Rajadurai的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Rajadurai

Rajadurai

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2021-10-27

$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$simply wasted!!!

2021-10-29

$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$New comer[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

2021-10-03

$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$it's gone so far!!!

2021-09-08

$BlackBerry(BB)$[喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血] [捂脸]

2021-08-17

$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$[喷血] [捂脸] [喷血] [喷血]

2021-11-04

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$pls go..go...go

2021-10-23

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Is it worth to hold?????[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

2021-11-05

$Carnival(CCL)$[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

2021-10-15

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Unexpected Drop!!!

2021-10-04

$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$[捂脸] [捂脸] [喷血] [难过] [捂脸] [喷血]

2021-10-02

$BlackBerry(BB)$[喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血] [捂脸]

2021-09-30

$fuboTV Inc.(FUBO)$[捂脸] [难过] [难过] [捂脸]

2021-08-30

$fuboTV Inc.(FUBO)$[捂脸] [喷血] [愤怒] [喷血] [捂脸]

2021-08-27

$fuboTV Inc.(FUBO)$[难过] [喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血] [捂脸]

2021-06-14

Before buying this stock It will gone far[惊讶] [惊讶]

Amazon: The Virtuous Cycle At A Fair Price

2021-06-13

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$[傲娇] [白眼]

2021-11-03

$BlackBerry(BB)$[喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血]

2021-10-17

$Carnival(CCL)$[喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血] [捂脸] [难过]

2021-10-09

$PayPal(PYPL)$All stocks are falling[捂脸] [难过] [捂脸] [喷血] [难过]

2021-09-19

$BlackBerry(BB)$[难过] [喷血] [捂脸] [难过]

