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Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心:本周需要了解什么</blockquote>
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August spooks many stock investors but it’s actually one of the Dow’s best months<blockquote>八月让许多股票投资者感到害怕,但它实际上是道琼斯指数最好的月份之一</blockquote>
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Uber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价出租车和餐饮服务,作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote>
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03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心:本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展,因为议员们竞相通过立法,以避免政府在本月底关闭,并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心:本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心:本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 03:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展,因为议员们竞相通过立法,以避免政府在本月底关闭,并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for 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09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"August spooks many stock investors but it’s actually one of the Dow’s best months<blockquote>八月让许多股票投资者感到害怕,但它实际上是道琼斯指数最好的月份之一</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152790915","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"August has delivered investors above-average gains over much of the U.S. market’s history\nSo many in","content":"<p>August has delivered investors above-average gains over much of the U.S. market’s history</p><p><blockquote>8月份为投资者带来了美国市场历史上大部分时间高于平均水平的涨幅</blockquote></p><p> So many investors believe that stocks perform poorly in August that a shrewd contrarian bet would be that the market will be up this month. Moreover, August is typically a positive month for U.S. stocks. In fact, August has been the best month for stocks over much of the U.S. market’s history.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者认为股市在8月份表现不佳,因此精明的逆向押注是本月市场将上涨。此外,8月通常是美股利好的月份。事实上,在美国市场的大部分历史上,八月是股市表现最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the monthly average returns for the Dow Jones Industrial Average back to its creation in 1896. Over the 90 years until 1986, August was the best-performing month with an average gain of 1.8%, compared to 0.4% for the other months of the calendar.</p><p><blockquote>考虑一下道琼斯工业平均指数自1896年创立以来的月平均回报率。在截至1986年的90年中,8月份是表现最好的月份,平均涨幅为1.8%,而日历中其他月份的涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet since 1986 the reverse has been true, with August being the worst month — posting an average loss of 0.7%, versus an average gain of 0.9% for the other months.</p><p><blockquote>然而,自1986年以来,情况恰恰相反,8月份是最糟糕的月份——平均下跌0.7%,而其他月份平均上涨0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors who are wary of August’s terrible seasonal tendencies are focusing on this more recent history and ignoring the long-ago record.</p><p><blockquote>对8月份可怕的季节性趋势保持警惕的投资者正在关注这段更近的历史,而忽略了很久以前的记录。</blockquote></p><p> There’s nothing magical about 1986, by the way. I chose that as the year to divide the historical sample because that was the end date of an early academic analysis of the Dow’s seasonal tendencies. That study, by Josef Lakonishok of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Seymour Smidt of Cornell University, was entitled “Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective.” It appeared in<i>The Review of Financial Studies</i>in 1988 and reported that August was indeed the best month for U.S. stocks, on average.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句,1986年没什么神奇的。我选择这一年作为划分历史样本的年份,因为这是对道琼斯指数季节性趋势的早期学术分析的结束日期。这项研究由伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校的Josef Lakonishok和康奈尔大学的Seymour Smidt进行,题为“季节性异常是真的吗?九十年的视角。”它出现在<i>金融研究综述</i>1988年并报告称,平均而言,8月确实是美国股市表现最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> It perhaps is not surprising that the market’s August’s fortunes turned south almost immediately after that study appeared. Stock market patterns often stop working once too many investors become aware of them.</p><p><blockquote>该研究发表后,市场8月份的命运几乎立即转向南方,这或许并不奇怪。一旦太多投资者意识到股市模式,它们往往就会停止运作。</blockquote></p><p> Investors who bet on August because of that study didn’t read it very carefully, however. The authors wrote that, even though August came out on top in a ranking of average monthly returns up until then, “there is no consistent monthly pattern in the stock market.” Their conclusion is even truer today, of course.</p><p><blockquote>然而,因为这项研究而押注8月份的投资者并没有仔细阅读它。作者写道,尽管8月份在平均月回报率排名中名列前茅,但“股市并不存在一致的月度模式。”当然,他们的结论在今天更加正确。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s worth noting that, when focusing on all years since 1896, August remains an above-average month. Its average gain is 1.1%, nearly double the 0.6% average for all other months. So if you had to bet on history repeating itself, you’d expect August to be an above-average month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,值得注意的是,当关注自1896年以来的所有年份时,8月仍然是一个高于平均水平的月份。其平均涨幅为1.1%,几乎是所有其他月份平均涨幅0.6%的两倍。因此,如果你不得不押注历史重演,你会预计八月将是股市高于平均水平的月份。</blockquote></p><p> The investment lesson from this discussion is the importance of focusing on more than the recent past. It’s human nature to violate this rule, of course; this violation has even been given a name by behavioral economists — “recency bias.” But the long-ago history is no less important.</p><p><blockquote>从这次讨论中得到的投资教训是,关注不仅仅是最近的过去。当然,违反这条规则是人之常情;这种违规行为甚至被行为经济学家起了一个名字——“新近性偏差”。但是很久以前的历史同样重要。</blockquote></p><p> Always focus on as much data as are available when trying to read historical tea leaves. Upon doing that, you discover that the stock market in August is not, from a strict statistical perspective, destined to be better or worse than average. That doesn’t mean the stock market won’t rise a lot this month — or plunge. But if it does, it won’t be because it’s August.</p><p><blockquote>当试图阅读历史茶叶时,总是关注尽可能多的可用数据。这样做后,你会发现,从严格的统计角度来看,8月份的股市注定不会比平均水平更好或更差。这并不意味着股市本月不会上涨太多,或者暴跌。但如果是的话,也不会是因为现在是八月。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>August spooks many stock investors but it’s actually one of the Dow’s best months<blockquote>八月让许多股票投资者感到害怕,但它实际上是道琼斯指数最好的月份之一</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAugust spooks many stock investors but it’s actually one of the Dow’s best months<blockquote>八月让许多股票投资者感到害怕,但它实际上是道琼斯指数最好的月份之一</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-04 09:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>August has delivered investors above-average gains over much of the U.S. market’s history</p><p><blockquote>8月份为投资者带来了美国市场历史上大部分时间高于平均水平的涨幅</blockquote></p><p> So many investors believe that stocks perform poorly in August that a shrewd contrarian bet would be that the market will be up this month. Moreover, August is typically a positive month for U.S. stocks. In fact, August has been the best month for stocks over much of the U.S. market’s history.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者认为股市在8月份表现不佳,因此精明的逆向押注是本月市场将上涨。此外,8月通常是美股利好的月份。事实上,在美国市场的大部分历史上,八月是股市表现最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the monthly average returns for the Dow Jones Industrial Average back to its creation in 1896. Over the 90 years until 1986, August was the best-performing month with an average gain of 1.8%, compared to 0.4% for the other months of the calendar.</p><p><blockquote>考虑一下道琼斯工业平均指数自1896年创立以来的月平均回报率。在截至1986年的90年中,8月份是表现最好的月份,平均涨幅为1.8%,而日历中其他月份的涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet since 1986 the reverse has been true, with August being the worst month — posting an average loss of 0.7%, versus an average gain of 0.9% for the other months.</p><p><blockquote>然而,自1986年以来,情况恰恰相反,8月份是最糟糕的月份——平均下跌0.7%,而其他月份平均上涨0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors who are wary of August’s terrible seasonal tendencies are focusing on this more recent history and ignoring the long-ago record.</p><p><blockquote>对8月份可怕的季节性趋势保持警惕的投资者正在关注这段更近的历史,而忽略了很久以前的记录。</blockquote></p><p> There’s nothing magical about 1986, by the way. I chose that as the year to divide the historical sample because that was the end date of an early academic analysis of the Dow’s seasonal tendencies. That study, by Josef Lakonishok of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Seymour Smidt of Cornell University, was entitled “Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective.” It appeared in<i>The Review of Financial Studies</i>in 1988 and reported that August was indeed the best month for U.S. stocks, on average.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句,1986年没什么神奇的。我选择这一年作为划分历史样本的年份,因为这是对道琼斯指数季节性趋势的早期学术分析的结束日期。这项研究由伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校的Josef Lakonishok和康奈尔大学的Seymour Smidt进行,题为“季节性异常是真的吗?九十年的视角。”它出现在<i>金融研究综述</i>1988年并报告称,平均而言,8月确实是美国股市表现最好的月份。</blockquote></p><p> It perhaps is not surprising that the market’s August’s fortunes turned south almost immediately after that study appeared. Stock market patterns often stop working once too many investors become aware of them.</p><p><blockquote>该研究发表后,市场8月份的命运几乎立即转向南方,这或许并不奇怪。一旦太多投资者意识到股市模式,它们往往就会停止运作。</blockquote></p><p> Investors who bet on August because of that study didn’t read it very carefully, however. The authors wrote that, even though August came out on top in a ranking of average monthly returns up until then, “there is no consistent monthly pattern in the stock market.” Their conclusion is even truer today, of course.</p><p><blockquote>然而,因为这项研究而押注8月份的投资者并没有仔细阅读它。作者写道,尽管8月份在平均月回报率排名中名列前茅,但“股市并不存在一致的月度模式。”当然,他们的结论在今天更加正确。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s worth noting that, when focusing on all years since 1896, August remains an above-average month. Its average gain is 1.1%, nearly double the 0.6% average for all other months. So if you had to bet on history repeating itself, you’d expect August to be an above-average month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,值得注意的是,当关注自1896年以来的所有年份时,8月仍然是一个高于平均水平的月份。其平均涨幅为1.1%,几乎是所有其他月份平均涨幅0.6%的两倍。因此,如果你不得不押注历史重演,你会预计八月将是股市高于平均水平的月份。</blockquote></p><p> The investment lesson from this discussion is the importance of focusing on more than the recent past. It’s human nature to violate this rule, of course; this violation has even been given a name by behavioral economists — “recency bias.” But the long-ago history is no less important.</p><p><blockquote>从这次讨论中得到的投资教训是,关注不仅仅是最近的过去。当然,违反这条规则是人之常情;这种违规行为甚至被行为经济学家起了一个名字——“新近性偏差”。但是很久以前的历史同样重要。</blockquote></p><p> Always focus on as much data as are available when trying to read historical tea leaves. Upon doing that, you discover that the stock market in August is not, from a strict statistical perspective, destined to be better or worse than average. That doesn’t mean the stock market won’t rise a lot this month — or plunge. But if it does, it won’t be because it’s August.</p><p><blockquote>当试图阅读历史茶叶时,总是关注尽可能多的可用数据。这样做后,你会发现,从严格的统计角度来看,8月份的股市注定不会比平均水平更好或更差。这并不意味着股市本月不会上涨太多,或者暴跌。但如果是的话,也不会是因为现在是八月。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-may-not-believe-it-but-august-actually-is-a-great-time-to-be-in-stocks-11627980066?