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2021-10-15

Good morning

Why iPhone Supply Hiccup Is Not A Problem For Apple Stock<blockquote>为什么 iPhone 供应中断对苹果股票来说不是问题</blockquote>

2021-10-11

Morning

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2021-10-11

Morning

Singapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote>

2021-10-11

Great

Singapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote>

2021-10-06

Morning

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2021-10-02

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3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>3只股票第四季度可能再次翻倍</blockquote>

2021-09-29

Good morning

Technically Speaking: Is The Market "Melting-Up?"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>

2021-09-28

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EV stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘交易中下跌</blockquote>

2021-09-27

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2021-09-23

Good morning

EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price<blockquote>EngageSmart 开盘价为 37 美元，较 IPO 价格上涨约 43.6%</blockquote>

2021-09-14

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2021-09-09

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2021-09-09

Good morning

Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>

2021-09-07

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2021-09-03

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2021-09-02

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2021-09-01

Good morning

Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>

2021-08-31

Good morning

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2021-08-28

Good morning

Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote>

2021-08-26

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The Apple Maven thinks that long-term investors should not worry much.</p><p><blockquote>由于有报道称零部件短缺可能影响 iPhone 13 的销售，苹果股价受到打击。这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不必过于担心。</blockquote></p><p> The recent news has not been very favorable for Apple&nbsp;and its shares. According to Bloomberg, the iPhone 13 isfacingsupply chain issues. The component shortage could cause the number of Apple devices produced to drop by 10 million this year.</p><p><blockquote>最近的消息对苹果及其股票来说并不是很有利。据彭博社报道，iPhone 13面临供应链问题。零部件短缺可能导致今年苹果设备的产量下降1000万台。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock has not fallen apart following the report, but it dipped below $140 apiece once again – levels not seen for more than a hot second since the start of July 2021. However, the Apple Maven believes that long-term investors should not worry about the recent developments involving the iPhone.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布后，苹果股价并未暴跌，但再次跌破每股 140 美元——这是自 2021 年 7 月初以来超过一秒钟的高位。然而，这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不应该担心最近涉及iPhone的发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c2295e5c2fd9f6f41f8a86c0a4c8ce\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone 13 new model.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone 13新机型。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>This seems familiar…</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这似乎很熟悉……</b></blockquote></p><p> First, it is important for readers to understand that there are different types of Apple stock investors and traders. Many buy shares in hopes of short-term gains, while others bet on the stock for the long haul. Short-term traders may, in fact, have good reasons to be concerned. What if Apple misses iPhone sales expectations in the next quarter, and the stock reacts negatively as a result?</p><p><blockquote>首先，读者了解有不同类型的苹果股票投资者和交易者是很重要的。许多人购买股票是希望短期收益，而另一些人则押注股票的长期收益。事实上，短线交易者可能有充分的理由感到担忧。如果苹果未能达到下一季度 iPhone 销售预期，并且该股因此做出负面反应，该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> But long-term holders are probably looking at Apple’s business fundamentals further out in the future. There have been enough reports suggesting that&nbsp;demand for the iPhone 13 has been high, probably even better than demand for the already successful iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>但长期持有者可能会在未来进一步关注苹果的业务基本面。有足够多的报道表明，对iPhone 13的需求一直很高，可能甚至比对已经成功的iPhone 12的需求还要好。</blockquote></p><p> If enough demand for a product exists, it is reasonable to think that temporary supply chain hiccups will only cause sales to shift from one period to the next. This is exactly what happened in 2020, when the COVID-19 crisis caused the iPhone 12 to be unveiled and launched later in the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>如果对一种产品有足够的需求，有理由认为暂时的供应链中断只会导致销售从一个时期转移到下一个时期。这正是2020年发生的事情，当时新冠肺炎危机导致iPhone 12在假期晚些时候亮相并推出。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows iPhone sales growth in fiscal 2019 and 2020, and in the first periods of the current year. Notice how the painful revenue decline in 2019 seems to have created pent-up demand that was not met in fiscal Q4 of last year, due to the production delays. When those were finally resolved, fiscal 2021 revenues shot through the roof.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2019财年和2020财年以及今年第一阶段的iPhone销售增长情况。请注意，2019年痛苦的收入下降似乎创造了被压抑的需求，由于生产延迟，这些需求在去年第四财季没有得到满足。当这些问题最终得到解决时，2021 财年的收入飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f351ccb2a56f417bb16d8f0246fcc4\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"568\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone growth from 2019 to 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：2019年至2021年iPhone增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Average iPhone sales growth between the start of fiscal 2020 and now turned out to be a healthy 14%, although revenues were very lumpy from quarter to quarter. During the same period, and despite last year’s supply chain problems, Apple stock climbed 90%.</p><p><blockquote>从 2020 财年开始到现在，iPhone 的平均销量增长率为 14%，尽管每个季度的收入都非常不稳定。同期，尽管去年存在供应链问题，苹果的股价仍攀升了 90%。</blockquote></p><p> Could the current component shortage cause revenues to merely shift around the calendar once again? I think it is plausible, if not likely.</p><p><blockquote>当前的零部件短缺会导致收入再次发生变化吗？我认为这是可信的，如果不可能的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple is a good place to hide</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果是个藏身的好地方</b></blockquote></p><p> To be clear, the alleged production delays is not an Apple-specific problem. Component shortages in this year of recovery from the pandemic has been well documented and seems to be impacting consumer tech vendors across the board.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，所谓的生产延迟并不是苹果特有的问题。今年从疫情复苏的元器件短缺已被充分记录在案，并且似乎正在全面影响消费科技供应商。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, an investor can choose not to commit to the tech sector at all, fearing that the whole industry will underperform as the global economies continue to bounce back. But if money is to be deployed in the space, I think that Apple is a safer-than-average bet due to best-in-class supply chain management.</p><p><blockquote>当然，投资者可以选择根本不投资科技行业，担心随着全球经济持续反弹，整个行业将表现不佳。但如果要在该领域部署资金，我认为由于一流的供应链管理，苹果是一个比平均水平更安全的选择。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, I explained in more detail that Apple&nbsp;has become “king of inventory management”under CEO Tim Cook – who is also the Cupertino company’s former COO. Therefore, were I to bet on one company handling supply chain issues well, it would probably be the one with most purchasing power and a solid track record at managing inventory.</p><p><blockquote>去年，我更详细地解释说，在首席执行官蒂姆-库克（Tim Cook）的领导下，苹果已经成为 “库存管理之王”，库克也是这家库比蒂诺公司的前首席运营官。因此，如果我打赌一家公司能很好地处理供应链问题，它可能是购买力最大、库存管理记录良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why iPhone Supply Hiccup Is Not A Problem For Apple Stock<blockquote>为什么 iPhone 供应中断对苹果股票来说不是问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy iPhone Supply Hiccup Is Not A Problem For Apple Stock<blockquote>为什么 iPhone 供应中断对苹果股票来说不是问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 21:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock has taken a hit due to reports of a component shortage that could impact iPhone 13 sales. The Apple Maven thinks that long-term investors should not worry much.</p><p><blockquote>由于有报道称零部件短缺可能影响 iPhone 13 的销售，苹果股价受到打击。这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不必过于担心。</blockquote></p><p> The recent news has not been very favorable for Apple&nbsp;and its shares. According to Bloomberg, the iPhone 13 isfacingsupply chain issues. The component shortage could cause the number of Apple devices produced to drop by 10 million this year.</p><p><blockquote>最近的消息对苹果及其股票来说并不是很有利。据彭博社报道，iPhone 13面临供应链问题。零部件短缺可能导致今年苹果设备的产量下降1000万台。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock has not fallen apart following the report, but it dipped below $140 apiece once again – levels not seen for more than a hot second since the start of July 2021. However, the Apple Maven believes that long-term investors should not worry about the recent developments involving the iPhone.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布后，苹果股价并未暴跌，但再次跌破每股 140 美元——这是自 2021 年 7 月初以来超过一秒钟的高位。然而，这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不应该担心最近涉及iPhone的发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c2295e5c2fd9f6f41f8a86c0a4c8ce\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone 13 new model.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone 13新机型。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>This seems familiar…</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这似乎很熟悉……</b></blockquote></p><p> First, it is important for readers to understand that there are different types of Apple stock investors and traders. Many buy shares in hopes of short-term gains, while others bet on the stock for the long haul. Short-term traders may, in fact, have good reasons to be concerned. What if Apple misses iPhone sales expectations in the next quarter, and the stock reacts negatively as a result?</p><p><blockquote>首先，读者了解有不同类型的苹果股票投资者和交易者是很重要的。许多人购买股票是希望短期收益，而另一些人则押注股票的长期收益。事实上，短线交易者可能有充分的理由感到担忧。如果苹果未能达到下一季度 iPhone 销售预期，并且该股因此做出负面反应，该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> But long-term holders are probably looking at Apple’s business fundamentals further out in the future. There have been enough reports suggesting that&nbsp;demand for the iPhone 13 has been high, probably even better than demand for the already successful iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>但长期持有者可能会在未来进一步关注苹果的业务基本面。有足够多的报道表明，对iPhone 13的需求一直很高，可能甚至比对已经成功的iPhone 12的需求还要好。</blockquote></p><p> If enough demand for a product exists, it is reasonable to think that temporary supply chain hiccups will only cause sales to shift from one period to the next. This is exactly what happened in 2020, when the COVID-19 crisis caused the iPhone 12 to be unveiled and launched later in the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>如果对一种产品有足够的需求，有理由认为暂时的供应链中断只会导致销售从一个时期转移到下一个时期。这正是2020年发生的事情，当时新冠肺炎危机导致iPhone 12在假期晚些时候亮相并推出。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows iPhone sales growth in fiscal 2019 and 2020, and in the first periods of the current year. Notice how the painful revenue decline in 2019 seems to have created pent-up demand that was not met in fiscal Q4 of last year, due to the production delays. When those were finally resolved, fiscal 2021 revenues shot through the roof.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2019财年和2020财年以及今年第一阶段的iPhone销售增长情况。请注意，2019年痛苦的收入下降似乎创造了被压抑的需求，由于生产延迟，这些需求在去年第四财季没有得到满足。当这些问题最终得到解决时，2021 财年的收入飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f351ccb2a56f417bb16d8f0246fcc4\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"568\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone growth from 2019 to 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：2019年至2021年iPhone增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Average iPhone sales growth between the start of fiscal 2020 and now turned out to be a healthy 14%, although revenues were very lumpy from quarter to quarter. During the same period, and despite last year’s supply chain problems, Apple stock climbed 90%.</p><p><blockquote>从 2020 财年开始到现在，iPhone 的平均销量增长率为 14%，尽管每个季度的收入都非常不稳定。同期，尽管去年存在供应链问题，苹果的股价仍攀升了 90%。</blockquote></p><p> Could the current component shortage cause revenues to merely shift around the calendar once again? I think it is plausible, if not likely.</p><p><blockquote>当前的零部件短缺会导致收入再次发生变化吗？我认为这是可信的，如果不可能的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple is a good place to hide</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果是个藏身的好地方</b></blockquote></p><p> To be clear, the alleged production delays is not an Apple-specific problem. Component shortages in this year of recovery from the pandemic has been well documented and seems to be impacting consumer tech vendors across the board.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，所谓的生产延迟并不是苹果特有的问题。今年从疫情复苏的元器件短缺已被充分记录在案，并且似乎正在全面影响消费科技供应商。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, an investor can choose not to commit to the tech sector at all, fearing that the whole industry will underperform as the global economies continue to bounce back. But if money is to be deployed in the space, I think that Apple is a safer-than-average bet due to best-in-class supply chain management.</p><p><blockquote>当然，投资者可以选择根本不投资科技行业，担心随着全球经济持续反弹，整个行业将表现不佳。但如果要在该领域部署资金，我认为由于一流的供应链管理，苹果是一个比平均水平更安全的选择。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, I explained in more detail that Apple&nbsp;has become “king of inventory management”under CEO Tim Cook – who is also the Cupertino company’s former COO. Therefore, were I to bet on one company handling supply chain issues well, it would probably be the one with most purchasing power and a solid track record at managing inventory.</p><p><blockquote>去年，我更详细地解释说，在首席执行官蒂姆-库克（Tim Cook）的领导下，苹果已经成为 “库存管理之王”，库克也是这家库比蒂诺公司的前首席运营官。因此，如果我打赌一家公司能很好地处理供应链问题，它可能是购买力最大、库存管理记录良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/why-iphone-supply-hiccup-is-not-a-problem-for-apple-stock\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/why-iphone-supply-hiccup-is-not-a-problem-for-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176037392","content_text":"Apple stock has taken a hit due to reports of a component shortage that could impact iPhone 13 sales. The Apple Maven thinks that long-term investors should not worry much.\nThe recent news has not been very favorable for Apple and its shares. According to Bloomberg, the iPhone 13 isfacingsupply chain issues. The component shortage could cause the number of Apple devices produced to drop by 10 million this year.\nApple stock has not fallen apart following the report, but it dipped below $140 apiece once again – levels not seen for more than a hot second since the start of July 2021. However, the Apple Maven believes that long-term investors should not worry about the recent developments involving the iPhone.\nFigure 1: iPhone 13 new model.\nThis seems familiar…\nFirst, it is important for readers to understand that there are different types of Apple stock investors and traders. Many buy shares in hopes of short-term gains, while others bet on the stock for the long haul. Short-term traders may, in fact, have good reasons to be concerned. What if Apple misses iPhone sales expectations in the next quarter, and the stock reacts negatively as a result?\nBut long-term holders are probably looking at Apple’s business fundamentals further out in the future. There have been enough reports suggesting that demand for the iPhone 13 has been high, probably even better than demand for the already successful iPhone 12.\nIf enough demand for a product exists, it is reasonable to think that temporary supply chain hiccups will only cause sales to shift from one period to the next. This is exactly what happened in 2020, when the COVID-19 crisis caused the iPhone 12 to be unveiled and launched later in the holiday season.\nThe chart below shows iPhone sales growth in fiscal 2019 and 2020, and in the first periods of the current year. Notice how the painful revenue decline in 2019 seems to have created pent-up demand that was not met in fiscal Q4 of last year, due to the production delays. When those were finally resolved, fiscal 2021 revenues shot through the roof.\nFigure 2: iPhone growth from 2019 to 2021.\nAverage iPhone sales growth between the start of fiscal 2020 and now turned out to be a healthy 14%, although revenues were very lumpy from quarter to quarter. During the same period, and despite last year’s supply chain problems, Apple stock climbed 90%.\nCould the current component shortage cause revenues to merely shift around the calendar once again? I think it is plausible, if not likely.\nApple is a good place to hide\nTo be clear, the alleged production delays is not an Apple-specific problem. Component shortages in this year of recovery from the pandemic has been well documented and seems to be impacting consumer tech vendors across the board.\nOf course, an investor can choose not to commit to the tech sector at all, fearing that the whole industry will underperform as the global economies continue to bounce back. But if money is to be deployed in the space, I think that Apple is a safer-than-average bet due to best-in-class supply chain management.\nLast year, I explained in more detail that Apple has become “king of inventory management”under CEO Tim Cook – who is also the Cupertino company’s former COO. Therefore, were I to bet on one company handling supply chain issues well, it would probably be the one with most purchasing power and a solid track record at managing inventory.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828509372,"gmtCreate":1633920381940,"gmtModify":1633920382041,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828509372","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828277382,"gmtCreate":1633920295769,"gmtModify":1633920295929,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828277382","repostId":"1143168499","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143168499","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633919503,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1143168499?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 10:31","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143168499","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel l","content":"<p>SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel lanes for vaccinated individuals from more countries,&nbsp;despite tightening rules for the unvaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市周一开盘走高，尽管对未接种疫苗者的规定更加严格，但新加坡宣布将为来自更多国家的接种疫苗者开放旅行通道。</blockquote></p><p> Singapore Airlines&nbsp;was also actively traded, with 5.1 million shares worth S$27.9 million changing hands. The counter jumped&nbsp;8.38%&nbsp;to S$5.56.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡航空公司的交易也很活跃，510万股股票易手，价值2790万新元。柜台上涨8.38%至5.56新元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d505007cdebdf08df7bd687485879d1a\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On Saturday, Singapore announced that it would&nbsp;expand its Vaccinated Travel Lane scheme&nbsp;to an additional nine countries, allowing fully vaccinated travellers from Singapore and these nations to enjoy quarantine-free travel both ways.</p><p><blockquote>周六，新加坡宣布将把其疫苗接种旅行通道计划扩大到另外九个国家，允许来自新加坡和这些国家的完全接种疫苗的旅客双向享受免检疫旅行。