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JH87
2021-12-03
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
JH87
2021-10-07
Haha… huat plS
@老Uncle:
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
Good boy guai ah. today u jump ah. 😜😜
JH87
2021-10-04
Crypto, to buy or not to buy?
Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to buy
Crypto, to buy or not to buy?
JH87
2021-10-02
Buy?
昨夜今晨:美股集体反弹!欧股遭遇10月“开门黑”
JH87
2021-08-05
Bubble will burst
Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>
JH87
2021-08-05
Bear market starting?
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JH87
2021-08-04
Cool
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JH87
2021-08-03
Great news!
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JH87
2021-08-02
Nice
Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>
JH87
2021-08-02
Good good.. interesting
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JH87
2021-08-02
Buy or sell? Long or short?
Weekly Fundamental Gold Price Forecast: Time to Glitter Again? US NFP Friday<blockquote>每周基本面金价预测:是时候再次闪光了?美国NFP周五</blockquote>
JH87
2021-08-01
Yes yes. Up up up
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JH87
2021-07-31
Buy the dip?
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JH87
2021-07-30
Nice one
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JH87
2021-07-29
To the moon!!
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JH87
2021-07-28
Awesome!!!
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JH87
2021-07-27
Goodoooddd
Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>
JH87
2021-07-26
Oo la la
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JH87
2021-07-25
Hmmm???
Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>
JH87
2021-07-24
Nice nice! To the moon
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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😜😜","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33608201d2b9a8177898e042c6d88cce","width":"2312","height":"1734"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816348185","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1012,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867444861,"gmtCreate":1633310990183,"gmtModify":1633312675527,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"title":"Crypto, to buy or not to buy?","htmlText":"Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to buy","listText":"Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to buy","text":"Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to 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08:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨:美股集体反弹!欧股遭遇10月“开门黑”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156614095","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要:美股集体反弹,道指大涨1.43%,但本周累跌1.36%;欧股遭遇10月开门黑,英股跌0.84%;美国民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%等。\n\n海外市场\n1、三大指数齐反弹!道指涨1.43% 默沙","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要:美股集体反弹,道指大涨1.43%,但本周累跌1.36%;欧股遭遇10月开门黑,英股跌0.84%;美国民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%等。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、三大指数齐反弹!道指涨1.43% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">默沙东</a>大涨8%</p>\n<p>美股周五高开高走,但三大股指本周均录得跌幅。截止收盘,道指涨1.43%,本周累跌1.36%;标普500指数涨1.15%,本周累跌2.21%;纳指涨0.82%,本周累跌3.2%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股周五收盘涨跌不一 区块链概念股多数走高</p>\n<p>热门中概股周五收盘涨跌不一,区块链概念股多数走高,比特数字涨超11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">第九城市</a>涨近6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">比特矿业</a>涨超5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>涨近5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">亿邦国际</a>涨超1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNET\">中网载线</a>跌超7%。</p>\n<p>3、欧股遭遇10月开门黑!英股跌0.84%</p>\n<p>欧洲时间周五,欧股三大指数集体下跌。截止收盘,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数报收于7027.07点,比前一交易日下跌59.35点,跌幅为0.84%;法国CAC40指数报收于6517.69点,比前一交易日下跌2.32点,跌幅为0.04%;德国DAX30指数报收于15156.44点,比前一交易日下跌104.25点,跌幅为0.68%。</p>\n<p>4、周五美国WTI原油收高1.2% 创3年来最高收盘价</p>\n<p>作为全球原油价格基准的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ICE\">洲际交易所</a>(ICE)12月布伦特原油期货价格上涨97美分,涨1.2%,收于每桶79.28美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,在刚刚过去的9月份,WTI原油期货上涨9.5%,布伦特原油上涨7.6%。</p>\n<p>5、黄金期货周五收高0.1% 通胀数据支撑金价走高</p>\n<p>周五,纽约商品交易所12月交割的黄金期货价格上涨1.40美元,涨幅近0.1%,收于每盎司1758.40美元。按照最活跃合约计算,黄金期货价格本周上涨0.4%。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172965534\" target=\"_blank\">美联社民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%</a></p>\n<p>据美联社公共事务研究中心当地时间10月1日发布的民意调查结果,在从阿富汗撤军和处理南部边境的数千名海地移民方面,美国民众对总统拜登的批评意见越来越多,拜登的支持率下滑至50%。</p>\n<p>2、美联储Mester支持允许联储资产负债表在某个时候收缩</p>\n<p>克利夫兰联邦储备银行行长Loretta Mester重申支持11月开始缩减资产购买,并表示应该允许美联储的资产负债表在某个时候进行自然收缩。</p>\n<p>3、美国9月末消费者信心略有上升 仍接近疫情爆发以来低点</p>\n<p>周五公布的数据显示,密歇根大学消费者信心指数从初值的71升至72.8,超出彭博调查经济学家的预期中值,8月为70.3。</p>\n<p>4、欧佩克上月再度增产 下周将评估后续产量计划</p>\n<p>为跟上石油需求增长的步伐,欧佩克在上月恢复了更多闲置产能。机构调查显示,欧佩克原油产量增加36万桶/日,至2749万桶/日。</p>\n<p>5、欧元区通胀9月创13年新高</p>\n<p>欧盟统计局当日公布的初步统计数据显示,受能源价格上涨及供应链瓶颈影响,9月欧元区通胀率持续攀升,按年率计算达3.4%,超过市场预期,创13年新高。</p>\n<p>6、美国8月PCE通胀率达到1991年来最高 个人支出强劲增长</p>\n<p>美国8月个人支出增速高于预期,受商品采购驱动。同时一项受到密切关注的通胀指标超出市场预期。个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数环比上涨0.4%,同比攀升4.3%。这是1991年以来的最大升幅。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172173969\" target=\"_blank\">默沙东收涨8.4% 创最近五年最大单日涨幅</a></p>\n<p>默沙东收涨8.4%,创最近五年最大单日涨幅。此前,默沙东宣布,该公司的新冠实验性药物可将新冠病毒感染者的住院和死亡率降低一半,将很快要求美国和世界各地的卫生官员批准其使用。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172963698\" target=\"_blank\">“木头姐”旗舰基金出现成立以来最高季度资金外流</a></p>\n<p>知名投资者「木头姐」Cathie Wood旗下的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(代码ARKK)出现其成立以来最大的季度资金外流,截至9月末的三个月里流出资金大约19.7亿美元。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172966512\" target=\"_blank\">谷歌进军银行业务遇阻 放弃向用户提供银行账户计划</a></p>\n<p>媒体周五报道称,谷歌正在放弃直接向用户提供银行账户服务的计划。报道称,谷歌错过了该项目的许多最后期限,此外监督该项目的Google Pay高管离职也导致其计划开始倒闭。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172696359\" target=\"_blank\">美国白宫施压美航空公司 要求其对员工执行新冠疫苗强制接种令</a></p>\n<p>消息人士称,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>公司均与联邦政府有业务往来,符合政府对联邦承包商的定义,所以这三家航空公司及其雇员必须遵循政府对承包商的疫苗要求,于12月8日前接种新冠疫苗。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨:美股集体反弹!欧股遭遇10月“开门黑”</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨:美股集体反弹!欧股遭遇10月“开门黑”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-02 08:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要:美股集体反弹,道指大涨1.43%,但本周累跌1.36%;欧股遭遇10月开门黑,英股跌0.84%;美国民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%等。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、三大指数齐反弹!道指涨1.43% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">默沙东</a>大涨8%</p>\n<p>美股周五高开高走,但三大股指本周均录得跌幅。截止收盘,道指涨1.43%,本周累跌1.36%;标普500指数涨1.15%,本周累跌2.21%;纳指涨0.82%,本周累跌3.2%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股周五收盘涨跌不一 区块链概念股多数走高</p>\n<p>热门中概股周五收盘涨跌不一,区块链概念股多数走高,比特数字涨超11%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">第九城市</a>涨近6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">比特矿业</a>涨超5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">嘉楠科技</a>涨近5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBON\">亿邦国际</a>涨超1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNET\">中网载线</a>跌超7%。</p>\n<p>3、欧股遭遇10月开门黑!英股跌0.84%</p>\n<p>欧洲时间周五,欧股三大指数集体下跌。截止收盘,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数报收于7027.07点,比前一交易日下跌59.35点,跌幅为0.84%;法国CAC40指数报收于6517.69点,比前一交易日下跌2.32点,跌幅为0.04%;德国DAX30指数报收于15156.44点,比前一交易日下跌104.25点,跌幅为0.68%。</p>\n<p>4、周五美国WTI原油收高1.2% 创3年来最高收盘价</p>\n<p>作为全球原油价格基准的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ICE\">洲际交易所</a>(ICE)12月布伦特原油期货价格上涨97美分,涨1.2%,收于每桶79.28美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,在刚刚过去的9月份,WTI原油期货上涨9.5%,布伦特原油上涨7.6%。</p>\n<p>5、黄金期货周五收高0.1% 通胀数据支撑金价走高</p>\n<p>周五,纽约商品交易所12月交割的黄金期货价格上涨1.40美元,涨幅近0.1%,收于每盎司1758.40美元。按照最活跃合约计算,黄金期货价格本周上涨0.4%。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172965534\" target=\"_blank\">美联社民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%</a></p>\n<p>据美联社公共事务研究中心当地时间10月1日发布的民意调查结果,在从阿富汗撤军和处理南部边境的数千名海地移民方面,美国民众对总统拜登的批评意见越来越多,拜登的支持率下滑至50%。</p>\n<p>2、美联储Mester支持允许联储资产负债表在某个时候收缩</p>\n<p>克利夫兰联邦储备银行行长Loretta Mester重申支持11月开始缩减资产购买,并表示应该允许美联储的资产负债表在某个时候进行自然收缩。</p>\n<p>3、美国9月末消费者信心略有上升 仍接近疫情爆发以来低点</p>\n<p>周五公布的数据显示,密歇根大学消费者信心指数从初值的71升至72.8,超出彭博调查经济学家的预期中值,8月为70.3。</p>\n<p>4、欧佩克上月再度增产 下周将评估后续产量计划</p>\n<p>为跟上石油需求增长的步伐,欧佩克在上月恢复了更多闲置产能。机构调查显示,欧佩克原油产量增加36万桶/日,至2749万桶/日。</p>\n<p>5、欧元区通胀9月创13年新高</p>\n<p>欧盟统计局当日公布的初步统计数据显示,受能源价格上涨及供应链瓶颈影响,9月欧元区通胀率持续攀升,按年率计算达3.4%,超过市场预期,创13年新高。</p>\n<p>6、美国8月PCE通胀率达到1991年来最高 个人支出强劲增长</p>\n<p>美国8月个人支出增速高于预期,受商品采购驱动。同时一项受到密切关注的通胀指标超出市场预期。个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数环比上涨0.4%,同比攀升4.3%。这是1991年以来的最大升幅。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172173969\" target=\"_blank\">默沙东收涨8.4% 创最近五年最大单日涨幅</a></p>\n<p>默沙东收涨8.4%,创最近五年最大单日涨幅。此前,默沙东宣布,该公司的新冠实验性药物可将新冠病毒感染者的住院和死亡率降低一半,将很快要求美国和世界各地的卫生官员批准其使用。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172963698\" target=\"_blank\">“木头姐”旗舰基金出现成立以来最高季度资金外流</a></p>\n<p>知名投资者「木头姐」Cathie Wood旗下的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(代码ARKK)出现其成立以来最大的季度资金外流,截至9月末的三个月里流出资金大约19.7亿美元。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172966512\" target=\"_blank\">谷歌进军银行业务遇阻 放弃向用户提供银行账户计划</a></p>\n<p>媒体周五报道称,谷歌正在放弃直接向用户提供银行账户服务的计划。报道称,谷歌错过了该项目的许多最后期限,此外监督该项目的Google Pay高管离职也导致其计划开始倒闭。