Futou的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Futou

Futou

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2021-06-07

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So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote>

2021-06-04

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2021-06-10

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U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote>

2021-05-30

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2021-04-24

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2021-06-19

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2021-06-15

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Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>

2021-05-28

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2021-05-27

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2021-06-18

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NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序，在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏，这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日，该公司快速增长且未盈利，拥有超过4,700名客户，高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速，但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示，以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长，该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日，该公司拥有超过1,600名客户，目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示，它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日，Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利，为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销，这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验，预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长，主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>）计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101，这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压（PAH）的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究，并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%，而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO未来一周：滴滴在17个IPO周内首次亮相10亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>本周17起IPO预计筹集91亿美元，由期待已久的中国网约车巨头领投<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪迪</b>计划以675亿美元的市值筹集39亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用程序，在4000个城镇拥有1500万司机。随着业务在疫情后复苏，这家尚未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增长了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买13亿美元的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵一号公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以摄取、关联和查询PB的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。截至2011年4月30日，该公司快速增长且未盈利，拥有超过4,700名客户，高于一年前的2,700名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电商平台<b>D-MARKET电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS)计划以39亿美元的市值筹集6.81亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，在2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万家活跃商户。该公司增长迅速，但EBITDA在2021年第一季度上转为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮·克雷姆公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，并声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度以EBITDA为基础实现盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.76亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务CLEAR Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2011年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以60亿美元的市值筹集3.43亿美元。叮咚表示，以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，是中国发展最快的按需电子商务公司。由于爆炸式增长，该公司在2020年按GMV计算的按需电子商务市场份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为服务型中小型企业提供垂直定制的集成SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司为三个核心垂直领域的超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身与健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.78亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定行业的基于云的软件解决方案。截至2021年3月31日，该公司拥有超过1,600名客户，目前有超过20名客户的合同ARR超过100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以19亿美元的市值筹集2.75亿美元。Xometry表示，它是一个领先的人工智能按需制造市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过Xometry平台制造了超过600万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">积分广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以25亿美元的市值筹集2.4亿美元。该公司的技术提供了旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真人、可在屏幕上查看、并出现在正确地理位置的品牌安全和合适的环境中的指标。截至2011年3月31日，Integral Ad Science在EBIT实现盈利，为2,000多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托瑞德控股</a></b>计划以21亿美元的市值筹集1.56亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女性大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者营销，这占截至2011年5月1日的12个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen制药公司。</a></b>计划以6.07亿美元的市值筹集1.25亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物ACU193是一种选择性靶向β淀粉样蛋白寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度进入了针对轻度痴呆或AD导致认知障碍患者的1期试验，预计将于2022年底获得数据。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数科</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港币)$</a>）计划以14亿美元的市值筹集1.2亿美元。尚乘数科表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着全面的数字化解决方案平台。该公司利润呈爆炸式增长，主要通过两个业务线的费用和佣金产生收入。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发人员<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>）计划以3.25亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。Aerovate最初的重点是推进AV-101，这是一种用于治疗肺动脉高压（PAH）的伊马替尼干粉吸入制剂。该公司已完成针对健康志愿者的1期研究，并预计将于2021年下半年开始针对PAH患者的2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节设备提供商<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以3.33亿美元的市值筹集1亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其BAROSTEM NEO产品是第一款也是唯一一款可用于改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者症状的商用神经调节设备。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克斯阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以8.03亿美元的市值筹集8700万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种通过CE认证的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始在欧洲从Genio产生收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌1.5%，而ACWX指数上涨10.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"YOU":"Clear Secure, Inc.","EVCM":"EverCommerce Inc.","IAS":"Integral Ad Science Holding","CURV":"Torrid Holdings","ABOS":"Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","CVRX":"CVRx, Inc.","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","DDL":"叮咚买菜","S":"SentinelOne, Inc","INTA":"Intapp, Inc.","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc","XMTR":"Xometry, Inc.","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","HEPS":"D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150095060","content_text":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant DiDi Global Inc..\nDiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.\nCybersecurity platform SentinelOne, Inc plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.\nTurkish e-commerce platform D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.\nDoughnut brand Krispy Kreme, Inc. plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.\nLegal solutions provider LegalZoom.com, Inc plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.\nIdentity verification platform Clear Secure, Inc. plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.\nChinese grocery delivery platform Dingdong (Cayman) Limited plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.\nSaaS solutions provider EverCommerce Inc. plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.\nSoftware provider Intapp, Inc. plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.\nOnline manufacturing marketplace Xometry, Inc. plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.\nIntegral Ad Science Holding LLC plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.\nPlus-sized women’s apparel brand Torrid Holdings plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.\nAlzheimer’s biotech Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.\nDigital financial services provider AMTD Digital($(HKD)$) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.\nDrug formulation developer Aerovate Therapeutics($(AVTE)$) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.\nNeuromodulation device provider CVRx Inc plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.\nBelgium-listed Nyxoah($(NYXH)$) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YOU":0.9,"HKIB":0.9,"DDL":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"EVCM":0.9,"S":0.9,"LZ":0.9,"CURV":0.9,"DNUT":0.9,"IAS":0.9,"ABOS":0.9,"INTA":0.9,"CVRX":0.9,"XMTR":0.9,"HEPS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124900605,"gmtCreate":1624714233907,"gmtModify":1631892659668,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124900605","repostId":"1132692662","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132692662","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624680481,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132692662?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-26 12:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口及国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132692662","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.In response to the recall, Tesla said ","content":"<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p><p><blockquote>据国家市场监督管理总局消息，近日，特斯拉备案了召回计划，决定自即日起召回部分车辆。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉决定召回2019年1月12日至2019年11月27日期间生产的35665辆进口Model 3。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>同时，特斯拉将召回2019年12月19日至2021年6月7日生产的部分国产Model 3，共计211256辆；2021年1月1日至2021年6月7日期间生产的国产Model Y共计38599辆。</blockquote></p><p> Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>本次召回范围内车辆由于主动巡航控制系统存在问题，在以下情况下驾驶员容易误激活主动巡航功能：当车辆挂入D挡时，驾驶员试图通过再次推动右侧操纵杆来切换挡位；车辆急转弯时，驾驶员误触并移动右侧操纵杆等。误启动主动巡航控制后，如果车辆设定的巡航速度不是当前速度，而当前速度低于设定速度，车辆就会加速到设定速度，导致车速突然升高，影响驾驶员的预期，导致车辆操控误判。极端情况下可能导致车辆碰撞，存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将通过OTA技术为召回车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，用户无需到店即可完成软件升级；对于无法通过OTA技术召回的车辆，特斯拉（北京）有限公司和特斯拉（上海）有限公司将通过特斯拉服务中心联系相关用户，为车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，以消除安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p><p><blockquote>针对此次召回，特斯拉6月26日表示，本次召回范围内的车辆（Model 3/Model Y），由于主动巡航控制功能可能被驾驶员误激活，极端情况下存在安全隐患。特斯拉主动向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。用户无需前往门店即可完成OTA。特斯拉表示，对此次召回给您带来的不便表示歉意。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口及国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口及国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-26 12:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p><p><blockquote>据国家市场监督管理总局消息，近日，特斯拉备案了召回计划，决定自即日起召回部分车辆。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉决定召回2019年1月12日至2019年11月27日期间生产的35665辆进口Model 3。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>同时，特斯拉将召回2019年12月19日至2021年6月7日生产的部分国产Model 3，共计211256辆；2021年1月1日至2021年6月7日期间生产的国产Model Y共计38599辆。</blockquote></p><p> Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>本次召回范围内车辆由于主动巡航控制系统存在问题，在以下情况下驾驶员容易误激活主动巡航功能：当车辆挂入D挡时，驾驶员试图通过再次推动右侧操纵杆来切换挡位；车辆急转弯时，驾驶员误触并移动右侧操纵杆等。误启动主动巡航控制后，如果车辆设定的巡航速度不是当前速度，而当前速度低于设定速度，车辆就会加速到设定速度，导致车速突然升高，影响驾驶员的预期，导致车辆操控误判。极端情况下可能导致车辆碰撞，存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将通过OTA技术为召回车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，用户无需到店即可完成软件升级；对于无法通过OTA技术召回的车辆，特斯拉（北京）有限公司和特斯拉（上海）有限公司将通过特斯拉服务中心联系相关用户，为车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，以消除安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p><p><blockquote>针对此次召回，特斯拉6月26日表示，本次召回范围内的车辆（Model 3/Model Y），由于主动巡航控制功能可能被驾驶员误激活，极端情况下存在安全隐患。特斯拉主动向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。用户无需前往门店即可完成OTA。特斯拉表示，对此次召回给您带来的不便表示歉意。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132692662","content_text":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.\nTesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.\nMeanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.\nDue to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.\nTesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.\nIn response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123443181,"gmtCreate":1624436341243,"gmtModify":1631892659685,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123443181","repostId":"1154606680","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154606680","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624434937,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154606680?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 15:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disappointing 2Y Auction Tails As Yield Jumps To 15 Month High<blockquote>收益率跃升至15个月高点，令人失望的2年期拍卖尾部</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154606680","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Short-term rates moved sharply higher after last week's technical tweak by the Fed which pushed the ","content":"<p>Short-term rates moved sharply higher after last week's technical tweak by the Fed which pushed the IOER and RRP by 5bps to 15 and 5bps respectively, which had a downstream effect on all short-term yields, and today's 2Y auction was a case in point printing at 0.249%, the highest yield since March 2020 and a 0.5bps tail to the When Issued 0.244%. This was the biggest tail on the 2Y since July 2020 when the auction tailed 0.9bps.</p><p><blockquote>上周美联储进行技术性调整后，短期利率大幅走高，将IOER和RRP分别推高5个基点至15个基点和5个基点，这对所有短期收益率产生了下游影响，今天的2年期拍卖就是一个例子。点印刷利率为0.249%，为2020年3月以来的最高收益率，较发行时的0.244%落后0.5个基点。这是自2020年7月拍卖滞后0.9个基点以来2年期最大的尾部。</blockquote></p><p> And yet today's 2Y auction wasn't all bad: the bid to cover dipped from 2.736 to 2.540 yet even so it was right on top of the 6-auction average.</p><p><blockquote>然而，今天的2年期拍卖也不全是坏事：回补出价从2.736下降到2.540，但即便如此，它仍高于6次拍卖的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> The internals were also in line, with Indirects taking down 50.6%, below last month's 57.1% and just below the 52.4% recent average. And with Directs allotted 18.5%, slightly above the May 18.0% but below April's 18.5%, Dealers were left holding 30.9%, which was also right on top of the recent average of 31.1%.</p><p><blockquote>内部因素也一致，间接因素下降了50.6%，低于上个月的57.1%，略低于近期平均水平52.4%。