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-11 10:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel lanes for vaccinated individuals from more countries,&nbsp;despite tightening rules for the unvaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市周一开盘走高，尽管对未接种疫苗者的规定更加严格，但新加坡宣布将为来自更多国家的接种疫苗者开放旅行通道。</blockquote></p><p> Singapore Airlines&nbsp;was also actively traded, with 5.1 million shares worth S$27.9 million changing hands. The counter jumped&nbsp;8.38%&nbsp;to S$5.56.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡航空公司的交易也很活跃，510万股股票易手，价值2790万新元。柜台上涨8.38%至5.56新元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d505007cdebdf08df7bd687485879d1a\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On Saturday, Singapore announced that it would&nbsp;expand its Vaccinated Travel Lane scheme&nbsp;to an additional nine countries, allowing fully vaccinated travellers from Singapore and these nations to enjoy quarantine-free travel both ways.</p><p><blockquote>周六，新加坡宣布将把其疫苗接种旅行通道计划扩大到另外九个国家，允许来自新加坡和这些国家的完全接种疫苗的旅客双向享受免检疫旅行。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143168499","content_text":"SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel lanes for vaccinated individuals from more countries, despite tightening rules for the unvaccinated.\nSingapore Airlines was also actively traded, with 5.1 million shares worth S$27.9 million changing hands. The counter jumped 8.38% to S$5.56.\n\nOn Saturday, Singapore announced that it would expand its Vaccinated Travel Lane scheme to an additional nine countries, allowing fully vaccinated travellers from Singapore and these nations to enjoy quarantine-free travel both ways.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"C6L.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3829,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828274982,"gmtCreate":1633920207247,"gmtModify":1633920207354,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828274982","repostId":"1143168499","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143168499","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633919503,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1143168499?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 10:31","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143168499","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel l","content":"<p>SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel lanes for vaccinated individuals from more countries,&nbsp;despite tightening rules for the unvaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市周一开盘走高，尽管对未接种疫苗者的规定更加严格，但新加坡宣布将为来自更多国家的接种疫苗者开放旅行通道。</blockquote></p><p> Singapore Airlines&nbsp;was also actively traded, with 5.1 million shares worth S$27.9 million changing hands. The counter jumped&nbsp;8.38%&nbsp;to S$5.56.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡航空公司的交易也很活跃，510万股股票易手，价值2790万新元。柜台上涨8.38%至5.56新元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d505007cdebdf08df7bd687485879d1a\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On Saturday, Singapore announced that it would&nbsp;expand its Vaccinated Travel Lane scheme&nbsp;to an additional nine countries, allowing fully vaccinated travellers from Singapore and these nations to enjoy quarantine-free travel both ways.</p><p><blockquote>周六，新加坡宣布将把其疫苗接种旅行通道计划扩大到另外九个国家，允许来自新加坡和这些国家的完全接种疫苗的旅客双向享受免检疫旅行。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Airlines shares rose more than 8% in morning trading<blockquote>新加坡航空股价早盘上涨逾8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-11 10:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel lanes for vaccinated individuals from more countries,&nbsp;despite tightening rules for the unvaccinated.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市周一开盘走高，尽管对未接种疫苗者的规定更加严格，但新加坡宣布将为来自更多国家的接种疫苗者开放旅行通道。</blockquote></p><p> Singapore Airlines&nbsp;was also actively traded, with 5.1 million shares worth S$27.9 million changing hands. The counter jumped&nbsp;8.38%&nbsp;to S$5.56.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡航空公司的交易也很活跃，510万股股票易手，价值2790万新元。柜台上涨8.38%至5.56新元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d505007cdebdf08df7bd687485879d1a\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On Saturday, Singapore announced that it would&nbsp;expand its Vaccinated Travel Lane scheme&nbsp;to an additional nine countries, allowing fully vaccinated travellers from Singapore and these nations to enjoy quarantine-free travel both ways.</p><p><blockquote>周六，新加坡宣布将把其疫苗接种旅行通道计划扩大到另外九个国家，允许来自新加坡和这些国家的完全接种疫苗的旅客双向享受免检疫旅行。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143168499","content_text":"SINGAPORE shares started the week higher on Monday, as the Republic announced it would open travel lanes for vaccinated individuals from more countries, despite tightening rules for the unvaccinated.\nSingapore Airlines was also actively traded, with 5.1 million shares worth S$27.9 million changing hands. The counter jumped 8.38% to S$5.56.\n\nOn Saturday, Singapore announced that it would expand its Vaccinated Travel Lane scheme to an additional nine countries, allowing fully vaccinated travellers from Singapore and these nations to enjoy quarantine-free travel both ways.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"C6L.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829924972,"gmtCreate":1633457538936,"gmtModify":1633457539303,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829924972","repostId":"2173151439","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867993616,"gmtCreate":1633180874268,"gmtModify":1633180874617,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867993616","repostId":"1134305481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134305481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633152909,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134305481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 13:35","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>3只股票第四季度可能再次翻倍</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134305481","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this mo","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs 今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC 必须从这里开始翻倍才能重返 6 月份的高点。查看即将到来的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart 正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一路嘲笑银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，这是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资比其他投资表现更好。2021 年，超过 300 只股票的股价上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年的最后三个月保持这些收益，他们将是幸运的，但那些有可能再次翻倍的名字呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>洞洞鞋</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CROX）<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：UPST）2021 年前 9 个月的价值增长了一倍多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1. 洞洞鞋</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那些有洞的明亮橡胶鞋吗？他们又回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs 的销量一直在蓬勃发展，2021 年前 9 个月，该股也随之上涨了 129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在 COVID-19 危机之前，舒适的树脂鞋已经卷土重来，2019 年实现了两位数的收入增长，然后在 2020 年再次实现这一壮举。2021年，动力才是真正让Crocs更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在 2 月份预计全年营收增长 20% 至 25%。接下来的一个季度，指引上调至 40% 至 50% 之间。今年夏天，这种情况再次发生，Crocs 现在的目标是 2021 年全年收入增长 60% 至 65%。您认为如果在本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该股自 2019 年初以来已上涨近六倍，但考虑到其加速增长，Crocs 的定价还是合理的。该公司的交易价格是今年市盈率的 21 倍，而明年目标仅为 17 倍。显然还有增加这些倍数的空间，华尔街终于对 Crocs 作为一项投资感到满意，就像其客户对 Crocs 的看法一样。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商出现在这个名单上，但情节转折是电影如此出色的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股的五倍爆炸式增长——到了其估值相对于同行来说已经失控的地步。如果你想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，你会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为 ameme 股票和文化现象，很难反驳 AMC 在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢占所做的事情。今年没有一家公司的市值像 AMC 那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，其股价仅为 6 月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须从这里翻倍才能重新创下历史高点——但对于 2021 年动量股票的海报儿童来说，这不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在那里。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但当随后的周末表现糟糕时，最初的兴奋就消失了。然而，这都是关于管道的。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月份的上映推迟到10月份及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。第四季度对该行业来说应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果 AMC 股价回到 6 月初的水平（这次基本上是盈利的），它将不得不从这里翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3. 新贵</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆时机成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是 Upstart 对贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart 使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级，为那些通常无法获得消费贷款批准的人评估风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎急剧放缓，过去三年增长速度分别放缓了 89%、52% 和 27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长 90%，但在最新报告中却猛增 1,018%。不，那不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。2021 年前三个季度，该股上涨了七袋，但这架颠覆性喷气式飞机的跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>3只股票第四季度可能再次翻倍</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>3只股票第四季度可能再次翻倍</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-02 13:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs 今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC 必须从这里开始翻倍才能重返 6 月份的高点。查看即将到来的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart 正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一路嘲笑银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，这是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资比其他投资表现更好。2021 年，超过 300 只股票的股价上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年的最后三个月保持这些收益，他们将是幸运的，但那些有可能再次翻倍的名字呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>洞洞鞋</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CROX）<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：UPST）2021 年前 9 个月的价值增长了一倍多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1. 洞洞鞋</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那些有洞的明亮橡胶鞋吗？他们又回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs 的销量一直在蓬勃发展，2021 年前 9 个月，该股也随之上涨了 129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在 COVID-19 危机之前，舒适的树脂鞋已经卷土重来，2019 年实现了两位数的收入增长，然后在 2020 年再次实现这一壮举。2021年，动力才是真正让Crocs更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在 2 月份预计全年营收增长 20% 至 25%。接下来的一个季度，指引上调至 40% 至 50% 之间。今年夏天，这种情况再次发生，Crocs 现在的目标是 2021 年全年收入增长 60% 至 65%。您认为如果在本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该股自 2019 年初以来已上涨近六倍，但考虑到其加速增长，Crocs 的定价还是合理的。该公司的交易价格是今年市盈率的 21 倍，而明年目标仅为 17 倍。显然还有增加这些倍数的空间，华尔街终于对 Crocs 作为一项投资感到满意，就像其客户对 Crocs 的看法一样。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商出现在这个名单上，但情节转折是电影如此出色的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股的五倍爆炸式增长——到了其估值相对于同行来说已经失控的地步。如果你想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，你会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为 ameme 股票和文化现象，很难反驳 AMC 在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢占所做的事情。今年没有一家公司的市值像 AMC 那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，其股价仅为 6 月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须从这里翻倍才能重新创下历史高点——但对于 2021 年动量股票的海报儿童来说，这不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在那里。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但当随后的周末表现糟糕时，最初的兴奋就消失了。然而，这都是关于管道的。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月份的上映推迟到10月份及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。第四季度对该行业来说应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果 AMC 股价回到 6 月初的水平（这次基本上是盈利的），它将不得不从这里翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3. 新贵</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆时机成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是 Upstart 对贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart 使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级，为那些通常无法获得消费贷款批准的人评估风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎急剧放缓，过去三年增长速度分别放缓了 89%、52% 和 27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长 90%，但在最新报告中却猛增 1,018%。不，那不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。2021 年前三个季度，该股上涨了七袋，但这架颠覆性喷气式飞机的跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","CROX":"卡骆驰","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134305481","content_text":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.\nAMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.\nUpstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.\n\n\nIt's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?\nCrocs (NASDAQ:CROX),AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC), andUpstart (NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.\n1. Crocs\nRemember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.\nThe comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.\nThe year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?\nDespite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nYou may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.\nHowever, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?\nFundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Ringsshattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.\n3. Upstart\nI love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.\nGrowth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.\nWith Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"UPST":0.9,"CROX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862783833,"gmtCreate":1632914187457,"gmtModify":1632914187877,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862783833","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862343790,"gmtCreate":1632839596477,"gmtModify":1632839596615,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862343790","repostId":"1155723613","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155723613","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632839322,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155723613?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-28 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘交易中下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155723613","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technolo","content":"<p>EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologies&nbsp;and&nbsp;Faraday Future&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 1% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车、Lucid、Nikola、Fisker、小牛科技和法拉第未来跌幅在1%至5%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43dde189cdc270c215d32a2c5de7eafa\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘交易中下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘交易中下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-28 22:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologies&nbsp;and&nbsp;Faraday Future&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 1% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车、Lucid、Nikola、Fisker、小牛科技和法拉第未来跌幅在1%至5%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43dde189cdc270c215d32a2c5de7eafa\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏集团","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155723613","content_text":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Nikola,Fisker,Niu Technologies and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866855683,"gmtCreate":1632755530242,"gmtModify":1632798051765,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866855683","repostId":"2170626149","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863488086,"gmtCreate":1632412116045,"gmtModify":1632729895124,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863488086","repostId":"1159478468","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159478468","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632411695,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1159478468?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 23:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price<blockquote>EngageSmart 开盘价为 37 美元，较 IPO 价格上涨约 43.6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159478468","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintr","content":"<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月23日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart公司。</a>开盘价为 37 美元，较 IPO 价格上涨约 43.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p><p><blockquote>EngageSmart总部位于马萨诸塞州布伦特里，旨在开发一个平台，为某些垂直行业量身定制，提高客户参与度。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由创始人兼首席执行官 Robert P. Bennett 领导，他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作，此前曾担任 Sage Payment Solutions 总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The company's primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>  <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>  <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>  <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li> </ul> EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>简单实践 - 健康</li><li>InvoiceCloud - 政府、公用事业和金融服务</li><li>HealthPay24-医疗保健</li><li>DonorDrive - 非营利和企业筹款</li></ul>EngageSmart 已从 General Atlantic 和 Summit Partners 等投资者那里获得了至少 4.51 亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其直销队伍和在线服务追求大型企业客户和中小企业客户。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司已为中小企业市场的68,000多家客户和企业解决方案部门的3,000多家客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支占总收入的百分比随著收入增加而下降，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>32.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>32.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>33.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>33.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>43.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>43.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每1美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近的报告期内略有下降至1.1倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.1</p><p><blockquote><td>1.1</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.3</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的一条经验法则，即只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日，ESMT 的最新计算为 64%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期修订版增长率%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>59%</p><p><blockquote><td>59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>息税折旧摊销前利润百分比</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5%</p><p><blockquote><td>5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>64%</p><p><blockquote><td>64%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年12月31日的年度，该公司以美元为基础的净收入保留率为124%，这是一个强劲的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移从每个客户群体中产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群体中产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的2021年市场研究报告，2020年全球客户参与解决方案市场估计为155亿美元，预计到2026年将达到309亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2026年的预测CAGR为12.65%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是技术解决方案的增长，以改善客户通过他们用于与企业联系的任何设备的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，降低客户流失率的愿望导致了企业财务状况的改善和估值的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2018年美国不同行业客户流失率的变化：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p><p><blockquote><li>微软（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p><p><blockquote><li>细微差别（纳斯达克股票代码：NUAN）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p><p><blockquote><li>甲骨文（纽约证券交易所代码：ORCL）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Salesforce（纽约证券交易所代码：CRM）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p><p><blockquote><li>阿瓦亚（纽约证券交易所代码：AVYA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Calabrio</p><p><blockquote><li>卡拉布里亚</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Aspect Software</p><p><blockquote><li>方面软件</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Genesys</p><p><blockquote><li>创世纪</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p><p><blockquote><li>Verint Systems（纳斯达克股票代码：VRNT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p><p><blockquote><li>尼斯有限公司（纳斯达克股票代码：NICE）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>OpenText</p><p><blockquote><li>打开文本</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p><p><blockquote><li>飞马系统公司（纳斯达克股票代码：PEGA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>EngageSmart近期的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growing topline revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>毛利增长及高毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Growing operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润不断增长</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>增加经营现金流</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下为公司注册声明得出的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>总收入</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>总收入</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与先前相比的%方差</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 99,171,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$99,171,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 146,557,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$146,557,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>77.