你好东方红的个人主页 - 老虎社区

你好东方红

你好东方红

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IP属地：河南

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你好东方红

2021-06-14

$拼多多(PDD)$拼多多真的不能碰跌的，一直加仓一直跌，都补不上，赔了几千了，我晕

你好东方红

2021-05-25

新东方可以买吗

你好东方红

2021-06-25

$燃料电池能源(FCEL)$一直相信你，我等你到10美元

你好东方红

2021-06-22

$维珍银河(SPCE)$加油冲起来！

你好东方红

2021-06-18

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$加油冲呀

你好东方红

2021-06-22

$老虎证券(TIGR)$老虎应该继续加油！

你好东方红

2021-06-06

$旭明光电(LEDS)$加油冲动一次

你好东方红

2021-06-03

$拼多多(PDD)$拼多多我来了。

你好东方红

2021-06-22

$维珍银河(SPCE)$加油冲起来！

你好东方红

2021-06-20

$爱回收(RERE)$应该还会涨的

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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者&nbsp;|&nbsp;日本央行 来 源&nbsp;|&nbsp;奥特快谈 引言 在“人口变化与宏观经济表现”这一主题上，我相信日本是最显著例子。 日本的人口和工作年龄人口(15岁到64岁之间的人口)分别在2007年和1995年达到顶峰后开始下降。65岁及以上人口的比例从1990年的12%迅速上升到2010年的23%(图1)。 图1 日本人口变化：浅色为老幼，深色为适龄劳动力 与此同时，日本的经济增长在过去20年里逐渐放缓，主要有两个原因：在前半个时期，日本经济受到了泡沫破灭的严重影响。在后半段，快速的人口老龄化通过各种渠道阻碍了日本经济的发展。为了说明这一点，我经常拿包括日本在内的各国增长率进行比较。 七国集团国家中，日本劳动年龄人口的人均GDP增长率是最高的（下图最左，黑柱），这是一个短期内受人口变化影响最小的指标。相比之下，日本的人均GDP增长率几乎与平均水平相同（下图中间），而总GDP增长率受总人口下降的影响，低于平均水平（下图最右）： 图2 人口快速老龄化的影响（黑柱为日本） 新古典增长理论出于简化分析的需要通常不区分总体人口和工作年龄人口，然而，如果不明确考虑到这两个变量之间的区别，就无法分析日本目前面临的挑战。 人口变化带来的各种挑战过去是、未来也将是包括日本在内的许多国家面临的最重要问题之一(图3)，其他亚洲经济体也将在某一时刻发现自己也处于人口老龄化之中。 图3 劳动年龄人口增长率（黑实线为日本） 这是一个迟早要面对的现实。看看欧洲，截至2007年，在欧元区边缘国家，外来移民促成了人口的增长。然而，在全球金融危机之后，移民的势头消失了，区域内一些国家现在甚至面临着人口流出，同时由于人口增长放缓甚至人口下降而导致经济增长放缓。 在我的发言中，我将简要解释日本的人口变化，然后继续探讨与宏观经济表现相关的问题。最后，我将谈到人口变化的政策影响。 日本的人","listText":"作 者&nbsp;|&nbsp;日本央行 来 源&nbsp;|&nbsp;奥特快谈 引言 在“人口变化与宏观经济表现”这一主题上，我相信日本是最显著例子。 日本的人口和工作年龄人口(15岁到64岁之间的人口)分别在2007年和1995年达到顶峰后开始下降。65岁及以上人口的比例从1990年的12%迅速上升到2010年的23%(图1)。 图1 日本人口变化：浅色为老幼，深色为适龄劳动力 与此同时，日本的经济增长在过去20年里逐渐放缓，主要有两个原因：在前半个时期，日本经济受到了泡沫破灭的严重影响。在后半段，快速的人口老龄化通过各种渠道阻碍了日本经济的发展。为了说明这一点，我经常拿包括日本在内的各国增长率进行比较。 七国集团国家中，日本劳动年龄人口的人均GDP增长率是最高的（下图最左，黑柱），这是一个短期内受人口变化影响最小的指标。相比之下，日本的人均GDP增长率几乎与平均水平相同（下图中间），而总GDP增长率受总人口下降的影响，低于平均水平（下图最右）： 图2 人口快速老龄化的影响（黑柱为日本） 新古典增长理论出于简化分析的需要通常不区分总体人口和工作年龄人口，然而，如果不明确考虑到这两个变量之间的区别，就无法分析日本目前面临的挑战。 人口变化带来的各种挑战过去是、未来也将是包括日本在内的许多国家面临的最重要问题之一(图3)，其他亚洲经济体也将在某一时刻发现自己也处于人口老龄化之中。 图3 劳动年龄人口增长率（黑实线为日本） 这是一个迟早要面对的现实。看看欧洲，截至2007年，在欧元区边缘国家，外来移民促成了人口的增长。然而，在全球金融危机之后，移民的势头消失了，区域内一些国家现在甚至面临着人口流出，同时由于人口增长放缓甚至人口下降而导致经济增长放缓。 在我的发言中，我将简要解释日本的人口变化，然后继续探讨与宏观经济表现相关的问题。最后，我将谈到人口变化的政策影响。 日本的人","text":"作 者 | 日本央行 来 源 | 奥特快谈 引言 在“人口变化与宏观经济表现”这一主题上，我相信日本是最显著例子。 