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thekang
2021-09-27
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ASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote>
thekang
2021-09-14
Let's get it on!
EV stocks rose in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨</blockquote>
thekang
2021-10-25
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
ddont panicd just hodl
thekang
2021-07-29
Comment and like
S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>
thekang
2021-07-20
Fellow Singaporeans! This MIW have no clue how to run a country.. please remember to vote them out next GE
抱歉,原内容已删除
thekang
2021-06-25
Comment and like pls
抱歉,原内容已删除
thekang
2021-06-10
Like and comment thanks
U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>
thekang
2021-11-13
Like and comment
抱歉,原内容已删除
thekang
2021-08-02
Good. Like and comment thanks
抱歉,原内容已删除
thekang
2021-07-30
Please like and comment
抱歉,原内容已删除
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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866822925","repostId":"1123391790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123391790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632754543,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123391790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 22:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123391790","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</li> <li>ASML is firing on all cylinders, but the valuation has become extremely stretched and we believe it is time to take profits or at least reduce the position.</li> <li>We are positive on the company's fundamentals and still believe extreme ultraviolet technology is the future of chip manufacturing.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbbfa8ed4239d6e8d29d42367fc89fa\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML的看涨文章,从那时起,它的表现就显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</li><li>ASML正在全力以赴,但估值已经变得极度紧张,我们认为是时候获利了结或至少减少头寸了。</li><li>我们对该公司的基本面持乐观态度,并且仍然相信极紫外技术是芯片制造的未来。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We wrote a bullish article on ASML(NASDAQ:ASML) more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</p><p><blockquote>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML(纳斯达克股票代码:ASML)的看涨文章,此后该公司的表现显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebeefb02d1c446db8e52248f8743ecf3\" tg-width=\"257\" tg-height=\"202\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of our thesis was that the industry was becoming a natural monopoly since few could match the extreme investment and R&D needed, this is what we said back then:</p><p><blockquote>我们的部分论点是,该行业正在成为自然垄断,因为很少有人能够匹配所需的极端投资和研发,这就是我们当时所说的:</blockquote></p><p> Increasing complexity and R&D costs have raised the stakes to a point where few companies will be able to compete in the future, increasing returns for the few left standing. We also mentioned that the time had come for years of significant R&D investment to pay off, and it seems we were right given the exponential growth in its gross profit as seen in the graph below.</p><p><blockquote>日益增加的复杂性和研发成本已经将赌注提高到了未来很少有公司能够竞争的程度,从而增加了少数留下来的公司的回报。我们还提到,多年来的大量研发投资获得回报的时候到了,考虑到其毛利润的指数增长,我们似乎是对的,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7695b604564361609481c3be5ba51ee5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While shares deserve a high price/sales multiple given the record gross profit margins, we believe it has gotten too stretched at ~18x.</p><p><blockquote>虽然考虑到创纪录的毛利率,该股理应获得较高的市销率,但我们认为约18倍的市销率已经过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b58849fe01d66780fe4568ad581e3496\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of the bullish thesis with ASML is that despite the cyclicality of its revenue, it's easy to observe that there is also a secular trend higher. ASML is increasing its market share and the industry is becoming almost a monopoly. ASML is turning out to be the only game in town when it comes to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment, and customers are buying more equipment to meet the increases in semiconductor demand.</p><p><blockquote>ASML看涨论点的一部分是,尽管其收入具有周期性,但很容易观察到也有长期走高的趋势。ASML正在增加其市场份额,该行业几乎成为垄断。事实证明,在极紫外(EUV)设备方面,ASML是唯一的游戏,客户正在购买更多设备来满足半导体需求的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1846ea5e83cafd797cb6cc34fb9b9aa4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As revenue increases and the company becomes more successful it is not reducing R&D expense, but instead is doubling down with more money dedicated than ever to R&D. We like that the company keeps investing in its future, and this will make it increasingly difficult for competitors to ever catch up.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加和公司变得更加成功,它并没有减少R&D费用,而是加倍投入比以往更多的资金用于R&D。我们喜欢该公司不断投资于其未来,这将使竞争对手越来越难以赶上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/640dbaeb6546cb17ae3d44efe00a9dbc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> When we wrote the bullish article in 2019 shares were trading at an EV/EBITDA of ~18x, and now shares are almost 3x times more expensive based on this valuation multiple. Share price increases have clearly surpassed increases in profitability. We believe this is not sustainable and either business fundamentals catch up with the share price, or the share price adjusts to a more reasonable multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当我们在2019年撰写这篇看涨文章时,股价的EV/EBITDA约为18倍,而现在基于这一估值倍数,股价几乎高出3倍。股价的涨幅显然超过了盈利能力的涨幅。我们认为这是不可持续的,要么业务基本面赶上股价,要么股价调整到更合理的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0e53eb278ed1ce84114574a338bf8b5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> One thing that has not changed is the strength of the company's balance sheet. The company continues to have a net positive cash position and a very healthy quick ratio above 1.0 having more quick assets than current liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>有一点没有改变,那就是公司资产负债表的实力。该公司继续拥有净正现金头寸,速动比率非常健康,高于1.0,速动资产多于流动负债。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a616b21047d8945929adab5654c491\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Back in 2019 the dividend was ~1%, and the company had just announced that it intended to increase it by 50%. Today, while the company continues rewarding shareholders with a dividend and share repurchases, the yield has become a minuscule 0.38%. The shareholder yield, which incorporates both the dividend and share repurchases, is a little better at 2% compared to ~3% back in 2019. These statistics and dividend compression reflect how expensive shares have gotten. We also think that share buybacks should be postponed until the share price is closer to the intrinsic value of the company.</p><p><blockquote>早在2019年,股息约为1%,该公司刚刚宣布打算将股息增加50%。如今,虽然该公司继续通过股息和股票回购来回报股东,但收益率已降至微不足道的0.38%。包括股息和股票回购在内的股东收益率略好于2%,而2019年约为3%。这些统计数据和股息压缩反映了股票变得多么昂贵。我们还认为,股票回购应该推迟,直到股价更接近公司的内在价值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16e4d38a523ce2586faa9b0e572aaadb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, the forward P/E ratio does an excellent job capturing how expensive shares have gotten. Back in 2019 shares were trading at a TTM and forward P/E of ~24x each. Both of these multiples have more than doubled since then.</p><p><blockquote>最后,远期市盈率很好地捕捉了股票的价格。早在2019年,股票的TTM和远期市盈率均约为24倍。自那时以来,这两个倍数都增加了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1468398d132f9200083378aa535dd7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Competitive Advantages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争优势</b></blockquote></p><p> What we predicted about ASML's competitive advantages becoming stronger has come to pass. ASML is basically selling all the machines it can manufacture with its order book filling, and it is projecting a trillion dollar semiconductor market by 2030, twice its size today. Given the strength of their current offering and the fact that the company is still investing heavily in R&D to further improve the machines, it is likely that ASML will capture a lot of the CapEx needed to double the production capacity of the industry.</p><p><blockquote>我们预测的ASML竞争优势变得更强的事情已经成为现实。ASML基本上正在销售其订单填充所能制造的所有机器,并预计到2030年半导体市场将达到1万亿美元,是目前规模的两倍。鉴于其当前产品的实力以及该公司仍在研发上投入巨资以进一步改进机器的事实,ASML很可能会获得将该行业产能翻倍所需的大量资本支出。</blockquote></p><p> Looking back, this was our reasoning back then which led us to predict the company would come to dominate its industry:</p><p><blockquote>回想起来,这就是我们当时的推理,让我们预测该公司将主导其行业:</blockquote></p><p> While we believe the market is currently valuing ASML as a high-quality technology company with significant growth opportunities ahead, it appears the market is missing just how critical EUV lithography technology can become.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们认为市场目前将ASML视为一家未来具有巨大增长机会的优质技术公司,但市场似乎忽略了EUV光刻技术的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> The investments to keep Moore's Law alive and technology nodes shrinking are rising quickly as the complexity of the machines increases and the needed R&D investments go up. This raises the stakes with every new generation forcing competitors out, giving the few remaining companies more pricing power and making their intellectual property more valuable. Some analysts however are starting to grasp the significance of these developments. For example, InsingerGilissen Bankiers analyst Jos Versteeg told Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>随着机器复杂性的增加和所需的R&D投资的增加,保持摩尔定律和技术节点萎缩的投资正在迅速增加。这增加了风险,每一代新一代都会迫使竞争对手出局,给剩下的少数公司更多的定价权,并使他们的知识产权更有价值。然而,一些分析师开始理解这些发展的重要性。例如,InsingerGilissen Bankiers分析师Jos Versteeg告诉彭博社:</blockquote></p><p> ASML sees in its order portfolio it looks well for overall 2019, for a major part because it moves into EUV, in which they are the only player. The future for the coming seven years looks very bright.</p><p><blockquote>ASML认为其订单组合在2019年整体情况良好,这在很大程度上是因为它进入了EUV,而他们是唯一的参与者。未来七年的前景看起来非常光明。</blockquote></p><p> These are incredibly complex machines that weigh more than a 100 tons, require the use of high-powered lasers and plasma, and took years and incredible amounts of engineering ingenuity to get to work.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是极其复杂的机器,重量超过100吨,需要使用高功率激光和等离子体,并且需要数年时间和令人难以置信的工程创造力才能工作。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/973b1626dc094982f58ff77dc14b4098\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Not only is EUV lithography technology critical to keep shrinking technology nodes, but its adoption also has some side benefits for customers. These include cycle time reductions, process simplification, and cost reductions.</p><p><blockquote>EUV光刻技术不仅对于保持缩小技术节点至关重要,而且其采用也为客户带来了一些附带好处。其中包括缩短周期时间、简化流程和降低成本。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2abd6a60053e447cab0b1f2abb3ed64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For these reasons several semiconductor technology leaders are building significant capacity for EUV systems.</p><p><blockquote>出于这些原因,一些半导体技术领导者正在为EUV系统建设大量产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While ASML's fundamentals remain as strong as ever, we believe most of the good news is already reflected in the share price. We think right now is a good moment to sell, or at least pair down the investment. ASML is truly a one-of-a-kind company that dominates its industry in a way that rarely happens. It has left competitors in the dust and is growing with good profitability and attractive margins. However, at the end of the day a successful investment is as much the quality of the company as it is the price paid, and currently the price is very high.</p><p><blockquote>虽然ASML的基本面一如既往地强劲,但我们相信大部分好消息已经反映在股价中。我们认为现在是出售的好时机,或者至少是配对投资。ASML确实是一家独一无二的公司,以一种罕见的方式主导着行业。它已经将竞争对手远远甩在身后,并且正在以良好的盈利能力和有吸引力的利润率增长。然而,归根结底,一项成功的投资既取决于公司的质量,也取决于支付的价格,而目前价格非常高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 22:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</li> <li>ASML is firing on all cylinders, but the valuation has become extremely stretched and we believe it is time to take profits or at least reduce the position.</li> <li>We are positive on the company's fundamentals and still believe extreme ultraviolet technology is the future of chip manufacturing.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbbfa8ed4239d6e8d29d42367fc89fa\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML的看涨文章,从那时起,它的表现就显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</li><li>ASML正在全力以赴,但估值已经变得极度紧张,我们认为是时候获利了结或至少减少头寸了。</li><li>我们对该公司的基本面持乐观态度,并且仍然相信极紫外技术是芯片制造的未来。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We wrote a bullish article on ASML(NASDAQ:ASML) more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</p><p><blockquote>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML(纳斯达克股票代码:ASML)的看涨文章,此后该公司的表现显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebeefb02d1c446db8e52248f8743ecf3\" tg-width=\"257\" tg-height=\"202\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of our thesis was that the industry was becoming a natural monopoly since few could match the extreme investment and R&D needed, this is what we said back then:</p><p><blockquote>我们的部分论点是,该行业正在成为自然垄断,因为很少有人能够匹配所需的极端投资和研发,这就是我们当时所说的:</blockquote></p><p> Increasing complexity and R&D costs have raised the stakes to a point where few companies will be able to compete in the future, increasing returns for the few left standing. We also mentioned that the time had come for years of significant R&D investment to pay off, and it seems we were right given the exponential growth in its gross profit as seen in the graph below.</p><p><blockquote>日益增加的复杂性和研发成本已经将赌注提高到了未来很少有公司能够竞争的程度,从而增加了少数留下来的公司的回报。