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2021-12-17

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2021-12-04

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2021-11-23

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2021-11-22

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2021-11-19

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2021-11-19

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4 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的4只股票</blockquote>

2021-11-19

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Apple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote>

2021-11-17

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2021-11-15

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2021-11-15

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2021-11-14

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Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>

2021-11-13

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Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>

2021-11-12

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2021-11-11

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Hot stocks: SPH, SPH Reit, Keppel, Keppel Reit see active trading after Keppel's counter offer for SPH<blockquote>热门股票：SPH、SPH Reit、吉宝、吉宝Reit在吉宝还价SPH后交易活跃</blockquote>

2021-11-10

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2021-11-08

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2021-11-07

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2021-11-06

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2021-11-04

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2021-11-03

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5 things to watch for when Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的5件事</blockquote>

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22:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的4只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182890968","media":"Benzinga","summary":"When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view t","content":"<p><div> When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view the stock as being overpriced. Either way, this signals an opportunity to go short on the stock. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当内部人士出售股票时，表明他们对公司前景的担忧，或者他们认为股票定价过高。不管怎样，这都标志着做空股票的机会。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24192260/4-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24192260/4-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的4只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的4只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-19 22:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view the stock as being overpriced. Either way, this signals an opportunity to go short on the stock. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当内部人士出售股票时，表明他们对公司前景的担忧，或者他们认为股票定价过高。不管怎样，这都标志着做空股票的机会。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24192260/4-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24192260/4-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24192260/4-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AA":"美国铝业","HUBS":"HubSpot","CYRX":"CryoPort, Inc.","MDLZ":"亿滋"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24192260/4-stocks-insiders-are-selling","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182890968","content_text":"When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view the stock as being overpriced. Either way, this signals an opportunity to go short on the stock. Insider sales should not be taken as the only indicator for making an investment or trading decision. At best, it can lend conviction to a selling decision.\nBelow is a look at a few recent notable insider sales.\nAlcoa\n\nThe Trade:Alcoa Corporation EVP and CFO William F Oplinger disposed a total of 166369 shares at an average price of $48.40. The insider received $8,051,610.76 as a result of the transaction. The insider also acquired a total of 74209 shares.\nWhat’s Happening:Alcoa reported the purchase of group annuity contracts for certain US pension plans.\nWhat Alcoa Does:Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and the manufacture of primary aluminum.\n\nHubSpot\n\nThe Trade:HubSpot, Inc. Chief Technology Officer Dharmesh Shah sold a total of 22000 shares at an average price of $837.96. The insider received $18,435,199.05 from selling those shares.\nWhat’s Happening:The company recently posted upbeat quarterly results.\nWhat HubSpot Does:HubSpot provides a cloud-based marketing, sales, and customer service software platform referred to as the growth platform.\n\nCryoport\n\nThe Trade:Cryoport, Inc. 10% owner Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Associates III - NQ L.P.sold a total of 500000 shares at an average price of $76.00. The insider received $38,000,000.00 as a result of the transaction.\nWhat’s Happening:Cryport recently reported a proposed registered direct placement of common stock.\nWhat Cryoport Does:CryoPort Inc is a provider of temperature-controlled supply chain for the life sciences industry by providing a unique and evolving platform of critical products and solutions including advanced packaging, informatics, specialty logistics services, biostorage services, and cryogenic life sciences equipment.\n\nMondelez International\n\nThe Trade:Mondelez International, Inc. Director Trian Fund Management Lp sold a total of 5469062 shares at an average price of $62.31. The insider received $340,801,052.15 from selling those shares.\nWhat’s Happening:Mondelez International, earlier during the month, reported better-than-expected Q3 results and raised guidance.\nWhat Mondelez International Does:Mondelez has operated as an independent organization since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HUBS":0.9,"AA":0.9,"CYRX":0.9,"MDLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876954093,"gmtCreate":1637251602529,"gmtModify":1637251602685,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yds","listText":"Yds","text":"Yds","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876954093","repostId":"1173100100","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173100100","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637249733,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173100100?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173100100","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the pe","content":"<p>Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the peak. Here is what investors should keep in mind.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在11月17日表现强劲，目前距离峰值每股3美元。以下是投资者应该记住的。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, November 17, Apple stock&nbsp;climbed nearly 2% to end the trading session valued at about $154 per share, backed by the heaviest trading volume of the month so far. This is the highest that the stock has reached since early September 2021, when the current all-time high of $156.46 was set.</p><p><blockquote>11月17日星期三，在本月迄今为止最大交易量的支持下，苹果股价上涨近2%，收于每股约154美元的交易时段。这是该股自2021年9月初创下当前历史高点156.46美元以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Below are a few factors that may be driving bullishness, and what AAPL investors should expect of the stock next.</p><p><blockquote>以下是一些可能推动看涨的因素，以及苹果公司投资者接下来应该对该股有何预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/093d1adcfe3c452520b68115237e874d\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The iPhone</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>iPhone</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why so bullish?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么这么看涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple stock's 1.7% climb on Wednesday was much better than the return of the S&amp;P 500, at a modest loss of 0.3%. Interestingly enough, despite AAPL's strong performance, it was not easy to pinpoint one single cause for the outsized single-day gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周三上涨1.7%，远好于标普500的回报，小幅下跌0.3%。有趣的是，尽管苹果公司表现强劲，但要找出单日涨幅过大的单一原因并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the company's&nbsp;announcement&nbsp;of the Self Service Repair program, to be launched in 2022, had something to do with it. By effectively outsourcing simple services to users, Apple might be able to simplify its service and cost structure.</p><p><blockquote>也许该公司宣布将于2022年推出的自助维修计划与此有关。通过有效地将简单的服务外包给用户，苹果或许能够简化其服务和成本结构。</blockquote></p><p> However, I doubt that this piece of news alone was responsible for creating $40 billion in market value. Instead, I bet that bullishness has been merely a reflection of recent skepticism over the company's ability to perform in the near term phasing out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我怀疑仅这条新闻就创造了400亿美元的市值。相反，我敢打赌，看涨情绪只是反映了最近对该公司在短期内逐步淘汰的表现能力的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> I have recently talked about two sell-side reports that support the bull thesis on Apple shares. Wedbush has&nbsp;just called for the best holiday season&nbsp;in the history of the iPhone, with the segment possibly delivering over $70 billion in revenues in only about three months.</p><p><blockquote>我最近谈到了两份支持苹果股票牛市论点的卖方报告。Wedbush刚刚呼吁iPhone历史上最好的假期，该细分市场可能在短短三个月内实现超过700亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Just a day earlier,Morgan Stanley put Apple at the center&nbsp;of the metaverse opportunity. According to the research shop, the real catalyst in this important growth story \"comes if or when Apple enters the space\".</p><p><blockquote>就在一天前，大摩将苹果置于元宇宙机会的中心。据该研究公司称，这个重要增长故事中的真正催化剂“如果或当苹果进入该领域时就会到来”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect of AAPL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对AAPL有何期待</b></blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven remains bullish on Apple stock. With valuations having dipped since reaching a 12-month high in early September, shares have become&nbsp;more affordable than some believe them to be.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仍然看好苹果股票。自9月初达到12个月高点以来，估值有所下降，股价变得比一些人想象的更实惠。</blockquote></p><p> That said, and as the all-time high lurks around the corner, investors should set the right expectations. Near peaks, AAPL tends to suffer less from volatility. However, forward one-year returns also tend to be lower than when&nbsp;the stock is bought after a sharp selloff.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，随着历史高点即将到来，投资者应该设定正确的预期。接近峰值时，苹果公司往往较少受到波动的影响。然而，远期一年回报率也往往低于股票大幅抛售后买入时的回报率。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Record Level Is Around the Corner<blockquote>苹果股票：创纪录水平即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-18 23:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the peak. Here is what investors should keep in mind.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在11月17日表现强劲，目前距离峰值每股3美元。以下是投资者应该记住的。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, November 17, Apple stock&nbsp;climbed nearly 2% to end the trading session valued at about $154 per share, backed by the heaviest trading volume of the month so far. This is the highest that the stock has reached since early September 2021, when the current all-time high of $156.46 was set.</p><p><blockquote>11月17日星期三，在本月迄今为止最大交易量的支持下，苹果股价上涨近2%，收于每股约154美元的交易时段。这是该股自2021年9月初创下当前历史高点156.46美元以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Below are a few factors that may be driving bullishness, and what AAPL investors should expect of the stock next.</p><p><blockquote>以下是一些可能推动看涨的因素，以及苹果公司投资者接下来应该对该股有何预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/093d1adcfe3c452520b68115237e874d\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>The iPhone</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>iPhone</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why so bullish?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么这么看涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple stock's 1.7% climb on Wednesday was much better than the return of the S&amp;P 500, at a modest loss of 0.3%. Interestingly enough, despite AAPL's strong performance, it was not easy to pinpoint one single cause for the outsized single-day gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周三上涨1.7%，远好于标普500的回报，小幅下跌0.3%。有趣的是，尽管苹果公司表现强劲，但要找出单日涨幅过大的单一原因并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the company's&nbsp;announcement&nbsp;of the Self Service Repair program, to be launched in 2022, had something to do with it. By effectively outsourcing simple services to users, Apple might be able to simplify its service and cost structure.</p><p><blockquote>也许该公司宣布将于2022年推出的自助维修计划与此有关。通过有效地将简单的服务外包给用户，苹果或许能够简化其服务和成本结构。</blockquote></p><p> However, I doubt that this piece of news alone was responsible for creating $40 billion in market value. Instead, I bet that bullishness has been merely a reflection of recent skepticism over the company's ability to perform in the near term phasing out.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我怀疑仅这条新闻就创造了400亿美元的市值。相反，我敢打赌，看涨情绪只是反映了最近对该公司在短期内逐步淘汰的表现能力的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> I have recently talked about two sell-side reports that support the bull thesis on Apple shares. Wedbush has&nbsp;just called for the best holiday season&nbsp;in the history of the iPhone, with the segment possibly delivering over $70 billion in revenues in only about three months.</p><p><blockquote>我最近谈到了两份支持苹果股票牛市论点的卖方报告。Wedbush刚刚呼吁iPhone历史上最好的假期，该细分市场可能在短短三个月内实现超过700亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Just a day earlier,Morgan Stanley put Apple at the center&nbsp;of the metaverse opportunity. According to the research shop, the real catalyst in this important growth story \"comes if or when Apple enters the space\".</p><p><blockquote>就在一天前，大摩将苹果置于元宇宙机会的中心。据该研究公司称，这个重要增长故事中的真正催化剂“如果或当苹果进入该领域时就会到来”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect of AAPL</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对AAPL有何期待</b></blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven remains bullish on Apple stock. With valuations having dipped since reaching a 12-month high in early September, shares have become&nbsp;more affordable than some believe them to be.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仍然看好苹果股票。自9月初达到12个月高点以来，估值有所下降，股价变得比一些人想象的更实惠。</blockquote></p><p> That said, and as the all-time high lurks around the corner, investors should set the right expectations. Near peaks, AAPL tends to suffer less from volatility. However, forward one-year returns also tend to be lower than when&nbsp;the stock is bought after a sharp selloff.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，随着历史高点即将到来，投资者应该设定正确的预期。接近峰值时，苹果公司往往较少受到波动的影响。然而，远期一年回报率也往往低于股票大幅抛售后买入时的回报率。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/aapl-after-hours-all-time-high-around-corner\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/aapl-after-hours-all-time-high-around-corner","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173100100","content_text":"Apple stock had a strong day of performance on November 17, and is now $3 per share away from the peak. Here is what investors should keep in mind.\nOn Wednesday, November 17, Apple stock climbed nearly 2% to end the trading session valued at about $154 per share, backed by the heaviest trading volume of the month so far. This is the highest that the stock has reached since early September 2021, when the current all-time high of $156.46 was set.\nBelow are a few factors that may be driving bullishness, and what AAPL investors should expect of the stock next.\nThe iPhone\nWhy so bullish?\nApple stock's 1.7% climb on Wednesday was much better than the return of the S&P 500, at a modest loss of 0.3%. Interestingly enough, despite AAPL's strong performance, it was not easy to pinpoint one single cause for the outsized single-day gain.\nMaybe the company's announcement of the Self Service Repair program, to be launched in 2022, had something to do with it. By effectively outsourcing simple services to users, Apple might be able to simplify its service and cost structure.\nHowever, I doubt that this piece of news alone was responsible for creating $40 billion in market value. Instead, I bet that bullishness has been merely a reflection of recent skepticism over the company's ability to perform in the near term phasing out.\nI have recently talked about two sell-side reports that support the bull thesis on Apple shares. Wedbush has just called for the best holiday season in the history of the iPhone, with the segment possibly delivering over $70 billion in revenues in only about three months.\nJust a day earlier,Morgan Stanley put Apple at the center of the metaverse opportunity. According to the research shop, the real catalyst in this important growth story \"comes if or when Apple enters the space\".\nWhat to expect of AAPL\nThe Apple Maven remains bullish on Apple stock. With valuations having dipped since reaching a 12-month high in early September, shares have become more affordable than some believe them to be.\nThat said, and as the all-time high lurks around the corner, investors should set the right expectations. Near peaks, AAPL tends to suffer less from volatility. However, forward one-year returns also tend to be lower than when the stock is bought after a sharp selloff.