Purpphy的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Purpphy

Purpphy

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2021-06-30

[Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-25

[What]

Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>

2021-06-15

66666666666

2021-07-06

[Thinking]

2021-06-07

$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$🚀🚀

2021-07-02

[Silence]

2021-08-13

[Cool]

2021-07-05

[Miser]

@satoshisan:[Thinking]

2021-07-03

[Cool]

2021-07-02

[Smile] //@satoshisan:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@Joanne1135:$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$ohhh 3 largest banks are not dping well today [思考]

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For now it's all losses in the near term.In the short to mid term, prices will keep fluctuating with 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/314619523\" target=\"_blank\">之前银行贴文</a>）现在问题来了，银行股还有上升空间吗？让我用这3方面来分析： 新加坡整体经济 新加坡整体经济正在稳健的复苏当中：政府已经明确认可他们对冠病的新策略 - 从“新病例归零”到“以冠病共存”。这也意味着把焦点放在恢复经济上。新加坡海峡指数如今还没回到疫情前的水平，相信我们的经济复苏很快的会带动它上扬。新加坡银行是指数的主要成分。这趋势肯定也会带动他们的股价上扬。 新加坡银行的发展潜能 银行服务的数码化，带给了新加坡银行更多的商机。新加坡银行一直都在扩大东南亚的业务，数码银行的普及化能加快这扩充的步伐。新加坡银行的风险管理在亚洲甚至全球也是被受认可。就如最近的恒大房地产事宜，在一份星展银行总裁访问报告，他表述这事宜对星展银行没有影响。总体而言，新加坡银行在疫情的情况下表现了韧性，相信在全球经济复苏当中，可以有更好的作为。 银行股估值 和年头比较，股价肯定是上了，也已经离开了明显低估的状况 （看之前贴文）。不过，从市盈率和股息率分析，它们肯定还没有到高估的状态。他们现在的市盈率都在13倍左右或以下，股息率也在3%-4%左右。这和疫情前的高位相比，还有一些距离。继续关注新加坡银行股吧！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D05.SI\">$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$大华银行(U11.SI)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"如果你有跟着我之前关于银行股的贴文，今天应该蛮高兴的，股价增长加上股息，应该有20%左右的回报！（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/314619523\" target=\"_blank\">之前银行贴文</a>）现在问题来了，银行股还有上升空间吗？让我用这3方面来分析： 新加坡整体经济 新加坡整体经济正在稳健的复苏当中：政府已经明确认可他们对冠病的新策略 - 从“新病例归零”到“以冠病共存”。这也意味着把焦点放在恢复经济上。新加坡海峡指数如今还没回到疫情前的水平，相信我们的经济复苏很快的会带动它上扬。新加坡银行是指数的主要成分。这趋势肯定也会带动他们的股价上扬。 新加坡银行的发展潜能 银行服务的数码化，带给了新加坡银行更多的商机。新加坡银行一直都在扩大东南亚的业务，数码银行的普及化能加快这扩充的步伐。新加坡银行的风险管理在亚洲甚至全球也是被受认可。就如最近的恒大房地产事宜，在一份星展银行总裁访问报告，他表述这事宜对星展银行没有影响。总体而言，新加坡银行在疫情的情况下表现了韧性，相信在全球经济复苏当中，可以有更好的作为。 银行股估值 和年头比较，股价肯定是上了，也已经离开了明显低估的状况 （看之前贴文）。不过，从市盈率和股息率分析，它们肯定还没有到高估的状态。他们现在的市盈率都在13倍左右或以下，股息率也在3%-4%左右。这和疫情前的高位相比，还有一些距离。继续关注新加坡银行股吧！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D05.SI\">$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$大华银行(U11.SI)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"如果你有跟着我之前关于银行股的贴文，今天应该蛮高兴的，股价增长加上股息，应该有20%左右的回报！（之前银行贴文）现在问题来了，银行股还有上升空间吗？让我用这3方面来分析： 新加坡整体经济 新加坡整体经济正在稳健的复苏当中：政府已经明确认可他们对冠病的新策略 - 从“新病例归零”到“以冠病共存”。这也意味着把焦点放在恢复经济上。新加坡海峡指数如今还没回到疫情前的水平，相信我们的经济复苏很快的会带动它上扬。新加坡银行是指数的主要成分。这趋势肯定也会带动他们的股价上扬。 新加坡银行的发展潜能 银行服务的数码化，带给了新加坡银行更多的商机。新加坡银行一直都在扩大东南亚的业务，数码银行的普及化能加快这扩充的步伐。新加坡银行的风险管理在亚洲甚至全球也是被受认可。就如最近的恒大房地产事宜，在一份星展银行总裁访问报告，他表述这事宜对星展银行没有影响。总体而言，新加坡银行在疫情的情况下表现了韧性，相信在全球经济复苏当中，可以有更好的作为。 银行股估值 和年头比较，股价肯定是上了，也已经离开了明显低估的状况 （看之前贴文）。不过，从市盈率和股息率分析，它们肯定还没有到高估的状态。他们现在的市盈率都在13倍左右或以下，股息率也在3%-4%左右。这和疫情前的高位相比，还有一些距离。继续关注新加坡银行股吧！$星展集团控股(D05.SI)$ 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23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151862709","media":"zerohedge","summary":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and dem","content":"<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUsed Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151862709","content_text":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.\n\n“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“\n\n\n On the \n demandside, the \n freight markets are still red-hot,encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”\n\nPreliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.\n“U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.\nStruggling to keep up\nNew truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.\n“It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”\nAppreciation across the board\nJ.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.\n\nThe newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.\n\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.” - Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager\n\nThe average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.\nAll used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.\nHighest prices since Great Recession\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”\nRetail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.\n“We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.\nLooking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.\nScant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.\n“We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126686433,"gmtCreate":1624561335222,"gmtModify":1631891662438,"author":{"id":"3581997143953971","authorId":"3581997143953971","name":"Purpphy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/673190270af801a74b4f90fdc873b508","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581997143953971","authorIdStr":"3581997143953971"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3581999749124350\">@satoshisan</a>:Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3581999749124350\">@satoshisan</a>:Great ariticle, would 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23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151862709","media":"zerohedge","summary":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and dem","content":"<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUsed Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151862709","content_text":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.\n\n“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“\n\n\n On the \n demandside, the \n freight markets are still red-hot,encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”\n\nPreliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.\n“U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.\nStruggling to keep up\nNew truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.\n“It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”\nAppreciation across the board\nJ.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.\n\nThe newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.\n\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.” - Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager\n\nThe average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.\nAll used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.\nHighest prices since Great Recession\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”\nRetail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.\n“We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.\nLooking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.\nScant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.\n“We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking 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