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2021-12-29

Gain taking

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2021-12-28

Great

Semiconductor stocks gained in morning trading<blockquote>半导体股早盘上涨</blockquote>

2021-12-27

Ohhh

Credit Suisse Fund Accuses SoftBank Over $440 Million Investment<blockquote>瑞士信贷基金指控软银投资超过4.4亿美元</blockquote>

2021-12-26

Ohh

Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>

2021-12-25

Great

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2021-12-24

Ohh

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2021-12-23

Ohh

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-22

Oh

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2021-12-21

Ohh

Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>Rocket股价早盘下跌4.6%</blockquote>

2021-12-20

Really?

Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>

2021-12-19

Like

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2021-12-18

Wow

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2021-12-17

Ok

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2021-12-16

March

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2021-12-14

Ohhhh

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2021-12-13

Great

Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-12-12

Up up up

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2021-12-11

Great

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2021-12-10

Ohhhh

U.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据公布后，美国股市大幅高开</blockquote>

2021-12-09

Ohhhhh

U.S. Stock Futures Wobble on Omicron Restrictions<blockquote>美国股指期货因奥密克戎限制而波动</blockquote>

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640617439,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157544247?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor stocks gained in morning trading<blockquote>半导体股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157544247","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Semiconductor stocks gained in morning trading.AMD,Nvidia,ON Semiconductor,STMicroelectronics,Marvel","content":"<p>Semiconductor stocks gained in morning trading.AMD,Nvidia,ON&nbsp;Semiconductor,STMicroelectronics,Marvell,GlobalFoundries,TSMC,Xilinx&nbsp;and&nbsp;Texas Instruments&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 3%.</p><p><blockquote>半导体股早盘上涨。AMD、英伟达、安森美半导体、意法半导体、Marvell、格芯、台积电、赛灵思和德州仪器上涨1%至3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img 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type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor stocks gained in morning trading<blockquote>半导体股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-27 23:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductor stocks gained in morning trading.AMD,Nvidia,ON&nbsp;Semiconductor,STMicroelectronics,Marvell,GlobalFoundries,TSMC,Xilinx&nbsp;and&nbsp;Texas Instruments&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 3%.</p><p><blockquote>半导体股早盘上涨。AMD、英伟达、安森美半导体、意法半导体、Marvell、格芯、台积电、赛灵思和德州仪器上涨1%至3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13b10f5fe6c87b9b9ac7276e650bdab5\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRVL":"迈威尔科技","TSM":"台积电","STM":"意法半导体","AMD":"美国超微公司","TXN":"德州仪器","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","NVDA":"英伟达","ON":"安森美半导体"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157544247","content_text":"Semiconductor stocks gained in morning trading.AMD,Nvidia,ON Semiconductor,STMicroelectronics,Marvell,GlobalFoundries,TSMC,Xilinx and Texas Instruments climbed between 1% and 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"MRVL":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"STM":0.9,"ON":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"XLNX":0.9,"TXN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698744723,"gmtCreate":1640565500117,"gmtModify":1640565500432,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohhh","listText":"Ohhh","text":"Ohhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698744723","repostId":"1112018480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112018480","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640563021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112018480?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Credit Suisse Fund Accuses SoftBank Over $440 Million Investment<blockquote>瑞士信贷基金指控软银投资超过4.4亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112018480","media":"WSJ","summary":"A Credit Suisse Group AG fund accused SoftBank GroupCorp. in U.S. court filings of orchestrating tra","content":"<p>A&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group&nbsp;AG&nbsp;fund accused&nbsp;SoftBank GroupCorp.&nbsp;in U.S. court filings of orchestrating transactions that rendered worthless a $440 million investment the fund had made to finance a SoftBank-backed company.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷集团(Credit Suisse Group AG)的一只基金在美国法庭文件中指控软银集团(SoftBank GroupCorp.)策划交易，导致该基金为软银支持的一家公司提供融资的4.4亿美元投资变得一文不值。</blockquote></p><p> The filing, made Thursday in a U.S. District Court in California, asks a federal judge to permit the Credit Suisse fund to serve a subpoena on a U.S. arm of SoftBank. The filing, which says that the fund is preparing to sue SoftBank in the U.K., deepens the dispute over the demise of Greensill Capital, a supply-chain finance company that&nbsp;tumbled into insolvency&nbsp;earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>该文件于周四在美国加利福尼亚州地方法院提交，要求联邦法官允许瑞士信贷基金向软银美国分公司送达传票。该文件称，该基金正准备在英国起诉软银，这加深了围绕Greensill Capital倒闭的争议。Greensill Capital是一家供应链金融公司，今年早些时候陷入破产。</blockquote></p><p> Greensill made loans to companies that served as advances on expected payments from those companies’ customers; Greensill packaged the loans into securities, which investment funds run by Credit Suisse bought.</p><p><blockquote>Greensill向公司提供贷款，作为这些公司客户预期付款的预付款；格林希尔将贷款打包成证券，由瑞士信贷管理的投资基金购买。</blockquote></p><p> One such company was Katerra Inc.,a U.S. construction startup. The Credit Suisse fund held $440 million in notes backed by Greensill’s lending to Katerra, and when Katerra ran into financial trouble last year, Greensill forgave the lending.</p><p><blockquote>美国建筑初创公司Katerra Inc.就是这样一家公司。瑞士信贷基金持有4.4亿美元的票据，由Greensill向Katerra提供的贷款支持，去年Katerra陷入财务困境时，Greensill免除了这笔贷款。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank was an investor in both Greensill and Katerra, and in the U.S. court filing the Credit Suisse fund said SoftBank “orchestrated a deal” that cut the fund out of any possible proceeds without telling the fund.</p><p><blockquote>软银是Greensill和Katerra的投资者，在提交给美国法庭的文件中，瑞士信贷基金表示，软银“精心策划了一项交易”，在没有告知该基金的情况下切断了该基金的任何可能收益。</blockquote></p><p> A SoftBank spokesman declined to comment, as did a spokeswoman for Credit Suisse.</p><p><blockquote>软银发言人和瑞士信贷发言人均拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank put money into Greensill at the end of 2020, and Credit Suisse executives expected that money would go to their funds to make good on the Katerra loan—instead,it ended up in Greensill’s German banking unit, The Wall Street Journal reported in April.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》4月份报道，软银于2020年底向Greensill注资，瑞士信贷高管预计这笔钱将进入他们的基金以偿还Katerra贷款，但最终流入了Greensill的德国银行部门。</blockquote></p><p> In June, the Journal reported that Credit Suisse had&nbsp;dissolved a personal banking relationship&nbsp;with SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son and clamped down on transactions with the company.</p><p><blockquote>6月，《华尔街日报》报道称，瑞士信贷已解除与软银创始人孙正义的个人银行关系，并限制与该公司的交易。</blockquote></p><p> The court filing made Thursday is known as a Section 1782 petition, in which a party can ask a U.S. court to order evidence-gathering for a proceeding outside the U.S. The Credit Suisse fund argues that it has taken enough steps toward suing SoftBank in the U.K. to justify the subpoena, which seeks a variety of documents.</p><p><blockquote>周四向法庭提交的文件被称为第1782条请愿书，其中一方可以要求美国法院下令为美国境外的诉讼收集证据。瑞士信贷基金辩称，它已经采取了足够的措施在美国起诉软银英国证明传票的合理性，该传票寻求各种文件。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Credit Suisse Fund Accuses SoftBank Over $440 Million Investment<blockquote>瑞士信贷基金指控软银投资超过4.4亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCredit Suisse Fund Accuses SoftBank Over $440 Million Investment<blockquote>瑞士信贷基金指控软银投资超过4.4亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group&nbsp;AG&nbsp;fund accused&nbsp;SoftBank GroupCorp.&nbsp;in U.S. court filings of orchestrating transactions that rendered worthless a $440 million investment the fund had made to finance a SoftBank-backed company.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷集团(Credit Suisse Group AG)的一只基金在美国法庭文件中指控软银集团(SoftBank GroupCorp.)策划交易，导致该基金为软银支持的一家公司提供融资的4.4亿美元投资变得一文不值。</blockquote></p><p> The filing, made Thursday in a U.S. District Court in California, asks a federal judge to permit the Credit Suisse fund to serve a subpoena on a U.S. arm of SoftBank. The filing, which says that the fund is preparing to sue SoftBank in the U.K., deepens the dispute over the demise of Greensill Capital, a supply-chain finance company that&nbsp;tumbled into insolvency&nbsp;earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>该文件于周四在美国加利福尼亚州地方法院提交，要求联邦法官允许瑞士信贷基金向软银美国分公司送达传票。该文件称，该基金正准备在英国起诉软银，这加深了围绕Greensill Capital倒闭的争议。Greensill Capital是一家供应链金融公司，今年早些时候陷入破产。</blockquote></p><p> Greensill made loans to companies that served as advances on expected payments from those companies’ customers; Greensill packaged the loans into securities, which investment funds run by Credit Suisse bought.</p><p><blockquote>Greensill向公司提供贷款，作为这些公司客户预期付款的预付款；格林希尔将贷款打包成证券，由瑞士信贷管理的投资基金购买。</blockquote></p><p> One such company was Katerra Inc.,a U.S. construction startup. The Credit Suisse fund held $440 million in notes backed by Greensill’s lending to Katerra, and when Katerra ran into financial trouble last year, Greensill forgave the lending.</p><p><blockquote>美国建筑初创公司Katerra Inc.就是这样一家公司。瑞士信贷基金持有4.4亿美元的票据，由Greensill向Katerra提供的贷款支持，去年Katerra陷入财务困境时，Greensill免除了这笔贷款。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank was an investor in both Greensill and Katerra, and in the U.S. court filing the Credit Suisse fund said SoftBank “orchestrated a deal” that cut the fund out of any possible proceeds without telling the fund.</p><p><blockquote>软银是Greensill和Katerra的投资者，在提交给美国法庭的文件中，瑞士信贷基金表示，软银“精心策划了一项交易”，在没有告知该基金的情况下切断了该基金的任何可能收益。</blockquote></p><p> A SoftBank spokesman declined to comment, as did a spokeswoman for Credit Suisse.</p><p><blockquote>软银发言人和瑞士信贷发言人均拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank put money into Greensill at the end of 2020, and Credit Suisse executives expected that money would go to their funds to make good on the Katerra loan—instead,it ended up in Greensill’s German banking unit, The Wall Street Journal reported in April.