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878036088,"gmtCreate":1637121605698,"gmtModify":1637121605835,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878036088","repostId":"1197097917","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873291321,"gmtCreate":1636944044383,"gmtModify":1636944044468,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873291321","repostId":"2183425810","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873293484,"gmtCreate":1636944016606,"gmtModify":1636944016733,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873293484","repostId":"1136863491","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873349843,"gmtCreate":1636864805561,"gmtModify":1636864805687,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873349843","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie&amp;Fitch的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie（股票代码：ANF）曾经是购物中心的主食，以鲜明、性感的广告和深色、香水味十足的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在2017年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的稳步下降给其未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的商场和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎即将夺走另一个受害者。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但在去葬礼的路上发生了令人惊讶的事情：Abercrombie享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨(Fran Horowitz)的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调了霍利斯特品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日，该公司第二财季收入同比增长24%，较大流行前水平增长3%。随着现金充裕的购物者涌向商店，其股价今年上涨了120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>霍洛维茨在接受采访时表示：“改变品牌认知度很难，需要时间才能与消费者重新建立信任。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.“因此，我们很高兴地说，在2021年，我们显然看到了所有这些努力工作的美妙效果。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅走出了深渊，还利用疫情带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的市场和急于花掉疫情积蓄的消费者的推动下，成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌销售额飙升，股价上涨。许多大型购物中心零售商的股价飙升，包括梅西百货(M)、诺德斯特龙(JWN)、著名鞋类母公司Caleres(CAL)和Signet Jewelers(SIG)，这些公司在过去12个月内都上涨了至少100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会的数据，消费者可能会花费8510亿美元，比去年创纪录的7770亿美元增长9.5%，是过去五年4.4%平均增幅的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售正常化之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意外的复兴重申了许多品牌对实体店力量的信念。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们继续在实体未来上下大赌注。随着对实体店投资的继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>疫情对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题是显而易见的。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至是婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌向网上。亚马逊（AMZN）和沃尔玛（WMT）等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>Columbia Threadneedle Investments零售分析师Mari Shor表示：“投资者情绪——尤其是短期对冲基金类型投资者——刚刚对该集团变得非常负面。”“我只是认为投资者并没有真正相信公司或消费者。”</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔表示，投资者的怀疑根源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会，让他们关闭表现不佳的门店，专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上做得更好，并将销售策略转向消费者，无论他们何时何地想购物——无论是网上购物、移动购物还是店内购物。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>萨克斯第五大道精品百货店(Saks Fifth Avenue)的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。据美国零售联合会估计，今年假期在线和其他非商店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Global X负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗·帕兰德拉尼(Pedro Palandrani)表示：“我们认为，这场大流行不仅加速了电子商务在全球的采用，还扩大了市场。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在其数字战略上投资了数亿美元，强调通过改进公司网站以及为在线购买建立店内退货和提货等举措，从数字体验平稳过渡到店内体验。Horowitz表示，疫情的到来促使Abercrombie关闭了全球130家门店和该品牌50%的旗舰店，使过去10年关闭的门店总数达到约500家，同时战略性地开设了一些重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“商店很重要，但它们必须是合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济效益，”她说。“你把它和数字结合在一起，它就等于魔法。”</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B.Riley Securities分析师苏珊·安德森(Susan Anderson)表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效的方式，而且还可以作为在线提货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，即使是Warby Parker(WRBY)等在线零售商也扩大了实体业务，以适应购物者的偏好。“消费者希望随时随地购物，”安德森说。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。商场和实体店在精通数字技术的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，设计公司BHDP委托对1,000名购物者进行的一项调查显示，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁购物者也回到商场，试穿产品，利用店内促销活动，并进行退货。德勤(Deloitte)美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯(Rod Sides)表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人群的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间的战略转变使许多零售商在今年购物中心和市中心的重新开放中处于更好的位置——购物者渴望打开钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者变得出乎意料地富有。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤(Deloitte)的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假期的支出比去年增加15%，平均每户2,624美元，推动了假期的大部分增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示：“你有大量现金，而且有相当多被压抑的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至6250亿美元，比10月份增长0.7%，同比增长13.9%。仅零售额就比8月份增长了0.8%。花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“我们预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。”</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会主席兼首席执行官马修·谢伊(Matthew Shay)在10月份的媒体吹风会上表示，进入假期，零售商比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测，本季美国零售额将增长7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品将大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商博柏利集团(BRBY.UK)上周表示，2022财年上半年可比销售额增长37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach母公司Tapestry(TPR)公布的第一财季财报好于预期，上调了2022年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩表示，“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地应对了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表。”Wolfe Research青睐Nordstrom和Tapestry等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“美国消费者支出的几乎所有主要驱动因素都青睐高端产品。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，更多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai购物中心——流量统计显示，与2019年相比，10月份室内购物中心的客流量增长了3%，室外购物中心的客流量增长了5%——这是购物中心商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团(SPG)的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>泰森斯高级营销经理林赛·佩塔克(Lindsay Petak)表示：“随着越来越多的人完全接种疫苗，再加上许多人出于供应链担忧为即将到来的假期提前购物，自7月份以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。”华盛顿地区的角落中心。该购物中心归Macerich(MAC)所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的股价上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了85%，而标普500则上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF（RCD）今年的表现优于标普500 5个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>NRF的谢伊说：“我们看到百货商店、服装和非必需消费品零售商在经济重新开放后就真正反弹了。”“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店始终是节日期间的热门目的地……它们继续位居今年人们购物场所的榜首。”</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与在线商店不同，但它们将继续存在。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，零售业复兴是否可持续还没有定论。零售商在远离正常的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更具投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师珍妮·施蒂希特(Janine Stichter)表示：“我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为目前整个业务存在太多复杂性。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“供应链问题是真实存在的，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在第二季度收益看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，该公司预计销售将受到适度影响，而更大的影响来自运费通胀。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克表示，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者尽早开始购物，这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月的礼物数量可能会有所下降。“这并不一定是支出疲软得多；只是几个月的分布不同，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter表示，另一方面，低库存将为零售商提供更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修·福雷斯特表示，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“总体而言，美国经济明显放缓，”他说。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这正是可能发生的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出兴奋状态。他表示，虽然下降可能并不“可怕”，但消费者支出仍将较目前有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Abercrombie正在其实体店的帮助下克服逆风。该公司计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单发送到商店，并与Uber、Shipt和Postmates合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)最近宣布将收购市中心附近自动化配送中心运营商Quiet Logistics，就在几周前，该公司收购了专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）的AirTerra。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们将继续这样做，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商的前进，末日预言家可能不得不推迟预示零售业的末日。目前，人们的情绪很明显：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又变得凉爽了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie&amp;Fitch的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie（股票代码：ANF）曾经是购物中心的主食，以鲜明、性感的广告和深色、香水味十足的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在2017年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的稳步下降给其未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的商场和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎即将夺走另一个受害者。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但在去葬礼的路上发生了令人惊讶的事情：Abercrombie享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨(Fran Horowitz)的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调了霍利斯特品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日，该公司第二财季收入同比增长24%，较大流行前水平增长3%。随着现金充裕的购物者涌向商店，其股价今年上涨了120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>霍洛维茨在接受采访时表示：“改变品牌认知度很难，需要时间才能与消费者重新建立信任。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.“因此，我们很高兴地说，在2021年，我们显然看到了所有这些努力工作的美妙效果。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅走出了深渊，还利用疫情带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的市场和急于花掉疫情积蓄的消费者的推动下，成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌销售额飙升，股价上涨。许多大型购物中心零售商的股价飙升，包括梅西百货(M)、诺德斯特龙(JWN)、著名鞋类母公司Caleres(CAL)和Signet Jewelers(SIG)，这些公司在过去12个月内都上涨了至少100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会的数据，消费者可能会花费8510亿美元，比去年创纪录的7770亿美元增长9.5%，是过去五年4.4%平均增幅的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售正常化之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意外的复兴重申了许多品牌对实体店力量的信念。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们继续在实体未来上下大赌注。随着对实体店投资的继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>疫情对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题是显而易见的。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至是婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌向网上。亚马逊（AMZN）和沃尔玛（WMT）等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>Columbia Threadneedle Investments零售分析师Mari Shor表示：“投资者情绪——尤其是短期对冲基金类型投资者——刚刚对该集团变得非常负面。”“我只是认为投资者并没有真正相信公司或消费者。”</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔表示，投资者的怀疑根源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会，让他们关闭表现不佳的门店，专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上做得更好，并将销售策略转向消费者，无论他们何时何地想购物——无论是网上购物、移动购物还是店内购物。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>萨克斯第五大道精品百货店(Saks Fifth Avenue)的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。据美国零售联合会估计，今年假期在线和其他非商店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>Global X负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗·帕兰德拉尼(Pedro Palandrani)表示：“我们认为，这场大流行不仅加速了电子商务在全球的采用，还扩大了市场。”</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在其数字战略上投资了数亿美元，强调通过改进公司网站以及为在线购买建立店内退货和提货等举措，从数字体验平稳过渡到店内体验。Horowitz表示，疫情的到来促使Abercrombie关闭了全球130家门店和该品牌50%的旗舰店，使过去10年关闭的门店总数达到约500家，同时战略性地开设了一些重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“商店很重要，但它们必须是合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济效益，”她说。“你把它和数字结合在一起，它就等于魔法。”</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B.Riley Securities分析师苏珊·安德森(Susan Anderson)表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效的方式，而且还可以作为在线提货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，即使是Warby Parker(WRBY)等在线零售商也扩大了实体业务，以适应购物者的偏好。“消费者希望随时随地购物，”安德森说。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。商场和实体店在精通数字技术的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，设计公司BHDP委托对1,000名购物者进行的一项调查显示，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁购物者也回到商场，试穿产品，利用店内促销活动，并进行退货。德勤(Deloitte)美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯(Rod Sides)表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人群的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间的战略转变使许多零售商在今年购物中心和市中心的重新开放中处于更好的位置——购物者渴望打开钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者变得出乎意料地富有。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤(Deloitte)的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假期的支出比去年增加15%，平均每户2,624美元，推动了假期的大部分增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示：“你有大量现金，而且有相当多被压抑的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至6250亿美元，比10月份增长0.7%，同比增长13.9%。仅零售额就比8月份增长了0.8%。花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“我们预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。”</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会主席兼首席执行官马修·谢伊(Matthew Shay)在10月份的媒体吹风会上表示，进入假期，零售商比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测，本季美国零售额将增长7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品将大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商博柏利集团(BRBY.UK)上周表示，2022财年上半年可比销售额增长37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach母公司Tapestry(TPR)公布的第一财季财报好于预期，上调了2022年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩表示，“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地应对了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表。”Wolfe Research青睐Nordstrom和Tapestry等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“美国消费者支出的几乎所有主要驱动因素都青睐高端产品。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，更多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai购物中心——流量统计显示，与2019年相比，10月份室内购物中心的客流量增长了3%，室外购物中心的客流量增长了5%——这是购物中心商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团(SPG)的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>泰森斯高级营销经理林赛·佩塔克(Lindsay Petak)表示：“随着越来越多的人完全接种疫苗，再加上许多人出于供应链担忧为即将到来的假期提前购物，自7月份以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。”华盛顿地区的角落中心。该购物中心归Macerich(MAC)所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的股价上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了85%，而标普500则上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF（RCD）今年的表现优于标普500 5个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>NRF的谢伊说：“我们看到百货商店、服装和非必需消费品零售商在经济重新开放后就真正反弹了。”“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店始终是节日期间的热门目的地……它们继续位居今年人们购物场所的榜首。”</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与在线商店不同，但它们将继续存在。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，零售业复兴是否可持续还没有定论。零售商在远离正常的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更具投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师珍妮·施蒂希特(Janine Stichter)表示：“我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为目前整个业务存在太多复杂性。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“供应链问题是真实存在的，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie在第二季度收益看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，该公司预计销售将受到适度影响，而更大的影响来自运费通胀。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克表示，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者尽早开始购物，这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月的礼物数量可能会有所下降。“这并不一定是支出疲软得多；只是几个月的分布不同，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter表示，另一方面，低库存将为零售商提供更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修·福雷斯特表示，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“总体而言，美国经济明显放缓，”他说。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这正是可能发生的情况。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出兴奋状态。他表示，虽然下降可能并不“可怕”，但消费者支出仍将较目前有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Abercrombie正在其实体店的帮助下克服逆风。该公司计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单发送到商店，并与Uber、Shipt和Postmates合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)最近宣布将收购市中心附近自动化配送中心运营商Quiet Logistics，就在几周前，该公司收购了专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）的AirTerra。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们将继续这样做，”霍洛维茨说。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商的前进，末日预言家可能不得不推迟预示零售业的末日。目前，人们的情绪很明显：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又变得凉爽了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","WMT":"沃尔玛","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉","M":"梅西百货","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","RCD":"READY CAPITAL CORPORATION 9.00% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2029","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","ANF":"爱芬奇","SIG":"西格内特珠宝"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ANF":0.9,"BBRYF":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"SIG":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"BRBY.UK":0.9,"CAL":0.9,"TPR":0.9,"JWN":0.9,"M":0.9,"RCD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879759862,"gmtCreate":1636777039285,"gmtModify":1636777039408,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879759862","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>  <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>  <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>  <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的收入环比增长36%，同时产生1.19亿美元的自由现金流，利润率为30%。</li><li>Palantir第三季度商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%，显示出强劲的前瞻性增长趋势。</li><li>Palantir在2021年第三季度完成了54笔交易，合同价值至少为100万美元，其中33笔价值超过500万美元，18笔价值超过1000万美元。</li><li>Palantir再次上调指引，预计收入同比增长40%，达到15.27亿美元，自由现金流为4亿美元，高于之前指引的3亿美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安德烈亚斯·伦茨/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者又爱又恨Palantir(PLTR)，它过去被昵称为黑匣子公司，而另一些投资者则绝对喜欢它，因为他们相信PLTR的软件是未来。在我之前关于PLTR的文章中，我表示，根据PLTR当前的收入趋势，他们计划在第三季度实现3.9941亿美元的收入，在第四季度实现4.2322亿美元的收入。市场普遍认为第三季度的收入为3.8656亿美元，PLTR在2021年第四季度实现了3.921亿美元，预测为4.18亿美元。当进行盈利看涨期权时，盘前的反应只不过是PLTR急剧下跌的红海，每次试图填补缺口时，螺旋式下降的下一阶段就开始了。这个消息甚至还没有被消化，但人们决定要么获利了结，要么退出头寸，要么对PLTR失去信心。</blockquote></p><p> What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>财报中有什么不让人喜欢的地方导致了一直徘徊在-9.03%区间的抛售？PLTR收入同比增长36%，第三季度增加了34个新客户，并完成了54笔价值100万美元或以上的交易。PLTR的剩余交易价值同比增加了50%，达到36亿美元，并提供了1.01亿美元的运营现金（利润率26%）和1.99亿美元的自由现金流（利润率30%）。PLTR还提高了2021年的指导，因为他们现在预计收入同比增长40%，而之前的预测为30%，并将自由现金流预测从3亿美元提高到4亿美元。除了这些数字之外，PLTR还宣布了新的产品平台和用例，这些平台和用例在未来推动收入和自由现金流方面具有巨大潜力。我相信这次抛售将是短暂的，我将其视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：寻求阿尔法）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir在商业和政府方面的收入持续扩大</b></blockquote></p><p> Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p><p><blockquote>自PLTR上市以来，他们的商业业务逐季扩张。上市五个季度后，PLTR的季度商业收入增长了6200万美元，增幅为55.36%。2021年第三季度，PLTR的商业运营收入为1.74亿美元，占其3.921亿美元季度收入的44.38%。过去两年，PLTR第三季度收入增长了85.11%，2020年第三季度同比增长35.11%，2021年第三季度同比增长37.01%。PLTR的商业剩余交易价值同比增长101%，从2020年第三季度的11亿美元增至2021年第三季度的22亿美元。商业客户邀请PLTR展示他们的软件解决方案，PLTR正在赢得他们的业务。2021年第三季度，PLTR净新增34家新客户，商业客户群环比增加20%，达到203家。过去一年，PLTR的商业客户群扩大了46.04%，客户数量从139个增加到203个，增加了64个。任何仍然将PLTR归类为黑匣子的人都是不准确的，因为商业市场正在了解PLTR的软件平台并实施其解决方案以改善其运营。