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2172696359\" target=\"_blank\">美国白宫施压美航空公司 要求其对员工执行新冠疫苗强制接种令</a></p>\n<p>消息人士称,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>公司、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>公司均与联邦政府有业务往来,符合政府对联邦承包商的定义,所以这三家航空公司及其雇员必须遵循政府对承包商的疫苗要求,于12月8日前接种新冠疫苗。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156614095","content_text":"摘要:美股集体反弹,道指大涨1.43%,但本周累跌1.36%;欧股遭遇10月开门黑,英股跌0.84%;美国民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%等。\n\n海外市场\n1、三大指数齐反弹!道指涨1.43% 默沙东大涨8%\n美股周五高开高走,但三大股指本周均录得跌幅。截止收盘,道指涨1.43%,本周累跌1.36%;标普500指数涨1.15%,本周累跌2.21%;纳指涨0.82%,本周累跌3.2%。\n2、热门中概股周五收盘涨跌不一 区块链概念股多数走高\n热门中概股周五收盘涨跌不一,区块链概念股多数走高,比特数字涨超11%,第九城市涨近6%,比特矿业涨超5%,嘉楠科技涨近5%,亿邦国际涨超1%,中网载线跌超7%。\n3、欧股遭遇10月开门黑!英股跌0.84%\n欧洲时间周五,欧股三大指数集体下跌。截止收盘,英国富时100指数报收于7027.07点,比前一交易日下跌59.35点,跌幅为0.84%;法国CAC40指数报收于6517.69点,比前一交易日下跌2.32点,跌幅为0.04%;德国DAX30指数报收于15156.44点,比前一交易日下跌104.25点,跌幅为0.68%。\n4、周五美国WTI原油收高1.2% 创3年来最高收盘价\n作为全球原油价格基准的洲际交易所(ICE)12月布伦特原油期货价格上涨97美分,涨1.2%,收于每桶79.28美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,在刚刚过去的9月份,WTI原油期货上涨9.5%,布伦特原油上涨7.6%。\n5、黄金期货周五收高0.1% 通胀数据支撑金价走高\n周五,纽约商品交易所12月交割的黄金期货价格上涨1.40美元,涨幅近0.1%,收于每盎司1758.40美元。按照最活跃合约计算,黄金期货价格本周上涨0.4%。\n国际宏观\n1、美联社民意调查显示拜登支持率下滑至50%\n据美联社公共事务研究中心当地时间10月1日发布的民意调查结果,在从阿富汗撤军和处理南部边境的数千名海地移民方面,美国民众对总统拜登的批评意见越来越多,拜登的支持率下滑至50%。\n2、美联储Mester支持允许联储资产负债表在某个时候收缩\n克利夫兰联邦储备银行行长Loretta Mester重申支持11月开始缩减资产购买,并表示应该允许美联储的资产负债表在某个时候进行自然收缩。\n3、美国9月末消费者信心略有上升 仍接近疫情爆发以来低点\n周五公布的数据显示,密歇根大学消费者信心指数从初值的71升至72.8,超出彭博调查经济学家的预期中值,8月为70.3。\n4、欧佩克上月再度增产 下周将评估后续产量计划\n为跟上石油需求增长的步伐,欧佩克在上月恢复了更多闲置产能。机构调查显示,欧佩克原油产量增加36万桶/日,至2749万桶/日。\n5、欧元区通胀9月创13年新高\n欧盟统计局当日公布的初步统计数据显示,受能源价格上涨及供应链瓶颈影响,9月欧元区通胀率持续攀升,按年率计算达3.4%,超过市场预期,创13年新高。\n6、美国8月PCE通胀率达到1991年来最高 个人支出强劲增长\n美国8月个人支出增速高于预期,受商品采购驱动。同时一项受到密切关注的通胀指标超出市场预期。个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数环比上涨0.4%,同比攀升4.3%。这是1991年以来的最大升幅。\n公司新闻\n1、默沙东收涨8.4% 创最近五年最大单日涨幅\n默沙东收涨8.4%,创最近五年最大单日涨幅。此前,默沙东宣布,该公司的新冠实验性药物可将新冠病毒感染者的住院和死亡率降低一半,将很快要求美国和世界各地的卫生官员批准其使用。\n2、“木头姐”旗舰基金出现成立以来最高季度资金外流\n知名投资者「木头姐」Cathie Wood旗下的ARK Innovation ETF(代码ARKK)出现其成立以来最大的季度资金外流,截至9月末的三个月里流出资金大约19.7亿美元。\n3、谷歌进军银行业务遇阻 放弃向用户提供银行账户计划\n媒体周五报道称,谷歌正在放弃直接向用户提供银行账户服务的计划。报道称,谷歌错过了该项目的许多最后期限,此外监督该项目的Google Pay高管离职也导致其计划开始倒闭。\n4、美国白宫施压美航空公司 要求其对员工执行新冠疫苗强制接种令\n消息人士称,美国航空公司、达美航空公司和西南航空公司均与联邦政府有业务往来,符合政府对联邦承包商的定义,所以这三家航空公司及其雇员必须遵循政府对承包商的疫苗要求,于12月8日前接种新冠疫苗。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890713086,"gmtCreate":1628133351245,"gmtModify":1633753254949,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bubble will burst","listText":"Bubble will burst","text":"Bubble will burst","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890713086","repostId":"1132789984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132789984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628132627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132789984?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132789984","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li> <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li> <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li> <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元,我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序,并且提供多种服务,它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲,预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序,不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司,但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢?Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求,从叫车到订餐,甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体,很明显,他们安装应用程序的时间越长,他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后,用户的交易量大约翻了一番,到第五年,他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性,也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务,以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车,但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据,该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%,略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况,我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利,届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍,考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性,我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心,但即便如此,考虑到未来业绩的不确定性,我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在,但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说,它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题,几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并侵蚀盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步,但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo,该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋,并将继续关注其进展,但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一,为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务,同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是,按照目前的价格,大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期,否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 11:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li> <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li> <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li> <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元,我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序,并且提供多种服务,它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲,预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序,不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司,但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢?Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求,从叫车到订餐,甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体,很明显,他们安装应用程序的时间越长,他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后,用户的交易量大约翻了一番,到第五年,他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性,也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务,以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车,但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据,该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%,略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况,我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利,届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍,考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性,我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心,但即便如此,考虑到未来业绩的不确定性,我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在,但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说,它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题,几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并侵蚀盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步,但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo,该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋,并将继续关注其进展,但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一,为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务,同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是,按照目前的价格,大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期,否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132789984","content_text":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.\nThe company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.\nIt is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.\nEconomic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.\n\nbankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images\nGrab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.\nSo what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nCohort Analysis\nLooking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nInternational Expansion\nOne of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.\nWhile users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.\nAccording to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nFinancials\nTurning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nRisks\nThe main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.\nThere is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nWe find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.\nConclusion\nGrab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.\nThe one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890710532,"gmtCreate":1628133282826,"gmtModify":1633753255742,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bear market starting?","listText":"Bear market starting?","text":"Bear market starting?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890710532","repostId":"1147906355","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807531104,"gmtCreate":1628042612108,"gmtModify":1633754112027,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807531104","repostId":"2156312793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804413496,"gmtCreate":1627971220615,"gmtModify":1633754746985,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news!","listText":"Great news!","text":"Great news!