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>77.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 82,432,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$82,432,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与先前相比的%方差</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 73,673,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$73,673,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>61.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>61.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 108,964,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$108,964,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>89.2%</p><p><blockquote><td>89.2%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 57,591,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$57,591,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.29%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.29%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.35%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.35%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>69.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>69.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>营业溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>营业溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 5,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$5,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 648,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$648,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (50,398,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(50,398,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-61.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>-61.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净收入（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净收入（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 274,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$274,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,678,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,678,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (53,598,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(53,598,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 12,044,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$12,044,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 19,645,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$19,645,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (1,427,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(1,427,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td>（术语表）</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，EngageSmart拥有3180万美元现金和1.518亿美元总负债。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内，自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Details</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO详情</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT 打算出售 1300 万股股票，出售股东将以每股 24.00 美元的拟议中点价格发售 155 万股普通股，总收益约为 3.49 亿美元，不包括出售惯例承销商期权。</blockquote></p><p> New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p><p><blockquote>新的潜在投资者 Dragoneer Investment Group 已表示有兴趣以拟议的中点价格购买 210 万股此次发行的股票，即约 5040 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>假设在拟议价格范围的中点成功IPO，该公司在IPO时的企业价值（不包括承销商期权）将约为37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p><p><blockquote>撇除承销商期权和私募股份或限制性股票（如有）的影响，流通股与流通股的比率将约为9.04%。低于 10% 的数字通常被认为是“低流通量”股票，可能会受到大幅价格波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司最新的监管文件，它计划将净收益用途如下：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.    Source: SEC  Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计将使用此次发行的所得款项净额全额偿还信贷额度项下约 1.142 亿美元的未偿还借款。我们目前打算将本次发行的剩余净收益用于一般公司用途，包括为我们的增长提供资金、收购互补业务、产品、服务或技术、营运资金、运营费用和资本支出。资料来源：SEC管理层对公司路演的介绍可在此处获得。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p><p><blockquote>关于未决法律诉讼，截至监管备案日，管理层尚未披露针对该公司的任何法律索赔。</blockquote></p><p> Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p><p><blockquote>此次IPO的上市承销商包括摩根大通、高盛、美国银行证券和其他投资银行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表是该公司首次公开募股时的相关资本和估值指标，不包括承销商选择权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>首次公开发售时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,862,956,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,862,956,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,656,695,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,656,695,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>电动汽车/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>首页 / EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>9.04%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.04%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$24.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$24.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流量</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$25,236,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,236,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.65%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.65%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，一个潜在的公众可比将是尼斯有限公司；以下是其主要估值指标的比较：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>度量</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>尼斯有限公司</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>EngageSmart</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>参与智能</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.01</p><p><blockquote><td>11.01</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>91.5%</p><p><blockquote><td>91.5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>电动汽车/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.67</p><p><blockquote><td>10.67</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>87.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>87.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>首页 / EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41.73</p><p><blockquote><td>41.73</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>804.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>804.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$3.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1003.34%</p><p><blockquote><td>1003.34%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> (S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>（S-1/A和Seeking Alpha）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT 正在寻求公共投资来偿还债务并用于其一般未具体说明的企业增长计划。</blockquote></p><p> The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示营收增长强劲，毛利润增长、营业利润和净利润略有波动，运营现金流也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加，销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比有所下降，其销售和营销效率在最近六个月报告期内下降至 1.1 倍。</blockquote></p><p> The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的 40 法则表现出色，截至 2020 年 12 月 31 日止年度的美元净收入保留率为 124%，这是一个强劲的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p><p><blockquote>向企业提供客户参与软件的市场机会很大，预计到2026年底规模将翻一番，因此该公司将受益于强劲的行业增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通是主承销商，该公司在过去 12 个月内牵头的 IPO 自 IPO 以来平均回报率为 20.4%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中级表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景面临的主要风险是大公司有能力将部分服务捆绑到现有产品中，从而导致定价压力下行和竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与部分竞争对手 NICE 相比，ESMT 的收入增长速度要快得多，因此其更高的收入倍数似乎是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司的增长速度比竞争对手 Pegasystems 快得多，因此似乎正在从这些公司和客户参与市场的其他公司手中夺取市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该公司与竞争对手相比强劲的增长和运营指标，虽然 IPO 并不便宜，但值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price<blockquote>EngageSmart 开盘价为 37 美元，较 IPO 价格上涨约 43.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price<blockquote>EngageSmart 开盘价为 37 美元，较 IPO 价格上涨约 43.6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-23 23:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月23日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart公司。</a>开盘价为 37 美元，较 IPO 价格上涨约 43.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p><p><blockquote>EngageSmart总部位于马萨诸塞州布伦特里，旨在开发一个平台，为某些垂直行业量身定制，提高客户参与度。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由创始人兼首席执行官 Robert P. Bennett 领导，他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作，此前曾担任 Sage Payment Solutions 总裁。</blockquote></p><p> The company's primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>  <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>  <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>  <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li> </ul> EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>简单实践 - 健康</li><li>InvoiceCloud - 政府、公用事业和金融服务</li><li>HealthPay24-医疗保健</li><li>DonorDrive - 非营利和企业筹款</li></ul>EngageSmart 已从 General Atlantic 和 Summit Partners 等投资者那里获得了至少 4.51 亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其直销队伍和在线服务追求大型企业客户和中小企业客户。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司已为中小企业市场的68,000多家客户和企业解决方案部门的3,000多家客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支占总收入的百分比随著收入增加而下降，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>32.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>32.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>33.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>33.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>43.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>43.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每1美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近的报告期内略有下降至1.1倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.1</p><p><blockquote><td>1.1</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.3</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的一条经验法则，即只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至 2021 年 6 月 30 日，ESMT 的最新计算为 64%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期修订版增长率%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>59%</p><p><blockquote><td>59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>息税折旧摊销前利润百分比</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5%</p><p><blockquote><td>5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>64%</p><p><blockquote><td>64%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年12月31日的年度，该公司以美元为基础的净收入保留率为124%，这是一个强劲的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移从每个客户群体中产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群体中产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p><p><blockquote>根据Mordor Intelligence的2021年市场研究报告，2020年全球客户参与解决方案市场估计为155亿美元，预计到2026年将达到309亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2026年的预测CAGR为12.65%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是技术解决方案的增长，以改善客户通过他们用于与企业联系的任何设备的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，降低客户流失率的愿望导致了企业财务状况的改善和估值的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2018年美国不同行业客户流失率的变化：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p><p><blockquote><li>微软（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p><p><blockquote><li>细微差别（纳斯达克股票代码：NUAN）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p><p><blockquote><li>甲骨文（纽约证券交易所代码：ORCL）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Salesforce（纽约证券交易所代码：CRM）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p><p><blockquote><li>阿瓦亚（纽约证券交易所代码：AVYA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Calabrio</p><p><blockquote><li>卡拉布里亚</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Aspect Software</p><p><blockquote><li>方面软件</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Genesys</p><p><blockquote><li>创世纪</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p><p><blockquote><li>Verint Systems（纳斯达克股票代码：VRNT）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p><p><blockquote><li>尼斯有限公司（纳斯达克股票代码：NICE）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>OpenText</p><p><blockquote><li>打开文本</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p><p><blockquote><li>飞马系统公司（纳斯达克股票代码：PEGA）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>EngageSmart近期的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growing topline revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>毛利增长及高毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Growing operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润不断增长</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>增加经营现金流</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下为公司注册声明得出的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>总收入</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>总收入</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与先前相比的%方差</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 99,171,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$99,171,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 146,557,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$146,557,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>77.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>77.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 82,432,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$82,432,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与先前相比的%方差</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 73,673,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$73,673,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>61.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>61.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 108,964,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$108,964,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>89.2%</p><p><blockquote><td>89.2%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 57,591,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$57,591,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.29%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.29%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.35%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.35%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>69.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>69.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>营业溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>营业溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 5,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$5,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 648,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$648,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (50,398,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(50,398,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-61.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>-61.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净收入（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净收入（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 274,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$274,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,678,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,678,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (53,598,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(53,598,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 12,044,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$12,044,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 19,645,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$19,645,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (1,427,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(1,427,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td>（术语表）</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，EngageSmart拥有3180万美元现金和1.518亿美元总负债。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内，自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Details</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO详情</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT 打算出售 1300 万股股票，出售股东将以每股 24.00 美元的拟议中点价格发售 155 万股普通股，总收益约为 3.49 亿美元，不包括出售惯例承销商期权。</blockquote></p><p> New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p><p><blockquote>新的潜在投资者 Dragoneer Investment Group 已表示有兴趣以拟议的中点价格购买 210 万股此次发行的股票，即约 5040 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>假设在拟议价格范围的中点成功IPO，该公司在IPO时的企业价值（不包括承销商期权）将约为37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p><p><blockquote>撇除承销商期权和私募股份或限制性股票（如有）的影响，流通股与流通股的比率将约为9.04%。低于 10% 的数字通常被认为是“低流通量”股票，可能会受到大幅价格波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司最新的监管文件，它计划将净收益用途如下：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.    Source: SEC  Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计将使用此次发行的所得款项净额全额偿还信贷额度项下约 1.142 亿美元的未偿还借款。我们目前打算将本次发行的剩余净收益用于一般公司用途，包括为我们的增长提供资金、收购互补业务、产品、服务或技术、营运资金、运营费用和资本支出。资料来源：SEC管理层对公司路演的介绍可在此处获得。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p><p><blockquote>关于未决法律诉讼，截至监管备案日，管理层尚未披露针对该公司的任何法律索赔。</blockquote></p><p> Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p><p><blockquote>此次IPO的上市承销商包括摩根大通、高盛、美国银行证券和其他投资银行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表是该公司首次公开募股时的相关资本和估值指标，不包括承销商选择权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>首次公开发售时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,862,956,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,862,956,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,656,695,720</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,656,695,720</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>电动汽车/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>首页 / EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>9.04%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.04%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$24.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$24.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流量</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$25,236,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,236,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>0.65%</p><p><blockquote><td>0.65%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: SEC</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>资料来源：SEC</blockquote></p><p> As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，一个潜在的公众可比将是尼斯有限公司；以下是其主要估值指标的比较：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>度量</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>尼斯有限公司</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>EngageSmart</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>参与智能</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.01</p><p><blockquote><td>11.01</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.09</p><p><blockquote><td>21.09</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>91.5%</p><p><blockquote><td>91.5%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>电动汽车/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.67</p><p><blockquote><td>10.67</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>19.96</p><p><blockquote><td>19.96</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>87.