Shawnang的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Shawnang

Shawnang

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

373关注

8粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-10-08

[强]

6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>

2021-08-20

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-16

Wow

Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote>

2021-07-13

Hi

Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>

2021-07-08

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-28

[强]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-25

[强]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

Good Adj

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3583463354115468","uuid":"3583463354115468","gmtCreate":1620370532649,"gmtModify":1625713442114,"name":"Shawnang","pinyin":"shawnang","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":8,"headSize":373,"tweetSize":28,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.06.16","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.67%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":696556504,"gmtCreate":1640739413608,"gmtModify":1640739504190,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Like]","listText":"[Like]","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696556504","repostId":"698185014","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699465046,"gmtCreate":1639878573100,"gmtModify":1639878573255,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699465046","repostId":"1164517103","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164517103","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639874793,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1164517103?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164517103","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.\nOTC-listed Cerberus Cyber Sent","content":"<p>Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.</p><p><blockquote>只有一笔 IPO 计划在缩短的假期周上市。</blockquote></p><p> OTC-listed&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>Cerberus Cyber Sentinel</b></a> plans to raise $10 million at a $631 million market cap. The company provides a range of cybersecurity consulting and related services, including Secured Managed Services and Compliance Services, among others. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has delivered explosive growth, but it is unprofitable with negative cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>场外上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>地狱犬网络哨兵</b></a>计划以 6.31 亿美元的市值筹集 1000 万美元。该公司提供一系列网络安全咨询和相关服务，包括安全托管服务和合规服务等。Cerberus Cyber Sentinel 实现了爆炸式增长，但由于现金流为负，它无法盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfff81a3d62b2a5b41793d751f8e793\" tg-width=\"696\" tg-height=\"121\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IPO Market Snapshot</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场快照</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 12/16/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 14% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 24%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 29% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 6%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年12月16日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌了14%，而标普500上涨了24%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Moderna (MRNA)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 29%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 6%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: The IPO market decks the halls with 1 IPO in the short holiday week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：IPO 市场在短暂的假期周内迎来了 1 场 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 08:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.</p><p><blockquote>只有一笔 IPO 计划在缩短的假期周上市。</blockquote></p><p> OTC-listed&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>Cerberus Cyber Sentinel</b></a> plans to raise $10 million at a $631 million market cap. The company provides a range of cybersecurity consulting and related services, including Secured Managed Services and Compliance Services, among others. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has delivered explosive growth, but it is unprofitable with negative cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>场外上市<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CISO\"><b>地狱犬网络哨兵</b></a>计划以 6.31 亿美元的市值筹集 1000 万美元。该公司提供一系列网络安全咨询和相关服务，包括安全托管服务和合规服务等。Cerberus Cyber Sentinel 实现了爆炸式增长，但由于现金流为负，它无法盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfff81a3d62b2a5b41793d751f8e793\" tg-width=\"696\" tg-height=\"121\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IPO Market Snapshot</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场快照</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 12/16/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 14% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 24%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 29% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 6%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年12月16日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌了14%，而标普500上涨了24%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Moderna (MRNA)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 29%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 6%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89650/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-IPO-market-decks-the-halls-with-1-IPO-in-the-short-ho\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CISO":"CISO Global"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89650/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-IPO-market-decks-the-halls-with-1-IPO-in-the-short-ho","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164517103","content_text":"Just one IPO is scheduled to go public in the shortened holiday week.\nOTC-listed Cerberus Cyber Sentinel plans to raise $10 million at a $631 million market cap. The company provides a range of cybersecurity consulting and related services, including Secured Managed Services and Compliance Services, among others. Cerberus Cyber Sentinel has delivered explosive growth, but it is unprofitable with negative cash flow.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 12/16/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 14% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 24%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 29% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 6%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CISO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879965496,"gmtCreate":1636677276227,"gmtModify":1636677276462,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879965496","repostId":"1140480473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140480473","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636676010,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140480473?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 08:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Paysafe Stock Craters 40%. Here's What Its Chart Looks Like Now<blockquote>Paysafe 股票暴跌 40%。这是它现在的图表样子</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140480473","media":"The Street","summary":"Bulls are trying to find the strength necessary to bid stocks higher after a two-day slide. However,","content":"<p>Bulls are trying to find the strength necessary to bid stocks higher after a two-day slide. However, the situation is much different with Paysafe&nbsp;(<b>PSFE</b>) -Get PAYSAFE LTD Report.</p><p><blockquote>在连续两天下跌后，多头正试图找到必要的力量来推高股市。然而，Paysafe的情况大不相同（<b>PSFE</b>)-获取PAYSAFE有限公司报告。</blockquote></p><p> There’s nothing “safe” about this name at all. Shares are currently trawling the session low and are down awhopping 41% from yesterday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>这个名字一点也不 “安全”。股价目前正触及盘中低点，比昨天收盘价下跌了 41%。</blockquote></p><p> It has not been a good year for the stock, now down more than 71% so far in 2021. Even before today’s disastrous fall, shares were still down more than 51% this year.</p><p><blockquote>对于该股来说，今年并不是好年景，2021 年迄今为止已下跌超过 71%。即使在今天的灾难性下跌之前，该股今年仍下跌了 51% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is hitting a record low on the day after reporting disappointing quarterly results, withweaker-than-expected revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在公布令人失望的季度业绩后，该股当天创下历史新低，收入低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a disastrous reaction to a disastrous report. The charts don’t look good either.</p><p><blockquote>这是对灾难性报告的灾难性反应。图表看起来也不好。</blockquote></p><p> Daily chart of Paysafe stock.</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe股票日线图。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTLS\">Chart</a> courtesy of TrendSpider.com</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTLS\">图表</a>由TrendSpider.com提供</blockquote></p><p> Where did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>这只股票哪里崩溃了？令人惊讶的是，不是在周四。</blockquote></p><p> It was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最后一次公布财报是在 8 月 16 日。当天，Paysafe 股价暴跌至历史新低，跌破 9.60 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">TheStreet</a> Recommends</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">街道</a>推荐</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, the ensuing rebound a few weeks later found resistance at the post-earnings high from the 16th. That was another sign that bulls shouldn't be long this stock.