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》4月份报道，软银于2020年底向Greensill注资，瑞士信贷高管预计这笔钱将进入他们的基金以偿还Katerra贷款，但最终流入了Greensill的德国银行部门。</blockquote></p><p> In June, the Journal reported that Credit Suisse had&nbsp;dissolved a personal banking relationship&nbsp;with SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son and clamped down on transactions with the company.</p><p><blockquote>6月，《华尔街日报》报道称，瑞士信贷已解除与软银创始人孙正义的个人银行关系，并限制与该公司的交易。</blockquote></p><p> The court filing made Thursday is known as a Section 1782 petition, in which a party can ask a U.S. court to order evidence-gathering for a proceeding outside the U.S. The Credit Suisse fund argues that it has taken enough steps toward suing SoftBank in the U.K. to justify the subpoena, which seeks a variety of documents.</p><p><blockquote>周四向法庭提交的文件被称为第1782条请愿书，其中一方可以要求美国法院下令为美国境外的诉讼收集证据。瑞士信贷基金辩称，它已经采取了足够的措施在美国起诉软银英国证明传票的合理性，该传票寻求各种文件。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/credit-suisse-fund-accuses-softbank-over-440-million-investment-11640375406?mod=markets_lead_pos2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SFTBY":"软银集团"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/credit-suisse-fund-accuses-softbank-over-440-million-investment-11640375406?mod=markets_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112018480","content_text":"A Credit Suisse Group AG fund accused SoftBank GroupCorp. in U.S. court filings of orchestrating transactions that rendered worthless a $440 million investment the fund had made to finance a SoftBank-backed company.\nThe filing, made Thursday in a U.S. District Court in California, asks a federal judge to permit the Credit Suisse fund to serve a subpoena on a U.S. arm of SoftBank. The filing, which says that the fund is preparing to sue SoftBank in the U.K., deepens the dispute over the demise of Greensill Capital, a supply-chain finance company that tumbled into insolvency earlier this year.\nGreensill made loans to companies that served as advances on expected payments from those companies’ customers; Greensill packaged the loans into securities, which investment funds run by Credit Suisse bought.\nOne such company was Katerra Inc.,a U.S. construction startup. The Credit Suisse fund held $440 million in notes backed by Greensill’s lending to Katerra, and when Katerra ran into financial trouble last year, Greensill forgave the lending.\nSoftBank was an investor in both Greensill and Katerra, and in the U.S. court filing the Credit Suisse fund said SoftBank “orchestrated a deal” that cut the fund out of any possible proceeds without telling the fund.\nA SoftBank spokesman declined to comment, as did a spokeswoman for Credit Suisse.\nSoftBank put money into Greensill at the end of 2020, and Credit Suisse executives expected that money would go to their funds to make good on the Katerra loan—instead,it ended up in Greensill’s German banking unit, The Wall Street Journal reported in April.\nIn June, the Journal reported that Credit Suisse had dissolved a personal banking relationship with SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son and clamped down on transactions with the company.\nThe court filing made Thursday is known as a Section 1782 petition, in which a party can ask a U.S. court to order evidence-gathering for a proceeding outside the U.S. The Credit Suisse fund argues that it has taken enough steps toward suing SoftBank in the U.K. to justify the subpoena, which seeks a variety of documents.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SFTBY":0.9,"CS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698493776,"gmtCreate":1640485327093,"gmtModify":1640485327442,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohh","listText":"Ohh","text":"Ohh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698493776","repostId":"1166698166","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166698166","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640484465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166698166?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166698166","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth ","content":"<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）于1月初完成首日交易，CLOV股票价值约70亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Clover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClover Health Is Not the $2 Billion Stock to Buy for 2022<blockquote>Clover Health不是2022年值得购买的20亿美元股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 10:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Clover Health（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）于1月初完成首日交易，CLOV股票价值约70亿美元。它刚刚完成了与社会资本Hedosophia III的合并...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/clover-health-and-clov-stock-is-not-the-2-billion-stock-to-buy-for-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166698166","content_text":"Clover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV) finished its first day of trading in early January with CLOV stock worth approximately$7 billion. It had just completed its merger with Social Capital Hedosophia III, the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) sponsored by “Silicon Valley venture capitalist” Chamath Palihapitiya.\nToday, as I write this, it’s worth approximately $1.94 billion, 74% less than it’s $7 billion valuation.\nWhen I last wrote about Clover Health in early December,I suggested,“only the most speculative investors ought to be anywhere near this healthcare stock.” Since then, CLOV stock has lost another 9% as we approach the end of the year.\nWhile CLOV stock is trading for pennies over $4, here are three similarly-valued stocks to buy for 2022.\nForget CLOV Stock — Buy This Instead\nAccording toFinviz.com,there are64 stocks with a market capitalization between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. My three picks grow sales, generate profits, and possess solid balance sheets. If you’re lucky, at least one will pay a decent dividend.\nUltimately, all three are, in my opinion, safer bets than CLOV in 2022.\nSonic Automotive(NYSE:SAH) is my first pick. It has a current market cap of $2 billion. Its stock is up 25.77% year-to-date (YTD), 258 basis points less than theS&P 500.\nSonic is one of the top automotive retailers in America. Its 119 dealerships are located in 17 states and represent more than 25 brands. In its latest fiscal year, it sold 93,000 new vehicles and 159,000 used vehicles, generating $9.8 billion in revenue.  It expects to grow its revenue to $25 billion by 2025.\nFrom a brand breakdown, luxury accounts for 55% of its sales with BMW, Mercedes, and Audi accounting for 71% of its luxury vehicle sales.\nIn 2021’s third-quarter, its revenues grew by 20.6% to $3.07 billion. Its net income rose 46.9% to $84.7 million and its total debt is$1.97 billion or 56% of its total assets.\nThe company’s Echo Park used car business should be a big contributor as it pushes to $25 billion in sales by 2025.\nThe Second Alternative to CLOV Stock\nSally Beauty Holdings(NYSE:SBH) business and the stock bounced back in 2021. That’s great news for long-time shareholders. Up 42.8% YTD, SBH’s five-year return looks a little better as a result. However, it’s down 29% on a cumulative basis over the past 60 months.\nBack in May 2017, I compared Sally Beauty and Ulta Beauty Holdings(NASDAQ:ULTA). ULTA was on a bit of a roll, while SBH was stumbling and bumbling. So, wisely, I said ULTA was the better stock to buy. Ulta is up 28.2% since — it’s also had its ups and downs — while SBH is up 3.8% over the same period.\nHowever, I thought Sally Beauty’s restructuring at the time was gaining traction. While Covid-19 didn’t help its business, its most recent results are encouraging.\nFor all of fiscal 2021, its sales increased10.3% to $3.87 billion with 10.2% same-store sales growth. Its operating earnings grew 44.2% in 2021 to $622.7 million, and it managed to reduce its debt by $420 million in the past year. That puts its long-term debt at $1.38 billion or 48% of its total assets.\nOn Oct. 1, board member Denise Paulonistook over as chief executive officer (CEO)of the company. She is tasked with growing sales and profits after previous CEO Chris Brinkman thoroughly modernized its beauty business during his six-year tenure.\nA Final Possibility\nMy final alternative is Goldman Sachs BDC(NYSE:GSBD). It was founded in 2012 to make debt and equity investments in middle-market companies — defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) earnings of$5 million to $200 million— and merged with Goldman Sachs Middle Market Lending Corp. (MMLC) in October 2020.\nAs a result of the merger, GSBD’s asset base more than doubled to$3.5 billion. The MMLC shareholders received 1.1336 GSBD shares for every share of MMLC.\nGSBD had $3.11 billion in investments and $401.8 million in unfunded commitments for111 portfolio companies across 37 industries at the end of September. Approximately 84% of its assets are first lien loans with an average yield of 8.4%.\nIt’s essential to remember that this is an investment focused on income rather than capital appreciation. The BDC’s current quarterly distribution of $0.50 yields a very high 10.4%.\nDo not buy GSBD if you’re expecting capital appreciation. However, if you’re willing to take on more risk than a guaranteed investment, it’s an excellent way to boost your income portfolio.\nNone of these three alternatives to CLOV stock are a sure thing. But, that said, I don’t believe they possess the same amount of risk as Clover Health.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698268590,"gmtCreate":1640410215248,"gmtModify":1640410215597,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698268590","repostId":"2193917872","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698827807,"gmtCreate":1640346311905,"gmtModify":1640346312254,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohh","listText":"Ohh","text":"Ohh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698827807","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691592517,"gmtCreate":1640218498749,"gmtModify":1640218499088,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohh","listText":"Ohh","text":"Ohh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691592517","repostId":"1143103306","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691922142,"gmtCreate":1640129059778,"gmtModify":1640129060064,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691922142","repostId":"2193663561","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693217751,"gmtCreate":1640040030719,"gmtModify":1640040031185,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohh","listText":"Ohh","text":"Ohh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693217751","repostId":"1170276602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170276602","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640014239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170276602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>Rocket股价早盘下跌4.6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170276602","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance","content":"<p>Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc&nbsp;said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>Rocket股价早盘下跌4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc周一表示，将以近13亿美元现金收购个人理财应用Truebill，这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>Rocket股价早盘下跌4.