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Munching

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2021-06-23

Like

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2021-06-24

Hope the good times continue

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2021-06-23

Hmmm

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2021-06-27

Hmmm

WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>华尔街投注正在消亡，华尔街投注运动万岁</blockquote>

2021-06-24

Hmmm

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2021-06-21

Hmmm

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2021-06-16

You jump, I jump [Smile]

FOMC Preview: "It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night"<blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会预览：“这就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜间”</blockquote>

2021-07-27

Hmmm

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2021-06-23

Like

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2021-06-23

🤨

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((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>6 月 26 日（路透社）-：美国法院驳回对谷歌和Youtube的种族歧视诉讼。((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;))</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","09086":"华夏纳指-U","GOOG":"谷歌","03086":"华夏纳指","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009151","content_text":"June 26 (Reuters) - :U.S. Court Dismisses Racial Discrimination Suit Against Google And Youtube - Court Filing. 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It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为为使大银行和基金受益而操纵的不公平市场结构感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的风险沟通方式，称对方为“猿猴”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有做空挤压股票，并渴望以鸡块或“tendies”的形式交易利润。</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论点，使用自己的分析来推广新的股票代码，以便跳入该运动。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自 1 月份以来，WallStreetBets 的成功已成为一个信天翁，该委员会的版主因该委员会 1060 万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致以及越来越多的人认为版主玩得过于谨慎而受到抨击。担心激怒华尔街和监管机构。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有人普遍猜测，华尔街投注的规模和受欢迎程度使得它很容易受到不良行为者的攻击，他们试图通过在旧的对话线程中发送特定于股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和抛售计划，从而给人一种新的社交媒体对该股票感兴趣的印象。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起在流行的交易应用程序 Robinhood 在 1 月份逼空高峰期冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者如何转向 Robinhood。这一决定引发了针对 Robinhood 的愤怒风暴，许多零售商在社交媒体上声称，该应用程序与挤压另一边的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与 Robinhood 的出走一样，WallStreetBets 的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子论坛。它甚至给了他们创建自己的董事会的机会，如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的子Reddit，于3月份推出，发布了一系列反华尔街赌博的帖子，已经拥有485,000名成员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB 是 Reddit 的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 和其他模因股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子版块，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一个迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，而且他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的子版块上，如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit 集会的母舰 WallStreetBets 将会有那种空巢感。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，推动美国股市本周再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>华尔街投注正在消亡，华尔街投注运动万岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>华尔街投注正在消亡，华尔街投注运动万岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Olivier Douliery/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“没有人再去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉正在谈论 20 世纪 60 年代初佛罗里达州一家受欢迎的餐厅，但他很容易就会在 2021 年夏天谈论 WallStreeBets，因为许多将留言板变成金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而使用更新的子版块，称 WallStreetBets 已受到主流金融对社交媒体对市场运动的影响力的更好掌握的损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets 一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为为使大银行和基金受益而操纵的不公平市场结构感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的风险沟通方式，称对方为“猿猴”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有做空挤压股票，并渴望以鸡块或“tendies”的形式交易利润。</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论点，使用自己的分析来推广新的股票代码，以便跳入该运动。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自 1 月份以来，WallStreetBets 的成功已成为一个信天翁，该委员会的版主因该委员会 1060 万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致以及越来越多的人认为版主玩得过于谨慎而受到抨击。担心激怒华尔街和监管机构。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有人普遍猜测，华尔街投注的规模和受欢迎程度使得它很容易受到不良行为者的攻击，他们试图通过在旧的对话线程中发送特定于股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和抛售计划，从而给人一种新的社交媒体对该股票感兴趣的印象。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起在流行的交易应用程序 Robinhood 在 1 月份逼空高峰期冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者如何转向 Robinhood。这一决定引发了针对 Robinhood 的愤怒风暴，许多零售商在社交媒体上声称，该应用程序与挤压另一边的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与 Robinhood 的出走一样，WallStreetBets 的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子论坛。它甚至给了他们创建自己的董事会的机会，如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的子Reddit，于3月份推出，发布了一系列反华尔街赌博的帖子，已经拥有485,000名成员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB 是 Reddit 的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 和其他模因股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子版块，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一个迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，而且他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的子版块上，如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit 集会的母舰 WallStreetBets 将会有那种空巢感。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，推动美国股市本周再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009942","content_text":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"\nWhile Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.\nWallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop $(GME)$, AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$ and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.\nThe irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"\nUsers also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.\nBut since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.\nThere is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.\nAmong Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nThe shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.\nLike the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.\n\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" one user posted on Superstonk this week.\nAMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.\nWhile the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.\nAs that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.\nLOOKING FORWARD\nMeanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125262711,"gmtCreate":1624675871433,"gmtModify":1631889388528,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125262711","repostId":"2146107083","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125266193,"gmtCreate":1624675817412,"gmtModify":1631889388530,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125266193","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125284749,"gmtCreate":1624675508981,"gmtModify":1631889388532,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gogogo","listText":"Gogogo","text":"Gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125284749","repostId":"1100072036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122253402,"gmtCreate":1624624623906,"gmtModify":1631889388534,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122253402","repostId":"1123235741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123235741","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624621822,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1123235741?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123235741","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earl","content":"<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间 2021 年 6 月 25 日上午 08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>正如预期的那样，5月份关键通胀指标同比上升3.4%。