公和软件产品的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> “That said, Microsoft’s stock has made a big run since the beginning of the pandemic, and is trading at rich multiples,” Anwar said. “After such a powerful rally, its shares may take a breather, especially when investors are still unclear how the demand scenario will evolve in the post-pandemic environment.”</p><p><blockquote>“安瓦尔说：”尽管如此，自大流行病开始以来，微软的股票一直在大幅上涨，而且市盈率很高。“在经历了如此强劲的反弹之后，其股价可能会稍作喘息，尤其是在投资者仍不清楚大流行后环境下需求情景将如何演变的情况下。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft’s market capitalization stands at nearly $2.2 trillion, fueling concerns among some analysts that it may be overvalued. The stock has climbed nearly 30% so far this year, compared with 18% for the overall S&amp;P 500 Index, according to Refinitiv Eikon data based on Monday’s closing price.</p><p><blockquote>微软的市值接近 2.2 万亿美元，这加剧了一些分析师对其可能被高估的担忧。根据 Refinitiv Eikon 基于周一收盘价的数据，该股今年迄今已上涨近 30%，而标普500指数整体上涨了 18%。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue from personal computing, which includes Windows software and Xbox gaming consoles, rose 9% to $14.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>包括 Windows 软件和 Xbox 游戏机在内的个人计算收入增长 9%，达到 141 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But Xbox content and services revenue dipped, suggesting that a pandemic-fueled gaming boom is beginning to wane, said Paolo Pescatore, an analyst at PP Foresight. The company must strengthen its presence in the home to better compete with rivals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>但 PP Foresight 分析师 Paolo Pescatore 表示，Xbox 内容和服务收入有所下降，这表明大流行推动的游戏热潮开始减弱。他补充说，该公司必须加强其在国内的影响力，以更好地与竞争对手竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Some Microsoft hardware lines were affected by a shortage of components such as chips, said Kyle Vikstrom, director of Microsoft investor relations. Makers of cars to smartphones have grappled with an unprecedented chip shortage in recent quarters.</p><p><blockquote>微软投资者关系总监 Kyle Vikstrom 表示，微软的一些硬件生产线受到芯片等零部件短缺的影响。最近几个季度，从汽车到智能手机的制造商都在努力应对前所未有的芯片短缺。</blockquote></p><p> “We are seeing supply chain constraints that are impacting Windows OEM and Surface ... and also impacting Xbox consoles,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们看到供应链的限制正在影响 Windows OEM 和 Surface......以及 Xbox 游戏机。</blockquote></p><p> The chip shortage could also be contributing to Microsoft’s dip in Xbox content and services revenue, as constrained hardware sales lead to a weaker performance in services, said Daniel Ives of Wedbush Securities.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush Securities 的 Daniel Ives 表示，芯片短缺也可能导致微软 Xbox 内容和服务收入下滑，因为硬件销售受限导致服务业绩疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “If there’s any lagging part of Microsoft, it’s the consumer piece,” he said. “I think that continues to be a work in progress.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果说微软有什么落后的地方，那就是消费者。“我认为这项工作仍在进行中”。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue rose 21% to $46.2 billion, beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $44.24 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. The company reported earnings of $2.17 per share, above the consensus estimate of $1.92.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，收入增长 21%，达到 462 亿美元，超过分析师普遍预期的 442.4 亿美元。该公司公布的每股收益为 2.17 美元，高于市场普遍预期的 1.92 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft scores record quarterly profit on cloud boost<blockquote>微软在云计算推动下实现创纪录的季度利润</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft scores record quarterly profit on cloud boost<blockquote>微软在云计算推动下实现创纪录的季度利润</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-28 07:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Microsoft Corp posted its most profitable quarter on Tuesday, beating Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings, as demand soared for the software giant’s cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社）--微软公司周二公布了其最赚钱的一个季度，收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期，因为对这家软件巨头基于云的服务的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares rose&nbsp;nearly 1% in after-hours trading, following the company’s year-to-date run of 30% that left investors with high expectations for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司股价在盘后交易中上涨了近 1%，此前该公司今年迄今已上涨了 30%，这让投资者对本季度抱有很高的期望。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic-driven shift to remote work has boosted consumer appetite for cloud-based computing, helping companies including Microsoft, Amazon.com Inc’s cloud unit and Alphabet Inc’s Google Cloud.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病推动的远程办公转变提高了消费者对云计算的兴趣，帮助了微软、亚马逊公司的云部门和Alphabet公司的谷歌云等公司。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue in its “Intelligent Cloud” segment rose 30% to $17.4 billion, with 51% growth in its Azure cloud-computing business, in the fourth quarter ended June 30. Analysts had expected 43.1% growth in Azure, according to consensus data from Visible Alpha.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 6 月 30 日的第四季度，其 “智能云 ”部门的收入增长了 30%，达到 174 亿美元，其中 Azure 云计算业务增长了 51%。根据 Visible Alpha 的共识数据，分析师此前预计 Azure 将增长 43.1%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a very impressive report from Microsoft with the company easily surpassing expectations on the performance of almost all business units,” said Haris Anwar, senior analyst at Investing.com.</p><p><blockquote>“Investing.com 高级分析师哈里斯-安瓦尔（Haris Anwar）说：”微软的这份报告令人印象深刻，该公司几乎所有业务部门的业绩都轻松超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> He noted Azure’s growth and strong demand for the company’s legacy Office and software products.</p><p><blockquote>他指出了 Azure 的增长以及对该公司传统办公和软件产品的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> “That said, Microsoft’s stock has made a big run since the beginning of the pandemic, and is trading at rich multiples,” Anwar said. “After such a powerful rally, its shares may take a breather, especially when investors are still unclear how the demand scenario will evolve in the post-pandemic environment.”</p><p><blockquote>“安瓦尔说：”尽管如此，自大流行病开始以来，微软的股票一直在大幅上涨，而且市盈率很高。“在经历了如此强劲的反弹之后，其股价可能会稍作喘息，尤其是在投资者仍不清楚大流行后环境下需求情景将如何演变的情况下。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft’s market capitalization stands at nearly $2.2 trillion, fueling concerns among some analysts that it may be overvalued. The stock has climbed nearly 30% so far this year, compared with 18% for the overall S&amp;P 500 Index, according to Refinitiv Eikon data based on Monday’s closing price.</p><p><blockquote>微软的市值接近 2.2 万亿美元，这加剧了一些分析师对其可能被高估的担忧。根据 Refinitiv Eikon 基于周一收盘价的数据，该股今年迄今已上涨近 30%，而标普500指数整体上涨了 18%。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue from personal computing, which includes Windows software and Xbox gaming consoles, rose 9% to $14.