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804413496","repostId":"2156146935","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805658981,"gmtCreate":1627878311043,"gmtModify":1633755667097,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805658981","repostId":"1170689665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170689665","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627857540,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170689665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170689665","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外,至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市,DraftKings、Canopy Growth和猫途鹰将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人,而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右,这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元,周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8,高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后,预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%,而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆,而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8,而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人,6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测,继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外,至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市,DraftKings、Canopy Growth和猫途鹰将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人,而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右,这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元,周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8,高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后,预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%,而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆,而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8,而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人,6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测,继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","GE":"GE航空航天","BABA":"阿里巴巴","UBER":"优步",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","EA":"艺电",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","GM":"通用汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"EA":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"GE":0.9,"BABA":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805651348,"gmtCreate":1627878221684,"gmtModify":1633755667932,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good.. interesting ","listText":"Good good.. interesting ","text":"Good good.. interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805651348","repostId":"2156741169","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805826126,"gmtCreate":1627870965065,"gmtModify":1633755748851,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy or sell? Long or short?","listText":"Buy or sell? Long or short?","text":"Buy or sell? Long or short?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805826126","repostId":"1112436228","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112436228","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627869466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112436228?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 09:57","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Weekly Fundamental Gold Price Forecast: Time to Glitter Again? US NFP Friday<blockquote>每周基本面金价预测:是时候再次闪光了?美国NFP周五</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112436228","media":"DailyFX","summary":"WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL GOLD PRICE FORECAST: NEUTRAL\n\nGold priceshave finally started to respond to a pro","content":"<p><b>WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL GOLD PRICE FORECAST: NEUTRAL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每周基本面金价预测:中性</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Gold priceshave finally started to respond to a promising fundamental backdrop –record low US real yields, ongoing Federal Reserve stimulus efforts, and growing US deficits and debt.</li> <li>But as always, the US labor market report can upend even the best laid plans of mice and men. July US nonfarm payrolls data are due out this coming Friday.</li> <li>TheIG Client Sentiment Index suggests thatgold prices in USD-terms (XAU/USD) have a mixed trading bias.</li> </ul> <b>GOLD PRICES WEEK IN REVIEW</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>金价终于开始对充满希望的基本面背景做出反应——美国实际收益率创历史新低、美联储持续的刺激措施以及美国赤字和债务不断增长。</li><li>但与往常一样,美国劳动力市场报告甚至可能颠覆人鼠之间最好的计划。美国7月份非农就业数据将于本周五公布。</li><li>IG客户情绪指数表明,以美元计价的黄金价格(XAU/USD)存在混合交易偏差。</li></ul><b>金价周回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> You’ve heard it before: gold pricestend to benefit during periods of loose monetary policy and expansive fiscal policy. It may be the case that this promising fundamental backdrop is being realized; this past week produced record low US real yields amid growing US deficits and debts, after all. The US Dollar’s losses (via the DXY Index) following the July FOMC meeting catered to a stronger environment for precious metals.</p><p><blockquote>您以前听说过:在宽松的货币政策和扩张性的财政政策时期,金价往往会受益。这种充满希望的基本面背景可能正在实现;毕竟,在美国赤字和债务不断增长的情况下,过去一周美国实际收益率创历史新低。7月FOMC会议后,美元下跌(通过DXY指数)迎合了贵金属走强的环境。</blockquote></p><p> But gold’s gains in recent days were mostly a US Dollar-centric event: gold in USD-terms(XAU/USD) added+0.68%. Elsewhere, gold prices tipped ever-so-slightly into negative territory: gold in EUR-terms (XAU/EUR) dropped by-0.13%; gold in GBP-terms (XAU/GBP) contracted -0.45%; and gold in JPY-terms (XAU/JPY) fell by -0.15%.</p><p><blockquote>但最近几天黄金的上涨主要是以美元为中心的事件:以美元计价的黄金(XAU/USD)上涨了+0.68%。在其他地方,金价略微跌入负值区域:以欧元计价的黄金(XAU/EUR)下跌-0.13%;以英镑计价的黄金(XAU/英镑)下跌-0.45%;日元黄金(XAU/JPY)下跌-0.15%。</blockquote></p><p> While gold prices may be on the verge of turning higher on a broader basis, the evidence is just not there quite yet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管金价可能即将在更广泛的基础上走高,但证据还不完全存在。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ECONOMIC CALENDAR WEEK AHEAD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来一周经济日历</b></blockquote></p><p> The first week of August, like most months, promises a busier economic calendar. While most of the focus remains on the US economy, there are still a number of data releases that could provoke greater volatility among several gold-crosses.</p><p><blockquote>像大多数月份一样,八月的第一周预示着一个更加繁忙的经济日历。尽管大部分焦点仍然集中在美国经济上,但仍有一些数据发布可能会引发几个黄金交叉盘的更大波动。</blockquote></p><p> -On Monday, gold in EUR-terms (XAU/EUR) and gold in USD-terms (XAU/USD) will be in focus amid the plethora of PMI readings due across Europe and for the US;</p><p><blockquote>-周一,由于欧洲和美国将公布过多的PMI数据,以欧元计价的黄金(XAU/EUR)和以美元计价的黄金(XAU/USD)将成为焦点;</blockquote></p><p> - On Tuesday, gold in AUD-terms (XAU/AUD) is in the spotlight with the August Reserve Bank of Australia meeting on deck, while gold inNZD-terms (XAU/NZD) will have to contend with the 2Q’21 New Zealand employment change and unemployment rate report.</p><p><blockquote>-周二,随着澳大利亚央行8月份会议的召开,澳元黄金(XAU/AUD)成为人们关注的焦点,而新西兰元黄金(XAU/NZD)将不得不应对21年第二季度新西兰就业变化和失业率报告。</blockquote></p><p> - On Thursday, gold in GBP-terms (XAU/GBP) may see a dose of volatility as the Bank of England meets for its August gathering, which will produce a new Quarterly Inflation Report (QIR).</p><p><blockquote>–周四,随着英国央行召开8月份会议,将发布新的季度通胀报告(QIR),以英镑计价的黄金(XAU/GBP)可能会出现一定程度的波动。</blockquote></p><p> - On Friday, gold in CAD-terms (XAU/CAD) and gold in USD-terms are in the spotlight with the dual July Canada employment report and the July US nonfarm payrolls report.</p><p><blockquote>-周五,加拿大7月就业报告和美国7月非农就业报告公布,加元黄金(XAU/CAD)和美元黄金成为焦点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GOLD PRICE VERSUS COT NET NON-COMMERCIAL POSITIONING: DAILY TIMEFRAME (JULY 2020 TO JULY 2021) (CHART 1)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aa5de96c23d5efa412656aef5d29f22\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>黄金价格与COT净非商业头寸:每日时间范围(2020年7月至2021年7月)(图1)</b></blockquote></p><p> Next, a lookat positioning in the futures market. According to the CFTC’s COT data, for the week endedJuly 27, speculators increased theirnet-long gold futures positions to 195,972 contracts, up from the 182,721 net-long contracts held in the week prior. The futures market is the most net-long since the week of June 14, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,看一下期货市场的定位。根据CFTC的COT数据,截至7月27日当周,投机者将黄金期货净多头头寸增加至195,972份,高于前一周持有的182,721份净多头合约。期货市场为2021年6月14日当周以来最净多头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IG CLIENT SENTIMENT INDEX: GOLD PRICE FORECAST (JULY 30, 2021) (CHART 2)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d83a1696f535a91487f92a021a6182c\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>IG客户端情绪指数:黄金价格预测(2021年7月30日)(图表2)</b></blockquote></p><p> Gold: Retail trader data shows 77.84% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.51 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.85% lower than yesterday and 8.65% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 10.36% lower than yesterday and 8.52% higher from last week.</p><p><blockquote>黄金:散户交易者数据显示,77.84%的交易者是净多头,交易者多头与空头的比例为3.51比1。净多头交易者数量较昨日减少1.85%,较上周减少8.65%,净空头交易者数量较昨日减少10.36%,较上周增加8.52%。</blockquote></p><p> We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.</p><p><blockquote>我们通常对人群情绪持相反观点,交易者净多头的事实表明金价可能会继续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Positioning is more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Gold trading bias.</p><p><blockquote>头寸比昨天净多头更多,但比上周净多头减少。当前的情绪和最近的变化相结合,给了我们进一步的混合黄金交易偏见。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1568971417606","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Weekly Fundamental Gold Price Forecast: Time to Glitter Again? US NFP Friday<blockquote>每周基本面金价预测:是时候再次闪光了?美国NFP周五</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWeekly Fundamental Gold Price Forecast: Time to Glitter Again? US NFP Friday<blockquote>每周基本面金价预测:是时候再次闪光了?