直接分配18.5%，略高于5月份的18.0%，但低于4月份的18.5%，交易商持有30.9%，也高于近期31.1%的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e8c02d689feb21b4def802af2cbb5cd\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"803\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> And while the auction was superficially disappointing, it could have been worse amid expectations that the large move higher in 2yr yields post-Fed, both as a result of the more aggressive rate hike pricing by markets and the IOER/RRP hike, would entice investors due to the new and improved carry profile of the note. However, as Newsquawk notes, it's worth noting that 2s had been grinding higher earlier in the session, likely reducing the allure somewhat by the time of the auction.</p><p><blockquote>虽然此次拍卖表面上令人失望，但由于市场更激进的加息定价和IOER/RRP上调，美联储加息后2年期国债收益率大幅走高的预期，情况可能会更糟。投资者由于该票据新的和改进的利差状况。然而，正如Newsquawk指出的那样，值得注意的是，2s在盘中早些时候一直在走高，可能会在拍卖时有所降低。</blockquote></p><p> Bottom line: not a pretty auction, but it could have been far worse all things considered.</p><p><blockquote>一句话：这不是一场漂亮的拍卖，但从各方面考虑，情况可能会更糟。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disappointing 2Y Auction Tails As Yield Jumps To 15 Month High<blockquote>收益率跃升至15个月高点，令人失望的2年期拍卖尾部</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisappointing 2Y Auction Tails As Yield Jumps To 15 Month High<blockquote>收益率跃升至15个月高点，令人失望的2年期拍卖尾部</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 15:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Short-term rates moved sharply higher after last week's technical tweak by the Fed which pushed the IOER and RRP by 5bps to 15 and 5bps respectively, which had a downstream effect on all short-term yields, and today's 2Y auction was a case in point printing at 0.249%, the highest yield since March 2020 and a 0.5bps tail to the When Issued 0.244%. This was the biggest tail on the 2Y since July 2020 when the auction tailed 0.9bps.</p><p><blockquote>上周美联储进行技术性调整后，短期利率大幅走高，将IOER和RRP分别推高5个基点至15个基点和5个基点，这对所有短期收益率产生了下游影响，今天的2年期拍卖就是一个例子。点印刷利率为0.249%，为2020年3月以来的最高收益率，较发行时的0.244%落后0.5个基点。这是自2020年7月拍卖滞后0.9个基点以来2年期最大的尾部。</blockquote></p><p> And yet today's 2Y auction wasn't all bad: the bid to cover dipped from 2.736 to 2.540 yet even so it was right on top of the 6-auction average.</p><p><blockquote>然而，今天的2年期拍卖也不全是坏事：回补出价从2.736下降到2.540，但即便如此，它仍高于6次拍卖的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> The internals were also in line, with Indirects taking down 50.6%, below last month's 57.1% and just below the 52.4% recent average. And with Directs allotted 18.5%, slightly above the May 18.0% but below April's 18.5%, Dealers were left holding 30.9%, which was also right on top of the recent average of 31.1%.</p><p><blockquote>内部因素也一致，间接因素下降了50.6%，低于上个月的57.1%，略低于近期平均水平52.4%。直接分配18.5%，略高于5月份的18.0%，但低于4月份的18.5%，交易商持有30.9%，也高于近期31.1%的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e8c02d689feb21b4def802af2cbb5cd\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"803\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> And while the auction was superficially disappointing, it could have been worse amid expectations that the large move higher in 2yr yields post-Fed, both as a result of the more aggressive rate hike pricing by markets and the IOER/RRP hike, would entice investors due to the new and improved carry profile of the note. However, as Newsquawk notes, it's worth noting that 2s had been grinding higher earlier in the session, likely reducing the allure somewhat by the time of the auction.</p><p><blockquote>虽然此次拍卖表面上令人失望，但由于市场更激进的加息定价和IOER/RRP上调，美联储加息后2年期国债收益率大幅走高的预期，情况可能会更糟。投资者由于该票据新的和改进的利差状况。然而，正如Newsquawk指出的那样，值得注意的是，2s在盘中早些时候一直在走高，可能会在拍卖时有所降低。</blockquote></p><p> Bottom line: not a pretty auction, but it could have been far worse all things considered.</p><p><blockquote>一句话：这不是一场漂亮的拍卖，但从各方面考虑，情况可能会更糟。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/disappointing-2y-auction-tails-yield-jumps-15-month-high\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/disappointing-2y-auction-tails-yield-jumps-15-month-high","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154606680","content_text":"Short-term rates moved sharply higher after last week's technical tweak by the Fed which pushed the IOER and RRP by 5bps to 15 and 5bps respectively, which had a downstream effect on all short-term yields, and today's 2Y auction was a case in point printing at 0.249%, the highest yield since March 2020 and a 0.5bps tail to the When Issued 0.244%. This was the biggest tail on the 2Y since July 2020 when the auction tailed 0.9bps.\nAnd yet today's 2Y auction wasn't all bad: the bid to cover dipped from 2.736 to 2.540 yet even so it was right on top of the 6-auction average.\nThe internals were also in line, with Indirects taking down 50.6%, below last month's 57.1% and just below the 52.4% recent average. And with Directs allotted 18.5%, slightly above the May 18.0% but below April's 18.5%, Dealers were left holding 30.9%, which was also right on top of the recent average of 31.1%.\n\nAnd while the auction was superficially disappointing, it could have been worse amid expectations that the large move higher in 2yr yields post-Fed, both as a result of the more aggressive rate hike pricing by markets and the IOER/RRP hike, would entice investors due to the new and improved carry profile of the note. However, as Newsquawk notes, it's worth noting that 2s had been grinding higher earlier in the session, likely reducing the allure somewhat by the time of the auction.\nBottom line: not a pretty auction, but it could have been far worse all things considered.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129870916,"gmtCreate":1624369799535,"gmtModify":1631892659696,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129870916","repostId":"1164714575","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164714575","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624369315,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164714575?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Plug Power moves higher following mixed Q1 results<blockquote>第一季度业绩好坏参半，普拉格能源股价走高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164714575","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 22) Plug Power had a mixed earnings report, missing on its bottom line but reporting better-th","content":"<p>(June 22)&nbsp;Plug Power had a mixed earnings report, missing on its bottom line but reporting better-than-expected quarterly revenue. Still, shares edged higher in morning trading&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>（6月22日）普拉格能源的盈利报告好坏参半，未能实现盈利，但季度收入好于预期。尽管如此，周二早盘交易中股价仍小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c95193b7e71aa70fb34e84ee562115\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Plug Power Missed Earnings Estimates. Why Its Stock Is Gaining？</b></p><p><blockquote><b>普拉格能源未达到盈利预期。为什么它的股票会上涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> Hydrogen fuel cell technology provider Plug Power reported somewhat disappointing first-quarter earnings on Tuesday. Its stock is rising anyway in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>氢燃料电池技术提供商普拉格能源周二公布的第一季度财报有些令人失望。无论如何，其股价在盘前交易中仍在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The report signals things are calming down at the company, after results were delayed by accounting issues.</p><p><blockquote>该报告表明，在因会计问题而推迟业绩后，该公司的情况正在平静下来。</blockquote></p><p> Plug (ticker: PLUG) reported a loss of 12 cents per share from $72 million in sales. Wall Street was looking for an 8 cent loss from $69 million in sales. It’s an earning miss, but earnings for a smaller company with big growth plans isn’t as important as sales. Plug’s 2021 sales are expected to be $465 million, growing to more than $1 billion by 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Plug（股票代码：PLUG）报告销售额为7200万美元，每股亏损12美分。华尔街预计6900万美元的销售额将亏损8美分。这是一个盈利失误，但对于一家拥有庞大增长计划的小公司来说，盈利并不像销售额那么重要。Plug 2021年的销售额预计为4.65亿美元，到2023年将增长到10亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> Plug also ended the quarter with more than $4.3 billion in cash on the balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>截至本季度末，Plug资产负债表上的现金也超过43亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Plug stock rose 0.5% in premarket trading. S&amp;P 500 futures are flat.</p><p><blockquote>Plug股票在盘前交易中上涨0.5%。标普500期货持平。</blockquote></p><p> It took a while for the company to report its first quarter. In 2020, Plug reported first-quarter results on May 7. This year, however, accounting issues—disclosed in March—got in the way. The company ended up restating some older results after changing the accounting for customer contracts. Cash wasn’t affected by the restatements.</p><p><blockquote>该公司花了一段时间才报告第一季度。2020年，Plug于5月7日公布了第一季度业绩。然而，今年，三月份披露的会计问题阻碍了这一进程。在改变客户合同的会计处理后，该公司最终重述了一些旧的业绩。现金不受重述的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The accounting-related delay is another reasons the stock isn’t doing much after the release of actual earnings. Amid all the restatements and updates, investors had a good sense of what was coming for the first quarter. Several times in May, Plug management had said sales would be greater than $67 million.</p><p><blockquote>与会计相关的延迟是该股在实际收益发布后表现不佳的另一个原因。在所有的重述和更新中，投资者对第一季度的情况有了很好的了解。5月份，Plug管理层曾多次表示销售额将超过6700万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Plug management hosts a conference call for analysts and investors at 8:30 a.m. ET. Investors will be eager to hear about second-quarter sales, which are expected to be more than $100 million.</p><p><blockquote>Plug management将于美国东部时间上午8:30为分析师和投资者举办电话会议。投资者将渴望听到第二季度的销售额，预计将超过1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Year to date, Plug stock is down about 12%, trailing behind comparable gains of the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Many renewable energy stocks have struggled in 2021 after amazing 2020 gains. Stock in electric-vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA), for instance, is down about 12% year to date after rising 743% in 2020. Plug stock rose 973% in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，Plug股价已下跌约12%，落后于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的可比涨幅。许多可再生能源股票在2020年取得惊人涨幅后，在2021年陷入困境。例如，电动汽车制造商特斯拉(TSLA)的股价在2020年上涨743%后，今年迄今已下跌约12%。Plug股价2020年上涨973%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Plug Power moves higher following mixed Q1 results<blockquote>第一季度业绩好坏参半，普拉格能源股价走高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPlug Power moves higher following mixed Q1 results<blockquote>第一季度业绩好坏参半，普拉格能源股价走高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-22 21:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 22)&nbsp;Plug Power had a mixed earnings report, missing on its bottom line but reporting better-than-expected quarterly revenue. Still, shares edged higher in morning trading&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>（6月22日）普拉格能源的盈利报告好坏参半，未能实现盈利，但季度收入好于预期。尽管如此，周二早盘交易中股价仍小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c95193b7e71aa70fb34e84ee562115\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Plug Power Missed Earnings Estimates. Why Its Stock Is Gaining？</b></p><p><blockquote><b>普拉格能源未达到盈利预期。为什么它的股票会上涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> Hydrogen fuel cell technology provider Plug Power reported somewhat disappointing first-quarter earnings on Tuesday. Its stock is rising anyway in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>氢燃料电池技术提供商普拉格能源周二公布的第一季度财报有些令人失望。无论如何，其股价在盘前交易中仍在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The report signals things are calming down at the company, after results were delayed by accounting issues.</p><p><blockquote>该报告表明，在因会计问题而推迟业绩后，该公司的情况正在平静下来。</blockquote></p><p> Plug (ticker: PLUG) reported a loss of 12 cents per share from $72 million in sales. Wall Street was looking for an 8 cent loss from $69 million in sales. It’s an earning miss, but earnings for a smaller company with big growth plans isn’t as important as sales. Plug’s 2021 sales are expected to be $465 million, growing to more than $1 billion by 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Plug（股票代码：PLUG）报告销售额为7200万美元，每股亏损12美分。华尔街预计6900万美元的销售额将亏损8美分。这是一个盈利失误，但对于一家拥有庞大增长计划的小公司来说，盈利并不像销售额那么重要。Plug 2021年的销售额预计为4.65亿美元，到2023年将增长到10亿美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> Plug also ended the quarter with more than $4.3 billion in cash on the balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>截至本季度末，Plug资产负债表上的现金也超过43亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Plug stock rose 0.5% in premarket trading. S&amp;P 500 futures are flat.</p><p><blockquote>Plug股票在盘前交易中上涨0.5%。标普500期货持平。</blockquote></p><p> It took a while for the company to report its first quarter. In 2020, Plug reported first-quarter results on May 7. This year, however, accounting issues—disclosed in March—got in the way. The company ended up restating some older results after changing the accounting for customer contracts. Cash wasn’t affected by the restatements.</p><p><blockquote>该公司花了一段时间才报告第一季度。2020年，Plug于5月7日公布了第一季度业绩。然而，今年，三月份披露的会计问题阻碍了这一进程。在改变客户合同的会计处理后，该公司最终重述了一些旧的业绩。现金不受重述的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The accounting-related delay is another reasons the stock isn’t doing much after the release of actual earnings. Amid all the restatements and updates, investors had a good sense of what was coming for the first quarter. Several times in May, Plug management had said sales would be greater than $67 million.</p><p><blockquote>与会计相关的延迟是该股在实际收益发布后表现不佳的另一个原因。在所有的重述和更新中，投资者对第一季度的情况有了很好的了解。5月份，Plug管理层曾多次表示销售额将超过6700万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Plug management hosts a conference call for analysts and investors at 8:30 a.m. ET. Investors will be eager to hear about second-quarter sales, which are expected to be more than $100 million.</p><p><blockquote>Plug management将于美国东部时间上午8:30为分析师和投资者举办电话会议。投资者将渴望听到第二季度的销售额，预计将超过1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Year to date, Plug stock is down about 12%, trailing behind comparable gains of the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Many renewable energy stocks have struggled in 2021 after amazing 2020 gains. Stock in electric-vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA), for instance, is down about 12% year to date after rising 743% in 2020. Plug stock rose 973% in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，Plug股价已下跌约12%，落后于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的可比涨幅。许多可再生能源股票在2020年取得惊人涨幅后，在2021年陷入困境。