我们还提到,多年来的大量研发投资获得回报的时候到了,考虑到其毛利润的指数增长,我们似乎是对的,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7695b604564361609481c3be5ba51ee5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While shares deserve a high price/sales multiple given the record gross profit margins, we believe it has gotten too stretched at ~18x.</p><p><blockquote>虽然考虑到创纪录的毛利率,该股理应获得较高的市销率,但我们认为约18倍的市销率已经过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b58849fe01d66780fe4568ad581e3496\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of the bullish thesis with ASML is that despite the cyclicality of its revenue, it's easy to observe that there is also a secular trend higher. ASML is increasing its market share and the industry is becoming almost a monopoly. ASML is turning out to be the only game in town when it comes to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment, and customers are buying more equipment to meet the increases in semiconductor demand.</p><p><blockquote>ASML看涨论点的一部分是,尽管其收入具有周期性,但很容易观察到也有长期走高的趋势。ASML正在增加其市场份额,该行业几乎成为垄断。事实证明,在极紫外(EUV)设备方面,ASML是唯一的游戏,客户正在购买更多设备来满足半导体需求的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1846ea5e83cafd797cb6cc34fb9b9aa4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As revenue increases and the company becomes more successful it is not reducing R&D expense, but instead is doubling down with more money dedicated than ever to R&D. We like that the company keeps investing in its future, and this will make it increasingly difficult for competitors to ever catch up.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加和公司变得更加成功,它并没有减少R&D费用,而是加倍投入比以往更多的资金用于R&D。我们喜欢该公司不断投资于其未来,这将使竞争对手越来越难以赶上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/640dbaeb6546cb17ae3d44efe00a9dbc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> When we wrote the bullish article in 2019 shares were trading at an EV/EBITDA of ~18x, and now shares are almost 3x times more expensive based on this valuation multiple. Share price increases have clearly surpassed increases in profitability. We believe this is not sustainable and either business fundamentals catch up with the share price, or the share price adjusts to a more reasonable multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当我们在2019年撰写这篇看涨文章时,股价的EV/EBITDA约为18倍,而现在基于这一估值倍数,股价几乎高出3倍。股价的涨幅显然超过了盈利能力的涨幅。我们认为这是不可持续的,要么业务基本面赶上股价,要么股价调整到更合理的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0e53eb278ed1ce84114574a338bf8b5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> One thing that has not changed is the strength of the company's balance sheet. The company continues to have a net positive cash position and a very healthy quick ratio above 1.0 having more quick assets than current liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>有一点没有改变,那就是公司资产负债表的实力。该公司继续拥有净正现金头寸,速动比率非常健康,高于1.0,速动资产多于流动负债。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a616b21047d8945929adab5654c491\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Back in 2019 the dividend was ~1%, and the company had just announced that it intended to increase it by 50%. Today, while the company continues rewarding shareholders with a dividend and share repurchases, the yield has become a minuscule 0.38%. The shareholder yield, which incorporates both the dividend and share repurchases, is a little better at 2% compared to ~3% back in 2019. These statistics and dividend compression reflect how expensive shares have gotten. We also think that share buybacks should be postponed until the share price is closer to the intrinsic value of the company.</p><p><blockquote>早在2019年,股息约为1%,该公司刚刚宣布打算将股息增加50%。如今,虽然该公司继续通过股息和股票回购来回报股东,但收益率已降至微不足道的0.38%。包括股息和股票回购在内的股东收益率略好于2%,而2019年约为3%。这些统计数据和股息压缩反映了股票变得多么昂贵。我们还认为,股票回购应该推迟,直到股价更接近公司的内在价值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16e4d38a523ce2586faa9b0e572aaadb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, the forward P/E ratio does an excellent job capturing how expensive shares have gotten. Back in 2019 shares were trading at a TTM and forward P/E of ~24x each. Both of these multiples have more than doubled since then.</p><p><blockquote>最后,远期市盈率很好地捕捉了股票的价格。早在2019年,股票的TTM和远期市盈率均约为24倍。自那时以来,这两个倍数都增加了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1468398d132f9200083378aa535dd7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Competitive Advantages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争优势</b></blockquote></p><p> What we predicted about ASML's competitive advantages becoming stronger has come to pass. ASML is basically selling all the machines it can manufacture with its order book filling, and it is projecting a trillion dollar semiconductor market by 2030, twice its size today. Given the strength of their current offering and the fact that the company is still investing heavily in R&D to further improve the machines, it is likely that ASML will capture a lot of the CapEx needed to double the production capacity of the industry.</p><p><blockquote>我们预测的ASML竞争优势变得更强的事情已经成为现实。ASML基本上正在销售其订单填充所能制造的所有机器,并预计到2030年半导体市场将达到1万亿美元,是目前规模的两倍。鉴于其当前产品的实力以及该公司仍在研发上投入巨资以进一步改进机器的事实,ASML很可能会获得将该行业产能翻倍所需的大量资本支出。</blockquote></p><p> Looking back, this was our reasoning back then which led us to predict the company would come to dominate its industry:</p><p><blockquote>回想起来,这就是我们当时的推理,让我们预测该公司将主导其行业:</blockquote></p><p> While we believe the market is currently valuing ASML as a high-quality technology company with significant growth opportunities ahead, it appears the market is missing just how critical EUV lithography technology can become.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们认为市场目前将ASML视为一家未来具有巨大增长机会的优质技术公司,但市场似乎忽略了EUV光刻技术的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> The investments to keep Moore's Law alive and technology nodes shrinking are rising quickly as the complexity of the machines increases and the needed R&D investments go up. This raises the stakes with every new generation forcing competitors out, giving the few remaining companies more pricing power and making their intellectual property more valuable. Some analysts however are starting to grasp the significance of these developments. For example, InsingerGilissen Bankiers analyst Jos Versteeg told Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>随着机器复杂性的增加和所需的R&D投资的增加,保持摩尔定律和技术节点萎缩的投资正在迅速增加。这增加了风险,每一代新一代都会迫使竞争对手出局,给剩下的少数公司更多的定价权,并使他们的知识产权更有价值。然而,一些分析师开始理解这些发展的重要性。例如,InsingerGilissen Bankiers分析师Jos Versteeg告诉彭博社:</blockquote></p><p> ASML sees in its order portfolio it looks well for overall 2019, for a major part because it moves into EUV, in which they are the only player. The future for the coming seven years looks very bright.</p><p><blockquote>ASML认为其订单组合在2019年整体情况良好,这在很大程度上是因为它进入了EUV,而他们是唯一的参与者。未来七年的前景看起来非常光明。</blockquote></p><p> These are incredibly complex machines that weigh more than a 100 tons, require the use of high-powered lasers and plasma, and took years and incredible amounts of engineering ingenuity to get to work.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是极其复杂的机器,重量超过100吨,需要使用高功率激光和等离子体,并且需要数年时间和令人难以置信的工程创造力才能工作。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/973b1626dc094982f58ff77dc14b4098\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Not only is EUV lithography technology critical to keep shrinking technology nodes, but its adoption also has some side benefits for customers. These include cycle time reductions, process simplification, and cost reductions.</p><p><blockquote>EUV光刻技术不仅对于保持缩小技术节点至关重要,而且其采用也为客户带来了一些附带好处。其中包括缩短周期时间、简化流程和降低成本。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2abd6a60053e447cab0b1f2abb3ed64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For these reasons several semiconductor technology leaders are building significant capacity for EUV systems.</p><p><blockquote>出于这些原因,一些半导体技术领导者正在为EUV系统建设大量产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While ASML's fundamentals remain as strong as ever, we believe most of the good news is already reflected in the share price. We think right now is a good moment to sell, or at least pair down the investment. ASML is truly a one-of-a-kind company that dominates its industry in a way that rarely happens. It has left competitors in the dust and is growing with good profitability and attractive margins. However, at the end of the day a successful investment is as much the quality of the company as it is the price paid, and currently the price is very high.</p><p><blockquote>虽然ASML的基本面一如既往地强劲,但我们相信大部分好消息已经反映在股价中。我们认为现在是出售的好时机,或者至少是配对投资。ASML确实是一家独一无二的公司,以一种罕见的方式主导着行业。它已经将竞争对手远远甩在身后,并且正在以良好的盈利能力和有吸引力的利润率增长。然而,归根结底,一项成功的投资既取决于公司的质量,也取决于支付的价格,而目前价格非常高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457186-asml-its-time-to-take-profits\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457186-asml-its-time-to-take-profits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123391790","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.\nASML is firing on all cylinders, but the valuation has become extremely stretched and we believe it is time to take profits or at least reduce the position.\nWe are positive on the company's fundamentals and still believe extreme ultraviolet technology is the future of chip manufacturing.\n\nMichael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nWe wrote a bullish article on ASML(NASDAQ:ASML) more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nPart of our thesis was that the industry was becoming a natural monopoly since few could match the extreme investment and R&D needed, this is what we said back then:\n\n Increasing complexity and R&D costs have raised the stakes to a point where few companies will be able to compete in the future, increasing returns for the few left standing.\n\nWe also mentioned that the time had come for years of significant R&D investment to pay off, and it seems we were right given the exponential growth in its gross profit as seen in the graph below.\nData by YCharts\nWhile shares deserve a high price/sales multiple given the record gross profit margins, we believe it has gotten too stretched at ~18x.\nData by YCharts\nPart of the bullish thesis with ASML is that despite the cyclicality of its revenue, it's easy to observe that there is also a secular trend higher. ASML is increasing its market share and the industry is becoming almost a monopoly. ASML is turning out to be the only game in town when it comes to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment, and customers are buying more equipment to meet the increases in semiconductor demand.\nData by YCharts\nAs revenue increases and the company becomes more successful it is not reducing R&D expense, but instead is doubling down with more money dedicated than ever to R&D. We like that the company keeps investing in its future, and this will make it increasingly difficult for competitors to ever catch up.\nData by YCharts\nValuation\nWhen we wrote the bullish article in 2019 shares were trading at an EV/EBITDA of ~18x, and now shares are almost 3x times more expensive based on this valuation multiple. Share price increases have clearly surpassed increases in profitability. We believe this is not sustainable and either business fundamentals catch up with the share price, or the share price adjusts to a more reasonable multiple.\nData by YCharts\nOne thing that has not changed is the strength of the company's balance sheet. The company continues to have a net positive cash position and a very healthy quick ratio above 1.0 having more quick assets than current liabilities.\nData by YCharts\nBack in 2019 the dividend was ~1%, and the company had just announced that it intended to increase it by 50%. Today, while the company continues rewarding shareholders with a dividend and share repurchases, the yield has become a minuscule 0.38%. The shareholder yield, which incorporates both the dividend and share repurchases, is a little better at 2% compared to ~3% back in 2019. These statistics and dividend compression reflect how expensive shares have gotten. We also think that share buybacks should be postponed until the share price is closer to the intrinsic value of the company.\nData by YCharts\nFinally, the forward P/E ratio does an excellent job capturing how expensive shares have gotten. Back in 2019 shares were trading at a TTM and forward P/E of ~24x each. Both of these multiples have more than doubled since then.\nData by YCharts\nCompetitive Advantages\nWhat we predicted about ASML's competitive advantages becoming stronger has come to pass. ASML is basically selling all the machines it can manufacture with its order book filling, and it is projecting a trillion dollar semiconductor market by 2030, twice its size today. Given the strength of their current offering and the fact that the company is still investing heavily in R&D to further improve the machines, it is likely that ASML will capture a lot of the CapEx needed to double the production capacity of the industry.\nLooking back, this was our reasoning back then which led us to predict the company would come to dominate its industry:\nWhile we believe the market is currently valuing ASML as a high-quality technology company with significant growth opportunities ahead, it appears the market is missing just how critical EUV lithography technology can become.