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RWS consists of around 1,600 hotel rooms, a casino, a Universal Studios theme park, and a wide selection of meeting venues as w","listText":"3 Blue-Chip Companies That Could Recover Strongly from the Pandemic.The world is now gearing up for recovery after the pandemic hit our shores last year.With the dissemination of the vaccines, businesses are starting to see a return of demand for their products and services.With that, industries such as tourism, aviation and transportation are positioning themselves for a rebound.As an investor, you should keep an eye out for strong, blue-chip companies that can tide through the challenges.Here are three such companies that could see a recovery.Genting Singapore Ltd (SGX: G13)Genting Singapore owns and operates the integrated resort at Resorts World Sentosa (RWS). RWS consists of around 1,600 hotel rooms, a casino, a Universal Studios theme park, and a wide selection of meeting venues as w","text":"3 Blue-Chip Companies That Could Recover Strongly from the Pandemic.The world is now gearing up for recovery after the pandemic hit our shores last year.With the dissemination of the vaccines, businesses are starting to see a return of demand for their products and services.With that, industries such as tourism, aviation and transportation are positioning themselves for a rebound.As an investor, you should keep an eye out for strong, blue-chip companies that can tide through the challenges.Here are three such companies that could see a recovery.Genting Singapore Ltd (SGX: G13)Genting Singapore owns and operates the integrated resort at Resorts World Sentosa (RWS). RWS consists of around 1,600 hotel rooms, a casino, a Universal Studios theme park, and a wide selection of meeting venues as w","images":[],"top":2,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":35,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166988368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":631154287,"gmtCreate":1644553270042,"gmtModify":1644553271164,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"waiting to rise[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;","listText":"waiting to rise[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;","text":"waiting to rise[Anger] [Anger]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631154287","repostId":"631918050","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":631918050,"gmtCreate":1644423088775,"gmtModify":1644457505580,"author":{"id":"3573593808442035","authorId":"3573593808442035","name":"zhuzhu518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272cc270b288063fa925b5f2c1a0bb76","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> 一代芯皇终于重新崛起了!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> 一代芯皇终于重新崛起了!","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ 一代芯皇终于重新崛起了!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631918050","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639779664,"gmtCreate":1643509204811,"gmtModify":1643509206063,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639779664","repostId":"639403322","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":639403322,"gmtCreate":1643372890496,"gmtModify":1643414603809,"author":{"id":"3537499478386870","authorId":"3537499478386870","name":"大叔观点时间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aea86f242be3b8d003e109794195153c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"收购动视暴雪之后～元宇宙能否解救微软|2021年Q4财报解读","htmlText":"【收益和收入都超预期，欲靠收购Activision Blizzard进入元宇宙】科技股大白马之一微软<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>&nbsp;1月25日盘后发布四季度财报。虽然收益和营收都超预期，但 Azure云收入仅仅符合预期。1月26日股价应声涨2.8%，收盘296.71，可是2022年开年来微软的股价还是大跌11.8%，和FAANG这些科技股大白马一样，跌幅超过10%。华尔街投资者正在为利率上升做准备，科技股在2022年开年以来被普遍抛售。【业绩要点】 本季度，每股收益2.48美元，超出市场预期的2.31美元 营收517.3亿美元，超出市场预期的508.8亿，比2020年同期增长20%；上季度增长22% 【各部门收入】 智能云部门（包括Azure public cloud, GitHub and server products such as Windows Serve）：183亿美元，和预期一致；同比增长46%，是增长最强的一个部门，可是却结束了它连续四个季度达到或超过 50%的记录； 生产力和业务流程部门（包括Office, Dynamics and LinkedIn）：159亿美元，和预期一致；Office附带的Teams通信应用程序现在拥有超过2.7亿月活跃用户； 个人计算部门（包括Windows, advertising, devices and gaming）：174亿美元，而预期为 167亿美元。 【其它财务指标】 经营性费用125亿美元，同比增长14%，主要用于云建设、游戏、LinkedIn等； &nbsp;返还股东109亿美元，同比增长9%，其中62亿用于回购股票，47亿用于发股息； 经营性现金流145亿美元，同比增长16%，主要来自于强劲的云收入。","listText":"【收益和收入都超预期，欲靠收购Activision Blizzard进入元宇宙】科技股大白马之一微软<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>&nbsp;1月25日盘后发布四季度财报。虽然收益和营收都超预期，但 Azure云收入仅仅符合预期。1月26日股价应声涨2.8%，收盘296.71，可是2022年开年来微软的股价还是大跌11.8%，和FAANG这些科技股大白马一样，跌幅超过10%。华尔街投资者正在为利率上升做准备，科技股在2022年开年以来被普遍抛售。【业绩要点】 本季度，每股收益2.48美元，超出市场预期的2.31美元 营收517.3亿美元，超出市场预期的508.8亿，比2020年同期增长20%；上季度增长22% 【各部门收入】 智能云部门（包括Azure public cloud, GitHub and server products such as Windows Serve）：183亿美元，和预期一致；同比增长46%，是增长最强的一个部门，可是却结束了它连续四个季度达到或超过 50%的记录； 生产力和业务流程部门（包括Office, Dynamics and LinkedIn）：159亿美元，和预期一致；Office附带的Teams通信应用程序现在拥有超过2.7亿月活跃用户； 个人计算部门（包括Windows, advertising, devices and gaming）：174亿美元，而预期为 167亿美元。 【其它财务指标】 经营性费用125亿美元，同比增长14%，主要用于云建设、游戏、LinkedIn等； &nbsp;返还股东109亿美元，同比增长9%，其中62亿用于回购股票，47亿用于发股息； 经营性现金流145亿美元，同比增长16%，主要来自于强劲的云收入。","text":"【收益和收入都超预期，欲靠收购Activision Blizzard进入元宇宙】科技股大白马之一微软$微软(MSFT)$ 1月25日盘后发布四季度财报。虽然收益和营收都超预期，但 Azure云收入仅仅符合预期。1月26日股价应声涨2.8%，收盘296.71，可是2022年开年来微软的股价还是大跌11.8%，和FAANG这些科技股大白马一样，跌幅超过10%。华尔街投资者正在为利率上升做准备，科技股在2022年开年以来被普遍抛售。【业绩要点】 本季度，每股收益2.48美元，超出市场预期的2.31美元 营收517.3亿美元，超出市场预期的508.8亿，比2020年同期增长20%；上季度增长22% 【各部门收入】 智能云部门（包括Azure public cloud, GitHub and server products such as Windows Serve）：183亿美元，和预期一致；同比增长46%，是增长最强的一个部门，可是却结束了它连续四个季度达到或超过 50%的记录； 生产力和业务流程部门（包括Office, Dynamics and LinkedIn）：159亿美元，和预期一致；Office附带的Teams通信应用程序现在拥有超过2.7亿月活跃用户； 个人计算部门（包括Windows, advertising, devices and gaming）：174亿美元，而预期为 167亿美元。 【其它财务指标】 经营性费用125亿美元，同比增长14%，主要用于云建设、游戏、LinkedIn等； 返还股东109亿美元，同比增长9%，其中62亿用于回购股票，47亿用于发股息； 经营性现金流145亿美元，同比增长16%，主要来自于强劲的云收入。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afb131199c9c95e841f27ad296a3abdf","width":"632","height":"189"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639403322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639724135,"gmtCreate":1643474126757,"gmtModify":1643474127923,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639724135","repostId":"697360822","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697360822,"gmtCreate":1642294728009,"gmtModify":1710135834130,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"Tesla milestones for 2022","htmlText":"Twitter user herbertong shared a very good overview of Tesla's key milestones for 2022. of course, these may change but this puts together a good overview the progress of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>.on top of the launch of Giga Texas &amp; Berlin, Shanghai is also in the midst of expansion.&nbsp;we will see more states offering Tesla insurance. Tesla energy will see expansion and mega battery plant will be opened. new models will continued to be rolled out and both semi and cybertrucks will see more traction.&nbsp;Innovations for 4680 batteries, Tesla Bot, FSD will also bring forth more opportunities. 2022 will be an exciting year for Tesla shareholders.&nbsp; while there are challenges in supply chain, weather &amp;&nbsp;COVID, let us look forward to","listText":"Twitter user herbertong shared a very good overview of Tesla's key milestones for 2022. of course, these may change but this puts together a good overview the progress of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>.on top of the launch of Giga Texas &amp; Berlin, Shanghai is also in the midst of expansion.&nbsp;we will see more states offering Tesla insurance. Tesla energy will see expansion and mega battery plant will be opened. new models will continued to be rolled out and both semi and cybertrucks will see more traction.&nbsp;Innovations for 4680 batteries, Tesla Bot, FSD will also bring forth more opportunities. 2022 will be an exciting year for Tesla shareholders.&nbsp; while there are challenges in supply chain, weather &amp;&nbsp;COVID, let us look forward to","text":"Twitter user herbertong shared a very good overview of Tesla's key milestones for 2022. of course, these may change but this puts together a good overview the progress of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$.on top of the launch of Giga Texas & Berlin, Shanghai is also in the midst of expansion. we will see more states offering Tesla insurance. Tesla energy will see expansion and mega battery plant will be opened. new models will continued to be rolled out and both semi and cybertrucks will see more traction. Innovations for 4680 batteries, Tesla Bot, FSD will also bring forth more opportunities. 2022 will be an exciting year for Tesla shareholders. while there are challenges in supply chain, weather & COVID, let us look forward to","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab8c4e0bae81956bf4641cbc06ee0c51","width":"822","height":"1120"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697360822","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639524433,"gmtCreate":1643360658501,"gmtModify":1643360659632,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639524433","repostId":"630709641","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":630709641,"gmtCreate":1643035068982,"gmtModify":1643348697200,"author":{"id":"3480981608385315","authorId":"3480981608385315","name":"猛虎财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f4cecdb84af1583ad2d12f02487a5e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"财报季来袭，美股全面开始回调、我们有哪些避险手段？","htmlText":"摘要：最近市场风险巨大，利空不断。美股通货膨胀已经达到7%，美联储一改往日的通胀是暂时的观点，如今加息已经迫在眉睫，目前大部分机构的观点：预计美联储最快将在3月份开始收紧货币政策。恰逢目前正赶上四季度财报，从目前的财报看，做空的概率远远大于做多的概率。俄罗斯与乌克兰之间的紧张局势骤然升级，欧洲可能面临着战争的威胁，这给全球金融市场带来了巨大的不确定性，俄罗斯RTS指数一度大跌10%。英国研究机构Jubilee Debt Campaign周日发布报告称，美联储和其他央行的加息可能会加剧全球债务危机，尤其是对发展中国家而言。如果仓位过重，建议做好对冲，或者布局一些恐慌指数，做空大盘etf等。我们需要怎么对冲我们的风险呢？下面我主要汇总一些做空指数。美股做空ETF汇总美股全面开始回调，如果仓位过重，建议做好对冲，或者布局一些恐慌指数，做空大盘etf等。我们需要怎么对冲我们的风险呢？下面我们开始聊一聊。1.5倍做多恐慌指数：UVXYVIX : 恐慌指数又称芝加哥期权交易所VIX指数（CBOE Volatility Index），是芝加哥期权交易所市场波动率指数的交易代码，常见于衡量标准普尔500指数期权的隐含波动性。它是了解市场对未来30天市场波动性预期的一种衡量方法。UVXY是Proshares公司发行的1.5倍做多VIX短期指数ETF。三倍做空标普指数：SPXUSPY是SPDR旗下跟踪标普500指数的ETF，SPDR则是全球第七大资产管理公司——道富投资管理公司（SSGA）旗下的一揽子ETF基金的组合，在美国、欧洲、亚太的市场都有产品上市。SPY是全球规模最大、交易量最大的ETF之一。其中，前10大持股占比约27%左右。最大的成分股各为：APPLE、微软、AMAZON，最大的持股占比仅约5%多，SPY的产业分布中，占最大比例的行业为资讯科技类股，和纳斯达克不同的是SPY的产业组","listText":"摘要：最近市场风险巨大，利空不断。美股通货膨胀已经达到7%，美联储一改往日的通胀是暂时的观点，如今加息已经迫在眉睫，目前大部分机构的观点：预计美联储最快将在3月份开始收紧货币政策。恰逢目前正赶上四季度财报，从目前的财报看，做空的概率远远大于做多的概率。俄罗斯与乌克兰之间的紧张局势骤然升级，欧洲可能面临着战争的威胁，这给全球金融市场带来了巨大的不确定性，俄罗斯RTS指数一度大跌10%。英国研究机构Jubilee Debt Campaign周日发布报告称，美联储和其他央行的加息可能会加剧全球债务危机，尤其是对发展中国家而言。如果仓位过重，建议做好对冲，或者布局一些恐慌指数，做空大盘etf等。我们需要怎么对冲我们的风险呢？下面我主要汇总一些做空指数。美股做空ETF汇总美股全面开始回调，如果仓位过重，建议做好对冲，或者布局一些恐慌指数，做空大盘etf等。我们需要怎么对冲我们的风险呢？下面我们开始聊一聊。1.5倍做多恐慌指数：UVXYVIX : 恐慌指数又称芝加哥期权交易所VIX指数（CBOE Volatility Index），是芝加哥期权交易所市场波动率指数的交易代码，常见于衡量标准普尔500指数期权的隐含波动性。