日本的人口和工作年龄人口(15岁到64岁之间的人口)分别在2007年和1995年达到顶峰后开始下降。65岁及以上人口的比例从1990年的12%迅速上升到2010年的23%(图1)。 图1 日本人口变化：浅色为老幼，深色为适龄劳动力 与此同时，日本的经济增长在过去20年里逐渐放缓，主要有两个原因：在前半个时期，日本经济受到了泡沫破灭的严重影响。在后半段，快速的人口老龄化通过各种渠道阻碍了日本经济的发展。为了说明这一点，我经常拿包括日本在内的各国增长率进行比较。 七国集团国家中，日本劳动年龄人口的人均GDP增长率是最高的（下图最左，黑柱），这是一个短期内受人口变化影响最小的指标。相比之下，日本的人均GDP增长率几乎与平均水平相同（下图中间），而总GDP增长率受总人口下降的影响，低于平均水平（下图最右）： 图2 人口快速老龄化的影响（黑柱为日本） 新古典增长理论出于简化分析的需要通常不区分总体人口和工作年龄人口，然而，如果不明确考虑到这两个变量之间的区别，就无法分析日本目前面临的挑战。 人口变化带来的各种挑战过去是、未来也将是包括日本在内的许多国家面临的最重要问题之一(图3)，其他亚洲经济体也将在某一时刻发现自己也处于人口老龄化之中。 图3 劳动年龄人口增长率（黑实线为日本） 这是一个迟早要面对的现实。看看欧洲，截至2007年，在欧元区边缘国家，外来移民促成了人口的增长。然而，在全球金融危机之后，移民的势头消失了，区域内一些国家现在甚至面临着人口流出，同时由于人口增长放缓甚至人口下降而导致经济增长放缓。 在我的发言中，我将简要解释日本的人口变化，然后继续探讨与宏观经济表现相关的问题。最后，我将谈到人口变化的政策影响。 日本的人","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afff67841f804abdbfbc14fc53b2032d","width":"115","height":"18"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5330c57873fa452ca86884cd641e2716","width":"1035","height":"355"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1596e2b65da46bd868b4dd4bb876fea","width":"1045","height":"693"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115690652","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":29,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":165159061,"gmtCreate":1624109185053,"gmtModify":1624109185053,"author":{"id":"3584006222075872","authorId":"3584006222075872","name":"你好东方红","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb99191857a6085b7de77489784bc000","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584006222075872","idStr":"3584006222075872"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这个能复制百分之一就好了","listText":"这个能复制百分之一就好了","text":"这个能复制百分之一就好了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165159061","repostId":"115854315","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":115854315,"gmtCreate":1622976180000,"gmtModify":1741599157173,"author":{"id":"3524030243818067","authorId":"3524030243818067","name":"4207f134","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ebc2483f5c94ab5917a7ec0eb2e1f05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3524030243818067","idStr":"3524030243818067"},"themes":[],"title":"1000美元一年炒到500万！草根股神的成功能复制吗？","htmlText":"在刚刚开始炒股的时候，纽威尔甚至都不知道自己在做什么，很快就亏掉了9500美元，大约相当于全部财产的一半。在投入了大量的时间自学市场知识和历史趋势之后，纽威尔2019年11月重新上路了，而这次，他只投入了1000美元。大约一年后，他三个账户当中的财富总规模就达到了500万美元左右。