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>包括 Windows 软件和 Xbox 游戏机在内的个人计算收入增长 9%，达到 141 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But Xbox content and services revenue dipped, suggesting that a pandemic-fueled gaming boom is beginning to wane, said Paolo Pescatore, an analyst at PP Foresight. The company must strengthen its presence in the home to better compete with rivals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>但 PP Foresight 分析师 Paolo Pescatore 表示，Xbox 内容和服务收入有所下降，这表明大流行推动的游戏热潮开始减弱。他补充说，该公司必须加强其在国内的影响力，以更好地与竞争对手竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Some Microsoft hardware lines were affected by a shortage of components such as chips, said Kyle Vikstrom, director of Microsoft investor relations. Makers of cars to smartphones have grappled with an unprecedented chip shortage in recent quarters.</p><p><blockquote>微软投资者关系总监 Kyle Vikstrom 表示，微软的一些硬件生产线受到芯片等零部件短缺的影响。最近几个季度，从汽车到智能手机的制造商都在努力应对前所未有的芯片短缺。</blockquote></p><p> “We are seeing supply chain constraints that are impacting Windows OEM and Surface ... and also impacting Xbox consoles,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们看到供应链的限制正在影响 Windows OEM 和 Surface......以及 Xbox 游戏机。</blockquote></p><p> The chip shortage could also be contributing to Microsoft’s dip in Xbox content and services revenue, as constrained hardware sales lead to a weaker performance in services, said Daniel Ives of Wedbush Securities.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush Securities 的 Daniel Ives 表示，芯片短缺也可能导致微软 Xbox 内容和服务收入下滑，因为硬件销售受限导致服务业绩疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “If there’s any lagging part of Microsoft, it’s the consumer piece,” he said. “I think that continues to be a work in progress.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果说微软有什么落后的地方，那就是消费者。“我认为这项工作仍在进行中”。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue rose 21% to $46.2 billion, beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $44.24 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. The company reported earnings of $2.17 per share, above the consensus estimate of $1.92.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，收入增长 21%，达到 462 亿美元，超过分析师普遍预期的 442.4 亿美元。该公司公布的每股收益为 2.17 美元，高于市场普遍预期的 1.92 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/microsoft-results/update-3-microsoft-scores-record-quarterly-profit-on-cloud-boost-idUSL4N2P33TQ\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/microsoft-results/update-3-microsoft-scores-record-quarterly-profit-on-cloud-boost-idUSL4N2P33TQ","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155220013","content_text":"(Reuters) -Microsoft Corp posted its most profitable quarter on Tuesday, beating Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings, as demand soared for the software giant’s cloud-based services.\nIts shares rose nearly 1% in after-hours trading, following the company’s year-to-date run of 30% that left investors with high expectations for the quarter.\nThe pandemic-driven shift to remote work has boosted consumer appetite for cloud-based computing, helping companies including Microsoft, Amazon.com Inc’s cloud unit and Alphabet Inc’s Google Cloud.\nRevenue in its “Intelligent Cloud” segment rose 30% to $17.4 billion, with 51% growth in its Azure cloud-computing business, in the fourth quarter ended June 30. Analysts had expected 43.1% growth in Azure, according to consensus data from Visible Alpha.\n“It’s a very impressive report from Microsoft with the company easily surpassing expectations on the performance of almost all business units,” said Haris Anwar, senior analyst at Investing.com.\nHe noted Azure’s growth and strong demand for the company’s legacy Office and software products.\n“That said, Microsoft’s stock has made a big run since the beginning of the pandemic, and is trading at rich multiples,” Anwar said. “After such a powerful rally, its shares may take a breather, especially when investors are still unclear how the demand scenario will evolve in the post-pandemic environment.”\nMicrosoft’s market capitalization stands at nearly $2.2 trillion, fueling concerns among some analysts that it may be overvalued. The stock has climbed nearly 30% so far this year, compared with 18% for the overall S&P 500 Index, according to Refinitiv Eikon data based on Monday’s closing price.\nRevenue from personal computing, which includes Windows software and Xbox gaming consoles, rose 9% to $14.1 billion.\nBut Xbox content and services revenue dipped, suggesting that a pandemic-fueled gaming boom is beginning to wane, said Paolo Pescatore, an analyst at PP Foresight. The company must strengthen its presence in the home to better compete with rivals, he added.\nSome Microsoft hardware lines were affected by a shortage of components such as chips, said Kyle Vikstrom, director of Microsoft investor relations. Makers of cars to smartphones have grappled with an unprecedented chip shortage in recent quarters.\n“We are seeing supply chain constraints that are impacting Windows OEM and Surface ... and also impacting Xbox consoles,” she said.\nThe chip shortage could also be contributing to Microsoft’s dip in Xbox content and services revenue, as constrained hardware sales lead to a weaker performance in services, said Daniel Ives of Wedbush Securities.\n“If there’s any lagging part of Microsoft, it’s the consumer piece,” he said. “I think that continues to be a work in progress.”\nRevenue rose 21% to $46.2 billion, beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $44.24 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. The company reported earnings of $2.17 per share, above the consensus estimate of $1.92.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800741103,"gmtCreate":1627334057202,"gmtModify":1631890078345,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800741103","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100647798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627313442,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100647798?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100647798","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple  for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>  <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>  <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价接近历史新高。</li><li>两次巨大的打击后，估计飙升。</li><li>产品发布的时机将改变收入格局。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p><p><blockquote>周二收盘后，我们将收到科技巨头苹果 (AAPL) 截至 6 月份的第三财季业绩。随着该公司前两份季度收益报告超出华尔街预期，预期持续上升也就不足为奇了。随着最近几周股价反弹至历史新高，可能需要另一份强劲的报告来保持事态发展。</blockquote></p><p> For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年上半年，苹果的收入平均每季度超过华尔街预期102.5亿美元。第三财季目前的平均估计为 734.4 亿美元，比去年同期增长 23% 以上。令人印象深刻的是，目前的平均水平比过去一年增加了130多亿美元。底线是，华尔街正在寻找1.01美元，增长超过56%。在下表中，您可以看到过去两年的一些第三季度关键财务项目，今年同期的当前估计以黄色显示。美元价值为数百万，不包括每股金额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（*根据去年的拆分估算的数字。实际数字来自公司。资料来源：2020 财年第三季度报告）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>苹果即将迎来有史以来最好的一个季度。iPhone 的收入比去年同期增长了 65.5% 以上，Mac 增长了 70% 以上，iPad 增长了近 79%。