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-may-not-believe-it-but-august-actually-is-a-great-time-to-be-in-stocks-11627980066?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152790915","content_text":"August has delivered investors above-average gains over much of the U.S. market’s history\nSo many investors believe that stocks perform poorly in August that a shrewd contrarian bet would be that the market will be up this month. Moreover, August is typically a positive month for U.S. stocks. In fact, August has been the best month for stocks over much of the U.S. market’s history.\nConsider the monthly average returns for the Dow Jones Industrial Average back to its creation in 1896. Over the 90 years until 1986, August was the best-performing month with an average gain of 1.8%, compared to 0.4% for the other months of the calendar.\nYet since 1986 the reverse has been true, with August being the worst month — posting an average loss of 0.7%, versus an average gain of 0.9% for the other months.\nInvestors who are wary of August’s terrible seasonal tendencies are focusing on this more recent history and ignoring the long-ago record.\nThere’s nothing magical about 1986, by the way. I chose that as the year to divide the historical sample because that was the end date of an early academic analysis of the Dow’s seasonal tendencies. That study, by Josef Lakonishok of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Seymour Smidt of Cornell University, was entitled “Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective.” It appeared inThe Review of Financial Studiesin 1988 and reported that August was indeed the best month for U.S. stocks, on average.\nIt perhaps is not surprising that the market’s August’s fortunes turned south almost immediately after that study appeared. Stock market patterns often stop working once too many investors become aware of them.\nInvestors who bet on August because of that study didn’t read it very carefully, however. The authors wrote that, even though August came out on top in a ranking of average monthly returns up until then, “there is no consistent monthly pattern in the stock market.” Their conclusion is even truer today, of course.\nStill, it’s worth noting that, when focusing on all years since 1896, August remains an above-average month. Its average gain is 1.1%, nearly double the 0.6% average for all other months. So if you had to bet on history repeating itself, you’d expect August to be an above-average month for stocks.\nThe investment lesson from this discussion is the importance of focusing on more than the recent past. It’s human nature to violate this rule, of course; this violation has even been given a name by behavioral economists — “recency bias.” But the long-ago history is no less important.\nAlways focus on as much data as are available when trying to read historical tea leaves. Upon doing that, you discover that the stock market in August is not, from a strict statistical perspective, destined to be better or worse than average. That doesn’t mean the stock market won’t rise a lot this month — or plunge. But if it does, it won’t be because it’s August.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805156424,"gmtCreate":1627866858668,"gmtModify":1633755823144,"author":{"id":"3577323008824535","authorId":"3577323008824535","name":"JFZ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577323008824535","idStr":"3577323008824535"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805156424","repostId":"1127731627","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127731627","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627866487,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127731627?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价出租车和餐饮服务,作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127731627","media":"LBC News","summary":"Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost","content":"<p>Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost uptake of the Covid-19 jab.</p><p><blockquote>打车和送餐公司将提供打折乘车和餐饮,以帮助提高新冠肺炎疫苗的普及率。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>, Bolt, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">DELIVEROO HOLDINGS PLC</a> and Pizza Pilgrims are among the brands that will be offering incentives to younger people to encourage them to get vaccinated, the Government announced.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>,螺栓,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">户户送控股有限公司</a>政府宣布,Pizza Pilgrims是将向年轻人提供激励措施以鼓励他们接种疫苗的品牌之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) said Uber will be sending reminders to all users in August encouraging them to get jabbed.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC卫生和社会福利部表示,优步将在8月份向所有用户发送提醒,鼓励他们接受注射。</blockquote></p><p> The company will offer discounted rides and meals on its Uber Eats platform for young adults who receive a vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将在其Uber Eats优食平台上为接种疫苗的年轻人提供打折乘车和餐饮服务。</blockquote></p><p> Uber has previously offered free trips to vaccination centres for NHS staff.</p><p><blockquote>优步此前曾为NHS工作人员提供免费前往疫苗接种中心的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Bolt, another ride-hailing app, will offer \"free ride credit\" to vaccination centres following a similar scheme earlier this year when it offered £250,000 worth of free rides to London vaccination facilities.</p><p><blockquote>另一款叫车应用Bolt将向疫苗接种中心提供“免费乘车积分”,继今年早些时候推出类似计划后,该公司向伦敦疫苗接种设施提供价值25万英镑的免费乘车服务。</blockquote></p><p> Deliveroo will give vouchers to young people who get jabbed, and a spokesperson said: \"At Deliveroo we want to do our small part to support the NHS during the pandemic, including delivering a million free meals to frontline NHS staff and vaccine centres. This is the next step in helping people get vaccinated and safely back to normal.\"</p><p><blockquote>户户送将向被刺伤的年轻人发放代金券,一位发言人表示:“在户户送,我们希望在大流行期间尽自己的一份力量支持NHS,包括向一线NHS工作人员和疫苗中心提供100万份免费餐食。这是帮助人们接种疫苗并安全恢复正常的下一步。”</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said further details on partnerships will be released \"in due course\" and other incentives \"could include vouchers or discount codes for people attending pop-up vaccine sites and booking though the NHS, social media competitions and promotional offers for restaurants\".</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示,有关合作伙伴关系的更多细节将“在适当的时候”公布,其他激励措施“可能包括为参加弹出式疫苗网站和通过NHS预订的人提供优惠券或折扣代码、社交媒体竞赛和餐馆促销优惠”。</blockquote></p><p> The department added: \"Companies will not ask for or hold any health data for the incentive scheme.\"</p><p><blockquote>该部门补充说:“公司不会为激励计划要求或持有任何健康数据。”</blockquote></p><p> Government data up to July 29 shows that of the 84,737,932 Covid-19 jabs given in the UK, 46,775,525 were first doses and 37,962,407 were second doses.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月29日的政府数据显示,在英国接种的84,737,932剂新冠肺炎疫苗中,46,775,525剂是第一剂,37,962,407剂是第二剂。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said around 67% of people aged 18 to 29 in England have received a first dose.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示,英格兰约67%的18至29岁人群已接种第一剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Thanking businesses for \"stepping up\" to support the vaccine drive, Health Secretary Sajid Javid urged people to \"take advantage of the discounts\".</p><p><blockquote>卫生部长萨吉德·贾维德感谢企业“加紧”支持疫苗运动,并敦促人们“利用折扣”。</blockquote></p><p> He added: \"The lifesaving vaccines not only protect you, your loved ones and your community, but they are helping to bring us back together by allowing you to get back to doing the things you've missed.</p><p><blockquote>他补充道:“拯救生命的疫苗不仅可以保护你、你所爱的人和你的社区,还可以让你重新做你错过的事情,从而帮助我们重新走到一起。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said there was \"strong enthusiasm\" among young people so far to get vaccinated, adding: \"Please get your jabs as soon as you can and grab a bargain.\"</p><p><blockquote>疫苗部长纳齐姆·扎哈维表示,到目前为止,年轻人对接种疫苗有“强烈的热情”,并补充道:“请尽快接种疫苗,并抢到便宜货。”</blockquote></p><p> The latest initiatives are announced aftera host of further pop-up vaccination hubsopened across England this weekend.</p><p><blockquote>最新举措是在本周末英格兰各地开设更多弹出式疫苗接种中心后宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> Locations include Circus Extreme in Halifax, West Yorkshire, Burnley FC's Turf Moor ground, Goodwood Racecourse near Chichester, and the Summer of Love Festival in west London's Holland Park.</p><p><blockquote>地点包括西约克郡哈利法克斯的极限马戏团、伯恩利足球俱乐部的Turf Moor ground、奇切斯特附近的古德伍德赛马场以及西伦敦荷兰公园的夏季爱情节。</blockquote></p><p> In the east of the capital a four-day vaccine festival is running in Poplar until Monday, with live music and free food.</p><p><blockquote>在首都东部,为期四天的疫苗节将在白杨举行,直到周一,有现场音乐和免费食物。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said more than 600,000 people were vaccinated last weekend at walk-in clinics ranging from London's Tate Modern Gallery to a Primark in Bristol.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示,上周末有超过60万人在从伦敦泰特现代美术馆到布里斯托尔Primark的无预约诊所接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1627862702248","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价出租车和餐饮服务,作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber and Deliveroo to offer cheap cab rides and meals as incentives to get Covid jab<blockquote>优步和户户送将提供廉价出租车和餐饮服务,作为接种新冠疫苗的激励措施</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">LBC News</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost uptake of the Covid-19 jab.</p><p><blockquote>打车和送餐公司将提供打折乘车和餐饮,以帮助提高新冠肺炎疫苗的普及率。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>, Bolt, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">DELIVEROO HOLDINGS PLC</a> and Pizza Pilgrims are among the brands that will be offering incentives to younger people to encourage them to get vaccinated, the Government announced.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>,螺栓,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROO.UK\">户户送控股有限公司</a>政府宣布,Pizza Pilgrims是将向年轻人提供激励措施以鼓励他们接种疫苗的品牌之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) said Uber will be sending reminders to all users in August encouraging them to get jabbed.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC卫生和社会福利部表示,优步将在8月份向所有用户发送提醒,鼓励他们接受注射。</blockquote></p><p> The company will offer discounted rides and meals on its Uber Eats platform for young adults who receive a vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将在其Uber Eats优食平台上为接种疫苗的年轻人提供打折乘车和餐饮服务。</blockquote></p><p> Uber has previously offered free trips to vaccination centres for NHS staff.</p><p><blockquote>优步此前曾为NHS工作人员提供免费前往疫苗接种中心的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Bolt, another ride-hailing app, will offer \"free ride credit\" to vaccination centres following a similar scheme earlier this year when it offered £250,000 worth of free rides to London vaccination facilities.</p><p><blockquote>另一款叫车应用Bolt将向疫苗接种中心提供“免费乘车积分”,继今年早些时候推出类似计划后,该公司向伦敦疫苗接种设施提供价值25万英镑的免费乘车服务。