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kmad
2021-06-14
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2021-06-04
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2021-05-25
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2021-05-23
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2021-05-22
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2021-05-21
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三大指数看似调整得挺厉害，其实当我们看2287:1552的涨跌停家数对比的时候，会发现很多个股表现的还是比较活跃，且两市量能也放大到8700亿。整体上来说，这里无论是选择向上还是向下，均无概率优势。如下图所示，每一年5-6月处于业绩空窗期，所以行情往往会如此： 《四维共振》进阶篇 我们把焦点再次移回美联储。事实上，4月底美联储利率会议上，鲍威尔还口口声声的再说，由于美国经济复苏的不均衡，目前的货币政策会继续持续，收紧货币根部不是现在应该考虑的事情。 为此，许导特意去查找了耶伦的讲话原文： It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat. 美林时钟 确实，这话看起来是不是有点像此前和你们讲解的美林时钟，经济过热的场景？比如我们看到国内的铜价，铝价已经创下了十年新高，铁矿石，螺纹钢","text":"5月04日，就是我们假期结束的前一天，美联储前任主席，现任财长的一番讲话，导致了整个金融市场暴动。 耶伦表示，虽然拜登的家庭和就业计划规模很大，但它们将分散到未来的很多年。过去十年未收税款总计7万亿美元，令人震惊和苦恼。利率可能需要上调以阻止经济过热。 此话一出，美股立刻跌出一副死给你看的样子，客观上也造成了A股节后第一天的负面冲击。 上证指数日线图走势 如上图所示，上证指数的时间呈现了\"5-7-5\"的震荡循环，意味着日内指数完成调整之后，接下来应该会面临7-9个交易日的循环上升阶段，重点观察斐波那契55时间窗口，即5月11日是否形成新的变盘。 A股5月6日行情 三大指数看似调整得挺厉害，其实当我们看2287:1552的涨跌停家数对比的时候，会发现很多个股表现的还是比较活跃，且两市量能也放大到8700亿。整体上来说，这里无论是选择向上还是向下，均无概率优势。如下图所示，每一年5-6月处于业绩空窗期，所以行情往往会如此： 《四维共振》进阶篇 我们把焦点再次移回美联储。事实上，4月底美联储利率会议上，鲍威尔还口口声声的再说，由于美国经济复苏的不均衡，目前的货币政策会继续持续，收紧货币根部不是现在应该考虑的事情。 为此，许导特意去查找了耶伦的讲话原文： It may be that interest rates 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确实，这话看起来是不是有点像此前和你们讲解的美林时钟，经济过热的场景？比如我们看到国内的铜价，铝价已经创下了十年新高，铁矿石，螺纹钢","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c119f87e69a26d82f8c2f2d4e60c30d","width":"292","height":"197"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c395a82c9615e7e6b7e666eaf23576ba","width":"688","height":"384"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52ed5f7adcbc962f967a15c2d1667fd5","width":"688","height":"264"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104143741","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":102964500,"gmtCreate":1620174024500,"gmtModify":1620174024500,"author":{"id":"3582621263996893","authorId":"3582621263996893","name":"kmad","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31665e94d3706fbfa4dbb0a8e5cb32c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582621263996893","authorIdStr":"3582621263996893"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102964500","repostId":"101638655","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":101638655,"gmtCreate":1619897014072,"gmtModify":1744856096595,"author":{"id":"3510558082622800","authorId":"3510558082622800","name":"胖虎哒哒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75b95d9326c02813b7b87ba8c1eccb5a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3510558082622800","authorIdStr":"3510558082622800"},"themes":[],"title":"伯克希尔公司回报率下降，巴菲特的股东们不耐烦了？","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> 职业基金经理正在加大对沃伦•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway Inc.)