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Syrope

Syrope

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0勋章

2021-06-04

Like and comment pls

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2021-06-08

Like and comment please, thank u. Will replyur post

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2021-06-04

Like and comment pls

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2021-05-16

Comment and like please, thank you

Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>

2021-05-07

Can someone respond to my comment?

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2021-05-29

Thankfully not another Ever Green! Like and comment pls, thanks

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2021-05-18

This means Tesla may continue to drop in prices.. oh no! Please like and comment, thanks

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2021-08-22

Like pls

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2021-05-25

Like and comment please, ty

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2021-05-24

Comment and like please

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moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825646460","repostId":"1192406520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192406520","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634223563,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192406520?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>大麻股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192406520","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos and","content":"<p>Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sundial&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>大麻股在早盘交易中上涨。Canopy Growth、OrganiGram、Aurora Cannabis、Tilray、Cronos和Sundial上涨3%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194ca126574903154d81ddf44c5f7fc6\" tg-width=\"414\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Canada's Canopy Growth Cor&nbsp;said on Thursday it would buy weed gummies maker Wana Brands for $297.5 million, as the world's biggest pot producer looks to expand in the U.S. cannabis market.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大Canopy Growth Cor周四表示，将以2.975亿美元收购杂草软糖制造商Wana Brands，这家全球最大的大麻生产商希望扩大美国大麻市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCannabis stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>大麻股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-14 22:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sundial&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>大麻股在早盘交易中上涨。Canopy Growth、OrganiGram、Aurora Cannabis、Tilray、Cronos和Sundial上涨3%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194ca126574903154d81ddf44c5f7fc6\" tg-width=\"414\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Canada's Canopy Growth Cor&nbsp;said on Thursday it would buy weed gummies maker Wana Brands for $297.5 million, as the world's biggest pot producer looks to expand in the U.S. cannabis market.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大Canopy Growth Cor周四表示，将以2.975亿美元收购杂草软糖制造商Wana Brands，这家全球最大的大麻生产商希望扩大美国大麻市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192406520","content_text":"Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos and Sundial climbed between 3% and 8%.\n\nCanada's Canopy Growth Cor said on Thursday it would buy weed gummies maker Wana Brands for $297.5 million, as the world's biggest pot producer looks to expand in the U.S. cannabis 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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530c9d20ef3f7a34ac83362be028de2f\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, broke above the crucial psychological threshold of $50,000 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 7.</p><p><blockquote>比特币是市值最大的加密货币，周二自9月7日以来首次突破5万美元的关键心理关口。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s too early to say whether this will turn into a new support level in the short term, but it is clear that the overriding market view is bullish,” said Jason Deane, an analyst at Quantum Economics.</p><p><blockquote>Quantum Economics分析师Jason Deane表示：“现在判断这是否会在短期内转变为新的支撑位还为时过早，但很明显，压倒性的市场观点是看涨的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks climb in early trading as bitcoin breaks above $50K<blockquote>随着比特币突破5万美元，加密货币股票在早盘交易中攀升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks climb in early trading as bitcoin breaks above $50K<blockquote>随着比特币突破5万美元，加密货币股票在早盘交易中攀升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-05 21:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bit&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;21%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early trading,&nbsp;Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain,&nbsp;and Silvergate&nbsp;were&nbsp;up&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital股价早盘上涨超过21%，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain和Silvergate上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530c9d20ef3f7a34ac83362be028de2f\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, broke above the crucial psychological threshold of $50,000 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 7.</p><p><blockquote>比特币是市值最大的加密货币，周二自9月7日以来首次突破5万美元的关键心理关口。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s too early to say whether this will turn into a new support level in the short term, but it is clear that the overriding market view is bullish,” said Jason Deane, an analyst at Quantum Economics.</p><p><blockquote>Quantum Economics分析师Jason Deane表示：“现在判断这是否会在短期内转变为新的支撑位还为时过早，但很明显，压倒性的市场观点是看涨的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIOT":"Riot Platforms","MARA":"MARA Holdings","SI":"Shoulder Innovations, Inc.","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199127096","content_text":"Bit Digital shares jumped more than 21% in early trading, Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain, and Silvergate were up more than 3%.\nBitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, broke above the crucial psychological threshold of $50,000 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 7.\n“It’s too early to say whether this will turn into a new support level in the short term, but it is clear that the overriding market view is bullish,” said Jason Deane, an analyst at Quantum Economics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SI":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"BTBT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863489934,"gmtCreate":1632411921828,"gmtModify":1632729952179,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863489934","repostId":"1159478468","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159478468","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632411695,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159478468?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 23:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price<blockquote>EngageSmart开盘价为37美元，较IPO价格上涨约43.6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159478468","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintr","content":"<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月23日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart公司。</a>开盘价为37美元，较IPO价格上涨约43.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于马萨诸塞州布伦特里的EngageSmart成立的目的是开发一个平台，提高针对某些垂直行业的客户参与度。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由创始人兼首席执行官Robert P.Bennett领导，他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作，此前曾担任Sage Payment Solutions总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The company's primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>  <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>  <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>  <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li> </ul> EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>简单实践-健康</li><li>InvoiceCloud–政府、公用事业和金融服务</li><li>HealthPay24-医疗保健</li><li>DonorDrive-非营利和企业筹款</li></ul>EngageSmart已从General Atlantic和Summit Partners等投资者那里获得了至少4.51亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其直销队伍和在线服务追求大型企业客户和中小型企业客户。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司已为中小企业市场的68,000多家客户和企业解决方案领域的3,000多家客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的增加而下降，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>32.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>32.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>33.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>33.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>43.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>43.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近的报告期略有下降至1.1倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.1</p><p><blockquote><td>1.1</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.3</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的经验法则，只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，ESMT的最新计算结果为64%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期收入增长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>59%</p><p><blockquote><td>59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EBITDA%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5%</p><p><blockquote><td>5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>64%</p><p><blockquote><td>64%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年12月31日，该公司以美元计算的净收入保留率为124%，这是一个强劲的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移，每个客户群产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的2021年市场研究报告，2020年全球客户参与解决方案市场规模估计为155亿美元，预计到2026年将达到309亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2026年的预测复合年增长率为12.65%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是技术解决方案的增长，以改善客户通过他们用来与企业联系的任何设备的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，降低客户流失率的愿望会导致企业财务状况的改善和估值的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2018年美国不同行业客户流失率的变化：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p><p><blockquote><li>微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p><p><blockquote><li>细微差别（纳斯达克：暖）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p><p><blockquote><li>甲骨文（纽约证券交易所代码：ORCL）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Salesforce（纽约证券交易所代码：CRM）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p><p><blockquote><li>Avaya（纽约证券交易所代码：AVYA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Calabrio</p><p><blockquote><li>卡拉布里奥</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Aspect Software</p><p><blockquote><li>Aspect软件</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Genesys</p><p><blockquote><li>创世纪</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p><p><blockquote><li>Verint Systems（纳斯达克：VRNT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p><p><blockquote><li>尼斯有限公司（纳斯达克：NICE）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>OpenText</p><p><blockquote><li>OpenText</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p><p><blockquote><li>飞马系统（纳斯达克：PEGA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>EngageSmart最近的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growing topline revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收不断增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>毛利增加，毛利率高</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Growing operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润不断增长</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>增加经营现金流</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 99,171,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$99,171,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 146,557,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$146,557,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>77.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>77.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 82,432,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$82,432,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往差异%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 73,673,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$73,673,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>61.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>61.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 108,964,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$108,964,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>89.2%</p><p><blockquote><td>89.2%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 57,591,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$57,591,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.29%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.29%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.35%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.35%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>69.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>69.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 5,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$5,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 648,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$648,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (50,398,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(50,398,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-61.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>-61.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 274,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$274,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,678,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,678,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (53,598,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(53,598,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 12,044,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$12,044,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 19,645,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$19,645,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (1,427,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(1,427,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td>（术语表）</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，EngageSmart拥有现金3180万美元，总负债1.518亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内的自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Details</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO详情</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT打算出售1300万股股票，出售股东将以每股24.00美元的拟议中中间价发行155万股普通股，总收益约为3.49亿美元，不包括出售惯常承销商期权。</blockquote></p><p> New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p><p><blockquote>新的潜在投资者Dragoneer Investment Group已表示有兴趣购买此次发行的210万股股票，即按拟议中的中点价格购买约5040万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>假设在拟议价格范围的中点成功IPO，该公司IPO时的企业价值（前承销商期权）将约为37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p><p><blockquote>排除承销商期权和私募股份或限制性股票（如有）的影响，流通股与流通股的比率约为9.04%。低于10%的数字通常被认为是“低流通量”股票，可能会受到价格大幅波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司最新的监管文件，它计划使用净收益如下：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.    Source: SEC  Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计将使用本次发行的净收益全额偿还我们信贷安排下约1.142亿美元的未偿借款。我们目前打算将本次发行的剩余净收益用于一般公司目的，包括为我们的增长提供资金、收购互补业务、产品、服务或技术、营运资金、运营费用和资本支出。资料来源：SEC管理层对公司路演的介绍可在此处获得。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p><p><blockquote>关于未决法律诉讼，截至监管备案日，管理层未披露针对该公司的任何法律索赔。</blockquote></p><p> Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p><p><blockquote>此次IPO的上市承销商包括摩根大通、高盛、美银证券和其他投资银行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表列出了该公司IPO时的相关资本化和估值指标，不包括承销商期权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,862,956,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,862,956,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,656,695,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,656,695,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>9.04%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.04%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$24.