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2021-04-17

Wow

$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>

2021-11-27

Crypto bro

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2021-07-19

HUAT

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2021-05-12

Wow

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2021-11-27

Oh no, anws buy the dip

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2021-11-11

Yahoo likes pls

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2021-07-16

Wooo

Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote>

2021-07-16

Weak

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2021-05-11

BUY

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2021-04-15

Time to buy in

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08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon faces Black Friday strikes by workers across Europe<blockquote>亚马逊面临欧洲各地工人的黑色星期五罢工</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187736093","media":"CNN","summary":"Amazon(AMZN)is facing strikes by warehouse workers and delivery drivers across Europe as its busiest","content":"<p>Amazon(AMZN)is facing strikes by warehouse workers and delivery drivers across Europe as its busiest weekend of the year begins.</p><p><blockquote>随着一年中最繁忙的周末开始，亚马逊（AMZN）正面临欧洲各地仓库工人和送货司机的罢工。</blockquote></p><p> Labor unions in Germany, Italy and France are calling for the company to pay its workers fairly and respect their right to join unions. The strikes have been called to coincide with Amazon's annual Black Friday event, which kicks off a four-day shopping bonanza that culminates in Cyber Monday.</p><p><blockquote>德国、意大利和法国的工会呼吁该公司公平支付工人工资，并尊重他们加入工会的权利。此次罢工恰逢亚马逊一年一度的黑色星期五活动，该活动拉开了为期四天的购物热潮的序幕，并在网络星期一达到高潮。</blockquote></p><p> The action is part of a wider global protest organized by a group called Make Amazon Pay. The coalition of unions, environmentalists and tax campaigners has called for protests in22 countries around the world, including the United States, Canada, Brazil, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote>这一行动是由一个名为“让亚马逊支付”的组织组织的更广泛的全球抗议活动的一部分。工会、环保主义者和税收活动家联盟呼吁在全球22个国家举行抗议活动，包括美国、加拿大、巴西和英国。</blockquote></p><p> The international coalition is also demanding that Amazon \"pays its fair share of taxes and commits to real environmental sustainability.\"</p><p><blockquote>国际联盟还要求亚马逊“缴纳公平份额的税款，并致力于真正的环境可持续性。”</blockquote></p><p> An Amazon spokesperson said that the groups represented a variety of interests, and while the company was \"not perfect in any area\" it was taking its role and impact seriously.\"</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊发言人表示，这些团体代表了多种利益，虽然该公司“在任何领域都不完美”，但它正在认真对待自己的角色和影响。”</blockquote></p><p> We are inventing and investing significantly in all these areas, playing a significant role in addressing climate change with the Climate Pledge commitment to be net zero carbon by 2040, continuing to offer competitive wages and great benefits, and inventing new ways to keep our employees safe and healthy in our operations network, to name just a few,\" the spokesperson added.</p><p><blockquote>我们正在所有这些领域进行大量发明和投资，通过气候承诺到2040年实现净零碳，在应对气候变化方面发挥着重要作用，继续提供有竞争力的工资和丰厚的福利，并发明新的方法来保护我们的员工仅举几例，在我们的运营网络中保持安全和健康，”该发言人补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Some of its workers are not convinced.</p><p><blockquote>它的一些工人并不相信。</blockquote></p><p> Germany's giant Verdi union organized a strike of warehouse workers to coincide with the launch in Berlin of \"Amazon Workers against Surveillance,\" a group protesting the company's \"use of apps, hand scanners, browser tools and cameras to surveil its workforce 24/7.\"</p><p><blockquote>德国巨头威尔第工会组织了一次仓库工人罢工，恰逢“亚马逊工人反对监控”在柏林发起，该组织抗议该公司“使用应用程序、手持扫描仪、浏览器工具和摄像头全天候监控其员工”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Working almost anywhere at Amazon is stressful and hazardous to one's health,\" the group said in a statement on its website.</p><p><blockquote>该组织在其网站上的一份声明中表示：“在亚马逊几乎任何地方工作都充满压力，而且对健康有害。”</blockquote></p><p> In Italy, workers are planning to blockade warehouses and trucks at all Amazon centers across the country, and thousands of drivers are set to strike on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>在意大利，工人们正计划封锁全国所有亚马逊中心的仓库和卡车，数千名司机将于周五举行罢工。</blockquote></p><p> Warehouse workers are also striking in France, including at a logistics center in Lille, in support of demands for wage increases and bonuses, and an end to compulsory overtime.</p><p><blockquote>法国的仓库工人也在罢工，包括里尔的一个物流中心，以支持增加工资和奖金以及结束强制加班的要求。</blockquote></p><p> They told CNN that Amazon has asked employees to work on all four Saturdays during December, in addition to their usual hours. For this overtime, they would get a bonus of €120 euros ($136) subject to certain conditions, the workers said.</p><p><blockquote>他们告诉CNN，亚马逊要求员工除了正常工作时间外，在12月的所有四个周六都工作。工人们说，在某些条件下，他们将获得120欧元（136美元）的奖金。</blockquote></p><p> It's not clear how disruptive the strikes will be for Amazon, but this holiday shopping season is proving tough for retailers trying to satisfy strongconsumer demandin the face of supply chain disruptions, and shortages of workers and some goods.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚罢工对亚马逊的破坏性有多大，但事实证明，面对供应链中断、工人和某些商品短缺，这个假日购物季对于试图满足强劲消费者需求的零售商来说是艰难的。</blockquote></p><p> Make Amazon Pay was launched a year ago after 50 organizations held strikes and protests in 16 countries around the world, the coalition said.</p><p><blockquote>该联盟表示，一年前，在全球16个国家的50个组织举行罢工和抗议活动后，Make Amazon Pay推出。</blockquote></p><p> \"Today's actions show the scale of resistance to Amazon's exploitation at every link in its chain of abuse,\" said Casper Gelderblom, a coordinator of the group.</p><p><blockquote>该组织协调员卡斯珀·格尔德布洛姆(Casper Gelderblom)表示：“今天的行动显示了亚马逊滥用链各个环节对剥削的抵制程度。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Workers throughout the supply chain are demanding what's rightfully theirs when even Jeff Bezos admits their labor paid for his recent joy ride to space,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充道：“当杰夫·贝索斯也承认他们的劳动为他最近的太空之旅付出了代价时，整个供应链的工人都在要求理应属于他们的东西。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon faces Black Friday strikes by workers across Europe<blockquote>亚马逊面临欧洲各地工人的黑色星期五罢工</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon faces Black Friday strikes by workers across Europe<blockquote>亚马逊面临欧洲各地工人的黑色星期五罢工</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-27 08:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon(AMZN)is facing strikes by warehouse workers and delivery drivers across Europe as its busiest weekend of the year begins.