</b></li><li>标准普尔和纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>道琼斯调查的经济学家表示，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标创下近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至 1991 年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔期货交易创历史新高，追踪亚洲市场强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后为美联储首选通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:58，标准普尔期货上涨 5 点或 0.12%，道琼斯 futs 上涨 120 点或 0.35%，纳斯达克 futs 上涨 10.5 点或 +0.07%。<b>全球股市有望实现自 4 月份以来的最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略低于预期，但这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计 5 月份这一数字将比去年增长 3.4%，创下 1992 年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，而道琼斯指数上涨近1%，此前乔·拜登接受了1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议，数据显示劳动力市场复苏步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，此前所有华尔街银行都通过了美联储的压力测试，为超过 1400 亿美元的派息铺平了道路。耐克在盘前交易中飙升 12%，此前这家运动鞋制造商预测全财年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调了价格预测，并帮助道琼斯指数期货上涨 0.3%。阿迪达斯股价上涨 5.1%，至 17 个月高点，而电力生产商 Iberdrola 股价下跌 2.1%，至 3 月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难未能达到 2022 年盈利预测。其股价下跌 3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是当今美国盘前的一些其他主要推动者：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司 Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) 表示，美国证券交易委员会已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，股价上涨 16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商 Grove (GRVI) 股价飙升 35%，进一步高于昨天每股 5 美元的 IPO 价格。</li><li>瑞士信贷将 Netflix (NFLX) 股价上涨 1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将该股评级上调至跑赢大盘，预计2021年第四季度用户增长将恢复正常。CS 对美国消费者的调查证实了该流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和较高的用户满意度。</li><li>诺基亚的美国存托凭证（NOK）上涨 2.9%，此前高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入，并上调了目标价。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>– 耐克公布的季度收益为每股 93 美分，远高于每股 51 美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋类和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直接销售额增长了 73%。耐克股价在盘前飙升 12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>– 汽车零售商 CarMax 公布最新季度销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.9%。CarMax 的每股股价超出市场普遍预期 1 美元，季度利润为 2.63 美元，这得益于大流行引发的人们对汽车而不是公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3) 维珍银河 (SPCE)</b>– 美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送入太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升 11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次批准此类飞行，此前维珍银河公司已于 5 月份成功进行了试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）联邦快递（FDX）</b>– 联邦快递每股收益超出预期 2 美分，季度收益为每股 5.01 美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，公司今年将把资本支出增加 22%，以应对交付延迟。该股在盘前交易中下跌 3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一个财年以约 36 亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）Netflix（NFLX）</b>- 瑞士信贷将 Netflix 评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”，盘前上涨 1.3%。该银行表示，预计用户增长将恢复正常，最近的消费者调查巩固了 Netflix 的强大竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7) 黑莓(BB)</b>– 黑莓公布最新季度亏损小于预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨 1.3%。这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期，因为电动汽车销量的激增提振了对黑莓 QNX 软件的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8) 摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>– 美联储通过了所有接受最新一轮压力测试的 23 家银行的评级后，大银行股今天受到关注。这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9) Twilio(TWLO)、Asana(ASAN)</b>– Twilio 和 Asana 已同意在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的机构，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana 在盘前交易中上涨 3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10) 瑞士信贷(CS)</b>- 据熟悉瑞士信贷想法的人士向路透社透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11) 粘性（文档）</b>– 这家医生社交网络以每股 26 美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为 53 美元，盘前股价下跌 3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-25 19:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间 2021 年 6 月 25 日上午 08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>正如预期的那样，5月份关键通胀指标同比上升3.4%。</b></li><li>标准普尔和纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>道琼斯调查的经济学家表示，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标创下近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至 1991 年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔期货交易创历史新高，追踪亚洲市场强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后为美联储首选通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:58，标准普尔期货上涨 5 点或 0.12%，道琼斯 futs 上涨 120 点或 0.35%，纳斯达克 futs 上涨 10.5 点或 +0.07%。<b>全球股市有望实现自 4 月份以来的最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略低于预期，但这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计 5 月份这一数字将比去年增长 3.4%，创下 1992 年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，而道琼斯指数上涨近1%，此前乔·拜登接受了1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议，数据显示劳动力市场复苏步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，此前所有华尔街银行都通过了美联储的压力测试，为超过 1400 亿美元的派息铺平了道路。耐克在盘前交易中飙升 12%，此前这家运动鞋制造商预测全财年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调了价格预测，并帮助道琼斯指数期货上涨 0.3%。阿迪达斯股价上涨 5.1%，至 17 个月高点，而电力生产商 Iberdrola 股价下跌 2.1%，至 3 月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难未能达到 2022 年盈利预测。其股价下跌 3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是当今美国盘前的一些其他主要推动者：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司 Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) 表示，美国证券交易委员会已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，股价上涨 16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商 Grove (GRVI) 股价飙升 35%，进一步高于昨天每股 5 美元的 IPO 价格。</li><li>瑞士信贷将 Netflix (NFLX) 股价上涨 1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将该股评级上调至跑赢大盘，预计2021年第四季度用户增长将恢复正常。CS 对美国消费者的调查证实了该流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和较高的用户满意度。</li><li>诺基亚的美国存托凭证（NOK）上涨 2.9%，此前高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入，并上调了目标价。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>– 耐克公布的季度收益为每股 93 美分，远高于每股 51 美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋类和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直接销售额增长了 73%。耐克股价在盘前飙升 12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>– 汽车零售商 CarMax 公布最新季度销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.9%。CarMax 的每股股价超出市场普遍预期 1 美元，季度利润为 2.63 美元，这得益于大流行引发的人们对汽车而不是公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3) 维珍银河 (SPCE)</b>– 美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送入太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升 11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次批准此类飞行，此前维珍银河公司已于 5 月份成功进行了试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）联邦快递（FDX）</b>– 联邦快递每股收益超出预期 2 美分，季度收益为每股 5.01 美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，公司今年将把资本支出增加 22%，以应对交付延迟。该股在盘前交易中下跌 3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一个财年以约 36 亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）Netflix（NFLX）</b>- 瑞士信贷将 Netflix 评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”，盘前上涨 1.3%。该银行表示，预计用户增长将恢复正常，最近的消费者调查巩固了 Netflix 的强大竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7) 黑莓(BB)</b>– 黑莓公布最新季度亏损小于预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨 1.3%。这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期，因为电动汽车销量的激增提振了对黑莓 QNX 软件的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8) 摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>– 美联储通过了所有接受最新一轮压力测试的 23 家银行的评级后，大银行股今天受到关注。这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9) Twilio(TWLO)、Asana(ASAN)</b>– Twilio 和 Asana 已同意在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的机构，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana 在盘前交易中上涨 3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10) 瑞士信贷(CS)</b>- 据熟悉瑞士信贷想法的人士向路透社透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11) 粘性（文档）</b>– 这家医生社交网络以每股 26 美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为 53 美元，盘前股价下跌 3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123235741","content_text":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.\nS&P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.\nNike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 25) The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones. \nRelated: Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades\nFed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps\nS&P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.\nAt 7:58 am ET S&P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up 120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%. Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.\n\nIn a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.\nOn Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks passed the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.\nHere are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:\n\nBlank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.\nCannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.\nNetflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.\nNokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more\n1) Nike(NKE) – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.\n2) CarMax(KMX) – CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.\n3) Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.\n4) FedEx(FDX) – FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.\n5) Tesla(TSLA) – Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.\n6) Netflix(NFLX) – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.\n7) BlackBerry(BB) – BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.\n8) JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C) – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.\n9) Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN) – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.\n10) Credit Suisse(CS) – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.\n11) Doximity(DOCS) – The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at 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the good times continue","listText":"Hope the good times continue","text":"Hope the good times continue","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121760374","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123020369,"gmtCreate":1624404092951,"gmtModify":1634006763354,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123020369","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123065498,"gmtCreate":1624404010614,"gmtModify":1634006764952,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123065498","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123008497,"gmtCreate":1624402009019,"gmtModify":1634006813285,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123008497","repostId":"1116451605","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123008920,"gmtCreate":1624401930060,"gmtModify":1634006813873,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s see","listText":"Let’s see","text":"Let’s see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123008920","repostId":"1168762020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168762020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623988654,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1168762020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168762020","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithogra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到 2028 年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%。</li><li>DUV光刻预计到2025年将以8.4%的CAGR增长，EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML 在 EUV 中占据垄断地位，而在 DUV 中面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对于半导体制造工艺都绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为一家真正的创新者，ASML 拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，安全边际很小，他们可能会通过美元成本平均法将脚趾浸入水中，以从推动 ASML 的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>微距照片/iStock via Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding (ASML) 拥有无与伦比的市场地位，其最先进的技术平台 EUV 光刻没有竞争对手。同样，它在 DUV 内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识掌握着非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象还有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于整体GDP的行业。然而，市场早已认识到 ASML 的杰出潜力和潜在历程，但仍然可能低估了其潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇文章，讲述了如何避免拥有太多半导体曝光。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论部分收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行后续跟进。我选择 ASML 是因为它独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器公司（TXN）和博通公司（AVGO）的股票，接触到了半导体价值链的制造层面，但如果进一步深入价值链，投资者就可以以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触到大多数制造商，这使得它变得非常有趣，因为你可以采用 “我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在竞争 ”的口头禅。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险敞口引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于 ASML 的追随者来说，这并不奇怪，但 ASML 在未来十年将推动其收入的产品中占据主导地位，那就是 EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方，都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML 提供光刻设备，光刻是通过光源以多种光谱打印芯片特征的艺术，其中最先进的是 EUV，它是 DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于 DUV 来说，尽管 ASML 拥有超过 85% 的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV在比DUV小近15倍的光波长（13.5nm对193nm）下工作。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将成为3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商严重依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来是一笔相当划算的交易，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是 ASML。对于每一代新的 EUV 机器，其产量都会随着更高的吞吐量和更少的停机问题而变得更好，这意味着 ASML 实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都是关于过程知识的行业。台积电（TSM）能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米，它将能够生产3纳米，因为它可以生产5纳米，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司（INTC）如此不利，以至于它不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面的持续问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到 5 纳米，就没有 3 纳米，正如我之前的文章中所讨论的那样。ASML 也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入 EUV 领域，他们将落后 ASML 很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前 EUV 早期困扰 ASML 的同样问题。我收录了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，该活动于 2018 年 11 月举行，下一次将于 2021 年 9 月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第6页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了 ASML 在其 EUV 生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也为每一代新产品带来了更好的 EUV 机械，生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用 EUV 技术需要大量的时间和资金，我无法想象还有什么比这更有利的竞争形势了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第16页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>根据摩尔定律，半导体制造是一个残酷的行业，研发支出巨大（ASML 花费了 60 亿欧元的研发支出才发明了 EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着 ASML 已经在研究下一代技术，即高 NA-EUV。High NA-EUV 还需要一段时间，下面的时间表有点过时，但其技术将显着改善 EUV 平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高良率和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍然有很多机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第21页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面规划了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的 DUV 平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第25页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上半导体行业的整体增长率预计至少在 2028 年之前将超过整体 GDP，复合年增长率为 8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司 (OTC: SSNLF) 的最新通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们对未来十年的资本支出合计预期将超过 2000 亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图可以看出，ASML 预计通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的 DUV 路线图就是一个例子，说明 EUV 的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像 DUV 的情况一样通过该公司称之为安装基地管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，DUV产品和商业机会，第10页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总是有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战 ASML，但公司在该技术还处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现。到来并对 EUV 产生了 EUV 对 DUV 的影响。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了说明这一点，我插入了 ASML 自己对光刻技术如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是创造更强大、更快、更便宜的芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案相结合，帮助优化生产并实现经济实惠的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图（称为“掩模”或“十字线”）投射。在光中编码图案后，系统的光学器件会收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。图案被打印后，系统稍微移动晶圆，并在晶圆上制作另一份拷贝。重复这一过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成一层晶片。为了制造整个微芯片，这个过程一层一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路（IC）。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有150多层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于功能最小的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于功能较小的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020 年年度报告，光刻的作用，第 12 页。</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020 年年度报告，光刻的作用，第 12 页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果不熟悉，他们应该拿起一本书来教育自己。