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RyanShine

RyanShine

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2021-06-19

How to get my comment featured ?

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2021-06-17

I’m leaving a comment

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2021-06-14

I like Adobe

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2021-08-25

Like !?

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2021-06-22

Always communication

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2021-09-03

So how ?

Speak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records<blockquote>不要说标普500永无止境的记录的坏话</blockquote>

2021-07-14

Anyone wanna comment ?

Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>

2021-10-09

Like

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2021-09-04

Hey yo

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2021-09-25

Allo

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2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%，给标普500带来最大提振，股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金，而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%，此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩，并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点，另一份报告显示，9月份生产者价格有所放缓，这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明，新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此，美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示：“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情，就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言，可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了，但至少在暂时的范围内，你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点，涨幅1.56%，至34,912.56点；标普500上涨74.46点，涨幅1.71%，至4,438.26点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点，或1.73%，至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅，但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅，道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛，除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示，Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%，此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期，并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长，但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1；在纳斯达克，1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 07:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周四跳涨，创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升，而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%，给标普500带来最大提振，股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金，而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%，此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩，并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点，另一份报告显示，9月份生产者价格有所放缓，这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明，新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此，美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示：“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情，就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言，可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了，但至少在暂时的范围内，你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点，涨幅1.56%，至34,912.56点；标普500上涨74.46点，涨幅1.71%，至4,438.26点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点，或1.73%，至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅，但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅，道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛，除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示，Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%，此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期，并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长，但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1；在纳斯达克，1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129314610","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.\nThe technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc rising.\nShares of Citigroup, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and Morgan Stanley also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.\nAlso, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.\nAdding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.\nData from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.\n“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.\n“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.\nWhile the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.\nGains were broad-based, with all but one S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.\nShares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.\nU.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822776665,"gmtCreate":1634174596589,"gmtModify":1634174596719,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822776665","repostId":"2175164396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2175164396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634166327,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2175164396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2175164396","media":"The Straits Times","summary":"NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shar","content":"<p><div> NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microsoft, but JPMorgan shares fell along with other bank...</p><p><blockquote><div>纽约（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周三（10月13日）收高，亚马逊和微软等大型成长型公司股价上涨，但摩根大通股价与其他银行一起下跌...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Straits Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microsoft, but JPMorgan shares fell along with other bank...</p><p><blockquote><div>纽约（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周三（10月13日）收高，亚马逊和微软等大型成长型公司股价上涨，但摩根大通股价与其他银行一起下跌...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">The Straits Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","JPM":"摩根大通","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2175164396","content_text":"NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microsoft, but JPMorgan shares fell along with other bank shares and weighed on the market.\nThe S&P 500 briefly added to gains following the release of minutes from the September Federal Reserve policy meeting.\nUS central bankers signalled they could start reducing crisis-era support for the economy in mid-November, though they remained divided over how much of a threat high inflation poses and how soon they may need to raise interest rates, the minutes showed.\nEarlier, a Labour Department report showed consumer prices increased solidly in September, further strengthening the case for a Fed interest-rate hike.\nShares of JPMorgan Chase & Co fell 2.6% even though JPMorgan's third-quarter earnings beat expectations, helped by global dealmaking boom and release of more loan loss reserves.\nThe stock declined along with the other bank shares and was among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Dow, which ended flat.\nThe S&P 500 bank index was down 1.3%, with longer-dated Treasury yields down on the day. The day's corporate results kicked off third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies.\n\"My hope is that as we work our way through earnings season, that the forward-looking guidance will be good enough that we'll close the year higher. But right now the market is in a show-me phase,\" said Jim Awad, senior managing director at Clearstead Advisors LLC in New York.\nMega-caps growth names including Amazon.com Inc, Google-parent Alphabet and Microsoft Corp all rose.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53 points to 34,377.81, the S&P 500 gained 13.15 points, or 0.30%, to 4,363.8 and the Nasdaq Composite added 105.71 points, or 0.73%, to 14,571.64.\nBlackRock Inc gained 3.8% after the world's largest money manager beat quarterly profit estimates as an improving economy helped boost its assets under management, driving up fee income.\nAlso in earnings, Delta Air Lines fell 5.8% after the company reported its first quarterly profit without federal aid since the coronavirus pandemic, but warned of a pre-tax loss for the fourth quarter due to a sharp rise in fuel prices.\nAnalysts expect corporate America to report strong profit growth in the third quarter but investor worries have been mounting over how supply chain problems, labour shortages and higher energy prices might affect businesses emerging from the pandemic.\nBank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley will report results on Thursday, while Goldman Sachs is due to report on Friday.\nAmong other movers, Apple Inc dipped 0.4% after a report said the iPhone marker was planning to cut production of its iPhone 13.0 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.73-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.39-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 8 new 52-week highs and 9 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 47 new highs and 56 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.31 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822355042,"gmtCreate":1634094394539,"gmtModify":1634094394770,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822355042","repostId":"1189203328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189203328","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634087217,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189203328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 09:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189203328","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.\nStorm warning signal No. 8,","content":"<p>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.</p><p><blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Storm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.</p><p><blockquote>据香港天文台称，八号风暴警告信号是其级别的第三高信号，将在中午之前继续生效。该公司在其网站上表示，当地时间早上7点，康帕苏位于该市西南偏南约370公里（230英里）处，预计将以每小时约25公里的速度向西移动，向中国海南岛移动。</blockquote></p><p> It is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.</p><p><blockquote>很可能整个周三证券交易，包括港股通和衍生品市场都将受到影响。如果天气警告在中午之前没有降低，全天的交易将被放弃。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 09:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.</p><p><blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Storm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.</p><p><blockquote>据香港天文台称，八号风暴警告信号是其级别的第三高信号，将在中午之前继续生效。该公司在其网站上表示，当地时间早上7点，康帕苏位于该市西南偏南约370公里（230英里）处，预计将以每小时约25公里的速度向西移动，向中国海南岛移动。</blockquote></p><p> It is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.</p><p><blockquote>很可能整个周三证券交易，包括港股通和衍生品市场都将受到影响。如果天气警告在中午之前没有降低，全天的交易将被放弃。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSI":"恒生指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSCEI":"国企指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189203328","content_text":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.\nStorm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.\nIt is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSCCI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9,"HSI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828707096,"gmtCreate":1633942196603,"gmtModify":1633942227815,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok like","listText":"Ok like","text":"Ok like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828707096","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828924535,"gmtCreate":1633835331397,"gmtModify":1633835331490,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828924535","repostId":"2174920514","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821510232,"gmtCreate":1633758156477,"gmtModify":1633758156719,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821510232","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821326078,"gmtCreate":1633700504224,"gmtModify":1633700592055,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821326078","repostId":"1183441822","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183441822","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633699900,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183441822?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks edged higher Friday<blockquote>美国股市周五小幅走高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183441822","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 8) Stock market opens slightly higher as September jobs report comes in lighter than expected.\n","content":"<p>(Oct 8)&nbsp;Stock market opens slightly higher as September jobs report comes in lighter than expected.</p><p><blockquote>（10月8日）9月份就业报告弱于预期，股市小幅高开。</blockquote></p><p> Dow gains 0.1%; S&amp;P 500 rises 0.2%,&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite advances 0.3% early Friday.</p><p><blockquote>道指上涨0.1%；周五早盘，标普500上涨0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> China tech names mixed&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>中国科技股早盘涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40625180925bb30a021e88a6d3107dfe\" tg-width=\"343\" tg-height=\"839\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Camber Energy surged 30%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Camber Energy早盘大涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca3cb2fa5905e41409b20eddef6b63b3\" tg-width=\"1189\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed above 1.6% before the jobs report was out, for the first time since June. It then edged down to 1.58% in recent trading.</p><p><blockquote>在就业报告发布之前，基准10年期国债收益率自6月份以来首次攀升至1.6%以上。随后在最近的交易中小幅下跌至1.58%。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. added 194,000 jobs in September,data showed Friday, substantially less than expected and down from August. Economists had forecast a gain of 500,000 jobs. The end of federal Covid-related jobless benefits and reopened schools drove some workers back into the labor force, but the Delta variant and persistent staffing shortages are restraining the recovery.</p><p><blockquote>周五数据显示，美国9月份新增就业岗位19.4万个，大幅低于预期，也低于8月份。经济学家此前预测将增加50万个工作岗位。与新冠疫情相关的联邦失业救济金的结束和学校的重新开放促使一些工人重返劳动力市场，但德尔塔变异毒株和持续的人员短缺正在限制复苏。</blockquote></p><p> “I was surprised at how bad the miss was,” said Shana Sissel, chief investment officer at Spotlight Asset Group.