第二财季总收入增长率接近 54%，因此这次我们希望达到该数字的 40% 左右。别忘了，在第二季度电话会议上，管理层谈到了 6 月份供应限制将导致 30 亿至 40 亿美元的收入损失。</blockquote></p><p> I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我最好奇的是iPhone这次的表现如何，因为5G超级周期似乎进展得相当顺利。然而，今年，大多数人预计智能手机将回到通常的 9 月份发布期，这意味着新手机收入将在第四财季再次产生。去年的冠状病毒推迟了发布，这意味着某些型号的销售要到 10 月甚至 11 月才开始，彻底改变了苹果本财年的销售轨迹。今年的发布预计不会对电话线本身进行重大升级，因此需求趋势可能更多地取决于有多少消费者升级到5G，而不是转向iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p><p><blockquote>我相信分析师也会关注苹果如何应对芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的问题。我认为我们不会看到第二季度产品毛利率增长 575 个基点的重演，但 iPhone 12 系列仍应提供不错的同比增长。从长远来看，投资者将关注不断增长的服务利润率有助于提高整体毛利率百分比，但不要忘记，该业务的服务方面有很多运营支出。</blockquote></p><p> For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>为了使股价保持高位，管理层需要表明在家工作和刺激资金的顺风仍在继续。正如我在上一篇文章中讨论的那样，看涨期权预计苹果 2022 年 3 月财年的季度收入将下降，因为该公司去年的水平非常高。虽然这可能会再次引发一些空头，但长期轨迹似乎仍然是积极的。目前估计看涨期权本财年的总收入为 3550 亿美元，苹果将在未来三年内再增加 500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>我希望管理层利用本季度苹果股价的疲软进行回购。尽管该公司每三个月花费 200 亿美元左右，但显然，这笔钱不会像 125 美元那样达到 145 美元。回购的股票减少意味着每股收益减少，长期股息增加也减少。好消息是，苹果的自由现金流正在迈向每年 1000 亿美元，因此投资者无需担心资本回报率会很快放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的主要问题是估值。上周股价收于过去 12 个月市盈率的 33.4 倍。这基本上是几年前十几岁左右人数的两倍，这得益于全球宽松货币政策。我目前的目标价为 162 美元，是基于 2022 年 9 月期间每股收益 5.40 美元的 30 倍。然而，这个数字是假设美联储和其他央行在明年大部分时间里将保持相当宽松的态度。如果我们开始比预期更早地进行大量缩减规模和/或加息，整个市场可能会感受到一些痛苦，我看不出苹果如何能够幸免。</blockquote></p><p> A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的强劲报告很容易帮助股价升至历史新高。但只是扮演一分钟魔鬼的代言人，如果出现失望或“买谣言，卖新闻”的反应呢？嗯，如下图所示，股价远高于其关键移动平均线（紫色为 50 天，橙色为 200 天）。只要苹果能够守住短期趋势线，上升的技术水平应该是支撑之一。该股已经能够在相当长的一段时间内保持长期趋势线，因此我认为短期内不会有超过 14% 的下跌空间，除非我们看到市场出现重大回调。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：雅虎财经）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p><p><blockquote>最后，随着本周财报的临近，人们对苹果的期望非常高。两个季度大幅上涨导致估值飙升，该股最近创下历史新高。市场将寻找 iPhone 超级周期仍在继续的迹象，而在家工作的顺风尚未消退。希望这种涨势能够持续下去的投资者需要看到一份强劲的报告，管理层希望为即将到来的秋季产品发布描绘一幅光明的销售画面。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 23:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>  <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>  <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价接近历史新高。</li><li>两次巨大的打击后，估计飙升。</li><li>产品发布的时机将改变收入格局。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p><p><blockquote>周二收盘后，我们将收到科技巨头苹果 (AAPL) 截至 6 月份的第三财季业绩。随着该公司前两份季度收益报告超出华尔街预期，预期持续上升也就不足为奇了。随着最近几周股价反弹至历史新高，可能需要另一份强劲的报告来保持事态发展。</blockquote></p><p> For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年上半年，苹果的收入平均每季度超过华尔街预期102.5亿美元。第三财季目前的平均估计为 734.4 亿美元，比去年同期增长 23% 以上。令人印象深刻的是，目前的平均水平比过去一年增加了130多亿美元。底线是，华尔街正在寻找1.01美元，增长超过56%。在下表中，您可以看到过去两年的一些第三季度关键财务项目，今年同期的当前估计以黄色显示。美元价值为数百万，不包括每股金额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（*根据去年的拆分估算的数字。实际数字来自公司。资料来源：2020 财年第三季度报告）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>苹果即将迎来有史以来最好的一个季度。iPhone 的收入比去年同期增长了 65.5% 以上，Mac 增长了 70% 以上，iPad 增长了近 79%。第二财季总收入增长率接近 54%，因此这次我们希望达到该数字的 40% 左右。别忘了，在第二季度电话会议上，管理层谈到了 6 月份供应限制将导致 30 亿至 40 亿美元的收入损失。</blockquote></p><p> I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我最好奇的是iPhone这次的表现如何，因为5G超级周期似乎进展得相当顺利。然而，今年，大多数人预计智能手机将回到通常的 9 月份发布期，这意味着新手机收入将在第四财季再次产生。去年的冠状病毒推迟了发布，这意味着某些型号的销售要到 10 月甚至 11 月才开始，彻底改变了苹果本财年的销售轨迹。今年的发布预计不会对电话线本身进行重大升级，因此需求趋势可能更多地取决于有多少消费者升级到5G，而不是转向iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p><p><blockquote>我相信分析师也会关注苹果如何应对芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的问题。我认为我们不会看到第二季度产品毛利率增长 575 个基点的重演，但 iPhone 12 系列仍应提供不错的同比增长。从长远来看，投资者将关注不断增长的服务利润率有助于提高整体毛利率百分比，但不要忘记，该业务的服务方面有很多运营支出。</blockquote></p><p> For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>为了使股价保持高位，管理层需要表明在家工作和刺激资金的顺风仍在继续。正如我在上一篇文章中讨论的那样，看涨期权预计苹果 2022 年 3 月财年的季度收入将下降，因为该公司去年的水平非常高。虽然这可能会再次引发一些空头，但长期轨迹似乎仍然是积极的。目前估计看涨期权本财年的总收入为 3550 亿美元，苹果将在未来三年内再增加 500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>我希望管理层利用本季度苹果股价的疲软进行回购。尽管该公司每三个月花费 200 亿美元左右，但显然，这笔钱不会像 125 美元那样达到 145 美元。回购的股票减少意味着每股收益减少，长期股息增加也减少。好消息是，苹果的自由现金流正在迈向每年 1000 亿美元，因此投资者无需担心资本回报率会很快放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的主要问题是估值。上周股价收于过去 12 个月市盈率的 33.4 倍。这基本上是几年前十几岁左右人数的两倍，这得益于全球宽松货币政策。我目前的目标价为 162 美元，是基于 2022 年 9 月期间每股收益 5.40 美元的 30 倍。然而，这个数字是假设美联储和其他央行在明年大部分时间里将保持相当宽松的态度。如果我们开始比预期更早地进行大量缩减规模和/或加息，整个市场可能会感受到一些痛苦，我看不出苹果如何能够幸免。</blockquote></p><p> A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的强劲报告很容易帮助股价升至历史新高。但只是扮演一分钟魔鬼的代言人，如果出现失望或“买谣言，卖新闻”的反应呢？嗯，如下图所示，股价远高于其关键移动平均线（紫色为 50 天，橙色为 200 天）。只要苹果能够守住短期趋势线，上升的技术水平应该是支撑之一。该股已经能够在相当长的一段时间内保持长期趋势线，因此我认为短期内不会有超过 14% 的下跌空间，除非我们看到市场出现重大回调。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：雅虎财经）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p><p><blockquote>最后，随着本周财报的临近，人们对苹果的期望非常高。两个季度大幅上涨导致估值飙升，该股最近创下历史新高。市场将寻找 iPhone 超级周期仍在继续的迹象，而在家工作的顺风尚未消退。希望这种涨势能够持续下去的投资者需要看到一份强劲的报告，管理层希望为即将到来的秋季产品发布描绘一幅光明的销售画面。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100647798","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.\nFor the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.\n(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)\nApple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.\nI'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.\nI'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.\nFor the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.\nI hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.\nThe major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.\nA strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product 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course","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147724812","repostId":"1109408846","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144516078,"gmtCreate":1626305853394,"gmtModify":1631893801259,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144516078","repostId":"1125163957","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":972,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144301320,"gmtCreate":1626265642360,"gmtModify":1631893801263,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144301320","repostId":"1160878205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146061424,"gmtCreate":1626044964568,"gmtModify":1631893801266,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good jobb","listText":"Good jobb","text":"Good jobb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146061424","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能会持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济正在蓬勃发展，收入正在上升，美联储正在提供前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（照片由豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社通过盖蒂图片社提供）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经上涨了 17%，确实可能会出现调整。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于以下六个原因，我们仍处于三到五年股市牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 存在巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。综上所述，私营部门被压抑的巨大需求将有助于推动美国今年的 GDP 增长率达到 8%，之后几年将达到 3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold 集团首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年龄，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释国内需求的大幅增长。