的压力。 加州公共雇员退休系统(California Public Employees’Retirement System)和纽伯格•伯曼(Neuberger Berman)已要求这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈市(Omaha)的企业集团引进新董事，并就气候风险和高管薪酬披露更多信息。 在伯克希尔哈撒韦上周六召开的年度股东大会之前，代理顾问Glass Lewis & Co.和Institutional Shareholder Services Inc.建议投资者不要为董事会成员投票。 虽然很多抱怨都不是新鲜事，股东的提案也不太可能获得通过，但在投资者对企业可持续性问题越来越感兴趣之际，伯克希尔近年来的平淡回报使其更容易受到批评。 股东在气候变化、社会进步和治理方面向公司施压的运动在美国继续升温，成为基金经理留住客户资金的一个关键卖点。 在巴菲特的领导下，该公司从1965年到2020年的年复合增长率为20%，超过了同期标普500指数(S&P 500)包括股息在内10.2%的涨幅。伯克希尔过去三年期和五年期的总回报率分别为12%和14%，而该指数的回报率分别为19%和18%。 加州公务员退休基金公司治理主管西米索•恩齐玛(Simiso Nzima)表示:“伯克希尔之所以能过关，部分原因在于其历史上强劲的财务表现。” 伯克希尔继续强调其对长期投资的关注。巴菲特是这家公司的首席执行长兼董事长，他建立了一个以美国企业和投资","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> 职业基金经理正在加大对沃伦•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway Inc.)的压力。 加州公共雇员退休系统(California Public Employees’Retirement System)和纽伯格•伯曼(Neuberger Berman)已要求这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈市(Omaha)的企业集团引进新董事，并就气候风险和高管薪酬披露更多信息。 在伯克希尔哈撒韦上周六召开的年度股东大会之前，代理顾问Glass Lewis & Co.和Institutional Shareholder Services Inc.建议投资者不要为董事会成员投票。 虽然很多抱怨都不是新鲜事，股东的提案也不太可能获得通过，但在投资者对企业可持续性问题越来越感兴趣之际，伯克希尔近年来的平淡回报使其更容易受到批评。 股东在气候变化、社会进步和治理方面向公司施压的运动在美国继续升温，成为基金经理留住客户资金的一个关键卖点。 在巴菲特的领导下，该公司从1965年到2020年的年复合增长率为20%，超过了同期标普500指数(S&P 500)包括股息在内10.2%的涨幅。伯克希尔过去三年期和五年期的总回报率分别为12%和14%，而该指数的回报率分别为19%和18%。 加州公务员退休基金公司治理主管西米索•恩齐玛(Simiso Nzima)表示:“伯克希尔之所以能过关，部分原因在于其历史上强劲的财务表现。” 伯克希尔继续强调其对长期投资的关注。巴菲特是这家公司的首席执行长兼董事长，他建立了一个以美国企业和投资","text":"$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$ $伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ 职业基金经理正在加大对沃伦•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway Inc.)的压力。 加州公共雇员退休系统(California Public Employees’Retirement System)和纽伯格•伯曼(Neuberger Berman)已要求这家位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈市(Omaha)的企业集团引进新董事，并就气候风险和高管薪酬披露更多信息。 在伯克希尔哈撒韦上周六召开的年度股东大会之前，代理顾问Glass Lewis & Co.和Institutional Shareholder Services Inc.建议投资者不要为董事会成员投票。 虽然很多抱怨都不是新鲜事，股东的提案也不太可能获得通过，但在投资者对企业可持续性问题越来越感兴趣之际，伯克希尔近年来的平淡回报使其更容易受到批评。 股东在气候变化、社会进步和治理方面向公司施压的运动在美国继续升温，成为基金经理留住客户资金的一个关键卖点。 在巴菲特的领导下，该公司从1965年到2020年的年复合增长率为20%，超过了同期标普500指数(S&P 500)包括股息在内10.2%的涨幅。伯克希尔过去三年期和五年期的总回报率分别为12%和14%，而该指数的回报率分别为19%和18%。 加州公务员退休基金公司治理主管西米索•恩齐玛(Simiso Nzima)表示:“伯克希尔之所以能过关，部分原因在于其历史上强劲的财务表现。” 伯克希尔继续强调其对长期投资的关注。