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，几周后随后的反弹在16日的财报后高点遇到了阻力。这是多头不应该做多这只股票的另一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, Paysafe stock has remained locked in a painful downtrend. While that didn’t guarantee the stock’s decline today, it should have kept bulls from being long the stock into today’s calamity.</p><p><blockquote>此后，Paysafe 股票一直陷入痛苦的下跌趋势。虽然这并不能保证该股今天会下跌，但这应该能让多头避免做多该股陷入今天的灾难。</blockquote></p><p> So what do bulls do from here?</p><p><blockquote>那么多头从这里开始做什么呢？</blockquote></p><p> Honestly, there’s not much to love. Paysafe stock certainly won’t find its way on my go-to list anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>老实说，没有什么值得爱的。Paysafe 的股票肯定不会很快出现在我的首选清单上。</blockquote></p><p> That said, there are ways to navigate this name for traders who are compelled by it.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，对于被这个名字所吸引的交易者来说，有一些方法可以浏览这个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>We’re holding aVeterans Day Sale for our Action Alerts PLUS investment club. Get in on the conversation and get the latest investment ideas and trading strategies.For 48 hours, we’re offering 30% off with this special sale. Click here and save $150.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们正在为我们的 Action Alerts PLUS investment club 举办 aVeterans Day 销售。加入对话，获取最新的投资理念和交易策略。48 小时内，我们将提供 30% 的特价优惠。点击这里，节省150美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> On the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>上行方面，请回到 5.02 美元上方--今天的高点。如果我们能买到，该股将开始填补今天的缺口。具体来说，它可以让通道中点发挥作用，然后是 10 天移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> In this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，多头可以使用当前低点作为止损点。请记住，它会很宽。</blockquote></p><p> On the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，3.40美元至3.60美元区域可以作为支撑。在该区域附近，Paysafe 股票找到了向下延伸以及渠道支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，无论结果如何，这在很大程度上都是投机性的。</blockquote></p><p> Daily chart of Paysafe stock.</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe股票日线图。</blockquote></p><p> Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</p><p><blockquote>图表由 TrendSpider.com 提供</blockquote></p><p> Where did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>这只股票哪里崩溃了？令人惊讶的是，不是在周四。</blockquote></p><p> It was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最后一次公布财报是在 8 月 16 日。当天，Paysafe 股价暴跌至历史新低，跌破 9.60 美元。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet Recommends</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet建议</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, the ensuing rebound a few weeks later found resistance at the post-earnings high from the 16th. That was another sign that bulls shouldn't be long this stock.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，几周后随后的反弹在16日的财报后高点遇到了阻力。这是多头不应该做多这只股票的另一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, Paysafe stock has remained locked in a painful downtrend. While that didn’t guarantee the stock’s decline today, it should have kept bulls from being long the stock into today’s calamity.</p><p><blockquote>此后，Paysafe 股票一直陷入痛苦的下跌趋势。虽然这并不能保证该股今天会下跌，但这应该能让多头避免做多该股陷入今天的灾难。</blockquote></p><p> So what do bulls do from here?</p><p><blockquote>那么多头从这里开始做什么呢？</blockquote></p><p> Honestly, there’s not much to love. Paysafe stock certainly won’t find its way on my go-to list anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>老实说，没有什么值得爱的。Paysafe 的股票肯定不会很快出现在我的首选清单上。</blockquote></p><p> That said, there are ways to navigate this name for traders who are compelled by it.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，对于被这个名字所吸引的交易者来说，有一些方法可以浏览这个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>We’re holding aVeterans Day Sale for our Action Alerts PLUS investment club. Get in on the conversation and get the latest investment ideas and trading strategies.For 48 hours, we’re offering 30% off with this special sale. Click here and save $150.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们正在为我们的 Action Alerts PLUS investment club 举办 aVeterans Day 销售。加入对话，获取最新的投资理念和交易策略。48 小时内，我们将提供 30% 的特价优惠。点击这里，节省150美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> On the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>上行方面，请回到 5.02 美元上方--今天的高点。如果我们能买到，该股将开始填补今天的缺口。具体来说，它可以让通道中点发挥作用，然后是 10 天移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> In this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，多头可以使用当前低点作为止损点。请记住，它会很宽。</blockquote></p><p> On the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，3.40美元至3.60美元区域可以作为支撑。在该区域附近，Paysafe 股票找到了向下延伸以及渠道支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，无论结果如何，这在很大程度上都是投机性的。</blockquote></p><p> Trading Paysafe Stock Amid Plunge</p><p><blockquote>在暴跌中交易 Paysafe 股票</blockquote></p><p> Where did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>这只股票哪里崩溃了？令人惊讶的是，不是在周四。</blockquote></p><p> It was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最后一次公布财报是在 8 月 16 日。当天，Paysafe 股价暴跌至历史新低，跌破 9.60 美元。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>上行方面，请回到 5.02 美元上方--今天的高点。如果我们能买到，该股将开始填补今天的缺口。具体来说，它可以让通道中点发挥作用，然后是 10 天移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> In this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，多头可以使用当前低点作为止损点。请记住，它会很宽。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，3.40美元至3.60美元区域可以作为支撑。在该区域附近，Paysafe 股票找到了向下延伸以及渠道支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，无论结果如何，这在很大程度上都是投机性的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Paysafe Stock Craters 40%. Here's What Its Chart Looks Like Now<blockquote>Paysafe 股票暴跌 40%。这是它现在的图表样子</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPaysafe Stock Craters 40%. Here's What Its Chart Looks Like Now<blockquote>Paysafe 股票暴跌 40%。这是它现在的图表样子</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-12 08:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bulls are trying to find the strength necessary to bid stocks higher after a two-day slide. However, the situation is much different with Paysafe&nbsp;(<b>PSFE</b>) -Get PAYSAFE LTD Report.</p><p><blockquote>在连续两天下跌后，多头正试图找到必要的力量来推高股市。然而，Paysafe的情况大不相同（<b>PSFE</b>)-获取PAYSAFE有限公司报告。</blockquote></p><p> There’s nothing “safe” about this name at all. Shares are currently trawling the session low and are down awhopping 41% from yesterday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>这个名字一点也不 “安全”。股价目前正触及盘中低点，比昨天收盘价下跌了 41%。</blockquote></p><p> It has not been a good year for the stock, now down more than 71% so far in 2021. Even before today’s disastrous fall, shares were still down more than 51% this year.</p><p><blockquote>对于该股来说，今年并不是好年景，2021 年迄今为止已下跌超过 71%。即使在今天的灾难性下跌之前，该股今年仍下跌了 51% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is hitting a record low on the day after reporting disappointing quarterly results, withweaker-than-expected revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在公布令人失望的季度业绩后，该股当天创下历史新低，收入低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a disastrous reaction to a disastrous report. The charts don’t look good either.</p><p><blockquote>这是对灾难性报告的灾难性反应。图表看起来也不好。</blockquote></p><p> Daily chart of Paysafe stock.</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe股票日线图。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTLS\">Chart</a> courtesy of TrendSpider.com</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTLS\">图表</a>由TrendSpider.com提供</blockquote></p><p> Where did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>这只股票哪里崩溃了？令人惊讶的是，不是在周四。</blockquote></p><p> It was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最后一次公布财报是在 8 月 16 日。当天，Paysafe 股价暴跌至历史新低，跌破 9.60 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">TheStreet</a> Recommends</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">街道</a>推荐</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, the ensuing rebound a few weeks later found resistance at the post-earnings high from the 16th. That was another sign that bulls shouldn't be long this stock.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，几周后随后的反弹在16日的财报后高点遇到了阻力。这是多头不应该做多这只股票的另一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, Paysafe stock has remained locked in a painful downtrend. While that didn’t guarantee the stock’s decline today, it should have kept bulls from being long the stock into today’s calamity.</p><p><blockquote>此后，Paysafe 股票一直陷入痛苦的下跌趋势。虽然这并不能保证该股今天会下跌，但这应该能让多头避免做多该股陷入今天的灾难。</blockquote></p><p> So what do bulls do from here?</p><p><blockquote>那么多头从这里开始做什么呢？</blockquote></p><p> Honestly, there’s not much to love. Paysafe stock certainly won’t find its way on my go-to list anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>老实说，没有什么值得爱的。Paysafe 的股票肯定不会很快出现在我的首选清单上。</blockquote></p><p> That said, there are ways to navigate this name for traders who are compelled by it.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，对于被这个名字所吸引的交易者来说，有一些方法可以浏览这个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>We’re holding aVeterans Day Sale for our Action Alerts PLUS investment club. Get in on the conversation and get the latest investment ideas and trading strategies.For 48 hours, we’re offering 30% off with this special sale. Click here and save $150.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们正在为我们的 Action Alerts PLUS investment club 举办 aVeterans Day 销售。加入对话，获取最新的投资理念和交易策略。48 小时内，我们将提供 30% 的特价优惠。点击这里，节省150美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> On the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>上行方面，请回到 5.02 美元上方--今天的高点。如果我们能买到，该股将开始填补今天的缺口。具体来说，它可以让通道中点发挥作用，然后是 10 天移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> In this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，多头可以使用当前低点作为止损点。