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ETF88

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2021-08-21

Pls like my post. Thanks.

Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>

2021-08-10

Great news! Pls like my comment Thanks!

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2021-08-13

Buy when fear! Pls like my post.thank!!

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2021-08-11

Disney is stock for life!! Pls like my post thanks!!

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2021-08-11

Amc to the moon pls like my post

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2021-08-27

Thanks for sharing.

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2021-08-04

All thanks to FED printers!!![微笑]

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2021-09-12

Thanks for sharing

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2021-09-09

Hold on and ride to Moon, will be 3k in years time. Thanks.

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2021-08-16

Pls like my comment. Thanks!

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Buying and holding AAPL stonks for life!","listText":"ICar out within nxt 5yrs. Buying and holding AAPL stonks for life!","text":"ICar out within nxt 5yrs. Buying and holding AAPL stonks for life!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813035207","repostId":"1162964424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162964424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630111098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162964424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 08:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162964424","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year  should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is con","content":"<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p><p><blockquote>由于某些组件的价格上涨，苹果的iPhone 13可能会让消费者花费更多。这对用户来说是个坏消息，但对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p><p><blockquote>考虑今年升级设备的IPhone用户（或者那些希望转向基于iOS的产品的用户）应该期待更深入地了解他们的口袋。DigiTimes报道称，由于零部件通胀，苹果的iPhone 13可能会在下个月以更高的价格推出。</blockquote></p><p> Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>对消费者来说是个坏消息，对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。如果价格上涨得到证实，这将提供证据表明，在人们担心生产者和消费者价格上涨的时期，苹果公司可能会成为一个巨大的通胀工具。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事？</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone已经被认为是一款昂贵的科技产品，在美国，满载的高端12 Pro Max机型售价高达1400美元（见下图）。由于今年的零部件短缺，芯片制造商台积电可能会将其对苹果的零部件价格提高3%至5%，这可能会导致尚未公布的iPhone 13价格出现类似上涨。</blockquote></p><p> It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p><p><blockquote>世界上最大、最成功的消费品公司之一不太可能试图提高价格，而不相信这样做不会对新iPhone的需求产生实质性影响。苹果或许有能力提高价格，因为该公司了解其奢侈品牌的价值和吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：苹果商店上的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>引用吉姆·克莱默的话</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市最令人担忧的阻力之一是通胀可能侵蚀企业利润率并导致2021-2022年利率上升。但如果生产者和消费者价格飙升，并非所有股票都会受到同等影响。</blockquote></p><p> Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>一般来说，拥有强大定价权、能够将较高的生产成本转嫁给消费者的公司可能会表现出色。这是Mad Money的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)最近提出的观点。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p>   “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”  <b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p><p><blockquote>“当你试图思考这个市场上什么在起作用时……我想让你问问自己，如果公司提价，你会对提价麻木不仁吗？有哪些公司可以提价而不会激怒你？去买他们的股票。”<b>对损益的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p><p><blockquote>价格上涨对公司的财务业绩是好事还是坏事？答案是微妙的，取决于几个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件不变的情况下，更高的价格也意味着更高的收入（想想销售公式：价格乘以数量）。如果价格上涨与产品或运营成本的增加脱钩，那么涨价也有助于提高利润率，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p><p><blockquote>然而，“保持其他一切不变”并不是世界真正的运作方式。价格的变化往往会对一些关键变量产生影响，其中最重要的是需求。如果更高的价格不会对售出的单位产生太大影响或根本没有影响，那么这对收入以及最有可能的盈利来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p><p><blockquote>另一个需要考虑的问题是价格上涨是否完全或仅部分抵消了更高的成本。假设是后者，收入仍然可以受益，而不会对利润率和利润产生相应的积极影响。许多移动部件所呈现的复杂性使得很难确定更昂贵的iPhone未来可能会如何影响苹果的财务报表。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: How It Could Be A Great Inflation Play<blockquote>苹果股票：它如何成为一场伟大的通胀游戏</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-28 08:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.</p><p><blockquote>由于某些组件的价格上涨，苹果的iPhone 13可能会让消费者花费更多。这对用户来说是个坏消息，但对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> IPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.</p><p><blockquote>考虑今年升级设备的IPhone用户（或者那些希望转向基于iOS的产品的用户）应该期待更深入地了解他们的口袋。DigiTimes报道称，由于零部件通胀，苹果的iPhone 13可能会在下个月以更高的价格推出。</blockquote></p><p> Bad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock&nbsp;investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>对消费者来说是个坏消息，对苹果股票投资者来说可能是个好消息。如果价格上涨得到证实，这将提供证据表明，在人们担心生产者和消费者价格上涨的时期，苹果公司可能会成为一个巨大的通胀工具。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6f4ac9ebc1b90072340731dc5c1e613\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事？</b></blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone已经被认为是一款昂贵的科技产品，在美国，满载的高端12 Pro Max机型售价高达1400美元（见下图）。由于今年的零部件短缺，芯片制造商台积电可能会将其对苹果的零部件价格提高3%至5%，这可能会导致尚未公布的iPhone 13价格出现类似上涨。</blockquote></p><p> It is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.</p><p><blockquote>世界上最大、最成功的消费品公司之一不太可能试图提高价格，而不相信这样做不会对新iPhone的需求产生实质性影响。苹果或许有能力提高价格，因为该公司了解其奢侈品牌的价值和吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0140b9b68bb9eb5dd7e88aaff384785d\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：苹果商店上的iPhone 12 Pro。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>A quote from Jim Cramer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>引用吉姆·克莱默的话</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市最令人担忧的阻力之一是通胀可能侵蚀企业利润率并导致2021-2022年利率上升。但如果生产者和消费者价格飙升，并非所有股票都会受到同等影响。</blockquote></p><p> Generally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that&nbsp;Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>一般来说，拥有强大定价权、能够将较高的生产成本转嫁给消费者的公司可能会表现出色。这是Mad Money的吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)最近提出的观点。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p>   “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”  <b>The impact to the P&amp;L</b></p><p><blockquote>“当你试图思考这个市场上什么在起作用时……我想让你问问自己，如果公司提价，你会对提价麻木不仁吗？有哪些公司可以提价而不会激怒你？去买他们的股票。”<b>对损益的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Are higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.</p><p><blockquote>价格上涨对公司的财务业绩是好事还是坏事？答案是微妙的，取决于几个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Holding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件不变的情况下，更高的价格也意味着更高的收入（想想销售公式：价格乘以数量）。如果价格上涨与产品或运营成本的增加脱钩，那么涨价也有助于提高利润率，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.</p><p><blockquote>然而，“保持其他一切不变”并不是世界真正的运作方式。价格的变化往往会对一些关键变量产生影响，其中最重要的是需求。如果更高的价格不会对售出的单位产生太大影响或根本没有影响，那么这对收入以及最有可能的盈利来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> The other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.</p><p><blockquote>另一个需要考虑的问题是价格上涨是否完全或仅部分抵消了更高的成本。假设是后者，收入仍然可以受益，而不会对利润率和利润产生相应的积极影响。许多移动部件所呈现的复杂性使得很难确定更昂贵的iPhone未来可能会如何影响苹果的财务报表。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/iphone/apple-stock-how-it-could-be-a-great-inflation-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162964424","content_text":"Apple’s iPhone 13 could cost consumers more due to an increase in the price of certain components. This is bad news for users, but probably good news for Apple stock investors.