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$24.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$25,236,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,236,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.65%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.65%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，潜在的公共可比公司是NICE Ltd.；下图是其主要估值指标的比较：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>公制</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>尼斯有限公司。</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>EngageSmart</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>参与智能</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.01</p><p><blockquote><td>11.01</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>91.5%</p><p><blockquote><td>91.5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.67</p><p><blockquote><td>10.67</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>87.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>87.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41.73</p><p><blockquote><td>41.73</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>804.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>804.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$3.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1003.34%</p><p><blockquote><td>1003.34%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> (S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>（S-1/A和Seeking Alpha）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT正在寻求公共投资来偿还债务及其未具体说明的总体企业增长计划。</blockquote></p><p> The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示，随着运营现金流的增长，营业利润和小幅净利润增长强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加，销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比有所下降，其销售和营销效率在最近六个月的报告期内降至1.1倍。</blockquote></p><p> The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的40法则表现出色，截至2020年12月31日止年度以美元计算的净收入保留率为124%，这是一个强劲的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p><p><blockquote>为企业提供客户参与软件的市场机会很大，预计到2026年底规模将翻一番，因此该公司将受益于强劲的行业增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通是主要承销商，该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为20.4%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景的主要风险是大型公司有能力将其部分服务捆绑到现有产品中，从而导致价格下行压力和竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与部分竞争对手NICE相比，ESMT的收入增长速度要快得多，因此其更高的收入倍数似乎是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司的增长速度远快于竞争对手Pegasystems，因此似乎正在从这些公司和其他公司手中夺取客户参与市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该公司相对于竞争对手的强劲增长和运营指标，虽然IPO并不便宜，但值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price<blockquote>EngageSmart开盘价为37美元，较IPO价格上涨约43.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由创始人兼首席执行官Robert P.Bennett领导，他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作，此前曾担任Sage Payment Solutions总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The company's primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>  <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>  <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>  <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li> </ul> EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>简单实践-健康</li><li>InvoiceCloud–政府、公用事业和金融服务</li><li>HealthPay24-医疗保健</li><li>DonorDrive-非营利和企业筹款</li></ul>EngageSmart已从General Atlantic和Summit Partners等投资者那里获得了至少4.51亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其直销队伍和在线服务追求大型企业客户和中小型企业客户。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司已为中小企业市场的68,000多家客户和企业解决方案领域的3,000多家客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的增加而下降，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>32.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>32.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>33.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>33.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>43.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>43.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近的报告期略有下降至1.1倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.1</p><p><blockquote><td>1.1</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.3</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的经验法则，只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，ESMT的最新计算结果为64%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期收入增长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>59%</p><p><blockquote><td>59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EBITDA%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5%</p><p><blockquote><td>5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>64%</p><p><blockquote><td>64%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年12月31日，该公司以美元计算的净收入保留率为124%，这是一个强劲的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移，每个客户群产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的2021年市场研究报告，2020年全球客户参与解决方案市场规模估计为155亿美元，预计到2026年将达到309亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2026年的预测复合年增长率为12.65%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是技术解决方案的增长，以改善客户通过他们用来与企业联系的任何设备的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，降低客户流失率的愿望会导致企业财务状况的改善和估值的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2018年美国不同行业客户流失率的变化：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p><p><blockquote><li>微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p><p><blockquote><li>细微差别（纳斯达克：暖）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p><p><blockquote><li>甲骨文（纽约证券交易所代码：ORCL）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Salesforce（纽约证券交易所代码：CRM）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p><p><blockquote><li>Avaya（纽约证券交易所代码：AVYA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Calabrio</p><p><blockquote><li>卡拉布里奥</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Aspect Software</p><p><blockquote><li>Aspect软件</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Genesys</p><p><blockquote><li>创世纪</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p><p><blockquote><li>Verint Systems（纳斯达克：VRNT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p><p><blockquote><li>尼斯有限公司（纳斯达克：NICE）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>OpenText</p><p><blockquote><li>OpenText</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p><p><blockquote><li>飞马系统（纳斯达克：PEGA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>EngageSmart最近的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growing topline revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收不断增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>毛利增加，毛利率高</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Growing operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润不断增长</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>增加经营现金流</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 99,171,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$99,171,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 146,557,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$146,557,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>77.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>77.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 82,432,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$82,432,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往差异%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 73,673,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$73,673,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>61.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>61.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 108,964,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$108,964,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>89.2%</p><p><blockquote><td>89.2%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 57,591,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$57,591,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.29%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.29%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.35%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.35%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>69.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>69.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 5,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$5,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 648,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$648,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (50,398,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(50,398,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-61.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>-61.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 274,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$274,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,678,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,678,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (53,598,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(53,598,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 12,044,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$12,044,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 19,645,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$19,645,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (1,427,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(1,427,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td>（术语表）</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，EngageSmart拥有现金3180万美元，总负债1.518亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内的自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Details</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO详情</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT打算出售1300万股股票，出售股东将以每股24.00美元的拟议中中间价发行155万股普通股，总收益约为3.49亿美元，不包括出售惯常承销商期权。</blockquote></p><p> New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p><p><blockquote>新的潜在投资者Dragoneer Investment Group已表示有兴趣购买此次发行的210万股股票，即按拟议中的中点价格购买约5040万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>假设在拟议价格范围的中点成功IPO，该公司IPO时的企业价值（前承销商期权）将约为37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p><p><blockquote>排除承销商期权和私募股份或限制性股票（如有）的影响，流通股与流通股的比率约为9.04%。低于10%的数字通常被认为是“低流通量”股票，可能会受到价格大幅波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司最新的监管文件，它计划使用净收益如下：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.    Source: SEC  Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计将使用本次发行的净收益全额偿还我们信贷安排下约1.142亿美元的未偿借款。我们目前打算将本次发行的剩余净收益用于一般公司目的，包括为我们的增长提供资金、收购互补业务、产品、服务或技术、营运资金、运营费用和资本支出。资料来源：SEC管理层对公司路演的介绍可在此处获得。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p><p><blockquote>关于未决法律诉讼，截至监管备案日，管理层未披露针对该公司的任何法律索赔。</blockquote></p><p> Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p><p><blockquote>此次IPO的上市承销商包括摩根大通、高盛、美银证券和其他投资银行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表列出了该公司IPO时的相关资本化和估值指标，不包括承销商期权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,862,956,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,862,956,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,656,695,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,656,695,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>9.04%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.04%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$24.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$24.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$25,236,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,236,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.65%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.65%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，潜在的公共可比公司是NICE Ltd.；下图是其主要估值指标的比较：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>公制</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>尼斯有限公司。</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>EngageSmart</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>参与智能</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.01</p><p><blockquote><td>11.01</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>91.5%</p><p><blockquote><td>91.5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.67</p><p><blockquote><td>10.67</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>87.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>87.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41.73</p><p><blockquote><td>41.73</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>804.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>804.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$3.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1003.34%</p><p><blockquote><td>1003.34%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> (S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>（S-1/A和Seeking Alpha）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT正在寻求公共投资来偿还债务及其未具体说明的总体企业增长计划。</blockquote></p><p> The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示，随着运营现金流的增长，营业利润和小幅净利润增长强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加，销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比有所下降，其销售和营销效率在最近六个月的报告期内降至1.1倍。</blockquote></p><p> The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的40法则表现出色，截至2020年12月31日止年度以美元计算的净收入保留率为124%，这是一个强劲的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p><p><blockquote>为企业提供客户参与软件的市场机会很大，预计到2026年底规模将翻一番，因此该公司将受益于强劲的行业增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通是主要承销商，该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为20.4%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景的主要风险是大型公司有能力将其部分服务捆绑到现有产品中，从而导致价格下行压力和竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与部分竞争对手NICE相比，ESMT的收入增长速度要快得多，因此其更高的收入倍数似乎是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司的增长速度远快于竞争对手Pegasystems，因此似乎正在从这些公司和其他公司手中夺取客户参与市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该公司相对于竞争对手的强劲增长和运营指标，虽然IPO并不便宜，但值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159478468","content_text":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.\nManagement is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.\nThe company's primary offerings include:\n\nSimplePractice - Wellness\nInvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services\nHealthPay24 - Healthcare\nDonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising\n\nEngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.\nAs of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n32.4%\n\n\n2020\n33.1%\n\n\n2019\n43.1%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.1\n\n\n2020\n1.3\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n59%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n5%\n\n\nTotal\n64%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.\nAlso, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.\nBelow is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nIBM(NYSE:IBM)\nMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)\nNuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)\nOracle(NYSE:ORCL)\nSalesforce(NYSE:CRM)\nAvaya(NYSE:AVYA)\nCalabrio\nAspect Software\nGenesys\nVerint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)\nNICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)\nOpenText\nPegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nEngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nGrowing topline revenue\nIncreasing gross profit and high gross margin\nGrowing operating profit and net income\nIncreasing cash flow from operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 99,171,000\n58.6%\n\n\n2020\n$ 146,557,000\n77.8%\n\n\n2019\n$ 82,432,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 73,673,000\n61.