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2021-06-11

$Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co.,Ltd.(600276)$not sure what happened ,my Original qty is 200 and yesterday become 240. I try sold all but only able sell at qty 200. Now left 40 without no cost and all show as gain. Can anyone advise me? Thanks

2021-04-29

Wow

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2021-04-29

Wow

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2021-04-29

Good permance on Alphabet [微笑]

2021-04-23

Continue to grow grow

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2021-06-09

Wow

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2021-04-24

Wow

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2021-04-23

Continue to grow grow

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2021-08-01

Yes

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2021-07-14

[微笑]

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不单单只是投资而已，你也需要分配好资金，比如一些资金是投资成长的公司，一些是投机在高风险的股票赚取零用钱，别听那些人说一定要长期投资还是持有，那是因为他们买在高点所以中套了才那么说。不是每个人都有那个耐心，你如果是个全职投资者，你也是需要吃饭，所以投机也是个必学的功夫。如果你的生活是靠股市来生活，你需要很大的勇气才能当一个全职投资者。每个人都有个人的方法，但是最重要是你需要赚到钱。 3. 股市好还是坏其实也能赚到钱，你学完了全部的基本面和技术面也不一定包你在股市里赚到钱，其实最重要的是你需稳定的情绪管理，资金的管理和各种各样在股市里的经验。你需要尝试过输钱的经历和赚钱的感受，但是你必须达到一个目标就是输钱或赢钱时你也不会有什么感受。这一点应该每个人都很难做到吧！所以我想说，不是每个人能承受这种压力。当你是个员工，你基本上可以过个简单的生活，也不需要烦恼金钱上的问题，你每个月都会得到稳定的收入，你只会烦恼你完成工作的期限以及需要完成什么工作给老板罢了。 5. 当一个全职股票投资者，你的思想思维就要像一个老板在做生意那样，然后把你的资金变大，如何管理好你的资金，然后保持赚钱的状态(赢多输少) 。你最开心的事情莫过于你没有员工，不需要烦恼如果没赚钱要如何给员工工钱，你只需要对自己和家人负责罢了。有的也","listText":"身为一个全职股票投资者，首先，你一定要有一定的本钱与良好的成绩你才好考虑当个全职股票投资者。要不然你很大可能会放弃，因为你需要承受太多压力，好比金钱上的压力是每个人最大的烦恼。在你想要当全职股票投资者时，你需要好好考虑好几件事情才做决定。 1. 你手头上有没有很多负担像是房贷，车贷，家里的开销，还是卡债。然后你得问一下你自己你喜欢投资吗，喜欢股票吗❓🤔当全职投资者，是个很纳闷的工作。你除了每天看着股票，研究股票，你也需要有朋友一起聊聊股票，一起诉苦，不然的话日子也是很难过的。 2. 不单单只是投资而已，你也需要分配好资金，比如一些资金是投资成长的公司，一些是投机在高风险的股票赚取零用钱，别听那些人说一定要长期投资还是持有，那是因为他们买在高点所以中套了才那么说。不是每个人都有那个耐心，你如果是个全职投资者，你也是需要吃饭，所以投机也是个必学的功夫。如果你的生活是靠股市来生活，你需要很大的勇气才能当一个全职投资者。每个人都有个人的方法，但是最重要是你需要赚到钱。 3. 股市好还是坏其实也能赚到钱，你学完了全部的基本面和技术面也不一定包你在股市里赚到钱，其实最重要的是你需稳定的情绪管理，资金的管理和各种各样在股市里的经验。你需要尝试过输钱的经历和赚钱的感受，但是你必须达到一个目标就是输钱或赢钱时你也不会有什么感受。这一点应该每个人都很难做到吧！所以我想说，不是每个人能承受这种压力。当你是个员工，你基本上可以过个简单的生活，也不需要烦恼金钱上的问题，你每个月都会得到稳定的收入，你只会烦恼你完成工作的期限以及需要完成什么工作给老板罢了。 5. 当一个全职股票投资者，你的思想思维就要像一个老板在做生意那样，然后把你的资金变大，如何管理好你的资金，然后保持赚钱的状态(赢多输少) 。你最开心的事情莫过于你没有员工，不需要烦恼如果没赚钱要如何给员工工钱，你只需要对自己和家人负责罢了。有的也","text":"身为一个全职股票投资者，首先，你一定要有一定的本钱与良好的成绩你才好考虑当个全职股票投资者。要不然你很大可能会放弃，因为你需要承受太多压力，好比金钱上的压力是每个人最大的烦恼。在你想要当全职股票投资者时，你需要好好考虑好几件事情才做决定。 1. 你手头上有没有很多负担像是房贷，车贷，家里的开销，还是卡债。然后你得问一下你自己你喜欢投资吗，喜欢股票吗❓🤔当全职投资者，是个很纳闷的工作。你除了每天看着股票，研究股票，你也需要有朋友一起聊聊股票，一起诉苦，不然的话日子也是很难过的。 2. 不单单只是投资而已，你也需要分配好资金，比如一些资金是投资成长的公司，一些是投机在高风险的股票赚取零用钱，别听那些人说一定要长期投资还是持有，那是因为他们买在高点所以中套了才那么说。不是每个人都有那个耐心，你如果是个全职投资者，你也是需要吃饭，所以投机也是个必学的功夫。如果你的生活是靠股市来生活，你需要很大的勇气才能当一个全职投资者。每个人都有个人的方法，但是最重要是你需要赚到钱。 3. 股市好还是坏其实也能赚到钱，你学完了全部的基本面和技术面也不一定包你在股市里赚到钱，其实最重要的是你需稳定的情绪管理，资金的管理和各种各样在股市里的经验。你需要尝试过输钱的经历和赚钱的感受，但是你必须达到一个目标就是输钱或赢钱时你也不会有什么感受。这一点应该每个人都很难做到吧！所以我想说，不是每个人能承受这种压力。当你是个员工，你基本上可以过个简单的生活，也不需要烦恼金钱上的问题，你每个月都会得到稳定的收入，你只会烦恼你完成工作的期限以及需要完成什么工作给老板罢了。 5. 当一个全职股票投资者，你的思想思维就要像一个老板在做生意那样，然后把你的资金变大，如何管理好你的资金，然后保持赚钱的状态(赢多输少) 。你最开心的事情莫过于你没有员工，不需要烦恼如果没赚钱要如何给员工工钱，你只需要对自己和家人负责罢了。有的也","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813462031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813016318,"gmtCreate":1630113561134,"gmtModify":1704956114041,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813016318","repostId":"832881553","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":832881553,"gmtCreate":1629606234772,"gmtModify":1629614090752,"author":{"id":"3507165607850338","authorId":"3507165607850338","name":"JRcapital","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/481a49fe7cf81bb3a1e9bdd4c1c959d4","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3507165607850338","idStr":"3507165607850338"},"themes":[],"title":"最近看了一篇文章，心情澎湃。（致期权爱好者）","htmlText":"各位虎友，周末愉快，以后争取每周发一篇期权策略相关的文章，大家有看到好的文章可以推荐给我，一起讨论学习其中的期权策略。最近看到一篇\"22万美金复盘“的文章，看了之后心情很澎湃，给我们这样常年期权归零的期权爱好者是一个很大的鼓舞和一剂强心剂。再次鸣谢老虎证券和文章作者的分享，我认真的进行了拜读，跟各位虎友一起学习学习。（提前申明：此文如有不合适之处，如有侵权之处，请联系我改正文章或删除文章。）此图是我今年的投资战况，今年和往常一样又是归零的一年，年年岁岁亏损归零，岁岁年年股票不同。一直在探索适合自己的期权策略，目前还未成功，但希望这一天不远。下图是“22万美金复盘”作者的资产回顾，投去22万次羡慕的眼光。言归正传，作为期权爱好者，我们很想知道，上文作者如何利用期权策略，从6月初的7千美金到8月初的22万美金。我们主要分析上文作者主要的两次期权盈利操作，BNTX和MRNA。上文作者的期权策略很简单，就是中长期的CALL,买入到期时间还有大概6个月的看涨期权，买入之后股价基本都是翻倍。作为期权爱好者，值得我们学习的地方。两次操作取到巨大成功的因素分析：宏观分析和个股分析，以及技术分析。最后，写在最后的感悟，投资是一场心灵修炼之路，通过一次次的失败走向成功。投资最考验人的心理素质，我们会面临着许多考验，比如，买的股票涨了舍不得卖，最后又回调了，亏损了。然后亏损了也舍不得割，最后被套牢了。如果每只操作的股票，我们都面临着何时买入和何时卖出的灵魂考验，那么我们最终大概率都会亏光。所以，我们要去设计自己的交易策略，然后去实际操作检验它，直到找到适合自己的操作策略。比如上文作者的交易策略就是利用中长期CALL操作自己通过宏观分析、技术分析、个股分析合适的股票买入，我想上文作者找到适合他自己的操作策略之前，一定也经历了数不清的亏损和心理压力，现在的成功是一直保持学习和实践的结果。