请记住，它会很宽。</blockquote></p><p> On the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，3.40美元至3.60美元区域可以作为支撑。在该区域附近，Paysafe 股票找到了向下延伸以及渠道支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，无论结果如何，这在很大程度上都是投机性的。</blockquote></p><p> Daily chart of Paysafe stock.</p><p><blockquote>Paysafe股票日线图。</blockquote></p><p> Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</p><p><blockquote>图表由 TrendSpider.com 提供</blockquote></p><p> Where did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>这只股票哪里崩溃了？令人惊讶的是，不是在周四。</blockquote></p><p> It was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最后一次公布财报是在 8 月 16 日。当天，Paysafe 股价暴跌至历史新低，跌破 9.60 美元。</blockquote></p><p> TheStreet Recommends</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet建议</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, the ensuing rebound a few weeks later found resistance at the post-earnings high from the 16th. That was another sign that bulls shouldn't be long this stock.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，几周后随后的反弹在16日的财报后高点遇到了阻力。这是多头不应该做多这只股票的另一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, Paysafe stock has remained locked in a painful downtrend. While that didn’t guarantee the stock’s decline today, it should have kept bulls from being long the stock into today’s calamity.</p><p><blockquote>此后，Paysafe 股票一直陷入痛苦的下跌趋势。虽然这并不能保证该股今天会下跌，但这应该能让多头避免做多该股陷入今天的灾难。</blockquote></p><p> So what do bulls do from here?</p><p><blockquote>那么多头从这里开始做什么呢？</blockquote></p><p> Honestly, there’s not much to love. Paysafe stock certainly won’t find its way on my go-to list anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>老实说，没有什么值得爱的。Paysafe 的股票肯定不会很快出现在我的首选清单上。</blockquote></p><p> That said, there are ways to navigate this name for traders who are compelled by it.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，对于被这个名字所吸引的交易者来说，有一些方法可以浏览这个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>We’re holding aVeterans Day Sale for our Action Alerts PLUS investment club. Get in on the conversation and get the latest investment ideas and trading strategies.For 48 hours, we’re offering 30% off with this special sale. Click here and save $150.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们正在为我们的 Action Alerts PLUS investment club 举办 aVeterans Day 销售。加入对话，获取最新的投资理念和交易策略。48 小时内，我们将提供 30% 的特价优惠。点击这里，节省150美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> On the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>上行方面，请回到 5.02 美元上方--今天的高点。如果我们能买到，该股将开始填补今天的缺口。具体来说，它可以让通道中点发挥作用，然后是 10 天移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> In this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，多头可以使用当前低点作为止损点。请记住，它会很宽。</blockquote></p><p> On the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，3.40美元至3.60美元区域可以作为支撑。在该区域附近，Paysafe 股票找到了向下延伸以及渠道支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，无论结果如何，这在很大程度上都是投机性的。</blockquote></p><p> Trading Paysafe Stock Amid Plunge</p><p><blockquote>在暴跌中交易 Paysafe 股票</blockquote></p><p> Where did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>这只股票哪里崩溃了？令人惊讶的是，不是在周四。</blockquote></p><p> It was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最后一次公布财报是在 8 月 16 日。当天，Paysafe 股价暴跌至历史新低，跌破 9.60 美元。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>上行方面，请回到 5.02 美元上方--今天的高点。如果我们能买到，该股将开始填补今天的缺口。具体来说，它可以让通道中点发挥作用，然后是 10 天移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> In this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，多头可以使用当前低点作为止损点。请记住，它会很宽。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，3.40美元至3.60美元区域可以作为支撑。在该区域附近，Paysafe 股票找到了向下延伸以及渠道支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，无论结果如何，这在很大程度上都是投机性的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-paysafe-psfe-stock-earnings-plunge\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GTLS":"查特工业","PSFE":"Paysafe Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-paysafe-psfe-stock-earnings-plunge","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140480473","content_text":"Bulls are trying to find the strength necessary to bid stocks higher after a two-day slide. However, the situation is much different with Paysafe (PSFE) -Get PAYSAFE LTD Report.\nThere’s nothing “safe” about this name at all. Shares are currently trawling the session low and are down awhopping 41% from yesterday’s close.\nIt has not been a good year for the stock, now down more than 71% so far in 2021. Even before today’s disastrous fall, shares were still down more than 51% this year.\nThe stock is hitting a record low on the day after reporting disappointing quarterly results, withweaker-than-expected revenue.\nIt’s a disastrous reaction to a disastrous report. The charts don’t look good either.\nDaily chart of Paysafe stock.\nChart courtesy of TrendSpider.com\nWhere did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.\nIt was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.\nTheStreet Recommends\nInterestingly, the ensuing rebound a few weeks later found resistance at the post-earnings high from the 16th. That was another sign that bulls shouldn't be long this stock.\nSince then, Paysafe stock has remained locked in a painful downtrend. While that didn’t guarantee the stock’s decline today, it should have kept bulls from being long the stock into today’s calamity.\nSo what do bulls do from here?\nHonestly, there’s not much to love. Paysafe stock certainly won’t find its way on my go-to list anytime soon.\nThat said, there are ways to navigate this name for traders who are compelled by it.\nWe’re holding aVeterans Day Sale for our Action Alerts PLUS investment club. Get in on the conversation and get the latest investment ideas and trading strategies.For 48 hours, we’re offering 30% off with this special sale. Click here and save $150.\nOn the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.\nIn this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.\nOn the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.\nKeep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.\nDaily chart of Paysafe stock.\nChart courtesy of TrendSpider.com\nWhere did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.\nIt was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.\nTheStreet Recommends\nInterestingly, the ensuing rebound a few weeks later found resistance at the post-earnings high from the 16th. That was another sign that bulls shouldn't be long this stock.\nSince then, Paysafe stock has remained locked in a painful downtrend. While that didn’t guarantee the stock’s decline today, it should have kept bulls from being long the stock into today’s calamity.\nSo what do bulls do from here?\nHonestly, there’s not much to love. Paysafe stock certainly won’t find its way on my go-to list anytime soon.\nThat said, there are ways to navigate this name for traders who are compelled by it.\nWe’re holding aVeterans Day Sale for our Action Alerts PLUS investment club. Get in on the conversation and get the latest investment ideas and trading strategies.For 48 hours, we’re offering 30% off with this special sale. Click here and save $150.\nOn the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.\nIn this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.\nOn the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.\nKeep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.\nTrading Paysafe Stock Amid Plunge\nWhere did this stock fall apart? Surprisingly, it wasn’t on Thursday.\nIt was on Aug. 16, thelast time it reported earnings. On that day, Paysafe stock plunged to new all-time lows, as it cratered through $9.60.\nOn the upside, look for a move back over $5.02 — today’s high. Should we get it, the stock would begin filling into today’s gap. Specifically, it could put the channel midpoint in play, followed by the 10-day moving average.\nIn this scenario, bulls could use the current low as their stop-loss. Keep in mind, it will be wide.\nOn the downside, the $3.40 to $3.60 area could act as support. Near this zone, Paysafe stock finds a downward extension, as well as channel support.\nKeep in mind that this is very much a speculative holding, no matter which outcome sets up.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GTLS":0.9,"PSFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855504709,"gmtCreate":1635381197266,"gmtModify":1635381197324,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855504709","repostId":"2178234765","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821157123,"gmtCreate":1633708574780,"gmtModify":1633708575026,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821157123","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，并充满了未开发的购买力。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收创历史新高，达到11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，并充满了未开发的购买力。