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Dollarmagnet
2021-12-17
$Adagio Therapeutics(ADGI)$
😌
Dollarmagnet
2021-11-08
$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$
💪🏻
Dollarmagnet
2021-11-11
$Apple(AAPL)$
Yea
Dollarmagnet
2021-11-30
$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$
Chilled, playing golf ? 😂
Dollarmagnet
2021-10-22
$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$
Hooorey!!! 😇😍
Dollarmagnet
2021-10-22
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
💪🏻
Dollarmagnet
2021-11-30
$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$
How can?
Dollarmagnet
2021-11-09
$AEye, Inc.(LIDR)$
Yeah up up
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2021-10-19
$American Airlines(AAL)$
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2021-10-18
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
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Corp合并的SPAC企业。这种类型上市的企业监管相对宽松一些，这也使得许多创业公司有机可乘。它们会采取夸大自身业务与市场前景的方式抬高估值上市圈钱。像之前美国电动卡车制造商RIDE与自称卡车界特斯拉NKLA就是典型的上市圈钱企业。而Grab上市时发行价为13.05美元，估值近400亿美元。要知道目前该行业的龙头Uber也才730亿美元。显然局限于东南亚Grab这个估值是有相当大的水分的，上市之后股价下跌是可以理解的。2.受疫情反复不断拖累Grab的核心业务包括打车、外卖与金融科技服务三大方面。可以说它是 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$优步(UBER)$</a> 、DoorDash和Venmo的合体。但实际上Grab的核心竞争力体现在其占据东南亚打车市场的主导地位。因此东南亚金融科技服务的巨头有<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> ，外卖平台巨头有FoodPanda。而Grab打车业务受COVID疫情的影响颇为严重，目前又出现南非变种病毒Omicron。这也使得Grab股价的阴跌变得不是那么难以理解。3.公司财务状况糟糕透顶Grab在2021年上半年没有任何毛利，净亏损总额为14亿美元。这也就意味着期望Grab短时间通过业务调整","text":"有粉丝问猫猫为什么Grab上市之后狂跌不止，猫猫今天就简单分析下原因：1.Grab上市估值泡沫过大$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ 并不是通过传统的首次公开募股(IPO)方式上市的企业，而是采用与Altimeter Growth Corp合并的SPAC企业。这种类型上市的企业监管相对宽松一些，这也使得许多创业公司有机可乘。它们会采取夸大自身业务与市场前景的方式抬高估值上市圈钱。像之前美国电动卡车制造商RIDE与自称卡车界特斯拉NKLA就是典型的上市圈钱企业。而Grab上市时发行价为13.05美元，估值近400亿美元。要知道目前该行业的龙头Uber也才730亿美元。显然局限于东南亚Grab这个估值是有相当大的水分的，上市之后股价下跌是可以理解的。2.受疫情反复不断拖累Grab的核心业务包括打车、外卖与金融科技服务三大方面。可以说它是 $优步(UBER)$ 、DoorDash和Venmo的合体。但实际上Grab的核心竞争力体现在其占据东南亚打车市场的主导地位。因此东南亚金融科技服务的巨头有$Sea Ltd(SE)$ ，外卖平台巨头有FoodPanda。而Grab打车业务受COVID疫情的影响颇为严重，目前又出现南非变种病毒Omicron。这也使得Grab股价的阴跌变得不是那么难以理解。3.公司财务状况糟糕透顶Grab在2021年上半年没有任何毛利，净亏损总额为14亿美元。这也就意味着期望Grab短时间通过业务调整","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65b0dc0e90fe84fe4df7faba0a52cfbe","width":"900","height":"383"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605013909","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607167404,"gmtCreate":1639500333702,"gmtModify":1639500333702,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sigh ","listText":"Sigh ","text":"Sigh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607167404","repostId":"604031512","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":604031512,"gmtCreate":1639277991493,"gmtModify":1639279122465,"author":{"id":"3562206499105387","authorId":"3562206499105387","name":"CY_Ng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba016392472f02387b5ae5505dbc524","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562206499105387","idStr":"3562206499105387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">$MercadoLibre(MELI)$</a>最近股价大跌，其中一个原因是因为巴西的通货膨非常高，经济正在变坏，货币乏值。这些原因导致股价大跌。我会比较看好SEA，因为巴西只是占公司一小部分的营业额，公司也在在高速发展其他国家业务。等待着更高的安全边际估值再买入","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">$MercadoLibre(MELI)$</a>最近股价大跌，其中一个原因是因为巴西的通货膨非常高，经济正在变坏，货币乏值。这些原因导致股价大跌。我会比较看好SEA，因为巴西只是占公司一小部分的营业额，公司也在在高速发展其他国家业务。等待着更高的安全边际估值再买入","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$和$MercadoLibre(MELI)$最近股价大跌，其中一个原因是因为巴西的通货膨非常高，经济正在变坏，货币乏值。这些原因导致股价大跌。我会比较看好SEA，因为巴西只是占公司一小部分的营业额，公司也在在高速发展其他国家业务。