股市里的钱就","listText":"各位虎友，周末愉快，以后争取每周发一篇期权策略相关的文章，大家有看到好的文章可以推荐给我，一起讨论学习其中的期权策略。最近看到一篇\"22万美金复盘“的文章，看了之后心情很澎湃，给我们这样常年期权归零的期权爱好者是一个很大的鼓舞和一剂强心剂。再次鸣谢老虎证券和文章作者的分享，我认真的进行了拜读，跟各位虎友一起学习学习。（提前申明：此文如有不合适之处，如有侵权之处，请联系我改正文章或删除文章。）此图是我今年的投资战况，今年和往常一样又是归零的一年，年年岁岁亏损归零，岁岁年年股票不同。一直在探索适合自己的期权策略，目前还未成功，但希望这一天不远。下图是“22万美金复盘”作者的资产回顾，投去22万次羡慕的眼光。言归正传，作为期权爱好者，我们很想知道，上文作者如何利用期权策略，从6月初的7千美金到8月初的22万美金。我们主要分析上文作者主要的两次期权盈利操作，BNTX和MRNA。上文作者的期权策略很简单，就是中长期的CALL,买入到期时间还有大概6个月的看涨期权，买入之后股价基本都是翻倍。作为期权爱好者，值得我们学习的地方。两次操作取到巨大成功的因素分析：宏观分析和个股分析，以及技术分析。最后，写在最后的感悟，投资是一场心灵修炼之路，通过一次次的失败走向成功。投资最考验人的心理素质，我们会面临着许多考验，比如，买的股票涨了舍不得卖，最后又回调了，亏损了。然后亏损了也舍不得割，最后被套牢了。如果每只操作的股票，我们都面临着何时买入和何时卖出的灵魂考验，那么我们最终大概率都会亏光。所以，我们要去设计自己的交易策略，然后去实际操作检验它，直到找到适合自己的操作策略。比如上文作者的交易策略就是利用中长期CALL操作自己通过宏观分析、技术分析、个股分析合适的股票买入，我想上文作者找到适合他自己的操作策略之前，一定也经历了数不清的亏损和心理压力，现在的成功是一直保持学习和实践的结果。股市里的钱就","text":"各位虎友，周末愉快，以后争取每周发一篇期权策略相关的文章，大家有看到好的文章可以推荐给我，一起讨论学习其中的期权策略。最近看到一篇\"22万美金复盘“的文章，看了之后心情很澎湃，给我们这样常年期权归零的期权爱好者是一个很大的鼓舞和一剂强心剂。再次鸣谢老虎证券和文章作者的分享，我认真的进行了拜读，跟各位虎友一起学习学习。（提前申明：此文如有不合适之处，如有侵权之处，请联系我改正文章或删除文章。）此图是我今年的投资战况，今年和往常一样又是归零的一年，年年岁岁亏损归零，岁岁年年股票不同。一直在探索适合自己的期权策略，目前还未成功，但希望这一天不远。下图是“22万美金复盘”作者的资产回顾，投去22万次羡慕的眼光。言归正传，作为期权爱好者，我们很想知道，上文作者如何利用期权策略，从6月初的7千美金到8月初的22万美金。我们主要分析上文作者主要的两次期权盈利操作，BNTX和MRNA。上文作者的期权策略很简单，就是中长期的CALL,买入到期时间还有大概6个月的看涨期权，买入之后股价基本都是翻倍。作为期权爱好者，值得我们学习的地方。两次操作取到巨大成功的因素分析：宏观分析和个股分析，以及技术分析。最后，写在最后的感悟，投资是一场心灵修炼之路，通过一次次的失败走向成功。投资最考验人的心理素质，我们会面临着许多考验，比如，买的股票涨了舍不得卖，最后又回调了，亏损了。然后亏损了也舍不得割，最后被套牢了。如果每只操作的股票，我们都面临着何时买入和何时卖出的灵魂考验，那么我们最终大概率都会亏光。所以，我们要去设计自己的交易策略，然后去实际操作检验它，直到找到适合自己的操作策略。比如上文作者的交易策略就是利用中长期CALL操作自己通过宏观分析、技术分析、个股分析合适的股票买入，我想上文作者找到适合他自己的操作策略之前，一定也经历了数不清的亏损和心理压力，现在的成功是一直保持学习和实践的结果。股市里的钱就","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a5cfeaff53e21285af5adfea5c5928"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5fb2d5b2737d762b080ab9914e4de11"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de38019e53785a7dab32a01ef76d20e1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832881553","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819806512,"gmtCreate":1630051386036,"gmtModify":1704955189317,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good advice.&nbsp;","listText":"Good advice.&nbsp;","text":"Good advice.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819806512","repostId":"810595522","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":810595522,"gmtCreate":1629985538360,"gmtModify":1704954173197,"author":{"id":"20733756400840","authorId":"20733756400840","name":"我是股神的小腿毛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d2a54ec91bee908d0ce0a36809b8199","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"20733756400840","idStr":"20733756400840"},"themes":[],"title":"【给新股民的建议】聊聊我踩过的坑～","htmlText":"前两天看到小虎活动新上了一个话题叫“给新股民的建议，我认为对于一个美股新手而言，入市后要做的第一件事其实并不是去选好标的，而是应该先学如何排雷，先要知道有哪些坑是万万碰不得的。今天想跟大家分享一下让我印象最深刻的几个坑，也希望新来的朋友不要跟我一样～ 做空 我2015年老虎开户入金了，应该算是老韭菜了。那时候适逢股灾，大盘跌了不少，我发现基本上手里的股票都在跌，后来就迷上了做空。估计很多朋友对做空还不了解，做多是先买后卖，而做空就是先点击卖出再点击买入，当我们预测股票在未来会下跌的时候，我们就可以尝试做空。像是之前暴雷的瑞幸，以及遭遇监管的教育股，都是不错的做空标的。 不过我做空却是遭到了打脸，当时我做空了一家挖掘机公司，当时2015年机械产业整体下跌，煤炭公司面临高额债务缠身，倒闭的企业更是数不胜数，我就在想既然是不被看好的行业，或许可以长期做空，刚开始略有小赚，后来JOY就跟发了疯似的，无论财报差不差，他都翻倍的涨，后来扛不住了，就止损了，没想到不久这家公司就被收购了，（当时一点风声都被没传出来啊）后期尽管看到不少油气公司抱团倒闭，宝宝因为害怕死猫跳，再也没有跟进过。 对新股民的建议是，做多的情况下，我们最多亏损100%，做空的风险无限大。首先会面临轧空的风险，年初的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> 暴涨，让一众机构尽折腰，其次还有可能遇到无法做空，有些人会问某某股票现在不支持卖空，什么时候可以支持，这个就需要看卖空池什么时候有券了，这个是无法确定的，像是一些常年被做空的票，很多情况下融券池都不是很充裕，我记得去年的瑞幸就很难借到券做空，极端情况下，还有可能会被提前赎回。此外，做空的融券利息也不便宜，美国市场化还是很彻底的，根据股票的出借的难易程度会有不同对应的融券利率。","listText":"前两天看到小虎活动新上了一个话题叫“给新股民的建议，我认为对于一个美股新手而言，入市后要做的第一件事其实并不是去选好标的，而是应该先学如何排雷，先要知道有哪些坑是万万碰不得的。今天想跟大家分享一下让我印象最深刻的几个坑，也希望新来的朋友不要跟我一样～ 做空 我2015年老虎开户入金了，应该算是老韭菜了。那时候适逢股灾，大盘跌了不少，我发现基本上手里的股票都在跌，后来就迷上了做空。估计很多朋友对做空还不了解，做多是先买后卖，而做空就是先点击卖出再点击买入，当我们预测股票在未来会下跌的时候，我们就可以尝试做空。像是之前暴雷的瑞幸，以及遭遇监管的教育股，都是不错的做空标的。 不过我做空却是遭到了打脸，当时我做空了一家挖掘机公司，当时2015年机械产业整体下跌，煤炭公司面临高额债务缠身，倒闭的企业更是数不胜数，我就在想既然是不被看好的行业，或许可以长期做空，刚开始略有小赚，后来JOY就跟发了疯似的，无论财报差不差，他都翻倍的涨，后来扛不住了，就止损了，没想到不久这家公司就被收购了，（当时一点风声都被没传出来啊）后期尽管看到不少油气公司抱团倒闭，宝宝因为害怕死猫跳，再也没有跟进过。 对新股民的建议是，做多的情况下，我们最多亏损100%，做空的风险无限大。首先会面临轧空的风险，年初的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> 暴涨，让一众机构尽折腰，其次还有可能遇到无法做空，有些人会问某某股票现在不支持卖空，什么时候可以支持，这个就需要看卖空池什么时候有券了，这个是无法确定的，像是一些常年被做空的票，很多情况下融券池都不是很充裕，我记得去年的瑞幸就很难借到券做空，极端情况下，还有可能会被提前赎回。此外，做空的融券利息也不便宜，美国市场化还是很彻底的，根据股票的出借的难易程度会有不同对应的融券利率。","text":"前两天看到小虎活动新上了一个话题叫“给新股民的建议，我认为对于一个美股新手而言，入市后要做的第一件事其实并不是去选好标的，而是应该先学如何排雷，先要知道有哪些坑是万万碰不得的。今天想跟大家分享一下让我印象最深刻的几个坑，也希望新来的朋友不要跟我一样～ 做空 我2015年老虎开户入金了，应该算是老韭菜了。那时候适逢股灾，大盘跌了不少，我发现基本上手里的股票都在跌，后来就迷上了做空。估计很多朋友对做空还不了解，做多是先买后卖，而做空就是先点击卖出再点击买入，当我们预测股票在未来会下跌的时候，我们就可以尝试做空。像是之前暴雷的瑞幸，以及遭遇监管的教育股，都是不错的做空标的。 