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263dbcd0
2021-06-28
Nice
Fed official says another boom-and-bust housing market is not sustainable<blockquote>美联储官员表示房地产市场再次繁荣和萧条是不可持续的</blockquote>
263dbcd0
2021-06-23
But coin going down
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263dbcd0
2021-06-23
Hmm
Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote>
263dbcd0
2021-06-21
Nice
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263dbcd0
2021-06-20
Nice
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263dbcd0
2021-06-18
Nice
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263dbcd0
2021-06-17
Nice
Walmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote>
263dbcd0
2021-06-17
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
S&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote>
263dbcd0
2021-06-16
Nice
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263dbcd0
2021-06-16
Nice
Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>
263dbcd0
2021-06-16
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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263dbcd0
2021-06-16
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And for that to be sustainable, we can’t have a boom and bust cycle in something like real estate.” — Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren Eric Rosengren, the president of the Boston Fed, expressed concern over the housing market in an interview with the Financial Times , and it comes as data shows house prices soaring. The median price for an existing home sale skyrocketed 24% in May. Other house price measures also are surging.</p><p><blockquote>“对我们来说,回到 2% 的通胀目标非常重要,但我们的目标是实现可持续。要实现可持续,我们就不能在房地产等领域出现繁荣和萧条的循环。”— 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表达了对房地产市场的担忧,而此时数据显示房价正在飙升。5月份,现有房屋销售的中位数价格飙升了24%。其他房价措施也在激增。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren noted the financial stability concerns that come from boom-and-bust real estate cycles. In 2008, there was a global financial crisis as the housing market collapsed.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦指出了房地产繁荣和萧条周期带来的金融稳定性担忧。2008年,随着房地产市场崩溃,全球金融危机爆发。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's comments come amid intense debate at the central bank as to when it should start reduce the rate of its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦发表上述言论之际,央行正在就何时开始降低每月债券购买利率展开激烈辩论。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's view does not appear to be shared, as yet, by the core of Fed officials who set policy. MarketWatch's Greg Robb asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell in April about the fact the central bank was buying mortgage-backed securities, which was helping to boost the housing market. Powell did not express alarm.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦的观点似乎尚未得到制定政策的美联储核心官员的认同。MarketWatch 的格雷格·罗布 (Greg Robb) 四月份向美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 询问美联储购买抵押贷款支持证券的事实,这有助于提振房地产市场。鲍威尔没有表示惊慌。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's not meant to provide direct assistance to the housing market. That was never the intent. It was really just to keep that as--it's a very close relation to the Treasury market and a very important market on its own. And so that's why we bought as we did during the Global Financial Crisis; we bought MBS too,\" said Powell.</p><p><blockquote>“这并不是为了向房地产市场提供直接援助。这从来都不是我们的意图。它实际上只是为了保持这一点——它与国债市场有着非常密切的关系,而且本身就是一个非常重要的市场。这就是为什么我们像全球金融危机期间那样买入;我们还购买了 MBS,”鲍威尔说。</blockquote></p><p> He gave no indication the Fed would make a distinction between tapering Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>他没有表示美联储会区分缩减国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed official says another boom-and-bust housing market is not sustainable<blockquote>美联储官员表示房地产市场再次繁荣和萧条是不可持续的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed official says another boom-and-bust housing market is not sustainable<blockquote>美联储官员表示房地产市场再次繁荣和萧条是不可持续的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 19:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> “It’s very important for us to get back to our 2 percent inflation target but the goal is for that to be sustainable. And for that to be sustainable, we can’t have a boom and bust cycle in something like real estate.” — Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren Eric Rosengren, the president of the Boston Fed, expressed concern over the housing market in an interview with the Financial Times , and it comes as data shows house prices soaring. The median price for an existing home sale skyrocketed 24% in May. Other house price measures also are surging.</p><p><blockquote>“对我们来说,回到 2% 的通胀目标非常重要,但我们的目标是实现可持续。要实现可持续,我们就不能在房地产等领域出现繁荣和萧条的循环。”— 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表达了对房地产市场的担忧,而此时数据显示房价正在飙升。5月份,现有房屋销售的中位数价格飙升了24%。其他房价措施也在激增。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren noted the financial stability concerns that come from boom-and-bust real estate cycles. In 2008, there was a global financial crisis as the housing market collapsed.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦指出了房地产繁荣和萧条周期带来的金融稳定性担忧。2008年,随着房地产市场崩溃,全球金融危机爆发。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's comments come amid intense debate at the central bank as to when it should start reduce the rate of its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦发表上述言论之际,央行正在就何时开始降低每月债券购买利率展开激烈辩论。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's view does not appear to be shared, as yet, by the core of Fed officials who set policy. MarketWatch's Greg Robb asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell in April about the fact the central bank was buying mortgage-backed securities, which was helping to boost the housing market. Powell did not express alarm.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦的观点似乎尚未得到制定政策的美联储核心官员的认同。MarketWatch 的格雷格·罗布 (Greg Robb) 四月份向美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 询问美联储购买抵押贷款支持证券的事实,这有助于提振房地产市场。鲍威尔没有表示惊慌。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's not meant to provide direct assistance to the housing market. That was never the intent. It was really just to keep that as--it's a very close relation to the Treasury market and a very important market on its own. And so that's why we bought as we did during the Global Financial Crisis; we bought MBS too,\" said Powell.</p><p><blockquote>“这并不是为了向房地产市场提供直接援助。这从来都不是我们的意图。它实际上只是为了保持这一点——它与国债市场有着非常密切的关系,而且本身就是一个非常重要的市场。这就是为什么我们像全球金融危机期间那样买入;我们还购买了 MBS,”鲍威尔说。</blockquote></p><p> He gave no indication the Fed would make a distinction between tapering Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>他没有表示美联储会区分缩减国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-official-says-another-boom-and-bust-housing-market-is-not-sustainable-11624876223?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-official-says-another-boom-and-bust-housing-market-is-not-sustainable-11624876223?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146047887","content_text":"“It’s very important for us to get back to our 2 percent inflation target but the goal is for that to be sustainable. And for that to be sustainable, we can’t have a boom and bust cycle in something like real estate.”\n\n\n — Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren\n\nEric Rosengren, the president of the Boston Fed, expressed concern over the housing market in an interview with the Financial Times , and it comes as data shows house prices soaring. The median price for an existing home sale skyrocketed 24% in May. Other house price measures also are surging.\nRosengren noted the financial stability concerns that come from boom-and-bust real estate cycles. In 2008, there was a global financial crisis as the housing market collapsed.\nRosengren's comments come amid intense debate at the central bank as to when it should start reduce the rate of its monthly bond purchases.\nRosengren's view does not appear to be shared, as yet, by the core of Fed officials who set policy. MarketWatch's Greg Robb asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell in April about the fact the central bank was buying mortgage-backed securities, which was helping to boost the housing market. Powell did not express alarm.\n\"It's not meant to provide direct assistance to the housing market. That was never the intent. It was really just to keep that as--it's a very close relation to the Treasury market and a very important market on its own. And so that's why we bought as we did during the Global Financial Crisis; we bought MBS too,\" said Powell.\nHe gave no indication the Fed would make a distinction between tapering Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121007564,"gmtCreate":1624442517258,"gmtModify":1634006098611,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"But coin going down ","listText":"But coin going down ","text":"But coin going down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121007564","repostId":"1143470407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123147777,"gmtCreate":1624413668199,"gmtModify":1634006470137,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123147777","repostId":"1126010678","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126010678","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624412603,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126010678?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 09:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126010678","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise a","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering. The company said in a filing Tuesday that it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——JAB Holdings BV 旗下的甜甜圈连锁店 Krispy Kreme Inc. 正寻求在首次公开募股中筹集高达 6.4 亿美元的资金。该公司在周二的一份文件中表示……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKrispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 09:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering. The company said in a filing Tuesday that it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——JAB Holdings BV 旗下的甜甜圈连锁店 Krispy Kreme Inc. 正寻求在首次公开募股中筹集高达 6.4 亿美元的资金。该公司在周二的一份文件中表示……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126010678","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering.\nThe company said in a filing Tuesday that it plans to sell almost 27 million shares for $21 to $24 apiece. At the top end of the range, Krispy Kreme would have a market value of $3.86 billion based on the outstanding shares listed in the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.\nAmid photos of doughnuts dripping with sugary glaze and dotted with sprinkles, the company declares in the filing that its purpose is “to touch and enhance lives through the joy of Krispy Kreme.”\nSince its acquisition by Luxembourg-based conglomerate JAB in 2016, Krispy Kreme has expanded its online presence. Its e-commerce business now accounts for close to a fifth of sales in the U.S., fueled by its Insomnia Cookies delivery concept.\nNet revenue for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based chain rose 23% to $322 million in the quarter ended April 4, according to the filing. Its net loss for the quarter shrunk from $11 million in 2020 to $378,000 this year.\nKrispy Kreme plans to use proceeds from the IPO to pay down debt and buy back shares from certain executives, as well as for general corporate purposes, according to the filing. JAB will continue to own almost 78% of the company’s shares after the IPO.\nThe offering is being led by JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. The company plans to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol DNUT.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DNUT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167025398,"gmtCreate":1624240149714,"gmtModify":1634009073544,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167025398","repostId":"2145707639","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164148350,"gmtCreate":1624185282370,"gmtModify":1634009690966,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164148350","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166599900,"gmtCreate":1624015858200,"gmtModify":1634024097133,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166599900","repostId":"2144773750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161866121,"gmtCreate":1623918252063,"gmtModify":1634025895101,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161866121","repostId":"1138373077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138373077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623915483,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138373077?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 15:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Walmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138373077","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWalmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the yea","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Walmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the years ahead.</li> <li>The company’s leadership through Flipkart in the rapidly growing India market is expected to be a key competitive advantage as it scales up to compete against Amazon India.</li> <li>At the current price, Walmart is not expensive, and offers an attractive entry point for investors to partake in its international growth drivers.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af09545cba715476092d754f8df38e8a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Wolterk/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>沃尔玛的国际业务预计将在未来几年引领公司的收入增长。</li><li>该公司通过 Flipkart 在快速增长的印度市场的领导地位预计将成为其与亚马逊印度公司竞争的关键竞争优势。</li><li>以目前的价格计算,沃尔玛并不昂贵,并为投资者参与其国际增长动力提供了一个有吸引力的切入点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Wolterk/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT) has very exciting growth prospects in its international markets, especially in India where the market is expected to overtake Canada as the second largest international market segment, behind the leader Mexico by 2025. In addition, the company’s astute investment in Flipkart has given it the key leadership in the e-commerce segment in India which is expected to grow rapidly in the years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 在其国际市场上有着非常令人兴奋的增长前景,尤其是在印度,预计到 2025 年,该市场将超过加拿大,成为第二大国际细分市场,仅次于领头羊墨西哥。此外,该公司对 Flipkart 的精明投资使其在印度电子商务领域处于关键领导地位,预计该领域将在未来几年快速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Setting the Stage for International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为国际扩张奠定基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart has grand ambitions on the international stage. After the completion of the divestiture of Asda and Seiyu last quarter, the company has set its sights on driving its international growth in the faster growing markets. The company also discussed at length its international priorities and opportunities in two recent conferences (DBAccess, andBaird) on how to take its international business to the next level.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛在国际舞台上雄心勃勃。在上个季度完成对阿斯达和Seiyu的剥离后,该公司将目光投向了在增长更快的市场推动其国际增长。该公司还在最近的两次会议(DBAccess和andBaird)中详细讨论了其国际优先事项和机遇,讨论了如何将其国际业务提升到一个新的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/917a0bddc47fb6071bfd416976abe840\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT net sales worldwide by division. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的WMT全球净销售额。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international sales accounted for about 21.9% of FY 21 revenue. As we could observe from above, WMT’s international business as a whole has been largely stagnant in recent years even though its U.S. operations saw relatively stable and consistent growth. The company’s exit from Seiyu [Japan] and Asda [UK] in order to reallocate capital to its higher growth regions, notably in India and China, is an important step towards aligning its growth priorities and rejuvenating its international business segment. In fact, Walmart had even received pretty nasty press on its operations in Japan, asNikkei Asiaremarked: “Walmart's foreign flops can be attributed largely to tone-deaf management, which failed to take into account local business customs, dietary habits and labor relations, among other glaring oversights.” Notwithstanding the sensational allegations made by the Nikkei, I think WMT has actually performed admirably in its international business as it’s aprofitable segmentfor the company that posted an operating margin of 4.4% in Q1’22, as well as 3% in FY 21, 2.8% in FY 20, and 4% in FY 19, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际销售额约占 21 财年收入的 21.9%。从上文中可以看出,尽管 WMT 在美国的业务实现了相对稳定和持续的增长,但近年来 WMT 的国际业务整体上基本停滞不前。该公司退出 Seiyu(日本)和 Asda(英国),以便将资本重新分配到其增长较高的地区,特别是印度和中国,这是朝着调整其增长重点和振兴其国际业务部门迈出的重要一步。asNikkei Asia 指出,事实上,沃尔玛在日本的业务甚至受到了相当恶劣的批评: “沃尔玛在海外的失败在很大程度上可以归因于管理层的聋哑,他们没有考虑到当地的商业习俗、饮食习惯和劳资关系,以及其他明显的疏忽”。尽管《日经新闻》提出了耸人听闻的指控,但我认为 WMT 在国际业务方面的表现实际上令人钦佩,因为它是该公司盈利的部门,该公司在 22 财年第一季度的营业利润率为 4.4%,在 21 财年、20 财年和 19 财年分别为 3%、2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ask Amazon How Hard It Is To Make Money Overseas</b></p><p><blockquote><b>问问亚马逊在海外赚钱有多难</b></blockquote></p><p> In order to understand how difficult it is to make money operating a retail business in international markets with a footprint as large as WMT, investors need to look no further than Amazon (AMZN), notwithstanding its focus on the e-commerce segment.</p><p><blockquote>为了了解在像 WMT 这样庞大的国际市场上经营零售业务赚钱有多么困难,投资者只需看看亚马逊 (AMZN),尽管它专注于电子商务领域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f155f05bf035f522fff05f7c5802740\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"525\"><span>AMZN annual Operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 各细分市场年度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa70bfe2b8a379252d91f48a78becd52\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>AMZN quarterly operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 按细分市场划分的季度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from the 2 charts above, AMZN’s international segment only recently started to turn an operating profit in Q2’20 after experiencing losses over the last 6 years, even though the North America segment continued to do well. It’s a good reminder to investors that WMT knows how to manage its large international footprint well and it’s really very difficult to run an operation as geographically diverse and huge as Walmart’s and be profitable at the same time, giving the company an extremely wide moat.</p><p><blockquote>从上面的两张图表中可以看出,尽管北美分部继续表现良好,但亚马逊的国际分部在过去 6 年中一直处于亏损状态,直到最近才开始在 2020 年第二季度扭亏为盈。