Jonno123的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Jonno123

Jonno123

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

16关注

3粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-07-29

Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-07

While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-27

Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-03

Hodl guys

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-06

To the moon!!!

How The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote>

2021-08-23

To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!

Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>

2021-06-13

AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-16

FUD lol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-09

HODLING [开心] [开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3578782731604671","uuid":"3578782731604671","gmtCreate":1615688811689,"gmtModify":1623249305779,"name":"Jonno123","pinyin":"jonno123","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":16,"tweetSize":25,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"60.27%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":835247259,"gmtCreate":1629724525171,"gmtModify":1633682935115,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835247259","repostId":"2161977520","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804967315,"gmtCreate":1627916935037,"gmtModify":1633755272241,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok thks","listText":"Ok thks","text":"Ok thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804967315","repostId":"1121310583","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808169764,"gmtCreate":1627565580058,"gmtModify":1633763760845,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈","listText":"Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈","text":"Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808169764","repostId":"2155909002","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176839467,"gmtCreate":1626875450559,"gmtModify":1633770212565,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apes are saving AMC. That's all the DD u need boiz. AMC to the moon btw 😬👍","listText":"Apes are saving AMC. That's all the DD u need boiz. AMC to the moon btw 😬👍","text":"Apes are saving AMC. That's all the DD u need boiz. AMC to the moon btw 😬👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176839467","repostId":"1188370329","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170459655,"gmtCreate":1626447099077,"gmtModify":1633926640879,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD lol","listText":"FUD lol","text":"FUD lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170459655","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127028983,"gmtCreate":1624805427142,"gmtModify":1631884219145,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊","listText":"Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊","text":"Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127028983","repostId":"2146006003","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122938010,"gmtCreate":1624591883330,"gmtModify":1633950793892,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noice&nbsp;","listText":"Noice&nbsp;","text":"Noice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122938010","repostId":"2146023471","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126342210,"gmtCreate":1624545814530,"gmtModify":1634004561563,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everything also got risk&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;Just a matter of how much you're willing to take.&nbsp;","listText":"Everything also got risk&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;Just a matter of how much you're willing to take.&nbsp;","text":"Everything also got risk [笑哭] [笑哭] Just a matter of how much you're willing to take.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126342210","repostId":"2145196049","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166324000,"gmtCreate":1623993010200,"gmtModify":1634024431332,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODL GUYS! THIS IS GOING TO THE MOON&nbsp;","listText":"HODL GUYS! THIS IS GOING TO THE MOON&nbsp;","text":"HODL GUYS! THIS IS GOING TO THE MOON","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166324000","repostId":"1131310015","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131310015","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623987347,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131310015?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131310015","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pul","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>  <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>  <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>  <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我站在巨人的肩膀上，在AMC上指导你。</li><li>对于投资者来说，没有盈利前景的引力对该股几乎没有支撑。</li><li>对于指望轧空的投机者来说，这是一个百年的警示故事。</li><li>在其他投机者之前卖出。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RgStudio/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p><p><blockquote>我们如何看待模因股票现象？几周前，我与AMC院线控股公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）一起尝试了一下。在读了两篇有趣的文章后，我回来看更多。正如艾萨克·牛顿在1676年所说，“<i>如果说我看得更远了一点，那就是站在巨人的肩膀上。</i>“现在我不是艾萨克·牛顿了。首先，我看起来好多了。但就像齐克一样——艾萨克的朋友们可能从未使用过这个昵称——我也站在巨人的肩膀上。在这种情况下，杰森·茨威格（Jason Zweig）是一位出色的金融市场作家<i>华尔街日报</i>，以及约翰·布鲁克斯，《<i>商业冒险</i>》，比尔盖茨推荐的一本书。我将在本文中大量引用两者，然后为您与AMC划清界限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者、交易者、投机者</b></blockquote></p><p> Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p><p><blockquote>Jason Zweig在他的2021年6月11日以图形方式区分了这三种类型的股票买家<i>华尔街日报</i>柱：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>  So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>每当你因为有预感或只是为了好玩而购买任何金融资产，或者因为某个名人正在大肆宣传，或者其他人似乎也在购买它，你就不是在投资。你绝对是一个交易者：刚刚购买了一项资产的人。你可能是一个投机者：认为其他人会比你支付更多的钱。”“投资者依赖内部回报来源：收益、收入、资产价值的增长。投机者依赖外部回报来源：主要是其他人是否会支付更多，而不考虑基本价值。”</i>那么为什么AMC的股价一直在上涨呢？我有一个非正式的数据来源，即我6月4日AMC文章的300多条评论。收益，收入，资产价值的增长<i>没有</i>上来了。出现的是“轧空”和股票图表。因此，我预计茨威格先生会将AMC的股票描述为由交易员和投机者推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p><p><blockquote>茨威格先生还让我意识到，我的AMC文章遗漏了盈利预测。我给出了很多关于历史趋势的数据，这些数据只是暗示了未来的方向。我在这里纠正这个遗漏。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2022年AMC盈利预测</b></blockquote></p><p> I start with the key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>我从关键假设开始：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p><p><blockquote><i>我的参考时间框架</i>是2017年到2019年。早期的数据相关性较低，因为AMC在2016年进行了一项大型收购，而2020年和2021年的数据则因为新冠疫情而相关性更低。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p><p><blockquote><i>全国票房</i>是主要假设。我6月4日的文章显示，自2002年以来，电影上座率一直在下降。明年票房会是多少？流媒体在订户和内容方面的稳定增长无疑是一个阻力。从逻辑上讲，COVID应该增加从场外（剧院）娱乐到家庭娱乐的转变，就像购物和工作一样。保持电影上座率接近19年的水平将是一个小小的奇迹。下降10%，甚至20%的可能性要大得多。如上表所示，我使用所有三种票房假设对2022年AMC每股收益进行预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>AMC市场份额。</i></b>我假设AMC的份额会比17-19年的水平有所增加，因为一些竞争影院肯定因新冠疫情的财务压力而退出。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>招生毛利率。</i></b>这是门票销售的利润减去制片人授权电影的成本。我认为AMC在17-19年保持稳定，但我也可以想象电影制片人会寻求更好的条款，因为AMC必须与越来越多渴望内容的流媒体服务竞标。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品费用占销售额的百分比。</i></b>我继承了低得惊人的数字。AMC，大概还有它的同行，承担他们的食品和饮料成本<i>将它们对美国电影观众的定价乘以7。</i>走私你自己的Jujifruits，省下一捆。我今年最好的理财建议。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品和饮料销售额占票价的百分比。</i></b>我认为AMC小幅上涨的趋势仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>营业费用</i></b>是剧院人员、公用事业等的成本。我认为运营费用率的逐步上升趋势仍在继续，原因有二。第一，这些运营费用基本上是固定的，收入将面临压力。其次，当前的劳动力短缺将给低端剧院工作的薪酬水平带来压力，这似乎是合乎逻辑的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p><p><blockquote>我们现在已经为我的盈利和现金流模型做好了准备：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p><p><blockquote>22年的预测是根据上述假设通过“毛利润”线设定的。我的管理费用预测假设AMC正在努力限制费用度过充满挑战的时期：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>  <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li> </ul> <b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>折旧/摊销</i>是房地产和收购的会计费用的组合。疫情期间进行的减记本应减少这些费用。</li><li><i>利息支出</i>随着AMC用其筹集的股权偿还部分债务，这一数字应该会下降。</li></ul><b>盈利的引力</b></blockquote></p><p> We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p><p><blockquote>我们到达了底线。我能看到的2022年每股收益的最佳情况是大致盈亏平衡。更有可能的是适度的损失。现金流应该会更糟，因为AMC保持影院对不断萎缩的观众的吸引力所需的现金资本支出应该超过其非现金折旧/摊销费用。如果资本支出远低于我的预测，可能是因为AMC管理层承认自己正处于死亡螺旋之中，并希望尽可能榨取现金。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p><p><blockquote><i>底线是——不支持投资者。</i>AMC的账面价值为负。在COVID之后，它似乎无法赚取任何物质收入。其业务因技术变革而长期下滑，新的竞争对手是拥有巨大资源的怪兽公司——奈飞、迪士尼、康卡斯特等。投资者只能看着AMC目前55美元的股价，不寒而栗地说，用不朽的话来说<i>交易场所</i>、“卖莫蒂默，卖！”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投机游戏——轧空：历史警示</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代并没有发明轧空。它几乎和金融市场存在的时间一样长。这本书<i>商业冒险</i>约翰·布鲁克斯<i>,</i>早在1969年就出版了，生动地讲述了20世纪20年代初的空头挤压故事。一个世纪前。我将引用书中的话来说明在没有投资者支持的情况下，投机的故事将如何结束。所以，给自己倒点非法烈酒（我们正走向禁酒令时代），继续读下去。这是第一家超市Piggly Wiggly Stores的创始人克拉伦斯·桑德斯的故事；他那个时代的亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p><p><blockquote>1922年，空头追捧克拉伦斯的股票，将其从50美元推至40美元以下。桑德斯发誓要用空头挤压进行报复。