\nThe investments to keep Moore's Law alive and technology nodes shrinking are rising quickly as the complexity of the machines increases and the needed R&D investments go up. This raises the stakes with every new generation forcing competitors out, giving the few remaining companies more pricing power and making their intellectual property more valuable. Some analysts however are starting to grasp the significance of these developments. For example, InsingerGilissen Bankiers analyst Jos Versteeg told Bloomberg:\nASML sees in its order portfolio it looks well for overall 2019, for a major part because it moves into EUV, in which they are the only player. The future for the coming seven years looks very bright.\nThese are incredibly complex machines that weigh more than a 100 tons, require the use of high-powered lasers and plasma, and took years and incredible amounts of engineering ingenuity to get to work.\nSource: ASML investor presentation\nNot only is EUV lithography technology critical to keep shrinking technology nodes, but its adoption also has some side benefits for customers. These include cycle time reductions, process simplification, and cost reductions.\nSource: ASML investor presentation\nFor these reasons several semiconductor technology leaders are building significant capacity for EUV systems.\nConclusion\nWhile ASML's fundamentals remain as strong as ever, we believe most of the good news is already reflected in the share price. We think right now is a good moment to sell, or at least pair down the investment. ASML is truly a one-of-a-kind company that dominates its industry in a way that rarely happens. It has left competitors in the dust and is growing with good profitability and attractive margins. However, at the end of the day a successful investment is as much the quality of the company as it is the price paid, and currently the price is very high.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866826665,"gmtCreate":1632754772057,"gmtModify":1632798059753,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579391473717940","authorIdStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$Activision Blizzard(ATVI)$</a>RReallt bruh","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$Activision Blizzard(ATVI)$</a>RReallt bruh","text":"$Activision Blizzard(ATVI)$RReallt bruh","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1bc6fded0834787b6834b830b1e5855","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866826665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861772701,"gmtCreate":1632543549303,"gmtModify":1632799214056,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579391473717940","authorIdStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good way","listText":"Good way","text":"Good way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861772701","repostId":"1104085778","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104085778","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632498166,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104085778?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Cue Health opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒:Cue Health开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104085778","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Cue Health Inc. opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nS","content":"<p>(Sept 24) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">Cue Health Inc.</a> opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>(9月24日)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">提示健康公司。</a>开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7270662a08ec3dac176aa52bf5cbd1a\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company & Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> San Diego, California-based Cue was founded to first develop a COVID-19 test kit and integrated information platform for processing and communication.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的Cue成立的目的是首先开发新冠肺炎测试套件和用于处理和通信的集成信息平台。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO Ayub Khattak, who has been with the firm since inception and holds a B.S. in mathematics from UCLA.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由联合创始人、董事长兼首席执行官Ayub Khattak领导,他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作,并拥有学士学位。加州大学洛杉矶分校数学专业。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings in its Cue Integrated Care Platform:</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其Cue综合护理平台中的主要产品:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Health monitoring system</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>健康监测系统</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Rader</p><p><blockquote><li>雷达</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Cartridge</p><p><blockquote><li>弹壳</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Wand</p><p><blockquote><li>墙</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Data</p><p><blockquote><li>数据</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Delivery apps</p><p><blockquote><li>交付应用程序</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Enterprise dashboard</p><p><blockquote><li>企业仪表板</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ecosystem integrations</p><p><blockquote><li>生态系统集成</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Cue has received at least $176 million in equity investment from investors including ACME Capital, Cove Investors, Decheng Capital China Life Sciences, Madrone and NVGA I.</p><p><blockquote>Cue已经获得了包括ACME Capital、Cove Investors、德诚资本中国生命科学、Madrone和NVGA I在内的投资者至少1.76亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer/User Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户/用户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The company pursues healthcare provider relationships through its in-house direct sales team focused on healthcare providers, large enterprises and public sector clients.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其专注于医疗保健提供商、大型企业和公共部门客户的内部直销团队寻求医疗保健提供商关系。</blockquote></p><p> Management expects 2021 customer demand for its COVID-19 test kits to exceed its manufacturing capacity.</p><p><blockquote>管理层预计,2021年客户对其COVID-19检测试剂盒的需求将超过其生产能力。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased sharply, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随着收入急剧增加而变化,如下图所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>3.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, was 100.5x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率(定义为每美元销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入)在最近一个报告期内为100.5倍,如下表所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.5</p><p><blockquote><td>100.5</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>22.9</p><p><blockquote><td>22.9</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Market & Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2020 marketresearch reportby Grand View Research, the global market for COVID-19 detection kits was an estimated $3.28 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $5 billion by 2027.</p><p><blockquote>根据Grand View Research的2020年市场研究报告,2020年新冠肺炎检测试剂盒的全球市场估计为32.8亿美元,预计到2027年将达到50亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 5.05% from 2021 to 2027.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2027年的预测复合年增长率为5.05%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a strong growth in demand for testing services of all types on a global basis.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是全球对所有类型测试服务需求的强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Also, below is a chart showing the market share of use of detection kits by end-user type:</p><p><blockquote>此外,下图显示了按最终用户类型划分的检测试剂盒使用的市场份额:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b7fc60b336bae7685e08132f8176b57\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source)</p><p><blockquote>(资料来源)</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Abbott Laboratories(NYSE:ABT)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>雅培实验室(纽约证券交易所代码:ABT)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Becton, Dickinson(NYSE:BDX)</p><p><blockquote><li>迪金森贝克顿(纽约证券交易所代码:BDX)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>bioMerieux(OTCPK:BMXMF)</p><p><blockquote><li>生物梅里埃(OTCPK:BMXMF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Bio-Rad Laboratories(NYSE:BIO)</p><p><blockquote><li>Bio-Rad实验室(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BIO)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Danaher(NYSE:DHR)</p><p><blockquote><li>丹纳赫(纽约证券交易所代码:DHR)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ellume Limited</p><p><blockquote><li>Ellume有限公司</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Everly Health</p><p><blockquote><li>艾弗利健康</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</p><p><blockquote><li>罗氏(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Fluidigm(NASDAQ:FLDM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Fluidigm(纳斯达克:FLDM)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)</p><p><blockquote><li>GenMark Diagnostics(纳斯达克:GNMK)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Cue近期财务业绩可总结如下:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Sharply growing top line revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收急剧增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Increasing gross profit and variable gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>增加毛利及可变毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>A swing to operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Variable cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营活动产生的可变现金流量</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 201,922,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$201,922,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 22,953,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$22,953,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>246.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>246.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 116,745,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$116,745,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>2253.7%</p><p><blockquote><td>2253.7%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 8,002,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$8,002,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>20.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>20.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>57.82%</p><p><blockquote><td>57.82%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>34.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>34.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.00%</p><p><blockquote><td>100.00%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 79,463,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$79,463,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>39.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>39.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (45,126,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(45,126,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-196.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>-196.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,767,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,767,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-313.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>-313.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 32,840,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$32,840,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (47,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(47,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,606,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,606,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (37,812,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(37,812,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 92,655,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$92,655,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (12,996,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(12,996,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Cue had $246.3 million in cash and $516.3 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日,Cue拥有2.463亿美元现金,总负债为5.163亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内,自由现金流为负(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of relevant capitalization and valuation figures for the company:</p><p><blockquote>下表为本公司的相关资本化及估值数字:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$2,299,981,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$2,299,981,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$1,874,455,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$1,874,455,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.70%</p><p><blockquote><td>8.70%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$16.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$16.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-$59,920,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$59,920,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-2.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>-2.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As a reference, a potential partial and imperfect public comparable to Cue would be Bio-Rad (BIO); below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考,与Cue相当的潜在部分和不完美的公共将是Bio-Rad(BIO);以下是其主要估值指标的比较:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>公制</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Bio-Rad (BIO)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>Bio-Rad(生物)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Cue Health (HLTH)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>提示健康(HLTH)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.15</p><p><blockquote><td>8.15</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>28.