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收创历史新高，达到11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861460837,"gmtCreate":1632531885729,"gmtModify":1632711118577,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861460837","repostId":"2170619201","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832515236,"gmtCreate":1629667551825,"gmtModify":1631890423670,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832515236","repostId":"2161743804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838493988,"gmtCreate":1629422638644,"gmtModify":1631890423684,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838493988","repostId":"1199249534","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893589285,"gmtCreate":1628287517647,"gmtModify":1631890423704,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cca833fe8c1ccfb976155be6ddcbd92","width":"1080","height":"3432"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893589285","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804323340,"gmtCreate":1627928654380,"gmtModify":1631890423711,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804323340","repostId":"2156161791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805178394,"gmtCreate":1627867676218,"gmtModify":1631890423719,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805178394","repostId":"1127731627","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127731627","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627866487,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127731627?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价的出租车和餐饮，作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127731627","media":"LBC News","summary":"Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost","content":"<p>Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost uptake of the Covid-19 jab.</p><p><blockquote>出租车和食品配送公司将提供打折乘车和餐饮，以帮助提高新冠肺炎疫苗的接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>, Bolt, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">DELIVEROO HOLDINGS PLC</a> and Pizza Pilgrims are among the brands that will be offering incentives to younger people to encourage them to get vaccinated, the Government announced.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>,螺栓,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">户户送控股有限公司</a>政府宣布，披萨朝圣者是将向年轻人提供激励措施，鼓励他们接种疫苗的品牌之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) said Uber will be sending reminders to all users in August encouraging them to get jabbed.</p><p><blockquote>卫生和社会福利部（DHSC）表示，优步将在8月份向所有用户发送提醒，鼓励他们被刺伤。</blockquote></p><p> The company will offer discounted rides and meals on its Uber Eats platform for young adults who receive a vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将在其 Uber Eats 平台上为接种疫苗的年轻人提供打折乘车和餐饮。</blockquote></p><p> Uber has previously offered free trips to vaccination centres for NHS staff.</p><p><blockquote>Uber 此前曾为 NHS 员工提供前往疫苗接种中心的免费旅行。</blockquote></p><p> Bolt, another ride-hailing app, will offer \"free ride credit\" to vaccination centres following a similar scheme earlier this year when it offered £250,000 worth of free rides to London vaccination facilities.</p><p><blockquote>另一款打车应用 Bolt 将向疫苗接种中心提供“免费乘车积分”，此前今年早些时候也推出了类似的计划，当时它为伦敦疫苗接种机构提供了价值 25 万英镑的免费乘车服务。</blockquote></p><p> Deliveroo will give vouchers to young people who get jabbed, and a spokesperson said: \"At Deliveroo we want to do our small part to support the NHS during the pandemic, including delivering a million free meals to frontline NHS staff and vaccine centres. This is the next step in helping people get vaccinated and safely back to normal.\"</p><p><blockquote>户户送将向被注射疫苗的年轻人发放代金券，一位发言人表示：“在户户送，我们希望尽自己的一份力量在大流行期间支持 NHS，包括向一线 NHS 工作人员和疫苗接种中心提供一百万份免费餐食。这是帮助人们接种疫苗并安全恢复正常的下一步。”</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said further details on partnerships will be released \"in due course\" and other incentives \"could include vouchers or discount codes for people attending pop-up vaccine sites and booking though the NHS, social media competitions and promotional offers for restaurants\".</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示，有关合作伙伴关系的更多细节将“在适当的时候”发布，其他激励措施“可能包括为参加弹出式疫苗网站和通过NHS预订的人提供代金券或折扣代码，社交媒体竞赛和餐馆促销优惠”。</blockquote></p><p> The department added: \"Companies will not ask for or hold any health data for the incentive scheme.\"</p><p><blockquote>该部门补充道：“公司不会为激励计划要求或持有任何健康数据。”</blockquote></p><p> Government data up to July 29 shows that of the 84,737,932 Covid-19 jabs given in the UK, 46,775,525 were first doses and 37,962,407 were second doses.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月29日的政府数据显示，在英国接种的84,737,932次新冠肺炎疫苗中，46,775,525次是第一剂，37,962,407次是第二剂。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said around 67% of people aged 18 to 29 in England have received a first dose.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC 表示，英格兰约有 67% 的 18 至 29 岁人群接种了第一剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Thanking businesses for \"stepping up\" to support the vaccine drive, Health Secretary Sajid Javid urged people to \"take advantage of the discounts\".</p><p><blockquote>卫生部长萨吉德·贾维德感谢企业“挺身而出”支持疫苗运动，并敦促人们“利用折扣”。</blockquote></p><p> He added: \"The lifesaving vaccines not only protect you, your loved ones and your community, but they are helping to bring us back together by allowing you to get back to doing the things you've missed.</p><p><blockquote>他补充道：“救命疫苗不仅可以保护你、你所爱的人和你的社区，还可以让你回去做你错过的事情，从而帮助我们重新团结起来。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said there was \"strong enthusiasm\" among young people so far to get vaccinated, adding: \"Please get your jabs as soon as you can and grab a bargain.\"</p><p><blockquote>疫苗部长纳齐姆·扎哈维表示，到目前为止，年轻人对接种疫苗有着“强烈的热情”，并补充道：“请尽快接种疫苗并抓住机会。”</blockquote></p><p> The latest initiatives are announced aftera host of further pop-up vaccination hubsopened across England this weekend.</p><p><blockquote>最新的举措是在本周末英格兰各地开设更多弹出式疫苗接种中心后宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> Locations include Circus Extreme in Halifax, West Yorkshire, Burnley FC's Turf Moor ground, Goodwood Racecourse near Chichester, and the Summer of Love Festival in west London's Holland Park.</p><p><blockquote>地点包括西约克郡哈利法克斯的极限马戏团，伯恩利足球俱乐部的草坪沼地，奇切斯特附近的古德伍德赛马场，以及西伦敦荷兰公园的爱之夏节。</blockquote></p><p> In the east of the capital a four-day vaccine festival is running in Poplar until Monday, with live music and free food.</p><p><blockquote>在首都东部，为期四天的疫苗节将在白杨举行，直到周一，有现场音乐和免费食物。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said more than 600,000 people were vaccinated last weekend at walk-in clinics ranging from London's Tate Modern Gallery to a Primark in Bristol.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示，上周末有超过60万人在从伦敦泰特现代美术馆到布里斯托尔Primark的无预约诊所接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1627862702248","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价的出租车和餐饮，作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价的出租车和餐饮，作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">LBC News</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost uptake of the Covid-19 jab.</p><p><blockquote>出租车和食品配送公司将提供打折乘车和餐饮，以帮助提高新冠肺炎疫苗的接受度。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>, Bolt, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">DELIVEROO HOLDINGS PLC</a> and Pizza Pilgrims are among the brands that will be offering incentives to younger people to encourage them to get vaccinated, the Government announced.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>,螺栓,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">户户送控股有限公司</a>政府宣布，披萨朝圣者是将向年轻人提供激励措施，鼓励他们接种疫苗的品牌之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) said Uber will be sending reminders to all users in August encouraging them to get jabbed.</p><p><blockquote>卫生和社会福利部（DHSC）表示，优步将在8月份向所有用户发送提醒，鼓励他们被刺伤。</blockquote></p><p> The company will offer discounted rides and meals on its Uber Eats platform for young adults who receive a vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将在其 Uber Eats 平台上为接种疫苗的年轻人提供打折乘车和餐饮。</blockquote></p><p> Uber has previously offered free trips to vaccination centres for NHS staff.</p><p><blockquote>Uber 此前曾为 NHS 员工提供前往疫苗接种中心的免费旅行。</blockquote></p><p> Bolt, another ride-hailing app, will offer \"free ride credit\" to vaccination centres following a similar scheme earlier this year when it offered £250,000 worth of free rides to London vaccination facilities.</p><p><blockquote>另一款打车应用 Bolt 将向疫苗接种中心提供“免费乘车积分”，此前今年早些时候也推出了类似的计划，当时它为伦敦疫苗接种机构提供了价值 25 万英镑的免费乘车服务。</blockquote></p><p> Deliveroo will give vouchers to young people who get jabbed, and a spokesperson said: \"At Deliveroo we want to do our small part to support the NHS during the pandemic, including delivering a million free meals to frontline NHS staff and vaccine centres. This is the next step in helping people get vaccinated and safely back to normal.\"</p><p><blockquote>户户送将向被注射疫苗的年轻人发放代金券，一位发言人表示：“在户户送，我们希望尽自己的一份力量在大流行期间支持 NHS，包括向一线 NHS 工作人员和疫苗接种中心提供一百万份免费餐食。这是帮助人们接种疫苗并安全恢复正常的下一步。”</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said further details on partnerships will be released \"in due course\" and other incentives \"could include vouchers or discount codes for people attending pop-up vaccine sites and booking though the NHS, social media competitions and promotional offers for restaurants\".</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示，有关合作伙伴关系的更多细节将“在适当的时候”发布，其他激励措施“可能包括为参加弹出式疫苗网站和通过NHS预订的人提供代金券或折扣代码，社交媒体竞赛和餐馆促销优惠”。</blockquote></p><p> The department added: \"Companies will not ask for or hold any health data for the incentive scheme.\"</p><p><blockquote>该部门补充道：“公司不会为激励计划要求或持有任何健康数据。”</blockquote></p><p> Government data up to July 29 shows that of the 84,737,932 Covid-19 jabs given in the UK, 46,775,525 were first doses and 37,962,407 were second doses.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月29日的政府数据显示，在英国接种的84,737,932次新冠肺炎疫苗中，46,775,525次是第一剂，37,962,407次是第二剂。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said around 67% of people aged 18 to 29 in England have received a first dose.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC 表示，英格兰约有 67% 的 18 至 29 岁人群接种了第一剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Thanking businesses for \"stepping up\" to support the vaccine drive, Health Secretary Sajid Javid urged people to \"take advantage of the discounts\".