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年第一季度以来，PLTR的季度收入增加了1.631亿美元（71.23%），平均季度环比增长率为9.43%。2021年第三季度，这一趋势保持不变，收入环比增长1610万美元，即4.28%。虽然与2021年第二季度的10.26%相比，季度收入增长环比略有放缓，但PLTR预计2021年第四季度收入将为4.18亿美元。PLTR预计将再创公司纪录，并在年底实现2590万美元（6.61%）的环比增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p><p><blockquote>同样的增长故事也适用于他们过去12个月(TTM)的总收入。在过去六个季度中，PLTR的TTM收入从8.106亿美元增加到14.3亿美元，增加了6.206亿美元（76.55%）。平均而言，PLTR的TTM收入环比增长1.0342亿美元（9.94%）。在Q1 2020-2020年第三季度，他们的平均环比收入增长为9403万美元，这一数字大幅增长，因为过去三个季度环比增长了至少1.05亿美元。2021年第三季度，PLTR的TTM收入增加至14.3亿美元，环比收入增长1.068亿美元（8.06%）。就像季度指标一样，PLTR的TTM预计将环比增长9590万美元，达到15.27亿美元，而市场普遍预期为15.1亿美元。这将使PLTR的年收入同比增长远高于30%的预测，因为到2021年，他们的收入将增加4.343亿美元(39.75%)</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>我很震惊PLTR仍然处于亏损状态。PLTR是一家高增长公司，目前自由现金流为正，并正在扩大其指标。2020年前9个月，PLTR产生了-2.85亿美元的自由现金流，截至2021年前9个月末，PLTR实现了6.05亿美元的波动，年初至今已产生了3.2亿美元的自由现金流。PLTR此前将2021年自由现金流指引提高至300美元，而他们刚刚再次将其提高至4亿美元以上。在三个月的时间里，PLTR将其自由现金流预测额外增加了33.33%。第三季度，PLTR的自由现金流利润率为30%，预计2021年自由现金流将超过4亿美元。至少，这意味着他们将在2021年额外增加8000万美元的自由现金流。如果PLTR实现15.27亿美元的收入和4亿美元的自由现金流，其2021年的自由现金流利润率将为26.2%。PLTR仍预计到2025年年收入将同比增长30%，根据2021年1.527美元的预测，2025年收入将达到43.6亿美元。按照PLTR目前的自由现金流利润率，他们将在2025年产生11.4亿美元的自由现金流。考虑到PLTR目前的趋势，如果他们超出预测并同比增长35%，那么他们2025年的收入将达到50.7亿美元。按照目前的自由现金流利润率，到2025年，他们将产生13.3亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：PLTR）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR正在全速点火。第三季度收入同比增长36%，第二次将自由现金流指引从3亿美元上调至4亿美元以上，并将年收入增长指引从30%上调至约40%。PLTR仍维持每年30%的未来收入前景，并创造了一些令人印象深刻的利润。第三季度PLTR的商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%。PLTR在第三季度完成了至少54笔价值至少100万美元的交易，其中33笔收入至少500万美元，18笔收入至少1000万美元。PLTR的增长指标令人印象深刻，我预计它们未来将低于承诺并超额交付。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir正在进入两个巨大的新领域：碳排放和加密货币</b></blockquote></p><p> In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p><p><blockquote>过去，我曾写过有关政府、亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）和国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）未来机遇的文章。在今天的收益看涨期权上，PLTR介绍了有关他们将为碳排放和加密货币提供的两种新产品的重要信息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国在气候问题上发生了根本性转变，拜登总统重新加入了《巴黎协定》，重新参与应对气候变化。该计划的一部分是到2050年实现整个经济的净零排放。最近，拜登总统在苏格兰格拉斯哥举行的联合国气候峰会上承诺与欧盟和其他数十个国家合作，到2030年将全球甲烷总排放量减少30%。无论你对气候的立场是什么，有许多人认为我们需要降低排放，许多国家正在朝着一个目标努力。为了遵守规定，埃克森美孚（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）等公司正在与外部组织对几项有前途的创新进行长期研究，包括用于清除空气中排放物的直接空气捕获技术和用于捕获烟道中工业排放的碳酸盐燃料电池发电厂或制造设施的气流。碳排放管理已经是一项蓬勃发展的业务，PLTR正在Foundry上创建一个模块，以提供一个单一的窗格来查看收入、利润、生产和所有排放，以便公司可以更有效地管理结果。就我个人而言，我相信这对于推动PLTR未来的收入具有巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR讨论的第二个巨大前景是加密货币代工。看起来PLTR正在利用他们的反洗钱和了解你的客户的专业知识。多年来，PLTR一直与多个政府合作，寻找全球最大银行的合规问题，并帮助这些银行应对和加强其合规计划。这是完全有道理的，当您回到合同时，PLTR已获得IRS和SEC的授予（在之前的文章中讨论过）。仅在第三季度，PLTR就与IRS签署了6份合同。如果让我猜的话，PLTR的软件将被IRS和SEC在政府方面使用，并被银行和加密货币交易所在商业方面采用。目前，在过去24小时内，Coinbase（纳斯达克：COIN）显示比特币（BTC-USD）的交易量为438亿美元。我认为PLTR最终将从其加密货币代工厂的政府和商业合同中获得未来的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：联邦采购数据库）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR已经成为市场误解其收益并在消息好的时候抛售消息的另一个统计数据。还有人想让PLTR做什么？这是一个出色的季度，第三季度收入同比增长36%，自由现金流为1.19亿美元，利润率为30%，PLTR完成了54笔交易，每笔价值超过100万美元。PLTR超出收入预期，第二次上调全年收入指引，上调自由现金流指引。这是一个基于所有积极因素的卖出消息，这创造了买入机会。我将做多PLTR，如果抛售继续，我计划增加我的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>寻求阿尔法市场</b></blockquote></p><p> I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p><p><blockquote>我将在Seeking Alpha市场上推出一项名为Barbell Capital的订阅服务。Barbell Capital将为其成员提供独家研究、模型投资组合、投资工具、问答环节、观察列表和其他功能。我还将拥有一个实时投资组合，致力于通过交易、出售看跌期权和出售备兑评级来产生资本。利润将分配给未来的资本增值投资和投资股息投资，在我们睡觉时产生收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-13 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>  <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>  <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>  <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的收入环比增长36%，同时产生1.19亿美元的自由现金流，利润率为30%。</li><li>Palantir第三季度商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%，显示出强劲的前瞻性增长趋势。</li><li>Palantir在2021年第三季度完成了54笔交易，合同价值至少为100万美元，其中33笔价值超过500万美元，18笔价值超过1000万美元。</li><li>Palantir再次上调指引，预计收入同比增长40%，达到15.27亿美元，自由现金流为4亿美元，高于之前指引的3亿美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安德烈亚斯·伦茨/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者又爱又恨Palantir(PLTR)，它过去被昵称为黑匣子公司，而另一些投资者则绝对喜欢它，因为他们相信PLTR的软件是未来。在我之前关于PLTR的文章中，我表示，根据PLTR当前的收入趋势，他们计划在第三季度实现3.9941亿美元的收入，在第四季度实现4.2322亿美元的收入。市场普遍认为第三季度的收入为3.8656亿美元，PLTR在2021年第四季度实现了3.921亿美元，预测为4.18亿美元。当进行盈利看涨期权时，盘前的反应只不过是PLTR急剧下跌的红海，每次试图填补缺口时，螺旋式下降的下一阶段就开始了。这个消息甚至还没有被消化，但人们决定要么获利了结，要么退出头寸，要么对PLTR失去信心。</blockquote></p><p> What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>财报中有什么不让人喜欢的地方导致了一直徘徊在-9.03%区间的抛售？PLTR收入同比增长36%，第三季度增加了34个新客户，并完成了54笔价值100万美元或以上的交易。PLTR的剩余交易价值同比增加了50%，达到36亿美元，并提供了1.01亿美元的运营现金（利润率26%）和1.99亿美元的自由现金流（利润率30%）。PLTR还提高了2021年的指导，因为他们现在预计收入同比增长40%，而之前的预测为30%，并将自由现金流预测从3亿美元提高到4亿美元。除了这些数字之外，PLTR还宣布了新的产品平台和用例，这些平台和用例在未来推动收入和自由现金流方面具有巨大潜力。我相信这次抛售将是短暂的，我将其视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：寻求阿尔法）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir在商业和政府方面的收入持续扩大</b></blockquote></p><p> Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p><p><blockquote>自PLTR上市以来，他们的商业业务逐季扩张。上市五个季度后，PLTR的季度商业收入增长了6200万美元，增幅为55.36%。2021年第三季度，PLTR的商业运营收入为1.74亿美元，占其3.921亿美元季度收入的44.38%。过去两年，PLTR第三季度收入增长了85.11%，2020年第三季度同比增长35.11%，2021年第三季度同比增长37.01%。PLTR的商业剩余交易价值同比增长101%，从2020年第三季度的11亿美元增至2021年第三季度的22亿美元。商业客户邀请PLTR展示他们的软件解决方案，PLTR正在赢得他们的业务。2021年第三季度，PLTR净新增34家新客户，商业客户群环比增加20%，达到203家。过去一年，PLTR的商业客户群扩大了46.04%，客户数量从139个增加到203个，增加了64个。任何仍然将PLTR归类为黑匣子的人都是不准确的，因为商业市场正在了解PLTR的软件平台并实施其解决方案以改善其运营。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年第一季度以来，PLTR的季度收入增加了1.631亿美元（71.23%），平均季度环比增长率为9.43%。2021年第三季度，这一趋势保持不变，收入环比增长1610万美元，即4.28%。虽然与2021年第二季度的10.26%相比，季度收入增长环比略有放缓，但PLTR预计2021年第四季度收入将为4.18亿美元。PLTR预计将再创公司纪录，并在年底实现2590万美元（6.61%）的环比增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p><p><blockquote>同样的增长故事也适用于他们过去12个月(TTM)的总收入。在过去六个季度中，PLTR的TTM收入从8.106亿美元增加到14.3亿美元，增加了6.206亿美元（76.55%）。平均而言，PLTR的TTM收入环比增长1.0342亿美元（9.94%）。在Q1 2020-2020年第三季度，他们的平均环比收入增长为9403万美元，这一数字大幅增长，因为过去三个季度环比增长了至少1.05亿美元。2021年第三季度，PLTR的TTM收入增加至14.3亿美元，环比收入增长1.068亿美元（8.06%）。就像季度指标一样，PLTR的TTM预计将环比增长9590万美元，达到15.27亿美元，而市场普遍预期为15.1亿美元。这将使PLTR的年收入同比增长远高于30%的预测，因为到2021年，他们的收入将增加4.343亿美元(39.75%)</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>我很震惊PLTR仍然处于亏损状态。PLTR是一家高增长公司，目前自由现金流为正，并正在扩大其指标。2020年前9个月，PLTR产生了-2.85亿美元的自由现金流，截至2021年前9个月末，PLTR实现了6.05亿美元的波动，年初至今已产生了3.2亿美元的自由现金流。PLTR此前将2021年自由现金流指引提高至300美元，而他们刚刚再次将其提高至4亿美元以上。在三个月的时间里，PLTR将其自由现金流预测额外增加了33.33%。第三季度，PLTR的自由现金流利润率为30%，预计2021年自由现金流将超过4亿美元。至少，这意味着他们将在2021年额外增加8000万美元的自由现金流。如果PLTR实现15.27亿美元的收入和4亿美元的自由现金流，其2021年的自由现金流利润率将为26.2%。PLTR仍预计到2025年年收入将同比增长30%，根据2021年1.527美元的预测，2025年收入将达到43.6亿美元。按照PLTR目前的自由现金流利润率，他们将在2025年产生11.4亿美元的自由现金流。考虑到PLTR目前的趋势，如果他们超出预测并同比增长35%，那么他们2025年的收入将达到50.7亿美元。按照目前的自由现金流利润率，到2025年，他们将产生13.3亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：PLTR）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR正在全速点火。第三季度收入同比增长36%，第二次将自由现金流指引从3亿美元上调至4亿美元以上，并将年收入增长指引从30%上调至约40%。PLTR仍维持每年30%的未来收入前景，并创造了一些令人印象深刻的利润。第三季度PLTR的商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%。PLTR在第三季度完成了至少54笔价值至少100万美元的交易，其中33笔收入至少500万美元，18笔收入至少1000万美元。PLTR的增长指标令人印象深刻，我预计它们未来将低于承诺并超额交付。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir正在进入两个巨大的新领域：碳排放和加密货币</b></blockquote></p><p> In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p><p><blockquote>过去，我曾写过有关政府、亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）和国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）未来机遇的文章。在今天的收益看涨期权上，PLTR介绍了有关他们将为碳排放和加密货币提供的两种新产品的重要信息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国在气候问题上发生了根本性转变，拜登总统重新加入了《巴黎协定》，重新参与应对气候变化。该计划的一部分是到2050年实现整个经济的净零排放。最近，拜登总统在苏格兰格拉斯哥举行的联合国气候峰会上承诺与欧盟和其他数十个国家合作，到2030年将全球甲烷总排放量减少30%。无论你对气候的立场是什么，有许多人认为我们需要降低排放，许多国家正在朝着一个目标努力。为了遵守规定，埃克森美孚（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）等公司正在与外部组织对几项有前途的创新进行长期研究，包括用于清除空气中排放物的直接空气捕获技术和用于捕获烟道中工业排放的碳酸盐燃料电池发电厂或制造设施的气流。碳排放管理已经是一项蓬勃发展的业务，PLTR正在Foundry上创建一个模块，以提供一个单一的窗格来查看收入、利润、生产和所有排放，以便公司可以更有效地管理结果。就我个人而言，我相信这对于推动PLTR未来的收入具有巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR讨论的第二个巨大前景是加密货币代工。看起来PLTR正在利用他们的反洗钱和了解你的客户的专业知识。多年来，PLTR一直与多个政府合作，寻找全球最大银行的合规问题，并帮助这些银行应对和加强其合规计划。这是完全有道理的，当您回到合同时，PLTR已获得IRS和SEC的授予（在之前的文章中讨论过）。仅在第三季度，PLTR就与IRS签署了6份合同。如果让我猜的话，PLTR的软件将被IRS和SEC在政府方面使用，并被银行和加密货币交易所在商业方面采用。目前，在过去24小时内，Coinbase（纳斯达克：COIN）显示比特币（BTC-USD）的交易量为438亿美元。我认为PLTR最终将从其加密货币代工厂的政府和商业合同中获得未来的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：联邦采购数据库）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR已经成为市场误解其收益并在消息好的时候抛售消息的另一个统计数据。还有人想让PLTR做什么？这是一个出色的季度，第三季度收入同比增长36%，自由现金流为1.19亿美元，利润率为30%，PLTR完成了54笔交易，每笔价值超过100万美元。PLTR超出收入预期，第二次上调全年收入指引，上调自由现金流指引。这是一个基于所有积极因素的卖出消息，这创造了买入机会。我将做多PLTR，如果抛售继续，我计划增加我的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>寻求阿尔法市场</b></blockquote></p><p> I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p><p><blockquote>我将在Seeking Alpha市场上推出一项名为Barbell Capital的订阅服务。Barbell Capital将为其成员提供独家研究、模型投资组合、投资工具、问答环节、观察列表和其他功能。我还将拥有一个实时投资组合，致力于通过交易、出售看跌期权和出售备兑评级来产生资本。利润将分配给未来的资本增值投资和投资股息投资，在我们睡觉时产生收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879193256,"gmtCreate":1636687325807,"gmtModify":1636687639904,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879193256","repostId":"1104958347","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870886042,"gmtCreate":1636600379559,"gmtModify":1636600379678,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870886042","repostId":"1183617975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183617975","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636597438,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183617975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 10:23","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hot stocks: SPH, SPH Reit, Keppel, Keppel Reit see active trading after Keppel's counter offer for SPH<blockquote>热门股票：SPH、SPH Reit、吉宝、吉宝Reit在吉宝还价SPH后交易活跃</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183617975","media":"The bussiness Times","summary":"SHARES of Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) and Keppel Corp, as well as units of SPH Reit and Keppel Re","content":"<p>SHARES of Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) and Keppel Corp, as well as units of SPH Reit and Keppel Reit, were actively traded in the morning on Thursday (Nov 11), after Keppel said it would raise its privatisation offer for SPH.</p><p><blockquote>在吉宝表示将提高对新加坡报业控股(SPH)的私有化要约后，新加坡报业控股(SPH)和吉宝企业以及SPH Reit和吉宝Reit的单位的股票周四（11月11日）上午交易活跃。</blockquote></p><p> SPH and Keppel Reit were among the top traded counters by volume in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>SPH和吉宝房地产投资信托基金是上午交易量最大的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> As at 9 am, SPH reached a high of S$2.30, up S$0.14 or 6.5 per cent, with 3 million shares changing hands. Keppel Reit reached a low of S$1.09, down S$0.06 or 5.2 per cent, with 4.1 million units traded.</p><p><blockquote>截至上午9点，SPH触及2.30新元的高点，上涨0.14新元或6.5%，易手300万股。吉宝房地产投资信托基金跌至1.09新元的低点，下跌0.06新元或5.2%，交易量为410万份。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Keppel Corp fell to S$5.26 as at 9.18 am, down S$0.05 or 0.9 per cent, with 560,700 shares changing hands. SPH Reit was down S$0.03 or 2.9 per cent at S$0.99 as at 9 am, with 244,500 units traded.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，截至上午9点18分，吉宝企业跌至5.26新元，下跌0.05新元或0.9%，有560,700股易手。截至上午9点，SPH Reit下跌0.03新元或2.9%，至0.99新元，交易量为244,500个单位。</blockquote></p><p> As at 9.43 am, SPH shares eased slightly to S$2.28, up S$0.12 or 5.6 per cent, with 13.6 million shares changing hands. SPH Reit was trading at S$0.995, down S$0.025 or 2.5 per cent, with 3.7 million units traded.</p><p><blockquote>截至上午9点43分，SPH股价小幅下跌至2.28新元，上涨0.12新元或5.6%，易手1,360万股。SPH Reit交易价格为0.995新元，下跌0.025新元或2.5%，交易量为370万个单位。</blockquote></p><p> Keppel shares were down S$0.03 or 0.6 per cent at S$5.28, with 996,200 shares changing hands, while Keppel Reit slipped S$0.04 or 3.5 per cent to S$1.11, with 9.7 million units traded.</p><p><blockquote>吉宝股价下跌0.03新元或0.6%，至5.28新元，有996,200股易手；吉宝房地产投资信托基金下跌0.04新元或3.5%，至1.11新元，交易量为970万股。</blockquote></p><p> Late Tuesday night, Keppel announced it would raise its privatisation offer for SPH to S$2.351 per share by beefing up its cash component. The final offer comprises cash of S$0.868 per share, 0.596 Keppel Reit unit (valued at S$0.685 as at Nov 9) and 0.782 SPH Reit unit (valued S$0.798 as at Nov 9) per SPH share.</p><p><blockquote>周二晚间，吉宝宣布将通过加强现金部分，将对SPH的私有化报价提高至每股2.351新元。最终要约包括每股0.868新元现金、每股SPH股份0.596吉宝房地产投资信托基金单位（截至11月9日价值0.685新元）和0.782 SPH Reit单位（截至11月9日价值0.798新元）。</blockquote></p><p> Keppel said its revised offer price reflects a change of conditions, stemming from an improved financial performance and the overall economic environment since July.</p><p><blockquote>吉宝表示，其修订后的发售价反映了情况的变化，源于7月份以来财务业绩和整体经济环境的改善。</blockquote></p><p> The higher cash consideration, however, is expected to increase Keppel's pro forma net gearing by 0.03 time after the transaction, although the group's pro forma net gearing should remain below 1 time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，较高的现金对价预计将使吉宝的备考净负债率在交易后增加0.03倍，尽管该集团的备考净负债率应保持在1倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> SPH, SPH Reit, Keppel and Keppel Reit called for trading halts on Wednesday (Nov 10) morning, for the dissemination of announcements. All 4 counters have since resumed trading.</p><p><blockquote>SPH、SPH Reit、吉宝和吉宝Reit呼吁周三（11月10日）上午停牌，以发布公告。此后4家柜台均已恢复交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1636420184263","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot stocks: SPH, SPH Reit, Keppel, Keppel Reit see active trading after Keppel's counter offer for SPH<blockquote>热门股票：SPH、SPH Reit、吉宝、吉宝Reit在吉宝还价SPH后交易活跃</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot stocks: SPH, SPH Reit, Keppel, Keppel Reit see active trading after Keppel's counter offer for SPH<blockquote>热门股票：SPH、SPH Reit、吉宝、吉宝Reit在吉宝还价SPH后交易活跃</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The bussiness Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-11 10:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SHARES of Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) and Keppel Corp, as well as units of SPH Reit and Keppel Reit, were actively traded in the morning on Thursday (Nov 11), after Keppel said it would raise its privatisation offer for SPH.</p><p><blockquote>在吉宝表示将提高对新加坡报业控股(SPH)的私有化要约后，新加坡报业控股(SPH)和吉宝企业以及SPH Reit和吉宝Reit的单位的股票周四（11月11日）上午交易活跃。</blockquote></p><p> SPH and Keppel Reit were among the top traded counters by volume in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>SPH和吉宝房地产投资信托基金是上午交易量最大的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> As at 9 am, SPH reached a high of S$2.30, up S$0.14 or 6.5 per cent, with 3 million shares changing hands. Keppel Reit reached a low of S$1.09, down S$0.06 or 5.2 per cent, with 4.1 million units traded.</p><p><blockquote>截至上午9点，SPH触及2.30新元的高点，上涨0.14新元或6.5%，易手300万股。吉宝房地产投资信托基金跌至1.09新元的低点，下跌0.06新元或5.2%，交易量为410万份。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Keppel Corp fell to S$5.26 as at 9.18 am, down S$0.05 or 0.9 per cent, with 560,700 shares changing hands. SPH Reit was down S$0.03 or 2.9 per cent at S$0.99 as at 9 am, with 244,500 units traded.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，截至上午9点18分，吉宝企业跌至5.26新元，下跌0.05新元或0.9%，有560,700股易手。截至上午9点，SPH Reit下跌0.03新元或2.9%，至0.99新元，交易量为244,500个单位。</blockquote></p><p> As at 9.43 am, SPH shares eased slightly to S$2.28, up S$0.12 or 5.6 per cent, with 13.6 million shares changing hands. SPH Reit was trading at S$0.995, down S$0.025 or 2.5 per cent, with 3.7 million units traded.</p><p><blockquote>截至上午9点43分，SPH股价小幅下跌至2.28新元，上涨0.12新元或5.6%，易手1,360万股。SPH Reit交易价格为0.995新元，下跌0.025新元或2.5%，交易量为370万个单位。</blockquote></p><p> Keppel shares were down S$0.03 or 0.6 per cent at S$5.28, with 996,200 shares changing hands, while Keppel Reit slipped S$0.04 or 3.5 per cent to S$1.11, with 9.7 million units traded.</p><p><blockquote>吉宝股价下跌0.03新元或0.6%，至5.28新元，有996,200股易手；吉宝房地产投资信托基金下跌0.04新元或3.5%，至1.11新元，交易量为970万股。</blockquote></p><p> Late Tuesday night, Keppel announced it would raise its privatisation offer for SPH to S$2.351 per share by beefing up its cash component. The final offer comprises cash of S$0.868 per share, 0.596 Keppel Reit unit (valued at S$0.685 as at Nov 9) and 0.782 SPH Reit unit (valued S$0.798 as at Nov 9) per SPH share.</p><p><blockquote>周二晚间，吉宝宣布将通过加强现金部分，将对SPH的私有化报价提高至每股2.351新元。最终要约包括每股0.868新元现金、每股SPH股份0.596吉宝房地产投资信托基金单位（截至11月9日价值0.685新元）和0.782 SPH Reit单位（截至11月9日价值0.798新元）。</blockquote></p><p> Keppel said its revised offer price reflects a change of conditions, stemming from an improved financial performance and the overall economic environment since July.</p><p><blockquote>吉宝表示，其修订后的发售价反映了情况的变化，源于7月份以来财务业绩和整体经济环境的改善。</blockquote></p><p> The higher cash consideration, however, is expected to increase Keppel's pro forma net gearing by 0.03 time after the transaction, although the group's pro forma net gearing should remain below 1 time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，较高的现金对价预计将使吉宝的备考净负债率在交易后增加0.03倍，尽管该集团的备考净负债率应保持在1倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> SPH, SPH Reit, Keppel and Keppel Reit called for trading halts on Wednesday (Nov 10) morning, for the dissemination of announcements. All 4 counters have since resumed trading.</p><p><blockquote>SPH、SPH Reit、吉宝和吉宝Reit呼吁周三（11月10日）上午停牌，以发布公告。此后4家柜台均已恢复交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hot-stocks-sph-sph-reit-keppel-keppel-reit-see-active-trading-after-keppels-counter-offer-for\">The bussiness Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BN4.SI":"吉宝有限公司"},"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hot-stocks-sph-sph-reit-keppel-keppel-reit-see-active-trading-after-keppels-counter-offer-for","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183617975","content_text":"SHARES of Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) and Keppel Corp, as well as units of SPH Reit and Keppel Reit, were actively traded in the morning on Thursday (Nov 11), after Keppel said it would raise its privatisation offer for SPH.