Smith1991的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Smith1991

Smith1991

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2021-05-09

$AMD(AMD)$Sales will surge soon..

2021-05-17

An appl a day keep the donar away

2021-05-04

Totally noidea what to believe now. .

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-05-21

[开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-07

Yea right..

Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>

2021-05-04

Law of impermanence..

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$moreeed

2021-06-24

Tat par

2021-05-08

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$A to the Moon to the Sea(C) AMC

2021-05-03

Great insight thanks

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106538003","repostId":"1153680708","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153680708","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620130776,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153680708?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153680708","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce. U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, ","content":"<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.</li><li>Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.</li><li>Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.</li><li>Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</li></ul>(May 4)&nbsp;U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期货铅库存下降。</li><li>辉瑞、CVS提振前景。</li><li>油价继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平。</li><li>金价小幅走低，至每盎司1782美元。</li></ul>（5月4日）美国。由于投资者消化了新一批企业财报，股指期货早盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:14 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were fell 62 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 16.75 points, or 0.40% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 98.25 points, or 0.71%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:14，道指E-minis下跌62点，跌幅0.18%，标普500 E-minis下跌16.75点，跌幅0.40%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌98.25点，跌幅0.71%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f8612487eb7d9e478b56b8207930107\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&amp;P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.</p><p><blockquote>对于科技股来说，周二可能是抛售的第二天，尽管道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数上涨，因为投资者纷纷买入周期性股票并退出增长较高的股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fbed60932ea8b019823f3fe29bead3\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>FAANMG stocks fell; EV stocks retreated.</p><p><blockquote>FAANMG股价下跌；电动汽车股回落。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5155f64b614f9e0ed08e812feb693cf\" tg-width=\"274\" tg-height=\"321\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc9463ff9ea655918927cdd1d0e47e5\" tg-width=\"268\" tg-height=\"242\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, iRobot, Vaxart &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：CVS Health、iRobot、Vaxart等</b></blockquote></p><p>1)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS) – The drug store and pharmacy benefits management companyearned $2.04 per share in the first quarter, above the consensus estimate of $1.72 a share. Revenue also came in above Wall Street forecasts. CVS saw higher sales at its stores, with customer traffic spurred by Covid-19 vaccination visits. CVS also raised its full-year forecast, and its shares rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>1)CVS Health(CVS)——这家药店和药房福利管理公司第一季度每股盈利2.04美元，高于每股1.72美元的普遍预期。收入也高于华尔街的预期。由于Covid-19疫苗接种访问刺激了顾客流量，CVS商店的销售额有所增加。CVS也上调了全年预期，其股价盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p>2)&nbsp;iRobot(IRBT) – iRobot earned 41 cents per share during the first quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 9 cents a share. The maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, however the stock tumbled 8.6% in the premarket on concerns about shipping and component costs.</p><p><blockquote>2)iRobot(IRBT)-iRobot第一季度每股收益41美分，而市场普遍预期为每股9美分。Roomba机器人吸尘器制造商的收入也超出了预期，但由于对运输和零部件成本的担忧，该股在盘前下跌了8.6%。</blockquote></p><p>3)&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE) – The drugmakerbeat estimates by 16 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 93 cents per share. Revenue also came in above forecasts and the company raised its full-year guidance as sales of its Covid-19 vaccine continue to be stronger than expected. Additionally, the Food and Drug Administration is set to authorize the vaccine for use in adolescents aged 12-15, according to federal officials familiar with the plan who spoke to The New York Times. Pfizer shares added 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3)辉瑞(PFE)——该制药商每股收益超出预期16美分，季度利润为每股93美分。收入也高于预期，由于Covid-19疫苗的销售继续强于预期，该公司上调了全年指引。此外，据熟悉该计划的联邦官员告诉《纽约时报》，美国食品药品监督管理局将授权该疫苗用于12-15岁的青少年。辉瑞股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p>4)&nbsp;Vaxart(VXRT) – Vaxart surged 18.6% in premarket trading after it reported positive results in a phase 1 trial of its oral Covid-19 vaccine. Vaxart said the vaccine could be just as effective as the injected vaccines developed by Pfizer andModerna(MRNA).