一旦你买了房子，你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未动用的储蓄，因为他们为疫情蹲下身子。个人储蓄率达到GDP的近16%，而战后平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表明显改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。随着就业和经济保持强劲，消费者的信心增强，他们将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会改善，这无疑会促进经济增长。劳动力参与率还有提高的空间，在我们实现充分就业之前留下多余的就业能力，从而限制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看企业中被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听到的所有东西的短缺吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的流行病，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清算。但现在，公司不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司还削减了产能，并正在再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平后，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近 23%。这创造了持续增长，并告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>今年GDP将增长7%-8%，明年将增长4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平，支撑股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得太快了，分析师们都跟不上了。华尔街分析师预计标普500今年每股收益为 190 美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激措施通常需要六到八个月才能生效，而最近的许多波动都发生在这个时间窗内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计 2021 年标普500盈利将更接近 220 美元，而不是普遍预期的 190 美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”分析师仍然低估了利润已经提高了多少，以及利润将提高多少。“我们的政策官员反应过度。他们解决了崩盘问题，但基本面却有了巨大的改善。就利润复苏而言，这种情况仍在上演”。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 镇上有了新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通货膨胀。在这个过程中，央行扼杀了增长。这也是过去 20 年是战后增长最慢的原因之一。然而，现在美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的量规来衡量这一点。以 GDP 增长为例，减去 10 年期国债收益率 ESTMUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在 1980 年至 2010 年的大部分时间里都是负值，当时美联储保持增长冷静以遏制通胀。然而现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将 10 年期国债收益率保持在远低于 GDP 增长率的水平，这使得经济过热。这就是 1950-1965 年期间的情况，一些分析家称看涨期权为 “资本主义的黄金时代”，因为它在增长过程中出现了滑坡。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 通货膨胀不会杀死牛市</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通货膨胀在短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。以下是综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。商业资本支出的激增将继续提高公司的生产力。这使他们能够避免将不断上涨的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地生产商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹阶段，通常会出现以下动态。几个月来，股市一直横盘整理，主要是因为对通货膨胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，降低了股票估值。这种动态在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中大约在这一点上表现出来。简而言之，当股市标记时间，甚至回调时，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将使股票估值降低，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在今年年底达到 220 美元，并且该指数因调整而处于 4,000 至 4,100 点，那么股票的市盈率将为 18-19，低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>一如既往，道琼斯工业平均指数 (DJIA) 和罗素 2000 小型股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们回到横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6. 情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一个逆向投资者，我认为过度的情绪是时候筹集一些现金了。我们还没看到。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。它最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说，警告路径是从 4 点开始的。另一方面，共同基金现金最近达到 4.6 万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循的三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来经济持续复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题将是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性产品。</b>持有对经济敏感的业务，并在回调时增持这些业务。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果你想要收益率，那就选择支付股息但也有资本增值潜力的股票——而不是销售必需品等商品的稳定增长公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信中（链接在下面的简介中），我最近建议或重申了家得宝（Home Depot）在零售业、B. Riley Financial（一家市场和投资银行公司）以及消费金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长往往会更高。小心中国。它的人口老龄化。有限的劳动力增长可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的中美紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁迫使全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能会持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能会持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济正在蓬勃发展，收入正在上升，美联储正在提供前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（照片由豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社通过盖蒂图片社提供）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时，就像周四一样，正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经上涨了 17%，确实可能会出现调整。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于以下六个原因，我们仍处于三到五年股市牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 存在巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。综上所述，私营部门被压抑的巨大需求将有助于推动美国今年的 GDP 增长率达到 8%，之后几年将达到 3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold 集团首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先，随着千禧一代进入家庭年龄，家庭组建激增。这有助于解释国内需求的大幅增长。一旦你买了房子，你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后，消费者有大量未动用的储蓄，因为他们为疫情蹲下身子。个人储蓄率达到GDP的近16%，而战后平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是，家庭资产负债表明显改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。随着就业和经济保持强劲，消费者的信心增强，他们将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期，将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会改善，这无疑会促进经济增长。劳动力参与率还有提高的空间，在我们实现充分就业之前留下多余的就业能力，从而限制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看企业中被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听到的所有东西的短缺吗？这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的流行病，企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清算。但现在，公司不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司还削减了产能，并正在再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平后，去年飙升至历史新高，增长了近 23%。这创造了持续增长，并告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>今年GDP将增长7%-8%，明年将增长4%-4.5%，之后将高于平均水平，支撑股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得太快了，分析师们都跟不上了。华尔街分析师预计标普500今年每股收益为 190 美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施，这一数字低得可怜。刺激措施通常需要六到八个月才能生效，而最近的许多波动都发生在这个时间窗内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计 2021 年标普500盈利将更接近 220 美元，而不是普遍预期的 190 美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”分析师仍然低估了利润已经提高了多少，以及利润将提高多少。“我们的政策官员反应过度。他们解决了崩盘问题，但基本面却有了巨大的改善。就利润复苏而言，这种情况仍在上演”。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外，更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 镇上有了新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里，美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通货膨胀。在这个过程中，央行扼杀了增长。这也是过去 20 年是战后增长最慢的原因之一。然而，现在美联储更加宽松，这种情况可能会持续下去，因为通胀将保持低迷（更多内容见下文）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的量规来衡量这一点。以 GDP 增长为例，减去 10 年期国债收益率 ESTMUBMUSD10Y，1.359%。该指标在 1980 年至 2010 年的大部分时间里都是负值，当时美联储保持增长冷静以遏制通胀。然而现在，美联储的政策正在帮助将 10 年期国债收益率保持在远低于 GDP 增长率的水平，这使得经济过热。这就是 1950-1965 年期间的情况，一些分析家称看涨期权为 “资本主义的黄金时代”，因为它在增长过程中出现了滑坡。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 通货膨胀不会杀死牛市</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆，通货膨胀在短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看，通胀杀手将获胜。以下是综述。人口老龄化，老年人消费减少。商业资本支出的激增将继续提高公司的生产力。这使他们能够避免将不断上涨的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力，因为在许多外国可以更便宜地生产商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹阶段，通常会出现以下动态。几个月来，股市一直横盘整理，主要是因为对通货膨胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时，经济和盈利持续增长，降低了股票估值。