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2021-08-23

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2021-07-10

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2021-10-15

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4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>

2021-08-28

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2021-08-14

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2021-08-05

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2021-07-19

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2021-10-03

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2021-08-22

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Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>

2021-08-05

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tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>WTI原油下跌9.02%至每桶71.28美元，布伦特原油下跌8.16%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI crude tumbled 9.02% to $71.28 a barrel, Brent fell 8.16%.<blockquote>WTI原油下跌9.02%至每桶71.28美元，布伦特原油下跌8.16%。</blockquote></title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI crude tumbled 9.02% to $71.28 a barrel, Brent fell 8.16%.<blockquote>WTI原油下跌9.02%至每桶71.28美元，布伦特原油下跌8.16%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-26 23:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WTI crude tumbled&nbsp;9.02% to $71.28 a barrel,&nbsp;Brent&nbsp;fell&nbsp;8.16%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e118e6a5e909412e48ca104b2c37b30\" tg-width=\"884\" tg-height=\"611\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac1680f3b9d8085d5fd9b6a868ce9c3\" tg-width=\"870\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>WTI原油下跌9.02%至每桶71.28美元，布伦特原油下跌8.16%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158420182","content_text":"WTI crude tumbled 9.02% to $71.28 a 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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877908270","repostId":"2186839666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872321121,"gmtCreate":1637437797749,"gmtModify":1637437797826,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872321121","repostId":"1143065747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143065747","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637383902,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143065747?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-20 12:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPAC Altimeter Growth jumps after setting vote date for Grab deal<blockquote>SPAC Altimeter在确定Grab交易投票日期后增长强劲</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143065747","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.  rose 4.6% after it set a Nov. 30 date for holders to vote on its deal t","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. </a> rose 4.6% after it set a Nov. 30 date for holders to vote on its deal to take Southeast Asia ride-hailing giant Grab public.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">SPAC高度计增长公司。</a>该公司将11月30日定为持有人就东南亚网约车巨头Grab上市交易进行投票的日期，股价上涨4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459798d9c6d2d0c428941e1ee2937f4b\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"635\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brad Gerstner's AGC announced that that the SEC declared effective the Form F-4 registration statement of Grab Holdings, according to a release.</p><p><blockquote>据一份新闻稿称，布拉德·郭士纳(Brad Gerstner)的AGC宣布，SEC宣布Grab Holdings的F-4表格注册声明生效。</blockquote></p><p> Grab is Southeast Asia's most valuable startup and is set to undergo a merger with Altimeter (AGC) at a valuation of $40B in the fourth quarter, pushed back after a delay.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚最有价值的初创公司，计划在第四季度以400亿美元的估值与Altimeter(AGC)进行合并，但在推迟后被推迟。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to be the largest-ever U.S. equity offering by a Southeast Asian company. A public debut from Grab will offer investors access to a regional consumer market of more than 655M people across countries including Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易预计将是东南亚公司有史以来在美国最大的股票发行。Grab的首次公开亮相将为投资者提供进入印度尼西亚、泰国和越南等国家超过6.55亿人口的区域消费市场的机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPAC Altimeter Growth jumps after setting vote date for Grab deal<blockquote>SPAC Altimeter在确定Grab交易投票日期后增长强劲</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPAC Altimeter Growth jumps after setting vote date for Grab deal<blockquote>SPAC Altimeter在确定Grab交易投票日期后增长强劲</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-20 12:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. </a> rose 4.6% after it set a Nov. 30 date for holders to vote on its deal to take Southeast Asia ride-hailing giant Grab public.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">SPAC高度计增长公司。</a>该公司将11月30日定为持有人就东南亚网约车巨头Grab上市交易进行投票的日期，股价上涨4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459798d9c6d2d0c428941e1ee2937f4b\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"635\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brad Gerstner's AGC announced that that the SEC declared effective the Form F-4 registration statement of Grab Holdings, according to a release.</p><p><blockquote>据一份新闻稿称，布拉德·郭士纳(Brad Gerstner)的AGC宣布，SEC宣布Grab Holdings的F-4表格注册声明生效。</blockquote></p><p> Grab is Southeast Asia's most valuable startup and is set to undergo a merger with Altimeter (AGC) at a valuation of $40B in the fourth quarter, pushed back after a delay.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚最有价值的初创公司，计划在第四季度以400亿美元的估值与Altimeter(AGC)进行合并，但在推迟后被推迟。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to be the largest-ever U.S. equity offering by a Southeast Asian company. A public debut from Grab will offer investors access to a regional consumer market of more than 655M people across countries including Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易预计将是东南亚公司有史以来在美国最大的股票发行。Grab的首次公开亮相将为投资者提供进入印度尼西亚、泰国和越南等国家超过6.55亿人口的区域消费市场的机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3773032-spac-altimeter-growth-jumps-after-sending-vote-date-for-grab-deal\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3773032-spac-altimeter-growth-jumps-after-sending-vote-date-for-grab-deal","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143065747","content_text":"SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.  rose 4.6% after it set a Nov. 30 date for holders to vote on its deal to take Southeast Asia ride-hailing giant Grab public.\n\nBrad Gerstner's AGC announced that that the SEC declared effective the Form F-4 registration statement of Grab Holdings, according to a release.\nGrab is Southeast Asia's most valuable startup and is set to undergo a merger with Altimeter (AGC) at a valuation of $40B in the fourth quarter, pushed back after a delay.\nThe deal is expected to be the largest-ever U.S. equity offering by a Southeast Asian company. A public debut from Grab will offer investors access to a regional consumer market of more than 655M people across countries including Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878867862,"gmtCreate":1637167412961,"gmtModify":1637167413029,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878867862","repostId":"1198667964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198667964","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637135563,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198667964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-17 15:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Smash Its iPhone Holiday Sales Record. What That Means for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果可能会打破iPhone假日销售记录。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198667964","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple is on track to break its previous record for iPhone sales over the holiday period, according t","content":"<p>Apple is on track to break its previous record for iPhone sales over the holiday period, according to new analysis, which should pave the way for stock price gains.</p><p><blockquote>最新分析显示，苹果有望打破此前假期期间iPhone销量纪录，这将为股价上涨铺平道路。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into Black Friday next week, analysts at investment bank and broker Wedbush Securities said they see delivery times for the Apple iPhone 13 Pro lengthening. The team, led by Dan Ives, estimates that demand is outstripping supply by around 15% heading into the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>进入下周的黑色星期五，投资银行和经纪商Wedbush Securities的分析师表示，他们认为苹果iPhone 13 Pro的交付时间将会延长。由丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)领导的团队估计，进入假期前，需求将超过供应约15%。</blockquote></p><p> Wait times have in the past been viewed as an indicator of demand for devices. But this year, in a world gripped by supply-chain issues, wait times for some models notching multiyear records might not be the clear green flag it would have been in the past.</p><p><blockquote>过去，等待时间被视为设备需求的指标。但今年，在一个受到供应链问题困扰的世界中，一些车型创下多年记录的等待时间可能不会像过去那样明显。</blockquote></p><p> Ives noted that Apple was dealing with the global shortage of semiconductors—a critical component in iPhones—and widespread supply-chain disruptions, but still he sees the tech giant smashing a key sales record.</p><p><blockquote>Ives指出，苹果正在应对全球半导体（iPhone的关键组件）短缺和广泛的供应链中断的问题，但他仍然认为这家科技巨头打破了关键的销售记录。</blockquote></p><p> “We estimate that Apple is on pace to sell ~40 million iPhones between Black Friday and Christmas, which would be record holiday pace for the company despite the lingering chip shortage limiting iPhone supply globally by roughly 10 million units based on our analysis,” Ives said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们估计，苹果将在黑色星期五和圣诞节之间销售约4000万部iPhone，这将是该公司创纪录的假期销售速度，尽管根据我们的分析，持续的芯片短缺使全球iPhone供应限制了约1000万部。”说。</blockquote></p><p> The team at Wedbush said that “tremendous demand trends” in the U.S. and China were a positive sign that Apple could sell more than 80 million iPhone units this quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush的团队表示，美国和中国的“巨大需求趋势”是一个积极的迹象，表明苹果本季度可能售出超过8000万部iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> That would be good for Apple investors, because, as <i>Barron’s</i> reporter Max A. Cherney wrote in September, “Apple stock practically lives and dies on the company’s iPhone sales every year.”</p><p><blockquote>这对苹果投资者来说是件好事，因为<i>巴伦周刊</i>记者Max A.Cherney在9月份写道，“苹果股票的生死几乎取决于该公司每年的iPhone销量。”</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush maintained its Outperform rating on&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Tuesday and its $185 price target, which indicates around 24% upside.