</p><p><blockquote>卫生部长萨吉德·贾维德感谢企业“挺身而出”支持疫苗运动，并敦促人们“利用折扣”。</blockquote></p><p> He added: \"The lifesaving vaccines not only protect you, your loved ones and your community, but they are helping to bring us back together by allowing you to get back to doing the things you've missed.</p><p><blockquote>他补充道：“救命疫苗不仅可以保护你、你所爱的人和你的社区，还可以让你回去做你错过的事情，从而帮助我们重新团结起来。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said there was \"strong enthusiasm\" among young people so far to get vaccinated, adding: \"Please get your jabs as soon as you can and grab a bargain.\"</p><p><blockquote>疫苗部长纳齐姆·扎哈维表示，到目前为止，年轻人对接种疫苗有着“强烈的热情”，并补充道：“请尽快接种疫苗并抓住机会。”</blockquote></p><p> The latest initiatives are announced aftera host of further pop-up vaccination hubsopened across England this weekend.</p><p><blockquote>最新的举措是在本周末英格兰各地开设更多弹出式疫苗接种中心后宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> Locations include Circus Extreme in Halifax, West Yorkshire, Burnley FC's Turf Moor ground, Goodwood Racecourse near Chichester, and the Summer of Love Festival in west London's Holland Park.</p><p><blockquote>地点包括西约克郡哈利法克斯的极限马戏团，伯恩利足球俱乐部的草坪沼地，奇切斯特附近的古德伍德赛马场，以及西伦敦荷兰公园的爱之夏节。</blockquote></p><p> In the east of the capital a four-day vaccine festival is running in Poplar until Monday, with live music and free food.</p><p><blockquote>在首都东部，为期四天的疫苗节将在白杨举行，直到周一，有现场音乐和免费食物。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said more than 600,000 people were vaccinated last weekend at walk-in clinics ranging from London's Tate Modern Gallery to a Primark in Bristol.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示，上周末有超过60万人在从伦敦泰特现代美术馆到布里斯托尔Primark的无预约诊所接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/discounted-cab-rides-and-meals-offered-as-incentives-to-get-covid-jab/\">LBC News</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","ROO.UK":"Deliveroo Holdings PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/discounted-cab-rides-and-meals-offered-as-incentives-to-get-covid-jab/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127731627","content_text":"Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost uptake of the Covid-19 jab.\nUber, Bolt, DELIVEROO HOLDINGS PLC and Pizza Pilgrims are among the brands that will be offering incentives to younger people to encourage them to get vaccinated, the Government announced.\nThe Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) said Uber will be sending reminders to all users in August encouraging them to get jabbed.\nThe company will offer discounted rides and meals on its Uber Eats platform for young adults who receive a vaccine.\nUber has previously offered free trips to vaccination centres for NHS staff.\nBolt, another ride-hailing app, will offer \"free ride credit\" to vaccination centres following a similar scheme earlier this year when it offered £250,000 worth of free rides to London vaccination facilities.\nDeliveroo will give vouchers to young people who get jabbed, and a spokesperson said: \"At Deliveroo we want to do our small part to support the NHS during the pandemic, including delivering a million free meals to frontline NHS staff and vaccine centres. This is the next step in helping people get vaccinated and safely back to normal.\"\nDHSC said further details on partnerships will be released \"in due course\" and other incentives \"could include vouchers or discount codes for people attending pop-up vaccine sites and booking though the NHS, social media competitions and promotional offers for restaurants\".\nThe department added: \"Companies will not ask for or hold any health data for the incentive scheme.\"\nGovernment data up to July 29 shows that of the 84,737,932 Covid-19 jabs given in the UK, 46,775,525 were first doses and 37,962,407 were second doses.\nDHSC said around 67% of people aged 18 to 29 in England have received a first dose.\nThanking businesses for \"stepping up\" to support the vaccine drive, Health Secretary Sajid Javid urged people to \"take advantage of the discounts\".\nHe added: \"The lifesaving vaccines not only protect you, your loved ones and your community, but they are helping to bring us back together by allowing you to get back to doing the things you've missed.\nVaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said there was \"strong enthusiasm\" among young people so far to get vaccinated, adding: \"Please get your jabs as soon as you can and grab a bargain.\"\nThe latest initiatives are announced aftera host of further pop-up vaccination hubsopened across England this weekend.\nLocations include Circus Extreme in Halifax, West Yorkshire, Burnley FC's Turf Moor ground, Goodwood Racecourse near Chichester, and the Summer of Love Festival in west London's Holland Park.\nIn the east of the capital a four-day vaccine festival is running in Poplar until Monday, with live music and free food.\nDHSC said more than 600,000 people were vaccinated last weekend at walk-in clinics ranging from London's Tate Modern Gallery to a Primark in Bristol.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9,"ROO.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808423629,"gmtCreate":1627606956461,"gmtModify":1631890423735,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808423629","repostId":"2155184148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808420296,"gmtCreate":1627606890615,"gmtModify":1631890423746,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808420296","repostId":"2155184148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801627538,"gmtCreate":1627515951824,"gmtModify":1631890423757,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801627538","repostId":"2155976821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177648544,"gmtCreate":1627215763588,"gmtModify":1631890423770,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177648544","repostId":"2153878189","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172889004,"gmtCreate":1626951329108,"gmtModify":1631890423781,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172889004","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176389753,"gmtCreate":1626862104172,"gmtModify":1633770336287,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176389753","repostId":"1179602567","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178361604,"gmtCreate":1626788599608,"gmtModify":1633771037027,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178361604","repostId":"1188133258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188133258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626787650,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188133258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188133258","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-we","content":"<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗拉德 (John Flood) 正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前 18 天传统上是市场最强劲的时期……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后，人们预测空头将不得不回补，而在此期间，我们看到 16 个交易日中有 13 个创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去三天里，当标准普尔指数加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，最终在周一以可怕的溃败达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济将直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货价格反弹，交易员们清楚地表现出想要抓住几个月来跌幅最快的一把刀的愿望，我们惊讶地读到，在7月上半月正确预测市场上涨的约翰·弗拉德现在已经完全改变了主意，并在隔夜发布的一份报告中写道：“<b>不要抄底。</b>他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我一直是下跌的买家，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇文章越来越难从我的座位上放下（在上周与发行相关的一些不稳定的px行动之后）。<b>99% 的标准普尔 500 指数公司将进入下周的回购禁售期，供应端的数量流动仍然不对称（又名 CTA 卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是财报期最繁忙的两周。随着 FAAMG complex 背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，七月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售竞标正在消退）。从1年的角度来看，HF长度最近有了很大的进步，但从3年的角度来看，无论是净资产还是总收入，都远高于第50个百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国 ADR 后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都在关注 2021 年 10 年期国债收益率首次远低于 1.26 的 200dma。没有必要按下紧急按钮，但我计划在接下来的几个会议中耐心买票。以下是10把钥匙<i>看跌</i>正在监测的发展洪水：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1) 周末的新冠疫情头条新闻是我在 2021 年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个……</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增 60% 以上，超过全球 16% 的增幅。前 FDA 局长斯科特·戈特利布 (Scott Gottlieb) 表示，三角洲病例可能被低估了。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估了”新冠病毒在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>美国疾病控制与预防中心警告称，在全国接种率较低的地区，病例、住院人数和死亡人数都在上升，可能会出现 “未接种疫苗者的大流行”。</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在奥运会预计开始前几天，首批东京奥运会运动员新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅客都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这个纸越来越难放置。上周，我们对美国的11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月下旬尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3) 第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们预计会出现好转，但不要指望这些好转会得到回报。又名卖方估计仍然太低，仓位仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行收益（基本上全面跑赢）以来，银行指数已下跌 355 个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购禁售期，这将持续到21年7月23日…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流程是不对称的……（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6) 市场广度继续恶化（上个月为 100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7) 又名，如果没有最近 FAAMG 的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8) 与中国的紧张局势升级，我们看到 ADR 继续去风险化： 白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行了大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9）零售支持一直在减弱MTD....