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>Rocket股价早盘下跌4.6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-20 23:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc&nbsp;said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>Rocket股价早盘下跌4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc周一表示，将以近13亿美元现金收购个人理财应用Truebill，这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RKT":"Rocket Companies"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170276602","content_text":"Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RKT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693338572,"gmtCreate":1639969059787,"gmtModify":1639969071718,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really?","listText":"Really?","text":"Really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693338572","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>  <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>  <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>  <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>  <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段，美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表，并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀，加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票，但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下，苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金，而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此，尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险，但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元，其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一，苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值，目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%，仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来，苹果的市值增长了220倍以上，这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平，美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐，从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划，该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的，而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始，以应对不断上涨的物价压力，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认，这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示，从2022年初开始，联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点，2023年再上升三个百分点，2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现，这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险，因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀，以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞，尤其是高增长股票，但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元，接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后，苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%，这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利，该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息，但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景，我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭，导致销售额损失超过90亿美元，但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%，达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入，比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列，以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%，是其他细分市场中增长最快的，占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比，当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快，预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额，并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后，最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头，升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&amp;T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售，以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络，这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本，iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长，收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后，苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求，从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计，该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台，这推动了该部门创纪录的收入，同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位，使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备，这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中，以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用，全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年，这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元，这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步，并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统（“SoC”）”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成，并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性，使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面，强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元，比上一年增长27%。迄今为止，苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户，比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台（从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案）中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式，再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品，一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围，例如，全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张，预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元，凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者，吸引新用户为订阅服务付费，如果没有捆绑折扣，他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长，未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一，有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查，尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度，因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分，苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更，这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称，法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前，开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉，法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决，即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率，App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元，这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视，实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户，苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此，未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜，这是一项新兴技术，近几个月来，随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多，这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似，苹果的将配备3D显示屏，为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片，以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础，苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年，与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上，而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力，该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会，还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别，届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬，例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面，据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发，用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称，最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中，以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试，这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移，新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”，但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出，这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移，当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时，苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入，这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测，我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元，到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变，并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说，2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失（即6月季度约30亿美元，9月季度约60亿美元）预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善，但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此，苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备，这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测（苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情，请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑，我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格，这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析得出的，并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似，我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表，贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据，预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况，管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长，而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心，因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍，这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出，所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善，并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析，预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点，从基本面和估值角度来看，预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求，加上新的创新，预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此，这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表，并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上，为应对即将加息带来的风险，对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加，甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素，苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一，尽管加息即将到来，但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一，苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值，目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%，仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来，苹果的市值增长了220倍以上，这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平，美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐，从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划，该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的，而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始，以应对不断上涨的物价压力，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认，这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示，从2022年初开始，联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点，2023年再上升三个百分点，2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现，这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险，因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀，以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞，尤其是高增长股票，但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元，接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后，苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%，这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利，该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息，但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景，我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭，导致销售额损失超过90亿美元，但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%，达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入，比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列，以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%，是其他细分市场中增长最快的，占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比，当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快，预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额，并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后，最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头，升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&amp;T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售，以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络，这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本，iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长，收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后，苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求，从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计，该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台，这推动了该部门创纪录的收入，同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位，使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备，这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中，以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用，全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年，这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元，这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步，并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统（“SoC”）”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成，并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性，使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面，强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元，比上一年增长27%。迄今为止，苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户，比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台（从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案）中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式，再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品，一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围，例如，全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张，预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元，凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者，吸引新用户为订阅服务付费，如果没有捆绑折扣，他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长，未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一，有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查，尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度，因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分，苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更，这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称，法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前，开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉，法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决，即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率，App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元，这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视，实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户，苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此，未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜，这是一项新兴技术，近几个月来，随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多，这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似，苹果的将配备3D显示屏，为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片，以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础，苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年，与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上，而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力，该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会，还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别，届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬，例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面，据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发，用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称，最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中，以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试，这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移，新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”，但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出，这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移，当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时，苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入，这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测，我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元，到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变，并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说，2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失（即6月季度约30亿美元，9月季度约60亿美元）预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善，但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此，苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备，这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测（苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情，请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑，我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格，这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析得出的，并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似，我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表，贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据，预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况，管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长，而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心，因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍，这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出，所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善，并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析，预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点，从基本面和估值角度来看，预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求，加上新的创新，预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此，这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表，并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上，为应对即将加息带来的风险，对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加，甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素，苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一，尽管加息即将到来，但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate 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06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","ACN":"埃森哲","SCS":"Steelcase Inc.","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","FDX":"联邦快递","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","ADBE":"Adobe",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DRI":"达登饭店","CPB":"金宝汤","HEI":"海科航空","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DRI":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"JILL":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"SCS":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"PHX":0.9,"HEI":0.9,"LEN":0.9,"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604015124,"gmtCreate":1639280076816,"gmtModify":1639280077108,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604015124","repostId":"2190719536","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605401232,"gmtCreate":1639202967195,"gmtModify":1639202967482,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605401232","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605851461,"gmtCreate":1639147432862,"gmtModify":1639147433113,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohhhh","listText":"Ohhhh","text":"Ohhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605851461","repostId":"1191109766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191109766","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639146697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191109766?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据公布后，美国股市大幅高开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191109766","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation","content":"<p>The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation hitting a 39-year high.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀创39年来新高，但主要股指周五上涨，延续了华尔街本周的强劲涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 158 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.6% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.72%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨158点，涨幅0.4%。标普500上涨0.6%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.72%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b873ac71a230a8d742db043325703697\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Inflation soared 6.8% year-over-year in November&nbsp;to fastest rate since 1982, the Labor Department said Friday. The print came in slightly higher than the 6.7% Dow Jones estimate. The consumer price index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods, rose 0.8% for the month.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五表示，11月份通胀率同比飙升6.8%，达到1982年以来的最快速度。这一数字略高于道琼斯6.7%的预期。衡量一篮子广泛商品成本的消费者价格指数本月上涨0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Oracle&nbsp;shares soared, gaining more than 17%, a dayafter beating earnings&nbsp;on the top and bottom lines.</p><p><blockquote>甲骨文股价飙升，涨幅超过17%，在一天之后，股价突破了顶部和底部。</blockquote></p><p> Southwest Airlines&nbsp;dropped 2.5% following another downgrade on Wall Street, this time from Goldman Sachs. The industry has been deemed susceptible to inflation risk.</p><p><blockquote>高盛再次下调华尔街评级后，西南航空股价下跌2.5%。该行业被认为容易受到通胀风险的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Interactive fitness company&nbsp;Peloton&nbsp;added to its woes, dropping 2%&nbsp;after tumbling 11.3% on Thursday. Credit Suisse cut its view on the company, saying a return to gyms and shifts in consumer spending will weigh on profitability.</p><p><blockquote>互动健身公司Peloton雪上加霜，继周四暴跌11.3%后，股价下跌2%。瑞士信贷下调了对该公司的看法，称健身房的回归和消费者支出的转变将影响盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据公布后，美国股市大幅高开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks open solidly higher after Friday's hot inflation reading<blockquote>周五通胀数据公布后，美国股市大幅高开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 22:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation hitting a 39-year high.