以下是布鲁克斯先生讲述这个故事的摘录：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”  The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>桑德斯……购买了33,000股Piggly Wiggly股票，大部分来自卖空者；不到一周，他就将总数增加到了10.5万股——超过了20万股已发行股票的一半。桑德斯购买活动的有效性显而易见；到1923年1月下旬，它已将价格推高了60多美元……</i>“昔日唯一的空头挤压者如今已被成群的“猿”所取代，而猿在推高价格方面要好得多。顺便说一句，信不信由你，一群猿显然被称为“精明”。一群猿很精明——有意思。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>  Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>他赚了一大笔钱，证明了一个贫穷的南方男孩是如何教训城市里的狡猾分子的。”</i>今天，我们有猿类坚持对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”  Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>角落里最大的危险之一总是，即使一个玩家可能会击败他的对手，他也会发现他赢得了一场得不偿失的胜利。一旦卖空者被榨干，卖空者可能会发现他在这个过程中积累的大量股票是他脖子上的沉重负担；通过将其全部推回市场，他会将其价格降至零。</i>“值得思考的事情。桑德斯该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   “[  <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”  Pretty clever, no? No:</p><p><blockquote>“[<i>桑德斯的解决方案是出售分期付款计划中价值55美元的股票。在他二月份的广告中，他规定公众只需支付25美元的首付，余款分三期支付10美元即可购买股票</i>“很聪明，不是吗？没有：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>  Uh oh. What now?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>在第三天结束时，认购的股份总数仍低于2.5万股，所做的卖出被取消。桑德斯不得不承认这次旅行是失败的。”</i>呃哦。现在怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>  Ouch.</p><p><blockquote><i>“8月22日，Adrian H.Muller&amp;Son的纽约拍卖公司……以每股1美元的价格拍卖了1,500股Piggly Wiggly股票……第二年春天，Saunders进入了正式破产程序。”</i>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buyers beware</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买家当心</b></blockquote></p><p> As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p><p><blockquote>正如杰森·茨威格上面指出的，投机者依赖于以更高的价格找到买家。如今AMC股票的持有者无疑让许多卖空者的生活变得痛苦。但真的有足够多的新买家来收购AMC目前280亿美元市值以上的现有股东吗？尤其是在没有盈利的情况下不断给股票带来压力的情况下？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股东们，不要赢得克拉伦斯·桑德斯得不偿失的胜利。拿着每股55美元跑吧。快的。在其他投机持有者首先这样做之前。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 11:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>  <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>  <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>  <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我站在巨人的肩膀上，在AMC上指导你。</li><li>对于投资者来说，没有盈利前景的引力对该股几乎没有支撑。</li><li>对于指望轧空的投机者来说，这是一个百年的警示故事。</li><li>在其他投机者之前卖出。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RgStudio/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p><p><blockquote>我们如何看待模因股票现象？几周前，我与AMC院线控股公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）一起尝试了一下。在读了两篇有趣的文章后，我回来看更多。正如艾萨克·牛顿在1676年所说，“<i>如果说我看得更远了一点，那就是站在巨人的肩膀上。</i>“现在我不是艾萨克·牛顿了。首先，我看起来好多了。但就像齐克一样——艾萨克的朋友们可能从未使用过这个昵称——我也站在巨人的肩膀上。在这种情况下，杰森·茨威格（Jason Zweig）是一位出色的金融市场作家<i>华尔街日报</i>，以及约翰·布鲁克斯，《<i>商业冒险</i>》，比尔盖茨推荐的一本书。我将在本文中大量引用两者，然后为您与AMC划清界限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者、交易者、投机者</b></blockquote></p><p> Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p><p><blockquote>Jason Zweig在他的2021年6月11日以图形方式区分了这三种类型的股票买家<i>华尔街日报</i>柱：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>  So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>每当你因为有预感或只是为了好玩而购买任何金融资产，或者因为某个名人正在大肆宣传，或者其他人似乎也在购买它，你就不是在投资。你绝对是一个交易者：刚刚购买了一项资产的人。你可能是一个投机者：认为其他人会比你支付更多的钱。”“投资者依赖内部回报来源：收益、收入、资产价值的增长。投机者依赖外部回报来源：主要是其他人是否会支付更多，而不考虑基本价值。”</i>那么为什么AMC的股价一直在上涨呢？我有一个非正式的数据来源，即我6月4日AMC文章的300多条评论。收益，收入，资产价值的增长<i>没有</i>上来了。出现的是“轧空”和股票图表。因此，我预计茨威格先生会将AMC的股票描述为由交易员和投机者推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p><p><blockquote>茨威格先生还让我意识到，我的AMC文章遗漏了盈利预测。我给出了很多关于历史趋势的数据，这些数据只是暗示了未来的方向。我在这里纠正这个遗漏。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2022年AMC盈利预测</b></blockquote></p><p> I start with the key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>我从关键假设开始：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p><p><blockquote><i>我的参考时间框架</i>是2017年到2019年。早期的数据相关性较低，因为AMC在2016年进行了一项大型收购，而2020年和2021年的数据则因为新冠疫情而相关性更低。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p><p><blockquote><i>全国票房</i>是主要假设。我6月4日的文章显示，自2002年以来，电影上座率一直在下降。明年票房会是多少？流媒体在订户和内容方面的稳定增长无疑是一个阻力。从逻辑上讲，COVID应该增加从场外（剧院）娱乐到家庭娱乐的转变，就像购物和工作一样。保持电影上座率接近19年的水平将是一个小小的奇迹。下降10%，甚至20%的可能性要大得多。如上表所示，我使用所有三种票房假设对2022年AMC每股收益进行预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>AMC市场份额。</i></b>我假设AMC的份额会比17-19年的水平有所增加，因为一些竞争影院肯定因新冠疫情的财务压力而退出。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>招生毛利率。</i></b>这是门票销售的利润减去制片人授权电影的成本。我认为AMC在17-19年保持稳定，但我也可以想象电影制片人会寻求更好的条款，因为AMC必须与越来越多渴望内容的流媒体服务竞标。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品费用占销售额的百分比。</i></b>我继承了低得惊人的数字。AMC，大概还有它的同行，承担他们的食品和饮料成本<i>将它们对美国电影观众的定价乘以7。</i>走私你自己的Jujifruits，省下一捆。我今年最好的理财建议。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品和饮料销售额占票价的百分比。</i></b>我认为AMC小幅上涨的趋势仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>营业费用</i></b>是剧院人员、公用事业等的成本。我认为运营费用率的逐步上升趋势仍在继续，原因有二。第一，这些运营费用基本上是固定的，收入将面临压力。其次，当前的劳动力短缺将给低端剧院工作的薪酬水平带来压力，这似乎是合乎逻辑的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p><p><blockquote>我们现在已经为我的盈利和现金流模型做好了准备：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p><p><blockquote>22年的预测是根据上述假设通过“毛利润”线设定的。我的管理费用预测假设AMC正在努力限制费用度过充满挑战的时期：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>  <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li> </ul> <b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>折旧/摊销</i>是房地产和收购的会计费用的组合。疫情期间进行的减记本应减少这些费用。</li><li><i>利息支出</i>随着AMC用其筹集的股权偿还部分债务，这一数字应该会下降。</li></ul><b>盈利的引力</b></blockquote></p><p> We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p><p><blockquote>我们到达了底线。我能看到的2022年每股收益的最佳情况是大致盈亏平衡。更有可能的是适度的损失。现金流应该会更糟，因为AMC保持影院对不断萎缩的观众的吸引力所需的现金资本支出应该超过其非现金折旧/摊销费用。如果资本支出远低于我的预测，可能是因为AMC管理层承认自己正处于死亡螺旋之中，并希望尽可能榨取现金。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p><p><blockquote><i>底线是——不支持投资者。</i>AMC的账面价值为负。在COVID之后，它似乎无法赚取任何物质收入。其业务因技术变革而长期下滑，新的竞争对手是拥有巨大资源的怪兽公司——奈飞、迪士尼、康卡斯特等。投资者只能看着AMC目前55美元的股价，不寒而栗地说，用不朽的话来说<i>交易场所</i>、“卖莫蒂默，卖！”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投机游戏——轧空：历史警示</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代并没有发明轧空。它几乎和金融市场存在的时间一样长。这本书<i>商业冒险</i>约翰·布鲁克斯<i>,</i>早在1969年就出版了，生动地讲述了20世纪20年代初的空头挤压故事。一个世纪前。我将引用书中的话来说明在没有投资者支持的情况下，投机的故事将如何结束。所以，给自己倒点非法烈酒（我们正走向禁酒令时代），继续读下去。这是第一家超市Piggly Wiggly Stores的创始人克拉伦斯·桑德斯的故事；他那个时代的亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p><p><blockquote>1922年，空头追捧克拉伦斯的股票，将其从50美元推至40美元以下。桑德斯发誓要用空头挤压进行报复。以下是布鲁克斯先生讲述这个故事的摘录：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”  The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>桑德斯……购买了33,000股Piggly Wiggly股票，大部分来自卖空者；不到一周，他就将总数增加到了10.5万股——超过了20万股已发行股票的一半。桑德斯购买活动的有效性显而易见；到1923年1月下旬，它已将价格推高了60多美元……</i>“昔日唯一的空头挤压者如今已被成群的“猿”所取代，而猿在推高价格方面要好得多。顺便说一句，信不信由你，一群猿显然被称为“精明”。一群猿很精明——有意思。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>  Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>他赚了一大笔钱，证明了一个贫穷的南方男孩是如何教训城市里的狡猾分子的。”</i>今天，我们有猿类坚持对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”  Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>角落里最大的危险之一总是，即使一个玩家可能会击败他的对手，他也会发现他赢得了一场得不偿失的胜利。一旦卖空者被榨干，卖空者可能会发现他在这个过程中积累的大量股票是他脖子上的沉重负担；通过将其全部推回市场，他会将其价格降至零。</i>“值得思考的事情。桑德斯该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   “[  <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”  Pretty clever, no? No:</p><p><blockquote>“[<i>桑德斯的解决方案是出售分期付款计划中价值55美元的股票。在他二月份的广告中，他规定公众只需支付25美元的首付，余款分三期支付10美元即可购买股票</i>“很聪明，不是吗？没有：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>  Uh oh. What now?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>在第三天结束时，认购的股份总数仍低于2.5万股，所做的卖出被取消。桑德斯不得不承认这次旅行是失败的。”</i>呃哦。现在怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>  Ouch.</p><p><blockquote><i>“8月22日，Adrian H.Muller&amp;Son的纽约拍卖公司……以每股1美元的价格拍卖了1,500股Piggly Wiggly股票……第二年春天，Saunders进入了正式破产程序。”</i>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buyers beware</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买家当心</b></blockquote></p><p> As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p><p><blockquote>正如杰森·茨威格上面指出的，投机者依赖于以更高的价格找到买家。如今AMC股票的持有者无疑让许多卖空者的生活变得痛苦。但真的有足够多的新买家来收购AMC目前280亿美元市值以上的现有股东吗？尤其是在没有盈利的情况下不断给股票带来压力的情况下？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股东们，不要赢得克拉伦斯·桑德斯得不偿失的胜利。拿着每股55美元跑吧。快的。在其他投机持有者首先这样做之前。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131310015","content_text":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.\nSell before the other speculators do.\n\nRgStudio/E+ via Getty Images\nWhat are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer forThe Wall Street Journal, and John Brooks, author of “Business Adventures”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.\nInvestor vs. trader vs. speculator\nJason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021Wall Street Journalcolumn:\n\n “\n Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”\n\nSo why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assetsnevercame up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.\nMr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.\nA 2022 AMC earnings forecast\nI start with the key assumptions:\n\nMy time frame for reference is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.\nThe national box officeis the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.\nAMC market share.I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.\nAdmissions gross margin.This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.