例如，电动汽车制造商特斯拉(TSLA)的股价在2020年上涨743%后，今年迄今已下跌约12%。Plug股价2020年上涨973%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164714575","content_text":"(June 22) Plug Power had a mixed earnings report, missing on its bottom line but reporting better-than-expected quarterly revenue. Still, shares edged higher in morning trading Tuesday.\n\nPlug Power Missed Earnings Estimates. Why Its Stock Is Gaining？\nHydrogen fuel cell technology provider Plug Power reported somewhat disappointing first-quarter earnings on Tuesday. Its stock is rising anyway in premarket trading.\nThe report signals things are calming down at the company, after results were delayed by accounting issues.\nPlug (ticker: PLUG) reported a loss of 12 cents per share from $72 million in sales. Wall Street was looking for an 8 cent loss from $69 million in sales. It’s an earning miss, but earnings for a smaller company with big growth plans isn’t as important as sales. Plug’s 2021 sales are expected to be $465 million, growing to more than $1 billion by 2023.\nPlug also ended the quarter with more than $4.3 billion in cash on the balance sheet.\nPlug stock rose 0.5% in premarket trading. S&P 500 futures are flat.\nIt took a while for the company to report its first quarter. In 2020, Plug reported first-quarter results on May 7. This year, however, accounting issues—disclosed in March—got in the way. The company ended up restating some older results after changing the accounting for customer contracts. Cash wasn’t affected by the restatements.\nThe accounting-related delay is another reasons the stock isn’t doing much after the release of actual earnings. Amid all the restatements and updates, investors had a good sense of what was coming for the first quarter. Several times in May, Plug management had said sales would be greater than $67 million.\nPlug management hosts a conference call for analysts and investors at 8:30 a.m. ET. Investors will be eager to hear about second-quarter sales, which are expected to be more than $100 million.\nYear to date, Plug stock is down about 12%, trailing behind comparable gains of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Many renewable energy stocks have struggled in 2021 after amazing 2020 gains. Stock in electric-vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA), for instance, is down about 12% year to date after rising 743% in 2020. Plug stock rose 973% in 2020.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164979335,"gmtCreate":1624168821527,"gmtModify":1631892659708,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164979335","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162772875,"gmtCreate":1624078238397,"gmtModify":1631892659725,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162772875","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168498633,"gmtCreate":1623980212622,"gmtModify":1631892659736,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168498633","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148576248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc.  stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187795690,"gmtCreate":1623764035810,"gmtModify":1631892659747,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n commmet&nbsp;","listText":"Like n commmet&nbsp;","text":"Like n commmet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187795690","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184938213,"gmtCreate":1623680272132,"gmtModify":1631892659760,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184938213","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183295090,"gmtCreate":1623332156510,"gmtModify":1634034502909,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183295090","repostId":"1180064020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180064020","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623331902,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180064020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180064020","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 10) U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared.\nAirline stocks rally","content":"<p>(June 10)&nbsp;U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open.&nbsp;Chinese Education Stocks soared.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）美国。股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3319d3b4d9de022c9ba1cf2e2452ee50\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Airline stocks rally.</p><p><blockquote>航空股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918397d0861786d9643834f404915b8f\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Video-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell over 6%&nbsp;in morning trading even after the company tapped formerAmazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEOand said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.</p><p><blockquote>视频游戏零售商和meme股票游戏驿站在早盘交易中下跌超过6%，尽管该公司任命前亚马逊高管马特·弗隆(Matt Furlong)为下一任首席执行官，并表示上季度销售额增长了25%。该公司还表示，可能会额外出售最多500万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5437e23fe0b63fa6886cf840ceac1e81\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周四上涨，投资者对一份关键的通胀报告不屑一顾，该报告显示价格压力增幅大于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, while theS&amp;P 500edged 0.4% higher. The Nasdaq Composite traded 0.2% higher even with bond yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨200点，标准普尔500指数小幅上涨0.4%。尽管债券收益率上升，纳斯达克综合指数仍上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着经济从大流行引发的衰退中复苏，5月份消费者价格以2008年夏季以来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>代表包括食品、能源、杂货在内的一篮子商品的消费者价格指数比一年前上涨了5%。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计涨幅为4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Fears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，对通胀飙升的担忧打压了股市，投资者担心价格上涨将提高企业成本，引发利率上升，并导致美联储取消宽松货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> “This CPI isn’t likely to change the narrative dramatically and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人亚当·克里萨富利(Adam Crisafulli)周四在一份报告中表示：“CPI不太可能大幅改变人们的说法，而且仍有迹象表明通胀势头将在未来几个月减弱。”</blockquote></p><p> Many economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the BLS. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.</p><p><blockquote>许多经济学家还表示，本月二手车成本的飙升可能会扭曲通胀数据。根据美国劳工统计局的数据，二手车和卡车价格上涨了7%以上，占本月总涨幅的三分之一。二手车价格的上涨可能反映了与疫情和汽车供应相关的暂时现象。</blockquote></p><p> UPS shares rose about 1% in premarket trading afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing and Delta Air Lines were also higher in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通上调评级后，UPS股价在盘前交易中上涨约1%。波音和达美航空的股价在盘前交易中也走高。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. markets continued to trade within a tight range on Wednesday, with all three major indexes ending the day within 0.5% of Tuesday’s closing levels. The Dow, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all fell during regular trading, ending the session further away from their respective all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>美国市场周三继续窄幅震荡，三大股指当天收盘均较周二收盘水平在0.5%以内。道琼斯指数、标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在常规交易中均下跌，收盘时进一步远离各自的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.</p><p><blockquote>标普500仍然最接近其基准，距离历史新高仅0.44%。道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数距离创纪录水平约2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-10 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 10)&nbsp;U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open.&nbsp;Chinese Education Stocks soared.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）美国。股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3319d3b4d9de022c9ba1cf2e2452ee50\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Airline stocks rally.</p><p><blockquote>航空股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918397d0861786d9643834f404915b8f\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Video-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell over 6%&nbsp;in morning trading even after the company tapped formerAmazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEOand said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.</p><p><blockquote>视频游戏零售商和meme股票游戏驿站在早盘交易中下跌超过6%，尽管该公司任命前亚马逊高管马特·弗隆(Matt Furlong)为下一任首席执行官，并表示上季度销售额增长了25%。该公司还表示，可能会额外出售最多500万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5437e23fe0b63fa6886cf840ceac1e81\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周四上涨，投资者对一份关键的通胀报告不屑一顾，该报告显示价格压力增幅大于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, while theS&amp;P 500edged 0.4% higher. The Nasdaq Composite traded 0.2% higher even with bond yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨200点，标准普尔500指数小幅上涨0.4%。尽管债券收益率上升，纳斯达克综合指数仍上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着经济从大流行引发的衰退中复苏，5月份消费者价格以2008年夏季以来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>代表包括食品、能源、杂货在内的一篮子商品的消费者价格指数比一年前上涨了5%。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计涨幅为4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Fears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，对通胀飙升的担忧打压了股市，投资者担心价格上涨将提高企业成本，引发利率上升，并导致美联储取消宽松货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> “This CPI isn’t likely to change the narrative dramatically and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人亚当·克里萨富利(Adam Crisafulli)周四在一份报告中表示：“CPI不太可能大幅改变人们的说法，而且仍有迹象表明通胀势头将在未来几个月减弱。”</blockquote></p><p> Many economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the BLS. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.</p><p><blockquote>许多经济学家还表示，本月二手车成本的飙升可能会扭曲通胀数据。根据美国劳工统计局的数据，二手车和卡车价格上涨了7%以上，占本月总涨幅的三分之一。二手车价格的上涨可能反映了与疫情和汽车供应相关的暂时现象。</blockquote></p><p> UPS shares rose about 1% in premarket trading afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing and Delta Air Lines were also higher in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通上调评级后，UPS股价在盘前交易中上涨约1%。波音和达美航空的股价在盘前交易中也走高。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. markets continued to trade within a tight range on Wednesday, with all three major indexes ending the day within 0.5% of Tuesday’s closing levels. The Dow, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all fell during regular trading, ending the session further away from their respective all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>美国市场周三继续窄幅震荡，三大股指当天收盘均较周二收盘水平在0.5%以内。道琼斯指数、标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在常规交易中均下跌，收盘时进一步远离各自的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.</p><p><blockquote>标普500仍然最接近其基准，距离历史新高仅0.44%。道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数距离创纪录水平约2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180064020","content_text":"(June 10) U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared.\nAirline stocks rally.\n\nVideo-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell over 6% in morning trading even after the company tapped formerAmazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEOand said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.\nU.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, while theS&P 500edged 0.4% higher. The Nasdaq Composite traded 0.2% higher even with bond yields rising.\nConsumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.\nThe consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.\nFears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.\n“This CPI isn’t likely to change the narrative dramatically and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.\nMany economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the BLS. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.\nUPS shares rose about 1% in premarket trading afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing and Delta Air Lines were also higher in premarket trading.\nU.S. markets continued to trade within a tight range on Wednesday, with all three major indexes ending the day within 0.5% of Tuesday’s closing levels. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all fell during regular trading, ending the session further away from their respective all-time highs.\nThe S&P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189171799,"gmtCreate":1623249620111,"gmtModify":1634035344732,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189171799","repostId":"1169620542","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189171805,"gmtCreate":1623249604307,"gmtModify":1634035345226,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Meme","listText":"Meme","text":"Meme","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189171805","repostId":"2142600282","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117230408,"gmtCreate":1623142152404,"gmtModify":1634036502030,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool.Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Cool.Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Cool.Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117230408","repostId":"1130541253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114371536,"gmtCreate":1623054446025,"gmtModify":1634095814031,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114371536","repostId":"1191872806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191872806","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623054201,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191872806?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 16:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191872806","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond ","content":"<p><b>S&amp;P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.</b>The S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.</p><p><blockquote><b>标普500多头一直未能控制局面。</b>标普500指数SPX,+0.88%触及（但未超过）4238点的历史高点。本周未能突破新高给了空头另一次机会。</blockquote></p><p>The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&amp;P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.</p><p><blockquote>更广泛的情况是，该指数近两个月来一直在4060点至4238点之间交易。考虑到标准普尔指数在该区间内停留的时间长度，突破该区间应该意义重大。</blockquote></p><p>An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.</p><p><blockquote>处理交易区间的一种激进方法是在区间低点附近买入市场，在排名顶部附近卖出（做空）市场，如果市场确实突破区间，计划反转您的头寸。不太激进的交易是当SPX接近该区间的顶部或底部时买入跨式交易，认为它要么会突破，要么交易到该区间的另一侧。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.</p><p><blockquote>自5月24日以来，S&amp;P一直位于区间顶部附近。