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>7.82</p><p><blockquote><td>7.82</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>9.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>31.66</p><p><blockquote><td>31.66</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>12.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$134.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$134.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>25.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>25.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>15436.03%</p><p><blockquote><td>15436.03%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>(术语表)</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue is seeking public investment capital to further scale its commercialization operations as well as continue its R & D efforts.</p><p><blockquote>Cue正在寻求公共投资资本,以进一步扩大其商业化业务并继续其研发工作。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s financials show sharply growing top line revenue, strong growth in gross profit and variable gross margin, a swing to operating profit and net income and highly fluctuating cash flow from or use in operations</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示,营收大幅增长,毛利润和可变毛利率强劲增长,营业利润和净利润出现波动,经营活动产生或使用的现金流高度波动</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was an eye-popping negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流是令人瞠目结舌的负值(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have fluctuated as revenues have increased dramatically; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate was an extremely high 100.5x in the most recent reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的急剧增加而波动;在最近的报告期内,其销售和营销效率高达100.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for COVID-19 and related test kit platforms is large and will likely grow at a high rate of growth over the coming years as countries around the world seek to bolster their testing capabilities in the wake of the recent global pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎和相关检测试剂盒平台的市场机会很大,并且在未来几年可能会以高增长率增长,因为世界各国在最近的全球疫情之后寻求增强其检测能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 39.9% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商,该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为39.9%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the firm now is that it is essentially a one-product company, so its revenue base is heavily concentrated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司现在面临的主要风险是,它本质上是一家单一产品公司,因此其收入基础高度集中。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor Bio-Rad Laboratories, the IPO is reasonably valued on a revenue multiple, although Cue is growing at a much higher rate of growth from a much lower revenue base, so the comparison is strained at best.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值,与部分竞争对手Bio-Rad Laboratories相比,IPO的收入倍数估值合理,尽管Cue在收入基础低得多的情况下以高得多的增长率增长,因此这种比较充其量是紧张的。</blockquote></p><p> Given Cue’s growth trajectory, profitability and reasonable IPO valuation, the IPO is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于Cue的增长轨迹、盈利能力和合理的IPO估值,此次IPO值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO opening reminder: Cue Health opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒:Cue Health开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Cue Health opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒:Cue Health开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 23:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">Cue Health Inc.</a> opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>(9月24日)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLTH\">提示健康公司。</a>开盘价为19.2美元,较IPO价格上涨20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7270662a08ec3dac176aa52bf5cbd1a\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company & Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> San Diego, California-based Cue was founded to first develop a COVID-19 test kit and integrated information platform for processing and communication.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的Cue成立的目的是首先开发新冠肺炎测试套件和用于处理和通信的集成信息平台。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO Ayub Khattak, who has been with the firm since inception and holds a B.S. in mathematics from UCLA.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由联合创始人、董事长兼首席执行官Ayub Khattak领导,他自公司成立以来一直在公司工作,并拥有学士学位。加州大学洛杉矶分校数学专业。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings in its Cue Integrated Care Platform:</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其Cue综合护理平台中的主要产品:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Health monitoring system</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>健康监测系统</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Rader</p><p><blockquote><li>雷达</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Cartridge</p><p><blockquote><li>弹壳</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Wand</p><p><blockquote><li>墙</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Data</p><p><blockquote><li>数据</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Delivery apps</p><p><blockquote><li>交付应用程序</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Enterprise dashboard</p><p><blockquote><li>企业仪表板</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ecosystem integrations</p><p><blockquote><li>生态系统集成</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Cue has received at least $176 million in equity investment from investors including ACME Capital, Cove Investors, Decheng Capital China Life Sciences, Madrone and NVGA I.</p><p><blockquote>Cue已经获得了包括ACME Capital、Cove Investors、德诚资本中国生命科学、Madrone和NVGA I在内的投资者至少1.76亿美元的股权投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer/User Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户/用户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The company pursues healthcare provider relationships through its in-house direct sales team focused on healthcare providers, large enterprises and public sector clients.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过其专注于医疗保健提供商、大型企业和公共部门客户的内部直销团队寻求医疗保健提供商关系。</blockquote></p><p> Management expects 2021 customer demand for its COVID-19 test kits to exceed its manufacturing capacity.</p><p><blockquote>管理层预计,2021年客户对其COVID-19检测试剂盒的需求将超过其生产能力。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased sharply, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随着收入急剧增加而变化,如下图所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>3.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>1.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>1.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, was 100.5x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率(定义为每美元销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入)在最近一个报告期内为100.5倍,如下表所示:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.5</p><p><blockquote><td>100.5</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>22.9</p><p><blockquote><td>22.9</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Market & Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2020 marketresearch reportby Grand View Research, the global market for COVID-19 detection kits was an estimated $3.28 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $5 billion by 2027.</p><p><blockquote>根据Grand View Research的2020年市场研究报告,2020年新冠肺炎检测试剂盒的全球市场估计为32.8亿美元,预计到2027年将达到50亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 5.05% from 2021 to 2027.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2021年至2027年的预测复合年增长率为5.05%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a strong growth in demand for testing services of all types on a global basis.</p><p><blockquote>这一预期增长的主要驱动力是全球对所有类型测试服务需求的强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Also, below is a chart showing the market share of use of detection kits by end-user type:</p><p><blockquote>此外,下图显示了按最终用户类型划分的检测试剂盒使用的市场份额:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b7fc60b336bae7685e08132f8176b57\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source)</p><p><blockquote>(资料来源)</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Abbott Laboratories(NYSE:ABT)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>雅培实验室(纽约证券交易所代码:ABT)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Becton, Dickinson(NYSE:BDX)</p><p><blockquote><li>迪金森贝克顿(纽约证券交易所代码:BDX)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>bioMerieux(OTCPK:BMXMF)</p><p><blockquote><li>生物梅里埃(OTCPK:BMXMF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Bio-Rad Laboratories(NYSE:BIO)</p><p><blockquote><li>Bio-Rad实验室(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BIO)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Danaher(NYSE:DHR)</p><p><blockquote><li>丹纳赫(纽约证券交易所代码:DHR)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Ellume Limited</p><p><blockquote><li>Ellume有限公司</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Everly Health</p><p><blockquote><li>艾弗利健康</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</p><p><blockquote><li>罗氏(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Fluidigm(NASDAQ:FLDM)</p><p><blockquote><li>Fluidigm(纳斯达克:FLDM)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)</p><p><blockquote><li>GenMark Diagnostics(纳斯达克:GNMK)</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Cue近期财务业绩可总结如下:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Sharply growing top line revenue</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收急剧增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Increasing gross profit and variable gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>增加毛利及可变毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>A swing to operating profit and net income</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Variable cash flow from operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营活动产生的可变现金流量</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 201,922,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$201,922,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 22,953,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$22,953,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>246.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>246.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 116,745,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$116,745,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>2253.7%</p><p><blockquote><td>2253.7%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 8,002,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$8,002,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>20.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>20.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 6,626,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$6,626,000</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>57.82%</p><p><blockquote><td>57.82%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>34.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>34.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>100.00%</p><p><blockquote><td>100.00%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 79,463,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$79,463,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>39.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>39.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (45,126,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(45,126,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-196.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>-196.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,767,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,767,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-313.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>-313.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润(亏损)</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润(亏损)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 32,840,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$32,840,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (47,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(47,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (20,606,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,606,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr></tr> <tr> <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (37,812,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(37,812,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ 92,655,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$92,655,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$ (12,996,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(12,996,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Cue had $246.3 million in cash and $516.3 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日,Cue拥有2.463亿美元现金,总负债为5.163亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内,自由现金流为负(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of relevant capitalization and valuation figures for the company:</p><p><blockquote>下表为本公司的相关资本化及估值数字:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$2,299,981,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$2,299,981,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$1,874,455,232</p><p><blockquote><td>$1,874,455,232</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.70%</p><p><blockquote><td>8.70%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$16.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$16.