\nFood expenses as a percent of sales.I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs andmultiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.\nFood and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.\nOperating expensesare the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.\nWe’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:\n\nThe ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:\n\nDepreciation/amortizationis a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.\nInterest expenseshould decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.\n\nThe gravitational pull of earnings\nWe arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.\nThe bottom line - no support for investors.AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words ofTrading Places, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”\nThe speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale\nMillennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The bookBusiness Adventuresby John Brooks,published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.\nShorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:\n\n “\n Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…”\n\nThe sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.\n\n “\n He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”\n\nToday we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.\n\n “\n One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.”\n\nSomething to think about. What was Saunders to do?\n\n “[\n Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments.”\n\nPretty clever, no? No:\n\n “\n At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”\n\nUh oh. What now?\n\n“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller & Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”\n\nOuch.\nBuyers beware\nAs Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?\nAMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161391744,"gmtCreate":1623903848888,"gmtModify":1634026066327,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!&nbsp;","listText":"HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!&nbsp;","text":"HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161391744","repostId":"1133173445","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133173445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623899282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133173445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133173445","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of me","content":"<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1133173445","content_text":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.\nThe substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.\nCritics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.\nThat said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.\nBut these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.\nOf course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.\nSuch research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.\nResearch on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169690497,"gmtCreate":1623831428019,"gmtModify":1634027424871,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Am bullish because there's high potential for growth&nbsp;","listText":"Am bullish because there's high potential for growth&nbsp;","text":"Am bullish because there's high potential for growth","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169690497","repostId":"1179963706","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179963706","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623828183,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179963706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 15:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179963706","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These shares aren't for the faint of heart.","content":"<p>The space industry is a high-potential, high-risk investment opportunity for investors willing to take the leap into some volatility.&nbsp;In the last year alone, the stock of&nbsp;<b>Virgin Galactic Holdings</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:SPCE)&nbsp;has jumped 300%,then fallen 75%, and more than&nbsp;doubled from recent lows. Investors who have held on for the ride have done well, but it hasn't been easy.</p><p><blockquote>对于愿意冒险经历一些波动的投资者来说，航天行业是一个高潜力、高风险的投资机会。仅去年一年，<b>维珍银河控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SPCE）上涨300%，然后下跌75%，较近期低点上涨了一倍多。坚持下去的投资者表现不错，但这并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> More than even the highest flying&nbsp;growth stocks&nbsp;on the market, this is a boom-and-bust kind of investment right now. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, it could reshape the way we think about space. But if it fails, the company could end in disaster. Right now, I think it's worth the risk.</p><p><blockquote>与市场上增长最快的股票相比，这是一种目前繁荣与萧条的投资。如果维珍银河成功，它可能会重塑我们对太空的看法。但如果失败，该公司可能会以灾难告终。现在，我认为值得冒这个险。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2bd0b3467fea65d95ded6ecb659b938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：维珍银河。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What fundamentals?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么基本面？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before we get too far into Virgin Galactic's opportunities, it's important to point out that this is a pre-revenue company. It is burning cash in anticipation of generating revenue from research and from customer tickets for a quick trip into space, but it hasn't launched commercially yet.</p><p><blockquote>在我们深入探讨维珍银河的机遇之前，重要的是要指出这是一家尚未盈利的公司。它正在烧钱，希望从研究和快速太空之旅的客户门票中获得收入，但它尚未进行商业发射。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51fd6129b14f307e5702187274edae41\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"435\"><span>SPCE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING 12 MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的SPCE收入(TTM)数据。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Being a pre-revenue company isn't bad, but it shows just how early it is in its development.</p><p><blockquote>成为一家预营收公司并不坏，但这表明它的发展还处于多么早期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Building a new market in space</b></p><p><blockquote><b>打造太空新市场</b></blockquote></p><p> The bullish case for Virgin Galactic is that it'll redefine how we think about space. For as little as $250,000, anyone can travel into space once commercial flights begin. That sounds like a lot of money, but think about how unattainable space seemed only a decade or two ago. Now, it just takes a big checkbook to get there. The flight is only a few minutes long, but it's a once-in-a-lifetime experience that has already attracted over 600 reservations.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的乐观理由是，它将重新定义我们对太空的看法。只要25万美元，一旦商业飞行开始，任何人都可以进入太空。这听起来是一大笔钱，但想想就在一二十年前，太空似乎是多么遥不可及。现在，只需要一本大支票簿就能到达那里。这次飞行只有几分钟长，但这是一生一次的经历，已经吸引了600多人预订。</blockquote></p><p> Management thinks that when operations are fully ramped up, a spaceport like the company has built in New Mexico will be able to generate $1 billion per year in revenue. Build a few spaceports around the world, and suddenly valuing the company at $8.7 billion (its market capitalization today) doesn't seem so crazy.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，当运营全面加速时，像该公司在新墨西哥州建造的太空港每年将能够产生10亿美元的收入。在世界各地建造几个太空港，突然将公司估值为87亿美元（今天的市值）似乎并没有那么疯狂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High-speed travel is next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个是高速旅行</b></blockquote></p><p> In development is a Mach 3 aircraft that could take high-speed travel to a new level. While the current spacecraft being tested is meant for tourism, a Mach 3 aircraft could make global travel more efficient, reducing the flight&nbsp;from Los Angeles to Tokyo from 12 hours to three to four hours. And with a capacity of 9 to 19 seats, it would seem more like a flight on a private jet than the failed Concorde, which had a capacity of 92 to 128 passengers.</p><p><blockquote>正在开发的是一种马赫3的飞机，可以将高速旅行提升到一个新的水平。虽然目前正在测试的航天器是为了旅游，但3马赫的飞机可以提高全球旅行的效率，将从洛杉矶到东京的飞行时间从12小时减少到3到4小时。它有9到19个座位，看起来更像是一架私人飞机，而不是失败的协和式飞机，协和式飞机有92到128名乘客。</blockquote></p><p> We don't know if space tourism or mach-speed travel will succeed but imagine if they do. If thousands of people fly into space each year and it's commonplace to see videos of celebrities or wealthy people in a weightless atmosphere, it has the potential to shape how we view space tourism. At the same time, Virgin Galactic's design of reusable rockets could allow it to reduce costs to make space tourism possible to those willing to spend around $100,000 on a ticket. And that could truly change how we view space. That's the kind of disruption that would drive big gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote>我们不知道太空旅游或马赫速度旅行是否会成功，但想象一下它们是否会成功。如果每年有成千上万的人飞入太空，并且在失重的气氛中看到名人或富人的视频是司空见惯的，那么这就有可能塑造我们对太空旅游的看法。