\nSPH and Keppel Reit were among the top traded counters by volume in the morning.\nAs at 9 am, SPH reached a high of S$2.30, up S$0.14 or 6.5 per cent, with 3 million shares changing hands. Keppel Reit reached a low of S$1.09, down S$0.06 or 5.2 per cent, with 4.1 million units traded.\nMeanwhile, Keppel Corp fell to S$5.26 as at 9.18 am, down S$0.05 or 0.9 per cent, with 560,700 shares changing hands. SPH Reit was down S$0.03 or 2.9 per cent at S$0.99 as at 9 am, with 244,500 units traded.\nAs at 9.43 am, SPH shares eased slightly to S$2.28, up S$0.12 or 5.6 per cent, with 13.6 million shares changing hands. SPH Reit was trading at S$0.995, down S$0.025 or 2.5 per cent, with 3.7 million units traded.\nKeppel shares were down S$0.03 or 0.6 per cent at S$5.28, with 996,200 shares changing hands, while Keppel Reit slipped S$0.04 or 3.5 per cent to S$1.11, with 9.7 million units traded.\nLate Tuesday night, Keppel announced it would raise its privatisation offer for SPH to S$2.351 per share by beefing up its cash component. The final offer comprises cash of S$0.868 per share, 0.596 Keppel Reit unit (valued at S$0.685 as at Nov 9) and 0.782 SPH Reit unit (valued S$0.798 as at Nov 9) per SPH share.\nKeppel said its revised offer price reflects a change of conditions, stemming from an improved financial performance and the overall economic environment since July.\nThe higher cash consideration, however, is expected to increase Keppel's pro forma net gearing by 0.03 time after the transaction, although the group's pro forma net gearing should remain below 1 time.\nSPH, SPH Reit, Keppel and Keppel Reit called for trading halts on Wednesday (Nov 10) morning, for the dissemination of announcements. All 4 counters have since resumed 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11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 things to watch for when Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的5件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105545673","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"The headlines of the story about Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting have already been writte","content":"<p>The headlines of the story about Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting have already been written. The devil, as they say, will be in the details.</p><p><blockquote>关于周三美联储政策会议的头条新闻已经写好了。正如他们所说，细节决定成败。</blockquote></p><p> On the likely news, it is a “foregone conclusion” the Fed will announce Wednesday that a tapering of asset purchases will begin later this month, according to Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱首席美国经济学家Michael Gapen表示，从可能的消息来看，美联储将于周三宣布本月晚些时候开始缩减资产购买规模已成“定局”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has indicated the pace of reduction in its bond buying program is likely to be $15 billion per month. This means that the current pace of $120 billion in monthly asset purchases will end completely in the middle of next year.</p><p><blockquote>美联储表示，缩减债券购买计划的速度可能为每月150亿美元。这意味着，目前每月1200亿美元的资产购买步伐将在明年年中彻底结束。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a look at what else economists and investors will be watching for when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting on Wednesday. The Fed will release a statement at 2 p.m. Eastern and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. Eastern.</p><p><blockquote>以下是美联储周三结束为期两天的会议时，经济学家和投资者还将关注什么。美联储将于下午2点发布声明。东部和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下午2:30举行新闻发布会。东部。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Transitory inflation</h4> A lot has been written about Powell’s view that inflation is “transitory,” which doesn’t mean it will quickly reverse. Instead, it means that within a reasonable timeline, inflation will revert to its 2% target,” says Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisers.</p><p><blockquote><h4>暂时性通货膨胀</h4>鲍威尔认为通胀是“暂时的”，但这并不意味着通胀会很快逆转，这已经写了很多。相反，这意味着在合理的时间内，通胀将恢复到2%的目标。”SGH Macro Advisers首席美国经济学家蒂姆·杜伊(Tim Duy)表示。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement in September said that “inflation is elevated, largely reflecting transitory factors.” and economists are divided over whether it will be included in the statement released Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储9月份的声明称，“通胀上升，很大程度上反映了暂时性因素。”经济学家对于是否将其纳入周三发布的声明存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at BofA , thinks this key sentence will be edited so that it says “partly” reflecting transitory factors or a sentence is added about signs of more persistent inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行美国经济主管米歇尔·迈耶认为，这一关键句子将被编辑，使其“部分”反映暂时性因素，或者添加一句有关通胀更加持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. macro strategist at TD Securities, thinks the Fed will stick with the “largely reflecting transitory factors” language. This will imply no rush for interest rate hikes, he said.</p><p><blockquote>道明证券首席美国宏观策略师吉姆·奥沙利文认为，美联储将坚持“很大程度上反映暂时性因素”的措辞。他表示，这意味着不会急于加息。</blockquote></p><p> The underpinnings of the “transitory” prediction are staring to “lose its luster,” said said Steve Friedman, senior macroeconomist at MacKay Shields, in an email. Inflation is looking more broad based, with shelter costs and a broader range of goods and services now registering price increases, he said.</p><p><blockquote>麦凯·希尔兹(MacKay Shields)高级宏观经济学家史蒂夫·弗里德曼(Steve Friedman)在一封电子邮件中表示，“暂时”预测的基础正开始“失去光泽”。他说，通货膨胀的基础看起来更加广泛，住房成本以及更广泛的商品和服务现在都出现了价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge,the personal consumption expenditure price index,rose at a 4.4% annual pace in October, the fastest pace in thirty years. In addition, wages had the largest quarterly increasessince the early 1990s.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最喜欢的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数10月份以4.4%的年率上涨，为三十年来的最快速度。此外，工资出现了自20世纪90年代初以来最大的季度涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Rate hikes</h4> Powell is likely to emphasize again that the decision to taper is independent from the decision to lift rates. But markets won’t pay much attention to those efforts, said Gapen of Barclays, in an note.</p><p><blockquote><h4>加息</h4>鲍威尔可能会再次强调，缩减规模的决定独立于加息的决定。但巴克莱银行的加彭在一份报告中表示，市场不会太关注这些努力。</blockquote></p><p> Markets continue to price in about two quarter-point rate hikes in 2022 and see the Fed transitioning quickly from ending asset purchases to raising short-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>市场继续预计2022年将加息约两次25个基点，并看到美联储从结束资产购买迅速过渡到提高短期利率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c920b4b538ee54a770dabde94f3a140b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In September, the Fed was evenly split over whether to raise rates next near and many Fed officials have signaled they want to end tapering in case rate hikes are needed, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，9月份，美联储在是否在近期加息的问题上存在平分秋色，许多美联储官员已表示，他们希望结束缩减规模，以防需要加息。</blockquote></p><p> Michael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto said he expects “we’ll still come away with the impression that the chances of liftoff later next year have moved much higher than the 50-50 odds portrayed by last meeting’s dot-plot.”</p><p><blockquote>多伦多BMO资本市场副首席经济学家迈克尔·格雷戈里(Michael Gregory)表示，他预计“我们仍然会留下这样的印象：明年晚些时候起飞的可能性远高于上次会议点阵图所描绘的50-50赔率。”</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Balance sheet</h4> In 2016, some economists argued that the Fed should start to actually shrink its balance sheet before it raises interest rates. The central bank didn’t follow that approach but the argument is resurfacing again, said Mark Cabana, rates strategist at BofA Securities. Some Fed officials, including St. Louis Fed president James Bullard, have signaled a willingness for an early move to shrink the balance sheet, which has risen to $8.6 trillion from $4.4 trillion prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><h4>资产负债表</h4>2016年，一些经济学家认为美联储应该在加息之前开始实际缩表。美国银行证券利率策略师马克·卡巴纳表示，央行没有遵循这种做法，但这种争论再次浮出水面。包括圣路易斯联储主席布拉德（James Bullard）在内的一些美联储官员已表示愿意尽早采取行动缩减资产负债表，资产负债表已从疫情爆发前的4.4万亿美元升至8.6万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cabana said his base case is that the Fed follows the approach of the last cycle in 2017-2019 and moves to reduce the balance sheet once its benchmark rate is above 1%, which he pencils in to happen in the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>卡巴纳表示，他的基本假设是，美联储将遵循2017-2019年上一个周期的做法，一旦基准利率高于1%，就会采取行动缩减资产负债表，他预计这将在2023年第四季度发生。</blockquote></p><p> But there are rising odds for an earlier move – in early 2023 – to shrink the balance sheet as it would be a more passive policy tightening that gives the labor market longer to heal. he said.</p><p><blockquote>但更早（即2023年初）缩减资产负债表的可能性越来越大，因为这将是一种更加被动的政策紧缩，让劳动力市场有更长的时间来恢复。他说。</blockquote></p><p> To shrink the balance sheet, the Fed doesn’t have to sell securities that it holds. It can just let them mature and not reinvest the proceeds.</p><p><blockquote>为了缩减资产负债表，美联储不必出售其持有的证券。它可以让它们成熟，而不是将收益进行再投资。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h4>Ethics concern</h4> Powell is going to be asked about ethics concerns related to Fed officials trading for their personal accounts during the pandemic. Last month, the Fed announcednew rules to restrict trading by top officials.Two regional Fed presidents left their positions after their trading behavior in 2020 was criticized. Some progressive Democrats have questioned some of Powell’s own investment decisions, as well as decisions by his No. 2, Vice Chairman Richard Clarida. “We expect the Fed Chair to take time to explain the new procedures and push back against the perceptions that Fed officials were engaged in a form of self-dealing,” Gapen said.</p><p><blockquote><h4>伦理关注</h4>鲍威尔将被问及与美联储官员在疫情期间为其个人账户进行交易相关的道德问题。上个月，美联储宣布了限制高级官员交易的新规定。两位地区联储主席在2020年的交易行为受到批评后离职。一些进步民主党人质疑鲍威尔自己的一些投资决定，以及他的二号人物、副主席理查德·克拉里达的决定。加彭表示：“我们预计美联储主席将花时间解释新程序，并反驳美联储官员参与某种形式自我交易的看法。”</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Second term for Powell</h4> Powell’s term as Fed chair ends early next year and some economists believe that Powell’s hands are tied as long as President Joe Biden hasn’t acted to reappoint him.</p><p><blockquote><h4>鲍威尔第二个任期</h4>鲍威尔作为美联储主席的任期将于明年初结束，一些经济学家认为，只要总统乔·拜登不采取行动重新任命他，鲍威尔的手就被束缚住了。</blockquote></p><p> “He cannot start to be Mr. Tough Guy [on inflation] as long as his reappointment is hanging in the balance,” said Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics. He added the Fed is under “kind of crazy pressure” from progressives. “I think that’s a really big complication for policy right now.”</p><p><blockquote>粮农组织经济学首席经济学家罗伯特·布鲁斯卡表示：“只要他的连任悬而未决，他就不可能开始成为（通胀问题）硬汉先生。”他补充说，美联储正面临来自进步人士的“疯狂压力”。“我认为这对目前的政策来说是一个非常复杂的问题。”</blockquote></p><p> At his last press conference in September, Powell demurred from making any statement on the matter. “I think the phrase goes – I have nothing for you on that today. Sorry, I’m just focused on my job,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>在9月份的最后一次新闻发布会上，鲍威尔拒绝就此事发表任何声明。“我想这句话是这样说的——我今天没有什么可以告诉你的。抱歉，我只是专注于我的工作，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 things to watch for when Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的5件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 things to watch for when Fed meets Wednesday<blockquote>美联储周三会议时需要注意的5件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The headlines of the story about Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting have already been written. The devil, as they say, will be in the details.</p><p><blockquote>关于周三美联储政策会议的头条新闻已经写好了。正如他们所说，细节决定成败。</blockquote></p><p> On the likely news, it is a “foregone conclusion” the Fed will announce Wednesday that a tapering of asset purchases will begin later this month, according to Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱首席美国经济学家Michael Gapen表示，从可能的消息来看，美联储将于周三宣布本月晚些时候开始缩减资产购买规模已成“定局”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has indicated the pace of reduction in its bond buying program is likely to be $15 billion per month. This means that the current pace of $120 billion in monthly asset purchases will end completely in the middle of next year.</p><p><blockquote>美联储表示，缩减债券购买计划的速度可能为每月150亿美元。这意味着，目前每月1200亿美元的资产购买步伐将在明年年中彻底结束。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a look at what else economists and investors will be watching for when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting on Wednesday. The Fed will release a statement at 2 p.m. Eastern and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. Eastern.</p><p><blockquote>以下是美联储周三结束为期两天的会议时，经济学家和投资者还将关注什么。美联储将于下午2点发布声明。东部和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下午2:30举行新闻发布会。东部。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Transitory inflation</h4> A lot has been written about Powell’s view that inflation is “transitory,” which doesn’t mean it will quickly reverse. Instead, it means that within a reasonable timeline, inflation will revert to its 2% target,” says Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisers.</p><p><blockquote><h4>暂时性通货膨胀</h4>鲍威尔认为通胀是“暂时的”，但这并不意味着通胀会很快逆转，这已经写了很多。相反，这意味着在合理的时间内，通胀将恢复到2%的目标。”SGH Macro Advisers首席美国经济学家蒂姆·杜伊(Tim Duy)表示。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement in September said that “inflation is elevated, largely reflecting transitory factors.” and economists are divided over whether it will be included in the statement released Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储9月份的声明称，“通胀上升，很大程度上反映了暂时性因素。”经济学家对于是否将其纳入周三发布的声明存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at BofA , thinks this key sentence will be edited so that it says “partly” reflecting transitory factors or a sentence is added about signs of more persistent inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行美国经济主管米歇尔·迈耶认为，这一关键句子将被编辑，使其“部分”反映暂时性因素，或者添加一句有关通胀更加持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. macro strategist at TD Securities, thinks the Fed will stick with the “largely reflecting transitory factors” language. This will imply no rush for interest rate hikes, he said.</p><p><blockquote>道明证券首席美国宏观策略师吉姆·奥沙利文认为，美联储将坚持“很大程度上反映暂时性因素”的措辞。他表示，这意味着不会急于加息。</blockquote></p><p> The underpinnings of the “transitory” prediction are staring to “lose its luster,” said said Steve Friedman, senior macroeconomist at MacKay Shields, in an email. Inflation is looking more broad based, with shelter costs and a broader range of goods and services now registering price increases, he said.</p><p><blockquote>麦凯·希尔兹(MacKay Shields)高级宏观经济学家史蒂夫·弗里德曼(Steve Friedman)在一封电子邮件中表示，“暂时”预测的基础正开始“失去光泽”。他说，通货膨胀的基础看起来更加广泛，住房成本以及更广泛的商品和服务现在都出现了价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge,the personal consumption expenditure price index,rose at a 4.4% annual pace in October, the fastest pace in thirty years. In addition, wages had the largest quarterly increasessince the early 1990s.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最喜欢的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数10月份以4.4%的年率上涨，为三十年来的最快速度。此外，工资出现了自20世纪90年代初以来最大的季度涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Rate hikes</h4> Powell is likely to emphasize again that the decision to taper is independent from the decision to lift rates. But markets won’t pay much attention to those efforts, said Gapen of Barclays, in an note.</p><p><blockquote><h4>加息</h4>鲍威尔可能会再次强调，缩减规模的决定独立于加息的决定。但巴克莱银行的加彭在一份报告中表示，市场不会太关注这些努力。</blockquote></p><p> Markets continue to price in about two quarter-point rate hikes in 2022 and see the Fed transitioning quickly from ending asset purchases to raising short-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>市场继续预计2022年将加息约两次25个基点，并看到美联储从结束资产购买迅速过渡到提高短期利率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c920b4b538ee54a770dabde94f3a140b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In September, the Fed was evenly split over whether to raise rates next near and many Fed officials have signaled they want to end tapering in case rate hikes are needed, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，9月份，美联储在是否在近期加息的问题上存在平分秋色，许多美联储官员已表示，他们希望结束缩减规模，以防需要加息。</blockquote></p><p> Michael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto said he expects “we’ll still come away with the impression that the chances of liftoff later next year have moved much higher than the 50-50 odds portrayed by last meeting’s dot-plot.”</p><p><blockquote>多伦多BMO资本市场副首席经济学家迈克尔·格雷戈里(Michael Gregory)表示，他预计“我们仍然会留下这样的印象：明年晚些时候起飞的可能性远高于上次会议点阵图所描绘的50-50赔率。”</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Balance sheet</h4> In 2016, some economists argued that the Fed should start to actually shrink its balance sheet before it raises interest rates. The central bank didn’t follow that approach but the argument is resurfacing again, said Mark Cabana, rates strategist at BofA Securities. Some Fed officials, including St. Louis Fed president James Bullard, have signaled a willingness for an early move to shrink the balance sheet, which has risen to $8.6 trillion from $4.4 trillion prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><h4>资产负债表</h4>2016年，一些经济学家认为美联储应该在加息之前开始实际缩表。美国银行证券利率策略师马克·卡巴纳表示，央行没有遵循这种做法，但这种争论再次浮出水面。包括圣路易斯联储主席布拉德（James Bullard）在内的一些美联储官员已表示愿意尽早采取行动缩减资产负债表，资产负债表已从疫情爆发前的4.4万亿美元升至8.6万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cabana said his base case is that the Fed follows the approach of the last cycle in 2017-2019 and moves to reduce the balance sheet once its benchmark rate is above 1%, which he pencils in to happen in the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>卡巴纳表示，他的基本假设是，美联储将遵循2017-2019年上一个周期的做法，一旦基准利率高于1%，就会采取行动缩减资产负债表，他预计这将在2023年第四季度发生。