这很好地提醒投资者,WMT 知道如何很好地管理其庞大的国际足迹,要经营像沃尔玛这样地域多样化、规模庞大的业务,同时还能盈利,这给公司带来了极其宽阔的护城河。</blockquote></p><p> <b>India and China Expected to Lead Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>印度和中国预计将引领增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de7690e94d33c1fa7d9a17901080007\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"515\"><span>WMT projected net sales by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测净销售额。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although Mexico is still expected to remain as International’s most important revenue driver by 2025, India and China are expected to lead the growth, with India expected to be the company’s second largest international market by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到 2025 年,墨西哥仍将是国际最重要的收入驱动力,但印度和中国预计将引领增长,到 2025 年,印度预计将成为该公司的第二大国际市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb39da945b2a8ef4d8bc56b06bf945b7\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT projected revenue CAGR by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测收入复合年增长率。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> India’s 5Y CAGR of 10.4% is expected to outperform the rest of its international peers, followed by China in second place with a 5Y CAGR of 6.6%. The rest of its international markets are also expected to grow relatively fast, including the leader Mexico (5Y CAGR: 4.1%).</p><p><blockquote>印度的 5 年复合年增长率为 10.4%,预计将超过其他国际同行,其次是中国,5 年复合年增长率为 6.6%,位居第二。其其他国际市场预计也将相对快速增长,包括领先的墨西哥(5 年复合年增长率:4.1%)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9a2cee8cc3738a2a615afe99152dd5f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"738\"><span>WMT projected revenue mean consensus, and YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 预计收入均值共识和同比增长。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we consider the company’s overall expected revenue growth in the next few years, investors should now be able to appreciate the importance of WMT’s international markets to drive the company’s topline and therefore managing the growth of its international segment well would provide the company a highly significant lever to drive results over time.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们考虑到公司未来几年的总体预期收入增长,投资者现在应该能够认识到 WMT 国际市场对推动公司营收的重要性,因此,管理好国际部门的增长将为公司提供一个非常重要的杠杆,随着时间的推移推动业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6a11308afe3976fe54e67f76f8f596\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>Leading retail chain operators in China. Data Source: China Chain Store & Franchise Association</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国领先的零售连锁运营商。数据来源:中国连锁经营协会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although WMT’s leadership in the U.S. is undisputed, it may not be the same in China. The competitive landscape in China is strongly dominated by Suning Commerce Group, and WMT’s China operations was actually ranked 7th in this survey. Therefore, there is a tremendous amount of sales potential for WMT to make up in order to move up the ranks among China’s retail leaders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 WMT 在美国的领导地位毋庸置疑,但在中国却未必如此。中国的竞争格局由苏宁云商集团强烈主导,而 WMT 的中国业务实际上在本次调查中排名第 7。因此,WMT 有巨大的销售潜力可以弥补,以便在中国零售业的领导者中晋升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0338751a0a7661f724cfa43c4acb5c58\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Total population in the U.S. and India. Data Source: IMF</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国和印度的总人口。数据来源:国际货币基金组织</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the market where it is expected to lead the company's growth: India, this is where the excitement for WMT’s international business really begins. India’s population is expected to grow from 1.324B in 2016 to 1.443B by 2025, which would represent a CAGR of 0.96%, faster than the U.S. population CAGR of 0.47%, that is twice as fast, despite having a population size that’s already 4x larger to start with.</p><p><blockquote>在有望引领公司发展的市场:印度,WMT 国际业务的兴奋之情才真正开始。印度人口预计将从 2016 年的 13.24 亿增长到 2025 年的 14.43 亿,复合年增长率为 0.96%,比美国人口复合年增长率 0.47% 快,是美国人口复合年增长率的两倍,尽管印度的人口规模已经是美国人口的 4 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0dcd47a074df2156c16ea1db021061\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of e-commerce industry across India. Data Source: India Brand Equity Foundation; Various sources (Media sources); BCG; Bain & Company; Morgan Stanley</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度电子商务行业的市场规模。数据来源:印度品牌资产基金会;各种来源(媒体来源);卡介苗;贝恩公司;摩根士丹利</span></p></blockquote></p><p> India’s e-commerce industry (WMT’s main channel in India) is expected to grow from just $14B in 2014 to $200B by 2027, which would represent a whopping CAGR of 22.7%, an incredible growth rate. More importantly, WMT is an e-commerce leader in India (though Flipkart), as Flipkart had a 31.9% market share as of Oct 20 according to Forrester Research, just ahead of its fierce rival, Amazon India, who had a 31.2% market share. Therefore, WMT looks very well positioned to compete strongly in India as the leader of a rapidly expanding e-commerce market.</p><p><blockquote>印度的电子商务行业(WMT 在印度的主要渠道)预计将从 2014 年的 140 亿美元增长到 2027 年的 2000 亿美元,复合年增长率将达到 22.7%,这是一个令人难以置信的增长率。更重要的是,WMT是印度电子商务的领导者(尽管Flipkart),因为根据Forrester Research的数据,截至10月20日,Flipkart拥有31.9%的市场份额,仅领先于其激烈的竞争对手亚马逊印度公司,后者拥有31.2%的市场份额。因此,作为快速扩张的电子商务市场的领导者,WMT看起来处于非常有利的地位,可以在印度进行激烈竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c611e761c64537eac8600067ff46dce9\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7fd83dbbe32e4623cfb108479191db5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue YoY growth. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入同比增长。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from above, Flipkart’s FY 20 revenue of 346B rupees (equivalent to about $4.72B) has barely scratched the surface considering the market size of India’s e-commerce industry that was worth $64B in 2020. Even though the revenue growth of 12% YoY was an egregious deceleration from the previous year’s 42% YoY growth, the company has managed to reduce its net loss from 38.35B rupees to 31.5B rupees (see below), an improvement of 17% YoY. It would thus be important for investors to continue monitoring the health of its growth trend moving forward to evaluate whether there is a persistent deceleration that needs to be addressed by the company.</p><p><blockquote>从上面我们可以看出,考虑到印度电子商务行业在 2020 年的市场规模为 640 亿美元,Flipkart 2020 财年的收入为 3460 亿卢比(约合 47.2 亿美元),这勉强触及表面。尽管收入同比增长 12% 比上一年 42% 的同比增长率大幅放缓,但该公司已成功将净亏损从 383.5 亿卢比降至 315 亿卢比(见下文),同比增长 17%。因此,投资者必须继续监控其未来增长趋势的健康状况,以评估公司是否存在需要解决的持续放缓问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84abc8cadd99bda1af002f8ef6a231ad\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>P/L of Flipkart. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart的盈利能力。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efdcc73d770fedc1353ca09154e30a26\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Unified Payment Interface [UPI] usage across India. Data Source: The Financial Express (India); NPCI</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度统一支付接口[UPI]的使用。数据来源:《金融快报》(印度);NPCI</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, the company’s UPI platform PhonePe is also the leader in UPI usage across India. UPI has become the dominant payments infrastructure across India with a 73% share of all digital transactions volume as of Feb 21. However, due to the 30% transactions restriction cap placed on all third-party payment apps that include PhonePe by the authority [NPCI] on the leaders, PhonePe and Google Pay would need to meet a 2-year deadline to bring down their transactions share to within the 30% cap. In addition, WhatsApp Pay is also expected to play an increasingly important role in this rapidly expanding market and compete against Google Pay and PhonePe. Notwithstanding the cap placed by NPCI, the digital payments market in India is expected to grow from 2,153 trillion rupees in 2020 to 7,092 trillion rupees by 2025 (see below), which would represent a CAGR of 26.9%, thus giving us a high level of confidence that there is ample room for all the major competitors to grow. Walmart definitely looks incredibly well-positioned in the India e-commerce market, where its e-commerce growth is still very much in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,该公司的 UPI 平台 PhonePe 也是全印度 UPI 使用量的领导者。截至2月21日,合众国际社已成为印度占主导地位的支付基础设施,占所有数字交易量的73%。然而,由于领导者权威机构【NPCI】对包括PhonePe在内的所有第三方支付应用设定了30%的交易限制上限,PhonePe和Google Pay需要在2年期限内将其交易份额降低到30%的上限。此外,WhatsApp Pay也有望在这个迅速扩张的市场中扮演越来越重要的角色,与Google Pay和PhonePe展开竞争。尽管NPCI设定了上限,但印度的数字支付市场预计将从2020年的2,153万亿卢比增长到2025年的7,092万亿卢比(见下文),这将代表26.9%的CAGR,因此我们高度相信所有主要竞争对手都有足够的增长空间。沃尔玛在印度电子商务市场看起来无疑处于非常有利的地位,其电子商务增长仍处于起步阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6273488f83e60a8d2c316d9296e7ad27\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Digital payments market value across India. Data Source: Redseer</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度数字支付市场价值。数据来源:Redseer</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Considering Walmart's Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到沃尔玛的估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1c5a07707bd380a3dab086be2be5c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"701\"><span>EV / EBITDA Metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBITDA指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537bf606c23aaa34ab1130ab1186f6d5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"694\"><span>EV / EBIT metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/息税前利润指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider WMT’s FCF and EBIT relative valuations using both EV / EBITDA - CapEx (as a proxy for FCF) and EV / EBIT, WMT is currently valued near the higher end of both valuations range (EV / LTM EBITDA: 14.7x, EV / LTM EBIT: 14.9x) over the last 5 years. In fact, when we consider the company forward valuations, we could observe that the market seems to have priced in quite a bit of optimism into WMT’s future EBIT and FCF growth in which the company is expected to execute well moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>当我们使用 EV / EBITDA - 资本支出(作为 FCF 的代表)和 EV / EBIT 来考虑 WMT 的 FCF 和 EBIT 的相对估值时,在过去 5 年中,WMT 目前的估值接近两个估值范围的高端(EV / LTM EBITDA:14.7 倍,EV / LTM EBIT:14.9 倍)。事实上,当我们考虑公司的前瞻性估值时,我们可以观察到市场似乎对 WMT 未来的息税前利润和自由现金流增长持相当乐观的态度,预计该公司将在未来表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38ba544168ae18b243f52b6359262acb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"884\"><span>EV / EBIT valuation metrics.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBIT估值指标。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, in order to have a basis on whether WMT’s forward valuations are also in line with what we expect from other companies, it would be useful to conduct an EV / EBIT comparison across a set of benchmark companies for us to have a reasonable basis to value WMT. We also observed that WMT’s EV / EBIT metrics have not been excessive when compared against this set of benchmark companies.</p><p><blockquote>因此,为了了解 WMT 的前瞻性估值是否也符合我们对其他公司的预期,对一组基准公司进行 EV / EBIT 比较将是有益的,这样我们就有了合理的基础来估值 WMT。我们还观察到,与这组基准公司相比,WMT 的电动汽车/息税前利润指标并不过分。</blockquote></p><p> Using a blend of their EV / LTM EBIT metric and their EV / Fwd EBIT metric, we arrived at a fair value of $156.42 at the midpoint of the fair value range, representing a potential upside of 11.7% from 15 Jun’s closing price of $140.</p><p><blockquote>综合使用 EV / LTM EBIT 指标和 EV / Fwd EBIT 指标,我们得出的公允价值为 156.42 美元,位于公允价值区间的中点,比 6 月 15 日的收盘价 140 美元有 11.7% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeab97d13426aa4d6f580b82aaf6bf4b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> WMT is a strong stock that has always been well supported along its long-term uptrend over the last 3 years. The 50W moving average has always acted as its key dynamic support level, including during the 2018 bear market, and the 2020 COVID-19 bear market, demonstrating the confidence of the market in this customary market leader. The support level at $127 also looks like an extremely strong support level that attracted strong buying interest during the retracement in Feb - Mar 21 and investors should consider this as a \"Buy more\" entry point if the price retraces to that level in the future. Currently, the stock is right at the 50W MA support level again, and I think at the current price level of $140, it still represents an optimal technical buy entry. Investors should however avoid buying near $154 in the near term as it’s expected to be a near term resistance level.</p><p><blockquote>WMT 是一只强劲的股票,在过去 3 年的长期上升趋势中一直得到良好的支撑。50W移动平均线一直是其关键的动态支撑位,包括在2018年熊市和2020年新冠肺炎熊市期间,表明了市场对这一惯例市场领导者的信心。127 美元的支撑位看起来也是一个极其强劲的支撑位,在 2 月至 3 月 21 日的回撤期间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣,如果价格在未来回落到该水平,投资者应将其视为“买入更多”的切入点。目前,该股再次处于 50W MA 支撑位,我认为在当前 140 美元的价格水平上,它仍然代表着最佳的技术买入入场。不过,投资者短期内应避免在 154 美元附近买入,因为预计这将是近期的阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping it all up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international strategies, especially in India are looking very exciting and is expected to be the company's main international growth driver. Although its international segment is still a relatively small segment of the company’s overall revenue, it’s expected to lead the group’s growth in the foreseeable future and the market definitely thinks so as well as WMT is expected to be valued at higher multiples than what was observed historically. Investors should therefore take advantage of WMT’s current price weakness to add to this fantastic stock in view of its attractive valuation right now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际战略,尤其是在印度的战略,看起来非常令人兴奋,有望成为公司国际增长的主要动力。虽然国际业务在公司总收入中所占比例仍然相对较小,但预计在可预见的未来,国际业务将引领集团的增长,市场也肯定这么认为,WMT 的估值倍数预计将高于历史水平。因此,鉴于 WMT 目前的估值极具吸引力,投资者应该利用 WMT 目前的股价疲软来增持这只出色的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Walmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWalmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 15:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Walmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the years ahead.</li> <li>The company’s leadership through Flipkart in the rapidly growing India market is expected to be a key competitive advantage as it scales up to compete against Amazon India.</li> <li>At the current price, Walmart is not expensive, and offers an attractive entry point for investors to partake in its international growth drivers.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af09545cba715476092d754f8df38e8a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Wolterk/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>沃尔玛的国际业务预计将在未来几年引领公司的收入增长。</li><li>该公司通过 Flipkart 在快速增长的印度市场的领导地位预计将成为其与亚马逊印度公司竞争的关键竞争优势。</li><li>以目前的价格计算,沃尔玛并不昂贵,并为投资者参与其国际增长动力提供了一个有吸引力的切入点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Wolterk/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT) has very exciting growth prospects in its international markets, especially in India where the market is expected to overtake Canada as the second largest international market segment, behind the leader Mexico by 2025. In addition, the company’s astute investment in Flipkart has given it the key leadership in the e-commerce segment in India which is expected to grow rapidly in the years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 在其国际市场上有着非常令人兴奋的增长前景,尤其是在印度,预计到 2025 年,该市场将超过加拿大,成为第二大国际细分市场,仅次于领头羊墨西哥。此外,该公司对 Flipkart 的精明投资使其在印度电子商务领域处于关键领导地位,预计该领域将在未来几年快速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Setting the Stage for International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为国际扩张奠定基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart has grand ambitions on the international stage. After the completion of the divestiture of Asda and Seiyu last quarter, the company has set its sights on driving its international growth in the faster growing markets. The company also discussed at length its international priorities and opportunities in two recent conferences (DBAccess, andBaird) on how to take its international business to the next level.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛在国际舞台上雄心勃勃。在上个季度完成对阿斯达和Seiyu的剥离后,该公司将目光投向了在增长更快的市场推动其国际增长。该公司还在最近的两次会议(DBAccess和andBaird)中详细讨论了其国际优先事项和机遇,讨论了如何将其国际业务提升到一个新的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/917a0bddc47fb6071bfd416976abe840\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT net sales worldwide by division. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的WMT全球净销售额。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international sales accounted for about 21.9% of FY 21 revenue. As we could observe from above, WMT’s international business as a whole has been largely stagnant in recent years even though its U.S. operations saw relatively stable and consistent growth. The company’s exit from Seiyu [Japan] and Asda [UK] in order to reallocate capital to its higher growth regions, notably in India and China, is an important step towards aligning its growth priorities and rejuvenating its international business segment. In fact, Walmart had even received pretty nasty press on its operations in Japan, asNikkei Asiaremarked: “Walmart's foreign flops can be attributed largely to tone-deaf management, which failed to take into account local business customs, dietary habits and labor relations, among other glaring oversights.” Notwithstanding the sensational allegations made by the Nikkei, I think WMT has actually performed admirably in its international business as it’s aprofitable segmentfor the company that posted an operating margin of 4.4% in Q1’22, as well as 3% in FY 21, 2.8% in FY 20, and 4% in FY 19, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际销售额约占 21 财年收入的 21.9%。从上文中可以看出,尽管 WMT 在美国的业务实现了相对稳定和持续的增长,但近年来 WMT 的国际业务整体上基本停滞不前。该公司退出 Seiyu(日本)和 Asda(英国),以便将资本重新分配到其增长较高的地区,特别是印度和中国,这是朝着调整其增长重点和振兴其国际业务部门迈出的重要一步。asNikkei Asia 指出,事实上,沃尔玛在日本的业务甚至受到了相当恶劣的批评: “沃尔玛在海外的失败在很大程度上可以归因于管理层的聋哑,他们没有考虑到当地的商业习俗、饮食习惯和劳资关系,以及其他明显的疏忽”。尽管《日经新闻》提出了耸人听闻的指控,但我认为 WMT 在国际业务方面的表现实际上令人钦佩,因为它是该公司盈利的部门,该公司在 22 财年第一季度的营业利润率为 4.4%,在 21 财年、20 财年和 19 财年分别为 3%、2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ask Amazon How Hard It Is To Make Money Overseas</b></p><p><blockquote><b>问问亚马逊在海外赚钱有多难</b></blockquote></p><p> In order to understand how difficult it is to make money operating a retail business in international markets with a footprint as large as WMT, investors need to look no further than Amazon (AMZN), notwithstanding its focus on the e-commerce segment.