这种动态在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中大约在这一点上表现出来。简而言之，当股市标记时间，甚至回调时，我们将看到盈利大幅飙升。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将使股票估值降低，消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在今年年底达到 220 美元，并且该指数因调整而处于 4,000 至 4,100 点，那么股票的市盈率将为 18-19，低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>一如既往，道琼斯工业平均指数 (DJIA) 和罗素 2000 小型股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间，但更大的回调将使它们回到横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6. 情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一个逆向投资者，我认为过度的情绪是时候筹集一些现金了。我们还没看到。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。它最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近，对我来说，警告路径是从 4 点开始的。另一方面，共同基金现金最近达到 4.6 万亿美元，接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循的三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来经济持续复苏和股市多年牛市，那么遵循这三个主题将是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性产品。</b>持有对经济敏感的业务，并在回调时增持这些业务。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果你想要收益率，那就选择支付股息但也有资本增值潜力的股票——而不是销售必需品等商品的稳定增长公司。关于这个主题，在我的股票信中（链接在下面的简介中），我最近建议或重申了家得宝（Home Depot）在零售业、B. Riley Financial（一家市场和投资银行公司）以及消费金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间，它们的增长往往会更高。小心中国。它的人口老龄化。有限的劳动力增长可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是，持续的中美紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁迫使全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140069520,"gmtCreate":1625619948260,"gmtModify":1631893801271,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh noo","listText":"Oh noo","text":"Oh noo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140069520","repostId":"1122166072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154620548,"gmtCreate":1625526204884,"gmtModify":1631889531431,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!","listText":"Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!","text":"Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154620548","repostId":"1109703914","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109703914","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625464355,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109703914?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 13:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109703914","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.It's one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading i","content":"<p>Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.</p><p><blockquote>对许多人来说，美国的独立日是野餐和海滩日。但今年的7月4日是星期天，在美国不是交易日。</blockquote></p><p> So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?</p><p><blockquote>那么主要市场在假期会开放还是关闭呢？</blockquote></p><p> The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将于7月5日星期一休市，以庆祝独立日。</blockquote></p><p> It's&nbsp;one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.</p><p><blockquote>这是今年股市九个完整收盘日之一。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>例如，股市将于11月25日星期四感恩节休市。11 月 26 日星期五，交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 1 点，为期半天多一点。</blockquote></p><p> Normal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>正常股票交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4 点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 13:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.</p><p><blockquote>对许多人来说，美国的独立日是野餐和海滩日。但今年的7月4日是星期天，在美国不是交易日。</blockquote></p><p> So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?</p><p><blockquote>那么主要市场在假期会开放还是关闭呢？</blockquote></p><p> The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将于7月5日星期一休市，以庆祝独立日。</blockquote></p><p> It's&nbsp;one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.</p><p><blockquote>这是今年股市九个完整收盘日之一。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>例如，股市将于11月25日星期四感恩节休市。11 月 26 日星期五，交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 1 点，为期半天多一点。</blockquote></p><p> Normal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>正常股票交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4 点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/independence-day-stock-markets-trading-hours\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/independence-day-stock-markets-trading-hours","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109703914","content_text":"Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.\nSo will the major markets open or close for the holiday?\nThe New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.\nIt's one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.\nFor instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.\nNormal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154902087,"gmtCreate":1625465396549,"gmtModify":1631893801273,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154902087","repostId":"1193340451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155173848,"gmtCreate":1625395377984,"gmtModify":1631893801279,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Niceee","listText":"Niceee","text":"Niceee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155173848","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152695095,"gmtCreate":1625286071717,"gmtModify":1631893801281,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yeses!","listText":"Yeses!","text":"Yeses!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152695095","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156030855,"gmtCreate":1625185164577,"gmtModify":1631893801285,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yesss","listText":"Yesss","text":"Yesss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156030855","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK  - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘高点，新季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>领头羊指数正在享受自 2 月初以来最长的连涨纪录，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年 8 月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>“贝尔德私人财富公司（Baird Private Wealth）的投资策略分析师罗斯-梅菲尔德（Ross Mayfield）说：”历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均以正值收盘，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数下跌 1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约鲁诺财富顾问公司首席投资官大卫-卡特（David Carter）说：”对于今年到目前为止的市场来说，无聊就是美好。“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉就像三个月前的国庆节周末，投资者就离开了”。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行病担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，申请失业救济人数继续下降，达到疫情关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas 的一份报告显示，美国公司计划裁员人数比去年下降了 88%，创下 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的采购经理人指数（PMI），6 月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，就业部分自 11 月以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，受当前供需失衡的推动，价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>“卡特补充说：”今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了经济持续增长但增速放缓的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加 70 万人，失业率将小幅下降至 5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买规模和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡特说：”如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。