</p><p><blockquote>Spotlight Asset Group首席投资官Shana Sissel表示：“我对这次失误的严重程度感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve has said the labor market’s recovery is the key variable driving monetary policy and investors are watching closely to see if Friday’s report could affect plans to taper stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>美联储曾表示，劳动力市场的复苏是推动货币政策的关键变量，投资者正在密切关注周五的报告是否会影响缩减刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> Volatility returned to markets in recent days, with the S&amp;P 500 swinging at least 1% for three out of four days this week. Investors have been focused on surging energy prices, concerns about inflation and negotiations on the debt ceiling. Lawmakers struck a deal for ashort-term extension to the debt limitin the Senate on Thursday, stoking a rally in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，市场再次出现波动，本周四天中有三天标普500波动至少1%。投资者一直关注能源价格飙升、通胀担忧和债务上限谈判。周四，立法者在参议院达成了短期延长债务限额的协议，引发股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks edged higher Friday<blockquote>美国股市周五小幅走高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks edged higher Friday<blockquote>美国股市周五小幅走高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-08 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct 8)&nbsp;Stock market opens slightly higher as September jobs report comes in lighter than expected.</p><p><blockquote>（10月8日）9月份就业报告弱于预期，股市小幅高开。</blockquote></p><p> Dow gains 0.1%; S&amp;P 500 rises 0.2%,&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite advances 0.3% early Friday.</p><p><blockquote>道指上涨0.1%；周五早盘，标普500上涨0.2%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> China tech names mixed&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>中国科技股早盘涨跌互现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40625180925bb30a021e88a6d3107dfe\" tg-width=\"343\" tg-height=\"839\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Camber Energy surged 30%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Camber Energy早盘大涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca3cb2fa5905e41409b20eddef6b63b3\" tg-width=\"1189\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed above 1.6% before the jobs report was out, for the first time since June. It then edged down to 1.58% in recent trading.</p><p><blockquote>在就业报告发布之前，基准10年期国债收益率自6月份以来首次攀升至1.6%以上。随后在最近的交易中小幅下跌至1.58%。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. added 194,000 jobs in September,data showed Friday, substantially less than expected and down from August. Economists had forecast a gain of 500,000 jobs. The end of federal Covid-related jobless benefits and reopened schools drove some workers back into the labor force, but the Delta variant and persistent staffing shortages are restraining the recovery.</p><p><blockquote>周五数据显示，美国9月份新增就业岗位19.4万个，大幅低于预期，也低于8月份。经济学家此前预测将增加50万个工作岗位。与新冠疫情相关的联邦失业救济金的结束和学校的重新开放促使一些工人重返劳动力市场，但德尔塔变异毒株和持续的人员短缺正在限制复苏。</blockquote></p><p> “I was surprised at how bad the miss was,” said Shana Sissel, chief investment officer at Spotlight Asset Group.</p><p><blockquote>Spotlight Asset Group首席投资官Shana Sissel表示：“我对这次失误的严重程度感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve has said the labor market’s recovery is the key variable driving monetary policy and investors are watching closely to see if Friday’s report could affect plans to taper stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>美联储曾表示，劳动力市场的复苏是推动货币政策的关键变量，投资者正在密切关注周五的报告是否会影响缩减刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> Volatility returned to markets in recent days, with the S&amp;P 500 swinging at least 1% for three out of four days this week. Investors have been focused on surging energy prices, concerns about inflation and negotiations on the debt ceiling. Lawmakers struck a deal for ashort-term extension to the debt limitin the Senate on Thursday, stoking a rally in the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，市场再次出现波动，本周四天中有三天标普500波动至少1%。投资者一直关注能源价格飙升、通胀担忧和债务上限谈判。周四，立法者在参议院达成了短期延长债务限额的协议，引发股市上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183441822","content_text":"(Oct 8) Stock market opens slightly higher as September jobs report comes in lighter than expected.\nDow gains 0.1%; S&P 500 rises 0.2%, Nasdaq Composite advances 0.3% early Friday.\nChina tech names mixed in early trading.\n\nCamber Energy surged 30% in early trading.\nThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed above 1.6% before the jobs report was out, for the first time since June. It then edged down to 1.58% in recent trading.\nThe U.S. added 194,000 jobs in September,data showed Friday, substantially less than expected and down from August. Economists had forecast a gain of 500,000 jobs. The end of federal Covid-related jobless benefits and reopened schools drove some workers back into the labor force, but the Delta variant and persistent staffing shortages are restraining the recovery.\n“I was surprised at how bad the miss was,” said Shana Sissel, chief investment officer at Spotlight Asset Group.\nThe Federal Reserve has said the labor market’s recovery is the key variable driving monetary policy and investors are watching closely to see if Friday’s report could affect plans to taper stimulus.\nVolatility returned to markets in recent days, with the S&P 500 swinging at least 1% for three out of four days this week. Investors have been focused on surging energy prices, concerns about inflation and negotiations on the debt ceiling. Lawmakers struck a deal for ashort-term extension to the debt limitin the Senate on Thursday, stoking a rally in the stock market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823867926,"gmtCreate":1633613777494,"gmtModify":1633613792680,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823867926","repostId":"1178328655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864266759,"gmtCreate":1633108364224,"gmtModify":1633108364525,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864266759","repostId":"2172618951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865447383,"gmtCreate":1633013844092,"gmtModify":1633013844375,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865447383","repostId":"1128076731","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862409871,"gmtCreate":1632897136806,"gmtModify":1632897137041,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862409871","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的，但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长，这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说：“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至，</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近峰值时，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”，即“这次不同了”。