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AndyLiew0707
2021-05-30
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AndyLiew0707
2021-05-24
ok
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AndyLiew0707
2021-06-05
Ok
The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>
AndyLiew0707
2021-05-22
Ok
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AndyLiew0707
2021-05-04
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IPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group<blockquote>IPO预告:诚实公司、中国生活方式品牌洋葱环球、水培iPower领先集团</blockquote>
AndyLiew0707
2021-05-15
Ok
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AndyLiew0707
2021-05-10
ok
U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料,美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>
AndyLiew0707
2021-06-21
Ok
Ackman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote>
AndyLiew0707
2021-06-01
Ok
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AndyLiew0707
2021-05-23
ok
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07:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ackman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170361434","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Univers","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Universal Music Group for about $4 billion from French media company Vivendi SE. Ackman’s special purpose ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——亿万富翁比尔·阿克曼 (Bill Ackman) 支持的一家空白支票公司同意以约 40 亿美元从法国媒体公司维旺迪 (Vivendi SE) 手中收购环球音乐集团 10% 的股份。阿克曼的特殊目的……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ackman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAckman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 07:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Universal Music Group for about $4 billion from French media company Vivendi SE. Ackman’s special purpose ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——亿万富翁比尔·阿克曼 (Bill Ackman) 支持的一家空白支票公司同意以约 40 亿美元从法国媒体公司维旺迪 (Vivendi SE) 手中收购环球音乐集团 10% 的股份。阿克曼的特殊目的……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PSTH":"Pershing Square Tontine Holdings"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170361434","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Universal Music Group for about $4 billion from French media company Vivendi SE.\nAckman’s special purpose acquisition company, called Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd., said the transaction would value the home of Taylor Swift, Drake and Billie Eilish at 35 billion euros ($42 billion) including debt. The companies reached an agreement despite drawing pushback from Vivendi’s shareholders and disappointment from investors of Pershing Square Tontine.\nSPACs typically pursue mergers with closely held companies, but after this deal, Pershing Square Tontine will remain listed with about $1.5 billion in cash and access to an additional $1.4 billion with the Pershing Square Funds. It will continue to search for a new business combination, according to its statement on Sunday.\nPershing Square Tontine said it intends to distribute the Universal Music shares to its investors after the music business’s planned public listing in Amsterdam later this year. Investors will also get the right to acquire a stake in a new vehicle known as a special purpose acquisition rights company, or SPARC.\nAs the music industry rebounds from a decadelong slump, Vivendi is cashing in on a boom in subscription music streaming that has inflated the value of its back catalog and a roster of stars including Swift, Drake, U2 and Post Malone. The deal would leave Universal Music with an investment base across the U.S., Europe and Asia. In 2019, a consortium led by China’s Tencent Holdings Ltd. also agreed to buy a stake in Universal Music.\n“After the 20% equity stake acquired by the Consortium led by the Tencent group, the arrival of major American investors provides further evidence of UMG’s global success and attractiveness,” Vivendi said in a separate statement Sunday.\nThe transaction is set to close in the coming weeks, and at the latest by Sept. 15, Vivendi said.\nPerella Weinberg Partners advised the board of directors of Pershing Square Tontine.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PSTH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115768515,"gmtCreate":1623031411537,"gmtModify":1631893540807,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok ok ok ","listText":"ok ok ok ","text":"ok ok ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115768515","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115931175,"gmtCreate":1622945348797,"gmtModify":1631893540810,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good ","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0202b88a21152bcd18e9226654a28dd2","width":"1125","height":"2279"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115931175","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112744145,"gmtCreate":1622937398487,"gmtModify":1631893540827,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112744145","repostId":"1148130971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148130971","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622866524,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148130971?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股票能达到100美元吗?我们认为这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148130971","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fas","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li> <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li> <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来汽车的股价在过去一年中飙升了 816% 以上,在 3 月初成长型股票抛售之前,于 2 月初达到近 62 美元的峰值。</li><li>公司的创新方法和海外扩张战略,加上全球电气化和自动化市场情绪不断增长,预计将提升公司估值。</li><li>我们相信,随着自动驾驶成为现实,全球电动汽车销量持续增长,蔚来汽车的股价到 2025 年将飙升至 160 美元以上。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影:Drew Angerer/Getty Images 新闻来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来(纽约证券交易所股票代码:NIO)是一个中国本土电动汽车(“EV”)品牌,最近才开始向欧洲进行海外扩张,但近年来,它已经在电动汽车领域的狂热投资者中获得了极大的国际关注。自蔚来在 2018 年年中首次交付以来,只有短短三年时间,但许多人已经在猜测其股价能否达到与行业领导者特斯拉(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)类似的高度。尽管考虑到特斯拉目前的交易价格超过每股 600 美元,市值超过 6000 亿美元,这有点牵强,但我们确实相信蔚来在 2025 年之前有潜力突破每股 100 美元。就连华尔街分析师也对该公司的未来保持乐观,他们将目标价定为接近 60 美元,根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元(6 月 1 日)计算,该公司的上涨潜力超过 35%。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来成立于2014年,迄今已在华销售和交付超过10万辆汽车。该公司拥有五款零排放、全电池供电的车型,从跑车到豪华轿车和全尺寸 SUV。除了汽车之外,蔚来还因其在创新技术方面取得的重大进展而闻名,包括最先进的电池解决方案、人工智能和自动驾驶。该公司最近还将其全球扩张计划变为现实,第一家海外蔚来商店将于2021年第三季度在挪威奥斯陆开业。我们认为,股价达到 100 美元不再是 “是否 ”的问题,而是 “何时 ”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>创新技术的开拓者</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来一直表现出令人不安的创新者的特征。该品牌因其在电池更换技术 “Power Swap ”方面的突破而广为人知,该技术为蔚来车主提供了一种快速便捷的解决方案,以解决电动汽车通常行驶里程有限的问题。类似于加油站,Power Swap是一种电池交换站,可以在三分钟内将没电的电池换成充满电的电池;充满电的电池可使蔚来汽车行驶435英里,是目前市场上电动汽车181英里平均行驶里程的两倍多。蔚来车主可选择订阅「电池即服务」(「BaaS」)套餐,这是一项按月订阅服务,可根据个人需求为蔚来车主提供灵活的电池升级选择。该公司目前提供标准的 75 kWh 电池,充满电后可行驶 310 英里;以及增强型 100 kWh 电池,充满电后可行驶 435 英里;在BaaS下,两者都可供蔚来所有者按月选择。迄今为止,全国已有超过226个换电站,随着蔚来和中石化最近签署战略合作伙伴协议,更多的换电站正在建设中。蔚来的汽车还兼容本地竞争对手小鹏汽车(纽约证券交易所股票代码:XPEV)在中国 164 个城市的 1140 个汽车充电站,这进一步增强了其为蔚来车主提供的现有充电基础设施网络。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p><p><blockquote>除了长期维持蔚来电动汽车所需的发达基础设施网络外,该公司还一直在努力完善其自动驾驶和人工智能技术,以便在更广泛的电动汽车和科技领域保持竞争力。蔚来自2016年以来一直在对其自动驾驶系统进行测试,2018年在北京公共道路上进行了首次测试。该公司对客运未来的承诺也体现在他们开发的 EVE 上,这是该品牌的自动驾驶概念车,由蔚来的 NOMI AI(全球首个车载人工智能)提供豪华、舒适和安全的体验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p><p><blockquote>为了进一步推进其在自动驾驶技术方面的进展,蔚来最近与英特尔旗下(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)公司 Mobileye 合作,开发不需要人工交互的驾驶自动化(即 “4 级 ”自动驾驶)并将其商业化。他们的合作有望加速蔚来推出 “自动驾驶即服务 ”(ADaaS)套餐,该套餐是其自动驾驶技术 “蔚来自动驾驶 ”(NAD)的月度订阅。然而,与特斯拉的 “全自动驾驶 ”套件类似,预计将于 2022 年推出的 NAD 技术尚未使蔚来汽车能够在没有人工干预的情况下驾驶,但它确实将蔚来推向了与行业领导者特斯拉不相上下的位置。蔚来用户可以选择订阅ADaaS,每月订阅费为人民币680元。目前上路的蔚来汽车超过 102,000 辆,新的订阅套餐预计将带来 8.4 亿元人民币(1.32 亿美元)的增量年销售额;假设大多数现有蔚来车主都注册了这项服务,那么在这项服务推出时,额外的收入来源估计约为 100 亿元人民币(16 亿美元)。</blockquote></p><p> NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在自动驾驶技术方面的持续发展有望在不久的将来使公司及其股东受益匪浅。到2025年,全球自动驾驶汽车市场将成为增长最快、需求量最大的细分市场之一,估计价值达1.6万亿美元。如果占据该市场 6% 的份额,蔚来现有 670 亿美元的市值将至少增加 1000 亿美元,使其每股价值超过 100 美元。考虑到蔚来是目前极少数在自动驾驶领域取得切实成果的纯电动汽车制造商之一,并且正在积极增长海外销量,我们有信心该公司有能力占领上述6%以上的市场份额,并轻松实现到2025年每股价格超过100美元。结合全球消费者偏好向电气化和自动化的转变,我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将达到约 300,000 辆,总收入将达到约 1,400 亿元人民币(220 亿美元)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部预测(NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>推动蔚来股价突破 100 美元的另一个催化剂是他们正在进行的海外扩张努力。蔚来一直透露其全球扩张的意图,尤其是在美国和欧洲,作为其成为行业领导者计划的一部分。蔚来将于9月在挪威奥斯陆开设其首个海外销售和服务中心。2022 年,该品牌在挪威的足迹将进一步扩大,蔚来将在卑尔根、斯塔万格、特隆赫姆和克里斯蒂安桑开设四家门店。除了直销和服务中心外,蔚来还将为欧洲推出完整的充电地图,首先是挪威的四个蔚来换电站,为蔚来的新车主提供该品牌赖以取得成功的便利和续航里程。蔚来的旗舰 SUV ES8 目前的起售价约为 6.7 万美元,将是首款引入欧洲市场的车型,随后该品牌最新的全尺寸轿车 ET7 将于 2022 年推出。</blockquote></p><p> With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在中国豪华电动汽车市场拥有良好的销售记录,其规格可与全球知名的特斯拉相媲美,因此没有理由不在海外取得成功。如前所述,蔚来车辆充满电后的续航里程可达 435 英里,对于那些正在寻找可靠伴侣陪伴他们进行日常通勤和长途旅行的欧美潜在车主来说,这是一个理想的选择。蔚来的外观和内饰设计也是现代、豪华的,可与欧洲和北美人口的偏好相媲美。结合多样化的产品线和价格范围,蔚来有能力满足全球范围内对电动汽车日益增长的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的历史表现</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>就在一年多前,尽管汽车销售仍在继续,但由于流动性问题,蔚来的股价还是创下了不到 2 美元的历史新低。2020 年年中,中国合肥市政府出手相救,注资 70 亿元人民币(约合 10 亿美元)。该安排导致“蔚来中国”成立,作为持有蔚来所有核心业务和资产的运营实体;蔚来目前持有蔚来中国 90.36% 的股权,“合肥战略投资者”财团持有剩余 9.64% 的股权。这种合作关系成为公司的生命线;额外的资本为公司的运营和汽车销售带来了显著改善,这反映在公司强劲的财务业绩和 2020 年夏季股价的上升趋势上。到 2020 年第二季度末,蔚来的股价平均反弹了近 20%,总收入环比增长了 171%。该公司股价在 2020 年第三季度上涨了两倍多,平均达到 15.40 美元,并继续攀升至第四季度的平均水平 38.70 美元。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日的最新季度末,蔚来的平均股价为 50.97 美元,2 月份达到近 62 美元的峰值,是其 2018 年 IPO 价格的 10 倍多。如今,该公司的市值超过 670 亿美元,超过了在纽约证券交易所首次亮相时的 10 亿美元市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p><p><blockquote>自今年早些时候股价在 2 月底成长型股票抛售之前达到顶峰以来,蔚来的基本面也一直在稳步改善。2021年的交付量继续呈指数级加速,第一季度交付量超过20,000辆,占2020年总交付量的近50%。该公司继续展现出光明的前景,4 月份交付了超过 7,100 辆汽车,同比增长超过 125%。蔚来在2021年第一季度还保持了经营活动的正现金流,这得益于更高的交付量和有效的成本管理措施,使其毛利率提高到19.5%,与特斯拉等行业领导者相当第一季度毛利率为21%。如上所述,我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将接近 300,000 辆,相当于总收入约为 1,400 亿元人民币(220 亿美元)(每股 18.60 美元)。近期与合营企业「江淮汽车集团」(「江淮汽车集团」)重续的制造协议进一步证实了我们对2025财年的整车销售预测,该协议将目前的年产能由100,000辆增加至240,000辆;目前正在合肥兴建的「NeoPark」预计年产能将增加100万台,进一步支持我们对蔚来继续致力于发展业务的积极前景。考虑到行业同行特斯拉目前的市盈率为 16.43 倍,年收入约为 420 亿美元(第一季度收入年化为 103.89 亿美元),同样的比例应用于蔚来预测的 2025 财年总收入,预计市盈率将达到 8.7 倍,股价将超过 160 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来与李和 XPEV</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Finviz</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>我们还将蔚来目前的市盈率与国内同行进行了比较,以确定蔚来股价超过 100 美元的时间表。蔚来目前的市盈率约为14.88倍,而国内行业同行理想汽车(纳斯达克股票代码:LI)和XPEV目前的市盈率分别为14.46倍和21.31倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到蔚来的技术、收入、全球足迹和现金流都强于李和XPEV,前者的交易倍数应该远高于后两者。即使蔚来的市盈率达到 18.1 倍(XPEV 的中点),也将推动该公司目前的股价升至 51.50 美元,根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元(6 月 1 日)计算,这意味着 22% 的上涨潜力。根据我们对蔚来 2025 财年收入的预测为 1400 亿元人民币(220 亿美元),即每股 18.60 美元,即使是 18.1 倍的一半也足以让蔚来的股价在 2025 年突破 160 美元;我们相信,蔚来的交易倍数是可以实现的,因为运营现金和届时实现的技术进步将使他们在电动汽车行业走上持续长期增长的轨道,预计这种增长将持续到 2030 年及以后品牌的 4 级自动驾驶技术开发完成并商业化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务风险与挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前一篇关于蔚来的文章中提到的,《外国公司问责法》(“Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act”)仍然是公司股价面临的最重大威胁之一。目前,中国的公共会计师事务所不符合SEC要求的PCAOB检查规则,2020年12月HFCA法案的颁布要求这些公共会计师事务所在颁布之日起三年内遵守PCAOB检查要求;否则,上述公司审计的所有上市公司都将面临退市风险。蔚来目前正在接受普华永道中天会计师事务所(PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP)的审计,该事务所已被列入 PCAOB 的拒绝准入名单。如果中国当局和 PCAOB 不能尽快就进行检查达成协议,从纽约证券交易所退市的潜在威胁可能会对投资者起到威慑作用,并最终导致蔚来股价长期下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来业务面临的另一个迫在眉睫的挑战是全球芯片供应持续短缺。随着汽车行业越来越依赖芯片来管理车辆的各项功能,汽车制造商的需求和芯片制造商的供应之间的差距正在扩大。蔚来也不例外,受到持续芯片供应危机的影响——2021年3月,蔚来停止了江淮蔚来制造工厂的生产活动五个工作日,以调整生产水平。然而,该公司继续有效地应对这种情况,正如他们逐月增加的交付数量所证明的那样;在蔚来最新发布的 4 月份交付更新新闻稿中,该公司继续满足市场需求,交付了 7100 多辆汽车,同比增长 125%。</blockquote></p><p> Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>近年来,电动汽车领域的竞争也愈演愈烈。由于对气候变化的担忧日益加剧,加上传统汽油动力汽车和电动汽车之间的价格平价,消费者对电动汽车的态度在过去十年中发生了巨大变化。随着第三方原始设备制造商更容易获得汽车电池解决方案,新兴电动汽车制造商的准入门槛也显着降低;新进入者现在更热衷于参与不断增长的电动汽车行业的盈利机会,因为初始投资变得比 2003 年特斯拉更加合理,当时电动汽车对许多人来说仍然只是一个概念。除了新进入者之外,福特(纽约证券交易所股票代码:F)等传统汽油燃料汽车制造商也开始将全电池驱动汽车纳入其车队,以满足不断变化的消费者需求并在汽车行业保持竞争力。然而,我们相信蔚来拥有在新的竞争格局中长期取得成功所需的品牌、客户体验、生产战略、人才和商业模式(在此进一步分析)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已经在中国国内市场建立了强大的品牌形象,中国国内市场是目前增长最快的电动汽车市场之一,2020年占全球电动汽车销量的40%以上。结合他们在生产优质电动汽车、建设创新充电基础设施、在自动驾驶技术开发方面取得突破性进展以及执行海外扩张战略方面的成熟能力,蔚来正在有效地缩小他们与特斯拉在全球范围内电动汽车领域的差距。我们相信,由于汽车行业对电气化和自动化的需求不断增长,未来五年将是这家电动汽车和科技公司的转型时代,而蔚来已经证明在这方面表现出色。其持续成就的价值将很快反映在其股价上,对于那些希望从即将到来的绿色转型和自动化时代中获利的人来说,它们是一个值得选择的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股票能达到100美元吗?我们认为这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股票能达到100美元吗?我们认为这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 12:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li> <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li> <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来汽车的股价在过去一年中飙升了 816% 以上,在 3 月初成长型股票抛售之前,于 2 月初达到近 62 美元的峰值。</li><li>公司的创新方法和海外扩张战略,加上全球电气化和自动化市场情绪不断增长,预计将提升公司估值。</li><li>我们相信,随着自动驾驶成为现实,全球电动汽车销量持续增长,蔚来汽车的股价到 2025 年将飙升至 160 美元以上。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影:Drew Angerer/Getty Images 新闻来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来(纽约证券交易所股票代码:NIO)是一个中国本土电动汽车(“EV”)品牌,最近才开始向欧洲进行海外扩张,但近年来,它已经在电动汽车领域的狂热投资者中获得了极大的国际关注。自蔚来在 2018 年年中首次交付以来,只有短短三年时间,但许多人已经在猜测其股价能否达到与行业领导者特斯拉(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)类似的高度。