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ 108,964,000\n89.2%\n\n\n2019\n$ 57,591,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.29%\n\n\n2020\n74.35%\n\n\n2019\n69.86%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 5,001,000\n5.0%\n\n\n2020\n$ 648,000\n0.4%\n\n\n2019\n$ (50,398,000)\n-61.1%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 274,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,678,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (53,598,000)\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 12,044,000\n\n\n2020\n$ 19,645,000\n\n\n2019\n$ (1,427,000)\n\n\n\n(Glossary Of Terms)\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.\nIPO Details\nESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.\nNew potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.\nAssuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.\nExcluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.\nPer the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:\n\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n\n\n Source: SEC\n\nManagement's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.\nRegarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.\nListed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,862,956,720\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,656,695,720\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n21.09\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n19.96\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n377.37\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$0.00\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n9.04%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$24.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n$25,236,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n0.65%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n58.59%\n\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nNice Ltd.\nEngageSmart\nVariance\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n11.01\n21.09\n91.5%\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n10.67\n19.96\n87.1%\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n41.73\n377.37\n804.3%\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$3.05\n$0.00\n-100.0%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n5.3%\n58.59%\n1003.34%\n\n\n\n\n(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)\nCommentary\nESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.\nThe firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.\nThe company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.\nJPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.\nAs for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.\nAlso, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.\nGiven the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887872627,"gmtCreate":1632022096569,"gmtModify":1632803283632,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Stay safe, everyone! Like pls","listText":"Stay safe, everyone! Like pls","text":"Stay safe, everyone! Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887872627","repostId":"2168089015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884281280,"gmtCreate":1631893775640,"gmtModify":1632805497735,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please?","listText":"Like please?","text":"Like please?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884281280","repostId":"2168885573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882470798,"gmtCreate":1631717152814,"gmtModify":1631886783162,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882470798","repostId":"1118481158","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118481158","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631703727,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118481158?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 19:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 4 Stocks Are Netting Warren Buffett a Combined $3.1 Billion in Annual Dividend Income<blockquote>这4只股票为沃伦·巴菲特带来了总计31亿美元的年度股息收入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118481158","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"More than half of Berkshire Hathaway's dividend payouts are generated from four holdings.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Dividend stocks have played a key role in the Oracle of Omaha's long-term success.</li>  <li>Collectively, these four holdings will pay out a little over $3.1 billion in dividend income to Buffett's company over the next year.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股息股票在奥马哈先知的长期成功中发挥了关键作用。</li><li>总的来说，这四家持股将在明年向巴菲特的公司支付略高于31亿美元的股息收入。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Few if any investors have been as successful over the long run as&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>'s&nbsp;(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)Warren Buffett. Since taking over as CEO in 1965, he's led his company's stock to an&nbsp;annual average return of 20%. Including the year-to-date return of the Class A shares (BRK.A), we're talking about an aggregate gain approaching 3,400,000%.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，很少有投资者能像<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）沃伦·巴菲特。自1965年接任首席执行官以来，他带领公司股票的年平均回报率为20%。包括A类股(BRK.A)年初至今的回报率在内，我们谈论的总涨幅接近3,400,000%。</blockquote></p><p> There are&nbsp;a number of reasons&nbsp;Buffett is a successful investor. For example, he buys stakes in businesses he understands well, and he often focuses on companies that have clear and sustainable competitive advantages. However, the biggest puzzle piece to the Oracle of Omaha's success might be his affinity for&nbsp;dividend stocks.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特成为成功投资者的原因有很多。例如，他购买他非常了解的企业的股份，他经常关注那些具有明确和可持续竞争优势的公司。然而，奥马哈先知成功的最大难题可能是他对股息股票的喜爱。</blockquote></p><p> This year, Berkshire Hathaway is set to collect more than $5 billion in dividend income. Of this more than $5 billion, Buffett and his investing team will receive a little over $3.1 billion from just four stocks.</p><p><blockquote>今年，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司预计将获得超过50亿美元的股息收入。在这超过50亿美元的资金中，巴菲特和他的投资团队将从四只股票中获得略高于31亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0127a7236d64db02cb47145f25e2ec9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY CEO WARREN BUFFETT. IMAGE SOURCE: THE MOTLEY FOOL.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特。图片来源：杂色傻瓜。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America: $867,595,685 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行：年度股息收入867,595,685美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett's golden goose on the dividend front is money-center behemoth&nbsp;<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:BAC). With over 1 billion shares held in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, the $0.84 base annual payout from BofA will yield almost $868 million in&nbsp;dividend income&nbsp;over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股息方面的金鹅是货币中心巨头<b>美国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BAC）。伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合持有超过10亿股股票，美国银行0.84美元的基本年度派息将在未来12个月内产生近8.68亿美元的股息收入。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America is what you might call the prototypical Buffett stock. Like most bank stocks, it's a cyclical company that's primed to benefit from long periods of economic expansion. Even though recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they usually only last a few months or a couple of quarters. By comparison, periods of expansion are measured in years and allow BofA's bread-and-butter growth segments, such as loans and deposits, to thrive.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行就是你可能会看涨期权的典型巴菲特股票。与大多数银行股一样，它是一家周期性公司，有望从长期经济扩张中受益。尽管衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但它们通常只持续几个月或几个季度。相比之下，扩张期是以年为单位的，这使得美国银行的主要增长领域（例如贷款和存款）蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> What makes Bank of America such an intriguing investment at the moment is its interest-rate sensitivity. No money-center bank sees its interest income potential move up or down more because of changes in the interest rate yield curve. According to the company, a 100-basis-point parallel shift in the interest rate yield curve&nbsp;would add an estimated $8 billion in net interest income&nbsp;over 12 months. When rates inevitably do rise, this added net interest income will go straight to its bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行目前之所以成为如此吸引人的投资，是因为它对利率的敏感性。没有一家货币中心银行会因为利率收益率曲线的变化而看到其利息收入潜力上升或下降更多。据该公司称，利率收益率曲线平行移动100个基点将在12个月内增加约80亿美元的净利息收入。当利率不可避免地上升时，增加的净利息收入将直接进入其利润。</blockquote></p><p> As one final note, Bank of America has done an excellent job with its digitization efforts. With more people than ever banking online or through mobile apps, BofA has been able to consolidate some of its branches and improve its operating performance.</p><p><blockquote>最后一点，美国银行在数字化方面做得非常出色。随着网上银行或通过移动应用程序办理银行业务的人数比以往任何时候都多，美国银行已经能够整合其一些分支机构并提高其运营绩效。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d62012b118a588b5ce165ba9e6e12a9a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Occidental Petroleum (preferred shares): $800,000,000 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>西方石油公司（优先股）：年度股息收入800,000,000美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Though you won't see it listed in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, Buffett's company owns $10 billion worth of preferred stock from oil and gas company&nbsp;<b>Occidental Petroleum</b>(NYSE:OXY).</p><p><blockquote>尽管你不会在伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合中看到它上市，但巴菲特的公司拥有石油和天然气公司价值100亿美元的优先股<b>西方石油公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：OXY）。</blockquote></p><p> Back in 2019, Berkshire Hathaway provided $10 billion in financing to allow Occidental to acquire Anadarko Petroleum, which was also being courted by integrated oil and gas giant&nbsp;<b>Chevron</b>. In return for handing over $10 billion, Buffett's company was granted 100,000 preferred shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, each with a value of $100,000. Most importantly, these preferred shares yield a cool 8% annually. Although&nbsp;it remains Occidental's prerogative&nbsp;whether this dividend is paid in cash or with issued shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, Buffett and his team have the option of collecting this payout for at least a decade.</p><p><blockquote>早在2019年，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司就提供了100亿美元的融资，允许西方石油公司收购阿纳达科石油公司，该公司也受到了综合油气巨头的青睐<b>雪佛龙</b>.作为交出100亿美元的回报，巴菲特的公司获得了10万股西方石油公司股票的优先股，每股价值10万美元。最重要的是，这些优先股的年收益率高达8%。尽管无论这笔股息是以现金还是以西方石油公司已发行的股票支付，这仍然是西方石油公司的特权，但巴菲特和他的团队可以选择在至少十年内收取这笔股息。</blockquote></p><p> It should be noted that this deal also carries warrants to purchase up to 80 million shares of Occidental Petroleum stock at $62.50 per share. Although Occidental's share price is well below this mark at the moment, a sustainable rebound in oil prices and a&nbsp;successful deleveraging of its balance sheet&nbsp;might make these warrants worthwhile years down the road.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的是，这笔交易还附带以每股62.50美元的价格购买最多8000万股西方石油股票的认股权证。尽管西方石油公司的股价目前远低于这一关口，但油价的可持续反弹及其资产负债表的成功去杠杆化可能会使这些认股权证在未来几年变得值得。</blockquote></p><p> Despite Buffett and his team selling their common stock holdings in Occidental Petroleum, it's pretty evident they have no desire to part ways with this inflation-topping return of 8% each year from the preferred shares.</p><p><blockquote>尽管巴菲特和他的团队出售了他们持有的西方石油公司普通股，但很明显，他们并不想放弃优先股每年8%的通胀高于预期的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444424b2704605c7e9e9c80e1827f6a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1324\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: APPLE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：苹果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple: $798,652,590 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果：年度股息收入798,652,590美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's so-called \"third business\" is another source of big-time dividend income. Innovation kingpin&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), the&nbsp;largest holding by far in Buffett's portfolio, is netting Berkshire almost $799 million annually.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司所谓的“第三业务”是巨额股息收入的另一个来源。创新金并<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）是迄今为止巴菲特投资组合中最大的股票，每年为伯克希尔带来近7.99亿美元的净收入。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's success is a reflection of consumers' incredible loyalty to the company, its dominance in certain categories, and its innovation. For instance, it's the most dominant provider of smartphones in the United States. According to Counterpoint Research, iPhone sales have accounted for between 53% and 65% of all U.S. smartphone share over the past three quarters. That's more than double its next closest competitor,<b>Samsung</b>. Not surprisingly, customer lines often wrap around Apple's stores when new products are launched.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的成功反映了消费者对该公司难以置信的忠诚度、该公司在某些类别中的主导地位及其创新。例如，它是美国最主要的智能手机提供商。根据Counterpoint Research的数据，过去三个季度，iPhone销量占美国所有智能手机份额的53%至65%。这是其第二接近的竞争对手的两倍多，<b>三星</b>毫不奇怪，当新产品推出时，苹果的商店经常会挤满顾客。</blockquote></p><p> However,the future for Apple lies with its services and subscriptions. CEO Tim Cook is overseeing a long-term transition that'll emphasize these higher-margin platforms. Ultimately, services should reduce the revenue lumpiness associated with product cycles and improve long-term operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的未来在于其服务和订阅。首席执行官蒂姆·库克正在监督一项长期转型，该转型将强调这些利润率更高的平台。最终，服务应该减少与产品周期相关的收入波动并提高长期营业利润率。</blockquote></p><p> What often gets overlooked with Apple is what a capital return superstar it's been. Since reintroducing a quarterly dividend in the summer of 2012, Apple has increased its payout by 132%. What's more, Apple spent in the neighborhood of $380 billion repurchasing 10.6 billion shares of its own common stock since commencing its share repurchase program in 2013. In other words, Apple's shareholders are getting rewarded in a multitude of ways.</p><p><blockquote>苹果经常被忽视的是它是一位资本回报巨星。自2012年夏季重新引入季度股息以来，苹果已将派息增加了132%。更重要的是，自2013年启动股票回购计划以来，苹果已花费约3800亿美元回购了106亿股自己的普通股。换句话说，苹果的股东正在以多种方式获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f64dcdff17a24b8a4e277db734557537\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: COCA-COLA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：可口可乐。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola: $672,000,000 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐：年度股息收入672,000,000美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The fourth and final Buffett stock that's contributing a boatload of dividend income each year is beverage company&nbsp;<b>Coca-Cola</b>(NYSE:KO). Coke is&nbsp;Buffett's longest-tenured holding, at 33 years.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特每年贡献大量股息收入的第四只也是最后一只股票是饮料公司<b>可口可乐</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：KO）。可口可乐是巴菲特持有时间最长的股票，为33年。</blockquote></p><p> Coca-Cola's consistent and growing profitability is a function of a couple of factors. First, it's working with incredible geographic diversity. With the exception of North Korea and Cuba, Coke sells its products in every other country around the world. This means a recession in a few countries won't necessarily hurt its profit potential.</p><p><blockquote>可口可乐持续且不断增长的盈利能力是几个因素的函数。首先，它与令人难以置信的地理多样性一起工作。除了朝鲜和古巴，可口可乐在世界上所有其他国家都有销售。这意味着少数国家的经济衰退不一定会损害其利润潜力。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, Coca-Cola also possesses a 20% share of the cold-beverage market in developed markets, along with a 10% share of cold beverages sold in emerging markets. This position allows it to generate plenty of predictable cash flow from developed markets while leaning on the faster growth potential of developing markets. All told, the company has more than 20 global brands bringing in at least $1 billion in annual sales.