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>87.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>首页 / EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41.73</p><p><blockquote><td>41.73</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>377.37</p><p><blockquote><td>377.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>804.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>804.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$3.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$0.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>5.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>5.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>58.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1003.34%</p><p><blockquote><td>1003.34%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> (S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p><p><blockquote><tr></tr>（S-1/A和Seeking Alpha）</blockquote></p><p> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p><p><blockquote>ESMT 正在寻求公共投资来偿还债务并用于其一般未具体说明的企业增长计划。</blockquote></p><p> The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示营收增长强劲，毛利润增长、营业利润和净利润略有波动，运营现金流也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流为2520万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加，销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比有所下降，其销售和营销效率在最近六个月报告期内下降至 1.1 倍。</blockquote></p><p> The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的 40 法则表现出色，截至 2020 年 12 月 31 日止年度的美元净收入保留率为 124%，这是一个强劲的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p><p><blockquote>向企业提供客户参与软件的市场机会很大，预计到2026年底规模将翻一番，因此该公司将受益于强劲的行业增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通是主承销商，该公司在过去 12 个月内牵头的 IPO 自 IPO 以来平均回报率为 20.4%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中级表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景面临的主要风险是大公司有能力将部分服务捆绑到现有产品中，从而导致定价压力下行和竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与部分竞争对手 NICE 相比，ESMT 的收入增长速度要快得多，因此其更高的收入倍数似乎是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司的增长速度比竞争对手 Pegasystems 快得多，因此似乎正在从这些公司和客户参与市场的其他公司手中夺取市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该公司与竞争对手相比强劲的增长和运营指标，虽然 IPO 并不便宜，但值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159478468","content_text":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.\nManagement is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.\nThe company's primary offerings include:\n\nSimplePractice - Wellness\nInvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services\nHealthPay24 - Healthcare\nDonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising\n\nEngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.\nAs of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n32.4%\n\n\n2020\n33.1%\n\n\n2019\n43.1%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.1\n\n\n2020\n1.3\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n59%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n5%\n\n\nTotal\n64%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.\nAlso, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.\nBelow is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nIBM(NYSE:IBM)\nMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)\nNuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)\nOracle(NYSE:ORCL)\nSalesforce(NYSE:CRM)\nAvaya(NYSE:AVYA)\nCalabrio\nAspect Software\nGenesys\nVerint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)\nNICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)\nOpenText\nPegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nEngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nGrowing topline revenue\nIncreasing gross profit and high gross margin\nGrowing operating profit and net income\nIncreasing cash flow from operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 99,171,000\n58.6%\n\n\n2020\n$ 146,557,000\n77.8%\n\n\n2019\n$ 82,432,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 73,673,000\n61.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ 108,964,000\n89.2%\n\n\n2019\n$ 57,591,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.29%\n\n\n2020\n74.35%\n\n\n2019\n69.86%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 5,001,000\n5.0%\n\n\n2020\n$ 648,000\n0.4%\n\n\n2019\n$ (50,398,000)\n-61.1%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 274,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,678,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (53,598,000)\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 12,044,000\n\n\n2020\n$ 19,645,000\n\n\n2019\n$ (1,427,000)\n\n\n\n(Glossary Of Terms)\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.\nIPO Details\nESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.\nNew potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.\nAssuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.\nExcluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.\nPer the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:\n\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n\n\n Source: SEC\n\nManagement's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.\nRegarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.\nListed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,862,956,720\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,656,695,720\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n21.09\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n19.96\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n377.37\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$0.00\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n9.04%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$24.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n$25,236,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n0.65%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n58.59%\n\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nNice Ltd.\nEngageSmart\nVariance\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n11.01\n21.09\n91.5%\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n10.67\n19.96\n87.1%\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n41.73\n377.37\n804.3%\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$3.05\n$0.00\n-100.0%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n5.3%\n58.59%\n1003.34%\n\n\n\n\n(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)\nCommentary\nESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.\nThe firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.\nThe company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.\nJPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.\nAs for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.\nAlso, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.\nGiven the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886387781,"gmtCreate":1631554576143,"gmtModify":1631891039016,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886387781","repostId":"2167630550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889449792,"gmtCreate":1631173875816,"gmtModify":1631891039019,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889449792","repostId":"2165399556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889144712,"gmtCreate":1631119926136,"gmtModify":1631891039023,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889144712","repostId":"1154837170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631090918,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154837170?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837170","media":"Barron's","summary":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.Bitcoin  was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum , down 12% to $3,460.The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum ","content":"<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说，这本应是快乐的一天，但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（股票代码：BTC）周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%，今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前，比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境，包括以太币 (ETH)，下跌 12%，至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来，比特币股价已上涨超过 50%，当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后，以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后，这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道，麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前，纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币，包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可，这些组织警告萨尔瓦多，将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所，这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿（Katie Stockton）说，假设价格不会突然飙升，比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大，收盘价将低于昨天（假设下午 5 点截止，尽管它 24 小时交易）。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说，到目前为止，抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折，因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线，这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称，Coinbase Global（股票代码：COIN）在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来，这也提醒人们，比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸，但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff<blockquote>比特币经历了艰难的一天。抛售背后的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 16:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p><p><blockquote>对比特币来说，这本应是快乐的一天，但却变成了溃败。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（股票代码：BTC）周二下午交易价格约为 47,000 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 9%，今天上午跌至 42,900 美元。抛售前，比特币股价已超过 52,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p><p><blockquote>其他加密货币也陷入困境，包括以太币 (ETH)，下跌 12%，至 3,460 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p><p><blockquote>抛售可能反映了7月下旬价格开始上涨后的获利了结。自 7 月下旬以来，比特币股价已上涨超过 50%，当时股价约为 34,000 美元。在其底层区块链网络进行技术升级后，以太币也一直在飞翔。</blockquote></p><p> The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多成为第一个将比特币与该国另一种官方货币美元一起作为法定货币的国家后，这一低迷的一天可能也反映了 “抛售新闻 ”的动态。</blockquote></p><p> Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p><p><blockquote>萨尔瓦多的商人现在应该接受商品和服务的比特币。政府承诺在公民的数字钱包中提供价值30美元的比特币。据路透社报道，麦当劳已开始在萨尔瓦多接受比特币。在正式发射前，纳伊布·布克莱总统的政府一直在购买比特币，包括价值至少2000万美元的产品。</blockquote></p><p> But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p><p><blockquote>但萨尔瓦多的加密货币实验并没有得到国际货币基金组织和世界银行等组织的认可，这些组织警告萨尔瓦多，将其作为法定货币可能会危及金融稳定。其他国家正在打击加密交易、采矿和交易所，这表明萨尔瓦多目前可能是一个例外。</blockquote></p><p> Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p><p><blockquote>加密货币观察人士也将市场低迷归咎于技术因素。加密货币交易研究公司 Fairlead Strategies 的创始人兼管理合伙人凯蒂-斯托克顿（Katie Stockton）说，假设价格不会突然飙升，比特币现在将迎来 “外部下跌 ”的一天。这意味着比特币的交易区间更大，收盘价将低于昨天（假设下午 5 点截止，尽管它 24 小时交易）。</blockquote></p><p> “The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”这意味着要进一步整合。她补充说，到目前为止，抛售看起来只是一个小小的挫折，因为比特币还没有突破 4.4 万美元左右的 50 天移动平均线，这是其下一个支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> “A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”44,000 美元的违规并不意味着破产。“这是对 50 天移动平均线的测试。“比特币和大多数接近当前低点的加密货币都有强有力的支撑”。</blockquote></p><p> Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p><p><blockquote>其他可能导致抛售的因素还包括领先的加密货币交易所 Bitfinix 的停电和 “计划外维护 ”的报道。据 Downdetector 称，Coinbase Global（股票代码：COIN）在中午前后也经历了停电激增。</blockquote></p><p> Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p><p><blockquote>即使价格从这里稳定下来，这也提醒人们，比特币和其他加密货币仍然容易受到快速下跌的影响。虽然你可以在圣萨尔瓦多买到一个加了一小块比特币的巨无霸，但你最好还是把它放在你的数字钱包里——或者不放在那里——这取决于一天中的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837170","content_text":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.\nOther cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.\nThe selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.\nThe down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.\nMerchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.\nBut El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.\nCrypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).\n“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.\n“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”\nOther factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.\nEven if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817773488,"gmtCreate":1630993568444,"gmtModify":1631891039028,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817773488","repostId":"2165880909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815174443,"gmtCreate":1630661535982,"gmtModify":1631891039030,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815174443","repostId":"1108680670","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812128911,"gmtCreate":1630565898033,"gmtModify":1631891039032,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812128911","repostId":"2164481914","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816898426,"gmtCreate":1630484869265,"gmtModify":1631891039037,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816898426","repostId":"1110460683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110460683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630483823,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1110460683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-01 16:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110460683","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased","content":"<p>Skillz&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a32486a8be6b6f805078c68af182e17\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock&nbsp;yesterday,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;was&nbsp;up&nbsp;11.14%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>一位Reddit用户发帖称，他们昨天购买了480万美元的Skillz股票，该股周二上涨11.14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSkillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-01 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Skillz&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a32486a8be6b6f805078c68af182e17\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock&nbsp;yesterday,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;was&nbsp;up&nbsp;11.14%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>一位Reddit用户发帖称，他们昨天购买了480万美元的Skillz股票，该股周二上涨11.14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110460683","content_text":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock yesterday, and the stock was up 11.14% on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":893,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818151571,"gmtCreate":1630387669793,"gmtModify":1704959537749,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818151571","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813137028,"gmtCreate":1630148098064,"gmtModify":1704956548281,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813137028","repostId":"1184130616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184130616","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111537,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184130616?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184130616","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Does crime pay?\nAmong the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the head","content":"<p><div> Does crime pay? Among the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the headlines in the 1990s and early 2000s,Bernard Ebbersphysically stood out from his peers — the 6-foot-4 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>犯罪有报酬吗？在20世纪90年代和21世纪初占据头条新闻的知名企业高管中，伯纳德·埃伯在身高6英尺4英寸的同龄人中脱颖而出……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-28 08:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Does crime pay? Among the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the headlines in the 1990s and early 2000s,Bernard Ebbersphysically stood out from his peers — the 6-foot-4 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>犯罪有报酬吗？在20世纪90年代和21世纪初占据头条新闻的知名企业高管中，伯纳德·埃伯在身高6英尺4英寸的同龄人中脱颖而出……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HRB":"H&R布洛克税务"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184130616","content_text":"Does crime pay?\nAmong the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the headlines in the 1990s and early 2000s,Bernard Ebbersphysically stood out from his peers — the 6-foot-4 head of WorldCom was dubbed the “telecom cowboy” thanks to his sartorial preference for jeans, cowboy boots and a 10-gallon hat.\nEbbers also stood out from his peers for tightly holding on to Luddite practices as the digital age dawned. He famously refused to communicate with his workforce via email. Even worse, he stood out thanks to a prickly personality that quickly seethed when confronted with unpleasant news. A 2002 profile in The Economist defined him as “parochial, stubborn, preoccupied with penny-pinching … a difficult man to work for.”\nBut ultimately, Ebbers stood out for being at the center of what was (at the time) the largest accounting fraud in U.S. history, which was followed by the harshest prison sentence ever imposed on a corporate executive for financial crimes.\nA Man In Search Of Himself: Bernard John Ebbers was born Aug. 27, 1941, in Edmonton, Alberta, the second of five children. His father John was a traveling salesman and his peripatetic profession brought the family down from Canada into California, where he jettisoned his sales work and became an auto mechanic. The family later relocated to Gallup, New Mexico, where Ebbers’ parents became teachers on the Navajo Nation Indian reservation.\nThe Ebbers clan was back in Canada when Ebbers was a teenager and Bernie (as he was commonly known) came into adulthood unable to determine a course for his life. He attended Canada’s University of Alberta and Michigan’s Calvin College before accepting a basketball scholarship to Mississippi College. But he was the victim of a robbery prior to his senior year that left him seriously injured and switched his attention from playing to coaching the junior varsity team.\nEbbers graduated in 1967 majoring in physical education and minoring in secondary education. He supported himself during his college years by taking on a variety of odd jobs including a bouncer and milk delivery driver. He married his college sweetheart,Linda Pigott,after graduating and landed work teaching science to middle-school students while coaching high school basketball.\nBut Ebbers didn’t stay very long in the school system. When his wife received a job offer as a teacher in another Mississippi town, the couple relocated and he found work managing a garment factory warehouse. By 1974, he tired of working for others and responded to a newspaper advertisement seeking a buyer for a motel in Columbia, Mississippi.\nEbbers’ approach to running a hospitality establishment sometimes bordered on the eccentric. He would distribute bathroom towels at the front desk and require guests to return them to avoid being charged for taking them. Nonetheless, he found a niche in hospitality management and by the early 1980s he owned and operated eight motels within Mississippi and Texas; he also picked up a car dealership that also proved profitable.