</p><p><blockquote>随着一年中最繁忙的周末开始，亚马逊（AMZN）正面临欧洲各地仓库工人和送货司机的罢工。</blockquote></p><p> Labor unions in Germany, Italy and France are calling for the company to pay its workers fairly and respect their right to join unions. The strikes have been called to coincide with Amazon's annual Black Friday event, which kicks off a four-day shopping bonanza that culminates in Cyber Monday.</p><p><blockquote>德国、意大利和法国的工会呼吁该公司公平支付工人工资，并尊重他们加入工会的权利。此次罢工恰逢亚马逊一年一度的黑色星期五活动，该活动拉开了为期四天的购物热潮的序幕，并在网络星期一达到高潮。</blockquote></p><p> The action is part of a wider global protest organized by a group called Make Amazon Pay. The coalition of unions, environmentalists and tax campaigners has called for protests in22 countries around the world, including the United States, Canada, Brazil, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote>这一行动是由一个名为“让亚马逊支付”的组织组织的更广泛的全球抗议活动的一部分。工会、环保主义者和税收活动家联盟呼吁在全球22个国家举行抗议活动，包括美国、加拿大、巴西和英国。</blockquote></p><p> The international coalition is also demanding that Amazon \"pays its fair share of taxes and commits to real environmental sustainability.\"</p><p><blockquote>国际联盟还要求亚马逊“缴纳公平份额的税款，并致力于真正的环境可持续性。”</blockquote></p><p> An Amazon spokesperson said that the groups represented a variety of interests, and while the company was \"not perfect in any area\" it was taking its role and impact seriously.\"</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊发言人表示，这些团体代表了多种利益，虽然该公司“在任何领域都不完美”，但它正在认真对待自己的角色和影响。”</blockquote></p><p> We are inventing and investing significantly in all these areas, playing a significant role in addressing climate change with the Climate Pledge commitment to be net zero carbon by 2040, continuing to offer competitive wages and great benefits, and inventing new ways to keep our employees safe and healthy in our operations network, to name just a few,\" the spokesperson added.</p><p><blockquote>我们正在所有这些领域进行大量发明和投资，通过气候承诺到2040年实现净零碳，在应对气候变化方面发挥着重要作用，继续提供有竞争力的工资和丰厚的福利，并发明新的方法来保护我们的员工仅举几例，在我们的运营网络中保持安全和健康，”该发言人补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Some of its workers are not convinced.</p><p><blockquote>它的一些工人并不相信。</blockquote></p><p> Germany's giant Verdi union organized a strike of warehouse workers to coincide with the launch in Berlin of \"Amazon Workers against Surveillance,\" a group protesting the company's \"use of apps, hand scanners, browser tools and cameras to surveil its workforce 24/7.\"</p><p><blockquote>德国巨头威尔第工会组织了一次仓库工人罢工，恰逢“亚马逊工人反对监控”在柏林发起，该组织抗议该公司“使用应用程序、手持扫描仪、浏览器工具和摄像头全天候监控其员工”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Working almost anywhere at Amazon is stressful and hazardous to one's health,\" the group said in a statement on its website.</p><p><blockquote>该组织在其网站上的一份声明中表示：“在亚马逊几乎任何地方工作都充满压力，而且对健康有害。”</blockquote></p><p> In Italy, workers are planning to blockade warehouses and trucks at all Amazon centers across the country, and thousands of drivers are set to strike on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>在意大利，工人们正计划封锁全国所有亚马逊中心的仓库和卡车，数千名司机将于周五举行罢工。</blockquote></p><p> Warehouse workers are also striking in France, including at a logistics center in Lille, in support of demands for wage increases and bonuses, and an end to compulsory overtime.</p><p><blockquote>法国的仓库工人也在罢工，包括里尔的一个物流中心，以支持增加工资和奖金以及结束强制加班的要求。</blockquote></p><p> They told CNN that Amazon has asked employees to work on all four Saturdays during December, in addition to their usual hours. For this overtime, they would get a bonus of €120 euros ($136) subject to certain conditions, the workers said.</p><p><blockquote>他们告诉CNN，亚马逊要求员工除了正常工作时间外，在12月的所有四个周六都工作。工人们说，在某些条件下，他们将获得120欧元（136美元）的奖金。</blockquote></p><p> It's not clear how disruptive the strikes will be for Amazon, but this holiday shopping season is proving tough for retailers trying to satisfy strongconsumer demandin the face of supply chain disruptions, and shortages of workers and some goods.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚罢工对亚马逊的破坏性有多大，但事实证明，面对供应链中断、工人和某些商品短缺，这个假日购物季对于试图满足强劲消费者需求的零售商来说是艰难的。</blockquote></p><p> Make Amazon Pay was launched a year ago after 50 organizations held strikes and protests in 16 countries around the world, the coalition said.</p><p><blockquote>该联盟表示，一年前，在全球16个国家的50个组织举行罢工和抗议活动后，Make Amazon Pay推出。</blockquote></p><p> \"Today's actions show the scale of resistance to Amazon's exploitation at every link in its chain of abuse,\" said Casper Gelderblom, a coordinator of the group.</p><p><blockquote>该组织协调员卡斯珀·格尔德布洛姆(Casper Gelderblom)表示：“今天的行动显示了亚马逊滥用链各个环节对剥削的抵制程度。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Workers throughout the supply chain are demanding what's rightfully theirs when even Jeff Bezos admits their labor paid for his recent joy ride to space,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充道：“当杰夫·贝索斯也承认他们的劳动为他最近的太空之旅付出了代价时，整个供应链的工人都在要求理应属于他们的东西。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/26/tech/amazon-workers-strike-shopping-holiday/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/26/tech/amazon-workers-strike-shopping-holiday/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187736093","content_text":"Amazon(AMZN)is facing strikes by warehouse workers and delivery drivers across Europe as its busiest weekend of the year begins.\nLabor unions in Germany, Italy and France are calling for the company to pay its workers fairly and respect their right to join unions. The strikes have been called to coincide with Amazon's annual Black Friday event, which kicks off a four-day shopping bonanza that culminates in Cyber Monday.\nThe action is part of a wider global protest organized by a group called Make Amazon Pay. The coalition of unions, environmentalists and tax campaigners has called for protests in22 countries around the world, including the United States, Canada, Brazil, and the United Kingdom.\nThe international coalition is also demanding that Amazon \"pays its fair share of taxes and commits to real environmental sustainability.\"\nAn Amazon spokesperson said that the groups represented a variety of interests, and while the company was \"not perfect in any area\" it was taking its role and impact seriously.