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush周二维持苹果跑赢大盘的评级和185美元的目标价，这表明上涨空间约为24%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Smash Its iPhone Holiday Sales Record. What That Means for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果可能会打破iPhone假日销售记录。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Smash Its iPhone Holiday Sales Record. What That Means for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果可能会打破iPhone假日销售记录。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-17 15:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple is on track to break its previous record for iPhone sales over the holiday period, according to new analysis, which should pave the way for stock price gains.</p><p><blockquote>最新分析显示，苹果有望打破此前假期期间iPhone销量纪录，这将为股价上涨铺平道路。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into Black Friday next week, analysts at investment bank and broker Wedbush Securities said they see delivery times for the Apple iPhone 13 Pro lengthening. The team, led by Dan Ives, estimates that demand is outstripping supply by around 15% heading into the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>进入下周的黑色星期五，投资银行和经纪商Wedbush Securities的分析师表示，他们认为苹果iPhone 13 Pro的交付时间将会延长。由丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)领导的团队估计，进入假期前，需求将超过供应约15%。</blockquote></p><p> Wait times have in the past been viewed as an indicator of demand for devices. But this year, in a world gripped by supply-chain issues, wait times for some models notching multiyear records might not be the clear green flag it would have been in the past.</p><p><blockquote>过去，等待时间被视为设备需求的指标。但今年，在一个受到供应链问题困扰的世界中，一些车型创下多年记录的等待时间可能不会像过去那样明显。</blockquote></p><p> Ives noted that Apple was dealing with the global shortage of semiconductors—a critical component in iPhones—and widespread supply-chain disruptions, but still he sees the tech giant smashing a key sales record.</p><p><blockquote>Ives指出，苹果正在应对全球半导体（iPhone的关键组件）短缺和广泛的供应链中断的问题，但他仍然认为这家科技巨头打破了关键的销售记录。</blockquote></p><p> “We estimate that Apple is on pace to sell ~40 million iPhones between Black Friday and Christmas, which would be record holiday pace for the company despite the lingering chip shortage limiting iPhone supply globally by roughly 10 million units based on our analysis,” Ives said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们估计，苹果将在黑色星期五和圣诞节之间销售约4000万部iPhone，这将是该公司创纪录的假期销售速度，尽管根据我们的分析，持续的芯片短缺使全球iPhone供应限制了约1000万部。”说。</blockquote></p><p> The team at Wedbush said that “tremendous demand trends” in the U.S. and China were a positive sign that Apple could sell more than 80 million iPhone units this quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush的团队表示，美国和中国的“巨大需求趋势”是一个积极的迹象，表明苹果本季度可能售出超过8000万部iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> That would be good for Apple investors, because, as <i>Barron’s</i> reporter Max A. Cherney wrote in September, “Apple stock practically lives and dies on the company’s iPhone sales every year.”</p><p><blockquote>这对苹果投资者来说是件好事，因为<i>巴伦周刊</i>记者Max A.Cherney在9月份写道，“苹果股票的生死几乎取决于该公司每年的iPhone销量。”</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush maintained its Outperform rating on&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Tuesday and its $185 price target, which indicates around 24% upside.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush周二维持苹果跑赢大盘的评级和185美元的目标价，这表明上涨空间约为24%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-iphone-holiday-sales-record-51637078986?mod=hp_DAY_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-iphone-holiday-sales-record-51637078986?mod=hp_DAY_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198667964","content_text":"Apple is on track to break its previous record for iPhone sales over the holiday period, according to new analysis, which should pave the way for stock price gains.\nHeading into Black Friday next week, analysts at investment bank and broker Wedbush Securities said they see delivery times for the Apple iPhone 13 Pro lengthening. The team, led by Dan Ives, estimates that demand is outstripping supply by around 15% heading into the holiday season.\nWait times have in the past been viewed as an indicator of demand for devices. But this year, in a world gripped by supply-chain issues, wait times for some models notching multiyear records might not be the clear green flag it would have been in the past.\nIves noted that Apple was dealing with the global shortage of semiconductors—a critical component in iPhones—and widespread supply-chain disruptions, but still he sees the tech giant smashing a key sales record.\n“We estimate that Apple is on pace to sell ~40 million iPhones between Black Friday and Christmas, which would be record holiday pace for the company despite the lingering chip shortage limiting iPhone supply globally by roughly 10 million units based on our analysis,” Ives said.\nThe team at Wedbush said that “tremendous demand trends” in the U.S. and China were a positive sign that Apple could sell more than 80 million iPhone units this quarter.\nThat would be good for Apple investors, because, as Barron’s reporter Max A. Cherney wrote in September, “Apple stock practically lives and dies on the company’s iPhone sales every year.”\nWedbush maintained its Outperform rating on Apple Tuesday and its $185 price target, which indicates around 24% upside.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871565982,"gmtCreate":1637088204285,"gmtModify":1637088204507,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871565982","repostId":"1105128454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871088060,"gmtCreate":1636995685145,"gmtModify":1636995685218,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871088060","repostId":"1105194762","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105194762","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636990511,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105194762?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Index turned down in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars<blockquote>纳斯达克指数早盘下跌，特斯拉市值跌破1万亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105194762","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq Index turned down in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars.","content":"<p>Nasdaq Index turned&nbsp;down&nbsp;in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201cf466934fa60cc63374e64a0db551\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"563\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d7f306762ab2851bfef58a237e2d55\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to the documents disclosed by the SEC, Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla Motors shares on the 12th. So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla Motors shares since November 8. Musk promised to sell 10% of Tesla Motors shares, that is, 17.05 million shares, so Musk has sold only 37.1% of his promise, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million shares of Tesla Motors shares. In addition, Musk hinted that he would sell more Tesla Motors shares; Michael Burry, a \"big bear\", tweeted that Musk only wanted to cash out at a high position.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克指数在早盘交易中转跌，特斯拉市值跌破1万亿美元。根据SEC披露的文件，马斯克12日出售了120万股特斯拉股票。至此，自11月8日以来，马斯克已出售约634万股特斯拉股票。马斯克承诺出售10%的特斯拉股票，也就是1705万股，所以马斯克只卖出了承诺的37.1%，还需要卖出至少1070万股特斯拉股票。此外，Musk暗示将出售更多特斯拉股票；“大空头”Michael Burry发推称，马斯克只想高位套现。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Index turned down in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars<blockquote>纳斯达克指数早盘下跌，特斯拉市值跌破1万亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Index turned down in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars<blockquote>纳斯达克指数早盘下跌，特斯拉市值跌破1万亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-15 23:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nasdaq Index turned&nbsp;down&nbsp;in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201cf466934fa60cc63374e64a0db551\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"563\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d7f306762ab2851bfef58a237e2d55\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to the documents disclosed by the SEC, Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla Motors shares on the 12th. So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla Motors shares since November 8. Musk promised to sell 10% of Tesla Motors shares, that is, 17.05 million shares, so Musk has sold only 37.1% of his promise, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million shares of Tesla Motors shares. In addition, Musk hinted that he would sell more Tesla Motors shares; Michael Burry, a \"big bear\", tweeted that Musk only wanted to cash out at a high position.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克指数在早盘交易中转跌，特斯拉市值跌破1万亿美元。根据SEC披露的文件，马斯克12日出售了120万股特斯拉股票。至此，自11月8日以来，马斯克已出售约634万股特斯拉股票。马斯克承诺出售10%的特斯拉股票，也就是1705万股，所以马斯克只卖出了承诺的37.1%，还需要卖出至少1070万股特斯拉股票。此外，Musk暗示将出售更多特斯拉股票；“大空头”Michael Burry发推称，马斯克只想高位套现。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105194762","content_text":"Nasdaq Index turned down in morning trading with Tesla's market value fell below 1 trillion dollars.According to the documents disclosed by the SEC, Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla Motors shares on the 12th. So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla Motors shares since November 8. Musk promised to sell 10% of Tesla Motors shares, that is, 17.05 million shares, so Musk has sold only 37.1% of his promise, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million shares of Tesla Motors shares. In addition, Musk hinted that he would sell more Tesla Motors shares; Michael Burry, a \"big bear\", tweeted that Musk only wanted to cash out at a high position.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873834798,"gmtCreate":1636910777704,"gmtModify":1636910777774,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873834798","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie&amp;Fitch的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie（股票代码：ANF）曾经是购物中心的主食，以鲜明、性感的广告和深色、香水味十足的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在2017年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的稳步下降给其未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的商场和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎即将夺走另一个受害者。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但在去葬礼的路上发生了令人惊讶的事情：Abercrombie享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨(Fran Horowitz)的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调了霍利斯特品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日，该公司第二财季收入同比增长24%，较大流行前水平增长3%。