巴菲特是这家公司的首席执行长兼董事长，他建立了一个以美国企业和投资","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a5125d305ecfdf08c4cf5333e4d3f52","width":"646","height":"1090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101638655","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":108966977,"gmtCreate":1619993352899,"gmtModify":1619993352899,"author":{"id":"3582621263996893","authorId":"3582621263996893","name":"kmad","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31665e94d3706fbfa4dbb0a8e5cb32c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582621263996893","authorIdStr":"3582621263996893"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108966977","repostId":"103885735","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":103885735,"gmtCreate":1619767616827,"gmtModify":1619772382660,"author":{"id":"3538030248559073","authorId":"3538030248559073","name":"智投港美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cb9aab860112fd66d6a90e2632236a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3538030248559073","authorIdStr":"3538030248559073"},"themes":[],"title":"“一体三翼”护航、“碳中和”机遇加持，中裕燃气迎爆发元年","htmlText":"正向价值型综合能源服务商快速迈进的成长型燃企中裕燃气，已经走进主流机构视野。成立于2003年的中裕燃气，已完成从立足区域向全国布局的成长。公司在全球经济深受疫情冲击的2020年，迎来了国内主流券商机构华盛证券的密切关注。同年10月，华盛发布了长达25页的首次覆盖深度报告，指出了中裕主体核心的燃气运营强劲恢复态势，以及增值服务与新零售、智慧能源、能源贸易等业务的潜力。2021年4月，华盛证券再度发布追踪报告称，中裕燃气的2020年度业绩中的多项数据表现，均超出了此前的预期。为此华盛证券调高了中裕的2021年净利润预期，并维持住了距离当前股价仍有近36%上涨空间的9.1港元目标价。就目前而言，中裕燃气成型的一体三翼模式带来的逆势增长属性，正让投资者不断看到惊喜。后续随着碳中和下的天然气机遇以及增值服务潜力的不断挖掘，公司将会吸引更多主流机构的目光。燃气运营逆势增长 中裕主体核心稳固已成长为全国布局的中裕燃气，拥有“一体三翼”战略规划。年报资料显示，截至2020年末，中裕燃气的城市管道业务已经遍布河南、山东、河北、江苏、安徽、黑龙江、吉林、福建及浙江9个省份，拥有72个特许经营燃气项目，为约18777个工商业客户及396万户住宅用户提供服务。公司在销售燃气、燃气管道建设及天然气加气站等燃企传统业务基础上，开启了向更加垂直领域的拓展。自2017年起，公司拓展销售燃气具及其他服务的增值服务板块，并成功涉足智慧能源及分布式能源业务。随着国内天然气市场化改革以及国家管网公司业务不断更新，公司希望跟随业内龙头企业脚步，根据市场需求，适时参与到产业链中游上游的投资和运营活动中。自此，中裕燃气以城镇燃气运营为主体核心，深挖产业链构建增值服务与新零售、智慧能源、能源贸易三大新业态的“一体三翼”战略，正式成型。其中主体核心的城燃运营业务，2020年疫情大考之年实现了强劲的逆势增长。首先在燃气销售方","listText":"正向价值型综合能源服务商快速迈进的成长型燃企中裕燃气，已经走进主流机构视野。成立于2003年的中裕燃气，已完成从立足区域向全国布局的成长。公司在全球经济深受疫情冲击的2020年，迎来了国内主流券商机构华盛证券的密切关注。同年10月，华盛发布了长达25页的首次覆盖深度报告，指出了中裕主体核心的燃气运营强劲恢复态势，以及增值服务与新零售、智慧能源、能源贸易等业务的潜力。2021年4月，华盛证券再度发布追踪报告称，中裕燃气的2020年度业绩中的多项数据表现，均超出了此前的预期。为此华盛证券调高了中裕的2021年净利润预期，并维持住了距离当前股价仍有近36%上涨空间的9.1港元目标价。就目前而言，中裕燃气成型的一体三翼模式带来的逆势增长属性，正让投资者不断看到惊喜。后续随着碳中和下的天然气机遇以及增值服务潜力的不断挖掘，公司将会吸引更多主流机构的目光。燃气运营逆势增长 中裕主体核心稳固已成长为全国布局的中裕燃气，拥有“一体三翼”战略规划。年报资料显示，截至2020年末，中裕燃气的城市管道业务已经遍布河南、山东、河北、江苏、安徽、黑龙江、吉林、福建及浙江9个省份，拥有72个特许经营燃气项目，为约18777个工商业客户及396万户住宅用户提供服务。公司在销售燃气、燃气管道建设及天然气加气站等燃企传统业务基础上，开启了向更加垂直领域的拓展。自2017年起，公司拓展销售燃气具及其他服务的增值服务板块，并成功涉足智慧能源及分布式能源业务。随着国内天然气市场化改革以及国家管网公司业务不断更新，公司希望跟随业内龙头企业脚步，根据市场需求，适时参与到产业链中游上游的投资和运营活动中。自此，中裕燃气以城镇燃气运营为主体核心，深挖产业链构建增值服务与新零售、智慧能源、能源贸易三大新业态的“一体三翼”战略，正式成型。其中主体核心的城燃运营业务，2020年疫情大考之年实现了强劲的逆势增长。首先在燃气销售方","text":"正向价值型综合能源服务商快速迈进的成长型燃企中裕燃气，已经走进主流机构视野。成立于2003年的中裕燃气，已完成从立足区域向全国布局的成长。公司在全球经济深受疫情冲击的2020年，迎来了国内主流券商机构华盛证券的密切关注。同年10月，华盛发布了长达25页的首次覆盖深度报告，指出了中裕主体核心的燃气运营强劲恢复态势，以及增值服务与新零售、智慧能源、能源贸易等业务的潜力。2021年4月，华盛证券再度发布追踪报告称，中裕燃气的2020年度业绩中的多项数据表现，均超出了此前的预期。为此华盛证券调高了中裕的2021年净利润预期，并维持住了距离当前股价仍有近36%上涨空间的9.1港元目标价。就目前而言，中裕燃气成型的一体三翼模式带来的逆势增长属性，正让投资者不断看到惊喜。后续随着碳中和下的天然气机遇以及增值服务潜力的不断挖掘，公司将会吸引更多主流机构的目光。燃气运营逆势增长 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