它是了解市场对未来30天市场波动性预期的一种衡量方法。UVXY是Proshares公司发行的1.5倍做多VIX短期指数ETF。三倍做空标普指数：SPXUSPY是SPDR旗下跟踪标普500指数的ETF，SPDR则是全球第七大资产管理公司——道富投资管理公司（SSGA）旗下的一揽子ETF基金的组合，在美国、欧洲、亚太的市场都有产品上市。SPY是全球规模最大、交易量最大的ETF之一。其中，前10大持股占比约27%左右。最大的成分股各为：APPLE、微软、AMAZON，最大的持股占比仅约5%多，SPY的产业分布中，占最大比例的行业为资讯科技类股，和纳斯达克不同的是SPY的产业组","text":"摘要：最近市场风险巨大，利空不断。美股通货膨胀已经达到7%，美联储一改往日的通胀是暂时的观点，如今加息已经迫在眉睫，目前大部分机构的观点：预计美联储最快将在3月份开始收紧货币政策。恰逢目前正赶上四季度财报，从目前的财报看，做空的概率远远大于做多的概率。俄罗斯与乌克兰之间的紧张局势骤然升级，欧洲可能面临着战争的威胁，这给全球金融市场带来了巨大的不确定性，俄罗斯RTS指数一度大跌10%。英国研究机构Jubilee Debt Campaign周日发布报告称，美联储和其他央行的加息可能会加剧全球债务危机，尤其是对发展中国家而言。如果仓位过重，建议做好对冲，或者布局一些恐慌指数，做空大盘etf等。我们需要怎么对冲我们的风险呢？下面我主要汇总一些做空指数。美股做空ETF汇总美股全面开始回调，如果仓位过重，建议做好对冲，或者布局一些恐慌指数，做空大盘etf等。我们需要怎么对冲我们的风险呢？下面我们开始聊一聊。1.5倍做多恐慌指数：UVXYVIX : 恐慌指数又称芝加哥期权交易所VIX指数（CBOE Volatility Index），是芝加哥期权交易所市场波动率指数的交易代码，常见于衡量标准普尔500指数期权的隐含波动性。它是了解市场对未来30天市场波动性预期的一种衡量方法。UVXY是Proshares公司发行的1.5倍做多VIX短期指数ETF。三倍做空标普指数：SPXUSPY是SPDR旗下跟踪标普500指数的ETF，SPDR则是全球第七大资产管理公司——道富投资管理公司（SSGA）旗下的一揽子ETF基金的组合，在美国、欧洲、亚太的市场都有产品上市。SPY是全球规模最大、交易量最大的ETF之一。其中，前10大持股占比约27%左右。最大的成分股各为：APPLE、微软、AMAZON，最大的持股占比仅约5%多，SPY的产业分布中，占最大比例的行业为资讯科技类股，和纳斯达克不同的是SPY的产业组","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c0523a6ea9dac17d1d11ceb135adc3","width":"550","height":"309"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c508fb0f4607f8c3623fd067d07e95","width":"632","height":"388"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/599837a64fce97e84574b4a5e35cf5b2","width":"632","height":"356"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630709641","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639524601,"gmtCreate":1643360605934,"gmtModify":1643360607102,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639524601","repostId":"630177928","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":630177928,"gmtCreate":1642758643632,"gmtModify":1642765311131,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"日本楼市崩盘回忆录：当年高位接盘的平民，都怎么样了？","htmlText":"栏目说明：小话不定期给大家分享有趣的故事，内容来源于网络，希望给您带来更好的阅读体验！ 转自今日头条 作者：倾城之殇 在上个世纪80年代，在石油危机严重打击全球经济的背景下，只有日本一枝独秀地进入一段高速增长期。 日本的产品从这个时期开始畅销世界，所谓的日本式的企业管理备受追捧，欧美学者纷纷惊叹。 认为日本成为世界大国的日子终于到了，而这里头最有名的就是美国学者傅高义的那一本《日本第一》。 从数据上来看，这个时期日本市场的确是空前繁荣，不管是GDP、股票、地价、薪资、房价各种指标的形势都一片大好，日本人的生活水平同样来到了有史以来的巅峰。 然而，支撑着这种繁荣的却是无底线的投机活动，最终幻梦惊醒，留给日本人的只有无穷的债务陷阱。 “卖掉东京，买下美国” 日本的房地产价格开始猛涨是从1983年的东京开始，因为经济的强势表现，很多日本人都相信“东京将会成为亚洲的金融中心”。 既然是中心，那么世界各地的企业就都得在东京建立总部，土地的价格自然也就会随之高涨了。 在这样的心理预期下，全日本都兴起了买地热。 一片片的低矮老建筑被夷平，但买主并不急于开发，而是将土地转手倒卖，或者用土地作为抵押，轻松地从银行获得贷款，然后再去购买下一块土地。 如此反复，几乎是一毛钱都不用出就可以进行土地的倒买倒卖，这种一本万利的生意自然是吸引了很多公司蜂拥而至。 日本的银行也对这种明显的炒作行为默许甚至鼓励，因为银行的竞争非常激烈，而房地产贷款算是优质投资，所以为了争夺业绩，他们对地产炒作更是推波助澜。 在这种社会一致看涨的氛围里，日本地价不断攀高，1986年东京地价上涨了23.8%，到第二年更是上涨了65.3%。 而政府也被繁荣景象冲昏了头脑，1988年距离泡沫破灭已经是近在咫尺了，但日本政府依然无动于衷，甚至还发布《国土利用白皮书》说： “以东京附近为中心的土地价格上涨是由实际需求所引起","listText":"栏目说明：小话不定期给大家分享有趣的故事，内容来源于网络，希望给您带来更好的阅读体验！ 转自今日头条 作者：倾城之殇 在上个世纪80年代，在石油危机严重打击全球经济的背景下，只有日本一枝独秀地进入一段高速增长期。 日本的产品从这个时期开始畅销世界，所谓的日本式的企业管理备受追捧，欧美学者纷纷惊叹。 认为日本成为世界大国的日子终于到了，而这里头最有名的就是美国学者傅高义的那一本《日本第一》。 从数据上来看，这个时期日本市场的确是空前繁荣，不管是GDP、股票、地价、薪资、房价各种指标的形势都一片大好，日本人的生活水平同样来到了有史以来的巅峰。 然而，支撑着这种繁荣的却是无底线的投机活动，最终幻梦惊醒，留给日本人的只有无穷的债务陷阱。 “卖掉东京，买下美国” 日本的房地产价格开始猛涨是从1983年的东京开始，因为经济的强势表现，很多日本人都相信“东京将会成为亚洲的金融中心”。 既然是中心，那么世界各地的企业就都得在东京建立总部，土地的价格自然也就会随之高涨了。 在这样的心理预期下，全日本都兴起了买地热。 一片片的低矮老建筑被夷平，但买主并不急于开发，而是将土地转手倒卖，或者用土地作为抵押，轻松地从银行获得贷款，然后再去购买下一块土地。 如此反复，几乎是一毛钱都不用出就可以进行土地的倒买倒卖，这种一本万利的生意自然是吸引了很多公司蜂拥而至。 日本的银行也对这种明显的炒作行为默许甚至鼓励，因为银行的竞争非常激烈，而房地产贷款算是优质投资，所以为了争夺业绩，他们对地产炒作更是推波助澜。 在这种社会一致看涨的氛围里，日本地价不断攀高，1986年东京地价上涨了23.8%，到第二年更是上涨了65.3%。 而政府也被繁荣景象冲昏了头脑，1988年距离泡沫破灭已经是近在咫尺了，但日本政府依然无动于衷，甚至还发布《国土利用白皮书》说： “以东京附近为中心的土地价格上涨是由实际需求所引起","text":"栏目说明：小话不定期给大家分享有趣的故事，内容来源于网络，希望给您带来更好的阅读体验！ 转自今日头条 作者：倾城之殇 在上个世纪80年代，在石油危机严重打击全球经济的背景下，只有日本一枝独秀地进入一段高速增长期。 日本的产品从这个时期开始畅销世界，所谓的日本式的企业管理备受追捧，欧美学者纷纷惊叹。 认为日本成为世界大国的日子终于到了，而这里头最有名的就是美国学者傅高义的那一本《日本第一》。 从数据上来看，这个时期日本市场的确是空前繁荣，不管是GDP、股票、地价、薪资、房价各种指标的形势都一片大好，日本人的生活水平同样来到了有史以来的巅峰。 然而，支撑着这种繁荣的却是无底线的投机活动，最终幻梦惊醒，留给日本人的只有无穷的债务陷阱。 “卖掉东京，买下美国” 日本的房地产价格开始猛涨是从1983年的东京开始，因为经济的强势表现，很多日本人都相信“东京将会成为亚洲的金融中心”。 既然是中心，那么世界各地的企业就都得在东京建立总部，土地的价格自然也就会随之高涨了。 在这样的心理预期下，全日本都兴起了买地热。 一片片的低矮老建筑被夷平，但买主并不急于开发，而是将土地转手倒卖，或者用土地作为抵押，轻松地从银行获得贷款，然后再去购买下一块土地。 如此反复，几乎是一毛钱都不用出就可以进行土地的倒买倒卖，这种一本万利的生意自然是吸引了很多公司蜂拥而至。 日本的银行也对这种明显的炒作行为默许甚至鼓励，因为银行的竞争非常激烈，而房地产贷款算是优质投资，所以为了争夺业绩，他们对地产炒作更是推波助澜。 在这种社会一致看涨的氛围里，日本地价不断攀高，1986年东京地价上涨了23.8%，到第二年更是上涨了65.3%。 而政府也被繁荣景象冲昏了头脑，1988年距离泡沫破灭已经是近在咫尺了，但日本政府依然无动于衷，甚至还发布《国土利用白皮书》说： “以东京附近为中心的土地价格上涨是由实际需求所引起","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4aa60b0ab356d3263b060e9fcb9f7582","width":"981","height":"735"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc585eadc93a6f5411beef1f1ff8624d","width":"889","height":"726"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e5ec68150eace07b77ee9ee718668b7","width":"1240","height":"792"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630177928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639505757,"gmtCreate":1643336732941,"gmtModify":1643336734179,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639505757","repostId":"639197576","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":639197576,"gmtCreate":1643191065050,"gmtModify":1643236456140,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"股市开年暴跌数日，2022年还能投资吗？（文中有答案）","htmlText":"虎年伊始，股市就连续大跌数日，不少朋友担心22年会复制18年的熊市行情，那2022年到底还能炒股，买基金吗？看完这篇文章，你就会有答案了。首先不管你是买股票，买基金，买黄金，买房子，你都需要了解今年即将发生的一件事，“美联储加息”，美国12月的CPI已经到7了，达到近40年的新高，面对如此严重的通胀，美国转头就放弃了“通胀暂时论”，宣布预计在2022年加息3次，3月份就是第一次。那问题来了，加息有什么影响？股市暴跌？资产泡沫破裂？毫不夸张的说，历史上美联储的每一次加息都能毁了一个国家。是不是听起来很吓人，但是如果危机总是以我们想的到的方式出现，那也太简单了。先下个结论：我认为加息这件事的预期影响将比它的实际影响来的大，因为对现在而言，美股本身就是那个最大的泡沫了。是否加息，是否在3月加息，是否会加息3次，能不能实行还可以打个问号，但可以肯定的是每次只要释放出收紧信号，市场中的投机行为就会得到抑制。你可以这样理解：加息前跌，加息后涨。甚至基于加息这个大前提，我认为2022年的投资要以稳为主，步步为赢。比如你打算投资100块，那么至少要分配50块到银行存款或者货币基金里。返回A股来看，22年A股在货币政策上有一个托底的预期，因为央行说了“放水”。前面不光降了息，还降了LPR，这些都在预期之中，所以总体行情可以乐观一点，只是指数空间并不会很大，依然以结构性行情为主，这是大基调。既然是结构性的，那么押赛道很关键，板块上可以重点看三个方向：第一个方向是稳增长，比如去年是中证500，创业板等小盘股的主场，2022年很大概率是业绩稳健的大盘蓝筹股的天下，可以重点关注一下上证50，沪深300这些指数的投资机会；第二个方向是困境反转，比如互联网，金融，地产这几个估值极低但又有政策预期的行业，都有反弹的可能。有人可能会问消费算不算，我可以告诉你“不算”。因为困境反转的核心就是估值低，现在的消费","listText":"虎年伊始，股市就连续大跌数日，不少朋友担心22年会复制18年的熊市行情，那2022年到底还能炒股，买基金吗？看完这篇文章，你就会有答案了。首先不管你是买股票，买基金，买黄金，买房子，你都需要了解今年即将发生的一件事，“美联储加息”，美国12月的CPI已经到7了，达到近40年的新高，面对如此严重的通胀，美国转头就放弃了“通胀暂时论”，宣布预计在2022年加息3次，3月份就是第一次。那问题来了，加息有什么影响？股市暴跌？资产泡沫破裂？毫不夸张的说，历史上美联储的每一次加息都能毁了一个国家。是不是听起来很吓人，但是如果危机总是以我们想的到的方式出现，那也太简单了。先下个结论：我认为加息这件事的预期影响将比它的实际影响来的大，因为对现在而言，美股本身就是那个最大的泡沫了。是否加息，是否在3月加息，是否会加息3次，能不能实行还可以打个问号，但可以肯定的是每次只要释放出收紧信号，市场中的投机行为就会得到抑制。你可以这样理解：加息前跌，加息后涨。甚至基于加息这个大前提，我认为2022年的投资要以稳为主，步步为赢。比如你打算投资100块，那么至少要分配50块到银行存款或者货币基金里。返回A股来看，22年A股在货币政策上有一个托底的预期，因为央行说了“放水”。前面不光降了息，还降了LPR，这些都在预期之中，所以总体行情可以乐观一点，只是指数空间并不会很大，依然以结构性行情为主，这是大基调。既然是结构性的，那么押赛道很关键，板块上可以重点看三个方向：第一个方向是稳增长，比如去年是中证500，创业板等小盘股的主场，2022年很大概率是业绩稳健的大盘蓝筹股的天下，可以重点关注一下上证50，沪深300这些指数的投资机会；第二个方向是困境反转，比如互联网，金融，地产这几个估值极低但又有政策预期的行业，都有反弹的可能。有人可能会问消费算不算，我可以告诉你“不算”。因为困境反转的核心就是估值低，现在的消费","text":"虎年伊始，股市就连续大跌数日，不少朋友担心22年会复制18年的熊市行情，那2022年到底还能炒股，买基金吗？看完这篇文章，你就会有答案了。首先不管你是买股票，买基金，买黄金，买房子，你都需要了解今年即将发生的一件事，“美联储加息”，美国12月的CPI已经到7了，达到近40年的新高，面对如此严重的通胀，美国转头就放弃了“通胀暂时论”，宣布预计在2022年加息3次，3月份就是第一次。那问题来了，加息有什么影响？股市暴跌？资产泡沫破裂？毫不夸张的说，历史上美联储的每一次加息都能毁了一个国家。是不是听起来很吓人，但是如果危机总是以我们想的到的方式出现，那也太简单了。先下个结论：我认为加息这件事的预期影响将比它的实际影响来的大，因为对现在而言，美股本身就是那个最大的泡沫了。是否加息，是否在3月加息，是否会加息3次，能不能实行还可以打个问号，但可以肯定的是每次只要释放出收紧信号，市场中的投机行为就会得到抑制。你可以这样理解：加息前跌，加息后涨。甚至基于加息这个大前提，我认为2022年的投资要以稳为主，步步为赢。比如你打算投资100块，那么至少要分配50块到银行存款或者货币基金里。返回A股来看，22年A股在货币政策上有一个托底的预期，因为央行说了“放水”。前面不光降了息，还降了LPR，这些都在预期之中，所以总体行情可以乐观一点，只是指数空间并不会很大，依然以结构性行情为主，这是大基调。既然是结构性的，那么押赛道很关键，板块上可以重点看三个方向：第一个方向是稳增长，比如去年是中证500，创业板等小盘股的主场，2022年很大概率是业绩稳健的大盘蓝筹股的天下，可以重点关注一下上证50，沪深300这些指数的投资机会；第二个方向是困境反转，比如互联网，金融，地产这几个估值极低但又有政策预期的行业，都有反弹的可能。有人可能会问消费算不算，我可以告诉你“不算”。因为困境反转的核心就是估值低，现在的消费","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71017642682db33299caedffa939ae8","width":"607","height":"188"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639197576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639825780,"gmtCreate":1643252580223,"gmtModify":1643252581333,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[smile]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;[smile]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [smile] [Miser] [smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639825780","repostId":"630463774","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":630463774,"gmtCreate":1643022387424,"gmtModify":1643078750874,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"突发：俄罗斯股市暴跌10%！北约战机飞往东欧，俄10万大军集结！","htmlText":"刚刚，俄罗斯RTS指数盘前突然扩大跌幅超10%： 据悉，乌克兰局势持续紧张。 据媒体称，俄罗斯已经向乌克兰边境集结了10万大军，并表示将在在1―2月，出动几乎所有舰队举行一些列大规模军事演习。 另一方面，北约宣布部队待命，并向东欧增派战舰和战斗机。同时，美国和俄罗斯驻乌克兰外交官已经撤离。 美国官员称： 下周预计将鼓励美国人乘坐商业航班从乌克兰撤离。 美驻乌使馆宣布： 美国第一批安全援助物资和弹药已运抵乌克兰。 欧盟委员会主席&nbsp;冯德莱恩： 如果乌克兰受到进一步攻击，欧盟将以“大规模”经济和金融制裁来应对。欧盟不接受俄罗斯企图划分欧洲势力范围，如果发生袭击，欧盟已做好准备。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 将要发生什么大事情了吗？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YNDX\">$Yandex(YNDX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QIWI\">$Qiwi plc(QIWI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RSX\">$俄罗斯ETF-Market Vectors(RSX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600760\">$中航沈飞(600760)$</a>","listText":"刚刚，俄罗斯RTS指数盘前突然扩大跌幅超10%： 据悉，乌克兰局势持续紧张。 据媒体称，俄罗斯已经向乌克兰边境集结了10万大军，并表示将在在1―2月，出动几乎所有舰队举行一些列大规模军事演习。 另一方面，北约宣布部队待命，并向东欧增派战舰和战斗机。同时，美国和俄罗斯驻乌克兰外交官已经撤离。 美国官员称： 下周预计将鼓励美国人乘坐商业航班从乌克兰撤离。 美驻乌使馆宣布： 美国第一批安全援助物资和弹药已运抵乌克兰。 欧盟委员会主席&nbsp;冯德莱恩： 如果乌克兰受到进一步攻击，欧盟将以“大规模”经济和金融制裁来应对。欧盟不接受俄罗斯企图划分欧洲势力范围，如果发生袭击，欧盟已做好准备。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 将要发生什么大事情了吗？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YNDX\">$Yandex(YNDX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QIWI\">$Qiwi plc(QIWI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RSX\">$俄罗斯ETF-Market Vectors(RSX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600760\">$中航沈飞(600760)$</a>","text":"刚刚，俄罗斯RTS指数盘前突然扩大跌幅超10%： 据悉，乌克兰局势持续紧张。 据媒体称，俄罗斯已经向乌克兰边境集结了10万大军，并表示将在在1―2月，出动几乎所有舰队举行一些列大规模军事演习。 另一方面，北约宣布部队待命，并向东欧增派战舰和战斗机。同时，美国和俄罗斯驻乌克兰外交官已经撤离。 美国官员称： 下周预计将鼓励美国人乘坐商业航班从乌克兰撤离。 美驻乌使馆宣布： 美国第一批安全援助物资和弹药已运抵乌克兰。 欧盟委员会主席 冯德莱恩： 如果乌克兰受到进一步攻击，欧盟将以“大规模”经济和金融制裁来应对。欧盟不接受俄罗斯企图划分欧洲势力范围，如果发生袭击，欧盟已做好准备。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 将要发生什么大事情了吗？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ $Yandex(YNDX)$ $Qiwi plc(QIWI)$ $俄罗斯ETF-Market Vectors(RSX)$ $中航沈飞(600760)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c6cbeb7f7bebe69ab2d6eea3df62652","width":"400","height":"266"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630463774","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639825812,"gmtCreate":1643252448731,"gmtModify":1643252449799,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"cool","listText":"cool","text":"cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639825812","repostId":"2206184899","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2206184899","pubTimestamp":1643250289,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2206184899?