</p><p><blockquote>在此基础上，可口可乐还拥有发达市场冷饮市场20%的份额，以及新兴市场冷饮销售的10%的份额。这一地位使其能够从发达市场产生大量可预测的现金流，同时依靠发展中市场更快的增长潜力。总而言之，该公司拥有20多个全球品牌，年销售额至少为10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coke's global brand awareness is tough to beat, as well. It's&nbsp;one of the most recognized brands in the world&nbsp;and has historically had little issue crossing generational gaps to reach consumers. With everything from holiday tie-ins to social media marketing at its disposal, Coke is as steady as they come in the profit department. Perhaps that's why it's raised its base annual payout for 59 consecutive years.</p><p><blockquote>可口可乐的全球品牌知名度也很难被击败。它是世界上最受认可的品牌之一，历史上跨越代沟接触消费者几乎没有问题。从假日搭售到社交媒体营销，可口可乐的一切都在其支配之下，它在利润部门的表现和他们一样稳定。也许这就是它连续59年提高基本年度派息的原因。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 4 Stocks Are Netting Warren Buffett a Combined $3.1 Billion in Annual Dividend Income<blockquote>这4只股票为沃伦·巴菲特带来了总计31亿美元的年度股息收入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 4 Stocks Are Netting Warren Buffett a Combined $3.1 Billion in Annual Dividend Income<blockquote>这4只股票为沃伦·巴菲特带来了总计31亿美元的年度股息收入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-15 19:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Dividend stocks have played a key role in the Oracle of Omaha's long-term success.</li>  <li>Collectively, these four holdings will pay out a little over $3.1 billion in dividend income to Buffett's company over the next year.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股息股票在奥马哈先知的长期成功中发挥了关键作用。</li><li>总的来说，这四家持股将在明年向巴菲特的公司支付略高于31亿美元的股息收入。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Few if any investors have been as successful over the long run as&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>'s&nbsp;(NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)Warren Buffett. Since taking over as CEO in 1965, he's led his company's stock to an&nbsp;annual average return of 20%. Including the year-to-date return of the Class A shares (BRK.A), we're talking about an aggregate gain approaching 3,400,000%.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，很少有投资者能像<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.A）（纽约证券交易所代码：BRK.B）沃伦·巴菲特。自1965年接任首席执行官以来，他带领公司股票的年平均回报率为20%。包括A类股(BRK.A)年初至今的回报率在内，我们谈论的总涨幅接近3,400,000%。</blockquote></p><p> There are&nbsp;a number of reasons&nbsp;Buffett is a successful investor. For example, he buys stakes in businesses he understands well, and he often focuses on companies that have clear and sustainable competitive advantages. However, the biggest puzzle piece to the Oracle of Omaha's success might be his affinity for&nbsp;dividend stocks.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特成为成功投资者的原因有很多。例如，他购买他非常了解的企业的股份，他经常关注那些具有明确和可持续竞争优势的公司。然而，奥马哈先知成功的最大难题可能是他对股息股票的喜爱。</blockquote></p><p> This year, Berkshire Hathaway is set to collect more than $5 billion in dividend income. Of this more than $5 billion, Buffett and his investing team will receive a little over $3.1 billion from just four stocks.</p><p><blockquote>今年，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司预计将获得超过50亿美元的股息收入。在这超过50亿美元的资金中，巴菲特和他的投资团队将从四只股票中获得略高于31亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0127a7236d64db02cb47145f25e2ec9\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY CEO WARREN BUFFETT. IMAGE SOURCE: THE MOTLEY FOOL.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特。图片来源：杂色傻瓜。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America: $867,595,685 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行：年度股息收入867,595,685美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett's golden goose on the dividend front is money-center behemoth&nbsp;<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:BAC). With over 1 billion shares held in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, the $0.84 base annual payout from BofA will yield almost $868 million in&nbsp;dividend income&nbsp;over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股息方面的金鹅是货币中心巨头<b>美国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BAC）。伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合持有超过10亿股股票，美国银行0.84美元的基本年度派息将在未来12个月内产生近8.68亿美元的股息收入。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America is what you might call the prototypical Buffett stock. Like most bank stocks, it's a cyclical company that's primed to benefit from long periods of economic expansion. Even though recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they usually only last a few months or a couple of quarters. By comparison, periods of expansion are measured in years and allow BofA's bread-and-butter growth segments, such as loans and deposits, to thrive.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行就是你可能会看涨期权的典型巴菲特股票。与大多数银行股一样，它是一家周期性公司，有望从长期经济扩张中受益。尽管衰退是经济周期不可避免的一部分，但它们通常只持续几个月或几个季度。相比之下，扩张期是以年为单位的，这使得美国银行的主要增长领域（例如贷款和存款）蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> What makes Bank of America such an intriguing investment at the moment is its interest-rate sensitivity. No money-center bank sees its interest income potential move up or down more because of changes in the interest rate yield curve. According to the company, a 100-basis-point parallel shift in the interest rate yield curve&nbsp;would add an estimated $8 billion in net interest income&nbsp;over 12 months. When rates inevitably do rise, this added net interest income will go straight to its bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行目前之所以成为如此吸引人的投资，是因为它对利率的敏感性。没有一家货币中心银行会因为利率收益率曲线的变化而看到其利息收入潜力上升或下降更多。据该公司称，利率收益率曲线平行移动100个基点将在12个月内增加约80亿美元的净利息收入。当利率不可避免地上升时，增加的净利息收入将直接进入其利润。</blockquote></p><p> As one final note, Bank of America has done an excellent job with its digitization efforts. With more people than ever banking online or through mobile apps, BofA has been able to consolidate some of its branches and improve its operating performance.</p><p><blockquote>最后一点，美国银行在数字化方面做得非常出色。随着网上银行或通过移动应用程序办理银行业务的人数比以往任何时候都多，美国银行已经能够整合其一些分支机构并提高其运营绩效。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d62012b118a588b5ce165ba9e6e12a9a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Occidental Petroleum (preferred shares): $800,000,000 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>西方石油公司（优先股）：年度股息收入800,000,000美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Though you won't see it listed in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, Buffett's company owns $10 billion worth of preferred stock from oil and gas company&nbsp;<b>Occidental Petroleum</b>(NYSE:OXY).</p><p><blockquote>尽管你不会在伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的投资组合中看到它上市，但巴菲特的公司拥有石油和天然气公司价值100亿美元的优先股<b>西方石油公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：OXY）。</blockquote></p><p> Back in 2019, Berkshire Hathaway provided $10 billion in financing to allow Occidental to acquire Anadarko Petroleum, which was also being courted by integrated oil and gas giant&nbsp;<b>Chevron</b>. In return for handing over $10 billion, Buffett's company was granted 100,000 preferred shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, each with a value of $100,000. Most importantly, these preferred shares yield a cool 8% annually. Although&nbsp;it remains Occidental's prerogative&nbsp;whether this dividend is paid in cash or with issued shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, Buffett and his team have the option of collecting this payout for at least a decade.</p><p><blockquote>早在2019年，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司就提供了100亿美元的融资，允许西方石油公司收购阿纳达科石油公司，该公司也受到了综合油气巨头的青睐<b>雪佛龙</b>.作为交出100亿美元的回报，巴菲特的公司获得了10万股西方石油公司股票的优先股，每股价值10万美元。最重要的是，这些优先股的年收益率高达8%。尽管无论这笔股息是以现金还是以西方石油公司已发行的股票支付，这仍然是西方石油公司的特权，但巴菲特和他的团队可以选择在至少十年内收取这笔股息。</blockquote></p><p> It should be noted that this deal also carries warrants to purchase up to 80 million shares of Occidental Petroleum stock at $62.50 per share. Although Occidental's share price is well below this mark at the moment, a sustainable rebound in oil prices and a&nbsp;successful deleveraging of its balance sheet&nbsp;might make these warrants worthwhile years down the road.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的是，这笔交易还附带以每股62.50美元的价格购买最多8000万股西方石油股票的认股权证。尽管西方石油公司的股价目前远低于这一关口，但油价的可持续反弹及其资产负债表的成功去杠杆化可能会使这些认股权证在未来几年变得值得。</blockquote></p><p> Despite Buffett and his team selling their common stock holdings in Occidental Petroleum, it's pretty evident they have no desire to part ways with this inflation-topping return of 8% each year from the preferred shares.</p><p><blockquote>尽管巴菲特和他的团队出售了他们持有的西方石油公司普通股，但很明显，他们并不想放弃优先股每年8%的通胀高于预期的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/444424b2704605c7e9e9c80e1827f6a7\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1324\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: APPLE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：苹果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple: $798,652,590 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果：年度股息收入798,652,590美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Berkshire Hathaway's so-called \"third business\" is another source of big-time dividend income. Innovation kingpin&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), the&nbsp;largest holding by far in Buffett's portfolio, is netting Berkshire almost $799 million annually.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司所谓的“第三业务”是巨额股息收入的另一个来源。创新金并<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）是迄今为止巴菲特投资组合中最大的股票，每年为伯克希尔带来近7.99亿美元的净收入。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's success is a reflection of consumers' incredible loyalty to the company, its dominance in certain categories, and its innovation. For instance, it's the most dominant provider of smartphones in the United States. According to Counterpoint Research, iPhone sales have accounted for between 53% and 65% of all U.S. smartphone share over the past three quarters. That's more than double its next closest competitor,<b>Samsung</b>. Not surprisingly, customer lines often wrap around Apple's stores when new products are launched.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的成功反映了消费者对该公司难以置信的忠诚度、该公司在某些类别中的主导地位及其创新。例如，它是美国最主要的智能手机提供商。根据Counterpoint Research的数据，过去三个季度，iPhone销量占美国所有智能手机份额的53%至65%。这是其第二接近的竞争对手的两倍多，<b>三星</b>毫不奇怪，当新产品推出时，苹果的商店经常会挤满顾客。</blockquote></p><p> However,the future for Apple lies with its services and subscriptions. CEO Tim Cook is overseeing a long-term transition that'll emphasize these higher-margin platforms. Ultimately, services should reduce the revenue lumpiness associated with product cycles and improve long-term operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的未来在于其服务和订阅。首席执行官蒂姆·库克正在监督一项长期转型，该转型将强调这些利润率更高的平台。最终，服务应该减少与产品周期相关的收入波动并提高长期营业利润率。</blockquote></p><p> What often gets overlooked with Apple is what a capital return superstar it's been. Since reintroducing a quarterly dividend in the summer of 2012, Apple has increased its payout by 132%. What's more, Apple spent in the neighborhood of $380 billion repurchasing 10.6 billion shares of its own common stock since commencing its share repurchase program in 2013. In other words, Apple's shareholders are getting rewarded in a multitude of ways.</p><p><blockquote>苹果经常被忽视的是它是一位资本回报巨星。自2012年夏季重新引入季度股息以来，苹果已将派息增加了132%。更重要的是，自2013年启动股票回购计划以来，苹果已花费约3800亿美元回购了106亿股自己的普通股。换句话说，苹果的股东正在以多种方式获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f64dcdff17a24b8a4e277db734557537\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: COCA-COLA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：可口可乐。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola: $672,000,000 in annual dividend income</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐：年度股息收入672,000,000美元</b></blockquote></p><p> The fourth and final Buffett stock that's contributing a boatload of dividend income each year is beverage company&nbsp;<b>Coca-Cola</b>(NYSE:KO). Coke is&nbsp;Buffett's longest-tenured holding, at 33 years.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特每年贡献大量股息收入的第四只也是最后一只股票是饮料公司<b>可口可乐</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：KO）。可口可乐是巴菲特持有时间最长的股票，为33年。</blockquote></p><p> Coca-Cola's consistent and growing profitability is a function of a couple of factors. First, it's working with incredible geographic diversity. With the exception of North Korea and Cuba, Coke sells its products in every other country around the world. This means a recession in a few countries won't necessarily hurt its profit potential.</p><p><blockquote>可口可乐持续且不断增长的盈利能力是几个因素的函数。首先，它与令人难以置信的地理多样性一起工作。除了朝鲜和古巴，可口可乐在世界上所有其他国家都有销售。这意味着少数国家的经济衰退不一定会损害其利润潜力。</blockquote></p><p> To build on this point, Coca-Cola also possesses a 20% share of the cold-beverage market in developed markets, along with a 10% share of cold beverages sold in emerging markets. This position allows it to generate plenty of predictable cash flow from developed markets while leaning on the faster growth potential of developing markets. All told, the company has more than 20 global brands bringing in at least $1 billion in annual sales.</p><p><blockquote>在此基础上，可口可乐还拥有发达市场冷饮市场20%的份额，以及新兴市场冷饮销售的10%的份额。这一地位使其能够从发达市场产生大量可预测的现金流，同时依靠发展中市场更快的增长潜力。总而言之，该公司拥有20多个全球品牌，年销售额至少为10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coke's global brand awareness is tough to beat, as well. It's&nbsp;one of the most recognized brands in the world&nbsp;and has historically had little issue crossing generational gaps to reach consumers. With everything from holiday tie-ins to social media marketing at its disposal, Coke is as steady as they come in the profit department. Perhaps that's why it's raised its base annual payout for 59 consecutive years.</p><p><blockquote>可口可乐的全球品牌知名度也很难被击败。它是世界上最受认可的品牌之一，历史上跨越代沟接触消费者几乎没有问题。从假日搭售到社交媒体营销，可口可乐的一切都在其支配之下，它在利润部门的表现和他们一样稳定。也许这就是它连续59年提高基本年度派息的原因。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/15/4-stocks-warren-buffett-3-billion-dividend-income/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OXY":"西方石油","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","AAPL":"苹果","BAC":"美国银行","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","KO":"可口可乐"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/15/4-stocks-warren-buffett-3-billion-dividend-income/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118481158","content_text":"Key Points\n\nDividend stocks have played a key role in the Oracle of Omaha's long-term success.\nCollectively, these four holdings will pay out a little over $3.1 billion in dividend income to Buffett's company over the next year.\n\n\nFew if any investors have been as successful over the long run as Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B)Warren Buffett. Since taking over as CEO in 1965, he's led his company's stock to an annual average return of 20%. Including the year-to-date return of the Class A shares (BRK.A), we're talking about an aggregate gain approaching 3,400,000%.\nThere are a number of reasons Buffett is a successful investor. For example, he buys stakes in businesses he understands well, and he often focuses on companies that have clear and sustainable competitive advantages. However, the biggest puzzle piece to the Oracle of Omaha's success might be his affinity for dividend stocks.\nThis year, Berkshire Hathaway is set to collect more than $5 billion in dividend income. Of this more than $5 billion, Buffett and his investing team will receive a little over $3.1 billion from just four stocks.\nBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY CEO WARREN BUFFETT. IMAGE SOURCE: THE MOTLEY FOOL.\nBank of America: $867,595,685 in annual dividend income\nBuffett's golden goose on the dividend front is money-center behemoth Bank of America(NYSE:BAC). With over 1 billion shares held in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, the $0.84 base annual payout from BofA will yield almost $868 million in dividend income over the next 12 months.