读完这一部分后，鉴于我对 ASML 的地位和竞争力的大力倡导，作为作者，我很容易觉得自己患有确认性偏见。不过，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响 ASML 的情况，但老实说，我找不到。当然，还有与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这也反映在 2016 年的股价上，以及目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。这些都是公司自己在2020年年度报告第21页中提到的，没有一个行业没有潜在的风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>总而言之：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML 开创了 EUV 光刻技术，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV 将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将推动 ASML 及其客户在未来十年内的长期价值</li><li>预计到 2028 年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%，超过整体 GDP，ASML 是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动对 ASML 产品的需求</li><li>在安装基地管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片 EUV 机器的依赖方面扩展 EUV 业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML 是尖端芯片制造的重要参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML 做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>强劲的收入增长</li><li>强劲的利润率扩张</li><li>自由现金流大幅改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来巩固其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是 2021 年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于 2021 年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入增长略有下降，为 41 亿欧元，毛利率为 49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是已安装基础管理中的发展，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从 2019 年到 2020 年同比增长 29%，远远超过 18% 的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021 年第一季度，第 8 页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是市场估计是否低估了 ASML 的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了 ASML 的潜力还是高估了？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 在整个 2028 年之前都受到分析师的广泛关注，但一旦我们超过 2025 年（这是不止一位分析师关注的最后一年），覆盖范围就会减弱。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR增长率为11.1%，但如果我们排除2021年，这显示出恒星增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到 2028 年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果将 2020 年至 2021 年的大幅跃升排除在外，ASML 的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑到一些支持 ASML 前景可能更加乐观的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业2020-2028年CAGR预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV 2020-2025 年复合年增长率预测为 8.4%，仍是 ASML 最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027 预测为 12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML 展示了其通过“安装基础管理”扩大机械生态系统的计划取得的进展，将总潜在市场增加了两位数以上，2018 年销售额为 20%，2025 年估计为 50%。</li><li>ASML 在 DUV 沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是 DUV 中利润率较高的部分，因为其在 DUV 中唯一的两个竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向 EUV 过渡，对 DUV 的需求也将随之增长。芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造受益于这两个系统。</li></ul>更不用说潜在的价格上涨，这些价格上涨可能会波及到其客户，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强势市场地位，在EUV中占据垄断地位，同时还将在本十年中期将高NA-EUV推向市场，因此他们可能会争夺ASML的产能。如今，客户为 EUV 机器支付大约 1.3-1.5 亿美元，而 DUV 机器的收入约为 1 亿美元。ASML 超额交付的最大障碍是其目前在交付 EUV 系统的能力方面的产能限制，每年上限为 40 至 50 个系统，随着需求的增长，该公司当然会努力扩大这一产能限制多年来。另一方面，随着 ASML 努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图制定一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否会成立，或者它们是过于积极还是过于消极。我只想强调的是，考虑到目前发生的一切以及 ASML 的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现会比目前的预期还要好并非不合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>股价距离 52 周高点仅一步之遥，自 2020 年初以来一直处于上涨状态，自 2020 年 10 月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但市盈率却大幅扩大，随后所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长。股市早已认识到 ASML 的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股 722 美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供目标价的 30 位分析师中，非常看涨的比例自 2016 年以来从未更高，56% 的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类声明时保持谨慎是一种心理练习，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如下所示的五年期限时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅增长，分别为 55 和 15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司处于一个非常不同的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极进展，ASML 还通过 2021 年 100 亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还大量资本，但不幸的是，该计划仅导致当前流通股减少 0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对 ASML 未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了对未来几年的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的产品组合和市场主导地位，近年来该公司的预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信现有股东持有现有股份对自己有好处，因为这家公司前景光明。过去一年，我一直在关注 ASML，我非常遗憾地说，我从来没有抽出时间好好研究过它，只是远远地看了一眼，得出的结论是，该股可能会在某个时候出现一次不错的回调。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得-林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言：“投资者因准备调整或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对 ASML 的前景和潜在发展历程非常着迷，但以目前的价格来看，我对其前景和缺乏安全边际仍然犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上目前的水平，我认为美元成本平均法是当前价格的谨慎策略，同时如果我们在 2021 年底前看到回调，则保留为满载货车备份的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 在其两大主要产品（DUV 和 EUV 光刻）中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲顺风的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，没有真正的竞争，为预计到 2028 年复合年增长率将达到 8.6% 的行业提供机械和工具，其 DUV 和 EUV 平台的增长可能会更加强劲，同时还预计利润率将扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 没有什么坏话可说，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。有了如此强劲的前景，现有股东在持有股票方面做得很好，只是享受未来的旅程，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值最近大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。股票交易距离 52 周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得-林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者因准备调整或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”。这正是我在很长一段时间里从远处看待 ASML 时陷入的谬误。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了 ASML 的真实潜力，但任何将未来 5-10 年的预测都伴随着极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML 的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，因此美元成本平均法可以作为一种方法，在此过程中慢慢建仓，从而获得对公司的敞口。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到 2028 年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%。</li><li>DUV光刻预计到2025年将以8.4%的CAGR增长，EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML 在 EUV 中占据垄断地位，而在 DUV 中面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对于半导体制造工艺都绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为一家真正的创新者，ASML 拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，安全边际很小，他们可能会通过美元成本平均法将脚趾浸入水中，以从推动 ASML 的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>微距照片/iStock via Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding (ASML) 拥有无与伦比的市场地位，其最先进的技术平台 EUV 光刻没有竞争对手。同样，它在 DUV 内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识掌握着非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象还有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于整体GDP的行业。然而，市场早已认识到 ASML 的杰出潜力和潜在历程，但仍然可能低估了其潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇文章，讲述了如何避免拥有太多半导体曝光。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论部分收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行后续跟进。我选择 ASML 是因为它独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器公司（TXN）和博通公司（AVGO）的股票，接触到了半导体价值链的制造层面，但如果进一步深入价值链，投资者就可以以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触到大多数制造商，这使得它变得非常有趣，因为你可以采用 “我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在竞争 ”的口头禅。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险敞口引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于 ASML 的追随者来说，这并不奇怪，但 ASML 在未来十年将推动其收入的产品中占据主导地位，那就是 EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方，都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML 提供光刻设备，光刻是通过光源以多种光谱打印芯片特征的艺术，其中最先进的是 EUV，它是 DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于 DUV 来说，尽管 ASML 拥有超过 85% 的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV在比DUV小近15倍的光波长（13.5nm对193nm）下工作。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将成为3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商严重依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来是一笔相当划算的交易，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是 ASML。对于每一代新的 EUV 机器，其产量都会随着更高的吞吐量和更少的停机问题而变得更好，这意味着 ASML 实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都是关于过程知识的行业。台积电（TSM）能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米，它将能够生产3纳米，因为它可以生产5纳米，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司（INTC）如此不利，以至于它不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面的持续问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到 5 纳米，就没有 3 纳米，正如我之前的文章中所讨论的那样。