</blockquote></p><p> But there are rising odds for an earlier move – in early 2023 – to shrink the balance sheet as it would be a more passive policy tightening that gives the labor market longer to heal. he said.</p><p><blockquote>但更早（即2023年初）缩减资产负债表的可能性越来越大，因为这将是一种更加被动的政策紧缩，让劳动力市场有更长的时间来恢复。他说。</blockquote></p><p> To shrink the balance sheet, the Fed doesn’t have to sell securities that it holds. It can just let them mature and not reinvest the proceeds.</p><p><blockquote>为了缩减资产负债表，美联储不必出售其持有的证券。它可以让它们成熟，而不是将收益进行再投资。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <h4>Ethics concern</h4> Powell is going to be asked about ethics concerns related to Fed officials trading for their personal accounts during the pandemic. Last month, the Fed announcednew rules to restrict trading by top officials.Two regional Fed presidents left their positions after their trading behavior in 2020 was criticized. Some progressive Democrats have questioned some of Powell’s own investment decisions, as well as decisions by his No. 2, Vice Chairman Richard Clarida. “We expect the Fed Chair to take time to explain the new procedures and push back against the perceptions that Fed officials were engaged in a form of self-dealing,” Gapen said.</p><p><blockquote><h4>伦理关注</h4>鲍威尔将被问及与美联储官员在疫情期间为其个人账户进行交易相关的道德问题。上个月，美联储宣布了限制高级官员交易的新规定。两位地区联储主席在2020年的交易行为受到批评后离职。一些进步民主党人质疑鲍威尔自己的一些投资决定，以及他的二号人物、副主席理查德·克拉里达的决定。加彭表示：“我们预计美联储主席将花时间解释新程序，并反驳美联储官员参与某种形式自我交易的看法。”</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Second term for Powell</h4> Powell’s term as Fed chair ends early next year and some economists believe that Powell’s hands are tied as long as President Joe Biden hasn’t acted to reappoint him.</p><p><blockquote><h4>鲍威尔第二个任期</h4>鲍威尔作为美联储主席的任期将于明年初结束，一些经济学家认为，只要总统乔·拜登不采取行动重新任命他，鲍威尔的手就被束缚住了。</blockquote></p><p> “He cannot start to be Mr. Tough Guy [on inflation] as long as his reappointment is hanging in the balance,” said Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics. He added the Fed is under “kind of crazy pressure” from progressives. “I think that’s a really big complication for policy right now.”</p><p><blockquote>粮农组织经济学首席经济学家罗伯特·布鲁斯卡表示：“只要他的连任悬而未决，他就不可能开始成为（通胀问题）硬汉先生。”他补充说，美联储正面临来自进步人士的“疯狂压力”。“我认为这对目前的政策来说是一个非常复杂的问题。”</blockquote></p><p> At his last press conference in September, Powell demurred from making any statement on the matter. “I think the phrase goes – I have nothing for you on that today. Sorry, I’m just focused on my job,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>在9月份的最后一次新闻发布会上，鲍威尔拒绝就此事发表任何声明。“我想这句话是这样说的——我今天没有什么可以告诉你的。抱歉，我只是专注于我的工作，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-to-watch-for-when-fed-meets-wednesday-11635878287?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-to-watch-for-when-fed-meets-wednesday-11635878287?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1105545673","content_text":"The headlines of the story about Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting have already been written. The devil, as they say, will be in the details.\nOn the likely news, it is a “foregone conclusion” the Fed will announce Wednesday that a tapering of asset purchases will begin later this month, according to Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays.\nThe Fed has indicated the pace of reduction in its bond buying program is likely to be $15 billion per month. This means that the current pace of $120 billion in monthly asset purchases will end completely in the middle of next year.\nHere’s a look at what else economists and investors will be watching for when the Fed concludes the two-day meeting on Wednesday. The Fed will release a statement at 2 p.m. Eastern and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. Eastern.\nTransitory inflation\nA lot has been written about Powell’s view that inflation is “transitory,” which doesn’t mean it will quickly reverse. Instead, it means that within a reasonable timeline, inflation will revert to its 2% target,” says Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisers.\nThe Fed’s statement in September said that “inflation is elevated, largely reflecting transitory factors.” and economists are divided over whether it will be included in the statement released Wednesday.\nMichelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at BofA , thinks this key sentence will be edited so that it says “partly” reflecting transitory factors or a sentence is added about signs of more persistent inflation.\nJim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. macro strategist at TD Securities, thinks the Fed will stick with the “largely reflecting transitory factors” language. This will imply no rush for interest rate hikes, he said.\nThe underpinnings of the “transitory” prediction are staring to “lose its luster,” said said Steve Friedman, senior macroeconomist at MacKay Shields, in an email. Inflation is looking more broad based, with shelter costs and a broader range of goods and services now registering price increases, he said.\nThe Fed’s favorite inflation gauge,the personal consumption expenditure price index,rose at a 4.4% annual pace in October, the fastest pace in thirty years. In addition, wages had the largest quarterly increasessince the early 1990s.\nRate hikes\nPowell is likely to emphasize again that the decision to taper is independent from the decision to lift rates. But markets won’t pay much attention to those efforts, said Gapen of Barclays, in an note.\nMarkets continue to price in about two quarter-point rate hikes in 2022 and see the Fed transitioning quickly from ending asset purchases to raising short-term interest rates.\n\nIn September, the Fed was evenly split over whether to raise rates next near and many Fed officials have signaled they want to end tapering in case rate hikes are needed, he said.\nMichael Gregory, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto said he expects “we’ll still come away with the impression that the chances of liftoff later next year have moved much higher than the 50-50 odds portrayed by last meeting’s dot-plot.”\nBalance sheet\nIn 2016, some economists argued that the Fed should start to actually shrink its balance sheet before it raises interest rates. The central bank didn’t follow that approach but the argument is resurfacing again, said Mark Cabana, rates strategist at BofA Securities. Some Fed officials, including St. Louis Fed president James Bullard, have signaled a willingness for an early move to shrink the balance sheet, which has risen to $8.6 trillion from $4.4 trillion prior to the pandemic.\nCabana said his base case is that the Fed follows the approach of the last cycle in 2017-2019 and moves to reduce the balance sheet once its benchmark rate is above 1%, which he pencils in to happen in the fourth quarter of 2023.\nBut there are rising odds for an earlier move – in early 2023 – to shrink the balance sheet as it would be a more passive policy tightening that gives the labor market longer to heal. he said.\nTo shrink the balance sheet, the Fed doesn’t have to sell securities that it holds. It can just let them mature and not reinvest the proceeds.\nEthics concern\nPowell is going to be asked about ethics concerns related to Fed officials trading for their personal accounts during the pandemic. Last month, the Fed announcednew rules to restrict trading by top officials.Two regional Fed presidents left their positions after their trading behavior in 2020 was criticized. Some progressive Democrats have questioned some of Powell’s own investment decisions, as well as decisions by his No. 2, Vice Chairman Richard Clarida. “We expect the Fed Chair to take time to explain the new procedures and push back against the perceptions that Fed officials were engaged in a form of self-dealing,” Gapen said.\nSecond term for Powell\nPowell’s term as Fed chair ends early next year and some economists believe that Powell’s hands are tied as long as President Joe Biden hasn’t acted to reappoint him.\n“He cannot start to be Mr. Tough Guy [on inflation] as long as his reappointment is hanging in the balance,” said Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics. He added the Fed is under “kind of crazy pressure” from progressives. “I think that’s a really big complication for policy right now.”\nAt his last press conference in September, Powell demurred from making any statement on the matter. “I think the phrase goes – I have nothing for you on that today. Sorry, I’m just focused on my job,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":836566001,"gmtCreate":1629508251603,"gmtModify":1631893797886,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836566001","repostId":"2160710721","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":875426837,"gmtCreate":1637680144060,"gmtModify":1637680144231,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875426837","repostId":"1156228294","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156228294","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637679908,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156228294?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Aptevo Stock Rallies After Posting First Complete Remission In Early Acute Myeloid Leukemia Trial<blockquote>Aptevo在早期急性髓系白血病试验中首次完全缓解后股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156228294","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Aptevo Therapeutics Inc has announced a clinical update for its Phase 1b Expansion trial evaluating ","content":"<p><div> Aptevo Therapeutics Inc has announced a clinical update for its Phase 1b Expansion trial evaluating APVO436 for acute myeloid leukemia (AML).   A high-risk AML patient treated in Cohort 1 with a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Aptevo Therapeutics Inc宣布了其评估APVO436治疗急性髓性白血病(AML)的1b期扩展试验的临床更新。队列1中的一名高危AML患者接受了...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24248635/aptevo-stock-rallies-after-posting-first-complete-remission-in-early-acute-myeloid-leukemia-trial\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24248635/aptevo-stock-rallies-after-posting-first-complete-remission-in-early-acute-myeloid-leukemia-trial\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Aptevo Stock Rallies After Posting First Complete Remission In Early Acute Myeloid Leukemia Trial<blockquote>Aptevo在早期急性髓系白血病试验中首次完全缓解后股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAptevo Stock Rallies After Posting First Complete Remission In Early Acute Myeloid Leukemia Trial<blockquote>Aptevo在早期急性髓系白血病试验中首次完全缓解后股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-23 23:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Aptevo Therapeutics Inc has announced a clinical update for its Phase 1b Expansion trial evaluating APVO436 for acute myeloid leukemia (AML).   A high-risk AML patient treated in Cohort 1 with a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Aptevo Therapeutics Inc宣布了其评估APVO436治疗急性髓性白血病(AML)的1b期扩展试验的临床更新。队列1中的一名高危AML患者接受了...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24248635/aptevo-stock-rallies-after-posting-first-complete-remission-in-early-acute-myeloid-leukemia-trial\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24248635/aptevo-stock-rallies-after-posting-first-complete-remission-in-early-acute-myeloid-leukemia-trial\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24248635/aptevo-stock-rallies-after-posting-first-complete-remission-in-early-acute-myeloid-leukemia-trial\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"APVO":"Aptevo Therapeutics Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24248635/aptevo-stock-rallies-after-posting-first-complete-remission-in-early-acute-myeloid-leukemia-trial","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156228294","content_text":"Aptevo Therapeutics Inc has announced a clinical update for its Phase 1b Expansion trial evaluating APVO436 for acute myeloid leukemia (AML).\n\n\nA high-risk AML patient treated in Cohort 1 with a combination of chemotherapy plus APVO436 achieved a complete remission (CR) after one cycle of therapy.\nThe chemotherapy regimen included the standard leukemia drugs Mitoxantrone, Etoposide, and Cytarabine.\nThe patient tolerated treatment without evidence of over toxicity.\nOverexpression of CD123 is the hallmark of many forms of leukemia. Aptevo's lead proprietary drug candidate, APVO436, is a bispecific CD3xCD123 ADAPTIR designed to redirect the patient's immune system to destroy leukemia cells expressing the target CD123 molecule on their surface.\nPrice Action: APVO shares are up 54.6% at $10.02 during the morning session on the last check Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"APVO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867777009,"gmtCreate":1633319880965,"gmtModify":1633319881191,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867777009","repostId":"2172965469","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":897811074,"gmtCreate":1628905050398,"gmtModify":1633688626954,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897811074","repostId":"1144073354","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144073354","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628904044,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144073354?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 09:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144073354","media":"Barrons","summary":"Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should ","content":"<p>Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should hope it stays that way.</p><p><blockquote>冒险。兴奋。最近股市似乎并不渴望这些东西。投资者应该希望这种情况保持下去。</blockquote></p><p> It wasn’t quite like watching paint dry this past week, but it wasn’t that far off, either. Earnings reports were few and far between, the most prominent coming from Walt Disney (ticker: DIS) and eBay (EBAY). The economic news, including July’s consumer-price data, didn’t contain any shockers. And while the S&amp;P 500 closed the week on a streak of four new highs, one of them was by less than a quarter of&nbsp;a point. The index rose 0.7%, to 4468.00, while the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;gained 306.87 points, or 0.9%, to 35,515.38. The&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;dipped 0.1%. to 14,822.90.</p><p><blockquote>这不太像在过去的一周里看着油漆变干，但也不远了。收益报告很少，其中最突出的来自华特迪士尼（股票代码：DIS）和eBay(EBAY)。包括7月份消费者价格数据在内的经济新闻没有任何令人震惊的内容。尽管标普500本周连续四次创下新高，但其中一次涨幅不到四分之一个百分点。该指数上涨0.7%，至4468.00点，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨306.87点，即0.9%，至35,515.38点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.1%。至14,822.90。</blockquote></p><p> Exuberance this ain’t.</p><p><blockquote>繁荣这不是。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Stock Prices Are Poised to Keep Rising</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么股价将持续上涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, there was some action underneath the surface. Tech,particularly chip stockslikeMicron Technology(MU),Lam Research(LRCX), andApplied Materials(AMAT), took it on the chin, while banks, includingGoldman Sachs Group(GS), and industrials such asCaterpillar(CAT), soared. And theInvesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weightexchange-traded fund (RSP) gained 0.8% on the week, outpacing the market-cap-weighted version.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，表面之下还是有一些行动。科技股，尤其是美光科技(MU)、泛林研究(LRCX)和应用材料(AMAT)等芯片股表现强劲，而高盛集团(GS)等银行股和卡特彼勒(CAT)等工业股则飙升。景顺标普500等权重交易所交易基金(RSP)本周上涨0.8%，超过市值加权版本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d14ffc0d585bc642e9dfa4eebe4b998b\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"647\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That suggests that&nbsp;the stock market is rotating&nbsp;once again, out of tech and other growth stocks, which had been outperforming since May, and back into stocks that benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy, says Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies. “A lot of rotation in constituents can fuel a bull market,” she says, noting that if more stocks start winning, it’s only a matter of time before the small-cap&nbsp;Russell 2000 index&nbsp;does, too.</p><p><blockquote>Fairlead Strategies创始人凯蒂·斯托克顿(Katie Stockton)表示，这表明股市再次轮动，从5月份以来表现出色的科技股和其他成长型股转向受益于美国经济强劲的股票。她表示：“成分股的大量轮换可以推动牛市。”她指出，如果更多股票开始上涨，那么小盘股罗素2000指数也会上涨只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> That cyclicals have started breaking out again is impressive, particularly given the nonstop focus on the Covid-19 Delta variant. Whether it’s about states like&nbsp;Mississippi&nbsp;and&nbsp;Florida, or the Food and Drug Administration’s&nbsp;approval of a vaccine booster&nbsp;shot for people with compromised immune systems, renewed pandemic fears should have hit those stocks hard. That they didn’t says a lot about what investors are thinking.</p><p><blockquote>周期性再次开始爆发令人印象深刻，特别是考虑到人们对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续关注。无论是密西西比州和佛罗里达州等州，还是美国食品和药物管理局批准为免疫系统受损的人注射疫苗加强针，新的大流行担忧应该会对这些股票造成沉重打击。他们并没有充分说明投资者的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “If you just look at the market action this week, it’s saying the Delta variant is a public-health crisis, but not an economic crisis,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>CIBC Private Wealth US首席投资官Dave Donabedian表示：“如果你只看本周的市场走势，就会发现德尔塔变异毒株是一场公共卫生危机，而不是经济危机。”</blockquote></p><p> At some point, the boredom will end, and the market will get more volatile. And the biggest risk might be that investors use the volatility to push the entire stock market higher, notes BTIG’s Julian Emanuel, treating it like one big meme stock.</p><p><blockquote>在某个时候，无聊会结束，市场会变得更加波动。