\nBank of America is what you might call the prototypical Buffett stock. Like most bank stocks, it's a cyclical company that's primed to benefit from long periods of economic expansion. Even though recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, they usually only last a few months or a couple of quarters. By comparison, periods of expansion are measured in years and allow BofA's bread-and-butter growth segments, such as loans and deposits, to thrive.\nWhat makes Bank of America such an intriguing investment at the moment is its interest-rate sensitivity. No money-center bank sees its interest income potential move up or down more because of changes in the interest rate yield curve. According to the company, a 100-basis-point parallel shift in the interest rate yield curve would add an estimated $8 billion in net interest income over 12 months. When rates inevitably do rise, this added net interest income will go straight to its bottom line.\nAs one final note, Bank of America has done an excellent job with its digitization efforts. With more people than ever banking online or through mobile apps, BofA has been able to consolidate some of its branches and improve its operating performance.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nOccidental Petroleum (preferred shares): $800,000,000 in annual dividend income\nThough you won't see it listed in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, Buffett's company owns $10 billion worth of preferred stock from oil and gas company Occidental Petroleum(NYSE:OXY).\nBack in 2019, Berkshire Hathaway provided $10 billion in financing to allow Occidental to acquire Anadarko Petroleum, which was also being courted by integrated oil and gas giant Chevron. In return for handing over $10 billion, Buffett's company was granted 100,000 preferred shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, each with a value of $100,000. Most importantly, these preferred shares yield a cool 8% annually. Although it remains Occidental's prerogative whether this dividend is paid in cash or with issued shares of Occidental Petroleum stock, Buffett and his team have the option of collecting this payout for at least a decade.\nIt should be noted that this deal also carries warrants to purchase up to 80 million shares of Occidental Petroleum stock at $62.50 per share. Although Occidental's share price is well below this mark at the moment, a sustainable rebound in oil prices and a successful deleveraging of its balance sheet might make these warrants worthwhile years down the road.\nDespite Buffett and his team selling their common stock holdings in Occidental Petroleum, it's pretty evident they have no desire to part ways with this inflation-topping return of 8% each year from the preferred shares.\nIMAGE SOURCE: APPLE.\nApple: $798,652,590 in annual dividend income\nBerkshire Hathaway's so-called \"third business\" is another source of big-time dividend income. Innovation kingpin Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), the largest holding by far in Buffett's portfolio, is netting Berkshire almost $799 million annually.\nApple's success is a reflection of consumers' incredible loyalty to the company, its dominance in certain categories, and its innovation. For instance, it's the most dominant provider of smartphones in the United States. According to Counterpoint Research, iPhone sales have accounted for between 53% and 65% of all U.S. smartphone share over the past three quarters. That's more than double its next closest competitor,Samsung. Not surprisingly, customer lines often wrap around Apple's stores when new products are launched.\nHowever,the future for Apple lies with its services and subscriptions. CEO Tim Cook is overseeing a long-term transition that'll emphasize these higher-margin platforms. Ultimately, services should reduce the revenue lumpiness associated with product cycles and improve long-term operating margins.\nWhat often gets overlooked with Apple is what a capital return superstar it's been. Since reintroducing a quarterly dividend in the summer of 2012, Apple has increased its payout by 132%. What's more, Apple spent in the neighborhood of $380 billion repurchasing 10.6 billion shares of its own common stock since commencing its share repurchase program in 2013. In other words, Apple's shareholders are getting rewarded in a multitude of ways.\nIMAGE SOURCE: COCA-COLA.\nCoca-Cola: $672,000,000 in annual dividend income\nThe fourth and final Buffett stock that's contributing a boatload of dividend income each year is beverage company Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO). Coke is Buffett's longest-tenured holding, at 33 years.\nCoca-Cola's consistent and growing profitability is a function of a couple of factors. First, it's working with incredible geographic diversity. With the exception of North Korea and Cuba, Coke sells its products in every other country around the world. This means a recession in a few countries won't necessarily hurt its profit potential.\nTo build on this point, Coca-Cola also possesses a 20% share of the cold-beverage market in developed markets, along with a 10% share of cold beverages sold in emerging markets. This position allows it to generate plenty of predictable cash flow from developed markets while leaning on the faster growth potential of developing markets. All told, the company has more than 20 global brands bringing in at least $1 billion in annual sales.\nCoke's global brand awareness is tough to beat, as well. It's one of the most recognized brands in the world and has historically had little issue crossing generational gaps to reach consumers. With everything from holiday tie-ins to social media marketing at its disposal, Coke is as steady as they come in the profit department. Perhaps that's why it's raised its base annual payout for 59 consecutive years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"KO":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"OXY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886918874,"gmtCreate":1631543155898,"gmtModify":1631886783172,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886918874","repostId":"1170383544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170383544","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631542185,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170383544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 22:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading<blockquote>热门中概股早盘跳水</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170383544","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.COM,Baidu,DIDI,Bilibili,RL","content":"<p>Hot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.COM,Baidu,DIDI,Bilibili,RLX Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Tencent music&nbsp;between 1% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股早盘下跌，阿里巴巴、拼多多、京东、百度、滴滴、哔哩哔哩、RLX科技和腾讯控股音乐跌幅在1%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/634dbf9be8ba7edcb7ca8b9b2e7f1e6a\" tg-width=\"362\" tg-height=\"715\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading<blockquote>热门中概股早盘跳水</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading<blockquote>热门中概股早盘跳水</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-13 22:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.COM,Baidu,DIDI,Bilibili,RLX Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Tencent music&nbsp;between 1% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股早盘下跌，阿里巴巴、拼多多、京东、百度、滴滴、哔哩哔哩、RLX科技和腾讯控股音乐跌幅在1%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/634dbf9be8ba7edcb7ca8b9b2e7f1e6a\" tg-width=\"362\" tg-height=\"715\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RLX":"雾芯科技","TME":"腾讯音乐","BABA":"阿里巴巴","BIDU":"百度","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","PDD":"拼多多"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170383544","content_text":"Hot chinese concept stocks dipped in morning trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.COM,Baidu,DIDI,Bilibili,RLX Technology and Tencent music between 1% and 9%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"RLX":0.9,"TME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888936264,"gmtCreate":1631420397058,"gmtModify":1631886783188,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888936264","repostId":"1189654544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189654544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631406130,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189654544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-12 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189654544","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion i","content":"<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波发行之后，未来一周将有10起IPO计划筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS)计划以63亿美元的市值筹集7亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入复合年增长率为14%，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>持有时</b>(ONON)计划以59亿美元的市值筹集5.91亿美元。On是一家全球优质运动鞋、服装和配饰供应商，采用可持续材料及其专有技术设计。尽管面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争，但该公司已展现出增长和盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过SPAC上市的谈判后，<b>Sportradar集团</b>(SRAD)计划以79亿美元的市值筹集5.04亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83项运动的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar已实现盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集4亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着业务扩展到新州，它一直能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前的股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>权威医疗保健</b>(DH)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare尚未盈利，但将在IPO后进行杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.48亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫学生物技术<b>骰子疗法</b>(DICE)计划以5.5亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>PROCEPT生物机器人</b>(PRCT)计划以11亿美元的市值筹集1.27亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初的重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics非常无利可图，2021年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学公司</b>(TYRA)计划以5.84亿美元的市值筹集1.01亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的FGFR激酶抑制剂。Tyra的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将于2022年中期提交IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微帽气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>(EZFL)计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。由于爆炸性增长，EzFill表示，它是南佛罗里达州市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至9/9/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了7.7%，而标普500上涨了19.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌11.0%，而ACWX指数上涨10.0%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-12 08:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波发行之后，未来一周将有10起IPO计划筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS)计划以63亿美元的市值筹集7亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入复合年增长率为14%，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>持有时</b>(ONON)计划以59亿美元的市值筹集5.91亿美元。On是一家全球优质运动鞋、服装和配饰供应商，采用可持续材料及其专有技术设计。尽管面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争，但该公司已展现出增长和盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过SPAC上市的谈判后，<b>Sportradar集团</b>(SRAD)计划以79亿美元的市值筹集5.04亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83项运动的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar已实现盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集4亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着业务扩展到新州，它一直能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前的股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>权威医疗保健</b>(DH)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare尚未盈利，但将在IPO后进行杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.48亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫学生物技术<b>骰子疗法</b>(DICE)计划以5.5亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>PROCEPT生物机器人</b>(PRCT)计划以11亿美元的市值筹集1.27亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初的重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics非常无利可图，2021年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学公司</b>(TYRA)计划以5.84亿美元的市值筹集1.01亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的FGFR激酶抑制剂。Tyra的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将于2022年中期提交IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微帽气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>(EZFL)计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。由于爆炸性增长，EzFill表示，它是南佛罗里达州市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至9/9/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了7.7%，而标普500上涨了19.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌11.0%，而ACWX指数上涨10.0%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.","FORG":"ForgeRock, Inc.","ONON":"On Holding AG","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp.","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics","DICE":"DICE Therapeutics, Inc.","TWKS":"Thoughtworks Holding Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189654544","content_text":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nTech consultancy Thoughtworks(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.\nSwiss running shoe brand On Holding(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.\nAfter ending talks to go public via SPAC,Sportradar Group(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.\nDrive-thru coffee chain Dutch Bros(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.\nHealthcare intelligence platform Definitive Healthcare(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.\nIdentity management platform ForgeRock(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.\nImmunology biotech DICE Therapeutics(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.\nSurgical robotics developer PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.\nOncology biotech Tyra Biosciences(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.\nMicro-cap gas delivery service EzFill Holdings(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FORG":0.9,"BROS":0.9,"PRCT":0.9,"DICE":0.9,"SRAD":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DH":0.9,"EZFL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"TYRA":0.9,"TWKS":0.9,"ONON":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881981722,"gmtCreate":1631285279066,"gmtModify":1631886783201,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881981722","repostId":"1101890813","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101890813","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631263267,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101890813?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 16:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Will The Debt Limit Drama Play Out: Here Are The Two Scenarios<blockquote>债务限额大戏将如何上演：有两种情况</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101890813","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Addressing a topic that could soon become a big concern for the bond market - the October dead limit","content":"<p>Addressing a topic that could soon become a big concern for the bond market - the October dead limit deadline -&nbsp; Curvature's repo expert Scott Skyrmsaid this morningthat, \"for the past several years, Congress always reached a compromise before the possibility of a \"technical default\" creeped into the markets. This year, as we get closer to the \"drop dead date\" (which hasn't yet been determined) the markets will start pricing in distortions.\"</p><p><blockquote>Curvature的回购专家Scott Skyrm今天上午在谈到一个可能很快成为债券市场一大担忧的话题——10月份的死限最后期限——时表示，“在过去几年里，国会总是在‘技术性违约’的可能性出现之前达成妥协”。违约”悄悄进入市场。今年，随着我们越来越接近“死亡日期”（尚未确定），市场将开始对扭曲进行定价。”