\nIPhone users thinking of upgrading their devices this year (or those looking to switch to the iOS-based product) should expect to reach deeper into their pockets. DigiTimes has reported that Apple’s iPhone 13 could be launched next month at a higher price due to parts inflation.\nBad news for consumers could be great news for Apple stock investors. If the price increase is confirmed, it provides evidence that AAPL might be a great inflation play during these times of worry over rising producer and consumer prices.\nFigure 1: Apple's iPhone 12 Pro.\nWhat happened?\nThe iPhone is already considered a pricey tech gadget that can cost as much as $1,400 for the fully loaded, higher-end 12 Pro Max model in the US (see figure below). Due to this year’s components shortage, chip maker TSMC may raise its part prices to Apple by 3% to 5%, which could lead to a similar increase in the price of the yet-to-be-announced iPhone 13.\nIt is unlikely that one of the largest and most successful consumer product companies in the world would try to raise prices without confidence that doing so does not impact demand for the new iPhone substantially. Apple can probably afford to hike prices because the company understands the value and the appeal of its luxury brand.\nFigure 2: iPhone 12 Pro on Apple's store.\nA quote from Jim Cramer\nOne of the most concerning headwinds to stocks in the foreseeable future is the possibility of inflation eroding corporate margins and leading to higher interest rates in 2021-2022. But should producer and consumer prices spike, not all stocks will be impacted equally.\nGenerally speaking, companies with strong pricing power that are able to pass on the higher production costs to consumers will likely outperform. This is a point that Mad Money’s Jim Cramer has made recently. Here is his quote:\n\n “When you try to think of what’s working in this market... I want you to ask yourself, would you be insensitive to a price increase if the company put one through? [What are] the companies that can raise prices without infuriating you? Go buy their stocks.”\n\nThe impact to the P&L\nAre higher prices a good or a bad thing for a company’s financial performance? The answer is nuanced and depends on a few factors.\nHolding all else constant, higher prices also mean higher revenues (think of the formula for sales: price times quantity). If the increase in price is decoupled from an increase in product or operating costs, then the hike also helps to boost margins – thus profits as well.\nHowever, “holding all else constant” is not how the world really works. A change in price tends to have an impact on a few key variables, most important of which is demand. If higher prices do not impact units sold by much or at all, this is great news for revenues and, most likely, earnings.\nThe other piece to consider is whether the price hike fully or only partially offsets higher costs. Assuming the latter, revenues can still benefit without a corresponding positive effect on margins and profits. The complexity presented by the many moving parts makes it hard to determine with certainty how a more expensive iPhone may impact Apple’s financial statements in the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819990642,"gmtCreate":1630025620286,"gmtModify":1704954750429,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing.&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for sharing.&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819990642","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836405053,"gmtCreate":1629511757172,"gmtModify":1631888314525,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like my post. Thanks.","listText":"Pls like my post. Thanks.","text":"Pls like my post. Thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836405053","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","ASML":"阿斯麦","NVDA":"英伟达","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SNPS":"新思科技","TSM":"台积电","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌","ON":"安森美半导体","QCOM":"高通","SSNLF":"三星电子","CDNS":"铿腾电子"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QCOM":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"ON":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"SNPS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838571802,"gmtCreate":1629421749906,"gmtModify":1631889148290,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trust mama kathy!!! All is good.","listText":"Trust mama kathy!!! All is good.","text":"Trust mama kathy!!! All is good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838571802","repostId":"2160848793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2160848793","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1629420499,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160848793?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 08:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160848793","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Wood says she's emboldened by bad news\nCathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment off","content":"<p>Wood says she's emboldened by bad news</p><p><blockquote>伍德说她被坏消息鼓舞了</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1e646cb0a6ddf4ac942ed5c913a4e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Cathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Cathie Wood，方舟投资管理公司首席执行官兼首席投资官</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 index trading near record heights.</p><p><blockquote>尽管道琼斯工业平均指数（Dow Jones Industrial Average）和标普500指数（Bank of America Index）接近历史新高，但在最近的交易中，人们越来越感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> However, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Ark Investment Management经营一系列受欢迎的ETF的明星投资者凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，没有理由担心市场变得过于泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> As the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .</p><p><blockquote>正如方舟创始人在周四中午接受CNBC采访时所说：“我不认为我们处于泡沫之中，我认为许多空头认为我们处于泡沫之中。”</blockquote></p><p> Her comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.</p><p><blockquote>她发表此番言论之际，人们越来越担心随着COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株势头增强，经济增长可能放缓，这给从席卷全球一年多的大流行中全面复苏带来了阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着焦虑情绪的加剧，投资者也一直在担心美联储缩减宽松货币政策的前景，特别是每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.</p><p><blockquote>伍德的投资基金，以旗舰Ark Innovation为重点，已<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>该区域被认为可能被高估，如果市场开始从当前水平大幅萎缩，则容易大幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Ark Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，Ark Innovation ETF本周迄今已下跌5.2%，今年迄今已下跌8.6%，表现严重逊于大盘，此前该基金的一年回报率达到149%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cca916bae90134d64f9ba249031e782\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&amp;P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数本周下跌1.8%，但今年上涨14%，而科技含量较高的纳斯达克综合指数本周下跌1.9%，但2021年迄今已上涨超过12.8%，大盘标普500指数本周迄今下跌1.4%，但2021年上涨近17.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.