与此同时，维珍银河设计的可重复使用火箭可以降低成本，使那些愿意花10万美元左右买票的人能够进行太空旅游。这可能会真正改变我们看待空间的方式。这种颠覆将为投资者带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Virgin Galactic is a buy, with risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河值得买入，但存在风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The investment thesis for Virgin Galactic is pretty simple: Virgin Galactic could disrupt the way we think about visiting space and Mach-speed travel. Management thinks it can complete 400 space flights per year, generating $1 billion in revenue per spaceport, with the potential to build dozens of spaceports around the world. Long-term, the spaceports could also house mach-speed aircraft. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, the company could open up multibillion-dollar markets that don't exist today.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的投资论点非常简单：维珍银河可能会颠覆我们对太空访问和马赫速度旅行的看法。管理层认为，它每年可以完成400次太空飞行，每个航天港可产生10亿美元的收入，并有可能在全球建造数十个航天港。从长远来看，太空港还可以容纳马赫速度的飞机。如果维珍银河成功，该公司可能会打开今天不存在的数十亿美元的市场。</blockquote></p><p> As big as the opportunity is, the risks are hefty as well. A failure in testing or product development could sink the company. Today, I think the reward outweighs the risk, and a decade or two from now we'll all know of someone who has visited space. That potential shift in how we think about the universe around us makes this a company I'm excited to own, and follow, into the future.</p><p><blockquote>机会很大，风险也很大。测试或产品开发的失败可能会让公司陷入困境。今天，我认为回报大于风险，从现在起一二十年后，我们都会知道有人访问过太空。我们对周围宇宙的看法的潜在转变使这家公司成为我很高兴拥有并追随未来的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 15:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The space industry is a high-potential, high-risk investment opportunity for investors willing to take the leap into some volatility.&nbsp;In the last year alone, the stock of&nbsp;<b>Virgin Galactic Holdings</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:SPCE)&nbsp;has jumped 300%,then fallen 75%, and more than&nbsp;doubled from recent lows. Investors who have held on for the ride have done well, but it hasn't been easy.</p><p><blockquote>对于愿意冒险经历一些波动的投资者来说，航天行业是一个高潜力、高风险的投资机会。仅去年一年，<b>维珍银河控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SPCE）上涨300%，然后下跌75%，较近期低点上涨了一倍多。坚持下去的投资者表现不错，但这并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> More than even the highest flying&nbsp;growth stocks&nbsp;on the market, this is a boom-and-bust kind of investment right now. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, it could reshape the way we think about space. But if it fails, the company could end in disaster. Right now, I think it's worth the risk.</p><p><blockquote>与市场上增长最快的股票相比，这是一种目前繁荣与萧条的投资。如果维珍银河成功，它可能会重塑我们对太空的看法。但如果失败，该公司可能会以灾难告终。现在，我认为值得冒这个险。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2bd0b3467fea65d95ded6ecb659b938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：维珍银河。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What fundamentals?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么基本面？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before we get too far into Virgin Galactic's opportunities, it's important to point out that this is a pre-revenue company. It is burning cash in anticipation of generating revenue from research and from customer tickets for a quick trip into space, but it hasn't launched commercially yet.</p><p><blockquote>在我们深入探讨维珍银河的机遇之前，重要的是要指出这是一家尚未盈利的公司。它正在烧钱，希望从研究和快速太空之旅的客户门票中获得收入，但它尚未进行商业发射。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51fd6129b14f307e5702187274edae41\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"435\"><span>SPCE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING 12 MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的SPCE收入(TTM)数据。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Being a pre-revenue company isn't bad, but it shows just how early it is in its development.</p><p><blockquote>成为一家预营收公司并不坏，但这表明它的发展还处于多么早期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Building a new market in space</b></p><p><blockquote><b>打造太空新市场</b></blockquote></p><p> The bullish case for Virgin Galactic is that it'll redefine how we think about space. For as little as $250,000, anyone can travel into space once commercial flights begin. That sounds like a lot of money, but think about how unattainable space seemed only a decade or two ago. Now, it just takes a big checkbook to get there. The flight is only a few minutes long, but it's a once-in-a-lifetime experience that has already attracted over 600 reservations.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的乐观理由是，它将重新定义我们对太空的看法。只要25万美元，一旦商业飞行开始，任何人都可以进入太空。这听起来是一大笔钱，但想想就在一二十年前，太空似乎是多么遥不可及。现在，只需要一本大支票簿就能到达那里。这次飞行只有几分钟长，但这是一生一次的经历，已经吸引了600多人预订。</blockquote></p><p> Management thinks that when operations are fully ramped up, a spaceport like the company has built in New Mexico will be able to generate $1 billion per year in revenue. Build a few spaceports around the world, and suddenly valuing the company at $8.7 billion (its market capitalization today) doesn't seem so crazy.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，当运营全面加速时，像该公司在新墨西哥州建造的太空港每年将能够产生10亿美元的收入。在世界各地建造几个太空港，突然将公司估值为87亿美元（今天的市值）似乎并没有那么疯狂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High-speed travel is next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个是高速旅行</b></blockquote></p><p> In development is a Mach 3 aircraft that could take high-speed travel to a new level. While the current spacecraft being tested is meant for tourism, a Mach 3 aircraft could make global travel more efficient, reducing the flight&nbsp;from Los Angeles to Tokyo from 12 hours to three to four hours. And with a capacity of 9 to 19 seats, it would seem more like a flight on a private jet than the failed Concorde, which had a capacity of 92 to 128 passengers.</p><p><blockquote>正在开发的是一种马赫3的飞机，可以将高速旅行提升到一个新的水平。虽然目前正在测试的航天器是为了旅游，但3马赫的飞机可以提高全球旅行的效率，将从洛杉矶到东京的飞行时间从12小时减少到3到4小时。它有9到19个座位，看起来更像是一架私人飞机，而不是失败的协和式飞机，协和式飞机有92到128名乘客。</blockquote></p><p> We don't know if space tourism or mach-speed travel will succeed but imagine if they do. If thousands of people fly into space each year and it's commonplace to see videos of celebrities or wealthy people in a weightless atmosphere, it has the potential to shape how we view space tourism. At the same time, Virgin Galactic's design of reusable rockets could allow it to reduce costs to make space tourism possible to those willing to spend around $100,000 on a ticket. And that could truly change how we view space. That's the kind of disruption that would drive big gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote>我们不知道太空旅游或马赫速度旅行是否会成功，但想象一下它们是否会成功。如果每年有成千上万的人飞入太空，并且在失重的气氛中看到名人或富人的视频是司空见惯的，那么这就有可能塑造我们对太空旅游的看法。与此同时，维珍银河设计的可重复使用火箭可以降低成本，使那些愿意花10万美元左右买票的人能够进行太空旅游。这可能会真正改变我们看待空间的方式。这种颠覆将为投资者带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Virgin Galactic is a buy, with risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河值得买入，但存在风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The investment thesis for Virgin Galactic is pretty simple: Virgin Galactic could disrupt the way we think about visiting space and Mach-speed travel. Management thinks it can complete 400 space flights per year, generating $1 billion in revenue per spaceport, with the potential to build dozens of spaceports around the world. Long-term, the spaceports could also house mach-speed aircraft. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, the company could open up multibillion-dollar markets that don't exist today.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的投资论点非常简单：维珍银河可能会颠覆我们对太空访问和马赫速度旅行的看法。管理层认为，它每年可以完成400次太空飞行，每个航天港可产生10亿美元的收入，并有可能在全球建造数十个航天港。从长远来看，太空港还可以容纳马赫速度的飞机。如果维珍银河成功，该公司可能会打开今天不存在的数十亿美元的市场。</blockquote></p><p> As big as the opportunity is, the risks are hefty as well. A failure in testing or product development could sink the company. Today, I think the reward outweighs the risk, and a decade or two from now we'll all know of someone who has visited space. That potential shift in how we think about the universe around us makes this a company I'm excited to own, and follow, into the future.</p><p><blockquote>机会很大，风险也很大。测试或产品开发的失败可能会让公司陷入困境。今天，我认为回报大于风险，从现在起一二十年后，我们都会知道有人访问过太空。我们对周围宇宙的看法的潜在转变使这家公司成为我很高兴拥有并追随未来的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/is-virgin-galactic-stock-a-buy/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/is-virgin-galactic-stock-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179963706","content_text":"The space industry is a high-potential, high-risk investment opportunity for investors willing to take the leap into some volatility. In the last year alone, the stock of Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE) has jumped 300%,then fallen 75%, and more than doubled from recent lows. Investors who have held on for the ride have done well, but it hasn't been easy.\nMore than even the highest flying growth stocks on the market, this is a boom-and-bust kind of investment right now. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, it could reshape the way we think about space. But if it fails, the company could end in disaster. Right now, I think it's worth the risk.\nIMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.\nWhat fundamentals?\nBefore we get too far into Virgin Galactic's opportunities, it's important to point out that this is a pre-revenue company. It is burning cash in anticipation of generating revenue from research and from customer tickets for a quick trip into space, but it hasn't launched commercially yet.\nSPCE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING 12 MONTHS.\nBeing a pre-revenue company isn't bad, but it shows just how early it is in its development.\nBuilding a new market in space\nThe bullish case for Virgin Galactic is that it'll redefine how we think about space. For as little as $250,000, anyone can travel into space once commercial flights begin. That sounds like a lot of money, but think about how unattainable space seemed only a decade or two ago. Now, it just takes a big checkbook to get there. The flight is only a few minutes long, but it's a once-in-a-lifetime experience that has already attracted over 600 reservations.\nManagement thinks that when operations are fully ramped up, a spaceport like the company has built in New Mexico will be able to generate $1 billion per year in revenue. Build a few spaceports around the world, and suddenly valuing the company at $8.7 billion (its market capitalization today) doesn't seem so crazy.\nHigh-speed travel is next\nIn development is a Mach 3 aircraft that could take high-speed travel to a new level. While the current spacecraft being tested is meant for tourism, a Mach 3 aircraft could make global travel more efficient, reducing the flight from Los Angeles to Tokyo from 12 hours to three to four hours. And with a capacity of 9 to 19 seats, it would seem more like a flight on a private jet than the failed Concorde, which had a capacity of 92 to 128 passengers.\nWe don't know if space tourism or mach-speed travel will succeed but imagine if they do. If thousands of people fly into space each year and it's commonplace to see videos of celebrities or wealthy people in a weightless atmosphere, it has the potential to shape how we view space tourism. At the same time, Virgin Galactic's design of reusable rockets could allow it to reduce costs to make space tourism possible to those willing to spend around $100,000 on a ticket. And that could truly change how we view space. That's the kind of disruption that would drive big gains for investors.\nVirgin Galactic is a buy, with risks\nThe investment thesis for Virgin Galactic is pretty simple: Virgin Galactic could disrupt the way we think about visiting space and Mach-speed travel. Management thinks it can complete 400 space flights per year, generating $1 billion in revenue per spaceport, with the potential to build dozens of spaceports around the world. Long-term, the spaceports could also house mach-speed aircraft. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, the company could open up multibillion-dollar markets that don't exist today.\nAs big as the opportunity is, the risks are hefty as well. A failure in testing or product development could sink the company. Today, I think the reward outweighs the risk, and a decade or two from now we'll all know of someone who has visited space. That potential shift in how we think about the universe around us makes this a company I'm excited to own, and follow, into the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185740420,"gmtCreate":1623675518660,"gmtModify":1634030263577,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Probably FUD&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;","listText":"Probably FUD&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;","text":"Probably FUD [冷漠]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185740420","repostId":"2143782484","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":182638584,"gmtCreate":1623567371148,"gmtModify":1634031565530,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","listText":"AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","text":"AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182638584","repostId":"2142788457","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188041132,"gmtCreate":1623417966126,"gmtModify":1634033494338,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon 🚀🚀🚀","listText":"To the moon 🚀🚀🚀","text":"To the moon 🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188041132","repostId":"1189985902","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181545930,"gmtCreate":1623403824920,"gmtModify":1634033699527,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well, looks like it's time to buy the dip 😁 Diamond Hands all the way!!!🚀🚀🚀","listText":"Well, looks like it's time to buy the dip 😁 Diamond Hands all the way!!!🚀🚀🚀","text":"Well, looks like it's time to buy the dip 😁 Diamond Hands all the way!!!🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181545930","repostId":"2142278359","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189155159,"gmtCreate":1623249074071,"gmtModify":1634035354712,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODLING&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"HODLING&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"HODLING [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189155159","repostId":"1188697627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":114961597,"gmtCreate":1623042954919,"gmtModify":1634095909241,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.&nbsp;","listText":"While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.&nbsp;","text":"While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114961597","repostId":"2141299286","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115361226,"gmtCreate":1622952156765,"gmtModify":1634096640749,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!!!","listText":"To the moon!!!","text":"To the moon!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115361226","repostId":"1173473450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173473450","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622942100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173473450?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173473450","media":"Benzinga","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday afte","content":"<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>&nbsp;held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday after a sharp pullback in Thursday’s session.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>在周四大幅回调后，周五下午早些时候保持了周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into next week, AMC traders will be asking themselves if this week’s run-up is a&nbsp;repeat of January trading action&nbsp;in&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>, or if the rally in AMC had legs.</p><p><blockquote>进入下周，AMC交易员将问自己，本周的上涨是否是1月份交易行为的重演<b>游戏驿站公司。</b>，或者AMC的反弹是否有腿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deja Vu?</b>GameStop shares hit their all-time high of $483 on Jan. 28. In the month leading up to that peak, the stock rallied about 1,560%.</p><p><blockquote><b>似曾相识？</b>1月28日，游戏驿站股价创下483美元的历史新高。在达到峰值之前的一个月，该股上涨了约1,560%。</blockquote></p><p> This week, AMC hit its all-time high of $72.62. In the month leading up to that peak, AMC shares gained just 523%. However, AMC’s year-to-date gains are now 2,330%, while GameStop’s 2020 gains are just 1,260%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，AMC触及72.62美元的历史高点。在达到峰值之前的一个月，AMC股价仅上涨了523%。然而，AMC今年迄今的涨幅目前为2330%，而游戏驿站2020年的涨幅仅为1260%。</blockquote></p><p> In the month following GameStop’s run to $483 back in January, the stock tumbled 78.3%. If AMC suffers a similar fate, the stock could be back down around $15.75 within a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>在游戏驿站1月份涨至483美元后的一个月里，该股下跌了78.3%。如果AMC遭受类似的命运，该股可能会在几周内回落至15.75美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Voices From The Street:</b>&nbsp;Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management,wrote in a blog post&nbsp;on Thursday about how the current AMC mania appears to be very similar to the mania that sent the stock soaring more than 800% in the first 17 days of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>街上的声音：</b>Ritholtz Wealth Management研究总监Michael Batnick周四在一篇博客文章中写道，当前的AMC狂热似乎与2021年前17天导致该股飙升800%以上的狂热非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> “Buyers are just playing a game with tickers on a screen. The madness can continue as long as people think they can get out before the collapse,” Batnick wrote.</p><p><blockquote>巴特尼克写道：“买家只是在用屏幕上的股票代码玩游戏。只要人们认为他们可以在崩溃前脱身，这种疯狂就会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, didn’t pull any punches in discussing the true value of AMC shares this week.</p><p><blockquote>New Constructs首席执行官David Trainer本周在讨论AMC股票的真实价值时毫不留情。