</p><p><blockquote>4)Vaxart(VXRT)-Vaxart报告其口服Covid-19疫苗1期试验取得积极结果后，盘前交易中股价飙升18.6%。Vaxart表示，该疫苗可能与辉瑞和Moderna(MRNA)开发的注射疫苗一样有效。</blockquote></p><p>5)&nbsp;Under Armour(UAA) – The athletic apparel maker’s stock climbed 2.8% in premarket action after itreported first-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, well above the 3 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts and Under Armour raised its full-year outlook as reopening markets spur demand for shoes and apparel. Separately, the companyagreed to pay $9 millionto settle a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into its accounting.</p><p><blockquote>5)Under Armour(UAA)——这家运动服装制造商公布第一季度每股利润16美分，远高于每股3美分的普遍预期，股价在盘前上涨2.8%。收入也超出了分析师的预期，由于市场重新开放刺激了对鞋子和服装的需求，Under Armour上调了全年预期。另外，该公司同意支付900万美元来解决美国证券交易委员会对其会计的调查。</blockquote></p><p>6)&nbsp;DuPont(DD) – The industrial materials maker reported quarterly profit of 91 cents per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. DuPont is seeing strong demand for its products from semiconductor makers as well as automobile markets, and the company raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast.</p><p><blockquote>6)杜邦(DD)——这家工业材料制造商公布季度利润为每股91美分，比预期高出15美分。收入也超出了分析师的预期。杜邦看到半导体制造商和汽车市场对其产品的强劲需求，该公司上调了全年利润和收入预期。</blockquote></p><p>7)&nbsp;XPO Logistics(XPO) – XPO reported quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 97 cents a share. The transportation company’s revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts, reaching record levels in sharp contrast to usual seasonal trends. XPO also raised its full-year forecast, but its shares lost 1.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>7)XPO Logistics(XPO)-XPO报告季度收益为每股1.46美元，远高于每股97美分的普遍预期。这家运输公司的收入也高于华尔街的预测，达到创纪录水平，与通常的季节性趋势形成鲜明对比。XPO还上调了全年预期，但其股价在盘前下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>8)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget lost 46 cents per share for the first quarter, smaller than the loss of $2.16 a share predicted by analysts. The car rental company’s revenue beat Wall Street forecasts as well amid a jump in demand and more solid pricing for car rentals. The stock fell 1.4% in premarket action despite the upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote>8)Avis Budget(CAR)——Avis Budget第一季度每股亏损46美分，小于分析师预测的每股亏损2.16美元。由于需求激增和汽车租赁定价更加稳定，该汽车租赁公司的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。尽管业绩乐观，但该股在盘前下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p>9)&nbsp;Qiagen(QGEN) – Qiagen reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its latest quarter, as the genetic testing company saw increasing demand for non-coronavirus products as well as strength in its Covid-19 testing business.</p><p><blockquote>9)Qiagen(QGEN)-Qiagen报告了其最新季度的盈利和销售额好于预期，因为这家基因检测公司看到了对非冠状病毒产品的需求不断增加以及其Covid-19检测业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>10)&nbsp;SmileDirectClub(SDC) – SmileDirectClub said its current-quarter sales will be hurt by an April cyberattack, costing it between $10 million and $15 million. The maker of teeth-straightening systems said it successfully blocked the attack and restored its systems to normal. The stock lost 9.2% in the premarket. (Disclosure: NBC Nightly News investigated SmileDirectClub’s customer complaints in February. The company accused NBCUniversal of publishing false information about the company and is seeking $2.85 billion for defamation.)</p><p><blockquote>10)SmileDirectClub(SDC)–SmileDirectClub表示，其本季度的销售额将受到4月份网络攻击的影响，损失在1000万至1500万美元之间。这家牙齿矫正系统制造商表示，它成功阻止了攻击，并使其系统恢复正常。该股盘前下跌9.2%。（披露：NBC晚间新闻在2月份调查了SmileDirectClub的客户投诉。该公司指控NBCUniversal发布了有关该公司的虚假信息，正在寻求28.5亿美元的诽谤赔偿。）</blockquote></p><p>11)&nbsp;Domtar(UFS) – Domtar shares soared 16.1% in premarket action following a Bloomberg report that said Canada’s Paper Excellence is exploring a deal to buy its U.S.-based paper and packaging rival. A deal could value Domtar in the mid-$50 per share range, compared to Monday’s close of $40.52 a share.</p><p><blockquote>11)Domtar(UFS)——彭博社报道称加拿大造纸卓越公司正在探索收购其美国造纸和包装竞争对手的交易后，Domtar股价在盘前飙升16.1%。交易的估值可能在每股50美元左右，而周一收盘价为每股40.52美元。</blockquote></p><p>In commodities, oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level, while gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，石油继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平，而黄金则小幅走低，至每盎司1,782美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-04 20:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.</li><li>Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.</li><li>Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.</li><li>Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</li></ul>(May 4)&nbsp;U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期货铅库存下降。</li><li>辉瑞、CVS提振前景。</li><li>油价继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平。</li><li>金价小幅走低，至每盎司1782美元。</li></ul>（5月4日）美国。