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀创39年来新高，但主要股指周五上涨，延续了华尔街本周的强劲涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 158 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.6% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.72%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨158点，涨幅0.4%。标普500上涨0.6%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.72%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b873ac71a230a8d742db043325703697\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Inflation soared 6.8% year-over-year in November&nbsp;to fastest rate since 1982, the Labor Department said Friday. The print came in slightly higher than the 6.7% Dow Jones estimate. The consumer price index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods, rose 0.8% for the month.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五表示，11月份通胀率同比飙升6.8%，达到1982年以来的最快速度。这一数字略高于道琼斯6.7%的预期。衡量一篮子广泛商品成本的消费者价格指数本月上涨0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Oracle&nbsp;shares soared, gaining more than 17%, a dayafter beating earnings&nbsp;on the top and bottom lines.</p><p><blockquote>甲骨文股价飙升，涨幅超过17%，在一天之后，股价突破了顶部和底部。</blockquote></p><p> Southwest Airlines&nbsp;dropped 2.5% following another downgrade on Wall Street, this time from Goldman Sachs. The industry has been deemed susceptible to inflation risk.</p><p><blockquote>高盛再次下调华尔街评级后，西南航空股价下跌2.5%。该行业被认为容易受到通胀风险的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Interactive fitness company&nbsp;Peloton&nbsp;added to its woes, dropping 2%&nbsp;after tumbling 11.3% on Thursday. Credit Suisse cut its view on the company, saying a return to gyms and shifts in consumer spending will weigh on profitability.</p><p><blockquote>互动健身公司Peloton雪上加霜，继周四暴跌11.3%后，股价下跌2%。瑞士信贷下调了对该公司的看法，称健身房的回归和消费者支出的转变将影响盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191109766","content_text":"The major averages rose on Friday, extending Wall Street’s strong rally this week, despite inflation hitting a 39-year high.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 158 points, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 rose 0.6% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.72%.\n\nInflation soared 6.8% year-over-year in November to fastest rate since 1982, the Labor Department said Friday. The print came in slightly higher than the 6.7% Dow Jones estimate. The consumer price index, which measures the cost of a wide-ranging basket of goods, rose 0.8% for the month.\nOracle shares soared, gaining more than 17%, a dayafter beating earnings on the top and bottom lines.\nSouthwest Airlines dropped 2.5% following another downgrade on Wall Street, this time from Goldman Sachs. The industry has been deemed susceptible to inflation risk.\nInteractive fitness company Peloton added to its woes, dropping 2% after tumbling 11.3% on Thursday. Credit Suisse cut its view on the company, saying a return to gyms and shifts in consumer spending will weigh on profitability.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":775,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602549124,"gmtCreate":1639047009832,"gmtModify":1639047010061,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582700442025714","authorIdStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohhhhh","listText":"Ohhhhh","text":"Ohhhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602549124","repostId":"1192937541","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192937541","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639045976,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192937541?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 18:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Wobble on Omicron Restrictions<blockquote>美国股指期货因奥密克戎限制而波动</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192937541","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"U.S. stock futures edged down as investors assessed the latest headlines on restrictions to limit th","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures edged down as investors assessed the latest headlines on restrictions to limit the spread of the Omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者评估了有关限制奥密克戎变种传播的限制措施的最新头条新闻，美国股指期货小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 retreated 0.3% Thursday, suggesting the broad-market index is set to pull back moderately after&nbsp;closing up 0.3% Wednesday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also slid 0.3% and Nasdaq-100 futures ticked down 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货周四下跌0.3%，表明大盘指数在周三收盘上涨0.3%后将小幅回调。道琼斯工业平均指数期货也下跌0.3%，纳斯达克100指数期货下跌0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have swung in recent weeks, buffeted by conflicting headlines on the Omicron coronavirus variant and mixed signals on the health of the economy. Investors are still awaiting further data on the strain’s severity and vaccine efficacy. Some pharmaceutical companies including&nbsp;Pfizer&nbsp;and&nbsp;Glaxo&nbsp;Smith&nbsp;Kline&nbsp;have said this week that their shot and antibody treatment appears to work in early-stage studies.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，受有关奥密克戎冠状病毒变种的相互矛盾的头条新闻和有关经济健康状况的混合信号的打击，股市出现波动。投资者仍在等待有关该毒株严重程度和疫苗效力的进一步数据。包括辉瑞和葛兰素史克在内的一些制药公司本周表示，他们的疫苗和抗体治疗在早期研究中似乎有效。</blockquote></p><p> European governments have moved to tighten restrictions, spurring concerns about setbacks to the economic recovery. U.K. Prime Minister Johnson outlined a new&nbsp;work-from-home mandate&nbsp;and mask guidelines on Wednesday evening. A study released by a Japanese scientist said the variant was four times more transmissible than the Delta strain.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲各国政府已采取行动收紧限制，引发人们对经济复苏受挫的担忧。英国首相约翰逊周三晚上概述了新的在家工作规定和口罩指南。日本科学家发布的一项研究称，该变种的传播力是德尔塔毒株的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s still a lot we don’t know, we’re waiting for details to emerge,” said Arun Sai, a multi-asset strategist at Pictet Asset Management. On restrictions, “as long as it’s temporary, it doesn’t completely derail the recovery. We now know the playbook. We’re talking about a one or two quarter postponement of a recovery in services, that’s the critical element that’s at risk here.”</p><p><blockquote>百达资产管理公司(Pictet Asset Management)多资产策略师阿伦·赛(Arun Sai)表示：“还有很多事情我们不知道，我们正在等待细节的出现。”关于限制，“只要是暂时的，就不会完全破坏复苏。我们现在知道了剧本。我们谈论的是服务业复苏推迟一两个季度，这是这里面临风险的关键因素。”</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note edged down to 1.494% Thursday from 1.508% Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率从周三的1.508%小幅降至周四的1.494%。</blockquote></p><p> China’s producer-price index showed a&nbsp;12.9% increase in November&nbsp;from a year earlier, a decline from the previous month but still more than economists expected. Consumer prices also rose.</p><p><blockquote>11月份中国生产者价格指数同比上涨12.消费价格也有所上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “Factory gate prices only showed modest signs of slowing,” which may signal that higher inflation will remain in place in the coming months, said Michael Hewson, a chief markets analyst at CMC Markets. China’s producer prices drive consumer prices around the world, he added.</p><p><blockquote>CMC Markets首席市场分析师迈克尔·休森(Michael Hewson)表示，“出厂价格仅显示出温和放缓的迹象”，这可能表明未来几个月通胀将持续走高。他补充说，中国的生产者价格推动了世界各地的消费者价格。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, major benchmarks were mixed. The Shanghai Composite Index advanced 1%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index climbed 1.1%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slid 0.5%, boosted by gains in technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，主要基准涨跌互现。上证综合指数上涨1%，恒生指数上涨1.1%。受科技股上涨提振，日本日经225指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In Europe, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 ticked up 0.2%. Rolls Royce shares declined 4.4% after the company released an update that showed it had a long way to go before meeting its cash-flow target and which will depend on international travel being allowed, Mr. Hewson said.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨0.2%。休森表示，劳斯莱斯发布更新后，该公司股价下跌4.4%，该公司距离实现现金流目标还有很长的路要走，这将取决于是否允许国际旅行。</blockquote></p><p> In the U.S., cloud-computing firmOracle,&nbsp;network company&nbsp;Broadcom&nbsp;and wholesaler Costco are set to report Thursday after market close. Popular meme stock&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;declined 3.2% in off-hours trading after the company posted earnings that showed a&nbsp;widening loss last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，云计算公司甲骨文、网络公司博通和批发商好市多将于周四收盘后发布报告。热门模因股票游戏驿站在盘后交易中下跌3.2%，此前该公司公布的财报显示上季度亏损扩大。</blockquote></p><p> “Earnings have been strong overall, it’s a really positive underlying driver for equity markets,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multi-asset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理多资产策略师基兰·加内什(Kiran Ganesh)表示：“整体盈利强劲，这对股市来说是一个非常积极的潜在驱动因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;declined 0.2% premarket after the Italian government fined it $1.3 billion for&nbsp;alleged abuse of market dominance. The European Union is also investigating the e-commerce giant in a similar antitrust case.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股价盘前下跌0.2%，此前意大利政府因涉嫌滥用市场支配地位对其处以13亿美元罚款。欧盟也在类似的反垄断案件中调查这家电子商务巨头。</blockquote></p><p> Fresh data on U.S. jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, is set to go out at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists are forecasting that the level will remain near pandemic lows. It has come close to the pre-pandemic average in recent weeks in a sign that the labor market is improving.</p><p><blockquote>代表裁员的美国初请失业金人数的最新数据将于美国东部时间上午8:30公布。经济学家预测，这一水平将保持在疫情低点附近。最近几周已接近大流行前的平均水平，表明劳动力市场正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices wavered between small gains and losses. Global benchmark Brent crude declined 0.2% and traded at $75.61 a barrel. It has risen more than 8% this week, lifted by early indications that the Omicron variant may not weigh on energy demand as much as feared, according to analysts at ANZ.</p><p><blockquote>油价在小幅涨跌之间波动。全球基准布伦特原油下跌0.2%，至每桶75.61美元。澳新银行分析师表示，由于早期迹象表明奥密克戎变种可能不会像人们担心的那样对能源需求造成压力，本周该股已上涨超过8%。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin reversed direction after four days of gains, slipping 2% from its level at 5 p.m. Wednesday. It traded below $50,000, a 28% drop from its record high set in November.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在连续四天上涨后逆转方向，较下午5点的水平下跌2%。星期三。