尽管考虑到特斯拉目前的交易价格超过每股 600 美元,市值超过 6000 亿美元,这有点牵强,但我们确实相信蔚来在 2025 年之前有潜力突破每股 100 美元。就连华尔街分析师也对该公司的未来保持乐观,他们将目标价定为接近 60 美元,根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元(6 月 1 日)计算,该公司的上涨潜力超过 35%。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来成立于2014年,迄今已在华销售和交付超过10万辆汽车。该公司拥有五款零排放、全电池供电的车型,从跑车到豪华轿车和全尺寸 SUV。除了汽车之外,蔚来还因其在创新技术方面取得的重大进展而闻名,包括最先进的电池解决方案、人工智能和自动驾驶。该公司最近还将其全球扩张计划变为现实,第一家海外蔚来商店将于2021年第三季度在挪威奥斯陆开业。我们认为,股价达到 100 美元不再是 “是否 ”的问题,而是 “何时 ”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>创新技术的开拓者</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来一直表现出令人不安的创新者的特征。该品牌因其在电池更换技术 “Power Swap ”方面的突破而广为人知,该技术为蔚来车主提供了一种快速便捷的解决方案,以解决电动汽车通常行驶里程有限的问题。类似于加油站,Power Swap是一种电池交换站,可以在三分钟内将没电的电池换成充满电的电池;充满电的电池可使蔚来汽车行驶435英里,是目前市场上电动汽车181英里平均行驶里程的两倍多。蔚来车主可选择订阅「电池即服务」(「BaaS」)套餐,这是一项按月订阅服务,可根据个人需求为蔚来车主提供灵活的电池升级选择。该公司目前提供标准的 75 kWh 电池,充满电后可行驶 310 英里;以及增强型 100 kWh 电池,充满电后可行驶 435 英里;在BaaS下,两者都可供蔚来所有者按月选择。迄今为止,全国已有超过226个换电站,随着蔚来和中石化最近签署战略合作伙伴协议,更多的换电站正在建设中。蔚来的汽车还兼容本地竞争对手小鹏汽车(纽约证券交易所股票代码:XPEV)在中国 164 个城市的 1140 个汽车充电站,这进一步增强了其为蔚来车主提供的现有充电基础设施网络。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p><p><blockquote>除了长期维持蔚来电动汽车所需的发达基础设施网络外,该公司还一直在努力完善其自动驾驶和人工智能技术,以便在更广泛的电动汽车和科技领域保持竞争力。蔚来自2016年以来一直在对其自动驾驶系统进行测试,2018年在北京公共道路上进行了首次测试。该公司对客运未来的承诺也体现在他们开发的 EVE 上,这是该品牌的自动驾驶概念车,由蔚来的 NOMI AI(全球首个车载人工智能)提供豪华、舒适和安全的体验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p><p><blockquote>为了进一步推进其在自动驾驶技术方面的进展,蔚来最近与英特尔旗下(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)公司 Mobileye 合作,开发不需要人工交互的驾驶自动化(即 “4 级 ”自动驾驶)并将其商业化。他们的合作有望加速蔚来推出 “自动驾驶即服务 ”(ADaaS)套餐,该套餐是其自动驾驶技术 “蔚来自动驾驶 ”(NAD)的月度订阅。然而,与特斯拉的 “全自动驾驶 ”套件类似,预计将于 2022 年推出的 NAD 技术尚未使蔚来汽车能够在没有人工干预的情况下驾驶,但它确实将蔚来推向了与行业领导者特斯拉不相上下的位置。蔚来用户可以选择订阅ADaaS,每月订阅费为人民币680元。目前上路的蔚来汽车超过 102,000 辆,新的订阅套餐预计将带来 8.4 亿元人民币(1.32 亿美元)的增量年销售额;假设大多数现有蔚来车主都注册了这项服务,那么在这项服务推出时,额外的收入来源估计约为 100 亿元人民币(16 亿美元)。</blockquote></p><p> NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在自动驾驶技术方面的持续发展有望在不久的将来使公司及其股东受益匪浅。到2025年,全球自动驾驶汽车市场将成为增长最快、需求量最大的细分市场之一,估计价值达1.6万亿美元。如果占据该市场 6% 的份额,蔚来现有 670 亿美元的市值将至少增加 1000 亿美元,使其每股价值超过 100 美元。考虑到蔚来是目前极少数在自动驾驶领域取得切实成果的纯电动汽车制造商之一,并且正在积极增长海外销量,我们有信心该公司有能力占领上述6%以上的市场份额,并轻松实现到2025年每股价格超过100美元。结合全球消费者偏好向电气化和自动化的转变,我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将达到约 300,000 辆,总收入将达到约 1,400 亿元人民币(220 亿美元)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部预测(NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>推动蔚来股价突破 100 美元的另一个催化剂是他们正在进行的海外扩张努力。蔚来一直透露其全球扩张的意图,尤其是在美国和欧洲,作为其成为行业领导者计划的一部分。蔚来将于9月在挪威奥斯陆开设其首个海外销售和服务中心。2022 年,该品牌在挪威的足迹将进一步扩大,蔚来将在卑尔根、斯塔万格、特隆赫姆和克里斯蒂安桑开设四家门店。除了直销和服务中心外,蔚来还将为欧洲推出完整的充电地图,首先是挪威的四个蔚来换电站,为蔚来的新车主提供该品牌赖以取得成功的便利和续航里程。蔚来的旗舰 SUV ES8 目前的起售价约为 6.7 万美元,将是首款引入欧洲市场的车型,随后该品牌最新的全尺寸轿车 ET7 将于 2022 年推出。</blockquote></p><p> With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在中国豪华电动汽车市场拥有良好的销售记录,其规格可与全球知名的特斯拉相媲美,因此没有理由不在海外取得成功。如前所述,蔚来车辆充满电后的续航里程可达 435 英里,对于那些正在寻找可靠伴侣陪伴他们进行日常通勤和长途旅行的欧美潜在车主来说,这是一个理想的选择。蔚来的外观和内饰设计也是现代、豪华的,可与欧洲和北美人口的偏好相媲美。结合多样化的产品线和价格范围,蔚来有能力满足全球范围内对电动汽车日益增长的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的历史表现</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>就在一年多前,尽管汽车销售仍在继续,但由于流动性问题,蔚来的股价还是创下了不到 2 美元的历史新低。2020 年年中,中国合肥市政府出手相救,注资 70 亿元人民币(约合 10 亿美元)。该安排导致“蔚来中国”成立,作为持有蔚来所有核心业务和资产的运营实体;蔚来目前持有蔚来中国 90.36% 的股权,“合肥战略投资者”财团持有剩余 9.64% 的股权。这种合作关系成为公司的生命线;额外的资本为公司的运营和汽车销售带来了显著改善,这反映在公司强劲的财务业绩和 2020 年夏季股价的上升趋势上。到 2020 年第二季度末,蔚来的股价平均反弹了近 20%,总收入环比增长了 171%。该公司股价在 2020 年第三季度上涨了两倍多,平均达到 15.40 美元,并继续攀升至第四季度的平均水平 38.70 美元。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日的最新季度末,蔚来的平均股价为 50.97 美元,2 月份达到近 62 美元的峰值,是其 2018 年 IPO 价格的 10 倍多。如今,该公司的市值超过 670 亿美元,超过了在纽约证券交易所首次亮相时的 10 亿美元市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p><p><blockquote>自今年早些时候股价在 2 月底成长型股票抛售之前达到顶峰以来,蔚来的基本面也一直在稳步改善。2021年的交付量继续呈指数级加速,第一季度交付量超过20,000辆,占2020年总交付量的近50%。该公司继续展现出光明的前景,4 月份交付了超过 7,100 辆汽车,同比增长超过 125%。蔚来在2021年第一季度还保持了经营活动的正现金流,这得益于更高的交付量和有效的成本管理措施,使其毛利率提高到19.5%,与特斯拉等行业领导者相当第一季度毛利率为21%。如上所述,我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将接近 300,000 辆,相当于总收入约为 1,400 亿元人民币(220 亿美元)(每股 18.60 美元)。近期与合营企业「江淮汽车集团」(「江淮汽车集团」)重续的制造协议进一步证实了我们对2025财年的整车销售预测,该协议将目前的年产能由100,000辆增加至240,000辆;目前正在合肥兴建的「NeoPark」预计年产能将增加100万台,进一步支持我们对蔚来继续致力于发展业务的积极前景。考虑到行业同行特斯拉目前的市盈率为 16.43 倍,年收入约为 420 亿美元(第一季度收入年化为 103.89 亿美元),同样的比例应用于蔚来预测的 2025 财年总收入,预计市盈率将达到 8.7 倍,股价将超过 160 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来与李和 XPEV</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:Finviz</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>我们还将蔚来目前的市盈率与国内同行进行了比较,以确定蔚来股价超过 100 美元的时间表。蔚来目前的市盈率约为14.88倍,而国内行业同行理想汽车(纳斯达克股票代码:LI)和XPEV目前的市盈率分别为14.46倍和21.31倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到蔚来的技术、收入、全球足迹和现金流都强于李和XPEV,前者的交易倍数应该远高于后两者。即使蔚来的市盈率达到 18.1 倍(XPEV 的中点),也将推动该公司目前的股价升至 51.50 美元,根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元(6 月 1 日)计算,这意味着 22% 的上涨潜力。根据我们对蔚来 2025 财年收入的预测为 1400 亿元人民币(220 亿美元),即每股 18.60 美元,即使是 18.1 倍的一半也足以让蔚来的股价在 2025 年突破 160 美元;我们相信,蔚来的交易倍数是可以实现的,因为运营现金和届时实现的技术进步将使他们在电动汽车行业走上持续长期增长的轨道,预计这种增长将持续到 2030 年及以后品牌的 4 级自动驾驶技术开发完成并商业化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务风险与挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前一篇关于蔚来的文章中提到的,《外国公司问责法》(“Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act”)仍然是公司股价面临的最重大威胁之一。目前,中国的公共会计师事务所不符合SEC要求的PCAOB检查规则,2020年12月HFCA法案的颁布要求这些公共会计师事务所在颁布之日起三年内遵守PCAOB检查要求;否则,上述公司审计的所有上市公司都将面临退市风险。蔚来目前正在接受普华永道中天会计师事务所(PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP)的审计,该事务所已被列入 PCAOB 的拒绝准入名单。如果中国当局和 PCAOB 不能尽快就进行检查达成协议,从纽约证券交易所退市的潜在威胁可能会对投资者起到威慑作用,并最终导致蔚来股价长期下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来业务面临的另一个迫在眉睫的挑战是全球芯片供应持续短缺。随着汽车行业越来越依赖芯片来管理车辆的各项功能,汽车制造商的需求和芯片制造商的供应之间的差距正在扩大。蔚来也不例外,受到持续芯片供应危机的影响——2021年3月,蔚来停止了江淮蔚来制造工厂的生产活动五个工作日,以调整生产水平。然而,该公司继续有效地应对这种情况,正如他们逐月增加的交付数量所证明的那样;在蔚来最新发布的 4 月份交付更新新闻稿中,该公司继续满足市场需求,交付了 7100 多辆汽车,同比增长 125%。</blockquote></p><p> Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>近年来,电动汽车领域的竞争也愈演愈烈。由于对气候变化的担忧日益加剧,加上传统汽油动力汽车和电动汽车之间的价格平价,消费者对电动汽车的态度在过去十年中发生了巨大变化。随着第三方原始设备制造商更容易获得汽车电池解决方案,新兴电动汽车制造商的准入门槛也显着降低;新进入者现在更热衷于参与不断增长的电动汽车行业的盈利机会,因为初始投资变得比 2003 年特斯拉更加合理,当时电动汽车对许多人来说仍然只是一个概念。除了新进入者之外,福特(纽约证券交易所股票代码:F)等传统汽油燃料汽车制造商也开始将全电池驱动汽车纳入其车队,以满足不断变化的消费者需求并在汽车行业保持竞争力。然而,我们相信蔚来拥有在新的竞争格局中长期取得成功所需的品牌、客户体验、生产战略、人才和商业模式(在此进一步分析)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已经在中国国内市场建立了强大的品牌形象,中国国内市场是目前增长最快的电动汽车市场之一,2020年占全球电动汽车销量的40%以上。结合他们在生产优质电动汽车、建设创新充电基础设施、在自动驾驶技术开发方面取得突破性进展以及执行海外扩张战略方面的成熟能力,蔚来正在有效地缩小他们与特斯拉在全球范围内电动汽车领域的差距。我们相信,由于汽车行业对电气化和自动化的需求不断增长,未来五年将是这家电动汽车和科技公司的转型时代,而蔚来已经证明在这方面表现出色。其持续成就的价值将很快反映在其股价上,对于那些希望从即将到来的绿色转型和自动化时代中获利的人来说,它们是一个值得选择的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148130971","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.\nWe believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.\n\nPhoto by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nDespite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).\nFounded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.\nA Trailblazer in Innovative Technology\nSource:ir.nio.com\nNIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.\nIn addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.\nTo further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.\nNIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).\nSource: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nGlobal Expansion\nSource: ir.nio.com\nAnother catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.\nWith a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.\nNIO’s Historical Performance\nJust a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.\nSource: Author, with data from ir.nio.com\nNIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.\nNIO vs. LI and XPEV\nSource: Finviz\nWe have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.\nConsidering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.\nBusiness Risks and Challenges\nAs mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.\nAnother imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.\nCompetition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.\nConclusion\nNIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112601602,"gmtCreate":1622863668406,"gmtModify":1631893540828,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up up","listText":"Up up","text":"Up up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c6a5050e3334d8eacd3e1af69df4fc0","width":"1125","height":"2523"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112601602","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112603598,"gmtCreate":1622863633414,"gmtModify":1631893540828,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112603598","repostId":"1162130057","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162130057","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622862397,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1162130057?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162130057","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks hav","content":"<p>Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能需要考虑私募股权来获取公开交易股票提供的回报</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21eb0dc365f342dd26c49af9020305\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Stock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>股票价格的增长速度不可能永远超过经济增长速度。这为美国股市多头提供了一个至关重要的现实检验,他们中的许多人认为股市可以永远跑赢美国经济。例如,在过去十年中,标准普尔 500SPX(按通胀调整后的总回报率计算)+0.88% 的年化利润率优于美国实际 GDP,为 11.9% 至 2.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”</p><p><blockquote>根据 Research Affiliates 创始人罗伯特·阿诺特 (Robert Arnott) 和 Efficient Frontier Advisors 联席负责人威廉·伯恩斯坦 (William Bernstein) 几年前提出的论点,展望未来,情况可能会相反。他们指出,经济增长的一部分归功于非上市公司,如初创企业等--他们将这一类别称为 “创业资本主义”。</blockquote></p><p> By definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.</p><p><blockquote>根据定义,非上市公司产生的经济增长不会出现在股票市场上——股票市场只反映上市公司的业绩。阿诺特和伯恩斯坦估计,历史上股价的年化增长速度比整体经济慢约两个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Such slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:</p><p><blockquote>这种下滑对美国股市未来的回报有着可怕的影响。但我想先讨论一下,为什么股市在过去十年中的惊人表现并不是因为经济增长。相反,这种表现的大部分归功于三个因素:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Valuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.</li> <li>Increasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.</li> <li>Net buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.</li> </ul> To appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>估值变化: 标普500的市盈率在过去十年中翻了一番。</li><li>利润率不断提高: 根据标准普尔道琼斯指数高级指数分析师 Howard Silverblatt 的数据,标普500过去四个季度的营业利润率平均比十年前高出近两个百分点。</li><li>净回购:在过去十年中,公司回购的股票超过了他们发行的新股。这减少了流通股数量,并增加了每股收益。</li></ul>为了理解这三个因素的影响,请考虑一下,如果这三个维度在过去十年中没有任何变化,标普500现在的交易价格将低于 1,600 点。伯恩斯坦在接受采访时说,虽然发生这样一场完美风暴的可能性非常低,以至于你可能会倾向于不予理睬,但他不会排除这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Projecting the future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.</p><p><blockquote>假设美国经济在未来十年的增长速度与过去十年相同,那么这项分析对美国股市未来的描绘并不美好。在这种情况下,市场能够产生高于低个位数的年化回报的唯一方法是市盈率和利润率继续上升,或者净回购继续减少流通股数量——或者这三个因素的某种组合发生。</blockquote></p><p> More likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.</p><p><blockquote>更有可能的是,这三个顺风会变成逆风。市盈率已经处于或接近其历史分布的高端,而且不可能永远上升。利润率也处于或接近创纪录水平,正如我本周早些时候所说,有充分的理由预计这些利润率将在未来几年下降。虽然未来几年回购量有可能超过股票发行量,但这并不是板上钉钉的事。例如,在过去 12 个月中,出现了负净回购——即发行的股票多于回购的股票。事实上,阿诺特在一封电子邮件中指出,在美国股市历史上的大部分时间里,净回购都是负数。</blockquote></p><p> One can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.</p><p><blockquote>人们还可能想知道,未来几年经济增长中是否会有更大的份额来自非公共股本。康奈尔大学圣约翰逊商学院院长安德鲁-卡罗利(Andrew Karolyi)在接受采访时表示,私募股权现在发挥的作用比过去大得多。他说,一个可能的未来是,公共股票市场的增长越来越滞后于整体经济的增长。</blockquote></p><p> One measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.</p><p><blockquote>上市公司经济重要性下降的一个衡量标准是上市公司数量的减少,如下图所示。鉴于华尔街许多人专注于炙手可热的 IPO 市场,这种下滑一直被他们忽视。但是,正如卡罗利指出的那样,即使越来越多的公司进入市场,也有越来越多的公司退市。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de45fd68cb24b2bdf2791d1f6b9fac0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"922\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.</p><p><blockquote>例如,根据Refinitiv的数据,截至2021年5月底,国内M&A活动超过1.6万亿美元,比前五个月M&A活动最多的记录高出近50%。卡罗利认为,我们需要关注首次公开募股和退市,就像人口学家只能通过关注出生和死亡来分析人口趋势一样。</blockquote></p><p> “The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.</p><p><blockquote>“卡罗利说:”上市公司在整体经济中的作用可能会发生变化。它们可能的生命周期路径正在扩展到包括许多最终不会上市的路径,或者在上市前等待更长时间。他补充说,鉴于私募股权市场充足的流动性,它很可能成为许多以前上市的公司的首选退出策略。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.</p><p><blockquote>底线?过去十年对于公开交易的美国股票来说是非同寻常的。不要指望这种情况会无限期地持续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 11:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能需要考虑私募股权来获取公开交易股票提供的回报</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21eb0dc365f342dd26c49af9020305\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Stock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>股票价格的增长速度不可能永远超过经济增长速度。这为美国股市多头提供了一个至关重要的现实检验,他们中的许多人认为股市可以永远跑赢美国经济。例如,在过去十年中,标准普尔 500SPX(按通胀调整后的总回报率计算)+0.88% 的年化利润率优于美国实际 GDP,为 11.9% 至 2.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”</p><p><blockquote>根据 Research Affiliates 创始人罗伯特·阿诺特 (Robert Arnott) 和 Efficient Frontier Advisors 联席负责人威廉·伯恩斯坦 (William Bernstein) 几年前提出的论点,展望未来,情况可能会相反。他们指出,经济增长的一部分归功于非上市公司,如初创企业等--他们将这一类别称为 “创业资本主义”。</blockquote></p><p> By definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.</p><p><blockquote>根据定义,非上市公司产生的经济增长不会出现在股票市场上——股票市场只反映上市公司的业绩。阿诺特和伯恩斯坦估计,历史上股价的年化增长速度比整体经济慢约两个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Such slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:</p><p><blockquote>这种下滑对美国股市未来的回报有着可怕的影响。但我想先讨论一下,为什么股市在过去十年中的惊人表现并不是因为经济增长。相反,这种表现的大部分归功于三个因素:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Valuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.</li> <li>Increasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.</li> <li>Net buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.