美美的人生的个人主页 - 老虎社区

美美的人生

美美的人生

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美美的人生

2021-09-15

$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$好像每个人的发行价格不一样？

美美的人生

2021-08-30

$京东物流(02618)$继续向上走[开心]

美美的人生

2021-08-27

$京东物流(02618)$希望继续往上走

美美的人生

2021-09-03

$小米集团-W(01810)$亏着呢

美美的人生

2021-08-24

$老虎证券(TIGR)$终于往上了

美美的人生

2021-08-30

虽然走的有点慢，但只要往上走就行

美美的人生

2021-08-07

$开心汽车(KXIN)$一丝丝小肉

美美的人生

2022-05-06

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

美美的人生

2022-04-15

[微笑]

@Ivan_甘灿荣:商品区间顶来袭，还有上涨空间？

美美的人生

2021-09-07

多少天了！还是在24和25之间漫步😱也不知道还能不能抬起头来？$小米集团-W(01810)$

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 短期策略上，油价有效跌穿（以收盘价","text":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 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