它没有突破历史新高的时间越长，就越有可能跌至该区间的较低区域。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76daeb46d3b4588f3f20f6b007b4520\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.</p><p><blockquote>根据记录，该区间下方有4000点和3870点的支撑位，但在我看来，如果该区间的下限被突破，将会迅速走低以测试这些支撑位。此外，麦克米兰波动带(MVB)卖出信号仍然有效，如随附的SPX图表右上角所示。</blockquote></p><p>Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍然是卖出信号，至少根据我们用来分析这些图表的计算机程序是这样。然而，肉眼看，它们不再上涨（这使得卖出信号处于危险之中）。人们可以看到，标准比率在过去几天有所下降（下降的部分原因是看涨期权大量买入“轧空”股票：AMC、黑莓、Beyond Meat等）。）.</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4a2d971772c195acca42723b2a23d37\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.</p><p><blockquote>加权图上也有类似但不太明显的下降。目前，卖出信号仍然存在，但如果看涨期权大量买入的新步伐持续下去，这些指标可能很快就会转为买入信号。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c60e1cdfdbb7193427ffba139a9b7b00\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.</p><p><blockquote>广度在最近一周左右有了很大的改善。两个宽度振荡器都处于买入信号。此外，它们已经进入超买区域，只有当SPX能够坚持并向上突破时，这才是一件好事。此外，累计广度指标再次创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所和其他地方的52周新高继续轻松超过52周新低。因此该指标仍然看涨。事实上，新高的数量已大幅扩大，接近2月底出现的极端水平，但在此之前的五年中从未出现过。</blockquote></p><p>The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，波动性“复合体”看好股市。VIX“尖峰”买入信号仍然有效，VIXVIX，4.63%的趋势向下。交易员仍不愿将VIX压低至极低水平，但从附图中可以看出，VIX均低于20日和200日移动均线。只要波动率趋势较低，对股票来说就是看涨的。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac25caadad8b56159e600a98a4763f4\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的构造仍然是股市的看涨指标。VIX期货的交易价格均高于VIX，期限结构在10月份之前向上倾斜。同样，CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，看涨指标大多到位。然而，最重要的指标——股市本身的价格——并没有证实这种明显的看涨情绪。要做到这一点，它需要突破历史新高，而这一直是缺乏的。</blockquote></p><p>We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.</p><p><blockquote>我们仍然预计当前水平将出现波动——无论是回撤至交易下限还是强劲突破至历史新高。因此，我们采用交易区间策略，并根据指标确认的信号持仓。</blockquote></p><p><b>New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Cornerstone OnDemand</b></blockquote></p><p>Option activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:</p><p><blockquote>由于有收购传闻，Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD的期权活动大幅增加，+3.39%。该股升至近期阻力位47，然后回落。我们将在这里使用一个或有推荐。换句话说，我们只有在满足或有事项的情况下才会购买CSOD看涨期权期权：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果CSOD收盘高于47，那么买入4 CSOD 7月（16日）47.5评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.</p><p><blockquote>如果评级被买入，我们将不停地持有，而谣言却在上演。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89fee88abb92504efba975eec92b68a3\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>New recommendation: Dropbox</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Dropbox</b></blockquote></p><p>Another stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.</p><p><blockquote>另一只期权活跃的股票是DropboxDBX，+1.06%。激进投资者Elliot Group已入股，并将推动该公司采取短期内提高股价的策略。有传言称将与竞争对手BoxBOX合并，+1.78%。</blockquote></p><p>Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，Dropbox一度触及三年高点，但随后回落。因此，我们将在这里使用一个或有建议：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DBX收盘高于28.50，那么买入4 DBX 7月（16日）28日评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.</p><p><blockquote>如果这些评级被买入，我们最初会不停地持有，看看激进投资者是否能有所成就。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdc61a08d1269de554b35f4ced78a776\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）410看跌期权空头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）385看跌期权：</b>进行这笔交易是因为5月12日SPX下跌至4105点时出现了MVB卖出信号。它将被SPX再次收于+4 σ波段上方止损，该波段位于4320点并横盘整理。如果SPX在-4 σ区间交易，该信号将达到其利润目标。目前，较低的波段在4020点左右，正在横盘整理。如果SPX在任何时候交易于4000点，则卖出该头寸的一半。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）420看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）400看跌：</b>该建议基于现有的纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号。只要仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率处于卖出信号，我们就将持有这一建议。因此，我们将每周更新状态。如果SPDR标普500指数ETF在任何时候都以较低的罢工价格进行交易，则向下滚动头寸，每边20次罢工。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙3德6月（18日）100评级：</b>在我们等待激进投资者产生积极结果时，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:</b>This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).</p><p><blockquote><b>多2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）415评级空2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）428评级：</b>该价差是在5月21日最新的VIX“尖峰”买入信号得到确认时买入的。如果VIX回到飙升模式，也就是说，如果它在任何三天或更短的时间内上涨至少3.00点（使用收盘价），它将被止损。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:</b>Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙1 KSU 6月（18日）300看涨期权：</b>堪萨斯城南方KSU,-0.14%已正式接受加拿大国家CNI,+0.66%的更高收购要约。该交易的价格为200美元现金+1.129股CNI股票。因此，CNI为112，这笔交易价值326美元。当然，监管也会有延迟。我们将持有，看看这种利差是否会有所收紧。目前尚不清楚另一家竞购者Canadian PacificCP(-0.14%)是否会提出更好的报价。最后，如果CNI收于108或更低，则止损评级。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:</b>This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPX<i>trades</i>at 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.</p><p><blockquote><b>做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看涨期权和做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看跌：</b>这种多头跨式交易是在预期SPX将从420水平波动移动的情况下进行的。如果SPX<i>贸易</i>在437时，将评级从420罢工向上滚动到437罢工（或最接近该罢工）。相反，如果SPX交易价格为403，则将看跌期权降至403执行价。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙4 CERN 6月（18日）80评级：</b>在收购传言持续存在的情况下，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSo many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-07 16:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>S&amp;P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.</b>The S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.</p><p><blockquote><b>标普500多头一直未能控制局面。</b>标普500指数SPX,+0.88%触及（但未超过）4238点的历史高点。本周未能突破新高给了空头另一次机会。</blockquote></p><p>The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&amp;P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.</p><p><blockquote>更广泛的情况是，该指数近两个月来一直在4060点至4238点之间交易。考虑到标准普尔指数在该区间内停留的时间长度，突破该区间应该意义重大。</blockquote></p><p>An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.</p><p><blockquote>处理交易区间的一种激进方法是在区间低点附近买入市场，在排名顶部附近卖出（做空）市场，如果市场确实突破区间，计划反转您的头寸。不太激进的交易是当SPX接近该区间的顶部或底部时买入跨式交易，认为它要么会突破，要么交易到该区间的另一侧。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.</p><p><blockquote>自5月24日以来，S&amp;P一直位于区间顶部附近。它没有突破历史新高的时间越长，就越有可能跌至该区间的较低区域。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76daeb46d3b4588f3f20f6b007b4520\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.</p><p><blockquote>根据记录，该区间下方有4000点和3870点的支撑位，但在我看来，如果该区间的下限被突破，将会迅速走低以测试这些支撑位。此外，麦克米兰波动带(MVB)卖出信号仍然有效，如随附的SPX图表右上角所示。</blockquote></p><p>Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍然是卖出信号，至少根据我们用来分析这些图表的计算机程序是这样。然而，肉眼看，它们不再上涨（这使得卖出信号处于危险之中）。人们可以看到，标准比率在过去几天有所下降（下降的部分原因是看涨期权大量买入“轧空”股票：AMC、黑莓、Beyond Meat等）。）.</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4a2d971772c195acca42723b2a23d37\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.</p><p><blockquote>加权图上也有类似但不太明显的下降。目前，卖出信号仍然存在，但如果看涨期权大量买入的新步伐持续下去，这些指标可能很快就会转为买入信号。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c60e1cdfdbb7193427ffba139a9b7b00\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.</p><p><blockquote>广度在最近一周左右有了很大的改善。两个宽度振荡器都处于买入信号。此外，它们已经进入超买区域，只有当SPX能够坚持并向上突破时，这才是一件好事。此外，累计广度指标再次创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所和其他地方的52周新高继续轻松超过52周新低。因此该指标仍然看涨。事实上，新高的数量已大幅扩大，接近2月底出现的极端水平，但在此之前的五年中从未出现过。</blockquote></p><p>The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，波动性“复合体”看好股市。VIX“尖峰”买入信号仍然有效，VIXVIX，4.63%的趋势向下。交易员仍不愿将VIX压低至极低水平，但从附图中可以看出，VIX均低于20日和200日移动均线。只要波动率趋势较低，对股票来说就是看涨的。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac25caadad8b56159e600a98a4763f4\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的构造仍然是股市的看涨指标。VIX期货的交易价格均高于VIX，期限结构在10月份之前向上倾斜。同样，CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，看涨指标大多到位。然而，最重要的指标——股市本身的价格——并没有证实这种明显的看涨情绪。要做到这一点，它需要突破历史新高，而这一直是缺乏的。</blockquote></p><p>We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.</p><p><blockquote>我们仍然预计当前水平将出现波动——无论是回撤至交易下限还是强劲突破至历史新高。因此，我们采用交易区间策略，并根据指标确认的信号持仓。</blockquote></p><p><b>New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Cornerstone OnDemand</b></blockquote></p><p>Option activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:</p><p><blockquote>由于有收购传闻，Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD的期权活动大幅增加，+3.39%。该股升至近期阻力位47，然后回落。我们将在这里使用一个或有推荐。换句话说，我们只有在满足或有事项的情况下才会购买CSOD看涨期权期权：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果CSOD收盘高于47，那么买入4 CSOD 7月（16日）47.5评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.</p><p><blockquote>如果评级被买入，我们将不停地持有，而谣言却在上演。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89fee88abb92504efba975eec92b68a3\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>New recommendation: Dropbox</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Dropbox</b></blockquote></p><p>Another stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.</p><p><blockquote>另一只期权活跃的股票是DropboxDBX，+1.06%。激进投资者Elliot Group已入股，并将推动该公司采取短期内提高股价的策略。有传言称将与竞争对手BoxBOX合并，+1.78%。</blockquote></p><p>Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，Dropbox一度触及三年高点，但随后回落。因此，我们将在这里使用一个或有建议：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DBX收盘高于28.50，那么买入4 DBX 7月（16日）28日评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.</p><p><blockquote>如果这些评级被买入，我们最初会不停地持有，看看激进投资者是否能有所成就。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdc61a08d1269de554b35f4ced78a776\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）410看跌期权空头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）385看跌期权：</b>进行这笔交易是因为5月12日SPX下跌至4105点时出现了MVB卖出信号。它将被SPX再次收于+4 σ波段上方止损，该波段位于4320点并横盘整理。如果SPX在-4 σ区间交易，该信号将达到其利润目标。目前，较低的波段在4020点左右，正在横盘整理。如果SPX在任何时候交易于4000点，则卖出该头寸的一半。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）420看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）400看跌：</b>该建议基于现有的纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号。只要仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率处于卖出信号，我们就将持有这一建议。因此，我们将每周更新状态。如果SPDR标普500指数ETF在任何时候都以较低的罢工价格进行交易，则向下滚动头寸，每边20次罢工。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙3德6月（18日）100评级：</b>在我们等待激进投资者产生积极结果时，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:</b>This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).</p><p><blockquote><b>多2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）415评级空2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）428评级：</b>该价差是在5月21日最新的VIX“尖峰”买入信号得到确认时买入的。如果VIX回到飙升模式，也就是说，如果它在任何三天或更短的时间内上涨至少3.00点（使用收盘价），它将被止损。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:</b>Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙1 KSU 6月（18日）300看涨期权：</b>堪萨斯城南方KSU,-0.14%已正式接受加拿大国家CNI,+0.66%的更高收购要约。该交易的价格为200美元现金+1.129股CNI股票。因此，CNI为112，这笔交易价值326美元。当然，监管也会有延迟。我们将持有，看看这种利差是否会有所收紧。目前尚不清楚另一家竞购者Canadian PacificCP(-0.14%)是否会提出更好的报价。最后，如果CNI收于108或更低，则止损评级。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:</b>This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPX<i>trades</i>at 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.</p><p><blockquote><b>做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看涨期权和做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看跌：</b>这种多头跨式交易是在预期SPX将从420水平波动移动的情况下进行的。如果SPX<i>贸易</i>在437时，将评级从420罢工向上滚动到437罢工（或最接近该罢工）。相反，如果SPX交易价格为403，则将看跌期权降至403执行价。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙4 CERN 6月（18日）80评级：</b>在收购传言持续存在的情况下，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191872806","content_text":"S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.The S&P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemandOption activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 callsIf the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.New recommendation: DropboxAnother stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 callsIf these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.Follow-up actionAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPXtradesat 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115017998,"gmtCreate":1622940994714,"gmtModify":1634096826672,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115017998","repostId":"1162722289","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112234678,"gmtCreate":1622872851394,"gmtModify":1634097147588,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112234678","repostId":"1158897173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116314274,"gmtCreate":1622774184698,"gmtModify":1634098137807,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116314274","repostId":"1182667134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111784636,"gmtCreate":1622700016825,"gmtModify":1634098996374,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111784636","repostId":"1146528217","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146528217","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622695494,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146528217?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 12:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ignore Dogecoin -- These 3 Unique Stocks Are Infinitely Better Buys<blockquote>忽略狗狗币——这3只独特的股票非常值得购买</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146528217","media":"The motley fool","summary":"These interesting companies are targeting huge market opportunities -- and can help keep your portfolio afloat in any market condition.Dogecoinhas emerged as one of the most hyped assets in the market today. This is understandable, considering that the cryptocurrency is up 7,733% so far this year, far ahead of the benchmarkS&P 500's returns of 11.84% in the same time frame.This makes Dogecoin a highly speculative investment for retail investors -- one that should mostly be avoided. Instead,NVIDI","content":"<p>These interesting companies are targeting huge market opportunities -- and can help keep your portfolio afloat in any market condition.</p><p><blockquote>这些有趣的公司瞄准了巨大的市场机会，可以帮助您的投资组合在任何市场条件下维持运营。</blockquote></p><p><b>Dogecoin</b>(CRYPTO:DOGE)has emerged as one of the most hyped assets in the market today. This is understandable, considering that the cryptocurrency is up 7,733% so far this year, far ahead of the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s returns of 11.84%&nbsp;in the same time frame.</p><p><blockquote><b>狗狗币</b>（CRYPTO：DOGE）已成为当今市场上最受炒作的资产之一。这是可以理解的，考虑到今年迄今为止加密货币上涨了7,733%，远远领先于基准<b>标普500</b>同期回报率为11.84%。