不过我做空却是遭到了打脸，当时我做空了一家挖掘机公司，当时2015年机械产业整体下跌，煤炭公司面临高额债务缠身，倒闭的企业更是数不胜数，我就在想既然是不被看好的行业，或许可以长期做空，刚开始略有小赚，后来JOY就跟发了疯似的，无论财报差不差，他都翻倍的涨，后来扛不住了，就止损了，没想到不久这家公司就被收购了，（当时一点风声都被没传出来啊）后期尽管看到不少油气公司抱团倒闭，宝宝因为害怕死猫跳，再也没有跟进过。 对新股民的建议是，做多的情况下，我们最多亏损100%，做空的风险无限大。首先会面临轧空的风险，年初的$游戏驿站(GME)$ 暴涨，让一众机构尽折腰，其次还有可能遇到无法做空，有些人会问某某股票现在不支持卖空，什么时候可以支持，这个就需要看卖空池什么时候有券了，这个是无法确定的，像是一些常年被做空的票，很多情况下融券池都不是很充裕，我记得去年的瑞幸就很难借到券做空，极端情况下，还有可能会被提前赎回。此外，做空的融券利息也不便宜，美国市场化还是很彻底的，根据股票的出借的难易程度会有不同对应的融券利率。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e678de867d989892ad8bc22a80622d2b","width":"309","height":"163"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810595522","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833363406,"gmtCreate":1629206497305,"gmtModify":1631891845821,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833363406","repostId":"833919277","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":833919277,"gmtCreate":1629192660000,"gmtModify":1629293310561,"author":{"id":"3487914694550623","authorId":"3487914694550623","name":"博实","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0894701efa2a180d5aa10da0b9e94d5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3487914694550623","idStr":"3487914694550623"},"themes":[],"title":"段永平：DCF（生命周期的总现金流折现）是唯一合乎逻辑的估值方法","htmlText":"编辑：博实 本文转载自雪球ID：圆周率_平常心。主要内容为段永平先生在互联网上的内容整理。转载时，根据估值主题，略有删节。 我一般的目标是买我认为价值被低估50%或以上,价值应该是现在的净值加上未来利润总和的折现。 老巴成功的秘诀是他知道自己买的是什么。归根到底，买股票就是买公司。无论你看懂的是长久还是变化，只要是真懂，便宜时就是好机会。我有时也这么说：投资很简单，不懂不做。但要能搞懂企业就算看一吨的书也不一定行,投资简单但不容易！ 我非常同意DCF（生命周期的总现金流折现）是唯一合乎逻辑的估值方法的说法，其实这就是“买股票就是买公司”的意思，不过是量化了。对投资，我想来想去，总觉得只有一样东西最简单，就是当你买一个股票时，你一定是认为你在买这家公司，你可能拿在手里10年，20年，有这种想法后就容易判断很多。 巴菲特有很多保险和金融的投资，我基本没有，因为我还不懂，总觉得不踏实。我投了一些和internet相关的公司，巴菲特没投过，因为他不懂。他认为可口可乐是人们必喝的，我认为游戏是人们必玩的。航空公司还是不碰为好。航空公司的产品难以做到差异化，没办法赚到钱，长期来讲没投资价值。这是巴菲特教我的，省了我好多钱。 便宜就买了。如果连老巴都不信，你还能信谁？对自己觉得真正了解的公司，很少细看报表，但了解以前会看（至少是应该看）。我一般会先了解企业文化，如果觉得不信任这家公司，就连报表都不会看的。 我只是做我认为我能懂的东西（以为自己懂也不一定就真懂了），有些可能也许正好是大家说的所谓科技股吧。我分不清什么是科技股。任何人要买的话必须自己明白自己在干什么，不然你睡不好觉的。其实当我说一只股票有投资价值时，最希望有人来挑战而不是跟进。我希望看到不同的观点。我投资不限于某个市场，主要取决于我是否有机会能搞懂。 如果A股有便宜我又了解的股票的话，我也可以买。不过现在我不太了解A股。要是","listText":"编辑：博实 本文转载自雪球ID：圆周率_平常心。主要内容为段永平先生在互联网上的内容整理。转载时，根据估值主题，略有删节。 我一般的目标是买我认为价值被低估50%或以上,价值应该是现在的净值加上未来利润总和的折现。 老巴成功的秘诀是他知道自己买的是什么。归根到底，买股票就是买公司。无论你看懂的是长久还是变化，只要是真懂，便宜时就是好机会。我有时也这么说：投资很简单，不懂不做。但要能搞懂企业就算看一吨的书也不一定行,投资简单但不容易！ 我非常同意DCF（生命周期的总现金流折现）是唯一合乎逻辑的估值方法的说法，其实这就是“买股票就是买公司”的意思，不过是量化了。对投资，我想来想去，总觉得只有一样东西最简单，就是当你买一个股票时，你一定是认为你在买这家公司，你可能拿在手里10年，20年，有这种想法后就容易判断很多。 巴菲特有很多保险和金融的投资，我基本没有，因为我还不懂，总觉得不踏实。我投了一些和internet相关的公司，巴菲特没投过，因为他不懂。他认为可口可乐是人们必喝的，我认为游戏是人们必玩的。航空公司还是不碰为好。航空公司的产品难以做到差异化，没办法赚到钱，长期来讲没投资价值。这是巴菲特教我的，省了我好多钱。 便宜就买了。如果连老巴都不信，你还能信谁？对自己觉得真正了解的公司，很少细看报表，但了解以前会看（至少是应该看）。我一般会先了解企业文化，如果觉得不信任这家公司，就连报表都不会看的。 我只是做我认为我能懂的东西（以为自己懂也不一定就真懂了），有些可能也许正好是大家说的所谓科技股吧。我分不清什么是科技股。任何人要买的话必须自己明白自己在干什么，不然你睡不好觉的。其实当我说一只股票有投资价值时，最希望有人来挑战而不是跟进。我希望看到不同的观点。我投资不限于某个市场，主要取决于我是否有机会能搞懂。 如果A股有便宜我又了解的股票的话，我也可以买。不过现在我不太了解A股。要是","text":"编辑：博实 本文转载自雪球ID：圆周率_平常心。主要内容为段永平先生在互联网上的内容整理。转载时，根据估值主题，略有删节。 我一般的目标是买我认为价值被低估50%或以上,价值应该是现在的净值加上未来利润总和的折现。 老巴成功的秘诀是他知道自己买的是什么。归根到底，买股票就是买公司。无论你看懂的是长久还是变化，只要是真懂，便宜时就是好机会。我有时也这么说：投资很简单，不懂不做。但要能搞懂企业就算看一吨的书也不一定行,投资简单但不容易！ 我非常同意DCF（生命周期的总现金流折现）是唯一合乎逻辑的估值方法的说法，其实这就是“买股票就是买公司”的意思，不过是量化了。对投资，我想来想去，总觉得只有一样东西最简单，就是当你买一个股票时，你一定是认为你在买这家公司，你可能拿在手里10年，20年，有这种想法后就容易判断很多。 巴菲特有很多保险和金融的投资，我基本没有，因为我还不懂，总觉得不踏实。我投了一些和internet相关的公司，巴菲特没投过，因为他不懂。他认为可口可乐是人们必喝的，我认为游戏是人们必玩的。航空公司还是不碰为好。航空公司的产品难以做到差异化，没办法赚到钱，长期来讲没投资价值。这是巴菲特教我的，省了我好多钱。 便宜就买了。如果连老巴都不信，你还能信谁？对自己觉得真正了解的公司，很少细看报表，但了解以前会看（至少是应该看）。我一般会先了解企业文化，如果觉得不信任这家公司，就连报表都不会看的。 我只是做我认为我能懂的东西（以为自己懂也不一定就真懂了），有些可能也许正好是大家说的所谓科技股吧。我分不清什么是科技股。任何人要买的话必须自己明白自己在干什么，不然你睡不好觉的。其实当我说一只股票有投资价值时，最希望有人来挑战而不是跟进。我希望看到不同的观点。我投资不限于某个市场，主要取决于我是否有机会能搞懂。 如果A股有便宜我又了解的股票的话，我也可以买。不过现在我不太了解A股。要是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e76adea1661e41b6b9c5ba2748d658e1","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833919277","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":897693466,"gmtCreate":1628909969155,"gmtModify":1631891845836,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good to know","listText":"Good to know","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897693466","repostId":"898206912","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":898206912,"gmtCreate":1628497888236,"gmtModify":1628510104034,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582524673862453","idStr":"3582524673862453"},"themes":[],"title":"股票是涨是跌，用这套方法，看开盘前30分钟就够了！","htmlText":"很多短线高手只需要看开盘30分钟就能判断股票一天的涨跌，他们是怎么做到的呢？今天就把他们的方法分享给大家。尤其是最后一点，非常实用。第一，开盘30分钟，先下跌，再反弹，但反弹不超过开盘价，反弹后快速回落，说明股票走势非常弱，还会继续下跌。第二，开盘30分钟，先涨后跌，并且快速跌破开盘价，这种情况往往引发失望性抛盘，继续下跌。第三，开盘30分钟，先涨后跌，但没有跌破开盘价，这是洗盘的典型特征，后期看涨。第四点，非常关键，开盘30分钟出现小幅拉升，但不超过5个点，随后股价在分时均价线的上方运行，同时伴随着量能的逐渐放大，说明主力可能会有大动作。以上四种情况，建议大家反复练习，多看几遍，这样才能在实践中融会贯通。