\"\nWe are inventing and investing significantly in all these areas, playing a significant role in addressing climate change with the Climate Pledge commitment to be net zero carbon by 2040, continuing to offer competitive wages and great benefits, and inventing new ways to keep our employees safe and healthy in our operations network, to name just a few,\" the spokesperson added.\nSome of its workers are not convinced.\nGermany's giant Verdi union organized a strike of warehouse workers to coincide with the launch in Berlin of \"Amazon Workers against Surveillance,\" a group protesting the company's \"use of apps, hand scanners, browser tools and cameras to surveil its workforce 24/7.\"\n\"Working almost anywhere at Amazon is stressful and hazardous to one's health,\" the group said in a statement on its website.\nIn Italy, workers are planning to blockade warehouses and trucks at all Amazon centers across the country, and thousands of drivers are set to strike on Friday.\nWarehouse workers are also striking in France, including at a logistics center in Lille, in support of demands for wage increases and bonuses, and an end to compulsory overtime.\nThey told CNN that Amazon has asked employees to work on all four Saturdays during December, in addition to their usual hours. For this overtime, they would get a bonus of €120 euros ($136) subject to certain conditions, the workers said.\nIt's not clear how disruptive the strikes will be for Amazon, but this holiday shopping season is proving tough for retailers trying to satisfy strongconsumer demandin the face of supply chain disruptions, and shortages of workers and some goods.\nMake Amazon Pay was launched a year ago after 50 organizations held strikes and protests in 16 countries around the world, the coalition said.\n\"Today's actions show the scale of resistance to Amazon's exploitation at every link in its chain of abuse,\" said Casper Gelderblom, a coordinator of the group.\n\"Workers throughout the supply chain are demanding what's rightfully theirs when even Jeff Bezos admits their labor paid for his recent joy ride to space,\" he added.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600093605,"gmtCreate":1637998040855,"gmtModify":1637998045074,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no, anws buy the dip","listText":"Oh no, anws buy the dip","text":"Oh no, anws buy the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600093605","repostId":"2186344334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870484277,"gmtCreate":1636642423693,"gmtModify":1636642423824,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yahoo likes pls","listText":"Yahoo likes pls","text":"Yahoo likes pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870484277","repostId":"1174571976","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174571976","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636640535,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174571976?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Expensify has 'a completely different business model than all of our competition,' CEO says<blockquote>首席执行官表示，Expensify拥有“与我们所有竞争对手完全不同的商业模式”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174571976","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Managing expenses for companies is a highly profitable business as long as you know where to look, s","content":"<p>Managing expenses for companies is a highly profitable business as long as you know where to look, says one chief executive.</p><p><blockquote>一位首席执行官表示，只要你知道去哪里寻找，为公司管理费用是一项高利润的业务。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is the secret... don't tell anyone, but the enterprise [business] sucks,\" Expensify CEO David Barrett told Yahoo Finance Live (video above). \"It is the worst, smallest, slowest to close, lowest margin part of the industry, and everyone is fighting over it.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是秘密……不要告诉任何人，但企业[业务]很糟糕，”Expensify首席执行官David Barrett告诉雅虎财经直播（上面的视频）。“它是行业中最糟糕、最小、关闭最慢、利润率最低的部分，每个人都在为此而战。”</blockquote></p><p> And so “we just have a completely different business model than all of our competition,” Barrett added.</p><p><blockquote>因此，“我们的商业模式与所有竞争对手完全不同，”巴雷特补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Expensify (EXFY) rose by over 45% on Wednesday after the company began trading publicly. Competitors include SAP Concur, QuickBooks Enterprise (INTU), Zoho Expense, and FreshBooks<b>.</b></p><p><blockquote>周三，Expensify(EXFY)开始公开交易后，该公司股价上涨超过45%。竞争对手包括SAP Concur、QuickBooks Enterprise(INTU)、Zoho Expense和FreshBooks<b>.</b></blockquote></p><p> The Portland, Oregon-based company automates expense reporting by allowing customers to scan and be reimbursed for business expenses such as flights, hotels, and meals.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于俄勒冈州波特兰市的公司通过允许客户扫描并报销航班、酒店和餐饮等业务费用来实现费用报告的自动化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d349915c6fbc5eb84aa1645e39b89fdf\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Expensify's office building in downtown Portland. (Getty Images)Expensify CEO on chasing the 'easy money'</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Expensify在波特兰市中心的办公楼。（盖蒂图片社）Expensify首席执行官追逐“轻松赚钱”</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Instead of chasing the largest companies in America — ones that \"everyone knows who they are\" — Expensify is focusing on the small and medium business sector, where the \"easy money\" is, according to Barrett.</p><p><blockquote>巴雷特表示，Expensify没有追逐美国最大的公司——那些“每个人都知道他们是谁”的公司——而是专注于“轻松赚钱”的中小企业领域。</blockquote></p><p> \"Yes, we've got a whole bunch of public companies, like the Pinterests, the Atlassians... that use Expensify,\" he explained, but \"we earn over three times more revenue per employee in the SMB than you can in the enterprise... because there's basically no competition.\"</p><p><blockquote>“是的，我们有一大堆上市公司，比如Pinterests、Atlassians……都使用Expensify，”他解释道，但“我们中小企业的每位员工收入是企业的三倍多……因为基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Most customers in the SMB space \"have never heard of Concur, have never heard of any of the competitors,\" he added, \"so it's a completely different business model.\"</p><p><blockquote>中小型企业领域的大多数客户“从未听说过Concur，也从未听说过任何竞争对手，”他补充道，“因此这是一种完全不同的商业模式。”</blockquote></p><p> According to the&nbsp;company's S-1 filing, the company has \"processed and automated\" 1.1. billion expense transactions on its platforms since its inception in 2008.