</blockquote></p><p> Deliveroo will give vouchers to young people who get jabbed, and a spokesperson said: \"At Deliveroo we want to do our small part to support the NHS during the pandemic, including delivering a million free meals to frontline NHS staff and vaccine centres. This is the next step in helping people get vaccinated and safely back to normal.\"</p><p><blockquote>户户送将向被刺伤的年轻人发放代金券,一位发言人表示:“在户户送,我们希望在大流行期间尽自己的一份力量支持NHS,包括向一线NHS工作人员和疫苗中心提供100万份免费餐食。这是帮助人们接种疫苗并安全恢复正常的下一步。”</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said further details on partnerships will be released \"in due course\" and other incentives \"could include vouchers or discount codes for people attending pop-up vaccine sites and booking though the NHS, social media competitions and promotional offers for restaurants\".</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示,有关合作伙伴关系的更多细节将“在适当的时候”公布,其他激励措施“可能包括为参加弹出式疫苗网站和通过NHS预订的人提供优惠券或折扣代码、社交媒体竞赛和餐馆促销优惠”。</blockquote></p><p> The department added: \"Companies will not ask for or hold any health data for the incentive scheme.\"</p><p><blockquote>该部门补充说:“公司不会为激励计划要求或持有任何健康数据。”</blockquote></p><p> Government data up to July 29 shows that of the 84,737,932 Covid-19 jabs given in the UK, 46,775,525 were first doses and 37,962,407 were second doses.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月29日的政府数据显示,在英国接种的84,737,932剂新冠肺炎疫苗中,46,775,525剂是第一剂,37,962,407剂是第二剂。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said around 67% of people aged 18 to 29 in England have received a first dose.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示,英格兰约67%的18至29岁人群已接种第一剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> Thanking businesses for \"stepping up\" to support the vaccine drive, Health Secretary Sajid Javid urged people to \"take advantage of the discounts\".</p><p><blockquote>卫生部长萨吉德·贾维德感谢企业“加紧”支持疫苗运动,并敦促人们“利用折扣”。</blockquote></p><p> He added: \"The lifesaving vaccines not only protect you, your loved ones and your community, but they are helping to bring us back together by allowing you to get back to doing the things you've missed.</p><p><blockquote>他补充道:“拯救生命的疫苗不仅可以保护你、你所爱的人和你的社区,还可以让你重新做你错过的事情,从而帮助我们重新走到一起。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said there was \"strong enthusiasm\" among young people so far to get vaccinated, adding: \"Please get your jabs as soon as you can and grab a bargain.\"</p><p><blockquote>疫苗部长纳齐姆·扎哈维表示,到目前为止,年轻人对接种疫苗有“强烈的热情”,并补充道:“请尽快接种疫苗,并抢到便宜货。”</blockquote></p><p> The latest initiatives are announced aftera host of further pop-up vaccination hubsopened across England this weekend.</p><p><blockquote>最新举措是在本周末英格兰各地开设更多弹出式疫苗接种中心后宣布的。</blockquote></p><p> Locations include Circus Extreme in Halifax, West Yorkshire, Burnley FC's Turf Moor ground, Goodwood Racecourse near Chichester, and the Summer of Love Festival in west London's Holland Park.</p><p><blockquote>地点包括西约克郡哈利法克斯的极限马戏团、伯恩利足球俱乐部的Turf Moor ground、奇切斯特附近的古德伍德赛马场以及西伦敦荷兰公园的夏季爱情节。</blockquote></p><p> In the east of the capital a four-day vaccine festival is running in Poplar until Monday, with live music and free food.</p><p><blockquote>在首都东部,为期四天的疫苗节将在白杨举行,直到周一,有现场音乐和免费食物。</blockquote></p><p> DHSC said more than 600,000 people were vaccinated last weekend at walk-in clinics ranging from London's Tate Modern Gallery to a Primark in Bristol.</p><p><blockquote>DHSC表示,上周末有超过60万人在从伦敦泰特现代美术馆到布里斯托尔Primark的无预约诊所接种了疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/discounted-cab-rides-and-meals-offered-as-incentives-to-get-covid-jab/\">LBC News</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","ROO.UK":"Deliveroo Holdings PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/discounted-cab-rides-and-meals-offered-as-incentives-to-get-covid-jab/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127731627","content_text":"Discounted rides and meals will be offered by taxi-hailing and food delivery companies to help boost uptake of the Covid-19 jab.\nUber, Bolt, DELIVEROO HOLDINGS PLC and Pizza Pilgrims are among the brands that will be offering incentives to younger people to encourage them to get vaccinated, the Government announced.\nThe Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) said Uber will be sending reminders to all users in August encouraging them to get jabbed.\nThe company will offer discounted rides and meals on its Uber Eats platform for young adults who receive a vaccine.\nUber has previously offered free trips to vaccination centres for NHS staff.\nBolt, another ride-hailing app, will offer \"free ride credit\" to vaccination centres following a similar scheme earlier this year when it offered £250,000 worth of free rides to London vaccination facilities.\nDeliveroo will give vouchers to young people who get jabbed, and a spokesperson said: \"At Deliveroo we want to do our small part to support the NHS during the pandemic, including delivering a million free meals to frontline NHS staff and vaccine centres. This is the next step in helping people get vaccinated and safely back to normal.\"\nDHSC said further details on partnerships will be released \"in due course\" and other incentives \"could include vouchers or discount codes for people attending pop-up vaccine sites and booking though the NHS, social media competitions and promotional offers for restaurants\".\nThe department added: \"Companies will not ask for or hold any health data for the incentive scheme.\"\nGovernment data up to July 29 shows that of the 84,737,932 Covid-19 jabs given in the UK, 46,775,525 were first doses and 37,962,407 were second doses.\nDHSC said around 67% of people aged 18 to 29 in England have received a first dose.\nThanking businesses for \"stepping up\" to support the vaccine drive, Health Secretary Sajid Javid urged people to \"take advantage of the discounts\".\nHe added: \"The lifesaving vaccines not only protect you, your loved ones and your community, but they are helping to bring us back together 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619651546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137964402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%,授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137964402","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称,其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长,其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好,电脑销量同比增长70.1%,iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示,将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元,并授权900亿美元的股票回购,这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>:895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元,同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>:479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元,同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>:169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元,同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>:78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元,同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>:91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元,同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>:78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元,同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>:42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来,该公司一直没有提供收入指引,理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师,该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数,尽管由于全球芯片短缺,该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示,随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐,其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明,随着更多经济体的开放,这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者,正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说:“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式,也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%,库克表示,这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的,这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片,电池寿命更长,而不是英特尔销售的处理器,iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号,预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示:“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且,在中国,这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩,平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年,苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone,许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期,本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区,苹果的收入同比增长超过87%,达到177.3亿美元,尽管相比之下,去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别,包括美洲和欧洲,也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务,包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务,也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量,其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅,还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示:“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅,比上一季度增加了4000万,比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而,苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战,他们说它成本太高,权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计,去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为这个商店。所以,这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者,也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是,我们有信心,”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度,利润率往往在38%至39%之间,但在截至3月份的季度,苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%,授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%,授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称,其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长,其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好,电脑销量同比增长70.1%,iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示,将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元,并授权900亿美元的股票回购,这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>:895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元,同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>:479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元,同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>:169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元,同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>:78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元,同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>:91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元,同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>:78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元,同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>:42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来,该公司一直没有提供收入指引,理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师,该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数,尽管由于全球芯片短缺,该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示,随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐,其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明,随着更多经济体的开放,这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者,正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说:“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式,也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%,库克表示,这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的,这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片,电池寿命更长,而不是英特尔销售的处理器,iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号,预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示:“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且,在中国,这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩,平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年,苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone,许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期,本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区,苹果的收入同比增长超过87%,达到177.3亿美元,尽管相比之下,去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别,包括美洲和欧洲,也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务,包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务,也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量,其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅,还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示:“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅,比上一季度增加了4000万,比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而,苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战,他们说它成本太高,权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计,去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为这个商店。