</p><p><blockquote>然而，伍德对市场的看法是，与20世纪90年代末和21世纪初互联网繁荣时期特有的兴奋相比，投资者的行为更加冷静和谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在泡沫中……我记得90年代末……我们的战略会受到欢呼，”她告诉商业网。她在“Tech Check”节目中表示：“你还记得分析师的预测一个比另一个高，价格目标一个比另一个高。”</blockquote></p><p> She also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>她还指出，市场的负面情绪是一个禁忌症，这表明日益增长的悲观情绪实际上可能会推动进一步上涨，而不是吹大泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> \"I like bad news,\" she said.</p><p><blockquote>“我喜欢坏消息，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> \"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>伍德说：“当我看到这种负面情绪时，尤其是在估值和更长的时间范围、投资时间范围方面，我实际上感觉更舒服一些。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nArk's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 08:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wood says she's emboldened by bad news</p><p><blockquote>伍德说她被坏消息鼓舞了</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1e646cb0a6ddf4ac942ed5c913a4e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Cathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Cathie Wood，方舟投资管理公司首席执行官兼首席投资官</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 index trading near record heights.</p><p><blockquote>尽管道琼斯工业平均指数（Dow Jones Industrial Average）和标普500指数（Bank of America Index）接近历史新高，但在最近的交易中，人们越来越感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> However, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Ark Investment Management经营一系列受欢迎的ETF的明星投资者凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，没有理由担心市场变得过于泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> As the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .</p><p><blockquote>正如方舟创始人在周四中午接受CNBC采访时所说：“我不认为我们处于泡沫之中，我认为许多空头认为我们处于泡沫之中。”</blockquote></p><p> Her comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.</p><p><blockquote>她发表此番言论之际，人们越来越担心随着COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株势头增强，经济增长可能放缓，这给从席卷全球一年多的大流行中全面复苏带来了阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着焦虑情绪的加剧，投资者也一直在担心美联储缩减宽松货币政策的前景，特别是每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.</p><p><blockquote>伍德的投资基金，以旗舰Ark Innovation为重点，已<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>该区域被认为可能被高估，如果市场开始从当前水平大幅萎缩，则容易大幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Ark Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，Ark Innovation ETF本周迄今已下跌5.2%，今年迄今已下跌8.6%，表现严重逊于大盘，此前该基金的一年回报率达到149%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cca916bae90134d64f9ba249031e782\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&amp;P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数本周下跌1.8%，但今年上涨14%，而科技含量较高的纳斯达克综合指数本周下跌1.9%，但2021年迄今已上涨超过12.8%，大盘标普500指数本周迄今下跌1.4%，但2021年上涨近17.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.</p><p><blockquote>然而，伍德对市场的看法是，与20世纪90年代末和21世纪初互联网繁荣时期特有的兴奋相比，投资者的行为更加冷静和谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在泡沫中……我记得90年代末……我们的战略会受到欢呼，”她告诉商业网。她在“Tech Check”节目中表示：“你还记得分析师的预测一个比另一个高，价格目标一个比另一个高。”</blockquote></p><p> She also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>她还指出，市场的负面情绪是一个禁忌症，这表明日益增长的悲观情绪实际上可能会推动进一步上涨，而不是吹大泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> \"I like bad news,\" she said.</p><p><blockquote>“我喜欢坏消息，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> \"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>伍德说：“当我看到这种负面情绪时，尤其是在估值和更长的时间范围、投资时间范围方面，我实际上感觉更舒服一些。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/arks-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-couldnt-be-further-away-from-a-bubble-heres-why-11629393761?adobe_mc=MCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1629420103\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/arks-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-couldnt-be-further-away-from-a-bubble-heres-why-11629393761?adobe_mc=MCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1629420103","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160848793","content_text":"Wood says she's emboldened by bad news\nCathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management\nThere'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index trading near record heights.\nHowever, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.\nAs the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .\nHer comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.\nInvestors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.\nWood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been one area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.\nArk Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.\n\nBy comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.\nWood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.\n\"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"\nShe also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.\n\"I like bad news,\" she said.\n\"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"ARKIU":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831430751,"gmtCreate":1629339312573,"gmtModify":1631888314703,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip!!! Stonks only go up","listText":"Buy the dip!!! Stonks only go up","text":"Buy the dip!!! Stonks only go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831430751","repostId":"1173912409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173912409","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629328047,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173912409?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-19 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173912409","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.\nTh","content":"<p>Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储7月会议纪要公布后，周三股市遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌383点，跌幅1.1%，标普500下跌1.1%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%。三者收盘均接近当日低点。</blockquote></p><p> Fed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that&nbsp;taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，美联储理事一直在暗示央行债券购买即将结束，会议纪要证实了缩减购债规模。会议纪要中写道：“大多数与会者指出……今年开始放慢资产购买步伐可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p> The assessment comes as&nbsp;the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.</p><p><blockquote>这一评估是在经济迅速复苏之际做出的，反映出美联储现在关注的是何时以及以多快的速度取消对经济的支持。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff was broad. About 83% of S&amp;P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.</p><p><blockquote>抛售是广泛的。FactSet的数据显示，当天约83%的标普500股票下跌。这种动态通常反映了人们对如果没有美联储的支持，市场将如何表现的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.</p><p><blockquote>现在，只是何时开始缩减规模的问题。Aptus Capital Advisors的投资组合经理兼分析师戴夫·瓦格纳(Dave Wagner)表示，“将是9月或12月”。“在我看来，每个人都在关注杰克逊霍尔，”他继续说道，指的是本月晚些时候在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长秘密会议。</blockquote></p><p> Strangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是，债券市场并没有做出太大反应，10年期国债收益率收于1.27%，全天大部分时间都在该水平徘徊。当市场参与者看到美联储更快加息时，2年期国债收益率通常会走高，收于0.21%，低于上午触及的0.22%。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.</p><p><blockquote>布朗咨询公司固定收益主管汤姆·格拉夫表示：“我认为我们没有学到任何新东西。”