“疲软的就业数据实际上可能是受欢迎的。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 131.02 点，或 0.38%，至 34,633.53 点；标普500指数上涨 22.44 点，或 0.52%，至 4,319.94 点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨 18.42 点，或 0.13%，至 14,522.38 点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，必需消费品是唯一的输家，下跌了0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司股价下跌 7.4%，此前该公司表示预计第四季度将减少 COVID-19 疫苗注射量。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴全球公司作为美国上市公司上市的第二天股价上涨 16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器将以 9 亿美元收购美光位于犹他州利希的工厂，美光科技公司下跌了 5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.78 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 36 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 95.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 109 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘高点，新季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>领头羊指数正在享受自 2 月初以来最长的连涨纪录，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年 8 月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>“贝尔德私人财富公司（Baird Private Wealth）的投资策略分析师罗斯-梅菲尔德（Ross Mayfield）说：”历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均以正值收盘，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数下跌 1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约鲁诺财富顾问公司首席投资官大卫-卡特（David Carter）说：”对于今年到目前为止的市场来说，无聊就是美好。“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉就像三个月前的国庆节周末，投资者就离开了”。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行病担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，申请失业救济人数继续下降，达到疫情关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas 的一份报告显示，美国公司计划裁员人数比去年下降了 88%，创下 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的采购经理人指数（PMI），6 月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，就业部分自 11 月以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，受当前供需失衡的推动，价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>“卡特补充说：”今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了经济持续增长但增速放缓的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加 70 万人，失业率将小幅下降至 5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买规模和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡特说：”如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。“疲软的就业数据实际上可能是受欢迎的。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 131.02 点，或 0.38%，至 34,633.53 点；标普500指数上涨 22.44 点，或 0.52%，至 4,319.94 点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨 18.42 点，或 0.13%，至 14,522.38 点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，必需消费品是唯一的输家，下跌了0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司股价下跌 7.4%，此前该公司表示预计第四季度将减少 COVID-19 疫苗注射量。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴全球公司作为美国上市公司上市的第二天股价上涨 16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器将以 9 亿美元收购美光位于犹他州利希的工厂，美光科技公司下跌了 5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.78 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 36 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 95.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 109 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151481462,"gmtCreate":1625102368656,"gmtModify":1631893801289,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586841524644814","idStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good job thinking ahead!","listText":"Good job thinking ahead!","text":"Good job thinking ahead!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151481462","repostId":"1143497043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":140069520,"gmtCreate":1625619948260,"gmtModify":1631893801271,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh noo","listText":"Oh noo","text":"Oh noo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140069520","repostId":"1122166072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176418185,"gmtCreate":1626911886347,"gmtModify":1631890078357,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"niceee","listText":"niceee","text":"niceee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176418185","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2068,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154620548,"gmtCreate":1625526204884,"gmtModify":1631889531431,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!","listText":"Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!","text":"Happy Independence Day! I wish everyone will be freed!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154620548","repostId":"1109703914","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109703914","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625464355,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109703914?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 13:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109703914","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.It's one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading i","content":"<p>Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.</p><p><blockquote>对许多人来说，美国的独立日是野餐和海滩日。但今年的7月4日是星期天，在美国不是交易日。</blockquote></p><p> So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?</p><p><blockquote>那么主要市场在假期会开放还是关闭呢？</blockquote></p><p> The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将于7月5日星期一休市，以庆祝独立日。</blockquote></p><p> It's&nbsp;one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.</p><p><blockquote>这是今年股市九个完整收盘日之一。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>例如，股市将于11月25日星期四感恩节休市。11 月 26 日星期五，交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 1 点，为期半天多一点。</blockquote></p><p> Normal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>正常股票交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4 点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 13:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.</p><p><blockquote>对许多人来说，美国的独立日是野餐和海滩日。但今年的7月4日是星期天，在美国不是交易日。</blockquote></p><p> So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?</p><p><blockquote>那么主要市场在假期会开放还是关闭呢？</blockquote></p><p> The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将于7月5日星期一休市，以庆祝独立日。</blockquote></p><p> It's&nbsp;one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.</p><p><blockquote>这是今年股市九个完整收盘日之一。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>例如，股市将于11月25日星期四感恩节休市。11 月 26 日星期五，交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 1 点，为期半天多一点。</blockquote></p><p> Normal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>正常股票交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4 点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/independence-day-stock-markets-trading-hours\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/independence-day-stock-markets-trading-hours","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109703914","content_text":"Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.