等待着更高的安全边际估值再买入","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05419632f36d2fd65c8d3caa70ef2aec","width":"1440","height":"4049"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604031512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607167829,"gmtCreate":1639500269662,"gmtModify":1639500269662,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌 ","listText":"👌 ","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607167829","repostId":"607029702","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607029702,"gmtCreate":1639460874968,"gmtModify":1639485609685,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"严重低估！管理层怒斥14亿回购，被闷杀的万亿赛道能否逆袭？","htmlText":"10个月前，互联网医疗板块是何等的风光——<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a> 市值曾超4000亿港币，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">$京东健康(06618)$</a> 一经上市，短短12个交易日，股价上涨超180%！往日的辉煌似曾昨日，如今阿里健康跌没了3000亿，京东健康腰斩不止，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">$平安好医生(01833)$</a> 更是腰斩、再腰斩，股价较最高点回落80%！惨，比中概股还惨的板块。如今，管理层终于看不下去了，平安好医生在本周一盘前发布公告，拟耗资13.8亿人民币用于股份回购，回购股份数量占发行总股份的10%！这则回购公告对低迷的股价来说无疑是一针强心剂，平安好医生当日大涨7.4%，同时带动阿里健康、京东健康盘中一度大涨超6%。在回购公告中，平安好医生管理层认为当下股价被低估，实打实的回购，是否意味着互联网医疗在闷杀之后迎来逆袭机遇？期待越高，失望越大！互联网医疗赛道曾经光芒万丈，主要是2020年疫情爆发之后，线下就诊遇阻，线上医疗服务迎来爆发，国家相关部门也出台相关制度大力支持，如2020年12月，卫健委发布《关于进一步推进“互联网+护理服务”试点工作的通知》，提出2021年扩大“互联网+护理服务”试点范围，各省至少确定1个城市开展试点。2020年11月，药监局发布的《药品网络销售监督管理办法（征求意见稿）》指出在确保电子处方来源真实、可靠的前提下，允许网络销售处方药。一系列政策加持之下，互联网医疗概念股突飞猛进，阿里健康和平安好医生股价皆较疫情前翻倍不止。","listText":"10个月前，互联网医疗板块是何等的风光——<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a> 市值曾超4000亿港币，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">$京东健康(06618)$</a> 一经上市，短短12个交易日，股价上涨超180%！往日的辉煌似曾昨日，如今阿里健康跌没了3000亿，京东健康腰斩不止，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">$平安好医生(01833)$</a> 更是腰斩、再腰斩，股价较最高点回落80%！惨，比中概股还惨的板块。如今，管理层终于看不下去了，平安好医生在本周一盘前发布公告，拟耗资13.8亿人民币用于股份回购，回购股份数量占发行总股份的10%！这则回购公告对低迷的股价来说无疑是一针强心剂，平安好医生当日大涨7.4%，同时带动阿里健康、京东健康盘中一度大涨超6%。在回购公告中，平安好医生管理层认为当下股价被低估，实打实的回购，是否意味着互联网医疗在闷杀之后迎来逆袭机遇？期待越高，失望越大！互联网医疗赛道曾经光芒万丈，主要是2020年疫情爆发之后，线下就诊遇阻，线上医疗服务迎来爆发，国家相关部门也出台相关制度大力支持，如2020年12月，卫健委发布《关于进一步推进“互联网+护理服务”试点工作的通知》，提出2021年扩大“互联网+护理服务”试点范围，各省至少确定1个城市开展试点。2020年11月，药监局发布的《药品网络销售监督管理办法（征求意见稿）》指出在确保电子处方来源真实、可靠的前提下，允许网络销售处方药。一系列政策加持之下，互联网医疗概念股突飞猛进，阿里健康和平安好医生股价皆较疫情前翻倍不止。","text":"10个月前，互联网医疗板块是何等的风光——$阿里健康(00241)$ 市值曾超4000亿港币，$京东健康(06618)$ 一经上市，短短12个交易日，股价上涨超180%！往日的辉煌似曾昨日，如今阿里健康跌没了3000亿，京东健康腰斩不止，$平安好医生(01833)$ 更是腰斩、再腰斩，股价较最高点回落80%！惨，比中概股还惨的板块。如今，管理层终于看不下去了，平安好医生在本周一盘前发布公告，拟耗资13.8亿人民币用于股份回购，回购股份数量占发行总股份的10%！这则回购公告对低迷的股价来说无疑是一针强心剂，平安好医生当日大涨7.4%，同时带动阿里健康、京东健康盘中一度大涨超6%。在回购公告中，平安好医生管理层认为当下股价被低估，实打实的回购，是否意味着互联网医疗在闷杀之后迎来逆袭机遇？期待越高，失望越大！互联网医疗赛道曾经光芒万丈，主要是2020年疫情爆发之后，线下就诊遇阻，线上医疗服务迎来爆发，国家相关部门也出台相关制度大力支持，如2020年12月，卫健委发布《关于进一步推进“互联网+护理服务”试点工作的通知》，提出2021年扩大“互联网+护理服务”试点范围，各省至少确定1个城市开展试点。2020年11月，药监局发布的《药品网络销售监督管理办法（征求意见稿）》指出在确保电子处方来源真实、可靠的前提下，允许网络销售处方药。一系列政策加持之下，互联网医疗概念股突飞猛进，阿里健康和平安好医生股价皆较疫情前翻倍不止。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19aaa5c71952be13799d63f5d9ce145b"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/117dac466c6c0df779a1a656c7ddf5f6"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd0fdf04190b05a08eccc099f726c9c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607029702","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605541077,"gmtCreate":1639197953696,"gmtModify":1639197953696,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605541077","repostId":"2190002673","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605543064,"gmtCreate":1639197842284,"gmtModify":1639197842284,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>200 soon ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>200 soon ","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$200 soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fa0d7927da3be7834ad149423bdca1","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605543064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605656648,"gmtCreate":1639157643282,"gmtModify":1639157643282,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NU\">$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$</a>Yeah ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NU\">$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$</a>Yeah ","text":"$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$Yeah","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87a2243601038321f7d53cdba26ca67b","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605656648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3893,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605151878,"gmtCreate":1639133542825,"gmtModify":1639133542825,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"✅ ","listText":"✅ ","text":"✅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605151878","repostId":"1185363632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185363632","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639125824,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185363632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 16:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股票的涨势会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185363632","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see t","content":"<p>Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价一直在上涨，似乎没有什么能够长期击倒它。当我看到这种加速时，我通常会开始认为是时候卖出了。问题是，对于苹果的股票来说，情况可能并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）在过去一个月的交易中上涨了19%，轻松超过了道琼斯工业平均指数0.5%的涨幅、标准普尔500指数0.9%的涨幅和纳斯达克综合指数0.04%的涨幅。与整体市场相比，这是一个惊人的举动，而且坏消息似乎很少伤害该股。当几乎所有其他东西都下跌时，它甚至会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.</p><p><blockquote>此次上涨也标志着该股的加速上涨。周四，苹果上涨0.3%，至175.58美元，较50天移动均线152.30美元高出15%以上。我们研究了这一点，希望它能作为卖出信号，但事实并非如此。在过去五年中，苹果股价在50日移动均线上方交易15%或更高后，在两周内继续上涨2%，并在接下来的一个月内上涨3%。一个月后，39次事件中有28次股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们仅使用该股第一次上涨超过移动平均线15%的情况（我们排除了第一次收盘后五个交易日内发生的任何情况），该股也表现不错，第一次上涨两周后股价上涨0.9%，之后一个月上涨9%。</blockquote></p><p> As much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们担心苹果的涨势无法长期持续，但至少从最近的历史来看，苹果股票可能还有更大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着苹果股票可以永远运行。虽然15%的阈值不会导致损失，但20%的阈值会导致损失。当这种情况发生时，苹果股价在事件发生后的两周内平均下跌3%，一个月后下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，苹果的股票可能会变得太强。只是还没到。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股票的涨势会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股票的涨势会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 16:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价一直在上涨，似乎没有什么能够长期击倒它。当我看到这种加速时，我通常会开始认为是时候卖出了。问题是，对于苹果的股票来说，情况可能并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）在过去一个月的交易中上涨了19%，轻松超过了道琼斯工业平均指数0.5%的涨幅、标准普尔500指数0.9%的涨幅和纳斯达克综合指数0.04%的涨幅。与整体市场相比，这是一个惊人的举动，而且坏消息似乎很少伤害该股。当几乎所有其他东西都下跌时，它甚至会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.</p><p><blockquote>此次上涨也标志着该股的加速上涨。周四，苹果上涨0.3%，至175.58美元，较50天移动均线152.30美元高出15%以上。我们研究了这一点，希望它能作为卖出信号，但事实并非如此。在过去五年中，苹果股价在50日移动均线上方交易15%或更高后，在两周内继续上涨2%，并在接下来的一个月内上涨3%。一个月后，39次事件中有28次股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们仅使用该股第一次上涨超过移动平均线15%的情况（我们排除了第一次收盘后五个交易日内发生的任何情况），该股也表现不错，第一次上涨两周后股价上涨0.9%，之后一个月上涨9%。</blockquote></p><p> As much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们担心苹果的涨势无法长期持续，但至少从最近的历史来看，苹果股票可能还有更大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着苹果股票可以永远运行。虽然15%的阈值不会导致损失，但20%的阈值会导致损失。当这种情况发生时，苹果股价在事件发生后的两周内平均下跌3%，一个月后下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，苹果的股票可能会变得太强。只是还没到。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-buy-sell-rally-51639071310?