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-27 10:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"8 tech stocks poised to bounce after Nasdaq plunge, according to AI platform","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2206184899","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Nvidia Corp. tops a list of technology stocks that would be expected to bounce back strongly over th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia Corp. tops a list of technology stocks that would be expected to bounce back strongly over the next month based on the reaction to past plunges by the Nasdaq Composite, according to an artificial-intelligence-driven screening platform.</p><table><tbody><tr><td>Stock</td><td>1-month median return</td><td>1-month 80th percentile</td><td>1-month 20th percentile</td><td>#times in past</td></tr><tr><td>Nvidia</td><td>15.3%</td><td>32.2%</td><td>-6.0%</td><td>30</td></tr><tr><td>Citrix</td><td>12.3%</td><td>33.7%</td><td>-5.2%</td><td>35</td></tr><tr><td>Salesforce</td><td>9.9%</td><td>22.8%</td><td>-12.3%</td><td>15</td></tr><tr><td>Monolithic Power Systems</td><td>9.3%</td><td>22.7%</td><td>-5.5%</td><td>15</td></tr><tr><td>Xilinx</td><td>8.8%</td><td>22.1%</td><td>-8.4%</td><td>36</td></tr><tr><td>Microchip Technology</td><td>8.1%</td><td>24%</td><td>-7.9%</td><td>35</td></tr><tr><td>Synopsis</td><td>7.7%</td><td>19.9%</td><td>-4.8%</td><td>35</td></tr><tr><td>Jack Henry &amp; Associates </td><td>7.4%</td><td>18.7%</td><td>0%</td><td>39</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Toggle</p><p>The list above was put together by Toggle, a research platform launched in 2019 that serves individual investors and institutional clients. The platform each day crunches its way through an array of data. explained Jan Szilagyi, the research company&#39;s co-founder and chief executive, in a Tuesday phone interview.</p><p>These include macro items, including U.S. and global macroeconomic indicators; micro data, including company-specific fundamentals; technical factors, including market microstructure data points; and a steady flow of news articles.</p><p>The process that produced the list is &#34;at the heart&#34; of how the platform works, said Szilagyi, who previously worked as a quant analyst at hedge-fund legend Stanley Druckenmiller&#39;s Duquesne Capital and, before setting up Toggle, was co-chief investment officer for global macro at Lombard Odier.</p><p>&#34;The system is always looking for excessive moves in individual stocks as well as indices,&#34; he said. Toggle isn&#39;t intended to be used as a generator of buy or sell signals, but is aimed to help investors with their research by narrowing down selections that, &#34;at least statistically speaking, look the most promising.&#34;</p><p>When the Nasdaq selloff began, Toggle each day looked at the degree of selloff and compiled how each stock in the Nasdaq, as well as the broader U.S. market, had responded after similar episodes in the past. In this case, Szilagyi said the aim was to find the stocks that bounced the most robustly in the weeks and months after a Nasdaq selloff of 7% or more in a week.</p><p>The table, in the first column, breaks down the median return for each stock over past similar episodes. The next two columns give investors a sense of the risk-reward outlook by breaking down the range to show performance in 80th percentile versus the 20th percentile, while the final column shows how many past episodes there were to be analyzed.</p><p>A rise in Treasury yields driven by expectations for a more aggressive Federal Reserve has contributed to a sharp stock-market selloff to begin 2022, particularly for the rate-sensitive growth stocks that feature heavily in the Nasdaq Composite .</p><p>The index has slid more than 10% from its November record finish, meeting the definition of a correction. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished 6.8% off its Jan. 4 record close on Tuesday, while the S&amp;P 500 ended 9.2% below its Jan. 3 record.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>8 tech stocks poised to bounce after Nasdaq plunge, according to AI platform</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n8 tech stocks poised to bounce after Nasdaq plunge, according to AI platform\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-27 10:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/8-tech-stocks-poised-to-bounce-after-nasdaq-plunge-according-to-ai-platform-11643212679?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia Corp. tops a list of technology stocks that would be expected to bounce back strongly over the next month based on the reaction to past plunges by the Nasdaq Composite, according to an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/8-tech-stocks-poised-to-bounce-after-nasdaq-plunge-according-to-ai-platform-11643212679?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNPS":"新思科技","CTXS":"思杰系统","CRM":"赛富时","NVDA":"英伟达","JKHY":"杰克亨利","MCHP":"微芯科技","MPWR":"Monolithic Power Systems"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/8-tech-stocks-poised-to-bounce-after-nasdaq-plunge-according-to-ai-platform-11643212679?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2206184899","content_text":"Nvidia Corp. tops a list of technology stocks that would be expected to bounce back strongly over the next month based on the reaction to past plunges by the Nasdaq Composite, according to an artificial-intelligence-driven screening platform.Stock1-month median return1-month 80th percentile1-month 20th percentile#times in pastNvidia15.3%32.2%-6.0%30Citrix12.3%33.7%-5.2%35Salesforce9.9%22.8%-12.3%15Monolithic Power Systems9.3%22.7%-5.5%15Xilinx8.8%22.1%-8.4%36Microchip Technology8.1%24%-7.9%35Synopsis7.7%19.9%-4.8%35Jack Henry & Associates 7.4%18.7%0%39Source: ToggleThe list above was put together by Toggle, a research platform launched in 2019 that serves individual investors and institutional clients. The platform each day crunches its way through an array of data. explained Jan Szilagyi, the research company's co-founder and chief executive, in a Tuesday phone interview.These include macro items, including U.S. and global macroeconomic indicators; micro data, including company-specific fundamentals; technical factors, including market microstructure data points; and a steady flow of news articles.The process that produced the list is \"at the heart\" of how the platform works, said Szilagyi, who previously worked as a quant analyst at hedge-fund legend Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Capital and, before setting up Toggle, was co-chief investment officer for global macro at Lombard Odier.\"The system is always looking for excessive moves in individual stocks as well as indices,\" he said. Toggle isn't intended to be used as a generator of buy or sell signals, but is aimed to help investors with their research by narrowing down selections that, \"at least statistically speaking, look the most promising.\"When the Nasdaq selloff began, Toggle each day looked at the degree of selloff and compiled how each stock in the Nasdaq, as well as the broader U.S. market, had responded after similar episodes in the past. In this case, Szilagyi said the aim was to find the stocks that bounced the most robustly in the weeks and months after a Nasdaq selloff of 7% or more in a week.The table, in the first column, breaks down the median return for each stock over past similar episodes. The next two columns give investors a sense of the risk-reward outlook by breaking down the range to show performance in 80th percentile versus the 20th percentile, while the final column shows how many past episodes there were to be analyzed.A rise in Treasury yields driven by expectations for a more aggressive Federal Reserve has contributed to a sharp stock-market selloff to begin 2022, particularly for the rate-sensitive growth stocks that feature heavily in the Nasdaq Composite .The index has slid more than 10% from its November record finish, meeting the definition of a correction. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished 6.8% off its Jan. 4 record close on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 ended 9.2% below its Jan. 3 record.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605422056,"gmtCreate":1639225834941,"gmtModify":1639225834941,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605422056","repostId":"605692832","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":605692832,"gmtCreate":1639149887922,"gmtModify":1704733240809,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"《2021投资大复盘》看看一年赚出一套房的虎友心得","htmlText":"分享2021年投资复盘，有机会赢取iPhone手机、苹果股票、半年度免佣卡，以及虎友们最最最喜欢的限量款台历。这周我们收到了很多很多虎友撰写的年终总结，看着大家分享过去一年的交易心得，小虎真的炒鸡开心。小虎君从中选出了十篇优质的内容，下面就让我们一起欣赏一下吧： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/608567387\" target=\"_blank\">一年亏200W美金，我悟出了这些道理</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3571292989058983\">@小韭儿</a> 十年美股交易，辛辛苦苦挣的本金，在这几个月学习期权交易中，彻底从头再来。人生就是这样，起起落落落落，一起过往皆是勋章。这几个月以来，期权对我来说就是现实版的老虎机。这些不过是游戏币而已。学习一门技艺，学费还是要交的，只不过这次学费确实贵了点... <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/606528443\" target=\"_blank\">菜鸟的2021年美股总结——虽然我也不知道盈亏率如何碾压95%的美股er</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527841556972543\">@开飞机的贝塔</a> 又到了12月，这一年即将过去。偷偷查了一下资产报告，套利69%，比较满意了。预期是40%~50%，超预期其实是很开心的一件事。2020年，亏损了很多，很多。具体多少我不想写，总之就是很多。现在回想一下感觉自己真的很蠢：痛定思痛，最近一年才用稳扎稳打的操作，加上偶尔耍一些小聪明，做一点日内换手。总算不负预期。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/602787709\" target=\"_blank\">【</a>","listText":"分享2021年投资复盘，有机会赢取iPhone手机、苹果股票、半年度免佣卡，以及虎友们最最最喜欢的限量款台历。这周我们收到了很多很多虎友撰写的年终总结，看着大家分享过去一年的交易心得，小虎真的炒鸡开心。小虎君从中选出了十篇优质的内容，下面就让我们一起欣赏一下吧： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/608567387\" target=\"_blank\">一年亏200W美金，我悟出了这些道理</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3571292989058983\">@小韭儿</a> 十年美股交易，辛辛苦苦挣的本金，在这几个月学习期权交易中，彻底从头再来。人生就是这样，起起落落落落，一起过往皆是勋章。这几个月以来，期权对我来说就是现实版的老虎机。这些不过是游戏币而已。学习一门技艺，学费还是要交的，只不过这次学费确实贵了点... <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/606528443\" target=\"_blank\">菜鸟的2021年美股总结——虽然我也不知道盈亏率如何碾压95%的美股er</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3527841556972543\">@开飞机的贝塔</a> 又到了12月，这一年即将过去。偷偷查了一下资产报告，套利69%，比较满意了。预期是40%~50%，超预期其实是很开心的一件事。2020年，亏损了很多，很多。具体多少我不想写，总之就是很多。现在回想一下感觉自己真的很蠢：痛定思痛，最近一年才用稳扎稳打的操作，加上偶尔耍一些小聪明，做一点日内换手。总算不负预期。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/602787709\" target=\"_blank\">【</a>","text":"分享2021年投资复盘，有机会赢取iPhone手机、苹果股票、半年度免佣卡，以及虎友们最最最喜欢的限量款台历。这周我们收到了很多很多虎友撰写的年终总结，看着大家分享过去一年的交易心得，小虎真的炒鸡开心。小虎君从中选出了十篇优质的内容，下面就让我们一起欣赏一下吧： 一年亏200W美金，我悟出了这些道理 @小韭儿 十年美股交易，辛辛苦苦挣的本金，在这几个月学习期权交易中，彻底从头再来。人生就是这样，起起落落落落，一起过往皆是勋章。这几个月以来，期权对我来说就是现实版的老虎机。这些不过是游戏币而已。学习一门技艺，学费还是要交的，只不过这次学费确实贵了点... 菜鸟的2021年美股总结——虽然我也不知道盈亏率如何碾压95%的美股er @开飞机的贝塔 又到了12月，这一年即将过去。偷偷查了一下资产报告，套利69%，比较满意了。