ASML 也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入 EUV 领域，他们将落后 ASML 很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前 EUV 早期困扰 ASML 的同样问题。我收录了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，该活动于 2018 年 11 月举行，下一次将于 2021 年 9 月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第6页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了 ASML 在其 EUV 生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也为每一代新产品带来了更好的 EUV 机械，生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用 EUV 技术需要大量的时间和资金，我无法想象还有什么比这更有利的竞争形势了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第16页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>根据摩尔定律，半导体制造是一个残酷的行业，研发支出巨大（ASML 花费了 60 亿欧元的研发支出才发明了 EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着 ASML 已经在研究下一代技术，即高 NA-EUV。High NA-EUV 还需要一段时间，下面的时间表有点过时，但其技术将显着改善 EUV 平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高良率和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍然有很多机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第21页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面规划了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的 DUV 平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，EUV产品和商业机会，第25页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上半导体行业的整体增长率预计至少在 2028 年之前将超过整体 GDP，复合年增长率为 8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司 (OTC: SSNLF) 的最新通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们对未来十年的资本支出合计预期将超过 2000 亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图可以看出，ASML 预计通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的 DUV 路线图就是一个例子，说明 EUV 的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像 DUV 的情况一样通过该公司称之为安装基地管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML投资者日2018，DUV产品和商业机会，第10页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总是有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战 ASML，但公司在该技术还处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现。到来并对 EUV 产生了 EUV 对 DUV 的影响。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了说明这一点，我插入了 ASML 自己对光刻技术如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是创造更强大、更快、更便宜的芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案相结合，帮助优化生产并实现经济实惠的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图（称为“掩模”或“十字线”）投射。在光中编码图案后，系统的光学器件会收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。图案被打印后，系统稍微移动晶圆，并在晶圆上制作另一份拷贝。重复这一过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成一层晶片。为了制造整个微芯片，这个过程一层一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路（IC）。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有150多层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于功能最小的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于功能较小的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020 年年度报告，光刻的作用，第 12 页。</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020 年年度报告，光刻的作用，第 12 页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果不熟悉，他们应该拿起一本书来教育自己。读完这一部分后，鉴于我对 ASML 的地位和竞争力的大力倡导，作为作者，我很容易觉得自己患有确认性偏见。不过，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响 ASML 的情况，但老实说，我找不到。当然，还有与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这也反映在 2016 年的股价上，以及目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。这些都是公司自己在2020年年度报告第21页中提到的，没有一个行业没有潜在的风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>总而言之：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML 开创了 EUV 光刻技术，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV 将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将推动 ASML 及其客户在未来十年内的长期价值</li><li>预计到 2028 年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%，超过整体 GDP，ASML 是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动对 ASML 产品的需求</li><li>在安装基地管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片 EUV 机器的依赖方面扩展 EUV 业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML 是尖端芯片制造的重要参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML 做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>强劲的收入增长</li><li>强劲的利润率扩张</li><li>自由现金流大幅改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来巩固其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是 2021 年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于 2021 年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入增长略有下降，为 41 亿欧元，毛利率为 49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是已安装基础管理中的发展，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从 2019 年到 2020 年同比增长 29%，远远超过 18% 的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021 年第一季度，第 8 页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是市场估计是否低估了 ASML 的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了 ASML 的潜力还是高估了？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 在整个 2028 年之前都受到分析师的广泛关注，但一旦我们超过 2025 年（这是不止一位分析师关注的最后一年），覆盖范围就会减弱。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR增长率为11.1%，但如果我们排除2021年，这显示出恒星增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到 2028 年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果将 2020 年至 2021 年的大幅跃升排除在外，ASML 的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑到一些支持 ASML 前景可能更加乐观的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业2020-2028年CAGR预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV 2020-2025 年复合年增长率预测为 8.4%，仍是 ASML 最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027 预测为 12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML 展示了其通过“安装基础管理”扩大机械生态系统的计划取得的进展，将总潜在市场增加了两位数以上，2018 年销售额为 20%，2025 年估计为 50%。</li><li>ASML 在 DUV 沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是 DUV 中利润率较高的部分，因为其在 DUV 中唯一的两个竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向 EUV 过渡，对 DUV 的需求也将随之增长。芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造受益于这两个系统。</li></ul>更不用说潜在的价格上涨，这些价格上涨可能会波及到其客户，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强势市场地位，在EUV中占据垄断地位，同时还将在本十年中期将高NA-EUV推向市场，因此他们可能会争夺ASML的产能。如今，客户为 EUV 机器支付大约 1.3-1.5 亿美元，而 DUV 机器的收入约为 1 亿美元。ASML 超额交付的最大障碍是其目前在交付 EUV 系统的能力方面的产能限制，每年上限为 40 至 50 个系统，随着需求的增长，该公司当然会努力扩大这一产能限制多年来。另一方面，随着 ASML 努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图制定一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否会成立，或者它们是过于积极还是过于消极。我只想强调的是，考虑到目前发生的一切以及 ASML 的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现会比目前的预期还要好并非不合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>股价距离 52 周高点仅一步之遥，自 2020 年初以来一直处于上涨状态，自 2020 年 10 月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但市盈率却大幅扩大，随后所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长。股市早已认识到 ASML 的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股 722 美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供目标价的 30 位分析师中，非常看涨的比例自 2016 年以来从未更高，56% 的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类声明时保持谨慎是一种心理练习，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如下所示的五年期限时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅增长，分别为 55 和 15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司处于一个非常不同的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极进展，ASML 还通过 2021 年 100 亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还大量资本，但不幸的是，该计划仅导致当前流通股减少 0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对 ASML 未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了对未来几年的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的产品组合和市场主导地位，近年来该公司的预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信现有股东持有现有股份对自己有好处，因为这家公司前景光明。过去一年，我一直在关注 ASML，我非常遗憾地说，我从来没有抽出时间好好研究过它，只是远远地看了一眼，得出的结论是，该股可能会在某个时候出现一次不错的回调。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得-林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言：“投资者因准备调整或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对 ASML 的前景和潜在发展历程非常着迷，但以目前的价格来看，我对其前景和缺乏安全边际仍然犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上目前的水平，我认为美元成本平均法是当前价格的谨慎策略，同时如果我们在 2021 年底前看到回调，则保留为满载货车备份的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 在其两大主要产品（DUV 和 EUV 光刻）中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲顺风的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，没有真正的竞争，为预计到 2028 年复合年增长率将达到 8.6% 的行业提供机械和工具，其 DUV 和 EUV 平台的增长可能会更加强劲，同时还预计利润率将扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML 没有什么坏话可说，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。有了如此强劲的前景，现有股东在持有股票方面做得很好，只是享受未来的旅程，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值最近大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。