美国NFP周五</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DailyFX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL GOLD PRICE FORECAST: NEUTRAL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每周基本面金价预测:中性</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Gold priceshave finally started to respond to a promising fundamental backdrop –record low US real yields, ongoing Federal Reserve stimulus efforts, and growing US deficits and debt.</li> <li>But as always, the US labor market report can upend even the best laid plans of mice and men. July US nonfarm payrolls data are due out this coming Friday.</li> <li>TheIG Client Sentiment Index suggests thatgold prices in USD-terms (XAU/USD) have a mixed trading bias.</li> </ul> <b>GOLD PRICES WEEK IN REVIEW</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>金价终于开始对充满希望的基本面背景做出反应——美国实际收益率创历史新低、美联储持续的刺激措施以及美国赤字和债务不断增长。</li><li>但与往常一样,美国劳动力市场报告甚至可能颠覆人鼠之间最好的计划。美国7月份非农就业数据将于本周五公布。</li><li>IG客户情绪指数表明,以美元计价的黄金价格(XAU/USD)存在混合交易偏差。</li></ul><b>金价周回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> You’ve heard it before: gold pricestend to benefit during periods of loose monetary policy and expansive fiscal policy. It may be the case that this promising fundamental backdrop is being realized; this past week produced record low US real yields amid growing US deficits and debts, after all. The US Dollar’s losses (via the DXY Index) following the July FOMC meeting catered to a stronger environment for precious metals.</p><p><blockquote>您以前听说过:在宽松的货币政策和扩张性的财政政策时期,金价往往会受益。这种充满希望的基本面背景可能正在实现;毕竟,在美国赤字和债务不断增长的情况下,过去一周美国实际收益率创历史新低。7月FOMC会议后,美元下跌(通过DXY指数)迎合了贵金属走强的环境。</blockquote></p><p> But gold’s gains in recent days were mostly a US Dollar-centric event: gold in USD-terms(XAU/USD) added+0.68%. Elsewhere, gold prices tipped ever-so-slightly into negative territory: gold in EUR-terms (XAU/EUR) dropped by-0.13%; gold in GBP-terms (XAU/GBP) contracted -0.45%; and gold in JPY-terms (XAU/JPY) fell by -0.15%.</p><p><blockquote>但最近几天黄金的上涨主要是以美元为中心的事件:以美元计价的黄金(XAU/USD)上涨了+0.68%。在其他地方,金价略微跌入负值区域:以欧元计价的黄金(XAU/EUR)下跌-0.13%;以英镑计价的黄金(XAU/英镑)下跌-0.45%;日元黄金(XAU/JPY)下跌-0.15%。</blockquote></p><p> While gold prices may be on the verge of turning higher on a broader basis, the evidence is just not there quite yet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管金价可能即将在更广泛的基础上走高,但证据还不完全存在。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ECONOMIC CALENDAR WEEK AHEAD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来一周经济日历</b></blockquote></p><p> The first week of August, like most months, promises a busier economic calendar. While most of the focus remains on the US economy, there are still a number of data releases that could provoke greater volatility among several gold-crosses.</p><p><blockquote>像大多数月份一样,八月的第一周预示着一个更加繁忙的经济日历。尽管大部分焦点仍然集中在美国经济上,但仍有一些数据发布可能会引发几个黄金交叉盘的更大波动。</blockquote></p><p> -On Monday, gold in EUR-terms (XAU/EUR) and gold in USD-terms (XAU/USD) will be in focus amid the plethora of PMI readings due across Europe and for the US;</p><p><blockquote>-周一,由于欧洲和美国将公布过多的PMI数据,以欧元计价的黄金(XAU/EUR)和以美元计价的黄金(XAU/USD)将成为焦点;</blockquote></p><p> - On Tuesday, gold in AUD-terms (XAU/AUD) is in the spotlight with the August Reserve Bank of Australia meeting on deck, while gold inNZD-terms (XAU/NZD) will have to contend with the 2Q’21 New Zealand employment change and unemployment rate report.</p><p><blockquote>-周二,随着澳大利亚央行8月份会议的召开,澳元黄金(XAU/AUD)成为人们关注的焦点,而新西兰元黄金(XAU/NZD)将不得不应对21年第二季度新西兰就业变化和失业率报告。</blockquote></p><p> - On Thursday, gold in GBP-terms (XAU/GBP) may see a dose of volatility as the Bank of England meets for its August gathering, which will produce a new Quarterly Inflation Report (QIR).</p><p><blockquote>–周四,随着英国央行召开8月份会议,将发布新的季度通胀报告(QIR),以英镑计价的黄金(XAU/GBP)可能会出现一定程度的波动。</blockquote></p><p> - On Friday, gold in CAD-terms (XAU/CAD) and gold in USD-terms are in the spotlight with the dual July Canada employment report and the July US nonfarm payrolls report.</p><p><blockquote>-周五,加拿大7月就业报告和美国7月非农就业报告公布,加元黄金(XAU/CAD)和美元黄金成为焦点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GOLD PRICE VERSUS COT NET NON-COMMERCIAL POSITIONING: DAILY TIMEFRAME (JULY 2020 TO JULY 2021) (CHART 1)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aa5de96c23d5efa412656aef5d29f22\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>黄金价格与COT净非商业头寸:每日时间范围(2020年7月至2021年7月)(图1)</b></blockquote></p><p> Next, a lookat positioning in the futures market. According to the CFTC’s COT data, for the week endedJuly 27, speculators increased theirnet-long gold futures positions to 195,972 contracts, up from the 182,721 net-long contracts held in the week prior. The futures market is the most net-long since the week of June 14, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,看一下期货市场的定位。根据CFTC的COT数据,截至7月27日当周,投机者将黄金期货净多头头寸增加至195,972份,高于前一周持有的182,721份净多头合约。期货市场为2021年6月14日当周以来最净多头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IG CLIENT SENTIMENT INDEX: GOLD PRICE FORECAST (JULY 30, 2021) (CHART 2)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d83a1696f535a91487f92a021a6182c\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>IG客户端情绪指数:黄金价格预测(2021年7月30日)(图表2)</b></blockquote></p><p> Gold: Retail trader data shows 77.84% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.51 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.85% lower than yesterday and 8.65% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 10.36% lower than yesterday and 8.52% higher from last week.</p><p><blockquote>黄金:散户交易者数据显示,77.84%的交易者是净多头,交易者多头与空头的比例为3.51比1。净多头交易者数量较昨日减少1.85%,较上周减少8.65%,净空头交易者数量较昨日减少10.36%,较上周增加8.52%。</blockquote></p><p> We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.</p><p><blockquote>我们通常对人群情绪持相反观点,交易者净多头的事实表明金价可能会继续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Positioning is more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Gold trading bias.</p><p><blockquote>头寸比昨天净多头更多,但比上周净多头减少。当前的情绪和最近的变化相结合,给了我们进一步的混合黄金交易偏见。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/chf/2021/08/01/weekly-fundamental-gold-price-forecast-time-to-glitter-again-us-nfp-friday.html\">DailyFX</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/chf/2021/08/01/weekly-fundamental-gold-price-forecast-time-to-glitter-again-us-nfp-friday.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112436228","content_text":"WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL GOLD PRICE FORECAST: NEUTRAL\n\nGold priceshave finally started to respond to a promising fundamental backdrop –record low US real yields, ongoing Federal Reserve stimulus efforts, and growing US deficits and debt.\nBut as always, the US labor market report can upend even the best laid plans of mice and men. July US nonfarm payrolls data are due out this coming Friday.\nTheIG Client Sentiment Index suggests thatgold prices in USD-terms (XAU/USD) have a mixed trading bias.\n\nGOLD PRICES WEEK IN REVIEW\nYou’ve heard it before: gold pricestend to benefit during periods of loose monetary policy and expansive fiscal policy. It may be the case that this promising fundamental backdrop is being realized; this past week produced record low US real yields amid growing US deficits and debts, after all. The US Dollar’s losses (via the DXY Index) following the July FOMC meeting catered to a stronger environment for precious metals.\nBut gold’s gains in recent days were mostly a US Dollar-centric event: gold in USD-terms(XAU/USD) added+0.68%. Elsewhere, gold prices tipped ever-so-slightly into negative territory: gold in EUR-terms (XAU/EUR) dropped by-0.13%; gold in GBP-terms (XAU/GBP) contracted -0.45%; and gold in JPY-terms (XAU/JPY) fell by -0.15%.\nWhile gold prices may be on the verge of turning higher on a broader basis, the evidence is just not there quite yet.\nECONOMIC CALENDAR WEEK AHEAD\nThe first week of August, like most months, promises a busier economic calendar. While most of the focus remains on the US economy, there are still a number of data releases that could provoke greater volatility among several gold-crosses.\n-On Monday, gold in EUR-terms (XAU/EUR) and gold in USD-terms (XAU/USD) will be in focus amid the plethora of PMI readings due across Europe and for the US;\n- On Tuesday, gold in AUD-terms (XAU/AUD) is in the spotlight with the August Reserve Bank of Australia meeting on deck, while gold inNZD-terms (XAU/NZD) will have to contend with the 2Q’21 New Zealand employment change and unemployment rate report.\n- On Thursday, gold in GBP-terms (XAU/GBP) may see a dose of volatility as the Bank of England meets for its August gathering, which will produce a new Quarterly Inflation Report (QIR).\n- On Friday, gold in CAD-terms (XAU/CAD) and gold in USD-terms are in the spotlight with the dual July Canada employment report and the July US nonfarm payrolls report.\nGOLD PRICE VERSUS COT NET NON-COMMERCIAL POSITIONING: DAILY TIMEFRAME (JULY 2020 TO JULY 2021) (CHART 1)\nNext, a lookat positioning in the futures market. According to the CFTC’s COT data, for the week endedJuly 27, speculators increased theirnet-long gold futures positions to 195,972 contracts, up from the 182,721 net-long contracts held in the week prior. The futures market is the most net-long since the week of June 14, 2021.