</blockquote></p><p>Investors, however, should also consider Dogecoin's high volatility. Dogecoin has tanked by more than 50% from its all-time high of $0.74 in the past month (so, yes, at one point it was up more than 14,000%). This cryptocurrency is not backed by any asset and hardly has anysustainable advantageover rivals in terms of transaction fees or processing and settlement speeds. And with no hard limit to the number of Dogecoins that can be mined, this cryptocurrency is extremely sensitive to headline risk.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者还应该考虑狗狗币的高波动性。过去一个月，狗狗币从0.74美元的历史高点下跌了50%以上（所以，是的，它一度上涨了14,000%以上）。这种加密货币没有任何资产支持，在交易费用或处理和结算速度方面几乎没有任何可持续的竞争对手优势。由于对可以开采的狗狗币数量没有硬性限制，这种加密货币对头条风险极其敏感。</blockquote></p><p>This makes Dogecoin a highly speculative investment for retail investors -- one that should mostly be avoided. Instead,<b>NVIDIA</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA),<b>Skillz</b>(NYSE:SKLZ), and<b>Jushi Holdings</b>(OTC:JUSHF)can prove much better portfolio holdings in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>这使得狗狗币成为散户投资者的高度投机性投资——基本上应该避免这种投资。相反，<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA），<b>斯基尔茨</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SKLZ），以及<b>巨石控股</b>从长远来看，（场外交易代码：JUSHF）可以证明是更好的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p>1. NVIDIA</p><p><blockquote>1.英伟达</blockquote></p><p>If you want to invest in leading-edge semiconductor technology powering artificial intelligence, cloud computing, autonomous driving, 5G, and several other next-generation trends, then NVIDIA may be exactly the right stock for you.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想投资为人工智能、云计算、自动驾驶、5G和其他几种下一代趋势提供动力的领先半导体技术，那么英伟达可能正是适合您的股票。</blockquote></p><p>In the first quarter of fiscal 2022 (ending May 2), NVIDIA reported stellar performance, despite the ongoing global semiconductor shortage. Revenue jumped 84% year over year to $5.66 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) soared 106% to $3.03. In the first quarter, gaming revenue was up 106% year over year to $2.76 billion, while data center revenue jumped 79% year over year to $2.05 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在2022财年第一季度（截至5月2日），尽管全球半导体短缺持续，英伟达仍报告了出色的业绩。收入同比增长84%至56.6亿美元，稀释后每股收益(EPS)飙升106%至3.03美元。第一季度，游戏收入同比增长106%至27.6亿美元，数据中心收入同比增长79%至20.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Long known as a leader in the gaming space for its graphic processing units (GPUs), NVIDIA further strengthened that position by launching GeForce RTX 30 Series GPUs in September. Since then, GeForce has triggered a massive GPU upgrade cycle in the gaming industry, and demand for NVIDIA-powered laptops and desktops from students, gamers, and creators has been outstripping supply.</p><p><blockquote>长期以来，英伟达因其图形处理单元（GPU）而成为游戏领域的领导者，通过在9月份推出GeForce RTX 30系列GPU，进一步巩固了这一地位。此后，GeForce在游戏行业引发了大规模的GPU升级周期，学生、游戏玩家和创作者对NVIDIA驱动的笔记本电脑和台式机的需求一直供不应求。</blockquote></p><p>In fact, the RTX 30 series has played a pivotal role in helping NVIDIArecapture some shareof the discrete GPU market from<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD). (\"Discrete GPU\" refers to a GPU which is separate from the central processing unit, or CPU.) Subsequently, the company ended 2020 with83% of the discrete GPUmarket share.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，RTX 30系列在帮助Nvidia从<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD）。（“分立GPU”是指独立于中央处理器或CPU的GPU。）随后，该公司在2020年底拥有83%的分立GPU市场份额。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA's data center segment is witnessing solid demand from massive data-center customers building infrastructure for providing AI capabilities to their clients. Management has also announced plans to launch their first data center central processing unit (CPU), theARM-based\"Grace\" chip, by 2023. With the capability to work 10 times faster than existing servers, Grace CPU can further strengthen NVIDIA's position in the global data center market.</p><p><blockquote>NVIDIA的数据中心部门正见证着大型数据中心客户构建基础设施以向客户提供人工智能功能的强劲需求。管理层还宣布计划到2023年推出首款数据中心中央处理器(CPU)，即基于ARM的“Grace”芯片。凭借比现有服务器快10倍的工作速度，Grace CPU可以进一步加强NVIDIA在全球数据中心市场的地位。</blockquote></p><p>With this backdrop, although NVIDIA trades at more than 40.8 times forward earnings, the premium valuation seems justified. Investors can earn handsome returns by picking up this market-leading semiconductor stock even at these elevated levels.</p><p><blockquote>在此背景下，尽管英伟达的预期市盈率超过40.8倍，但溢价估值似乎是合理的。即使在如此高的水平下，投资者也可以通过买入这只市场领先的半导体股票来获得可观的回报。</blockquote></p><p>2. Skillz</p><p><blockquote>2.Skillz</blockquote></p><p>Mobile esports platform Skillz has been on a wild ride in the past few months. The company IPOed via the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) route at an opening price of $17.89 in December, reached as high as $46.30 in February, and then tanked to an all-time low of $12.40 in April. The dramatic drop has been associated with several factors, including investors moving from growth to value stocks, some adverse short-seller reports, ill-timed capital raises, and equity dilution involving significant insider selling.</p><p><blockquote>移动电子竞技平台Skillz在过去几个月里一直在疯狂发展。该公司去年12月通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)途径首次公开募股，开盘价为17.89美元，2月份高达46.30美元，然后在4月份跌至12.40美元的历史低点。大幅下跌与多种因素有关，包括投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票、一些不利的卖空报告、不合时宜的融资以及涉及重大内幕抛售的股权稀释。</blockquote></p><p>The sheer magnitude of Skillz's sell-off, however, seems unjustified. Skillz provides mobile game developers with a platform to organize competitions and then collects15% of the gross proceedspaid by players participating in these competitions. In the first quarter of fiscal 2021 (ending March 31), Skillz's monthly active users rose by 3.8% year over year to 2.7 million, and paying user count jumped by 81% to 467,000.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Skillz的抛售规模似乎是不合理的。Skillz为手机游戏开发商提供了一个组织比赛的平台，然后收取参加这些比赛的玩家支付的总收益的15%。2021财年第一季度（截至3月31日），Skillz的月活跃用户同比增长3.8%至270万，付费用户数量跃升81%至46.7万。</blockquote></p><p>In an open letter to retail investors, Skillz founder and CEO Andrew Paradise highlighted the platform's high engagement level, noting that once users start paying, they stay with the company for the long run. While Skillz is currently focused only on paying users, Paradise's letter noted plans to explore other monetization methods, such as \"non-intrusive advertising\" and \"gamifying other industries and experiences,\" to add new revenue streams in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz创始人兼首席执行官Andrew Paradise在致散户投资者的公开信中强调了该平台的高参与度，并指出一旦用户开始付费，他们就会长期留在公司。虽然Skillz目前只专注于付费用户，但Paradise的信中指出，计划探索其他货币化方法，如“非侵入性广告”和“其他行业和体验的游戏化”，以在未来几年增加新的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>In the first quarter, Skillz's revenues jumped 92% year over year to $84 million, ahead of its previous guidance of $80 million. The company also bumped up its year-over-year fiscal 2021 revenue growth estimate from 59% to 63%. However, this guidance does not include the potential gains from new game launches or entering new geographies.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度，Skillz的收入同比增长92%，达到8400万美元，高于之前指导的8000万美元。该公司还将2021财年收入同比增长预期从59%上调至63%。然而，该指南不包括新游戏发布或进入新地区的潜在收益。</blockquote></p><p>The company has entered into a multi-year gaming agreement with the National Football League (NFL). While this deal will not add materially to Skillz's top line in fiscal 2021, it will attract more users to the platform. The company also plans to enter India by the end of fiscal 2021, a move expected to grow its addressable market by 65%. Against this backdrop, chances of Skillz reporting a steep revenue growth trajectory in coming quarters remains high.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已与美国国家橄榄球联盟(NFL)签订了多年博彩协议。虽然这笔交易不会大幅增加Skillz 2021财年的营收，但它将吸引更多用户使用该平台。该公司还计划在2021财年末进入印度，此举预计将使其潜在市场增长65%。在此背景下，Skillz在未来几个季度实现收入大幅增长的可能性仍然很高。</blockquote></p><p>Currently trading at 31 times trailing 12-month (TTM) sales, Skillz is still quite expensive, especially given that it's not profitable. However, the company is a solid bet on the growth potential of the mobile gaming market, which has expanded annually at a compounded average growth rate of 23% between 2015 and 2020. With a gross margin of 95%, a cash balance of $613 million, and zero debt, Skillz offers an attractive risk-reward proposition to retail investors.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz目前的交易价格是过去12个月(TTM)销售额的31倍，仍然相当昂贵，特别是考虑到它还没有盈利。然而，该公司坚定地押注于移动游戏市场的增长潜力，该市场在2015年至2020年间以23%的复合平均增长率每年扩张。Skillz的毛利率为95%，现金余额为6.13亿美元，债务为零，为散户投资者提供了有吸引力的风险回报主张。</blockquote></p><p>3. Jushi Holdings</p><p><blockquote>3、巨石控股</blockquote></p><p>Shares of U.S. multi-state cannabis operator Jushi Holdings are up over 450% in the past 12 months -- and for a good reason. Although it's among the smallerU.S. cannabis companies, the company hasstrategically selected marketswith high growth potential and limited competition in which to operate, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Illinois, California, Nevada, and Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>美国多州大麻运营商巨石控股的股价在过去12个月内上涨了450%以上，这是有充分理由的。虽然它是美国小国之一。作为大麻公司，该公司战略性地选择了具有高增长潜力且竞争有限的市场进行运营，包括俄亥俄州、宾夕法尼亚州、弗吉尼亚州、伊利诺伊州、加利福尼亚州、内华达州和马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p>Jushi currently operates 11 medical marijuana dispensaries in Pennsylvania and plans to open an additional seven in 2021. This footprint seems even more impressive considering the fact that Pennsylvania's limited licensing structure reduces competition.</p><p><blockquote>巨石目前在宾夕法尼亚州经营着11家医用大麻药房，并计划在2021年再开设7家。考虑到宾夕法尼亚州有限的许可结构减少了竞争，这一足迹似乎更加令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p>There are 528,000 registered medical marijuana patients in Pennsylvania, and the market&nbsp;is expected to rake in $1.5 billion in revenues by 2023, meaning that Jushi stands to benefit dramatically in coming months. As Pennsylvania moves toward legalizing recreational marijuana, which is a major topic ahead of 2022 elections, Jushi's extensive presence can help establish its brands rapidly in this new market.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚州有528,000名注册医用大麻患者，预计到2023年该市场将获得15亿美元的收入，这意味着巨石将在未来几个月内受益匪浅。随着宾夕法尼亚州走向娱乐性大麻合法化，这是2022年选举前的一个主要话题，巨石的广泛存在可以帮助其在这个新市场迅速建立品牌。</blockquote></p><p>Jushi currently operates four dispensaries in Illinois, a state which legalized sales of recreational cannabis starting Jan. 1, 2020. With an estimated 2021 annual run rate of $1.3 billion, Illinois is well-positioned to be a major revenue driver for the company. The company also holds one of the only five vertically integrated licenses in Virginia -- allowing it to cultivate, process, and sell medical cannabis to customers in a market with limited competition. Virginia is expected to commence recreational cannabis sales in 2024, which will further boost Jushi's addressable market.</p><p><blockquote>巨石目前在伊利诺伊州经营着四家药房，该州从2020年1月1日起将休闲大麻销售合法化。伊利诺伊州预计2021年的年运行率为13亿美元，完全有能力成为该公司的主要收入驱动力。该公司还持有弗吉尼亚州仅有的五个垂直整合许可证之一，允许其在竞争有限的市场中种植、加工和向客户销售医用大麻。弗吉尼亚州预计将于2024年开始销售休闲大麻，这将进一步提振巨石的潜在市场。</blockquote></p><p>In first-quarter 2021 (ending March 31), Jushi's revenues rose 29% sequentially to $41.7 million. The company also has a strong balance sheet with $168 million cash and $82 million debt. Against the backdrop of a robust strategy and solid financials, Jushi could prove to be an attractive investment for retail investors.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度（截至3月31日），巨石收入环比增长29%至4170万美元。该公司还拥有强大的资产负债表，拥有1.68亿美元现金和8200万美元债务。在稳健的战略和稳健的财务状况的背景下，巨石可能对散户投资者来说是一项有吸引力的投资。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ignore Dogecoin -- These 3 Unique Stocks Are Infinitely Better Buys<blockquote>忽略狗狗币——这3只独特的股票非常值得购买</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIgnore Dogecoin -- These 3 Unique Stocks Are Infinitely Better Buys<blockquote>忽略狗狗币——这3只独特的股票非常值得购买</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 12:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>These interesting companies are targeting huge market opportunities -- and can help keep your portfolio afloat in any market condition.</p><p><blockquote>这些有趣的公司瞄准了巨大的市场机会，可以帮助您的投资组合在任何市场条件下维持运营。</blockquote></p><p><b>Dogecoin</b>(CRYPTO:DOGE)has emerged as one of the most hyped assets in the market today. This is understandable, considering that the cryptocurrency is up 7,733% so far this year, far ahead of the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s returns of 11.84%&nbsp;in the same time frame.</p><p><blockquote><b>狗狗币</b>（CRYPTO：DOGE）已成为当今市场上最受炒作的资产之一。这是可以理解的，考虑到今年迄今为止加密货币上涨了7,733%，远远领先于基准<b>标普500</b>同期回报率为11.84%。</blockquote></p><p>Investors, however, should also consider Dogecoin's high volatility. Dogecoin has tanked by more than 50% from its all-time high of $0.74 in the past month (so, yes, at one point it was up more than 14,000%). This cryptocurrency is not backed by any asset and hardly has anysustainable advantageover rivals in terms of transaction fees or processing and settlement speeds. And with no hard limit to the number of Dogecoins that can be mined, this cryptocurrency is extremely sensitive to headline risk.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者还应该考虑狗狗币的高波动性。过去一个月，狗狗币从0.74美元的历史高点下跌了50%以上（所以，是的，它一度上涨了14,000%以上）。这种加密货币没有任何资产支持，在交易费用或处理和结算速度方面几乎没有任何可持续的竞争对手优势。由于对可以开采的狗狗币数量没有硬性限制，这种加密货币对头条风险极其敏感。</blockquote></p><p>This makes Dogecoin a highly speculative investment for retail investors -- one that should mostly be avoided. Instead,<b>NVIDIA</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA),<b>Skillz</b>(NYSE:SKLZ), and<b>Jushi Holdings</b>(OTC:JUSHF)can prove much better portfolio holdings in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>这使得狗狗币成为散户投资者的高度投机性投资——基本上应该避免这种投资。相反，<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA），<b>斯基尔茨</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SKLZ），以及<b>巨石控股</b>从长远来看，（场外交易代码：JUSHF）可以证明是更好的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p>1. NVIDIA</p><p><blockquote>1.英伟达</blockquote></p><p>If you want to invest in leading-edge semiconductor technology powering artificial intelligence, cloud computing, autonomous driving, 5G, and several other next-generation trends, then NVIDIA may be exactly the right stock for you.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想投资为人工智能、云计算、自动驾驶、5G和其他几种下一代趋势提供动力的领先半导体技术，那么英伟达可能正是适合您的股票。