那么，你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于：</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷（太宽松，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来，只有两个市场时期符合熔化的条件：1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨，足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而，支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身，而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看，无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么，都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回，以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，不可避免的是，“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化，</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此，投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损失<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用，它们可以持续更长时间，走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件，它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是，当然，困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>（非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>（如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用，那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。）</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没有任何东西说，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时，水平被触发，风险减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的，但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长，这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说：“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至，</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近峰值时，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”，即“这次不同了”。那么，你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于：</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷（太宽松，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来，只有两个市场时期符合熔化的条件：1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨，足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而，支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身，而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看，无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么，都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回，以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，不可避免的是，“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化，</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此，投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损失<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用，它们可以持续更长时间，走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件，它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是，当然，困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>（非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>（如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用，那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。）</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没有任何东西说，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时，水平被触发，风险减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866448368,"gmtCreate":1632800080754,"gmtModify":1632800080883,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yo","listText":"Yo","text":"Yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866448368","repostId":"2170582624","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866933709,"gmtCreate":1632719746301,"gmtModify":1632798309996,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581398526699928","idStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"One like","listText":"One like","text":"One like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866933709","repostId":"2170488786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170488786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632685409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170488786?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展，因为议员们竞相通过立法，以避免政府在本月底关闭，并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 03:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展，因为议员们竞相通过立法，以避免政府在本月底关闭，并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies 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!?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837400790","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120526631,"gmtCreate":1624328555323,"gmtModify":1634007703372,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581398526699928","authorIdStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Always communication&nbsp;","listText":"Always communication&nbsp;","text":"Always communication","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120526631","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815188337,"gmtCreate":1630656370529,"gmtModify":1631891948593,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581398526699928","authorIdStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So how ?","listText":"So how ?","text":"So how ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815188337","repostId":"1168498795","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168498795","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630655991,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168498795?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 15:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Speak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records<blockquote>不要说标普500永无止境的记录的坏话</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168498795","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the ch","content":"<p>  <b>Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the chunky returns of the past decade.</b>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6573eb955692f754acc1285622febd53\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The S&amp;P 500 is like the three wise monkeys: See no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil.Whatever happens, it just goes up. The market has gone up almost in a straight line since November despite a troubling list of events that could each have justified at least a 5% correction. Investors are incredibly resilient.</p><p><blockquote><b>无论如何购买股票的投资者都不应该自欺欺人地认为未来将带来过去十年的丰厚回报。</b>标普500就像三只聪明的猴子：不看邪恶，不听邪恶，不说邪恶。无论发生什么，它都会上升。自11月以来，市场几乎直线上涨，尽管发生了一系列令人不安的事件，每个事件都可能证明至少5%的回调是合理的。投资者的韧性令人难以置信。</blockquote></p><p> Some things that didn’t matter:a burst bubble in clean-energy stocks;a sharp rise in Treasury yields(to March);a big fall in Treasury yields(since March); China’s crackdown on moneymaking; the Federal Reserve’sshift toward tapering bond purchases; and the rise of the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>一些无关紧要的事情：清洁能源股票泡沫破裂；国债收益率大幅上升（至3月）；国债收益率大幅下跌（自3月以来）；我国关于赚钱的打压；美联储转向缩减债券购买；以及德尔塔变异毒株的崛起。</blockquote></p><p> On the optimistic side, it is great that the market has been pushed up by a variety of forces, not by wild excess in a single area. We need not worry that the bubble in clean energy will burst and bring down the market, because it has already burst without bringing down the market.</p><p><blockquote>乐观的一面是，市场被多种力量推高，而不是单一地区的疯狂过剩，这很好。我们不必担心清洁能源的泡沫会破裂，拖垮市场，因为它已经破裂了，没有拖垮市场。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout all this, the stock market has risen steadily,without a 5% fall since shortly before the election last year. Every time part of the market—technology stocks, cheap stocks, smaller stocks, oil stocks, strong-balance-sheet stocks—stops performing, something else steps in to rescue the broader index. The market seems invulnerable to bad news, and that is unusual. On the face of it, it is also scary, suggesting investors are complacent about danger.