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-buy-sell-rally-51639071310?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185363632","content_text":"Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.\nApple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.\nThe gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.\nEven if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.\nAs much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.\nThat doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.\nApple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609846392,"gmtCreate":1638270318394,"gmtModify":1638270318394,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/O39.SI\">$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$</a>Chilled, playing golf ? 😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/O39.SI\">$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$</a>Chilled, playing golf ? 😂","text":"$OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP(O39.SI)$Chilled, playing golf ? 😂","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5255b3d10f4648bd045a6413fc04bbef","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609846392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609168915,"gmtCreate":1638253151170,"gmtModify":1638253151170,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S68.SI\">$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$</a>How can? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S68.SI\">$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$</a>How can? ","text":"$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$How can?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da20e8fba9dde31094b3103dccf947ae","width":"1125","height":"2107"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609168915","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609168075,"gmtCreate":1638253135537,"gmtModify":1638253135537,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S68.SI\">$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$</a>Can someone tell me why? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S68.SI\">$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$</a>Can someone tell me why? ","text":"$SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED(S68.SI)$Can someone tell me why?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7694eb6e3c04b92cb20dc85301a88b00","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609168075","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875587303,"gmtCreate":1637670124347,"gmtModify":1637670124347,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISPC\">$iSpecimen Inc.(ISPC)$</a>Yeah ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISPC\">$iSpecimen Inc.(ISPC)$</a>Yeah ","text":"$iSpecimen Inc.(ISPC)$Yeah","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b904c0616bdf093655faa3577ab2bf6e","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875587303","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875390663,"gmtCreate":1637598697536,"gmtModify":1637598697536,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$Pfizer(PFE)$</a>😄","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$Pfizer(PFE)$</a>😄","text":"$Pfizer(PFE)$😄","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9edf8ad207550c569406efb69dd0d7ba","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875390663","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872577554,"gmtCreate":1637554548691,"gmtModify":1637554548691,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy] ","listText":"[Happy] ","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872577554","repostId":"1105163070","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105163070","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637549873,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105163070?