所以,这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者,也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是,我们有信心,”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度,利润率往往在38%至39%之间,但在截至3月份的季度,苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137964402","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:EPS: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimatedRevenue: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-yeariPhone revenue: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-yearServices revenue: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over yearOther Products revenue: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-yearMac revenue: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-yeariPad revenue: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-yearGross margin: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimatedApple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100903038,"gmtCreate":1619571954924,"gmtModify":1634211676489,"author":{"id":"3577323008824535","authorId":"3577323008824535","name":"JFZ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577323008824535","idStr":"3577323008824535"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙌🏻","listText":"🙌🏻","text":"🙌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100903038","repostId":"1187199105","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187199105","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619566832,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187199105?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD stock rises after earnings show data-center sales more than doubling<blockquote>财报显示数据中心销售额增长一倍多后,AMD股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187199105","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMD increases full-year revenue guidance after record quarterly sales, stock jumps more than 3% in e","content":"<p>AMD increases full-year revenue guidance after record quarterly sales, stock jumps more than 3% in extended session<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174cfb55080b96346856b267d6c023ed\" tg-width=\"706\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Advanced Micro Devices Inc. shares rose in the extended session Tuesday after the chip maker said data-center revenue more than doubled to fuel record quarterly sales, and increased its revenue forecast for the year.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在创纪录的季度销售额后上调全年收入指引,股价在延长交易时段上涨逾3%芯片制造商Advanced Micro Devices Inc.表示,数据中心收入增长了一倍多,推动了创纪录的季度销售额,并上调了今年的收入预期,该公司股价在周二的延长交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p>“In the first quarter, data-center product revenue more than doubled year-over-year and represented a high teens percentage of our overall revenue,” said AMD Chief Executive Lisa Su on a call with analysts. “We expect data-center product revenue to grow significantly as we go through the year driven by our strong pipeline of new cloud, enterprise and [high-performance computing] wins.”</p><p><blockquote>AMD首席执行官苏姿丰在与分析师的看涨期权中表示:“第一季度,数据中心产品收入同比增长了一倍多,占我们总收入的比例很高。”“我们预计,在我们强大的新云、企业和[高性能计算]胜利渠道的推动下,数据中心产品收入将在今年大幅增长。”</blockquote></p><p>Sales from enterprise embedded and semi-custom chips — the unit that includes data-center and gaming-console revenue — nearly quadrupled to $1.35 billion, compared with $348 million a year ago. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $1.3 billion. Su’s comments about data-center revenue were helpful asAMD does not break out data-center sales from gaming sales.</p><p><blockquote>企业嵌入式和半定制芯片(包括数据中心和游戏机收入)的销售额几乎翻了两番,达到13.5亿美元,而一年前为3.48亿美元。FactSet调查的分析师预计为13亿美元。苏关于数据中心收入的评论很有帮助,因为AMD不会将数据中心销售额与游戏销售额分开。</blockquote></p><p>“I think we saw actually strong signals in the first quarter that it would be a strong data-center year for us,” Su told analysts.</p><p><blockquote>“我认为我们在第一季度看到了真正强烈的信号,表明今年对我们来说将是数据中心强劲的一年,”苏告诉分析师。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, Intel Corp said the data-center market was in a“digestion phase,”contributing to a 20% drop in sales for data centers, yetanalysts pointed to increased competition from AMD and ARM Holdings PLC.</p><p><blockquote>上周,英特尔公司表示,数据中心市场正处于“消化阶段”,导致数据中心销售额下降20%,但分析师指出,来自AMD和ARM Holdings PLC的竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p>AMD reported first-quarter net income of $555 million, or 45 cents a share, compared with $162 million, or 14 cents a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other factors, the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company reported earnings of 52 cents a share, compared with 18 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $3.45 billion from $1.79 billion in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD公布第一季度净利润为5.55亿美元,即每股45美分,而去年同期为1.62亿美元,即每股14美分。在调整股票薪酬和其他因素后,这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的公司报告每股收益为52美分,而去年同期为每股18美分。收入从去年同期的17.9亿美元增至34.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast adjusted earnings of 44 cents a share on revenue of $3.18 billion, and AMD projected between $3.1 billion and $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师此前预测调整后每股收益为44美分,营收为31.8亿美元,AMD预计在31亿至33亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>AMD reported first-quarter sales of $2.1 billion for computing and graphics chips, up 46% from $1.44 billion last year, compared with analyst expectations of $1.89 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD公布第一季度计算和图形芯片销售额为21亿美元,较去年的14.4亿美元增长46%,分析师预期为18.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Executives also increased AMD’s guidance for the full year, to a sales increase of about 50% from previous guidance of a roughly 37% increase. AMD reported revenue of $9.67 billion last year, suggesting sales of about $14.65 billion this year; analysts had been forecasting revenue of $13.46 billion, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>高管们还提高了AMD全年销售额指引,从之前指引的约37%增长至约50%。AMD去年营收为96.7亿美元,暗示今年销售额约为146.5亿美元;FactSet的数据显示,分析师此前预测营收为134.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>AMD expects second-quarter revenue of $3.5 billion to $3.7 billion, while analysts had been projecting $3.23 billion, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示,AMD预计第二季度营收为35亿至37亿美元,而分析师此前预计为32.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Shares gained more than 3% in after-hours trading, following a 0.2% decline in the regular session to close at $85.21.</p><p><blockquote>该股在常规交易中下跌0.2%,收于85.21美元,在盘后交易中上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p>AMD’s strong earnings come amid a continuing shortage of microchips to sate demand from global industries, and the companies that make the silicon wafers that chip designs use, work to clear waiting lists that span several months.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的强劲盈利是在满足全球行业需求的微芯片持续短缺的情况下出现的,而制造芯片设计所用硅片的公司正在努力清理长达数月的等待名单。</blockquote></p><p>More of how the chip sector is dealing with supply shortages will be revealed this week, with Qualcomm Inc.QCOM,-0.68%earnings on Wednesday and KLA Corp.KLAC,-1.58%earnings on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>芯片行业如何应对供应短缺的更多信息将于本周公布,高通公司(Qualcomm Inc.QCOM)周三盈利-0.68%,KLA Corp.KLAC(KLAC)周四盈利-1.58%。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past 12 months, AMD shares have gained 51%. In comparison, the PHLX Semiconductor IndexSOX,-0.76%has gained 87%, the S&P 500 index has risen 54%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index is up 61%.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,AMD股价上涨了51%。相比之下,PHLX半导体指数SOX,-0.76%上涨87%,标普500指数上涨54%,以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨61%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD stock rises after earnings show data-center sales more than doubling<blockquote>财报显示数据中心销售额增长一倍多后,AMD股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD stock rises after earnings show data-center sales more than doubling<blockquote>财报显示数据中心销售额增长一倍多后,AMD股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-28 07:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMD increases full-year revenue guidance after record quarterly sales, stock jumps more than 3% in extended session<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174cfb55080b96346856b267d6c023ed\" tg-width=\"706\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Advanced Micro Devices Inc. shares rose in the extended session Tuesday after the chip maker said data-center revenue more than doubled to fuel record quarterly sales, and increased its revenue forecast for the year.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在创纪录的季度销售额后上调全年收入指引,股价在延长交易时段上涨逾3%芯片制造商Advanced Micro Devices Inc.表示,数据中心收入增长了一倍多,推动了创纪录的季度销售额,并上调了今年的收入预期,该公司股价在周二的延长交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p>“In the first quarter, data-center product revenue more than doubled year-over-year and represented a high teens percentage of our overall revenue,” said AMD Chief Executive Lisa Su on a call with analysts. “We expect data-center product revenue to grow significantly as we go through the year driven by our strong pipeline of new cloud, enterprise and [high-performance computing] wins.”</p><p><blockquote>AMD首席执行官苏姿丰在与分析师的看涨期权中表示:“第一季度,数据中心产品收入同比增长了一倍多,占我们总收入的比例很高。”“我们预计,在我们强大的新云、企业和[高性能计算]胜利渠道的推动下,数据中心产品收入将在今年大幅增长。”</blockquote></p><p>Sales from enterprise embedded and semi-custom chips — the unit that includes data-center and gaming-console revenue — nearly quadrupled to $1.35 billion, compared with $348 million a year ago. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $1.3 billion. Su’s comments about data-center revenue were helpful asAMD does not break out data-center sales from gaming sales.</p><p><blockquote>企业嵌入式和半定制芯片(包括数据中心和游戏机收入)的销售额几乎翻了两番,达到13.5亿美元,而一年前为3.48亿美元。FactSet调查的分析师预计为13亿美元。苏关于数据中心收入的评论很有帮助,因为AMD不会将数据中心销售额与游戏销售额分开。</blockquote></p><p>“I think we saw actually strong signals in the first quarter that it would be a strong data-center year for us,” Su told analysts.</p><p><blockquote>“我认为我们在第一季度看到了真正强烈的信号,表明今年对我们来说将是数据中心强劲的一年,”苏告诉分析师。