由于投资者消化了新一批企业财报，股指期货早盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:14 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were fell 62 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 16.75 points, or 0.40% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 98.25 points, or 0.71%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:14，道指E-minis下跌62点，跌幅0.18%，标普500 E-minis下跌16.75点，跌幅0.40%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌98.25点，跌幅0.71%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f8612487eb7d9e478b56b8207930107\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&amp;P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.</p><p><blockquote>对于科技股来说，周二可能是抛售的第二天，尽管道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数上涨，因为投资者纷纷买入周期性股票并退出增长较高的股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fbed60932ea8b019823f3fe29bead3\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>FAANMG stocks fell; EV stocks retreated.</p><p><blockquote>FAANMG股价下跌；电动汽车股回落。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5155f64b614f9e0ed08e812feb693cf\" tg-width=\"274\" tg-height=\"321\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc9463ff9ea655918927cdd1d0e47e5\" tg-width=\"268\" tg-height=\"242\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, iRobot, Vaxart &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：CVS Health、iRobot、Vaxart等</b></blockquote></p><p>1)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS) – The drug store and pharmacy benefits management companyearned $2.04 per share in the first quarter, above the consensus estimate of $1.72 a share. Revenue also came in above Wall Street forecasts. CVS saw higher sales at its stores, with customer traffic spurred by Covid-19 vaccination visits. CVS also raised its full-year forecast, and its shares rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>1)CVS Health(CVS)——这家药店和药房福利管理公司第一季度每股盈利2.04美元，高于每股1.72美元的普遍预期。收入也高于华尔街的预期。由于Covid-19疫苗接种访问刺激了顾客流量，CVS商店的销售额有所增加。CVS也上调了全年预期，其股价盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p>2)&nbsp;iRobot(IRBT) – iRobot earned 41 cents per share during the first quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 9 cents a share. The maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, however the stock tumbled 8.6% in the premarket on concerns about shipping and component costs.</p><p><blockquote>2)iRobot(IRBT)-iRobot第一季度每股收益41美分，而市场普遍预期为每股9美分。Roomba机器人吸尘器制造商的收入也超出了预期，但由于对运输和零部件成本的担忧，该股在盘前下跌了8.6%。</blockquote></p><p>3)&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE) – The drugmakerbeat estimates by 16 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 93 cents per share. Revenue also came in above forecasts and the company raised its full-year guidance as sales of its Covid-19 vaccine continue to be stronger than expected. Additionally, the Food and Drug Administration is set to authorize the vaccine for use in adolescents aged 12-15, according to federal officials familiar with the plan who spoke to The New York Times. Pfizer shares added 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3)辉瑞(PFE)——该制药商每股收益超出预期16美分，季度利润为每股93美分。收入也高于预期，由于Covid-19疫苗的销售继续强于预期，该公司上调了全年指引。此外，据熟悉该计划的联邦官员告诉《纽约时报》，美国食品药品监督管理局将授权该疫苗用于12-15岁的青少年。辉瑞股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p>4)&nbsp;Vaxart(VXRT) – Vaxart surged 18.6% in premarket trading after it reported positive results in a phase 1 trial of its oral Covid-19 vaccine. Vaxart said the vaccine could be just as effective as the injected vaccines developed by Pfizer andModerna(MRNA).</p><p><blockquote>4)Vaxart(VXRT)-Vaxart报告其口服Covid-19疫苗1期试验取得积极结果后，盘前交易中股价飙升18.6%。Vaxart表示，该疫苗可能与辉瑞和Moderna(MRNA)开发的注射疫苗一样有效。</blockquote></p><p>5)&nbsp;Under Armour(UAA) – The athletic apparel maker’s stock climbed 2.8% in premarket action after itreported first-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, well above the 3 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts and Under Armour raised its full-year outlook as reopening markets spur demand for shoes and apparel. Separately, the companyagreed to pay $9 millionto settle a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into its accounting.</p><p><blockquote>5)Under Armour(UAA)——这家运动服装制造商公布第一季度每股利润16美分，远高于每股3美分的普遍预期，股价在盘前上涨2.8%。收入也超出了分析师的预期，由于市场重新开放刺激了对鞋子和服装的需求，Under Armour上调了全年预期。另外，该公司同意支付900万美元来解决美国证券交易委员会对其会计的调查。</blockquote></p><p>6)&nbsp;DuPont(DD) – The industrial materials maker reported quarterly profit of 91 cents per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. DuPont is seeing strong demand for its products from semiconductor makers as well as automobile markets, and the company raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast.</p><p><blockquote>6)杜邦(DD)——这家工业材料制造商公布季度利润为每股91美分，比预期高出15美分。收入也超出了分析师的预期。杜邦看到半导体制造商和汽车市场对其产品的强劲需求，该公司上调了全年利润和收入预期。</blockquote></p><p>7)&nbsp;XPO Logistics(XPO) – XPO reported quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 97 cents a share. The transportation company’s revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts, reaching record levels in sharp contrast to usual seasonal trends. XPO also raised its full-year forecast, but its shares lost 1.