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-22 10:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian Topped Ford and GM Combined. How the Old-School Car Makers Could Get a Boost From EVs.<blockquote>Rivian超过了福特和通用的总和。老式汽车制造商如何从电动汽车中获得推动。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105163070","media":"Barrons","summary":"Old-school auto makers must envy the sky-high valuations of electric-vehicle start-ups. At one point","content":"<p> Old-school auto makers must envy the sky-high valuations of electric-vehicle start-ups. At one point this past week, Rivian Automotive was worth as much as Ford Motor and General Motors combined.</p><p><blockquote>老派汽车制造商一定羡慕电动汽车初创企业的天价估值。上周，Rivian汽车的市值一度相当于福特汽车和通用汽车的总和。</blockquote></p><p> But maybe there is a way for traditional auto makers to close that valuation gap: Take a page from Liberty Media’s John Malone’s playbook and issue tracking stocks. “The way to solve this is for GM and Ford to issue tracking stocks for their next-gen vehicle operations, such as EV, robo-taxi, etc.,” Scion Asset Management’s Michael Burry told <i>Barron’s</i> in an email exchange. “This is an absolute no-brainer.”</p><p><blockquote>但也许传统汽车制造商有一种方法可以缩小估值差距：借鉴Liberty Media的约翰·马龙(John Malone)的剧本，发行跟踪股票。Scion Asset Management的Michael Burry表示：“解决这个问题的方法是通用汽车和福特为其下一代汽车业务发行跟踪股票，例如电动汽车、机器人出租车等。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>在电子邮件交流中。“这绝对是显而易见的。”</blockquote></p><p> Burry is best known for a successful bet against the housing market ahead of the subprime mortgage collapse. He is a major character in Michael Lewis’s book <i>The Big Short</i>, and the movie based on it.</p><p><blockquote>伯里因在次贷崩溃之前成功押注房地产市场而闻名。他是迈克尔·刘易斯书中的主要人物<i>大空头</i>，以及根据它改编的电影。</blockquote></p><p> A tracking stock “tracks” the financial performance of a specific business unit. Shareholders of a tracking stock have a financial interest only in the division tracked, rather than in the entire business.</p><p><blockquote>跟踪股票“跟踪”特定业务部门的财务表现。跟踪股票的股东仅在被跟踪的部门中拥有财务利益，而不是在整个业务中。</blockquote></p><p> Burry’s idea builds on another, similar call from earlier in the week. On Wednesday, Data Trek Research’s Nick Colas, a former Wall Street auto analyst, wrote that Ford (F) and GM (GM) needed to spin out their EV businesses. “When it was just Tesla with a crazy valuation, they could afford to dismiss this [spinoff] idea. Now, with Rivian [RIVN], Lucid [LCID], etc., they can’t,” Colas wrote. “Automotive is a capital-intensive business, so cost of capital matters.”</p><p><blockquote>伯里的想法建立在本周早些时候另一个类似的看涨期权的基础上。周三，Data Trek Research的前华尔街汽车分析师尼克·科拉斯(Nick Colas)写道，福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)需要分拆其电动汽车业务。“当只有估值疯狂的特斯拉时，他们有能力放弃这个[分拆]想法。现在，有了Rivian[RIVN]、Lucid[LCID]等，他们就不能了，”Colas写道。“汽车是资本密集型行业，因此资本成本很重要。”</blockquote></p><p> Put it this way: Building a new EV plant that could produce, say, 500,000 EVs a year, along with the batteries to power them, costs several billion dollars. That‘s less than 1% of Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap, but roughly 5% to 10% of Ford’s or GM’s.</p><p><blockquote>这么说吧：建造一座新的电动汽车工厂，每年可以生产50万辆电动汽车，以及为它们提供动力的电池，需要花费数十亿美元。这不到特斯拉(TSLA)市值的1%，但约为福特或通用汽车的5%至10%。</blockquote></p><p> Not that Colas believes spinoffs will actually happen. Car makers are too complex, with many manufacturing plants doing several jobs for other factories in a network.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯并不认为分拆真的会发生。汽车制造商过于复杂，许多制造工厂为网络中的其他工厂做几项工作。