随着现金充裕的购物者涌向商店，其股价今年上涨了120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>霍洛维茨在接受采访时表示：“品牌认知度很难改变，需要时间才能与消费者重新建立信任。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.“因此，我们很高兴地说，在2021年，我们显然看到了所有这些努力工作的美妙效果。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅走出了深渊，还利用疫情带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的市场和急于花掉疫情积蓄的消费者的推动下，成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌销售额飙升，股价上涨。许多大型购物中心零售商的股价飙升，包括梅西百货(M)、诺德斯特龙(JWN)、著名鞋类母公司Caleres(CAL)和Signet Jewelers(SIG)，这些公司在过去12个月内都上涨了至少100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会的数据，消费者可能会花费8510亿美元，比去年创纪录的7770亿美元增长9.5%，是过去五年4.4%平均增幅的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售正常化之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意外的复兴重申了许多品牌对实体店力量的信念。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们继续在实体未来上下大赌注。随着对实体店投资的继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>疫情对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题是显而易见的。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至是婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌向网上。亚马逊（AMZN）和沃尔玛（WMT）等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>Columbia Threadneedle Investments零售分析师Mari Shor表示：“投资者情绪——尤其是短期对冲基金类型投资者——刚刚对该集团变得非常负面。”“我只是认为投资者并没有真正相信公司或消费者。”</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔表示，投资者的怀疑根源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会，让他们关闭表现不佳的门店，专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上做得更好，并将销售策略转向消费者，无论他们何时何地想购物——无论是网上购物、移动购物还是店内购物。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>萨克斯第五大道精品百货店(Saks Fifth Avenue)的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。据美国零售联合会估计，今年假期在线和其他非商店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Global X负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗·帕兰德拉尼(Pedro Palandrani)表示：“我们认为，这场大流行不仅加速了电子商务在全球的采用，还扩大了市场。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在其数字战略上投资了数亿美元，强调通过改进公司网站以及为在线购买建立店内退货和提货等举措，从数字体验平稳过渡到店内体验。Horowitz表示，疫情的到来促使Abercrombie关闭了全球130家门店和该品牌50%的旗舰店，使过去10年关闭的门店总数达到约500家，同时战略性地开设了一些重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“商店很重要，但它们必须是合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济效益，”她说。“你把它和数字结合在一起，它就等于魔法。”</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B.Riley Securities分析师苏珊·安德森(Susan Anderson)表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效的方式，而且还可以作为在线提货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，即使是Warby Parker(WRBY)等在线零售商也扩大了实体业务，以适应购物者的偏好。“消费者希望随时随地购物，”安德森说。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。商场和实体店在精通数字技术的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，设计公司BHDP委托对1,000名购物者进行的一项调查显示，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁购物者也回到商场，试穿产品，利用店内促销活动，并进行退货。德勤(Deloitte)美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯(Rod Sides)表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人群的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间的战略转变使许多零售商在今年购物中心和市中心的重新开放中处于更好的位置——购物者渴望打开钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者变得出乎意料地富有。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤(Deloitte)的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假期的支出比去年增加15%，平均每户2,624美元，推动了假期的大部分增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示：“你有大量现金，而且有相当多被压抑的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至6250亿美元，比10月份增长0.7%，同比增长13.9%。仅零售额就比8月份增长了0.8%。花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“我们预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。”</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会主席兼首席执行官马修·谢伊(Matthew Shay)在10月份的媒体吹风会上表示，进入假期，零售商比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测，本季美国零售额将增长7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品将大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商博柏利集团(BRBY.UK)上周表示，2022财年上半年可比销售额增长37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach母公司Tapestry(TPR)公布的第一财季财报好于预期，上调了2022年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩表示，“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地应对了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表。”Wolfe Research青睐Nordstrom和Tapestry等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“美国消费者支出的几乎所有主要驱动因素都青睐高端产品。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，更多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai购物中心——流量统计显示，与2019年相比，10月份室内购物中心的客流量增长了3%，室外购物中心的客流量增长了5%——这是购物中心商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团(SPG)的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>泰森斯高级营销经理林赛·佩塔克(Lindsay Petak)表示：“随着越来越多的人完全接种疫苗，再加上许多人出于供应链担忧为即将到来的假期提前购物，自7月份以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。”华盛顿地区的角落中心。该购物中心归Macerich(MAC)所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的股价上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了85%，而标普500则上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF（RCD）今年的表现优于标普500 5个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>NRF的谢伊说：“我们看到百货商店、服装和非必需消费品零售商在经济重新开放后就真正反弹了。”“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店始终是节日期间的热门目的地……它们继续位居今年人们购物场所的榜首。”</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与在线商店不同，但它们将继续存在。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，零售业复兴是否可持续还没有定论。零售商在远离正常的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更具投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师珍妮·施蒂希特(Janine Stichter)表示：“我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为目前整个业务存在太多复杂性。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“供应链问题是真实存在的，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在第二季度收益看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，该公司预计销售将受到适度影响，而更大的影响来自运费通胀。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克表示，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者尽早开始购物，这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月的礼物数量可能会有所下降。“这并不一定是支出疲软得多；只是几个月的分布不同，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter表示，另一方面，低库存将为零售商提供更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修·福雷斯特表示，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“总体而言，美国经济明显放缓，”他说。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这正是可能发生的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出兴奋状态。他表示，虽然下降可能并不“可怕”，但消费者支出仍将较目前有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Abercrombie正在其实体店的帮助下克服逆风。该公司计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单发送到商店，并与Uber、Shipt和Postmates合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)最近宣布将收购市中心附近自动化配送中心运营商Quiet Logistics，就在几周前，该公司收购了专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）的AirTerra。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们将继续这样做，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商的前进，末日预言家可能不得不推迟预示零售业的末日。目前，人们的情绪很明显：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又变得凉爽了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie&amp;Fitch的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie（股票代码：ANF）曾经是购物中心的主食，以鲜明、性感的广告和深色、香水味十足的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在2017年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的稳步下降给其未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的商场和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎即将夺走另一个受害者。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但在去葬礼的路上发生了令人惊讶的事情：Abercrombie享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨(Fran Horowitz)的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调了霍利斯特品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日，该公司第二财季收入同比增长24%，较大流行前水平增长3%。随着现金充裕的购物者涌向商店，其股价今年上涨了120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>霍洛维茨在接受采访时表示：“品牌认知度很难改变，需要时间才能与消费者重新建立信任。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.“因此，我们很高兴地说，在2021年，我们显然看到了所有这些努力工作的美妙效果。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅走出了深渊，还利用疫情带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的市场和急于花掉疫情积蓄的消费者的推动下，成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌销售额飙升，股价上涨。许多大型购物中心零售商的股价飙升，包括梅西百货(M)、诺德斯特龙(JWN)、著名鞋类母公司Caleres(CAL)和Signet Jewelers(SIG)，这些公司在过去12个月内都上涨了至少100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会的数据，消费者可能会花费8510亿美元，比去年创纪录的7770亿美元增长9.5%，是过去五年4.4%平均增幅的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售正常化之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意外的复兴重申了许多品牌对实体店力量的信念。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们继续在实体未来上下大赌注。随着对实体店投资的继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>疫情对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题是显而易见的。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至是婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌向网上。亚马逊（AMZN）和沃尔玛（WMT）等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>Columbia Threadneedle Investments零售分析师Mari Shor表示：“投资者情绪——尤其是短期对冲基金类型投资者——刚刚对该集团变得非常负面。”“我只是认为投资者并没有真正相信公司或消费者。”</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔表示，投资者的怀疑根源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会，让他们关闭表现不佳的门店，专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上做得更好，并将销售策略转向消费者，无论他们何时何地想购物——无论是网上购物、移动购物还是店内购物。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>萨克斯第五大道精品百货店(Saks Fifth Avenue)的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。据美国零售联合会估计，今年假期在线和其他非商店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Global X负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗·帕兰德拉尼(Pedro Palandrani)表示：“我们认为，这场大流行不仅加速了电子商务在全球的采用，还扩大了市场。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在其数字战略上投资了数亿美元，强调通过改进公司网站以及为在线购买建立店内退货和提货等举措，从数字体验平稳过渡到店内体验。Horowitz表示，疫情的到来促使Abercrombie关闭了全球130家门店和该品牌50%的旗舰店，使过去10年关闭的门店总数达到约500家，同时战略性地开设了一些重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“商店很重要，但它们必须是合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济效益，”她说。“你把它和数字结合在一起，它就等于魔法。”</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B.Riley Securities分析师苏珊·安德森(Susan Anderson)表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效的方式，而且还可以作为在线提货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，即使是Warby Parker(WRBY)等在线零售商也扩大了实体业务，以适应购物者的偏好。“消费者希望随时随地购物，”安德森说。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。商场和实体店在精通数字技术的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，设计公司BHDP委托对1,000名购物者进行的一项调查显示，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁购物者也回到商场，试穿产品，利用店内促销活动，并进行退货。德勤(Deloitte)美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯(Rod Sides)表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人群的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间的战略转变使许多零售商在今年购物中心和市中心的重新开放中处于更好的位置——购物者渴望打开钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者变得出乎意料地富有。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤(Deloitte)的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假期的支出比去年增加15%，平均每户2,624美元，推动了假期的大部分增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示：“你有大量现金，而且有相当多被压抑的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至6250亿美元，比10月份增长0.7%，同比增长13.9%。