\nIG CLIENT SENTIMENT INDEX: GOLD PRICE FORECAST (JULY 30, 2021) (CHART 2)\nGold: Retail trader data shows 77.84% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.51 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.85% lower than yesterday and 8.65% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 10.36% lower than yesterday and 8.52% higher from last week.\nWe typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.\nPositioning is more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Gold trading bias.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802289541,"gmtCreate":1627782663683,"gmtModify":1633756470955,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes yes. Up up up","listText":"Yes yes. Up up up","text":"Yes yes. Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802289541","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802063238,"gmtCreate":1627699807324,"gmtModify":1633756984827,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip?","listText":"Buy the dip?","text":"Buy the 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one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808562935","repostId":"2155184148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801531727,"gmtCreate":1627522181369,"gmtModify":1633764172245,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!!","listText":"To the moon!!","text":"To the moon!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801531727","repostId":"2155973148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803629169,"gmtCreate":1627437144551,"gmtModify":1633764998792,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome!!!","listText":"Awesome!!!","text":"Awesome!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803629169","repostId":"1130824999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809441979,"gmtCreate":1627389868391,"gmtModify":1633765486687,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goodoooddd","listText":"Goodoooddd","text":"Goodoooddd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809441979","repostId":"1190390540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190390540","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627388124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190390540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190390540","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap\n\n\nQuarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and A","content":"<p><ul> <li>Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close</li> </ul> U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>科技股盈利即将到来,股指期货下跌</li></ul><ul><li>苹果、微软和Alphabet将于收盘后公布季度业绩</li></ul>周二,在华尔街最有价值公司公布财报之前,以及为期两天的美联储会议前夕,美国股指期货下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:05,美国标普500 e-mini下跌8.25点,即0.19%。道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌93点,跌幅0.27%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌3点,跌幅0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fb54b80cfb78268a87bd4a378ca296e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Crypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.</p><p><blockquote>由于Amazon denimg报告接受比特币作为支付方式,加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌。Bit Digital、第九城市、SOS Ltd、嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital Holdings、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase Global和Square暴跌2%至17%。</blockquote></p><p> More than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.</p><p><blockquote>超过三分之一的标普500将于本周公布季度业绩,其中以苹果、微软、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet为首,这四家美国市值最大的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、Alphabet和微软的盘前交易基本持平,将在收盘后公布财报,而亚马逊将于周四公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Investors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>投资者仍处于紧张状态,等待央行关于何时开始控制大规模刺激计划的更多信号。为期两天的美联储会议将于当天晚些时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(TSLA)</b>-特斯拉第二季度每股收益1.45美元,而市场普遍预期为每股98美分。收入也超出预期。该汽车制造商表示,下半年的成功将集中在其解决供应链问题的能力上。特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>F5 Networks(FFIV) </b>– F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>F5网络(FFIV)</b>-F5每股超出预期30美分,季度收益为每股2.76美元。这家企业软件制造商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。在疫情推动的数字商业应用持续增长的背景下,F5的需求强劲。F5在盘前交易中上涨6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>United Parcel Service(UPS)</b> – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合包裹服务公司(UPS)</b>-由于国内收入低于预期,UPS股价盘前下跌2.4%。然而,随着电子商务订单发货量持续激增,UPS的营收和利润整体表现良好。UPS第二季度每股收益3.06美元,而市场普遍预期为2.82美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black&Decker(SWK)——这家工具制造商每股收益超出预期18美分,季度收益为每股3.08美元。收入超出了华尔街的预期,该公司上调了全年预期,预计增长和更强劲的定价将抵消更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3M(MMM)</b> – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>3M(3M)</b>-3M在盘前交易中上涨1.2%,季度收益为每股2.59美元,超出每股2.28美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了预期,随着各项业务从疫情中复苏,3M上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Electric(GE) </b>– GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用电气(GE)</b>-GE股价在盘前上涨3.9%,本季度现金流为正,超出预期,令分析师感到惊讶。通用电气第二季度每股收益5美分,比预期高出2美分。由于航空和电力部门的强劲表现,收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raytheon Technologies(RTX) </b>– Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>雷神技术公司(RTX)</b>-雷神公司每股收益比预期高出10美分,季度收益为每股1.03美元。收入也超出了分析师的预期。由于商业航空旅行的复苏提振了对其产品和服务的需求,这家航空航天制造商上调了全年预测。雷神公司股价盘前上涨1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sirius XM(SIRI)</b> – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>天狼星XM(系列)</b>–这家卫星广播运营商每股收益超出预期3美分,季度收益为每股10美分。该公司还报告了好于预期的收入。由于受益于用户的增加,其利润较上年同期几乎翻了一番。该股在盘前上涨3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waste Management(WM)</b> – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.</p><p><blockquote><b>废物管理(WM)</b>–这家垃圾收集公司每股收益比预期高出8美分,季度收益为每股1.27美元。收入也超出预期。废物管理公司表示,它受益于数量的反弹和对成本控制的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sherwin-Williams(SHW) </b>– The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>宣伟(SHW)</b>–该涂料制造商每股股价下跌3美分,比市场普遍预期低,季度收益为每股2.65美元。收入与预期一致。结果受到自己动手量恢复到大流行前水平的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel(INTC) </b>– Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔(INTC)</b>-英特尔制定了一项多年计划,以重新夺回其在半导体市场的主导地位,目标是从现在到2025年每年发布一款新芯片,并寻求从三星和台积电等竞争对手手中夺回失去的市场份额。英特尔盘前下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Starbucks(SBUX)</b> – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克(SBUX)</b>-星巴克扩大了与瑞士食品巨头雀巢的合作关系,计划在东南亚和拉丁美洲推出即饮咖啡饮料。另外,星巴克将其在韩国合资企业的股份出售给了当地合作伙伴易买得和新加坡主权财富基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Polaris Industries(PII)</b> – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.</p><p><blockquote><b>北极星工业(PII)</b>-北极星公布季度利润为每股2.70美元,超出市场普遍预期的每股2.21美元。这家休闲车制造商的收入符合华尔街的预测。北极星受益于较低的促销成本和更强的定价,尽管它也经历了更高的商品和劳动力成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 20:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close</li> </ul> U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>科技股盈利即将到来,股指期货下跌</li></ul><ul><li>苹果、微软和Alphabet将于收盘后公布季度业绩</li></ul>周二,在华尔街最有价值公司公布财报之前,以及为期两天的美联储会议前夕,美国股指期货下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:05,美国标普500 e-mini下跌8.25点,即0.19%。道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌93点,跌幅0.27%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌3点,跌幅0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fb54b80cfb78268a87bd4a378ca296e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Crypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.</p><p><blockquote>由于Amazon denimg报告接受比特币作为支付方式,加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌。Bit Digital、第九城市、SOS Ltd、嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital Holdings、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase Global和Square暴跌2%至17%。</blockquote></p><p> More than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.</p><p><blockquote>超过三分之一的标普500将于本周公布季度业绩,其中以苹果、微软、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet为首,这四家美国市值最大的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、Alphabet和微软的盘前交易基本持平,将在收盘后公布财报,而亚马逊将于周四公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Investors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>投资者仍处于紧张状态,等待央行关于何时开始控制大规模刺激计划的更多信号。为期两天的美联储会议将于当天晚些时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(TSLA)</b>-特斯拉第二季度每股收益1.45美元,而市场普遍预期为每股98美分。收入也超出预期。该汽车制造商表示,下半年的成功将集中在其解决供应链问题的能力上。特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>F5 Networks(FFIV) </b>– F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>F5网络(FFIV)</b>-F5每股超出预期30美分,季度收益为每股2.76美元。这家企业软件制造商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。在疫情推动的数字商业应用持续增长的背景下,F5的需求强劲。F5在盘前交易中上涨6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>United Parcel Service(UPS)</b> – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合包裹服务公司(UPS)</b>-由于国内收入低于预期,UPS股价盘前下跌2.4%。然而,随着电子商务订单发货量持续激增,UPS的营收和利润整体表现良好。UPS第二季度每股收益3.06美元,而市场普遍预期为2.82美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black&Decker(SWK)——这家工具制造商每股收益超出预期18美分,季度收益为每股3.08美元。收入超出了华尔街的预期,该公司上调了全年预期,预计增长和更强劲的定价将抵消更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3M(MMM)</b> – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>3M(3M)</b>-3M在盘前交易中上涨1.2%,季度收益为每股2.59美元,超出每股2.28美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了预期,随着各项业务从疫情中复苏,3M上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Electric(GE) </b>– GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用电气(GE)</b>-GE股价在盘前上涨3.9%,本季度现金流为正,超出预期,令分析师感到惊讶。通用电气第二季度每股收益5美分,比预期高出2美分。