其交易价格低于50,000美元，较11月份创下的历史高点下跌了28%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Wobble on Omicron Restrictions<blockquote>美国股指期货因奥密克戎限制而波动</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Wobble on Omicron Restrictions<blockquote>美国股指期货因奥密克戎限制而波动</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 18:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures edged down as investors assessed the latest headlines on restrictions to limit the spread of the Omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者评估了有关限制奥密克戎变种传播的限制措施的最新头条新闻，美国股指期货小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 retreated 0.3% Thursday, suggesting the broad-market index is set to pull back moderately after&nbsp;closing up 0.3% Wednesday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also slid 0.3% and Nasdaq-100 futures ticked down 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货周四下跌0.3%，表明大盘指数在周三收盘上涨0.3%后将小幅回调。道琼斯工业平均指数期货也下跌0.3%，纳斯达克100指数期货下跌0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks have swung in recent weeks, buffeted by conflicting headlines on the Omicron coronavirus variant and mixed signals on the health of the economy. Investors are still awaiting further data on the strain’s severity and vaccine efficacy. Some pharmaceutical companies including&nbsp;Pfizer&nbsp;and&nbsp;Glaxo&nbsp;Smith&nbsp;Kline&nbsp;have said this week that their shot and antibody treatment appears to work in early-stage studies.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，受有关奥密克戎冠状病毒变种的相互矛盾的头条新闻和有关经济健康状况的混合信号的打击，股市出现波动。投资者仍在等待有关该毒株严重程度和疫苗效力的进一步数据。包括辉瑞和葛兰素史克在内的一些制药公司本周表示，他们的疫苗和抗体治疗在早期研究中似乎有效。</blockquote></p><p> European governments have moved to tighten restrictions, spurring concerns about setbacks to the economic recovery. U.K. Prime Minister Johnson outlined a new&nbsp;work-from-home mandate&nbsp;and mask guidelines on Wednesday evening. A study released by a Japanese scientist said the variant was four times more transmissible than the Delta strain.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲各国政府已采取行动收紧限制，引发人们对经济复苏受挫的担忧。英国首相约翰逊周三晚上概述了新的在家工作规定和口罩指南。日本科学家发布的一项研究称，该变种的传播力是德尔塔毒株的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s still a lot we don’t know, we’re waiting for details to emerge,” said Arun Sai, a multi-asset strategist at Pictet Asset Management. On restrictions, “as long as it’s temporary, it doesn’t completely derail the recovery. We now know the playbook. We’re talking about a one or two quarter postponement of a recovery in services, that’s the critical element that’s at risk here.”</p><p><blockquote>百达资产管理公司(Pictet Asset Management)多资产策略师阿伦·赛(Arun Sai)表示：“还有很多事情我们不知道，我们正在等待细节的出现。”关于限制，“只要是暂时的，就不会完全破坏复苏。我们现在知道了剧本。我们谈论的是服务业复苏推迟一两个季度，这是这里面临风险的关键因素。”</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note edged down to 1.494% Thursday from 1.508% Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率从周三的1.508%小幅降至周四的1.494%。</blockquote></p><p> China’s producer-price index showed a&nbsp;12.9% increase in November&nbsp;from a year earlier, a decline from the previous month but still more than economists expected. Consumer prices also rose.</p><p><blockquote>11月份中国生产者价格指数同比上涨12.消费价格也有所上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “Factory gate prices only showed modest signs of slowing,” which may signal that higher inflation will remain in place in the coming months, said Michael Hewson, a chief markets analyst at CMC Markets. China’s producer prices drive consumer prices around the world, he added.</p><p><blockquote>CMC Markets首席市场分析师迈克尔·休森(Michael Hewson)表示，“出厂价格仅显示出温和放缓的迹象”，这可能表明未来几个月通胀将持续走高。他补充说，中国的生产者价格推动了世界各地的消费者价格。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, major benchmarks were mixed. The Shanghai Composite Index advanced 1%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index climbed 1.1%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slid 0.5%, boosted by gains in technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，主要基准涨跌互现。上证综合指数上涨1%，恒生指数上涨1.1%。受科技股上涨提振，日本日经225指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In Europe, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 ticked up 0.2%. Rolls Royce shares declined 4.4% after the company released an update that showed it had a long way to go before meeting its cash-flow target and which will depend on international travel being allowed, Mr. Hewson said.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨0.2%。休森表示，劳斯莱斯发布更新后，该公司股价下跌4.4%，该公司距离实现现金流目标还有很长的路要走，这将取决于是否允许国际旅行。</blockquote></p><p> In the U.S., cloud-computing firmOracle,&nbsp;network company&nbsp;Broadcom&nbsp;and wholesaler Costco are set to report Thursday after market close. Popular meme stock&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;declined 3.2% in off-hours trading after the company posted earnings that showed a&nbsp;widening loss last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，云计算公司甲骨文、网络公司博通和批发商好市多将于周四收盘后发布报告。热门模因股票游戏驿站在盘后交易中下跌3.2%，此前该公司公布的财报显示上季度亏损扩大。</blockquote></p><p> “Earnings have been strong overall, it’s a really positive underlying driver for equity markets,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multi-asset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理多资产策略师基兰·加内什(Kiran Ganesh)表示：“整体盈利强劲，这对股市来说是一个非常积极的潜在驱动因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;declined 0.2% premarket after the Italian government fined it $1.3 billion for&nbsp;alleged abuse of market dominance. The European Union is also investigating the e-commerce giant in a similar antitrust case.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股价盘前下跌0.2%，此前意大利政府因涉嫌滥用市场支配地位对其处以13亿美元罚款。欧盟也在类似的反垄断案件中调查这家电子商务巨头。</blockquote></p><p> Fresh data on U.S. jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, is set to go out at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists are forecasting that the level will remain near pandemic lows. It has come close to the pre-pandemic average in recent weeks in a sign that the labor market is improving.</p><p><blockquote>代表裁员的美国初请失业金人数的最新数据将于美国东部时间上午8:30公布。经济学家预测，这一水平将保持在疫情低点附近。最近几周已接近大流行前的平均水平，表明劳动力市场正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices wavered between small gains and losses. Global benchmark Brent crude declined 0.2% and traded at $75.61 a barrel. It has risen more than 8% this week, lifted by early indications that the Omicron variant may not weigh on energy demand as much as feared, according to analysts at ANZ.</p><p><blockquote>油价在小幅涨跌之间波动。全球基准布伦特原油下跌0.2%，至每桶75.61美元。澳新银行分析师表示，由于早期迹象表明奥密克戎变种可能不会像人们担心的那样对能源需求造成压力，本周该股已上涨超过8%。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin reversed direction after four days of gains, slipping 2% from its level at 5 p.m. Wednesday. It traded below $50,000, a 28% drop from its record high set in November.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在连续四天上涨后逆转方向，较下午5点的水平下跌2%。星期三。其交易价格低于50,000美元，较11月份创下的历史高点下跌了28%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-09-2021-11639038586?mod=markets_lead_pos4\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-09-2021-11639038586?mod=markets_lead_pos4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192937541","content_text":"U.S. stock futures edged down as investors assessed the latest headlines on restrictions to limit the spread of the Omicron variant.\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 retreated 0.3% Thursday, suggesting the broad-market index is set to pull back moderately after closing up 0.3% Wednesday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also slid 0.3% and Nasdaq-100 futures ticked down 0.2%.\nStocks have swung in recent weeks, buffeted by conflicting headlines on the Omicron coronavirus variant and mixed signals on the health of the economy. Investors are still awaiting further data on the strain’s severity and vaccine efficacy. Some pharmaceutical companies including Pfizer and Glaxo Smith Kline have said this week that their shot and antibody treatment appears to work in early-stage studies.\nEuropean governments have moved to tighten restrictions, spurring concerns about setbacks to the economic recovery. U.K. Prime Minister Johnson outlined a new work-from-home mandate and mask guidelines on Wednesday evening. A study released by a Japanese scientist said the variant was four times more transmissible than the Delta strain.\n“There’s still a lot we don’t know, we’re waiting for details to emerge,” said Arun Sai, a multi-asset strategist at Pictet Asset Management. On restrictions, “as long as it’s temporary, it doesn’t completely derail the recovery. We now know the playbook. We’re talking about a one or two quarter postponement of a recovery in services, that’s the critical element that’s at risk here.”\nThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note edged down to 1.494% Thursday from 1.508% Wednesday.\nChina’s producer-price index showed a 12.9% increase in November from a year earlier, a decline from the previous month but still more than economists expected. Consumer prices also rose.\n“Factory gate prices only showed modest signs of slowing,” which may signal that higher inflation will remain in place in the coming months, said Michael Hewson, a chief markets analyst at CMC Markets. China’s producer prices drive consumer prices around the world, he added.\nIn Asia, major benchmarks were mixed. The Shanghai Composite Index advanced 1%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index climbed 1.1%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slid 0.5%, boosted by gains in technology stocks.\nIn Europe, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 ticked up 0.2%. Rolls Royce shares declined 4.4% after the company released an update that showed it had a long way to go before meeting its cash-flow target and which will depend on international travel being allowed, Mr. Hewson said.\nIn the U.S., cloud-computing firmOracle, network company Broadcom and wholesaler Costco are set to report Thursday after market close. Popular meme stock GameStop declined 3.2% in off-hours trading after the company posted earnings that showed a widening loss last quarter.\n“Earnings have been strong overall, it’s a really positive underlying driver for equity markets,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multi-asset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management.\nShares of Amazon.com declined 0.2% premarket after the Italian government fined it $1.3 billion for alleged abuse of market dominance. The European Union is also investigating the e-commerce giant in a similar antitrust case.\nFresh data on U.S. jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, is set to go out at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists are forecasting that the level will remain near pandemic lows. It has come close to the pre-pandemic average in recent weeks in a sign that the labor market is improving.\nOil prices wavered between small gains and losses. Global benchmark Brent crude declined 0.2% and traded at $75.61 a barrel. It has risen more than 8% this week, lifted by early indications that the Omicron variant may not weigh on energy demand as much as feared, according to analysts at ANZ.