你还有什么看盘方法，欢迎留言讨论~关注库巴老师<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582524673862453\">@库巴财经</a>&nbsp;，每天为你分享股市干货！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"很多短线高手只需要看开盘30分钟就能判断股票一天的涨跌，他们是怎么做到的呢？今天就把他们的方法分享给大家。尤其是最后一点，非常实用。第一，开盘30分钟，先下跌，再反弹，但反弹不超过开盘价，反弹后快速回落，说明股票走势非常弱，还会继续下跌。第二，开盘30分钟，先涨后跌，并且快速跌破开盘价，这种情况往往引发失望性抛盘，继续下跌。第三，开盘30分钟，先涨后跌，但没有跌破开盘价，这是洗盘的典型特征，后期看涨。第四点，非常关键，开盘30分钟出现小幅拉升，但不超过5个点，随后股价在分时均价线的上方运行，同时伴随着量能的逐渐放大，说明主力可能会有大动作。以上四种情况，建议大家反复练习，多看几遍，这样才能在实践中融会贯通。你还有什么看盘方法，欢迎留言讨论~关注库巴老师<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582524673862453\">@库巴财经</a>&nbsp;，每天为你分享股市干货！<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"很多短线高手只需要看开盘30分钟就能判断股票一天的涨跌，他们是怎么做到的呢？今天就把他们的方法分享给大家。尤其是最后一点，非常实用。第一，开盘30分钟，先下跌，再反弹，但反弹不超过开盘价，反弹后快速回落，说明股票走势非常弱，还会继续下跌。第二，开盘30分钟，先涨后跌，并且快速跌破开盘价，这种情况往往引发失望性抛盘，继续下跌。第三，开盘30分钟，先涨后跌，但没有跌破开盘价，这是洗盘的典型特征，后期看涨。第四点，非常关键，开盘30分钟出现小幅拉升，但不超过5个点，随后股价在分时均价线的上方运行，同时伴随着量能的逐渐放大，说明主力可能会有大动作。以上四种情况，建议大家反复练习，多看几遍，这样才能在实践中融会贯通。你还有什么看盘方法，欢迎留言讨论~关注库巴老师@库巴财经 ，每天为你分享股市干货！$中芯国际(00981)$ $快手-W(01024)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cb4d2e0d6fc971ada076fb59c29f4","width":"688","height":"353"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/262c31424ee89a9650f283d86fc12c1b","width":"524","height":"236"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/404e46daa996a798b23b52e511232340","width":"566","height":"202"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898206912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802739788,"gmtCreate":1627804808644,"gmtModify":1631891845846,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes&nbsp;","listText":"Yes&nbsp;","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802739788","repostId":"1147877145","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171490329,"gmtCreate":1626754286461,"gmtModify":1631891845858,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171490329","repostId":"171616365","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":171616365,"gmtCreate":1626740700000,"gmtModify":1744960710428,"author":{"id":"3556669788355570","authorId":"3556669788355570","name":"GuruFocus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e1e28b3ff68411370a270b2aa9a76d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556669788355570","idStr":"3556669788355570"},"themes":[],"title":"不得不远离的深度价值投资","htmlText":"文/姚斌 能够深刻认识深度价值投资策略的人，田测产博士是其中一位。田测产是物理学博士，曾在物理和光纤领域做了近20年的研究。他在感觉自己似乎已经接近职业天花板时进入了投资领域，于是在2004年创办了GuruFocus（价值大师）网站，分享从沃伦·巴菲特和其他伟大投资者身上学到的经验。 所谓的“深度价值投资”，是指以相对公司账面资产较大的折扣去购买一家公司的股票，这种方法来自本杰明·格雷厄姆。后来，在他的学生沃伦·巴菲特手中发扬光大，又被称为“烟蒂投资”：“你在大街上捡到一只雪茄烟蒂，短得只能再抽一口，也许冒不出多少烟，但因为烟蒂是捡的，所以那口不多的烟全是白得的。”这是以一种比公司的净资产价值还低得多的价格，买入平庸公司股票的投资策略。也就是，“你用40美分买到价值1美元的票据。” 在巴菲特早期的投资生涯中，他曾经通过实践深度价值投资理论，取得了巨大成功。深度价值投资者寻找的是，以相对公司持有的资产价值而言很大的折扣来购买该公司的股票，然后静待价格向价值靠拢。深度价值投资理论要求投资者买入的股票价格和资产价值之间的差距要大于预设的最小差距。这个差距被称为“安全边际”，用来保护投资者避免因为初始时错误的估计了标的股票的价值而蒙受损失。 本杰明·格雷厄姆和他的学生沃尔特·施洛斯都是深度价值投资者。包括了之后的塞思·卡拉曼、霍华德·马克斯以及马丁·惠特曼等一大批著名的价值投资者。格雷厄姆在他的经典著作《聪明的投资者》中提到，为了避免错误和无知，持有一个多样化的资产组合更安全，这个资产组合可能由超过100家公司的股票构成。深度价值投资者在评估股票的价值时，只关注公司的资产负债表，不在乎它的运营情况。因为随着时间的流逝，价格和价值之间的差距可能会缩小，这样深度价值投资者可以通过在较高价位卖出股票获利，这一价位可能很接近公司的内在价值。 1 田测产博士认为，对于深度价值投资，通常有4种","listText":"文/姚斌 能够深刻认识深度价值投资策略的人，田测产博士是其中一位。田测产是物理学博士，曾在物理和光纤领域做了近20年的研究。他在感觉自己似乎已经接近职业天花板时进入了投资领域，于是在2004年创办了GuruFocus（价值大师）网站，分享从沃伦·巴菲特和其他伟大投资者身上学到的经验。 所谓的“深度价值投资”，是指以相对公司账面资产较大的折扣去购买一家公司的股票，这种方法来自本杰明·格雷厄姆。后来，在他的学生沃伦·巴菲特手中发扬光大，又被称为“烟蒂投资”：“你在大街上捡到一只雪茄烟蒂，短得只能再抽一口，也许冒不出多少烟，但因为烟蒂是捡的，所以那口不多的烟全是白得的。”这是以一种比公司的净资产价值还低得多的价格，买入平庸公司股票的投资策略。也就是，“你用40美分买到价值1美元的票据。” 在巴菲特早期的投资生涯中，他曾经通过实践深度价值投资理论，取得了巨大成功。深度价值投资者寻找的是，以相对公司持有的资产价值而言很大的折扣来购买该公司的股票，然后静待价格向价值靠拢。深度价值投资理论要求投资者买入的股票价格和资产价值之间的差距要大于预设的最小差距。这个差距被称为“安全边际”，用来保护投资者避免因为初始时错误的估计了标的股票的价值而蒙受损失。 本杰明·格雷厄姆和他的学生沃尔特·施洛斯都是深度价值投资者。包括了之后的塞思·卡拉曼、霍华德·马克斯以及马丁·惠特曼等一大批著名的价值投资者。格雷厄姆在他的经典著作《聪明的投资者》中提到，为了避免错误和无知，持有一个多样化的资产组合更安全，这个资产组合可能由超过100家公司的股票构成。深度价值投资者在评估股票的价值时，只关注公司的资产负债表，不在乎它的运营情况。因为随着时间的流逝，价格和价值之间的差距可能会缩小，这样深度价值投资者可以通过在较高价位卖出股票获利，这一价位可能很接近公司的内在价值。 1 田测产博士认为，对于深度价值投资，通常有4种","text":"文/姚斌 能够深刻认识深度价值投资策略的人，田测产博士是其中一位。田测产是物理学博士，曾在物理和光纤领域做了近20年的研究。他在感觉自己似乎已经接近职业天花板时进入了投资领域，于是在2004年创办了GuruFocus（价值大师）网站，分享从沃伦·巴菲特和其他伟大投资者身上学到的经验。 所谓的“深度价值投资”，是指以相对公司账面资产较大的折扣去购买一家公司的股票，这种方法来自本杰明·格雷厄姆。后来，在他的学生沃伦·巴菲特手中发扬光大，又被称为“烟蒂投资”：“你在大街上捡到一只雪茄烟蒂，短得只能再抽一口，也许冒不出多少烟，但因为烟蒂是捡的，所以那口不多的烟全是白得的。”这是以一种比公司的净资产价值还低得多的价格，买入平庸公司股票的投资策略。也就是，“你用40美分买到价值1美元的票据。” 在巴菲特早期的投资生涯中，他曾经通过实践深度价值投资理论，取得了巨大成功。深度价值投资者寻找的是，以相对公司持有的资产价值而言很大的折扣来购买该公司的股票，然后静待价格向价值靠拢。深度价值投资理论要求投资者买入的股票价格和资产价值之间的差距要大于预设的最小差距。这个差距被称为“安全边际”，用来保护投资者避免因为初始时错误的估计了标的股票的价值而蒙受损失。 本杰明·格雷厄姆和他的学生沃尔特·施洛斯都是深度价值投资者。包括了之后的塞思·卡拉曼、霍华德·马克斯以及马丁·惠特曼等一大批著名的价值投资者。格雷厄姆在他的经典著作《聪明的投资者》中提到，为了避免错误和无知，持有一个多样化的资产组合更安全，这个资产组合可能由超过100家公司的股票构成。深度价值投资者在评估股票的价值时，只关注公司的资产负债表，不在乎它的运营情况。