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-$59,920,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$59,920,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-2.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>-2.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> As a reference, a potential partial and imperfect public comparable to Cue would be Bio-Rad (BIO); below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p><p><blockquote>作为参考,与Cue相当的潜在部分和不完美的公共将是Bio-Rad(BIO);以下是其主要估值指标的比较:</blockquote></p><p> <table> <colgroup></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>公制</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Bio-Rad (BIO)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>Bio-Rad(生物)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Cue Health (HLTH)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>提示健康(HLTH)</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td><b>Variance</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>差异</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.15</p><p><blockquote><td>8.15</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>10.46</p><p><blockquote><td>10.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>28.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>7.82</p><p><blockquote><td>7.82</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>8.52</p><p><blockquote><td>8.52</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>9.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>9.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>31.66</p><p><blockquote><td>31.66</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>35.46</p><p><blockquote><td>35.46</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>12.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$134.05</p><p><blockquote><td>$134.05</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>$0.03</p><p><blockquote><td>$0.03</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>-100.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-100.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>25.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>25.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>3971.01%</p><p><blockquote><td>3971.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> <td>15436.03%</p><p><blockquote><td>15436.03%</td></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> <tr> <td>(Glossary Of Terms)</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>(术语表)</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> Cue is seeking public investment capital to further scale its commercialization operations as well as continue its R & D efforts.</p><p><blockquote>Cue正在寻求公共投资资本,以进一步扩大其商业化业务并继续其研发工作。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s financials show sharply growing top line revenue, strong growth in gross profit and variable gross margin, a swing to operating profit and net income and highly fluctuating cash flow from or use in operations</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示,营收大幅增长,毛利润和可变毛利率强劲增长,营业利润和净利润出现波动,经营活动产生或使用的现金流高度波动</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was an eye-popping negative ($60 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流是令人瞠目结舌的负值(6000万美元)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have fluctuated as revenues have increased dramatically; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate was an extremely high 100.5x in the most recent reporting period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的急剧增加而波动;在最近的报告期内,其销售和营销效率高达100.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for COVID-19 and related test kit platforms is large and will likely grow at a high rate of growth over the coming years as countries around the world seek to bolster their testing capabilities in the wake of the recent global pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎和相关检测试剂盒平台的市场机会很大,并且在未来几年可能会以高增长率增长,因为世界各国在最近的全球疫情之后寻求增强其检测能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 39.9% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商,该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为39.9%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等表现。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the firm now is that it is essentially a one-product company, so its revenue base is heavily concentrated.</p><p><blockquote>该公司现在面临的主要风险是,它本质上是一家单一产品公司,因此其收入基础高度集中。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to partial competitor Bio-Rad Laboratories, the IPO is reasonably valued on a revenue multiple, although Cue is growing at a much higher rate of growth from a much lower revenue base, so the comparison is strained at best.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值,与部分竞争对手Bio-Rad Laboratories相比,IPO的收入倍数估值合理,尽管Cue在收入基础低得多的情况下以高得多的增长率增长,因此这种比较充其量是紧张的。</blockquote></p><p> Given Cue’s growth trajectory, profitability and reasonable IPO valuation, the IPO is worth consideration.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于Cue的增长轨迹、盈利能力和合理的IPO估值,此次IPO值得考虑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HLTH":"Cue Health Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104085778","content_text":"(Sept 24) Cue Health Inc. opens for trading at $19.2, up 20% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nSan Diego, California-based Cue was founded to first develop a COVID-19 test kit and integrated information platform for processing and communication.\nManagement is headed by co-founder, Chairman and CEO Ayub Khattak, who has been with the firm since inception and holds a B.S. in mathematics from UCLA.\nThe company’s primary offerings in its Cue Integrated Care Platform:\n\nHealth monitoring system\nRader\nCartridge\nWand\nData\nDelivery apps\nEnterprise dashboard\nEcosystem integrations\n\nCue has received at least $176 million in equity investment from investors including ACME Capital, Cove Investors, Decheng Capital China Life Sciences, Madrone and NVGA I.\nCustomer/User Acquisition\nThe company pursues healthcare provider relationships through its in-house direct sales team focused on healthcare providers, large enterprises and public sector clients.\nManagement expects 2021 customer demand for its COVID-19 test kits to exceed its manufacturing capacity.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased sharply, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.0%\n\n\n2020\n3.1%\n\n\n2019\n1.3%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, was 100.5x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n100.5\n\n\n2020\n22.9\n\n\n\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2020 marketresearch reportby Grand View Research, the global market for COVID-19 detection kits was an estimated $3.28 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $5 billion by 2027.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 5.05% from 2021 to 2027.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a strong growth in demand for testing services of all types on a global basis.\nAlso, below is a chart showing the market share of use of detection kits by end-user type:\n\n(Source)\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nAbbott Laboratories(NYSE:ABT)\nBecton, Dickinson(NYSE:BDX)\nbioMerieux(OTCPK:BMXMF)\nBio-Rad Laboratories(NYSE:BIO)\nDanaher(NYSE:DHR)\nEllume Limited\nEverly Health\nRoche(OTCQX:RHHBY)(OTCQX:RHHBF)\nFluidigm(NASDAQ:FLDM)\nGenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nCue’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nSharply growing top line revenue\nIncreasing gross profit and variable gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net income\nVariable cash flow from operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 201,922,000\n3971.0%\n\n\n2020\n$ 22,953,000\n246.4%\n\n\n2019\n$ 6,626,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 116,745,000\n2253.7%\n\n\n2020\n$ 8,002,000\n20.8%\n\n\n2019\n$ 6,626,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n57.82%\n\n\n2020\n34.86%\n\n\n2019\n100.00%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 79,463,000\n39.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (45,126,000)\n-196.6%\n\n\n2019\n$ (20,767,000)\n-313.4%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 32,840,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (47,352,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (20,606,000)\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (37,812,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ 92,655,000\n\n\n2019\n$ (12,996,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Cue had $246.3 million in cash and $516.3 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($60 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of relevant capitalization and valuation figures for the company:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$2,299,981,232\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$1,874,455,232\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n10.46\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n8.52\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n35.46\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$0.03\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n8.70%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$16.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$59,920,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-2.61%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n3971.01%\n\n\n\nAs a reference, a potential partial and imperfect public comparable to Cue would be Bio-Rad (BIO); below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nBio-Rad (BIO)\nCue Health (HLTH)\nVariance\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n8.15\n10.46\n28.3%\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n7.82\n8.52\n9.0%\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n31.66\n35.46\n12.0%\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$134.05\n$0.03\n-100.0%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n25.6%\n3971.01%\n15436.03%\n\n\n(Glossary Of Terms)\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCue is seeking public investment capital to further scale its commercialization operations as well as continue its R & D efforts.\nThe company’s financials show sharply growing top line revenue, strong growth in gross profit and variable gross margin, a swing to operating profit and net income and highly fluctuating cash flow from or use in operations\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was an eye-popping negative ($60 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have fluctuated as revenues have increased dramatically; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate was an extremely high 100.5x in the most recent reporting period.\nThe market opportunity for COVID-19 and related test kit platforms is large and will likely grow at a high rate of growth over the coming years as countries around the world seek to bolster their testing capabilities in the wake of the recent global pandemic.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 39.9% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the firm now is that it is essentially a one-product company, so its revenue base is heavily concentrated.\nAs for valuation, compared to partial competitor Bio-Rad Laboratories, the IPO is reasonably valued on a revenue multiple, although Cue is growing at a much higher rate of growth from a much lower revenue base, so the comparison is strained at best.\nGiven Cue’s growth trajectory, profitability and reasonable IPO valuation, the IPO is worth 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Inc.(FTFT)$yyes","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598813704f766a4e1f6b6e9415e867fb","width":"1080","height":"3164"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863005004","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860800947,"gmtCreate":1632149245589,"gmtModify":1632802503126,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579391473717940","authorIdStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>😭😭😭😭😭😭😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>😭😭😭😭😭😭😭","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$😭😭😭😭😭😭😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36da2bdb4828bd9c838972e4f19ffec7","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860800947","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887257151,"gmtCreate":1632053345373,"gmtModify":1632803117083,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579391473717940","authorIdStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We r spreading it like endemic","listText":"We r spreading it like endemic","text":"We r spreading it like endemic","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887257151","repostId":"2168089015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":866822925,"gmtCreate":1632754809667,"gmtModify":1632798059258,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like comment","listText":"Like comment","text":"Like comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866822925","repostId":"1123391790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123391790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632754543,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123391790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 22:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123391790","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</li> <li>ASML is firing on all cylinders, but the valuation has become extremely stretched and we believe it is time to take profits or at least reduce the position.