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, Intel Corp said the data-center market was in a“digestion phase,”contributing to a 20% drop in sales for data centers, yetanalysts pointed to increased competition from AMD and ARM Holdings PLC.</p><p><blockquote>上周,英特尔公司表示,数据中心市场正处于“消化阶段”,导致数据中心销售额下降20%,但分析师指出,来自AMD和ARM Holdings PLC的竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p>AMD reported first-quarter net income of $555 million, or 45 cents a share, compared with $162 million, or 14 cents a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other factors, the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company reported earnings of 52 cents a share, compared with 18 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $3.45 billion from $1.79 billion in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD公布第一季度净利润为5.55亿美元,即每股45美分,而去年同期为1.62亿美元,即每股14美分。在调整股票薪酬和其他因素后,这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉的公司报告每股收益为52美分,而去年同期为每股18美分。收入从去年同期的17.9亿美元增至34.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast adjusted earnings of 44 cents a share on revenue of $3.18 billion, and AMD projected between $3.1 billion and $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师此前预测调整后每股收益为44美分,营收为31.8亿美元,AMD预计在31亿至33亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>AMD reported first-quarter sales of $2.1 billion for computing and graphics chips, up 46% from $1.44 billion last year, compared with analyst expectations of $1.89 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMD公布第一季度计算和图形芯片销售额为21亿美元,较去年的14.4亿美元增长46%,分析师预期为18.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Executives also increased AMD’s guidance for the full year, to a sales increase of about 50% from previous guidance of a roughly 37% increase. AMD reported revenue of $9.67 billion last year, suggesting sales of about $14.65 billion this year; analysts had been forecasting revenue of $13.46 billion, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>高管们还提高了AMD全年销售额指引,从之前指引的约37%增长至约50%。AMD去年营收为96.7亿美元,暗示今年销售额约为146.5亿美元;FactSet的数据显示,分析师此前预测营收为134.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>AMD expects second-quarter revenue of $3.5 billion to $3.7 billion, while analysts had been projecting $3.23 billion, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示,AMD预计第二季度营收为35亿至37亿美元,而分析师此前预计为32.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Shares gained more than 3% in after-hours trading, following a 0.2% decline in the regular session to close at $85.21.</p><p><blockquote>该股在常规交易中下跌0.2%,收于85.21美元,在盘后交易中上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p>AMD’s strong earnings come amid a continuing shortage of microchips to sate demand from global industries, and the companies that make the silicon wafers that chip designs use, work to clear waiting lists that span several months.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的强劲盈利是在满足全球行业需求的微芯片持续短缺的情况下出现的,而制造芯片设计所用硅片的公司正在努力清理长达数月的等待名单。</blockquote></p><p>More of how the chip sector is dealing with supply shortages will be revealed this week, with Qualcomm Inc.QCOM,-0.68%earnings on Wednesday and KLA Corp.KLAC,-1.58%earnings on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>芯片行业如何应对供应短缺的更多信息将于本周公布,高通公司(Qualcomm Inc.QCOM)周三盈利-0.68%,KLA Corp.KLAC(KLAC)周四盈利-1.58%。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past 12 months, AMD shares have gained 51%. In comparison, the PHLX Semiconductor IndexSOX,-0.76%has gained 87%, the S&P 500 index has risen 54%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index is up 61%.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,AMD股价上涨了51%。相比之下,PHLX半导体指数SOX,-0.76%上涨87%,标普500指数上涨54%,以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨61%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187199105","content_text":"AMD increases full-year revenue guidance after record quarterly sales, stock jumps more than 3% in extended sessionAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. shares rose in the extended session Tuesday after the chip maker said data-center revenue more than doubled to fuel record quarterly sales, and increased its revenue forecast for the year.“In the first quarter, data-center product revenue more than doubled year-over-year and represented a high teens percentage of our overall revenue,” said AMD Chief Executive Lisa Su on a call with analysts. “We expect data-center product revenue to grow significantly as we go through the year driven by our strong pipeline of new cloud, enterprise and [high-performance computing] wins.”Sales from enterprise embedded and semi-custom chips — the unit that includes data-center and gaming-console revenue — nearly quadrupled to $1.35 billion, compared with $348 million a year ago. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $1.3 billion. Su’s comments about data-center revenue were helpful asAMD does not break out data-center sales from gaming sales.“I think we saw actually strong signals in the first quarter that it would be a strong data-center year for us,” Su told analysts.Last week, Intel Corp said the data-center market was in a“digestion phase,”contributing to a 20% drop in sales for data centers, yetanalysts pointed to increased competition from AMD and ARM Holdings PLC.AMD reported first-quarter net income of $555 million, or 45 cents a share, compared with $162 million, or 14 cents a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other factors, the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company reported earnings of 52 cents a share, compared with 18 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $3.45 billion from $1.79 billion in the year-ago quarter.Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast adjusted earnings of 44 cents a share on revenue of $3.18 billion, and AMD projected between $3.1 billion and $3.3 billion.AMD reported first-quarter sales of $2.1 billion for computing and graphics chips, up 46% from $1.44 billion last year, compared with analyst expectations of $1.89 billion.Executives also increased AMD’s guidance for the full year, to a sales increase of about 50% from previous guidance of a roughly 37% increase. AMD reported revenue of $9.67 billion last year, suggesting sales of about $14.65 billion this year; analysts had been forecasting revenue of $13.46 billion, according to FactSet.AMD expects second-quarter revenue of $3.5 billion to $3.7 billion, while analysts had been projecting $3.23 billion, according to FactSet.Shares gained more than 3% in after-hours trading, following a 0.2% decline in the regular session to close at $85.21.AMD’s strong earnings come amid a continuing shortage of microchips to sate demand from global industries, and the companies that make the silicon wafers that chip designs use, work to clear waiting lists that span several months.More of how the chip sector is dealing with supply shortages will be revealed this week, with Qualcomm Inc.QCOM,-0.68%earnings on Wednesday and KLA Corp.KLAC,-1.58%earnings on Thursday.Over the past 12 months, AMD shares have gained 51%. In comparison, the PHLX Semiconductor IndexSOX,-0.76%has gained 87%, the S&P 500 index has risen 54%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index is up 61%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379131781,"gmtCreate":1618704342943,"gmtModify":1634291393523,"author":{"id":"3577323008824535","authorId":"3577323008824535","name":"JFZ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577323008824535","idStr":"3577323008824535"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379131781","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期:以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四(甚至三)巫术日,但今天的大量每周期权将到期,其中可能一文不值,其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么,尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周,高盛指出,单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说,4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%,高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言,单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期,其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此,今天的到期对于平值(ATM)期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要,因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动,同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易?</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克(Vishal Vivek)所写,在重大到期时,期权交易者会跟踪以下情况:<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行(执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价)中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下,delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权,则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果,导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”,对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者,如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头(具有“负伽马”头寸),他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此,为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者,这里有一个表格,列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票,并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说,“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分,那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后,值得一提的是,今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道,这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期,“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次,但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象,例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论,我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法,由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩(即VIX处于新低),现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的(见下图)。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生,但随着VIX(即隐含波动率)的逆转,反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察:</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时,它对市场走势非常敏感,也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位,隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比,如果鲨鱼停止游泳,它就会下沉(部分正确!).如果市场停止下跌,那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样,较低的隐含波动率(即较低的VIX)表明做市商必须回购空头对冲,从而推动反弹。SG的结论是:目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外,当IV较低时,伽马较高,因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期:以下是将发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期:以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四(甚至三)巫术日,但今天的大量每周期权将到期,其中可能一文不值,其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么,尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周,高盛指出,单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说,4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%,高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言,单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期,其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此,今天的到期对于平值(ATM)期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要,因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动,同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易?