BTIG的朱利安·伊曼纽尔(Julian Emanuel)指出，最大的风险可能是投资者利用波动性推高整个股市，将其视为一只大型模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> “[The] dramatic price action in ‘meme stocks’ both old and new raises the probability that higher volatility could result in an ‘altered reality’ exception,” he writes. “And there is only one previous exception where volatility went up and stocks continued to go up, and up, and up. At least for a while.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“新旧‘模因股票’的剧烈价格走势增加了波动性上升可能导致‘现实改变’例外的可能性。”“之前只有一个例外，波动性上升，股市继续上涨，上涨，上涨。至少在一段时间内是这样。”</blockquote></p><p> That, of course, was in 1999. Let’s hope we avoid the kind of excitement that followed.</p><p><blockquote>当然，那是在1999年。希望我们能避免随之而来的那种兴奋。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow, S&P End Week at Record Highs. It’s Not That Exciting.<blockquote>道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数周末创下历史新高。没那么刺激。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 09:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should hope it stays that way.</p><p><blockquote>冒险。兴奋。最近股市似乎并不渴望这些东西。投资者应该希望这种情况保持下去。</blockquote></p><p> It wasn’t quite like watching paint dry this past week, but it wasn’t that far off, either. Earnings reports were few and far between, the most prominent coming from Walt Disney (ticker: DIS) and eBay (EBAY). The economic news, including July’s consumer-price data, didn’t contain any shockers. And while the S&amp;P 500 closed the week on a streak of four new highs, one of them was by less than a quarter of&nbsp;a point. The index rose 0.7%, to 4468.00, while the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;gained 306.87 points, or 0.9%, to 35,515.38. The&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;dipped 0.1%. to 14,822.90.</p><p><blockquote>这不太像在过去的一周里看着油漆变干，但也不远了。收益报告很少，其中最突出的来自华特迪士尼（股票代码：DIS）和eBay(EBAY)。包括7月份消费者价格数据在内的经济新闻没有任何令人震惊的内容。尽管标普500本周连续四次创下新高，但其中一次涨幅不到四分之一个百分点。该指数上涨0.7%，至4468.00点，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨306.87点，即0.9%，至35,515.38点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.1%。至14,822.90。</blockquote></p><p> Exuberance this ain’t.</p><p><blockquote>繁荣这不是。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Stock Prices Are Poised to Keep Rising</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么股价将持续上涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, there was some action underneath the surface. Tech,particularly chip stockslikeMicron Technology(MU),Lam Research(LRCX), andApplied Materials(AMAT), took it on the chin, while banks, includingGoldman Sachs Group(GS), and industrials such asCaterpillar(CAT), soared. And theInvesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weightexchange-traded fund (RSP) gained 0.8% on the week, outpacing the market-cap-weighted version.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，表面之下还是有一些行动。科技股，尤其是美光科技(MU)、泛林研究(LRCX)和应用材料(AMAT)等芯片股表现强劲，而高盛集团(GS)等银行股和卡特彼勒(CAT)等工业股则飙升。景顺标普500等权重交易所交易基金(RSP)本周上涨0.8%，超过市值加权版本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d14ffc0d585bc642e9dfa4eebe4b998b\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"647\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That suggests that&nbsp;the stock market is rotating&nbsp;once again, out of tech and other growth stocks, which had been outperforming since May, and back into stocks that benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy, says Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies. “A lot of rotation in constituents can fuel a bull market,” she says, noting that if more stocks start winning, it’s only a matter of time before the small-cap&nbsp;Russell 2000 index&nbsp;does, too.</p><p><blockquote>Fairlead Strategies创始人凯蒂·斯托克顿(Katie Stockton)表示，这表明股市再次轮动，从5月份以来表现出色的科技股和其他成长型股转向受益于美国经济强劲的股票。她表示：“成分股的大量轮换可以推动牛市。”她指出，如果更多股票开始上涨，那么小盘股罗素2000指数也会上涨只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> That cyclicals have started breaking out again is impressive, particularly given the nonstop focus on the Covid-19 Delta variant. Whether it’s about states like&nbsp;Mississippi&nbsp;and&nbsp;Florida, or the Food and Drug Administration’s&nbsp;approval of a vaccine booster&nbsp;shot for people with compromised immune systems, renewed pandemic fears should have hit those stocks hard. That they didn’t says a lot about what investors are thinking.</p><p><blockquote>周期性再次开始爆发令人印象深刻，特别是考虑到人们对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的持续关注。无论是密西西比州和佛罗里达州等州，还是美国食品和药物管理局批准为免疫系统受损的人注射疫苗加强针，新的大流行担忧应该会对这些股票造成沉重打击。他们并没有充分说明投资者的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “If you just look at the market action this week, it’s saying the Delta variant is a public-health crisis, but not an economic crisis,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>CIBC Private Wealth US首席投资官Dave Donabedian表示：“如果你只看本周的市场走势，就会发现德尔塔变异毒株是一场公共卫生危机，而不是经济危机。”</blockquote></p><p> At some point, the boredom will end, and the market will get more volatile. And the biggest risk might be that investors use the volatility to push the entire stock market higher, notes BTIG’s Julian Emanuel, treating it like one big meme stock.</p><p><blockquote>在某个时候，无聊会结束，市场会变得更加波动。BTIG的朱利安·伊曼纽尔(Julian Emanuel)指出，最大的风险可能是投资者利用波动性推高整个股市，将其视为一只大型模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> “[The] dramatic price action in ‘meme stocks’ both old and new raises the probability that higher volatility could result in an ‘altered reality’ exception,” he writes. “And there is only one previous exception where volatility went up and stocks continued to go up, and up, and up. At least for a while.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“新旧‘模因股票’的剧烈价格走势增加了波动性上升可能导致‘现实改变’例外的可能性。”“之前只有一个例外，波动性上升，股市继续上涨，上涨，上涨。至少在一段时间内是这样。”</blockquote></p><p> That, of course, was in 1999. Let’s hope we avoid the kind of excitement that followed.</p><p><blockquote>当然，那是在1999年。希望我们能避免随之而来的那种兴奋。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/dow-stock-market-sp-500-51628901659?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/dow-stock-market-sp-500-51628901659?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144073354","content_text":"Adventure. Excitement. The stock market doesn’t seem to crave these things lately. Investors should hope it stays that way.\nIt wasn’t quite like watching paint dry this past week, but it wasn’t that far off, either. Earnings reports were few and far between, the most prominent coming from Walt Disney (ticker: DIS) and eBay (EBAY). The economic news, including July’s consumer-price data, didn’t contain any shockers. And while the S&P 500 closed the week on a streak of four new highs, one of them was by less than a quarter of a point. The index rose 0.7%, to 4468.00, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 306.87 points, or 0.9%, to 35,515.38. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.1%. to 14,822.90.\nExuberance this ain’t.\nWhy Stock Prices Are Poised to Keep Rising\nStill, there was some action underneath the surface. Tech,particularly chip stockslikeMicron Technology(MU),Lam Research(LRCX), andApplied Materials(AMAT), took it on the chin, while banks, includingGoldman Sachs Group(GS), and industrials such asCaterpillar(CAT), soared. And theInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weightexchange-traded fund (RSP) gained 0.8% on the week, outpacing the market-cap-weighted version.\n\nThat suggests that the stock market is rotating once again, out of tech and other growth stocks, which had been outperforming since May, and back into stocks that benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy, says Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies. “A lot of rotation in constituents can fuel a bull market,” she says, noting that if more stocks start winning, it’s only a matter of time before the small-cap Russell 2000 index does, too.\nThat cyclicals have started breaking out again is impressive, particularly given the nonstop focus on the Covid-19 Delta variant. Whether it’s about states like Mississippi and Florida, or the Food and Drug Administration’s approval of a vaccine booster shot for people with compromised immune systems, renewed pandemic fears should have hit those stocks hard. That they didn’t says a lot about what investors are thinking.\n“If you just look at the market action this week, it’s saying the Delta variant is a public-health crisis, but not an economic crisis,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.\nAt some point, the boredom will end, and the market will get more volatile. And the biggest risk might be that investors use the volatility to push the entire stock market higher, notes BTIG’s Julian Emanuel, treating it like one big meme stock.\n“[The] dramatic price action in ‘meme stocks’ both old and new raises the probability that higher volatility could result in an ‘altered reality’ exception,” he writes. “And there is only one previous exception where volatility went up and stocks continued to go up, and up, and up. At least for a while.”\nThat, of course, was in 1999. Let’s hope we avoid the kind of excitement that followed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800908878,"gmtCreate":1627269274694,"gmtModify":1633766669190,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800908878","repostId":"1173755938","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":866475834,"gmtCreate":1632801176628,"gmtModify":1632801176702,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like thx","listText":"Like thx","text":"Like thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866475834","repostId":"1129085736","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129085736","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632800151,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129085736?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-28 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why stocks could lose popularity as the market’s ‘presidential election cycle’ enters its second year<blockquote>为什么随着市场“总统选举周期”进入第二年，股市可能会失去人气</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129085736","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock returns typically weaken in the second year of a U.S. president’s four-year term.\n\nShould inve","content":"<p>  <b>Stock returns typically weaken in the second year of a U.S. president’s four-year term.</b>  Should investors be worried that the second year of the “presidential election cycle” is about to begin? Followers of the cycle answer “yes,” since second years of the cycle are the worst, on average, of a U.S. president’s four-year term.</p><p><blockquote><b>在美国总统四年任期的第二年，股票回报率通常会减弱。</b>投资者是否应该担心“总统选举周期”的第二年即将开始？周期的追随者回答“是”，因为周期的第二年平均是美国总统四年任期中最糟糕的。</blockquote></p><p> Since the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.21% was created in 1896, the Dow’s average price-only return in non-second years has been more than nine percentage points higher than in second years.</p><p><blockquote>自道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯（+0.21%）于1896年创立以来，道琼斯指数在非第二年的平均纯价格回报率比第二年高出9个百分点以上。</blockquote></p><p> This result is not statistically significant, however. There is such wide variability in year-to-year performance that the averages don’t tell us much. In more than half of the presidential election cycle’s second years since the Dow’s creation, the U.S. benchmark index actually rose. Furthermore, as the accompanying chart shows, the Dow has risen in each of the past four second years — up 13.1% on average.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该结果在统计学上并不显著。每年的表现差异如此之大，以至于平均值并不能告诉我们太多。自道琼斯指数创立以来，在总统选举周期的第二年中，美国基准指数实际上上涨了一半以上。此外，如附图所示，道琼斯指数在过去四年中每年都在上涨，平均上涨13.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd92bdd871c0bf68559547fe96caf17\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"942\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> At a minimum, therefore, we need to dig deeper into the data before basing any investment decisions on supposed second-year presidential-term weakness.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们至少需要在根据第二年总统任期的疲软做出任何投资决策之前更深入地挖掘数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>History of the presidential election cycle</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总统选举周期的历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The presidential election cycle is based on the unobjectionable notion that presidents and their political parties want to get re-elected. They therefore will swallow any necessary economic medicine early in their terms in order for the economy to be roaring by the time the next presidential election comes around.</p><p><blockquote>总统选举周期是基于一个无可争议的观念，即总统及其政党希望连任。因此，他们将在任期早期吞下任何必要的经济药物，以便在下一次总统选举到来时经济蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> As many have noted before, the historical data are only loosely consistent with this theory. The table below reports the year-by-year averages for the Dow since its creation in 1896 and since 1940. This latter year was chosen on the theory that presidential power grew enormously in the 1930s, thereby increasing a leader’s ability to ignite the economy.</p><p><blockquote>正如许多人之前指出的，历史数据与这一理论只是大致一致。下表报告了道琼斯指数自1896年创立以来和1940年以来的逐年平均值。选择后一年的理论是，总统权力在20世纪30年代大幅增长，从而提高了领导人点燃经济的能力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/431b2d2204c7d245f63f4b630476ae1b\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Though second years are the worst of the cycle, the difference between its average return and that of the other three years is not significant at the 95% confidence level that statisticians often use when determining if a pattern is genuine. In fact, the only year of the four that jumps over this hurdle of statistical significance is the third year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管第二年是周期中最糟糕的，但在统计学家在确定模式是否真实时经常使用的95%置信水平上，其平均回报与其他三年之间的差异并不显著。事实上，这四年中唯一跨越这一统计意义障碍的年份是第三年。</blockquote></p><p> These results are based on fiscal years ending on Sep. 30. In focusing on fiscal years, I am following the lead of most presidential election cycle researchers. Had I chosen to focus on calendar years rather than fiscal years, the difference between second years and the other three years of the cycle would have been even less pronounced.</p><p><blockquote>这些结果基于截至9月30日的财年。在关注财政年度时，我追随了大多数总统选举周期研究人员的脚步。如果我选择关注日历年而不是财政年度，第二年和周期中其他三年之间的差异就不会那么明显了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Midterm election and stock prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中期选举和股价</b></blockquote></p><p> This would otherwise be the end of the story, but for another seasonal pattern that researchers have recently documented. It turns out that the six months prior to the midterm election is a particularly weak period for the stock market, while the six months after is particularly strong.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是研究人员最近记录的另一种季节性模式，故事就结束了。事实证明，中期选举前的六个月是股市特别疲软的时期，而中期选举后的六个月则特别强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This pattern was discovered by Kam Fong Chan, a professor of finance at the University of Western Australia, and Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International. Their study on the subject was published this summer in the Quarterly Journal of Economics.</p><p><blockquote>这种模式是由西澳大利亚大学金融学教授Kam Fong Chan和加州大学伯克利分校名誉金融学教授、Quantal International首席执行官Terry Marsh发现的。他们关于这个主题的研究发表在今年夏天的《经济学季刊》上。</blockquote></p><p> The researchers attribute the stock market’s pre-midterm weakness to uncertainty about the outcome of those elections. Similarly, post-midterm strength can be traced to the resolution of that uncertainty. Their explanation makes theoretical sense, because the stock market reacts poorly to uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>研究人员将股市在中期选举前的疲软归因于这些选举结果的不确定性。同样，中期后的实力可以追溯到这种不确定性的解决。他们的解释在理论上是有道理的，因为股市对不确定性的反应很差。</blockquote></p><p> Their theory has empirical support in the seasonal patterns of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index (EPU), which measures politically sourced economic uncertainty. Historically, the EPU has tended to rise significantly in the six months before mid-term elections and then fallen just as much in the six months thereafter.</p><p><blockquote>他们的理论在经济政策不确定性指数（EPU）的季节性模式中得到了实证支持，该指数衡量政治来源的经济不确定性。从历史上看，EPU往往在中期选举前的六个月大幅上升，然后在此后的六个月下降同样多。</blockquote></p><p> To the extent this pre- and post-midterm pattern persists, you wouldn’t look for stock market strength until next spring — halfway through the second year of the presidential election year cycle. In the meantime, the stock market could still exhibit weakness. But if it does, it won’t be because of where we are in the cycle.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种中期前后的模式持续存在，你要到明年春天——总统选举年周期第二年的中期——才能看到股市走强。与此同时，股市仍可能表现疲软。但如果是这样，也不会是因为我们在周期中所处的位置。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why stocks could lose popularity as the market’s ‘presidential election cycle’ enters its second year<blockquote>为什么随着市场“总统选举周期”进入第二年，股市可能会失去人气</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy stocks could lose popularity as the market’s ‘presidential election cycle’ enters its second year<blockquote>为什么随着市场“总统选举周期”进入第二年，股市可能会失去人气</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-28 11:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock returns typically weaken in the second year of a U.S. president’s four-year term.</b>  Should investors be worried that the second year of the “presidential election cycle” is about to begin? Followers of the cycle answer “yes,” since second years of the cycle are the worst, on average, of a U.S. president’s four-year term.</p><p><blockquote><b>在美国总统四年任期的第二年，股票回报率通常会减弱。</b>投资者是否应该担心“总统选举周期”的第二年即将开始？周期的追随者回答“是”，因为周期的第二年平均是美国总统四年任期中最糟糕的。