</p><p><blockquote>为了了解在像 WMT 这样庞大的国际市场上经营零售业务赚钱有多么困难,投资者只需看看亚马逊 (AMZN),尽管它专注于电子商务领域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f155f05bf035f522fff05f7c5802740\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"525\"><span>AMZN annual Operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 各细分市场年度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa70bfe2b8a379252d91f48a78becd52\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>AMZN quarterly operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 按细分市场划分的季度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from the 2 charts above, AMZN’s international segment only recently started to turn an operating profit in Q2’20 after experiencing losses over the last 6 years, even though the North America segment continued to do well. It’s a good reminder to investors that WMT knows how to manage its large international footprint well and it’s really very difficult to run an operation as geographically diverse and huge as Walmart’s and be profitable at the same time, giving the company an extremely wide moat.</p><p><blockquote>从上面的两张图表中可以看出,尽管北美分部继续表现良好,但亚马逊的国际分部在过去 6 年中一直处于亏损状态,直到最近才开始在 2020 年第二季度扭亏为盈。这很好地提醒投资者,WMT 知道如何很好地管理其庞大的国际足迹,要经营像沃尔玛这样地域多样化、规模庞大的业务,同时还能盈利,这给公司带来了极其宽阔的护城河。</blockquote></p><p> <b>India and China Expected to Lead Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>印度和中国预计将引领增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de7690e94d33c1fa7d9a17901080007\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"515\"><span>WMT projected net sales by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测净销售额。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although Mexico is still expected to remain as International’s most important revenue driver by 2025, India and China are expected to lead the growth, with India expected to be the company’s second largest international market by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到 2025 年,墨西哥仍将是国际最重要的收入驱动力,但印度和中国预计将引领增长,到 2025 年,印度预计将成为该公司的第二大国际市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb39da945b2a8ef4d8bc56b06bf945b7\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT projected revenue CAGR by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测收入复合年增长率。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> India’s 5Y CAGR of 10.4% is expected to outperform the rest of its international peers, followed by China in second place with a 5Y CAGR of 6.6%. The rest of its international markets are also expected to grow relatively fast, including the leader Mexico (5Y CAGR: 4.1%).</p><p><blockquote>印度的 5 年复合年增长率为 10.4%,预计将超过其他国际同行,其次是中国,5 年复合年增长率为 6.6%,位居第二。其其他国际市场预计也将相对快速增长,包括领先的墨西哥(5 年复合年增长率:4.1%)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9a2cee8cc3738a2a615afe99152dd5f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"738\"><span>WMT projected revenue mean consensus, and YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 预计收入均值共识和同比增长。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we consider the company’s overall expected revenue growth in the next few years, investors should now be able to appreciate the importance of WMT’s international markets to drive the company’s topline and therefore managing the growth of its international segment well would provide the company a highly significant lever to drive results over time.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们考虑到公司未来几年的总体预期收入增长,投资者现在应该能够认识到 WMT 国际市场对推动公司营收的重要性,因此,管理好国际部门的增长将为公司提供一个非常重要的杠杆,随着时间的推移推动业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6a11308afe3976fe54e67f76f8f596\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>Leading retail chain operators in China. Data Source: China Chain Store & Franchise Association</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国领先的零售连锁运营商。数据来源:中国连锁经营协会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although WMT’s leadership in the U.S. is undisputed, it may not be the same in China. The competitive landscape in China is strongly dominated by Suning Commerce Group, and WMT’s China operations was actually ranked 7th in this survey. Therefore, there is a tremendous amount of sales potential for WMT to make up in order to move up the ranks among China’s retail leaders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 WMT 在美国的领导地位毋庸置疑,但在中国却未必如此。中国的竞争格局由苏宁云商集团强烈主导,而 WMT 的中国业务实际上在本次调查中排名第 7。因此,WMT 有巨大的销售潜力可以弥补,以便在中国零售业的领导者中晋升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0338751a0a7661f724cfa43c4acb5c58\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Total population in the U.S. and India. Data Source: IMF</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国和印度的总人口。数据来源:国际货币基金组织</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the market where it is expected to lead the company's growth: India, this is where the excitement for WMT’s international business really begins. India’s population is expected to grow from 1.324B in 2016 to 1.443B by 2025, which would represent a CAGR of 0.96%, faster than the U.S. population CAGR of 0.47%, that is twice as fast, despite having a population size that’s already 4x larger to start with.</p><p><blockquote>在有望引领公司发展的市场:印度,WMT 国际业务的兴奋之情才真正开始。印度人口预计将从 2016 年的 13.24 亿增长到 2025 年的 14.43 亿,复合年增长率为 0.96%,比美国人口复合年增长率 0.47% 快,是美国人口复合年增长率的两倍,尽管印度的人口规模已经是美国人口的 4 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0dcd47a074df2156c16ea1db021061\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of e-commerce industry across India. Data Source: India Brand Equity Foundation; Various sources (Media sources); BCG; Bain & Company; Morgan Stanley</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度电子商务行业的市场规模。数据来源:印度品牌资产基金会;各种来源(媒体来源);卡介苗;贝恩公司;摩根士丹利</span></p></blockquote></p><p> India’s e-commerce industry (WMT’s main channel in India) is expected to grow from just $14B in 2014 to $200B by 2027, which would represent a whopping CAGR of 22.7%, an incredible growth rate. More importantly, WMT is an e-commerce leader in India (though Flipkart), as Flipkart had a 31.9% market share as of Oct 20 according to Forrester Research, just ahead of its fierce rival, Amazon India, who had a 31.2% market share. Therefore, WMT looks very well positioned to compete strongly in India as the leader of a rapidly expanding e-commerce market.</p><p><blockquote>印度的电子商务行业(WMT 在印度的主要渠道)预计将从 2014 年的 140 亿美元增长到 2027 年的 2000 亿美元,复合年增长率将达到 22.7%,这是一个令人难以置信的增长率。更重要的是,WMT是印度电子商务的领导者(尽管Flipkart),因为根据Forrester Research的数据,截至10月20日,Flipkart拥有31.9%的市场份额,仅领先于其激烈的竞争对手亚马逊印度公司,后者拥有31.2%的市场份额。因此,作为快速扩张的电子商务市场的领导者,WMT看起来处于非常有利的地位,可以在印度进行激烈竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c611e761c64537eac8600067ff46dce9\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7fd83dbbe32e4623cfb108479191db5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue YoY growth. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入同比增长。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from above, Flipkart’s FY 20 revenue of 346B rupees (equivalent to about $4.72B) has barely scratched the surface considering the market size of India’s e-commerce industry that was worth $64B in 2020. Even though the revenue growth of 12% YoY was an egregious deceleration from the previous year’s 42% YoY growth, the company has managed to reduce its net loss from 38.35B rupees to 31.5B rupees (see below), an improvement of 17% YoY. It would thus be important for investors to continue monitoring the health of its growth trend moving forward to evaluate whether there is a persistent deceleration that needs to be addressed by the company.</p><p><blockquote>从上面我们可以看出,考虑到印度电子商务行业在 2020 年的市场规模为 640 亿美元,Flipkart 2020 财年的收入为 3460 亿卢比(约合 47.2 亿美元),这勉强触及表面。尽管收入同比增长 12% 比上一年 42% 的同比增长率大幅放缓,但该公司已成功将净亏损从 383.5 亿卢比降至 315 亿卢比(见下文),同比增长 17%。因此,投资者必须继续监控其未来增长趋势的健康状况,以评估公司是否存在需要解决的持续放缓问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84abc8cadd99bda1af002f8ef6a231ad\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>P/L of Flipkart. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart的盈利能力。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efdcc73d770fedc1353ca09154e30a26\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Unified Payment Interface [UPI] usage across India. Data Source: The Financial Express (India); NPCI</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度统一支付接口[UPI]的使用。数据来源:《金融快报》(印度);NPCI</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, the company’s UPI platform PhonePe is also the leader in UPI usage across India. UPI has become the dominant payments infrastructure across India with a 73% share of all digital transactions volume as of Feb 21. However, due to the 30% transactions restriction cap placed on all third-party payment apps that include PhonePe by the authority [NPCI] on the leaders, PhonePe and Google Pay would need to meet a 2-year deadline to bring down their transactions share to within the 30% cap. In addition, WhatsApp Pay is also expected to play an increasingly important role in this rapidly expanding market and compete against Google Pay and PhonePe. Notwithstanding the cap placed by NPCI, the digital payments market in India is expected to grow from 2,153 trillion rupees in 2020 to 7,092 trillion rupees by 2025 (see below), which would represent a CAGR of 26.9%, thus giving us a high level of confidence that there is ample room for all the major competitors to grow. Walmart definitely looks incredibly well-positioned in the India e-commerce market, where its e-commerce growth is still very much in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,该公司的 UPI 平台 PhonePe 也是全印度 UPI 使用量的领导者。截至2月21日,合众国际社已成为印度占主导地位的支付基础设施,占所有数字交易量的73%。然而,由于领导者权威机构【NPCI】对包括PhonePe在内的所有第三方支付应用设定了30%的交易限制上限,PhonePe和Google Pay需要在2年期限内将其交易份额降低到30%的上限。此外,WhatsApp Pay也有望在这个迅速扩张的市场中扮演越来越重要的角色,与Google Pay和PhonePe展开竞争。尽管NPCI设定了上限,但印度的数字支付市场预计将从2020年的2,153万亿卢比增长到2025年的7,092万亿卢比(见下文),这将代表26.9%的CAGR,因此我们高度相信所有主要竞争对手都有足够的增长空间。沃尔玛在印度电子商务市场看起来无疑处于非常有利的地位,其电子商务增长仍处于起步阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6273488f83e60a8d2c316d9296e7ad27\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Digital payments market value across India. Data Source: Redseer</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度数字支付市场价值。数据来源:Redseer</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Considering Walmart's Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到沃尔玛的估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1c5a07707bd380a3dab086be2be5c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"701\"><span>EV / EBITDA Metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBITDA指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537bf606c23aaa34ab1130ab1186f6d5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"694\"><span>EV / EBIT metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/息税前利润指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider WMT’s FCF and EBIT relative valuations using both EV / EBITDA - CapEx (as a proxy for FCF) and EV / EBIT, WMT is currently valued near the higher end of both valuations range (EV / LTM EBITDA: 14.7x, EV / LTM EBIT: 14.9x) over the last 5 years. In fact, when we consider the company forward valuations, we could observe that the market seems to have priced in quite a bit of optimism into WMT’s future EBIT and FCF growth in which the company is expected to execute well moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>当我们使用 EV / EBITDA - 资本支出(作为 FCF 的代表)和 EV / EBIT 来考虑 WMT 的 FCF 和 EBIT 的相对估值时,在过去 5 年中,WMT 目前的估值接近两个估值范围的高端(EV / LTM EBITDA:14.7 倍,EV / LTM EBIT:14.9 倍)。事实上,当我们考虑公司的前瞻性估值时,我们可以观察到市场似乎对 WMT 未来的息税前利润和自由现金流增长持相当乐观的态度,预计该公司将在未来表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38ba544168ae18b243f52b6359262acb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"884\"><span>EV / EBIT valuation metrics.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBIT估值指标。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, in order to have a basis on whether WMT’s forward valuations are also in line with what we expect from other companies, it would be useful to conduct an EV / EBIT comparison across a set of benchmark companies for us to have a reasonable basis to value WMT. We also observed that WMT’s EV / EBIT metrics have not been excessive when compared against this set of benchmark companies.</p><p><blockquote>因此,为了了解 WMT 的前瞻性估值是否也符合我们对其他公司的预期,对一组基准公司进行 EV / EBIT 比较将是有益的,这样我们就有了合理的基础来估值 WMT。我们还观察到,与这组基准公司相比,WMT 的电动汽车/息税前利润指标并不过分。</blockquote></p><p> Using a blend of their EV / LTM EBIT metric and their EV / Fwd EBIT metric, we arrived at a fair value of $156.42 at the midpoint of the fair value range, representing a potential upside of 11.7% from 15 Jun’s closing price of $140.</p><p><blockquote>综合使用 EV / LTM EBIT 指标和 EV / Fwd EBIT 指标,我们得出的公允价值为 156.42 美元,位于公允价值区间的中点,比 6 月 15 日的收盘价 140 美元有 11.7% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeab97d13426aa4d6f580b82aaf6bf4b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> WMT is a strong stock that has always been well supported along its long-term uptrend over the last 3 years. The 50W moving average has always acted as its key dynamic support level, including during the 2018 bear market, and the 2020 COVID-19 bear market, demonstrating the confidence of the market in this customary market leader. The support level at $127 also looks like an extremely strong support level that attracted strong buying interest during the retracement in Feb - Mar 21 and investors should consider this as a \"Buy more\" entry point if the price retraces to that level in the future. Currently, the stock is right at the 50W MA support level again, and I think at the current price level of $140, it still represents an optimal technical buy entry. Investors should however avoid buying near $154 in the near term as it’s expected to be a near term resistance level.</p><p><blockquote>WMT 是一只强劲的股票,在过去 3 年的长期上升趋势中一直得到良好的支撑。50W移动平均线一直是其关键的动态支撑位,包括在2018年熊市和2020年新冠肺炎熊市期间,表明了市场对这一惯例市场领导者的信心。127 美元的支撑位看起来也是一个极其强劲的支撑位,在 2 月至 3 月 21 日的回撤期间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣,如果价格在未来回落到该水平,投资者应将其视为“买入更多”的切入点。目前,该股再次处于 50W MA 支撑位,我认为在当前 140 美元的价格水平上,它仍然代表着最佳的技术买入入场。不过,投资者短期内应避免在 154 美元附近买入,因为预计这将是近期的阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping it all up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international strategies, especially in India are looking very exciting and is expected to be the company's main international growth driver. Although its international segment is still a relatively small segment of the company’s overall revenue, it’s expected to lead the group’s growth in the foreseeable future and the market definitely thinks so as well as WMT is expected to be valued at higher multiples than what was observed historically. Investors should therefore take advantage of WMT’s current price weakness to add to this fantastic stock in view of its attractive valuation right now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际战略,尤其是在印度的战略,看起来非常令人兴奋,有望成为公司国际增长的主要动力。虽然国际业务在公司总收入中所占比例仍然相对较小,但预计在可预见的未来,国际业务将引领集团的增长,市场也肯定这么认为,WMT 的估值倍数预计将高于历史水平。因此,鉴于 WMT 目前的估值极具吸引力,投资者应该利用 WMT 目前的股价疲软来增持这只出色的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435090-walmart-stock-buy-for-international-growth-potential\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435090-walmart-stock-buy-for-international-growth-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138373077","content_text":"Summary\n\nWalmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the years ahead.\nThe company’s leadership through Flipkart in the rapidly growing India market is expected to be a key competitive advantage as it scales up to compete against Amazon India.\nAt the current price, Walmart is not expensive, and offers an attractive entry point for investors to partake in its international growth drivers.\n\nWolterk/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nWalmart (WMT) has very exciting growth prospects in its international markets, especially in India where the market is expected to overtake Canada as the second largest international market segment, behind the leader Mexico by 2025. In addition, the company’s astute investment in Flipkart has given it the key leadership in the e-commerce segment in India which is expected to grow rapidly in the years ahead.\nSetting the Stage for International Expansion\nWalmart has grand ambitions on the international stage. After the completion of the divestiture of Asda and Seiyu last quarter, the company has set its sights on driving its international growth in the faster growing markets. The company also discussed at length its international priorities and opportunities in two recent conferences (DBAccess, andBaird) on how to take its international business to the next level.\nWMT net sales worldwide by division. Data Source: Company Filings\nWalmart’s international sales accounted for about 21.9% of FY 21 revenue. As we could observe from above, WMT’s international business as a whole has been largely stagnant in recent years even though its U.S. operations saw relatively stable and consistent growth. The company’s exit from Seiyu [Japan] and Asda [UK] in order to reallocate capital to its higher growth regions, notably in India and China, is an important step towards aligning its growth priorities and rejuvenating its international business segment. In fact, Walmart had even received pretty nasty press on its operations in Japan, asNikkei Asiaremarked: “Walmart's foreign flops can be attributed largely to tone-deaf management, which failed to take into account local business customs, dietary habits and labor relations, among other glaring oversights.” Notwithstanding the sensational allegations made by the Nikkei, I think WMT has actually performed admirably in its international business as it’s aprofitable segmentfor the company that posted an operating margin of 4.4% in Q1’22, as well as 3% in FY 21, 2.8% in FY 20, and 4% in FY 19, respectively.\nAsk Amazon How Hard It Is To Make Money Overseas\nIn order to understand how difficult it is to make money operating a retail business in international markets with a footprint as large as WMT, investors need to look no further than Amazon (AMZN), notwithstanding its focus on the e-commerce segment.\nAMZN annual Operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings\nAMZN quarterly operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings\nAs we could observe from the 2 charts above, AMZN’s international segment only recently started to turn an operating profit in Q2’20 after experiencing losses over the last 6 years, even though the North America segment continued to do well. It’s a good reminder to investors that WMT knows how to manage its large international footprint well and it’s really very difficult to run an operation as geographically diverse and huge as Walmart’s and be profitable at the same time, giving the company an extremely wide moat.\nIndia and China Expected to Lead Growth\nWMT projected net sales by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential\nAlthough Mexico is still expected to remain as International’s most important revenue driver by 2025, India and China are expected to lead the growth, with India expected to be the company’s second largest international market by 2025.