股票交易距离 52 周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得-林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者因准备调整或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”。这正是我在很长一段时间里从远处看待 ASML 时陷入的谬误。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了 ASML 的真实潜力，但任何将未来 5-10 年的预测都伴随着极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML 的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，因此美元成本平均法可以作为一种方法，在此过程中慢慢建仓，从而获得对公司的敞口。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168762020","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.\nASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.\nA true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.\nExisting shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.\n\nMACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.\nIt's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.\nPersonally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.\nThe Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come\nFor ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).\nActually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.\nThis is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.\nQuite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.\nThe picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.\nSemiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.\nASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.\nIf that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.\nAs can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.\nASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.\nThere is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.\n\n “\n Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.”\n ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\n\nASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\nI believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.\nSo, to sum it all up:\n\nASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight\nEUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade\nThe semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)\nStrong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings\nThe path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips\nASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing\n\nSounds pretty good to me.\nThe Financial Performance and Development\nASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.\n\nStrong revenue growth\nStrong margin expansion\nStrong improvement in free cash flow\nImpressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&D spend and IP portfolio\n\nAnnual Report 2020, p 7.\nThis was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.\nAn interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.\nThe more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.\nAre Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?\nASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.\nAuthor's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.\nRemember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.\nConsidering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:\n\nGeneral semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.\nDUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.\nEUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.\nASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.\nASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.\nASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.\nAs the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.\n\nThis is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.\nI will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.\nValuation\nThe stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.\nData by YCharts\nMarket cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.\nThe significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.\nData by YCharts\nRevenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.\nData by YCharts\nThe strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.\nData by YCharts\nWith all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.\nAs Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.\nThere is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.\nAs can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.\nData by YCharts\nConclusion\nASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.\nThere is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.\nAs Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123001915,"gmtCreate":1624401860837,"gmtModify":1634006814888,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123001915","repostId":"2145063746","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2145063746","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624383145,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2145063746?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 01:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China's Full Truck Alliance opens up 18%, valued at over $24 bln in market debut<blockquote>中国整车联盟开盘上涨18%，上市首秀估值超过240亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145063746","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 22 (Reuters) - China's Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd  was valued at over $24 billion in its market","content":"<p><html><body>June 22 (Reuters) - China's Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd</p><p><blockquote><html><body>6 月 22 日（路透社） - 中国满载卡车联盟有限公司</body></html></blockquote></p><p>  was valued at over $24 billion in its market debut on Tuesday, after the company's American Depositary Shares (ADSs) opened 18% above their offer price.</p><p><blockquote>该公司美国存托股 (ADS) 开盘价比发行价高出 18%，周二上市时估值超过 240 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika Syamnath)</p><p><blockquote>（Niket Nishant 在班加罗尔报道；Devika Syamnath 编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Niket.Nishant@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>（（Niket.Nishant@thomsonreuters.com；））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China's Full Truck Alliance opens up 18%, valued at over $24 bln in market debut<blockquote>中国整车联盟开盘上涨18%，上市首秀估值超过240亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina's Full Truck Alliance opens up 18%, valued at over $24 bln in market debut<blockquote>中国整车联盟开盘上涨18%，上市首秀估值超过240亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 01:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>June 22 (Reuters) - China's Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd</p><p><blockquote><html><body>6 月 22 日（路透社） - 中国满载卡车联盟有限公司</body></html></blockquote></p><p>  was valued at over $24 billion in its market debut on Tuesday, after the company's American Depositary Shares (ADSs) opened 18% above their offer price.</p><p><blockquote>该公司美国存托股 (ADS) 开盘价比发行价高出 18%，周二上市时估值超过 240 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika Syamnath)</p><p><blockquote>（Niket Nishant 在班加罗尔报道；Devika Syamnath 编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Niket.Nishant@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>（（Niket.Nishant@thomsonreuters.com；））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"YMM":"满帮"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145063746","content_text":"June 22 (Reuters) - China's Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd  was valued at over $24 billion in its market debut on Tuesday, after the company's American Depositary Shares (ADSs) opened 18% above their offer price. (Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika Syamnath)((Niket.Nishant@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YMM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123009836,"gmtCreate":1624401758525,"gmtModify":1634006816685,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s see","listText":"Let’s see","text":"Let’s see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123009836","repostId":"2145657710","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2145657710","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1624390489,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2145657710?