</p><p><blockquote>纵观这一切，股市稳步上涨，自去年大选前不久以来没有出现过5%的下跌。每当市场的一部分——科技股、廉价股、小型股、石油股、资产负债表强劲的股票——停止表现时，就会有其他东西介入拯救更广泛的指数。市场似乎不会受到坏消息的影响，这是不寻常的。从表面上看，这也很可怕，表明投资者对危险沾沾自喜。</blockquote></p><p> It is far from unprecedented to go a long time without a correction, with 10 episodes since 1963 when the market lasted more than 200 trading days without a 5% drop. But they were different from the recent run. In every other case, the market was far calmer below the surface. This time, major events led to big swings between sectors, size and types of stock, but none disturbed its steady rise.</p><p><blockquote>长时间没有回调的情况远非史无前例，自1963年以来，市场持续200多个交易日没有下跌5%以来，已经出现了10次。但它们与最近的运行不同。在其他情况下，市场在表面之下要平静得多。这一次，重大事件导致板块、规模和股票类型之间的大幅波动，但都没有干扰其稳步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, the stimulus- and vaccine-driven willingness to take risk across every asset class faded from March onward, so we shouldn’t be too concerned about a switch in investor sentiment. Again, it has already happened.</p><p><blockquote>同样，从3月份开始，刺激和疫苗驱动的所有资产类别的冒险意愿都减弱了，因此我们不应该太担心投资者情绪的转变。再说一次，这已经发生了。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d8b995934c7f60fadb5834dd078e232\" tg-width=\"320\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Yet,I find it disconcerting that the market seems to go up no matter what. Good news on the economy pushes up stocks sensitive to growth, such as manufacturers and banks. Troubling news on the economy means lower bond yields and so pushes up stocks with profits far in the future (see: Big Tech) whose expansion depends on innovation rather than economic growth, which I understand. That both should push up the wider S&amp;P 500 is what puzzles me.</p><p><blockquote>然而，令我不安的是，无论如何，市场似乎都在上涨。经济方面的好消息推高了对增长敏感的股票，如制造商和银行。令人不安的经济消息意味着债券收益率下降，从而推高未来盈利的股票（见：大型科技公司），这些股票的扩张依赖于创新而不是经济增长，我理解这一点。两者都应该推高更广泛的标普500，这让我感到困惑。</blockquote></p><p> The only explanation I have is the old one: “TINA”—There Is No Alternative to Stocks—because yields on alternatives such as bonds are so low. With more savings going into stocks than is cashed out or soaked up by IPOs, the price has to rise. It isn’t a satisfactory story, but it kind of works.</p><p><blockquote>我唯一的解释是旧的：“蒂娜”——除了股票别无选择——因为债券等替代品的收益率太低了。随着更多的储蓄进入股票，而不是通过IPO套现或吸收的储蓄，价格必须上涨。这不是一个令人满意的故事，但它有点工作。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37942e27b25662943d254580733d2954\" tg-width=\"325\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In both good and bad times investors want to buy stocks, so the S&amp;P goes up. But<i>which</i>stocks they choose to buy differs between good and bad times. In good times they want risk-on stocks (cheap value, cyclicals, smaller companies, emerging markets). In bad times they want risk-off stocks (growth, defensive firms, larger companies, developed markets and especially the U.S.).</p><p><blockquote>无论顺境还是逆境，投资者都想购买股票，因此标准普尔指数都会上涨。但<i>哪个</i>他们选择购买的股票在顺境和逆境之间有所不同。在繁荣时期，他们想要冒险的股票（便宜的价值、周期性股票、小公司、新兴市场）。在经济不景气时，他们想要避险股票（成长型、防御型公司、大型公司、发达市场，尤其是美国）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem with TINA is that the justification for stocks isn’t that they offer good returns in the future, but that they offer better returns than bonds. Bonds offer miserable returns—a guaranteed loss after inflation for 30 years on Treasury inflation-protected securities—so doing better than that isn’t saying much. If lower rewards came with lower risks, that would be fine, but at best the risks are as high as ever, perhaps much higher.</p><p><blockquote>蒂娜的问题在于，股票的理由不是它们在未来提供良好的回报，而是它们提供比债券更好的回报。债券的回报率很低——通胀保值国债30年通胀后肯定会出现亏损——所以做得更好并不能说明什么。如果较低的回报伴随着较低的风险，那很好，但充其量风险和以往一样高，甚至可能高得多。</blockquote></p><p> A simplistic way to quantify how much lower the rewards of stocks are likely to be is to use the earnings yield, the inverse of the forward price/earnings ratio. If companies match analyst profit forecasts, future returns should be about 4%—only slightly higher than was suggested by the measure at the height of the dot-com bubble in 2000. If corporate earnings miss forecasts, future returns could be substantially lower. If valuations fall too, returns are doubly hit, as they were after the dot-com bubble burst, when returns ended up negative for years.</p><p><blockquote>量化股票回报可能低多少的一个简单方法是使用收益率，即远期市盈率的倒数。如果公司符合分析师的利润预测，未来的回报率应该在4%左右——仅略高于2000年互联网泡沫最严重时的指标。如果企业盈利低于预期，未来的回报可能会大幅降低。如果估值也下跌，回报就会受到双重打击，就像互联网泡沫破裂后那样，当时回报多年来一直为负。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quantifying risks is much harder. Inflation risk is higher than before, and so are political (tax and regulation) and geopolitical (trade and supply chain) threats to stocks. The risk that analysts have horribly overestimated earnings or companies are massively overstating earnings is at least as high as usual. Central banks are sure to try to help if stocks plunge, but can’t use the traditional support of rate cuts. Alternative tools such as negative rates and buying a wider range of assets are available, but their risks are less well understood.</p><p><blockquote>量化风险要困难得多。通胀风险比以前更高，对股市的政治（税收和监管）和地缘政治（贸易和供应链）威胁也是如此。分析师严重高估收益或公司大幅夸大收益的风险至少和往常一样高。如果股市暴跌，央行肯定会尽力提供帮助，但不能使用降息的传统支持。负利率和购买更广泛的资产等替代工具是可用的，但其风险却不太为人所知。</blockquote></p><p> Getting a lower reward for the same or higher risk may still be acceptable, given how expensive the safer alternatives are. But investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the 6.5% or so above inflation of the past century, let alone the 12% above inflation of the past decade.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到更安全的替代品的昂贵程度，以相同或更高的风险获得较低的回报可能仍然是可以接受的。但无论如何购买股票的投资者都不应该自欺欺人地认为，未来的通胀率将比上个世纪高出6.5%左右，更不用说比过去十年的通胀率高出12%了。</blockquote></p><p> The awful choice investors have is to join the monkeys in pretending all is well, or accept the terrible returns of safe assets.</p><p><blockquote>投资者面临的可怕选择是加入猴子的行列，假装一切都很好，或者接受安全资产的可怕回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Speak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records<blockquote>不要说标普500永无止境的记录的坏话</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSpeak No Evil of the S&P 500’s Neverending Records<blockquote>不要说标普500永无止境的记录的坏话</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 15:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the chunky returns of the past decade.</b>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6573eb955692f754acc1285622febd53\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The S&amp;P 500 is like the three wise monkeys: See no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil.Whatever happens, it just goes up. The market has gone up almost in a straight line since November despite a troubling list of events that could each have justified at least a 5% correction. Investors are incredibly resilient.</p><p><blockquote><b>无论如何购买股票的投资者都不应该自欺欺人地认为未来将带来过去十年的丰厚回报。</b>标普500就像三只聪明的猴子：不看邪恶，不听邪恶，不说邪恶。无论发生什么，它都会上升。自11月以来，市场几乎直线上涨，尽管发生了一系列令人不安的事件，每个事件都可能证明至少5%的回调是合理的。投资者的韧性令人难以置信。</blockquote></p><p> Some things that didn’t matter:a burst bubble in clean-energy stocks;a sharp rise in Treasury yields(to March);a big fall in Treasury yields(since March); China’s crackdown on moneymaking; the Federal Reserve’sshift toward tapering bond purchases; and the rise of the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>一些无关紧要的事情：清洁能源股票泡沫破裂；国债收益率大幅上升（至3月）；国债收益率大幅下跌（自3月以来）；我国关于赚钱的打压；美联储转向缩减债券购买；以及德尔塔变异毒株的崛起。