</blockquote></p><p>In the first quarter of fiscal 2022 (ending May 2), NVIDIA reported stellar performance, despite the ongoing global semiconductor shortage. Revenue jumped 84% year over year to $5.66 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) soared 106% to $3.03. In the first quarter, gaming revenue was up 106% year over year to $2.76 billion, while data center revenue jumped 79% year over year to $2.05 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在2022财年第一季度（截至5月2日），尽管全球半导体短缺持续，英伟达仍报告了出色的业绩。收入同比增长84%至56.6亿美元，稀释后每股收益(EPS)飙升106%至3.03美元。第一季度，游戏收入同比增长106%至27.6亿美元，数据中心收入同比增长79%至20.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Long known as a leader in the gaming space for its graphic processing units (GPUs), NVIDIA further strengthened that position by launching GeForce RTX 30 Series GPUs in September. Since then, GeForce has triggered a massive GPU upgrade cycle in the gaming industry, and demand for NVIDIA-powered laptops and desktops from students, gamers, and creators has been outstripping supply.</p><p><blockquote>长期以来，英伟达因其图形处理单元（GPU）而成为游戏领域的领导者，通过在9月份推出GeForce RTX 30系列GPU，进一步巩固了这一地位。此后，GeForce在游戏行业引发了大规模的GPU升级周期，学生、游戏玩家和创作者对NVIDIA驱动的笔记本电脑和台式机的需求一直供不应求。</blockquote></p><p>In fact, the RTX 30 series has played a pivotal role in helping NVIDIArecapture some shareof the discrete GPU market from<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD). (\"Discrete GPU\" refers to a GPU which is separate from the central processing unit, or CPU.) Subsequently, the company ended 2020 with83% of the discrete GPUmarket share.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，RTX 30系列在帮助Nvidia从<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD）。（“分立GPU”是指独立于中央处理器或CPU的GPU。）随后，该公司在2020年底拥有83%的分立GPU市场份额。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA's data center segment is witnessing solid demand from massive data-center customers building infrastructure for providing AI capabilities to their clients. Management has also announced plans to launch their first data center central processing unit (CPU), theARM-based\"Grace\" chip, by 2023. With the capability to work 10 times faster than existing servers, Grace CPU can further strengthen NVIDIA's position in the global data center market.</p><p><blockquote>NVIDIA的数据中心部门正见证着大型数据中心客户构建基础设施以向客户提供人工智能功能的强劲需求。管理层还宣布计划到2023年推出首款数据中心中央处理器(CPU)，即基于ARM的“Grace”芯片。凭借比现有服务器快10倍的工作速度，Grace CPU可以进一步加强NVIDIA在全球数据中心市场的地位。</blockquote></p><p>With this backdrop, although NVIDIA trades at more than 40.8 times forward earnings, the premium valuation seems justified. Investors can earn handsome returns by picking up this market-leading semiconductor stock even at these elevated levels.</p><p><blockquote>在此背景下，尽管英伟达的预期市盈率超过40.8倍，但溢价估值似乎是合理的。即使在如此高的水平下，投资者也可以通过买入这只市场领先的半导体股票来获得可观的回报。</blockquote></p><p>2. Skillz</p><p><blockquote>2.Skillz</blockquote></p><p>Mobile esports platform Skillz has been on a wild ride in the past few months. The company IPOed via the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) route at an opening price of $17.89 in December, reached as high as $46.30 in February, and then tanked to an all-time low of $12.40 in April. The dramatic drop has been associated with several factors, including investors moving from growth to value stocks, some adverse short-seller reports, ill-timed capital raises, and equity dilution involving significant insider selling.</p><p><blockquote>移动电子竞技平台Skillz在过去几个月里一直在疯狂发展。该公司去年12月通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)途径首次公开募股，开盘价为17.89美元，2月份高达46.30美元，然后在4月份跌至12.40美元的历史低点。大幅下跌与多种因素有关，包括投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票、一些不利的卖空报告、不合时宜的融资以及涉及重大内幕抛售的股权稀释。</blockquote></p><p>The sheer magnitude of Skillz's sell-off, however, seems unjustified. Skillz provides mobile game developers with a platform to organize competitions and then collects15% of the gross proceedspaid by players participating in these competitions. In the first quarter of fiscal 2021 (ending March 31), Skillz's monthly active users rose by 3.8% year over year to 2.7 million, and paying user count jumped by 81% to 467,000.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Skillz的抛售规模似乎是不合理的。Skillz为手机游戏开发商提供了一个组织比赛的平台，然后收取参加这些比赛的玩家支付的总收益的15%。2021财年第一季度（截至3月31日），Skillz的月活跃用户同比增长3.8%至270万，付费用户数量跃升81%至46.7万。</blockquote></p><p>In an open letter to retail investors, Skillz founder and CEO Andrew Paradise highlighted the platform's high engagement level, noting that once users start paying, they stay with the company for the long run. While Skillz is currently focused only on paying users, Paradise's letter noted plans to explore other monetization methods, such as \"non-intrusive advertising\" and \"gamifying other industries and experiences,\" to add new revenue streams in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz创始人兼首席执行官Andrew Paradise在致散户投资者的公开信中强调了该平台的高参与度，并指出一旦用户开始付费，他们就会长期留在公司。虽然Skillz目前只专注于付费用户，但Paradise的信中指出，计划探索其他货币化方法，如“非侵入性广告”和“其他行业和体验的游戏化”，以在未来几年增加新的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>In the first quarter, Skillz's revenues jumped 92% year over year to $84 million, ahead of its previous guidance of $80 million. The company also bumped up its year-over-year fiscal 2021 revenue growth estimate from 59% to 63%. However, this guidance does not include the potential gains from new game launches or entering new geographies.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度，Skillz的收入同比增长92%，达到8400万美元，高于之前指导的8000万美元。该公司还将2021财年收入同比增长预期从59%上调至63%。然而，该指南不包括新游戏发布或进入新地区的潜在收益。</blockquote></p><p>The company has entered into a multi-year gaming agreement with the National Football League (NFL). While this deal will not add materially to Skillz's top line in fiscal 2021, it will attract more users to the platform. The company also plans to enter India by the end of fiscal 2021, a move expected to grow its addressable market by 65%. Against this backdrop, chances of Skillz reporting a steep revenue growth trajectory in coming quarters remains high.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已与美国国家橄榄球联盟(NFL)签订了多年博彩协议。虽然这笔交易不会大幅增加Skillz 2021财年的营收，但它将吸引更多用户使用该平台。该公司还计划在2021财年末进入印度，此举预计将使其潜在市场增长65%。在此背景下，Skillz在未来几个季度实现收入大幅增长的可能性仍然很高。</blockquote></p><p>Currently trading at 31 times trailing 12-month (TTM) sales, Skillz is still quite expensive, especially given that it's not profitable. However, the company is a solid bet on the growth potential of the mobile gaming market, which has expanded annually at a compounded average growth rate of 23% between 2015 and 2020. With a gross margin of 95%, a cash balance of $613 million, and zero debt, Skillz offers an attractive risk-reward proposition to retail investors.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz目前的交易价格是过去12个月(TTM)销售额的31倍，仍然相当昂贵，特别是考虑到它还没有盈利。然而，该公司坚定地押注于移动游戏市场的增长潜力，该市场在2015年至2020年间以23%的复合平均增长率每年扩张。Skillz的毛利率为95%，现金余额为6.13亿美元，债务为零，为散户投资者提供了有吸引力的风险回报主张。</blockquote></p><p>3. Jushi Holdings</p><p><blockquote>3、巨石控股</blockquote></p><p>Shares of U.S. multi-state cannabis operator Jushi Holdings are up over 450% in the past 12 months -- and for a good reason. Although it's among the smallerU.S. cannabis companies, the company hasstrategically selected marketswith high growth potential and limited competition in which to operate, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Illinois, California, Nevada, and Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>美国多州大麻运营商巨石控股的股价在过去12个月内上涨了450%以上，这是有充分理由的。虽然它是美国小国之一。作为大麻公司，该公司战略性地选择了具有高增长潜力且竞争有限的市场进行运营，包括俄亥俄州、宾夕法尼亚州、弗吉尼亚州、伊利诺伊州、加利福尼亚州、内华达州和马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p>Jushi currently operates 11 medical marijuana dispensaries in Pennsylvania and plans to open an additional seven in 2021. This footprint seems even more impressive considering the fact that Pennsylvania's limited licensing structure reduces competition.</p><p><blockquote>巨石目前在宾夕法尼亚州经营着11家医用大麻药房，并计划在2021年再开设7家。考虑到宾夕法尼亚州有限的许可结构减少了竞争，这一足迹似乎更加令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p>There are 528,000 registered medical marijuana patients in Pennsylvania, and the market&nbsp;is expected to rake in $1.5 billion in revenues by 2023, meaning that Jushi stands to benefit dramatically in coming months. As Pennsylvania moves toward legalizing recreational marijuana, which is a major topic ahead of 2022 elections, Jushi's extensive presence can help establish its brands rapidly in this new market.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚州有528,000名注册医用大麻患者，预计到2023年该市场将获得15亿美元的收入，这意味着巨石将在未来几个月内受益匪浅。随着宾夕法尼亚州走向娱乐性大麻合法化，这是2022年选举前的一个主要话题，巨石的广泛存在可以帮助其在这个新市场迅速建立品牌。</blockquote></p><p>Jushi currently operates four dispensaries in Illinois, a state which legalized sales of recreational cannabis starting Jan. 1, 2020. With an estimated 2021 annual run rate of $1.3 billion, Illinois is well-positioned to be a major revenue driver for the company. The company also holds one of the only five vertically integrated licenses in Virginia -- allowing it to cultivate, process, and sell medical cannabis to customers in a market with limited competition. Virginia is expected to commence recreational cannabis sales in 2024, which will further boost Jushi's addressable market.</p><p><blockquote>巨石目前在伊利诺伊州经营着四家药房，该州从2020年1月1日起将休闲大麻销售合法化。伊利诺伊州预计2021年的年运行率为13亿美元，完全有能力成为该公司的主要收入驱动力。该公司还持有弗吉尼亚州仅有的五个垂直整合许可证之一，允许其在竞争有限的市场中种植、加工和向客户销售医用大麻。弗吉尼亚州预计将于2024年开始销售休闲大麻，这将进一步提振巨石的潜在市场。</blockquote></p><p>In first-quarter 2021 (ending March 31), Jushi's revenues rose 29% sequentially to $41.7 million. The company also has a strong balance sheet with $168 million cash and $82 million debt. Against the backdrop of a robust strategy and solid financials, Jushi could prove to be an attractive investment for retail investors.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度（截至3月31日），巨石收入环比增长29%至4170万美元。该公司还拥有强大的资产负债表，拥有1.68亿美元现金和8200万美元债务。在稳健的战略和稳健的财务状况的背景下，巨石可能对散户投资者来说是一项有吸引力的投资。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/02/ignore-dogecoin-these-3-unique-stocks-are-infinite/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","JUSHF":"Jushi Holdings Inc.","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/02/ignore-dogecoin-these-3-unique-stocks-are-infinite/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146528217","content_text":"These interesting companies are targeting huge market opportunities -- and can help keep your portfolio afloat in any market condition.Dogecoin(CRYPTO:DOGE)has emerged as one of the most hyped assets in the market today. This is understandable, considering that the cryptocurrency is up 7,733% so far this year, far ahead of the benchmarkS&P 500's returns of 11.84% in the same time frame.Investors, however, should also consider Dogecoin's high volatility. Dogecoin has tanked by more than 50% from its all-time high of $0.74 in the past month (so, yes, at one point it was up more than 14,000%). This cryptocurrency is not backed by any asset and hardly has anysustainable advantageover rivals in terms of transaction fees or processing and settlement speeds. And with no hard limit to the number of Dogecoins that can be mined, this cryptocurrency is extremely sensitive to headline risk.This makes Dogecoin a highly speculative investment for retail investors -- one that should mostly be avoided. Instead,NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA),Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), andJushi Holdings(OTC:JUSHF)can prove much better portfolio holdings in the long run.1. NVIDIAIf you want to invest in leading-edge semiconductor technology powering artificial intelligence, cloud computing, autonomous driving, 5G, and several other next-generation trends, then NVIDIA may be exactly the right stock for you.In the first quarter of fiscal 2022 (ending May 2), NVIDIA reported stellar performance, despite the ongoing global semiconductor shortage. Revenue jumped 84% year over year to $5.66 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) soared 106% to $3.03. In the first quarter, gaming revenue was up 106% year over year to $2.76 billion, while data center revenue jumped 79% year over year to $2.05 billion.Long known as a leader in the gaming space for its graphic processing units (GPUs), NVIDIA further strengthened that position by launching GeForce RTX 30 Series GPUs in September. Since then, GeForce has triggered a massive GPU upgrade cycle in the gaming industry, and demand for NVIDIA-powered laptops and desktops from students, gamers, and creators has been outstripping supply.In fact, the RTX 30 series has played a pivotal role in helping NVIDIArecapture some shareof the discrete GPU market fromAdvanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD). (\"Discrete GPU\" refers to a GPU which is separate from the central processing unit, or CPU.) Subsequently, the company ended 2020 with83% of the discrete GPUmarket share.NVIDIA's data center segment is witnessing solid demand from massive data-center customers building infrastructure for providing AI capabilities to their clients. Management has also announced plans to launch their first data center central processing unit (CPU), theARM-based\"Grace\" chip, by 2023. With the capability to work 10 times faster than existing servers, Grace CPU can further strengthen NVIDIA's position in the global data center market.With this backdrop, although NVIDIA trades at more than 40.8 times forward earnings, the premium valuation seems justified. Investors can earn handsome returns by picking up this market-leading semiconductor stock even at these elevated levels.2. SkillzMobile esports platform Skillz has been on a wild ride in the past few months. The company IPOed via the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) route at an opening price of $17.89 in December, reached as high as $46.30 in February, and then tanked to an all-time low of $12.40 in April. The dramatic drop has been associated with several factors, including investors moving from growth to value stocks, some adverse short-seller reports, ill-timed capital raises, and equity dilution involving significant insider selling.The sheer magnitude of Skillz's sell-off, however, seems unjustified. Skillz provides mobile game developers with a platform to organize competitions and then collects15% of the gross proceedspaid by players participating in these competitions. In the first