</blockquote></p><p> Tracking stocks, though, might be feasible.Liberty Media Formula One (FWONA), for instance, tracks the financial performance of the Formula One racing series. And General Motors did the first tracking stock ever, for Ross Perot’s Electronic Data Systems, or EDS, back in 1984.</p><p><blockquote>不过，跟踪股票可能是可行的。例如，自由媒体一级方程式(FWONA)跟踪一级方程式赛车系列赛的财务表现。早在1984年，通用汽车就为罗斯·佩罗(Ross Perot)的电子数据系统(EDS)进行了有史以来第一次跟踪股票。</blockquote></p><p> How to value a Ford or GM tracking stock? The possibilities are tantalizing.</p><p><blockquote>如何对福特或通用跟踪股票进行估值？可能性是诱人的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford, like Rivian, is launching an EV truck and it already sells the electric Mustang Mach E. Ford’s EV business should be about four times the size of Rivian’s by 2023, if the company hits its goals.</p><p><blockquote>与Rivian一样，福特正在推出一款电动卡车，并且已经销售了电动野马Mach E。如果该公司实现其目标，到2023年，福特的电动汽车业务规模应该是Rivian的四倍左右。</blockquote></p><p> As for GM, it’s essentially the second-largest U.S. EV maker behind Tesla. GM’s global EV volume is at about 300,000 units when factoring in sales from GM’s Chinese joint ventures. With Lucid worth almost as much as GM and planning to sell roughly just 20,000 units in 2022, GM’s EV company could be worth multiples of Lucid.</p><p><blockquote>至于通用汽车，它本质上是仅次于特斯拉的美国第二大电动汽车制造商。考虑到通用汽车中国合资企业的销量，通用汽车的全球电动汽车销量约为30万辆。由于Lucid的价值几乎与通用汽车一样高，并且计划在2022年仅销售约20,000辆汽车，通用汽车的电动汽车公司的价值可能是Lucid的数倍。</blockquote></p><p> If all electric-vehicle companies and EV tracking stocks were valued like some EV shares, auto industry valuation could easily top $4 trillion, roughly four times the value before Tesla went on its epic 2020 run.</p><p><blockquote>如果所有电动汽车公司和电动汽车跟踪股票的估值都像一些电动汽车股票一样，那么汽车行业的估值很容易超过4万亿美元，大约是特斯拉2020年史诗般上涨之前价值的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> That might be a bit aggressive.</p><p><blockquote>这可能有点咄咄逼人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian Topped Ford and GM Combined. How the Old-School Car Makers Could Get a Boost From EVs.<blockquote>Rivian超过了福特和通用的总和。老式汽车制造商如何从电动汽车中获得推动。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian Topped Ford and GM Combined. How the Old-School Car Makers Could Get a Boost From EVs.<blockquote>Rivian超过了福特和通用的总和。老式汽车制造商如何从电动汽车中获得推动。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-22 10:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Old-school auto makers must envy the sky-high valuations of electric-vehicle start-ups. At one point this past week, Rivian Automotive was worth as much as Ford Motor and General Motors combined.</p><p><blockquote>老派汽车制造商一定羡慕电动汽车初创企业的天价估值。上周，Rivian汽车的市值一度相当于福特汽车和通用汽车的总和。</blockquote></p><p> But maybe there is a way for traditional auto makers to close that valuation gap: Take a page from Liberty Media’s John Malone’s playbook and issue tracking stocks. “The way to solve this is for GM and Ford to issue tracking stocks for their next-gen vehicle operations, such as EV, robo-taxi, etc.,” Scion Asset Management’s Michael Burry told <i>Barron’s</i> in an email exchange. “This is an absolute no-brainer.”</p><p><blockquote>但也许传统汽车制造商有一种方法可以缩小估值差距：借鉴Liberty Media的约翰·马龙(John Malone)的剧本，发行跟踪股票。Scion Asset Management的Michael Burry表示：“解决这个问题的方法是通用汽车和福特为其下一代汽车业务发行跟踪股票，例如电动汽车、机器人出租车等。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>在电子邮件交流中。“这绝对是显而易见的。”</blockquote></p><p> Burry is best known for a successful bet against the housing market ahead of the subprime mortgage collapse. He is a major character in Michael Lewis’s book <i>The Big Short</i>, and the movie based on it.</p><p><blockquote>伯里因在次贷崩溃之前成功押注房地产市场而闻名。他是迈克尔·刘易斯书中的主要人物<i>大空头</i>，以及根据它改编的电影。