\nWMT projected revenue CAGR by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential\nIndia’s 5Y CAGR of 10.4% is expected to outperform the rest of its international peers, followed by China in second place with a 5Y CAGR of 6.6%. The rest of its international markets are also expected to grow relatively fast, including the leader Mexico (5Y CAGR: 4.1%).\nWMT projected revenue mean consensus, and YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nIf we consider the company’s overall expected revenue growth in the next few years, investors should now be able to appreciate the importance of WMT’s international markets to drive the company’s topline and therefore managing the growth of its international segment well would provide the company a highly significant lever to drive results over time.\nLeading retail chain operators in China. Data Source: China Chain Store & Franchise Association\nAlthough WMT’s leadership in the U.S. is undisputed, it may not be the same in China. The competitive landscape in China is strongly dominated by Suning Commerce Group, and WMT’s China operations was actually ranked 7th in this survey. Therefore, there is a tremendous amount of sales potential for WMT to make up in order to move up the ranks among China’s retail leaders.\nTotal population in the U.S. and India. Data Source: IMF\nIn the market where it is expected to lead the company's growth: India, this is where the excitement for WMT’s international business really begins. India’s population is expected to grow from 1.324B in 2016 to 1.443B by 2025, which would represent a CAGR of 0.96%, faster than the U.S. population CAGR of 0.47%, that is twice as fast, despite having a population size that’s already 4x larger to start with.\nMarket size of e-commerce industry across India. Data Source: India Brand Equity Foundation; Various sources (Media sources); BCG; Bain & Company; Morgan Stanley\nIndia’s e-commerce industry (WMT’s main channel in India) is expected to grow from just $14B in 2014 to $200B by 2027, which would represent a whopping CAGR of 22.7%, an incredible growth rate. More importantly, WMT is an e-commerce leader in India (though Flipkart), as Flipkart had a 31.9% market share as of Oct 20 according to Forrester Research, just ahead of its fierce rival, Amazon India, who had a 31.2% market share. Therefore, WMT looks very well positioned to compete strongly in India as the leader of a rapidly expanding e-commerce market.\nFlipkart revenue. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard\nFlipkart revenue YoY growth. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard\nAs we could observe from above, Flipkart’s FY 20 revenue of 346B rupees (equivalent to about $4.72B) has barely scratched the surface considering the market size of India’s e-commerce industry that was worth $64B in 2020. Even though the revenue growth of 12% YoY was an egregious deceleration from the previous year’s 42% YoY growth, the company has managed to reduce its net loss from 38.35B rupees to 31.5B rupees (see below), an improvement of 17% YoY. It would thus be important for investors to continue monitoring the health of its growth trend moving forward to evaluate whether there is a persistent deceleration that needs to be addressed by the company.\nP/L of Flipkart. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard\nUnified Payment Interface [UPI] usage across India. Data Source: The Financial Express (India); NPCI\nMeanwhile, the company’s UPI platform PhonePe is also the leader in UPI usage across India. UPI has become the dominant payments infrastructure across India with a 73% share of all digital transactions volume as of Feb 21. However, due to the 30% transactions restriction cap placed on all third-party payment apps that include PhonePe by the authority [NPCI] on the leaders, PhonePe and Google Pay would need to meet a 2-year deadline to bring down their transactions share to within the 30% cap. In addition, WhatsApp Pay is also expected to play an increasingly important role in this rapidly expanding market and compete against Google Pay and PhonePe. Notwithstanding the cap placed by NPCI, the digital payments market in India is expected to grow from 2,153 trillion rupees in 2020 to 7,092 trillion rupees by 2025 (see below), which would represent a CAGR of 26.9%, thus giving us a high level of confidence that there is ample room for all the major competitors to grow. Walmart definitely looks incredibly well-positioned in the India e-commerce market, where its e-commerce growth is still very much in its infancy.\nDigital payments market value across India. Data Source: Redseer\nConsidering Walmart's Valuations\nEV / EBITDA Metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / EBIT metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider WMT’s FCF and EBIT relative valuations using both EV / EBITDA - CapEx (as a proxy for FCF) and EV / EBIT, WMT is currently valued near the higher end of both valuations range (EV / LTM EBITDA: 14.7x, EV / LTM EBIT: 14.9x) over the last 5 years. In fact, when we consider the company forward valuations, we could observe that the market seems to have priced in quite a bit of optimism into WMT’s future EBIT and FCF growth in which the company is expected to execute well moving forward.\nEV / EBIT valuation metrics.\nTherefore, in order to have a basis on whether WMT’s forward valuations are also in line with what we expect from other companies, it would be useful to conduct an EV / EBIT comparison across a set of benchmark companies for us to have a reasonable basis to value WMT. We also observed that WMT’s EV / EBIT metrics have not been excessive when compared against this set of benchmark companies.\nUsing a blend of their EV / LTM EBIT metric and their EV / Fwd EBIT metric, we arrived at a fair value of $156.42 at the midpoint of the fair value range, representing a potential upside of 11.7% from 15 Jun’s closing price of $140.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWMT is a strong stock that has always been well supported along its long-term uptrend over the last 3 years. The 50W moving average has always acted as its key dynamic support level, including during the 2018 bear market, and the 2020 COVID-19 bear market, demonstrating the confidence of the market in this customary market leader. The support level at $127 also looks like an extremely strong support level that attracted strong buying interest during the retracement in Feb - Mar 21 and investors should consider this as a \"Buy more\" entry point if the price retraces to that level in the future. Currently, the stock is right at the 50W MA support level again, and I think at the current price level of $140, it still represents an optimal technical buy entry. Investors should however avoid buying near $154 in the near term as it’s expected to be a near term resistance level.\nWrapping it all up\nWalmart’s international strategies, especially in India are looking very exciting and is expected to be the company's main international growth driver. Although its international segment is still a relatively small segment of the company’s overall revenue, it’s expected to lead the group’s growth in the foreseeable future and the market definitely thinks so as well as WMT is expected to be valued at higher multiples than what was observed historically. Investors should therefore take advantage of WMT’s current price weakness to add to this fantastic stock in view of its attractive valuation right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163371173,"gmtCreate":1623860752892,"gmtModify":1634026843828,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163371173","repostId":"1118154026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118154026","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623850220,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118154026?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118154026","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.\nTh","content":"<p>U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储更新货币政策之前,美国股市周三基本持平。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 20 points higher. The S&P 500 inched up 0.1%, sitting just a few points below an all-time high reached in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨20点。标普500小幅上涨 0.1%,仅比前一交易日创下的历史高点低几个百分点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数小幅上涨 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Large tech shares like Tesla and Nvidia were slightly lower, while shares of economic reopening plays Royal Caribbean and Carnival gained 1% each.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和英伟达等大型科技股小幅下跌,而经济重新开放的皇家加勒比公司和嘉年华公司的股票均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks pulled back from record levels duringTuesday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 closing 0.2% lower after hitting an all-time intraday high earlier in the day. The Dow slid nearly 100 points and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.7% amid weakness in shares of Big Tech.</p><p><blockquote>周二交易时段,股市从创纪录水平回落,标普500指数在当天早些时候创下盘中历史新高后收盘下跌 0.2%。由于大型科技股疲软,道琼斯指数下跌近 100 点,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but it could signal that it’s beginning to think abouteasing its bond-buying policy. The Fed will also release new forecasts on Wednesday, which could indicate a possible first rate hike penciled in for 2023. Previously, Fed officials hadn’t come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周二开始了为期两天的会议。预计央行不会采取任何政策举措,但这可能表明央行开始考虑放松债券购买政策。美联储还将于周三发布新的预测,这可能表明 2023 年可能首次加息。此前,美联储官员尚未就2023年加息达成共识。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement and forecasts will come out at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell 30 minutes later.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明和预测将于美国东部时间下午 2 点发布,30 分钟后主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> The meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>周二的一份报告显示,此次会议召开之际,通胀正在升温,5 月份生产者价格以近 11 年来最快的年增长率上涨。这促使包括Paul Tudor Jones在内的一些人看涨期权要求央行重新考虑其宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> \"I still think equities are going higher,\" BlackRock global bond chief Rick Rieder said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" on Wednesday. \"If we don't hear anything different, then I worry a little bit about risk the system creates — you can create asset bubbles you can create leverage. We've seen markets that are a little bit concerning with literally zero spread to them for risk assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德全球债券主管里克-里德(Rick Rieder)周三在 CNBC 的 “Squawk Box ”节目中表示:”我仍然认为股市正在走高。“如果我们没有听到任何不同的声音,那么我有点担心这个系统会产生风险--你可以制造资产泡沫,也可以制造杠杆。我们已经看到一些市场有点担心风险资产的利差实际上为零。”</blockquote></p><p> The central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济继续从冠状病毒大流行中复苏,央行每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券。</blockquote></p><p> \"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"</p><p><blockquote>Commonwealth Financial Network 首席信息官布拉德·麦克米伦 (Brad McMillan) 表示:“本周的戏剧性事件将是美联储是否保持紧缩政策,还是承认通胀正在上升以及美联储需要紧缩政策。”“由于美联储有双重任务——失业和通胀——这表明它确实应该继续关注失业,而不是通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> Minutes from the central bank's last meeting showed that some Fed officials said it could be appropriate to start discussing adjustments to the bond-buying program should the economy continue to recover. Economists predict that while some of these discussions could begin, concrete details will not be revealed until later this year.</p><p><blockquote>央行上次会议纪要显示,一些美联储官员表示,如果经济继续复苏,开始讨论调整债券购买计划可能是合适的。经济学家预测,虽然其中一些讨论可能会开始,但具体细节要到今年晚些时候才会披露。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三,中国表示将从国家储备中释放铜、铝和锌等工业金属,以抑制大宗商品价格。铜价已从历史高点下跌超过10%,周二跌入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储更新货币政策之前,美国股市周三基本持平。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 20 points higher. The S&P 500 inched up 0.1%, sitting just a few points below an all-time high reached in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨20点。标普500小幅上涨 0.1%,仅比前一交易日创下的历史高点低几个百分点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数小幅上涨 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Large tech shares like Tesla and Nvidia were slightly lower, while shares of economic reopening plays Royal Caribbean and Carnival gained 1% each.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和英伟达等大型科技股小幅下跌,而经济重新开放的皇家加勒比公司和嘉年华公司的股票均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks pulled back from record levels duringTuesday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 closing 0.2% lower after hitting an all-time intraday high earlier in the day. The Dow slid nearly 100 points and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.7% amid weakness in shares of Big Tech.</p><p><blockquote>周二交易时段,股市从创纪录水平回落,标普500指数在当天早些时候创下盘中历史新高后收盘下跌 0.2%。由于大型科技股疲软,道琼斯指数下跌近 100 点,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but it could signal that it’s beginning to think abouteasing its bond-buying policy. The Fed will also release new forecasts on Wednesday, which could indicate a possible first rate hike penciled in for 2023. Previously, Fed officials hadn’t come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周二开始了为期两天的会议。预计央行不会采取任何政策举措,但这可能表明央行开始考虑放松债券购买政策。美联储还将于周三发布新的预测,这可能表明 2023 年可能首次加息。此前,美联储官员尚未就2023年加息达成共识。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement and forecasts will come out at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell 30 minutes later.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明和预测将于美国东部时间下午 2 点发布,30 分钟后主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> The meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>周二的一份报告显示,此次会议召开之际,通胀正在升温,5 月份生产者价格以近 11 年来最快的年增长率上涨。这促使包括Paul Tudor Jones在内的一些人看涨期权要求央行重新考虑其宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> \"I still think equities are going higher,\" BlackRock global bond chief Rick Rieder said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" on Wednesday. \"If we don't hear anything different, then I worry a little bit about risk the system creates — you can create asset bubbles you can create leverage. We've seen markets that are a little bit concerning with literally zero spread to them for risk assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德全球债券主管里克-里德(Rick Rieder)周三在 CNBC 的 “Squawk Box ”节目中表示:”我仍然认为股市正在走高。“如果我们没有听到任何不同的声音,那么我有点担心这个系统会产生风险--你可以制造资产泡沫,也可以制造杠杆。我们已经看到一些市场有点担心风险资产的利差实际上为零。”</blockquote></p><p> The central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济继续从冠状病毒大流行中复苏,央行每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券。</blockquote></p><p> \"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"</p><p><blockquote>Commonwealth Financial Network 首席信息官布拉德·麦克米伦 (Brad McMillan) 表示:“本周的戏剧性事件将是美联储是否保持紧缩政策,还是承认通胀正在上升以及美联储需要紧缩政策。”“由于美联储有双重任务——失业和通胀——这表明它确实应该继续关注失业,而不是通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> Minutes from the central bank's last meeting showed that some Fed officials said it could be appropriate to start discussing adjustments to the bond-buying program should the economy continue to recover. Economists predict that while some of these discussions could begin, concrete details will not be revealed until later this year.</p><p><blockquote>央行上次会议纪要显示,一些美联储官员表示,如果经济继续复苏,开始讨论调整债券购买计划可能是合适的。经济学家预测,虽然其中一些讨论可能会开始,但具体细节要到今年晚些时候才会披露。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三,中国表示将从国家储备中释放铜、铝和锌等工业金属,以抑制大宗商品价格。铜价已从历史高点下跌超过10%,周二跌入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118154026","content_text":"U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 20 points higher. The S&P 500 inched up 0.1%, sitting just a few points below an all-time high reached in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2%.\nLarge tech shares like Tesla and Nvidia were slightly lower, while shares of economic reopening plays Royal Caribbean and Carnival gained 1% each.\nStocks pulled back from record levels duringTuesday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 closing 0.2% lower after hitting an all-time intraday high earlier in the day. The Dow slid nearly 100 points and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.7% amid weakness in shares of Big Tech.\nThe Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but it could signal that it’s beginning to think abouteasing its bond-buying policy. The Fed will also release new forecasts on Wednesday, which could indicate a possible first rate hike penciled in for 2023. Previously, Fed officials hadn’t come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023.\nThe Fed’s statement and forecasts will come out at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell 30 minutes later.\nThe meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.\n\"I still think equities are going higher,\" BlackRock global bond chief Rick Rieder said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" on Wednesday. \"If we don't hear anything different, then I worry a little bit about risk the system creates — you can create asset bubbles you can create leverage. We've seen markets that are a little bit concerning with literally zero spread to them for risk assets.\"\nThe central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"\nMinutes from the central bank's last meeting showed that some Fed officials said it could be appropriate to start discussing adjustments to the bond-buying program should the economy continue to recover. Economists predict that while some of these discussions could begin, concrete details will not be revealed until later this year.\nOn Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169875932,"gmtCreate":1623830752826,"gmtModify":1634027433929,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169875932","repostId":"1127823989","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169879487,"gmtCreate":1623830556049,"gmtModify":1634027438092,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169879487","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169321314,"gmtCreate":1623817786738,"gmtModify":1634027615251,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169321314","repostId":"1150591447","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169320759,"gmtCreate":1623817702371,"gmtModify":1634027617178,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169320759","repostId":"1146386859","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":164148350,"gmtCreate":1624185282370,"gmtModify":1634009690966,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164148350","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166599900,"gmtCreate":1624015858200,"gmtModify":1634024097133,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166599900","repostId":"2144773750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123147777,"gmtCreate":1624413668199,"gmtModify":1634006470137,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123147777","repostId":"1126010678","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126010678","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624412603,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126010678?