格拉夫补充说，2022年或2023年短期加息的共识没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> A weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s&nbsp;(ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after&nbsp;reporting a profit&nbsp;of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX&nbsp;(TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting&nbsp;a profit&nbsp;of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，疲软的市场并不能让一些股票下跌。对于一些人来说，这与盈利有关。Lowe's（股票代码：LOW）公布每股利润4.25美元，超出预期每股4.01美元，销售额276亿美元，高于预期269亿美元，股价上涨9.6%。TJX(TJX)股价上涨6%，公布每股利润64美分，超出预期每股59美分，销售额121亿美元，高于预期110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Others were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.</p><p><blockquote>其他人则受到分析师升级的提振，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司(VIAC)股票在富国银行(Wells Fargo)将评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”后上涨3.7%；黑莓(BB)股票在Canaccord Genuity将评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”后上涨4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company&nbsp;MedMen Enterprises.&nbsp;The notes would convert into an equity stake if&nbsp;cannabis is legalized in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Tilray（TLRY）股价上涨1.1%，此前该公司购买了大麻公司MedMen Enterprises的高级担保可转换票据。如果大麻在美国合法化，这些票据将转换为股权。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减购债计划是严肃的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-19 07:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储7月会议纪要公布后，周三股市遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌383点，跌幅1.1%，标普500下跌1.1%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%。三者收盘均接近当日低点。</blockquote></p><p> Fed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that&nbsp;taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，美联储理事一直在暗示央行债券购买即将结束，会议纪要证实了缩减购债规模。会议纪要中写道：“大多数与会者指出……今年开始放慢资产购买步伐可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p> The assessment comes as&nbsp;the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.</p><p><blockquote>这一评估是在经济迅速复苏之际做出的，反映出美联储现在关注的是何时以及以多快的速度取消对经济的支持。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff was broad. About 83% of S&amp;P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.</p><p><blockquote>抛售是广泛的。FactSet的数据显示，当天约83%的标普500股票下跌。这种动态通常反映了人们对如果没有美联储的支持，市场将如何表现的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.</p><p><blockquote>现在，只是何时开始缩减规模的问题。Aptus Capital Advisors的投资组合经理兼分析师戴夫·瓦格纳(Dave Wagner)表示，“将是9月或12月”。“在我看来，每个人都在关注杰克逊霍尔，”他继续说道，指的是本月晚些时候在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长秘密会议。</blockquote></p><p> Strangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是，债券市场并没有做出太大反应，10年期国债收益率收于1.27%，全天大部分时间都在该水平徘徊。当市场参与者看到美联储更快加息时，2年期国债收益率通常会走高，收于0.21%，低于上午触及的0.22%。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.</p><p><blockquote>布朗咨询公司固定收益主管汤姆·格拉夫表示：“我认为我们没有学到任何新东西。”格拉夫补充说，2022年或2023年短期加息的共识没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> A weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s&nbsp;(ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after&nbsp;reporting a profit&nbsp;of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX&nbsp;(TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting&nbsp;a profit&nbsp;of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，疲软的市场并不能让一些股票下跌。对于一些人来说，这与盈利有关。Lowe's（股票代码：LOW）公布每股利润4.25美元，超出预期每股4.01美元，销售额276亿美元，高于预期269亿美元，股价上涨9.6%。TJX(TJX)股价上涨6%，公布每股利润64美分，超出预期每股59美分，销售额121亿美元，高于预期110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Others were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.</p><p><blockquote>其他人则受到分析师升级的提振，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司(VIAC)股票在富国银行(Wells Fargo)将评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”后上涨3.7%；黑莓(BB)股票在Canaccord Genuity将评级从“卖出”上调至“持有”后上涨4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company&nbsp;MedMen Enterprises.&nbsp;The notes would convert into an equity stake if&nbsp;cannabis is legalized in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Tilray（TLRY）股价上涨1.1%，此前该公司购买了大麻公司MedMen Enterprises的高级担保可转换票据。如果大麻在美国合法化，这些票据将转换为股权。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51629283162?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TJX":"The TJX Companies Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","LOW":"劳氏","BB":"黑莓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51629283162?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173912409","content_text":"Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.\nFed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.\nThe assessment comes as the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.\nThe selloff was broad. About 83% of S&P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.\nNow, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.\nStrangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.\n“I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.\nA weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s (ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after reporting a profit of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX (TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting a profit of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.\nOthers were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.\nTilray (TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company MedMen Enterprises. The notes would convert into an equity stake if cannabis is legalized in the U.S.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BB":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"TJX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"LOW":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833530698,"gmtCreate":1629248855114,"gmtModify":1631888314742,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip, driving my tesla to moon in years to come! Pls like my post! Thanks","listText":"Buy the dip, driving my tesla to moon in years to come! Pls like my post! Thanks","text":"Buy the dip, driving my tesla to moon in years to come! Pls like my post! Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833530698","repostId":"1189114396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189114396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629247487,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189114396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 08:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Sells off While Institutions Continue to Buy.<blockquote>特斯拉股票遭到抛售，而机构继续买入。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189114396","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Tesla stock has tumbled almost 10% off recent highs but institutions are continuing to buy.\nIn a mar","content":"<p>Tesla stock has tumbled almost 10% off recent highs but institutions are continuing to buy.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价较近期高点下跌近10%，但机构仍在继续买入。</blockquote></p><p> In a market filled with&nbsp;liquidity, the \"buy the dip mentality\" continues to persist. This appears to be true with Tesla stock and institutions.</p><p><blockquote>在流动性充盈的市场中，“逢低买入心态”继续坚持。特斯拉股票和机构似乎也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Demand for Shares Increases in Q3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三季度股票需求增加</b></blockquote></p><p> Q3 has been on pace to be the first quarter since Q4 2020 to have an overall&nbsp;net inflow&nbsp;of Tesla stock into institutions—those with at least $100 million under management. Currently, there is a net inflow of $7 billion of Tesla stock into institutions. 