</blockquote></p><p> To this we can add that as we noted yesterday, distortions in the bond market are already clearly emerging, with the spread between October and November -<i>this is where the market estimates the \"drop dead date\" will take place</i>- T-Bills rising fast:</p><p><blockquote>对此，我们可以补充一点，正如我们昨天指出的，债券市场的扭曲已经明显显现，10月和11月之间的利差-<i>这是市场估计“死亡日期”将发生的地方</i>-国库券快速上涨：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18baa5bfc2f4fcada29a0e71d4887b7e\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"528\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The next chart shows that the T-Bill curve is clearly moving wider around the early November timeframe.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，国库券曲线在11月初左右明显变宽。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e688a9eb195944fe7e906a13a6319b8f\" tg-width=\"963\" tg-height=\"581\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As a reminder, yesterday Treasury Secretary Yellen sent a letter to congressional leaders this morning indicating that the the Treasury will exhaust its cash and extraordinary measures \"during the month of October\". This slightly sooner than the \"October or November\" timing that the Congressional Budget Office had estimated in a report in late July.</p><p><blockquote>提醒一下，昨天财政部长耶伦今天上午致信国会领导人，表示财政部将在“10月份”耗尽现金和非常措施。这比国会预算办公室在7月底的一份报告中估计的“10月或11月”时间略早。</blockquote></p><p> So how will the upcoming debt limit drama play out?<i>According to Goldman, there are several possible scenarios from here</i>:</p><p><blockquote>那么即将上演的限债大戏将如何上演？<i>根据高盛的说法，这里有几种可能的情况</i>：</blockquote></p><p> The most likely scenario is that Democratic leaders will attach a debt limit suspension to upcoming spending legislation to keep the federal government open past the end of the fiscal year (a \"continuing resolution\") and to provide emergency disaster relief funding related to the fires in the Western US and storm damage in the East and South.&nbsp;<b>As 46 Senate Republicans have indicated they will block a debt limit increase, there is a good chance this strategy will not succeed.</b>That said, passage of short-term debt limit might be possible as several Republican senators represent states affected by recent disasters.&nbsp; One option Republicans might consider would be to vote against the bill but decline to filibuster it, allowing it to pass with only 51 votes in the Senate. This would likely require unanimous Democratic support in that chamber, which is possible but not certain.</p><p><blockquote>最有可能的情况是，民主党领导人将在即将到来的支出立法中附加暂停债务限额，以保持联邦政府在本财年结束后的开放（“持续决议”），并提供与美国西部火灾以及东部和南部风暴破坏相关的紧急救灾资金。<b>由于46名参议院共和党人表示他们将阻止提高债务上限，这一策略很有可能不会成功。</b>也就是说，短期债务上限的通过可能是可能的，因为几名共和党参议员代表了最近受灾难影响的州。共和党人可能考虑的一个选择是投票反对该法案，但拒绝阻挠该法案，允许该法案在参议院仅以51票通过。这可能需要众议院民主党人的一致支持，这是可能的，但不确定。</blockquote></p><p> If Senate Republicans block the spending bill later this month,<b>Democratic leaders would then need to decide whether to force the issue and risk a partial federal government shutdown, or to remove the debt limit suspension from the spending bill.</b>If lawmakers end in a stalemate, a government shutdown might follow, though Goldman does not see this as the base case.</p><p><blockquote>如果参议院共和党人本月晚些时候阻止这项支出法案，<b>然后，民主党领导人需要决定是强行解决这个问题并冒着联邦政府部分关闭的风险，还是从支出法案中取消债务限额暂停。</b>如果立法者陷入僵局，政府可能会关闭，尽管高盛并不认为这是基本情况。</blockquote></p><p> If they are unable to raise the debt limit as part of a spending bill, they might consider using the reconciliation process to pass it with only 51 votes.<b>However, this faces two challenges:</b></p><p><blockquote>如果他们无法将提高债务上限作为支出法案的一部分，他们可能会考虑利用和解程序仅以51票通过该法案。<b>然而，这面临两个挑战：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>First, it is unclear whether all Senate Democrats would vote for a revised budget resolution that increases the debt limit by several trillion dollars</b>. if Democrats use the reconciliation process, Senate rules would probably allow them only to raise the debt limit by a specific dollar figure,<b>which would lead to more politically problematic headlines, rather than suspend it for a period of time, which has become the norm over the last decade as it does not lead to a specific dollar amount at the time of passage</b>.</li>  <li><b>Second, the current reconciliation process to pass as much as $3.5 trillion in new spending is already underway, with House committees already in the process of considering and passing their segments of the bill in committee</b>. Revising the budget resolution, which governs that process, could interfere with consideration of that legislation, and would likely take at least a couple of weeks, if not longer.<b>If Democrats wait until Sep. 30 to test support for a debt limit increase as part of the spending bill, they might not have sufficient time to go through all of the procedures necessary to revise the resolution before the debt limit deadline.</b></li> </ul> In other words, as on every prior occasion when the debt limit was raised or extended in the last possible minute, this time is unlikely to be an exception - after all the alternative is a catastrophic outcome for the US. However, the longer Congress waits the more challenging the debt limit process becomes, and could be thrown for a loop if one or more holdouts block the process in the last minute, unleashing chaos in the market if only to provoke politicians into action. As we get closer to the D-Day, keep an eye on the spread in T-Bills for an indication of just how nervous the market is becoming.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>首先，不清楚是否所有参议院民主党人都会投票支持一项将债务上限提高数万亿美元的修订预算决议</b>如果民主党使用和解程序，参议院的规则可能只允许他们将债务上限提高一个特定的美元数字，<b>这将导致更多政治问题的头条新闻，而不是暂停一段时间，这在过去十年中已成为常态，因为它在通过时不会导致具体的美元金额</b>.</li><li><b>其次，目前通过多达3.5万亿美元新支出的和解程序已经在进行中，众议院各委员会已经在委员会审议和通过该法案的各个部分</b>修订管理这一进程的预算决议可能会干扰对这一立法的审议，可能至少需要几个星期，如果不是更长的话。<b>如果民主党人等到9月30日才测试对提高债务上限作为支出法案一部分的支持，他们可能没有足够的时间在债务上限截止日期前完成修改决议所需的所有程序。</b></li></ul>换句话说，就像以往每一次在最后一刻提高或延长债务上限的情况一样，这一次不太可能是个例外——毕竟，另一种选择对美国来说是灾难性的结果。然而，国会等待的时间越长，债务限额程序就变得越具有挑战性，如果一个或多个顽固分子在最后一刻阻止这一进程，即使只是为了激怒政客采取行动，也可能会引发市场混乱。随着诺曼底登陆日的临近，请密切关注国库券的利差，以了解市场变得多么紧张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Will The Debt Limit Drama Play Out: Here Are The Two Scenarios<blockquote>债务限额大戏将如何上演：有两种情况</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Will The Debt Limit Drama Play Out: Here Are The Two Scenarios<blockquote>债务限额大戏将如何上演：有两种情况</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-10 16:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Addressing a topic that could soon become a big concern for the bond market - the October dead limit deadline -&nbsp; Curvature's repo expert Scott Skyrmsaid this morningthat, \"for the past several years, Congress always reached a compromise before the possibility of a \"technical default\" creeped into the markets. This year, as we get closer to the \"drop dead date\" (which hasn't yet been determined) the markets will start pricing in distortions.\"</p><p><blockquote>Curvature的回购专家Scott Skyrm今天上午在谈到一个可能很快成为债券市场一大担忧的话题——10月份的死限最后期限——时表示，“在过去几年里，国会总是在‘技术性违约’的可能性出现之前达成妥协”。违约”悄悄进入市场。今年，随着我们越来越接近“死亡日期”（尚未确定），市场将开始对扭曲进行定价。”</blockquote></p><p> To this we can add that as we noted yesterday, distortions in the bond market are already clearly emerging, with the spread between October and November -<i>this is where the market estimates the \"drop dead date\" will take place</i>- T-Bills rising fast:</p><p><blockquote>对此，我们可以补充一点，正如我们昨天指出的，债券市场的扭曲已经明显显现，10月和11月之间的利差-<i>这是市场估计“死亡日期”将发生的地方</i>-国库券快速上涨：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18baa5bfc2f4fcada29a0e71d4887b7e\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"528\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The next chart shows that the T-Bill curve is clearly moving wider around the early November timeframe.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，国库券曲线在11月初左右明显变宽。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e688a9eb195944fe7e906a13a6319b8f\" tg-width=\"963\" tg-height=\"581\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As a reminder, yesterday Treasury Secretary Yellen sent a letter to congressional leaders this morning indicating that the the Treasury will exhaust its cash and extraordinary measures \"during the month of October\". This slightly sooner than the \"October or November\" timing that the Congressional Budget Office had estimated in a report in late July.</p><p><blockquote>提醒一下，昨天财政部长耶伦今天上午致信国会领导人，表示财政部将在“10月份”耗尽现金和非常措施。这比国会预算办公室在7月底的一份报告中估计的“10月或11月”时间略早。</blockquote></p><p> So how will the upcoming debt limit drama play out?<i>According to Goldman, there are several possible scenarios from here</i>:</p><p><blockquote>那么即将上演的限债大戏将如何上演？<i>根据高盛的说法，这里有几种可能的情况</i>：</blockquote></p><p> The most likely scenario is that Democratic leaders will attach a debt limit suspension to upcoming spending legislation to keep the federal government open past the end of the fiscal year (a \"continuing resolution\") and to provide emergency disaster relief funding related to the fires in the Western US and storm damage in the East and South.&nbsp;<b>As 46 Senate Republicans have indicated they will block a debt limit increase, there is a good chance this strategy will not succeed.</b>That said, passage of short-term debt limit might be possible as several Republican senators represent states affected by recent disasters.&nbsp; One option Republicans might consider would be to vote against the bill but decline to filibuster it, allowing it to pass with only 51 votes in the Senate. This would likely require unanimous Democratic support in that chamber, which is possible but not certain.</p><p><blockquote>最有可能的情况是，民主党领导人将在即将到来的支出立法中附加暂停债务限额，以保持联邦政府在本财年结束后的开放（“持续决议”），并提供与美国西部火灾以及东部和南部风暴破坏相关的紧急救灾资金。<b>由于46名参议院共和党人表示他们将阻止提高债务上限，这一策略很有可能不会成功。</b>也就是说，短期债务上限的通过可能是可能的，因为几名共和党参议员代表了最近受灾难影响的州。共和党人可能考虑的一个选择是投票反对该法案，但拒绝阻挠该法案，允许该法案在参议院仅以51票通过。这可能需要众议院民主党人的一致支持，这是可能的，但不确定。</blockquote></p><p> If Senate Republicans block the spending bill later this month,<b>Democratic leaders would then need to decide whether to force the issue and risk a partial federal government shutdown, or to remove the debt limit suspension from the spending bill.</b>If lawmakers end in a stalemate, a government shutdown might follow, though Goldman does not see this as the base case.</p><p><blockquote>如果参议院共和党人本月晚些时候阻止这项支出法案，<b>然后，民主党领导人需要决定是强行解决这个问题并冒着联邦政府部分关闭的风险，还是从支出法案中取消债务限额暂停。</b>如果立法者陷入僵局，政府可能会关闭，尽管高盛并不认为这是基本情况。</blockquote></p><p> If they are unable to raise the debt limit as part of a spending bill, they might consider using the reconciliation process to pass it with only 51 votes.<b>However, this faces two challenges:</b></p><p><blockquote>如果他们无法将提高债务上限作为支出法案的一部分，他们可能会考虑利用和解程序仅以51票通过该法案。<b>然而，这面临两个挑战：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>First, it is unclear whether all Senate Democrats would vote for a revised budget resolution that increases the debt limit by several trillion dollars</b>. if Democrats use the reconciliation process, Senate rules would probably allow them only to raise the debt limit by a specific dollar figure,<b>which would lead to more politically problematic headlines, rather than suspend it for a period of time, which has become the norm over the last decade as it does not lead to a specific dollar amount at the time of passage</b>.</li>  <li><b>Second, the current reconciliation process to pass as much as $3.5 trillion in new spending is already underway, with House committees already in the process of considering and passing their segments of the bill in committee</b>. Revising the budget resolution, which governs that process, could interfere with consideration of that legislation, and would likely take at least a couple of weeks, if not longer.<b>If Democrats wait until Sep. 30 to test support for a debt limit increase as part of the spending bill, they might not have sufficient time to go through all of the procedures necessary to revise the resolution before the debt limit deadline.</b></li> </ul> In other words, as on every prior occasion when the debt limit was raised or extended in the last possible minute, this time is unlikely to be an exception - after all the alternative is a catastrophic outcome for the US. However, the longer Congress waits the more challenging the debt limit process becomes, and could be thrown for a loop if one or more holdouts block the process in the last minute, unleashing chaos in the market if only to provoke politicians into action. As we get closer to the D-Day, keep an eye on the spread in T-Bills for an indication of just how nervous the market is becoming.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>首先，不清楚是否所有参议院民主党人都会投票支持一项将债务上限提高数万亿美元的修订预算决议</b>如果民主党使用和解程序，参议院的规则可能只允许他们将债务上限提高一个特定的美元数字，<b>这将导致更多政治问题的头条新闻，而不是暂停一段时间，这在过去十年中已成为常态，因为它在通过时不会导致具体的美元金额</b>.</li><li><b>其次，目前通过多达3.5万亿美元新支出的和解程序已经在进行中，众议院各委员会已经在委员会审议和通过该法案的各个部分</b>修订管理这一进程的预算决议可能会干扰对这一立法的审议，可能至少需要几个星期，如果不是更长的话。<b>如果民主党人等到9月30日才测试对提高债务上限作为支出法案一部分的支持，他们可能没有足够的时间在债务上限截止日期前完成修改决议所需的所有程序。</b></li></ul>换句话说，就像以往每一次在最后一刻提高或延长债务上限的情况一样，这一次不太可能是个例外——毕竟，另一种选择对美国来说是灾难性的结果。然而，国会等待的时间越长，债务限额程序就变得越具有挑战性，如果一个或多个顽固分子在最后一刻阻止这一进程，即使只是为了激怒政客采取行动，也可能会引发市场混乱。随着诺曼底登陆日的临近，请密切关注国库券的利差，以了解市场变得多么紧张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-will-debt-limit-drama-play-out-here-are-two-scenarios\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-will-debt-limit-drama-play-out-here-are-two-scenarios","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101890813","content_text":"Addressing a topic that could soon become a big concern for the bond market - the October dead limit deadline -  Curvature's repo expert Scott Skyrmsaid this morningthat, \"for the past several years, Congress always reached a compromise before the possibility of a \"technical default\" creeped into the markets. This year, as we get closer to the \"drop dead date\" (which hasn't yet been determined) the markets will start pricing in distortions.\"\nTo this we can add that as we noted yesterday, distortions in the bond market are already clearly emerging, with the spread between October and November -this is where the market estimates the \"drop dead date\" will take place- T-Bills rising fast:\nThe next chart shows that the T-Bill curve is clearly moving wider around the early November timeframe.\nAs a reminder, yesterday Treasury Secretary Yellen sent a letter to congressional leaders this morning indicating that the the Treasury will exhaust its cash and extraordinary measures \"during the month of October\". This slightly sooner than the \"October or November\" timing that the Congressional Budget Office had estimated in a report in late July.\nSo how will the upcoming debt limit drama play out?According to Goldman, there are several possible scenarios from here:\nThe most likely scenario is that Democratic leaders will attach a debt limit suspension to upcoming spending legislation to keep the federal government open past the end of the fiscal year (a \"continuing resolution\") and to provide emergency disaster relief funding related to the fires in the Western US and storm damage in the East and South. As 46 Senate Republicans have indicated they will block a debt limit increase, there is a good chance this strategy will not succeed.That said, passage of short-term debt limit might be possible as several Republican senators represent states affected by recent disasters.  One option Republicans might consider would be to vote against the bill but decline to filibuster it, allowing it to pass with only 51 votes in the Senate. This would likely require unanimous Democratic support in that chamber, which is possible but not certain.\nIf Senate Republicans block the spending bill later this month,Democratic leaders would then need to decide whether to force the issue and risk a partial federal government shutdown, or to remove the debt limit suspension from the spending bill.If lawmakers end in a stalemate, a government shutdown might follow, though Goldman does not see this as the base case.