</blockquote></p><p> “The surge in shares of AMC Entertainment is yet another sign of the reckless meme stock-driven investing landscape that we find ourselves in today,” Trainer said. “We think AMC Entertainment's stock is worth $0 per share, given its weak earnings, dilution from recent stock offerings and mountain of debt.”</p><p><blockquote>特雷纳表示：“AMC院线股价的飙升是我们今天所处的鲁莽模因股票驱动的投资格局的又一个迹象。”“鉴于AMC院线的盈利疲软、最近股票发行的稀释以及堆积如山的债务，我们认为其股票每股价值为0美元。”</blockquote></p><p> Themis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga the trading action in both AMC and GameStop in 2021 is a sign regulators need to step in.</p><p><blockquote>Themis Trading的Joe Saluzzi告诉Benzinga，AMC和游戏驿站2021年的交易行动表明监管机构需要介入。</blockquote></p><p> “During the ‘Gamestopped’ Congressional hearings, SEC Chairman Gensler indicated that the Commission would be publishing a report this summer on the volatile trading events that occurred in late January. Market participants are anxious to see this report, but it looks like the SEC may already need to update it to include the events of this week,” Saluzzi said.</p><p><blockquote>“在‘Gamestopped’国会听证会上，SEC主席Gensler表示，该委员会将在今年夏天发布一份关于1月下旬发生的波动交易事件的报告。市场参与者渴望看到这份报告，但看起来SEC可能已经需要更新它以纳入本周的事件，”Saluzzi说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>The social media narrative surrounding GameStop and AMC is that retail traders on Reddit and Robinhood are sticking it to big hedge funds by squeezing them out of their short positions. In reality, retail trading accounted for an&nbsp;estimated 11%&nbsp;of trading volume in AMC this week, whereas the majority of AMC’s trading volume came from dark pools, and large institutional block and sweep trades in both the stock and option markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>围绕游戏驿站和AMC的社交媒体说法是，Reddit和Robinhood上的散户交易员正在通过挤出大型对冲基金的空头头寸来坚持对大型对冲基金的投资。事实上，散户交易估计占AMC本周交易量的11%，而AMC的大部分交易量来自暗池以及股票和期权市场的大型机构大宗交易和横扫交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-06 09:15</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>&nbsp;held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday after a sharp pullback in Thursday’s session.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>在周四大幅回调后，周五下午早些时候保持了周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into next week, AMC traders will be asking themselves if this week’s run-up is a&nbsp;repeat of January trading action&nbsp;in&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>, or if the rally in AMC had legs.</p><p><blockquote>进入下周，AMC交易员将问自己，本周的上涨是否是1月份交易行为的重演<b>游戏驿站公司。</b>，或者AMC的反弹是否有腿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deja Vu?</b>GameStop shares hit their all-time high of $483 on Jan. 28. In the month leading up to that peak, the stock rallied about 1,560%.</p><p><blockquote><b>似曾相识？</b>1月28日，游戏驿站股价创下483美元的历史新高。在达到峰值之前的一个月，该股上涨了约1,560%。</blockquote></p><p> This week, AMC hit its all-time high of $72.62. In the month leading up to that peak, AMC shares gained just 523%. However, AMC’s year-to-date gains are now 2,330%, while GameStop’s 2020 gains are just 1,260%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，AMC触及72.62美元的历史高点。在达到峰值之前的一个月，AMC股价仅上涨了523%。然而，AMC今年迄今的涨幅目前为2330%，而游戏驿站2020年的涨幅仅为1260%。</blockquote></p><p> In the month following GameStop’s run to $483 back in January, the stock tumbled 78.3%. If AMC suffers a similar fate, the stock could be back down around $15.75 within a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>在游戏驿站1月份涨至483美元后的一个月里，该股下跌了78.3%。如果AMC遭受类似的命运，该股可能会在几周内回落至15.75美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Voices From The Street:</b>&nbsp;Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management,wrote in a blog post&nbsp;on Thursday about how the current AMC mania appears to be very similar to the mania that sent the stock soaring more than 800% in the first 17 days of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>街上的声音：</b>Ritholtz Wealth Management研究总监Michael Batnick周四在一篇博客文章中写道，当前的AMC狂热似乎与2021年前17天导致该股飙升800%以上的狂热非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> “Buyers are just playing a game with tickers on a screen. The madness can continue as long as people think they can get out before the collapse,” Batnick wrote.</p><p><blockquote>巴特尼克写道：“买家只是在用屏幕上的股票代码玩游戏。只要人们认为他们可以在崩溃前脱身，这种疯狂就会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, didn’t pull any punches in discussing the true value of AMC shares this week.</p><p><blockquote>New Constructs首席执行官David Trainer本周在讨论AMC股票的真实价值时毫不留情。</blockquote></p><p> “The surge in shares of AMC Entertainment is yet another sign of the reckless meme stock-driven investing landscape that we find ourselves in today,” Trainer said. “We think AMC Entertainment's stock is worth $0 per share, given its weak earnings, dilution from recent stock offerings and mountain of debt.”</p><p><blockquote>特雷纳表示：“AMC院线股价的飙升是我们今天所处的鲁莽模因股票驱动的投资格局的又一个迹象。”“鉴于AMC院线的盈利疲软、最近股票发行的稀释以及堆积如山的债务，我们认为其股票每股价值为0美元。”</blockquote></p><p> Themis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga the trading action in both AMC and GameStop in 2021 is a sign regulators need to step in.</p><p><blockquote>Themis Trading的Joe Saluzzi告诉Benzinga，AMC和游戏驿站2021年的交易行动表明监管机构需要介入。</blockquote></p><p> “During the ‘Gamestopped’ Congressional hearings, SEC Chairman Gensler indicated that the Commission would be publishing a report this summer on the volatile trading events that occurred in late January. Market participants are anxious to see this report, but it looks like the SEC may already need to update it to include the events of this week,” Saluzzi said.</p><p><blockquote>“在‘Gamestopped’国会听证会上，SEC主席Gensler表示，该委员会将在今年夏天发布一份关于1月下旬发生的波动交易事件的报告。市场参与者渴望看到这份报告，但看起来SEC可能已经需要更新它以纳入本周的事件，”Saluzzi说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>The social media narrative surrounding GameStop and AMC is that retail traders on Reddit and Robinhood are sticking it to big hedge funds by squeezing them out of their short positions. In reality, retail trading accounted for an&nbsp;estimated 11%&nbsp;of trading volume in AMC this week, whereas the majority of AMC’s trading volume came from dark pools, and large institutional block and sweep trades in both the stock and option markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>围绕游戏驿站和AMC的社交媒体说法是，Reddit和Robinhood上的散户交易员正在通过挤出大型对冲基金的空头头寸来坚持对大型对冲基金的投资。事实上，散户交易估计占AMC本周交易量的11%，而AMC的大部分交易量来自暗池以及股票和期权市场的大型机构大宗交易和横扫交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173473450","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday after a sharp pullback in Thursday’s session.\nHeading into next week, AMC traders will be asking themselves if this week’s run-up is a repeat of January trading action in GameStop Corp., or if the rally in AMC had legs.\nDeja Vu?GameStop shares hit their all-time high of $483 on Jan. 28. In the month leading up to that peak, the stock rallied about 1,560%.\nThis week, AMC hit its all-time high of $72.62. In the month leading up to that peak, AMC shares gained just 523%. However, AMC’s year-to-date gains are now 2,330%, while GameStop’s 2020 gains are just 1,260%.\nIn the month following GameStop’s run to $483 back in January, the stock tumbled 78.3%. If AMC suffers a similar fate, the stock could be back down around $15.75 within a matter of weeks.\nVoices From The Street: Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management,wrote in a blog post on Thursday about how the current AMC mania appears to be very similar to the mania that sent the stock soaring more than 800% in the first 17 days of 2021.\n“Buyers are just playing a game with tickers on a screen. The madness can continue as long as people think they can get out before the collapse,” Batnick wrote.\nDavid Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, didn’t pull any punches in discussing the true value of AMC shares this week.\n“The surge in shares of AMC Entertainment is yet another sign of the reckless meme stock-driven investing landscape that we find ourselves in today,” Trainer said. “We think AMC Entertainment's stock is worth $0 per share, given its weak earnings, dilution from recent stock offerings and mountain of debt.”\nThemis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga the trading action in both AMC and GameStop in 2021 is a sign regulators need to step in.\n“During the ‘Gamestopped’ Congressional hearings, SEC Chairman Gensler indicated that the Commission would be publishing a report this summer on the volatile trading events that occurred in late January. Market participants are anxious to see this report, but it looks like the SEC may already need to update it to include the events of this week,” Saluzzi said.