仅零售额就比8月份增长了0.8%。花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“我们预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。”</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会主席兼首席执行官马修·谢伊(Matthew Shay)在10月份的媒体吹风会上表示，进入假期，零售商比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测，本季美国零售额将增长7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品将大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商博柏利集团(BRBY.UK)上周表示，2022财年上半年可比销售额增长37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach母公司Tapestry(TPR)公布的第一财季财报好于预期，上调了2022年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩表示，“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地应对了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表。”Wolfe Research青睐Nordstrom和Tapestry等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“美国消费者支出的几乎所有主要驱动因素都青睐高端产品。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，更多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai购物中心——流量统计显示，与2019年相比，10月份室内购物中心的客流量增长了3%，室外购物中心的客流量增长了5%——这是购物中心商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团(SPG)的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>泰森斯高级营销经理林赛·佩塔克(Lindsay Petak)表示：“随着越来越多的人完全接种疫苗，再加上许多人出于供应链担忧为即将到来的假期提前购物，自7月份以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。”华盛顿地区的角落中心。该购物中心归Macerich(MAC)所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的股价上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了85%，而标普500则上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF（RCD）今年的表现优于标普500 5个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>NRF的谢伊说：“我们看到百货商店、服装和非必需消费品零售商在经济重新开放后就真正反弹了。”“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店始终是节日期间的热门目的地……它们继续位居今年人们购物场所的榜首。”</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与在线商店不同，但它们将继续存在。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，零售业复兴是否可持续还没有定论。零售商在远离正常的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更具投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师珍妮·施蒂希特(Janine Stichter)表示：“我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为目前整个业务存在太多复杂性。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“供应链问题是真实存在的，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在第二季度收益看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，该公司预计销售将受到适度影响，而更大的影响来自运费通胀。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克表示，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者尽早开始购物，这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月的礼物数量可能会有所下降。“这并不一定是支出疲软得多；只是几个月的分布不同，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter表示，另一方面，低库存将为零售商提供更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修·福雷斯特表示，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“总体而言，美国经济明显放缓，”他说。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这正是可能发生的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出兴奋状态。他表示，虽然下降可能并不“可怕”，但消费者支出仍将较目前有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Abercrombie正在其实体店的帮助下克服逆风。该公司计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单发送到商店，并与Uber、Shipt和Postmates合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)最近宣布将收购市中心附近自动化配送中心运营商Quiet Logistics，就在几周前，该公司收购了专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）的AirTerra。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们将继续这样做，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商的前进，末日预言家可能不得不推迟预示零售业的末日。目前，人们的情绪很明显：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又变得凉爽了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JWN":"诺德斯特龙","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","AMZN":"亚马逊","M":"梅西百货","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉","ANF":"爱芬奇","RCD":"READY CAPITAL CORPORATION 9.00% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2029","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","SIG":"西格内特珠宝","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JWN":0.9,"CAL":0.9,"SIG":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"TPR":0.9,"M":0.9,"BRBY.UK":0.9,"BBRYF":0.9,"ANF":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"RCD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870523621,"gmtCreate":1636636188260,"gmtModify":1636636188469,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870523621","repostId":"1124641290","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124641290","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636635926,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124641290?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 21:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124641290","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock indexes were set to rebound on Thursday from a two-day selloff over signs of prolonged in","content":"<p>U.S. stock indexes were set to rebound on Thursday from a two-day selloff over signs of prolonged inflation, while Walt Disney Co tumbled as growth slowed in its streaming video service.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指周四将从因通胀长期迹象而连续两天的抛售中反弹，而华特迪士尼公司则因其流媒体视频服务增长放缓而暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 39 points, or 0.11%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 15.75 points, or 0.34% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 95.25 points, or 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨39点，涨幅0.11%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨15.75点，涨幅0.34%，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数上涨95.25点，涨幅0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b49e55ad192bf640501564603a41df\" tg-width=\"579\" tg-height=\"190\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:00</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation warnings this week from the United States and other major economies have been a top concern for investors, especially due to the lack of market-moving catalysts as the third-quarter earnings season wraps up.</p><p><blockquote>本周来自美国和其他主要经济体的通胀警告一直是投资者最关心的问题，特别是因为随着第三季度财报季的结束，缺乏推动市场的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Walt Disney Co&nbsp;dropped 4.8% in premarket trading to lead declines among Dow&nbsp;components, as it reported the smallest rise in Disney+ subscriptions since the service's launch and posted downbeat profit at its theme park division.</p><p><blockquote>华特迪士尼公司(Walt Disney Co)在盘前交易中下跌4.8%，领跌道指成分股，因为该公司报告Disney+订阅量出现自该服务推出以来的最小增幅，并且其主题公园部门的利润也不乐观。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants were also watching developments around the nomination of the Federal Reserve Chair, with President Joe Biden still weighing whether to keep Jerome Powell for a second term or elevate Fed Governor Lael Brainard to the post.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者也在关注美联储主席提名的进展，总统乔·拜登仍在权衡是让杰罗姆·鲍威尔连任，还是提升美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德担任这一职务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> (TSLA) — Shares of Tesla got a roughly 2% boost after CEO Elon Musk&nbsp;sold about $5 billion worth of shares this week, according to financial filings submitted Wednesday. He still holds more than 166 million shares.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)——根据周三提交的财务文件，特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk本周出售了价值约50亿美元的股票，股价上涨了约2%。他仍持有超过1.66亿股。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive, Inc.</a> (RIVN) — Electric vehicle maker Rivian’s shares rose more than 6% in early morning trading after the company&nbsp;made its trading debut on the Nasdaq&nbsp;Wednesday. The IPO pulled other EV stocks up with Rivian.NioandFiskershares gained about 2%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian汽车公司。</a>(RIVN)-电动汽车制造商Rivian周三在纳斯达克首次上市后，其股价在早盘交易中上涨超过6%。此次IPO拉动了其他电动汽车股上涨，Rivian.NIO和FiskerShares上涨约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat, Inc.</a> (BYND) — The alternative meat company’s shares tumbled almost 20% after reporting a wider-than-expected loss of 87 cents per share for the third quarter, compared with expectations of 39 cents per share loss. It also missed revenue estimates, bringing in $106.4 million versus the $109.2 million forecasted by Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat公司。</a>（BYND）——这家替代肉类公司公布第三季度每股亏损87美分，超出预期，而预期为每股亏损39美分，股价暴跌近20%。它的收入也低于预期，收入为1.064亿美元，而华尔街预测为1.092亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> (SOFI) — Digital bank SoFi’s shares jumped 13% after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results Wednesday evening. SoFi reported a loss of 5 cents per share, compared to analysts’ estimates for a loss of 9 cents per share, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">索菲技术公司。</a>(SOFI)——周三晚间公布好于预期的季度业绩后，数字银行SoFi股价上涨13%。据Refinitiv称，SoFi每股亏损5美分，而分析师预计每股亏损9美分。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a> (AFRM) — Buy-now-pay-later darling Affirm’s shares rallied 25% in early trading after announcing an expansion of its partnership with Amazon and reported a quarterly revenue beat, recording $269.4 million versus estimates of $248.2 million. Affirm also reported a quarterly loss, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">确认控股公司。</a>(AFRM)——先买后付的darling Affirm宣布扩大与亚马逊的合作伙伴关系，并报告季度收入超出预期，达到2.694亿美元，而预期为2.482亿美元。据Refinitiv称，Affirm还报告了季度亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQ\">Marqeta, Inc.</a> (MQ) — Shares of Marqeta, the card-issuing platform behind buy now pay later brands like Affirm and Klarna, jumped 11% after reporting strong quarterly results and a 60% increase in processing volume from the previous year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQ\">马尔凯塔公司。</a>(MQ)-Affirm和Klarna等先买后付品牌背后的发卡平台Marqeta在公布强劲的季度业绩和处理量较上年增长60%后，股价上涨11%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HNST\">The Honest Company, Inc.</a> (HNST) — Shares of the cosmetics company increased about 8% after announcing quarterly earnings that came were in line with expectations and revenue that topped Wall Street’s forecasts, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HNST\">诚实公司。</a>(HNST)-根据Refinitiv的数据，这家化妆品公司的股价在宣布季度收益符合预期且收入超过华尔街预测后上涨了约8%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> (DIS) — Disney shares fell nearly 5% in early morning trading Thursday after&nbsp;missing top and bottom-line estimates&nbsp;for its third-quarter results. The media giant reported a profit of 37 cents per share on revenue of $18.53 billion, compared with analyst estimates of 51 cents per share on revenue of $18.79 billion, according to Refinitiv. Subscriptions for Disney+ also feel short of estimates.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>(DIS)-迪士尼股价在第三季度业绩未达到顶线和底线预期后，周四早盘交易中下跌近5%。根据Refinitiv的数据，这家媒体巨头报告每股利润37美分，营收185.3亿美元，而分析师预期每股利润51美分，营收187.9亿美元。Disney+的订阅量也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMBL\">Bumble Inc.