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 09:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126010678","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise a","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering. The company said in a filing Tuesday that it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——JAB Holdings BV 旗下的甜甜圈连锁店 Krispy Kreme Inc. 正寻求在首次公开募股中筹集高达 6.4 亿美元的资金。该公司在周二的一份文件中表示……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Krispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKrispy Kreme Seeks $640 Million in IPO as Sales Move Online<blockquote>随着销售转移到线上,Krispy Kreme 寻求 6.4 亿美元 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 09:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering. The company said in a filing Tuesday that it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——JAB Holdings BV 旗下的甜甜圈连锁店 Krispy Kreme Inc. 正寻求在首次公开募股中筹集高达 6.4 亿美元的资金。该公司在周二的一份文件中表示……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/krispy-kreme-sets-price-range-154753866.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126010678","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Krispy Kreme Inc., the doughnut chain owned by JAB Holdings BV, is seeking to raise as much as $640 million in an initial public offering.\nThe company said in a filing Tuesday that it plans to sell almost 27 million shares for $21 to $24 apiece. At the top end of the range, Krispy Kreme would have a market value of $3.86 billion based on the outstanding shares listed in the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.\nAmid photos of doughnuts dripping with sugary glaze and dotted with sprinkles, the company declares in the filing that its purpose is “to touch and enhance lives through the joy of Krispy Kreme.”\nSince its acquisition by Luxembourg-based conglomerate JAB in 2016, Krispy Kreme has expanded its online presence. Its e-commerce business now accounts for close to a fifth of sales in the U.S., fueled by its Insomnia Cookies delivery concept.\nNet revenue for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based chain rose 23% to $322 million in the quarter ended April 4, according to the filing. Its net loss for the quarter shrunk from $11 million in 2020 to $378,000 this year.\nKrispy Kreme plans to use proceeds from the IPO to pay down debt and buy back shares from certain executives, as well as for general corporate purposes, according to the filing. JAB will continue to own almost 78% of the company’s shares after the IPO.\nThe offering is being led by JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. The company plans to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol DNUT.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DNUT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167025398,"gmtCreate":1624240149714,"gmtModify":1634009073544,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167025398","repostId":"2145707639","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169875932,"gmtCreate":1623830752826,"gmtModify":1634027433929,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169875932","repostId":"1127823989","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169879487,"gmtCreate":1623830556049,"gmtModify":1634027438092,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169879487","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150995469,"gmtCreate":1624880482251,"gmtModify":1633947598956,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150995469","repostId":"2146047887","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146047887","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624879076,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2146047887?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 19:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed official says another boom-and-bust housing market is not sustainable<blockquote>美联储官员表示房地产市场再次繁荣和萧条是不可持续的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146047887","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"“It’s very important for us to get back to our 2 percent inflation target but the goal is for that t","content":"<p> “It’s very important for us to get back to our 2 percent inflation target but the goal is for that to be sustainable. And for that to be sustainable, we can’t have a boom and bust cycle in something like real estate.” — Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren Eric Rosengren, the president of the Boston Fed, expressed concern over the housing market in an interview with the Financial Times , and it comes as data shows house prices soaring. The median price for an existing home sale skyrocketed 24% in May. Other house price measures also are surging.</p><p><blockquote>“对我们来说,回到 2% 的通胀目标非常重要,但我们的目标是实现可持续。要实现可持续,我们就不能在房地产等领域出现繁荣和萧条的循环。”— 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表达了对房地产市场的担忧,而此时数据显示房价正在飙升。5月份,现有房屋销售的中位数价格飙升了24%。其他房价措施也在激增。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren noted the financial stability concerns that come from boom-and-bust real estate cycles. In 2008, there was a global financial crisis as the housing market collapsed.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦指出了房地产繁荣和萧条周期带来的金融稳定性担忧。2008年,随着房地产市场崩溃,全球金融危机爆发。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's comments come amid intense debate at the central bank as to when it should start reduce the rate of its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦发表上述言论之际,央行正在就何时开始降低每月债券购买利率展开激烈辩论。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's view does not appear to be shared, as yet, by the core of Fed officials who set policy. MarketWatch's Greg Robb asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell in April about the fact the central bank was buying mortgage-backed securities, which was helping to boost the housing market. Powell did not express alarm.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦的观点似乎尚未得到制定政策的美联储核心官员的认同。MarketWatch 的格雷格·罗布 (Greg Robb) 四月份向美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 询问美联储购买抵押贷款支持证券的事实,这有助于提振房地产市场。鲍威尔没有表示惊慌。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's not meant to provide direct assistance to the housing market. That was never the intent. It was really just to keep that as--it's a very close relation to the Treasury market and a very important market on its own. And so that's why we bought as we did during the Global Financial Crisis; we bought MBS too,\" said Powell.</p><p><blockquote>“这并不是为了向房地产市场提供直接援助。这从来都不是我们的意图。它实际上只是为了保持这一点——它与国债市场有着非常密切的关系,而且本身就是一个非常重要的市场。这就是为什么我们像全球金融危机期间那样买入;我们还购买了 MBS,”鲍威尔说。</blockquote></p><p> He gave no indication the Fed would make a distinction between tapering Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>他没有表示美联储会区分缩减国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed official says another boom-and-bust housing market is not sustainable<blockquote>美联储官员表示房地产市场再次繁荣和萧条是不可持续的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed official says another boom-and-bust housing market is not sustainable<blockquote>美联储官员表示房地产市场再次繁荣和萧条是不可持续的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 19:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> “It’s very important for us to get back to our 2 percent inflation target but the goal is for that to be sustainable. And for that to be sustainable, we can’t have a boom and bust cycle in something like real estate.” — Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren Eric Rosengren, the president of the Boston Fed, expressed concern over the housing market in an interview with the Financial Times , and it comes as data shows house prices soaring. The median price for an existing home sale skyrocketed 24% in May. Other house price measures also are surging.</p><p><blockquote>“对我们来说,回到 2% 的通胀目标非常重要,但我们的目标是实现可持续。要实现可持续,我们就不能在房地产等领域出现繁荣和萧条的循环。”— 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦 波士顿联储主席埃里克·罗森格伦在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表达了对房地产市场的担忧,而此时数据显示房价正在飙升。5月份,现有房屋销售的中位数价格飙升了24%。其他房价措施也在激增。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren noted the financial stability concerns that come from boom-and-bust real estate cycles. In 2008, there was a global financial crisis as the housing market collapsed.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦指出了房地产繁荣和萧条周期带来的金融稳定性担忧。2008年,随着房地产市场崩溃,全球金融危机爆发。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's comments come amid intense debate at the central bank as to when it should start reduce the rate of its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦发表上述言论之际,央行正在就何时开始降低每月债券购买利率展开激烈辩论。</blockquote></p><p> Rosengren's view does not appear to be shared, as yet, by the core of Fed officials who set policy. MarketWatch's Greg Robb asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell in April about the fact the central bank was buying mortgage-backed securities, which was helping to boost the housing market. Powell did not express alarm.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦的观点似乎尚未得到制定政策的美联储核心官员的认同。MarketWatch 的格雷格·罗布 (Greg Robb) 四月份向美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 询问美联储购买抵押贷款支持证券的事实,这有助于提振房地产市场。鲍威尔没有表示惊慌。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's not meant to provide direct assistance to the housing market. That was never the intent. It was really just to keep that as--it's a very close relation to the Treasury market and a very important market on its own. And so that's why we bought as we did during the Global Financial Crisis; we bought MBS too,\" said Powell.</p><p><blockquote>“这并不是为了向房地产市场提供直接援助。这从来都不是我们的意图。它实际上只是为了保持这一点——它与国债市场有着非常密切的关系,而且本身就是一个非常重要的市场。这就是为什么我们像全球金融危机期间那样买入;我们还购买了 MBS,”鲍威尔说。</blockquote></p><p> He gave no indication the Fed would make a distinction between tapering Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>他没有表示美联储会区分缩减国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-official-says-another-boom-and-bust-housing-market-is-not-sustainable-11624876223?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-official-says-another-boom-and-bust-housing-market-is-not-sustainable-11624876223?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146047887","content_text":"“It’s very important for us to get back to our 2 percent inflation target but the goal is for that to be sustainable. And for that to be sustainable, we can’t have a boom and bust cycle in something like real estate.”\n\n\n — Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren\n\nEric Rosengren, the president of the Boston Fed, expressed concern over the housing market in an interview with the Financial Times , and it comes as data shows house prices soaring. The median price for an existing home sale skyrocketed 24% in May. Other house price measures also are surging.\nRosengren noted the financial stability concerns that come from boom-and-bust real estate cycles. In 2008, there was a global financial crisis as the housing market collapsed.\nRosengren's comments come amid intense debate at the central bank as to when it should start reduce the rate of its monthly bond purchases.\nRosengren's view does not appear to be shared, as yet, by the core of Fed officials who set policy. MarketWatch's Greg Robb asked Fed Chair Jerome Powell in April about the fact the central bank was buying mortgage-backed securities, which was helping to boost the housing market. Powell did not express alarm.\n\"It's not meant to provide direct assistance to the housing market. That was never the intent. It was really just to keep that as--it's a very close relation to the Treasury market and a very important market on its own. And so that's why we bought as we did during the Global Financial Crisis; we bought MBS too,\" said Powell.\nHe gave no indication the Fed would make a distinction between tapering Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121007564,"gmtCreate":1624442517258,"gmtModify":1634006098611,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"But coin going down ","listText":"But coin going down ","text":"But coin going down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121007564","repostId":"1143470407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161866121,"gmtCreate":1623918252063,"gmtModify":1634025895101,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161866121","repostId":"1138373077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138373077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623915483,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138373077?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 15:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Walmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138373077","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWalmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the yea","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Walmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the years ahead.</li> <li>The company’s leadership through Flipkart in the rapidly growing India market is expected to be a key competitive advantage as it scales up to compete against Amazon India.</li> <li>At the current price, Walmart is not expensive, and offers an attractive entry point for investors to partake in its international growth drivers.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af09545cba715476092d754f8df38e8a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Wolterk/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>沃尔玛的国际业务预计将在未来几年引领公司的收入增长。</li><li>该公司通过 Flipkart 在快速增长的印度市场的领导地位预计将成为其与亚马逊印度公司竞争的关键竞争优势。</li><li>以目前的价格计算,沃尔玛并不昂贵,并为投资者参与其国际增长动力提供了一个有吸引力的切入点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Wolterk/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT) has very exciting growth prospects in its international markets, especially in India where the market is expected to overtake Canada as the second largest international market segment, behind the leader Mexico by 2025. In addition, the company’s astute investment in Flipkart has given it the key leadership in the e-commerce segment in India which is expected to grow rapidly in the years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 在其国际市场上有着非常令人兴奋的增长前景,尤其是在印度,预计到 2025 年,该市场将超过加拿大,成为第二大国际细分市场,仅次于领头羊墨西哥。此外,该公司对 Flipkart 的精明投资使其在印度电子商务领域处于关键领导地位,预计该领域将在未来几年快速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Setting the Stage for International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为国际扩张奠定基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart has grand ambitions on the international stage. After the completion of the divestiture of Asda and Seiyu last quarter, the company has set its sights on driving its international growth in the faster growing markets. The company also discussed at length its international priorities and opportunities in two recent conferences (DBAccess, andBaird) on how to take its international business to the next level.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛在国际舞台上雄心勃勃。在上个季度完成对阿斯达和Seiyu的剥离后,该公司将目光投向了在增长更快的市场推动其国际增长。该公司还在最近的两次会议(DBAccess和andBaird)中详细讨论了其国际优先事项和机遇,讨论了如何将其国际业务提升到一个新的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/917a0bddc47fb6071bfd416976abe840\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT net sales worldwide by division. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的WMT全球净销售额。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international sales accounted for about 21.9% of FY 21 revenue. As we could observe from above, WMT’s international business as a whole has been largely stagnant in recent years even though its U.S. operations saw relatively stable and consistent growth. The company’s exit from Seiyu [Japan] and Asda [UK] in order to reallocate capital to its higher growth regions, notably in India and China, is an important step towards aligning its growth priorities and rejuvenating its international business segment. In fact, Walmart had even received pretty nasty press on its operations in Japan, asNikkei Asiaremarked: “Walmart's foreign flops can be attributed largely to tone-deaf management, which failed to take into account local business customs, dietary habits and labor relations, among other glaring oversights.” Notwithstanding the sensational allegations made by the Nikkei, I think WMT has actually performed admirably in its international business as it’s aprofitable segmentfor the company that posted an operating margin of 4.4% in Q1’22, as well as 3% in FY 21, 2.8% in FY 20, and 4% in FY 19, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际销售额约占 21 财年收入的 21.9%。从上文中可以看出,尽管 WMT 在美国的业务实现了相对稳定和持续的增长,但近年来 WMT 的国际业务整体上基本停滞不前。该公司退出 Seiyu(日本)和 Asda(英国),以便将资本重新分配到其增长较高的地区,特别是印度和中国,这是朝着调整其增长重点和振兴其国际业务部门迈出的重要一步。asNikkei Asia 指出,事实上,沃尔玛在日本的业务甚至受到了相当恶劣的批评: “沃尔玛在海外的失败在很大程度上可以归因于管理层的聋哑,他们没有考虑到当地的商业习俗、饮食习惯和劳资关系,以及其他明显的疏忽”。尽管《日经新闻》提出了耸人听闻的指控,但我认为 WMT 在国际业务方面的表现实际上令人钦佩,因为它是该公司盈利的部门,该公司在 22 财年第一季度的营业利润率为 4.4%,在 21 财年、20 财年和 19 财年分别为 3%、2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ask Amazon How Hard It Is To Make Money Overseas</b></p><p><blockquote><b>问问亚马逊在海外赚钱有多难</b></blockquote></p><p> In order to understand how difficult it is to make money operating a retail business in international markets with a footprint as large as WMT, investors need to look no further than Amazon (AMZN), notwithstanding its focus on the e-commerce segment.</p><p><blockquote>为了了解在像 WMT 这样庞大的国际市场上经营零售业务赚钱有多么困难,投资者只需看看亚马逊 (AMZN),尽管它专注于电子商务领域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f155f05bf035f522fff05f7c5802740\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"525\"><span>AMZN annual Operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 各细分市场年度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa70bfe2b8a379252d91f48a78becd52\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>AMZN quarterly operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 按细分市场划分的季度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from the 2 charts above, AMZN’s international segment only recently started to turn an operating profit in Q2’20 after experiencing losses over the last 6 years, even though the North America segment continued to do well. It’s a good reminder to investors that WMT knows how to manage its large international footprint well and it’s really very difficult to run an operation as geographically diverse and huge as Walmart’s and be profitable at the same time, giving the company an extremely wide moat.