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的S-1文件，该公司已“处理和自动化”1.1。自2008年成立以来，其平台上的费用交易已达10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Expensify reported $65 million in revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2021. It reported revenue of $88.1 million at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Expensify报告截至2021年6月30日的六个月收入为6500万美元。截至2020年底，该公司的收入为8810万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Barrett said that Expensify also defies traditional business models in its plans to grow beyond expense reports.</p><p><blockquote>巴雷特表示，Expensify在其超越费用报告的增长计划中也挑战了传统的商业模式。</blockquote></p><p> “Our design is to create a viral platform that has word-of-mouth growth and can grow to capture the billion or so of people who are currently having these financial conversations offline,” Barrett said.</p><p><blockquote>巴雷特说：“我们的设计是创建一个具有口碑增长的病毒式平台，并且可以增长以吸引目前正在线下进行这些金融对话的10亿左右的人。”</blockquote></p><p> “Whoever connects a billion people through their financial conversations — that’s a trillion-dollar business,” he added. “And so that’s what we’re gunning for, and you can’t get it through a traditional business model.”</p><p><blockquote>“无论谁通过财务对话将10亿人联系起来，这都是一项价值数万亿美元的业务，”他补充道。“这就是我们所追求的，而你无法通过传统的商业模式来实现它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Expensify has 'a completely different business model than all of our competition,' CEO says<blockquote>首席执行官表示，Expensify拥有“与我们所有竞争对手完全不同的商业模式”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExpensify has 'a completely different business model than all of our competition,' CEO says<blockquote>首席执行官表示，Expensify拥有“与我们所有竞争对手完全不同的商业模式”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-11 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Managing expenses for companies is a highly profitable business as long as you know where to look, says one chief executive.</p><p><blockquote>一位首席执行官表示，只要你知道去哪里寻找，为公司管理费用是一项高利润的业务。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is the secret... don't tell anyone, but the enterprise [business] sucks,\" Expensify CEO David Barrett told Yahoo Finance Live (video above). \"It is the worst, smallest, slowest to close, lowest margin part of the industry, and everyone is fighting over it.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是秘密……不要告诉任何人，但企业[业务]很糟糕，”Expensify首席执行官David Barrett告诉雅虎财经直播（上面的视频）。“它是行业中最糟糕、最小、关闭最慢、利润率最低的部分，每个人都在为此而战。”</blockquote></p><p> And so “we just have a completely different business model than all of our competition,” Barrett added.</p><p><blockquote>因此，“我们的商业模式与所有竞争对手完全不同，”巴雷特补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Expensify (EXFY) rose by over 45% on Wednesday after the company began trading publicly. Competitors include SAP Concur, QuickBooks Enterprise (INTU), Zoho Expense, and FreshBooks<b>.</b></p><p><blockquote>周三，Expensify(EXFY)开始公开交易后，该公司股价上涨超过45%。竞争对手包括SAP Concur、QuickBooks Enterprise(INTU)、Zoho Expense和FreshBooks<b>.</b></blockquote></p><p> The Portland, Oregon-based company automates expense reporting by allowing customers to scan and be reimbursed for business expenses such as flights, hotels, and meals.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于俄勒冈州波特兰市的公司通过允许客户扫描并报销航班、酒店和餐饮等业务费用来实现费用报告的自动化。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d349915c6fbc5eb84aa1645e39b89fdf\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Expensify's office building in downtown Portland. (Getty Images)Expensify CEO on chasing the 'easy money'</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Expensify在波特兰市中心的办公楼。（盖蒂图片社）Expensify首席执行官追逐“轻松赚钱”</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Instead of chasing the largest companies in America — ones that \"everyone knows who they are\" — Expensify is focusing on the small and medium business sector, where the \"easy money\" is, according to Barrett.</p><p><blockquote>巴雷特表示，Expensify没有追逐美国最大的公司——那些“每个人都知道他们是谁”的公司——而是专注于“轻松赚钱”的中小企业领域。</blockquote></p><p> \"Yes, we've got a whole bunch of public companies, like the Pinterests, the Atlassians... that use Expensify,\" he explained, but \"we earn over three times more revenue per employee in the SMB than you can in the enterprise... because there's basically no competition.\"</p><p><blockquote>“是的，我们有一大堆上市公司，比如Pinterests、Atlassians……都使用Expensify，”他解释道，但“我们中小企业的每位员工收入是企业的三倍多……因为基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Most customers in the SMB space \"have never heard of Concur, have never heard of any of the competitors,\" he added, \"so it's a completely different business model.\"</p><p><blockquote>中小型企业领域的大多数客户“从未听说过Concur，也从未听说过任何竞争对手，”他补充道，“因此这是一种完全不同的商业模式。”</blockquote></p><p> According to the&nbsp;company's S-1 filing, the company has \"processed and automated\" 1.1. billion expense transactions on its platforms since its inception in 2008.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的S-1文件，该公司已“处理和自动化”1.1。自2008年成立以来，其平台上的费用交易已达10亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Expensify reported $65 million in revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2021. It reported revenue of $88.1 million at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Expensify报告截至2021年6月30日的六个月收入为6500万美元。截至2020年底，该公司的收入为8810万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Barrett said that Expensify also defies traditional business models in its plans to grow beyond expense reports.</p><p><blockquote>巴雷特表示，Expensify在其超越费用报告的增长计划中也挑战了传统的商业模式。</blockquote></p><p> “Our design is to create a viral platform that has word-of-mouth growth and can grow to capture the billion or so of people who are currently having these financial conversations offline,” Barrett said.</p><p><blockquote>巴雷特说：“我们的设计是创建一个具有口碑增长的病毒式平台，并且可以增长以吸引目前正在线下进行这些金融对话的10亿左右的人。”</blockquote></p><p> “Whoever connects a billion people through their financial conversations — that’s a trillion-dollar business,” he added. “And so that’s what we’re gunning for, and you can’t get it through a traditional business model.”</p><p><blockquote>“无论谁通过财务对话将10亿人联系起来，这都是一项价值数万亿美元的业务，”他补充道。“这就是我们所追求的，而你无法通过传统的商业模式来实现它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/expensify-different-business-model-ceo-says-132622012.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EXFY":"Expensify"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/expensify-different-business-model-ceo-says-132622012.