</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克(Vishal Vivek)所写,在重大到期时,期权交易者会跟踪以下情况:<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行(执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价)中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下,delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权,则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果,导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”,对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者,如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头(具有“负伽马”头寸),他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此,为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者,这里有一个表格,列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票,并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说,“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分,那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后,值得一提的是,今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道,这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期,“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次,但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象,例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论,我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法,由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩(即VIX处于新低),现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的(见下图)。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生,但随着VIX(即隐含波动率)的逆转,反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察:</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时,它对市场走势非常敏感,也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位,隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比,如果鲨鱼停止游泳,它就会下沉(部分正确!).如果市场停止下跌,那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样,较低的隐含波动率(即较低的VIX)表明做市商必须回购空头对冲,从而推动反弹。SG的结论是:目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外,当IV较低时,伽马较高,因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179377925,"gmtCreate":1626489771067,"gmtModify":1633926293758,"author":{"id":"3577323008824535","authorId":"3577323008824535","name":"JFZ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577323008824535","idStr":"3577323008824535"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏼","listText":"👌🏼","text":"👌🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179377925","repostId":"2152686879","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342139729,"gmtCreate":1618189606061,"gmtModify":1634294553525,"author":{"id":"3577323008824535","authorId":"3577323008824535","name":"JFZ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577323008824535","idStr":"3577323008824535"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏼","listText":"👌🏼","text":"👌🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342139729","repostId":"1137529737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137529737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618184239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137529737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、Coinbase等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137529737","media":"Barrons","summary":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of ","content":"<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕,一如既往地以美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告,美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告,摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday. A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他著名公司包括工业供应商Fastenalon Tuesday。达美航空、百事可乐和联合健康集团周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方周五发布报告。本周共有22家标准普尔500指数公司发布报告,下周将有64家公司发布报告。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说,这也是忙碌的一周。周二,美国劳工统计局公布3月份消费者价格指数,全国独立企业联合会发布3月份小企业乐观指数。周四,人口普查局将公布3月份零售销售数据。周五,密歇根大学发布了四月份的消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的房地产市场数据包括周四公布的全国住宅建筑商协会NAHB/富国银行4月份住房市场指数和周五公布的人口普查局3月份新住宅建设数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一4/12</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在GPU技术会议的同时举办了2021年投资者日。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长0.4%,与2月份数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%,2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布三月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为98,高于2月份的95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b> in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>一些最大的货币中心和投资银行认真报告。摩根大通、富国银行、高盛集团盘前发布一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b> is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>该公司将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式首次亮相华尔街。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>3月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨1%,而进口价格预计上涨0.8%。相比之下,2月份分别上涨1.6%和1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年发布了八次褐皮书中的第二次。褐皮书从12个美联储区收集了有关当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。合众银行和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了4月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测为84.5,高于3月份的数据。任何高于50的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。看涨期权普遍认为消费者支出继2月份下降3%后,环比将增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五4/16</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC金融服务集团和道富银行在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布四月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为88。3月份的84.9是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测,经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套,环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、Coinbase等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、Coinbase等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-12 07:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕,一如既往地以美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告,美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告,摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday. A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他著名公司包括工业供应商Fastenalon Tuesday。达美航空、百事可乐和联合健康集团周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方周五发布报告。本周共有22家标准普尔500指数公司发布报告,下周将有64家公司发布报告。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说,这也是忙碌的一周。周二,美国劳工统计局公布3月份消费者价格指数,全国独立企业联合会发布3月份小企业乐观指数。周四,人口普查局将公布3月份零售销售数据。周五,密歇根大学发布了四月份的消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的房地产市场数据包括周四公布的全国住宅建筑商协会NAHB/富国银行4月份住房市场指数和周五公布的人口普查局3月份新住宅建设数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一4/12</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在GPU技术会议的同时举办了2021年投资者日。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长0.4%,与2月份数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%,2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布三月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为98,高于2月份的95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b> in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>一些最大的货币中心和投资银行认真报告。摩根大通、富国银行、高盛集团盘前发布一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b> is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>该公司将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式首次亮相华尔街。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>3月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨1%,而进口价格预计上涨0.8%。相比之下,2月份分别上涨1.6%和1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年发布了八次褐皮书中的第二次。褐皮书从12个美联储区收集了有关当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。合众银行和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了4月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测为84.5,高于3月份的数据。任何高于50的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。看涨期权普遍认为消费者支出继2月份下降3%后,环比将增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五4/16</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC金融服务集团和道富银行在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布四月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为88。3月份的84.9是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测,经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套,环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GS":"高盛","MS":"摩根士丹利","NVDA":"英伟达",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137529737","content_text":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday. A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.Monday 4/12Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.Tuesday 4/13Fastenal reports quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.Wednesday 4/14Earnings season begins in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.First Republic Bankreleases earnings.Coinbase Global is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.The BLS reports export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. 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Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month 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08:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Anything But Transitory: Consumers Expect Inflation In One Year To Soar To 4.8%<blockquote>绝不是暂时的:消费者预计一年内通胀率将飙升至4.8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161134258","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While central banks, tenured economists and the financial media are doingeverythingin their propagan","content":"<p>While central banks, tenured economists and the financial media are doing<i>everything</i>in their propaganda power to convince Americans that the current phase of hyperinflation is merely transitory (although it now appears that even the Fed is getting some doubts writing in its semi-annual monetary policy report that inflation is \"<i><b>more lasting but likely still temporary</b></i>\" until proven otherwise, of course), the shocking reality on the ground is that the Fed has effectively lost control over near-term inflation expectations, as the NY Fed's own survey of consumer expectations reveals.</p><p><blockquote>当央行、终身经济学家和财经媒体在做<i>一切</i>他们的宣传力量让美国人相信当前阶段的恶性通货膨胀只是暂时的(尽管现在看来,就连美联储也开始怀疑通货膨胀是“<i><b>更持久,但可能仍然是暂时的</b></i>“当然,除非事实证明并非如此),令人震惊的现实是,正如纽约联储自己的消费者预期调查所显示的那样,美联储实际上已经失去了对近期通胀预期的控制。</blockquote></p><p> According to the latest, June, installment of this closely watched survey, consumer inflation expectations for one year ahead, jumped by the most on record,<b>surging by 0.8% in one month, from 4.0% in May to an all-time high for this series of 4.8% in June.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据这项备受关注的调查的最新六月份,消费者对未来一年的通胀预期出现了有记录以来的最大增幅,<b>一个月内飙升0.8%,从5月份的4.0%升至6月份该系列4.8%的历史新高。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/687424aa9936131fc5fd4fb975eb16c9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"225\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As the NY Fed details, \"the increase in the short-term measure was driven mostly by respondents who have some college education. Our measures of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) reached new series’ highs at both horizons.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如纽约联储详细介绍的那样,“短期指标的增长主要是由受过大学教育的受访者推动的。我们衡量受访者之间的分歧(通胀预期第75个百分点和第25个百分点之间的差异)达到了新系列的高点在两个地平线上。”</blockquote></p><p> There was some hope that the US won't end up as Weimar in the Fed's median inflation expectations for the three-year horizon which, unlike the 1-Year spot, were little changed from the prior month at 3.6%. Still, arguing that inflation at 3.6% in 3 years is acceptable to the Fed's formerly dual mandate (which has since grown toSocial Justice, Race, Gender Issues, Climate Change And Inequality), is at best laughable.