13F filings were due August 15th to show any quarter-over-quarter changes in Q2, however, institutions can continue to update positions throughout the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度有望成为自2020年第四季度以来特斯拉股票整体净流入机构（管理规模至少为1亿美元的机构）的第一个季度。目前，有70亿美元的特斯拉股票净流入机构。13F文件将于8月15日提交，以显示第二季度的任何环比变化，但是，机构可以在整个第三季度继续更新头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373bcfeda661a3fdddb1ad430c075270\" tg-width=\"683\" tg-height=\"604\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>via: marketbeat.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过：marketbeat.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of those \"buying the dip\" the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, increased their position&nbsp;617% quarter-over-quarter&nbsp;for a total of&nbsp;330,196 shares. While this accounts for a small position in the&nbsp;under management&nbsp;for CPPIB, others have made Tesla a larger portion of their portfolio. Australia-based Hyperion Asset Management has also increased its Tesla stock position by over 20%. As a result of the additional shares, Tesla stock is now over 15% of Hyperions portfolio demonstrating more conviction than Cathie Wood'sARKKwith a ~10% allocation to Tesla stock.</p><p><blockquote>在那些“逢低买入”的人中，加拿大养老金计划投资委员会的持仓量环比增加了617%，总计330,196股。虽然这只占CPPIB管理的一小部分，但其他人已将特斯拉纳入其投资组合的更大一部分。总部位于澳洲的Hyperion Asset Management也将其特斯拉股票头寸增加了20%以上。由于增发股票，特斯拉股票目前占Hyperions投资组合的15%以上，比Cathie Wood的ARKK更有信心，ARKK约10%分配给特斯拉股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Notable Bear</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一只著名的熊</b></blockquote></p><p> While not a direct seller of shares, Dr. Michael Burry—famed for hisshortposition against subprime mortgage bonds—has announced in Scion Asset Management's&nbsp;13F&nbsp;the purchase of additional Put Options against Tesla. Scion Asset management has held a bearish Put Option against Tesla since Q1 2021. The aforementioned Put Options&nbsp;— representing 35% of Scion's portfolio and a current market value of ~$731 million—&nbsp;are Scion's largest positions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不是股票的直接卖家，但以做空次级抵押贷款债券而闻名的Michael Burry博士在Scion Asset Management的13 F中宣布购买额外的特斯拉看跌期权。自2021年第一季度以来，Scion Asset management一直持有针对特斯拉的看跌看跌期权。上述看跌期权占Scion投资组合的35%，目前市值约为7.31亿美元，是Scion最大的头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Sells off While Institutions Continue to Buy.<blockquote>特斯拉股票遭到抛售，而机构继续买入。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Sells off While Institutions Continue to Buy.<blockquote>特斯拉股票遭到抛售，而机构继续买入。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 08:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla stock has tumbled almost 10% off recent highs but institutions are continuing to buy.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价较近期高点下跌近10%，但机构仍在继续买入。</blockquote></p><p> In a market filled with&nbsp;liquidity, the \"buy the dip mentality\" continues to persist. This appears to be true with Tesla stock and institutions.</p><p><blockquote>在流动性充盈的市场中，“逢低买入心态”继续坚持。特斯拉股票和机构似乎也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Demand for Shares Increases in Q3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三季度股票需求增加</b></blockquote></p><p> Q3 has been on pace to be the first quarter since Q4 2020 to have an overall&nbsp;net inflow&nbsp;of Tesla stock into institutions—those with at least $100 million under management. Currently, there is a net inflow of $7 billion of Tesla stock into institutions. 13F filings were due August 15th to show any quarter-over-quarter changes in Q2, however, institutions can continue to update positions throughout the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度有望成为自2020年第四季度以来特斯拉股票整体净流入机构（管理规模至少为1亿美元的机构）的第一个季度。目前，有70亿美元的特斯拉股票净流入机构。13F文件将于8月15日提交，以显示第二季度的任何环比变化，但是，机构可以在整个第三季度继续更新头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373bcfeda661a3fdddb1ad430c075270\" tg-width=\"683\" tg-height=\"604\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>via: marketbeat.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过：marketbeat.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of those \"buying the dip\" the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, increased their position&nbsp;617% quarter-over-quarter&nbsp;for a total of&nbsp;330,196 shares. While this accounts for a small position in the&nbsp;under management&nbsp;for CPPIB, others have made Tesla a larger portion of their portfolio. Australia-based Hyperion Asset Management has also increased its Tesla stock position by over 20%. As a result of the additional shares, Tesla stock is now over 15% of Hyperions portfolio demonstrating more conviction than Cathie Wood'sARKKwith a ~10% allocation to Tesla stock.</p><p><blockquote>在那些“逢低买入”的人中，加拿大养老金计划投资委员会的持仓量环比增加了617%，总计330,196股。虽然这只占CPPIB管理的一小部分，但其他人已将特斯拉纳入其投资组合的更大一部分。总部位于澳洲的Hyperion Asset Management也将其特斯拉股票头寸增加了20%以上。由于增发股票，特斯拉股票目前占Hyperions投资组合的15%以上，比Cathie Wood的ARKK更有信心，ARKK约10%分配给特斯拉股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Notable Bear</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一只著名的熊</b></blockquote></p><p> While not a direct seller of shares, Dr. Michael Burry—famed for hisshortposition against subprime mortgage bonds—has announced in Scion Asset Management's&nbsp;13F&nbsp;the purchase of additional Put Options against Tesla. Scion Asset management has held a bearish Put Option against Tesla since Q1 2021. The aforementioned Put Options&nbsp;— representing 35% of Scion's portfolio and a current market value of ~$731 million—&nbsp;are Scion's largest positions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不是股票的直接卖家，但以做空次级抵押贷款债券而闻名的Michael Burry博士在Scion Asset Management的13 F中宣布购买额外的特斯拉看跌期权。自2021年第一季度以来，Scion Asset management一直持有针对特斯拉的看跌看跌期权。上述看跌期权占Scion投资组合的35%，目前市值约为7.31亿美元，是Scion最大的头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/tesla/news/institutions-continue-to-buy-q3\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/tesla/news/institutions-continue-to-buy-q3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189114396","content_text":"Tesla stock has tumbled almost 10% off recent highs but institutions are continuing to buy.\nIn a market filled with liquidity, the \"buy the dip mentality\" continues to persist. This appears to be true with Tesla stock and institutions.\nDemand for Shares Increases in Q3\nQ3 has been on pace to be the first quarter since Q4 2020 to have an overall net inflow of Tesla stock into institutions—those with at least $100 million under management. Currently, there is a net inflow of $7 billion of Tesla stock into institutions. 13F filings were due August 15th to show any quarter-over-quarter changes in Q2, however, institutions can continue to update positions throughout the third quarter.\nvia: marketbeat.com\nOf those \"buying the dip\" the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, increased their position 617% quarter-over-quarter for a total of 330,196 shares. While this accounts for a small position in the under management for CPPIB, others have made Tesla a larger portion of their portfolio. Australia-based Hyperion Asset Management has also increased its Tesla stock position by over 20%. As a result of the additional shares, Tesla stock is now over 15% of Hyperions portfolio demonstrating more conviction than Cathie Wood'sARKKwith a ~10% allocation to Tesla stock.