\nCalling Out Around The World:Ebbers might have remained in the Mississippi hospitality industry had it not been for the 1982 breakup ofAT&T Inc.'s T 0.41%monopoly on the U.S. telephone system. This created a seismic shift in the telecommunications world by enabling other companies to begin reselling long-distance telephone services.\nIn 1983, Ebbers and three friends met at a diner in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, to consider the feasibility of pursuing this newly opened opportunity. Ebbers theorized that having control of his long-distance calling services could benefit his motel business. In the days before mobile phones, guests in lodging establishments in need of long-distance calling would either have to feed handfuls of quarters into payphones or make calls from their rooms, which usually came with extra fees.\nEbbers and his pals decided to get into the telecommunications business with Long Distance Discount Services, which they established in 1985 with headquarters in Jackson, Mississippi, with Ebbers as CEO.\nCarl J. Aycock,a Mississippi financial advisor who was among the early investors in LDDS, would later laugh at the unlikelihood of Ebbers running a telecom company.\n“The only experience Bernie had before operating a long-distance company was he used the phone,” Aycock quipped in a 1997 interview.\nMaybe Ebbers did not possess an encyclopedic knowledge of telecommunications technology, but the good fortune he enjoyed in the motel business transitioned to this unlikely setting. Within four years of its launch, LDDS was being publicly traded.\nWithin 10 years of its opening, LDDS took on an almost Pac Man-style persona of gobbling up telecom firms in sight of the company, acquiring more than 60 different telecommunications company. By 1995, the company renamed itself LDDS WorldCom.\nMany of the company’s acquisitions were on the small side, and the company was never considered a major player in the telecom industry until its $720 million acquisition of Advanced Telecommunications Corporation in 1992.\nThe unlikely acquisition came with Ebbers’ ability to outbid industry titans AT&T and Sprint Corporation,both considerably larger players in this field.\nThe one unfortunate development during this time was the end of Ebbers’ marriage in 1997. He remarried in 1999 to Kristie Webb.\nIn February 1998, Ebbers’ company launched its acquisition plans for CompuServe from H&R Block Inc.\nThis transaction was followed by an astonishing spin of assets: LDDS sold the CompuServe Information Service portion of its acquisition toAmerica Online,while retaining the CompuServe Network Services portion of the business. AOL simultaneously sold LDDS WorldCom its networking division, Advanced Network Services.\nIn September 1998, LDDS WorldCom sealed a $37 billion union with MCI Communications,which created the largest corporate merger in U.S. history. The combined entity became MCI WorldCom, and for Ebbers it seemed that the sky was the limit — except that Ebbers’ ability to soar in the corporate skies resulted in an Icarus-worthy predicament.\nA Little Out Of Touch:One year after the CompuServe and MCI deals, Ebbers’ company boasted an 80,000-person workforce, a market capitalization of roughly $185 billion and its shares were trading at a peak of nearly $62.\nAt the peak of the company’s success, Ebbers granted an interview to The New York Times aboard his 130-yacht, which he berthed in the resort town of Hilton Head, South Carolina. He claimed that the secret of his success was “not as complicated as people make it out to be,” adding that he surrounded himself with experts who advised him on which moves to make.\n“I’m not an engineer by training,” he said. “I’m not an accountant by training. I’m the coach. I’m not the point guard who shoots the ball.”\nBut as the company grew larger, Ebbers penny-pinching behavior during his early motel management days became more extreme. WorldCom executives would later complain that Ebbers stopped providing free coffee within their offices and directed security guards fill the water coolers with tap water.\nAnd for the head of a telecommunications company, Ebbers was curiously distrustful of cutting-edge tech developments. He refused to communicate via email and would not carry a pager or a cell phone. He would explain his actions internally by repeating “That’s the way we did it at LDDS,” and in a 1997 Business Week interview about this behavior he claimed that “when you come to the table with a (physical education) degree like I do, you don't know a lot about the technical stuff.”\nWhile Ebbers’ arms-length distance from personal technology could have been attributed to a zany quirk, there was another problem that couldn’t be happily shrugged away. As the company expanded, operational problems began to permeate the multiple divisions. Ebbers would become impatient or worse when confronted with problems, to the point that he would angrily demand that he only wanted to be addressed with good news.\nIn retrospect, Ebbers’ refusal to acknowledge that his company was growing too fast and too large proved to be a fatal flaw, especially when the corporate culture began to manufacture good news in lieu of reporting problems. As a result, Ebbers’ XL-sized business empire was sustained by taking on massive amounts of debt and highly improper accounting.\nDetour Off The Cliff:The first cracks in this corporate story began in October 1999 when MCI WorldCom — which had become the second-largest long-distance telephone company in the country — announced a $129 billion merger with Sprint, the third-largest telecom carrier. Within nine months of this announcement, the merger was canceled in the face of pressure from U.S. and European regulators who feared a telecom monopoly would be born from this union. MCI WorldCom walked away from the failure by renaming itself as WorldCom.\nWith the rise of the new millennium came the fall of the dot-com industry, and almost any company that had a tech-related aspect found itself taking a financial tumble. When Ebbers’ company tried to cut corners and save money, it turned into an act of self-immolation.\nWorldcom’s network systems engineering division exhausted its annual capital expenditures budget by November 2000, with a senior manager ordering a halt to processing payments for network systems vendors and suppliers until the beginning of 2001.\nThe company’s chief technical officer,Fred Briggs,then ordered all of the labor associated with the capital projects in the network systems division to be booked as an expense rather than a capital project — and his directive was shared with other divisions in the company.\nA WorldCom budget analyst named Kim Amighin the company’s Richardson, Texas, office recognized the legal ramifications of intentionally mischaracterizing capital expenses and lodged a protest against the order. The directive was canceled and so was Amigh — three months after his action, Amigh was abruptly laid off from the company.\nBut Vice President of Internal Audit Cynthia Cooper learned of Amigh’s findings and picked up his trail. Her department began combing through WorldCom’s accounts and found $2 billion that the company claimed in its public filings was spent on capital expenditures during the first three quarters of 2001 — except that the funds were never authorized for that purpose and were clearly operating costs moved into the capital expenditure accounting as a way to make WorldCom look more profitable.\nCooper could not find anyone in the WorldCom leadership ranks to explain the $2 billion discrepancy. Most executives said it was a “prepaid capacity,” a meaningless term which they couldn’t define when pressed by Cooper.\nAnd Cooper was not alone in her suspicions. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission could not fathom how WorldCom continued to claim robust profits during the dot-com period while its competitors were operating at a loss, and it sent forth a “Request for Information” to learn the secret of its success.\nAdding to this chaos were Ebbers’ personal financial woes, which became exacerbated during to dot-com crisis by margin calls on his WorldCom shares, which were tanking as the economy plummeted into a recession.\nTo alleviate his monetary pain, Ebbers borrowed $50 million from WorldCom in September 2000 — and then borrowed again and again. By April 2002, Ebbers was $400 million in debt to WorldCom and the board of directors demanded his resignation, which he provided.\nIn June 2002, WorldCom acknowledged its earnings reports contained $3.9 billion in accounting misstatements, with the figure later adjusted to $11 billion. In July 2002, the company declared bankruptcy and was delisted from public trading. Also during that month, Ebbers was called before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services to explain what happened. He pleaded the Fifth Amendment.\nRoad’s End:The efforts to bring Ebbers to trial got off to a weird start when the State of Oklahoma jumped the gun with a 15-count indictment, only to drop its charges in favor of federal prosecution.\nEbbers was indicted in May 2004 on seven counts of filing false statements with securities regulators plus one count each of conspiracy and securities fraud. Ebbers agreed to testify on his behalf, which many observers later considered to be a major mistake because he came across as evasive and unconvincing when insisting WorldCom’s downfall was solely the fault of his subordinates and that he was ignorant about how his company worked.\n“I know what I don’t know,” Ebbers said during his trial. “To this day, I don’t know technology, and I don’t know finance or accounting.”\nEbbers was found guilty on all counts and was sentenced to 25 years in prison, the longest sentence ever handed down in U.S. history for a financial fraud case against a corporate executive.\nHe remained free on bail while fighting to overturn the verdict, but the conviction was upheld in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit in July 2006. Two months later, he drove himself in his luxury Mercedes-Benz to a low-security Louisiana prison to begin his sentence. Two years later, his wife Kristie successfully filed for divorce.\nAfter 13 years behind bars, Ebbers was granted a compassionate release on Dec. 21, 2019, due to a deteriorating state of health that included macular degeneration that left him legally blind, anemia, a weakened heart condition and the beginnings of dementia. He returned to his home in Brookhaven, Mississippi, and passed away on Feb. 2, 2020.\nIn defining his rise to the top, Ebbers harkened back to his basketball days by insisting, “The coach's job is to get the best players and get them to play together.” But in explaining his fall from grace, Ebbers forgot that the core of coaching is accepting responsibility for the team’s performance and he blamed his “best players” for not being able to “play together” while absolving himself from their errors.\nSaid Ebbers when confronted with his ultimate failure as the corporate equivalent of a coach: “I didn't have anything to apologize for.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HRB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1012,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810079190,"gmtCreate":1629936883410,"gmtModify":1631891039044,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581897384326559","authorIdStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810079190","repostId":"1197778368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":894486252,"gmtCreate":1628847948776,"gmtModify":1631893508419,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894486252","repostId":"2159962232","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813137028,"gmtCreate":1630148098064,"gmtModify":1704956548281,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813137028","repostId":"1184130616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184130616","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111537,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184130616?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184130616","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Does crime pay?\nAmong the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the head","content":"<p><div> Does crime pay? Among the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the headlines in the 1990s and early 2000s,Bernard Ebbersphysically stood out from his peers — the 6-foot-4 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>犯罪有报酬吗？在20世纪90年代和21世纪初占据头条新闻的知名企业高管中，伯纳德·埃伯在身高6英尺4英寸的同龄人中脱颖而出……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Crime And Punishment: Bernard Ebbers And WorldCom's Seriously Wrong Numbers<blockquote>华尔街的犯罪与惩罚：伯纳德·埃伯斯和世通的严重错误数字</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-28 08:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Does crime pay? Among the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the headlines in the 1990s and early 2000s,Bernard Ebbersphysically stood out from his peers — the 6-foot-4 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>犯罪有报酬吗？在20世纪90年代和21世纪初占据头条新闻的知名企业高管中，伯纳德·埃伯在身高6英尺4英寸的同龄人中脱颖而出……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HRB":"H&R布洛克税务"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/08/22680432/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-bernard-ebbers-and-worldcoms-seriously-wrong-numbers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184130616","content_text":"Does crime pay?\nAmong the mightiest of the high-profile corporate executives that dominated the headlines in the 1990s and early 2000s,Bernard Ebbersphysically stood out from his peers — the 6-foot-4 head of WorldCom was dubbed the “telecom cowboy” thanks to his sartorial preference for jeans, cowboy boots and a 10-gallon hat.\nEbbers also stood out from his peers for tightly holding on to Luddite practices as the digital age dawned. He famously refused to communicate with his workforce via email. Even worse, he stood out thanks to a prickly personality that quickly seethed when confronted with unpleasant news. A 2002 profile in The Economist defined him as “parochial, stubborn, preoccupied with penny-pinching … a difficult man to work for.”\nBut ultimately, Ebbers stood out for being at the center of what was (at the time) the largest accounting fraud in U.S. history, which was followed by the harshest prison sentence ever imposed on a corporate executive for financial crimes.\nA Man In Search Of Himself: Bernard John Ebbers was born Aug. 27, 1941, in Edmonton, Alberta, the second of five children. His father John was a traveling salesman and his peripatetic profession brought the family down from Canada into California, where he jettisoned his sales work and became an auto mechanic. The family later relocated to Gallup, New Mexico, where Ebbers’ parents became teachers on the Navajo Nation Indian reservation.\nThe Ebbers clan was back in Canada when Ebbers was a teenager and Bernie (as he was commonly known) came into adulthood unable to determine a course for his life. He attended Canada’s University of Alberta and Michigan’s Calvin College before accepting a basketball scholarship to Mississippi College. But he was the victim of a robbery prior to his senior year that left him seriously injured and switched his attention from playing to coaching the junior varsity team.\nEbbers graduated in 1967 majoring in physical education and minoring in secondary education. He supported himself during his college years by taking on a variety of odd jobs including a bouncer and milk delivery driver. He married his college sweetheart,Linda Pigott,after graduating and landed work teaching science to middle-school students while coaching high school basketball.\nBut Ebbers didn’t stay very long in the school system. When his wife received a job offer as a teacher in another Mississippi town, the couple relocated and he found work managing a garment factory warehouse. By 1974, he tired of working for others and responded to a newspaper advertisement seeking a buyer for a motel in Columbia, Mississippi.\nEbbers’ approach to running a hospitality establishment sometimes bordered on the eccentric. He would distribute bathroom towels at the front desk and require guests to return them to avoid being charged for taking them. Nonetheless, he found a niche in hospitality management and by the early 1980s he owned and operated eight motels within Mississippi and Texas; he also picked up a car dealership that also proved profitable.\nCalling Out Around The World:Ebbers might have remained in the Mississippi hospitality industry had it not been for the 1982 breakup ofAT&T Inc.'s T 0.41%monopoly on the U.S. telephone system. This created a seismic shift in the telecommunications world by enabling other companies to begin reselling long-distance telephone services.\nIn 1983, Ebbers and three friends met at a diner in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, to consider the feasibility of pursuing this newly opened opportunity. Ebbers theorized that having control of his long-distance calling services could benefit his motel business. In the days before mobile phones, guests in lodging establishments in need of long-distance calling would either have to feed handfuls of quarters into payphones or make calls from their rooms, which usually came with extra fees.\nEbbers and his pals decided to get into the telecommunications business with Long Distance Discount Services, which they established in 1985 with headquarters in Jackson, Mississippi, with Ebbers as CEO.\nCarl J. Aycock,a Mississippi financial advisor who was among the early investors in LDDS, would later laugh at the unlikelihood of Ebbers running a telecom company.\n“The only experience Bernie had before operating a long-distance company was he used the phone,” Aycock quipped in a 1997 interview.\nMaybe Ebbers did not possess an encyclopedic knowledge of telecommunications technology, but the good fortune he enjoyed in the motel business transitioned to this unlikely setting. Within four years of its launch, LDDS was being publicly traded.\nWithin 10 years of its opening, LDDS took on an almost Pac Man-style persona of gobbling up telecom firms in sight of the company, acquiring more than 60 different telecommunications company. By 1995, the company renamed itself LDDS WorldCom.\nMany of the company’s acquisitions were on the small side, and the company was never considered a major player in the telecom industry until its $720 million acquisition of Advanced Telecommunications Corporation in 1992.\nThe unlikely acquisition came with Ebbers’ ability to outbid industry titans AT&T and Sprint Corporation,both considerably larger players in this field.\nThe one unfortunate development during this time was the end of Ebbers’ marriage in 1997. He remarried in 1999 to Kristie Webb.\nIn February 1998, Ebbers’ company launched its acquisition plans for CompuServe from H&R Block Inc.\nThis transaction was followed by an astonishing spin of assets: LDDS sold the CompuServe Information Service portion of its acquisition toAmerica Online,while retaining the CompuServe Network Services portion of the business. AOL simultaneously sold LDDS WorldCom its networking division, Advanced Network Services.\nIn September 1998, LDDS WorldCom sealed a $37 billion union with MCI Communications,which created the largest corporate merger in U.S. history. The combined entity became MCI WorldCom, and for Ebbers it seemed that the sky was the limit — except that Ebbers’ ability to soar in the corporate skies resulted in an Icarus-worthy predicament.