</li> </ul> To appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>估值变化: 标普500的市盈率在过去十年中翻了一番。</li><li>利润率不断提高: 根据标准普尔道琼斯指数高级指数分析师 Howard Silverblatt 的数据,标普500过去四个季度的营业利润率平均比十年前高出近两个百分点。</li><li>净回购:在过去十年中,公司回购的股票超过了他们发行的新股。这减少了流通股数量,并增加了每股收益。</li></ul>为了理解这三个因素的影响,请考虑一下,如果这三个维度在过去十年中没有任何变化,标普500现在的交易价格将低于 1,600 点。伯恩斯坦在接受采访时说,虽然发生这样一场完美风暴的可能性非常低,以至于你可能会倾向于不予理睬,但他不会排除这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Projecting the future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.</p><p><blockquote>假设美国经济在未来十年的增长速度与过去十年相同,那么这项分析对美国股市未来的描绘并不美好。在这种情况下,市场能够产生高于低个位数的年化回报的唯一方法是市盈率和利润率继续上升,或者净回购继续减少流通股数量——或者这三个因素的某种组合发生。</blockquote></p><p> More likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.</p><p><blockquote>更有可能的是,这三个顺风会变成逆风。市盈率已经处于或接近其历史分布的高端,而且不可能永远上升。利润率也处于或接近创纪录水平,正如我本周早些时候所说,有充分的理由预计这些利润率将在未来几年下降。虽然未来几年回购量有可能超过股票发行量,但这并不是板上钉钉的事。例如,在过去 12 个月中,出现了负净回购——即发行的股票多于回购的股票。事实上,阿诺特在一封电子邮件中指出,在美国股市历史上的大部分时间里,净回购都是负数。</blockquote></p><p> One can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.</p><p><blockquote>人们还可能想知道,未来几年经济增长中是否会有更大的份额来自非公共股本。康奈尔大学圣约翰逊商学院院长安德鲁-卡罗利(Andrew Karolyi)在接受采访时表示,私募股权现在发挥的作用比过去大得多。他说,一个可能的未来是,公共股票市场的增长越来越滞后于整体经济的增长。</blockquote></p><p> One measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.</p><p><blockquote>上市公司经济重要性下降的一个衡量标准是上市公司数量的减少,如下图所示。鉴于华尔街许多人专注于炙手可热的 IPO 市场,这种下滑一直被他们忽视。但是,正如卡罗利指出的那样,即使越来越多的公司进入市场,也有越来越多的公司退市。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de45fd68cb24b2bdf2791d1f6b9fac0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"922\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.</p><p><blockquote>例如,根据Refinitiv的数据,截至2021年5月底,国内M&A活动超过1.6万亿美元,比前五个月M&A活动最多的记录高出近50%。卡罗利认为,我们需要关注首次公开募股和退市,就像人口学家只能通过关注出生和死亡来分析人口趋势一样。</blockquote></p><p> “The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.</p><p><blockquote>“卡罗利说:”上市公司在整体经济中的作用可能会发生变化。它们可能的生命周期路径正在扩展到包括许多最终不会上市的路径,或者在上市前等待更长时间。他补充说,鉴于私募股权市场充足的流动性,它很可能成为许多以前上市的公司的首选退出策略。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.</p><p><blockquote>底线?过去十年对于公开交易的美国股票来说是非同寻常的。不要指望这种情况会无限期地持续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-would-be-below-1-600-without-these-3-pillars-and-those-supports-are-now-weakening-11622781972?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-would-be-below-1-600-without-these-3-pillars-and-those-supports-are-now-weakening-11622781972?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162130057","content_text":"Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided\nGETTY IMAGES\nStock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.\nGoing forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”\nBy definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.\nSuch slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:\n\nValuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.\nIncreasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.\nNet buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.\n\nTo appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.\nProjecting the future\nThe picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.\nMore likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.\nOne can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.\nOne measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.\n\nFor example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.\n“The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.\nThe bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116018610,"gmtCreate":1622765578330,"gmtModify":1631893540831,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up up","listText":"Up up","text":"Up up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e459e6f22a40864bfe24509cc916672","width":"1125","height":"2265"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116018610","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113632126,"gmtCreate":1622608998665,"gmtModify":1631893540832,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up up up ","listText":"Up up up ","text":"Up up up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7242e1894d973f28a0c7a0dbdd09cfd3","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113632126","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113638451,"gmtCreate":1622608886373,"gmtModify":1631893540837,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113638451","repostId":"1163507655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163507655","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622600341,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163507655?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 10:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议:报告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163507655","media":"The Street","summary":"Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process ","content":"<p>Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.</p><p><blockquote>证券公司告诉特斯拉,马斯克在 2019 年和 2020 年发布的推文没有经过公司同意的审批程序。</blockquote></p><p> SEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会监管机构声称,埃隆·马斯克违反了一项要求他发布有关特斯拉的推文的和解协议(<b>特斯拉</b>) - 根据周二发布的一份报告,获得公司律师的预先批准报告。</blockquote></p><p> Correspondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道,美国证券交易委员会在2019年和2020年给特斯拉的信件中称,马斯克关于太阳能屋顶生产和股价的推文并未经过公司律师的审查,而该公司与该机构在2018年达成的4000万美元和解协议中约定的那样。根据法院批准的和解协议,马斯克和特斯拉各支付了 2000 万美元,以解决马斯克早些时候发布的一条推文称该公司即将被私有化而产生的监管指控。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.</p><p><blockquote>据报道,美国证券交易委员会旧金山办事处的一名高级官员于 2020 年 5 月致信该公司,特斯拉 “已经放弃了法院命令要求的职责”。信中补充说,“尽管马斯克先生一再违反规定”,但该公司未能执行商定的程序。</blockquote></p><p> Musk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d667aecf277db30480faf29b4545862\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"186\">Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 2018 年和解之后,马斯克也表现出对 SEC 的公开蔑视,包括在 2020 年 7 月向该公司发出最新信函后发布的一条不合时宜的推文。周二盘后交易中,特斯拉股价下跌 1.42 美元,跌幅 0.23%,至 622.48 美元。该股在常规交易时段小幅走低。今年,特斯拉股价下跌约 14%。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>除了特斯拉之外,马斯克最近几个月还因其有关加密货币(尤其是比特币和狗狗币)的推文而引起关注。</blockquote></p><p> Musk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克最近还作为嘉宾主持人出现在《周六夜现场》中。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议:报告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议:报告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 10:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.</p><p><blockquote>证券公司告诉特斯拉,马斯克在 2019 年和 2020 年发布的推文没有经过公司同意的审批程序。</blockquote></p><p> SEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会监管机构声称,埃隆·马斯克违反了一项要求他发布有关特斯拉的推文的和解协议(<b>特斯拉</b>) - 根据周二发布的一份报告,获得公司律师的预先批准报告。</blockquote></p><p> Correspondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道,美国证券交易委员会在2019年和2020年给特斯拉的信件中称,马斯克关于太阳能屋顶生产和股价的推文并未经过公司律师的审查,而该公司与该机构在2018年达成的4000万美元和解协议中约定的那样。根据法院批准的和解协议,马斯克和特斯拉各支付了 2000 万美元,以解决马斯克早些时候发布的一条推文称该公司即将被私有化而产生的监管指控。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.</p><p><blockquote>据报道,美国证券交易委员会旧金山办事处的一名高级官员于 2020 年 5 月致信该公司,特斯拉 “已经放弃了法院命令要求的职责”。信中补充说,“尽管马斯克先生一再违反规定”,但该公司未能执行商定的程序。</blockquote></p><p> Musk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d667aecf277db30480faf29b4545862\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"186\">Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 2018 年和解之后,马斯克也表现出对 SEC 的公开蔑视,包括在 2020 年 7 月向该公司发出最新信函后发布的一条不合时宜的推文。周二盘后交易中,特斯拉股价下跌 1.42 美元,跌幅 0.23%,至 622.48 美元。该股在常规交易时段小幅走低。今年,特斯拉股价下跌约 14%。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>除了特斯拉之外,马斯克最近几个月还因其有关加密货币(尤其是比特币和狗狗币)的推文而引起关注。</blockquote></p><p> Musk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克最近还作为嘉宾主持人出现在《周六夜现场》中。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/regulation/sec-says-musk-violated-tweet-settlement-report\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/regulation/sec-says-musk-violated-tweet-settlement-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163507655","content_text":"Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.\nSEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (TSLA) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.\nCorrespondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.\nTesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.\nMusk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.\nIn addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.\nMusk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113638531,"gmtCreate":1622608858923,"gmtModify":1631893540838,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113638531","repostId":"1163507655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163507655","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622600341,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163507655?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 10:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议:报告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163507655","media":"The Street","summary":"Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process ","content":"<p>Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.</p><p><blockquote>证券公司告诉特斯拉,马斯克在 2019 年和 2020 年发布的推文没有经过公司同意的审批程序。</blockquote></p><p> SEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会监管机构声称,埃隆·马斯克违反了一项要求他发布有关特斯拉的推文的和解协议(<b>特斯拉</b>) - 根据周二发布的一份报告,获得公司律师的预先批准报告。</blockquote></p><p> Correspondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道,美国证券交易委员会在2019年和2020年给特斯拉的信件中称,马斯克关于太阳能屋顶生产和股价的推文并未经过公司律师的审查,而该公司与该机构在2018年达成的4000万美元和解协议中约定的那样。根据法院批准的和解协议,马斯克和特斯拉各支付了 2000 万美元,以解决马斯克早些时候发布的一条推文称该公司即将被私有化而产生的监管指控。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.</p><p><blockquote>据报道,美国证券交易委员会旧金山办事处的一名高级官员于 2020 年 5 月致信该公司,特斯拉 “已经放弃了法院命令要求的职责”。信中补充说,“尽管马斯克先生一再违反规定”,但该公司未能执行商定的程序。</blockquote></p><p> Musk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d667aecf277db30480faf29b4545862\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"186\">Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 2018 年和解之后,马斯克也表现出对 SEC 的公开蔑视,包括在 2020 年 7 月向该公司发出最新信函后发布的一条不合时宜的推文。周二盘后交易中,特斯拉股价下跌 1.42 美元,跌幅 0.23%,至 622.48 美元。该股在常规交易时段小幅走低。今年,特斯拉股价下跌约 14%。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>除了特斯拉之外,马斯克最近几个月还因其有关加密货币(尤其是比特币和狗狗币)的推文而引起关注。</blockquote></p><p> Musk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克最近还作为嘉宾主持人出现在《周六夜现场》中。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议:报告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议:报告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 10:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.</p><p><blockquote>证券公司告诉特斯拉,马斯克在 2019 年和 2020 年发布的推文没有经过公司同意的审批程序。</blockquote></p><p> SEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会监管机构声称,埃隆·马斯克违反了一项要求他发布有关特斯拉的推文的和解协议(<b>特斯拉</b>) - 根据周二发布的一份报告,获得公司律师的预先批准报告。</blockquote></p><p> Correspondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道,美国证券交易委员会在2019年和2020年给特斯拉的信件中称,马斯克关于太阳能屋顶生产和股价的推文并未经过公司律师的审查,而该公司与该机构在2018年达成的4000万美元和解协议中约定的那样。根据法院批准的和解协议,马斯克和特斯拉各支付了 2000 万美元,以解决马斯克早些时候发布的一条推文称该公司即将被私有化而产生的监管指控。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.</p><p><blockquote>据报道,美国证券交易委员会旧金山办事处的一名高级官员于 2020 年 5 月致信该公司,特斯拉 “已经放弃了法院命令要求的职责”。信中补充说,“尽管马斯克先生一再违反规定”,但该公司未能执行商定的程序。</blockquote></p><p> Musk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d667aecf277db30480faf29b4545862\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"186\">Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 2018 年和解之后,马斯克也表现出对 SEC 的公开蔑视,包括在 2020 年 7 月向该公司发出最新信函后发布的一条不合时宜的推文。周二盘后交易中,特斯拉股价下跌 1.42 美元,跌幅 0.23%,至 622.48 美元。该股在常规交易时段小幅走低。今年,特斯拉股价下跌约 14%。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>除了特斯拉之外,马斯克最近几个月还因其有关加密货币(尤其是比特币和狗狗币)的推文而引起关注。</blockquote></p><p> Musk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克最近还作为嘉宾主持人出现在《周六夜现场》中。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/regulation/sec-says-musk-violated-tweet-settlement-report\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/regulation/sec-says-musk-violated-tweet-settlement-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163507655","content_text":"Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.\nSEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (TSLA) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.\nCorrespondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.\nTesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.\nMusk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.\nIn addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.\nMusk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119676347,"gmtCreate":1622546062989,"gmtModify":1634100634813,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119676347","repostId":"1162926274","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119678767,"gmtCreate":1622546037659,"gmtModify":1634100634934,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119678767","repostId":"1143634909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119671450,"gmtCreate":1622545992670,"gmtModify":1634100635887,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119671450","repostId":"1152304693","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110130254,"gmtCreate":1622429100078,"gmtModify":1634101545521,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110130254","repostId":"1127487048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127487048","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622416539,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127487048?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127487048","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. Investors will return from the long ","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>,Canopy Growth,and Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,DocuSign,and Lululemon Athletica release results.