\nBitcoin reversed direction after four days of gains, slipping 2% from its level at 5 p.m. Wednesday. It traded below $50,000, a 28% drop from its record high set in 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go up soon if fed reverse stance","listText":"Shd go up soon if fed reverse stance","text":"Shd go up soon if fed reverse stance","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143681833","repostId":"1153646457","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185040494,"gmtCreate":1623628373618,"gmtModify":1634031095325,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582700442025714","idStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and share","listText":"Like and share","text":"Like and share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185040494","repostId":"2142788371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142788371","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623627985,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2142788371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142788371","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"All eyes on the Fed!\n\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GET","content":"<p>All eyes on the Fed!</p><p><blockquote>所有人都在关注美联储！</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c83a98ead1e0406f6e21bde6e1f550\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>“唉，可怜的通货膨胀！我认识他，霍雷肖。”MARKETWATCH照片插图/盖蒂图片社，埃弗雷特收藏</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:</p><p><blockquote>你不能责怪华尔街在下周的联邦公开市场委员会六月政策会议上设想杰罗姆·鲍威尔有点像哈姆雷特：</blockquote></p><p> Transitory, or not transitory?</p><p><blockquote>短暂的，还是不短暂的？</blockquote></p><p> Therein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.</p><p><blockquote>这就是周三FOMC为期两天的会议结束时，制定利率的美联储委员会需要为金融市场回答的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.</p><p><blockquote>如果哈姆雷特是央行行长，他可能会说，忍受令人愤慨的通货膨胀的弹弓和箭，还是拿起武器对抗麻烦的海洋，在思想上更高尚。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人预计即将到来的会议会有烟花，但它仍可能证明是股票和债券的关键点。</blockquote></p><p> That is especially true with the S&amp;P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数尤其如此，它们徘徊在或接近历史收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议召开之际，越来越多的证据表明，随着经济从过去一年的新冠疫情中复苏，以及疫苗接种的推出使企业恢复了某种程度的正常状态，定价压力正在加大。</blockquote></p><p> Last Thursday’s&nbsp;consumer-price index report&nbsp;from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the&nbsp;pace of inflation&nbsp;to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部上周四发布的消费者价格指数报告显示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点，反映出美国人面临的物价普遍上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Forex.com全球市场研究主管马特·韦勒(Matt Weller)在周五的一份研究报告中写道：“现在的关键问题是，通胀率上升是否是‘暂时的’，或者价格上涨是否有可能在心理上根深蒂固。”</blockquote></p><p> The fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;and the 30-year Treasury bond&nbsp;hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场可能已经对通胀有了发言权，10年期国债和30年期国债收益率徘徊在至少3月初以来的最低水平附近。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>财政部和股市投资者认为，随着消费者在大流行后挥霍，供应链扭曲加剧了通胀飙升，以及去年价格下跌退出年度计算的统计基数效应，因此可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> Is isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?</p><p><blockquote>然而，不清楚过渡到底是什么意思——几个月、几年？在市场参与者和美联储对破坏资产价格的通胀失去耐心之前，高通胀水平还要容忍多久？</blockquote></p><p> “Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Lindsey Piegza写道：“展望2021年底和2022年，政策制定者继续预计通胀将回落至接近2%的目标，委员会可能会在下周的会议上重申这一信息。”Stifel在周五的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> “That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“话虽如此，美国经济显然正在获得动力，劳动力市场每月增加超过50万个工作岗位。因此，虽然预计6月份不会进行政策调整，也不会宣布最终调整政策的时间表，但至少一些美联储成员预计将在未来几个月推动讨论最终取消紧急措施，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一些交易员、分析师和经济学家押注，美联储将致力于阐明这样一种观点，即在疫情最严重时期实施的每月1200亿美元资产购买计划将于2021年底开始缩减。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会在6月份谈论缩减规模，并在8月或9月开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the&nbsp;weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report&nbsp;and the job openings data from last week&nbsp;which hit a record 9.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>面对通胀上升，任何缩减购债规模的时机对美联储来说都很棘手，因为相对于对工人的需求，劳动力市场的复苏看起来仍然不稳定，这反映在弱于预期的5月份非农就业报告和上周的职位空缺数据达到创纪录的930万个。</blockquote></p><p> Lawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial固定收益策略师Lawrence Gillum表示，市场想要的关键是美联储缩减购债规模的时机。他还指出，央行缩减400亿美元抵押贷款支持证券尤其重要，因为人们普遍认为房地产市场过热。</blockquote></p><p> “The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.</p><p><blockquote>吉勒姆表示：“下周我们最想听到的是美联储计划如何以及何时缩减债券购买计划。”</blockquote></p><p> “Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，为什么美联储继续每月购买400亿美元的抵押贷款证券，而从各方面来看，房地产市场都不需要这种支持。我们会弄清楚吗？可能不会，”他提出。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在周五的一份报告中表示，在这种背景下，他仍然预计政策制定者将对任何缩减货币宽松政策采取缓慢态度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s&nbsp;FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们怀疑美联储官员可能最终会在下周的FOMC会议上开始‘谈论谈论’缩减资产购买，但他们很可能会强调，经济距离朝着他们的目标取得‘实质性的进一步进展’还有一段路要走，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network&nbsp;said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，联邦金融网络投资管理主管Peter Essele表示，市场可能需要听到美联储官员更多的鸽派言论，即使他们回避了缩减宽松货币政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>埃塞尔在电子邮件评论中对MarketWatch表示：“市场参与者显然预计美联储下周将采取鸽派基调，最近的利率走势就证明了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.</p><p><blockquote>Essele表示：“我们预计美联储下周将继续踩下宽松踏板，在通胀不再是暂时的、经济恢复充分就业之前，这种情况不会改变。”</blockquote></p><p> “Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“在此之前，美国国债利率应保持长期区间波动，短期锚定，短期内债券投资者无需担心。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else is on investors’ radar?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者还关注什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，下周议程上唯一的另一个主要项目是周二的美国5月零售销售，而投资者将继续关注拜登政府与共和党之间关于基础设施支出计划的谈判，因为该计划对经济增长和债务发行有影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 07:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>All eyes on the Fed!</p><p><blockquote>所有人都在关注美联储！</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c83a98ead1e0406f6e21bde6e1f550\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>“唉，可怜的通货膨胀！我认识他，霍雷肖。”MARKETWATCH照片插图/盖蒂图片社，埃弗雷特收藏</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:</p><p><blockquote>你不能责怪华尔街在下周的联邦公开市场委员会六月政策会议上设想杰罗姆·鲍威尔有点像哈姆雷特：</blockquote></p><p> Transitory, or not transitory?</p><p><blockquote>短暂的，还是不短暂的？</blockquote></p><p> Therein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.</p><p><blockquote>这就是周三FOMC为期两天的会议结束时，制定利率的美联储委员会需要为金融市场回答的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.</p><p><blockquote>如果哈姆雷特是央行行长，他可能会说，忍受令人愤慨的通货膨胀的弹弓和箭，还是拿起武器对抗麻烦的海洋，在思想上更高尚。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人预计即将到来的会议会有烟花，但它仍可能证明是股票和债券的关键点。</blockquote></p><p> That is especially true with the S&amp;P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数尤其如此，它们徘徊在或接近历史收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议召开之际，越来越多的证据表明，随着经济从过去一年的新冠疫情中复苏，以及疫苗接种的推出使企业恢复了某种程度的正常状态，定价压力正在加大。</blockquote></p><p> Last Thursday’s&nbsp;consumer-price index report&nbsp;from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the&nbsp;pace of inflation&nbsp;to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部上周四发布的消费者价格指数报告显示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点，反映出美国人面临的物价普遍上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Forex.com全球市场研究主管马特·韦勒(Matt Weller)在周五的一份研究报告中写道：“现在的关键问题是，通胀率上升是否是‘暂时的’，或者价格上涨是否有可能在心理上根深蒂固。”</blockquote></p><p> The fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;and the 30-year Treasury bond&nbsp;hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场可能已经对通胀有了发言权，10年期国债和30年期国债收益率徘徊在至少3月初以来的最低水平附近。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>财政部和股市投资者认为，随着消费者在大流行后挥霍，供应链扭曲加剧了通胀飙升，以及去年价格下跌退出年度计算的统计基数效应，因此可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> Is isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?</p><p><blockquote>然而，不清楚过渡到底是什么意思——几个月、几年？在市场参与者和美联储对破坏资产价格的通胀失去耐心之前，高通胀水平还要容忍多久？</blockquote></p><p> “Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Lindsey Piegza写道：“展望2021年底和2022年，政策制定者继续预计通胀将回落至接近2%的目标，委员会可能会在下周的会议上重申这一信息。”Stifel在周五的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> “That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“话虽如此，美国经济显然正在获得动力，劳动力市场每月增加超过50万个工作岗位。因此，虽然预计6月份不会进行政策调整，也不会宣布最终调整政策的时间表，但至少一些美联储成员预计将在未来几个月推动讨论最终取消紧急措施，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一些交易员、分析师和经济学家押注，美联储将致力于阐明这样一种观点，即在疫情最严重时期实施的每月1200亿美元资产购买计划将于2021年底开始缩减。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会在6月份谈论缩减规模，并在8月或9月开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the&nbsp;weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report&nbsp;and the job openings data from last week&nbsp;which hit a record 9.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>面对通胀上升，任何缩减购债规模的时机对美联储来说都很棘手，因为相对于对工人的需求，劳动力市场的复苏看起来仍然不稳定，这反映在弱于预期的5月份非农就业报告和上周的职位空缺数据达到创纪录的930万个。</blockquote></p><p> Lawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial固定收益策略师Lawrence Gillum表示，市场想要的关键是美联储缩减购债规模的时机。他还指出，央行缩减400亿美元抵押贷款支持证券尤其重要，因为人们普遍认为房地产市场过热。</blockquote></p><p> “The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.</p><p><blockquote>吉勒姆表示：“下周我们最想听到的是美联储计划如何以及何时缩减债券购买计划。”</blockquote></p><p> “Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，为什么美联储继续每月购买400亿美元的抵押贷款证券，而从各方面来看，房地产市场都不需要这种支持。我们会弄清楚吗？可能不会，”他提出。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在周五的一份报告中表示，在这种背景下，他仍然预计政策制定者将对任何缩减货币宽松政策采取缓慢态度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s&nbsp;FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们怀疑美联储官员可能最终会在下周的FOMC会议上开始‘谈论谈论’缩减资产购买，但他们很可能会强调，经济距离朝着他们的目标取得‘实质性的进一步进展’还有一段路要走，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network&nbsp;said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，联邦金融网络投资管理主管Peter Essele表示，市场可能需要听到美联储官员更多的鸽派言论，即使他们回避了缩减宽松货币政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>埃塞尔在电子邮件评论中对MarketWatch表示：“市场参与者显然预计美联储下周将采取鸽派基调，最近的利率走势就证明了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.</p><p><blockquote>Essele表示：“我们预计美联储下周将继续踩下宽松踏板，在通胀不再是暂时的、经济恢复充分就业之前，这种情况不会改变。”</blockquote></p><p> “Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“在此之前，美国国债利率应保持长期区间波动，短期锚定，短期内债券投资者无需担心。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else is on investors’ radar?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者还关注什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，下周议程上唯一的另一个主要项目是周二的美国5月零售销售，而投资者将继续关注拜登政府与共和党之间关于基础设施支出计划的谈判，因为该计划对经济增长和债务发行有影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-market-wants-and-doesnt-want-to-hear-from-powell-at-next-weeks-fed-meeting-11623452360?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-market-wants-and-doesnt-want-to-hear-from-powell-at-next-weeks-fed-meeting-11623452360?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142788371","content_text":"All eyes on the Fed!