因为随着时间的流逝，价格和价值之间的差距可能会缩小，这样深度价值投资者可以通过在较高价位卖出股票获利，这一价位可能很接近公司的内在价值。 1 田测产博士认为，对于深度价值投资，通常有4种","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5310dda94db142eab2844cb2c71c8637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171616365","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":145712001,"gmtCreate":1626245345203,"gmtModify":1631891845870,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145712001","repostId":"2151599915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151599915","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1626237181,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2151599915?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 12:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"亿万富翁布兰森公布新计划：要在月球附近建太空酒店","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151599915","media":"36氪 ","summary":"维珍银河创始人理查德·布兰森与另外五人到达距离地球表面80多公里的太空边缘，在那里体验失重的感觉\n腾讯科技讯 7月14日消息，刚刚搭乘旗下太空旅游公司维珍银河(Virgin Galaxy)的亚轨道飞船","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a>创始人理查德·布兰森与另外五人到达距离地球表面80多公里的太空边缘，在那里体验失重的感觉</p>\n<p>腾讯科技讯 7月14日消息，刚刚搭乘旗下太空旅游公司维珍银河(Virgin Galaxy)的亚轨道飞船完成首次太空边缘飞行，英国亿万富翁理查德·布兰森爵士(Sir Richard Branson)又透露了其最新计划，要在月球附近建太空酒店。</p>\n<p>布兰森表示，在月球附近建造太空酒店始终是他的梦想。未来的乘客可以期待维珍银河提供更多的飞船，最终降低太空旅行的成本。目前，搭乘维珍银河公司飞船前往太空边缘的飞行将复制布兰森7月11日的壮举，船票价格约为25万美元。</p>\n<p>布兰森还称，维珍银河的亚轨道飞行可能并不是他探索太空努力的结束，因为该公司计划建造能够飞得更高、更长时间的飞行器。</p>\n<p>在谈到他想追求的其他梦想时，布兰森说：“将来我们是否会在月球附近建造太空酒店（这是我一直梦想要做的事情），还是会让我的孩子们去完成这个梦想，我们还得拭目以待。但这是我的另一个梦想，如果我有生之年有时间去做的话，我希望自己去做这件事。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d6fa3e6988d207ef0cab80d1871041c\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1969年，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APOL\">阿波罗</a>11号飞船宇航员拍摄的照片，在月球上看地球升起。布兰森希望将来也能为太空游客提供在月球上看地球的机会</p>\n<p>布兰森希望，在他从新墨西哥州的美国太空港发射升空这一具有里程碑意义的时刻之后，太空旅游业将会快速增长。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>创始人杰夫·贝索斯（Jeff Bezos）将于7月20日搭乘蓝色起源公司亚轨道飞船升空，成为第二位乘坐自家公司所开发飞行器进入太空的亿万富翁。同时，蓝色起源也在考虑提供类似于维珍银河(Virgin Galaxy)前往太空边缘的短途飞行，每个座位的价格估计为20万美元。</p>\n<p>布兰森表示，随着更多的飞行器和火箭可用，最终将有助于降低太空旅行的成本。维珍银河首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglzier)支持布兰森的愿景，并称将来维珍银河可能每年从全球数十个运营的太空港发射400次载人飞行。</p>\n<p>目前，维珍银河公司用于试飞的亚轨道飞船VSS Unity仍属于原型，它将被下一代飞船VSS Imagine取代，后者是更容易维护和制造的SpaceShip3级飞行器。新飞船还将允许在两次飞行之间更快地周转，从而允许进行定期的太空旅行。</p>\n<p>科尔格拉齐尔在早些时候接受采访时称，未来版本的飞船将在设计时考虑到制造的方便性。该公司正在出售新股，希望筹集5亿美元资金，为未来飞船的开发和生产提供资金，包括在世界各地寻找其他太空港。目前还不清楚这些太空港将建在哪里，但维珍银河的姊妹公司维珍轨道(Virgin Orbit)已经与康沃尔太空港（Cornwall）达成了协议。</p>\n<p>由于已经有600多人购买了维珍银河的太空旅游船票，有些人甚至已经等待了超过15年，该公司需要加快速度来满足需求。还有1000人支付了1000美元的押金等待前往太空边缘的机会。</p>\n<p>布兰森表示，这次旅行和经历“比我想象的要极端得多”，然后称赞他的首次飞行是“光荣的”。他说：“这是我终生都在追求的梦想。但梦想往往不会变成现实，这真是太棒了！所有我梦寐以求的事情都实现了。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a97872a35ec5a4d767f8cecbb36fc61\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>布兰森的这次飞行是维珍银河首次全员满载太空之旅，目的是为了增强公司的信心，该公司计划从2022开始搭载付费客户进行短途太空旅行</p>\n<p>当被问及未来乘客何时才能有机会进入太空时，布兰森表示，建造更多飞船的工作即将开始。他说：“在进行首次成功飞行之后，我们将开始建造更多的飞船，并努力帮助降低成本，但这不会立即见效。我们的下一代飞船将飞得更高，随着时间的推移，我们将建造能力更强大的飞船。”</p>\n<p>在谈到是否会再次进入太空时，布兰森补充道：“我们已经有数百人报名，希望参加太空旅行，他们现在渴望坐到飞船上。也许有一天，当我们有20艘飞船时，公司可能会再次为我安排座位，比如为了庆祝我90岁生日之类的，也许他们会允许我这么做。但我们对此将拭目以待。”</p>\n<p>在对SpaceX创始人埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）购买维珍银河飞船船票的消息做出回应时，布兰森表示，将来他也可能会购买SpaceX的船票。与维珍银河不同的是，SpaceX目前在载人龙飞船运营着飞往国际空间站的轨道飞行。</p>\n<p>到目前为止，SpaceX只为太空机构提供服务，但他们正在努力在2022年与运营商Axiom Space合作提供首次商业平民飞行。据猜测，SpaceX的船票加上在国际空间站停留10天，费用总额约为5500万美元，但这一价格可能会在未来下降。</p>\n<p>俄罗斯航天局（Roscomos)目前正在开发新的空间站，计划于2025年发射，其中将包括专门的“太空旅馆”舱。Axiom Space和其他公司也在与NASA讨论扩大国际空间站规模，使其更适合游客参观，轨道组装公司(OAC)希望到2027年第一家完全商业化的太空酒店能投入运营。</p>","source":"36kr_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>亿万富翁布兰森公布新计划：要在月球附近建太空酒店</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n亿万富翁布兰森公布新计划：要在月球附近建太空酒店\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-14 12:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://36kr.com/p/1310097088316161><strong>36氪 </strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>维珍银河创始人理查德·布兰森与另外五人到达距离地球表面80多公里的太空边缘，在那里体验失重的感觉\n腾讯科技讯 7月14日消息，刚刚搭乘旗下太空旅游公司维珍银河(Virgin Galaxy)的亚轨道飞船完成首次太空边缘飞行，英国亿万富翁理查德·布兰森爵士(Sir Richard Branson)又透露了其最新计划，要在月球附近建太空酒店。\n布兰森表示，在月球附近建造太空酒店始终是他的梦想。未来的乘客...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://36kr.com/p/1310097088316161\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddaaa9424d698d915e66767b4d89ce2","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://36kr.com/p/1310097088316161","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151599915","content_text":"维珍银河创始人理查德·布兰森与另外五人到达距离地球表面80多公里的太空边缘，在那里体验失重的感觉\n腾讯科技讯 7月14日消息，刚刚搭乘旗下太空旅游公司维珍银河(Virgin Galaxy)的亚轨道飞船完成首次太空边缘飞行，英国亿万富翁理查德·布兰森爵士(Sir Richard Branson)又透露了其最新计划，要在月球附近建太空酒店。