</p><p><blockquote>美国股票和债券市场周一因阵亡将士纪念日休市。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们将从长周末回到少数几家知名公司的季度业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>录像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>Canopy Growth 和惠普企业报告将于周二发布,随后是周三发布的 Advance Auto Partson。周四,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>DocuSign 和 Lululemon Athletica 发布结果。</blockquote></p><p>The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 5.9%, from 6.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据日历上的重头戏将是周五美国劳工统计局发布的 5 月份就业报告。普遍预测非农就业人数将增加 70 万人,而 4 月份非农就业人数为令人失望的 26.6 万人。失业率预计将从 6.1% 降至 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周二公布的美国供应管理协会(Institute for Supply Management)5 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周四公布的服务业同等指数。两者都与 4 月份的旺盛水平大致持平。经济合作与发展组织(Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)也将于周一发布最新经济展望。</blockquote></p><p>Monday 5/31</p><p><blockquote>5月31日星期一</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock and fixed-income</b> markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>为纪念阵亡将士纪念日,市场关闭。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Organization</b>for Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>组织</b>为经济合作与发展发布其最新经济展望。在3月份的中期报告中,经合组织预计2021年全球国内生产总值增长率为5.6%,比2020年12月的预测上调了整整一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>Tuesday 6/1</p><p><blockquote>星期二 6/1</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">Bank of Nova Scotia</a>,Canopy Growth, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">Hewlett Packard Enterprise</a>, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">新斯科舍银行</a>树冠生长,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">慧与</a>和Zoom Video通信公司公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布了 5 月份制造业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8,与 4 月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告四月份的建筑支出。预计环比增长 0.6%,经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.52 万亿美元。建筑支出仍略低于今年 1 月的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday 6/2</p><p><blockquote>星期三 6/2</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">Advance Auto Parts</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>,and PVH report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">先进汽车零部件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>和 PVH 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>InternationalHosting 由首席执行官 Jacek Olczak 主持网络直播,讨论公司的可持续发展战略。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>releases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第四次发布褐皮书。该报告介绍了12个美联储银行地区收集的关于经济健康状况的轶事数据。</blockquote></p><p>Thursday 6/3</p><p><blockquote>星期四 6/3</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Employment</b>report for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP 发布其<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">国家的</a>就业</b>五月报告。普遍估计,继 4 月份增加 74.2 万人之后,非农私营部门就业人数将增加 61 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>博通、库珀公司、DocuSign、J.M。斯穆克,以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a>在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济分析局</b>报告 5 月份轻型车总销量。 4 月份,经季节性调整后的年增长率达到 1850 万辆,为 2005 年 7 月以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p><b>The ISM releases</b>its Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>5月份服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)。共识估计为63.2,而4月份为62.7。</blockquote></p><p>Friday 6/4</p><p><blockquote>星期五 6/4</blockquote></p><p>Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.</p><p><blockquote>安进召开电话会议讨论其肿瘤学产品线的药物试验数据。该信息将于 2021 年发布<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>临床肿瘤学会年会,从6月4日到6月8日举行。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>Statistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> million jump expected by some economists.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布5月份就业报告。经济学家预测,继4月份相对温和地增加26.6万人之后,非农就业人数将增加70万人。失业率预计将从6.1%小幅降至5.9%。四月份的增长与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>一些经济学家预计将增长数百万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-31 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>,Canopy Growth,and Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,DocuSign,and Lululemon Athletica release results.</p><p><blockquote>美国股票和债券市场周一因阵亡将士纪念日休市。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们将从长周末回到少数几家知名公司的季度业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>录像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>Canopy Growth 和惠普企业报告将于周二发布,随后是周三发布的 Advance Auto Partson。周四,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>DocuSign 和 Lululemon Athletica 发布结果。</blockquote></p><p>The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 5.9%, from 6.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据日历上的重头戏将是周五美国劳工统计局发布的 5 月份就业报告。普遍预测非农就业人数将增加 70 万人,而 4 月份非农就业人数为令人失望的 26.6 万人。失业率预计将从 6.1% 降至 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周二公布的美国供应管理协会(Institute for Supply Management)5 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周四公布的服务业同等指数。两者都与 4 月份的旺盛水平大致持平。经济合作与发展组织(Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)也将于周一发布最新经济展望。</blockquote></p><p>Monday 5/31</p><p><blockquote>5月31日星期一</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock and fixed-income</b> markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>为纪念阵亡将士纪念日,市场关闭。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Organization</b>for Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>组织</b>为经济合作与发展发布其最新经济展望。在3月份的中期报告中,经合组织预计2021年全球国内生产总值增长率为5.6%,比2020年12月的预测上调了整整一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>Tuesday 6/1</p><p><blockquote>星期二 6/1</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">Bank of Nova Scotia</a>,Canopy Growth, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">Hewlett Packard Enterprise</a>, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">新斯科舍银行</a>树冠生长,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">慧与</a>和Zoom Video通信公司公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布了 5 月份制造业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8,与 4 月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告四月份的建筑支出。预计环比增长 0.6%,经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.52 万亿美元。建筑支出仍略低于今年 1 月的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday 6/2</p><p><blockquote>星期三 6/2</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">Advance Auto Parts</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>,and PVH report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">先进汽车零部件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>和 PVH 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>InternationalHosting 由首席执行官 Jacek Olczak 主持网络直播,讨论公司的可持续发展战略。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>releases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第四次发布褐皮书。该报告介绍了12个美联储银行地区收集的关于经济健康状况的轶事数据。</blockquote></p><p>Thursday 6/3</p><p><blockquote>星期四 6/3</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Employment</b>report for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP 发布其<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">国家的</a>就业</b>五月报告。普遍估计,继 4 月份增加 74.2 万人之后,非农私营部门就业人数将增加 61 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>博通、库珀公司、DocuSign、J.M。斯穆克,以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a>在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济分析局</b>报告 5 月份轻型车总销量。 4 月份,经季节性调整后的年增长率达到 1850 万辆,为 2005 年 7 月以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p><b>The ISM releases</b>its Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>5月份服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)。共识估计为63.2,而4月份为62.7。</blockquote></p><p>Friday 6/4</p><p><blockquote>星期五 6/4</blockquote></p><p>Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.</p><p><blockquote>安进召开电话会议讨论其肿瘤学产品线的药物试验数据。该信息将于 2021 年发布<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>临床肿瘤学会年会,从6月4日到6月8日举行。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>Statistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> million jump expected by some economists.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布5月份就业报告。经济学家预测,继4月份相对温和地增加26.6万人之后,非农就业人数将增加70万人。失业率预计将从6.1%小幅降至5.9%。四月份的增长与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>一些经济学家预计将增长数百万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/zoom-lululemon-canopy-growth-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51622401200\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","ISBC":"投资者银行","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation","LULU":"lululemon athletica",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/zoom-lululemon-canopy-growth-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51622401200","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127487048","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. Investors will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results. Zoom Video Communications,Canopy Growth,and Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday, Broadcom,DocuSign,and Lululemon Athletica release results.The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 5.9%, from 6.1%.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.Monday 5/31Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.The Organizationfor Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.Tuesday 6/1Bank of Nova Scotia,Canopy Growth, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.The Institute for SupplyManagement releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.The Census Bureaureports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.Wednesday 6/2Advance Auto Parts,NetApp,and PVH report earnings.Philip Morris Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.The Federal Reservereleases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.Thursday 6/3ADP releases its National Employmentreport for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and Lululemon Athletica hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The Bureau of Economic Analysisreports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.The ISM releasesits Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.Friday 6/4Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.The Bureau of LaborStatistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the one million jump expected by some 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up up ","listText":"up up up ","text":"up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137456220","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132188417,"gmtCreate":1622075893339,"gmtModify":1634184116607,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132188417","repostId":"1183273267","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183273267","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622075822,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183273267?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 08:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock Market Gains Are 'Likely To Slow' As Economy Reopens<blockquote>为什么随着经济重新开放,股市涨幅“可能会放缓”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183273267","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY 0.19% has generated a 90.6% total return since the market bottomed in March 2020.Economists and analysts are anticipating a major global economic boom in the quarters ahead, yet the S&P 500 has made virtually no progress over the past month.No More Easy Money: This week, LPL Research analyst Jeff Buchbinder said investors should expect stock market gains toslow significantlyin the second half of 2021 as inflationary pressures and rising interest rates weigh on inve","content":"<p>The <b>SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust</b> SPY 0.19% has generated a 90.6% total return since the market bottomed in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>SPDR标普500 ETF信托</b>自2020年3月市场触底以来,SPDR标普500指数ETF 0.19%的总回报率为90.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Economists and analysts are anticipating a major global economic boom in the quarters ahead, yet the S&P 500 has made virtually no progress over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家和分析师预计未来几个季度全球经济将出现重大繁荣,但标普500在过去一个月几乎没有取得任何进展。</blockquote></p><p> <b>No More Easy Money:</b> This week, LPL Research analyst Jeff Buchbinder said investors should expect stock market gains toslow significantlyin the second half of 2021 as inflationary pressures and rising interest rates weigh on investor sentiment.</p><p><blockquote><b>不再轻松赚钱:</b>本周,LPL 研究分析师 Jeff Buchbinder 表示,由于通胀压力和利率上升打压投资者情绪,投资者应预计 2021 年下半年股市涨幅将大幅放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Buchbinder said an extended period of market fatigue is common during extended bull markets, and the 1982 and 2009 bull markets both experienced some significant consolidation in their second years.</p><p><blockquote>布赫宾德表示,长期的市场疲劳在长期牛市中很常见,1982 年和 2009 年的牛市在第二年都经历了一些显着的盘整。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1950, the average S&P 500 gain in the second year of a bull market has been about 13%. The S&P 500 is already up about 7% since March 23, 2021, suggesting the index could have only about 6% more upside remaining in the next 10 months if the current bull market resembles the bull markets of the past.</p><p><blockquote>自1950年以来,牛市第二年的平均标普500涨幅约为13%。