</blockquote></p><p> On the optimistic side, it is great that the market has been pushed up by a variety of forces, not by wild excess in a single area. We need not worry that the bubble in clean energy will burst and bring down the market, because it has already burst without bringing down the market.</p><p><blockquote>乐观的一面是，市场被多种力量推高，而不是单一地区的疯狂过剩，这很好。我们不必担心清洁能源的泡沫会破裂，拖垮市场，因为它已经破裂了，没有拖垮市场。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout all this, the stock market has risen steadily,without a 5% fall since shortly before the election last year. Every time part of the market—technology stocks, cheap stocks, smaller stocks, oil stocks, strong-balance-sheet stocks—stops performing, something else steps in to rescue the broader index. The market seems invulnerable to bad news, and that is unusual. On the face of it, it is also scary, suggesting investors are complacent about danger.</p><p><blockquote>纵观这一切，股市稳步上涨，自去年大选前不久以来没有出现过5%的下跌。每当市场的一部分——科技股、廉价股、小型股、石油股、资产负债表强劲的股票——停止表现时，就会有其他东西介入拯救更广泛的指数。市场似乎不会受到坏消息的影响，这是不寻常的。从表面上看，这也很可怕，表明投资者对危险沾沾自喜。</blockquote></p><p> It is far from unprecedented to go a long time without a correction, with 10 episodes since 1963 when the market lasted more than 200 trading days without a 5% drop. But they were different from the recent run. In every other case, the market was far calmer below the surface. This time, major events led to big swings between sectors, size and types of stock, but none disturbed its steady rise.</p><p><blockquote>长时间没有回调的情况远非史无前例，自1963年以来，市场持续200多个交易日没有下跌5%以来，已经出现了10次。但它们与最近的运行不同。在其他情况下，市场在表面之下要平静得多。这一次，重大事件导致板块、规模和股票类型之间的大幅波动，但都没有干扰其稳步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, the stimulus- and vaccine-driven willingness to take risk across every asset class faded from March onward, so we shouldn’t be too concerned about a switch in investor sentiment. Again, it has already happened.</p><p><blockquote>同样，从3月份开始，刺激和疫苗驱动的所有资产类别的冒险意愿都减弱了，因此我们不应该太担心投资者情绪的转变。再说一次，这已经发生了。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d8b995934c7f60fadb5834dd078e232\" tg-width=\"320\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Yet,I find it disconcerting that the market seems to go up no matter what. Good news on the economy pushes up stocks sensitive to growth, such as manufacturers and banks. Troubling news on the economy means lower bond yields and so pushes up stocks with profits far in the future (see: Big Tech) whose expansion depends on innovation rather than economic growth, which I understand. That both should push up the wider S&amp;P 500 is what puzzles me.</p><p><blockquote>然而，令我不安的是，无论如何，市场似乎都在上涨。经济方面的好消息推高了对增长敏感的股票，如制造商和银行。令人不安的经济消息意味着债券收益率下降，从而推高未来盈利的股票（见：大型科技公司），这些股票的扩张依赖于创新而不是经济增长，我理解这一点。两者都应该推高更广泛的标普500，这让我感到困惑。</blockquote></p><p> The only explanation I have is the old one: “TINA”—There Is No Alternative to Stocks—because yields on alternatives such as bonds are so low. With more savings going into stocks than is cashed out or soaked up by IPOs, the price has to rise. It isn’t a satisfactory story, but it kind of works.</p><p><blockquote>我唯一的解释是旧的：“蒂娜”——除了股票别无选择——因为债券等替代品的收益率太低了。随着更多的储蓄进入股票，而不是通过IPO套现或吸收的储蓄，价格必须上涨。这不是一个令人满意的故事，但它有点工作。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37942e27b25662943d254580733d2954\" tg-width=\"325\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In both good and bad times investors want to buy stocks, so the S&amp;P goes up. But<i>which</i>stocks they choose to buy differs between good and bad times. In good times they want risk-on stocks (cheap value, cyclicals, smaller companies, emerging markets). In bad times they want risk-off stocks (growth, defensive firms, larger companies, developed markets and especially the U.S.).</p><p><blockquote>无论顺境还是逆境，投资者都想购买股票，因此标准普尔指数都会上涨。但<i>哪个</i>他们选择购买的股票在顺境和逆境之间有所不同。在繁荣时期，他们想要冒险的股票（便宜的价值、周期性股票、小公司、新兴市场）。在经济不景气时，他们想要避险股票（成长型、防御型公司、大型公司、发达市场，尤其是美国）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem with TINA is that the justification for stocks isn’t that they offer good returns in the future, but that they offer better returns than bonds. Bonds offer miserable returns—a guaranteed loss after inflation for 30 years on Treasury inflation-protected securities—so doing better than that isn’t saying much. If lower rewards came with lower risks, that would be fine, but at best the risks are as high as ever, perhaps much higher.</p><p><blockquote>蒂娜的问题在于，股票的理由不是它们在未来提供良好的回报，而是它们提供比债券更好的回报。债券的回报率很低——通胀保值国债30年通胀后肯定会出现亏损——所以做得更好并不能说明什么。如果较低的回报伴随着较低的风险，那很好，但充其量风险和以往一样高，甚至可能高得多。</blockquote></p><p> A simplistic way to quantify how much lower the rewards of stocks are likely to be is to use the earnings yield, the inverse of the forward price/earnings ratio. If companies match analyst profit forecasts, future returns should be about 4%—only slightly higher than was suggested by the measure at the height of the dot-com bubble in 2000. If corporate earnings miss forecasts, future returns could be substantially lower. If valuations fall too, returns are doubly hit, as they were after the dot-com bubble burst, when returns ended up negative for years.</p><p><blockquote>量化股票回报可能低多少的一个简单方法是使用收益率，即远期市盈率的倒数。如果公司符合分析师的利润预测，未来的回报率应该在4%左右——仅略高于2000年互联网泡沫最严重时的指标。如果企业盈利低于预期，未来的回报可能会大幅降低。如果估值也下跌，回报就会受到双重打击，就像互联网泡沫破裂后那样，当时回报多年来一直为负。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quantifying risks is much harder. Inflation risk is higher than before, and so are political (tax and regulation) and geopolitical (trade and supply chain) threats to stocks. The risk that analysts have horribly overestimated earnings or companies are massively overstating earnings is at least as high as usual. Central banks are sure to try to help if stocks plunge, but can’t use the traditional support of rate cuts. Alternative tools such as negative rates and buying a wider range of assets are available, but their risks are less well understood.</p><p><blockquote>量化风险要困难得多。通胀风险比以前更高，对股市的政治（税收和监管）和地缘政治（贸易和供应链）威胁也是如此。分析师严重高估收益或公司大幅夸大收益的风险至少和往常一样高。如果股市暴跌，央行肯定会尽力提供帮助，但不能使用降息的传统支持。负利率和购买更广泛的资产等替代工具是可用的，但其风险却不太为人所知。</blockquote></p><p> Getting a lower reward for the same or higher risk may still be acceptable, given how expensive the safer alternatives are. But investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the 6.5% or so above inflation of the past century, let alone the 12% above inflation of the past decade.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到更安全的替代品的昂贵程度，以相同或更高的风险获得较低的回报可能仍然是可以接受的。但无论如何购买股票的投资者都不应该自欺欺人地认为，未来的通胀率将比上个世纪高出6.5%左右，更不用说比过去十年的通胀率高出12%了。</blockquote></p><p> The awful choice investors have is to join the monkeys in pretending all is well, or accept the terrible returns of safe assets.</p><p><blockquote>投资者面临的可怕选择是加入猴子的行列，假装一切都很好，或者接受安全资产的可怕回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/speak-no-evil-of-the-s-p-500s-neverending-records-11630590653?mod=markets_lead_pos5\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/speak-no-evil-of-the-s-p-500s-neverending-records-11630590653?mod=markets_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168498795","content_text":"Investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the chunky returns of the past decade.