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174571976","content_text":"Managing expenses for companies is a highly profitable business as long as you know where to look, says one chief executive.\n\"This is the secret... don't tell anyone, but the enterprise [business] sucks,\" Expensify CEO David Barrett told Yahoo Finance Live (video above). \"It is the worst, smallest, slowest to close, lowest margin part of the industry, and everyone is fighting over it.\"\nAnd so “we just have a completely different business model than all of our competition,” Barrett added.\nShares of Expensify (EXFY) rose by over 45% on Wednesday after the company began trading publicly. Competitors include SAP Concur, QuickBooks Enterprise (INTU), Zoho Expense, and FreshBooks.\nThe Portland, Oregon-based company automates expense reporting by allowing customers to scan and be reimbursed for business expenses such as flights, hotels, and meals.\nExpensify's office building in downtown Portland. (Getty Images)Expensify CEO on chasing the 'easy money'\nInstead of chasing the largest companies in America — ones that \"everyone knows who they are\" — Expensify is focusing on the small and medium business sector, where the \"easy money\" is, according to Barrett.\n\"Yes, we've got a whole bunch of public companies, like the Pinterests, the Atlassians... that use Expensify,\" he explained, but \"we earn over three times more revenue per employee in the SMB than you can in the enterprise... because there's basically no competition.\"\nMost customers in the SMB space \"have never heard of Concur, have never heard of any of the competitors,\" he added, \"so it's a completely different business model.\"\nAccording to the company's S-1 filing, the company has \"processed and automated\" 1.1. billion expense transactions on its platforms since its inception in 2008.\nExpensify reported $65 million in revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2021. It reported revenue of $88.1 million at the end of 2020.\nBarrett said that Expensify also defies traditional business models in its plans to grow beyond expense reports.\n“Our design is to create a viral platform that has word-of-mouth growth and can grow to capture the billion or so of people who are currently having these financial conversations offline,” Barrett said.\n“Whoever connects a billion people through their financial conversations — that’s a trillion-dollar business,” he added. “And so that’s what we’re gunning for, and you can’t get it through a traditional business model.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"EXFY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173264379,"gmtCreate":1626663283491,"gmtModify":1633925118413,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hey yo","listText":"Hey yo","text":"Hey yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173264379","repostId":"1139272143","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1086,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173265219,"gmtCreate":1626663247731,"gmtModify":1633925119018,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"HUAT","listText":"HUAT","text":"HUAT","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173265219","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179445434,"gmtCreate":1626573945928,"gmtModify":1633925790216,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"MOON","listText":"MOON","text":"MOON","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179445434","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147441875,"gmtCreate":1626388253597,"gmtModify":1633927339040,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wooo","listText":"Wooo","text":"Wooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147441875","repostId":"1165176874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165176874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626387247,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165176874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 06:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165176874","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. . I devoted two columns to Martin’s f","content":"<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自2018年10月开始下跌20%以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。准备好迎接自2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整吧。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测多如牛毛。但这篇文章来自投资咨询公司Market Extremes的总裁海耶斯·马丁(Hayes Martin)。几年前，我被介绍给马丁的工作，从那以后，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资通讯；我的通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门写了两篇专栏文章来讨论马丁的预测，两篇文章都被证明是有先见之明的。2020年5月，我得出的结论是“股市……甚至比最看涨的投资者所相信的还要强劲。”今年1月，我写道，市场仍在“火力全开”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在7月14日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市绝对没有全力以赴。他表示，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比2018年10月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这是标准普尔500SPX下跌20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素2000指数RUT下跌26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预料到了这种下跌；见2018年10月4日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充道，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像2018年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌10%或更多。至于时机，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计最迟不会在八月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的发人深省的预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，正如越来越少的股票参与领先指数的头条新闻所表明的那样。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克100NDX,-0.71%和标准普尔100OEX,-0.37%指数创下新高，但许多板块却创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小型股板块中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁关于罗素2000指数新高和新低的数据中，可以追溯到2000年6月，本周发生的事情只发生过三次——2014年9月、2015年7月和2018年10月。在这三种情况下，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000指数都下跌了至少10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin报告称，目前市场上唯一没有显示出危险分歧的领域是大盘股主导的标普500。他表示，除了该行业之外，“股市目前的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的。”</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重分歧的发生是因为股市被严重高估——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场确实下跌时，它的跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说，火上浇油的是目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票被高估已经有一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那块现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExpect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 06:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自2018年10月开始下跌20%以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。