自2021年3月23日以来,标普500已经上涨了约7%,这表明如果当前的牛市与过去的牛市相似,该指数在未来10个月内可能只剩下约6%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How To Play It:</b> LPL Financial’s year-end target range for the S&P 500 is 4,400 to 4,450, about 5.5% upside from current levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么玩:</b>LPL Financial 对标普500的年终目标范围为 4,400 至 4,450,比目前水平上涨约 5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Buchbinder said long-term investors should be looking to buy any market dips.</p><p><blockquote>布赫宾德表示,目前,长期投资者应该寻求在市场下跌时买入。</blockquote></p><p> “Amid a backdrop of an improving economy, massive levels of fiscal and monetary stimulus, and rising vaccination rates, we would not expect pullbacks to last very long and any potential corrections are likely to be shallow,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”在经济好转、大规模财政和货币刺激措施以及疫苗接种率上升的背景下,我们预计回调不会持续很长时间,任何潜在的调整都可能是肤浅的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b> Even if the S&P 500 stays flat for the rest of 2021, this year would mark its third consecutive year of double-digit gains. The index has only strung together one suchthree-year periodsince the dot-com bubble burst in 2000.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga 的观点:</b>即使标普500在 2021 年剩余时间内保持平稳,今年也将是连续第三年实现两位数增长。自2000年互联网泡沫破裂以来,该指数仅记录了一个这样的三年时期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock Market Gains Are 'Likely To Slow' As Economy Reopens<blockquote>为什么随着经济重新开放,股市涨幅“可能会放缓”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock Market Gains Are 'Likely To Slow' As Economy Reopens<blockquote>为什么随着经济重新开放,股市涨幅“可能会放缓”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 08:37</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The <b>SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust</b> SPY 0.19% has generated a 90.6% total return since the market bottomed in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>SPDR标普500 ETF信托</b>自2020年3月市场触底以来,SPDR标普500指数ETF 0.19%的总回报率为90.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Economists and analysts are anticipating a major global economic boom in the quarters ahead, yet the S&P 500 has made virtually no progress over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家和分析师预计未来几个季度全球经济将出现重大繁荣,但标普500在过去一个月几乎没有取得任何进展。</blockquote></p><p> <b>No More Easy Money:</b> This week, LPL Research analyst Jeff Buchbinder said investors should expect stock market gains toslow significantlyin the second half of 2021 as inflationary pressures and rising interest rates weigh on investor sentiment.</p><p><blockquote><b>不再轻松赚钱:</b>本周,LPL 研究分析师 Jeff Buchbinder 表示,由于通胀压力和利率上升打压投资者情绪,投资者应预计 2021 年下半年股市涨幅将大幅放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Buchbinder said an extended period of market fatigue is common during extended bull markets, and the 1982 and 2009 bull markets both experienced some significant consolidation in their second years.</p><p><blockquote>布赫宾德表示,长期的市场疲劳在长期牛市中很常见,1982 年和 2009 年的牛市在第二年都经历了一些显着的盘整。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1950, the average S&P 500 gain in the second year of a bull market has been about 13%. The S&P 500 is already up about 7% since March 23, 2021, suggesting the index could have only about 6% more upside remaining in the next 10 months if the current bull market resembles the bull markets of the past.</p><p><blockquote>自1950年以来,牛市第二年的平均标普500涨幅约为13%。自2021年3月23日以来,标普500已经上涨了约7%,这表明如果当前的牛市与过去的牛市相似,该指数在未来10个月内可能只剩下约6%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How To Play It:</b> LPL Financial’s year-end target range for the S&P 500 is 4,400 to 4,450, about 5.5% upside from current levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么玩:</b>LPL Financial 对标普500的年终目标范围为 4,400 至 4,450,比目前水平上涨约 5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Buchbinder said long-term investors should be looking to buy any market dips.</p><p><blockquote>布赫宾德表示,目前,长期投资者应该寻求在市场下跌时买入。</blockquote></p><p> “Amid a backdrop of an improving economy, massive levels of fiscal and monetary stimulus, and rising vaccination rates, we would not expect pullbacks to last very long and any potential corrections are likely to be shallow,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”在经济好转、大规模财政和货币刺激措施以及疫苗接种率上升的背景下,我们预计回调不会持续很长时间,任何潜在的调整都可能是肤浅的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b> Even if the S&P 500 stays flat for the rest of 2021, this year would mark its third consecutive year of double-digit gains. The index has only strung together one suchthree-year periodsince the dot-com bubble burst in 2000.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga 的观点:</b>即使标普500在 2021 年剩余时间内保持平稳,今年也将是连续第三年实现两位数增长。自2000年互联网泡沫破裂以来,该指数仅记录了一个这样的三年时期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183273267","content_text":"The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY 0.19% has generated a 90.6% total return since the market bottomed in March 2020.\nEconomists and analysts are anticipating a major global economic boom in the quarters ahead, yet the S&P 500 has made virtually no progress over the past month.\nNo More Easy Money: This week, LPL Research analyst Jeff Buchbinder said investors should expect stock market gains toslow significantlyin the second half of 2021 as inflationary pressures and rising interest rates weigh on investor sentiment.\nBuchbinder said an extended period of market fatigue is common during extended bull markets, and the 1982 and 2009 bull markets both experienced some significant consolidation in their second years.\nSince 1950, the average S&P 500 gain in the second year of a bull market has been about 13%. The S&P 500 is already up about 7% since March 23, 2021, suggesting the index could have only about 6% more upside remaining in the next 10 months if the current bull market resembles the bull markets of the past.\nHow To Play It: LPL Financial’s year-end target range for the S&P 500 is 4,400 to 4,450, about 5.5% upside from current levels.\nFor now, Buchbinder said long-term investors should be looking to buy any market dips.\n“Amid a backdrop of an improving economy, massive levels of fiscal and monetary stimulus, and rising vaccination rates, we would not expect pullbacks to last very long and any potential corrections are likely to be shallow,” he said.\nBenzinga’s Take: Even if the S&P 500 stays flat for the rest of 2021, this year would mark its third consecutive year of double-digit gains. The index has only strung together one suchthree-year periodsince the dot-com bubble burst in 2000.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136684766,"gmtCreate":1622014483055,"gmtModify":1634184656512,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582586892306458","idStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136684766","repostId":"1199975870","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":137456476,"gmtCreate":1622381265695,"gmtModify":1634101913622,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137456476","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133748229,"gmtCreate":1621814039461,"gmtModify":1634186489135,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133748229","repostId":"2137827351","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112603598,"gmtCreate":1622863633414,"gmtModify":1631893540828,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112603598","repostId":"1162130057","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162130057","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622862397,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1162130057?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162130057","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks hav","content":"<p>Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能需要考虑私募股权来获取公开交易股票提供的回报</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21eb0dc365f342dd26c49af9020305\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Stock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>股票价格的增长速度不可能永远超过经济增长速度。这为美国股市多头提供了一个至关重要的现实检验,他们中的许多人认为股市可以永远跑赢美国经济。例如,在过去十年中,标准普尔 500SPX(按通胀调整后的总回报率计算)+0.88% 的年化利润率优于美国实际 GDP,为 11.9% 至 2.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”</p><p><blockquote>根据 Research Affiliates 创始人罗伯特·阿诺特 (Robert Arnott) 和 Efficient Frontier Advisors 联席负责人威廉·伯恩斯坦 (William Bernstein) 几年前提出的论点,展望未来,情况可能会相反。他们指出,经济增长的一部分归功于非上市公司,如初创企业等--他们将这一类别称为 “创业资本主义”。</blockquote></p><p> By definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.</p><p><blockquote>根据定义,非上市公司产生的经济增长不会出现在股票市场上——股票市场只反映上市公司的业绩。阿诺特和伯恩斯坦估计,历史上股价的年化增长速度比整体经济慢约两个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Such slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:</p><p><blockquote>这种下滑对美国股市未来的回报有着可怕的影响。但我想先讨论一下,为什么股市在过去十年中的惊人表现并不是因为经济增长。相反,这种表现的大部分归功于三个因素:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Valuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.</li> <li>Increasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.</li> <li>Net buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.</li> </ul> To appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>估值变化: 标普500的市盈率在过去十年中翻了一番。</li><li>利润率不断提高: 根据标准普尔道琼斯指数高级指数分析师 Howard Silverblatt 的数据,标普500过去四个季度的营业利润率平均比十年前高出近两个百分点。</li><li>净回购:在过去十年中,公司回购的股票超过了他们发行的新股。这减少了流通股数量,并增加了每股收益。</li></ul>为了理解这三个因素的影响,请考虑一下,如果这三个维度在过去十年中没有任何变化,标普500现在的交易价格将低于 1,600 点。伯恩斯坦在接受采访时说,虽然发生这样一场完美风暴的可能性非常低,以至于你可能会倾向于不予理睬,但他不会排除这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Projecting the future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.</p><p><blockquote>假设美国经济在未来十年的增长速度与过去十年相同,那么这项分析对美国股市未来的描绘并不美好。在这种情况下,市场能够产生高于低个位数的年化回报的唯一方法是市盈率和利润率继续上升,或者净回购继续减少流通股数量——或者这三个因素的某种组合发生。</blockquote></p><p> More likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.</p><p><blockquote>更有可能的是,这三个顺风会变成逆风。市盈率已经处于或接近其历史分布的高端,而且不可能永远上升。利润率也处于或接近创纪录水平,正如我本周早些时候所说,有充分的理由预计这些利润率将在未来几年下降。虽然未来几年回购量有可能超过股票发行量,但这并不是板上钉钉的事。例如,在过去 12 个月中,出现了负净回购——即发行的股票多于回购的股票。事实上,阿诺特在一封电子邮件中指出,在美国股市历史上的大部分时间里,净回购都是负数。</blockquote></p><p> One can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.</p><p><blockquote>人们还可能想知道,未来几年经济增长中是否会有更大的份额来自非公共股本。康奈尔大学圣约翰逊商学院院长安德鲁-卡罗利(Andrew Karolyi)在接受采访时表示,私募股权现在发挥的作用比过去大得多。他说,一个可能的未来是,公共股票市场的增长越来越滞后于整体经济的增长。</blockquote></p><p> One measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.</p><p><blockquote>上市公司经济重要性下降的一个衡量标准是上市公司数量的减少,如下图所示。鉴于华尔街许多人专注于炙手可热的 IPO 市场,这种下滑一直被他们忽视。但是,正如卡罗利指出的那样,即使越来越多的公司进入市场,也有越来越多的公司退市。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de45fd68cb24b2bdf2791d1f6b9fac0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"922\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.</p><p><blockquote>例如,根据Refinitiv的数据,截至2021年5月底,国内M&A活动超过1.6万亿美元,比前五个月M&A活动最多的记录高出近50%。卡罗利认为,我们需要关注首次公开募股和退市,就像人口学家只能通过关注出生和死亡来分析人口趋势一样。</blockquote></p><p> “The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.</p><p><blockquote>“卡罗利说:”上市公司在整体经济中的作用可能会发生变化。它们可能的生命周期路径正在扩展到包括许多最终不会上市的路径,或者在上市前等待更长时间。他补充说,鉴于私募股权市场充足的流动性,它很可能成为许多以前上市的公司的首选退出策略。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.</p><p><blockquote>底线?过去十年对于公开交易的美国股票来说是非同寻常的。不要指望这种情况会无限期地持续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 would be below 1,600 without these 3 pillars and those supports are now weakening<blockquote>如果没有这三大支柱,标普500将低于 1,600,而这些支撑现在正在减弱</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 11:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided</p><p><blockquote>投资者可能需要考虑私募股权来获取公开交易股票提供的回报</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab21eb0dc365f342dd26c49af9020305\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Stock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.</p><p><blockquote>股票价格的增长速度不可能永远超过经济增长速度。这为美国股市多头提供了一个至关重要的现实检验,他们中的许多人认为股市可以永远跑赢美国经济。例如,在过去十年中,标准普尔 500SPX(按通胀调整后的总回报率计算)+0.88% 的年化利润率优于美国实际 GDP,为 11.9% 至 2.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”</p><p><blockquote>根据 Research Affiliates 创始人罗伯特·阿诺特 (Robert Arnott) 和 Efficient Frontier Advisors 联席负责人威廉·伯恩斯坦 (William Bernstein) 几年前提出的论点,展望未来,情况可能会相反。他们指出,经济增长的一部分归功于非上市公司,如初创企业等--他们将这一类别称为 “创业资本主义”。</blockquote></p><p> By definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.</p><p><blockquote>根据定义,非上市公司产生的经济增长不会出现在股票市场上——股票市场只反映上市公司的业绩。阿诺特和伯恩斯坦估计,历史上股价的年化增长速度比整体经济慢约两个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Such slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:</p><p><blockquote>这种下滑对美国股市未来的回报有着可怕的影响。但我想先讨论一下,为什么股市在过去十年中的惊人表现并不是因为经济增长。相反,这种表现的大部分归功于三个因素:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Valuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.</li> <li>Increasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.</li> <li>Net buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.</li> </ul> To appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>估值变化: 标普500的市盈率在过去十年中翻了一番。</li><li>利润率不断提高: 根据标准普尔道琼斯指数高级指数分析师 Howard Silverblatt 的数据,标普500过去四个季度的营业利润率平均比十年前高出近两个百分点。</li><li>净回购:在过去十年中,公司回购的股票超过了他们发行的新股。这减少了流通股数量,并增加了每股收益。</li></ul>为了理解这三个因素的影响,请考虑一下,如果这三个维度在过去十年中没有任何变化,标普500现在的交易价格将低于 1,600 点。伯恩斯坦在接受采访时说,虽然发生这样一场完美风暴的可能性非常低,以至于你可能会倾向于不予理睬,但他不会排除这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Projecting the future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预测未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.</p><p><blockquote>假设美国经济在未来十年的增长速度与过去十年相同,那么这项分析对美国股市未来的描绘并不美好。在这种情况下,市场能够产生高于低个位数的年化回报的唯一方法是市盈率和利润率继续上升,或者净回购继续减少流通股数量——或者这三个因素的某种组合发生。</blockquote></p><p> More likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.</p><p><blockquote>更有可能的是,这三个顺风会变成逆风。市盈率已经处于或接近其历史分布的高端,而且不可能永远上升。利润率也处于或接近创纪录水平,正如我本周早些时候所说,有充分的理由预计这些利润率将在未来几年下降。虽然未来几年回购量有可能超过股票发行量,但这并不是板上钉钉的事。例如,在过去 12 个月中,出现了负净回购——即发行的股票多于回购的股票。事实上,阿诺特在一封电子邮件中指出,在美国股市历史上的大部分时间里,净回购都是负数。</blockquote></p><p> One can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.