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 03:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus<blockquote>特斯拉前副总法律顾问 Lynn Miller 加入自动卡车运输技术公司 Plus 的执行团队</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145657710","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Au","content":"<p><html><body>June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>6 月 22 日（路透社）——特斯拉前副总法律顾问林恩·米勒 (Lynn Miller) 加入自动卡车运输技术公司 Plus 的执行团队。((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;))</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus<blockquote>特斯拉前副总法律顾问 Lynn Miller 加入自动卡车运输技术公司 Plus 的执行团队</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus<blockquote>特斯拉前副总法律顾问 Lynn Miller 加入自动卡车运输技术公司 Plus 的执行团队</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 03:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>6 月 22 日（路透社）——特斯拉前副总法律顾问林恩·米勒 (Lynn Miller) 加入自动卡车运输技术公司 Plus 的执行团队。((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;))</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TISI":"Team Inc","BGC":"BGC GROUP","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145657710","content_text":"June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"BGC":1,"TISI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":123065498,"gmtCreate":1624404010614,"gmtModify":1634006764952,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123065498","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121760374,"gmtCreate":1624492740698,"gmtModify":1631884323446,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hope the good times continue","listText":"Hope the good times continue","text":"Hope the good times continue","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121760374","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123020369,"gmtCreate":1624404092951,"gmtModify":1634006763354,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123020369","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124146691,"gmtCreate":1624755742213,"gmtModify":1631889388535,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124146691","repostId":"2146009942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146009942","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624753788,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2146009942?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>华尔街投注正在消亡，华尔街投注运动万岁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146009942","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier ","content":"<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Olivier Douliery/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“没有人再去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉正在谈论 20 世纪 60 年代初佛罗里达州一家受欢迎的餐厅，但他很容易就会在 2021 年夏天谈论 WallStreeBets，因为许多将留言板变成金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而使用更新的子版块，称 WallStreetBets 已受到主流金融对社交媒体对市场运动的影响力的更好掌握的损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets 一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为为使大银行和基金受益而操纵的不公平市场结构感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的风险沟通方式，称对方为“猿猴”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有做空挤压股票，并渴望以鸡块或“tendies”的形式交易利润。</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论点，使用自己的分析来推广新的股票代码，以便跳入该运动。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自 1 月份以来，WallStreetBets 的成功已成为一个信天翁，该委员会的版主因该委员会 1060 万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致以及越来越多的人认为版主玩得过于谨慎而受到抨击。担心激怒华尔街和监管机构。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有人普遍猜测，华尔街投注的规模和受欢迎程度使得它很容易受到不良行为者的攻击，他们试图通过在旧的对话线程中发送特定于股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和抛售计划，从而给人一种新的社交媒体对该股票感兴趣的印象。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起在流行的交易应用程序 Robinhood 在 1 月份逼空高峰期冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者如何转向 Robinhood。这一决定引发了针对 Robinhood 的愤怒风暴，许多零售商在社交媒体上声称，该应用程序与挤压另一边的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与 Robinhood 的出走一样，WallStreetBets 的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子论坛。它甚至给了他们创建自己的董事会的机会，如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的子Reddit，于3月份推出，发布了一系列反华尔街赌博的帖子，已经拥有485,000名成员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB 是 Reddit 的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 和其他模因股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子版块，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一个迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，而且他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的子版块上，如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit 集会的母舰 WallStreetBets 将会有那种空巢感。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，推动美国股市本周再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>华尔街投注正在消亡，华尔街投注运动万岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>华尔街投注正在消亡，华尔街投注运动万岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Olivier Douliery/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“没有人再去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉正在谈论 20 世纪 60 年代初佛罗里达州一家受欢迎的餐厅，但他很容易就会在 2021 年夏天谈论 WallStreeBets，因为许多将留言板变成金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而使用更新的子版块，称 WallStreetBets 已受到主流金融对社交媒体对市场运动的影响力的更好掌握的损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets 一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为为使大银行和基金受益而操纵的不公平市场结构感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的风险沟通方式，称对方为“猿猴”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有做空挤压股票，并渴望以鸡块或“tendies”的形式交易利润。</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论点，使用自己的分析来推广新的股票代码，以便跳入该运动。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自 1 月份以来，WallStreetBets 的成功已成为一个信天翁，该委员会的版主因该委员会 1060 万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致以及越来越多的人认为版主玩得过于谨慎而受到抨击。担心激怒华尔街和监管机构。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有人普遍猜测，华尔街投注的规模和受欢迎程度使得它很容易受到不良行为者的攻击，他们试图通过在旧的对话线程中发送特定于股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和抛售计划，从而给人一种新的社交媒体对该股票感兴趣的印象。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的 Redditor 中，WallStreetBets 通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起在流行的交易应用程序 Robinhood 在 1 月份逼空高峰期冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者如何转向 Robinhood。这一决定引发了针对 Robinhood 的愤怒风暴，许多零售商在社交媒体上声称，该应用程序与挤压另一边的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与 Robinhood 的出走一样，WallStreetBets 的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子论坛。它甚至给了他们创建自己的董事会的机会，如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的子Reddit，于3月份推出，发布了一系列反华尔街赌博的帖子，已经拥有485,000名成员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB 是 Reddit 的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 和其他模因股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子版块，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一个迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，而且他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的子版块上，如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit 集会的母舰 WallStreetBets 将会有那种空巢感。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，推动美国股市本周再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009942","content_text":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"\nWhile Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.\nWallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop $(GME)$, AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$ and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.\nThe irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"\nUsers also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.\nBut since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.\nThere is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.\nAmong Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nThe shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.\nLike the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.\n\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" one user posted on Superstonk this week.\nAMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.\nWhile the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.