</p><p><blockquote>有人希望美国不会像美联储三年期通胀预期中的魏玛一样结束,与1年期通胀预期中值不同,与上月3.6%相比变化不大。尽管如此,认为3年内3.6%的通胀率对于美联储以前的双重使命(此后已发展到社会正义、种族、性别问题、气候变化和不平等)来说是可以接受的,充其量是可笑的。</blockquote></p><p> However, in a testament to just how sticky most Americans expect inflation to be, the most valuable (and widespread) middle-class asset - housing - is expected to rise at near-record levels<b>with the median year-ahead home price change expectations at 6.2% in June, substantially higher than its 12-months trailing average of 3.7%,</b>if well below the current double-digit pace of home price increase which has pushed the average home price to a new all-time high. According to the Fed, \"Median year-ahead home price growth uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding year-ahead home price growth outcomes—increased and reached a new series high.\"</p><p><blockquote>然而,大多数美国人预计通胀会有多棘手,中产阶级最有价值(也是最普遍)的资产——住房——预计将以接近创纪录的水平上涨,这证明了通胀的粘性<b>6月份未来一年房价变化预期中值为6.2%,远高于3.7%的12个月平均水平,</b>如果远低于目前两位数的房价上涨速度,这已将平均房价推至历史新高。美联储表示,“未来一年房价增长不确定性中位数——或对未来一年房价增长结果表达的不确定性——有所增加,并达到系列新高。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730babaea29df064660a7f25212d1a82\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"439\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Looking at a breakdown of inflation expectations by commodity, the median one-year ahead expected change in the cost of college education increased to 7.0% from 6.1% in May, its highest reading since April 2019. In contrast, the median expected changes in the price of food and gasoline decreased to 7.1% and 9.2%, respectively, from 8.0% and 9.8% in May. The median expected change in the cost of medical care and rent remained unchanged at 9.4% and 9.7%; elsewhere medical costs are expected to rise 9.36%; and rent prices will rise 9.66%.</p><p><blockquote>从大宗商品通胀预期细分来看,未来一年大学教育成本预期变化中位数从5月份的6.1%升至7.0%,为2019年4月以来的最高读数。相比之下,食品和汽油价格预期变化中值分别从5月份的8.0%和9.8%降至7.1%和9.2%。医疗及租金成本预期变动中位数维持不变,为9.4%及9.7%;其他地方的医疗费用预计将上涨9.36%;租金价格将上涨9.66%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/003d8db78cc2804186ff076cccec3077\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"435\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Some other notable highlights from the survey: 9.59% (vs 9.69% in the prior month), expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months; the mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months fell from 12.6% to 10.9%, hitting new series low which is to be expected in a country with record numbers of job openings.</p><p><blockquote>调查中的其他一些值得注意的亮点是:9.59%(上个月为9.69%),预计在未来三个月内无法支付最低债务;未来12个月内失业的平均感知概率从12.6%降至10.9%,创下一系列新低,这在一个职位空缺数量创纪录的国家是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p> Some more details from the Fed's survey:</p><p><blockquote>美联储调查的更多细节:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳动力市场</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Median one-year ahead expected earnings growth increased by 0.1 percentage point to 2.6% in June, its highest reading since the start of the pandemic (February 2020). The increase was driven by respondents who have at least some college education.</li> <li>Mean unemployment expectations—or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now— decreased to 30.7% from 31.9%, a new series’ low.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months decreased from 12.6% to 10.9%, reaching a new series’ low. The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also decreased to 18.6% from 18.7%, staying close to its trailing 12-month average of 18.1%.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability of finding a job in the next three months (if one’s current job were lost) increased by 0.2 percentage point to 54.2%, its highest reading since February 2020. The increase was driven by those with at least some college education. The series remains substantially below its 2019 average of 59.8%.</li> </ul> <b>Household Finance</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>6月份,未来一年预期盈利增长中位数上升0.1个百分点至2.6%,为疫情开始(2020年2月)以来的最高水平。这一增长是由至少受过大学教育的受访者推动的。</li><li>平均失业预期(即一年后美国失业率上升的平均概率)从31.9%降至30.7%,创新系列新低。</li><li>未来12个月内失业的平均感知概率从12.6%下降到10.9%,达到新低。未来12个月内自愿离职的平均概率也从18.7%下降至18.6%,接近过去12个月18.1%的平均水平。</li><li>未来三个月内找到工作的平均感知概率(如果当前工作失业)增加了0.2个百分点,达到54.2%,为2020年2月以来的最高读数。这一增长是由那些至少受过大学教育的人推动的。该系列仍远低于2019年59.8%的平均水平。</li></ul><b>家庭金融</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>The median expected year-ahead household income growth increased to 3.0% in June from 2.8%. The increase was broad-based across age, income, and education groups.</li> <li>Median household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%, reaching a new series’ high. The increase was most pronounced for respondents with some college education.</li> <li>Perceptions of credit access compared to a year ago slightly improved. In contrast, expectations for future credit availability deteriorated, with more respondents expecting it will be harder to obtain credit in the year ahead.</li> <li>The average perceived probability of missing a minimum debt payment over the next three months decreased to 9.6% from 9.7%. The series remains below its 2020 average of 11.4%.</li> <li>The median expectation regarding a year-ahead change in taxes (at current income level) declined slightly to 4.6% from 4.7%.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher 12 months from now increased by 0.5 percentage point to 29.9%. This is the highest reading of the series since May 2019. The increase was driven by those with an annual household income over $100,000.</li> <li>Perceptions about households’ current financial situations compared to a year ago deteriorated, with more respondents reporting to be worse off compared to a year ago. In contrast, respondents were slightly more optimistic about their households’ financial situations in the year ahead.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now decreased by 0.5 percentage point to 40.2%, staying below its 2020 average of 44.3%.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>6月份家庭收入增长预期中值从2.8%升至3.0%。这一增长在年龄、收入和教育群体中具有广泛的基础。</li><li>家庭支出增长预期中值上升0.2个百分点至5.2%,创系列新高。对于受过大学教育的受访者来说,这种增长最为明显。</li><li>与一年前相比,对信贷获取的看法略有改善。相比之下,对未来信贷可用性的预期恶化,更多受访者预计未来一年获得信贷将更加困难。</li><li>未来三个月未偿还最低债务的平均感知概率从9.7%下降至9.6%。该系列仍低于2020年11.4%的平均水平。</li><li>对未来一年税收变化(当前收入水平)的预期中值从4.7%小幅下降至4.6%。</li><li>12个月后储蓄账户平均利率上升的平均感知概率增加了0.5个百分点,达到29.9%。这是该系列自2019年5月以来的最高读数。这一增长是由家庭年收入超过10万美元的人推动的。</li><li>与一年前相比,对家庭当前财务状况的看法有所恶化,更多受访者表示情况比一年前更糟。相比之下,受访者对未来一年家庭财务状况略显乐观。</li><li>12个月后美国股价上涨的平均感知概率下降了0.5个百分点,至40.2%,低于2020年平均水平44.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnything But Transitory: Consumers Expect Inflation In One Year To Soar To 4.8%<blockquote>绝不是暂时的:消费者预计一年内通胀率将飙升至4.8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 08:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While central banks, tenured economists and the financial media are doing<i>everything</i>in their propaganda power to convince Americans that the current phase of hyperinflation is merely transitory (although it now appears that even the Fed is getting some doubts writing in its semi-annual monetary policy report that inflation is \"<i><b>more lasting but likely still temporary</b></i>\" until proven otherwise, of course), the shocking reality on the ground is that the Fed has effectively lost control over near-term inflation expectations, as the NY Fed's own survey of consumer expectations reveals.</p><p><blockquote>当央行、终身经济学家和财经媒体在做<i>一切</i>他们的宣传力量让美国人相信当前阶段的恶性通货膨胀只是暂时的(尽管现在看来,就连美联储也开始怀疑通货膨胀是“<i><b>更持久,但可能仍然是暂时的</b></i>“当然,除非事实证明并非如此),令人震惊的现实是,正如纽约联储自己的消费者预期调查所显示的那样,美联储实际上已经失去了对近期通胀预期的控制。</blockquote></p><p> According to the latest, June, installment of this closely watched survey, consumer inflation expectations for one year ahead, jumped by the most on record,<b>surging by 0.8% in one month, from 4.0% in May to an all-time high for this series of 4.8% in June.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据这项备受关注的调查的最新六月份,消费者对未来一年的通胀预期出现了有记录以来的最大增幅,<b>一个月内飙升0.8%,从5月份的4.0%升至6月份该系列4.8%的历史新高。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/687424aa9936131fc5fd4fb975eb16c9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"225\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As the NY Fed details, \"the increase in the short-term measure was driven mostly by respondents who have some college education. Our measures of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) reached new series’ highs at both horizons.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如纽约联储详细介绍的那样,“短期指标的增长主要是由受过大学教育的受访者推动的。我们衡量受访者之间的分歧(通胀预期第75个百分点和第25个百分点之间的差异)达到了新系列的高点在两个地平线上。”</blockquote></p><p> There was some hope that the US won't end up as Weimar in the Fed's median inflation expectations for the three-year horizon which, unlike the 1-Year spot, were little changed from the prior month at 3.6%. Still, arguing that inflation at 3.6% in 3 years is acceptable to the Fed's formerly dual mandate (which has since grown toSocial Justice, Race, Gender Issues, Climate Change And Inequality), is at best laughable.</p><p><blockquote>有人希望美国不会像美联储三年期通胀预期中的魏玛一样结束,与1年期通胀预期中值不同,与上月3.6%相比变化不大。尽管如此,认为3年内3.6%的通胀率对于美联储以前的双重使命(此后已发展到社会正义、种族、性别问题、气候变化和不平等)来说是可以接受的,充其量是可笑的。</blockquote></p><p> However, in a testament to just how sticky most Americans expect inflation to be, the most valuable (and widespread) middle-class asset - housing - is expected to rise at near-record levels<b>with the median year-ahead home price change expectations at 6.2% in June, substantially higher than its 12-months trailing average of 3.7%,</b>if well below the current double-digit pace of home price increase which has pushed the average home price to a new all-time high. According to the Fed, \"Median year-ahead home price growth uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding year-ahead home price growth outcomes—increased and reached a new series high.\"</p><p><blockquote>然而,大多数美国人预计通胀会有多棘手,中产阶级最有价值(也是最普遍)的资产——住房——预计将以接近创纪录的水平上涨,这证明了通胀的粘性<b>6月份未来一年房价变化预期中值为6.2%,远高于3.7%的12个月平均水平,</b>如果远低于目前两位数的房价上涨速度,这已将平均房价推至历史新高。美联储表示,“未来一年房价增长不确定性中位数——或对未来一年房价增长结果表达的不确定性——有所增加,并达到系列新高。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730babaea29df064660a7f25212d1a82\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"439\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Looking at a breakdown of inflation expectations by commodity, the median one-year ahead expected change in the cost of college education increased to 7.0% from 6.1% in May, its highest reading since April 2019. In contrast, the median expected changes in the price of food and gasoline decreased to 7.1% and 9.2%, respectively, from 8.0% and 9.8% in May. The median expected change in the cost of medical care and rent remained unchanged at 9.4% and 9.7%; elsewhere medical costs are expected to rise 9.36%; and rent prices will rise 9.66%.</p><p><blockquote>从大宗商品通胀预期细分来看,未来一年大学教育成本预期变化中位数从5月份的6.1%升至7.0%,为2019年4月以来的最高读数。