</p><p><blockquote>从上面的两张图表中可以看出,尽管北美分部继续表现良好,但亚马逊的国际分部在过去 6 年中一直处于亏损状态,直到最近才开始在 2020 年第二季度扭亏为盈。这很好地提醒投资者,WMT 知道如何很好地管理其庞大的国际足迹,要经营像沃尔玛这样地域多样化、规模庞大的业务,同时还能盈利,这给公司带来了极其宽阔的护城河。</blockquote></p><p> <b>India and China Expected to Lead Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>印度和中国预计将引领增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de7690e94d33c1fa7d9a17901080007\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"515\"><span>WMT projected net sales by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测净销售额。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although Mexico is still expected to remain as International’s most important revenue driver by 2025, India and China are expected to lead the growth, with India expected to be the company’s second largest international market by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到 2025 年,墨西哥仍将是国际最重要的收入驱动力,但印度和中国预计将引领增长,到 2025 年,印度预计将成为该公司的第二大国际市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb39da945b2a8ef4d8bc56b06bf945b7\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT projected revenue CAGR by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测收入复合年增长率。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> India’s 5Y CAGR of 10.4% is expected to outperform the rest of its international peers, followed by China in second place with a 5Y CAGR of 6.6%. The rest of its international markets are also expected to grow relatively fast, including the leader Mexico (5Y CAGR: 4.1%).</p><p><blockquote>印度的 5 年复合年增长率为 10.4%,预计将超过其他国际同行,其次是中国,5 年复合年增长率为 6.6%,位居第二。其其他国际市场预计也将相对快速增长,包括领先的墨西哥(5 年复合年增长率:4.1%)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9a2cee8cc3738a2a615afe99152dd5f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"738\"><span>WMT projected revenue mean consensus, and YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 预计收入均值共识和同比增长。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we consider the company’s overall expected revenue growth in the next few years, investors should now be able to appreciate the importance of WMT’s international markets to drive the company’s topline and therefore managing the growth of its international segment well would provide the company a highly significant lever to drive results over time.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们考虑到公司未来几年的总体预期收入增长,投资者现在应该能够认识到 WMT 国际市场对推动公司营收的重要性,因此,管理好国际部门的增长将为公司提供一个非常重要的杠杆,随着时间的推移推动业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6a11308afe3976fe54e67f76f8f596\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>Leading retail chain operators in China. Data Source: China Chain Store & Franchise Association</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国领先的零售连锁运营商。数据来源:中国连锁经营协会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although WMT’s leadership in the U.S. is undisputed, it may not be the same in China. The competitive landscape in China is strongly dominated by Suning Commerce Group, and WMT’s China operations was actually ranked 7th in this survey. Therefore, there is a tremendous amount of sales potential for WMT to make up in order to move up the ranks among China’s retail leaders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 WMT 在美国的领导地位毋庸置疑,但在中国却未必如此。中国的竞争格局由苏宁云商集团强烈主导,而 WMT 的中国业务实际上在本次调查中排名第 7。因此,WMT 有巨大的销售潜力可以弥补,以便在中国零售业的领导者中晋升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0338751a0a7661f724cfa43c4acb5c58\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Total population in the U.S. and India. Data Source: IMF</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国和印度的总人口。数据来源:国际货币基金组织</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the market where it is expected to lead the company's growth: India, this is where the excitement for WMT’s international business really begins. India’s population is expected to grow from 1.324B in 2016 to 1.443B by 2025, which would represent a CAGR of 0.96%, faster than the U.S. population CAGR of 0.47%, that is twice as fast, despite having a population size that’s already 4x larger to start with.</p><p><blockquote>在有望引领公司发展的市场:印度,WMT 国际业务的兴奋之情才真正开始。印度人口预计将从 2016 年的 13.24 亿增长到 2025 年的 14.43 亿,复合年增长率为 0.96%,比美国人口复合年增长率 0.47% 快,是美国人口复合年增长率的两倍,尽管印度的人口规模已经是美国人口的 4 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0dcd47a074df2156c16ea1db021061\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of e-commerce industry across India. Data Source: India Brand Equity Foundation; Various sources (Media sources); BCG; Bain & Company; Morgan Stanley</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度电子商务行业的市场规模。数据来源:印度品牌资产基金会;各种来源(媒体来源);卡介苗;贝恩公司;摩根士丹利</span></p></blockquote></p><p> India’s e-commerce industry (WMT’s main channel in India) is expected to grow from just $14B in 2014 to $200B by 2027, which would represent a whopping CAGR of 22.7%, an incredible growth rate. More importantly, WMT is an e-commerce leader in India (though Flipkart), as Flipkart had a 31.9% market share as of Oct 20 according to Forrester Research, just ahead of its fierce rival, Amazon India, who had a 31.2% market share. Therefore, WMT looks very well positioned to compete strongly in India as the leader of a rapidly expanding e-commerce market.</p><p><blockquote>印度的电子商务行业(WMT 在印度的主要渠道)预计将从 2014 年的 140 亿美元增长到 2027 年的 2000 亿美元,复合年增长率将达到 22.7%,这是一个令人难以置信的增长率。更重要的是,WMT是印度电子商务的领导者(尽管Flipkart),因为根据Forrester Research的数据,截至10月20日,Flipkart拥有31.9%的市场份额,仅领先于其激烈的竞争对手亚马逊印度公司,后者拥有31.2%的市场份额。因此,作为快速扩张的电子商务市场的领导者,WMT看起来处于非常有利的地位,可以在印度进行激烈竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c611e761c64537eac8600067ff46dce9\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7fd83dbbe32e4623cfb108479191db5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue YoY growth. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入同比增长。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from above, Flipkart’s FY 20 revenue of 346B rupees (equivalent to about $4.72B) has barely scratched the surface considering the market size of India’s e-commerce industry that was worth $64B in 2020. Even though the revenue growth of 12% YoY was an egregious deceleration from the previous year’s 42% YoY growth, the company has managed to reduce its net loss from 38.35B rupees to 31.5B rupees (see below), an improvement of 17% YoY. It would thus be important for investors to continue monitoring the health of its growth trend moving forward to evaluate whether there is a persistent deceleration that needs to be addressed by the company.</p><p><blockquote>从上面我们可以看出,考虑到印度电子商务行业在 2020 年的市场规模为 640 亿美元,Flipkart 2020 财年的收入为 3460 亿卢比(约合 47.2 亿美元),这勉强触及表面。尽管收入同比增长 12% 比上一年 42% 的同比增长率大幅放缓,但该公司已成功将净亏损从 383.5 亿卢比降至 315 亿卢比(见下文),同比增长 17%。因此,投资者必须继续监控其未来增长趋势的健康状况,以评估公司是否存在需要解决的持续放缓问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84abc8cadd99bda1af002f8ef6a231ad\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>P/L of Flipkart. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart的盈利能力。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efdcc73d770fedc1353ca09154e30a26\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Unified Payment Interface [UPI] usage across India. Data Source: The Financial Express (India); NPCI</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度统一支付接口[UPI]的使用。数据来源:《金融快报》(印度);NPCI</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, the company’s UPI platform PhonePe is also the leader in UPI usage across India. UPI has become the dominant payments infrastructure across India with a 73% share of all digital transactions volume as of Feb 21. However, due to the 30% transactions restriction cap placed on all third-party payment apps that include PhonePe by the authority [NPCI] on the leaders, PhonePe and Google Pay would need to meet a 2-year deadline to bring down their transactions share to within the 30% cap. In addition, WhatsApp Pay is also expected to play an increasingly important role in this rapidly expanding market and compete against Google Pay and PhonePe. Notwithstanding the cap placed by NPCI, the digital payments market in India is expected to grow from 2,153 trillion rupees in 2020 to 7,092 trillion rupees by 2025 (see below), which would represent a CAGR of 26.9%, thus giving us a high level of confidence that there is ample room for all the major competitors to grow. Walmart definitely looks incredibly well-positioned in the India e-commerce market, where its e-commerce growth is still very much in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,该公司的 UPI 平台 PhonePe 也是全印度 UPI 使用量的领导者。截至2月21日,合众国际社已成为印度占主导地位的支付基础设施,占所有数字交易量的73%。然而,由于领导者权威机构【NPCI】对包括PhonePe在内的所有第三方支付应用设定了30%的交易限制上限,PhonePe和Google Pay需要在2年期限内将其交易份额降低到30%的上限。此外,WhatsApp Pay也有望在这个迅速扩张的市场中扮演越来越重要的角色,与Google Pay和PhonePe展开竞争。尽管NPCI设定了上限,但印度的数字支付市场预计将从2020年的2,153万亿卢比增长到2025年的7,092万亿卢比(见下文),这将代表26.9%的CAGR,因此我们高度相信所有主要竞争对手都有足够的增长空间。沃尔玛在印度电子商务市场看起来无疑处于非常有利的地位,其电子商务增长仍处于起步阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6273488f83e60a8d2c316d9296e7ad27\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Digital payments market value across India. Data Source: Redseer</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度数字支付市场价值。数据来源:Redseer</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Considering Walmart's Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到沃尔玛的估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1c5a07707bd380a3dab086be2be5c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"701\"><span>EV / EBITDA Metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBITDA指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537bf606c23aaa34ab1130ab1186f6d5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"694\"><span>EV / EBIT metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/息税前利润指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider WMT’s FCF and EBIT relative valuations using both EV / EBITDA - CapEx (as a proxy for FCF) and EV / EBIT, WMT is currently valued near the higher end of both valuations range (EV / LTM EBITDA: 14.7x, EV / LTM EBIT: 14.9x) over the last 5 years. In fact, when we consider the company forward valuations, we could observe that the market seems to have priced in quite a bit of optimism into WMT’s future EBIT and FCF growth in which the company is expected to execute well moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>当我们使用 EV / EBITDA - 资本支出(作为 FCF 的代表)和 EV / EBIT 来考虑 WMT 的 FCF 和 EBIT 的相对估值时,在过去 5 年中,WMT 目前的估值接近两个估值范围的高端(EV / LTM EBITDA:14.7 倍,EV / LTM EBIT:14.9 倍)。事实上,当我们考虑公司的前瞻性估值时,我们可以观察到市场似乎对 WMT 未来的息税前利润和自由现金流增长持相当乐观的态度,预计该公司将在未来表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38ba544168ae18b243f52b6359262acb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"884\"><span>EV / EBIT valuation metrics.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBIT估值指标。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, in order to have a basis on whether WMT’s forward valuations are also in line with what we expect from other companies, it would be useful to conduct an EV / EBIT comparison across a set of benchmark companies for us to have a reasonable basis to value WMT. We also observed that WMT’s EV / EBIT metrics have not been excessive when compared against this set of benchmark companies.</p><p><blockquote>因此,为了了解 WMT 的前瞻性估值是否也符合我们对其他公司的预期,对一组基准公司进行 EV / EBIT 比较将是有益的,这样我们就有了合理的基础来估值 WMT。我们还观察到,与这组基准公司相比,WMT 的电动汽车/息税前利润指标并不过分。</blockquote></p><p> Using a blend of their EV / LTM EBIT metric and their EV / Fwd EBIT metric, we arrived at a fair value of $156.42 at the midpoint of the fair value range, representing a potential upside of 11.7% from 15 Jun’s closing price of $140.</p><p><blockquote>综合使用 EV / LTM EBIT 指标和 EV / Fwd EBIT 指标,我们得出的公允价值为 156.42 美元,位于公允价值区间的中点,比 6 月 15 日的收盘价 140 美元有 11.7% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeab97d13426aa4d6f580b82aaf6bf4b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> WMT is a strong stock that has always been well supported along its long-term uptrend over the last 3 years. The 50W moving average has always acted as its key dynamic support level, including during the 2018 bear market, and the 2020 COVID-19 bear market, demonstrating the confidence of the market in this customary market leader. The support level at $127 also looks like an extremely strong support level that attracted strong buying interest during the retracement in Feb - Mar 21 and investors should consider this as a \"Buy more\" entry point if the price retraces to that level in the future. Currently, the stock is right at the 50W MA support level again, and I think at the current price level of $140, it still represents an optimal technical buy entry. Investors should however avoid buying near $154 in the near term as it’s expected to be a near term resistance level.</p><p><blockquote>WMT 是一只强劲的股票,在过去 3 年的长期上升趋势中一直得到良好的支撑。50W移动平均线一直是其关键的动态支撑位,包括在2018年熊市和2020年新冠肺炎熊市期间,表明了市场对这一惯例市场领导者的信心。127 美元的支撑位看起来也是一个极其强劲的支撑位,在 2 月至 3 月 21 日的回撤期间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣,如果价格在未来回落到该水平,投资者应将其视为“买入更多”的切入点。目前,该股再次处于 50W MA 支撑位,我认为在当前 140 美元的价格水平上,它仍然代表着最佳的技术买入入场。不过,投资者短期内应避免在 154 美元附近买入,因为预计这将是近期的阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping it all up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international strategies, especially in India are looking very exciting and is expected to be the company's main international growth driver. Although its international segment is still a relatively small segment of the company’s overall revenue, it’s expected to lead the group’s growth in the foreseeable future and the market definitely thinks so as well as WMT is expected to be valued at higher multiples than what was observed historically. Investors should therefore take advantage of WMT’s current price weakness to add to this fantastic stock in view of its attractive valuation right now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际战略,尤其是在印度的战略,看起来非常令人兴奋,有望成为公司国际增长的主要动力。虽然国际业务在公司总收入中所占比例仍然相对较小,但预计在可预见的未来,国际业务将引领集团的增长,市场也肯定这么认为,WMT 的估值倍数预计将高于历史水平。因此,鉴于 WMT 目前的估值极具吸引力,投资者应该利用 WMT 目前的股价疲软来增持这只出色的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Walmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWalmart: Buy On Weakness For Its Exciting International Growth Prospects<blockquote>沃尔玛:因其令人兴奋的国际增长前景而逢低买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 15:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Walmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the years ahead.</li> <li>The company’s leadership through Flipkart in the rapidly growing India market is expected to be a key competitive advantage as it scales up to compete against Amazon India.</li> <li>At the current price, Walmart is not expensive, and offers an attractive entry point for investors to partake in its international growth drivers.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af09545cba715476092d754f8df38e8a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Wolterk/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>沃尔玛的国际业务预计将在未来几年引领公司的收入增长。</li><li>该公司通过 Flipkart 在快速增长的印度市场的领导地位预计将成为其与亚马逊印度公司竞争的关键竞争优势。</li><li>以目前的价格计算,沃尔玛并不昂贵,并为投资者参与其国际增长动力提供了一个有吸引力的切入点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Wolterk/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT) has very exciting growth prospects in its international markets, especially in India where the market is expected to overtake Canada as the second largest international market segment, behind the leader Mexico by 2025. In addition, the company’s astute investment in Flipkart has given it the key leadership in the e-commerce segment in India which is expected to grow rapidly in the years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 在其国际市场上有着非常令人兴奋的增长前景,尤其是在印度,预计到 2025 年,该市场将超过加拿大,成为第二大国际细分市场,仅次于领头羊墨西哥。此外,该公司对 Flipkart 的精明投资使其在印度电子商务领域处于关键领导地位,预计该领域将在未来几年快速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Setting the Stage for International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为国际扩张奠定基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart has grand ambitions on the international stage. After the completion of the divestiture of Asda and Seiyu last quarter, the company has set its sights on driving its international growth in the faster growing markets. The company also discussed at length its international priorities and opportunities in two recent conferences (DBAccess, andBaird) on how to take its international business to the next level.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛在国际舞台上雄心勃勃。在上个季度完成对阿斯达和Seiyu的剥离后,该公司将目光投向了在增长更快的市场推动其国际增长。该公司还在最近的两次会议(DBAccess和andBaird)中详细讨论了其国际优先事项和机遇,讨论了如何将其国际业务提升到一个新的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/917a0bddc47fb6071bfd416976abe840\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT net sales worldwide by division. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的WMT全球净销售额。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international sales accounted for about 21.9% of FY 21 revenue. As we could observe from above, WMT’s international business as a whole has been largely stagnant in recent years even though its U.S. operations saw relatively stable and consistent growth. The company’s exit from Seiyu [Japan] and Asda [UK] in order to reallocate capital to its higher growth regions, notably in India and China, is an important step towards aligning its growth priorities and rejuvenating its international business segment. In fact, Walmart had even received pretty nasty press on its operations in Japan, asNikkei Asiaremarked: “Walmart's foreign flops can be attributed largely to tone-deaf management, which failed to take into account local business customs, dietary habits and labor relations, among other glaring oversights.” Notwithstanding the sensational allegations made by the Nikkei, I think WMT has actually performed admirably in its international business as it’s aprofitable segmentfor the company that posted an operating margin of 4.4% in Q1’22, as well as 3% in FY 21, 2.8% in FY 20, and 4% in FY 19, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际销售额约占 21 财年收入的 21.9%。从上文中可以看出,尽管 WMT 在美国的业务实现了相对稳定和持续的增长,但近年来 WMT 的国际业务整体上基本停滞不前。该公司退出 Seiyu(日本)和 Asda(英国),以便将资本重新分配到其增长较高的地区,特别是印度和中国,这是朝着调整其增长重点和振兴其国际业务部门迈出的重要一步。asNikkei Asia 指出,事实上,沃尔玛在日本的业务甚至受到了相当恶劣的批评: “沃尔玛在海外的失败在很大程度上可以归因于管理层的聋哑,他们没有考虑到当地的商业习俗、饮食习惯和劳资关系,以及其他明显的疏忽”。尽管《日经新闻》提出了耸人听闻的指控,但我认为 WMT 在国际业务方面的表现实际上令人钦佩,因为它是该公司盈利的部门,该公司在 22 财年第一季度的营业利润率为 4.4%,在 21 财年、20 财年和 19 财年分别为 3%、2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ask Amazon How Hard It Is To Make Money Overseas</b></p><p><blockquote><b>问问亚马逊在海外赚钱有多难</b></blockquote></p><p> In order to understand how difficult it is to make money operating a retail business in international markets with a footprint as large as WMT, investors need to look no further than Amazon (AMZN), notwithstanding its focus on the e-commerce segment.