\n\nThe S&P 500 is like the three wise monkeys: See no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil.Whatever happens, it just goes up. The market has gone up almost in a straight line since November despite a troubling list of events that could each have justified at least a 5% correction. Investors are incredibly resilient.\nSome things that didn’t matter:a burst bubble in clean-energy stocks;a sharp rise in Treasury yields(to March);a big fall in Treasury yields(since March); China’s crackdown on moneymaking; the Federal Reserve’sshift toward tapering bond purchases; and the rise of the Delta variant.\nOn the optimistic side, it is great that the market has been pushed up by a variety of forces, not by wild excess in a single area. We need not worry that the bubble in clean energy will burst and bring down the market, because it has already burst without bringing down the market.\nThroughout all this, the stock market has risen steadily,without a 5% fall since shortly before the election last year. Every time part of the market—technology stocks, cheap stocks, smaller stocks, oil stocks, strong-balance-sheet stocks—stops performing, something else steps in to rescue the broader index. The market seems invulnerable to bad news, and that is unusual. On the face of it, it is also scary, suggesting investors are complacent about danger.\nIt is far from unprecedented to go a long time without a correction, with 10 episodes since 1963 when the market lasted more than 200 trading days without a 5% drop. But they were different from the recent run. In every other case, the market was far calmer below the surface. This time, major events led to big swings between sectors, size and types of stock, but none disturbed its steady rise.\nSimilarly, the stimulus- and vaccine-driven willingness to take risk across every asset class faded from March onward, so we shouldn’t be too concerned about a switch in investor sentiment. Again, it has already happened.\nYet,I find it disconcerting that the market seems to go up no matter what. Good news on the economy pushes up stocks sensitive to growth, such as manufacturers and banks. Troubling news on the economy means lower bond yields and so pushes up stocks with profits far in the future (see: Big Tech) whose expansion depends on innovation rather than economic growth, which I understand. That both should push up the wider S&P 500 is what puzzles me.\nThe only explanation I have is the old one: “TINA”—There Is No Alternative to Stocks—because yields on alternatives such as bonds are so low. With more savings going into stocks than is cashed out or soaked up by IPOs, the price has to rise. It isn’t a satisfactory story, but it kind of works.\nIn both good and bad times investors want to buy stocks, so the S&P goes up. Butwhichstocks they choose to buy differs between good and bad times. In good times they want risk-on stocks (cheap value, cyclicals, smaller companies, emerging markets). In bad times they want risk-off stocks (growth, defensive firms, larger companies, developed markets and especially the U.S.).\nThe problem with TINA is that the justification for stocks isn’t that they offer good returns in the future, but that they offer better returns than bonds. Bonds offer miserable returns—a guaranteed loss after inflation for 30 years on Treasury inflation-protected securities—so doing better than that isn’t saying much. If lower rewards came with lower risks, that would be fine, but at best the risks are as high as ever, perhaps much higher.\nA simplistic way to quantify how much lower the rewards of stocks are likely to be is to use the earnings yield, the inverse of the forward price/earnings ratio. If companies match analyst profit forecasts, future returns should be about 4%—only slightly higher than was suggested by the measure at the height of the dot-com bubble in 2000. If corporate earnings miss forecasts, future returns could be substantially lower. If valuations fall too, returns are doubly hit, as they were after the dot-com bubble burst, when returns ended up negative for years.\nQuantifying risks is much harder. Inflation risk is higher than before, and so are political (tax and regulation) and geopolitical (trade and supply chain) threats to stocks. The risk that analysts have horribly overestimated earnings or companies are massively overstating earnings is at least as high as usual. Central banks are sure to try to help if stocks plunge, but can’t use the traditional support of rate cuts. Alternative tools such as negative rates and buying a wider range of assets are available, but their risks are less well understood.\nGetting a lower reward for the same or higher risk may still be acceptable, given how expensive the safer alternatives are. But investors buying stocks no matter what shouldn’t fool themselves that the future will deliver the 6.5% or so above inflation of the past century, let alone the 12% above inflation of the past decade.\nThe awful choice investors have is to join the monkeys in pretending all is well, or accept the terrible returns of safe assets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144071108,"gmtCreate":1626257131704,"gmtModify":1633928581798,"author":{"id":"3581398526699928","authorId":"3581398526699928","name":"RyanShine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab6ad9c024117b0db0977b900d76b265","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581398526699928","authorIdStr":"3581398526699928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone wanna comment ?","listText":"Anyone wanna comment ?","text":"Anyone wanna comment ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144071108","repostId":"1165083410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165083410","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626256074,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165083410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 17:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165083410","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of ","content":"<p>Cannabis&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains&nbsp;in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> SNDL&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket,&nbsp;TLRY&nbsp;and&nbsp;ACB&nbsp;shares&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>SNDL股价盘前上涨4%，TLRY和ACB股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231cd44d5edcf10717dd42ede4ccbed1\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.</p><p><blockquote>参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（纽约州民主党）、参议员罗恩·怀登（俄勒冈州民主党）。）和新泽西州民主党参议员科里·布克（Cory Booker）公布了一份结束联邦大麻禁令的立法讨论草案。参议员们将在7月14日的新闻发布会上详细介绍他们的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.</p><p><blockquote>该提案被称为《大麻管理和机会法案》，评级将大麻从联邦受控物质清单中删除，允许各州就大麻做出自己的决定。