\n布兰森表示，在月球附近建造太空酒店始终是他的梦想。未来的乘客可以期待维珍银河提供更多的飞船，最终降低太空旅行的成本。目前，搭乘维珍银河公司飞船前往太空边缘的飞行将复制布兰森7月11日的壮举，船票价格约为25万美元。\n布兰森还称，维珍银河的亚轨道飞行可能并不是他探索太空努力的结束，因为该公司计划建造能够飞得更高、更长时间的飞行器。\n在谈到他想追求的其他梦想时，布兰森说：“将来我们是否会在月球附近建造太空酒店（这是我一直梦想要做的事情），还是会让我的孩子们去完成这个梦想，我们还得拭目以待。但这是我的另一个梦想，如果我有生之年有时间去做的话，我希望自己去做这件事。”\n\n1969年，阿波罗11号飞船宇航员拍摄的照片，在月球上看地球升起。布兰森希望将来也能为太空游客提供在月球上看地球的机会\n布兰森希望，在他从新墨西哥州的美国太空港发射升空这一具有里程碑意义的时刻之后，太空旅游业将会快速增长。\n亚马逊创始人杰夫·贝索斯（Jeff Bezos）将于7月20日搭乘蓝色起源公司亚轨道飞船升空，成为第二位乘坐自家公司所开发飞行器进入太空的亿万富翁。同时，蓝色起源也在考虑提供类似于维珍银河(Virgin Galaxy)前往太空边缘的短途飞行，每个座位的价格估计为20万美元。\n布兰森表示，随着更多的飞行器和火箭可用，最终将有助于降低太空旅行的成本。维珍银河首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglzier)支持布兰森的愿景，并称将来维珍银河可能每年从全球数十个运营的太空港发射400次载人飞行。\n目前，维珍银河公司用于试飞的亚轨道飞船VSS Unity仍属于原型，它将被下一代飞船VSS Imagine取代，后者是更容易维护和制造的SpaceShip3级飞行器。新飞船还将允许在两次飞行之间更快地周转，从而允许进行定期的太空旅行。\n科尔格拉齐尔在早些时候接受采访时称，未来版本的飞船将在设计时考虑到制造的方便性。该公司正在出售新股，希望筹集5亿美元资金，为未来飞船的开发和生产提供资金，包括在世界各地寻找其他太空港。目前还不清楚这些太空港将建在哪里，但维珍银河的姊妹公司维珍轨道(Virgin Orbit)已经与康沃尔太空港（Cornwall）达成了协议。\n由于已经有600多人购买了维珍银河的太空旅游船票，有些人甚至已经等待了超过15年，该公司需要加快速度来满足需求。还有1000人支付了1000美元的押金等待前往太空边缘的机会。\n布兰森表示，这次旅行和经历“比我想象的要极端得多”，然后称赞他的首次飞行是“光荣的”。他说：“这是我终生都在追求的梦想。但梦想往往不会变成现实，这真是太棒了！所有我梦寐以求的事情都实现了。”\n\n布兰森的这次飞行是维珍银河首次全员满载太空之旅，目的是为了增强公司的信心，该公司计划从2022开始搭载付费客户进行短途太空旅行\n当被问及未来乘客何时才能有机会进入太空时，布兰森表示，建造更多飞船的工作即将开始。他说：“在进行首次成功飞行之后，我们将开始建造更多的飞船，并努力帮助降低成本，但这不会立即见效。我们的下一代飞船将飞得更高，随着时间的推移，我们将建造能力更强大的飞船。”\n在谈到是否会再次进入太空时，布兰森补充道：“我们已经有数百人报名，希望参加太空旅行，他们现在渴望坐到飞船上。也许有一天，当我们有20艘飞船时，公司可能会再次为我安排座位，比如为了庆祝我90岁生日之类的，也许他们会允许我这么做。但我们对此将拭目以待。”\n在对SpaceX创始人埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）购买维珍银河飞船船票的消息做出回应时，布兰森表示，将来他也可能会购买SpaceX的船票。与维珍银河不同的是，SpaceX目前在载人龙飞船运营着飞往国际空间站的轨道飞行。\n到目前为止，SpaceX只为太空机构提供服务，但他们正在努力在2022年与运营商Axiom Space合作提供首次商业平民飞行。据猜测，SpaceX的船票加上在国际空间站停留10天，费用总额约为5500万美元，但这一价格可能会在未来下降。\n俄罗斯航天局（Roscomos)目前正在开发新的空间站，计划于2025年发射，其中将包括专门的“太空旅馆”舱。Axiom Space和其他公司也在与NASA讨论扩大国际空间站规模，使其更适合游客参观，轨道组装公司(OAC)希望到2027年第一家完全商业化的太空酒店能投入运营。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":142642184,"gmtCreate":1626148890248,"gmtModify":1631891845881,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142642184","repostId":"1120577156","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148686454,"gmtCreate":1625971621878,"gmtModify":1633931235337,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148686454","repostId":"1124741749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":154300487,"gmtCreate":1625475019849,"gmtModify":1633940357618,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154300487","repostId":"2148874200","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123917817,"gmtCreate":1624406533739,"gmtModify":1634006685833,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123917817","repostId":"129788806","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":129788806,"gmtCreate":1624396584005,"gmtModify":1624404186822,"author":{"id":"125194940475664","authorId":"125194940475664","name":"独立分析师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/80756a3bdeb5c29a5cc7e822601b2183","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"125194940475664","idStr":"125194940475664"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"623早评:欢呼吧，所有华人美股股民应该干一杯。纳指与纳指100期货共创历史新高。正如我6月21日早评预期，“纳指技术面整体形式处于W形态的右侧，突破创新高的概率较大”（图一），在昨日实现了“突破创新高”。虽然昨日大股涨幅猛烈，小股涨幅小，甚至有回调，但不用担心，大股上涨提高了指数的估值，小股估值提升也会得到表现，前提是您买的股票基本面还凑合。短线上，今明两天有重大消息，参考图三，市场短线过于强势，也存在回调压力。具体操作上:资金不足的话，持股待涨；资金充足的话，上涨不追，下跌加仓。至于我的空间站，并不能实现两三个月翻倍的夸张地步。1.空间站实时操作性差，容易错过短线强势股的买入机会，但错过卖出机会，损失恐怕更大。2.如果三个月翻倍，三年就是4096倍，四年就是65536倍，本金大点的话，四年基本世界首富了，这样的空间站，大家信吗？3.短线强势股风险大，当您真正要下手买了，恐怕往往是高点，该跌了。过于夸张的“空间站”，费用过高的“空间站”，恐怕都是骗人的，请广大股民擦亮眼睛。我的空间站一开始就坚持中长线为主，短线为辅，绩优股为主，投机股为辅的稳健原则，而且费用不高，对所推股票长期跟踪，负责到底，祝大家投资顺利。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"623早评:欢呼吧，所有华人美股股民应该干一杯。纳指与纳指100期货共创历史新高。正如我6月21日早评预期，“纳指技术面整体形式处于W形态的右侧，突破创新高的概率较大”（图一），在昨日实现了“突破创新高”。虽然昨日大股涨幅猛烈，小股涨幅小，甚至有回调，但不用担心，大股上涨提高了指数的估值，小股估值提升也会得到表现，前提是您买的股票基本面还凑合。短线上，今明两天有重大消息，参考图三，市场短线过于强势，也存在回调压力。具体操作上:资金不足的话，持股待涨；资金充足的话，上涨不追，下跌加仓。至于我的空间站，并不能实现两三个月翻倍的夸张地步。1.空间站实时操作性差，容易错过短线强势股的买入机会，但错过卖出机会，损失恐怕更大。2.如果三个月翻倍，三年就是4096倍，四年就是65536倍，本金大点的话，四年基本世界首富了，这样的空间站，大家信吗？3.短线强势股风险大，当您真正要下手买了，恐怕往往是高点，该跌了。过于夸张的“空间站”，费用过高的“空间站”，恐怕都是骗人的，请广大股民擦亮眼睛。我的空间站一开始就坚持中长线为主，短线为辅，绩优股为主，投机股为辅的稳健原则，而且费用不高，对所推股票长期跟踪，负责到底，祝大家投资顺利。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"623早评:欢呼吧，所有华人美股股民应该干一杯。纳指与纳指100期货共创历史新高。正如我6月21日早评预期，“纳指技术面整体形式处于W形态的右侧，突破创新高的概率较大”（图一），在昨日实现了“突破创新高”。虽然昨日大股涨幅猛烈，小股涨幅小，甚至有回调，但不用担心，大股上涨提高了指数的估值，小股估值提升也会得到表现，前提是您买的股票基本面还凑合。短线上，今明两天有重大消息，参考图三，市场短线过于强势，也存在回调压力。具体操作上:资金不足的话，持股待涨；资金充足的话，上涨不追，下跌加仓。至于我的空间站，并不能实现两三个月翻倍的夸张地步。1.空间站实时操作性差，容易错过短线强势股的买入机会，但错过卖出机会，损失恐怕更大。2.如果三个月翻倍，三年就是4096倍，四年就是65536倍，本金大点的话，四年基本世界首富了，这样的空间站，大家信吗？3.