准备好迎接自2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整吧。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测多如牛毛。但这篇文章来自投资咨询公司Market Extremes的总裁海耶斯·马丁(Hayes Martin)。几年前，我被介绍给马丁的工作，从那以后，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资通讯；我的通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门写了两篇专栏文章来讨论马丁的预测，两篇文章都被证明是有先见之明的。2020年5月，我得出的结论是“股市……甚至比最看涨的投资者所相信的还要强劲。”今年1月，我写道，市场仍在“火力全开”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在7月14日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市绝对没有全力以赴。他表示，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比2018年10月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这是标准普尔500SPX下跌20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素2000指数RUT下跌26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预料到了这种下跌；见2018年10月4日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充道，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像2018年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌10%或更多。至于时机，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计最迟不会在八月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的发人深省的预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，正如越来越少的股票参与领先指数的头条新闻所表明的那样。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克100NDX,-0.71%和标准普尔100OEX,-0.37%指数创下新高，但许多板块却创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小型股板块中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁关于罗素2000指数新高和新低的数据中，可以追溯到2000年6月，本周发生的事情只发生过三次——2014年9月、2015年7月和2018年10月。在这三种情况下，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000指数都下跌了至少10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin报告称，目前市场上唯一没有显示出危险分歧的领域是大盘股主导的标普500。他表示，除了该行业之外，“股市目前的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的。”</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重分歧的发生是因为股市被严重高估——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场确实下跌时，它的跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说，火上浇油的是目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票被高估已经有一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那块现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165176874","content_text":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.\n\nGet ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.\nTo be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)\nI devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”\nIn an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)\nMartin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.\nThe source of the market’s ill-health\nMartin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.\nThis was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.\nMartin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”\nMartin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.\nAdding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.\nTo be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in 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22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370875263,"gmtCreate":1618577977052,"gmtModify":1634291975741,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370875263","repostId":"1180499171","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344748710,"gmtCreate":1618446009730,"gmtModify":1631885490169,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time to buy in","listText":"Time to buy in","text":"Time to buy in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344748710","repostId":"1189551384","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344712394,"gmtCreate":1618443385218,"gmtModify":1634292955294,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hello, like please!&nbsp;","listText":"Hello, like please!&nbsp;","text":"Hello, like please!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344712394","repostId":"1186838018","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186838018","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618413882,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186838018?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-14 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Electric vehicle stocks were down<blockquote>电动汽车股下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186838018","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 14) Electric vehicle stocks were down. Shares of Nio was down  6.62% to $33.13 and Nio was 3.","content":"<p>(April 14)&nbsp;Electric vehicle stocks were down.&nbsp;Shares of Nio&nbsp;was&nbsp;down&nbsp;&nbsp;6.62%&nbsp;to&nbsp;$33.13&nbsp;and&nbsp;Nio&nbsp;was&nbsp;3.14% lower.</p><p><blockquote>（4月14日）电动汽车股下跌。蔚来股价下跌6.62%，至33.13美元，蔚来股价下跌3.14%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4dccabfcd5d058051278d972adbce18\" tg-width=\"294\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Xpeng Motors launched the P5 on Wednesday, a sedan with new self-driving features.&nbsp;The P5 is equipped with so-called Lidar to aid Xpeng’s driverless system called XPILOT.&nbsp;Xpeng is hoping to close to gap with Tesla as well as race ahead of other rivals such as Nio and Li Auto.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车周三推出了P5，这是一款具有新自动驾驶功能的轿车。P5配备了所谓的激光雷达，以辅助小鹏的无人驾驶系统XPILOT。小鹏希望缩小与特斯拉的差距，并领先于蔚来和理想汽车等其他竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Electric vehicle stocks were down<blockquote>电动汽车股下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElectric vehicle stocks were down<blockquote>电动汽车股下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-14 23:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 14)&nbsp;Electric vehicle stocks were down.&nbsp;Shares of Nio&nbsp;was&nbsp;down&nbsp;&nbsp;6.62%&nbsp;to&nbsp;$33.13&nbsp;and&nbsp;Nio&nbsp;was&nbsp;3.14% lower.</p><p><blockquote>（4月14日）电动汽车股下跌。蔚来股价下跌6.62%，至33.13美元，蔚来股价下跌3.14%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4dccabfcd5d058051278d972adbce18\" tg-width=\"294\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Xpeng Motors launched the P5 on Wednesday, a sedan with new self-driving features.&nbsp;The P5 is equipped with so-called Lidar to aid Xpeng’s driverless system called XPILOT.&nbsp;Xpeng is hoping to close to gap with Tesla as well as race ahead of other rivals such as Nio and Li Auto.