\nA Notable Bear\nWhile not a direct seller of shares, Dr. Michael Burry—famed for hisshortposition against subprime mortgage bonds—has announced in Scion Asset Management's 13F the purchase of additional Put Options against Tesla. Scion Asset management has held a bearish Put Option against Tesla since Q1 2021. The aforementioned Put Options — representing 35% of Scion's portfolio and a current market value of ~$731 million— are Scion's largest positions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830256068,"gmtCreate":1629077363054,"gmtModify":1631888314616,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like my comment. Thanks!","listText":"Pls like my comment. Thanks!","text":"Pls like my comment. Thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830256068","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897198679,"gmtCreate":1628897891791,"gmtModify":1631889148292,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A whole world (to 🌒) with Disney! Pls like. Thanks","listText":"A whole world (to 🌒) with Disney! Pls like. Thanks","text":"A whole world (to 🌒) with Disney! Pls like. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897198679","repostId":"2159215280","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894694071,"gmtCreate":1628820180993,"gmtModify":1631889148295,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We are Venom","listText":"We are Venom","text":"We are Venom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894694071","repostId":"1106453071","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106453071","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628819127,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106453071?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-13 09:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sony delays release of ‘Venom’ sequel amid delta surge<blockquote>由于达美航空激增，索尼推迟了《毒液》续集的发布</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106453071","media":"Market Watch","summary":"3-week delay suggests studio believes current surge will be brief.\nNEW YORK — In the biggest sign ye","content":"<p><i>3-week delay suggests studio believes current surge will be brief.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>3周的延迟表明工作室认为当前的激增将是短暂的。</i></blockquote></p><p> NEW YORK — In the biggest sign yet that Hollywood’s fall plans are being altered by the coronavirus surge driven by the delta variant, Sony Pictures on Thursday delayed the release of the big-budget sequel “Venom: Let There Be Carnage.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约——周四，索尼影业推迟了大预算续集《毒液：让大屠杀》的上映，这是迄今为止好莱坞秋季计划因德尔塔变异毒株引发的冠状病毒激增而改变的最大迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Instead of opening in theaters Sept. 24, the “Venom” sequel will now debut Oct. 15. The film, starring Tom Hardy, had already been delayed numerous times during earlier stages of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>《毒液》续集将于10月15日上映，而不是9月24日在影院上映。这部由汤姆·哈迪主演的电影在疫情的早期阶段已经被推迟了无数次。</blockquote></p><p> But after constant turmoil, the fall movie calendar has stayed relatively calm until recently. Last week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">Viacom CBS</a> Paramount Pictures postponed the release of “Clifford the Big Red Dog,” citing the delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>但在经历了不断的动荡之后，秋季电影日历直到最近都保持着相对平静。上周，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">维亚康姆CBS</a>派拉蒙影业以德尔塔变异毒株为由推迟了《大红狗克利福德》的上映。</blockquote></p><p> What “Venom” and “Clifford” have in common is that they’re planned as theater-only releases. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">Sony</a> doesn’t have a major streaming platform the way <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. do. Those studios have been relaying partly on subscription boosts or digital rentals to offset lost box office. The original “Venom” earned $856 million globally in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>《毒液》和《克利福德》的共同点是它们都计划在影院上映。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">索尼</a>没有主要的流媒体平台<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T公司</a>华纳兄弟公司的。这些电影公司一直部分依靠订阅增长或数字租赁来抵消票房损失。原版《毒液》2018年全球票房8.56亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> After ramping-up ticket sales, the box office has turned south in recent weeks. After Disney’s “Jungle Cruise” underperformed in late July, Warner Bros.’ “The Suicide Squad”&nbsp;opened with an underwhelming $26.2 million last weekend. Analysts have said the delta variant is keeping many moviegoers home.</p><p><blockquote>在票房大幅增长后，最近几周票房出现了下滑。继迪士尼的《丛林巡游》在7月下旬表现不佳之后，华纳兄弟的《X特遣队》上周末首映票房仅为2620万美元。分析人士表示，德尔塔变异毒株让许多电影观众呆在家里。</blockquote></p><p> But the “Venom” delay — relatively short compared to the postponements of last year — also suggests the film industry is banking on the current surge fading quickly. This weekend, Disney will release the 20th Century Fox production “Free Guy,” with Ryan Reynolds, only in theaters.</p><p><blockquote>但“毒液”的推迟——与去年的推迟相比相对较短——也表明电影业正指望当前的激增迅速消退。本周末，迪士尼将在影院上映20世纪福克斯制作的《自由人》，由瑞安·雷诺兹主演。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sony delays release of ‘Venom’ sequel amid delta surge<blockquote>由于达美航空激增，索尼推迟了《毒液》续集的发布</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSony delays release of ‘Venom’ sequel amid delta surge<blockquote>由于达美航空激增，索尼推迟了《毒液》续集的发布</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-13 09:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>3-week delay suggests studio believes current surge will be brief.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>3周的延迟表明工作室认为当前的激增将是短暂的。</i></blockquote></p><p> NEW YORK — In the biggest sign yet that Hollywood’s fall plans are being altered by the coronavirus surge driven by the delta variant, Sony Pictures on Thursday delayed the release of the big-budget sequel “Venom: Let There Be Carnage.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约——周四，索尼影业推迟了大预算续集《毒液：让大屠杀》的上映，这是迄今为止好莱坞秋季计划因德尔塔变异毒株引发的冠状病毒激增而改变的最大迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Instead of opening in theaters Sept. 24, the “Venom” sequel will now debut Oct. 15. The film, starring Tom Hardy, had already been delayed numerous times during earlier stages of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>《毒液》续集将于10月15日上映，而不是9月24日在影院上映。这部由汤姆·哈迪主演的电影在疫情的早期阶段已经被推迟了无数次。</blockquote></p><p> But after constant turmoil, the fall movie calendar has stayed relatively calm until recently. Last week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">Viacom CBS</a> Paramount Pictures postponed the release of “Clifford the Big Red Dog,” citing the delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>但在经历了不断的动荡之后，秋季电影日历直到最近都保持着相对平静。上周，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">维亚康姆CBS</a>派拉蒙影业以德尔塔变异毒株为由推迟了《大红狗克利福德》的上映。</blockquote></p><p> What “Venom” and “Clifford” have in common is that they’re planned as theater-only releases. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">Sony</a> doesn’t have a major streaming platform the way <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a>&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. do. Those studios have been relaying partly on subscription boosts or digital rentals to offset lost box office. The original “Venom” earned $856 million globally in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>《毒液》和《克利福德》的共同点是它们都计划在影院上映。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">索尼</a>没有主要的流媒体平台<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T公司</a>华纳兄弟公司的。这些电影公司一直部分依靠订阅增长或数字租赁来抵消票房损失。原版《毒液》2018年全球票房8.56亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> After ramping-up ticket sales, the box office has turned south in recent weeks. After Disney’s “Jungle Cruise” underperformed in late July, Warner Bros.’ “The Suicide Squad”&nbsp;opened with an underwhelming $26.2 million last weekend. Analysts have said the delta variant is keeping many moviegoers home.</p><p><blockquote>在票房大幅增长后，最近几周票房出现了下滑。继迪士尼的《丛林巡游》在7月下旬表现不佳之后，华纳兄弟的《X特遣队》上周末首映票房仅为2620万美元。分析人士表示，德尔塔变异毒株让许多电影观众呆在家里。</blockquote></p><p> But the “Venom” delay — relatively short compared to the postponements of last year — also suggests the film industry is banking on the current surge fading quickly. This weekend, Disney will release the 20th Century Fox production “Free Guy,” with Ryan Reynolds, only in theaters.</p><p><blockquote>但“毒液”的推迟——与去年的推迟相比相对较短——也表明电影业正指望当前的激增迅速消退。本周末，迪士尼将在影院上映20世纪福克斯制作的《自由人》，由瑞安·雷诺兹主演。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/sony-delays-release-of-venom-sequel-amid-delta-surge-01628800740?mod=home-page\">Market Watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SONY":"索尼"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/sony-delays-release-of-venom-sequel-amid-delta-surge-01628800740?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106453071","content_text":"3-week delay suggests studio believes current surge will be brief.\nNEW YORK — In the biggest sign yet that Hollywood’s fall plans are being altered by the coronavirus surge driven by the delta variant, Sony Pictures on Thursday delayed the release of the big-budget sequel “Venom: Let There Be Carnage.”\nInstead of opening in theaters Sept. 24, the “Venom” sequel will now debut Oct. 15. The film, starring Tom Hardy, had already been delayed numerous times during earlier stages of the pandemic.\nBut after constant turmoil, the fall movie calendar has stayed relatively calm until recently. Last week, Viacom CBS Paramount Pictures postponed the release of “Clifford the Big Red Dog,” citing the delta variant.\nWhat “Venom” and “Clifford” have in common is that they’re planned as theater-only releases. Sony doesn’t have a major streaming platform the way Walt Disney and AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. do. Those studios have been relaying partly on subscription boosts or digital rentals to offset lost box office. The original “Venom” earned $856 million globally in 2018.\nAfter ramping-up ticket sales, the box office has turned south in recent weeks. After Disney’s “Jungle Cruise” underperformed in late July, Warner Bros.’ “The Suicide Squad” opened with an underwhelming $26.2 million last weekend. Analysts have said the delta variant is keeping many moviegoers home.\nBut the “Venom” delay — relatively short compared to the postponements of last year — also suggests the film industry is banking on the current surge fading quickly. This weekend, Disney will release the 20th Century Fox production “Free Guy,” with Ryan Reynolds, only in theaters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SONY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894695915,"gmtCreate":1628820147237,"gmtModify":1631888314568,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy when fear! Pls like my post.thank!!","listText":"Buy when fear! Pls like my post.thank!!","text":"Buy when fear! Pls like my post.thank!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894695915","repostId":"2158225219","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895143804,"gmtCreate":1628730527008,"gmtModify":1631888314757,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In uncle Biden i trust!!! Pls like. Thanks","listText":"In uncle Biden i trust!!! Pls like. Thanks","text":"In uncle Biden i trust!!! Pls like. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895143804","repostId":"2158192233","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892887159,"gmtCreate":1628648325771,"gmtModify":1631888314577,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amc to the moon pls like my post","listText":"Amc to the moon pls like my post","text":"Amc to the moon pls like my post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892887159","repostId":"1110343727","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892884129,"gmtCreate":1628648305061,"gmtModify":1631884790530,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Disney is stock for life!! Pls like my post thanks!!","listText":"Disney is stock for life!! Pls like my post thanks!!","text":"Disney is stock for life!! Pls like my post thanks!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892884129","repostId":"2158343470","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896150547,"gmtCreate":1628563123289,"gmtModify":1631888314539,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news! Pls like my comment Thanks!","listText":"Great news! Pls like my comment Thanks!","text":"Great news! Pls like my comment Thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896150547","repostId":"1196813173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891730697,"gmtCreate":1628425289719,"gmtModify":1631884870461,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good company Xiaomi. Asia pride!","listText":"Good company Xiaomi. Asia pride!","text":"Good company Xiaomi. Asia pride!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891730697","repostId":"2157549076","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2157549076","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628410500,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2157549076?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 16:15","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"小米：难以坐稳的世界第一","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2157549076","media":"创业邦","summary":"三星和苹果分别以15.7%和14.3%的市场份额屈居第二和第三位。就在前不久，小米也拿下了欧洲市场占比第一和全球销量第二的好成绩，恐怖的增长速度不但超越了苹果，甚至可能会影响到常年稳坐第一的三星。没那么简单在天时地利人和的市场，小米已经成为了一匹最大的黑马，去年成为世界第三，今年第二季度跻身世界第二，6月直接登顶全球第一，小米超越的不仅仅是三星，苹果，还有自己。","content":"<html><body><article><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210808161605639v201zxsih3i9ihh\"/><p>编者按：本文来源创业邦专栏雷科技，创业邦经授权转载，图源：摄图网。</p><p>2014年，在世界互联网大会“中外互联网领袖高峰对话”上，主持人向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司高级副总裁兼总法律顾问布鲁斯塞维尔发起提问：“在19日的会议上，小米科技创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军讲道‘5至10年后，小米会成世界第一的手机公司’，您是否感到危机？”布鲁斯答道：“说总比做容易多了。”而当时的雷军这样回答：“万一实现了呢？”</p><p>有意思的是，在2021年6月份，小米真的做到了，根据权威机构Counterpoint Research发布最新数据显示，6月份小米销量全球占比为17.1%，超越<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>和苹果，首次成为全球第一。三星和苹果分别以15.7%和14.3%的市场份额屈居第二和第三位。