\nA Little Out Of Touch:One year after the CompuServe and MCI deals, Ebbers’ company boasted an 80,000-person workforce, a market capitalization of roughly $185 billion and its shares were trading at a peak of nearly $62.\nAt the peak of the company’s success, Ebbers granted an interview to The New York Times aboard his 130-yacht, which he berthed in the resort town of Hilton Head, South Carolina. He claimed that the secret of his success was “not as complicated as people make it out to be,” adding that he surrounded himself with experts who advised him on which moves to make.\n“I’m not an engineer by training,” he said. “I’m not an accountant by training. I’m the coach. I’m not the point guard who shoots the ball.”\nBut as the company grew larger, Ebbers penny-pinching behavior during his early motel management days became more extreme. WorldCom executives would later complain that Ebbers stopped providing free coffee within their offices and directed security guards fill the water coolers with tap water.\nAnd for the head of a telecommunications company, Ebbers was curiously distrustful of cutting-edge tech developments. He refused to communicate via email and would not carry a pager or a cell phone. He would explain his actions internally by repeating “That’s the way we did it at LDDS,” and in a 1997 Business Week interview about this behavior he claimed that “when you come to the table with a (physical education) degree like I do, you don't know a lot about the technical stuff.”\nWhile Ebbers’ arms-length distance from personal technology could have been attributed to a zany quirk, there was another problem that couldn’t be happily shrugged away. As the company expanded, operational problems began to permeate the multiple divisions. Ebbers would become impatient or worse when confronted with problems, to the point that he would angrily demand that he only wanted to be addressed with good news.\nIn retrospect, Ebbers’ refusal to acknowledge that his company was growing too fast and too large proved to be a fatal flaw, especially when the corporate culture began to manufacture good news in lieu of reporting problems. As a result, Ebbers’ XL-sized business empire was sustained by taking on massive amounts of debt and highly improper accounting.\nDetour Off The Cliff:The first cracks in this corporate story began in October 1999 when MCI WorldCom — which had become the second-largest long-distance telephone company in the country — announced a $129 billion merger with Sprint, the third-largest telecom carrier. Within nine months of this announcement, the merger was canceled in the face of pressure from U.S. and European regulators who feared a telecom monopoly would be born from this union. MCI WorldCom walked away from the failure by renaming itself as WorldCom.\nWith the rise of the new millennium came the fall of the dot-com industry, and almost any company that had a tech-related aspect found itself taking a financial tumble. When Ebbers’ company tried to cut corners and save money, it turned into an act of self-immolation.\nWorldcom’s network systems engineering division exhausted its annual capital expenditures budget by November 2000, with a senior manager ordering a halt to processing payments for network systems vendors and suppliers until the beginning of 2001.\nThe company’s chief technical officer,Fred Briggs,then ordered all of the labor associated with the capital projects in the network systems division to be booked as an expense rather than a capital project — and his directive was shared with other divisions in the company.\nA WorldCom budget analyst named Kim Amighin the company’s Richardson, Texas, office recognized the legal ramifications of intentionally mischaracterizing capital expenses and lodged a protest against the order. The directive was canceled and so was Amigh — three months after his action, Amigh was abruptly laid off from the company.\nBut Vice President of Internal Audit Cynthia Cooper learned of Amigh’s findings and picked up his trail. Her department began combing through WorldCom’s accounts and found $2 billion that the company claimed in its public filings was spent on capital expenditures during the first three quarters of 2001 — except that the funds were never authorized for that purpose and were clearly operating costs moved into the capital expenditure accounting as a way to make WorldCom look more profitable.\nCooper could not find anyone in the WorldCom leadership ranks to explain the $2 billion discrepancy. Most executives said it was a “prepaid capacity,” a meaningless term which they couldn’t define when pressed by Cooper.\nAnd Cooper was not alone in her suspicions. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission could not fathom how WorldCom continued to claim robust profits during the dot-com period while its competitors were operating at a loss, and it sent forth a “Request for Information” to learn the secret of its success.\nAdding to this chaos were Ebbers’ personal financial woes, which became exacerbated during to dot-com crisis by margin calls on his WorldCom shares, which were tanking as the economy plummeted into a recession.\nTo alleviate his monetary pain, Ebbers borrowed $50 million from WorldCom in September 2000 — and then borrowed again and again. By April 2002, Ebbers was $400 million in debt to WorldCom and the board of directors demanded his resignation, which he provided.\nIn June 2002, WorldCom acknowledged its earnings reports contained $3.9 billion in accounting misstatements, with the figure later adjusted to $11 billion. In July 2002, the company declared bankruptcy and was delisted from public trading. Also during that month, Ebbers was called before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services to explain what happened. He pleaded the Fifth Amendment.\nRoad’s End:The efforts to bring Ebbers to trial got off to a weird start when the State of Oklahoma jumped the gun with a 15-count indictment, only to drop its charges in favor of federal prosecution.\nEbbers was indicted in May 2004 on seven counts of filing false statements with securities regulators plus one count each of conspiracy and securities fraud. Ebbers agreed to testify on his behalf, which many observers later considered to be a major mistake because he came across as evasive and unconvincing when insisting WorldCom’s downfall was solely the fault of his subordinates and that he was ignorant about how his company worked.\n“I know what I don’t know,” Ebbers said during his trial. “To this day, I don’t know technology, and I don’t know finance or accounting.”\nEbbers was found guilty on all counts and was sentenced to 25 years in prison, the longest sentence ever handed down in U.S. history for a financial fraud case against a corporate executive.\nHe remained free on bail while fighting to overturn the verdict, but the conviction was upheld in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit in July 2006. Two months later, he drove himself in his luxury Mercedes-Benz to a low-security Louisiana prison to begin his sentence. Two years later, his wife Kristie successfully filed for divorce.\nAfter 13 years behind bars, Ebbers was granted a compassionate release on Dec. 21, 2019, due to a deteriorating state of health that included macular degeneration that left him legally blind, anemia, a weakened heart condition and the beginnings of dementia. He returned to his home in Brookhaven, Mississippi, and passed away on Feb. 2, 2020.\nIn defining his rise to the top, Ebbers harkened back to his basketball days by insisting, “The coach's job is to get the best players and get them to play together.” But in explaining his fall from grace, Ebbers forgot that the core of coaching is accepting responsibility for the team’s performance and he blamed his “best players” for not being able to “play together” while absolving himself from their errors.\nSaid Ebbers when confronted with his ultimate failure as the corporate equivalent of a coach: “I didn't have anything to apologize for.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HRB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1012,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898960387,"gmtCreate":1628468773749,"gmtModify":1633747016001,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898960387","repostId":"1136322726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839444080,"gmtCreate":1629177408240,"gmtModify":1631893508400,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839444080","repostId":"1139131126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830392047,"gmtCreate":1629008148289,"gmtModify":1631893508405,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830392047","repostId":"1127633167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127633167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628997765,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127633167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这 10 只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127633167","media":"Barrons","summary":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors loo","content":"<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资中最流行的流行语之一是 “复利者 ”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike 或 Visa 的成长型投资者寻求确定能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长的公司（最好是两者兼而有之）。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股票价格应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在5到10年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的 “10 bagger”--回报率是你购买价格 10 倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的笔记和投资专业人士的客户信中充满了复合器的参考资料。许多下一代价值经理，在<i>巴伦</i>五月份的封面故事，正在寻求此类股票，而不是廉价股票的传统价值。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高价。真正的大赢家很少。根据 Durable Capital Partners 的数据，在 10 年的漫长系列中，只有大约 35 家公司的股价每年复合上涨 20% 或更多，导致至少增长了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意坚持使用大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，列出了一份包含 10 只股票的兼收并蓄的名单，其中大多数市值低于 100 亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利 以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年市盈率</th><th>2021年价格/销售额</th><th>2022年市盈率</th><th>2022年价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>阿梅迪西斯/阿梅德</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>阿米里斯/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>纳米</td><td>10.4</td><td>纳米</td><td>9.7</td><td>纳</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦汉密尔顿控股 / BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B亨特运输服务 / JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>擅长多式联运</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>纳</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假领域的顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/场地</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>大型园林绿化用品供应商</td></tr><tr><td>外科凝视/凝视</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/固定</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>纳米</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex / Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>合成木地板的顶级制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork / UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>纳米</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>纳</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH的估计是针对截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX 的估计适用于截至 2022 年 7 月和 2023 年 7 月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的每年每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys (AMED) 是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚小盘股成长基金经理丹-科尔预测说：”该行业将进行大规模整合。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移”。</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys 股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍以上。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，削减了 2021 年财务指引，股价约为 185 美元，下跌了近 30%。2021 年盈利预期目前为每股 6.13 美元，低于近 7 美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍然有能力每年实现 10% 的每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris（AMRS）是合成生物学领域的领导者。It 粉丝表示，它的机会是以环保的方式取代目前由石化产品、动物和植物制成的一系列产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗，Amyris生产角鲨烷等物质，角鲨烷是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；以及通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为 13 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦</i>七月份对该公司的评价很高。在消费品牌的推动下，Amyris 预计到 2025 年销售额将达到 20 亿美元，高于今年的 4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“拥有 Amyris 股票的 Pinnacle Associates 公司的投资组合经理兰迪-巴伦（Randy Baron）说：”世界需要清洁化学，而 Amyris 正是创造清洁化学的关键。他认为到 2022 年底，它们的价格可能会达到 75 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦汉密尔顿控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府在最近一个财政年度占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务，与政府建立了牢固的联系。其股票交易价格约为 81 美元，收益率为 1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>“T. Rowe Price New Horizons 基金经理乔希-斯宾塞（Josh Spencer）说：”它已经建立了一种强大的、类似合作伙伴关系的文化，并有着长期的稳定增长记录。他认为博思艾伦有能力实现 9% 至 10% 的年收入增长，每年盈利增长 15% 至 16%，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支受到更多限制，该股较 100 美元的峰值下跌了 20%。斯宾塞将此次回调视为买入机会，该股估值不到市盈率的 20 倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B亨特运输服务公司（JBHT）是多式联运货运领域的领导者，多式联运货运涉及卡车在铁路线上的节能运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。过去 20 年里，其股价上涨了 30 倍，最近达到 173 美元。“Durable Capital Partners 首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利-埃伦博根（Henry Ellenbogen）说：”它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司（Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad）的合作关系使其在多式联运货运领域占据了强大的地位。J.B亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还涉足数字货运经纪业务——将卡车司机与航运客户进行匹配。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen 表示，考虑到 2022 年盈利增长前景，该股 2022 年盈利预期的 22 倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有 70 万业主，是一种有弹性的商业模式，拥有可观的费用收入，并且比同行更容易接触到夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>“Baron Focused Growth fund 的经理大卫-巴伦（David Baron）说：”它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。他补充说，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为 145 美元，该公司应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>巴伦认为，根据 2022 年的预测，这些股票的自由现金流收益率为 11%，价格便宜。他表示，该股自 2018 年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能会为股东带来 20% 的年回报。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply（SITE）是美国最大的园林绿化产品供应商，鉴于该公司在高度分散的行业中仅占 13% 的市场份额，因此具有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚大学的科尔说：”它正在有机增长，并有很多收购机会。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股估值约为 197 美元，估值丰富，是 2022 年预计每股收益 4.54 美元的 43 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar Surgical（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于视力问题在全球范围内的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，该镜头已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>“Baillie Gifford 全球经理道格-布罗迪（Doug Brodie）说：”它可以创造大量的销量。“它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼晶状体可在不到一小时的时间内植入，而且不需要摘除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar 股价最近为 138 美元，估值很高，是 2022 年预计销售额的 20 多倍，是 2022 年预计收益的 140 倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix（SFIX）开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“Stitch Fix 持有者 Marathon Partners Equity Management 的首席投资官 Mario Cibelli 说：”这可能是未来的 Nordstrom。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题”。Stitch Fix利用6,000名私人造型师和大量数据，试图识别订户的口味，以产生高满意度，并限制定期发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者担心潜在的流失和公司的最终盈利能力，该公司的股价约为 44 美元，比年初的水平下跌了 60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli 预计收入每年将增长 20% 以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内将成为一项潜在的非常有利可图的业务。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex（TREX）是高端木质甲板替代品的顶级生产商，该甲板由95%的回收材料制成，是一种环保的住宅。该股股价为 105 美元，是 2022 年预期市盈率的 43 倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T. Rowe Price 的 Spencer 认为 Trex 物有所值，因为他认为 Trex 可以实现 15% 至 20% 的可持续年收入增长。预计 2022 年盈利将增长约 20%，并在随后几年以类似的速度增长。“他说：”如果把时钟拨快三年，看起来就不会那么贵了。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork（UPWK）是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到了 Baillie Gifford 的 Brodie 的青睐，他说它能提高企业对自由职业者的接受度。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>最近股价在 44 美元左右，并不便宜。Upwork 的估值为 57 亿美元，是今年近 5 亿美元预计销售额的 10 倍多。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于销售快速增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长 30% 以上，2022 年将增长 25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“布罗迪说：”中小型企业更容易接受自由职业者，但大型企业的人力资源部门却对自由职业者嗤之以鼻。Upwork旨在通过审查其自由职业者和提供数千套技能来改变这种看法。“他说：”Upwork 可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这 10 只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这 10 只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资中最流行的流行语之一是 “复利者 ”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike 或 Visa 的成长型投资者寻求确定能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长的公司（最好是两者兼而有之）。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股票价格应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在5到10年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的 “10 bagger”--回报率是你购买价格 10 倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的笔记和投资专业人士的客户信中充满了复合器的参考资料。许多下一代价值经理，在<i>巴伦</i>五月份的封面故事，正在寻求此类股票，而不是廉价股票的传统价值。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高价。真正的大赢家很少。根据 Durable Capital Partners 的数据，在 10 年的漫长系列中，只有大约 35 家公司的股价每年复合上涨 20% 或更多，导致至少增长了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意坚持使用大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，列出了一份包含 10 只股票的兼收并蓄的名单，其中大多数市值低于 100 亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利 以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年市盈率</th><th>2021年价格/销售额</th><th>2022年市盈率</th><th>2022年价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>阿梅迪西斯/阿梅德</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>阿米里斯/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>纳米</td><td>10.4</td><td>纳米</td><td>9.7</td><td>纳</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦汉密尔顿控股 / BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B亨特运输服务 / JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>擅长多式联运</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>纳</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假领域的顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/场地</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>大型园林绿化用品供应商</td></tr><tr><td>外科凝视/凝视</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/固定</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>纳米</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex / Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>合成木地板的顶级制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork / UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>纳米</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>纳</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH的估计是针对截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX 的估计适用于截至 2022 年 7 月和 2023 年 7 月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的每年每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys (AMED) 是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚小盘股成长基金经理丹-科尔预测说：”该行业将进行大规模整合。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移”。</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys 股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍以上。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，削减了 2021 年财务指引，股价约为 185 美元，下跌了近 30%。2021 年盈利预期目前为每股 6.13 美元，低于近 7 美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍然有能力每年实现 10% 的每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris（AMRS）是合成生物学领域的领导者。