\nIf they are unable to raise the debt limit as part of a spending bill, they might consider using the reconciliation process to pass it with only 51 votes.However, this faces two challenges:\n\nFirst, it is unclear whether all Senate Democrats would vote for a revised budget resolution that increases the debt limit by several trillion dollars. if Democrats use the reconciliation process, Senate rules would probably allow them only to raise the debt limit by a specific dollar figure,which would lead to more politically problematic headlines, rather than suspend it for a period of time, which has become the norm over the last decade as it does not lead to a specific dollar amount at the time of passage.\nSecond, the current reconciliation process to pass as much as $3.5 trillion in new spending is already underway, with House committees already in the process of considering and passing their segments of the bill in committee. Revising the budget resolution, which governs that process, could interfere with consideration of that legislation, and would likely take at least a couple of weeks, if not longer.If Democrats wait until Sep. 30 to test support for a debt limit increase as part of the spending bill, they might not have sufficient time to go through all of the procedures necessary to revise the resolution before the debt limit deadline.\n\nIn other words, as on every prior occasion when the debt limit was raised or extended in the last possible minute, this time is unlikely to be an exception - after all the alternative is a catastrophic outcome for the US. However, the longer Congress waits the more challenging the debt limit process becomes, and could be thrown for a loop if one or more holdouts block the process in the last minute, unleashing chaos in the market if only to provoke politicians into action. As we get closer to the D-Day, keep an eye on the spread in T-Bills for an indication of just how nervous the market is becoming.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880883911,"gmtCreate":1631031311233,"gmtModify":1631886783210,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880883911","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会战胜增长，周期性会战胜防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会战胜增长，周期性会战胜防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815272793,"gmtCreate":1630684150912,"gmtModify":1631886783222,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815272793","repostId":"1196145266","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818425572,"gmtCreate":1630430606796,"gmtModify":1631886783236,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818425572","repostId":"1166102613","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813894611,"gmtCreate":1630164774233,"gmtModify":1704956675623,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813894611","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810486708,"gmtCreate":1629992573004,"gmtModify":1704954362523,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please? Thanks!&nbsp;","listText":"Like please? Thanks!&nbsp;","text":"Like please? Thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810486708","repostId":"2162931260","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835471782,"gmtCreate":1629736441546,"gmtModify":1631886783270,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please shoot up!","listText":"Please shoot up!","text":"Please shoot up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835471782","repostId":"1179203616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179203616","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629732335,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179203616?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Is an Enigma. The Opportunity in Its Stock Is Far More Clear.<blockquote>Palantir是一个谜。其股票的机会更加明显。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179203616","media":"Barrons","summary":"Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got we","content":"<p>Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got weirder than ever. But beneath the surface, there’s an oddly compelling case for the business and the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是世界上最古怪的科技公司之一，上周这个故事变得比以往任何时候都更加奇怪。但在表面之下，该业务和股票有一个奇怪的令人信服的理由。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir (ticker: PLTR) provides data analytics software to both commercial and government clients. The 18-year-old company has two primary platforms—Gotham, for government applications, and Foundry, for commercial customers. Palantir has a long history of serving U.S. military and intelligence agencies, but lately it’s&nbsp;been building out its sales team to bulk up its commercial business. That plan seems to be getting traction.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir（股票代码：PLTR）为商业和政府客户提供数据分析软件。这家成立18年的公司有两个主要平台——面向政府应用的Gotham和面向商业客户的Foundry。Palantir在为美国军事和情报机构提供服务方面有着悠久的历史，但最近它一直在组建销售团队以扩大其商业业务。这个计划似乎越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir went public in a direct listing last September, with the stock&nbsp;opening at $10. It’s since taken shareholders on a wild ride, trading as high as $45 earlier this year. It’s now around $25, still up 150% from listing day.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月直接上市，股价开盘价为10美元。此后，它让股东们疯狂不已，今年早些时候的交易价格高达45美元。目前约为25美元，较上市日仍上涨150%。</blockquote></p><p> In its&nbsp;recently reported June quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $376 million, up 49% from the year-earlier level. The company got a big boost from its U.S. commercial business, which grew 90%. Palantir sees September quarter revenue inching up to $385 million, and it continues to forecast annual top-line growth of 30%-plus through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在最近报告的6月份季度中，Palantir公布收入为3.76亿美元，比去年同期增长49%。该公司的美国商业业务大幅增长了90%。Palantir预计9月份季度收入将小幅升至3.85亿美元，并继续预测到2025年年收入将增长30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But the core story gets lost in the noise—Palantir seems to thrive on controversy. Almost everything it does is outside the box. Before last year’s stock listing, Palantir quietly moved its headquarters to Denver from Palo Alto. The reasoning boils down to politics.</p><p><blockquote>但核心故事却迷失在噪音中——Palantir似乎因争议而蓬勃发展。它所做的几乎所有事情都是在盒子之外。在去年股票上市之前，Palantir悄悄将总部从帕洛阿尔托迁至丹佛。原因可以归结为政治。</blockquote></p><p> “When we started the company in 2004, the idea was to bring world-class software to our intelligence and military communities,” Palantir CEO Alex Karp&nbsp;told me in a June interview. “Numerous companies in Silicon Valley have refused either overtly, tacitly, or by dragging their feet, to work with the U.S. government. … I believe in general there’s a choice to be made in the world, and America has serious, rigorous, intelligent, and sometimes ruthless adversaries.”</p><p><blockquote>Palantir首席执行官Alex Karp在6月份的一次采访中告诉我：“当我们在2004年创办公司时，我们的想法是为我们的情报和军事社区带来世界一流的软件。”“硅谷的许多公司都公开、默许或拖延地拒绝与美国政府合作……我相信，总的来说，世界上必须做出选择，而美国有严肃、严谨、聪明，有时甚至是无情的对手。”</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has also been doing unusual things with the $2.4 billion in cash on its balance sheet. The company is&nbsp;aggressively investing in PIPEs, or private investments in public equities, which are used in almost every SPAC merger to increase the capital raised. Palantir has&nbsp;committed $310 million across more than a dozen SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, according to its latest SEC filing. It’s completed $33 million of equity investments across three other companies.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir还利用其资产负债表上的24亿美元现金做了一些不寻常的事情。该公司正在积极投资PIPEs，即对公共股票的私人投资，几乎在每一次SPAC合并中都使用PIPEs来增加筹集的资金。根据Palantir向SEC提交的最新文件，Palantir已向十几家SPAC或特殊目的收购公司承诺了3.1亿美元。它已完成对其他三家公司3300万美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> The most recent tranche includes $20 million for Fast Radius, which offers a “cloud manufacturing platform;” $15 million for Tritium, a developer of electric vehicle chargers; $15 million for AdTheorent, which sells advertising software driven by machine learning; and $10 million for FinAccel, an Asian financial-services company.</p><p><blockquote>最近的一笔资金包括2000万美元用于Fast Radius，该公司提供“云制造平台”；电动汽车充电器开发商Tritium 1500万美元；1500万美元收购AdTheorent，该公司销售由机器学习驱动的广告软件；以及向亚洲金融服务公司FinAccel提供1000万美元。</blockquote></p><p> All the targets have signed up to be Palantir customers. As of June 30, Palantir said it had commercial contracts with its SPAC portfolio companies with a potential value of $428 million; the revenue contribution in the latest quarter was just $3 million, or less than 1% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>所有目标都已签约成为Palantir客户。截至6月30日，Palantir表示，其与其SPAC投资组合公司签订了潜在价值为4.28亿美元的商业合同；最近一个季度的收入贡献仅为300万美元，不到总收入的1%。</blockquote></p><p> SPACs are a highly speculative place for a public company to be parking its cash. But I’d argue that Palantir’s decision to provide capital to new customers isn’t so different from offering vendor debt financing for hardware purchases—as&nbsp;IBM(IBM) and HP Enterprise (HPE) do—or from running robust venture capital programs, as do&nbsp;Intel(INTC) and&nbsp;Salesforce.com(CRM).</p><p><blockquote>SPAC是上市公司存放现金的高度投机场所。但我认为，Palantir向新客户提供资本的决定与为硬件购买提供供应商债务融资（如IBM(IBM)和HP Enterprise(HPE)所做的那样）或运行强大的风险投资计划（如英特尔(INTC)和Salesforce.com(CRM)所做的那样）并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, it makes some analysts squeamish. “While we don’t oppose thinking outside the box, we think the strategy may have been taken too far, particularly with software contracts that appear to be negotiated alongside an investment by Palantir in the same customer,” Citi’s Tyler Radke wrote in a recent research note.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，这还是让一些分析师感到不安。花旗的泰勒·拉德克(Tyler Radke)在一份报告中写道：“虽然我们并不反对跳出框框思考，但我们认为这一策略可能走得太远了，特别是在软件合同似乎是与Palantir对同一客户的投资一起谈判的情况下。”最近的研究笔记。</blockquote></p><p> The outside-the-box strategy goes beyond SPACs. This past week, Palantir disclosed that it had purchased $50.7 million worth of 100-ounce gold bars—a pretty strange move, even for Palantir. I ran a text search in the SEC’s database looking for references to gold bars, and found only references to other gold companies. The move makes&nbsp;Tesla’s(TSLA) Bitcoin purchases seem mundane.</p><p><blockquote>打破常规的策略超越了SPAC。上周，Palantir透露，它购买了价值5070万美元的100盎司金条——即使对Palantir来说，这也是一个相当奇怪的举动。我在SEC的数据库中进行了文本搜索，寻找金条的参考资料，只找到了其他黄金公司的参考资料。此举让特斯拉(TSLA)对比特币的收购显得平淡无奇。</blockquote></p><p> The fact that Palantir decided to buy physical gold, rather than, say, the&nbsp;SPDR Gold Shares&nbsp;ETF (GLD), makes it odder still. Palatnir ends up looking like the corporate equivalent of a doomsday prepper. I tried to follow-up with Karp to ask about the sudden interest in gold, but Palantir declined to make him available.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir决定购买实物黄金，而不是SPDR Gold Shares ETF(GLD)，这一事实让事情变得更加奇怪。Palatnir最终看起来就像是一个末日准备者。我试图跟进卡普，询问他对黄金突然产生的兴趣，但Palantir拒绝让他有空。</blockquote></p><p> One analyst who follows the company told me that the SPAC program and the foray into gold make Palantir a hard sell for institutional investors. You can see that in the shareholder base. Institutions hold only 25% of Palantir shares—compared with&nbsp;Oracle’s(ORCL) 46%,Snowflake’s(SNOW) 58%, and&nbsp;Microsoft’s(MSFT) 71%.</p><p><blockquote>一位关注该公司的分析师告诉我，SPAC计划和进军黄金领域使得Palantir很难被机构投资者推销。你可以在股东基础上看到这一点。机构仅持有Palantir 25%的股份，而甲骨文(ORCL)为46%，雪花(SNOW)为58%，微软(MSFT)为71%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the same analyst is still bullish on Palantir and says it offers “a very interesting set of solutions to buyers that require scale and sophistication.”</p><p><blockquote>但同一位分析师仍然看好Palantir，并表示它“为需要规模和复杂性的买家提供了一套非常有趣的解决方案”。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has a fanatical following among individual investors, and the company is playing to its fans. During its June-quarter earnings call, Palantir took nine questions from retail investors and just four from analysts.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir在个人投资者中拥有狂热的追随者，该公司正在迎合其粉丝。在六月季度财报看涨期权上，Palantir回答了散户投资者的9个问题，仅回答了分析师的4个问题。</blockquote></p><p> On traditional metrics, Palantir isn’t cheap. The stock trades for 25 times estimated 2022 sales. But strip away the craziness, and Palantir looks like the single best bet on the future of complex data analytics. There aren’t many other ways for investors to play the opportunity—and the world isn’t getting any simpler or less dangerous.</p><p><blockquote>从传统指标来看，Palantir并不便宜。该股的交易价格是2022年预计销售额的25倍。但抛开疯狂，Palantir看起来是复杂数据分析未来的最佳选择。投资者没有太多其他方式来利用这个机会——而且世界并没有变得更简单或更不危险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Is an Enigma. The Opportunity in Its Stock Is Far More Clear.<blockquote>Palantir是一个谜。其股票的机会更加明显。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Is an Enigma. The Opportunity in Its Stock Is Far More Clear.<blockquote>Palantir是一个谜。其股票的机会更加明显。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 23:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got weirder than ever. But beneath the surface, there’s an oddly compelling case for the business and the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是世界上最古怪的科技公司之一，上周这个故事变得比以往任何时候都更加奇怪。但在表面之下，该业务和股票有一个奇怪的令人信服的理由。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir (ticker: PLTR) provides data analytics software to both commercial and government clients. The 18-year-old company has two primary platforms—Gotham, for government applications, and Foundry, for commercial customers. Palantir has a long history of serving U.S. military and intelligence agencies, but lately it’s&nbsp;been building out its sales team to bulk up its commercial business. That plan seems to be getting traction.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir（股票代码：PLTR）为商业和政府客户提供数据分析软件。这家成立18年的公司有两个主要平台——面向政府应用的Gotham和面向商业客户的Foundry。Palantir在为美国军事和情报机构提供服务方面有着悠久的历史，但最近它一直在组建销售团队以扩大其商业业务。这个计划似乎越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir went public in a direct listing last September, with the stock&nbsp;opening at $10. It’s since taken shareholders on a wild ride, trading as high as $45 earlier this year. It’s now around $25, still up 150% from listing day.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月直接上市，股价开盘价为10美元。此后，它让股东们疯狂不已，今年早些时候的交易价格高达45美元。目前约为25美元，较上市日仍上涨150%。</blockquote></p><p> In its&nbsp;recently reported June quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $376 million, up 49% from the year-earlier level. The company got a big boost from its U.S. commercial business, which grew 90%. Palantir sees September quarter revenue inching up to $385 million, and it continues to forecast annual top-line growth of 30%-plus through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在最近报告的6月份季度中，Palantir公布收入为3.76亿美元，比去年同期增长49%。该公司的美国商业业务大幅增长了90%。Palantir预计9月份季度收入将小幅升至3.85亿美元，并继续预测到2025年年收入将增长30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> But the core story gets lost in the noise—Palantir seems to thrive on controversy. Almost everything it does is outside the box. Before last year’s stock listing, Palantir quietly moved its headquarters to Denver from Palo Alto. The reasoning boils down to politics.</p><p><blockquote>但核心故事却迷失在噪音中——Palantir似乎因争议而蓬勃发展。它所做的几乎所有事情都是在盒子之外。在去年股票上市之前，Palantir悄悄将总部从帕洛阿尔托迁至丹佛。原因可以归结为政治。</blockquote></p><p> “When we started the company in 2004, the idea was to bring world-class software to our intelligence and military communities,” Palantir CEO Alex Karp&nbsp;told me in a June interview. “Numerous companies in Silicon Valley have refused either overtly, tacitly, or by dragging their feet, to work with the U.S. government. … I believe in general there’s a choice to be made in the world, and America has serious, rigorous, intelligent, and sometimes ruthless adversaries.”</p><p><blockquote>Palantir首席执行官Alex Karp在6月份的一次采访中告诉我：“当我们在2004年创办公司时，我们的想法是为我们的情报和军事社区带来世界一流的软件。”“硅谷的许多公司都公开、默许或拖延地拒绝与美国政府合作……我相信，总的来说，世界上必须做出选择，而美国有严肃、严谨、聪明，有时甚至是无情的对手。”