短线强势股风险大，当您真正要下手买了，恐怕往往是高点，该跌了。过于夸张的“空间站”，费用过高的“空间站”，恐怕都是骗人的，请广大股民擦亮眼睛。我的空间站一开始就坚持中长线为主，短线为辅，绩优股为主，投机股为辅的稳健原则，而且费用不高，对所推股票长期跟踪，负责到底，祝大家投资顺利。$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$NQ100指数主连(NQmain)$ $道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$ $A50指数主连(CNmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/453179264071f8919cfa9a5897930bbb","width":"1077","height":"1478"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da0a387b081db5e33bb4d7964d8b59bc","width":"1080","height":"1577"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cc0feaecd6223ac75cb5e9979ce6016","width":"1080","height":"1428"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129788806","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167339626,"gmtCreate":1624246044665,"gmtModify":1634008942742,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167339626","repostId":"1134750693","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167330292,"gmtCreate":1624246012016,"gmtModify":1634008943414,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167330292","repostId":"1134750693","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165790299,"gmtCreate":1624156709611,"gmtModify":1634010130570,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article.&nbsp;","listText":"Good article.&nbsp;","text":"Good article.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165790299","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160333225,"gmtCreate":1623771689067,"gmtModify":1634028498700,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160333225","repostId":"1187337744","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187337744","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770439,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187337744?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FOMC Preview: \"It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night\"<blockquote>FOMC前瞻：“就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜晚”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187337744","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Perhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.","content":"<p>There's an FOMC meeting this week and we are expecting a policy statement at 2:00 PM on Wednesday. Many commentators are calling this FOMC meeting the \"most important\" in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>本周有一个FOMC会议，我们预计周三下午2:00会有一份政策声明。许多评论人士称这次FOMC会议是近年来“最重要的”会议。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>Big picture … did the Fed move the goal posts?</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>大局…美联储移动了球门柱吗？</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Let's look at some numbers.</p><p><blockquote>我们来看一些数字。</blockquote></p><p> Monthly inflation: wage growth +.5%, PCE +.7%, PPI +.6%, CPI +.7% -<b>these are real scary when they're annualized</b>.</p><p><blockquote>月度通胀：工资增长+.5%，PCE+.7%，PPI+.6%，CPI+.7%-<b>当它们按年计算时，真的很可怕</b>.</blockquote></p><p> GDP is projected to be 6.4% and the unemployment rate is projected to be 5.5% at the next report.</p><p><blockquote>在下一次报告中，国内生产总值预计为6.4%，失业率预计为5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> With these numbers, U.S. monetary is still \"<b>all in.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>有了这些数字，美国货币仍然“<b>全押。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Overnight rates are at 0% and QE running at $120 billion a month.</p><p><blockquote>隔夜利率为0%，量化宽松每月投入1200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On top of that, there will be more stimulus as the economy continues to reopen.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最重要的是，随着经济继续重新开放，将会有更多刺激措施。</b></blockquote></p><p> In my book, this economic situation calls for attention.</p><p><blockquote>在我的书中，这种经济形势引起了评级的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>It's like the Titanic running at full speed. In fog. At night.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>就像全速行驶的泰坦尼克号。在雾中。在晚上。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Perhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.</p><p><blockquote>也许放松油门是谨慎的做法。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FOMC Preview: \"It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night\"<blockquote>FOMC前瞻：“就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜晚”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFOMC Preview: \"It's Like The Titanic Running At Full Speed. In Fog. At Night\"<blockquote>FOMC前瞻：“就像泰坦尼克号全速行驶。在雾中。