</li> <li>We are positive on the company's fundamentals and still believe extreme ultraviolet technology is the future of chip manufacturing.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbbfa8ed4239d6e8d29d42367fc89fa\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML的看涨文章,从那时起,它的表现就显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</li><li>ASML正在全力以赴,但估值已经变得极度紧张,我们认为是时候获利了结或至少减少头寸了。</li><li>我们对该公司的基本面持乐观态度,并且仍然相信极紫外技术是芯片制造的未来。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We wrote a bullish article on ASML(NASDAQ:ASML) more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</p><p><blockquote>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML(纳斯达克股票代码:ASML)的看涨文章,此后该公司的表现显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebeefb02d1c446db8e52248f8743ecf3\" tg-width=\"257\" tg-height=\"202\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of our thesis was that the industry was becoming a natural monopoly since few could match the extreme investment and R&D needed, this is what we said back then:</p><p><blockquote>我们的部分论点是,该行业正在成为自然垄断,因为很少有人能够匹配所需的极端投资和研发,这就是我们当时所说的:</blockquote></p><p> Increasing complexity and R&D costs have raised the stakes to a point where few companies will be able to compete in the future, increasing returns for the few left standing. We also mentioned that the time had come for years of significant R&D investment to pay off, and it seems we were right given the exponential growth in its gross profit as seen in the graph below.</p><p><blockquote>日益增加的复杂性和研发成本已经将赌注提高到了未来很少有公司能够竞争的程度,从而增加了少数留下来的公司的回报。我们还提到,多年来的大量研发投资获得回报的时候到了,考虑到其毛利润的指数增长,我们似乎是对的,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7695b604564361609481c3be5ba51ee5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While shares deserve a high price/sales multiple given the record gross profit margins, we believe it has gotten too stretched at ~18x.</p><p><blockquote>虽然考虑到创纪录的毛利率,该股理应获得较高的市销率,但我们认为约18倍的市销率已经过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b58849fe01d66780fe4568ad581e3496\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of the bullish thesis with ASML is that despite the cyclicality of its revenue, it's easy to observe that there is also a secular trend higher. ASML is increasing its market share and the industry is becoming almost a monopoly. ASML is turning out to be the only game in town when it comes to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment, and customers are buying more equipment to meet the increases in semiconductor demand.</p><p><blockquote>ASML看涨论点的一部分是,尽管其收入具有周期性,但很容易观察到也有长期走高的趋势。ASML正在增加其市场份额,该行业几乎成为垄断。事实证明,在极紫外(EUV)设备方面,ASML是唯一的游戏,客户正在购买更多设备来满足半导体需求的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1846ea5e83cafd797cb6cc34fb9b9aa4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As revenue increases and the company becomes more successful it is not reducing R&D expense, but instead is doubling down with more money dedicated than ever to R&D. We like that the company keeps investing in its future, and this will make it increasingly difficult for competitors to ever catch up.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加和公司变得更加成功,它并没有减少R&D费用,而是加倍投入比以往更多的资金用于R&D。我们喜欢该公司不断投资于其未来,这将使竞争对手越来越难以赶上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/640dbaeb6546cb17ae3d44efe00a9dbc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> When we wrote the bullish article in 2019 shares were trading at an EV/EBITDA of ~18x, and now shares are almost 3x times more expensive based on this valuation multiple. Share price increases have clearly surpassed increases in profitability. We believe this is not sustainable and either business fundamentals catch up with the share price, or the share price adjusts to a more reasonable multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当我们在2019年撰写这篇看涨文章时,股价的EV/EBITDA约为18倍,而现在基于这一估值倍数,股价几乎高出3倍。股价的涨幅显然超过了盈利能力的涨幅。我们认为这是不可持续的,要么业务基本面赶上股价,要么股价调整到更合理的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0e53eb278ed1ce84114574a338bf8b5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> One thing that has not changed is the strength of the company's balance sheet. The company continues to have a net positive cash position and a very healthy quick ratio above 1.0 having more quick assets than current liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>有一点没有改变,那就是公司资产负债表的实力。该公司继续拥有净正现金头寸,速动比率非常健康,高于1.0,速动资产多于流动负债。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a616b21047d8945929adab5654c491\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Back in 2019 the dividend was ~1%, and the company had just announced that it intended to increase it by 50%. Today, while the company continues rewarding shareholders with a dividend and share repurchases, the yield has become a minuscule 0.38%. The shareholder yield, which incorporates both the dividend and share repurchases, is a little better at 2% compared to ~3% back in 2019. These statistics and dividend compression reflect how expensive shares have gotten. We also think that share buybacks should be postponed until the share price is closer to the intrinsic value of the company.</p><p><blockquote>早在2019年,股息约为1%,该公司刚刚宣布打算将股息增加50%。如今,虽然该公司继续通过股息和股票回购来回报股东,但收益率已降至微不足道的0.38%。包括股息和股票回购在内的股东收益率略好于2%,而2019年约为3%。这些统计数据和股息压缩反映了股票变得多么昂贵。我们还认为,股票回购应该推迟,直到股价更接近公司的内在价值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16e4d38a523ce2586faa9b0e572aaadb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, the forward P/E ratio does an excellent job capturing how expensive shares have gotten. Back in 2019 shares were trading at a TTM and forward P/E of ~24x each. Both of these multiples have more than doubled since then.</p><p><blockquote>最后,远期市盈率很好地捕捉了股票的价格。早在2019年,股票的TTM和远期市盈率均约为24倍。自那时以来,这两个倍数都增加了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1468398d132f9200083378aa535dd7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Competitive Advantages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争优势</b></blockquote></p><p> What we predicted about ASML's competitive advantages becoming stronger has come to pass. ASML is basically selling all the machines it can manufacture with its order book filling, and it is projecting a trillion dollar semiconductor market by 2030, twice its size today. Given the strength of their current offering and the fact that the company is still investing heavily in R&D to further improve the machines, it is likely that ASML will capture a lot of the CapEx needed to double the production capacity of the industry.</p><p><blockquote>我们预测的ASML竞争优势变得更强的事情已经成为现实。ASML基本上正在销售其订单填充所能制造的所有机器,并预计到2030年半导体市场将达到1万亿美元,是目前规模的两倍。鉴于其当前产品的实力以及该公司仍在研发上投入巨资以进一步改进机器的事实,ASML很可能会获得将该行业产能翻倍所需的大量资本支出。</blockquote></p><p> Looking back, this was our reasoning back then which led us to predict the company would come to dominate its industry:</p><p><blockquote>回想起来,这就是我们当时的推理,让我们预测该公司将主导其行业:</blockquote></p><p> While we believe the market is currently valuing ASML as a high-quality technology company with significant growth opportunities ahead, it appears the market is missing just how critical EUV lithography technology can become.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们认为市场目前将ASML视为一家未来具有巨大增长机会的优质技术公司,但市场似乎忽略了EUV光刻技术的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> The investments to keep Moore's Law alive and technology nodes shrinking are rising quickly as the complexity of the machines increases and the needed R&D investments go up. This raises the stakes with every new generation forcing competitors out, giving the few remaining companies more pricing power and making their intellectual property more valuable. Some analysts however are starting to grasp the significance of these developments. For example, InsingerGilissen Bankiers analyst Jos Versteeg told Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>随着机器复杂性的增加和所需的R&D投资的增加,保持摩尔定律和技术节点萎缩的投资正在迅速增加。这增加了风险,每一代新一代都会迫使竞争对手出局,给剩下的少数公司更多的定价权,并使他们的知识产权更有价值。然而,一些分析师开始理解这些发展的重要性。例如,InsingerGilissen Bankiers分析师Jos Versteeg告诉彭博社:</blockquote></p><p> ASML sees in its order portfolio it looks well for overall 2019, for a major part because it moves into EUV, in which they are the only player. The future for the coming seven years looks very bright.</p><p><blockquote>ASML认为其订单组合在2019年整体情况良好,这在很大程度上是因为它进入了EUV,而他们是唯一的参与者。未来七年的前景看起来非常光明。</blockquote></p><p> These are incredibly complex machines that weigh more than a 100 tons, require the use of high-powered lasers and plasma, and took years and incredible amounts of engineering ingenuity to get to work.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是极其复杂的机器,重量超过100吨,需要使用高功率激光和等离子体,并且需要数年时间和令人难以置信的工程创造力才能工作。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/973b1626dc094982f58ff77dc14b4098\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Not only is EUV lithography technology critical to keep shrinking technology nodes, but its adoption also has some side benefits for customers. These include cycle time reductions, process simplification, and cost reductions.</p><p><blockquote>EUV光刻技术不仅对于保持缩小技术节点至关重要,而且其采用也为客户带来了一些附带好处。其中包括缩短周期时间、简化流程和降低成本。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2abd6a60053e447cab0b1f2abb3ed64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For these reasons several semiconductor technology leaders are building significant capacity for EUV systems.</p><p><blockquote>出于这些原因,一些半导体技术领导者正在为EUV系统建设大量产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While ASML's fundamentals remain as strong as ever, we believe most of the good news is already reflected in the share price. We think right now is a good moment to sell, or at least pair down the investment. ASML is truly a one-of-a-kind company that dominates its industry in a way that rarely happens. It has left competitors in the dust and is growing with good profitability and attractive margins. However, at the end of the day a successful investment is as much the quality of the company as it is the price paid, and currently the price is very high.</p><p><blockquote>虽然ASML的基本面一如既往地强劲,但我们相信大部分好消息已经反映在股价中。我们认为现在是出售的好时机,或者至少是配对投资。ASML确实是一家独一无二的公司,以一种罕见的方式主导着行业。它已经将竞争对手远远甩在身后,并且正在以良好的盈利能力和有吸引力的利润率增长。然而,归根结底,一项成功的投资既取决于公司的质量,也取决于支付的价格,而目前价格非常高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: It's Time To Take Profits<blockquote>ASML:是时候获利了结了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 22:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</li> <li>ASML is firing on all cylinders, but the valuation has become extremely stretched and we believe it is time to take profits or at least reduce the position.</li> <li>We are positive on the company's fundamentals and still believe extreme ultraviolet technology is the future of chip manufacturing.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbbfa8ed4239d6e8d29d42367fc89fa\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML的看涨文章,从那时起,它的表现就显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</li><li>ASML正在全力以赴,但估值已经变得极度紧张,我们认为是时候获利了结或至少减少头寸了。</li><li>我们对该公司的基本面持乐观态度,并且仍然相信极紫外技术是芯片制造的未来。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We wrote a bullish article on ASML(NASDAQ:ASML) more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.</p><p><blockquote>两年多前,我们写了一篇关于ASML(纳斯达克股票代码:ASML)的看涨文章,此后该公司的表现显着优于标准普尔500指数和我们自己的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebeefb02d1c446db8e52248f8743ecf3\" tg-width=\"257\" tg-height=\"202\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of our thesis was that the industry was becoming a natural monopoly since few could match the extreme investment and R&D needed, this is what we said back then:</p><p><blockquote>我们的部分论点是,该行业正在成为自然垄断,因为很少有人能够匹配所需的极端投资和研发,这就是我们当时所说的:</blockquote></p><p> Increasing complexity and R&D costs have raised the stakes to a point where few companies will be able to compete in the future, increasing returns for the few left standing. We also mentioned that the time had come for years of significant R&D investment to pay off, and it seems we were right given the exponential growth in its gross profit as seen in the graph below.</p><p><blockquote>日益增加的复杂性和研发成本已经将赌注提高到了未来很少有公司能够竞争的程度,从而增加了少数留下来的公司的回报。我们还提到,多年来的大量研发投资获得回报的时候到了,考虑到其毛利润的指数增长,我们似乎是对的,如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7695b604564361609481c3be5ba51ee5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While shares deserve a high price/sales multiple given the record gross profit margins, we believe it has gotten too stretched at ~18x.</p><p><blockquote>虽然考虑到创纪录的毛利率,该股理应获得较高的市销率,但我们认为约18倍的市销率已经过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b58849fe01d66780fe4568ad581e3496\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Part of the bullish thesis with ASML is that despite the cyclicality of its revenue, it's easy to observe that there is also a secular trend higher. ASML is increasing its market share and the industry is becoming almost a monopoly. ASML is turning out to be the only game in town when it comes to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment, and customers are buying more equipment to meet the increases in semiconductor demand.</p><p><blockquote>ASML看涨论点的一部分是,尽管其收入具有周期性,但很容易观察到也有长期走高的趋势。ASML正在增加其市场份额,该行业几乎成为垄断。事实证明,在极紫外(EUV)设备方面,ASML是唯一的游戏,客户正在购买更多设备来满足半导体需求的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1846ea5e83cafd797cb6cc34fb9b9aa4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As revenue increases and the company becomes more successful it is not reducing R&D expense, but instead is doubling down with more money dedicated than ever to R&D. We like that the company keeps investing in its future, and this will make it increasingly difficult for competitors to ever catch up.