</a> (BMBL) — Shares of the dating app fell nearly 9% after reporting a loss of 6 cents per share, 6 cents below analyst estimates, according to Refinitiv. Revenue, however, came in better than expected.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMBL\">邦布尔公司。</a>(BMBL)-根据Refinitiv的数据，该约会应用程序的股价下跌近9%，此前每股亏损6美分，比分析师预期低6美分。然而，收入好于预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-11 21:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock indexes were set to rebound on Thursday from a two-day selloff over signs of prolonged inflation, while Walt Disney Co tumbled as growth slowed in its streaming video service.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指周四将从因通胀长期迹象而连续两天的抛售中反弹，而华特迪士尼公司则因其流媒体视频服务增长放缓而暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 39 points, or 0.11%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 15.75 points, or 0.34% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 95.25 points, or 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨39点，涨幅0.11%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨15.75点，涨幅0.34%，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数上涨95.25点，涨幅0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b49e55ad192bf640501564603a41df\" tg-width=\"579\" tg-height=\"190\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:00</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation warnings this week from the United States and other major economies have been a top concern for investors, especially due to the lack of market-moving catalysts as the third-quarter earnings season wraps up.</p><p><blockquote>本周来自美国和其他主要经济体的通胀警告一直是投资者最关心的问题，特别是因为随着第三季度财报季的结束，缺乏推动市场的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Walt Disney Co&nbsp;dropped 4.8% in premarket trading to lead declines among Dow&nbsp;components, as it reported the smallest rise in Disney+ subscriptions since the service's launch and posted downbeat profit at its theme park division.</p><p><blockquote>华特迪士尼公司(Walt Disney Co)在盘前交易中下跌4.8%，领跌道指成分股，因为该公司报告Disney+订阅量出现自该服务推出以来的最小增幅，并且其主题公园部门的利润也不乐观。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants were also watching developments around the nomination of the Federal Reserve Chair, with President Joe Biden still weighing whether to keep Jerome Powell for a second term or elevate Fed Governor Lael Brainard to the post.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者也在关注美联储主席提名的进展，总统乔·拜登仍在权衡是让杰罗姆·鲍威尔连任，还是提升美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德担任这一职务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> (TSLA) — Shares of Tesla got a roughly 2% boost after CEO Elon Musk&nbsp;sold about $5 billion worth of shares this week, according to financial filings submitted Wednesday. He still holds more than 166 million shares.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)——根据周三提交的财务文件，特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk本周出售了价值约50亿美元的股票，股价上涨了约2%。他仍持有超过1.66亿股。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive, Inc.</a> (RIVN) — Electric vehicle maker Rivian’s shares rose more than 6% in early morning trading after the company&nbsp;made its trading debut on the Nasdaq&nbsp;Wednesday. The IPO pulled other EV stocks up with Rivian.NioandFiskershares gained about 2%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian汽车公司。</a>(RIVN)-电动汽车制造商Rivian周三在纳斯达克首次上市后，其股价在早盘交易中上涨超过6%。此次IPO拉动了其他电动汽车股上涨，Rivian.NIO和FiskerShares上涨约2%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat, Inc.</a> (BYND) — The alternative meat company’s shares tumbled almost 20% after reporting a wider-than-expected loss of 87 cents per share for the third quarter, compared with expectations of 39 cents per share loss. It also missed revenue estimates, bringing in $106.4 million versus the $109.2 million forecasted by Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat公司。</a>（BYND）——这家替代肉类公司公布第三季度每股亏损87美分，超出预期，而预期为每股亏损39美分，股价暴跌近20%。它的收入也低于预期，收入为1.064亿美元，而华尔街预测为1.092亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> (SOFI) — Digital bank SoFi’s shares jumped 13% after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results Wednesday evening. SoFi reported a loss of 5 cents per share, compared to analysts’ estimates for a loss of 9 cents per share, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">索菲技术公司。</a>(SOFI)——周三晚间公布好于预期的季度业绩后，数字银行SoFi股价上涨13%。据Refinitiv称，SoFi每股亏损5美分，而分析师预计每股亏损9美分。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a> (AFRM) — Buy-now-pay-later darling Affirm’s shares rallied 25% in early trading after announcing an expansion of its partnership with Amazon and reported a quarterly revenue beat, recording $269.4 million versus estimates of $248.2 million. Affirm also reported a quarterly loss, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">确认控股公司。</a>(AFRM)——先买后付的darling Affirm宣布扩大与亚马逊的合作伙伴关系，并报告季度收入超出预期，达到2.694亿美元，而预期为2.482亿美元。据Refinitiv称，Affirm还报告了季度亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQ\">Marqeta, Inc.</a> (MQ) — Shares of Marqeta, the card-issuing platform behind buy now pay later brands like Affirm and Klarna, jumped 11% after reporting strong quarterly results and a 60% increase in processing volume from the previous year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQ\">马尔凯塔公司。</a>(MQ)-Affirm和Klarna等先买后付品牌背后的发卡平台Marqeta在公布强劲的季度业绩和处理量较上年增长60%后，股价上涨11%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HNST\">The Honest Company, Inc.</a> (HNST) — Shares of the cosmetics company increased about 8% after announcing quarterly earnings that came were in line with expectations and revenue that topped Wall Street’s forecasts, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HNST\">诚实公司。</a>(HNST)-根据Refinitiv的数据，这家化妆品公司的股价在宣布季度收益符合预期且收入超过华尔街预测后上涨了约8%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> (DIS) — Disney shares fell nearly 5% in early morning trading Thursday after&nbsp;missing top and bottom-line estimates&nbsp;for its third-quarter results. The media giant reported a profit of 37 cents per share on revenue of $18.53 billion, compared with analyst estimates of 51 cents per share on revenue of $18.79 billion, according to Refinitiv. Subscriptions for Disney+ also feel short of estimates.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>(DIS)-迪士尼股价在第三季度业绩未达到顶线和底线预期后，周四早盘交易中下跌近5%。根据Refinitiv的数据，这家媒体巨头报告每股利润37美分，营收185.3亿美元，而分析师预期每股利润51美分，营收187.9亿美元。Disney+的订阅量也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMBL\">Bumble Inc.</a> (BMBL) — Shares of the dating app fell nearly 9% after reporting a loss of 6 cents per share, 6 cents below analyst estimates, according to Refinitiv. Revenue, however, came in better than expected.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMBL\">邦布尔公司。</a>(BMBL)-根据Refinitiv的数据，该约会应用程序的股价下跌近9%，此前每股亏损6美分，比分析师预期低6美分。然而，收入好于预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124641290","content_text":"U.S. stock indexes were set to rebound on Thursday from a two-day selloff over signs of prolonged inflation, while Walt Disney Co tumbled as growth slowed in its streaming video service.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 39 points, or 0.11%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 15.75 points, or 0.34% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 95.25 points, or 0.6%.\n*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00\nInflation warnings this week from the United States and other major economies have been a top concern for investors, especially due to the lack of market-moving catalysts as the third-quarter earnings season wraps up.\nWalt Disney Co dropped 4.8% in premarket trading to lead declines among Dow components, as it reported the smallest rise in Disney+ subscriptions since the service's launch and posted downbeat profit at its theme park division.\nMarket participants were also watching developments around the nomination of the Federal Reserve Chair, with President Joe Biden still weighing whether to keep Jerome Powell for a second term or elevate Fed Governor Lael Brainard to the post.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nTesla Motors (TSLA) — Shares of Tesla got a roughly 2% boost after CEO Elon Musk sold about $5 billion worth of shares this week, according to financial filings submitted Wednesday. He still holds more than 166 million shares.\nRivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) — Electric vehicle maker Rivian’s shares rose more than 6% in early morning trading after the company made its trading debut on the Nasdaq Wednesday. The IPO pulled other EV stocks up with Rivian.NioandFiskershares gained about 2%.\nBeyond Meat, Inc. (BYND) — The alternative meat company’s shares tumbled almost 20% after reporting a wider-than-expected loss of 87 cents per share for the third quarter, compared with expectations of 39 cents per share loss. It also missed revenue estimates, bringing in $106.4 million versus the $109.2 million forecasted by Wall Street.\nSoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI) — Digital bank SoFi’s shares jumped 13% after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results Wednesday evening. SoFi reported a loss of 5 cents per share, compared to analysts’ estimates for a loss of 9 cents per share, according to Refinitiv.\nAffirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) — Buy-now-pay-later darling Affirm’s shares rallied 25% in early trading after announcing an expansion of its partnership with Amazon and reported a quarterly revenue beat, recording $269.4 million versus estimates of $248.2 million. Affirm also reported a quarterly loss, according to Refinitiv.\nMarqeta, Inc. (MQ) — Shares of Marqeta, the card-issuing platform behind buy now pay later brands like Affirm and Klarna, jumped 11% after reporting strong quarterly results and a 60% increase in processing volume from the previous year.\nThe Honest Company, Inc. (HNST) — Shares of the cosmetics company increased about 8% after announcing quarterly earnings that came were in line with expectations and revenue that topped Wall Street’s forecasts, according to Refinitiv.\nWalt Disney (DIS) — Disney shares fell nearly 5% in early morning trading Thursday after missing top and bottom-line estimates for its third-quarter results. The media giant reported a profit of 37 cents per share on revenue of $18.53 billion, compared with analyst estimates of 51 cents per share on revenue of $18.79 billion, according to Refinitiv. Subscriptions for Disney+ also feel short of estimates.\nBumble Inc. (BMBL) — Shares of the dating app fell nearly 9% after reporting a loss of 6 cents per share, 6 cents below analyst estimates, according to Refinitiv. Revenue, however, came in better than expected.