It 粉丝表示，它的机会是以环保的方式取代目前由石化产品、动物和植物制成的一系列产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗，Amyris生产角鲨烷等物质，角鲨烷是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；以及通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为 13 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦</i>七月份对该公司的评价很高。在消费品牌的推动下，Amyris 预计到 2025 年销售额将达到 20 亿美元，高于今年的 4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“拥有 Amyris 股票的 Pinnacle Associates 公司的投资组合经理兰迪-巴伦（Randy Baron）说：”世界需要清洁化学，而 Amyris 正是创造清洁化学的关键。他认为到 2022 年底，它们的价格可能会达到 75 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦汉密尔顿控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府在最近一个财政年度占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务，与政府建立了牢固的联系。其股票交易价格约为 81 美元，收益率为 1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>“T. Rowe Price New Horizons 基金经理乔希-斯宾塞（Josh Spencer）说：”它已经建立了一种强大的、类似合作伙伴关系的文化，并有着长期的稳定增长记录。他认为博思艾伦有能力实现 9% 至 10% 的年收入增长，每年盈利增长 15% 至 16%，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支受到更多限制，该股较 100 美元的峰值下跌了 20%。斯宾塞将此次回调视为买入机会，该股估值不到市盈率的 20 倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B亨特运输服务公司（JBHT）是多式联运货运领域的领导者，多式联运货运涉及卡车在铁路线上的节能运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。过去 20 年里，其股价上涨了 30 倍，最近达到 173 美元。“Durable Capital Partners 首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利-埃伦博根（Henry Ellenbogen）说：”它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司（Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad）的合作关系使其在多式联运货运领域占据了强大的地位。J.B亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还涉足数字货运经纪业务——将卡车司机与航运客户进行匹配。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen 表示，考虑到 2022 年盈利增长前景，该股 2022 年盈利预期的 22 倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有 70 万业主，是一种有弹性的商业模式，拥有可观的费用收入，并且比同行更容易接触到夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>“Baron Focused Growth fund 的经理大卫-巴伦（David Baron）说：”它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。他补充说，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为 145 美元，该公司应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>巴伦认为，根据 2022 年的预测，这些股票的自由现金流收益率为 11%，价格便宜。他表示，该股自 2018 年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能会为股东带来 20% 的年回报。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply（SITE）是美国最大的园林绿化产品供应商，鉴于该公司在高度分散的行业中仅占 13% 的市场份额，因此具有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚大学的科尔说：”它正在有机增长，并有很多收购机会。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股估值约为 197 美元，估值丰富，是 2022 年预计每股收益 4.54 美元的 43 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar Surgical（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于视力问题在全球范围内的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，该镜头已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>“Baillie Gifford 全球经理道格-布罗迪（Doug Brodie）说：”它可以创造大量的销量。“它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼晶状体可在不到一小时的时间内植入，而且不需要摘除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar 股价最近为 138 美元，估值很高，是 2022 年预计销售额的 20 多倍，是 2022 年预计收益的 140 倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix（SFIX）开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“Stitch Fix 持有者 Marathon Partners Equity Management 的首席投资官 Mario Cibelli 说：”这可能是未来的 Nordstrom。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题”。Stitch Fix利用6,000名私人造型师和大量数据，试图识别订户的口味，以产生高满意度，并限制定期发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者担心潜在的流失和公司的最终盈利能力，该公司的股价约为 44 美元，比年初的水平下跌了 60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli 预计收入每年将增长 20% 以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内将成为一项潜在的非常有利可图的业务。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex（TREX）是高端木质甲板替代品的顶级生产商，该甲板由95%的回收材料制成，是一种环保的住宅。该股股价为 105 美元，是 2022 年预期市盈率的 43 倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T. Rowe Price 的 Spencer 认为 Trex 物有所值，因为他认为 Trex 可以实现 15% 至 20% 的可持续年收入增长。预计 2022 年盈利将增长约 20%，并在随后几年以类似的速度增长。“他说：”如果把时钟拨快三年，看起来就不会那么贵了。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork（UPWK）是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到了 Baillie Gifford 的 Brodie 的青睐，他说它能提高企业对自由职业者的接受度。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>最近股价在 44 美元左右，并不便宜。Upwork 的估值为 57 亿美元，是今年近 5 亿美元预计销售额的 10 倍多。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于销售快速增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长 30% 以上，2022 年将增长 25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“布罗迪说：”中小型企业更容易接受自由职业者，但大型企业的人力资源部门却对自由职业者嗤之以鼻。Upwork旨在通过审查其自由职业者和提供数千套技能来改变这种看法。“他说：”Upwork 可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JBHT":"JB Hunt运输服务","UPWK":"Upwork Inc.","SITE":"SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","TREX":"Trex Co Inc","AMED":"阿米斯医疗","STAA":"STAAR Surgical Company","VAC":"万豪度假环球","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","BAH":"博思艾伦咨询公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127633167","content_text":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.\nThe idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.\nWall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a Barron’s cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.\nTheir search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.\nMany investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).\nBarron’s sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:\nStrong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nYTD Change\n2021E P/E\n2021E Price/Sales\n2022E P/E\n2022E Price/Sales\nLT Growth Rate*\nMarket Value (bil)\nComment\n\n\n\n\nAmedysis / AMED\n$185.15\n-37%\n30.2\n2.7\n27.7\n2.4\n10.5%\n$6.3\nLeader in home health care\n\n\nAmyris / AMRS\n13.64\n121\nNM\n10.4\nNM\n9.7\nNA\n4.1\nLeading company in synthetic biology\n\n\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH\n81.73\n-6\n19.4\n1.3\n17.7\n1.2\n8.6\n11.0\nDefense-department consultant\n\n\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT\n172.76\n26\n25.8\n1.5\n22.2\n1.4\n18.4\n18.2\nStrong in intermodal freight\n\n\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC\n147.15\n7\n40.9\n1.6\n15.7\n1.4\nNA\n6.3\nTop company in vacation timeshares\n\n\nSiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE\n197.10\n24\n45.7\n2.6\n43.5\n2.5\n19.3\n8.8\nBig supplier of landscaping supplies\n\n\nStaar Surgical / STAA\n138.19\n74\n192.3\n28.6\n140.8\n22.5\n30.0\n6.6\nMaker of implantable lens for myopia\n\n\nStitch Fix / SFIX\n44.38\n-24\nNM\n1.9\n1890.3\n1.7\n30.0\n4.8\nData-driven subscription clothing firm\n\n\nTrex / TREX\n105.94\n27\n51.9\n10.5\n43.6\n9.3\n18.8\n12.2\nTop maker of synthetic wood decking\n\n\nUpwork / UPWK\n44.31\n28\nNM\n11.4\n556.8\n9.2\nNA\n5.7\nOnline clearinghouse for free-lancers\n\n\n\nE=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.\nSource: FactSet\nAmedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.\n“There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”\nAmedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.\nAmyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.\nUsing genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.\nBarron’s wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.\n“The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.\n“It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.\nJ.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.\nEllenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.\n“It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.\nThe shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.\nSiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.\n\n“It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.\nThe stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.\nStaar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.\n“It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”\nLenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.\nAt a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.\n“This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.\nIts shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.\nYet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.\nTrex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.\nT. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.\nUpwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.\nThe shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.\nThe investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.\n“Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VAC":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"UPWK":0.9,"SITE":0.9,"TREX":0.9,"JBHT":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"STAA":0.9,"BAH":0.9,"AMED":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899128466,"gmtCreate":1628170428555,"gmtModify":1633752983310,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899128466","repostId":"1102705333","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102705333","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628170059,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1102705333?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims<blockquote>申请失业救济人数下降后股市小幅高开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102705333","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 5) Stocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims.\nDow industrials up 94 points, or 0","content":"<p>(Aug 5)&nbsp;Stocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims.</p><p><blockquote>（8月5日）申请失业救济人数下降后，股市小幅开盘走高。</blockquote></p><p> Dow industrials up 94 points, or 0.3%.&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 up 0.3% at 4,414.12.&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite up less than 0.1% at 14,784.61.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨94点，或0.3%。标普500指数上涨0.3%，至4414.12点。纳斯达克综合指数上涨不到0.1%，至14784.61点。</blockquote></p><p> Fastly plunges over&nbsp;23% in morning trading&nbsp;after the company's downside Q3 and full-year guidance due to the widespread outage in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于 6 月份大范围停电，该公司第三季度和全年指引下调，早盘交易中Fastly暴跌超过 23%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44fbcf9492918a352919cdff1fd27498\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The moves in the stocks came after a mostly lower regular session on Wednesday. The Dow dropped more than 300 points, or 0.9%, and closed near its session low. The S&amp;P 500 slipped about 0.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>股市的波动是在周三常规交易大多走低之后发生的。道琼斯指数下跌超过300点，跌幅0.9%，收于盘中低点附近。标普500指数下跌约0.5%，而纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Weekly initial jobless claims came in at385,000 on Thursday,in-line with expectations. Recent earnings and economic data have been strong overall, but some economists worry economic growth and employment gains will taper from here.</p><p><blockquote>周四每周初请失业金人数为38.5万人，符合预期。最近的盈利和经济数据总体强劲，但一些经济学家担心经济增长和就业增长将从此逐渐减少。</blockquote></p><p> The jobless claims data was the last reading before the key July jobs report, which will be released on Friday morning. There is a wide range of estimates from economists and what the report will show, and some metrics for employment gains have disappointed despite a high level of reported job openings.</p><p><blockquote>申请失业救济人数数据是关键的 7 月份就业报告之前的最后读数，该报告将于周五上午发布。经济学家的估计和报告将显示的内容各不相同，尽管报告的职位空缺水平很高，但一些就业增长指标令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> \"Many factors are likely driving worker shortages; concerns about catching the virus, childcare responsibilities, skills mismatches, and generous unemployment insurance benefits,\" PNC Senior Economist Abbey Omodunbi said in an email. In the second half of the year, \"more competition for workers, particularly in the leisure and hospitality sector, will support acceleration in wage growth, boosting household incomes and consumer spending.\"</p><p><blockquote>PNC 高级经济学家阿比·奥莫敦比 (Abbey Omodonbi) 在一封电子邮件中表示：“许多因素可能导致工人短缺；对感染病毒的担忧、育儿责任、技能不匹配以及慷慨的失业保险福利。”下半年，“对工人的更多竞争，特别是在休闲和酒店业，将支持工资增长加速，增加家庭收入和消费者支出。”</blockquote></p><p> The results of an ADP private payroll survey released Wednesday showed again of 330,000 jobs for July,well short of the consensus estimate of 653,000. The Labor Department's official jobs report, which typically has more impact on investors, will be released on Friday. Economists expect the report will show the U.S. added 845,000 in non-farm payrolls in July, about even with the previous month, according to Dow Jones estimates.</p><p><blockquote>周三公布的ADP私人就业调查结果显示，7月份就业岗位再次达到33万个，远低于市场普遍预期的65.3万个。通常对投资者影响更大的劳工部官方就业报告将于周五发布。根据道琼斯的估计，经济学家预计该报告将显示美国 7 月份非农就业人数增加 845,000 人，与上月持平。</blockquote></p><p> The10-year Treasury yieldwas holding steady near 1.8% on Thursday. The yield briefly dipping below 1.13% on Wednesday before bouncing back in late morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周四，10年期国债收益率稳定在1.8%附近。周三收益率短暂跌破 1.13%，随后在上午晚些时候交易中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Shares ofRokudropped 6% after the company issued quarterly results.Etsyfell 12% in early trading after the company gave guidance for the current quarter that indicated the pandemic-fueled commerce boommay be coming to an end.</p><p><blockquote>Froku 发布季度业绩后，该公司股价下跌 6%。 Etsy 在早盘交易中下跌 12%，此前该公司给出了本季度的指引，表明大流行推动的商业繁荣可能即将结束。</blockquote></p><p> However, earnings season has been strong overall. Goldman Sachs raised its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 4,700, representing 7% upside, in part due to an improving earnings outlook going.</p><p><blockquote>然而，财报季总体上表现强劲。高盛将标普500的年终目标上调至 4,700 股，上涨 7%，部分原因是盈利前景持续改善。</blockquote></p><p> During regular trading Wednesday, shares of Robinhoodsurged 50%, continuing a volatile jump after last week's soft initial public offering. Semiconductor stocks were another bright spot, withNvidiaandAdvanced Micro Devicesrising.</p><p><blockquote>在周三的常规交易中，Robinhood 的股价飙升 50%，延续了上周首次公开募股疲软后的波动性上涨。半导体股是另一个亮点，Vidia 和 Advanced Micro Devices 股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims<blockquote>申请失业救济人数下降后股市小幅高开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims<blockquote>申请失业救济人数下降后股市小幅高开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-05 21:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 5)&nbsp;Stocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims.</p><p><blockquote>（8月5日）申请失业救济人数下降后，股市小幅开盘走高。</blockquote></p><p> Dow industrials up 94 points, or 0.3%.&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 up 0.3% at 4,414.12.&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite up less than 0.1% at 14,784.61.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨94点，或0.3%。标普500指数上涨0.3%，至4414.12点。纳斯达克综合指数上涨不到0.1%，至14784.61点。</blockquote></p><p> Fastly plunges over&nbsp;23% in morning trading&nbsp;after the company's downside Q3 and full-year guidance due to the widespread outage in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于 6 月份大范围停电，该公司第三季度和全年指引下调，早盘交易中Fastly暴跌超过 23%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44fbcf9492918a352919cdff1fd27498\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The moves in the stocks came after a mostly lower regular session on Wednesday. The Dow dropped more than 300 points, or 0.9%, and closed near its session low. The S&amp;P 500 slipped about 0.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>股市的波动是在周三常规交易大多走低之后发生的。道琼斯指数下跌超过300点，跌幅0.9%，收于盘中低点附近。标普500指数下跌约0.5%，而纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Weekly initial jobless claims came in at385,000 on Thursday,in-line with expectations. Recent earnings and economic data have been strong overall, but some economists worry economic growth and employment gains will taper from here.</p><p><blockquote>周四每周初请失业金人数为38.5万人，符合预期。最近的盈利和经济数据总体强劲，但一些经济学家担心经济增长和就业增长将从此逐渐减少。</blockquote></p><p> The jobless claims data was the last reading before the key July jobs report, which will be released on Friday morning. There is a wide range of estimates from economists and what the report will show, and some metrics for employment gains have disappointed despite a high level of reported job openings.</p><p><blockquote>申请失业救济人数数据是关键的 7 月份就业报告之前的最后读数，该报告将于周五上午发布。经济学家的估计和报告将显示的内容各不相同，尽管报告的职位空缺水平很高，但一些就业增长指标令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> \"Many factors are likely driving worker shortages; concerns about catching the virus, childcare responsibilities, skills mismatches, and generous unemployment insurance benefits,\" PNC Senior Economist Abbey Omodunbi said in an email. In the second half of the year, \"more competition for workers, particularly in the leisure and hospitality sector, will support acceleration in wage growth, boosting household incomes and consumer spending.\"</p><p><blockquote>PNC 高级经济学家阿比·奥莫敦比 (Abbey Omodonbi) 在一封电子邮件中表示：“许多因素可能导致工人短缺；对感染病毒的担忧、育儿责任、技能不匹配以及慷慨的失业保险福利。”下半年，“对工人的更多竞争，特别是在休闲和酒店业，将支持工资增长加速，增加家庭收入和消费者支出。”</blockquote></p><p> The results of an ADP private payroll survey released Wednesday showed again of 330,000 jobs for July,well short of the consensus estimate of 653,000. The Labor Department's official jobs report, which typically has more impact on investors, will be released on Friday. Economists expect the report will show the U.S. added 845,000 in non-farm payrolls in July, about even with the previous month, according to Dow Jones estimates.</p><p><blockquote>周三公布的ADP私人就业调查结果显示，7月份就业岗位再次达到33万个，远低于市场普遍预期的65.3万个。通常对投资者影响更大的劳工部官方就业报告将于周五发布。根据道琼斯的估计，经济学家预计该报告将显示美国 7 月份非农就业人数增加 845,000 人，与上月持平。</blockquote></p><p> The10-year Treasury yieldwas holding steady near 1.8% on Thursday. The yield briefly dipping below 1.13% on Wednesday before bouncing back in late morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周四，10年期国债收益率稳定在1.8%附近。周三收益率短暂跌破 1.13%，随后在上午晚些时候交易中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Shares ofRokudropped 6% after the company issued quarterly results.Etsyfell 12% in early trading after the company gave guidance for the current quarter that indicated the pandemic-fueled commerce boommay be coming to an end.</p><p><blockquote>Froku 发布季度业绩后，该公司股价下跌 6%。 Etsy 在早盘交易中下跌 12%，此前该公司给出了本季度的指引，表明大流行推动的商业繁荣可能即将结束。</blockquote></p><p> However, earnings season has been strong overall. Goldman Sachs raised its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 4,700, representing 7% upside, in part due to an improving earnings outlook going.</p><p><blockquote>然而，财报季总体上表现强劲。高盛将标普500的年终目标上调至 4,700 股，上涨 7%，部分原因是盈利前景持续改善。</blockquote></p><p> During regular trading Wednesday, shares of Robinhoodsurged 50%, continuing a volatile jump after last week's soft initial public offering. Semiconductor stocks were another bright spot, withNvidiaandAdvanced Micro Devicesrising.</p><p><blockquote>在周三的常规交易中，Robinhood 的股价飙升 50%，延续了上周首次公开募股疲软后的波动性上涨。半导体股是另一个亮点，Vidia 和 Advanced Micro Devices 股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102705333","content_text":"(Aug 5) Stocks open slightly higher after fall in jobless claims.\nDow industrials up 94 points, or 0.3%. S&P 500 up 0.3% at 4,414.12. Nasdaq Composite up less than 0.1% at 14,784.61. \nFastly plunges over 23% in morning trading after the company's downside Q3 and full-year guidance due to the widespread outage in June.\n\nThe moves in the stocks came after a mostly lower regular session on Wednesday. The Dow dropped more than 300 points, or 0.9%, and closed near its session low. The S&P 500 slipped about 0.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.1%.\nWeekly initial jobless claims came in at385,000 on Thursday,in-line with expectations. Recent earnings and economic data have been strong overall, but some economists worry economic growth and employment gains will taper from here.\nThe jobless claims data was the last reading before the key July jobs report, which will be released on Friday morning. There is a wide range of estimates from economists and what the report will show, and some metrics for employment gains have disappointed despite a high level of reported job openings.