quarter of fiscal 2021 (ending March 31), Skillz's monthly active users rose by 3.8% year over year to 2.7 million, and paying user count jumped by 81% to 467,000.In an open letter to retail investors, Skillz founder and CEO Andrew Paradise highlighted the platform's high engagement level, noting that once users start paying, they stay with the company for the long run. While Skillz is currently focused only on paying users, Paradise's letter noted plans to explore other monetization methods, such as \"non-intrusive advertising\" and \"gamifying other industries and experiences,\" to add new revenue streams in the coming years.In the first quarter, Skillz's revenues jumped 92% year over year to $84 million, ahead of its previous guidance of $80 million. The company also bumped up its year-over-year fiscal 2021 revenue growth estimate from 59% to 63%. However, this guidance does not include the potential gains from new game launches or entering new geographies.The company has entered into a multi-year gaming agreement with the National Football League (NFL). While this deal will not add materially to Skillz's top line in fiscal 2021, it will attract more users to the platform. The company also plans to enter India by the end of fiscal 2021, a move expected to grow its addressable market by 65%. Against this backdrop, chances of Skillz reporting a steep revenue growth trajectory in coming quarters remains high.Currently trading at 31 times trailing 12-month (TTM) sales, Skillz is still quite expensive, especially given that it's not profitable. However, the company is a solid bet on the growth potential of the mobile gaming market, which has expanded annually at a compounded average growth rate of 23% between 2015 and 2020. With a gross margin of 95%, a cash balance of $613 million, and zero debt, Skillz offers an attractive risk-reward proposition to retail investors.3. Jushi HoldingsShares of U.S. multi-state cannabis operator Jushi Holdings are up over 450% in the past 12 months -- and for a good reason. Although it's among the smallerU.S. cannabis companies, the company hasstrategically selected marketswith high growth potential and limited competition in which to operate, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Illinois, California, Nevada, and Massachusetts.Jushi currently operates 11 medical marijuana dispensaries in Pennsylvania and plans to open an additional seven in 2021. This footprint seems even more impressive considering the fact that Pennsylvania's limited licensing structure reduces competition.There are 528,000 registered medical marijuana patients in Pennsylvania, and the market is expected to rake in $1.5 billion in revenues by 2023, meaning that Jushi stands to benefit dramatically in coming months. As Pennsylvania moves toward legalizing recreational marijuana, which is a major topic ahead of 2022 elections, Jushi's extensive presence can help establish its brands rapidly in this new market.Jushi currently operates four dispensaries in Illinois, a state which legalized sales of recreational cannabis starting Jan. 1, 2020. With an estimated 2021 annual run rate of $1.3 billion, Illinois is well-positioned to be a major revenue driver for the company. The company also holds one of the only five vertically integrated licenses in Virginia -- allowing it to cultivate, process, and sell medical cannabis to customers in a market with limited competition. Virginia is expected to commence recreational cannabis sales in 2024, which will further boost Jushi's addressable market.In first-quarter 2021 (ending March 31), Jushi's revenues rose 29% sequentially to $41.7 million. The company also has a strong balance sheet with $168 million cash and $82 million debt. Against the backdrop of a robust strategy and solid financials, Jushi could prove to be an attractive investment for retail investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"JUSHF":0.9,"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113529191,"gmtCreate":1622627544613,"gmtModify":1634099805821,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n commmet&nbsp;","listText":"Like n commmet&nbsp;","text":"Like n commmet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113529191","repostId":"1182886492","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":114371536,"gmtCreate":1623054446025,"gmtModify":1634095814031,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114371536","repostId":"1191872806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191872806","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623054201,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191872806?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 16:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191872806","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond ","content":"<p><b>S&amp;P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.</b>The S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.</p><p><blockquote><b>标普500多头一直未能控制局面。</b>标普500指数SPX,+0.88%触及（但未超过）4238点的历史高点。本周未能突破新高给了空头另一次机会。</blockquote></p><p>The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&amp;P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.</p><p><blockquote>更广泛的情况是，该指数近两个月来一直在4060点至4238点之间交易。考虑到标准普尔指数在该区间内停留的时间长度，突破该区间应该意义重大。</blockquote></p><p>An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.</p><p><blockquote>处理交易区间的一种激进方法是在区间低点附近买入市场，在排名顶部附近卖出（做空）市场，如果市场确实突破区间，计划反转您的头寸。不太激进的交易是当SPX接近该区间的顶部或底部时买入跨式交易，认为它要么会突破，要么交易到该区间的另一侧。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.</p><p><blockquote>自5月24日以来，S&amp;P一直位于区间顶部附近。它没有突破历史新高的时间越长，就越有可能跌至该区间的较低区域。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76daeb46d3b4588f3f20f6b007b4520\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.</p><p><blockquote>根据记录，该区间下方有4000点和3870点的支撑位，但在我看来，如果该区间的下限被突破，将会迅速走低以测试这些支撑位。此外，麦克米兰波动带(MVB)卖出信号仍然有效，如随附的SPX图表右上角所示。</blockquote></p><p>Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍然是卖出信号，至少根据我们用来分析这些图表的计算机程序是这样。然而，肉眼看，它们不再上涨（这使得卖出信号处于危险之中）。人们可以看到，标准比率在过去几天有所下降（下降的部分原因是看涨期权大量买入“轧空”股票：AMC、黑莓、Beyond Meat等）。）.</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4a2d971772c195acca42723b2a23d37\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.</p><p><blockquote>加权图上也有类似但不太明显的下降。目前，卖出信号仍然存在，但如果看涨期权大量买入的新步伐持续下去，这些指标可能很快就会转为买入信号。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c60e1cdfdbb7193427ffba139a9b7b00\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.</p><p><blockquote>广度在最近一周左右有了很大的改善。两个宽度振荡器都处于买入信号。此外，它们已经进入超买区域，只有当SPX能够坚持并向上突破时，这才是一件好事。此外，累计广度指标再次创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所和其他地方的52周新高继续轻松超过52周新低。因此该指标仍然看涨。事实上，新高的数量已大幅扩大，接近2月底出现的极端水平，但在此之前的五年中从未出现过。</blockquote></p><p>The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，波动性“复合体”看好股市。VIX“尖峰”买入信号仍然有效，VIXVIX，4.63%的趋势向下。交易员仍不愿将VIX压低至极低水平，但从附图中可以看出，VIX均低于20日和200日移动均线。只要波动率趋势较低，对股票来说就是看涨的。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac25caadad8b56159e600a98a4763f4\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的构造仍然是股市的看涨指标。VIX期货的交易价格均高于VIX，期限结构在10月份之前向上倾斜。同样，CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，看涨指标大多到位。然而，最重要的指标——股市本身的价格——并没有证实这种明显的看涨情绪。要做到这一点，它需要突破历史新高，而这一直是缺乏的。</blockquote></p><p>We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.</p><p><blockquote>我们仍然预计当前水平将出现波动——无论是回撤至交易下限还是强劲突破至历史新高。因此，我们采用交易区间策略，并根据指标确认的信号持仓。</blockquote></p><p><b>New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Cornerstone OnDemand</b></blockquote></p><p>Option activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:</p><p><blockquote>由于有收购传闻，Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD的期权活动大幅增加，+3.39%。该股升至近期阻力位47，然后回落。我们将在这里使用一个或有推荐。换句话说，我们只有在满足或有事项的情况下才会购买CSOD看涨期权期权：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果CSOD收盘高于47，那么买入4 CSOD 7月（16日）47.5评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.</p><p><blockquote>如果评级被买入，我们将不停地持有，而谣言却在上演。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89fee88abb92504efba975eec92b68a3\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>New recommendation: Dropbox</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Dropbox</b></blockquote></p><p>Another stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.</p><p><blockquote>另一只期权活跃的股票是DropboxDBX，+1.06%。激进投资者Elliot Group已入股，并将推动该公司采取短期内提高股价的策略。有传言称将与竞争对手BoxBOX合并，+1.78%。</blockquote></p><p>Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，Dropbox一度触及三年高点，但随后回落。因此，我们将在这里使用一个或有建议：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DBX收盘高于28.50，那么买入4 DBX 7月（16日）28日评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.</p><p><blockquote>如果这些评级被买入，我们最初会不停地持有，看看激进投资者是否能有所成就。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdc61a08d1269de554b35f4ced78a776\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）410看跌期权空头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）385看跌期权：</b>进行这笔交易是因为5月12日SPX下跌至4105点时出现了MVB卖出信号。它将被SPX再次收于+4 σ波段上方止损，该波段位于4320点并横盘整理。如果SPX在-4 σ区间交易，该信号将达到其利润目标。目前，较低的波段在4020点左右，正在横盘整理。如果SPX在任何时候交易于4000点，则卖出该头寸的一半。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）420看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）400看跌：</b>该建议基于现有的纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号。只要仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率处于卖出信号，我们就将持有这一建议。因此，我们将每周更新状态。如果SPDR标普500指数ETF在任何时候都以较低的罢工价格进行交易，则向下滚动头寸，每边20次罢工。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙3德6月（18日）100评级：</b>在我们等待激进投资者产生积极结果时，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:</b>This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).</p><p><blockquote><b>多2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）415评级空2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）428评级：</b>该价差是在5月21日最新的VIX“尖峰”买入信号得到确认时买入的。如果VIX回到飙升模式，也就是说，如果它在任何三天或更短的时间内上涨至少3.00点（使用收盘价），它将被止损。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:</b>Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙1 KSU 6月（18日）300看涨期权：</b>堪萨斯城南方KSU,-0.14%已正式接受加拿大国家CNI,+0.66%的更高收购要约。该交易的价格为200美元现金+1.129股CNI股票。因此，CNI为112，这笔交易价值326美元。当然，监管也会有延迟。我们将持有，看看这种利差是否会有所收紧。目前尚不清楚另一家竞购者Canadian PacificCP(-0.14%)是否会提出更好的报价。最后，如果CNI收于108或更低，则止损评级。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:</b>This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPX<i>trades</i>at 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.</p><p><blockquote><b>做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看涨期权和做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看跌：</b>这种多头跨式交易是在预期SPX将从420水平波动移动的情况下进行的。如果SPX<i>贸易</i>在437时，将评级从420罢工向上滚动到437罢工（或最接近该罢工）。相反，如果SPX交易价格为403，则将看跌期权降至403执行价。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙4 CERN 6月（18日）80评级：</b>在收购传言持续存在的情况下，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSo many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one<blockquote>这个股市有很多看涨迹象——除了最重要的一个</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-07 16:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>S&amp;P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.</b>The S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.</p><p><blockquote><b>标普500多头一直未能控制局面。</b>标普500指数SPX,+0.88%触及（但未超过）4238点的历史高点。本周未能突破新高给了空头另一次机会。</blockquote></p><p>The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&amp;P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.</p><p><blockquote>更广泛的情况是，该指数近两个月来一直在4060点至4238点之间交易。考虑到标准普尔指数在该区间内停留的时间长度，突破该区间应该意义重大。</blockquote></p><p>An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.</p><p><blockquote>处理交易区间的一种激进方法是在区间低点附近买入市场，在排名顶部附近卖出（做空）市场，如果市场确实突破区间，计划反转您的头寸。不太激进的交易是当SPX接近该区间的顶部或底部时买入跨式交易，认为它要么会突破，要么交易到该区间的另一侧。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.</p><p><blockquote>自5月24日以来，S&amp;P一直位于区间顶部附近。它没有突破历史新高的时间越长，就越有可能跌至该区间的较低区域。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76daeb46d3b4588f3f20f6b007b4520\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.</p><p><blockquote>根据记录，该区间下方有4000点和3870点的支撑位，但在我看来，如果该区间的下限被突破，将会迅速走低以测试这些支撑位。此外，麦克米兰波动带(MVB)卖出信号仍然有效，如随附的SPX图表右上角所示。</blockquote></p><p>Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍然是卖出信号，至少根据我们用来分析这些图表的计算机程序是这样。然而，肉眼看，它们不再上涨（这使得卖出信号处于危险之中）。人们可以看到，标准比率在过去几天有所下降（下降的部分原因是看涨期权大量买入“轧空”股票：AMC、黑莓、Beyond Meat等）。）.</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4a2d971772c195acca42723b2a23d37\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.</p><p><blockquote>加权图上也有类似但不太明显的下降。目前，卖出信号仍然存在，但如果看涨期权大量买入的新步伐持续下去，这些指标可能很快就会转为买入信号。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c60e1cdfdbb7193427ffba139a9b7b00\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.</p><p><blockquote>广度在最近一周左右有了很大的改善。两个宽度振荡器都处于买入信号。此外，它们已经进入超买区域，只有当SPX能够坚持并向上突破时，这才是一件好事。此外，累计广度指标再次创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所和其他地方的52周新高继续轻松超过52周新低。因此该指标仍然看涨。事实上，新高的数量已大幅扩大，接近2月底出现的极端水平，但在此之前的五年中从未出现过。</blockquote></p><p>The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，波动性“复合体”看好股市。VIX“尖峰”买入信号仍然有效，VIXVIX，4.63%的趋势向下。交易员仍不愿将VIX压低至极低水平，但从附图中可以看出，VIX均低于20日和200日移动均线。只要波动率趋势较低，对股票来说就是看涨的。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac25caadad8b56159e600a98a4763f4\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.</p><p><blockquote>最后，波动性衍生品的构造仍然是股市的看涨指标。VIX期货的交易价格均高于VIX，期限结构在10月份之前向上倾斜。同样，CBOE波动率指数的期限结构向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p>In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，看涨指标大多到位。然而，最重要的指标——股市本身的价格——并没有证实这种明显的看涨情绪。要做到这一点，它需要突破历史新高，而这一直是缺乏的。</blockquote></p><p>We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.</p><p><blockquote>我们仍然预计当前水平将出现波动——无论是回撤至交易下限还是强劲突破至历史新高。因此，我们采用交易区间策略，并根据指标确认的信号持仓。</blockquote></p><p><b>New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Cornerstone OnDemand</b></blockquote></p><p>Option activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:</p><p><blockquote>由于有收购传闻，Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD的期权活动大幅增加，+3.39%。该股升至近期阻力位47，然后回落。我们将在这里使用一个或有推荐。换句话说，我们只有在满足或有事项的情况下才会购买CSOD看涨期权期权：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果CSOD收盘高于47，那么买入4 CSOD 7月（16日）47.5评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.</p><p><blockquote>如果评级被买入，我们将不停地持有，而谣言却在上演。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89fee88abb92504efba975eec92b68a3\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>New recommendation: Dropbox</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新推荐：Dropbox</b></blockquote></p><p>Another stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.