</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has also been doing unusual things with the $2.4 billion in cash on its balance sheet. The company is&nbsp;aggressively investing in PIPEs, or private investments in public equities, which are used in almost every SPAC merger to increase the capital raised. Palantir has&nbsp;committed $310 million across more than a dozen SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, according to its latest SEC filing. It’s completed $33 million of equity investments across three other companies.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir还利用其资产负债表上的24亿美元现金做了一些不寻常的事情。该公司正在积极投资PIPEs，即对公共股票的私人投资，几乎在每一次SPAC合并中都使用PIPEs来增加筹集的资金。根据Palantir向SEC提交的最新文件，Palantir已向十几家SPAC或特殊目的收购公司承诺了3.1亿美元。它已完成对其他三家公司3300万美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> The most recent tranche includes $20 million for Fast Radius, which offers a “cloud manufacturing platform;” $15 million for Tritium, a developer of electric vehicle chargers; $15 million for AdTheorent, which sells advertising software driven by machine learning; and $10 million for FinAccel, an Asian financial-services company.</p><p><blockquote>最近的一笔资金包括2000万美元用于Fast Radius，该公司提供“云制造平台”；电动汽车充电器开发商Tritium 1500万美元；1500万美元收购AdTheorent，该公司销售由机器学习驱动的广告软件；以及向亚洲金融服务公司FinAccel提供1000万美元。</blockquote></p><p> All the targets have signed up to be Palantir customers. As of June 30, Palantir said it had commercial contracts with its SPAC portfolio companies with a potential value of $428 million; the revenue contribution in the latest quarter was just $3 million, or less than 1% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>所有目标都已签约成为Palantir客户。截至6月30日，Palantir表示，其与其SPAC投资组合公司签订了潜在价值为4.28亿美元的商业合同；最近一个季度的收入贡献仅为300万美元，不到总收入的1%。</blockquote></p><p> SPACs are a highly speculative place for a public company to be parking its cash. But I’d argue that Palantir’s decision to provide capital to new customers isn’t so different from offering vendor debt financing for hardware purchases—as&nbsp;IBM(IBM) and HP Enterprise (HPE) do—or from running robust venture capital programs, as do&nbsp;Intel(INTC) and&nbsp;Salesforce.com(CRM).</p><p><blockquote>SPAC是上市公司存放现金的高度投机场所。但我认为，Palantir向新客户提供资本的决定与为硬件购买提供供应商债务融资（如IBM(IBM)和HP Enterprise(HPE)所做的那样）或运行强大的风险投资计划（如英特尔(INTC)和Salesforce.com(CRM)所做的那样）并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, it makes some analysts squeamish. “While we don’t oppose thinking outside the box, we think the strategy may have been taken too far, particularly with software contracts that appear to be negotiated alongside an investment by Palantir in the same customer,” Citi’s Tyler Radke wrote in a recent research note.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，这还是让一些分析师感到不安。花旗的泰勒·拉德克(Tyler Radke)在一份报告中写道：“虽然我们并不反对跳出框框思考，但我们认为这一策略可能走得太远了，特别是在软件合同似乎是与Palantir对同一客户的投资一起谈判的情况下。”最近的研究笔记。</blockquote></p><p> The outside-the-box strategy goes beyond SPACs. This past week, Palantir disclosed that it had purchased $50.7 million worth of 100-ounce gold bars—a pretty strange move, even for Palantir. I ran a text search in the SEC’s database looking for references to gold bars, and found only references to other gold companies. The move makes&nbsp;Tesla’s(TSLA) Bitcoin purchases seem mundane.</p><p><blockquote>打破常规的策略超越了SPAC。上周，Palantir透露，它购买了价值5070万美元的100盎司金条——即使对Palantir来说，这也是一个相当奇怪的举动。我在SEC的数据库中进行了文本搜索，寻找金条的参考资料，只找到了其他黄金公司的参考资料。此举让特斯拉(TSLA)对比特币的收购显得平淡无奇。</blockquote></p><p> The fact that Palantir decided to buy physical gold, rather than, say, the&nbsp;SPDR Gold Shares&nbsp;ETF (GLD), makes it odder still. Palatnir ends up looking like the corporate equivalent of a doomsday prepper. I tried to follow-up with Karp to ask about the sudden interest in gold, but Palantir declined to make him available.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir决定购买实物黄金，而不是SPDR Gold Shares ETF(GLD)，这一事实让事情变得更加奇怪。Palatnir最终看起来就像是一个末日准备者。我试图跟进卡普，询问他对黄金突然产生的兴趣，但Palantir拒绝让他有空。</blockquote></p><p> One analyst who follows the company told me that the SPAC program and the foray into gold make Palantir a hard sell for institutional investors. You can see that in the shareholder base. Institutions hold only 25% of Palantir shares—compared with&nbsp;Oracle’s(ORCL) 46%,Snowflake’s(SNOW) 58%, and&nbsp;Microsoft’s(MSFT) 71%.</p><p><blockquote>一位关注该公司的分析师告诉我，SPAC计划和进军黄金领域使得Palantir很难被机构投资者推销。你可以在股东基础上看到这一点。机构仅持有Palantir 25%的股份，而甲骨文(ORCL)为46%，雪花(SNOW)为58%，微软(MSFT)为71%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the same analyst is still bullish on Palantir and says it offers “a very interesting set of solutions to buyers that require scale and sophistication.”</p><p><blockquote>但同一位分析师仍然看好Palantir，并表示它“为需要规模和复杂性的买家提供了一套非常有趣的解决方案”。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has a fanatical following among individual investors, and the company is playing to its fans. During its June-quarter earnings call, Palantir took nine questions from retail investors and just four from analysts.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir在个人投资者中拥有狂热的追随者，该公司正在迎合其粉丝。在六月季度财报看涨期权上，Palantir回答了散户投资者的9个问题，仅回答了分析师的4个问题。</blockquote></p><p> On traditional metrics, Palantir isn’t cheap. The stock trades for 25 times estimated 2022 sales. But strip away the craziness, and Palantir looks like the single best bet on the future of complex data analytics. There aren’t many other ways for investors to play the opportunity—and the world isn’t getting any simpler or less dangerous.</p><p><blockquote>从传统指标来看，Palantir并不便宜。该股的交易价格是2022年预计销售额的25倍。但抛开疯狂，Palantir看起来是复杂数据分析未来的最佳选择。投资者没有太多其他方式来利用这个机会——而且世界并没有变得更简单或更不危险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/palantir-stock-spacs-gold-51629497963?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/palantir-stock-spacs-gold-51629497963?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179203616","content_text":"Palantir Technologies is one of the world’s quirkiest tech companies, and last week the story got weirder than ever. But beneath the surface, there’s an oddly compelling case for the business and the stock.\nPalantir (ticker: PLTR) provides data analytics software to both commercial and government clients. The 18-year-old company has two primary platforms—Gotham, for government applications, and Foundry, for commercial customers. Palantir has a long history of serving U.S. military and intelligence agencies, but lately it’s been building out its sales team to bulk up its commercial business. That plan seems to be getting traction.\nPalantir went public in a direct listing last September, with the stock opening at $10. It’s since taken shareholders on a wild ride, trading as high as $45 earlier this year. It’s now around $25, still up 150% from listing day.\nIn its recently reported June quarter, Palantir posted revenue of $376 million, up 49% from the year-earlier level. The company got a big boost from its U.S. commercial business, which grew 90%. Palantir sees September quarter revenue inching up to $385 million, and it continues to forecast annual top-line growth of 30%-plus through 2025.\nBut the core story gets lost in the noise—Palantir seems to thrive on controversy. Almost everything it does is outside the box. Before last year’s stock listing, Palantir quietly moved its headquarters to Denver from Palo Alto. The reasoning boils down to politics.\n“When we started the company in 2004, the idea was to bring world-class software to our intelligence and military communities,” Palantir CEO Alex Karp told me in a June interview. “Numerous companies in Silicon Valley have refused either overtly, tacitly, or by dragging their feet, to work with the U.S. government. … I believe in general there’s a choice to be made in the world, and America has serious, rigorous, intelligent, and sometimes ruthless adversaries.”\nPalantir has also been doing unusual things with the $2.4 billion in cash on its balance sheet. The company is aggressively investing in PIPEs, or private investments in public equities, which are used in almost every SPAC merger to increase the capital raised. Palantir has committed $310 million across more than a dozen SPACs, or special purpose acquisition companies, according to its latest SEC filing. It’s completed $33 million of equity investments across three other companies.\n\nThe most recent tranche includes $20 million for Fast Radius, which offers a “cloud manufacturing platform;” $15 million for Tritium, a developer of electric vehicle chargers; $15 million for AdTheorent, which sells advertising software driven by machine learning; and $10 million for FinAccel, an Asian financial-services company.\nAll the targets have signed up to be Palantir customers. As of June 30, Palantir said it had commercial contracts with its SPAC portfolio companies with a potential value of $428 million; the revenue contribution in the latest quarter was just $3 million, or less than 1% of the total.\nSPACs are a highly speculative place for a public company to be parking its cash. But I’d argue that Palantir’s decision to provide capital to new customers isn’t so different from offering vendor debt financing for hardware purchases—as IBM(IBM) and HP Enterprise (HPE) do—or from running robust venture capital programs, as do Intel(INTC) and Salesforce.com(CRM).\nEven so, it makes some analysts squeamish. “While we don’t oppose thinking outside the box, we think the strategy may have been taken too far, particularly with software contracts that appear to be negotiated alongside an investment by Palantir in the same customer,” Citi’s Tyler Radke wrote in a recent research note.\nThe outside-the-box strategy goes beyond SPACs. This past week, Palantir disclosed that it had purchased $50.7 million worth of 100-ounce gold bars—a pretty strange move, even for Palantir. I ran a text search in the SEC’s database looking for references to gold bars, and found only references to other gold companies. The move makes Tesla’s(TSLA) Bitcoin purchases seem mundane.\nThe fact that Palantir decided to buy physical gold, rather than, say, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), makes it odder still. Palatnir ends up looking like the corporate equivalent of a doomsday prepper. I tried to follow-up with Karp to ask about the sudden interest in gold, but Palantir declined to make him available.\nOne analyst who follows the company told me that the SPAC program and the foray into gold make Palantir a hard sell for institutional investors. You can see that in the shareholder base. Institutions hold only 25% of Palantir shares—compared with Oracle’s(ORCL) 46%,Snowflake’s(SNOW) 58%, and Microsoft’s(MSFT) 71%.\nBut the same analyst is still bullish on Palantir and says it offers “a very interesting set of solutions to buyers that require scale and sophistication.”\nPalantir has a fanatical following among individual investors, and the company is playing to its fans. During its June-quarter earnings call, Palantir took nine questions from retail investors and just four from analysts.\nOn traditional metrics, Palantir isn’t cheap. The stock trades for 25 times estimated 2022 sales. But strip away the craziness, and Palantir looks like the single best bet on the future of complex data analytics. There aren’t many other ways for investors to play the opportunity—and the world isn’t getting any simpler or less dangerous.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835473225,"gmtCreate":1629736373367,"gmtModify":1631890139278,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok, pls like!","listText":"Ok, pls like!","text":"Ok, pls like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835473225","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832505823,"gmtCreate":1629647737662,"gmtModify":1631890139292,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832505823","repostId":"1115632642","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836699865,"gmtCreate":1629473325657,"gmtModify":1631890139306,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please?&nbsp;","listText":"Like please?&nbsp;","text":"Like please?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836699865","repostId":"2160710721","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830181010,"gmtCreate":1629029005430,"gmtModify":1631890139316,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830181010","repostId":"1138531277","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":116391484,"gmtCreate":1622772793048,"gmtModify":1634098154489,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116391484","repostId":"1182667134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117565856,"gmtCreate":1623152144075,"gmtModify":1634036422758,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment please, thank u. Will replyur post","listText":"Like and comment please, thank u. Will replyur post","text":"Like and comment please, thank u. Will replyur post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117565856","repostId":"1154765176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116398358,"gmtCreate":1622772805974,"gmtModify":1634098154245,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116398358","repostId":"1182667134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192973519,"gmtCreate":1621140634731,"gmtModify":1634193777346,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like please, thank you","listText":"Comment and like please, thank you","text":"Comment and like please, thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192973519","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104491191,"gmtCreate":1620401433813,"gmtModify":1634205478606,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can someone respond to my comment?","listText":"Can someone respond to my comment?","text":"Can someone respond to my comment?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104491191","repostId":"1171540841","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137039374,"gmtCreate":1622266282698,"gmtModify":1634102615391,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thankfully not another Ever Green! Like and comment pls, thanks","listText":"Thankfully not another Ever Green! Like and comment pls, thanks","text":"Thankfully not another Ever Green! Like and comment pls, thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137039374","repostId":"2138488778","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195730302,"gmtCreate":1621313819906,"gmtModify":1634192510576,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"This means Tesla may continue to drop in prices.. oh no! Please like and comment, thanks","listText":"This means Tesla may continue to drop in prices.. oh no! Please like and comment, thanks","text":"This means Tesla may continue to drop in prices.. oh no! Please like and comment, thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195730302","repostId":"1187982931","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832505823,"gmtCreate":1629647737662,"gmtModify":1631890139292,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832505823","repostId":"1115632642","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138984488,"gmtCreate":1621905264344,"gmtModify":1634185639908,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment please, ty","listText":"Like and comment please, ty","text":"Like and comment please, ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138984488","repostId":"2138159407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133458893,"gmtCreate":1621788317212,"gmtModify":1634186580310,"author":{"id":"3582110607927501","authorId":"3582110607927501","name":"Syrope","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ddaf202594282f1436af195f5cd39e4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582110607927501","idStr":"3582110607927501"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like please&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like please&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133458893","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}