他最主要的投资策略就是根据动能进行日间交易，比如买进上涨股票，卖出下跌股票来追逐趋势。 ” 2019年11月25日，纽威尔(Cameron Newell)给自己设定了一项重大挑战——他要在股市当中将1000美元的初始资金炒到500万美元，同时在网上记录自己的全部交易。2020年12月23日，他成功了。 “我甚至连大学学位都还没拿到。”纽威尔看待自己很是客观，“我高中的平均成绩点（GPA）是2.3，到了大学也就是2.5的样子。总之，我可不是什么天才或者了不起的人物，我只是找到了自己喜欢做的事情。” 一位朋友教会了纽威尔炒股，并将他带到了全美散户重要集结地Robinhood。见到炒股门槛如此之低，纽威尔觉得自己不妨一试。 “我敢说，如果不是因为Robinhood，我是不会开始交易的，因为我打死也不愿意支付佣金。”纽威尔表示，“在我看来，那就是不该存在的东西。” 在刚刚开始炒股的时候，纽威尔甚至都不知道自己在做什么，很快就亏掉了9500美元，大约相当于全部财产的一半——这里面包括父母给的钱，以及自己早年打零工的一点积蓄。 在投入了大量的时间自学市场知识和历史趋势之后，纽威尔2019年11月重新上路了，而这次，他只投入了1000美元。大约一年后，他三个账户当中的财富总规模就达到了500万美元左右。他最主要的投资策略就是根据动能进行日间交易，比如买进上涨股票，卖出下跌股票来追逐趋势。 纽威尔相信，自己的成功，其实其他人也完全可以复制，因此他现在已经开始在网上教别人炒股了。只是，他的方法不见得就适合所有人——","listText":"在刚刚开始炒股的时候，纽威尔甚至都不知道自己在做什么，很快就亏掉了9500美元，大约相当于全部财产的一半。在投入了大量的时间自学市场知识和历史趋势之后，纽威尔2019年11月重新上路了，而这次，他只投入了1000美元。大约一年后，他三个账户当中的财富总规模就达到了500万美元左右。他最主要的投资策略就是根据动能进行日间交易，比如买进上涨股票，卖出下跌股票来追逐趋势。 ” 2019年11月25日，纽威尔(Cameron Newell)给自己设定了一项重大挑战——他要在股市当中将1000美元的初始资金炒到500万美元，同时在网上记录自己的全部交易。2020年12月23日，他成功了。 “我甚至连大学学位都还没拿到。”纽威尔看待自己很是客观，“我高中的平均成绩点（GPA）是2.3，到了大学也就是2.5的样子。总之，我可不是什么天才或者了不起的人物，我只是找到了自己喜欢做的事情。” 一位朋友教会了纽威尔炒股，并将他带到了全美散户重要集结地Robinhood。见到炒股门槛如此之低，纽威尔觉得自己不妨一试。 “我敢说，如果不是因为Robinhood，我是不会开始交易的，因为我打死也不愿意支付佣金。”纽威尔表示，“在我看来，那就是不该存在的东西。” 在刚刚开始炒股的时候，纽威尔甚至都不知道自己在做什么，很快就亏掉了9500美元，大约相当于全部财产的一半——这里面包括父母给的钱，以及自己早年打零工的一点积蓄。 在投入了大量的时间自学市场知识和历史趋势之后，纽威尔2019年11月重新上路了，而这次，他只投入了1000美元。大约一年后，他三个账户当中的财富总规模就达到了500万美元左右。他最主要的投资策略就是根据动能进行日间交易，比如买进上涨股票，卖出下跌股票来追逐趋势。 纽威尔相信，自己的成功，其实其他人也完全可以复制，因此他现在已经开始在网上教别人炒股了。只是，他的方法不见得就适合所有人——","text":"在刚刚开始炒股的时候，纽威尔甚至都不知道自己在做什么，很快就亏掉了9500美元，大约相当于全部财产的一半。在投入了大量的时间自学市场知识和历史趋势之后，纽威尔2019年11月重新上路了，而这次，他只投入了1000美元。大约一年后，他三个账户当中的财富总规模就达到了500万美元左右。他最主要的投资策略就是根据动能进行日间交易，比如买进上涨股票，卖出下跌股票来追逐趋势。 ” 2019年11月25日，纽威尔(Cameron Newell)给自己设定了一项重大挑战——他要在股市当中将1000美元的初始资金炒到500万美元，同时在网上记录自己的全部交易。2020年12月23日，他成功了。 “我甚至连大学学位都还没拿到。”纽威尔看待自己很是客观，“我高中的平均成绩点（GPA）是2.3，到了大学也就是2.5的样子。总之，我可不是什么天才或者了不起的人物，我只是找到了自己喜欢做的事情。” 一位朋友教会了纽威尔炒股，并将他带到了全美散户重要集结地Robinhood。见到炒股门槛如此之低，纽威尔觉得自己不妨一试。 “我敢说，如果不是因为Robinhood，我是不会开始交易的，因为我打死也不愿意支付佣金。”纽威尔表示，“在我看来，那就是不该存在的东西。” 在刚刚开始炒股的时候，纽威尔甚至都不知道自己在做什么，很快就亏掉了9500美元，大约相当于全部财产的一半——这里面包括父母给的钱，以及自己早年打零工的一点积蓄。 在投入了大量的时间自学市场知识和历史趋势之后，纽威尔2019年11月重新上路了，而这次，他只投入了1000美元。大约一年后，他三个账户当中的财富总规模就达到了500万美元左右。他最主要的投资策略就是根据动能进行日间交易，比如买进上涨股票，卖出下跌股票来追逐趋势。 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<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 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