\nSo will the major markets open or close for the holiday?\nThe New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.\nIt's one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.\nFor instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.\nNormal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804809622,"gmtCreate":1627948344066,"gmtModify":1631890078309,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804809622","repostId":"2156114224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173170148,"gmtCreate":1626650379384,"gmtModify":1631890078368,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"net fix net fixxx","listText":"net fix net fixxx","text":"net fix net fixxx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173170148","repostId":"2152897876","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156030855,"gmtCreate":1625185164577,"gmtModify":1631893801285,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yesss","listText":"Yesss","text":"Yesss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156030855","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK  - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘高点，新季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>领头羊指数正在享受自 2 月初以来最长的连涨纪录，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年 8 月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>“贝尔德私人财富公司（Baird Private Wealth）的投资策略分析师罗斯-梅菲尔德（Ross Mayfield）说：”历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均以正值收盘，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数下跌 1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约鲁诺财富顾问公司首席投资官大卫-卡特（David Carter）说：”对于今年到目前为止的市场来说，无聊就是美好。“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉就像三个月前的国庆节周末，投资者就离开了”。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行病担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，申请失业救济人数继续下降，达到疫情关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas 的一份报告显示，美国公司计划裁员人数比去年下降了 88%，创下 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的采购经理人指数（PMI），6 月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，就业部分自 11 月以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，受当前供需失衡的推动，价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>“卡特补充说：”今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了经济持续增长但增速放缓的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加 70 万人，失业率将小幅下降至 5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买规模和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡特说：”如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。“疲软的就业数据实际上可能是受欢迎的。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 131.02 点，或 0.38%，至 34,633.53 点；标普500指数上涨 22.44 点，或 0.52%，至 4,319.94 点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨 18.42 点，或 0.13%，至 14,522.38 点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，必需消费品是唯一的输家，下跌了0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司股价下跌 7.4%，此前该公司表示预计第四季度将减少 COVID-19 疫苗注射量。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴全球公司作为美国上市公司上市的第二天股价上涨 16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器将以 9 亿美元收购美光位于犹他州利希的工厂，美光科技公司下跌了 5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.78 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 36 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 95.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 109 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘高点，新季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>领头羊指数正在享受自 2 月初以来最长的连涨纪录，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年 8 月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>“贝尔德私人财富公司（Baird Private Wealth）的投资策略分析师罗斯-梅菲尔德（Ross Mayfield）说：”历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均以正值收盘，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城东南半导体指数下跌 1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约鲁诺财富顾问公司首席投资官大卫-卡特（David Carter）说：”对于今年到目前为止的市场来说，无聊就是美好。“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉就像三个月前的国庆节周末，投资者就离开了”。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行病担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，申请失业救济人数继续下降，达到疫情关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas 的一份报告显示，美国公司计划裁员人数比去年下降了 88%，创下 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会（ISM）的采购经理人指数（PMI），6 月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，就业部分自 11 月以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，受当前供需失衡的推动，价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>“卡特补充说：”今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了经济持续增长但增速放缓的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加 70 万人，失业率将小幅下降至 5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买规模和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡特说：”如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。“疲软的就业数据实际上可能是受欢迎的。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 131.02 点，或 0.38%，至 34,633.53 点；标普500指数上涨 22.44 点，或 0.52%，至 4,319.94 点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨 18.42 点，或 0.13%，至 14,522.38 点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，必需消费品是唯一的输家，下跌了0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司股价下跌 7.4%，此前该公司表示预计第四季度将减少 COVID-19 疫苗注射量。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴全球公司作为美国上市公司上市的第二天股价上涨 16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器将以 9 亿美元收购美光位于犹他州利希的工厂，美光科技公司下跌了 5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨发行量超过下跌发行量，比例为 1.78 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 36 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 95.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 109 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153588648,"gmtCreate":1625034945684,"gmtModify":1631893801291,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hmm","listText":"hmm","text":"hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153588648","repostId":"1137391087","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800741103,"gmtCreate":1627334057202,"gmtModify":1631890078345,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800741103","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100647798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627313442,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100647798?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100647798","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple  for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>  <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>  <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价接近历史新高。</li><li>两次巨大的打击后，估计飙升。</li><li>产品发布的时机将改变收入格局。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p><p><blockquote>周二收盘后，我们将收到科技巨头苹果 (AAPL) 截至 6 月份的第三财季业绩。随着该公司前两份季度收益报告超出华尔街预期，预期持续上升也就不足为奇了。随着最近几周股价反弹至历史新高，可能需要另一份强劲的报告来保持事态发展。</blockquote></p><p> For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年上半年，苹果的收入平均每季度超过华尔街预期102.5亿美元。第三财季目前的平均估计为 734.4 亿美元，比去年同期增长 23% 以上。令人印象深刻的是，目前的平均水平比过去一年增加了130多亿美元。底线是，华尔街正在寻找1.01美元，增长超过56%。在下表中，您可以看到过去两年的一些第三季度关键财务项目，今年同期的当前估计以黄色显示。