</p><p><blockquote>人们还可能想知道,未来几年经济增长中是否会有更大的份额来自非公共股本。康奈尔大学圣约翰逊商学院院长安德鲁-卡罗利(Andrew Karolyi)在接受采访时表示,私募股权现在发挥的作用比过去大得多。他说,一个可能的未来是,公共股票市场的增长越来越滞后于整体经济的增长。</blockquote></p><p> One measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.</p><p><blockquote>上市公司经济重要性下降的一个衡量标准是上市公司数量的减少,如下图所示。鉴于华尔街许多人专注于炙手可热的 IPO 市场,这种下滑一直被他们忽视。但是,正如卡罗利指出的那样,即使越来越多的公司进入市场,也有越来越多的公司退市。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3de45fd68cb24b2bdf2791d1f6b9fac0\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"922\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.</p><p><blockquote>例如,根据Refinitiv的数据,截至2021年5月底,国内M&A活动超过1.6万亿美元,比前五个月M&A活动最多的记录高出近50%。卡罗利认为,我们需要关注首次公开募股和退市,就像人口学家只能通过关注出生和死亡来分析人口趋势一样。</blockquote></p><p> “The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.</p><p><blockquote>“卡罗利说:”上市公司在整体经济中的作用可能会发生变化。它们可能的生命周期路径正在扩展到包括许多最终不会上市的路径,或者在上市前等待更长时间。他补充说,鉴于私募股权市场充足的流动性,它很可能成为许多以前上市的公司的首选退出策略。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.</p><p><blockquote>底线?过去十年对于公开交易的美国股票来说是非同寻常的。不要指望这种情况会无限期地持续下去。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-would-be-below-1-600-without-these-3-pillars-and-those-supports-are-now-weakening-11622781972?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-s-p-500-would-be-below-1-600-without-these-3-pillars-and-those-supports-are-now-weakening-11622781972?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162130057","content_text":"Investors may need to consider private equity to capture the returns that publicly traded stocks have provided\nGETTY IMAGES\nStock prices can’t indefinitely grow faster than the economy. This provides a crucial reality check for U.S. stock-market bulls, many of whom believe stocks can continue outperforming the U.S. economy in perpetuity. Over the past decade, for example, the S&P 500SPX,+0.88%on an inflation-adjusted total-return basis has outperformed real U.S. GDP by an annualized margin of 11.9% to 2.0%.\nGoing forward, it could be the other way around, according to an argument advanced some years ago by Robert Arnott, founder of Research Affiliates, and William Bernstein, co-principal at Efficient Frontier Advisors. They pointed out that a portion of economic growth is attributable to non-public companies, such as startups and the like — a category they refer to as “entrepreneurial capitalism.”\nBy definition, economic growth that non-public companies generate will not show up in the stock market— which only reflects the performance of publicly traded corporations. Arnott and Bernstein estimate that share prices historically have grown about two annualized percentage points slower than the overall economy.\nSuch slippage has dire implications for the U.S. stock market’s future return. But I want to first discuss why the stock market’s stunning performance over the past decade was not due to economic growth. Instead, the bulk of that performance was due to three factors:\n\nValuation changes: The S&P 500’s price/earnings ratio has doubled over the past decade.\nIncreasing profit margins: The S&P 500’s operating margin over the past four quarters has averaged nearly two percentage points higher than it was a decade ago, according to data from Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices.\nNet buybacks: Over the past decade corporations have repurchased more shares than new shares they have issued. This has reduced the number of shares outstanding, and increased earnings per share.\n\nTo appreciate the impact of these three factors, consider that the S&P 500 now would trade below 1,600 if there had been no change at all over the past decade with each of these three dimensions. While the chance of such a perfect storm is so low that you might be inclined to dismiss it out of hand, Bernstein said in an interview that he wouldn’t discount the possibility.\nProjecting the future\nThe picture this analysis paints about the U.S. stock market’s future isn’t pretty, assuming the U.S. economy grows at the same pace over the next decade as the last. In that case, the only way the market can produce annualized returns greater than the low single-digits is for the P/E ratio and profit margins to continue rising or for net buybacks to continue reducing the number of shares outstanding — or for some combination of these three factors to occur.\nMore likely, these three tailwinds will become headwinds. P/E ratios already are at or near the high end of their historical distribution, and they can’t go up forever. Profit margins also are at or near record levels and,as I argued earlier this week, there are good reasons to expect those margins to decline in coming years. While it’s possible that buybacks will outpace share issuance in coming years, that’s hardly a sure bet. Over the past 12 months, for example, there have been negative net buybacks — i.e. more shares have been issued than repurchased. In fact, Arnott pointed out in an email, for most of U.S. stock market history net buybacks have been negative.\nOne can also wonder if an even-greater share of economic growth in coming years will accrue to non-public equity. Andrew Karolyi, dean of Cornell University’s SC Johnson College of Business, said in an interview that private equity now plays a much bigger role than in the past. One possible future, he said, is that the growth of the public stock market lags that of the overall economy by an increasing amount.\nOne measure of the declining economic importance of the public corporation is the decreasing number of publicly traded companies, as reflected in the chart below. This decline has been overlooked by many on Wall Street, given their focus on the red-hot IPO market. But, as Karolyi pointed out, even as more companies are coming to market, there have also been an increasing number of delistings.\n\nFor example, according to Refinitiv, through the end of May 2021 there was more than $1.6 trillion in domestic M&A activity, almost 50% higher than the previous calendar year that held the record for the most M&A activity for the first five months. We need to focus on both IPOs and delistings, Karolyi argued, just as demographers can only analyze population trends by focusing on births and deaths.\n“The role of publicly traded corporations in the overall economy may be changing,” Karolyi said. Their possible life cycle paths are expanding to include many that don’t end in becoming publicly traded, for example, or waiting much longer before doing so. Given the abundant liquidity in the private equity market, he added, it may very well become the preferred exit strategy for many companies that previously would have gone public.\nThe bottom line? The past decade was extraordinary for publicly traded U.S. stocks. Don’t expect that to continue indefinitely.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133956526,"gmtCreate":1621688882265,"gmtModify":1634187138853,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133956526","repostId":"2137990425","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106443703,"gmtCreate":1620141585002,"gmtModify":1634207492239,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106443703","repostId":"1191168108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191168108","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1620139872,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191168108?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 22:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group<blockquote>IPO预告:诚实公司、中国生活方式品牌洋葱环球、水培iPower领先集团</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191168108","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashi","content":"<p>The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashion, banking, vaccines and hydroponics. Here is a look at this week’s top offerings and details investors should know.</p><p><blockquote>5 月 3 日当周有几起 IPO 待审,涉及消费品、时尚、银行、疫苗和水培等行业。以下是本周的热门产品以及投资者应该了解的详细信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waterdrop:</b>Working with insurance companies,<b>Waterdrop</b>NYSEWDHseeksto have a positive social impact with its technology platform. Waterdrop has over 79.4 million cumulative customers and over 340 million donors to its crowdfunding platform, which is the largest medical crowdfunding platform in China.</p><p><blockquote><b>水滴:</b>与保险公司合作,<b>水滴</b>NYSEWDHseeksto的技术平台产生了积极的社会影响。水滴累计客户超过7940万,其众筹平台捐款人超过3.4亿,是中国最大的医疗众筹平台。</blockquote></p><p> Waterdrop works with 62 insurance carriers and offers over 200 products to help customers and those seeking help with medical bills. The company had revenue of $464.1 million in fiscal 2020. The company plans on offering 30 million American depositary shares at a price point of $10 to $12.</p><p><blockquote>Waterdrop与62家保险公司合作,提供200多种产品来帮助客户和寻求医疗账单帮助的人。该公司2020财年的收入为4.641亿美元。该公司计划以10至12美元的价格发行3000万股美国存托股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Five Star Bancorp:</b>With branches in California,<b>Five Star Bancorp</b>NASDAQFSBCisa regional bank company focused on the Sacramento market. The company ended 2020 with $1.8 billion in deposits and $1.5 billion in loans.</p><p><blockquote><b>五星银行:</b>在加利福尼亚设有分支机构,<b>五星银行</b>纳斯达克FSBCISA地区银行公司专注于萨克拉门托市场。截至 2020 年,该公司存款为 18 亿美元,贷款为 15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the company saw compounded annual growth of 23.5% for assets, 23.8% for loans and 23.7% for deposits. First quarter preliminary numbers saw deposits grow 11.2% from the fourth quarter and loans grow 2.6% from the fourth quarter. The company plans on selling 5.265 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年,公司资产复合年增长率为23.5%,贷款复合年增长率为23.8%,存款复合年增长率为23.7%。第一季度初步数据显示,存款较第四季度增长11.2%,贷款较第四季度增长2.6%。该公司计划以18至20美元的价格出售526.5万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Honest Company:</b>Clean lifestyle product company<b>The Honest Company</b>NASDAQHNSTcouldbe the most-watched IPO this week. The company was founded by actress Jessica Alba in 2012 in response to finding clean products and non-allergic reactions from products after giving birth.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚信公司:</b>清洁生活产品公司<b>诚信公司</b>纳斯达克HNST可能是本周最受关注的IPO。该公司由女演员杰西卡·阿尔芭 (Jessica Alba) 于 2012 年创立,旨在回应产后发现清洁产品和无过敏反应的产品。</blockquote></p><p> The Honest Company prides itself in being “a conscious living company for today and tomorrow.” The company has grown from being a diapers-and-wipes company to covering every age and every life stage of its customers.</p><p><blockquote>诚实公司以自己是 “一家为今天和明天而有意识的生活公司 ”而自豪。该公司已经从一家纸尿裤和湿巾公司发展到覆盖客户的每个年龄段和每个生命阶段。</blockquote></p><p> The Honest Company had revenue of $235.6 million in fiscal 2020, up 27.6% year-over-year. Diapers and wipes made up 63% of 2020 revenue, up 16.4% year-over-year. Skin and personal care product revenue represented 26% of sales in 2020 and were up 55% year-over-year. Household and wellness sales made up 11% of sales and had year-over-year growth of 116.5% in 2020. The Honest Company products can be purchased online from the company or sites like<b>Amazon.com</b>AMZN 1.77%and in physical stores like<b>Costco Wholesale Corporation</b>COST 0.54%and<b>Target Corporation</b>TGT 0.23%.</p><p><blockquote>The Honest Company 2020 财年营收为 2.356 亿美元,同比增长 27.6%。尿布和湿巾占2020年收入的63%,同比增长16.4%。2020年,皮肤和个人护理产品收入占销售额的26%,同比增长55%。2020年,家庭和健康销售额占销售额的11%,同比增长116.5%。诚实公司的产品可以从公司或网站在线购买,如<b>亚马逊</b>AMZN 1.77%,在实体店如<b>好市多批发公司</b>成本0.54%和<b>目标公司</b>TGT 0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder Alba will not sell any shares in the IPO and will own an estimated 6.1% of the company after the offering. The company isseekingto sell 25.8 million shares at a price point of $14 to $17.</p><p><blockquote>Founder Alba 不会在 IPO 中出售任何股份,并将在发行后拥有该公司约 6.1% 的股份。该公司寻求以 14 至 17 美元的价格出售 2580 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bowman Consulting Group:</b>Professional services company<b>Bowman Consulting Group</b>NASDAQBWMNoffersengineering solutions to customers. Bowman Consulting has over 2,200 customers who count on the company for services like planning, engineering, construction management, commissioning, geomatics, survey, land procurement and environmental consulting. The company had revenue of $122 million in the last fiscal year, up from $113.7 million in the prior year. Bowman Consulting plans to offer 3.1 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.</p><p><blockquote><b>鲍曼咨询集团:</b>专业服务公司<b>鲍曼咨询集团</b>纳斯达克BWM为客户提供工程解决方案。Bowman Consulting拥有2,200多名客户,他们依靠该公司提供规划、工程、施工管理、调试、地理信息学、测量、土地采购和环境咨询等服务。该公司上一财年的收入为 1.22 亿美元,高于上一年的 1.137 亿美元。鲍曼咨询公司计划以 12 至 14 美元的价格发行 310 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valneva:</b>Vaccine company<b>Valneva</b>NASDAQVLAplansto sell 7.1 million ordinary shares (3.55 million ADSs) at a price of $28.24. The company is focused on vaccine development in infectious diseases. Target areas include Lyme disease, the Chikungunya virus and COVID-19. The company’s lead program VLA15 is in Phase 2 trials to treat Lyme disease and is partnered with<b>Pfizer Corporation</b>PFE 0.49%. Other clinical trials include VLA1553 to treat Chikungunya virus and VLA2001 to treat COVID-19. The company’s VLA1553 is the only known Phase 3 trial vaccine to treat Chikungunya, which could put it in the spotlight with spread to over 100 countries. Several of the company’s products have received Fast Track designation by the FDA.</p><p><blockquote><b>瓦尔涅娃:</b>疫苗公司<b>瓦尔涅娃</b>NASDAQVLAplansto 以 28.24 美元的价格出售 710 万股普通股(355 万股 ADS)。该公司专注于传染病疫苗开发。目标领域包括莱姆病、基孔肯雅热病毒和新冠肺炎。该公司的主导项目 VLA15 正在进行治疗莱姆病的 2 期试验,并与<b>辉瑞公司</b>PFE 0.49%。其他临床试验包括治疗基孔肯雅热病毒的VLA1553和治疗新冠肺炎的VLA2001。