</blockquote></p><p> Since the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.21% was created in 1896, the Dow’s average price-only return in non-second years has been more than nine percentage points higher than in second years.</p><p><blockquote>自道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯（+0.21%）于1896年创立以来，道琼斯指数在非第二年的平均纯价格回报率比第二年高出9个百分点以上。</blockquote></p><p> This result is not statistically significant, however. There is such wide variability in year-to-year performance that the averages don’t tell us much. In more than half of the presidential election cycle’s second years since the Dow’s creation, the U.S. benchmark index actually rose. Furthermore, as the accompanying chart shows, the Dow has risen in each of the past four second years — up 13.1% on average.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该结果在统计学上并不显著。每年的表现差异如此之大，以至于平均值并不能告诉我们太多。自道琼斯指数创立以来，在总统选举周期的第二年中，美国基准指数实际上上涨了一半以上。此外，如附图所示，道琼斯指数在过去四年中每年都在上涨，平均上涨13.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd92bdd871c0bf68559547fe96caf17\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"942\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> At a minimum, therefore, we need to dig deeper into the data before basing any investment decisions on supposed second-year presidential-term weakness.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们至少需要在根据第二年总统任期的疲软做出任何投资决策之前更深入地挖掘数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>History of the presidential election cycle</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总统选举周期的历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The presidential election cycle is based on the unobjectionable notion that presidents and their political parties want to get re-elected. They therefore will swallow any necessary economic medicine early in their terms in order for the economy to be roaring by the time the next presidential election comes around.</p><p><blockquote>总统选举周期是基于一个无可争议的观念，即总统及其政党希望连任。因此，他们将在任期早期吞下任何必要的经济药物，以便在下一次总统选举到来时经济蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> As many have noted before, the historical data are only loosely consistent with this theory. The table below reports the year-by-year averages for the Dow since its creation in 1896 and since 1940. This latter year was chosen on the theory that presidential power grew enormously in the 1930s, thereby increasing a leader’s ability to ignite the economy.</p><p><blockquote>正如许多人之前指出的，历史数据与这一理论只是大致一致。下表报告了道琼斯指数自1896年创立以来和1940年以来的逐年平均值。选择后一年的理论是，总统权力在20世纪30年代大幅增长，从而提高了领导人点燃经济的能力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/431b2d2204c7d245f63f4b630476ae1b\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Though second years are the worst of the cycle, the difference between its average return and that of the other three years is not significant at the 95% confidence level that statisticians often use when determining if a pattern is genuine. In fact, the only year of the four that jumps over this hurdle of statistical significance is the third year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管第二年是周期中最糟糕的，但在统计学家在确定模式是否真实时经常使用的95%置信水平上，其平均回报与其他三年之间的差异并不显著。事实上，这四年中唯一跨越这一统计意义障碍的年份是第三年。</blockquote></p><p> These results are based on fiscal years ending on Sep. 30. In focusing on fiscal years, I am following the lead of most presidential election cycle researchers. Had I chosen to focus on calendar years rather than fiscal years, the difference between second years and the other three years of the cycle would have been even less pronounced.</p><p><blockquote>这些结果基于截至9月30日的财年。在关注财政年度时，我追随了大多数总统选举周期研究人员的脚步。如果我选择关注日历年而不是财政年度，第二年和周期中其他三年之间的差异就不会那么明显了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Midterm election and stock prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中期选举和股价</b></blockquote></p><p> This would otherwise be the end of the story, but for another seasonal pattern that researchers have recently documented. It turns out that the six months prior to the midterm election is a particularly weak period for the stock market, while the six months after is particularly strong.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是研究人员最近记录的另一种季节性模式，故事就结束了。事实证明，中期选举前的六个月是股市特别疲软的时期，而中期选举后的六个月则特别强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This pattern was discovered by Kam Fong Chan, a professor of finance at the University of Western Australia, and Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International. Their study on the subject was published this summer in the Quarterly Journal of Economics.</p><p><blockquote>这种模式是由西澳大利亚大学金融学教授Kam Fong Chan和加州大学伯克利分校名誉金融学教授、Quantal International首席执行官Terry Marsh发现的。他们关于这个主题的研究发表在今年夏天的《经济学季刊》上。</blockquote></p><p> The researchers attribute the stock market’s pre-midterm weakness to uncertainty about the outcome of those elections. Similarly, post-midterm strength can be traced to the resolution of that uncertainty. Their explanation makes theoretical sense, because the stock market reacts poorly to uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>研究人员将股市在中期选举前的疲软归因于这些选举结果的不确定性。同样，中期后的实力可以追溯到这种不确定性的解决。他们的解释在理论上是有道理的，因为股市对不确定性的反应很差。</blockquote></p><p> Their theory has empirical support in the seasonal patterns of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index (EPU), which measures politically sourced economic uncertainty. Historically, the EPU has tended to rise significantly in the six months before mid-term elections and then fallen just as much in the six months thereafter.</p><p><blockquote>他们的理论在经济政策不确定性指数（EPU）的季节性模式中得到了实证支持，该指数衡量政治来源的经济不确定性。从历史上看，EPU往往在中期选举前的六个月大幅上升，然后在此后的六个月下降同样多。</blockquote></p><p> To the extent this pre- and post-midterm pattern persists, you wouldn’t look for stock market strength until next spring — halfway through the second year of the presidential election year cycle. In the meantime, the stock market could still exhibit weakness. But if it does, it won’t be because of where we are in the cycle.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种中期前后的模式持续存在，你要到明年春天——总统选举年周期第二年的中期——才能看到股市走强。与此同时，股市仍可能表现疲软。但如果是这样，也不会是因为我们在周期中所处的位置。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stocks-could-lose-popularity-as-the-markets-presidential-election-cycle-enters-its-second-year-11632776543?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stocks-could-lose-popularity-as-the-markets-presidential-election-cycle-enters-its-second-year-11632776543?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129085736","content_text":"Stock returns typically weaken in the second year of a U.S. president’s four-year term.\n\nShould investors be worried that the second year of the “presidential election cycle” is about to begin? Followers of the cycle answer “yes,” since second years of the cycle are the worst, on average, of a U.S. president’s four-year term.\nSince the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.21% was created in 1896, the Dow’s average price-only return in non-second years has been more than nine percentage points higher than in second years.\nThis result is not statistically significant, however. There is such wide variability in year-to-year performance that the averages don’t tell us much. In more than half of the presidential election cycle’s second years since the Dow’s creation, the U.S. benchmark index actually rose. Furthermore, as the accompanying chart shows, the Dow has risen in each of the past four second years — up 13.1% on average.\n\nAt a minimum, therefore, we need to dig deeper into the data before basing any investment decisions on supposed second-year presidential-term weakness.\nHistory of the presidential election cycle\nThe presidential election cycle is based on the unobjectionable notion that presidents and their political parties want to get re-elected. They therefore will swallow any necessary economic medicine early in their terms in order for the economy to be roaring by the time the next presidential election comes around.\nAs many have noted before, the historical data are only loosely consistent with this theory. The table below reports the year-by-year averages for the Dow since its creation in 1896 and since 1940. This latter year was chosen on the theory that presidential power grew enormously in the 1930s, thereby increasing a leader’s ability to ignite the economy.\n\nThough second years are the worst of the cycle, the difference between its average return and that of the other three years is not significant at the 95% confidence level that statisticians often use when determining if a pattern is genuine. In fact, the only year of the four that jumps over this hurdle of statistical significance is the third year.\nThese results are based on fiscal years ending on Sep. 30. In focusing on fiscal years, I am following the lead of most presidential election cycle researchers. Had I chosen to focus on calendar years rather than fiscal years, the difference between second years and the other three years of the cycle would have been even less pronounced.\nMidterm election and stock prices\nThis would otherwise be the end of the story, but for another seasonal pattern that researchers have recently documented. It turns out that the six months prior to the midterm election is a particularly weak period for the stock market, while the six months after is particularly strong.\nThis pattern was discovered by Kam Fong Chan, a professor of finance at the University of Western Australia, and Terry Marsh, an emeritus finance professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and CEO of Quantal International. Their study on the subject was published this summer in the Quarterly Journal of Economics.\nThe researchers attribute the stock market’s pre-midterm weakness to uncertainty about the outcome of those elections. Similarly, post-midterm strength can be traced to the resolution of that uncertainty. Their explanation makes theoretical sense, because the stock market reacts poorly to uncertainty.\nTheir theory has empirical support in the seasonal patterns of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index (EPU), which measures politically sourced economic uncertainty. Historically, the EPU has tended to rise significantly in the six months before mid-term elections and then fallen just as much in the six months thereafter.\nTo the extent this pre- and post-midterm pattern persists, you wouldn’t look for stock market strength until next spring — halfway through the second year of the presidential election year cycle. In the meantime, the stock market could still exhibit weakness. But if it does, it won’t be because of where we are in the cycle.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812383199,"gmtCreate":1630552923011,"gmtModify":1631892023250,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Alot like and coment&nbsp;pls~","listText":"Alot like and coment&nbsp;pls~","text":"Alot like and coment pls~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812383199","repostId":"1105808841","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105808841","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630547089,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105808841?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-02 09:44","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong: Shares extend gains at open<blockquote>香港：股市开盘延续涨势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105808841","media":"AFP","summary":"[HONG KONG] Hong Kong stocks began with another advance on Thursday morning as investors bide their ","content":"<p>[HONG KONG] Hong Kong stocks began with another advance on Thursday morning as investors bide their time ahead of the release of key US jobs data at the end of the week.</p><p><blockquote>【香港】香港股市周四早盘再次上涨，投资者在周末美国关键就业数据公布前等待时机。</blockquote></p><p> The Hang Seng Index rose 0.67 per cent or 175.23 points to 26,203.52.</p><p><blockquote>恒生指数上涨0.67%，即175.23点，至26,203.52点。</blockquote></p><p> The Shanghai Composite dipped 0.20 per cent or 7.20 points to 3,559.90, while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange fell 0.22 per cent or 5.32 points to 2,412.57.</p><p><blockquote>上证综指下跌0.20%或7.20点，至3559.90点；中国第二交易所深圳综合指数下跌0.22%或5.32点，至2412.57点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1605843958005","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong: Shares extend gains at open<blockquote>香港：股市开盘延续涨势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong: Shares extend gains at open<blockquote>香港：股市开盘延续涨势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">AFP</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-02 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>[HONG KONG] Hong Kong stocks began with another advance on Thursday morning as investors bide their time ahead of the release of key US jobs data at the end of the week.</p><p><blockquote>【香港】香港股市周四早盘再次上涨，投资者在周末美国关键就业数据公布前等待时机。</blockquote></p><p> The Hang Seng Index rose 0.67 per cent or 175.23 points to 26,203.52.</p><p><blockquote>恒生指数上涨0.67%，即175.23点，至26,203.52点。</blockquote></p><p> The Shanghai Composite dipped 0.20 per cent or 7.20 points to 3,559.90, while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange fell 0.22 per cent or 5.32 points to 2,412.57.</p><p><blockquote>上证综指下跌0.20%或7.20点，至3559.90点；中国第二交易所深圳综合指数下跌0.22%或5.32点，至2412.57点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hong-kong-shares-extend-gains-at-open-3\">AFP</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数"},"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/hong-kong-shares-extend-gains-at-open-3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105808841","content_text":"[HONG KONG] Hong Kong stocks began with another advance on Thursday morning as investors bide their time ahead of the release of key US jobs data at the end of the week.\nThe Hang Seng Index rose 0.67 per cent or 175.23 points to 26,203.52.\nThe Shanghai Composite dipped 0.20 per cent or 7.20 points to 3,559.90, while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange fell 0.22 per cent or 5.32 points to 2,412.57.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804500703,"gmtCreate":1627961694002,"gmtModify":1633754834818,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804500703","repostId":"1146521644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146521644","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627961184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146521644?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 2 Stocks Could Foretell the Market's Moves on Tuesday<blockquote>这两只股票可以预测周二市场的走势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146521644","media":"The Motley Fool","summary":"After-hours earnings reports showed a clear trend.\nThe stock market was volatile on Monday, initiall","content":"<p><b>After-hours earnings reports showed a clear trend.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘后财报显示出明显的趋势。</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market was volatile on Monday, initially pushing higher but giving up ground over the course of the day. By the close, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;(DJINDICES: ^DJI) and&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;(SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) were down for the day, while the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) just barely managed to cling onto a tiny gain.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市波动较大，最初走高，但全天有所回落。到收盘时，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI)和<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)当天下跌，而<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）勉强保住了微小的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th><b>Index</b></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th><b>指数</b></th></tr></thead></table></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Percentage Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>百分比变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Point Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>点变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Dow</p><p><blockquote><tbody><tr><td>陶氏化学</td></tr></tbody></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(0.28%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(0.28%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(97)</p><p><blockquote><td>(97)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>S&amp;P 500</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>标普500</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(0.18%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(0.18%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(8)</p><p><blockquote><td>(8)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nasdaq Composite</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>纳斯达克复合材料</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>+0.06%</p><p><blockquote><td>+0.06%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>+8</p><p><blockquote><td>+8</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> DATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：雅虎！金融。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season has revealed a lot about what companies expect in the second half of 2021, and many stocks have made disappointing moves even after companies give out better results than most had expected. Monday afternoon, it was&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANET\">Arista Networks</a> </b>and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a> </b>that were on display, and like some of their peers, both stocks moved lower following their financial releases. Below, we'll take a closer look at their reports to see why their declines could send the market lower Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>财报季揭示了很多公司对2021年下半年的预期，即使公司公布的业绩好于大多数人的预期，许多股票的走势仍令人失望。