\n\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION\nYou couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:\nTransitory, or not transitory?\nTherein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.\nWhether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.\nOf course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.\nThat is especially true with the S&P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.\nThe Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.\nLast Thursday’s consumer-price index report from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.\n“The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.\nThe fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note and the 30-year Treasury bond hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.\nTreasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.\nIs isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?\n“Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.\n“That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.\nSome traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.\nThe Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.\nIn the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report and the job openings data from last week which hit a record 9.3 million.\nLawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.\n“The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.\n“Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.\nAndrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.\n“While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.\nIndeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.\n“Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.\n“We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.\n“Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.\nWhat else is on investors’ radar?\nMeanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":604015124,"gmtCreate":1639280076816,"gmtModify":1639280077108,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582700442025714","idStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604015124","repostId":"2190719536","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609066706,"gmtCreate":1638224178393,"gmtModify":1638224420348,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582700442025714","idStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609066706","repostId":"1137204965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137204965","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638199520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137204965?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading<blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals股价早盘飙升27%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137204965","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"NRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading after it identified significantly higher lik","content":"<p>NRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;it&nbsp;identified significantly higher likelihood of surviving and recovering from Critical COVID-19 in ZYESAMI® (aviptadil) treated patients previously administered remdesivir.</p><p><blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals发现ZYESAMI从严重的COVID-19中生存和恢复的可能性显着增加，股价在早盘交易中飙升27%®（阿维他地尔）治疗的患者既往接受过瑞德西韦治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a474a64f50c3ff0cfc1f4f77930314\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> NRx Pharmaceuticals&nbsp;announced today that it has completed an analysis to identify clinical evidence that indicates a substantial improvement after treatment with ZYESAMI® (aviptadil) in patients with Critical COVID-19 and Respiratory Failure over existing therapies such as remdesivir. NRx asked Prof. David Schoenfeld, one of the world’s most widely published statisticians with unique expertise in life-threatening diseases of the lung to conduct the analysis.</p><p><blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals今天宣布，它已经完成了一项分析，以确定表明ZYESAMI治疗后有实质性改善的临床证据®（阿维他地尔）在危重新冠肺炎和呼吸衰竭患者中优于瑞德西韦等现有疗法。NRx请David Schoenfeld教授进行分析，他是世界上发表文章最广泛的统计学家之一，在危及生命的肺部疾病方面拥有独特的专业知识。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysis was conducted in the subgroup of ZYESAMI- and placebo-treated patients who were previously treated with remdesivir in the COVID-AIV trial representing approximately 70 percent of the study population</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在COVID-AIV试验中之前接受过瑞德西韦治疗的ZYESAMI和安慰剂治疗患者亚组中进行了分析，约占研究人群的70%</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Analysis was conducted in response to US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) request for additional clinical data on effect of ZYESAMI compared to currently-approved therapy including remdesivir</p><p><blockquote><li>应美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）的要求，进行了分析，要求提供ZYESAMI与目前批准的治疗（包括瑞德西韦）相比的效果的额外临床数据</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>NRx to submit new analysis and safety data to the FDA in support of Emergency Use Authorization and Breakthrough Therapy Designation Requests</p><p><blockquote><li>NRx将向FDA提交新的分析和安全性数据，以支持紧急使用授权和突破性疗法认定请求</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>US National Institutes of Health-sponsored trial to compare effects of ZYESAMI and remdesivir individually and in combination continues to enroll patients</p><p><blockquote><li>美国国立卫生研究院赞助的比较ZYESAMI和remdesivir单独和联合使用效果的试验继续招募患者</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading<blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals股价早盘飙升27%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading<blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals股价早盘飙升27%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-29 23:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;it&nbsp;identified significantly higher likelihood of surviving and recovering from Critical COVID-19 in ZYESAMI® (aviptadil) treated patients previously administered remdesivir.</p><p><blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals发现ZYESAMI从严重的COVID-19中生存和恢复的可能性显着增加，股价在早盘交易中飙升27%®（阿维他地尔）治疗的患者既往接受过瑞德西韦治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a474a64f50c3ff0cfc1f4f77930314\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> NRx Pharmaceuticals&nbsp;announced today that it has completed an analysis to identify clinical evidence that indicates a substantial improvement after treatment with ZYESAMI® (aviptadil) in patients with Critical COVID-19 and Respiratory Failure over existing therapies such as remdesivir. NRx asked Prof. David Schoenfeld, one of the world’s most widely published statisticians with unique expertise in life-threatening diseases of the lung to conduct the analysis.</p><p><blockquote>NRx Pharmaceuticals今天宣布，它已经完成了一项分析，以确定表明ZYESAMI治疗后有实质性改善的临床证据®（阿维他地尔）在危重新冠肺炎和呼吸衰竭患者中优于瑞德西韦等现有疗法。NRx请David Schoenfeld教授进行分析，他是世界上发表文章最广泛的统计学家之一，在危及生命的肺部疾病方面拥有独特的专业知识。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysis was conducted in the subgroup of ZYESAMI- and placebo-treated patients who were previously treated with remdesivir in the COVID-AIV trial representing approximately 70 percent of the study population</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在COVID-AIV试验中之前接受过瑞德西韦治疗的ZYESAMI和安慰剂治疗患者亚组中进行了分析，约占研究人群的70%</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Analysis was conducted in response to US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) request for additional clinical data on effect of ZYESAMI compared to currently-approved therapy including remdesivir</p><p><blockquote><li>应美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）的要求，进行了分析，要求提供ZYESAMI与目前批准的治疗（包括瑞德西韦）相比的效果的额外临床数据</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>NRx to submit new analysis and safety data to the FDA in support of Emergency Use Authorization and Breakthrough Therapy Designation Requests</p><p><blockquote><li>NRx将向FDA提交新的分析和安全性数据，以支持紧急使用授权和突破性疗法认定请求</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>US National Institutes of Health-sponsored trial to compare effects of ZYESAMI and remdesivir individually and in combination continues to enroll patients</p><p><blockquote><li>美国国立卫生研究院赞助的比较ZYESAMI和remdesivir单独和联合使用效果的试验继续招募患者</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NRXP":"NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137204965","content_text":"NRx Pharmaceuticals stock surged 27% in morning trading after it identified significantly higher likelihood of surviving and recovering from Critical COVID-19 in ZYESAMI® (aviptadil) treated patients previously administered remdesivir.\n\nNRx Pharmaceuticals announced today that it has completed an analysis to identify clinical evidence that indicates a substantial improvement after treatment with ZYESAMI® (aviptadil) in patients with Critical COVID-19 and Respiratory Failure over existing therapies such as remdesivir. NRx asked Prof. David Schoenfeld, one of the world’s most widely published statisticians with unique expertise in life-threatening diseases of the lung to conduct the analysis.\n\nAnalysis was conducted in the subgroup of ZYESAMI- and placebo-treated patients who were previously treated with remdesivir in the COVID-AIV trial representing approximately 70 percent of the study population\nAnalysis was conducted in response to US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) request for additional clinical data on effect of ZYESAMI compared to currently-approved therapy including remdesivir\nNRx to submit new analysis and safety data to the FDA in support of Emergency Use Authorization and Breakthrough Therapy Designation Requests\nUS National Institutes of Health-sponsored trial to compare effects of ZYESAMI and remdesivir individually and in combination continues to enroll patients","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NRXP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877972611,"gmtCreate":1637884247237,"gmtModify":1637884247472,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582700442025714","idStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877972611","repostId":"1166980759","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842890267,"gmtCreate":1636159870730,"gmtModify":1636159871137,"author":{"id":"3582700442025714","authorId":"3582700442025714","name":"iceage","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824cd9c998fb2ca537c1d47267e2f2bf","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582700442025714","idStr":"3582700442025714"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wowww","listText":"Wowww","text":"Wowww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842890267","repostId":"1173813098","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}