</p><p><blockquote>另一只期权活跃的股票是DropboxDBX，+1.06%。激进投资者Elliot Group已入股，并将推动该公司采取短期内提高股价的策略。有传言称将与竞争对手BoxBOX合并，+1.78%。</blockquote></p><p>Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:</p><p><blockquote>受此消息影响，Dropbox一度触及三年高点，但随后回落。因此，我们将在这里使用一个或有建议：</blockquote></p><p><b>IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DBX收盘高于28.50，那么买入4 DBX 7月（16日）28日评级</b></blockquote></p><p>If these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.</p><p><blockquote>如果这些评级被买入，我们最初会不停地持有，看看激进投资者是否能有所成就。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdc61a08d1269de554b35f4ced78a776\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）410看跌期权空头2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（11日）385看跌期权：</b>进行这笔交易是因为5月12日SPX下跌至4105点时出现了MVB卖出信号。它将被SPX再次收于+4 σ波段上方止损，该波段位于4320点并横盘整理。如果SPX在-4 σ区间交易，该信号将达到其利润目标。目前，较低的波段在4020点左右，正在横盘整理。如果SPX在任何时候交易于4000点，则卖出该头寸的一半。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）420看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）400看跌：</b>该建议基于现有的纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号。只要仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率处于卖出信号，我们就将持有这一建议。因此，我们将每周更新状态。如果SPDR标普500指数ETF在任何时候都以较低的罢工价格进行交易，则向下滚动头寸，每边20次罢工。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙3德6月（18日）100评级：</b>在我们等待激进投资者产生积极结果时，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:</b>This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).</p><p><blockquote><b>多2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）415评级空2 SPDR标普500指数ETF 6月（18日）428评级：</b>该价差是在5月21日最新的VIX“尖峰”买入信号得到确认时买入的。如果VIX回到飙升模式，也就是说，如果它在任何三天或更短的时间内上涨至少3.00点（使用收盘价），它将被止损。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:</b>Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙1 KSU 6月（18日）300看涨期权：</b>堪萨斯城南方KSU,-0.14%已正式接受加拿大国家CNI,+0.66%的更高收购要约。该交易的价格为200美元现金+1.129股CNI股票。因此，CNI为112，这笔交易价值326美元。当然，监管也会有延迟。我们将持有，看看这种利差是否会有所收紧。目前尚不清楚另一家竞购者Canadian PacificCP(-0.14%)是否会提出更好的报价。最后，如果CNI收于108或更低，则止损评级。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:</b>This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPX<i>trades</i>at 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.</p><p><blockquote><b>做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看涨期权和做多1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 7月（16日）420看跌：</b>这种多头跨式交易是在预期SPX将从420水平波动移动的情况下进行的。如果SPX<i>贸易</i>在437时，将评级从420罢工向上滚动到437罢工（或最接近该罢工）。相反，如果SPX交易价格为403，则将看跌期权降至403执行价。</blockquote></p><p><b>Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙4 CERN 6月（18日）80评级：</b>在收购传言持续存在的情况下，不要停止持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191872806","content_text":"S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.The S&P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemandOption activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 callsIf the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.New recommendation: DropboxAnother stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 callsIf these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.Follow-up actionAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPXtradesat 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116314274,"gmtCreate":1622774184698,"gmtModify":1634098137807,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116314274","repostId":"1182667134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183295090,"gmtCreate":1623332156510,"gmtModify":1634034502909,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183295090","repostId":"1180064020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180064020","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623331902,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180064020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180064020","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 10) U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared.\nAirline stocks rally","content":"<p>(June 10)&nbsp;U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open.&nbsp;Chinese Education Stocks soared.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）美国。股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3319d3b4d9de022c9ba1cf2e2452ee50\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Airline stocks rally.</p><p><blockquote>航空股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918397d0861786d9643834f404915b8f\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Video-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell over 6%&nbsp;in morning trading even after the company tapped formerAmazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEOand said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.</p><p><blockquote>视频游戏零售商和meme股票游戏驿站在早盘交易中下跌超过6%，尽管该公司任命前亚马逊高管马特·弗隆(Matt Furlong)为下一任首席执行官，并表示上季度销售额增长了25%。该公司还表示，可能会额外出售最多500万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5437e23fe0b63fa6886cf840ceac1e81\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周四上涨，投资者对一份关键的通胀报告不屑一顾，该报告显示价格压力增幅大于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, while theS&amp;P 500edged 0.4% higher. The Nasdaq Composite traded 0.2% higher even with bond yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨200点，标准普尔500指数小幅上涨0.4%。尽管债券收益率上升，纳斯达克综合指数仍上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着经济从大流行引发的衰退中复苏，5月份消费者价格以2008年夏季以来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>代表包括食品、能源、杂货在内的一篮子商品的消费者价格指数比一年前上涨了5%。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计涨幅为4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Fears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，对通胀飙升的担忧打压了股市，投资者担心价格上涨将提高企业成本，引发利率上升，并导致美联储取消宽松货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> “This CPI isn’t likely to change the narrative dramatically and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人亚当·克里萨富利(Adam Crisafulli)周四在一份报告中表示：“CPI不太可能大幅改变人们的说法，而且仍有迹象表明通胀势头将在未来几个月减弱。”</blockquote></p><p> Many economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the BLS. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.</p><p><blockquote>许多经济学家还表示，本月二手车成本的飙升可能会扭曲通胀数据。根据美国劳工统计局的数据，二手车和卡车价格上涨了7%以上，占本月总涨幅的三分之一。二手车价格的上涨可能反映了与疫情和汽车供应相关的暂时现象。</blockquote></p><p> UPS shares rose about 1% in premarket trading afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing and Delta Air Lines were also higher in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通上调评级后，UPS股价在盘前交易中上涨约1%。波音和达美航空的股价在盘前交易中也走高。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. markets continued to trade within a tight range on Wednesday, with all three major indexes ending the day within 0.5% of Tuesday’s closing levels. The Dow, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all fell during regular trading, ending the session further away from their respective all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>美国市场周三继续窄幅震荡，三大股指当天收盘均较周二收盘水平在0.5%以内。道琼斯指数、标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在常规交易中均下跌，收盘时进一步远离各自的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.</p><p><blockquote>标普500仍然最接近其基准，距离历史新高仅0.44%。道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数距离创纪录水平约2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared<blockquote>美国股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-10 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 10)&nbsp;U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open.&nbsp;Chinese Education Stocks soared.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）美国。股市周四开盘上涨。中国教育股飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3319d3b4d9de022c9ba1cf2e2452ee50\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Airline stocks rally.</p><p><blockquote>航空股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918397d0861786d9643834f404915b8f\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Video-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell over 6%&nbsp;in morning trading even after the company tapped formerAmazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEOand said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.</p><p><blockquote>视频游戏零售商和meme股票游戏驿站在早盘交易中下跌超过6%，尽管该公司任命前亚马逊高管马特·弗隆(Matt Furlong)为下一任首席执行官，并表示上季度销售额增长了25%。该公司还表示，可能会额外出售最多500万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5437e23fe0b63fa6886cf840ceac1e81\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"584\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周四上涨，投资者对一份关键的通胀报告不屑一顾，该报告显示价格压力增幅大于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, while theS&amp;P 500edged 0.4% higher. The Nasdaq Composite traded 0.2% higher even with bond yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨200点，标准普尔500指数小幅上涨0.4%。尽管债券收益率上升，纳斯达克综合指数仍上涨0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着经济从大流行引发的衰退中复苏，5月份消费者价格以2008年夏季以来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>代表包括食品、能源、杂货在内的一篮子商品的消费者价格指数比一年前上涨了5%。道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计涨幅为4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Fears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，对通胀飙升的担忧打压了股市，投资者担心价格上涨将提高企业成本，引发利率上升，并导致美联储取消宽松货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> “This CPI isn’t likely to change the narrative dramatically and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人亚当·克里萨富利(Adam Crisafulli)周四在一份报告中表示：“CPI不太可能大幅改变人们的说法，而且仍有迹象表明通胀势头将在未来几个月减弱。”</blockquote></p><p> Many economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the BLS. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.</p><p><blockquote>许多经济学家还表示，本月二手车成本的飙升可能会扭曲通胀数据。根据美国劳工统计局的数据，二手车和卡车价格上涨了7%以上，占本月总涨幅的三分之一。二手车价格的上涨可能反映了与疫情和汽车供应相关的暂时现象。</blockquote></p><p> UPS shares rose about 1% in premarket trading afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing and Delta Air Lines were also higher in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通上调评级后，UPS股价在盘前交易中上涨约1%。波音和达美航空的股价在盘前交易中也走高。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. markets continued to trade within a tight range on Wednesday, with all three major indexes ending the day within 0.5% of Tuesday’s closing levels. The Dow, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all fell during regular trading, ending the session further away from their respective all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>美国市场周三继续窄幅震荡，三大股指当天收盘均较周二收盘水平在0.5%以内。道琼斯指数、标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在常规交易中均下跌，收盘时进一步远离各自的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.</p><p><blockquote>标普500仍然最接近其基准，距离历史新高仅0.44%。道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数距离创纪录水平约2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180064020","content_text":"(June 10) U.S. stocks gained in Thursday open. Chinese Education Stocks soared.\nAirline stocks rally.\n\nVideo-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell over 6% in morning trading even after the company tapped formerAmazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEOand said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.\nU.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, while theS&P 500edged 0.4% higher. The Nasdaq Composite traded 0.2% higher even with bond yields rising.\nConsumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.\nThe consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.\nFears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.\n“This CPI isn’t likely to change the narrative dramatically and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,” Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.\nMany economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the BLS. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.\nUPS shares rose about 1% in premarket trading afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing and Delta Air Lines were also higher in premarket trading.\nU.S. markets continued to trade within a tight range on Wednesday, with all three major indexes ending the day within 0.5% of Tuesday’s closing levels. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all fell during regular trading, ending the session further away from their respective all-time highs.\nThe S&P 500 remains closest to its benchmark and is just 0.44% away from a new all-time high. The Dow and Nasdaq are roughly 2% away from records.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137504148,"gmtCreate":1622357879484,"gmtModify":1634102055840,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment .","listText":"Like n comment .","text":"Like n comment .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137504148","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375087012,"gmtCreate":1619259572436,"gmtModify":1634287393362,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375087012","repostId":"1166519043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162772875,"gmtCreate":1624078238397,"gmtModify":1631892659725,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162772875","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187795690,"gmtCreate":1623764035810,"gmtModify":1631892659747,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n commmet&nbsp;","listText":"Like n commmet&nbsp;","text":"Like n commmet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187795690","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134904771,"gmtCreate":1622197635393,"gmtModify":1634182943109,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134904771","repostId":"2138109757","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132486195,"gmtCreate":1622107092717,"gmtModify":1634183792609,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132486195","repostId":"1158384752","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168498633,"gmtCreate":1623980212622,"gmtModify":1631892659736,"author":{"id":"3580355796514917","authorId":"3580355796514917","name":"Futou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916825842b25f5fe80b5e37afe6ec221","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580355796514917","authorIdStr":"3580355796514917"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168498633","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148576248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc.  stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}