\n\"Many factors are likely driving worker shortages; concerns about catching the virus, childcare responsibilities, skills mismatches, and generous unemployment insurance benefits,\" PNC Senior Economist Abbey Omodunbi said in an email. In the second half of the year, \"more competition for workers, particularly in the leisure and hospitality sector, will support acceleration in wage growth, boosting household incomes and consumer spending.\"\nThe results of an ADP private payroll survey released Wednesday showed again of 330,000 jobs for July,well short of the consensus estimate of 653,000. The Labor Department's official jobs report, which typically has more impact on investors, will be released on Friday. Economists expect the report will show the U.S. added 845,000 in non-farm payrolls in July, about even with the previous month, according to Dow Jones estimates.\nThe10-year Treasury yieldwas holding steady near 1.8% on Thursday. The yield briefly dipping below 1.13% on Wednesday before bouncing back in late morning trading.\nShares ofRokudropped 6% after the company issued quarterly results.Etsyfell 12% in early trading after the company gave guidance for the current quarter that indicated the pandemic-fueled commerce boommay be coming to an end.\nHowever, earnings season has been strong overall. Goldman Sachs raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 4,700, representing 7% upside, in part due to an improving earnings outlook going.\nDuring regular trading Wednesday, shares of Robinhoodsurged 50%, continuing a volatile jump after last week's soft initial public offering. Semiconductor stocks were another bright spot, withNvidiaandAdvanced Micro Devicesrising.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":825268458,"gmtCreate":1634229198784,"gmtModify":1634229198953,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825268458","repostId":"1176037392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176037392","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634217624,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1176037392?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 21:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why iPhone Supply Hiccup Is Not A Problem For Apple Stock<blockquote>为什么 iPhone 供应中断对苹果股票来说不是问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176037392","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock has taken a hit due to reports of a component shortage that could impact iPhone 13 sales","content":"<p>Apple stock has taken a hit due to reports of a component shortage that could impact iPhone 13 sales. The Apple Maven thinks that long-term investors should not worry much.</p><p><blockquote>由于有报道称零部件短缺可能影响 iPhone 13 的销售，苹果股价受到打击。这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不必过于担心。</blockquote></p><p> The recent news has not been very favorable for Apple&nbsp;and its shares. According to Bloomberg, the iPhone 13 isfacingsupply chain issues. The component shortage could cause the number of Apple devices produced to drop by 10 million this year.</p><p><blockquote>最近的消息对苹果及其股票来说并不是很有利。据彭博社报道，iPhone 13面临供应链问题。零部件短缺可能导致今年苹果设备的产量下降1000万台。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock has not fallen apart following the report, but it dipped below $140 apiece once again – levels not seen for more than a hot second since the start of July 2021. However, the Apple Maven believes that long-term investors should not worry about the recent developments involving the iPhone.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布后，苹果股价并未暴跌，但再次跌破每股 140 美元——这是自 2021 年 7 月初以来超过一秒钟的高位。然而，这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不应该担心最近涉及iPhone的发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c2295e5c2fd9f6f41f8a86c0a4c8ce\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone 13 new model.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone 13新机型。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>This seems familiar…</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这似乎很熟悉……</b></blockquote></p><p> First, it is important for readers to understand that there are different types of Apple stock investors and traders. Many buy shares in hopes of short-term gains, while others bet on the stock for the long haul. Short-term traders may, in fact, have good reasons to be concerned. What if Apple misses iPhone sales expectations in the next quarter, and the stock reacts negatively as a result?</p><p><blockquote>首先，读者了解有不同类型的苹果股票投资者和交易者是很重要的。许多人购买股票是希望短期收益，而另一些人则押注股票的长期收益。事实上，短线交易者可能有充分的理由感到担忧。如果苹果未能达到下一季度 iPhone 销售预期，并且该股因此做出负面反应，该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> But long-term holders are probably looking at Apple’s business fundamentals further out in the future. There have been enough reports suggesting that&nbsp;demand for the iPhone 13 has been high, probably even better than demand for the already successful iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>但长期持有者可能会在未来进一步关注苹果的业务基本面。有足够多的报道表明，对iPhone 13的需求一直很高，可能甚至比对已经成功的iPhone 12的需求还要好。</blockquote></p><p> If enough demand for a product exists, it is reasonable to think that temporary supply chain hiccups will only cause sales to shift from one period to the next. This is exactly what happened in 2020, when the COVID-19 crisis caused the iPhone 12 to be unveiled and launched later in the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>如果对一种产品有足够的需求，有理由认为暂时的供应链中断只会导致销售从一个时期转移到下一个时期。这正是2020年发生的事情，当时新冠肺炎危机导致iPhone 12在假期晚些时候亮相并推出。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows iPhone sales growth in fiscal 2019 and 2020, and in the first periods of the current year. Notice how the painful revenue decline in 2019 seems to have created pent-up demand that was not met in fiscal Q4 of last year, due to the production delays. When those were finally resolved, fiscal 2021 revenues shot through the roof.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2019财年和2020财年以及今年第一阶段的iPhone销售增长情况。请注意，2019年痛苦的收入下降似乎创造了被压抑的需求，由于生产延迟，这些需求在去年第四财季没有得到满足。当这些问题最终得到解决时，2021 财年的收入飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f351ccb2a56f417bb16d8f0246fcc4\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"568\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone growth from 2019 to 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：2019年至2021年iPhone增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Average iPhone sales growth between the start of fiscal 2020 and now turned out to be a healthy 14%, although revenues were very lumpy from quarter to quarter. During the same period, and despite last year’s supply chain problems, Apple stock climbed 90%.</p><p><blockquote>从 2020 财年开始到现在，iPhone 的平均销量增长率为 14%，尽管每个季度的收入都非常不稳定。同期，尽管去年存在供应链问题，苹果的股价仍攀升了 90%。</blockquote></p><p> Could the current component shortage cause revenues to merely shift around the calendar once again? I think it is plausible, if not likely.</p><p><blockquote>当前的零部件短缺会导致收入再次发生变化吗？我认为这是可信的，如果不可能的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple is a good place to hide</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果是个藏身的好地方</b></blockquote></p><p> To be clear, the alleged production delays is not an Apple-specific problem. Component shortages in this year of recovery from the pandemic has been well documented and seems to be impacting consumer tech vendors across the board.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，所谓的生产延迟并不是苹果特有的问题。今年从疫情复苏的元器件短缺已被充分记录在案，并且似乎正在全面影响消费科技供应商。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, an investor can choose not to commit to the tech sector at all, fearing that the whole industry will underperform as the global economies continue to bounce back. But if money is to be deployed in the space, I think that Apple is a safer-than-average bet due to best-in-class supply chain management.</p><p><blockquote>当然，投资者可以选择根本不投资科技行业，担心随着全球经济持续反弹，整个行业将表现不佳。但如果要在该领域部署资金，我认为由于一流的供应链管理，苹果是一个比平均水平更安全的选择。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, I explained in more detail that Apple&nbsp;has become “king of inventory management”under CEO Tim Cook – who is also the Cupertino company’s former COO. Therefore, were I to bet on one company handling supply chain issues well, it would probably be the one with most purchasing power and a solid track record at managing inventory.</p><p><blockquote>去年，我更详细地解释说，在首席执行官蒂姆-库克（Tim Cook）的领导下，苹果已经成为 “库存管理之王”，库克也是这家库比蒂诺公司的前首席运营官。因此，如果我打赌一家公司能很好地处理供应链问题，它可能是购买力最大、库存管理记录良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why iPhone Supply Hiccup Is Not A Problem For Apple Stock<blockquote>为什么 iPhone 供应中断对苹果股票来说不是问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy iPhone Supply Hiccup Is Not A Problem For Apple Stock<blockquote>为什么 iPhone 供应中断对苹果股票来说不是问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 21:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock has taken a hit due to reports of a component shortage that could impact iPhone 13 sales. The Apple Maven thinks that long-term investors should not worry much.</p><p><blockquote>由于有报道称零部件短缺可能影响 iPhone 13 的销售，苹果股价受到打击。这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不必过于担心。</blockquote></p><p> The recent news has not been very favorable for Apple&nbsp;and its shares. According to Bloomberg, the iPhone 13 isfacingsupply chain issues. The component shortage could cause the number of Apple devices produced to drop by 10 million this year.</p><p><blockquote>最近的消息对苹果及其股票来说并不是很有利。据彭博社报道，iPhone 13面临供应链问题。零部件短缺可能导致今年苹果设备的产量下降1000万台。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock has not fallen apart following the report, but it dipped below $140 apiece once again – levels not seen for more than a hot second since the start of July 2021. However, the Apple Maven believes that long-term investors should not worry about the recent developments involving the iPhone.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布后，苹果股价并未暴跌，但再次跌破每股 140 美元——这是自 2021 年 7 月初以来超过一秒钟的高位。然而，这位苹果专家认为，长期投资者不应该担心最近涉及iPhone的发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c2295e5c2fd9f6f41f8a86c0a4c8ce\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone 13 new model.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone 13新机型。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>This seems familiar…</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这似乎很熟悉……</b></blockquote></p><p> First, it is important for readers to understand that there are different types of Apple stock investors and traders. Many buy shares in hopes of short-term gains, while others bet on the stock for the long haul. Short-term traders may, in fact, have good reasons to be concerned. What if Apple misses iPhone sales expectations in the next quarter, and the stock reacts negatively as a result?</p><p><blockquote>首先，读者了解有不同类型的苹果股票投资者和交易者是很重要的。许多人购买股票是希望短期收益，而另一些人则押注股票的长期收益。事实上，短线交易者可能有充分的理由感到担忧。如果苹果未能达到下一季度 iPhone 销售预期，并且该股因此做出负面反应，该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> But long-term holders are probably looking at Apple’s business fundamentals further out in the future. There have been enough reports suggesting that&nbsp;demand for the iPhone 13 has been high, probably even better than demand for the already successful iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>但长期持有者可能会在未来进一步关注苹果的业务基本面。有足够多的报道表明，对iPhone 13的需求一直很高，可能甚至比对已经成功的iPhone 12的需求还要好。</blockquote></p><p> If enough demand for a product exists, it is reasonable to think that temporary supply chain hiccups will only cause sales to shift from one period to the next. This is exactly what happened in 2020, when the COVID-19 crisis caused the iPhone 12 to be unveiled and launched later in the holiday season.</p><p><blockquote>如果对一种产品有足够的需求，有理由认为暂时的供应链中断只会导致销售从一个时期转移到下一个时期。这正是2020年发生的事情，当时新冠肺炎危机导致iPhone 12在假期晚些时候亮相并推出。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows iPhone sales growth in fiscal 2019 and 2020, and in the first periods of the current year. Notice how the painful revenue decline in 2019 seems to have created pent-up demand that was not met in fiscal Q4 of last year, due to the production delays. When those were finally resolved, fiscal 2021 revenues shot through the roof.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了2019财年和2020财年以及今年第一阶段的iPhone销售增长情况。请注意，2019年痛苦的收入下降似乎创造了被压抑的需求，由于生产延迟，这些需求在去年第四财季没有得到满足。当这些问题最终得到解决时，2021 财年的收入飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f351ccb2a56f417bb16d8f0246fcc4\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"568\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone growth from 2019 to 2021.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：2019年至2021年iPhone增长情况。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Average iPhone sales growth between the start of fiscal 2020 and now turned out to be a healthy 14%, although revenues were very lumpy from quarter to quarter. During the same period, and despite last year’s supply chain problems, Apple stock climbed 90%.</p><p><blockquote>从 2020 财年开始到现在，iPhone 的平均销量增长率为 14%，尽管每个季度的收入都非常不稳定。同期，尽管去年存在供应链问题，苹果的股价仍攀升了 90%。</blockquote></p><p> Could the current component shortage cause revenues to merely shift around the calendar once again? I think it is plausible, if not likely.</p><p><blockquote>当前的零部件短缺会导致收入再次发生变化吗？我认为这是可信的，如果不可能的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple is a good place to hide</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果是个藏身的好地方</b></blockquote></p><p> To be clear, the alleged production delays is not an Apple-specific problem. Component shortages in this year of recovery from the pandemic has been well documented and seems to be impacting consumer tech vendors across the board.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，所谓的生产延迟并不是苹果特有的问题。今年从疫情复苏的元器件短缺已被充分记录在案，并且似乎正在全面影响消费科技供应商。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, an investor can choose not to commit to the tech sector at all, fearing that the whole industry will underperform as the global economies continue to bounce back. But if money is to be deployed in the space, I think that Apple is a safer-than-average bet due to best-in-class supply chain management.</p><p><blockquote>当然，投资者可以选择根本不投资科技行业，担心随着全球经济持续反弹，整个行业将表现不佳。但如果要在该领域部署资金，我认为由于一流的供应链管理，苹果是一个比平均水平更安全的选择。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, I explained in more detail that Apple&nbsp;has become “king of inventory management”under CEO Tim Cook – who is also the Cupertino company’s former COO. Therefore, were I to bet on one company handling supply chain issues well, it would probably be the one with most purchasing power and a solid track record at managing inventory.</p><p><blockquote>去年，我更详细地解释说，在首席执行官蒂姆-库克（Tim Cook）的领导下，苹果已经成为 “库存管理之王”，库克也是这家库比蒂诺公司的前首席运营官。因此，如果我打赌一家公司能很好地处理供应链问题，它可能是购买力最大、库存管理记录良好的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/why-iphone-supply-hiccup-is-not-a-problem-for-apple-stock\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/why-iphone-supply-hiccup-is-not-a-problem-for-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176037392","content_text":"Apple stock has taken a hit due to reports of a component shortage that could impact iPhone 13 sales. The Apple Maven thinks that long-term investors should not worry much.\nThe recent news has not been very favorable for Apple and its shares. According to Bloomberg, the iPhone 13 isfacingsupply chain issues. The component shortage could cause the number of Apple devices produced to drop by 10 million this year.\nApple stock has not fallen apart following the report, but it dipped below $140 apiece once again – levels not seen for more than a hot second since the start of July 2021. However, the Apple Maven believes that long-term investors should not worry about the recent developments involving the iPhone.\nFigure 1: iPhone 13 new model.\nThis seems familiar…\nFirst, it is important for readers to understand that there are different types of Apple stock investors and traders. Many buy shares in hopes of short-term gains, while others bet on the stock for the long haul. Short-term traders may, in fact, have good reasons to be concerned. What if Apple misses iPhone sales expectations in the next quarter, and the stock reacts negatively as a result?\nBut long-term holders are probably looking at Apple’s business fundamentals further out in the future. There have been enough reports suggesting that demand for the iPhone 13 has been high, probably even better than demand for the already successful iPhone 12.\nIf enough demand for a product exists, it is reasonable to think that temporary supply chain hiccups will only cause sales to shift from one period to the next. This is exactly what happened in 2020, when the COVID-19 crisis caused the iPhone 12 to be unveiled and launched later in the holiday season.\nThe chart below shows iPhone sales growth in fiscal 2019 and 2020, and in the first periods of the current year. Notice how the painful revenue decline in 2019 seems to have created pent-up demand that was not met in fiscal Q4 of last year, due to the production delays. When those were finally resolved, fiscal 2021 revenues shot through the roof.\nFigure 2: iPhone growth from 2019 to 2021.\nAverage iPhone sales growth between the start of fiscal 2020 and now turned out to be a healthy 14%, although revenues were very lumpy from quarter to quarter. During the same period, and despite last year’s supply chain problems, Apple stock climbed 90%.\nCould the current component shortage cause revenues to merely shift around the calendar once again? I think it is plausible, if not likely.\nApple is a good place to hide\nTo be clear, the alleged production delays is not an Apple-specific problem. Component shortages in this year of recovery from the pandemic has been well documented and seems to be impacting consumer tech vendors across the board.\nOf course, an investor can choose not to commit to the tech sector at all, fearing that the whole industry will underperform as the global economies continue to bounce back. But if money is to be deployed in the space, I think that Apple is a safer-than-average bet due to best-in-class supply chain management.\nLast year, I explained in more detail that Apple has become “king of inventory management”under CEO Tim Cook – who is also the Cupertino company’s former COO. Therefore, were I to bet on one company handling supply chain issues well, it would probably be the one with most purchasing power and a solid track record at managing inventory.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829924972,"gmtCreate":1633457538936,"gmtModify":1633457539303,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Morning","listText":"Morning","text":"Morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829924972","repostId":"2173151439","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812128911,"gmtCreate":1630565898033,"gmtModify":1631891039032,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812128911","repostId":"2164481914","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810079190,"gmtCreate":1629936883410,"gmtModify":1631891039044,"author":{"id":"3581897384326559","authorId":"3581897384326559","name":"Ai_Ling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10016b9fcd8f9137b9387b6cc0f9f965","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581897384326559","idStr":"3581897384326559"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good morning","listText":"Good morning","text":"Good morning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810079190","repostId":"1197778368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}