相比之下,食品和汽油价格预期变化中值分别从5月份的8.0%和9.8%降至7.1%和9.2%。医疗及租金成本预期变动中位数维持不变,为9.4%及9.7%;其他地方的医疗费用预计将上涨9.36%;租金价格将上涨9.66%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/003d8db78cc2804186ff076cccec3077\" tg-width=\"723\" tg-height=\"435\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Some other notable highlights from the survey: 9.59% (vs 9.69% in the prior month), expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months; the mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months fell from 12.6% to 10.9%, hitting new series low which is to be expected in a country with record numbers of job openings.</p><p><blockquote>调查中的其他一些值得注意的亮点是:9.59%(上个月为9.69%),预计在未来三个月内无法支付最低债务;未来12个月内失业的平均感知概率从12.6%降至10.9%,创下一系列新低,这在一个职位空缺数量创纪录的国家是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p> Some more details from the Fed's survey:</p><p><blockquote>美联储调查的更多细节:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳动力市场</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Median one-year ahead expected earnings growth increased by 0.1 percentage point to 2.6% in June, its highest reading since the start of the pandemic (February 2020). The increase was driven by respondents who have at least some college education.</li> <li>Mean unemployment expectations—or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now— decreased to 30.7% from 31.9%, a new series’ low.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months decreased from 12.6% to 10.9%, reaching a new series’ low. The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also decreased to 18.6% from 18.7%, staying close to its trailing 12-month average of 18.1%.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability of finding a job in the next three months (if one’s current job were lost) increased by 0.2 percentage point to 54.2%, its highest reading since February 2020. The increase was driven by those with at least some college education. The series remains substantially below its 2019 average of 59.8%.</li> </ul> <b>Household Finance</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>6月份,未来一年预期盈利增长中位数上升0.1个百分点至2.6%,为疫情开始(2020年2月)以来的最高水平。这一增长是由至少受过大学教育的受访者推动的。</li><li>平均失业预期(即一年后美国失业率上升的平均概率)从31.9%降至30.7%,创新系列新低。</li><li>未来12个月内失业的平均感知概率从12.6%下降到10.9%,达到新低。未来12个月内自愿离职的平均概率也从18.7%下降至18.6%,接近过去12个月18.1%的平均水平。</li><li>未来三个月内找到工作的平均感知概率(如果当前工作失业)增加了0.2个百分点,达到54.2%,为2020年2月以来的最高读数。这一增长是由那些至少受过大学教育的人推动的。该系列仍远低于2019年59.8%的平均水平。</li></ul><b>家庭金融</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>The median expected year-ahead household income growth increased to 3.0% in June from 2.8%. The increase was broad-based across age, income, and education groups.</li> <li>Median household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%, reaching a new series’ high. The increase was most pronounced for respondents with some college education.</li> <li>Perceptions of credit access compared to a year ago slightly improved. In contrast, expectations for future credit availability deteriorated, with more respondents expecting it will be harder to obtain credit in the year ahead.</li> <li>The average perceived probability of missing a minimum debt payment over the next three months decreased to 9.6% from 9.7%. The series remains below its 2020 average of 11.4%.</li> <li>The median expectation regarding a year-ahead change in taxes (at current income level) declined slightly to 4.6% from 4.7%.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher 12 months from now increased by 0.5 percentage point to 29.9%. This is the highest reading of the series since May 2019. The increase was driven by those with an annual household income over $100,000.</li> <li>Perceptions about households’ current financial situations compared to a year ago deteriorated, with more respondents reporting to be worse off compared to a year ago. In contrast, respondents were slightly more optimistic about their households’ financial situations in the year ahead.</li> <li>The mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now decreased by 0.5 percentage point to 40.2%, staying below its 2020 average of 44.3%.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>6月份家庭收入增长预期中值从2.8%升至3.0%。这一增长在年龄、收入和教育群体中具有广泛的基础。</li><li>家庭支出增长预期中值上升0.2个百分点至5.2%,创系列新高。对于受过大学教育的受访者来说,这种增长最为明显。</li><li>与一年前相比,对信贷获取的看法略有改善。相比之下,对未来信贷可用性的预期恶化,更多受访者预计未来一年获得信贷将更加困难。</li><li>未来三个月未偿还最低债务的平均感知概率从9.7%下降至9.6%。该系列仍低于2020年11.4%的平均水平。</li><li>对未来一年税收变化(当前收入水平)的预期中值从4.7%小幅下降至4.6%。</li><li>12个月后储蓄账户平均利率上升的平均感知概率增加了0.5个百分点,达到29.9%。这是该系列自2019年5月以来的最高读数。这一增长是由家庭年收入超过10万美元的人推动的。</li><li>与一年前相比,对家庭当前财务状况的看法有所恶化,更多受访者表示情况比一年前更糟。相比之下,受访者对未来一年家庭财务状况略显乐观。</li><li>12个月后美国股价上涨的平均感知概率下降了0.5个百分点,至40.2%,低于2020年平均水平44.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/anything-transitory-consumers-expect-inflation-one-year-soar-record-48\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/anything-transitory-consumers-expect-inflation-one-year-soar-record-48","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161134258","content_text":"While central banks, tenured economists and the financial media are doingeverythingin their propaganda power to convince Americans that the current phase of hyperinflation is merely transitory (although it now appears that even the Fed is getting some doubts writing in its semi-annual monetary policy report that inflation is \"more lasting but likely still temporary\" until proven otherwise, of course), the shocking reality on the ground is that the Fed has effectively lost control over near-term inflation expectations, as the NY Fed's own survey of consumer expectations reveals.\nAccording to the latest, June, installment of this closely watched survey, consumer inflation expectations for one year ahead, jumped by the most on record,surging by 0.8% in one month, from 4.0% in May to an all-time high for this series of 4.8% in June.\n\nAs the NY Fed details, \"the increase in the short-term measure was driven mostly by respondents who have some college education. Our measures of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) reached new series’ highs at both horizons.\"\nThere was some hope that the US won't end up as Weimar in the Fed's median inflation expectations for the three-year horizon which, unlike the 1-Year spot, were little changed from the prior month at 3.6%. Still, arguing that inflation at 3.6% in 3 years is acceptable to the Fed's formerly dual mandate (which has since grown toSocial Justice, Race, Gender Issues, Climate Change And Inequality), is at best laughable.\nHowever, in a testament to just how sticky most Americans expect inflation to be, the most valuable (and widespread) middle-class asset - housing - is expected to rise at near-record levelswith the median year-ahead home price change expectations at 6.2% in June, substantially higher than its 12-months trailing average of 3.7%,if well below the current double-digit pace of home price increase which has pushed the average home price to a new all-time high. According to the Fed, \"Median year-ahead home price growth uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding year-ahead home price growth outcomes—increased and reached a new series high.\"\n\nLooking at a breakdown of inflation expectations by commodity, the median one-year ahead expected change in the cost of college education increased to 7.0% from 6.1% in May, its highest reading since April 2019. In contrast, the median expected changes in the price of food and gasoline decreased to 7.1% and 9.2%, respectively, from 8.0% and 9.8% in May. The median expected change in the cost of medical care and rent remained unchanged at 9.4% and 9.7%; elsewhere medical costs are expected to rise 9.36%; and rent prices will rise 9.66%.\n\nSome other notable highlights from the survey: 9.59% (vs 9.69% in the prior month), expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months; the mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months fell from 12.6% to 10.9%, hitting new series low which is to be expected in a country with record numbers of job openings.\nSome more details from the Fed's survey:\nLabor Market\n\nMedian one-year ahead expected earnings growth increased by 0.1 percentage point to 2.6% in June, its highest reading since the start of the pandemic (February 2020). The increase was driven by respondents who have at least some college education.\nMean unemployment expectations—or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now— decreased to 30.7% from 31.9%, a new series’ low.\nThe mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months decreased from 12.6% to 10.9%, reaching a new series’ low. The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also decreased to 18.6% from 18.7%, staying close to its trailing 12-month average of 18.1%.\nThe mean perceived probability of finding a job in the next three months (if one’s current job were lost) increased by 0.2 percentage point to 54.2%, its highest reading since February 2020. The increase was driven by those with at least some college education. The series remains substantially below its 2019 average of 59.8%.\n\nHousehold Finance\n\nThe median expected year-ahead household income growth increased to 3.0% in June from 2.8%. The increase was broad-based across age, income, and education groups.\nMedian household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%, reaching a new series’ high. The increase was most pronounced for respondents with some college education.\nPerceptions of credit access compared to a year ago slightly improved. In contrast, expectations for future credit availability deteriorated, with more respondents expecting it will be harder to obtain credit in the year ahead.\nThe average perceived probability of missing a minimum debt payment over the next three months decreased to 9.6% from 9.7%. The series remains below its 2020 average of 11.4%.\nThe median expectation regarding a year-ahead change in taxes (at current income level) declined slightly to 4.6% from 4.7%.\nThe mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher 12 months from now increased by 0.5 percentage point to 29.9%. This is the highest reading of the series since May 2019. The increase was driven by those with an annual household income over $100,000.\nPerceptions about households’ current financial situations compared to a year ago deteriorated, with more respondents reporting to be worse off compared to a year ago. In contrast, respondents were slightly more optimistic about their households’ financial situations in the year ahead.\nThe mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now decreased by 0.5 percentage point to 40.2%, staying below its 2020 average of 44.3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180641184,"gmtCreate":1623203264748,"gmtModify":1634035851306,"author":{"id":"3577323008824535","authorId":"3577323008824535","name":"JFZ","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577323008824535","idStr":"3577323008824535"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180641184","repostId":"1196052924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}