</p><p><blockquote>随着收入的增加和公司变得更加成功,它并没有减少R&D费用,而是加倍投入比以往更多的资金用于R&D。我们喜欢该公司不断投资于其未来,这将使竞争对手越来越难以赶上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/640dbaeb6546cb17ae3d44efe00a9dbc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> When we wrote the bullish article in 2019 shares were trading at an EV/EBITDA of ~18x, and now shares are almost 3x times more expensive based on this valuation multiple. Share price increases have clearly surpassed increases in profitability. We believe this is not sustainable and either business fundamentals catch up with the share price, or the share price adjusts to a more reasonable multiple.</p><p><blockquote>当我们在2019年撰写这篇看涨文章时,股价的EV/EBITDA约为18倍,而现在基于这一估值倍数,股价几乎高出3倍。股价的涨幅显然超过了盈利能力的涨幅。我们认为这是不可持续的,要么业务基本面赶上股价,要么股价调整到更合理的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0e53eb278ed1ce84114574a338bf8b5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> One thing that has not changed is the strength of the company's balance sheet. The company continues to have a net positive cash position and a very healthy quick ratio above 1.0 having more quick assets than current liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>有一点没有改变,那就是公司资产负债表的实力。该公司继续拥有净正现金头寸,速动比率非常健康,高于1.0,速动资产多于流动负债。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a616b21047d8945929adab5654c491\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Back in 2019 the dividend was ~1%, and the company had just announced that it intended to increase it by 50%. Today, while the company continues rewarding shareholders with a dividend and share repurchases, the yield has become a minuscule 0.38%. The shareholder yield, which incorporates both the dividend and share repurchases, is a little better at 2% compared to ~3% back in 2019. These statistics and dividend compression reflect how expensive shares have gotten. We also think that share buybacks should be postponed until the share price is closer to the intrinsic value of the company.</p><p><blockquote>早在2019年,股息约为1%,该公司刚刚宣布打算将股息增加50%。如今,虽然该公司继续通过股息和股票回购来回报股东,但收益率已降至微不足道的0.38%。包括股息和股票回购在内的股东收益率略好于2%,而2019年约为3%。这些统计数据和股息压缩反映了股票变得多么昂贵。我们还认为,股票回购应该推迟,直到股价更接近公司的内在价值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16e4d38a523ce2586faa9b0e572aaadb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, the forward P/E ratio does an excellent job capturing how expensive shares have gotten. Back in 2019 shares were trading at a TTM and forward P/E of ~24x each. Both of these multiples have more than doubled since then.</p><p><blockquote>最后,远期市盈率很好地捕捉了股票的价格。早在2019年,股票的TTM和远期市盈率均约为24倍。自那时以来,这两个倍数都增加了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe1468398d132f9200083378aa535dd7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Competitive Advantages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争优势</b></blockquote></p><p> What we predicted about ASML's competitive advantages becoming stronger has come to pass. ASML is basically selling all the machines it can manufacture with its order book filling, and it is projecting a trillion dollar semiconductor market by 2030, twice its size today. Given the strength of their current offering and the fact that the company is still investing heavily in R&D to further improve the machines, it is likely that ASML will capture a lot of the CapEx needed to double the production capacity of the industry.</p><p><blockquote>我们预测的ASML竞争优势变得更强的事情已经成为现实。ASML基本上正在销售其订单填充所能制造的所有机器,并预计到2030年半导体市场将达到1万亿美元,是目前规模的两倍。鉴于其当前产品的实力以及该公司仍在研发上投入巨资以进一步改进机器的事实,ASML很可能会获得将该行业产能翻倍所需的大量资本支出。</blockquote></p><p> Looking back, this was our reasoning back then which led us to predict the company would come to dominate its industry:</p><p><blockquote>回想起来,这就是我们当时的推理,让我们预测该公司将主导其行业:</blockquote></p><p> While we believe the market is currently valuing ASML as a high-quality technology company with significant growth opportunities ahead, it appears the market is missing just how critical EUV lithography technology can become.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们认为市场目前将ASML视为一家未来具有巨大增长机会的优质技术公司,但市场似乎忽略了EUV光刻技术的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> The investments to keep Moore's Law alive and technology nodes shrinking are rising quickly as the complexity of the machines increases and the needed R&D investments go up. This raises the stakes with every new generation forcing competitors out, giving the few remaining companies more pricing power and making their intellectual property more valuable. Some analysts however are starting to grasp the significance of these developments. For example, InsingerGilissen Bankiers analyst Jos Versteeg told Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>随着机器复杂性的增加和所需的R&D投资的增加,保持摩尔定律和技术节点萎缩的投资正在迅速增加。这增加了风险,每一代新一代都会迫使竞争对手出局,给剩下的少数公司更多的定价权,并使他们的知识产权更有价值。然而,一些分析师开始理解这些发展的重要性。例如,InsingerGilissen Bankiers分析师Jos Versteeg告诉彭博社:</blockquote></p><p> ASML sees in its order portfolio it looks well for overall 2019, for a major part because it moves into EUV, in which they are the only player. The future for the coming seven years looks very bright.</p><p><blockquote>ASML认为其订单组合在2019年整体情况良好,这在很大程度上是因为它进入了EUV,而他们是唯一的参与者。未来七年的前景看起来非常光明。</blockquote></p><p> These are incredibly complex machines that weigh more than a 100 tons, require the use of high-powered lasers and plasma, and took years and incredible amounts of engineering ingenuity to get to work.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是极其复杂的机器,重量超过100吨,需要使用高功率激光和等离子体,并且需要数年时间和令人难以置信的工程创造力才能工作。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/973b1626dc094982f58ff77dc14b4098\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Not only is EUV lithography technology critical to keep shrinking technology nodes, but its adoption also has some side benefits for customers. These include cycle time reductions, process simplification, and cost reductions.</p><p><blockquote>EUV光刻技术不仅对于保持缩小技术节点至关重要,而且其采用也为客户带来了一些附带好处。其中包括缩短周期时间、简化流程和降低成本。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2abd6a60053e447cab0b1f2abb3ed64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: ASML investor presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:ASML投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For these reasons several semiconductor technology leaders are building significant capacity for EUV systems.</p><p><blockquote>出于这些原因,一些半导体技术领导者正在为EUV系统建设大量产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While ASML's fundamentals remain as strong as ever, we believe most of the good news is already reflected in the share price. We think right now is a good moment to sell, or at least pair down the investment. ASML is truly a one-of-a-kind company that dominates its industry in a way that rarely happens. It has left competitors in the dust and is growing with good profitability and attractive margins. However, at the end of the day a successful investment is as much the quality of the company as it is the price paid, and currently the price is very high.</p><p><blockquote>虽然ASML的基本面一如既往地强劲,但我们相信大部分好消息已经反映在股价中。我们认为现在是出售的好时机,或者至少是配对投资。ASML确实是一家独一无二的公司,以一种罕见的方式主导着行业。它已经将竞争对手远远甩在身后,并且正在以良好的盈利能力和有吸引力的利润率增长。然而,归根结底,一项成功的投资既取决于公司的质量,也取决于支付的价格,而目前价格非常高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457186-asml-its-time-to-take-profits\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457186-asml-its-time-to-take-profits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123391790","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe wrote a bullish article on ASML more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.\nASML is firing on all cylinders, but the valuation has become extremely stretched and we believe it is time to take profits or at least reduce the position.\nWe are positive on the company's fundamentals and still believe extreme ultraviolet technology is the future of chip manufacturing.\n\nMichael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nWe wrote a bullish article on ASML(NASDAQ:ASML) more than two years ago, since then it has significantly outperformed both the S&P500 and our own expectations.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nPart of our thesis was that the industry was becoming a natural monopoly since few could match the extreme investment and R&D needed, this is what we said back then:\n\n Increasing complexity and R&D costs have raised the stakes to a point where few companies will be able to compete in the future, increasing returns for the few left standing.\n\nWe also mentioned that the time had come for years of significant R&D investment to pay off, and it seems we were right given the exponential growth in its gross profit as seen in the graph below.\nData by YCharts\nWhile shares deserve a high price/sales multiple given the record gross profit margins, we believe it has gotten too stretched at ~18x.\nData by YCharts\nPart of the bullish thesis with ASML is that despite the cyclicality of its revenue, it's easy to observe that there is also a secular trend higher. ASML is increasing its market share and the industry is becoming almost a monopoly. ASML is turning out to be the only game in town when it comes to extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment, and customers are buying more equipment to meet the increases in semiconductor demand.\nData by YCharts\nAs revenue increases and the company becomes more successful it is not reducing R&D expense, but instead is doubling down with more money dedicated than ever to R&D. We like that the company keeps investing in its future, and this will make it increasingly difficult for competitors to ever catch up.\nData by YCharts\nValuation\nWhen we wrote the bullish article in 2019 shares were trading at an EV/EBITDA of ~18x, and now shares are almost 3x times more expensive based on this valuation multiple. Share price increases have clearly surpassed increases in profitability. We believe this is not sustainable and either business fundamentals catch up with the share price, or the share price adjusts to a more reasonable multiple.\nData by YCharts\nOne thing that has not changed is the strength of the company's balance sheet. The company continues to have a net positive cash position and a very healthy quick ratio above 1.0 having more quick assets than current liabilities.\nData by YCharts\nBack in 2019 the dividend was ~1%, and the company had just announced that it intended to increase it by 50%. Today, while the company continues rewarding shareholders with a dividend and share repurchases, the yield has become a minuscule 0.38%. The shareholder yield, which incorporates both the dividend and share repurchases, is a little better at 2% compared to ~3% back in 2019. These statistics and dividend compression reflect how expensive shares have gotten. We also think that share buybacks should be postponed until the share price is closer to the intrinsic value of the company.\nData by YCharts\nFinally, the forward P/E ratio does an excellent job capturing how expensive shares have gotten. Back in 2019 shares were trading at a TTM and forward P/E of ~24x each. Both of these multiples have more than doubled since then.\nData by YCharts\nCompetitive Advantages\nWhat we predicted about ASML's competitive advantages becoming stronger has come to pass. ASML is basically selling all the machines it can manufacture with its order book filling, and it is projecting a trillion dollar semiconductor market by 2030, twice its size today. Given the strength of their current offering and the fact that the company is still investing heavily in R&D to further improve the machines, it is likely that ASML will capture a lot of the CapEx needed to double the production capacity of the industry.\nLooking back, this was our reasoning back then which led us to predict the company would come to dominate its industry:\nWhile we believe the market is currently valuing ASML as a high-quality technology company with significant growth opportunities ahead, it appears the market is missing just how critical EUV lithography technology can become.\nThe investments to keep Moore's Law alive and technology nodes shrinking are rising quickly as the complexity of the machines increases and the needed R&D investments go up. This raises the stakes with every new generation forcing competitors out, giving the few remaining companies more pricing power and making their intellectual property more valuable. Some analysts however are starting to grasp the significance of these developments. For example, InsingerGilissen Bankiers analyst Jos Versteeg told Bloomberg:\nASML sees in its order portfolio it looks well for overall 2019, for a major part because it moves into EUV, in which they are the only player. The future for the coming seven years looks very bright.\nThese are incredibly complex machines that weigh more than a 100 tons, require the use of high-powered lasers and plasma, and took years and incredible amounts of engineering ingenuity to get to work.\nSource: ASML investor presentation\nNot only is EUV lithography technology critical to keep shrinking technology nodes, but its adoption also has some side benefits for customers. These include cycle time reductions, process simplification, and cost reductions.\nSource: ASML investor presentation\nFor these reasons several semiconductor technology leaders are building significant capacity for EUV systems.