\nBenzinga’s Take:The social media narrative surrounding GameStop and AMC is that retail traders on Reddit and Robinhood are sticking it to big hedge funds by squeezing them out of their short positions. In reality, retail trading accounted for an estimated 11% of trading volume in AMC this week, whereas the majority of AMC’s trading volume came from dark pools, and large institutional block and sweep trades in both the stock and option markets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111480755,"gmtCreate":1622692143077,"gmtModify":1634099076508,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl guys&nbsp;","listText":"Hodl guys&nbsp;","text":"Hodl guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111480755","repostId":"1115876867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119391686,"gmtCreate":1622517522545,"gmtModify":1634100887027,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578782731604671","idStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Diamond Hands Boiz 💎 Not gonna listen to these HFs and am planning to double down today. The squeeze hasn't happened yet&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"Diamond Hands Boiz 💎 Not gonna listen to these HFs and am planning to double down today. The squeeze hasn't happened yet&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"Diamond Hands Boiz 💎 Not gonna listen to these HFs and am planning to double down today. The squeeze hasn't happened yet [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119391686","repostId":"2139859504","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":808169764,"gmtCreate":1627565580058,"gmtModify":1633763760845,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈","listText":"Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈","text":"Hahaha but wall street isn't always right 🤣🤣 Trust the DD. The shorts haven't covered🙈🙈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808169764","repostId":"2155909002","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114961597,"gmtCreate":1623042954919,"gmtModify":1634095909241,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.&nbsp;","listText":"While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.&nbsp;","text":"While the fundamentals don't give the rosiest of pictures, the fact is that AMC is headed by a strong leader and it raised a substantial amount after the latest share offering.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114961597","repostId":"2141299286","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127028983,"gmtCreate":1624805427142,"gmtModify":1631884219145,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊","listText":"Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊","text":"Just gotta remember that this trade is a swing one. So the fundamentals of this move is totally different. Either way, HODL apes!!! 😁🙉🙈🙊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127028983","repostId":"2146006003","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111480755,"gmtCreate":1622692143077,"gmtModify":1634099076508,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl guys&nbsp;","listText":"Hodl guys&nbsp;","text":"Hodl guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111480755","repostId":"1115876867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115361226,"gmtCreate":1622952156765,"gmtModify":1634096640749,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!!!","listText":"To the moon!!!","text":"To the moon!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115361226","repostId":"1173473450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173473450","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622942100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173473450?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173473450","media":"Benzinga","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday afte","content":"<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>&nbsp;held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday after a sharp pullback in Thursday’s session.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>在周四大幅回调后，周五下午早些时候保持了周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into next week, AMC traders will be asking themselves if this week’s run-up is a&nbsp;repeat of January trading action&nbsp;in&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>, or if the rally in AMC had legs.</p><p><blockquote>进入下周，AMC交易员将问自己，本周的上涨是否是1月份交易行为的重演<b>游戏驿站公司。</b>，或者AMC的反弹是否有腿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deja Vu?</b>GameStop shares hit their all-time high of $483 on Jan. 28. In the month leading up to that peak, the stock rallied about 1,560%.</p><p><blockquote><b>似曾相识？</b>1月28日，游戏驿站股价创下483美元的历史新高。在达到峰值之前的一个月，该股上涨了约1,560%。</blockquote></p><p> This week, AMC hit its all-time high of $72.62. In the month leading up to that peak, AMC shares gained just 523%. However, AMC’s year-to-date gains are now 2,330%, while GameStop’s 2020 gains are just 1,260%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，AMC触及72.62美元的历史高点。在达到峰值之前的一个月，AMC股价仅上涨了523%。然而，AMC今年迄今的涨幅目前为2330%，而游戏驿站2020年的涨幅仅为1260%。</blockquote></p><p> In the month following GameStop’s run to $483 back in January, the stock tumbled 78.3%. If AMC suffers a similar fate, the stock could be back down around $15.75 within a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>在游戏驿站1月份涨至483美元后的一个月里，该股下跌了78.3%。如果AMC遭受类似的命运，该股可能会在几周内回落至15.75美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Voices From The Street:</b>&nbsp;Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management,wrote in a blog post&nbsp;on Thursday about how the current AMC mania appears to be very similar to the mania that sent the stock soaring more than 800% in the first 17 days of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>街上的声音：</b>Ritholtz Wealth Management研究总监Michael Batnick周四在一篇博客文章中写道，当前的AMC狂热似乎与2021年前17天导致该股飙升800%以上的狂热非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> “Buyers are just playing a game with tickers on a screen. The madness can continue as long as people think they can get out before the collapse,” Batnick wrote.</p><p><blockquote>巴特尼克写道：“买家只是在用屏幕上的股票代码玩游戏。只要人们认为他们可以在崩溃前脱身，这种疯狂就会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, didn’t pull any punches in discussing the true value of AMC shares this week.</p><p><blockquote>New Constructs首席执行官David Trainer本周在讨论AMC股票的真实价值时毫不留情。</blockquote></p><p> “The surge in shares of AMC Entertainment is yet another sign of the reckless meme stock-driven investing landscape that we find ourselves in today,” Trainer said. “We think AMC Entertainment's stock is worth $0 per share, given its weak earnings, dilution from recent stock offerings and mountain of debt.”</p><p><blockquote>特雷纳表示：“AMC院线股价的飙升是我们今天所处的鲁莽模因股票驱动的投资格局的又一个迹象。”“鉴于AMC院线的盈利疲软、最近股票发行的稀释以及堆积如山的债务，我们认为其股票每股价值为0美元。”</blockquote></p><p> Themis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga the trading action in both AMC and GameStop in 2021 is a sign regulators need to step in.</p><p><blockquote>Themis Trading的Joe Saluzzi告诉Benzinga，AMC和游戏驿站2021年的交易行动表明监管机构需要介入。</blockquote></p><p> “During the ‘Gamestopped’ Congressional hearings, SEC Chairman Gensler indicated that the Commission would be publishing a report this summer on the volatile trading events that occurred in late January. Market participants are anxious to see this report, but it looks like the SEC may already need to update it to include the events of this week,” Saluzzi said.</p><p><blockquote>“在‘Gamestopped’国会听证会上，SEC主席Gensler表示，该委员会将在今年夏天发布一份关于1月下旬发生的波动交易事件的报告。市场参与者渴望看到这份报告，但看起来SEC可能已经需要更新它以纳入本周的事件，”Saluzzi说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>The social media narrative surrounding GameStop and AMC is that retail traders on Reddit and Robinhood are sticking it to big hedge funds by squeezing them out of their short positions. In reality, retail trading accounted for an&nbsp;estimated 11%&nbsp;of trading volume in AMC this week, whereas the majority of AMC’s trading volume came from dark pools, and large institutional block and sweep trades in both the stock and option markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>围绕游戏驿站和AMC的社交媒体说法是，Reddit和Robinhood上的散户交易员正在通过挤出大型对冲基金的空头头寸来坚持对大型对冲基金的投资。事实上，散户交易估计占AMC本周交易量的11%，而AMC的大部分交易量来自暗池以及股票和期权市场的大型机构大宗交易和横扫交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow The AMC Squeeze Compares To The GameStop Run: Are Buyers Just Playing A Game?<blockquote>AMC挤压与游戏驿站挤兑相比如何：买家只是在玩游戏吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-06 09:15</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>&nbsp;held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday after a sharp pullback in Thursday’s session.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>在周四大幅回调后，周五下午早些时候保持了周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into next week, AMC traders will be asking themselves if this week’s run-up is a&nbsp;repeat of January trading action&nbsp;in&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>, or if the rally in AMC had legs.</p><p><blockquote>进入下周，AMC交易员将问自己，本周的上涨是否是1月份交易行为的重演<b>游戏驿站公司。</b>，或者AMC的反弹是否有腿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deja Vu?</b>GameStop shares hit their all-time high of $483 on Jan. 28. In the month leading up to that peak, the stock rallied about 1,560%.</p><p><blockquote><b>似曾相识？</b>1月28日，游戏驿站股价创下483美元的历史新高。在达到峰值之前的一个月，该股上涨了约1,560%。