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210808161606805v201ibq1rmy0sg0\"/><p><strong>就在前不久，小米也拿下了欧洲市场占比第一和全球销量第二的好成绩，恐怖的增长速度不但超越了苹果，甚至可能会影响到常年稳坐第一的三星。</strong>可能有些读者会好奇，小米到底做了什么，能够在今年迎来销量大爆发？<strong>小米的成功，离不开三年布局</strong></p><p>不难发现，小米能够拿下全球第一的成绩很大一部分来自于欧洲市场的助力，当然这也源自于小米多年来在欧洲的布局。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210808161617826v201m5bqaddlevr\"/><p>2018年，小米正式进军欧洲市场，用性价比三个字在一年内跃居市场前五，但想凭此拿下市场第一的话还是欠了点火候。<strong>于是小米开始参考三星的策略，也就是通过机海战术：如果这款手机卖不动了，就马上上线新机，并借此迅速覆盖多个价位段市场，在提升销量的同时树立起自己的品牌价值。</strong></p><p><strong>当然，光凭一个机海战术最多让欧洲的消费者意识到有小米这么一个品牌，想要真正提升销量，最直接的办法还是大力发展销售渠道。</strong></p><p>互联网出身的小米，显然深知这一点，2018年刚进军欧洲市场时，小米就与李嘉诚旗下的香港长江和记集团进行了合作，在17700家门店销售小米设备，最初将在奥地利、丹麦、香港、爱尔兰、意大利、瑞典和英国的3集团的店铺，以及分别在香港、爱尔兰、英国和荷兰的丰泽、Superdrug和Kruidvat店铺推出。</p><p>为进一步巩固自己在线下的地位，小米又与欧洲本地的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOD\">沃达丰</a>等本地运营商达成深度合作，要知道海外市场的核心<span>出货</span>渠道就是运营商。</p><p>最后，小米也没有忘记电商这个渠道，截至2020年11月24日，除开印度的海外市场，小米在线上的出货量超过了1000万台，并且随着海外市场的不断恶化，电商渠道将越来越受到重视。</p><p>以上，小米在线下零售、运营商和电商三大市场形成全面覆盖之势，形成三位一体的完整销售渠道。再加上前文提到的机海战术，迅速拓展市场，让其他手机厂商们都没有反应的时间。</p><p><strong>虽然从数据报告来看，小米已经以17.1%的市场份额将苹果三星甩在身后，但这个成绩能否继续保持下去，还有不少难点。</strong><strong>三星苹果放缓，小米持续上升</strong></p><p><strong>除开小米自己进步神速的因素外，三星苹果等大牌厂商也为小米登顶起到铺垫作用。</strong></p><p>首先小米通过机海战术的策略，弥补了三星和苹果在某些价位段的空白，比如Redmi Note 10系列、Redmi 9系列这类产品在海外市场完全没有竞争对手，同时也更加符合当地的主流消费观念，其销量普遍都在千万级别以上。Redmi Note系列累计销量突破了2亿台，直接成为小米在海外的一张名片。</p><p>然后由于某些众所周知的原因，导致手机芯片短缺，三星越南工厂的产能也迅速下滑，不得不大幅减少出货量。并且这一情况可能还会影响到三星在第三季度的成绩，因此目前的三星看着迅速崛起的小米，也是有心无力。</p><p>至于苹果，由于它的发力点十分依赖新机发布，上半年又没有推出新产品，因此在小雷看来，就算苹果能够准时在9月推出iPhone 13系列，也很难在第三季度反超小米。而第四季度将会是苹果的爆发期，届时小米能否保住全球第一或第二的位置，还得看小米自己的发展。</p><p>从目前的市场来看，不出意外的话，小米这个全球第一的位置应该还能多坐一两个月，毕竟在去年小米就开始疯狂囤货，好让自己不会出现无“芯”可用的尴尬局面。<strong>再加上欧洲市场的份额不断升高，这场没有硝烟的战争小米想输都难。</strong><strong>想稳坐第一？没那么简单</strong></p><p>在天时地利人和的市场，小米已经成为了一匹最大的黑马，去年成为世界第三，今年第二季度跻身世界第二，6月直接登顶全球第一，小米超越的不仅仅是三星，苹果，还有自己。</p><p>不过小米的问题依旧存在，虽然能够在中低端市场叱咤风云，但在高端市场，小米仍未溅起多大的水花，想要坐稳第一，高端产品必不可少。目前来看，小米11 Ultra以及小米FOLD折叠屏已经具备一定的高端旗舰产品竞争力了。<strong>但是还远远不够，小米还需要不断提升自研实力。</strong></p><p>并且在核心技术方面也需要提升，虽说之前用在MIX Fold上的那枚澎湃ISP芯片并不像麒麟芯片一样强大，但这也算是小米开启自研之路的一个信号。</p><p>据市场消息，2019年小米曾投入70亿元人民币搞研发，但这与三星、苹果动辄上百亿美元的“大手笔”比起来，多少有些杯水车薪。如果小米真想打破网友眼中“组装厂”的印象，就要花更多的人力和财力在自研的道路上不断前行。</p><p><strong>未来的发展依靠的是技术以及核心竞争力，如果没有这些，小米可能也就停在这里就开始往下降了。</strong></p><p>最后还是那句话，小米在品牌营销方面真的该丢掉以前那套接地气的宣传方式了，只有让营销高端化、产品化，才能让消费者意识到小米已经不再是那个兜里只有性价比三个字的小米，自然也不会对小米的高端产品报多少信心。<strong>结语：</strong></p><p>其实小米的对手不只是三星苹果，比如OPPO以及它的子品牌realme近两年也在急速增长，在2021年第二季度OPPO和realme在欧洲市场出货量分别达到280万台、190万台，市场份额增长5.6%和3.8%，两者合计出货量达到了9.4%，虽然不高，但这两家企业的起步时间要比小米晚很多。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210808161618781v201os22iwbpfah\"/><p>这意味未来的欧洲乃至整个世界的手机市场，依然会是中国手机厂商之间的战争。</p><p>本文为专栏作者授权创业邦发表，版权归原作者所有。文章系作者个人观点，不代表创业邦立场，转载请联系原作者。如有任何疑问，请联系editor@cyzone.cn。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米：难以坐稳的世界第一\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-08 16:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202108081616207c2b18e7&s=b><strong>创业邦</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>编者按：本文来源创业邦专栏雷科技，创业邦经授权转载，图源：摄图网。2014年，在世界互联网大会“中外互联网领袖高峰对话”上，主持人向苹果公司高级副总裁兼总法律顾问布鲁斯塞维尔发起提问：“在19日的会议上，小米科技创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军讲道‘5至10年后，小米会成世界第一的手机公司’，您是否感到危机？”布鲁斯答道：“说总比做容易多了。”而当时的雷军这样回答：“万一实现了呢？”有意思的是，在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202108081616207c2b18e7&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb44f0df3fb7312ee913474e800cc495","relate_stocks":{"01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202108081616207c2b18e7&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2157549076","content_text":"编者按：本文来源创业邦专栏雷科技，创业邦经授权转载，图源：摄图网。2014年，在世界互联网大会“中外互联网领袖高峰对话”上，主持人向苹果公司高级副总裁兼总法律顾问布鲁斯塞维尔发起提问：“在19日的会议上，小米科技创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军讲道‘5至10年后，小米会成世界第一的手机公司’，您是否感到危机？”布鲁斯答道：“说总比做容易多了。”而当时的雷军这样回答：“万一实现了呢？”有意思的是，在2021年6月份，小米真的做到了，根据权威机构Counterpoint Research发布最新数据显示，6月份小米销量全球占比为17.1%，超越三星和苹果，首次成为全球第一。三星和苹果分别以15.7%和14.3%的市场份额屈居第二和第三位。就在前不久，小米也拿下了欧洲市场占比第一和全球销量第二的好成绩，恐怖的增长速度不但超越了苹果，甚至可能会影响到常年稳坐第一的三星。可能有些读者会好奇，小米到底做了什么，能够在今年迎来销量大爆发？小米的成功，离不开三年布局不难发现，小米能够拿下全球第一的成绩很大一部分来自于欧洲市场的助力，当然这也源自于小米多年来在欧洲的布局。2018年，小米正式进军欧洲市场，用性价比三个字在一年内跃居市场前五，但想凭此拿下市场第一的话还是欠了点火候。于是小米开始参考三星的策略，也就是通过机海战术：如果这款手机卖不动了，就马上上线新机，并借此迅速覆盖多个价位段市场，在提升销量的同时树立起自己的品牌价值。当然，光凭一个机海战术最多让欧洲的消费者意识到有小米这么一个品牌，想要真正提升销量，最直接的办法还是大力发展销售渠道。互联网出身的小米，显然深知这一点，2018年刚进军欧洲市场时，小米就与李嘉诚旗下的香港长江和记集团进行了合作，在17700家门店销售小米设备，最初将在奥地利、丹麦、香港、爱尔兰、意大利、瑞典和英国的3集团的店铺，以及分别在香港、爱尔兰、英国和荷兰的丰泽、Superdrug和Kruidvat店铺推出。为进一步巩固自己在线下的地位，小米又与欧洲本地的沃达丰等本地运营商达成深度合作，要知道海外市场的核心出货渠道就是运营商。最后，小米也没有忘记电商这个渠道，截至2020年11月24日，除开印度的海外市场，小米在线上的出货量超过了1000万台，并且随着海外市场的不断恶化，电商渠道将越来越受到重视。以上，小米在线下零售、运营商和电商三大市场形成全面覆盖之势，形成三位一体的完整销售渠道。再加上前文提到的机海战术，迅速拓展市场，让其他手机厂商们都没有反应的时间。虽然从数据报告来看，小米已经以17.1%的市场份额将苹果三星甩在身后，但这个成绩能否继续保持下去，还有不少难点。三星苹果放缓，小米持续上升除开小米自己进步神速的因素外，三星苹果等大牌厂商也为小米登顶起到铺垫作用。首先小米通过机海战术的策略，弥补了三星和苹果在某些价位段的空白，比如Redmi Note 10系列、Redmi 9系列这类产品在海外市场完全没有竞争对手，同时也更加符合当地的主流消费观念，其销量普遍都在千万级别以上。Redmi Note系列累计销量突破了2亿台，直接成为小米在海外的一张名片。然后由于某些众所周知的原因，导致手机芯片短缺，三星越南工厂的产能也迅速下滑，不得不大幅减少出货量。并且这一情况可能还会影响到三星在第三季度的成绩，因此目前的三星看着迅速崛起的小米，也是有心无力。至于苹果，由于它的发力点十分依赖新机发布，上半年又没有推出新产品，因此在小雷看来，就算苹果能够准时在9月推出iPhone 13系列，也很难在第三季度反超小米。而第四季度将会是苹果的爆发期，届时小米能否保住全球第一或第二的位置，还得看小米自己的发展。从目前的市场来看，不出意外的话，小米这个全球第一的位置应该还能多坐一两个月，毕竟在去年小米就开始疯狂囤货，好让自己不会出现无“芯”可用的尴尬局面。再加上欧洲市场的份额不断升高，这场没有硝烟的战争小米想输都难。想稳坐第一？没那么简单在天时地利人和的市场，小米已经成为了一匹最大的黑马，去年成为世界第三，今年第二季度跻身世界第二，6月直接登顶全球第一，小米超越的不仅仅是三星，苹果，还有自己。不过小米的问题依旧存在，虽然能够在中低端市场叱咤风云，但在高端市场，小米仍未溅起多大的水花，想要坐稳第一，高端产品必不可少。目前来看，小米11 Ultra以及小米FOLD折叠屏已经具备一定的高端旗舰产品竞争力了。但是还远远不够，小米还需要不断提升自研实力。并且在核心技术方面也需要提升，虽说之前用在MIX Fold上的那枚澎湃ISP芯片并不像麒麟芯片一样强大，但这也算是小米开启自研之路的一个信号。据市场消息，2019年小米曾投入70亿元人民币搞研发，但这与三星、苹果动辄上百亿美元的“大手笔”比起来，多少有些杯水车薪。如果小米真想打破网友眼中“组装厂”的印象，就要花更多的人力和财力在自研的道路上不断前行。未来的发展依靠的是技术以及核心竞争力，如果没有这些，小米可能也就停在这里就开始往下降了。最后还是那句话，小米在品牌营销方面真的该丢掉以前那套接地气的宣传方式了，只有让营销高端化、产品化，才能让消费者意识到小米已经不再是那个兜里只有性价比三个字的小米，自然也不会对小米的高端产品报多少信心。结语：其实小米的对手不只是三星苹果，比如OPPO以及它的子品牌realme近两年也在急速增长，在2021年第二季度OPPO和realme在欧洲市场出货量分别达到280万台、190万台，市场份额增长5.6%和3.8%，两者合计出货量达到了9.4%，虽然不高，但这两家企业的起步时间要比小米晚很多。这意味未来的欧洲乃至整个世界的手机市场，依然会是中国手机厂商之间的战争。本文为专栏作者授权创业邦发表，版权归原作者所有。文章系作者个人观点，不代表创业邦立场，转载请联系原作者。如有任何疑问，请联系editor@cyzone.cn。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"48652":0.6,"48657":0.6,"48708":0.6,"48730":0.6,"48736":0.6,"48754":0.6,"01810":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":836405053,"gmtCreate":1629511757172,"gmtModify":1631888314525,"author":{"id":"3577969053537569","authorId":"3577969053537569","name":"ETF88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eadc5d0f2e78722e94275fcb0b7df19a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577969053537569","idStr":"3577969053537569"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like my post. Thanks.","listText":"Pls like my post. Thanks.","text":"Pls like my post. Thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836405053","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更容易预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","ASML":"阿斯麦","NVDA":"英伟达","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SNPS":"新思科技","TSM":"台积电","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌","ON":"安森美半导体","QCOM":"高通","SSNLF":"三星电子","CDNS":"铿腾电子"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. 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