该公司的 VLA1553 是目前已知的唯一一种治疗基孔肯雅热病的 3 期试验疫苗,这可能会使其成为人们关注的焦点,并推广到 100 多个国家。该公司的多款产品已获得 FDA 的快速通道认证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Onion Global:</b>Lifestyle brand company<b>Onion Global</b>NYSEOGplanson selling 12.5 million ADS at a price point of $7.25 to $9.25. The company targets fresh, fashionable and future brands, which it refers to as the 3Fs across China and parts of Asia. The company has over 4,000 brands in 23 categories sold in 43 countries. Onion Global is a top ten global lifestyle company in China. The company uses an omnichannel approach with its self operated ecommerce platform O’Mall, live streaming sales, third party sellers and offline sales. The company has 2.1 million active buyers and 15.5 million registered users.</p><p><blockquote><b>洋葱环球:</b>生活品牌公司<b>洋葱全球</b>NYSEOGplanson 以 7.25 美元至 9.25 美元的价格出售 1250 万股广告。该公司的目标是新鲜、时尚和未来的品牌,在中国和亚洲部分地区被称为3F。该公司拥有23个类别的4000多个品牌,销往43个国家。洋葱环球是中国十大全球生活方式公司。该公司采用全渠道方法,包括自营电子商务平台 O'Mall、直播销售、第三方卖家和线下销售。该公司拥有210万活跃买家和1550万注册用户。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>iPower:</b>Online hydroponic equipment seller<b>iPower Inc</b>NASDAQIPWplansto offer 5 million shares at a price point of $9 to $11. The company offers its own brands and partnered brands through its websitewww.zenhydro.com. iPower-owned brands represented 76% of company sales in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. The company had sales of $26.2 million in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. Preliminary first-quarter revenue is expected to be in a range of $11.75 million to $12.75 million compared to $9.4 million in the prior year.</p><p><blockquote><b>电源:</b>在线水培设备卖家<b>iPower公司</b>NASDAQIPWplansto 以 9 至 11 美元的价格发行 500 万股股票。该公司通过其网站 www.zenhydro.com 提供自有品牌和合作品牌。截至2020年12月31日止六个月期间,iPower拥有的品牌占公司销售额的76%。截至2020年12月31日的六个月期间,该公司的销售额为2620万美元。第一季度初步收入预计在 1175 万美元至 1275 万美元之间,而上年同期为 940 万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group<blockquote>IPO预告:诚实公司、中国生活方式品牌洋葱环球、水培iPower领先集团</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group<blockquote>IPO预告:诚实公司、中国生活方式品牌洋葱环球、水培iPower领先集团</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-04 22:51</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashion, banking, vaccines and hydroponics. Here is a look at this week’s top offerings and details investors should know.</p><p><blockquote>5 月 3 日当周有几起 IPO 待审,涉及消费品、时尚、银行、疫苗和水培等行业。以下是本周的热门产品以及投资者应该了解的详细信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waterdrop:</b>Working with insurance companies,<b>Waterdrop</b>NYSEWDHseeksto have a positive social impact with its technology platform. Waterdrop has over 79.4 million cumulative customers and over 340 million donors to its crowdfunding platform, which is the largest medical crowdfunding platform in China.</p><p><blockquote><b>水滴:</b>与保险公司合作,<b>水滴</b>NYSEWDHseeksto的技术平台产生了积极的社会影响。水滴累计客户超过7940万,其众筹平台捐款人超过3.4亿,是中国最大的医疗众筹平台。</blockquote></p><p> Waterdrop works with 62 insurance carriers and offers over 200 products to help customers and those seeking help with medical bills. The company had revenue of $464.1 million in fiscal 2020. The company plans on offering 30 million American depositary shares at a price point of $10 to $12.</p><p><blockquote>Waterdrop与62家保险公司合作,提供200多种产品来帮助客户和寻求医疗账单帮助的人。该公司2020财年的收入为4.641亿美元。该公司计划以10至12美元的价格发行3000万股美国存托股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Five Star Bancorp:</b>With branches in California,<b>Five Star Bancorp</b>NASDAQFSBCisa regional bank company focused on the Sacramento market. The company ended 2020 with $1.8 billion in deposits and $1.5 billion in loans.</p><p><blockquote><b>五星银行:</b>在加利福尼亚设有分支机构,<b>五星银行</b>纳斯达克FSBCISA地区银行公司专注于萨克拉门托市场。截至 2020 年,该公司存款为 18 亿美元,贷款为 15 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the company saw compounded annual growth of 23.5% for assets, 23.8% for loans and 23.7% for deposits. First quarter preliminary numbers saw deposits grow 11.2% from the fourth quarter and loans grow 2.6% from the fourth quarter. The company plans on selling 5.265 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年,公司资产复合年增长率为23.5%,贷款复合年增长率为23.8%,存款复合年增长率为23.7%。第一季度初步数据显示,存款较第四季度增长11.2%,贷款较第四季度增长2.6%。该公司计划以18至20美元的价格出售526.5万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Honest Company:</b>Clean lifestyle product company<b>The Honest Company</b>NASDAQHNSTcouldbe the most-watched IPO this week. The company was founded by actress Jessica Alba in 2012 in response to finding clean products and non-allergic reactions from products after giving birth.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚信公司:</b>清洁生活产品公司<b>诚信公司</b>纳斯达克HNST可能是本周最受关注的IPO。该公司由女演员杰西卡·阿尔芭 (Jessica Alba) 于 2012 年创立,旨在回应产后发现清洁产品和无过敏反应的产品。</blockquote></p><p> The Honest Company prides itself in being “a conscious living company for today and tomorrow.” The company has grown from being a diapers-and-wipes company to covering every age and every life stage of its customers.</p><p><blockquote>诚实公司以自己是 “一家为今天和明天而有意识的生活公司 ”而自豪。该公司已经从一家纸尿裤和湿巾公司发展到覆盖客户的每个年龄段和每个生命阶段。</blockquote></p><p> The Honest Company had revenue of $235.6 million in fiscal 2020, up 27.6% year-over-year. Diapers and wipes made up 63% of 2020 revenue, up 16.4% year-over-year. Skin and personal care product revenue represented 26% of sales in 2020 and were up 55% year-over-year. Household and wellness sales made up 11% of sales and had year-over-year growth of 116.5% in 2020. The Honest Company products can be purchased online from the company or sites like<b>Amazon.com</b>AMZN 1.77%and in physical stores like<b>Costco Wholesale Corporation</b>COST 0.54%and<b>Target Corporation</b>TGT 0.23%.</p><p><blockquote>The Honest Company 2020 财年营收为 2.356 亿美元,同比增长 27.6%。尿布和湿巾占2020年收入的63%,同比增长16.4%。2020年,皮肤和个人护理产品收入占销售额的26%,同比增长55%。2020年,家庭和健康销售额占销售额的11%,同比增长116.5%。诚实公司的产品可以从公司或网站在线购买,如<b>亚马逊</b>AMZN 1.77%,在实体店如<b>好市多批发公司</b>成本0.54%和<b>目标公司</b>TGT 0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder Alba will not sell any shares in the IPO and will own an estimated 6.1% of the company after the offering. The company isseekingto sell 25.8 million shares at a price point of $14 to $17.</p><p><blockquote>Founder Alba 不会在 IPO 中出售任何股份,并将在发行后拥有该公司约 6.1% 的股份。该公司寻求以 14 至 17 美元的价格出售 2580 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bowman Consulting Group:</b>Professional services company<b>Bowman Consulting Group</b>NASDAQBWMNoffersengineering solutions to customers. Bowman Consulting has over 2,200 customers who count on the company for services like planning, engineering, construction management, commissioning, geomatics, survey, land procurement and environmental consulting. The company had revenue of $122 million in the last fiscal year, up from $113.7 million in the prior year. Bowman Consulting plans to offer 3.1 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.</p><p><blockquote><b>鲍曼咨询集团:</b>专业服务公司<b>鲍曼咨询集团</b>纳斯达克BWM为客户提供工程解决方案。Bowman Consulting拥有2,200多名客户,他们依靠该公司提供规划、工程、施工管理、调试、地理信息学、测量、土地采购和环境咨询等服务。该公司上一财年的收入为 1.22 亿美元,高于上一年的 1.137 亿美元。鲍曼咨询公司计划以 12 至 14 美元的价格发行 310 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valneva:</b>Vaccine company<b>Valneva</b>NASDAQVLAplansto sell 7.1 million ordinary shares (3.55 million ADSs) at a price of $28.24. The company is focused on vaccine development in infectious diseases. Target areas include Lyme disease, the Chikungunya virus and COVID-19. The company’s lead program VLA15 is in Phase 2 trials to treat Lyme disease and is partnered with<b>Pfizer Corporation</b>PFE 0.49%. Other clinical trials include VLA1553 to treat Chikungunya virus and VLA2001 to treat COVID-19. The company’s VLA1553 is the only known Phase 3 trial vaccine to treat Chikungunya, which could put it in the spotlight with spread to over 100 countries. Several of the company’s products have received Fast Track designation by the FDA.</p><p><blockquote><b>瓦尔涅娃:</b>疫苗公司<b>瓦尔涅娃</b>NASDAQVLAplansto 以 28.24 美元的价格出售 710 万股普通股(355 万股 ADS)。该公司专注于传染病疫苗开发。目标领域包括莱姆病、基孔肯雅热病毒和新冠肺炎。该公司的主导项目 VLA15 正在进行治疗莱姆病的 2 期试验,并与<b>辉瑞公司</b>PFE 0.49%。其他临床试验包括治疗基孔肯雅热病毒的VLA1553和治疗新冠肺炎的VLA2001。该公司的 VLA1553 是目前已知的唯一一种治疗基孔肯雅热病的 3 期试验疫苗,这可能会使其成为人们关注的焦点,并推广到 100 多个国家。该公司的多款产品已获得 FDA 的快速通道认证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Onion Global:</b>Lifestyle brand company<b>Onion Global</b>NYSEOGplanson selling 12.5 million ADS at a price point of $7.25 to $9.25. The company targets fresh, fashionable and future brands, which it refers to as the 3Fs across China and parts of Asia. The company has over 4,000 brands in 23 categories sold in 43 countries. Onion Global is a top ten global lifestyle company in China. The company uses an omnichannel approach with its self operated ecommerce platform O’Mall, live streaming sales, third party sellers and offline sales. The company has 2.1 million active buyers and 15.5 million registered users.</p><p><blockquote><b>洋葱环球:</b>生活品牌公司<b>洋葱全球</b>NYSEOGplanson 以 7.25 美元至 9.25 美元的价格出售 1250 万股广告。该公司的目标是新鲜、时尚和未来的品牌,在中国和亚洲部分地区被称为3F。该公司拥有23个类别的4000多个品牌,销往43个国家。洋葱环球是中国十大全球生活方式公司。该公司采用全渠道方法,包括自营电子商务平台 O'Mall、直播销售、第三方卖家和线下销售。该公司拥有210万活跃买家和1550万注册用户。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>iPower:</b>Online hydroponic equipment seller<b>iPower Inc</b>NASDAQIPWplansto offer 5 million shares at a price point of $9 to $11. The company offers its own brands and partnered brands through its websitewww.zenhydro.com. iPower-owned brands represented 76% of company sales in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. The company had sales of $26.2 million in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. Preliminary first-quarter revenue is expected to be in a range of $11.75 million to $12.75 million compared to $9.4 million in the prior year.</p><p><blockquote><b>电源:</b>在线水培设备卖家<b>iPower公司</b>NASDAQIPWplansto 以 9 至 11 美元的价格发行 500 万股股票。该公司通过其网站 www.zenhydro.com 提供自有品牌和合作品牌。截至2020年12月31日止六个月期间,iPower拥有的品牌占公司销售额的76%。截至2020年12月31日的六个月期间,该公司的销售额为2620万美元。第一季度初步收入预计在 1175 万美元至 1275 万美元之间,而上年同期为 940 万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IPW":"iPower Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191168108","content_text":"The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashion, banking, vaccines and hydroponics. Here is a look at this week’s top offerings and details investors should know.\nWaterdrop:Working with insurance companies,WaterdropNYSEWDHseeksto have a positive social impact with its technology platform. Waterdrop has over 79.4 million cumulative customers and over 340 million donors to its crowdfunding platform, which is the largest medical crowdfunding platform in China.\nWaterdrop works with 62 insurance carriers and offers over 200 products to help customers and those seeking help with medical bills. The company had revenue of $464.1 million in fiscal 2020. The company plans on offering 30 million American depositary shares at a price point of $10 to $12.\nFive Star Bancorp:With branches in California,Five Star BancorpNASDAQFSBCisa regional bank company focused on the Sacramento market. The company ended 2020 with $1.8 billion in deposits and $1.5 billion in loans.\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the company saw compounded annual growth of 23.5% for assets, 23.8% for loans and 23.7% for deposits. First quarter preliminary numbers saw deposits grow 11.2% from the fourth quarter and loans grow 2.6% from the fourth quarter. The company plans on selling 5.265 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.\nThe Honest Company:Clean lifestyle product companyThe Honest CompanyNASDAQHNSTcouldbe the most-watched IPO this week. The company was founded by actress Jessica Alba in 2012 in response to finding clean products and non-allergic reactions from products after giving birth.\nThe Honest Company prides itself in being “a conscious living company for today and tomorrow.” The company has grown from being a diapers-and-wipes company to covering every age and every life stage of its customers.\nThe Honest Company had revenue of $235.6 million in fiscal 2020, up 27.6% year-over-year. Diapers and wipes made up 63% of 2020 revenue, up 16.4% year-over-year. Skin and personal care product revenue represented 26% of sales in 2020 and were up 55% year-over-year. Household and wellness sales made up 11% of sales and had year-over-year growth of 116.5% in 2020. The Honest Company products can be purchased online from the company or sites likeAmazon.comAMZN 1.77%and in physical stores likeCostco Wholesale CorporationCOST 0.54%andTarget CorporationTGT 0.23%.\nFounder Alba will not sell any shares in the IPO and will own an estimated 6.1% of the company after the offering. The company isseekingto sell 25.8 million shares at a price point of $14 to $17.\nBowman Consulting Group:Professional services companyBowman Consulting GroupNASDAQBWMNoffersengineering solutions to customers. Bowman Consulting has over 2,200 customers who count on the company for services like planning, engineering, construction management, commissioning, geomatics, survey, land procurement and environmental consulting. The company had revenue of $122 million in the last fiscal year, up from $113.7 million in the prior year. Bowman Consulting plans to offer 3.1 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.\nValneva:Vaccine companyValnevaNASDAQVLAplansto sell 7.1 million ordinary shares (3.55 million ADSs) at a price of $28.24. The company is focused on vaccine development in infectious diseases. Target areas include Lyme disease, the Chikungunya virus and COVID-19. The company’s lead program VLA15 is in Phase 2 trials to treat Lyme disease and is partnered withPfizer CorporationPFE 0.49%. Other clinical trials include VLA1553 to treat Chikungunya virus and VLA2001 to treat COVID-19. The company’s VLA1553 is the only known Phase 3 trial vaccine to treat Chikungunya, which could put it in the spotlight with spread to over 100 countries. Several of the company’s products have received Fast Track designation by the FDA.