\nAs that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.\nLOOKING FORWARD\nMeanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121762660,"gmtCreate":1624492935250,"gmtModify":1634005421867,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121762660","repostId":"1170004118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167042417,"gmtCreate":1624240779039,"gmtModify":1634009056693,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167042417","repostId":"1121306615","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160665470,"gmtCreate":1623796371090,"gmtModify":1634028226811,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"You jump, I jump [Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"You jump, I jump [Smile]&nbsp;","text":"You jump, I jump [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160665470","repostId":"1187337744","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187337744","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770439,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187337744?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FOMC Preview: \"It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night\"<blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会预览：“这就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜间”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187337744","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Perhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.","content":"<p>There's an FOMC meeting this week and we are expecting a policy statement at 2:00 PM on Wednesday. Many commentators are calling this FOMC meeting the \"most important\" in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>本周将举行联邦公开市场委员会会议，我们预计周三下午 2:00 将发表政策声明。许多评论称这次联邦公开市场委员会会议是近年来“最重要的”。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>Big picture … did the Fed move the goal posts?</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>大局…美联储移动了目标柱吗？</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Let's look at some numbers.</p><p><blockquote>我们来看一些数字。</blockquote></p><p> Monthly inflation: wage growth +.5%, PCE +.7%, PPI +.6%, CPI +.7% -<b>these are real scary when they're annualized</b>.</p><p><blockquote>月度通胀：工资增长+.5%，个人消费支出+.7%，PPI+.6%，CPI+.7% -<b>当它们被年化时，这些真的很可怕</b>.</blockquote></p><p> GDP is projected to be 6.4% and the unemployment rate is projected to be 5.5% at the next report.</p><p><blockquote>在下一份报告中，GDP预计为6.4%，失业率预计为5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> With these numbers, U.S. monetary is still \"<b>all in.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>有了这些数字，美国货币仍然“<b>全部投入。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Overnight rates are at 0% and QE running at $120 billion a month.</p><p><blockquote>隔夜利率为0%，量化宽松每月运行1200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On top of that, there will be more stimulus as the economy continues to reopen.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最重要的是，随着经济继续重新开放，将会有更多的刺激措施。</b></blockquote></p><p> In my book, this economic situation calls for attention.</p><p><blockquote>在我的书中，这种经济形势引起了评级的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>It's like the Titanic running at full speed. In fog. At night.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>就像泰坦尼克号全速前进。在雾中。晚上。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Perhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.</p><p><blockquote>也许放松油门是明智的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FOMC Preview: \"It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night\"<blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会预览：“这就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜间”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFOMC Preview: \"It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night\"<blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会预览：“这就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜间”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 23:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There's an FOMC meeting this week and we are expecting a policy statement at 2:00 PM on Wednesday. Many commentators are calling this FOMC meeting the \"most important\" in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>本周将举行联邦公开市场委员会会议，我们预计周三下午 2:00 将发表政策声明。许多评论称这次联邦公开市场委员会会议是近年来“最重要的”。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>Big picture … did the Fed move the goal posts?</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>大局…美联储移动了目标柱吗？</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Let's look at some numbers.</p><p><blockquote>我们来看一些数字。</blockquote></p><p> Monthly inflation: wage growth +.5%, PCE +.7%, PPI +.6%, CPI +.7% -<b>these are real scary when they're annualized</b>.</p><p><blockquote>月度通胀：工资增长+.5%，个人消费支出+.7%，PPI+.6%，CPI+.7% -<b>当它们被年化时，这些真的很可怕</b>.</blockquote></p><p> GDP is projected to be 6.4% and the unemployment rate is projected to be 5.5% at the next report.</p><p><blockquote>在下一份报告中，GDP预计为6.4%，失业率预计为5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> With these numbers, U.S. monetary is still \"<b>all in.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>有了这些数字，美国货币仍然“<b>全部投入。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Overnight rates are at 0% and QE running at $120 billion a month.</p><p><blockquote>隔夜利率为0%，量化宽松每月运行1200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On top of that, there will be more stimulus as the economy continues to reopen.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最重要的是，随着经济继续重新开放，将会有更多的刺激措施。</b></blockquote></p><p> In my book, this economic situation calls for attention.</p><p><blockquote>在我的书中，这种经济形势引起了评级的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>It's like the Titanic running at full speed. In fog. At night.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>就像泰坦尼克号全速前进。在雾中。晚上。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Perhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.</p><p><blockquote>也许放松油门是明智的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-preview-its-titanic-running-full-speed-fog-night\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-preview-its-titanic-running-full-speed-fog-night","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187337744","content_text":"There's an FOMC meeting this week and we are expecting a policy statement at 2:00 PM on Wednesday. Many commentators are calling this FOMC meeting the \"most important\" in recent years.\nBig picture … did the Fed move the goal posts?\nLet's look at some numbers.\nMonthly inflation: wage growth +.5%, PCE +.7%, PPI +.6%, CPI +.7% -these are real scary when they're annualized.\nGDP is projected to be 6.4% and the unemployment rate is projected to be 5.5% at the next report.\nWith these numbers, U.S. monetary is still \"all in.\"\nOvernight rates are at 0% and QE running at $120 billion a month.\nOn top of that, there will be more stimulus as the economy continues to reopen.\nIn my book, this economic situation calls for attention.\nIt's like the Titanic running at full speed. In fog. At night.\nPerhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809988650,"gmtCreate":1627344164070,"gmtModify":1631889388510,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809988650","repostId":"1186319253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123008497,"gmtCreate":1624402009019,"gmtModify":1634006813285,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123008497","repostId":"1116451605","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129774321,"gmtCreate":1624401580763,"gmtModify":1634006819523,"author":{"id":"3585889470457472","authorId":"3585889470457472","name":"Munching","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7994afc48f9078fd5f5d157fbe40ab8d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585889470457472","authorIdStr":"3585889470457472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🤨&nbsp;","listText":"🤨&nbsp;","text":"🤨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129774321","repostId":"1156381928","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}