由于航空和电力部门的强劲表现,收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raytheon Technologies(RTX) </b>– Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>雷神技术公司(RTX)</b>-雷神公司每股收益比预期高出10美分,季度收益为每股1.03美元。收入也超出了分析师的预期。由于商业航空旅行的复苏提振了对其产品和服务的需求,这家航空航天制造商上调了全年预测。雷神公司股价盘前上涨1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sirius XM(SIRI)</b> – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>天狼星XM(系列)</b>–这家卫星广播运营商每股收益超出预期3美分,季度收益为每股10美分。该公司还报告了好于预期的收入。由于受益于用户的增加,其利润较上年同期几乎翻了一番。该股在盘前上涨3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waste Management(WM)</b> – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.</p><p><blockquote><b>废物管理(WM)</b>–这家垃圾收集公司每股收益比预期高出8美分,季度收益为每股1.27美元。收入也超出预期。废物管理公司表示,它受益于数量的反弹和对成本控制的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sherwin-Williams(SHW) </b>– The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>宣伟(SHW)</b>–该涂料制造商每股股价下跌3美分,比市场普遍预期低,季度收益为每股2.65美元。收入与预期一致。结果受到自己动手量恢复到大流行前水平的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel(INTC) </b>– Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔(INTC)</b>-英特尔制定了一项多年计划,以重新夺回其在半导体市场的主导地位,目标是从现在到2025年每年发布一款新芯片,并寻求从三星和台积电等竞争对手手中夺回失去的市场份额。英特尔盘前下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Starbucks(SBUX)</b> – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克(SBUX)</b>-星巴克扩大了与瑞士食品巨头雀巢的合作关系,计划在东南亚和拉丁美洲推出即饮咖啡饮料。另外,星巴克将其在韩国合资企业的股份出售给了当地合作伙伴易买得和新加坡主权财富基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Polaris Industries(PII)</b> – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.</p><p><blockquote><b>北极星工业(PII)</b>-北极星公布季度利润为每股2.70美元,超出市场普遍预期的每股2.21美元。这家休闲车制造商的收入符合华尔街的预测。北极星受益于较低的促销成本和更强的定价,尽管它也经历了更高的商品和劳动力成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GOOGL":"谷歌A","SBUX":"星巴克","MMM":"3M","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","GE":"GE航空航天",".DJI":"道琼斯","WM":"美国废物管理","INTC":"英特尔","TSLA":"特斯拉","RTX":"雷神技术公司","FFIV":"F5 Inc",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GOOG":"谷歌","UPS":"联合包裹"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190390540","content_text":"Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap\n\n\nQuarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close\n\nU.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.\n\nCrypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.\nMore than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.\nApple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.\nInvestors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nTesla(TSLA) – Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.\nF5 Networks(FFIV) – F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.\nUnited Parcel Service(UPS) – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.\nStanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.\n3M(MMM) – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.\nGeneral Electric(GE) – GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.\nRaytheon Technologies(RTX) – Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.\nSirius XM(SIRI) – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.\nWaste Management(WM) – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.\nSherwin-Williams(SHW) – The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.\nIntel(INTC) – Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.\nStarbucks(SBUX) – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.\nPolaris Industries(PII) – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"MMM":0.9,"RTX":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"UPS":0.9,"FFIV":0.9,"WM":0.9,"GE":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800938791,"gmtCreate":1627270467613,"gmtModify":1633766653672,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oo la la","listText":"Oo la la","text":"Oo la la","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800938791","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177105106,"gmtCreate":1627184363705,"gmtModify":1633767353636,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm???","listText":"Hmmm???","text":"Hmmm???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177105106","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售价格较高的汽车,与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售价格较高的汽车,与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174651808,"gmtCreate":1627096747704,"gmtModify":1633767994961,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586731369549561","idStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice nice! To the moon","listText":"Nice nice! To the moon","text":"Nice nice! To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174651808","repostId":"2153980423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":802063238,"gmtCreate":1627699807324,"gmtModify":1633756984827,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip?","listText":"Buy the dip?","text":"Buy the dip?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802063238","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178484491,"gmtCreate":1626832247813,"gmtModify":1633770580214,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice!! Good news","listText":"Nice!! Good news","text":"Nice!! Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178484491","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809441979,"gmtCreate":1627389868391,"gmtModify":1633765486687,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goodoooddd","listText":"Goodoooddd","text":"Goodoooddd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809441979","repostId":"1190390540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190390540","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627388124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190390540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190390540","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap\n\n\nQuarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and A","content":"<p><ul> <li>Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close</li> </ul> U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>科技股盈利即将到来,股指期货下跌</li></ul><ul><li>苹果、微软和Alphabet将于收盘后公布季度业绩</li></ul>周二,在华尔街最有价值公司公布财报之前,以及为期两天的美联储会议前夕,美国股指期货下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:05,美国标普500 e-mini下跌8.25点,即0.19%。道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌93点,跌幅0.27%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌3点,跌幅0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fb54b80cfb78268a87bd4a378ca296e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Crypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.</p><p><blockquote>由于Amazon denimg报告接受比特币作为支付方式,加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌。Bit Digital、第九城市、SOS Ltd、嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital Holdings、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase Global和Square暴跌2%至17%。</blockquote></p><p> More than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.</p><p><blockquote>超过三分之一的标普500将于本周公布季度业绩,其中以苹果、微软、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet为首,这四家美国市值最大的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、Alphabet和微软的盘前交易基本持平,将在收盘后公布财报,而亚马逊将于周四公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Investors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>投资者仍处于紧张状态,等待央行关于何时开始控制大规模刺激计划的更多信号。为期两天的美联储会议将于当天晚些时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(TSLA)</b>-特斯拉第二季度每股收益1.45美元,而市场普遍预期为每股98美分。收入也超出预期。该汽车制造商表示,下半年的成功将集中在其解决供应链问题的能力上。特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>F5 Networks(FFIV) </b>– F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>F5网络(FFIV)</b>-F5每股超出预期30美分,季度收益为每股2.76美元。这家企业软件制造商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。在疫情推动的数字商业应用持续增长的背景下,F5的需求强劲。F5在盘前交易中上涨6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>United Parcel Service(UPS)</b> – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合包裹服务公司(UPS)</b>-由于国内收入低于预期,UPS股价盘前下跌2.4%。然而,随着电子商务订单发货量持续激增,UPS的营收和利润整体表现良好。UPS第二季度每股收益3.06美元,而市场普遍预期为2.82美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black&Decker(SWK)——这家工具制造商每股收益超出预期18美分,季度收益为每股3.08美元。收入超出了华尔街的预期,该公司上调了全年预期,预计增长和更强劲的定价将抵消更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3M(MMM)</b> – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>3M(3M)</b>-3M在盘前交易中上涨1.2%,季度收益为每股2.59美元,超出每股2.28美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了预期,随着各项业务从疫情中复苏,3M上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Electric(GE) </b>– GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用电气(GE)</b>-GE股价在盘前上涨3.9%,本季度现金流为正,超出预期,令分析师感到惊讶。通用电气第二季度每股收益5美分,比预期高出2美分。由于航空和电力部门的强劲表现,收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raytheon Technologies(RTX) </b>– Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>雷神技术公司(RTX)</b>-雷神公司每股收益比预期高出10美分,季度收益为每股1.03美元。收入也超出了分析师的预期。由于商业航空旅行的复苏提振了对其产品和服务的需求,这家航空航天制造商上调了全年预测。雷神公司股价盘前上涨1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sirius XM(SIRI)</b> – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>天狼星XM(系列)</b>–这家卫星广播运营商每股收益超出预期3美分,季度收益为每股10美分。该公司还报告了好于预期的收入。由于受益于用户的增加,其利润较上年同期几乎翻了一番。该股在盘前上涨3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waste Management(WM)</b> – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.</p><p><blockquote><b>废物管理(WM)</b>–这家垃圾收集公司每股收益比预期高出8美分,季度收益为每股1.27美元。收入也超出预期。废物管理公司表示,它受益于数量的反弹和对成本控制的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sherwin-Williams(SHW) </b>– The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>宣伟(SHW)</b>–该涂料制造商每股股价下跌3美分,比市场普遍预期低,季度收益为每股2.65美元。