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847732110,"gmtCreate":1636553323196,"gmtModify":1636553536789,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847732110","repostId":"1184297530","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844327747,"gmtCreate":1636392630430,"gmtModify":1636392630612,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844327747","repostId":"1140971872","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842324457,"gmtCreate":1636145323316,"gmtModify":1636145323514,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842324457","repostId":"1136116425","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136116425","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636104081,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136116425?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136116425","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00 a.m.\nAt that time,the regu","content":"<p>Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00&nbsp;a.m.</p><p><blockquote>亲爱的老虎们，美国夏令时于2021年11月7日周日凌晨2点结束。</blockquote></p><p> At that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. </p><p><blockquote>届时，美股常规交易时段将提前一小时，即北京时间下午22:30至凌晨5:00。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e441a1a98d5230fc31d6f1652e577bde\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Hours</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易时间</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~&nbsp;5:00 the next day</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：9:30~16:00；北京时间/SGT：22:30~次日5:00</blockquote></p><p> <b>pre-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易前</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;22:30</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：4:00~9:30；北京时间/SGT：17:00~22:30</blockquote></p><p> <b>post-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易后</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;9:00</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：16:00~20:00；北京时间/SGT：5:00~9:00</blockquote></p><p> (Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)</p><p><blockquote>（注：夏令时总是从三月的第二个星期日开始，到十一月的第一个星期日结束）</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-05 17:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00&nbsp;a.m.</p><p><blockquote>亲爱的老虎们，美国夏令时于2021年11月7日周日凌晨2点结束。</blockquote></p><p> At that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. </p><p><blockquote>届时，美股常规交易时段将提前一小时，即北京时间下午22:30至凌晨5:00。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e441a1a98d5230fc31d6f1652e577bde\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Hours</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易时间</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~&nbsp;5:00 the next day</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：9:30~16:00；北京时间/SGT：22:30~次日5:00</blockquote></p><p> <b>pre-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易前</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;22:30</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：4:00~9:30；北京时间/SGT：17:00~22:30</blockquote></p><p> <b>post-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易后</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;9:00</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：16:00~20:00；北京时间/SGT：5:00~9:00</blockquote></p><p> (Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)</p><p><blockquote>（注：夏令时总是从三月的第二个星期日开始，到十一月的第一个星期日结束）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136116425","content_text":"Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00 a.m.\nAt that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. \n\nTrading Hours\nU.S. Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~ 5:00 the next day\npre-trade\nU.S. Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00 ~ 22:30\npost-trade\nU.S. Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00 ~ 9:00\n(Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840559462,"gmtCreate":1635662898188,"gmtModify":1635662898255,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840559462","repostId":"2179226377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858101558,"gmtCreate":1634996902497,"gmtModify":1634996902766,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858101558","repostId":"2177121214","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827319990,"gmtCreate":1634410920107,"gmtModify":1634410920281,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827319990","repostId":"1108385230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825217918,"gmtCreate":1634227404704,"gmtModify":1634227404822,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825217918","repostId":"1184483169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184483169","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634205641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184483169?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184483169","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Crashes and corrections are the perfect opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li>  <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li>  <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。尽管华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&amp;P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market&nbsp;has responded very similarly&nbsp;following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&amp;P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which&nbsp;has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合之所以成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its&nbsp;dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)&nbsp;has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's&nbsp;really differentiated itself&nbsp;from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health &amp; Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&amp;Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts&nbsp;should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since&nbsp;healthcare stocks&nbsp;are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based&nbsp;<b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has&nbsp;three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments&nbsp;that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and&nbsp;$15 billion in gross merchandise value&nbsp;(GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li>  <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li>  <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。尽管华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&amp;P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market&nbsp;has responded very similarly&nbsp;following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&amp;P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which&nbsp;has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合之所以成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its&nbsp;dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)&nbsp;has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's&nbsp;really differentiated itself&nbsp;from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health &amp; Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&amp;Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts&nbsp;should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since&nbsp;healthcare stocks&nbsp;are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based&nbsp;<b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has&nbsp;three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments&nbsp;that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and&nbsp;$15 billion in gross merchandise value&nbsp;(GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","VTRS":"Viatris Inc.","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184483169","content_text":"Key Points\n\nDouble-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.\nThere are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.\nBuying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.\n\n\nSome investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.\nRecently, the benchmark S&P 500 underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThere are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower\nFor instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.\nTo build on this point, the broader market has responded very similarly following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.\nMacroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.\nThere's also margin debt, which has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.\nEven valuations are a concern. The S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCrashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount\nBut there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.\nIf a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.\nBerkshire Hathaway\nOne of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).\nBerkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.\nThe other catalyst working in the company's favor is its dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTrulieve Cannabis\nIf growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stockTrulieve Cannabis(OTC:TCNNF) has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.\nFirst of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.\nMore specific to Trulieve, it's really differentiated itself from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.\nSaturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.\nWhat's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health & Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nViatris\nWant deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-companyViatris(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.\nViatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.\nAs you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.\nThe real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since healthcare stocks are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.\nWith a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSea Limited\nA fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based Sea Limited(NYSE:SE). Sea has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.\nFirst, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).\nSecond, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and $15 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.\nLastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VTRS":0.9,"SE":0.9,"TCNNF":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826278142,"gmtCreate":1634030826645,"gmtModify":1634030826757,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826278142","repostId":"2174854361","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":835541055,"gmtCreate":1629728754377,"gmtModify":1631891818364,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835541055","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148314958,"gmtCreate":1625930089474,"gmtModify":1631891818370,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148314958","repostId":"2150370120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":825217918,"gmtCreate":1634227404704,"gmtModify":1634227404822,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825217918","repostId":"1184483169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184483169","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634205641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184483169?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184483169","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Crashes and corrections are the perfect opportunity to buy great companies at a discount.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li>  <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li>  <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。尽管华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&amp;P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market&nbsp;has responded very similarly&nbsp;following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&amp;P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which&nbsp;has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合之所以成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its&nbsp;dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)&nbsp;has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's&nbsp;really differentiated itself&nbsp;from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health &amp; Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&amp;Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts&nbsp;should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since&nbsp;healthcare stocks&nbsp;are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based&nbsp;<b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has&nbsp;three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments&nbsp;that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and&nbsp;$15 billion in gross merchandise value&nbsp;(GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy If There's a Stock Market Crash<blockquote>如果股市崩盘，值得买入的4只不可阻挡的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Double-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.</li>  <li>There are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.</li>  <li>Buying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大盘两位数的百分比下跌比投资者意识到的更常见。</li><li>不乏可能导致股市崩盘或调整的催化剂。</li><li>在大盘下跌期间收购这四家势不可挡的公司将是明智之举。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能不会对我要说的话感到兴奋，但这只是一个让历史数据说话的问题：股市崩盘或调整可能正在酝酿。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, the benchmark&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>近日，基准<b>标普500</b>经历了10个月内至少5%的首次修正。尽管华尔街没有什么是可以保证的，但一些迹象似乎表明大盘下跌的可能性越来越大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf177a2ce4f54e7ed16e4189edb28a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>There are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有一系列催化剂可能会导致市场走低</b></blockquote></p><p> For instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&amp;P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>例如，自1950年初以来，标普500出现了38次两位数的百分比下降。这相当于平均每1.87年下降至少10%。我们现在距离冠状病毒大流行初期触底的混乱熊市下跌已经过去了1.5年多。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, the broader market&nbsp;has responded very similarly&nbsp;following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&amp;P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上，大盘在过去60年的崩盘或调整后做出了非常相似的反应。在之前的八次熊市之后，不包括冠状病毒崩盘，标普500在三年内都有一两次下跌10%。这告诉我们，从熊市中反弹是一个过程，而且几乎不会像投资者18个多月来所陶醉的直线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Macroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.</p><p><blockquote>宏观经济因素和基本面指标也发出了警告。原油和天然气价格的快速上涨威胁着人们的钱包，并可能在大流行引发的衰退后迅速抑制经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> There's also margin debt, which&nbsp;has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.</p><p><blockquote>还有保证金债务，该债务在2021年急剧攀升。市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据显示，自1995年初以来，只有三起保证金债务在一年内上涨60%或以上的情况。前两次发生在互联网泡沫破裂和金融危机开始前几个月。</blockquote></p><p> Even valuations are a concern. The S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.</p><p><blockquote>甚至估值也是一个问题。标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)为37.7，远高于151年平均水平16.9的两倍多。也许更令人担忧的是，标普500的席勒市盈率在151年里只有五次突破并保持在30以上。在席勒市盈率见顶后，前四次的最低跌幅至少为20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5907a4556df957bb90a0b8342cf7d9b9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Crashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount</p><p><blockquote>崩盘和调整是以折扣价购买优质股票的机会</blockquote></p><p> But there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.</p><p><blockquote>但是这个故事还有另一面。尽管股市调整经常发生，但它们最终总是被牛市反弹抹去。在崩盘或调整期间以折扣价购买优秀公司并长期持有这些股份是随着时间的推移积累财富的秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.</p><p><blockquote>如果最近波动性上升确实导致股市崩盘或两位数百分比调整，那么以下四只势不可挡的股票将是完美的买入对象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，积累财富最安全的方法之一是追随亿万富翁投资者沃伦·巴菲特的脚步。最简单的方法是购买<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B），巴菲特经营的企业集团，自1965年初以来的平均年回报率为令人瞠目结舌的20%（总回报率接近3,300,000%）。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合之所以成功，有两个关键原因。首先，它具有很强的周期性，该公司约85%的投资资产与科技股、金融股和必需消费品相关。尽管这位奥马哈先知充分意识到经济衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但他也明白经济衰退不会持续很久。他将伯克希尔的投资组合定位为利用多年的扩张期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other catalyst working in the company's favor is its&nbsp;dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.</p><p><blockquote>对该公司有利的另一个催化剂是其股息收入。未来12个月，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司应收取超过50亿美元的普通股和优先股股息，相对于公司投资的成本基础，这相当于约5%的收益率。沃伦·巴菲特已经证明，通过购买具有明显竞争优势的企业而不是出售，在华尔街积累财富是多么容易。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e58192e80c4f6d82046daca6fcb496\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trulieve Cannabis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Trulieve大麻</b></blockquote></p><p> If growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stock<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)&nbsp;has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>如果你更喜欢成长型股票，大麻股票<b>Trulieve大麻</b>（场外交易代码：TCNNF）看起来是一个不可阻挡的买入，如果崩盘或调整来袭。</blockquote></p><p> First of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们在疫情期间目睹了大麻被视为非自由支配的商品。换句话说，无论疫情如何严重改变北美的经济格局，人们都会继续购买大麻产品。</blockquote></p><p> More specific to Trulieve, it's&nbsp;really differentiated itself&nbsp;from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.</p><p><blockquote>更具体地说，Trulieve确实与其他大麻股有所不同。随着大多数多州运营商(MSO)在十几个合法的美国市场开设商店，Trulieve将大部分注意力集中在医用大麻合法的佛罗里达州。Trulieve在阳光之州拥有94家运营药房，约占全州所有大麻零售点的四分之一。</blockquote></p><p> Saturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的大麻市场之一的饱和帮助该公司有效地建立了自己的品牌，而不会在营销方面倾家荡产。因此，Trulieve Cannabis已经盈利三年多了。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health &amp; Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Trulieve最近完成了对MSO Harvest Health&amp;Recreation的全股收购。这笔交易将其带入了新的市场，最重要的是，使其成为亚利桑那州的关键参与者，该州于2020年11月将娱乐性大麻合法化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454f3bd12d9f51f0677b0832102292fc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Viatris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维亚特里斯</b></blockquote></p><p> Want deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-company<b>Viatris</b>(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.</p><p><blockquote>想要大幅折扣价值和市场领先的股息收益率？制药公司<b>维亚特里斯</b>（纳斯达克：VTRS）如果股市崩盘或调整，其3.2%的收益率很可能是不可阻挡的买入股票。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris于不到一年前正式成立，由辉瑞已成立的药品部门UpJohn与仿制药公司Mylan合并而成。这个想法是，合并后的实体将比两个单独的单位更强大。</blockquote></p><p> As you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts&nbsp;should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能想象的那样，将两种药物巨头结合起来应该会产生显着的效率。预计到2023年，年度成本协同效应将超过10亿美元。此外，Viatris的管理团队预计，到2023年底，公司的债务负担将从合并完成时的260亿美元削减至195亿美元。未偿债务的减少意味着更大的财务灵活性，并有可能重新点燃公司内部研究引擎。</blockquote></p><p> The real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since&nbsp;healthcare stocks&nbsp;are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的真正魅力在于对其产品需求的一致性。由于医疗保健股具有很强的防御性，表现不佳的股市不会改变人们需要处方药的事实。Viatris领先的仿制药部门也完全有能力利用美国和全球人口老龄化的优势。</blockquote></p><p> With a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris的远期市盈率低于4，其市盈率几乎是您在医疗保健领域看到的最便宜的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7df57a973eb8047515b9d2de719a53\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> A fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based&nbsp;<b>Sea Limited</b>(NYSE:SE). Sea has&nbsp;three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments&nbsp;that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>如果股市崩盘或调整，第四只不可阻挡的股票是新加坡<b>海有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SE）。Sea拥有三个增长异常快速的运营部门，有朝一日可能会将其估值推至1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> First, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote>首先是其数字娱乐部门，主要包括移动游戏。截至6月，Sea的季度活跃用户为7.25亿，其中12.7%（9220万）是付费用户。整个游戏行业的平均付费游戏比接近2%。此外，第二季度每位用户的平均预订量从去年同期的1.40美元升至1.60美元。目前，这是唯一一个产生正息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的部门。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Second, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and&nbsp;$15 billion in gross merchandise value&nbsp;(GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Sea拥有快速增长的电子商务平台Shopee。最近一个季度，Shopee处理了14亿笔总订单（同比增长127%）和150亿美元的商品总价值(GMV)。在某些情况下，Shopee在2018年全年处理了100亿美元的GMV。该公司的年在线零售运行率在2.5年内增长了6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.</p><p><blockquote>最后，其数字金融服务部门拥有3270万付费数字钱包用户，在截至6月底的季度中监管了超过41亿美元的支付。由于Sea服务的许多新兴市场银行服务不足，数字钱包对该公司来说可能是一个偷偷摸摸的长期增长故事。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","VTRS":"Viatris Inc.","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/14/4-unstoppable-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184483169","content_text":"Key Points\n\nDouble-digit percentage declines in the broader market are more common than investors realize.\nThere are no shortage of catalysts that could cause a stock market crash or correction.\nBuying this quartet of unstoppable companies during a broad-market decline would be a wise move.