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）1年回顾，基本的L/S定位已经显著进步…….3年回顾，仍然上升…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗拉德 (John Flood) 正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前 18 天传统上是市场最强劲的时期……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后，人们预测空头将不得不回补，而在此期间，我们看到 16 个交易日中有 13 个创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去三天里，当标准普尔指数加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，最终在周一以可怕的溃败达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济将直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货价格反弹，交易员们清楚地表现出想要抓住几个月来跌幅最快的一把刀的愿望，我们惊讶地读到，在7月上半月正确预测市场上涨的约翰·弗拉德现在已经完全改变了主意，并在隔夜发布的一份报告中写道：“<b>不要抄底。</b>他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我一直是下跌的买家，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇文章越来越难从我的座位上放下（在上周与发行相关的一些不稳定的px行动之后）。<b>99% 的标准普尔 500 指数公司将进入下周的回购禁售期，供应端的数量流动仍然不对称（又名 CTA 卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是财报期最繁忙的两周。随着 FAAMG complex 背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，七月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售竞标正在消退）。从1年的角度来看，HF长度最近有了很大的进步，但从3年的角度来看，无论是净资产还是总收入，都远高于第50个百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国 ADR 后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都在关注 2021 年 10 年期国债收益率首次远低于 1.26 的 200dma。没有必要按下紧急按钮，但我计划在接下来的几个会议中耐心买票。以下是10把钥匙<i>看跌</i>正在监测的发展洪水：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1) 周末的新冠疫情头条新闻是我在 2021 年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个……</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增 60% 以上，超过全球 16% 的增幅。前 FDA 局长斯科特·戈特利布 (Scott Gottlieb) 表示，三角洲病例可能被低估了。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估了”新冠病毒在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>美国疾病控制与预防中心警告称，在全国接种率较低的地区，病例、住院人数和死亡人数都在上升，可能会出现 “未接种疫苗者的大流行”。</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在奥运会预计开始前几天，首批东京奥运会运动员新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅客都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这个纸越来越难放置。上周，我们对美国的11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月下旬尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3) 第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们预计会出现好转，但不要指望这些好转会得到回报。又名卖方估计仍然太低，仓位仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行收益（基本上全面跑赢）以来，银行指数已下跌 355 个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购禁售期，这将持续到21年7月23日…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流程是不对称的……（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6) 市场广度继续恶化（上个月为 100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7) 又名，如果没有最近 FAAMG 的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8) 与中国的紧张局势升级，我们看到 ADR 继续去风险化： 白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行了大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9）零售支持一直在减弱MTD....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）1年回顾，基本的L/S定位已经显著进步…….3年回顾，仍然上升…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188133258","content_text":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...\n\n... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.\nOf course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.\nAnd yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"don't buy this dip.\" He explains why:\n\n I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).\n\n\n99% of S&P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.\n\n\n Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.\n\nAnd here are the 10 keybearishdevelopments Flood is monitoring:\n1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...\n\nU.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC\nThe CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG\nCDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT\nFirst Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)\nThe UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times\n\n2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.\n3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.\n4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....\n5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....\n6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....\n7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...\n\n8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT\n9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....\n\n10) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173961918,"gmtCreate":1626601288434,"gmtModify":1633925552239,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173961918","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1060,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147775692,"gmtCreate":1626393785916,"gmtModify":1633927231051,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583463354115468","authorIdStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147775692","repostId":"1165176874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165176874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626387247,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165176874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 06:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165176874","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. . I devoted two columns to Martin’s f","content":"<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 10 月开始下跌 20% 以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。为2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测比比皆是。但这条消息来自投资咨询公司 Market Extremes 总裁海斯·马丁 (Hayes Martin)。几年前，我接触到了马丁的工作，从那时起，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资时事通讯；我的时事通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门用了两篇专栏文章来介绍马丁的预测，事实证明这两篇专栏文章都具有先见之明。2020 年 5 月，我得出结论：“股市.比最乐观的投资者想象的还要强劲”。今年 1 月，我写道，市场仍在 “全速运转”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在 7 月 14 日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市肯定没有全力以赴。他说，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比 2018 年 10 月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这标志着标准普尔 500SPX 下跌 20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素 2000 指数 RUT 下跌 26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预计会下跌；seemy 2018 年 10 月 4 日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充说，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像 2018 年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌 10% 或更多。至于时间，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计不会晚于8月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的清醒预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，参与领先指数头条新闻的股票越来越少就表明了这一点。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克 100NDX（-0.71%）和标准普尔 100OEX（-0.37%）指数创下新高，但许多板块创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小盘股中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁提供的拉塞尔 2000 指数新高和新低数据（可追溯到 2000 年 6 月）中，本周发生的事情只发生过另外三次--2014 年 9 月、2015 年 7 月和 2018 年 10 月。在所有三个案例中，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000都至少下降了10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin 报告称，目前市场上唯一没有出现危险分歧的领域是大盘股占主导地位的标普500。他说，除了这个行业，“目前股市的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的”。</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重的分歧是在股票被严重高估的情况下发生的——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场下跌时，其跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说道，目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪更是火上浇油。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是向下的。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票已经被高估一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那部分现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExpect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 06:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 10 月开始下跌 20% 以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。为2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测比比皆是。但这条消息来自投资咨询公司 Market Extremes 总裁海斯·马丁 (Hayes Martin)。几年前，我接触到了马丁的工作，从那时起，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资时事通讯；我的时事通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门用了两篇专栏文章来介绍马丁的预测，事实证明这两篇专栏文章都具有先见之明。2020 年 5 月，我得出结论：“股市.比最乐观的投资者想象的还要强劲”。今年 1 月，我写道，市场仍在 “全速运转”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在 7 月 14 日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市肯定没有全力以赴。他说，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比 2018 年 10 月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这标志着标准普尔 500SPX 下跌 20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素 2000 指数 RUT 下跌 26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预计会下跌；seemy 2018 年 10 月 4 日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充说，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像 2018 年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌 10% 或更多。至于时间，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计不会晚于8月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的清醒预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，参与领先指数头条新闻的股票越来越少就表明了这一点。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克 100NDX（-0.71%）和标准普尔 100OEX（-0.37%）指数创下新高，但许多板块创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小盘股中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁提供的拉塞尔 2000 指数新高和新低数据（可追溯到 2000 年 6 月）中，本周发生的事情只发生过另外三次--2014 年 9 月、2015 年 7 月和 2018 年 10 月。在所有三个案例中，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000都至少下降了10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin 报告称，目前市场上唯一没有出现危险分歧的领域是大盘股占主导地位的标普500。他说，除了这个行业，“目前股市的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的”。</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重的分歧是在股票被严重高估的情况下发生的——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场下跌时，其跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说道，目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪更是火上浇油。