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车周三推出了P5，这是一款具有新自动驾驶功能的轿车。P5配备了所谓的激光雷达，以辅助小鹏的无人驾驶系统XPILOT。小鹏希望缩小与特斯拉的差距，并领先于蔚来和理想汽车等其他竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186838018","content_text":"(April 14) Electric vehicle stocks were down. Shares of Nio was down  6.62% to $33.13 and Nio was 3.14% lower.Xpeng Motors launched the P5 on Wednesday, a sedan with new self-driving features. The P5 is equipped with so-called Lidar to aid Xpeng’s driverless system called XPILOT. Xpeng is hoping to close to gap with Tesla as well as race ahead of other rivals such as Nio and Li Auto.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":379913136,"gmtCreate":1618650966725,"gmtModify":1634291535151,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379913136","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600091716,"gmtCreate":1637998291662,"gmtModify":1637998323969,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Crypto bro","listText":"Crypto bro","text":"Crypto bro","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600091716","repostId":"1137622508","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173265219,"gmtCreate":1626663247731,"gmtModify":1633925119018,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"HUAT","listText":"HUAT","text":"HUAT","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173265219","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193751777,"gmtCreate":1620823232699,"gmtModify":1634196062257,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193751777","repostId":"1199419646","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600093605,"gmtCreate":1637998040855,"gmtModify":1637998045074,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no, anws buy the dip","listText":"Oh no, anws buy the dip","text":"Oh no, anws buy the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600093605","repostId":"2186344334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870484277,"gmtCreate":1636642423693,"gmtModify":1636642423824,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yahoo likes pls","listText":"Yahoo likes pls","text":"Yahoo likes pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870484277","repostId":"1174571976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":147441875,"gmtCreate":1626388253597,"gmtModify":1633927339040,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wooo","listText":"Wooo","text":"Wooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147441875","repostId":"1165176874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165176874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626387247,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165176874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 06:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165176874","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. . I devoted two columns to Martin’s f","content":"<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自2018年10月开始下跌20%以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。准备好迎接自2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整吧。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测多如牛毛。但这篇文章来自投资咨询公司Market Extremes的总裁海耶斯·马丁(Hayes Martin)。几年前，我被介绍给马丁的工作，从那以后，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资通讯；我的通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门写了两篇专栏文章来讨论马丁的预测，两篇文章都被证明是有先见之明的。2020年5月，我得出的结论是“股市……甚至比最看涨的投资者所相信的还要强劲。”今年1月，我写道，市场仍在“火力全开”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在7月14日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市绝对没有全力以赴。他表示，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比2018年10月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这是标准普尔500SPX下跌20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素2000指数RUT下跌26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预料到了这种下跌；见2018年10月4日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充道，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像2018年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌10%或更多。至于时机，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计最迟不会在八月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的发人深省的预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，正如越来越少的股票参与领先指数的头条新闻所表明的那样。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克100NDX,-0.71%和标准普尔100OEX,-0.37%指数创下新高，但许多板块却创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小型股板块中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁关于罗素2000指数新高和新低的数据中，可以追溯到2000年6月，本周发生的事情只发生过三次——2014年9月、2015年7月和2018年10月。在这三种情况下，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000指数都下跌了至少10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin报告称，目前市场上唯一没有显示出危险分歧的领域是大盘股主导的标普500。他表示，除了该行业之外，“股市目前的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的。”</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重分歧的发生是因为股市被严重高估——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场确实下跌时，它的跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说，火上浇油的是目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票被高估已经有一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那块现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Expect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExpect a 10% or worse correction in U.S. stocks by mid-August, says this forecaster with a proven track record<blockquote>这位拥有良好业绩记录的预测者表示，预计到8月中旬美国股市将出现10%或更糟的调整</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 06:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.  Get ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>自2018年10月开始下跌20%以上以来，市场广度从未如此糟糕。准备好迎接自2020年3月牛市开始以来最严重的调整吧。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，华尔街的预测多如牛毛。但这篇文章来自投资咨询公司Market Extremes的总裁海耶斯·马丁(Hayes Martin)。几年前，我被介绍给马丁的工作，从那以后，我发现他对市场转折点的预测令人印象深刻。（郑重声明：马丁没有投资通讯；我的通讯跟踪公司不会审计他的投资业绩。）</blockquote></p><p> I devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一年里，我专门写了两篇专栏文章来讨论马丁的预测，两篇文章都被证明是有先见之明的。2020年5月，我得出的结论是“股市……甚至比最看涨的投资者所相信的还要强劲。”今年1月，我写道，市场仍在“火力全开”。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)</p><p><blockquote>马丁在7月14日接受采访时表示，今天的美国股市绝对没有全力以赴。他表示，事实上，市场的内部健康状况现在比2018年10月以来的任何时候都要糟糕。这是标准普尔500SPX下跌20%（-0.33%）和小盘股罗素2000指数RUT下跌26%（-0.55%）的开始。（马丁也预料到了这种下跌；见2018年10月4日，专栏。）</blockquote></p><p> Martin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.</p><p><blockquote>马丁赶紧补充道，如今市场的内部健康状况并不像2018年那么糟糕。这一次，他预测美国主要股指将下跌10%或更多。