</p><p><blockquote>为了了解在像 WMT 这样庞大的国际市场上经营零售业务赚钱有多么困难,投资者只需看看亚马逊 (AMZN),尽管它专注于电子商务领域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f155f05bf035f522fff05f7c5802740\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"525\"><span>AMZN annual Operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 各细分市场年度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa70bfe2b8a379252d91f48a78becd52\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>AMZN quarterly operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMZN 按细分市场划分的季度经营利润。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from the 2 charts above, AMZN’s international segment only recently started to turn an operating profit in Q2’20 after experiencing losses over the last 6 years, even though the North America segment continued to do well. It’s a good reminder to investors that WMT knows how to manage its large international footprint well and it’s really very difficult to run an operation as geographically diverse and huge as Walmart’s and be profitable at the same time, giving the company an extremely wide moat.</p><p><blockquote>从上面的两张图表中可以看出,尽管北美分部继续表现良好,但亚马逊的国际分部在过去 6 年中一直处于亏损状态,直到最近才开始在 2020 年第二季度扭亏为盈。这很好地提醒投资者,WMT 知道如何很好地管理其庞大的国际足迹,要经营像沃尔玛这样地域多样化、规模庞大的业务,同时还能盈利,这给公司带来了极其宽阔的护城河。</blockquote></p><p> <b>India and China Expected to Lead Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>印度和中国预计将引领增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5de7690e94d33c1fa7d9a17901080007\" tg-width=\"833\" tg-height=\"515\"><span>WMT projected net sales by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测净销售额。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although Mexico is still expected to remain as International’s most important revenue driver by 2025, India and China are expected to lead the growth, with India expected to be the company’s second largest international market by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到 2025 年,墨西哥仍将是国际最重要的收入驱动力,但印度和中国预计将引领增长,到 2025 年,印度预计将成为该公司的第二大国际市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb39da945b2a8ef4d8bc56b06bf945b7\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>WMT projected revenue CAGR by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 按国家/地区预测收入复合年增长率。数据来源:Edge by Ascential</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> India’s 5Y CAGR of 10.4% is expected to outperform the rest of its international peers, followed by China in second place with a 5Y CAGR of 6.6%. The rest of its international markets are also expected to grow relatively fast, including the leader Mexico (5Y CAGR: 4.1%).</p><p><blockquote>印度的 5 年复合年增长率为 10.4%,预计将超过其他国际同行,其次是中国,5 年复合年增长率为 6.6%,位居第二。其其他国际市场预计也将相对快速增长,包括领先的墨西哥(5 年复合年增长率:4.1%)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9a2cee8cc3738a2a615afe99152dd5f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"738\"><span>WMT projected revenue mean consensus, and YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>WMT 预计收入均值共识和同比增长。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If we consider the company’s overall expected revenue growth in the next few years, investors should now be able to appreciate the importance of WMT’s international markets to drive the company’s topline and therefore managing the growth of its international segment well would provide the company a highly significant lever to drive results over time.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们考虑到公司未来几年的总体预期收入增长,投资者现在应该能够认识到 WMT 国际市场对推动公司营收的重要性,因此,管理好国际部门的增长将为公司提供一个非常重要的杠杆,随着时间的推移推动业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b6a11308afe3976fe54e67f76f8f596\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>Leading retail chain operators in China. Data Source: China Chain Store & Franchise Association</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国领先的零售连锁运营商。数据来源:中国连锁经营协会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although WMT’s leadership in the U.S. is undisputed, it may not be the same in China. The competitive landscape in China is strongly dominated by Suning Commerce Group, and WMT’s China operations was actually ranked 7th in this survey. Therefore, there is a tremendous amount of sales potential for WMT to make up in order to move up the ranks among China’s retail leaders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 WMT 在美国的领导地位毋庸置疑,但在中国却未必如此。中国的竞争格局由苏宁云商集团强烈主导,而 WMT 的中国业务实际上在本次调查中排名第 7。因此,WMT 有巨大的销售潜力可以弥补,以便在中国零售业的领导者中晋升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0338751a0a7661f724cfa43c4acb5c58\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Total population in the U.S. and India. Data Source: IMF</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国和印度的总人口。数据来源:国际货币基金组织</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the market where it is expected to lead the company's growth: India, this is where the excitement for WMT’s international business really begins. India’s population is expected to grow from 1.324B in 2016 to 1.443B by 2025, which would represent a CAGR of 0.96%, faster than the U.S. population CAGR of 0.47%, that is twice as fast, despite having a population size that’s already 4x larger to start with.</p><p><blockquote>在有望引领公司发展的市场:印度,WMT 国际业务的兴奋之情才真正开始。印度人口预计将从 2016 年的 13.24 亿增长到 2025 年的 14.43 亿,复合年增长率为 0.96%,比美国人口复合年增长率 0.47% 快,是美国人口复合年增长率的两倍,尽管印度的人口规模已经是美国人口的 4 倍。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0dcd47a074df2156c16ea1db021061\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of e-commerce industry across India. Data Source: India Brand Equity Foundation; Various sources (Media sources); BCG; Bain & Company; Morgan Stanley</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度电子商务行业的市场规模。数据来源:印度品牌资产基金会;各种来源(媒体来源);卡介苗;贝恩公司;摩根士丹利</span></p></blockquote></p><p> India’s e-commerce industry (WMT’s main channel in India) is expected to grow from just $14B in 2014 to $200B by 2027, which would represent a whopping CAGR of 22.7%, an incredible growth rate. More importantly, WMT is an e-commerce leader in India (though Flipkart), as Flipkart had a 31.9% market share as of Oct 20 according to Forrester Research, just ahead of its fierce rival, Amazon India, who had a 31.2% market share. Therefore, WMT looks very well positioned to compete strongly in India as the leader of a rapidly expanding e-commerce market.</p><p><blockquote>印度的电子商务行业(WMT 在印度的主要渠道)预计将从 2014 年的 140 亿美元增长到 2027 年的 2000 亿美元,复合年增长率将达到 22.7%,这是一个令人难以置信的增长率。更重要的是,WMT是印度电子商务的领导者(尽管Flipkart),因为根据Forrester Research的数据,截至10月20日,Flipkart拥有31.9%的市场份额,仅领先于其激烈的竞争对手亚马逊印度公司,后者拥有31.2%的市场份额。因此,作为快速扩张的电子商务市场的领导者,WMT看起来处于非常有利的地位,可以在印度进行激烈竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c611e761c64537eac8600067ff46dce9\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7fd83dbbe32e4623cfb108479191db5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Flipkart revenue YoY growth. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart 收入同比增长。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we could observe from above, Flipkart’s FY 20 revenue of 346B rupees (equivalent to about $4.72B) has barely scratched the surface considering the market size of India’s e-commerce industry that was worth $64B in 2020. Even though the revenue growth of 12% YoY was an egregious deceleration from the previous year’s 42% YoY growth, the company has managed to reduce its net loss from 38.35B rupees to 31.5B rupees (see below), an improvement of 17% YoY. It would thus be important for investors to continue monitoring the health of its growth trend moving forward to evaluate whether there is a persistent deceleration that needs to be addressed by the company.</p><p><blockquote>从上面我们可以看出,考虑到印度电子商务行业在 2020 年的市场规模为 640 亿美元,Flipkart 2020 财年的收入为 3460 亿卢比(约合 47.2 亿美元),这勉强触及表面。尽管收入同比增长 12% 比上一年 42% 的同比增长率大幅放缓,但该公司已成功将净亏损从 383.5 亿卢比降至 315 亿卢比(见下文),同比增长 17%。因此,投资者必须继续监控其未来增长趋势的健康状况,以评估公司是否存在需要解决的持续放缓问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84abc8cadd99bda1af002f8ef6a231ad\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>P/L of Flipkart. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Flipkart的盈利能力。数据来源:Flipkart;业务标准</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efdcc73d770fedc1353ca09154e30a26\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Unified Payment Interface [UPI] usage across India. Data Source: The Financial Express (India); NPCI</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度统一支付接口[UPI]的使用。数据来源:《金融快报》(印度);NPCI</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, the company’s UPI platform PhonePe is also the leader in UPI usage across India. UPI has become the dominant payments infrastructure across India with a 73% share of all digital transactions volume as of Feb 21. However, due to the 30% transactions restriction cap placed on all third-party payment apps that include PhonePe by the authority [NPCI] on the leaders, PhonePe and Google Pay would need to meet a 2-year deadline to bring down their transactions share to within the 30% cap. In addition, WhatsApp Pay is also expected to play an increasingly important role in this rapidly expanding market and compete against Google Pay and PhonePe. Notwithstanding the cap placed by NPCI, the digital payments market in India is expected to grow from 2,153 trillion rupees in 2020 to 7,092 trillion rupees by 2025 (see below), which would represent a CAGR of 26.9%, thus giving us a high level of confidence that there is ample room for all the major competitors to grow. Walmart definitely looks incredibly well-positioned in the India e-commerce market, where its e-commerce growth is still very much in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,该公司的 UPI 平台 PhonePe 也是全印度 UPI 使用量的领导者。截至2月21日,合众国际社已成为印度占主导地位的支付基础设施,占所有数字交易量的73%。然而,由于领导者权威机构【NPCI】对包括PhonePe在内的所有第三方支付应用设定了30%的交易限制上限,PhonePe和Google Pay需要在2年期限内将其交易份额降低到30%的上限。此外,WhatsApp Pay也有望在这个迅速扩张的市场中扮演越来越重要的角色,与Google Pay和PhonePe展开竞争。尽管NPCI设定了上限,但印度的数字支付市场预计将从2020年的2,153万亿卢比增长到2025年的7,092万亿卢比(见下文),这将代表26.9%的CAGR,因此我们高度相信所有主要竞争对手都有足够的增长空间。沃尔玛在印度电子商务市场看起来无疑处于非常有利的地位,其电子商务增长仍处于起步阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6273488f83e60a8d2c316d9296e7ad27\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Digital payments market value across India. Data Source: Redseer</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>印度数字支付市场价值。数据来源:Redseer</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Considering Walmart's Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑到沃尔玛的估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1c5a07707bd380a3dab086be2be5c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"701\"><span>EV / EBITDA Metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBITDA指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537bf606c23aaa34ab1130ab1186f6d5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"694\"><span>EV / EBIT metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/息税前利润指标。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider WMT’s FCF and EBIT relative valuations using both EV / EBITDA - CapEx (as a proxy for FCF) and EV / EBIT, WMT is currently valued near the higher end of both valuations range (EV / LTM EBITDA: 14.7x, EV / LTM EBIT: 14.9x) over the last 5 years. In fact, when we consider the company forward valuations, we could observe that the market seems to have priced in quite a bit of optimism into WMT’s future EBIT and FCF growth in which the company is expected to execute well moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>当我们使用 EV / EBITDA - 资本支出(作为 FCF 的代表)和 EV / EBIT 来考虑 WMT 的 FCF 和 EBIT 的相对估值时,在过去 5 年中,WMT 目前的估值接近两个估值范围的高端(EV / LTM EBITDA:14.7 倍,EV / LTM EBIT:14.9 倍)。事实上,当我们考虑公司的前瞻性估值时,我们可以观察到市场似乎对 WMT 未来的息税前利润和自由现金流增长持相当乐观的态度,预计该公司将在未来表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38ba544168ae18b243f52b6359262acb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"884\"><span>EV / EBIT valuation metrics.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/EBIT估值指标。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, in order to have a basis on whether WMT’s forward valuations are also in line with what we expect from other companies, it would be useful to conduct an EV / EBIT comparison across a set of benchmark companies for us to have a reasonable basis to value WMT. We also observed that WMT’s EV / EBIT metrics have not been excessive when compared against this set of benchmark companies.</p><p><blockquote>因此,为了了解 WMT 的前瞻性估值是否也符合我们对其他公司的预期,对一组基准公司进行 EV / EBIT 比较将是有益的,这样我们就有了合理的基础来估值 WMT。我们还观察到,与这组基准公司相比,WMT 的电动汽车/息税前利润指标并不过分。</blockquote></p><p> Using a blend of their EV / LTM EBIT metric and their EV / Fwd EBIT metric, we arrived at a fair value of $156.42 at the midpoint of the fair value range, representing a potential upside of 11.7% from 15 Jun’s closing price of $140.</p><p><blockquote>综合使用 EV / LTM EBIT 指标和 EV / Fwd EBIT 指标,我们得出的公允价值为 156.42 美元,位于公允价值区间的中点,比 6 月 15 日的收盘价 140 美元有 11.7% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeab97d13426aa4d6f580b82aaf6bf4b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> WMT is a strong stock that has always been well supported along its long-term uptrend over the last 3 years. The 50W moving average has always acted as its key dynamic support level, including during the 2018 bear market, and the 2020 COVID-19 bear market, demonstrating the confidence of the market in this customary market leader. The support level at $127 also looks like an extremely strong support level that attracted strong buying interest during the retracement in Feb - Mar 21 and investors should consider this as a \"Buy more\" entry point if the price retraces to that level in the future. Currently, the stock is right at the 50W MA support level again, and I think at the current price level of $140, it still represents an optimal technical buy entry. Investors should however avoid buying near $154 in the near term as it’s expected to be a near term resistance level.</p><p><blockquote>WMT 是一只强劲的股票,在过去 3 年的长期上升趋势中一直得到良好的支撑。50W移动平均线一直是其关键的动态支撑位,包括在2018年熊市和2020年新冠肺炎熊市期间,表明了市场对这一惯例市场领导者的信心。127 美元的支撑位看起来也是一个极其强劲的支撑位,在 2 月至 3 月 21 日的回撤期间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣,如果价格在未来回落到该水平,投资者应将其视为“买入更多”的切入点。目前,该股再次处于 50W MA 支撑位,我认为在当前 140 美元的价格水平上,它仍然代表着最佳的技术买入入场。不过,投资者短期内应避免在 154 美元附近买入,因为预计这将是近期的阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping it all up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Walmart’s international strategies, especially in India are looking very exciting and is expected to be the company's main international growth driver. Although its international segment is still a relatively small segment of the company’s overall revenue, it’s expected to lead the group’s growth in the foreseeable future and the market definitely thinks so as well as WMT is expected to be valued at higher multiples than what was observed historically. Investors should therefore take advantage of WMT’s current price weakness to add to this fantastic stock in view of its attractive valuation right now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的国际战略,尤其是在印度的战略,看起来非常令人兴奋,有望成为公司国际增长的主要动力。虽然国际业务在公司总收入中所占比例仍然相对较小,但预计在可预见的未来,国际业务将引领集团的增长,市场也肯定这么认为,WMT 的估值倍数预计将高于历史水平。因此,鉴于 WMT 目前的估值极具吸引力,投资者应该利用 WMT 目前的股价疲软来增持这只出色的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435090-walmart-stock-buy-for-international-growth-potential\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435090-walmart-stock-buy-for-international-growth-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138373077","content_text":"Summary\n\nWalmart’s international segment is expected to lead the company’s revenue growth in the years ahead.\nThe company’s leadership through Flipkart in the rapidly growing India market is expected to be a key competitive advantage as it scales up to compete against Amazon India.\nAt the current price, Walmart is not expensive, and offers an attractive entry point for investors to partake in its international growth drivers.\n\nWolterk/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nWalmart (WMT) has very exciting growth prospects in its international markets, especially in India where the market is expected to overtake Canada as the second largest international market segment, behind the leader Mexico by 2025. In addition, the company’s astute investment in Flipkart has given it the key leadership in the e-commerce segment in India which is expected to grow rapidly in the years ahead.\nSetting the Stage for International Expansion\nWalmart has grand ambitions on the international stage. After the completion of the divestiture of Asda and Seiyu last quarter, the company has set its sights on driving its international growth in the faster growing markets. The company also discussed at length its international priorities and opportunities in two recent conferences (DBAccess, andBaird) on how to take its international business to the next level.\nWMT net sales worldwide by division. Data Source: Company Filings\nWalmart’s international sales accounted for about 21.9% of FY 21 revenue. As we could observe from above, WMT’s international business as a whole has been largely stagnant in recent years even though its U.S. operations saw relatively stable and consistent growth. The company’s exit from Seiyu [Japan] and Asda [UK] in order to reallocate capital to its higher growth regions, notably in India and China, is an important step towards aligning its growth priorities and rejuvenating its international business segment. In fact, Walmart had even received pretty nasty press on its operations in Japan, asNikkei Asiaremarked: “Walmart's foreign flops can be attributed largely to tone-deaf management, which failed to take into account local business customs, dietary habits and labor relations, among other glaring oversights.” Notwithstanding the sensational allegations made by the Nikkei, I think WMT has actually performed admirably in its international business as it’s aprofitable segmentfor the company that posted an operating margin of 4.4% in Q1’22, as well as 3% in FY 21, 2.8% in FY 20, and 4% in FY 19, respectively.\nAsk Amazon How Hard It Is To Make Money Overseas\nIn order to understand how difficult it is to make money operating a retail business in international markets with a footprint as large as WMT, investors need to look no further than Amazon (AMZN), notwithstanding its focus on the e-commerce segment.