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是向下的。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票已经被高估一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那部分现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165176874","content_text":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.\n\nGet ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.\nTo be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)\nI devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”\nIn an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)\nMartin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.\nThe source of the market’s ill-health\nMartin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.\nThis was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.\nMartin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”\nMartin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.\nAdding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.\nTo be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":821157123,"gmtCreate":1633708574780,"gmtModify":1633708575026,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821157123","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，并充满了未开发的购买力。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收创历史新高，达到11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，并充满了未开发的购买力。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收创历史新高，达到11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":838493988,"gmtCreate":1629422638644,"gmtModify":1631890423684,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838493988","repostId":"1199249534","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172889004,"gmtCreate":1626951329108,"gmtModify":1631890423781,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172889004","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147775692,"gmtCreate":1626393785916,"gmtModify":1633927231051,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147775692","repostId":"1165176874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165176874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626387247,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165176874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 06:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165176874","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. . I devoted two columns to Martin’s f","content":"<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 10 月开始下跌 20% 以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。为2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测比比皆是。但这条消息来自投资咨询公司 Market Extremes 总裁海斯·马丁 (Hayes Martin)。几年前，我接触到了马丁的工作，从那时起，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资时事通讯；我的时事通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门用了两篇专栏文章来介绍马丁的预测，事实证明这两篇专栏文章都具有先见之明。2020 年 5 月，我得出结论：“股市.比最乐观的投资者想象的还要强劲”。今年 1 月，我写道，市场仍在 “全速运转”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在 7 月 14 日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市肯定没有全力以赴。他说，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比 2018 年 10 月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这标志着标准普尔 500SPX 下跌 20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素 2000 指数 RUT 下跌 26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预计会下跌；seemy 2018 年 10 月 4 日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充说，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像 2018 年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌 10% 或更多。至于时间，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计不会晚于8月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的清醒预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，参与领先指数头条新闻的股票越来越少就表明了这一点。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克 100NDX（-0.71%）和标准普尔 100OEX（-0.37%）指数创下新高，但许多板块创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小盘股中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁提供的拉塞尔 2000 指数新高和新低数据（可追溯到 2000 年 6 月）中，本周发生的事情只发生过另外三次--2014 年 9 月、2015 年 7 月和 2018 年 10 月。在所有三个案例中，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000都至少下降了10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin 报告称，目前市场上唯一没有出现危险分歧的领域是大盘股占主导地位的标普500。他说，除了这个行业，“目前股市的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的”。</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重的分歧是在股票被严重高估的情况下发生的——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场下跌时，其跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说道，目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪更是火上浇油。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是向下的。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票已经被高估一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那部分现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExpect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到 8 月中旬美国股市将出现 10% 或更严重的调整</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 06:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 10 月开始下跌 20% 以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。为2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测比比皆是。但这条消息来自投资咨询公司 Market Extremes 总裁海斯·马丁 (Hayes Martin)。几年前，我接触到了马丁的工作，从那时起，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资时事通讯；我的时事通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门用了两篇专栏文章来介绍马丁的预测，事实证明这两篇专栏文章都具有先见之明。2020 年 5 月，我得出结论：“股市.比最乐观的投资者想象的还要强劲”。今年 1 月，我写道，市场仍在 “全速运转”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在 7 月 14 日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市肯定没有全力以赴。他说，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比 2018 年 10 月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这标志着标准普尔 500SPX 下跌 20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素 2000 指数 RUT 下跌 26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预计会下跌；seemy 2018 年 10 月 4 日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充说，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像 2018 年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌 10% 或更多。至于时间，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计不会晚于8月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的清醒预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，参与领先指数头条新闻的股票越来越少就表明了这一点。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克 100NDX（-0.71%）和标准普尔 100OEX（-0.37%）指数创下新高，但许多板块创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小盘股中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁提供的拉塞尔 2000 指数新高和新低数据（可追溯到 2000 年 6 月）中，本周发生的事情只发生过另外三次--2014 年 9 月、2015 年 7 月和 2018 年 10 月。在所有三个案例中，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000都至少下降了10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin 报告称，目前市场上唯一没有出现危险分歧的领域是大盘股占主导地位的标普500。他说，除了这个行业，“目前股市的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的”。</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重的分歧是在股票被严重高估的情况下发生的——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场下跌时，其跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说道，目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪更是火上浇油。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是向下的。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票已经被高估一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那部分现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165176874","content_text":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.\n\nGet ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.\nTo be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)\nI devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”\nIn an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)\nMartin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.\nThe source of the market’s ill-health\nMartin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.\nThis was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.\nMartin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”\nMartin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.\nAdding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.\nTo be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142139134,"gmtCreate":1626135695528,"gmtModify":1633929835107,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142139134","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数最终仅接近 35,000 点里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一的综合指数连续创下历史新高，本周开始时与上周结束时相同。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的结束是在投资者等待美联储主席杰罗姆半年一次的证词之际<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，本周将发布一系列经济报告，企业季度业绩的非官方开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）上涨 126.02 点，涨幅 0.4%，收于创纪录的 34,996.18 点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，即0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。这一上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一系列关键事件之前，其中包括财报季的非官方开始，这<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>公司</b>.JPM,+1.43% 将于周二开盘，鲍威尔在国会大厦作证<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>以及有关通胀的最新数据。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”该公司董事约翰-凯里（John Carey）说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S. 的收入，并补充说，就目前而言，盈利掩盖了不确定性<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>超出计划的基础设施支出和潜在的更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“凯里告诉 MarketWatch：”大多数人似乎都关注经济的实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是国债收益率下降。政府债务利率下限引发了人们对美国经济从疫情中复苏前景的质疑。