预期是40%~50%，超预期其实是很开心的一件事。2020年，亏损了很多，很多。具体多少我不想写，总之就是很多。现在回想一下感觉自己真的很蠢：痛定思痛，最近一年才用稳扎稳打的操作，加上偶尔耍一些小聪明，做一点日内换手。总算不负预期。 【","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c9337e1c6a411b258ed8b444342abd","width":"1430","height":"1985"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605692832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844248811,"gmtCreate":1636434421988,"gmtModify":1636434421988,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844248811","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845958629,"gmtCreate":1636269859484,"gmtModify":1636269859484,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">$Viacom CBS(VIAC)$</a>just bought[无语]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[无语]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">$Viacom CBS(VIAC)$</a>just bought[无语]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[无语]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"$Viacom CBS(VIAC)$just bought[无语] [难过] [笑哭] [捂脸] [喷血] [无语] [难过] [笑哭]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f9b488fc0a2f2e8418d6994f2ae8b1f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845958629","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842502595,"gmtCreate":1636193370604,"gmtModify":1636193370604,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>its not going to moon.&nbsp; going to underworld&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>its not going to moon.&nbsp; going to underworld&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$its not going to moon. going to underworld [喷血] [捂脸] [喷血] [捂脸] [喷血] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d7cd0a53f7d2591065e97416983939","width":"1080","height":"4072"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842502595","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846557316,"gmtCreate":1636099835161,"gmtModify":1636099835161,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">$Carnival(CCL)$</a>[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">$Carnival(CCL)$</a>[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$Carnival(CCL)$[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50283cab027b98389b0733e1ce913833","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846557316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846905489,"gmtCreate":1636038025707,"gmtModify":1636038025707,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$</a>pls go..go...go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$</a>pls go..go...go","text":"$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$pls go..go...go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/463e789980a0a1c7bee4acf36f5beed1","width":"1080","height":"3973"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846905489","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000632","authorId":"9000000000000632","name":"delusion梦碎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"内部人士詹妮弗·纽斯特德报道称，以41430.00美元的价格出售了125股FB，这意味着什么？","text":"内部人士詹妮弗·纽斯特德报道称，以41430.00美元的价格出售了125股FB，这意味着什么？","html":"内部人士詹妮弗·纽斯特德报道称，以41430.00美元的价格出售了125股FB，这意味着什么？"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841495650,"gmtCreate":1635931583219,"gmtModify":1635931583219,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;","text":"$BlackBerry(BB)$[喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血] [捂脸] [难过] [喷血]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a39797e112a46ecaeffc975e6787ddd","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841495650","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843477107,"gmtCreate":1635855516179,"gmtModify":1635855516179,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843477107","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849602081,"gmtCreate":1635748020782,"gmtModify":1635748020782,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849602081","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849871595,"gmtCreate":1635746523319,"gmtModify":1635746523319,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849871595","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849873764,"gmtCreate":1635746381512,"gmtModify":1635746381512,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>[喷血]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>[喷血]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$[喷血] [难过] [捂脸] [喷血] [难过] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85095497c89224c291c1ffe9575a3ca","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849873764","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840505604,"gmtCreate":1635655210591,"gmtModify":1635655210591,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840505604","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":855380009,"gmtCreate":1635336183555,"gmtModify":1635336183555,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>simply wasted!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>simply wasted!!!","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$simply wasted!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb5b4c5ae1f7a447b0defb53e2786a9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855380009","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854435526,"gmtCreate":1635472696816,"gmtModify":1635472696816,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GFS\">$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$</a>New comer[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GFS\">$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$</a>New comer[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$New comer[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4760a08aa8a120529548c846498c3b1","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854435526","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575587056961534","authorId":"3575587056961534","name":"LING00","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faaf1330724f7b0fdd33c5c5c036c2f5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"昨天最高价是48美元，你怎么在49美元买的。63？！","text":"昨天最高价是48美元，你怎么在49美元买的。63？！","html":"昨天最高价是48美元，你怎么在49美元买的。63？！"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867216195,"gmtCreate":1633270560973,"gmtModify":1633270560973,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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[惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185836967","repostId":"1146011836","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146011836","pubTimestamp":1623639735,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146011836?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Virtuous Cycle At A Fair Price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146011836","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon's business is firing on all cylinders, giving its investors many reasons to smile.\nT","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Amazon's&nbsp;business is firing on all cylinders, giving its investors many reasons to smile.</li>\n <li>The company is reinforcing its moat in e-commerce, cloud services and grabbing aggressively its share in ads from Google and Facebook duopoly.</li>\n <li>A growing share of high-margin activities improves cash flow at rapid pace.</li>\n <li>At the current level, the share price represents at least 6-8% return p.a.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfbef43d925558552ced924df58f081f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by coldsnowstorm/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Amazon (AMZN) is a very diversified business with many sources of revenue. Its size, strong brand, and leadership position in e-commerce and cloud services give it an immense moat. The advertisement branch makes Google and Facebook's duopoly sweat. The growth in all sectors is simply remarkable for a company of its size. It all does not leave any doubt that Amazon's future is bright.</p>\n<p>Also, the price for this outstanding business is pretty attractive. Simple and conservative estimates show a safe 6-8% return per annum. In the world of a zero interest rate, Amazon shares are a bargain.</p>\n<p><b>The Virtuous Cycle, aka Scale Economies Shared</b></p>\n<p>Almost twenty-five years ago, Jeff Bezos laid a foundation for his company. At its core lies customer-centricity. The idea is pretty simple: exceptional customer experience brings more traffic and sellers with their products. A growing platform scale lowers the prices, which improves customer experience even further. By broadening product offerings, reducing prices, improving delivery time, and selling the highest-quality services, Amazon wins customer loyalty and expands its customer base.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33d2da72dce938108f652612d9f4b320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\"><span>Source:Amazon - The Virtuous Cycle</span></p>\n<p>Putting customer experience at the center of every action combined with innovation spirit and readiness for failure has created a company that is redefining the way we shop, work, and spend our free time. Chapeau bas for management for sticking to those rules till these days, successful execution and constantly raising the bar to create more value for society.</p>\n<p><b>What do you get buying Amazon?</b></p>\n<p>All invested in Amazon know exactly why they own the shares. Leadership in life-changing trends, enormous growth, innovation, dominance, and of course huge profits. All checked. Let's put some numbers behind those buzzwords to prove it.</p>\n<p><b>E-commerce</b></p>\n<p>We start with e-commerce. This year the company is expected toincrease its US retail e-commerce market share to 40.4%. Walmart, second on the list, is going to enjoy only 7.1%. A clear sign of dominance. The sales growth is going to continue. After a Covid turbocharged 44.1% rise last year, analysts predict 15.3% in 2021. That means slowing down tothe average e-commerce growth in the US over the last decade.</p>\n<p>The international footprint is also growing nicely. In 2020, 27% of revenue came from abroad. And they are still expanding to new markets (in March 2021 they entered Poland startingamazon.pl).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad6f72d60e6af0ab7802b63bb60e04c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"107\"><span>Source: Amazon Annual Report 2020</span></p>\n<p>There are two trends in retail sales that are going to benefit Amazon in the coming years. First, overall consumption and spending are growing together with the economy. But most importantly, a share of e-commerce retail vs. total retail sales is going to increase.In 2020, it was already 21.3% for the USA, up from 6.4% in 2010. Still less than e.g. in China, where the National Bureau of Statistics of China estimated online retail penetration to be at 24.9% in 2020.