在夜晚”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 23:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There's an FOMC meeting this week and we are expecting a policy statement at 2:00 PM on Wednesday. Many commentators are calling this FOMC meeting the \"most important\" in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>本周有一个FOMC会议，我们预计周三下午2:00会有一份政策声明。许多评论人士称这次FOMC会议是近年来“最重要的”会议。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>Big picture … did the Fed move the goal posts?</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>大局…美联储移动了球门柱吗？</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Let's look at some numbers.</p><p><blockquote>我们来看一些数字。</blockquote></p><p> Monthly inflation: wage growth +.5%, PCE +.7%, PPI +.6%, CPI +.7% -<b>these are real scary when they're annualized</b>.</p><p><blockquote>月度通胀：工资增长+.5%，PCE+.7%，PPI+.6%，CPI+.7%-<b>当它们按年计算时，真的很可怕</b>.</blockquote></p><p> GDP is projected to be 6.4% and the unemployment rate is projected to be 5.5% at the next report.</p><p><blockquote>在下一次报告中，国内生产总值预计为6.4%，失业率预计为5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> With these numbers, U.S. monetary is still \"<b>all in.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>有了这些数字，美国货币仍然“<b>全押。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Overnight rates are at 0% and QE running at $120 billion a month.</p><p><blockquote>隔夜利率为0%，量化宽松每月投入1200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On top of that, there will be more stimulus as the economy continues to reopen.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最重要的是，随着经济继续重新开放，将会有更多刺激措施。</b></blockquote></p><p> In my book, this economic situation calls for attention.</p><p><blockquote>在我的书中，这种经济形势引起了评级的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <u><i><b>It's like the Titanic running at full speed. In fog. At night.</b></i></u></p><p><blockquote><u><i><b>就像全速行驶的泰坦尼克号。在雾中。在晚上。</b></i></u></blockquote></p><p> Perhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.</p><p><blockquote>也许放松油门是谨慎的做法。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-preview-its-titanic-running-full-speed-fog-night\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-preview-its-titanic-running-full-speed-fog-night","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187337744","content_text":"There's an FOMC meeting this week and we are expecting a policy statement at 2:00 PM on Wednesday. Many commentators are calling this FOMC meeting the \"most important\" in recent years.\nBig picture … did the Fed move the goal posts?\nLet's look at some numbers.\nMonthly inflation: wage growth +.5%, PCE +.7%, PPI +.6%, CPI +.7% -these are real scary when they're annualized.\nGDP is projected to be 6.4% and the unemployment rate is projected to be 5.5% at the next report.\nWith these numbers, U.S. monetary is still \"all in.\"\nOvernight rates are at 0% and QE running at $120 billion a month.\nOn top of that, there will be more stimulus as the economy continues to reopen.\nIn my book, this economic situation calls for attention.\nIt's like the Titanic running at full speed. In fog. At night.\nPerhaps it's prudent to ease up on the throttle.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187927950,"gmtCreate":1623736245270,"gmtModify":1634029333167,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187927950","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138219989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学这样的社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 13:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学这样的社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182612893,"gmtCreate":1623568246612,"gmtModify":1634031556135,"author":{"id":"3579062902062757","authorId":"3579062902062757","name":"skysun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/858b1484936ee9e3b563f6dd7706410c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579062902062757","idStr":"3579062902062757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182612893","repostId":"182147050","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":182147050,"gmtCreate":1623559862466,"gmtModify":1623567306192,"author":{"id":"3527667586584720","authorId":"3527667586584720","name":"小虎综合资讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667586584720","idStr":"3527667586584720"},"themes":[],"title":"真成投资李剑威：未来有更多有增长潜力的科技企业通过SPAC上市","htmlText":"6月12日，老虎证券举办七周年Open Day。现场多位来自一二级市场的投资大咖和业界人士，针对当前的市场行情和未来前景做出分析和预测。针对当前资本市场上最热的上市方式之一SPAC IPO，真成投资管理合伙人李剑威向观众分享了对SPAC市场的观察和对未来发展趋势的预测。 李剑威表示，SPAC并不是刚出现市场上的新鲜事物，但从2020年下半年起，SPAC在资本市场上已经变成一种重要的融资方式，2021年第一季度有超过79%的公司选择SPAC的方式上市。新冠疫情是SPAC走向风口的催化剂之一——疫情之后多轮刺激措施，让市场上的流动性更加充足，散户和和新晋股民也对于这种新的投资方式持开放态度。在风口之下，越来越多的知名人士成为SPAC的发起人，如软银集团孙正义、NBA巨星奥尼尔和来自中国的李宁等。 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