</blockquote></p><p> This week, AMC hit its all-time high of $72.62. In the month leading up to that peak, AMC shares gained just 523%. However, AMC’s year-to-date gains are now 2,330%, while GameStop’s 2020 gains are just 1,260%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，AMC触及72.62美元的历史高点。在达到峰值之前的一个月，AMC股价仅上涨了523%。然而，AMC今年迄今的涨幅目前为2330%，而游戏驿站2020年的涨幅仅为1260%。</blockquote></p><p> In the month following GameStop’s run to $483 back in January, the stock tumbled 78.3%. If AMC suffers a similar fate, the stock could be back down around $15.75 within a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>在游戏驿站1月份涨至483美元后的一个月里，该股下跌了78.3%。如果AMC遭受类似的命运，该股可能会在几周内回落至15.75美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Voices From The Street:</b>&nbsp;Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management,wrote in a blog post&nbsp;on Thursday about how the current AMC mania appears to be very similar to the mania that sent the stock soaring more than 800% in the first 17 days of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>街上的声音：</b>Ritholtz Wealth Management研究总监Michael Batnick周四在一篇博客文章中写道，当前的AMC狂热似乎与2021年前17天导致该股飙升800%以上的狂热非常相似。</blockquote></p><p> “Buyers are just playing a game with tickers on a screen. The madness can continue as long as people think they can get out before the collapse,” Batnick wrote.</p><p><blockquote>巴特尼克写道：“买家只是在用屏幕上的股票代码玩游戏。只要人们认为他们可以在崩溃前脱身，这种疯狂就会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> David Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, didn’t pull any punches in discussing the true value of AMC shares this week.</p><p><blockquote>New Constructs首席执行官David Trainer本周在讨论AMC股票的真实价值时毫不留情。</blockquote></p><p> “The surge in shares of AMC Entertainment is yet another sign of the reckless meme stock-driven investing landscape that we find ourselves in today,” Trainer said. “We think AMC Entertainment's stock is worth $0 per share, given its weak earnings, dilution from recent stock offerings and mountain of debt.”</p><p><blockquote>特雷纳表示：“AMC院线股价的飙升是我们今天所处的鲁莽模因股票驱动的投资格局的又一个迹象。”“鉴于AMC院线的盈利疲软、最近股票发行的稀释以及堆积如山的债务，我们认为其股票每股价值为0美元。”</blockquote></p><p> Themis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga the trading action in both AMC and GameStop in 2021 is a sign regulators need to step in.</p><p><blockquote>Themis Trading的Joe Saluzzi告诉Benzinga，AMC和游戏驿站2021年的交易行动表明监管机构需要介入。</blockquote></p><p> “During the ‘Gamestopped’ Congressional hearings, SEC Chairman Gensler indicated that the Commission would be publishing a report this summer on the volatile trading events that occurred in late January. Market participants are anxious to see this report, but it looks like the SEC may already need to update it to include the events of this week,” Saluzzi said.</p><p><blockquote>“在‘Gamestopped’国会听证会上，SEC主席Gensler表示，该委员会将在今年夏天发布一份关于1月下旬发生的波动交易事件的报告。市场参与者渴望看到这份报告，但看起来SEC可能已经需要更新它以纳入本周的事件，”Saluzzi说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>The social media narrative surrounding GameStop and AMC is that retail traders on Reddit and Robinhood are sticking it to big hedge funds by squeezing them out of their short positions. In reality, retail trading accounted for an&nbsp;estimated 11%&nbsp;of trading volume in AMC this week, whereas the majority of AMC’s trading volume came from dark pools, and large institutional block and sweep trades in both the stock and option markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>围绕游戏驿站和AMC的社交媒体说法是，Reddit和Robinhood上的散户交易员正在通过挤出大型对冲基金的空头头寸来坚持对大型对冲基金的投资。事实上，散户交易估计占AMC本周交易量的11%，而AMC的大部分交易量来自暗池以及股票和期权市场的大型机构大宗交易和横扫交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173473450","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc held on to its weekly gains in early afternoon trading on Friday after a sharp pullback in Thursday’s session.\nHeading into next week, AMC traders will be asking themselves if this week’s run-up is a repeat of January trading action in GameStop Corp., or if the rally in AMC had legs.\nDeja Vu?GameStop shares hit their all-time high of $483 on Jan. 28. In the month leading up to that peak, the stock rallied about 1,560%.\nThis week, AMC hit its all-time high of $72.62. In the month leading up to that peak, AMC shares gained just 523%. However, AMC’s year-to-date gains are now 2,330%, while GameStop’s 2020 gains are just 1,260%.\nIn the month following GameStop’s run to $483 back in January, the stock tumbled 78.3%. If AMC suffers a similar fate, the stock could be back down around $15.75 within a matter of weeks.\nVoices From The Street: Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management,wrote in a blog post on Thursday about how the current AMC mania appears to be very similar to the mania that sent the stock soaring more than 800% in the first 17 days of 2021.\n“Buyers are just playing a game with tickers on a screen. The madness can continue as long as people think they can get out before the collapse,” Batnick wrote.\nDavid Trainer, CEO of New Constructs, didn’t pull any punches in discussing the true value of AMC shares this week.\n“The surge in shares of AMC Entertainment is yet another sign of the reckless meme stock-driven investing landscape that we find ourselves in today,” Trainer said. “We think AMC Entertainment's stock is worth $0 per share, given its weak earnings, dilution from recent stock offerings and mountain of debt.”\nThemis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga the trading action in both AMC and GameStop in 2021 is a sign regulators need to step in.\n“During the ‘Gamestopped’ Congressional hearings, SEC Chairman Gensler indicated that the Commission would be publishing a report this summer on the volatile trading events that occurred in late January. Market participants are anxious to see this report, but it looks like the SEC may already need to update it to include the events of this week,” Saluzzi said.\nBenzinga’s Take:The social media narrative surrounding GameStop and AMC is that retail traders on Reddit and Robinhood are sticking it to big hedge funds by squeezing them out of their short positions. In reality, retail trading accounted for an estimated 11% of trading volume in AMC this week, whereas the majority of AMC’s trading volume came from dark pools, and large institutional block and sweep trades in both the stock and option markets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835247259,"gmtCreate":1629724525171,"gmtModify":1633682935115,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"To the moon boizzz! Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835247259","repostId":"2161977520","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161391744,"gmtCreate":1623903848888,"gmtModify":1634026066327,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!&nbsp;","listText":"HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!&nbsp;","text":"HODL Guys!!! The DD tells otherwise!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161391744","repostId":"1133173445","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133173445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623899282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133173445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133173445","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of me","content":"<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1133173445","content_text":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.\nThe substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.\nCritics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.\nThat said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.\nBut these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.\nOf course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.\nSuch research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.\nResearch on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182638584,"gmtCreate":1623567371148,"gmtModify":1634031565530,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","listText":"AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","text":"AMC to the moon 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182638584","repostId":"2142788457","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170459655,"gmtCreate":1626447099077,"gmtModify":1633926640879,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD lol","listText":"FUD lol","text":"FUD lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170459655","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189155159,"gmtCreate":1623249074071,"gmtModify":1634035354712,"author":{"id":"3578782731604671","authorId":"3578782731604671","name":"Jonno123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee063ae4df931cd529ec094c1de1e242","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578782731604671","authorIdStr":"3578782731604671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODLING&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"HODLING&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"HODLING [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189155159","repostId":"1188697627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}