</p>\n<p>As Jeff Bezos predicted, the virtuous cycle is self-reinforcing and attracting more and more customers and merchants to the platform every year. Last Amazon's report shows that the number of sold products increases pretty fast, so do SMBs' profits. Amazon is fueling its success by intensive investments in logistics, analysis tools, and services, which lead to growing Amazon success and so on.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b70ae811d800c6e2fcaeb619b5a50964\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"608\"><span>Source:Amazon SMB Impact Report 2020</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe8106bb3f81d21e177ef59cefc5888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"709\"><span>Source: Amazon SMB Impact Report 2020</span></p>\n<p><b>AWS</b></p>\n<p>Whether it’s technology giants, television networks, banks, food manufacturers, or governments, many organizations are using AWS to develop, deploy and host applications. The biggest customers are well-known brands such asNetflix, Adobe, Apple, LinkedIn, Twitter, BBC, and many more.</p>\n<p>It is another area that has sped upbecause of the COVID-19 pandemic. Implementation of stay-at-home policies for consumers, work-from-home policies for employees generated enormous demand and caused much higher than initially expected cloud usage.</p>\n<p>Amazon invests heavily in the data centers and expands its geographical footprint. The company offers a broad and rapidly growing portfolio of cloud services. All these efforts to satisfy customers' needs have given Amazon aworldwide leadership position.</p>\n<p>Strong double-digit demand for cloud services is going to continue in the next few years. Forecasts say that in 2021 the whole segment value will reach$330bn, up 23% from 2020. AWS as a dominant force with almosta third of market sharein IaaS and PaaS will surely enjoy growing revenues and profits.</p>\n<p><b>Advertising</b></p>\n<p>Google or Facebook make money by advertising different products and services. Their algorithms are very efficient in targeting selected audience groups. They are great at defining what may be of interest for me, for you, and every single web user. But they do not have the same insights as Amazon has. Amazon knows exactly what people buy, how they buy it, and how much of it they buy. The knowledge of what movies Amazon Prime customers are watching, what music and books they consume, gives Amazon an even more complete picture of the consumer journey.</p>\n<p>Here, the trend is once again Amazon's friend. Totalad spending continues to riseyear after year at a double-digit rate. Digital ads are already a dominant form of marketing and as people have more electronic devices connected to the Internet, they continue to be the most important channel to reach customers.</p>\n<p>Amazon has been very successful in this field. The company is alreadythe third power in advertising in the USAwith 10% of the market share. They are expanding especially at Google's cost as more people search for specific products directly on Amazon's website circumventing Google's search engine. Analysts predict that both Google and Facebook are going to lose their market share in the coming years,whereas Amazon continues to grab a bigger part of the growing pie.</p>\n<p>Looking at advertising revenue (classified as \"Other\" in the annual report), we can assume that it grew at a whopping rate of 50% last year. As cloud services, it is a very profitable, high-margin activity that will nicely continue to increase Amazon's bottom line in the future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a8ab12e5788fda9765fbd60bf394f23\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Amazon Annual Report 2020</span></p>\n<p><b>Amazon Prime</b></p>\n<p>Other powerful revenue engines are subscription services i.e. Amazon Prime membership fees, video-on-demand, etc. What Amazon offers its customers is pretty unique - by subscribing they get a combination of cheaper and faster orders' delivery and access to a rich library of movies, series, and songs. And it is very affordable! Thanks to that the retention rate is very high and the user base is constantly growing, exceeding already 200 million people. And almost130 million are using the Video Prime service at least once a month. That gives Amazon Prime Video servicesecond position worldwide just behind Netflix.</p>\n<p>Again, also from this trend, Amazon is trying to make use of. The expectations are that OTT and VoD services will growbetween 14%and18% for the next 4-5 years.The acquisition of MGMand gaining such IPs like James Bond, The Silence of the Lambs, Fargo, and a few thousand others, shows that the company takes it pretty seriously and will fight for its share of the pie.</p>\n<p>Looking once more into the annual report, we may see that subscription services brought ~$25bn in FY 2020. It seems not much compared to $386bn of total revenue, but $25bn was also the total revenue of Netflix last year! And it is growing faster than Netflix revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9535c8b9791a767f3e8b52754d5db4c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Source: Amazon Annual Report 2020</span></p>\n<p><b>Others</b></p>\n<p>If it was not enough, Amazon constantly tries to revolutionize some aspects of our lives and create new expansion opportunities. It isa leader in the smart speaker market(50% of the US market). Kindle dominates the e-reader market in the USA. FireTV streams videos to millions of homes. Etc., etc.</p>\n<p>Many experimental initiatives can easily become another mega-trend and contribute even more to customer satisfaction and the company's success, e.g.:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Amazon Go - cashier-free stores</p></li>\n <li><p>AI-powered home robots</p></li>\n <li><p>game streaming services</p></li>\n <li><p>investing in self-driving technology</p></li>\n <li><p>building a fleet of delivery drones, etc.</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>How did the business perform?</b></p>\n<p>Amazon does not provide as detailed information about its user base asAlibaba(BABA). Investors have only vague data announced from time to time during Earnings Calls or from Letters to Shareholders. For example,in the last letter, Jeff Bezos writes that Amazon Prime has already over 200 million members.Over 75% are Americans. However, the number of active users is much higher. Already inQ2 2016, there were over 300 million active customers globally.</p>\n<p>Let's move to the financial information to see the revenue generation power of Amazon's customers. The revenue is growing consistently at a high rate. The pre-pandemic slowdown was quickly corrected last year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00ea9010cdf36960ced3316748d5b396\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>The significance of the AWS, the golden goose of Amazon, and its contribution to the revenue was also growing from 7% in 2015 to almost 12% in 2020. Disappointing is the fact that the international sales represent currently only 27% of total revenue (a drop from 33% in 2015). It reduces the diversification of revenue streams and shows that the competition abroad is strong.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8e5447ded18a889ea1ff7cdf37b342a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>On a plus side, we can see below that all segments are growing, but international revenue is simply growing slower than sales in North America or AWS. Another small positive is the fact that international sales saw last year almost 40% jump, slightly better than the other two segments.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5550abe99358bb2a60e8552476cb096\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>Similar to revenue, the operating income made a huge jump last year as COVID hit.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cf5a471f3cc5f3e15ad0436cc7f9a7b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The biggest contribution to the operating income is AWS. In 2020, cloud services generated over $13bn, which represented ~60% of total profits.</p>\n<p>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/366bd2ee01f2a7f0fa78c25001150c99\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>North America brought around $9bn or 37% of the total operating income last year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d49e53238ae749ae5f39ca6d421dca51\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>Profits from AWS and North America used to subsidize international retail sales which only last year turned profitable. We may attribute this positive result to two factors - improving the efficiency of operation and favorable currency exchange rate last year.</p>\n<p>Let's have a look at Amazon's margins below. They are nicely trending higher almost every year. There are at least a few good reasons for that e.g. the scale of Amazon's operation, growing AWS, cash flow from Amazon Prime, and other subscription services. Margin expansion underlines the quality of the business and the good investment decisions of the management.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e935c9bf800475aa0017d40f8fb1920\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"296\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>In annual reports, Amazon presents also an alternative way of categorizing revenue streams. The chart \"Net sales by groups of similar products and services\" summarizes this method for the last few years. In 2020, slightly over 50% was attributed to online stores. We can see that AWS, advertising, subscriptions, and 3rd party seller services are growing faster than online stores. It shows the strength and diversity of Amazon's platform. It is nicely reflected in growing margins and recurring revenue streams.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9394fd8d8fb6183d2e32bdb24c02b6f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>The growth for all segments is very strong. I would like to underscore here one component - advertising (\"Other\" in the chart below). It is still pretty small with \"only\" ~$21bn in revenue but is growing at a staggering pace, adding another very lucrative business area to Amazon's portfolio.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5cf6ce184acc5b763aeb00f34b69b54\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>Last but not least, the amount of free cash flow (\"FCF\") generated may show the quality of the business. It is one of the most important metrics for shareholders. FCF is used to pay dividends, repurchase shares, or for acquisitions. Amazon provides investors with three different metrics of FCF trying to adjust standard definition (FCF = Cash from Operations - Capex) to include heavy usage of finance leases used for faster expansion of AWS infrastructure and other equipment.