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的传播已经成为一个令人担忧的问题，但分配给某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，对美联储货币政策的质疑也被归咎于一些不稳定的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>10年期MUBMUSD10Y,1.365%收益率周一小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率STMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对通货膨胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并困扰着美国家庭，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧可能对市场来说 “过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>“由杰森-普莱德（Jason Pride）和迈克尔-雷诺兹（Michael Reynolds）领导的格伦米德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：”之前对通胀的担忧和当前对增长峰值的担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断反映，不会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行病中持续复苏的过程中，市场可能会继续波动，因为它们试图适应快速变化的信息流”，但这些因素 “从长远来看不应扰乱市场”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注三角洲驱动的COVID感染。美国以 3385 万例 COVID 病例和 607,156 例死亡病例位居世界第一。安东尼-福奇（Anthony Fauci）博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但在周日接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼，并指责 “意识形态僵化 ”阻碍了抗击大流行病的斗争，这令人 “恐惧”。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“本-梅（Ben May）说：”我们早就警告说，接种疫苗不太可能引发向正常的平稳过渡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津</a>《经济学》全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格读数。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注了20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）在就修改国际企业税法向欧盟国家发表讲话时说：”我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于对工人工资进一步征税和加剧我们都致力于减少的经济差距。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们需要杜绝企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，杜绝允许企业逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>公司</b>.AVGO,+1.16%周一，《华尔街日报》报道这家芯片和软件公司正在洽谈收购 SAS Institute Inc.，此前该公司股价上涨 1.2%，交易估值可能达到 150 亿至 200 亿美元。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司</b>.AAPL,-0.42% 特拉华州联邦法官驳回了 Blix Inc. 的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害移动操作系统市场的竞争，一天后，AAPL 股价下跌 0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16% 表示，该公司将于下个月拆分为两家上市业务，维多利亚的秘密公司（Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.）的内衣部门将更名为 “VSCO”，而 Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. 从 8 月 3 日开始，股票代码为 “BBWI ”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>公司</b>.GME,-1.04%股价周一下跌1%，此前Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远低于该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>韦伯是户外烤架的制造商，在其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世近 50 年后，该公司已申请上市。股份将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>股票代码为WEBR的证券交易所。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid 周一下跌 17.3%，这是自 2020 年 3 月 16 日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅，一天前，创始人理查德-布兰森（Richard Branson）和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的 VSS 成功飞入亚轨道空间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力航天飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商BASE周一确定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股股票，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为 “BASE”。</li><li>股份<b>现代公司</b>该公司表示将向阿根廷供应 2000 万剂 COVID-19 疫苗，周一上涨 2.8%。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">太阳风公司</a>.</b>SWI 周一下跌 1.8%，尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ICE 美元指数 DXY（衡量美元兑六大主要竞争对手的指标）上涨 0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准CL00 CL.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金 GC00 收盘下跌 0.3%，至每盎司 1,805.90 美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲 600 SXXP 指数收盘上涨 0.7%，伦敦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX 周一收盘上涨 0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨 0.7%，香港恒生指数恒生指数上涨 0.6%，日本日经 225 NIK 指数上涨 2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数最终仅接近 35,000 点里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一的综合指数连续创下历史新高，本周开始时与上周结束时相同。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的结束是在投资者等待美联储主席杰罗姆半年一次的证词之际<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，本周将发布一系列经济报告，企业季度业绩的非官方开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）上涨 126.02 点，涨幅 0.4%，收于创纪录的 34,996.18 点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，即0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。这一上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一系列关键事件之前，其中包括财报季的非官方开始，这<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>公司</b>.JPM,+1.43% 将于周二开盘，鲍威尔在国会大厦作证<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>以及有关通胀的最新数据。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”该公司董事约翰-凯里（John Carey）说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S. 的收入，并补充说，就目前而言，盈利掩盖了不确定性<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>超出计划的基础设施支出和潜在的更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“凯里告诉 MarketWatch：”大多数人似乎都关注经济的实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是国债收益率下降。政府债务利率下限引发了人们对美国经济从疫情中复苏前景的质疑。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的传播已经成为一个令人担忧的问题，但分配给某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，对美联储货币政策的质疑也被归咎于一些不稳定的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>10年期MUBMUSD10Y,1.365%收益率周一小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率STMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对通货膨胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并困扰着美国家庭，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧可能对市场来说 “过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>“由杰森-普莱德（Jason Pride）和迈克尔-雷诺兹（Michael Reynolds）领导的格伦米德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：”之前对通胀的担忧和当前对增长峰值的担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断反映，不会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行病中持续复苏的过程中，市场可能会继续波动，因为它们试图适应快速变化的信息流”，但这些因素 “从长远来看不应扰乱市场”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注三角洲驱动的COVID感染。美国以 3385 万例 COVID 病例和 607,156 例死亡病例位居世界第一。安东尼-福奇（Anthony Fauci）博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但在周日接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼，并指责 “意识形态僵化 ”阻碍了抗击大流行病的斗争，这令人 “恐惧”。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“本-梅（Ben May）说：”我们早就警告说，接种疫苗不太可能引发向正常的平稳过渡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津</a>《经济学》全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格读数。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注了20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）在就修改国际企业税法向欧盟国家发表讲话时说：”我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于对工人工资进一步征税和加剧我们都致力于减少的经济差距。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们需要杜绝企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，杜绝允许企业逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>公司</b>.AVGO,+1.16%周一，《华尔街日报》报道这家芯片和软件公司正在洽谈收购 SAS Institute Inc.，此前该公司股价上涨 1.2%，交易估值可能达到 150 亿至 200 亿美元。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司</b>.AAPL,-0.42% 特拉华州联邦法官驳回了 Blix Inc. 的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害移动操作系统市场的竞争，一天后，AAPL 股价下跌 0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16% 表示，该公司将于下个月拆分为两家上市业务，维多利亚的秘密公司（Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.）的内衣部门将更名为 “VSCO”，而 Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. 从 8 月 3 日开始，股票代码为 “BBWI ”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>公司</b>.GME,-1.04%股价周一下跌1%，此前Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远低于该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>韦伯是户外烤架的制造商，在其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世近 50 年后，该公司已申请上市。股份将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>股票代码为WEBR的证券交易所。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid 周一下跌 17.3%，这是自 2020 年 3 月 16 日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅，一天前，创始人理查德-布兰森（Richard Branson）和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的 VSS 成功飞入亚轨道空间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力航天飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商BASE周一确定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股股票，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为 “BASE”。</li><li>股份<b>现代公司</b>该公司表示将向阿根廷供应 2000 万剂 COVID-19 疫苗，周一上涨 2.8%。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">太阳风公司</a>.</b>SWI 周一下跌 1.8%，尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ICE 美元指数 DXY（衡量美元兑六大主要竞争对手的指标）上涨 0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准CL00 CL.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金 GC00 收盘下跌 0.3%，至每盎司 1,805.90 美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲 600 SXXP 指数收盘上涨 0.7%，伦敦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX 周一收盘上涨 0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨 0.7%，香港恒生指数恒生指数上涨 0.6%，日本日经 225 NIK 指数上涨 2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149379996,"gmtCreate":1625706994015,"gmtModify":1633938172621,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149379996","repostId":"1102362663","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":855504709,"gmtCreate":1635381197266,"gmtModify":1635381197324,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855504709","repostId":"2178234765","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861460837,"gmtCreate":1632531885729,"gmtModify":1632711118577,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861460837","repostId":"2170619201","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808420296,"gmtCreate":1627606890615,"gmtModify":1631890423746,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808420296","repostId":"2155184148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145666726,"gmtCreate":1626221761065,"gmtModify":1633928955034,"author":{"id":"3583463354115468","authorId":"3583463354115468","name":"Shawnang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1cc27d6731644aa86748475f4f818b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583463354115468","idStr":"3583463354115468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good Adj","listText":"Good Adj","text":"Good Adj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145666726","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}