至于时机，他表示下跌可能随时开始，但他预计最迟不会在八月中旬开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The source of the market’s ill-health</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场不健康的根源</b></blockquote></p><p> Martin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&amp;P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.</p><p><blockquote>马丁的发人深省的预测是基于美国市场内部日益扩大的分歧，正如越来越少的股票参与领先指数的头条新闻所表明的那样。例如，这些分歧的一个指标是越来越多的股票创下新低。例如，本周三，尽管纳斯达克100NDX,-0.71%和标准普尔100OEX,-0.37%指数创下新高，但许多板块却创下多个新低。</blockquote></p><p> This was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.</p><p><blockquote>这在以罗素2000指数为代表的中小型股板块中尤为明显。7月13日，该指数连续第二天新低多于新高。在马丁关于罗素2000指数新高和新低的数据中，可以追溯到2000年6月，本周发生的事情只发生过三次——2014年9月、2015年7月和2018年10月。在这三种情况下，三个月后，标普500和罗素2000指数都下跌了至少10%。</blockquote></p><p> Martin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&amp;P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”</p><p><blockquote>Martin报告称，目前市场上唯一没有显示出危险分歧的领域是大盘股主导的标普500。他表示，除了该行业之外，“股市目前的内部情况是我几十年来见过的最糟糕的。”</blockquote></p><p> Martin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>马丁补充说，这些严重分歧的发生是因为股市被严重高估——一些股票处于泡沫区域。这意味着，当市场确实下跌时，它的跌幅可能会比其他情况下更大。</blockquote></p><p> Adding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.</p><p><blockquote>他继续说，火上浇油的是目前普遍存在的过于乐观的投资者情绪。正如逆向投资者提醒我们的那样，这种极端情绪意味着市场阻力最小的路径是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.</p><p><blockquote>马丁总结道，可以肯定的是，股票被高估已经有一段时间了，看涨情绪已经达到或接近极端。缺失的部分是市场分歧。那块现在就位了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/expect-a-10-correction-in-u-s-stocks-by-mid-august-says-this-forecaster-with-a-proven-track-record-11626380633?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165176874","content_text":"Market breadth hasn’t been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.\n\nGet ready for the most severe correction since the bull market began in March 2020.\nTo be sure, predictions are a dime a dozen on Wall Street. But this one comes from Hayes Martin, president of investment advisory firmMarket Extremes. I was introduced to Martin’s work several years ago and since then I’ve found his predictions of market turning points to be impressive. (For the record: Martin does not have an investment newsletter; my newsletter-tracking firm does not audit his investment performance.)\nI devoted two columns to Martin’s forecasts over the past year, and both proved prescient. In May 2020, I concluded that “the stock market… is stronger than even the most bullish investors believe.” In January of this year, I wrote that the market was still “firing on all cylinders.”\nIn an interview on July 14, Martin said the U.S. stock market today is most definitely not firing on all cylinders. In fact, he said, the market’s internal health is now worse than at any time since October 2018. That was the beginning of a 20% decline in the S&P 500SPX,-0.33%and a 26% decline in the small-cap Russell 2000 IndexRUT,-0.55%.(Martin anticipated that decline as well; seemy Oct. 4, 2018, column.)\nMartin hastened to add that the market’s internal health is not as bad today as it was in 2018. This time around, he is forecasting a decline of 10% or more for the leading U.S. stock indexes. As for timing, he says that the decline could begin at any time, but he anticipates that it will begin no later than mid-August.\nThe source of the market’s ill-health\nMartin bases his sobering forecast on the increasing divergences within the U.S. market, as indicated by fewer and fewer stocks participating in the headline-grabbing strength of the leading indices. One indicator of these divergences is the growing number of stocks hitting new lows, for example. On Wednesday of this week, for example, even as the Nasdaq 100NDX,-0.71%and the S&P 100OEX,-0.37%indexes were hitting new highs, many sectors were registering a plurality of new lows.\nThis was particularly evident in the small- and mid-cap sectors, as represented by the Russell 2000 index. On July 13 there were more new lows than new highs within that index for the second consecutive day. In Martin’s data for the Russell 2000’s new highs and new lows, which extends back to June 2000, what happened this week has happened only three other times — in September 2014, July 2015 and October 2018. In all three cases, three months later both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 were at least 10% lower.\nMartin reports that the only area of the market not showing dangerous divergences right now is the large-cap dominated S&P 500. Except for that sector, he says that the “stock market’s current internals are some of the worst I’ve seen in decades.”\nMartin added that these severe divergences are occurring as equities are severely overvalued — with some stocks in bubble territory. This means that, when the market does decline, it’s likely to fall more than it would otherwise.\nAdding fuel to the fire, he continued, is the too-bullish investor sentiment that prevails right now. As contrarians remind us, such sentiment extremes mean that the path of least resistance for the market is down.\nTo be sure, Martin concluded, stocks have been overvalued for some time now, and bullish sentiment has been at or close to extremes. The missing piece was market divergences. That piece is now in place.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147443553,"gmtCreate":1626388176972,"gmtModify":1633927339773,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Weak","listText":"Weak","text":"Weak","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147443553","repostId":"2151573133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199486822,"gmtCreate":1620726599066,"gmtModify":1634196811757,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"BUY","listText":"BUY","text":"BUY","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199486822","repostId":"1169122046","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344748710,"gmtCreate":1618446009730,"gmtModify":1631885490169,"author":{"id":"3578834148453888","authorId":"3578834148453888","name":"Sbkng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45888108c39a8f30d708e1e3dc5f20cc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578834148453888","idStr":"3578834148453888"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time to buy in","listText":"Time to buy in","text":"Time to buy in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344748710","repostId":"1189551384","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}