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66290fc24e1df8192026a2305de99933\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p>The most important is the fact that all three metrics are rising. The Internet explains all of them for those interested in the nitty-gritty details of accounting.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa13303f053af872d639e94fcfae68ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports</span></p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Note: I suggest subtracting 1,3% from CAGRs calculated below. 1,3% is an average shareholder dilution over the last 5 years. As long as there is no meaningful repurchase program, the dilution will continue.</p>\n<p><b>Simulation of P/EPS</b></p>\n<p>Analyst estimate is that Amazon's EPS will grow at 38% on average for the next five years. Assuming massive ratio reduction (from the current P/E=61 to P/E=18-26), we arrive at a potential return between 47% and 113% in 2026 (or 8% to 16% CAGR).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a6f6320356bfd13c8cd1423f5c4997c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\"><span>Source: Own calculation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7d373e66cfae1c02a39f11f735644db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: Own calculation</span></p>\n<p><b>DCF</b></p>\n<p>For DCF analysis I use Free Cash Flow less equipment finance leases and principal repayments of all other finance leases and financing obligations. With Amazon, this metric better presents the ability of the business to generate cash than standard FCF.</p>\n<p>I simulated much lower growth than presented in the last five years (and lower than analysts suggest). The reason is to be conservative and show likely outcomes of investing in Amazon at the current share price.</p>\n<p><b>DCF Worst-Case Scenario</b></p>\n<p>FCF growth drops gradually from 20% in 2021 to 11% in 2030. The first implication of this assumption is that the FCF in 2030 will be 4,5x higher than it is today. That would also imply that the current share price of ~$3200 will probably return around 6% annually.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/776195c42bbdbd69b1bfe5f22651ca12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\"><span>Source: Own calculation</span></p>\n<p><b>DCF Best-Case Scenario</b></p>\n<p>FCF growth drops gradually from 26% in 2021 to 17% in 2030. The FCF in 2030 would be almost 8x higher. That would also mean that the current share price of ~$3200 will probably deliver a return of 8% per annum.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93471937eb050c18cabebb3ea4d3270c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\"><span>Source: Own calculation</span></p>\n<p><b>Price to Sales</b></p>\n<p>In the last few years, it was a good deal to buy AMZN when the PS ratio was at 3,3 or lower (with average PS=3,6).</p>\n<p>PS TTM is currently at 3.9. That suggests a slight overvaluation between 10-15%. PS=3,3 would represent the price of $2750 per share. Buying at an average PS=3,6 would mean waiting for the price to fall to $3000.</p>\n<p>There is also a second option: the price will move sideways for the next 1-2 quarters and let the business catch up. Looking at forecasted sales growth, it will happen sooner rather than later.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02b247d1eaf407d6569dd5465ebf0a3b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"581\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>2020 was for Amazon a great year. For Amazon shareholders too. Coronavirus caused a rapid acceleration in shifting the way we work, spend our free time, and buy things. It led to an explosion in revenues and profits. As a result, the share price doubled in a matter of a few months. But this is not over. Every single part of Amazon keeps growing at a high double-digit rate. And it will not stop soon.</p>\n<p>A lot of this growth is already in the share price. However, even quite conservative analysis shows that buying AMZN today may still generate at least 6-8% return p.a. in a long run. If the company continues improving efficiency, keeps innovating, and expands its portfolio of great products, the return may be even higher.</p>\n<p>To sum it up, I rate Amazon shares to be fairly valued and expect better-than-average performance.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Virtuous Cycle At A Fair Price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Virtuous Cycle At A Fair Price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434620-amazon-the-virtuous-cycle-at-a-fair-price><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAmazon's business is firing on all cylinders, giving its investors many reasons to smile.\nThe company is reinforcing its moat in e-commerce, cloud services and grabbing aggressively its share...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434620-amazon-the-virtuous-cycle-at-a-fair-price\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434620-amazon-the-virtuous-cycle-at-a-fair-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146011836","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon's business is firing on all cylinders, giving its investors many reasons to smile.\nThe company is reinforcing its moat in e-commerce, cloud services and grabbing aggressively its share in ads from Google and Facebook duopoly.\nA growing share of high-margin activities improves cash flow at rapid pace.\nAt the current level, the share price represents at least 6-8% return p.a.\n\nPhoto by coldsnowstorm/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAmazon (AMZN) is a very diversified business with many sources of revenue. Its size, strong brand, and leadership position in e-commerce and cloud services give it an immense moat. The advertisement branch makes Google and Facebook's duopoly sweat. The growth in all sectors is simply remarkable for a company of its size. It all does not leave any doubt that Amazon's future is bright.\nAlso, the price for this outstanding business is pretty attractive. Simple and conservative estimates show a safe 6-8% return per annum. In the world of a zero interest rate, Amazon shares are a bargain.\nThe Virtuous Cycle, aka Scale Economies Shared\nAlmost twenty-five years ago, Jeff Bezos laid a foundation for his company. At its core lies customer-centricity. The idea is pretty simple: exceptional customer experience brings more traffic and sellers with their products. A growing platform scale lowers the prices, which improves customer experience even further. By broadening product offerings, reducing prices, improving delivery time, and selling the highest-quality services, Amazon wins customer loyalty and expands its customer base.\nSource:Amazon - The Virtuous Cycle\nPutting customer experience at the center of every action combined with innovation spirit and readiness for failure has created a company that is redefining the way we shop, work, and spend our free time. Chapeau bas for management for sticking to those rules till these days, successful execution and constantly raising the bar to create more value for society.\nWhat do you get buying Amazon?\nAll invested in Amazon know exactly why they own the shares. Leadership in life-changing trends, enormous growth, innovation, dominance, and of course huge profits. All checked. Let's put some numbers behind those buzzwords to prove it.\nE-commerce\nWe start with e-commerce. This year the company is expected toincrease its US retail e-commerce market share to 40.4%. Walmart, second on the list, is going to enjoy only 7.1%. A clear sign of dominance. The sales growth is going to continue. After a Covid turbocharged 44.1% rise last year, analysts predict 15.3% in 2021. That means slowing down tothe average e-commerce growth in the US over the last decade.\nThe international footprint is also growing nicely. In 2020, 27% of revenue came from abroad. And they are still expanding to new markets (in March 2021 they entered Poland startingamazon.pl).\nSource: Amazon Annual Report 2020\nThere are two trends in retail sales that are going to benefit Amazon in the coming years. First, overall consumption and spending are growing together with the economy. But most importantly, a share of e-commerce retail vs. total retail sales is going to increase.In 2020, it was already 21.3% for the USA, up from 6.4% in 2010. Still less than e.g. in China, where the National Bureau of Statistics of China estimated online retail penetration to be at 24.9% in 2020.\nAs Jeff Bezos predicted, the virtuous cycle is self-reinforcing and attracting more and more customers and merchants to the platform every year. Last Amazon's report shows that the number of sold products increases pretty fast, so do SMBs' profits. Amazon is fueling its success by intensive investments in logistics, analysis tools, and services, which lead to growing Amazon success and so on.\nSource:Amazon SMB Impact Report 2020\nSource: Amazon SMB Impact Report 2020\nAWS\nWhether it’s technology giants, television networks, banks, food manufacturers, or governments, many organizations are using AWS to develop, deploy and host applications. The biggest customers are well-known brands such asNetflix, Adobe, Apple, LinkedIn, Twitter, BBC, and many more.\nIt is another area that has sped upbecause of the COVID-19 pandemic. Implementation of stay-at-home policies for consumers, work-from-home policies for employees generated enormous demand and caused much higher than initially expected cloud usage.\nAmazon invests heavily in the data centers and expands its geographical footprint. The company offers a broad and rapidly growing portfolio of cloud services. All these efforts to satisfy customers' needs have given Amazon aworldwide leadership position.\nStrong double-digit demand for cloud services is going to continue in the next few years. Forecasts say that in 2021 the whole segment value will reach$330bn, up 23% from 2020. AWS as a dominant force with almosta third of market sharein IaaS and PaaS will surely enjoy growing revenues and profits.\nAdvertising\nGoogle or Facebook make money by advertising different products and services. Their algorithms are very efficient in targeting selected audience groups. They are great at defining what may be of interest for me, for you, and every single web user. But they do not have the same insights as Amazon has. Amazon knows exactly what people buy, how they buy it, and how much of it they buy. The knowledge of what movies Amazon Prime customers are watching, what music and books they consume, gives Amazon an even more complete picture of the consumer journey.