\nOnion Global:Lifestyle brand companyOnion GlobalNYSEOGplanson selling 12.5 million ADS at a price point of $7.25 to $9.25. The company targets fresh, fashionable and future brands, which it refers to as the 3Fs across China and parts of Asia. The company has over 4,000 brands in 23 categories sold in 43 countries. Onion Global is a top ten global lifestyle company in China. The company uses an omnichannel approach with its self operated ecommerce platform O’Mall, live streaming sales, third party sellers and offline sales. The company has 2.1 million active buyers and 15.5 million registered users.\niPower:Online hydroponic equipment selleriPower IncNASDAQIPWplansto offer 5 million shares at a price point of $9 to $11. The company offers its own brands and partnered brands through its websitewww.zenhydro.com. iPower-owned brands represented 76% of company sales in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. The company had sales of $26.2 million in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. Preliminary first-quarter revenue is expected to be in a range of $11.75 million to $12.75 million compared to $9.4 million in the prior year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IPW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196553424,"gmtCreate":1621079908968,"gmtModify":1634194118305,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":" Ok","listText":" Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196553424","repostId":"1185220705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190130686,"gmtCreate":1620604635245,"gmtModify":1634197842083,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190130686","repostId":"1193602237","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193602237","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620471120,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193602237?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 18:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料,美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193602237","media":"reuters","summary":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in dema","content":"<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在 4 月份雇佣了近 100 万名工人,因为他们急于满足需求激增,这是在公共卫生迅速改善和政府提供大量财政援助的情况下经济重新开放所释放的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫 3 月份批准的 1.9 万亿美元 COVID-19 大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度,坚定地走上了今年近四十年来最好表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示:“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字,反映我们所看到的正在进行的重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金,经济活动看起来不错,这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查,继3月份增加91.6万个之后,上个月非农就业人数可能增加97.8万个。这将使就业人数比 2020 年 2 月的峰值低约 750 万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12 个月前,经济因强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波 COVID-19 感染而减少了创纪录的 2067.9 万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至65.6万人到高达210万人不等。自疫情爆发以来,新申请失业救济人数首次降至 50 万人以下,美国雇主 4 月份宣布的裁员人数为近 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法也是 13 个月来最强劲的,这也表明就业又出现了大幅增长。但被压抑的需求导致了劳动力和原材料短缺,第一季度经济年化增长率为 6.4%,这是自 2003 年第三季度以来的第二快增长率。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆,雇主们都在争抢工人。劳动力短缺被归咎于一系列因素,包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克表示:“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会对 4 月份的就业造成明显影响,但在扩大的失业救济金于 9 月份到期之前,未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触的企业重新开业,休闲和酒店业可能会推动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种新冠肺炎疫苗,导致纽约州、新泽西州和康涅狄格州等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产,但预计制造业也将稳步增长。强劲的住房需求可能会推高建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>随着许多州恢复面对面学习,学区雇佣了更多教师,政府就业预计也会增加。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再支出 4 万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策,美联储已表示准备让经济运行比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业,许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约 TS Lombard 首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨 (Steven Blitz) 表示:“没有人知道新冠疫情过后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数一直居高不下。(支出)计划的目的是让经济走上更高的增长轨迹,以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>失业率预计将从3月份的6.0%降至4月份的5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但不工作”,从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量经济复苏,经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率,即拥有工作或正在寻找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例,上个月可能有所改善,尽管仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间,超过400万人,其中许多是妇女,退出了劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长,平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后,4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份增长4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司(J.P. Morgan Asset Management)驻纽约首席全球策略师大卫·凯利(David Kelly)表示:“我们将密切关注平均时薪,寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始推高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧推动工资增长,那么美联储预计温和且短暂的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久,从而导致美联储提前收紧货币政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预计工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响,美国人有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均工作周预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料,美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料,美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 18:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在 4 月份雇佣了近 100 万名工人,因为他们急于满足需求激增,这是在公共卫生迅速改善和政府提供大量财政援助的情况下经济重新开放所释放的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫 3 月份批准的 1.9 万亿美元 COVID-19 大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度,坚定地走上了今年近四十年来最好表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示:“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字,反映我们所看到的正在进行的重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金,经济活动看起来不错,这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查,继3月份增加91.6万个之后,上个月非农就业人数可能增加97.8万个。这将使就业人数比 2020 年 2 月的峰值低约 750 万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12 个月前,经济因强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波 COVID-19 感染而减少了创纪录的 2067.9 万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至65.6万人到高达210万人不等。自疫情爆发以来,新申请失业救济人数首次降至 50 万人以下,美国雇主 4 月份宣布的裁员人数为近 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法也是 13 个月来最强劲的,这也表明就业又出现了大幅增长。但被压抑的需求导致了劳动力和原材料短缺,第一季度经济年化增长率为 6.4%,这是自 2003 年第三季度以来的第二快增长率。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆,雇主们都在争抢工人。劳动力短缺被归咎于一系列因素,包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克表示:“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会对 4 月份的就业造成明显影响,但在扩大的失业救济金于 9 月份到期之前,未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触的企业重新开业,休闲和酒店业可能会推动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种新冠肺炎疫苗,导致纽约州、新泽西州和康涅狄格州等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产,但预计制造业也将稳步增长。强劲的住房需求可能会推高建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>随着许多州恢复面对面学习,学区雇佣了更多教师,政府就业预计也会增加。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再支出 4 万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策,美联储已表示准备让经济运行比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业,许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约 TS Lombard 首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨 (Steven Blitz) 表示:“没有人知道新冠疫情过后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数一直居高不下。(支出)计划的目的是让经济走上更高的增长轨迹,以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>失业率预计将从3月份的6.0%降至4月份的5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但不工作”,从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量经济复苏,经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率,即拥有工作或正在寻找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例,上个月可能有所改善,尽管仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间,超过400万人,其中许多是妇女,退出了劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长,平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后,4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份增长4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司(J.P. Morgan Asset Management)驻纽约首席全球策略师大卫·凯利(David Kelly)表示:“我们将密切关注平均时薪,寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始推高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧推动工资增长,那么美联储预计温和且短暂的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久,从而导致美联储提前收紧货币政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预计工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响,美国人有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均工作周预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193602237","content_text":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINSSolid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164458898,"gmtCreate":1624234397014,"gmtModify":1631893540803,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164458898","repostId":"1170361434","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170361434","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624232134,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1170361434?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 07:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ackman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170361434","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Univers","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Universal Music Group for about $4 billion from French media company Vivendi SE. Ackman’s special purpose ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——亿万富翁比尔·阿克曼 (Bill Ackman) 支持的一家空白支票公司同意以约 40 亿美元从法国媒体公司维旺迪 (Vivendi SE) 手中收购环球音乐集团 10% 的股份。阿克曼的特殊目的……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ackman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAckman’s SPAC to Buy 10% of Vivendi’s Universal Music for $4 Billion<blockquote>阿克曼的 SPAC 将以 40 亿美元收购维旺迪环球音乐 10% 的股份</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 07:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Universal Music Group for about $4 billion from French media company Vivendi SE. Ackman’s special purpose ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——亿万富翁比尔·阿克曼 (Bill Ackman) 支持的一家空白支票公司同意以约 40 亿美元从法国媒体公司维旺迪 (Vivendi SE) 手中收购环球音乐集团 10% 的股份。阿克曼的特殊目的……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PSTH":"Pershing Square Tontine Holdings"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ackman-spac-buy-10-vivendi-181553324.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170361434","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- A blank-check firm backed by billionaire Bill Ackman agreed to acquire 10% of Universal Music Group for about $4 billion from French media company Vivendi SE.\nAckman’s special purpose acquisition company, called Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd., said the transaction would value the home of Taylor Swift, Drake and Billie Eilish at 35 billion euros ($42 billion) including debt. The companies reached an agreement despite drawing pushback from Vivendi’s shareholders and disappointment from investors of Pershing Square Tontine.\nSPACs typically pursue mergers with closely held companies, but after this deal, Pershing Square Tontine will remain listed with about $1.5 billion in cash and access to an additional $1.4 billion with the Pershing Square Funds. It will continue to search for a new business combination, according to its statement on Sunday.\nPershing Square Tontine said it intends to distribute the Universal Music shares to its investors after the music business’s planned public listing in Amsterdam later this year. Investors will also get the right to acquire a stake in a new vehicle known as a special purpose acquisition rights company, or SPARC.\nAs the music industry rebounds from a decadelong slump, Vivendi is cashing in on a boom in subscription music streaming that has inflated the value of its back catalog and a roster of stars including Swift, Drake, U2 and Post Malone. The deal would leave Universal Music with an investment base across the U.S., Europe and Asia. In 2019, a consortium led by China’s Tencent Holdings Ltd. also agreed to buy a stake in Universal Music.\n“After the 20% equity stake acquired by the Consortium led by the Tencent group, the arrival of major American investors provides further evidence of UMG’s global success and attractiveness,” Vivendi said in a separate statement Sunday.\nThe transaction is set to close in the coming weeks, and at the latest by Sept. 15, Vivendi said.\nPerella Weinberg Partners advised the board of directors of Pershing Square Tontine.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PSTH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119676347,"gmtCreate":1622546062989,"gmtModify":1634100634813,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119676347","repostId":"1162926274","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133867440,"gmtCreate":1621736179680,"gmtModify":1634186908930,"author":{"id":"3582586892306458","authorId":"3582586892306458","name":"AndyLiew0707","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78a7866f48596bf9e1b1a90bd0b94bb4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582586892306458","authorIdStr":"3582586892306458"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133867440","repostId":"2137902828","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}