许多州已经采取行动将娱乐性或医用大麻使用合法化，但根据联邦法律，这仍然是非法的。</blockquote></p><p> \"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"</p><p><blockquote>“通过结束失败的联邦大麻禁令，《大麻管理和机会法案》将确保美国人——尤其是黑人和棕色人种美国人——不再担心因使用大麻而被捕或被禁止获得公共住房或联邦高等教育财政援助。在合法的州，”讨论草案中写道。“符合国家规定的大麻企业最终将像其他企业一样受到对待，并被允许获得基本的金融服务，例如银行账户和贷款。医学研究将不再受到抑制。”</blockquote></p><p> The proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>该提案将21岁定为购买大麻的最低年龄，并将大麻的零售额限制在不超过10盎司。评级是联邦机构研究大麻使用、合法化和大麻损害驾驶的影响，包括研究建立大麻影响下驾驶的损害标准。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"</p><p><blockquote>民主党三人组已经为这项立法工作了几个月。在宣布制定该提案的计划后不久，怀登参议员在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，国会应该“最终认识到禁毒战争已经失败”。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.</p><p><blockquote>该计划将要求删除联邦非暴力大麻定罪，并鼓励州和地方政府也这样做。它将防止人们因为使用或持有大麻而被剥夺联邦福利，如住房或联邦财政援助。根据移民法，非美国公民不能被剥夺福利或保护。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.</p><p><blockquote>该计划还将创建新的拨款计划，为帮助“受到毒品战争不利影响”的人们的非营利组织提供资金。它将向大麻行业的小企业提供贷款，并帮助各州和地方实施大麻许可计划。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统在竞选中支持大麻合法化，但白宫不支持大麻合法化的努力。去年12月，众议院通过了MORE法案——该法案将大麻从受控物质清单中删除，并创建恢复性司法计划。今年早些时候，纽约州民主党众议员杰里·纳德勒重新提出了这项立法。</blockquote></p><p> The senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.</p><p><blockquote>参议员们要求在9月1日之前对该提案提出意见，以便他们可以在起草最终法案之前考虑反馈。该提案在平分秋色的参议院面临艰难的投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.<blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-14 17:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cannabis&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains&nbsp;in premarket&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>随着参议员公布结束联邦大麻禁令的计划，大麻股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> SNDL&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket,&nbsp;TLRY&nbsp;and&nbsp;ACB&nbsp;shares&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>SNDL股价盘前上涨4%，TLRY和ACB股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231cd44d5edcf10717dd42ede4ccbed1\" tg-width=\"1289\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.</p><p><blockquote>参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默（纽约州民主党）、参议员罗恩·怀登（俄勒冈州民主党）。）和新泽西州民主党参议员科里·布克（Cory Booker）公布了一份结束联邦大麻禁令的立法讨论草案。参议员们将在7月14日的新闻发布会上详细介绍他们的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.</p><p><blockquote>该提案被称为《大麻管理和机会法案》，评级将大麻从联邦受控物质清单中删除，允许各州就大麻做出自己的决定。许多州已经采取行动将娱乐性或医用大麻使用合法化，但根据联邦法律，这仍然是非法的。</blockquote></p><p> \"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"</p><p><blockquote>“通过结束失败的联邦大麻禁令，《大麻管理和机会法案》将确保美国人——尤其是黑人和棕色人种美国人——不再担心因使用大麻而被捕或被禁止获得公共住房或联邦高等教育财政援助。在合法的州，”讨论草案中写道。“符合国家规定的大麻企业最终将像其他企业一样受到对待，并被允许获得基本的金融服务，例如银行账户和贷款。医学研究将不再受到抑制。”</blockquote></p><p> The proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.</p><p><blockquote>该提案将21岁定为购买大麻的最低年龄，并将大麻的零售额限制在不超过10盎司。评级是联邦机构研究大麻使用、合法化和大麻损害驾驶的影响，包括研究建立大麻影响下驾驶的损害标准。</blockquote></p><p> The Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"</p><p><blockquote>民主党三人组已经为这项立法工作了几个月。在宣布制定该提案的计划后不久，怀登参议员在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，国会应该“最终认识到禁毒战争已经失败”。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.</p><p><blockquote>该计划将要求删除联邦非暴力大麻定罪，并鼓励州和地方政府也这样做。它将防止人们因为使用或持有大麻而被剥夺联邦福利，如住房或联邦财政援助。根据移民法，非美国公民不能被剥夺福利或保护。</blockquote></p><p> The plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.</p><p><blockquote>该计划还将创建新的拨款计划，为帮助“受到毒品战争不利影响”的人们的非营利组织提供资金。它将向大麻行业的小企业提供贷款，并帮助各州和地方实施大麻许可计划。</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统在竞选中支持大麻合法化，但白宫不支持大麻合法化的努力。去年12月，众议院通过了MORE法案——该法案将大麻从受控物质清单中删除，并创建恢复性司法计划。今年早些时候，纽约州民主党众议员杰里·纳德勒重新提出了这项立法。</blockquote></p><p> The senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. The proposal faces a difficult vote in the evenly-divided Senate.</p><p><blockquote>参议员们要求在9月1日之前对该提案提出意见，以便他们可以在起草最终法案之前考虑反馈。该提案在平分秋色的参议院面临艰难的投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","TLRY":"Tilray Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165083410","content_text":"Cannabis stocks gains in premarket trading,as senators unveiling plan to end federal prohibition of cannabis.\nSNDL shares rises 4% in premarket, TLRY and ACB shares are up 2%.\n\nSenate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.), Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Oreg.) and Sen. Cory Booker (D., N.J.) are unveiling a discussion draft of their legislation to end the federal prohibition of marijuana. The senators will detail their plan at a press conference on July 14.\nThe proposal— known as the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act — calls for removing cannabis from the federal list of controlled substances, allowing states to make their own decisions on cannabis. Many states have already moved to legalize recreational or medicinal marijuana use, but it still remains illegal under federal law.\n\"By ending the failed federal prohibition of cannabis, the Cannabis Administration and Opportunity Act will ensure that Americans – especially Black and Brown Americans – no longer have to fear arrest or be barred from public housing or federal financial aid for higher education for using cannabis in states where it’s legal,\" reads the discussion draft. \"State-compliant cannabis businesses will finally be treated like other businesses and allowed access to essential financial services, like bank accounts and loans. Medical research will no longer be stifled.\"\nThe proposal establishes 21 as the minimum age to purchase cannabis and limits retail sales to no more than 10 ounces of cannabis. It calls for federal agencies to research the impacts of cannabis use, legalization and cannabis-impaired driving — including research to establish an impairment standard for driving under the influence of cannabis.\nThe Democratic trio has been working on the legislation for months. In an interview withYahoo Financeshortly after they announced their plan to work on the proposal, Sen. Wyden said Congress should \"finally recognize that the War on Drugs has failed.\"\nThe plan would require expungement of federal non-violent cannabis convictions and encourage state and local governments to do the same. It would keep people from being denied federal benefits — such as housing or federal financial aid — because of cannabis use or possession. People who are not U.S. citizens could not be denied benefits or protection under immigration laws.\nThe plan would also create new grant programs to fund nonprofits that help people who have been \"adversely impacted by the War on Drugs.\" It would make loans available to small businesses in the cannabis industry and help states and localities implement cannabis licensing programs.\nPresident Joe Biden backed decriminalization of marijuana on the campaign trail, but the White House has not backed legalization efforts. In December, the Housepassed the MORE Act— which would remove marijuana from the controlled substance list and create restorative justice programs. Earlier this year, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.)reintroducedthe legislation.\nThe senators are asking for input on the proposal by Sept. 1, so they can consider feedback before crafting the final bill. 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