\nHere, the trend is once again Amazon's friend. Totalad spending continues to riseyear after year at a double-digit rate. Digital ads are already a dominant form of marketing and as people have more electronic devices connected to the Internet, they continue to be the most important channel to reach customers.\nAmazon has been very successful in this field. The company is alreadythe third power in advertising in the USAwith 10% of the market share. They are expanding especially at Google's cost as more people search for specific products directly on Amazon's website circumventing Google's search engine. Analysts predict that both Google and Facebook are going to lose their market share in the coming years,whereas Amazon continues to grab a bigger part of the growing pie.\nLooking at advertising revenue (classified as \"Other\" in the annual report), we can assume that it grew at a whopping rate of 50% last year. As cloud services, it is a very profitable, high-margin activity that will nicely continue to increase Amazon's bottom line in the future.\nSource: Amazon Annual Report 2020\nAmazon Prime\nOther powerful revenue engines are subscription services i.e. Amazon Prime membership fees, video-on-demand, etc. What Amazon offers its customers is pretty unique - by subscribing they get a combination of cheaper and faster orders' delivery and access to a rich library of movies, series, and songs. And it is very affordable! Thanks to that the retention rate is very high and the user base is constantly growing, exceeding already 200 million people. And almost130 million are using the Video Prime service at least once a month. That gives Amazon Prime Video servicesecond position worldwide just behind Netflix.\nAgain, also from this trend, Amazon is trying to make use of. The expectations are that OTT and VoD services will growbetween 14%and18% for the next 4-5 years.The acquisition of MGMand gaining such IPs like James Bond, The Silence of the Lambs, Fargo, and a few thousand others, shows that the company takes it pretty seriously and will fight for its share of the pie.\nLooking once more into the annual report, we may see that subscription services brought ~$25bn in FY 2020. It seems not much compared to $386bn of total revenue, but $25bn was also the total revenue of Netflix last year! And it is growing faster than Netflix revenue.\nSource: Amazon Annual Report 2020\nOthers\nIf it was not enough, Amazon constantly tries to revolutionize some aspects of our lives and create new expansion opportunities. It isa leader in the smart speaker market(50% of the US market). Kindle dominates the e-reader market in the USA. FireTV streams videos to millions of homes. Etc., etc.\nMany experimental initiatives can easily become another mega-trend and contribute even more to customer satisfaction and the company's success, e.g.:\n\nAmazon Go - cashier-free stores\nAI-powered home robots\ngame streaming services\ninvesting in self-driving technology\nbuilding a fleet of delivery drones, etc.\n\nHow did the business perform?\nAmazon does not provide as detailed information about its user base asAlibaba(BABA). Investors have only vague data announced from time to time during Earnings Calls or from Letters to Shareholders. For example,in the last letter, Jeff Bezos writes that Amazon Prime has already over 200 million members.Over 75% are Americans. However, the number of active users is much higher. Already inQ2 2016, there were over 300 million active customers globally.\nLet's move to the financial information to see the revenue generation power of Amazon's customers. The revenue is growing consistently at a high rate. The pre-pandemic slowdown was quickly corrected last year.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nThe significance of the AWS, the golden goose of Amazon, and its contribution to the revenue was also growing from 7% in 2015 to almost 12% in 2020. Disappointing is the fact that the international sales represent currently only 27% of total revenue (a drop from 33% in 2015). It reduces the diversification of revenue streams and shows that the competition abroad is strong.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nOn a plus side, we can see below that all segments are growing, but international revenue is simply growing slower than sales in North America or AWS. Another small positive is the fact that international sales saw last year almost 40% jump, slightly better than the other two segments.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nSimilar to revenue, the operating income made a huge jump last year as COVID hit.\n\nThe biggest contribution to the operating income is AWS. In 2020, cloud services generated over $13bn, which represented ~60% of total profits.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nNorth America brought around $9bn or 37% of the total operating income last year.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nProfits from AWS and North America used to subsidize international retail sales which only last year turned profitable. We may attribute this positive result to two factors - improving the efficiency of operation and favorable currency exchange rate last year.\nLet's have a look at Amazon's margins below. They are nicely trending higher almost every year. There are at least a few good reasons for that e.g. the scale of Amazon's operation, growing AWS, cash flow from Amazon Prime, and other subscription services. Margin expansion underlines the quality of the business and the good investment decisions of the management.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nIn annual reports, Amazon presents also an alternative way of categorizing revenue streams. The chart \"Net sales by groups of similar products and services\" summarizes this method for the last few years. In 2020, slightly over 50% was attributed to online stores. We can see that AWS, advertising, subscriptions, and 3rd party seller services are growing faster than online stores. It shows the strength and diversity of Amazon's platform. It is nicely reflected in growing margins and recurring revenue streams.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nThe growth for all segments is very strong. I would like to underscore here one component - advertising (\"Other\" in the chart below). It is still pretty small with \"only\" ~$21bn in revenue but is growing at a staggering pace, adding another very lucrative business area to Amazon's portfolio.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nLast but not least, the amount of free cash flow (\"FCF\") generated may show the quality of the business. It is one of the most important metrics for shareholders. FCF is used to pay dividends, repurchase shares, or for acquisitions. Amazon provides investors with three different metrics of FCF trying to adjust standard definition (FCF = Cash from Operations - Capex) to include heavy usage of finance leases used for faster expansion of AWS infrastructure and other equipment.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nThe most important is the fact that all three metrics are rising. The Internet explains all of them for those interested in the nitty-gritty details of accounting.\nSource: Chart created by the author with data from annual reports\nValuation\nNote: I suggest subtracting 1,3% from CAGRs calculated below. 1,3% is an average shareholder dilution over the last 5 years. As long as there is no meaningful repurchase program, the dilution will continue.\nSimulation of P/EPS\nAnalyst estimate is that Amazon's EPS will grow at 38% on average for the next five years. Assuming massive ratio reduction (from the current P/E=61 to P/E=18-26), we arrive at a potential return between 47% and 113% in 2026 (or 8% to 16% CAGR).\nSource: Own calculation\nSource: Own calculation\nDCF\nFor DCF analysis I use Free Cash Flow less equipment finance leases and principal repayments of all other finance leases and financing obligations. With Amazon, this metric better presents the ability of the business to generate cash than standard FCF.\nI simulated much lower growth than presented in the last five years (and lower than analysts suggest). The reason is to be conservative and show likely outcomes of investing in Amazon at the current share price.\nDCF Worst-Case Scenario\nFCF growth drops gradually from 20% in 2021 to 11% in 2030. The first implication of this assumption is that the FCF in 2030 will be 4,5x higher than it is today. That would also imply that the current share price of ~$3200 will probably return around 6% annually.\nSource: Own calculation\nDCF Best-Case Scenario\nFCF growth drops gradually from 26% in 2021 to 17% in 2030. The FCF in 2030 would be almost 8x higher. That would also mean that the current share price of ~$3200 will probably deliver a return of 8% per annum.\nSource: Own calculation\nPrice to Sales\nIn the last few years, it was a good deal to buy AMZN when the PS ratio was at 3,3 or lower (with average PS=3,6).\nPS TTM is currently at 3.9. That suggests a slight overvaluation between 10-15%. PS=3,3 would represent the price of $2750 per share. Buying at an average PS=3,6 would mean waiting for the price to fall to $3000.\nThere is also a second option: the price will move sideways for the next 1-2 quarters and let the business catch up. Looking at forecasted sales growth, it will happen sooner rather than later.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nConclusion\n2020 was for Amazon a great year. For Amazon shareholders too. Coronavirus caused a rapid acceleration in shifting the way we work, spend our free time, and buy things. It led to an explosion in revenues and profits. As a result, the share price doubled in a matter of a few months. But this is not over. Every single part of Amazon keeps growing at a high double-digit rate. And it will not stop soon.\nA lot of this growth is already in the share price. However, even quite conservative analysis shows that buying AMZN today may still generate at least 6-8% return p.a. in a long run. If the company continues improving efficiency, keeps innovating, and expands its portfolio of great products, the return may be even higher.\nTo sum it up, I rate Amazon shares to be fairly valued and expect better-than-average performance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":182372043,"gmtCreate":1623556100582,"gmtModify":1623556100582,"author":{"id":"3585200742780489","authorId":"3585200742780489","name":"Rajadurai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4109449383e67185f5620a4cc397e16","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>[傲娇]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>[傲娇]&nbsp;[白眼]&nbsp;","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$[傲娇] 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