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>7)XPO Logistics(XPO)-XPO报告季度收益为每股1.46美元，远高于每股97美分的普遍预期。这家运输公司的收入也高于华尔街的预测，达到创纪录水平，与通常的季节性趋势形成鲜明对比。XPO还上调了全年预期，但其股价在盘前下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>8)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget lost 46 cents per share for the first quarter, smaller than the loss of $2.16 a share predicted by analysts. The car rental company’s revenue beat Wall Street forecasts as well amid a jump in demand and more solid pricing for car rentals. The stock fell 1.4% in premarket action despite the upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote>8)Avis Budget(CAR)——Avis Budget第一季度每股亏损46美分，小于分析师预测的每股亏损2.16美元。由于需求激增和汽车租赁定价更加稳定，该汽车租赁公司的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。尽管业绩乐观，但该股在盘前下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p>9)&nbsp;Qiagen(QGEN) – Qiagen reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its latest quarter, as the genetic testing company saw increasing demand for non-coronavirus products as well as strength in its Covid-19 testing business.</p><p><blockquote>9)Qiagen(QGEN)-Qiagen报告了其最新季度的盈利和销售额好于预期，因为这家基因检测公司看到了对非冠状病毒产品的需求不断增加以及其Covid-19检测业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>10)&nbsp;SmileDirectClub(SDC) – SmileDirectClub said its current-quarter sales will be hurt by an April cyberattack, costing it between $10 million and $15 million. The maker of teeth-straightening systems said it successfully blocked the attack and restored its systems to normal. The stock lost 9.2% in the premarket. (Disclosure: NBC Nightly News investigated SmileDirectClub’s customer complaints in February. The company accused NBCUniversal of publishing false information about the company and is seeking $2.85 billion for defamation.)</p><p><blockquote>10)SmileDirectClub(SDC)–SmileDirectClub表示，其本季度的销售额将受到4月份网络攻击的影响，损失在1000万至1500万美元之间。这家牙齿矫正系统制造商表示，它成功阻止了攻击，并使其系统恢复正常。该股盘前下跌9.2%。（披露：NBC晚间新闻在2月份调查了SmileDirectClub的客户投诉。该公司指控NBCUniversal发布了有关该公司的虚假信息，正在寻求28.5亿美元的诽谤赔偿。）</blockquote></p><p>11)&nbsp;Domtar(UFS) – Domtar shares soared 16.1% in premarket action following a Bloomberg report that said Canada’s Paper Excellence is exploring a deal to buy its U.S.-based paper and packaging rival. A deal could value Domtar in the mid-$50 per share range, compared to Monday’s close of $40.52 a share.</p><p><blockquote>11)Domtar(UFS)——彭博社报道称加拿大造纸卓越公司正在探索收购其美国造纸和包装竞争对手的交易后，Domtar股价在盘前飙升16.1%。交易的估值可能在每股50美元左右，而周一收盘价为每股40.52美元。</blockquote></p><p>In commodities, oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level, while gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，石油继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平，而黄金则小幅走低，至每盎司1,782美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153680708","content_text":"Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.(May 4) U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.At 8:14 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were fell 62 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.75 points, or 0.40% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 98.25 points, or 0.71%.For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.FAANMG stocks fell; EV stocks retreated.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, iRobot, Vaxart & more1) CVS Health(CVS) – The drug store and pharmacy benefits management companyearned $2.04 per share in the first quarter, above the consensus estimate of $1.72 a share. Revenue also came in above Wall Street forecasts. CVS saw higher sales at its stores, with customer traffic spurred by Covid-19 vaccination visits. CVS also raised its full-year forecast, and its shares rose 3% in the premarket.2) iRobot(IRBT) – iRobot earned 41 cents per share during the first quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 9 cents a share. The maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, however the stock tumbled 8.6% in the premarket on concerns about shipping and component costs.3) Pfizer(PFE) – The drugmakerbeat estimates by 16 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 93 cents per share. Revenue also came in above forecasts and the company raised its full-year guidance as sales of its Covid-19 vaccine continue to be stronger than expected. Additionally, the Food and Drug Administration is set to authorize the vaccine for use in adolescents aged 12-15, according to federal officials familiar with the plan who spoke to The New York Times. Pfizer shares added 1.3% in premarket trading.4) Vaxart(VXRT) – Vaxart surged 18.6% in premarket trading after it reported positive results in a phase 1 trial of its oral Covid-19 vaccine. Vaxart said the vaccine could be just as effective as the injected vaccines developed by Pfizer andModerna(MRNA).5) Under Armour(UAA) – The athletic apparel maker’s stock climbed 2.8% in premarket action after itreported first-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, well above the 3 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts and Under Armour raised its full-year outlook as reopening markets spur demand for shoes and apparel. Separately, the companyagreed to pay $9 millionto settle a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into its accounting.6) DuPont(DD) – The industrial materials maker reported quarterly profit of 91 cents per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. DuPont is seeing strong demand for its products from semiconductor makers as well as automobile markets, and the company raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast.7) XPO Logistics(XPO) – XPO reported quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 97 cents a share. The transportation company’s revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts, reaching record levels in sharp contrast to usual seasonal trends. XPO also raised its full-year forecast, but its shares lost 1.2% in premarket action.8) Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget lost 46 cents per share for the first quarter, smaller than the loss of $2.16 a share predicted by analysts. The car rental company’s revenue beat Wall Street forecasts as well amid a jump in demand and more solid pricing for car rentals. The stock fell 1.4% in premarket action despite the upbeat results.9) Qiagen(QGEN) – Qiagen reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its latest quarter, as the genetic testing company saw increasing demand for non-coronavirus products as well as strength in its Covid-19 testing business.10) SmileDirectClub(SDC) – SmileDirectClub said its current-quarter sales will be hurt by an April cyberattack, costing it between $10 million and $15 million. The maker of teeth-straightening systems said it successfully blocked the attack and restored its systems to normal. The stock lost 9.2% in the premarket. (Disclosure: NBC Nightly News investigated SmileDirectClub’s customer complaints in February. The company accused NBCUniversal of publishing false information about the company and is seeking $2.85 billion for defamation.)11) Domtar(UFS) – Domtar shares soared 16.1% in premarket action following a Bloomberg report that said Canada’s Paper Excellence is exploring a deal to buy its U.S.-based paper and packaging rival. A deal could value Domtar in the mid-$50 per share range, compared to Monday’s close of $40.52 a share.In commodities, oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level, while gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"MYMmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139165656,"gmtCreate":1621601807575,"gmtModify":1634187745023,"author":{"id":"3582501322615775","authorId":"3582501322615775","name":"Smith1991","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc65462656134d969f0d9ffc868e4c57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582501322615775","authorIdStr":"3582501322615775"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139165656","repostId":"2137901627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":104695583,"gmtCreate":1620382020442,"gmtModify":1634205641521,"author":{"id":"3582501322615775","authorId":"3582501322615775","name":"Smith1991","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc65462656134d969f0d9ffc868e4c57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582501322615775","authorIdStr":"3582501322615775"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yea right..&nbsp;","listText":"Yea right..&nbsp;","text":"Yea right..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104695583","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊（AMZN）进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在，它已经成为指数级增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在，上个季度的结果好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）部门也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的结果来看，有逐渐回归之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中，亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，首先，这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中，我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是，如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值，我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元，上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初，类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊（AMZN）进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在，它已经成为指数级增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在，上个季度的结果好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）部门也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的结果来看，有逐渐回归之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中，亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，首先，这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中，我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是，如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值，我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元，上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初，类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. 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