\nAMZN annual Operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings\nAMZN quarterly operating income by segment. Data Source: Company Filings\nAs we could observe from the 2 charts above, AMZN’s international segment only recently started to turn an operating profit in Q2’20 after experiencing losses over the last 6 years, even though the North America segment continued to do well. It’s a good reminder to investors that WMT knows how to manage its large international footprint well and it’s really very difficult to run an operation as geographically diverse and huge as Walmart’s and be profitable at the same time, giving the company an extremely wide moat.\nIndia and China Expected to Lead Growth\nWMT projected net sales by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential\nAlthough Mexico is still expected to remain as International’s most important revenue driver by 2025, India and China are expected to lead the growth, with India expected to be the company’s second largest international market by 2025.\nWMT projected revenue CAGR by country. Data Source: Edge by Ascential\nIndia’s 5Y CAGR of 10.4% is expected to outperform the rest of its international peers, followed by China in second place with a 5Y CAGR of 6.6%. The rest of its international markets are also expected to grow relatively fast, including the leader Mexico (5Y CAGR: 4.1%).\nWMT projected revenue mean consensus, and YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nIf we consider the company’s overall expected revenue growth in the next few years, investors should now be able to appreciate the importance of WMT’s international markets to drive the company’s topline and therefore managing the growth of its international segment well would provide the company a highly significant lever to drive results over time.\nLeading retail chain operators in China. Data Source: China Chain Store & Franchise Association\nAlthough WMT’s leadership in the U.S. is undisputed, it may not be the same in China. The competitive landscape in China is strongly dominated by Suning Commerce Group, and WMT’s China operations was actually ranked 7th in this survey. Therefore, there is a tremendous amount of sales potential for WMT to make up in order to move up the ranks among China’s retail leaders.\nTotal population in the U.S. and India. Data Source: IMF\nIn the market where it is expected to lead the company's growth: India, this is where the excitement for WMT’s international business really begins. India’s population is expected to grow from 1.324B in 2016 to 1.443B by 2025, which would represent a CAGR of 0.96%, faster than the U.S. population CAGR of 0.47%, that is twice as fast, despite having a population size that’s already 4x larger to start with.\nMarket size of e-commerce industry across India. Data Source: India Brand Equity Foundation; Various sources (Media sources); BCG; Bain & Company; Morgan Stanley\nIndia’s e-commerce industry (WMT’s main channel in India) is expected to grow from just $14B in 2014 to $200B by 2027, which would represent a whopping CAGR of 22.7%, an incredible growth rate. More importantly, WMT is an e-commerce leader in India (though Flipkart), as Flipkart had a 31.9% market share as of Oct 20 according to Forrester Research, just ahead of its fierce rival, Amazon India, who had a 31.2% market share. Therefore, WMT looks very well positioned to compete strongly in India as the leader of a rapidly expanding e-commerce market.\nFlipkart revenue. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard\nFlipkart revenue YoY growth. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard\nAs we could observe from above, Flipkart’s FY 20 revenue of 346B rupees (equivalent to about $4.72B) has barely scratched the surface considering the market size of India’s e-commerce industry that was worth $64B in 2020. Even though the revenue growth of 12% YoY was an egregious deceleration from the previous year’s 42% YoY growth, the company has managed to reduce its net loss from 38.35B rupees to 31.5B rupees (see below), an improvement of 17% YoY. It would thus be important for investors to continue monitoring the health of its growth trend moving forward to evaluate whether there is a persistent deceleration that needs to be addressed by the company.\nP/L of Flipkart. Data Source: Flipkart; Business Standard\nUnified Payment Interface [UPI] usage across India. Data Source: The Financial Express (India); NPCI\nMeanwhile, the company’s UPI platform PhonePe is also the leader in UPI usage across India. UPI has become the dominant payments infrastructure across India with a 73% share of all digital transactions volume as of Feb 21. However, due to the 30% transactions restriction cap placed on all third-party payment apps that include PhonePe by the authority [NPCI] on the leaders, PhonePe and Google Pay would need to meet a 2-year deadline to bring down their transactions share to within the 30% cap. In addition, WhatsApp Pay is also expected to play an increasingly important role in this rapidly expanding market and compete against Google Pay and PhonePe. Notwithstanding the cap placed by NPCI, the digital payments market in India is expected to grow from 2,153 trillion rupees in 2020 to 7,092 trillion rupees by 2025 (see below), which would represent a CAGR of 26.9%, thus giving us a high level of confidence that there is ample room for all the major competitors to grow. Walmart definitely looks incredibly well-positioned in the India e-commerce market, where its e-commerce growth is still very much in its infancy.\nDigital payments market value across India. Data Source: Redseer\nConsidering Walmart's Valuations\nEV / EBITDA Metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / EBIT metrics. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider WMT’s FCF and EBIT relative valuations using both EV / EBITDA - CapEx (as a proxy for FCF) and EV / EBIT, WMT is currently valued near the higher end of both valuations range (EV / LTM EBITDA: 14.7x, EV / LTM EBIT: 14.9x) over the last 5 years. In fact, when we consider the company forward valuations, we could observe that the market seems to have priced in quite a bit of optimism into WMT’s future EBIT and FCF growth in which the company is expected to execute well moving forward.\nEV / EBIT valuation metrics.\nTherefore, in order to have a basis on whether WMT’s forward valuations are also in line with what we expect from other companies, it would be useful to conduct an EV / EBIT comparison across a set of benchmark companies for us to have a reasonable basis to value WMT. We also observed that WMT’s EV / EBIT metrics have not been excessive when compared against this set of benchmark companies.\nUsing a blend of their EV / LTM EBIT metric and their EV / Fwd EBIT metric, we arrived at a fair value of $156.42 at the midpoint of the fair value range, representing a potential upside of 11.7% from 15 Jun’s closing price of $140.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWMT is a strong stock that has always been well supported along its long-term uptrend over the last 3 years. The 50W moving average has always acted as its key dynamic support level, including during the 2018 bear market, and the 2020 COVID-19 bear market, demonstrating the confidence of the market in this customary market leader. The support level at $127 also looks like an extremely strong support level that attracted strong buying interest during the retracement in Feb - Mar 21 and investors should consider this as a \"Buy more\" entry point if the price retraces to that level in the future. Currently, the stock is right at the 50W MA support level again, and I think at the current price level of $140, it still represents an optimal technical buy entry. Investors should however avoid buying near $154 in the near term as it’s expected to be a near term resistance level.\nWrapping it all up\nWalmart’s international strategies, especially in India are looking very exciting and is expected to be the company's main international growth driver. Although its international segment is still a relatively small segment of the company’s overall revenue, it’s expected to lead the group’s growth in the foreseeable future and the market definitely thinks so as well as WMT is expected to be valued at higher multiples than what was observed historically. Investors should therefore take advantage of WMT’s current price weakness to add to this fantastic stock in view of its attractive valuation right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163371173,"gmtCreate":1623860752892,"gmtModify":1634026843828,"author":{"id":"3586322847446285","authorId":"3586322847446285","name":"263dbcd0","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586322847446285","authorIdStr":"3586322847446285"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163371173","repostId":"1118154026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118154026","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623850220,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118154026?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118154026","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.\nTh","content":"<p>U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储更新货币政策之前,美国股市周三基本持平。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 20 points higher. The S&P 500 inched up 0.1%, sitting just a few points below an all-time high reached in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨20点。标普500小幅上涨 0.1%,仅比前一交易日创下的历史高点低几个百分点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数小幅上涨 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Large tech shares like Tesla and Nvidia were slightly lower, while shares of economic reopening plays Royal Caribbean and Carnival gained 1% each.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和英伟达等大型科技股小幅下跌,而经济重新开放的皇家加勒比公司和嘉年华公司的股票均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks pulled back from record levels duringTuesday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 closing 0.2% lower after hitting an all-time intraday high earlier in the day. The Dow slid nearly 100 points and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.7% amid weakness in shares of Big Tech.</p><p><blockquote>周二交易时段,股市从创纪录水平回落,标普500指数在当天早些时候创下盘中历史新高后收盘下跌 0.2%。由于大型科技股疲软,道琼斯指数下跌近 100 点,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but it could signal that it’s beginning to think abouteasing its bond-buying policy. The Fed will also release new forecasts on Wednesday, which could indicate a possible first rate hike penciled in for 2023. Previously, Fed officials hadn’t come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周二开始了为期两天的会议。预计央行不会采取任何政策举措,但这可能表明央行开始考虑放松债券购买政策。美联储还将于周三发布新的预测,这可能表明 2023 年可能首次加息。此前,美联储官员尚未就2023年加息达成共识。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement and forecasts will come out at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell 30 minutes later.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明和预测将于美国东部时间下午 2 点发布,30 分钟后主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> The meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>周二的一份报告显示,此次会议召开之际,通胀正在升温,5 月份生产者价格以近 11 年来最快的年增长率上涨。这促使包括Paul Tudor Jones在内的一些人看涨期权要求央行重新考虑其宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> \"I still think equities are going higher,\" BlackRock global bond chief Rick Rieder said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" on Wednesday. \"If we don't hear anything different, then I worry a little bit about risk the system creates — you can create asset bubbles you can create leverage. We've seen markets that are a little bit concerning with literally zero spread to them for risk assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德全球债券主管里克-里德(Rick Rieder)周三在 CNBC 的 “Squawk Box ”节目中表示:”我仍然认为股市正在走高。“如果我们没有听到任何不同的声音,那么我有点担心这个系统会产生风险--你可以制造资产泡沫,也可以制造杠杆。我们已经看到一些市场有点担心风险资产的利差实际上为零。”</blockquote></p><p> The central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济继续从冠状病毒大流行中复苏,央行每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券。</blockquote></p><p> \"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"</p><p><blockquote>Commonwealth Financial Network 首席信息官布拉德·麦克米伦 (Brad McMillan) 表示:“本周的戏剧性事件将是美联储是否保持紧缩政策,还是承认通胀正在上升以及美联储需要紧缩政策。”“由于美联储有双重任务——失业和通胀——这表明它确实应该继续关注失业,而不是通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> Minutes from the central bank's last meeting showed that some Fed officials said it could be appropriate to start discussing adjustments to the bond-buying program should the economy continue to recover. Economists predict that while some of these discussions could begin, concrete details will not be revealed until later this year.</p><p><blockquote>央行上次会议纪要显示,一些美联储官员表示,如果经济继续复苏,开始讨论调整债券购买计划可能是合适的。经济学家预测,虽然其中一些讨论可能会开始,但具体细节要到今年晚些时候才会披露。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三,中国表示将从国家储备中释放铜、铝和锌等工业金属,以抑制大宗商品价格。铜价已从历史高点下跌超过10%,周二跌入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 is flat near a record with all eyes on Federal Reserve’s update<blockquote>标普500持平于创纪录水平,所有人的目光都集中在美联储的最新消息上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储更新货币政策之前,美国股市周三基本持平。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 20 points higher. The S&P 500 inched up 0.1%, sitting just a few points below an all-time high reached in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨20点。标普500小幅上涨 0.1%,仅比前一交易日创下的历史高点低几个百分点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数小幅上涨 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Large tech shares like Tesla and Nvidia were slightly lower, while shares of economic reopening plays Royal Caribbean and Carnival gained 1% each.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和英伟达等大型科技股小幅下跌,而经济重新开放的皇家加勒比公司和嘉年华公司的股票均上涨 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks pulled back from record levels duringTuesday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 closing 0.2% lower after hitting an all-time intraday high earlier in the day. The Dow slid nearly 100 points and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.7% amid weakness in shares of Big Tech.</p><p><blockquote>周二交易时段,股市从创纪录水平回落,标普500指数在当天早些时候创下盘中历史新高后收盘下跌 0.2%。由于大型科技股疲软,道琼斯指数下跌近 100 点,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but it could signal that it’s beginning to think abouteasing its bond-buying policy. The Fed will also release new forecasts on Wednesday, which could indicate a possible first rate hike penciled in for 2023. Previously, Fed officials hadn’t come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周二开始了为期两天的会议。预计央行不会采取任何政策举措,但这可能表明央行开始考虑放松债券购买政策。美联储还将于周三发布新的预测,这可能表明 2023 年可能首次加息。此前,美联储官员尚未就2023年加息达成共识。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement and forecasts will come out at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell 30 minutes later.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明和预测将于美国东部时间下午 2 点发布,30 分钟后主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> The meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>周二的一份报告显示,此次会议召开之际,通胀正在升温,5 月份生产者价格以近 11 年来最快的年增长率上涨。这促使包括Paul Tudor Jones在内的一些人看涨期权要求央行重新考虑其宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> \"I still think equities are going higher,\" BlackRock global bond chief Rick Rieder said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" on Wednesday. \"If we don't hear anything different, then I worry a little bit about risk the system creates — you can create asset bubbles you can create leverage. We've seen markets that are a little bit concerning with literally zero spread to them for risk assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德全球债券主管里克-里德(Rick Rieder)周三在 CNBC 的 “Squawk Box ”节目中表示:”我仍然认为股市正在走高。“如果我们没有听到任何不同的声音,那么我有点担心这个系统会产生风险--你可以制造资产泡沫,也可以制造杠杆。我们已经看到一些市场有点担心风险资产的利差实际上为零。”</blockquote></p><p> The central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济继续从冠状病毒大流行中复苏,央行每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券。</blockquote></p><p> \"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"</p><p><blockquote>Commonwealth Financial Network 首席信息官布拉德·麦克米伦 (Brad McMillan) 表示:“本周的戏剧性事件将是美联储是否保持紧缩政策,还是承认通胀正在上升以及美联储需要紧缩政策。”“由于美联储有双重任务——失业和通胀——这表明它确实应该继续关注失业,而不是通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> Minutes from the central bank's last meeting showed that some Fed officials said it could be appropriate to start discussing adjustments to the bond-buying program should the economy continue to recover. Economists predict that while some of these discussions could begin, concrete details will not be revealed until later this year.</p><p><blockquote>央行上次会议纪要显示,一些美联储官员表示,如果经济继续复苏,开始讨论调整债券购买计划可能是合适的。经济学家预测,虽然其中一些讨论可能会开始,但具体细节要到今年晚些时候才会披露。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三,中国表示将从国家储备中释放铜、铝和锌等工业金属,以抑制大宗商品价格。铜价已从历史高点下跌超过10%,周二跌入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118154026","content_text":"U.S. stocks were mostly flat on Wednesday ahead of theFederal Reserve’s updateon monetary policy.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 20 points higher. The S&P 500 inched up 0.1%, sitting just a few points below an all-time high reached in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.2%.\nLarge tech shares like Tesla and Nvidia were slightly lower, while shares of economic reopening plays Royal Caribbean and Carnival gained 1% each.\nStocks pulled back from record levels duringTuesday’s trading session, with the S&P 500 closing 0.2% lower after hitting an all-time intraday high earlier in the day. The Dow slid nearly 100 points and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.7% amid weakness in shares of Big Tech.\nThe Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. The central bank is not expected to make any policy moves, but it could signal that it’s beginning to think abouteasing its bond-buying policy. The Fed will also release new forecasts on Wednesday, which could indicate a possible first rate hike penciled in for 2023. Previously, Fed officials hadn’t come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023.\nThe Fed’s statement and forecasts will come out at 2 p.m. ET followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell 30 minutes later.\nThe meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.\n\"I still think equities are going higher,\" BlackRock global bond chief Rick Rieder said on CNBC's \"Squawk Box\" on Wednesday. \"If we don't hear anything different, then I worry a little bit about risk the system creates — you can create asset bubbles you can create leverage. We've seen markets that are a little bit concerning with literally zero spread to them for risk assets.\"\nThe central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"\nMinutes from the central bank's last meeting showed that some Fed officials said it could be appropriate to start discussing adjustments to the bond-buying program should the economy continue to recover. Economists predict that while some of these discussions could begin, concrete details will not be revealed until later this year.\nOn Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}