星期一下午，那是<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANET\">阿里斯塔网络</a></b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a></b>与一些同行一样，两只股票在财务报告发布后均走低。下面，我们将仔细研究他们的报告，看看为什么他们的下跌会导致周二市场走低。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Arista sees financials bounce back</b></h3> Shares of Arista Networks fell almost 1% in the regular session on Monday, and then added a further decline of more than 1% after hours. Investors reacted slightly negatively to thetech company's second-quarter financial report.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>Arista看到财务反弹</b></h3>Arista Networks股价周一常规交易中下跌近1%，盘后进一步下跌超过1%。投资者对科技公司第二季度财报反应略显负面。</blockquote></p><p> By all indications, Arista did a good job bouncing back from last year's challenges in the second quarter of 2021. Revenue came in up 31% year over year, and adjusted net income rose nearly 30%. Adjusted earnings of $2.72 per share were better than most investors had looked to see from Arista.</p><p><blockquote>从各方面来看，Arista在2021年第二季度从去年的挑战中恢复过来方面做得很好。收入同比增长31%，调整后净利润增长近30%。调整后每股收益为2.72美元，好于大多数投资者对Arista的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/655040c26edca827e17bb1fe30ca503a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Arista's business met some key milestones. The company reached the 50 million mark in selling cloud network ports, and it launched a new ultra-low latency switch to help speed up transactions for financial-services applications. Moreover, Arista kept moving forward with its campus networks business.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Arista的业务达到了一些关键的里程碑。该公司销售的云网络端口达到5000万个大关，并推出了一种新的超低延迟交换机，以帮助加快金融服务应用程序的交易速度。此外，Arista继续推进其校园网络业务。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors seemed nonplussed by Arista's guidance for the third quarter, which projected revenue of between $725 million and $745 million. That would represent just 4% sequential growth, which might have some shareholders worried that thebig tailwinds Arista has gotten from digital transformation effortsmight finally be starting to slow.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者似乎对Arista第三季度的指引感到困惑，该指引预计收入在7.25亿美元至7.45亿美元之间。这意味着环比增长率仅为4%，这可能会让一些股东担心Arista从数字化转型努力中获得的巨大推动力可能最终开始放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Is Take-Two losing the game?</b></h3> Meanwhile, shares of Take-Two Interactive Software dropped more than 3% after hours after a tiny decline in the regular session. Shareholders weren't pleased at some of the trends in the video game specialist's fiscal first-quarter financial report.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>Take-Two会输掉比赛吗？</b></h3>与此同时，Take-Two Interactive Software的股价在常规交易中小幅下跌后盘后下跌超过3%。股东对这家视频游戏专家第一季度财务报告中的一些趋势并不满意。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the numbers from Take-Two certainly did look disappointing. Revenue was down 2% from year-ago levels, with the company continuing to get top sales contributions from the latest installments in its&nbsp;<i>NBA 2K</i>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<i>Grand Theft Auto</i>&nbsp;franchises. However, Take-Two's bottom line strengthened, with net income climbing 72% year over year and earnings coming in at $1.30 per share.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two的一些数字看起来确实令人失望。收入较去年同期下降2%，该公司继续从其最新分期付款中获得最大的销售贡献<i>NBA 2K</i>和<i>侠盗猎车手</i>特许经营权。然而，Take-Two的利润有所增强，净利润同比增长72%，每股收益为1.30美元。</blockquote></p><p> Investors didn't like comments from CEO Strauss Zelnick, which included news on some game delays. The executive said that two of its core titles will see their releases shifted until later in the current fiscal year than it had previously expected. That will force investors to wait potentially until fiscal 2023 to start seeing sequential growth and new record operating results.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢首席执行官施特劳斯·泽尔尼克(Strauss Zelnick)的评论，其中包括一些游戏延迟的消息。这位高管表示，其两款核心游戏的发布时间将推迟到本财年晚些时候，比之前预期的要晚。这将迫使投资者可能要等到2023财年才能开始看到环比增长和新纪录的经营业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two routinely goes through longer-term cycles like this, corresponding largely to when hit game releases occur.&nbsp;Strategic moves could bolster the video game company's longer-term growth, but investors need to be prepared for short-term headwinds to continue in the near future. That's true not just with Take-Two but also with enough of the broader market to weigh on stocks generally.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two通常会经历这样的长期周期，主要对应于热门游戏发布的时间。战略举措可能会提振这家视频游戏公司的长期增长，但投资者需要为近期持续的短期不利因素做好准备。这不仅适用于Take-Two，也适用于足以给股市带来总体压力的大盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 2 Stocks Could Foretell the Market's Moves on Tuesday<blockquote>这两只股票可以预测周二市场的走势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 2 Stocks Could Foretell the Market's Moves on Tuesday<blockquote>这两只股票可以预测周二市场的走势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 11:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>After-hours earnings reports showed a clear trend.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘后财报显示出明显的趋势。</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market was volatile on Monday, initially pushing higher but giving up ground over the course of the day. By the close, the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;(DJINDICES: ^DJI) and&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;(SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) were down for the day, while the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) just barely managed to cling onto a tiny gain.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市波动较大，最初走高，但全天有所回落。到收盘时，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI)和<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)当天下跌，而<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）勉强保住了微小的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th><b>Index</b></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th><b>指数</b></th></tr></thead></table></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Percentage Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>百分比变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Point Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>点变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Dow</p><p><blockquote><tbody><tr><td>陶氏化学</td></tr></tbody></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(0.28%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(0.28%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(97)</p><p><blockquote><td>(97)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>S&amp;P 500</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>标普500</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(0.18%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(0.18%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(8)</p><p><blockquote><td>(8)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nasdaq Composite</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>纳斯达克复合材料</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>+0.06%</p><p><blockquote><td>+0.06%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>+8</p><p><blockquote><td>+8</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> DATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：雅虎！金融。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings season has revealed a lot about what companies expect in the second half of 2021, and many stocks have made disappointing moves even after companies give out better results than most had expected. Monday afternoon, it was&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANET\">Arista Networks</a> </b>and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a> </b>that were on display, and like some of their peers, both stocks moved lower following their financial releases. Below, we'll take a closer look at their reports to see why their declines could send the market lower Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>财报季揭示了很多公司对2021年下半年的预期，即使公司公布的业绩好于大多数人的预期，许多股票的走势仍令人失望。星期一下午，那是<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANET\">阿里斯塔网络</a></b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a></b>与一些同行一样，两只股票在财务报告发布后均走低。下面，我们将仔细研究他们的报告，看看为什么他们的下跌会导致周二市场走低。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Arista sees financials bounce back</b></h3> Shares of Arista Networks fell almost 1% in the regular session on Monday, and then added a further decline of more than 1% after hours. Investors reacted slightly negatively to thetech company's second-quarter financial report.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>Arista看到财务反弹</b></h3>Arista Networks股价周一常规交易中下跌近1%，盘后进一步下跌超过1%。投资者对科技公司第二季度财报反应略显负面。</blockquote></p><p> By all indications, Arista did a good job bouncing back from last year's challenges in the second quarter of 2021. Revenue came in up 31% year over year, and adjusted net income rose nearly 30%. Adjusted earnings of $2.72 per share were better than most investors had looked to see from Arista.</p><p><blockquote>从各方面来看，Arista在2021年第二季度从去年的挑战中恢复过来方面做得很好。收入同比增长31%，调整后净利润增长近30%。调整后每股收益为2.72美元，好于大多数投资者对Arista的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/655040c26edca827e17bb1fe30ca503a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Arista's business met some key milestones. The company reached the 50 million mark in selling cloud network ports, and it launched a new ultra-low latency switch to help speed up transactions for financial-services applications. Moreover, Arista kept moving forward with its campus networks business.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Arista的业务达到了一些关键的里程碑。该公司销售的云网络端口达到5000万个大关，并推出了一种新的超低延迟交换机，以帮助加快金融服务应用程序的交易速度。此外，Arista继续推进其校园网络业务。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors seemed nonplussed by Arista's guidance for the third quarter, which projected revenue of between $725 million and $745 million. That would represent just 4% sequential growth, which might have some shareholders worried that thebig tailwinds Arista has gotten from digital transformation effortsmight finally be starting to slow.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者似乎对Arista第三季度的指引感到困惑，该指引预计收入在7.25亿美元至7.45亿美元之间。这意味着环比增长率仅为4%，这可能会让一些股东担心Arista从数字化转型努力中获得的巨大推动力可能最终开始放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Is Take-Two losing the game?</b></h3> Meanwhile, shares of Take-Two Interactive Software dropped more than 3% after hours after a tiny decline in the regular session. Shareholders weren't pleased at some of the trends in the video game specialist's fiscal first-quarter financial report.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>Take-Two会输掉比赛吗？</b></h3>与此同时，Take-Two Interactive Software的股价在常规交易中小幅下跌后盘后下跌超过3%。股东对这家视频游戏专家第一季度财务报告中的一些趋势并不满意。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the numbers from Take-Two certainly did look disappointing. Revenue was down 2% from year-ago levels, with the company continuing to get top sales contributions from the latest installments in its&nbsp;<i>NBA 2K</i>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<i>Grand Theft Auto</i>&nbsp;franchises. However, Take-Two's bottom line strengthened, with net income climbing 72% year over year and earnings coming in at $1.30 per share.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two的一些数字看起来确实令人失望。收入较去年同期下降2%，该公司继续从其最新分期付款中获得最大的销售贡献<i>NBA 2K</i>和<i>侠盗猎车手</i>特许经营权。然而，Take-Two的利润有所增强，净利润同比增长72%，每股收益为1.30美元。</blockquote></p><p> Investors didn't like comments from CEO Strauss Zelnick, which included news on some game delays. The executive said that two of its core titles will see their releases shifted until later in the current fiscal year than it had previously expected. That will force investors to wait potentially until fiscal 2023 to start seeing sequential growth and new record operating results.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不喜欢首席执行官施特劳斯·泽尔尼克(Strauss Zelnick)的评论，其中包括一些游戏延迟的消息。这位高管表示，其两款核心游戏的发布时间将推迟到本财年晚些时候，比之前预期的要晚。这将迫使投资者可能要等到2023财年才能开始看到环比增长和新纪录的经营业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Take-Two routinely goes through longer-term cycles like this, corresponding largely to when hit game releases occur.&nbsp;Strategic moves could bolster the video game company's longer-term growth, but investors need to be prepared for short-term headwinds to continue in the near future. That's true not just with Take-Two but also with enough of the broader market to weigh on stocks generally.</p><p><blockquote>Take-Two通常会经历这样的长期周期，主要对应于热门游戏发布的时间。战略举措可能会提振这家视频游戏公司的长期增长，但投资者需要为近期持续的短期不利因素做好准备。这不仅适用于Take-Two，也适用于足以给股市带来总体压力的大盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/02/these-2-stocks-could-foretell-the-markets-moves-on/\">The Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTWO":"Take-Two Interactive Software",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ANET":"Arista Networks, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/02/these-2-stocks-could-foretell-the-markets-moves-on/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146521644","content_text":"After-hours earnings reports showed a clear trend.\nThe stock market was volatile on Monday, initially pushing higher but giving up ground over the course of the day. By the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) and S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) were down for the day, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) just barely managed to cling onto a tiny gain.\n\n\n\nIndex\nPercentage Change\nPoint Change\n\n\n\n\nDow\n(0.28%)\n(97)\n\n\nS&P 500\n(0.18%)\n(8)\n\n\nNasdaq Composite\n+0.06%\n+8\n\n\n\nDATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.\nEarnings season has revealed a lot about what companies expect in the second half of 2021, and many stocks have made disappointing moves even after companies give out better results than most had expected. Monday afternoon, it was Arista Networks and Take-Two that were on display, and like some of their peers, both stocks moved lower following their financial releases. Below, we'll take a closer look at their reports to see why their declines could send the market lower Tuesday.\nArista sees financials bounce back\nShares of Arista Networks fell almost 1% in the regular session on Monday, and then added a further decline of more than 1% after hours. Investors reacted slightly negatively to thetech company's second-quarter financial report.\nBy all indications, Arista did a good job bouncing back from last year's challenges in the second quarter of 2021. Revenue came in up 31% year over year, and adjusted net income rose nearly 30%. Adjusted earnings of $2.72 per share were better than most investors had looked to see from Arista.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nMoreover, Arista's business met some key milestones. The company reached the 50 million mark in selling cloud network ports, and it launched a new ultra-low latency switch to help speed up transactions for financial-services applications. Moreover, Arista kept moving forward with its campus networks business.\nYet investors seemed nonplussed by Arista's guidance for the third quarter, which projected revenue of between $725 million and $745 million. That would represent just 4% sequential growth, which might have some shareholders worried that thebig tailwinds Arista has gotten from digital transformation effortsmight finally be starting to slow.\nIs Take-Two losing the game?\nMeanwhile, shares of Take-Two Interactive Software dropped more than 3% after hours after a tiny decline in the regular session. Shareholders weren't pleased at some of the trends in the video game specialist's fiscal first-quarter financial report.\nSome of the numbers from Take-Two certainly did look disappointing. Revenue was down 2% from year-ago levels, with the company continuing to get top sales contributions from the latest installments in its NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto franchises. However, Take-Two's bottom line strengthened, with net income climbing 72% year over year and earnings coming in at $1.30 per share.\nInvestors didn't like comments from CEO Strauss Zelnick, which included news on some game delays. The executive said that two of its core titles will see their releases shifted until later in the current fiscal year than it had previously expected. That will force investors to wait potentially until fiscal 2023 to start seeing sequential growth and new record operating results.\nTake-Two routinely goes through longer-term cycles like this, corresponding largely to when hit game releases occur. Strategic moves could bolster the video game company's longer-term growth, but investors need to be prepared for short-term headwinds to continue in the near future. That's true not just with Take-Two but also with enough of the broader market to weigh on stocks generally.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ANET":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TTWO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803269169,"gmtCreate":1627441973251,"gmtModify":1633764937032,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803269169","repostId":"2154991792","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162495768,"gmtCreate":1624070449154,"gmtModify":1634011110396,"author":{"id":"3582770069606941","authorId":"3582770069606941","name":"terryvstitch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0184a6e9d86edb86f52e47b7268432","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582770069606941","idStr":"3582770069606941"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More more like","listText":"More more like","text":"More more like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162495768","repostId":"1161408410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}