美元价值为数百万，不包括每股金额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（*根据去年的拆分估算的数字。实际数字来自公司。资料来源：2020 财年第三季度报告）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>苹果即将迎来有史以来最好的一个季度。iPhone 的收入比去年同期增长了 65.5% 以上，Mac 增长了 70% 以上，iPad 增长了近 79%。第二财季总收入增长率接近 54%，因此这次我们希望达到该数字的 40% 左右。别忘了，在第二季度电话会议上，管理层谈到了 6 月份供应限制将导致 30 亿至 40 亿美元的收入损失。</blockquote></p><p> I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我最好奇的是iPhone这次的表现如何，因为5G超级周期似乎进展得相当顺利。然而，今年，大多数人预计智能手机将回到通常的 9 月份发布期，这意味着新手机收入将在第四财季再次产生。去年的冠状病毒推迟了发布，这意味着某些型号的销售要到 10 月甚至 11 月才开始，彻底改变了苹果本财年的销售轨迹。今年的发布预计不会对电话线本身进行重大升级，因此需求趋势可能更多地取决于有多少消费者升级到5G，而不是转向iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p><p><blockquote>我相信分析师也会关注苹果如何应对芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的问题。我认为我们不会看到第二季度产品毛利率增长 575 个基点的重演，但 iPhone 12 系列仍应提供不错的同比增长。从长远来看，投资者将关注不断增长的服务利润率有助于提高整体毛利率百分比，但不要忘记，该业务的服务方面有很多运营支出。</blockquote></p><p> For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>为了使股价保持高位，管理层需要表明在家工作和刺激资金的顺风仍在继续。正如我在上一篇文章中讨论的那样，看涨期权预计苹果 2022 年 3 月财年的季度收入将下降，因为该公司去年的水平非常高。虽然这可能会再次引发一些空头，但长期轨迹似乎仍然是积极的。目前估计看涨期权本财年的总收入为 3550 亿美元，苹果将在未来三年内再增加 500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>我希望管理层利用本季度苹果股价的疲软进行回购。尽管该公司每三个月花费 200 亿美元左右，但显然，这笔钱不会像 125 美元那样达到 145 美元。回购的股票减少意味着每股收益减少，长期股息增加也减少。好消息是，苹果的自由现金流正在迈向每年 1000 亿美元，因此投资者无需担心资本回报率会很快放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的主要问题是估值。上周股价收于过去 12 个月市盈率的 33.4 倍。这基本上是几年前十几岁左右人数的两倍，这得益于全球宽松货币政策。我目前的目标价为 162 美元，是基于 2022 年 9 月期间每股收益 5.40 美元的 30 倍。然而，这个数字是假设美联储和其他央行在明年大部分时间里将保持相当宽松的态度。如果我们开始比预期更早地进行大量缩减规模和/或加息，整个市场可能会感受到一些痛苦，我看不出苹果如何能够幸免。</blockquote></p><p> A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的强劲报告很容易帮助股价升至历史新高。但只是扮演一分钟魔鬼的代言人，如果出现失望或“买谣言，卖新闻”的反应呢？嗯，如下图所示，股价远高于其关键移动平均线（紫色为 50 天，橙色为 200 天）。只要苹果能够守住短期趋势线，上升的技术水平应该是支撑之一。该股已经能够在相当长的一段时间内保持长期趋势线，因此我认为短期内不会有超过 14% 的下跌空间，除非我们看到市场出现重大回调。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：雅虎财经）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p><p><blockquote>最后，随着本周财报的临近，人们对苹果的期望非常高。两个季度大幅上涨导致估值飙升，该股最近创下历史新高。市场将寻找 iPhone 超级周期仍在继续的迹象，而在家工作的顺风尚未消退。希望这种涨势能够持续下去的投资者需要看到一份强劲的报告，管理层希望为即将到来的秋季产品发布描绘一幅光明的销售画面。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Face High Expectations<blockquote>苹果盈利面临高期望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 23:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>  <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>  <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价接近历史新高。</li><li>两次巨大的打击后，估计飙升。</li><li>产品发布的时机将改变收入格局。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nikada/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p><p><blockquote>周二收盘后，我们将收到科技巨头苹果 (AAPL) 截至 6 月份的第三财季业绩。随着该公司前两份季度收益报告超出华尔街预期，预期持续上升也就不足为奇了。随着最近几周股价反弹至历史新高，可能需要另一份强劲的报告来保持事态发展。</blockquote></p><p> For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3&nbsp;current average estimate&nbsp;is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年上半年，苹果的收入平均每季度超过华尔街预期102.5亿美元。第三财季目前的平均估计为 734.4 亿美元，比去年同期增长 23% 以上。令人印象深刻的是，目前的平均水平比过去一年增加了130多亿美元。底线是，华尔街正在寻找1.01美元，增长超过56%。在下表中，您可以看到过去两年的一些第三季度关键财务项目，今年同期的当前估计以黄色显示。美元价值为数百万，不包括每股金额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（*根据去年的拆分估算的数字。实际数字来自公司。资料来源：2020 财年第三季度报告）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple is comingoff arguably&nbsp;its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the&nbsp;Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>苹果即将迎来有史以来最好的一个季度。iPhone 的收入比去年同期增长了 65.5% 以上，Mac 增长了 70% 以上，iPad 增长了近 79%。第二财季总收入增长率接近 54%，因此这次我们希望达到该数字的 40% 左右。别忘了，在第二季度电话会议上，管理层谈到了 6 月份供应限制将导致 30 亿至 40 亿美元的收入损失。</blockquote></p><p> I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>我最好奇的是iPhone这次的表现如何，因为5G超级周期似乎进展得相当顺利。然而，今年，大多数人预计智能手机将回到通常的 9 月份发布期，这意味着新手机收入将在第四财季再次产生。去年的冠状病毒推迟了发布，这意味着某些型号的销售要到 10 月甚至 11 月才开始，彻底改变了苹果本财年的销售轨迹。今年的发布预计不会对电话线本身进行重大升级，因此需求趋势可能更多地取决于有多少消费者升级到5G，而不是转向iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p><p><blockquote>我相信分析师也会关注苹果如何应对芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的问题。我认为我们不会看到第二季度产品毛利率增长 575 个基点的重演，但 iPhone 12 系列仍应提供不错的同比增长。从长远来看，投资者将关注不断增长的服务利润率有助于提高整体毛利率百分比，但不要忘记，该业务的服务方面有很多运营支出。</blockquote></p><p> For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in&nbsp;a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p><p><blockquote>为了使股价保持高位，管理层需要表明在家工作和刺激资金的顺风仍在继续。正如我在上一篇文章中讨论的那样，看涨期权预计苹果 2022 年 3 月财年的季度收入将下降，因为该公司去年的水平非常高。虽然这可能会再次引发一些空头，但长期轨迹似乎仍然是积极的。目前估计看涨期权本财年的总收入为 3550 亿美元，苹果将在未来三年内再增加 500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>我希望管理层利用本季度苹果股价的疲软进行回购。尽管该公司每三个月花费 200 亿美元左右，但显然，这笔钱不会像 125 美元那样达到 145 美元。回购的股票减少意味着每股收益减少，长期股息增加也减少。好消息是，苹果的自由现金流正在迈向每年 1000 亿美元，因此投资者无需担心资本回报率会很快放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的主要问题是估值。上周股价收于过去 12 个月市盈率的 33.4 倍。这基本上是几年前十几岁左右人数的两倍，这得益于全球宽松货币政策。我目前的目标价为 162 美元，是基于 2022 年 9 月期间每股收益 5.40 美元的 30 倍。然而，这个数字是假设美联储和其他央行在明年大部分时间里将保持相当宽松的态度。如果我们开始比预期更早地进行大量缩减规模和/或加息，整个市场可能会感受到一些痛苦，我看不出苹果如何能够幸免。</blockquote></p><p> A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的强劲报告很容易帮助股价升至历史新高。但只是扮演一分钟魔鬼的代言人，如果出现失望或“买谣言，卖新闻”的反应呢？嗯，如下图所示，股价远高于其关键移动平均线（紫色为 50 天，橙色为 200 天）。只要苹果能够守住短期趋势线，上升的技术水平应该是支撑之一。该股已经能够在相当长的一段时间内保持长期趋势线，因此我认为短期内不会有超过 14% 的下跌空间，除非我们看到市场出现重大回调。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：雅虎财经）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p><p><blockquote>最后，随着本周财报的临近，人们对苹果的期望非常高。两个季度大幅上涨导致估值飙升，该股最近创下历史新高。市场将寻找 iPhone 超级周期仍在继续的迹象，而在家工作的顺风尚未消退。希望这种涨势能够持续下去的投资者需要看到一份强劲的报告，管理层希望为即将到来的秋季产品发布描绘一幅光明的销售画面。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100647798","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.\nFor the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.\n(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)\nApple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.\nI'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.\nI'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.\nFor the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.\nI hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.\nThe major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.\nA strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144516078,"gmtCreate":1626305853394,"gmtModify":1631893801259,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144516078","repostId":"1125163957","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":972,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898073409,"gmtCreate":1628465742501,"gmtModify":1631890078296,"author":{"id":"3586841524644814","authorId":"3586841524644814","name":"Lovemeold","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab641333a1cdff47ac3e5ac2468054cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586841524644814","authorIdStr":"3586841524644814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Idol&nbsp;[爱你]&nbsp;","listText":"Idol&nbsp;[爱你]&nbsp;","text":"Idol [爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898073409","repostId":"1139912651","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}