\nConclusion\nWhile ASML's fundamentals remain as strong as ever, we believe most of the good news is already reflected in the share price. We think right now is a good moment to sell, or at least pair down the investment. ASML is truly a one-of-a-kind company that dominates its industry in a way that rarely happens. It has left competitors in the dust and is growing with good profitability and attractive margins. However, at the end of the day a successful investment is as much the quality of the company as it is the price paid, and currently the price is very high.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886728169,"gmtCreate":1631627189951,"gmtModify":1631890590733,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's get it on!","listText":"Let's get it on!","text":"Let's get it on!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886728169","repostId":"1155175288","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155175288","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631627144,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155175288?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks rose in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155175288","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 0.7% and 2%.Whi","content":"<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 0.7% and 2%.While Lucid Group fell nearly 4% as an equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨0.7%至2%。而Lucid Group则下跌近4%,摩根士丹利股票研究分析师在跑输大盘开始对该公司进行报道。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df9a72b93885e07dad67e2dc86b0156a\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks rose in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-14 21:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 0.7% and 2%.While Lucid Group fell nearly 4% as an equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。特斯拉、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车上涨0.7%至2%。而Lucid Group则下跌近4%,摩根士丹利股票研究分析师在跑输大盘开始对该公司进行报道。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df9a72b93885e07dad67e2dc86b0156a\" tg-width=\"410\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155175288","content_text":"EV stocks rose in morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 0.7% and 2%.While Lucid Group fell nearly 4% as an equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the company at underweight.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":856175880,"gmtCreate":1635165537110,"gmtModify":1635165537636,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>ddont panicd just hodl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>ddont panicd just hodl","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ddont panicd just hodl","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/372650c68945d62b9e598e769325bdee","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856175880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801730155,"gmtCreate":1627533285677,"gmtModify":1633764034421,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like","listText":"Comment and like","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801730155","repostId":"1127264445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127264445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627514621,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127264445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127264445","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after th","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大,但脱离盘中低点,此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上,主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场,科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓,股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔还表示,在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前,美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季,以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示:“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后,标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势,但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示,通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近,并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩,Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点,跌幅0.36%,至34,930.93点;标普500下跌0.82点,跌幅0.02%,至4,400.64点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点,跌幅0.7%,至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理艾伦·哈森(Ellen Hazen)表示:“他们有机会发出信号,表明他们将变得更加鹰派,但他们选择不接受。最重要的是,他们是可预测的,而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>,马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期,但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1;在纳斯达克,2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 07:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大,但脱离盘中低点,此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上,主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场,科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓,股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔还表示,在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前,美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季,以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示:“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后,标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势,但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示,通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近,并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩,Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点,跌幅0.36%,至34,930.93点;标普500下跌0.82点,跌幅0.02%,至4,400.64点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点,跌幅0.7%,至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理艾伦·哈森(Ellen Hazen)表示:“他们有机会发出信号,表明他们将变得更加鹰派,但他们选择不接受。最重要的是,他们是可预测的,而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>,马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期,但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1;在纳斯达克,2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127264445","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.\nKeeping the market in check, shares of tech giant Apple Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.\nIn a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.\n“It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.\nRight after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.\nInvestors have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.\nThe central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.\nThe Nasdaq ended higher and shares of Google parent Alphabet Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.\nThe Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.\n“They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.\nIn other earnings news, Microsoft Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178027967,"gmtCreate":1626774394359,"gmtModify":1633771167020,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fellow Singaporeans! This MIW have no clue how to run a country.. please remember to vote them out next GE","listText":"Fellow Singaporeans! This MIW have no clue how to run a country.. please remember to vote them out next GE","text":"Fellow Singaporeans! This MIW have no clue how to run a country.. please remember to vote them out next GE","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178027967","repostId":"1174094323","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126285971,"gmtCreate":1624575662593,"gmtModify":1634004291125,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like pls","listText":"Comment and like pls","text":"Comment and like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126285971","repostId":"1198422658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189454377,"gmtCreate":1623286535499,"gmtModify":1634034986735,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment thanks","listText":"Like and comment thanks","text":"Like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189454377","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社)-华尔街周三收盘走低,市场参与者等待通胀数据,以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售“模因股”热潮不减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转稍早涨势,但在缺乏任何明显市场催化剂的情况下仍维持区间震荡。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>印第安纳州哈蒙德地平线投资服务公司首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示:“新闻方面有一段平静期。”“我们已经过了财报期,人们正在等待明天的通胀数据,因此市场好坏参半,主要股指没有采取太多行动。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的meme股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势,Aethlon Medical飙升388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit聊天还帮助监狱运营商GEO Group和World Wrestling Entertainment的股价分别上涨38.4%和10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而,Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath&Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research的数据显示,随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地寻找下一个游戏驿站公司,即引发这一现象的股票,零售额已回到一月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“这感觉就像另类股票市场,”卡尔森补充道。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时间进入,你就可以成功,但随着时间的推移,很难成功地发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该阅读太多关于大盘的信息。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在发布财报之前任命马特·弗隆为新任首席执行官,财报显示季度亏损为每股1.01美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后,美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线,以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>将从基础设施交易中受益的工业股下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面的法案,旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力,在持续的芯片供应干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现已提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,费城SE半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在复苏的供需失衡中提供对通胀的另一种看法,因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否如美联储所称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌152.68点,或0.44%,报34447.14点;标普500下跌7.71点,或0.18%,报4,219.55点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌13.16点,跌幅0.09%,至13,911.75点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中,医疗保健涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准美国国债收益率自5月以来首次跌破1.5%,令对利率敏感的金融股承压。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期,并下调了全年盈利预期,导致其股价下跌6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司股价上涨2.3%,此前该公司宣布,如果该药物获得监管部门批准,美国政府已同意以约12亿美元的价格购买该公司约170万个疗程的实验性COVID-19治疗药物molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1;在纳斯达克,1.13比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下38个52周新高和两个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为115.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社)-华尔街周三收盘走低,市场参与者等待通胀数据,以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售“模因股”热潮不减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转稍早涨势,但在缺乏任何明显市场催化剂的情况下仍维持区间震荡。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>印第安纳州哈蒙德地平线投资服务公司首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示:“新闻方面有一段平静期。”“我们已经过了财报期,人们正在等待明天的通胀数据,因此市场好坏参半,主要股指没有采取太多行动。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的meme股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势,Aethlon Medical飙升388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit聊天还帮助监狱运营商GEO Group和World Wrestling Entertainment的股价分别上涨38.4%和10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而,Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath&Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research的数据显示,随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地寻找下一个游戏驿站公司,即引发这一现象的股票,零售额已回到一月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“这感觉就像另类股票市场,”卡尔森补充道。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时间进入,你就可以成功,但随着时间的推移,很难成功地发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该阅读太多关于大盘的信息。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在发布财报之前任命马特·弗隆为新任首席执行官,财报显示季度亏损为每股1.01美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后,美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线,以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>将从基础设施交易中受益的工业股下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面的法案,旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力,在持续的芯片供应干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现已提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,费城SE半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在复苏的供需失衡中提供对通胀的另一种看法,因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否如美联储所称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌152.68点,或0.44%,报34447.14点;标普500下跌7.71点,或0.18%,报4,219.55点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌13.16点,跌幅0.09%,至13,911.75点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中,医疗保健涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准美国国债收益率自5月以来首次跌破1.5%,令对利率敏感的金融股承压。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期,并下调了全年盈利预期,导致其股价下跌6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司股价上涨2.3%,此前该公司宣布,如果该药物获得监管部门批准,美国政府已同意以约12亿美元的价格购买该公司约170万个疗程的实验性COVID-19治疗药物molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1;在纳斯达克,1.13比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下38个52周新高和两个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为115.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"AEMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":879488314,"gmtCreate":1636763712834,"gmtModify":1636763712977,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879488314","repostId":"1169510701","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":805511664,"gmtCreate":1627891430358,"gmtModify":1633755556007,"author":{"id":"3579391473717940","authorId":"3579391473717940","name":"thekang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257a55b2b4eff5b143f883be20deac55","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579391473717940","idStr":"3579391473717940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good. 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