\n\n\nSome investors might not be thrilled with what I'm about to say, but it's simply a matter of allowing historical data do the talking: A stock market crash or correction may be brewing.\nRecently, the benchmark S&P 500 underwent its first correction of at least 5% in 10 months. While nothing is guaranteed on Wall Street, a number of signs appear to be pointing to the growing likelihood of downside for the broader market.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThere are a laundry list of catalysts that could send the market lower\nFor instance, since the beginning of 1950, there have been 38 double-digit percentage declines in the S&P 500. That equates to one drop of at least 10%, on average, every 1.87 years. We're now more than 1.5 years removed from the chaotic bear market decline that bottomed out during the initial stages of the coronavirus pandemic.\nTo build on this point, the broader market has responded very similarly following crashes or corrections for the past 60 years. Following each of the previous eight bear markets, excluding the coronavirus crash, there were either one or two declines of 10% in the S&P 500 within three years. What this tells us is that rebounding from a bear market is a process and pretty much never the straight line higher that investors have reveled in for more than 18 months.\nMacroeconomic factors and fundamental metrics pose warnings, too. Rapidly rising crude oil and natural-gas prices threaten pocketbooks and could quickly throttle down economic growth following the pandemic-induced recession.\nThere's also margin debt, which has climbed at a precipitous pace in 2021. Data from market-analytics company Yardeni Research shows that there have only been three instances since the beginning of 1995 where margin debt rose 60% or more in a single year. The previous two occurred just months before the dot-com bubble burst and the financial crisis began.\nEven valuations are a concern. The S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 37.7, which is well over double its 151-year average of 16.9. Perhaps more worrisome, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has only crossed above and held 30 on five occasions in 151 years. The previous four instances saw minimum declines of at least 20% after the Shiller P/E ratio peaked.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nCrashes and corrections are an opportunity to buy great stocks at a discount\nBut there's another side to this story. Even though stock market corrections occur often, they've always eventually been erased by a bull-market rally. Buying great companies at a discount during a crash or correction and holding those stakes for long periods of time is a recipe to build wealth over time.\nIf a stock market crash or double-digit percentage correction does materialize from this recent uptick in volatility, the following four unstoppable stocks would make for perfect buys.\nBerkshire Hathaway\nOne of the safest ways to build wealth over the long run is to follow in the footsteps of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. The easiest way to do that is to buy shares of Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B), the conglomerate run by Buffett that's averaged ajaw-dropping annual return of 20%since the beginning of 1965 (an aggregate return of close to 3,300,000%).\nBerkshire Hathaway's portfolio is successful for two key reasons. First,it's highly cyclical, with about 85% of the company's invested assets tied up in tech stocks, financial stocks, and consumer staples. Though the Oracle of Omaha is fully aware that recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, he also understands that economic downturns don't last very long. He's positioned Berkshire's investment portfolio to take advantage of multiyear periods of expansion.\nThe other catalyst working in the company's favor is its dividend income. Over the next 12 months, Berkshire Hathaway should collect more than $5 billion in common and preferred dividends, which equates to about a 5% yield, relative to the company's cost basis on its investments. Warren Buffett has demonstrated how easy it is to build wealth on Wall Street by purchasing businesses with clear-cut competitive advantages and not selling.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTrulieve Cannabis\nIf growth stocks are more your thing,marijuana stockTrulieve Cannabis(OTC:TCNNF) has the look of an unstoppable buy if a crash or correction strikes.\nFirst of all, we witnessed during the pandemic that cannabis is treated as a non-discretionary good. In other words, people kept buying pot products, no matter how badly the pandemic altered the economic landscape in North America.\nMore specific to Trulieve, it's really differentiated itself from other pot stocks. With most multistate operators (MSOs) setting up shop in well over a dozen legalized U.S. markets, Trulieve focused most of its attention on medical marijuana-legal Florida. Trulieve has 94 operating dispensaries in the Sunshine State, which represents about a quarter of all cannabis retail locations statewide.\nSaturating one of the largest pot markets in the U.S. has helped the company effectively build up its brand without breaking the bank on the marketing front. As a result, Trulieve Cannabis has been profitable for more than three years.\nWhat's more, Trulieve recently completed its all-share acquisition of MSO Harvest Health & Recreation. This deal moves it into new markets, and most importantly, makes it the key player in Arizona, which legalized recreational marijuana in November 2020.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nViatris\nWant deep-discount value and a market-topping dividend yield? Drug-companyViatris(NASDAQ:VTRS)and its 3.2% yield may well be the unstoppable stock to buy if there's a stock market crash or correction.\nViatris was officially formed less than a year ago by combining Pfizer's established drug unit UpJohn with generic-drug company Mylan. The idea was that the combined entity would be stronger than the two individual units would have ever been.\nAs you might imagine, combining two drug juggernauts should yield significant efficiencies. The expectation is for more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies by 2023. Further, Viatris' management team expects to have whittled down the company's debt load from $26 billion, when the combination closed, to $19.5 billion by the end of 2023. Less debt outstanding means more financial flexibility and, potentially, the ability to reignite the company's internal research engine.\nThe real beauty of Viatris is the consistency of demand for its products. Since healthcare stocks are highly defensive, a poorly performing stock market won't change the fact that people need prescribed drugs. Viatris' leading generic division is also perfectly positioned to take advantage of an aging U.S. and global population.\nWith a forward-year P/E ratio below 4, Viatris has about as a cheap of a multiple as you'll ever see in the healthcare space.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSea Limited\nA fourth unstoppable stock to gobble up if there's a stock market crash or correction is Singapore-based Sea Limited(NYSE:SE). Sea has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments that could one day push its valuation to $1 trillion.\nFirst, there's its digital-entertainment segment, which primarily encompasses mobile gaming. Sea ended June with 725 million quarterly active users, 12.7% of which (92.2 million) were paying to play. The average pay-to-play ratio throughout the gaming industry is closer to 2%. Additionally, average bookings per user rose to $1.60 in Q2 from $1.40 in the prior-year period. For the time being, this is the only segment generating positive earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).\nSecond, Sea has its rapidly growing e-commerce platform, known as Shopee. In the latest quarter, Shopee handled 1.4 billion gross orders (up 127% year over year) and $15 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV). For some context, Shopee handled $10 billion in GMV in the entirety of 2018. The company's annual online retail run rate has sextupled in 2.5 years.\nLastly, its digital financial services segment has 32.7 million paying digital-wallet users and oversaw more than $4.1 billion in payments in the June-ended quarter. Since many of the emerging markets Sea serves are underbanked, digital wallets could be a sneaky long-term growth story for the company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VTRS":0.9,"SE":0.9,"TCNNF":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":819469267,"gmtCreate":1630091215959,"gmtModify":1704955840858,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819469267","repostId":"1123342356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897381790,"gmtCreate":1628886807510,"gmtModify":1631891818376,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897381790","repostId":"2159218651","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890696879,"gmtCreate":1628101159991,"gmtModify":1631891818378,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890696879","repostId":"1187165636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173199012,"gmtCreate":1626627037236,"gmtModify":1631891818377,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173199012","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867840110,"gmtCreate":1633241370387,"gmtModify":1633241370539,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867840110","repostId":"2172643049","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832921580,"gmtCreate":1629562669940,"gmtModify":1631891818383,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832921580","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CDNS":"铿腾电子","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌","SSNLF":"三星电子","ON":"安森美半导体","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QCOM":"高通","AMZN":"亚马逊","ASML":"阿斯麦","TSM":"台积电","SNPS":"新思科技","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"ON":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"QCOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899879009,"gmtCreate":1628175582101,"gmtModify":1631891818385,"author":{"id":"3584939916187250","authorId":"3584939916187250","name":"EAvenue","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3beb412a0aa565cfaac4f68f1721fd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584939916187250","idStr":"3584939916187250"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899879009","repostId":"1173170520","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}