</blockquote></p><p> A tracking stock “tracks” the financial performance of a specific business unit. Shareholders of a tracking stock have a financial interest only in the division tracked, rather than in the entire business.</p><p><blockquote>跟踪股票“跟踪”特定业务部门的财务表现。跟踪股票的股东仅在被跟踪的部门中拥有财务利益，而不是在整个业务中。</blockquote></p><p> Burry’s idea builds on another, similar call from earlier in the week. On Wednesday, Data Trek Research’s Nick Colas, a former Wall Street auto analyst, wrote that Ford (F) and GM (GM) needed to spin out their EV businesses. “When it was just Tesla with a crazy valuation, they could afford to dismiss this [spinoff] idea. Now, with Rivian [RIVN], Lucid [LCID], etc., they can’t,” Colas wrote. “Automotive is a capital-intensive business, so cost of capital matters.”</p><p><blockquote>伯里的想法建立在本周早些时候另一个类似的看涨期权的基础上。周三，Data Trek Research的前华尔街汽车分析师尼克·科拉斯(Nick Colas)写道，福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)需要分拆其电动汽车业务。“当只有估值疯狂的特斯拉时，他们有能力放弃这个[分拆]想法。现在，有了Rivian[RIVN]、Lucid[LCID]等，他们就不能了，”Colas写道。“汽车是资本密集型行业，因此资本成本很重要。”</blockquote></p><p> Put it this way: Building a new EV plant that could produce, say, 500,000 EVs a year, along with the batteries to power them, costs several billion dollars. That‘s less than 1% of Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap, but roughly 5% to 10% of Ford’s or GM’s.</p><p><blockquote>这么说吧：建造一座新的电动汽车工厂，每年可以生产50万辆电动汽车，以及为它们提供动力的电池，需要花费数十亿美元。这不到特斯拉(TSLA)市值的1%，但约为福特或通用汽车的5%至10%。</blockquote></p><p> Not that Colas believes spinoffs will actually happen. Car makers are too complex, with many manufacturing plants doing several jobs for other factories in a network.</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯并不认为分拆真的会发生。汽车制造商过于复杂，许多制造工厂为网络中的其他工厂做几项工作。</blockquote></p><p> Tracking stocks, though, might be feasible.Liberty Media Formula One (FWONA), for instance, tracks the financial performance of the Formula One racing series. And General Motors did the first tracking stock ever, for Ross Perot’s Electronic Data Systems, or EDS, back in 1984.</p><p><blockquote>不过，跟踪股票可能是可行的。例如，自由媒体一级方程式(FWONA)跟踪一级方程式赛车系列赛的财务表现。早在1984年，通用汽车就为罗斯·佩罗(Ross Perot)的电子数据系统(EDS)进行了有史以来第一次跟踪股票。</blockquote></p><p> How to value a Ford or GM tracking stock? The possibilities are tantalizing.</p><p><blockquote>如何对福特或通用跟踪股票进行估值？可能性是诱人的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford, like Rivian, is launching an EV truck and it already sells the electric Mustang Mach E. Ford’s EV business should be about four times the size of Rivian’s by 2023, if the company hits its goals.</p><p><blockquote>与Rivian一样，福特正在推出一款电动卡车，并且已经销售了电动野马Mach E。如果该公司实现其目标，到2023年，福特的电动汽车业务规模应该是Rivian的四倍左右。</blockquote></p><p> As for GM, it’s essentially the second-largest U.S. EV maker behind Tesla. GM’s global EV volume is at about 300,000 units when factoring in sales from GM’s Chinese joint ventures. With Lucid worth almost as much as GM and planning to sell roughly just 20,000 units in 2022, GM’s EV company could be worth multiples of Lucid.</p><p><blockquote>至于通用汽车，它本质上是仅次于特斯拉的美国第二大电动汽车制造商。考虑到通用汽车中国合资企业的销量，通用汽车的全球电动汽车销量约为30万辆。由于Lucid的价值几乎与通用汽车一样高，并且计划在2022年仅销售约20,000辆汽车，通用汽车的电动汽车公司的价值可能是Lucid的数倍。</blockquote></p><p> If all electric-vehicle companies and EV tracking stocks were valued like some EV shares, auto industry valuation could easily top $4 trillion, roughly four times the value before Tesla went on its epic 2020 run.</p><p><blockquote>如果所有电动汽车公司和电动汽车跟踪股票的估值都像一些电动汽车股票一样，那么汽车行业的估值很容易超过4万亿美元，大约是特斯拉2020年史诗般上涨之前价值的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> That might be a bit aggressive.</p><p><blockquote>这可能有点咄咄逼人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/rivian-ford-gm-ev-51637373655?