收入与预期一致。结果受到自己动手量恢复到大流行前水平的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel(INTC) </b>– Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔(INTC)</b>-英特尔制定了一项多年计划,以重新夺回其在半导体市场的主导地位,目标是从现在到2025年每年发布一款新芯片,并寻求从三星和台积电等竞争对手手中夺回失去的市场份额。英特尔盘前下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Starbucks(SBUX)</b> – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克(SBUX)</b>-星巴克扩大了与瑞士食品巨头雀巢的合作关系,计划在东南亚和拉丁美洲推出即饮咖啡饮料。另外,星巴克将其在韩国合资企业的股份出售给了当地合作伙伴易买得和新加坡主权财富基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Polaris Industries(PII)</b> – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.</p><p><blockquote><b>北极星工业(PII)</b>-北极星公布季度利润为每股2.70美元,超出市场普遍预期的每股2.21美元。这家休闲车制造商的收入符合华尔街的预测。北极星受益于较低的促销成本和更强的定价,尽管它也经历了更高的商品和劳动力成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 20:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close</li> </ul> U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>科技股盈利即将到来,股指期货下跌</li></ul><ul><li>苹果、微软和Alphabet将于收盘后公布季度业绩</li></ul>周二,在华尔街最有价值公司公布财报之前,以及为期两天的美联储会议前夕,美国股指期货下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:05,美国标普500 e-mini下跌8.25点,即0.19%。道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌93点,跌幅0.27%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌3点,跌幅0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fb54b80cfb78268a87bd4a378ca296e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Crypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.</p><p><blockquote>由于Amazon denimg报告接受比特币作为支付方式,加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌。Bit Digital、第九城市、SOS Ltd、嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital Holdings、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase Global和Square暴跌2%至17%。</blockquote></p><p> More than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.</p><p><blockquote>超过三分之一的标普500将于本周公布季度业绩,其中以苹果、微软、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet为首,这四家美国市值最大的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、Alphabet和微软的盘前交易基本持平,将在收盘后公布财报,而亚马逊将于周四公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Investors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>投资者仍处于紧张状态,等待央行关于何时开始控制大规模刺激计划的更多信号。为期两天的美联储会议将于当天晚些时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(TSLA)</b>-特斯拉第二季度每股收益1.45美元,而市场普遍预期为每股98美分。收入也超出预期。该汽车制造商表示,下半年的成功将集中在其解决供应链问题的能力上。特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>F5 Networks(FFIV) </b>– F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>F5网络(FFIV)</b>-F5每股超出预期30美分,季度收益为每股2.76美元。这家企业软件制造商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。在疫情推动的数字商业应用持续增长的背景下,F5的需求强劲。F5在盘前交易中上涨6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>United Parcel Service(UPS)</b> – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合包裹服务公司(UPS)</b>-由于国内收入低于预期,UPS股价盘前下跌2.4%。然而,随着电子商务订单发货量持续激增,UPS的营收和利润整体表现良好。UPS第二季度每股收益3.06美元,而市场普遍预期为2.82美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black&Decker(SWK)——这家工具制造商每股收益超出预期18美分,季度收益为每股3.08美元。收入超出了华尔街的预期,该公司上调了全年预期,预计增长和更强劲的定价将抵消更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3M(MMM)</b> – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>3M(3M)</b>-3M在盘前交易中上涨1.2%,季度收益为每股2.59美元,超出每股2.28美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了预期,随着各项业务从疫情中复苏,3M上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Electric(GE) </b>– GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用电气(GE)</b>-GE股价在盘前上涨3.9%,本季度现金流为正,超出预期,令分析师感到惊讶。通用电气第二季度每股收益5美分,比预期高出2美分。由于航空和电力部门的强劲表现,收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raytheon Technologies(RTX) </b>– Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>雷神技术公司(RTX)</b>-雷神公司每股收益比预期高出10美分,季度收益为每股1.03美元。收入也超出了分析师的预期。由于商业航空旅行的复苏提振了对其产品和服务的需求,这家航空航天制造商上调了全年预测。雷神公司股价盘前上涨1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sirius XM(SIRI)</b> – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>天狼星XM(系列)</b>–这家卫星广播运营商每股收益超出预期3美分,季度收益为每股10美分。该公司还报告了好于预期的收入。由于受益于用户的增加,其利润较上年同期几乎翻了一番。该股在盘前上涨3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waste Management(WM)</b> – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.</p><p><blockquote><b>废物管理(WM)</b>–这家垃圾收集公司每股收益比预期高出8美分,季度收益为每股1.27美元。收入也超出预期。废物管理公司表示,它受益于数量的反弹和对成本控制的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sherwin-Williams(SHW) </b>– The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>宣伟(SHW)</b>–该涂料制造商每股股价下跌3美分,比市场普遍预期低,季度收益为每股2.65美元。收入与预期一致。结果受到自己动手量恢复到大流行前水平的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel(INTC) </b>– Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔(INTC)</b>-英特尔制定了一项多年计划,以重新夺回其在半导体市场的主导地位,目标是从现在到2025年每年发布一款新芯片,并寻求从三星和台积电等竞争对手手中夺回失去的市场份额。英特尔盘前下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Starbucks(SBUX)</b> – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克(SBUX)</b>-星巴克扩大了与瑞士食品巨头雀巢的合作关系,计划在东南亚和拉丁美洲推出即饮咖啡饮料。另外,星巴克将其在韩国合资企业的股份出售给了当地合作伙伴易买得和新加坡主权财富基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Polaris Industries(PII)</b> – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.</p><p><blockquote><b>北极星工业(PII)</b>-北极星公布季度利润为每股2.70美元,超出市场普遍预期的每股2.21美元。这家休闲车制造商的收入符合华尔街的预测。北极星受益于较低的促销成本和更强的定价,尽管它也经历了更高的商品和劳动力成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GOOGL":"谷歌A","SBUX":"星巴克","MMM":"3M","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","GE":"GE航空航天",".DJI":"道琼斯","WM":"美国废物管理","INTC":"英特尔","TSLA":"特斯拉","RTX":"雷神技术公司","FFIV":"F5 Inc",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GOOG":"谷歌","UPS":"联合包裹"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190390540","content_text":"Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap\n\n\nQuarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close\n\nU.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.\n\nCrypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.\nMore than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.\nApple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.\nInvestors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nTesla(TSLA) – Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.\nF5 Networks(FFIV) – F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.\nUnited Parcel Service(UPS) – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.\nStanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.\n3M(MMM) – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.\nGeneral Electric(GE) – GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.\nRaytheon Technologies(RTX) – Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.\nSirius XM(SIRI) – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.\nWaste Management(WM) – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.\nSherwin-Williams(SHW) – The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.\nIntel(INTC) – Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.\nStarbucks(SBUX) – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.\nPolaris Industries(PII) – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"MMM":0.9,"RTX":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"UPS":0.9,"FFIV":0.9,"WM":0.9,"GE":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":601692503,"gmtCreate":1638519178308,"gmtModify":1638519178308,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601692503","repostId":"1161877243","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890713086,"gmtCreate":1628133351245,"gmtModify":1633753254949,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bubble will burst","listText":"Bubble will burst","text":"Bubble will burst","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890713086","repostId":"1132789984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132789984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628132627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132789984?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132789984","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li> <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li> <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li> <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元,我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序,并且提供多种服务,它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲,预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序,不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司,但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢?Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求,从叫车到订餐,甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体,很明显,他们安装应用程序的时间越长,他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后,用户的交易量大约翻了一番,到第五年,他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性,也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务,以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车,但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据,该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%,略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况,我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利,届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍,考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性,我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心,但即便如此,考虑到未来业绩的不确定性,我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在,但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说,它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题,几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并侵蚀盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步,但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo,该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋,并将继续关注其进展,但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一,为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务,同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是,按照目前的价格,大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期,否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 11:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li> <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li> <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li> <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元,我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序,并且提供多种服务,它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲,预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序,不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司,但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢?Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求,从叫车到订餐,甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长,2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易,其调整后净收入达到16亿美元,使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模,2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元,移动出行GMV为32亿美元,金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体,很明显,他们安装应用程序的时间越长,他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后,用户的交易量大约翻了一番,到第五年,他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性,也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务,以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车,但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据,该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%,略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况,我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利,届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍,考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性,我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心,但即便如此,考虑到未来业绩的不确定性,我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在,但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说,它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题,几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并侵蚀盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步,但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo,该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋,并将继续关注其进展,但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一,为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务,同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是,按照目前的价格,大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期,否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132789984","content_text":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.\nThe company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.\nIt is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.\nEconomic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.\n\nbankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images\nGrab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.\nSo what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nCohort Analysis\nLooking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nInternational Expansion\nOne of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.\nWhile users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.\nAccording to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nFinancials\nTurning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nRisks\nThe main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.\nThere is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nWe find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.\nConclusion\nGrab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.\nThe one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804413496,"gmtCreate":1627971220615,"gmtModify":1633754746985,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news!","listText":"Great news!","text":"Great news!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804413496","repostId":"2156146935","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807531104,"gmtCreate":1628042612108,"gmtModify":1633754112027,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807531104","repostId":"2156312793","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805658981,"gmtCreate":1627878311043,"gmtModify":1633755667097,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805658981","repostId":"1170689665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170689665","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627857540,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170689665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170689665","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外,至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市,DraftKings、Canopy Growth和猫途鹰将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人,而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右,这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元,周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8,高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后,预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%,而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆,而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8,而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人,6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测,继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外,至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市,DraftKings、Canopy Growth和猫途鹰将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人,而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右,这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元,周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8,高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后,预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%,而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆,而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8,而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人,6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测,继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","GE":"GE航空航天","BABA":"阿里巴巴","UBER":"优步",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","EA":"艺电",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","GM":"通用汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"EA":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"GE":0.9,"BABA":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174651808,"gmtCreate":1627096747704,"gmtModify":1633767994961,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice nice! To the moon","listText":"Nice nice! To the moon","text":"Nice nice! 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Up up up","listText":"Yes yes. Up up up","text":"Yes yes. Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802289541","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808562935,"gmtCreate":1627602472427,"gmtModify":1631883895786,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice one","listText":"Nice one","text":"Nice one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808562935","repostId":"2155184148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801531727,"gmtCreate":1627522181369,"gmtModify":1633764172245,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!!","listText":"To the moon!!","text":"To the moon!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801531727","repostId":"2155973148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803629169,"gmtCreate":1627437144551,"gmtModify":1633764998792,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome!!!","listText":"Awesome!!!","text":"Awesome!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803629169","repostId":"1130824999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805651348,"gmtCreate":1627878221684,"gmtModify":1633755667932,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good.. interesting ","listText":"Good good.. interesting ","text":"Good good.. interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805651348","repostId":"2156741169","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867444861,"gmtCreate":1633310990183,"gmtModify":1633312675527,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"title":"Crypto, to buy or not to buy?","htmlText":"Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to buy","listText":"Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to buy","text":"Crypto is a up and coming asset which people will hold. Question is, to buy or not to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867444861","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177105106,"gmtCreate":1627184363705,"gmtModify":1633767353636,"author":{"id":"3586731369549561","authorId":"3586731369549561","name":"JH87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51814e4251837f4c5551dfa87f49be4d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586731369549561","authorIdStr":"3586731369549561"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm???","listText":"Hmmm???","text":"Hmmm???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177105106","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售价格较高的汽车,与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售价格较高的汽车,与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}