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/rivian-ford-gm-ev-51637373655?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105163070","content_text":"Old-school auto makers must envy the sky-high valuations of electric-vehicle start-ups. At one point this past week, Rivian Automotive was worth as much as Ford Motor and General Motors combined.\nBut maybe there is a way for traditional auto makers to close that valuation gap: Take a page from Liberty Media’s John Malone’s playbook and issue tracking stocks. “The way to solve this is for GM and Ford to issue tracking stocks for their next-gen vehicle operations, such as EV, robo-taxi, etc.,” Scion Asset Management’s Michael Burry told Barron’s in an email exchange. “This is an absolute no-brainer.”\nBurry is best known for a successful bet against the housing market ahead of the subprime mortgage collapse. He is a major character in Michael Lewis’s book The Big Short, and the movie based on it.\nA tracking stock “tracks” the financial performance of a specific business unit. Shareholders of a tracking stock have a financial interest only in the division tracked, rather than in the entire business.\nBurry’s idea builds on another, similar call from earlier in the week. On Wednesday, Data Trek Research’s Nick Colas, a former Wall Street auto analyst, wrote that Ford (F) and GM (GM) needed to spin out their EV businesses. “When it was just Tesla with a crazy valuation, they could afford to dismiss this [spinoff] idea. Now, with Rivian [RIVN], Lucid [LCID], etc., they can’t,” Colas wrote. “Automotive is a capital-intensive business, so cost of capital matters.”\nPut it this way: Building a new EV plant that could produce, say, 500,000 EVs a year, along with the batteries to power them, costs several billion dollars. That‘s less than 1% of Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap, but roughly 5% to 10% of Ford’s or GM’s.\nNot that Colas believes spinoffs will actually happen. Car makers are too complex, with many manufacturing plants doing several jobs for other factories in a network.\nTracking stocks, though, might be feasible.Liberty Media Formula One (FWONA), for instance, tracks the financial performance of the Formula One racing series. And General Motors did the first tracking stock ever, for Ross Perot’s Electronic Data Systems, or EDS, back in 1984.\nHow to value a Ford or GM tracking stock? The possibilities are tantalizing.\nFord, like Rivian, is launching an EV truck and it already sells the electric Mustang Mach E. Ford’s EV business should be about four times the size of Rivian’s by 2023, if the company hits its goals.\nAs for GM, it’s essentially the second-largest U.S. EV maker behind Tesla. GM’s global EV volume is at about 300,000 units when factoring in sales from GM’s Chinese joint ventures. With Lucid worth almost as much as GM and planning to sell roughly just 20,000 units in 2022, GM’s EV company could be worth multiples of Lucid.\nIf all electric-vehicle companies and EV tracking stocks were valued like some EV shares, auto industry valuation could easily top $4 trillion, roughly four times the value before Tesla went on its epic 2020 run.\nThat might be a bit aggressive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876422590,"gmtCreate":1637343553794,"gmtModify":1637343553794,"author":{"id":"3581759007454298","authorId":"3581759007454298","name":"Dollarmagnet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b328f4d9519066ee1561a31073b9eee","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581759007454298","idStr":"3581759007454298"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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